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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAllakaket Biomass Heat Pre-Feasibility Study 10-16-2014-BIO Allakaket Village Biomass Heat Pre-Feasibility Study Prepared for Interior Regional Housing Authority October 16, 2014 Prepared by: Energy Action, Wynne Auld With Support from: The Alaska Energy Authority 1231 W. Northern Lights #578 Anchorage, AK 99503 www.energyaction.info (907) 744-1085 Page 1 of 12 Contents Acknowledgements ....................................................................................................................................... 2 Community Contact Information .................................................................................................................. 2 Summary of Findings..................................................................................................................................... 2 Statement of Purpose ................................................................................................................................... 3 Community & Facility Information................................................................................................................ 3 Biomass Resource Availability ....................................................................................................................... 4 Site Control ................................................................................................................................................... 4 Permitting ..................................................................................................................................................... 4 Proposed Biomass System ............................................................................................................................ 5 Alternatives Considered ............................................................................................................................ 5 Heat Load & Biomass Requirements ............................................................................................................ 6 Opinion of Probable Cost .............................................................................................................................. 8 Financial Analysis ........................................................................................................................................ 10 Financial Summary .................................................................................................................................. 10 Benefit / Cost Model ............................................................................................................................... 10 Sensitivity Analysis .................................................................................................................................. 12 Recommendations ...................................................................................................................................... 12 Figures Figure 1: Fuel Energy Values ......................................................................................................................... 6 Figure 2: Current Annual Fuel Use & Cost .................................................................................................... 6 Figure 3: Project Annual Fuel Use & Cost, Biomass Project .......................................................................... 6 Figure 4: Biomass Stoking Requirements & Cost .......................................................................................... 6 Figure 5: Biomass O&M Costs (non-stoking) ................................................................................................ 7 Figure 6: Force Account Summary ................................................................................................................ 8 Figure 7: Force Account Detail ...................................................................................................................... 9 Appendix A—Biomass Technology B – Utility Information C – Aircraft Information Page 2 of 12 Acknowledgements Energy Action thanks the following representatives for their assistance with this assessment: Melanie Wholecheese, Interim Tribal Administrator, Allakaket Village Gale Bourne, Director of Facilities & Maintenance, Yukon-Koyukuk School District Dave Bishop, Principal, Allakaket School Russell Snyder, Grants Coordinator, Interior Regional Housing Authority Steven J. Stassel, P.E., Gray Stassel Engineering Community Contact Information Allakaket Village PO Box 50, Allakaket, AK 99720 P. (907) 968-2237 F. (907) 968-2233 Email: n/a Yukon-Koyukuk School District Gale Bourne, Director of Facilities & Maintenance P. (907) 374-9400 gbourne@yksd.com Summary of Findings The Yukon-Koyukuk School District (YKSD) may be interested in a biomass heat sales agreement with a third-party owner and operator. This is a revenue-generating opportunity for a third-party, such as the Allakaket Village Council, the City of Allakaket, the Alatna Village Council, or a private entity. The project building is the future Allakaket School, planned for construction in 5 – 10 years. The biomass project would use an estimated 93 cords per year to displace about 85% of the future school’s assumed heat load of 10,875 gallons of fuel oil. The project is considered marginally pre-feasible at this time. If the project owner can source fuel at $265 per cord, as the Tanana Chiefs Conference reconnaissance- level biomass resource assessment suggests, the project is considered pre-feasible. Under the current market prices of $400 per cord and $5.69 per gallon, the project is considered unfeasible. Sensitivity analysis indicates the project would be financially pre-feasible with the input price of $400 per cord if the price of fuel oil rises to $6.85 per gallon or more. When YKSD begins to actively plan the new Allakaket School, it is recommended that they review this pre-feasibility study to consider whether assumptions have significantly changed which would impact the pre-feasibility of the biomass heat project. It is also recommended that YKSD discuss the possibility for third-party ownership and operation of a biomass heat project with local organizations. The project may be an opportunity for these organizations to create revenues and community benefits consistent with their organizational missions. Page 3 of 12 Statement of Purpose Since 2008, the Alaska State Legislature has supported renewable electric and thermal energy projects through the Renewable Energy Grant Recommendation Program, administered by the Alaska Energy Authority. In Round 6 of the Program, Interior Regional Housing Authority, which seeks opportunities to promote community self-sufficiency through energy projects, received money to complete pre- feasibility studies of biomass heat in community buildings in seven villages. The following pre-feasibility study has been funded through that grant. Community & Facility Information Allakaket Village (population 105) is an Alaska Native Village located on the south bank of the Koyukuk River, southwest of its junction with the Alatna River, approximately 190 air miles northwest of Fairbanks. Allakaket Village also provides the airport, electric utility, postal, and school services to Alatna Village (population 26), which is located just west of Allakaket Village across the Koyukuk River. The Yukon-Koyukuk School District (YKSD) will construct a new school in Allakaket in 5 – 10 years. This new school is the project building, as explained below. YKSD is managed by a Superintendent and Board of Education. The current Director of Facilities & Maintenance is Gale Bourne. YKSD purchases fuel oil in Allakaket for $5.69 per gallon. Delivery is by plane only. The current going rate for cordwood is $400 per cord (Allakaket Village Council meeting, personal conversation, February 5, 2013). The Allakaket Village Council and City of Allakaket offices both contain wood stoves, which are actively used for heating. Electricity averages 92 cents per kWh (email correspondence, Gale Bourne, February 11, 2014). Much of the town, including the existing Allakaket School, is below the 100-year flood mark of 497’. New construction is often located on high ground in the New Allakaket Subdivision. The project building is the future Allakaket School. This building will have the largest heat load in the community, and new construction will offer the potential to minimize project costs by through shared overhead expenses with the future School construction. Mr. Bourne expressed that he is interested in a biomass energy project that meets the following standards:  Lower cost per Btu than oil  No increased maintenance costs  No inherent risk that is out of YKSD’s ability to control It appears that a heat sales project, owned and operated by a third-party, which is separate from the School’s energy system, may satisfy Mr. Bourne’s interest. However, the interest of a third-party to own and operate such a system remains to be determined, as discussed in the “Recommendations” section of this report. The existing Allakaket School uses about 14,500 gallons of fuel oil per year (Appendix B). For the purpose of this report, the future School is anticipated to use 75% of the existing School’s fuel usage, a total of10,875 gallons of fuel oil. It is also assumed to be designed to heat with warm water at 120°F. Page 4 of 12 Several buildings were considered not suitable for biomass energy assessment, including the Tribal office, City office, and Washateria / Water Plant. The Tribal office and City office have relatively low fuel oil consumption (<1,200 gal/ yr.), and already have operating cordwood stoves. The Washateria / Water Plant fuel oil consumption (about 1,160 gal/ yr.) is too low to justify evaluation for biomass heat. The Washateria /Water Plant benefits from recovered heat from the nearby AP&T power plant. Biomass Resource Availability This pre-feasibility study was completed simultaneous to a reconnaissance-level biomass resource assessment by Tanana Chiefs Conference, which will be complete in fall 2014. The draft biomass resource assessment takes account of biomass stocking by ownership, resource distance from Allakaket Village, and other factors. In summary, within a 5-mile radius of Allakaket Village, there are approximately 144,000 cords of biomass, with nearly 82% of this material located on K'oyitl'ots'ina, Limited lands. The average cost for biomass within a 5-mile radius of Allakaket Village is about $121 per cord. This figure includes harvest, stumpage, administration, and transport costs, but does not include the cost of processing logs into cordwood or profit. Site Control The proposed biomass project is hypothetical, and no project location has been determined. Site control has not been evaluated for this project. Permitting Applicable project permitting is considered below:  The Alaska Department of Public Safety, Division of Fire and Life Safety must approve the project plans before construction is started. Mechanical and electrical review is limited to that which is necessary to confirm compliance with fire and life safety requirements.  Commercial harvests associated with the project may or may not be required to comply with the Alaska Forest Practices and Resources Act. While most commercial operations are required to comply, commercial operations of minor or small scale are sometimes exempted. The Act addresses forest management along water bodies, erosion mitigation, and reforestation.  The 40CFR63 NESHAP Rule does not apply to the project. The Rule does not apply to a hot water heater, which is defined in Subpart 6J as a boiler with a heat input capacity is less than 1.6 million Btu/hr and that does not generate steam.  If State or Federal money is used to construct the project, the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Office of History and Archaeology, State Historic Preservation Office should review project plans to determine whether historic, prehistoric, or archaeological resources are likely to be affected. The Office also offers suggestions for to mitigate potential effects on resources. Page 5 of 12 Proposed Biomass System For the purpose of this report, the new school building is anticipated to use 75% of the current school’s fuel usage. The new school building is assumed to use 10,875 gallons of fuel oil per year. It is also assumed to be designed to heat with warm water at 120°F. The project equipment must be suitable for delivery by plane. Contact was made with several air carriers to identify suitable aircraft for the project, which includes the ability to accommodate the project equipment and land at the Allakaket airport. Please see Appendix C. The requirement to deliver the project equipment by plane limits the size of the boiler. The limited boiler size increases stoking requirements, which is a major component of operating costs. The proposed biomass system is three (3) 180,000 Btu cordwood boilers. The project would be more cost effective with fewer, larger boilers. The following assumptions were made for the purpose of completing the pre-feasibility assessment, and are not a substitute for heat load calculations and boiler sizing to be completed by the project engineer during project development:  Annual consumption of 10,875 gallons of fuel oil per year, 95% of which serves space heat load, 5% of which serves domestic hot water  Three (3) 180,000 Btu cordwood boilers with 2,940 gallons of storage total, delta T = 80°F  Maximum 4 firings per day per boiler, with additional heat demand served by oil. Each firing requires 20 minutes labor  Annual inflation o Biomass O&M and scheduled repairs – 1.5% o Cordwood – 3% o Oil O&M and scheduled repairs – 1.5% o Oil – 4.8%  Input prices, year 1 o Cordwood -- $400/ cord o Oil -- $5.69/ gal o Labor -- $20.17/ hr Alternatives Considered There were no alternatives considered for this project. Page 6 of 12 Heat Load & Biomass Requirements Figure 1: Fuel Energy Values Figure 2: Projected Annual Fuel Use & Cost Figure 3: Project Annual Fuel Use & Cost, Biomass Project Figure 4: Biomass Stoking Requirements & Cost Gross Btu/unit System efficiency Delivered Btu/unit Gross $/unit Delivered $/MMBtu Oil (gal)134,500 80%107,600 $ 5.69 52.88$ Biomass, 20% MC* (cord) 16,400,000 65%10,660,000 $ 400 37.52$ *MC is Moisture Content. Moisture in biomass fuel evaporates and absorbs energy in combustion, thereby decreasing the net energy value of the fuel. Facility Fuel Oil (gal)$ / gal Annual Fuel Cost future school 10,875 5.69$ 61,879$ Total 61,879$ 15%Oil 85%Biomass 9244 gallons displaced Facility Fuel Type Units $ / unit Annual Fuel Cost future school Biomass, 20% MC* (cord) 93.3 400$ 37,322$ future school Oil (gal)1631 5.69$ 9,282$ Total $ 46,604 Facility Total Stokings per Yr Stoking Hrs Per Yr $ / hr Annual Stoking Cost future school 1893 631 20.17$ 12,726$ Page 7 of 12 Figure 5: Biomass O&M Costs (non-stoking) Biomass size (btu)540,000 Biomass fuel Biomass, 20% MC* (cord) Cost of Labor 20.17$ Cost of Electricity 0.83$ Number of Stokings 1893 MATERIALS Yrs to replacement Replacement Cost per lifetime Lower Gasket 23$ 5 92$ Motor mount 27$ 10 54$ Rear cleanout gasket kit 46$ 10 92$ Manway cover gasket 19$ 10 38$ 5" cleaning brush 24$ 5 96$ Motor assembly 518$ 12 863$ 1/2 HP motor 331$ 12 552$ Motor mount kit 87$ 12 145$ Motor mount ring & screws 17$ 12 28$ Misc. 250$ 5 1,000$ Anode Rod 98$ 5 392$ Chemicals 250$ 1 5,000$ Cost per Lifetime 8,352$ Straight-line Average Cost per Yr.418$ LABOR Hours labor Yrs to labor Cost of Labor over Lifetime Water test and replace 0.50 1 170$ Cleanout covers and heat xger 2 1 807$ Clean blower motor 0.75 0.5 605$ Clean Ash & Combustion Air Intake 0.08 0.05 614$ Check & replace gaskets 3 5 242$ Cost per Lifetime 2,437$ Straight-line Average Cost per Yr.122$ OTHER Yrs. To Cost Cost over Lifetime Electricity 1/2 HP fan 97$ 1 1,949$ Straight-line Average Cost per Yr.97$ O&M Cost per Yr. per Boiler 637$ Number of Boilers 3 Total O&M per Yr.1,911$ Electricity -- pump 367$ 2,278$ Total Annual Biomass O&M (non-stoking) Page 8 of 12 Opinion of Probable Cost Figure 6: Force Account Summary Site & Foundation Work $9,973 Biomass boiler building $45,068 Biomass heat system $119,440 End-user building integration $8,374 Miscellaneous $8,700 Overhead $34,730 Freight $51,859 CONSTRUCTION SUB-TOTAL $278,143 Design & Construction Admin $22,628 Construction Management $11,314 PROJECT SUB-TOTAL $312,086 Contingency @ 20%$62,417 Admin @ 4%$12,483 TOTAL PROJECT COST $386,986 Page 9 of 12 Figure 7: Force Account Detail ITEM QUAN UNIT UNIT MATL UNIT LAB LAB LABOR CONTR FREIGHT TOTAL UNIT TOTAL COST COST HRS HRS RATE COST COST COST COST WT WT(#) SITE & FOUNDATION WORK Site prep (layout, excavation, backfill, compaction, grading)1 lump $5,000 $5,000 0.00 0 Wood timbers -- 8" x 8" x 8' 45 ea $63.00 $2,835 0.50 22.50 $95 $2,138 $4,973 70.00 3150 BIOMASS BOILER BUILDING W/ WOOD STORAGE Sill plate - 2" x 6" x 20' PT 5 ea.$20 $100 0.25 1.3 $95 $119 $219 51 255 SIP exterior walls -- 4' x 10' 22 ea.$350 $7,700 0.3 7 $95 $627 $8,327 4 88 SIP roof -- 4' x 10' pkg 13 ea.$350 $4,550 0.75 10 $95 $926 $5,476 4 52 SIP fasteners / hardware / framing anchors 2 lump $400 $800 0 0 $95 $0 $800 500 1000 SIP caulk, sealant, expanding foam 2 lump $250 $500 4 8 $95 $760 $1,260 150 300 Roof, frame 1 lump $900 $900 18.00 18 $95 $1,710 $2,610 400 400 Roof, Metal -- 3' x 10' Delta rib roofing 17 ea.$175 $2,975 1.00 17 $95 $1,615 $4,590 96 1632 Floor Insulation, Rigid (2"x24"x96")30 ea.$28.00 $840 0.25 8 $95 $713 $1,553 1 30 Floor system, metal 1 lump $2,400 $2,400 20.00 20 $95 $1,900 $4,300 1600 1600 Siding, Metal, plus trim -- 3' x 10' Delta rib roofing 30 ea.$175 $5,250 1.00 30 $95 $2,850 $8,100 96 2880 Fasteners 2 lump $250 $500 0 0 $95 $0 $500 100 200 Man-door w/ hardware 1 lump $780 $780 6 6 $95 $570 $1,350 75 75 Overhead garage door (10' x 10')1 lump $1,350 $1,350 6 6 $95 $570 $1,920 250 250 Drywall -- 4' x 10' + tape 22 ea.$27 $594 0.33 7 $95 $690 $1,284 50 1100 Interior paint -- 5 gal 6 ea.$40 $240 4 24 $95 $2,280 $2,520 42 249 Fire protection 1 lump $250 $250 0.1 0.1 $95 $10 $260 150 150 BIOMASS HEAT SYSTEM Boiler -- GARN 1000 3 ea.$11,000 $33,000 16 48 $95 $4,560 $37,560 2200 6600 Pipe/Valves/Ftgs/Gauges 3 lump $5,000 $15,000 54 162 $100 $16,200 $31,200 800 2400 Circ pump 4 ea.$500 $2,000 4 16 $100 $1,600 $3,600 60 240 Plate HXR, (600 MBH)2 ea.$5,000 $10,000 10 20 $100 $2,000 $12,000 250 500 Misc Strut & Pipe Hangers 1 lump $1,000 $1,000 20 20 $95 $1,900 $2,900 500 500 Tank Insulation 3 lump $1,200 $3,600 3 9 $95 $855 $4,455 50 150 Stack -- 6" dia double wall UL listed + supporting infrastructure 3 lump $1,700 $5,100 4 12 $95 $1,140 $6,240 3.8 11 Ventilation & Combustion Air Intake 1 lump $1,200 $1,200 3 3 $95 $285 $1,485 50 50 BTU meter 0 ea.$2,500 $0 18 0 $95 $0 $0 0 0 Electrical 1 lump $10,000 $10,000 100 100 $100 $10,000 $20,000 750 750 INTEGRATION PEX Piping -- 2" Arctic 60 lf $25 $1,500 0.27 16 $95 $1,539 $3,039 1 78 PEX accessories -- 60 1/ft $5 $300 0.00 0 $95 $0 $300 1 60 Pipe penetration exclosure 1 lump $750 $750 3 3 $95 $285 $1,035 200 200 Temp controls 1 lump $750 $750 8 8 $100 $800 $1,550 200 200 Electrical work 1 lump $1,250 $1,250 12 12 $100 $1,200 $2,450 200 200 MISCELLANEOUS Misc Hardware 1 lump $2,500 $2,500 0 0 $95 $0 $2,500 500 500 Misc Tools & Safety Gear 1 lump $1,500 $1,500 0 0 $95 $0 $1,500 1446 1446 Consumables, Gases, Etc.1 lump $2,000 $2,000 0 0 $95 $0 $2,000 1500 1500 Wood splitter 1 ea $2,700 $2,700 0 0 $95 $0 $2,700 657 657 OVERHEAD ROW Legal Work 0 lump $0 $0 0 Rent Heavy Equip 1 lump $1,500 $1,500 0 Misc Tool Rent 1 lump $1,250 $1,250 0 Commission System & Training 20 hr 1 20 $90 $1,800 $1,800 0 Superintendent Overhd Off-Site 40 hr 1 40 $90 $3,600 $3,600 0 Superintendent Overhd On-Site 80 hr 1 80 $90 $7,200 $7,200 0 Crew Travel Time 10 hr 1 10 $90 $900 $900 0 Crew Airfares 2 trips $540 $1,080 $1,080 0 Crew Per Diem 240 mn.dy.$60 $14,400 $14,400 0 Housing Rent 2 mo.$1,500 $3,000 $3,000 0 FREIGHT 29,453 Ground Freight 6,600 lb.$0.41 $2,733 Air Freight 29,453 lb.$1.40 $41,126 Air Freight Tool Mob & Demob 2 lump $2,500 $5,000 Misc Small Freight & Gold Streaks 1 lump $3,000 $3,000 CONSTRUCTION SUB-TOTAL $126,714 763 $73,340 $26,230 $51,859 $278,143 Engineering (Design & CCA)10 %$22,628 Construction Management 5 %$11,314 PROJECT SUB-TOTAL $126,714 $73,340 $60,173 $51,859 $312,086 Contingency 20 %$62,417 Admin Fee 4 %$12,483 CONSTRUCTION TOTAL $386,986 Page 10 of 12 Financial Analysis Financial Summary The project is considered marginally feasible at this time.  Benefit/ Cost: 0.60  Simple Payback Period: n/a  Net present value: ($146,029) Benefit / Cost Model The following model was designed by University of Alaska Anchorage Institute of Social and Economic Research, for use by the Alaska Energy Authority. The model has been adapted for the project and completed according to the aforementioned assumptions. AEA B/C Model (adapted) Project Description Community Nearest Fuel Community Region RE Technology Project ID Applicant Name Project Title Category Results NPV Benefits $218,743 NPV Capital Costs $364,772 B/C Ratio 0.60 NPV Net Benefit ($146,029) Performance Unit Value Displaced Petroleum Fuel gallons per year 9,244 Displaced Petroleum Fuel total lifetime gallons 184,875 Avoided CO2 tonnes per year 94 Avoided CO2 total lifetime tonnes 1,876 Proposed System Unit Value Capital Costs $$386,986 Project Start year 2015 Project Life years 20 Displaced Heat gallons displaced per year 9,244 Heating Capacity Btu/hr 540,000 Heating Capacity Factor %85% Parameters Unit Value Heating Fuel Premium $ per gallon Discount Rate % per year 3% Crude Oil $ per barrel Biomass Allakaket Village Allakaket future school_biomass Allakaket Allakaket, Alatna Rural Page 11 of 12 Annual Savings (Costs)Units 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Project Capital Cost $ per year 386,986$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ Electric Savings (Costs)$ per year $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Heating Saving (Costs)$ per year 271$ 1,451$ $2,715 $4,069 $5,516 $271 $8,713 $10,475 $12,353 $14,355 $16,487 $18,756 $21,169 $23,735 $26,462 $29,358 $32,433 $35,696 $39,157 $42,828 Transportation Savings (Costs)$ per year $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Total Savings (Costs)$ per year $271 $1,451 $2,715 $4,069 $5,516 $271 $8,713 $10,475 $12,353 $14,355 $16,487 $18,756 $21,169 $23,735 $26,462 $29,358 $32,433 $35,696 $39,157 $42,828 Net Benefit $ per year ($386,715)$1,451 $2,715 $4,069 $5,516 $271 $8,713 $10,475 $12,353 $14,355 $16,487 $18,756 $21,169 $23,735 $26,462 $29,358 $32,433 $35,696 $39,157 $42,828 Heating Units 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Renewable Heat gal. disp./ yr.9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 9,244 Renewable Heat O&M (non-stoking)$ per yr.2,278$ 2,312$ 2,347$ 2,382$ 2,418$ 2,454$ 2,491$ 2,528$ 2,566$ 2,604$ 2,644$ 2,683$ 2,723$ 2,764$ 2,806$ 2,848$ 2,891$ 2,934$ 2,978$ 3,023$ Renewable Heat Stoking $ per yr.12,726$ 12,917$ 13,111$ 13,307$ 13,507$ 13,709$ 13,915$ 14,124$ 14,336$ 14,551$ 14,769$ 14,991$ 15,215$ 15,444$ 15,675$ 15,910$ 16,149$ 16,391$ 16,637$ 16,887$ Renewable Fuel Use Qty (Biomass)cords 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 93.3 Renewable Fuel Cost $ per unit 400$ 412$ 424$ 437$ 450$ 464$ 478$ 492$ 507$ 522$ 538$ 554$ 570$ 587$ 605$ 623$ 642$ 661$ 681$ 701$ Total Renewable Fuel Cost $ per yr.37,322$ 38,442$ 39,595$ 40,783$ 42,006$ 43,266$ 44,564$ 45,901$ 47,278$ 48,697$ 50,157$ 51,662$ 53,212$ 54,808$ 56,453$ 58,146$ 59,891$ 61,687$ 63,538$ 65,444$ Supplemental Fuel Qty (Oil)gal.1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 1631 Fuel Cost $ per gal.5.69$ 5.96$ 6.25$ 6.55$ 6.86$ 7.19$ 7.54$ 7.90$ 8.28$ 8.68$ 9.09$ 9.53$ 9.99$ 10.47$ 10.97$ 11.50$ 12.05$ 12.63$ 13.23$ 13.87$ Supplemental Fuel Cost $ per yr.9,282$ 9,726$ 10,193$ 10,682$ 11,195$ 11,732$ 12,295$ 12,885$ 13,504$ 14,152$ 14,831$ 15,543$ 16,289$ 17,071$ 17,891$ 18,749$ 19,649$ 20,592$ 21,581$ 22,617$ Proposed Heat Cost $ per yr.61,607$ 63,396$ 65,245$ 67,154$ 69,125$ 71,162$ 73,265$ 75,438$ 77,684$ 80,004$ 82,401$ 84,879$ 87,440$ 90,087$ 92,824$ 95,654$ 98,580$ 101,605$ 104,734$ 107,970$ Fuel Use gal. per yr.10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 10,875 Fuel Cost $ per gal. 5.69$ 5.96$ 6.25$ 6.55$ 6.86$ 7.19$ 7.54$ 7.90$ 8.28$ 8.68$ 9.09$ 9.53$ 9.99$ 10.47$ 10.97$ 11.50$ 12.05$ 12.63$ 13.23$ 13.87$ Fuel Cost $ per yr.61,879$ 64,847$ 67,960$ 71,222$ 74,641$ 78,224$ 81,978$ 85,913$ 90,037$ 94,359$ 98,888$ 103,635$ 108,609$ 113,823$ 119,286$ 125,012$ 131,012$ 137,301$ 143,891$ 150,798$ Base Heating Cost $ per yr.61,879$ 64,847$ 67,960$ 71,222$ 74,641$ 78,224$ 81,978$ 85,913$ 90,037$ 94,359$ 98,888$ 103,635$ 108,609$ 113,823$ 119,286$ 125,012$ 131,012$ 137,301$ 143,891$ 150,798$ Proposed Base Page 12 of 12 Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity analysis was also performed. All other variables remaining equal, the following fuel variable results in an economically feasible project. Sensitivity analysis was also performed for the price of cordwood. If the project owner can source fuel at $170 per cord, as the Tanana Chiefs Conference reconnaissance-level biomass resource assessment suggests, the project has the following economic results. Recommendations The biomass project for a future school is considered marginally feasible at this time. Sensitivity analysis indicates the project will be financially pre-feasible under current assumptions if the price of fuel oil price is $6.85 per gallon or more, or if a project owner can reliably source wood at $265 per cord or less. Sourcing wood at $265 per cord would result in about $25,000 of revenues per year for the supplier. When YKSD begins to actively design the future Allakaket School, it is recommended that they review this pre-feasibility study to consider whether assumptions have significantly changed which would impact the feasibility of the biomass project. Additionally, if YKSD anticipates reduced construction cost through shared overhead expenses, including the ability to charter much larger plane(s), an update is recommended. It is also recommended that YKSD discuss the possibility for the development and operation of a biomass heat sales project with a third-party, such as the Allakaket Village Council, the City of Allakaket, and the Alatna Village Council. The project may be an opportunity for these organizations to create revenues and community benefits consistent with their organizational missions. Appendix A—Biomass Technology B – Utility Information C—Aircraft Information Fuel Oil Price per Gal, Yr. 1 6.85$ Benefit / Cost 1.25 NPV Net Benefit $91,168 Variable Results Cordwood, $ / cord, Yr. 1 265$ Benefit / Cost 1.25 NPV Net Benefit $89,801 Variable Results A-1 A – Biomass Technology Although humans have used wood for heat for millennia, modern high-efficiency biomass boilers have only been in use for a few decades. Biomass boilers may use wood fuels such as cordwood, wood chips, or wood pellets, to heat commercial buildings. Biomass boiler projects depend on sustainable forest management, quality biomass fuel sourcing, processing, and storage, and reliable fuel handling. Biomass boilers frequently integrate with conventional hydronic heat systems, which use water to move heat from where it is produced to where it is needed. Small-scale biomass systems often incorporate a hot water storage tank, which promotes efficient combustion and improves the availability of biomass heat. To provide reliable heat, the biomass boiler, building heat distribution system, controls, and heat emitters must be properly matched. Sustainable Forest Management Wood fuel Processing & Storage Handling Combustion Thermal Storage Heat Distribution The Nature of Wood Fuels Composition All wood is made primarily of cellulose, hemi-cellulose, and lignin. It is about 50% Carbon, 44% Oxygen, and 6% Hydrogen. Theoretically, complete combustion (100% efficient) would result in only two products: carbon dioxide and water. In practice, biomass boilers range from about 77 -- 83% efficient. Wood that is not completely burned become carbon monoxide and hydrocarbons, often in the form of smoke and ash.1 Combustion Biomass fuel undergoes fascinating changes as it burns. Pyrolysis occurs at 500 – 600°F, in which organic gasses leave behind charcoal solids. Primary combustion is burning of charcoal solids.2 Secondary combustion is burning of organic gasses. Because about 60% of the heating value is contained in gasses, secondary combustion is essential to high efficiency wood burning. 1 Rick Curkeet, PE, Wood Combustion Basics, EPA Burnwise Workshop 2011, http://www.epa.gov/burnwise/workshop2011/WoodCombustion-Curkeet.pdf (June 19, 2014). 2 Curkeet, Rick. A-2 Emissions In wood burning, the primary emissions concern is particulate matter 2.5 microns or less in size (“PM 2.5”), which is hazardous to human health. Additionally, unburned wood signifies lost heat and potential creosote formation. Creosote formation results in higher fuel costs, shortens the life of the boiler, and increases other maintenance costs. Boiler manufacturers have certified emissions tests conducted according to the ASTM E2618-13 standard that document boiler efficiency. High efficiency wood boilers emit about 0.07 – 0.3 lbs of PM 10 per million BTU in test conditions. Boiler manufacturers specify operating conditions for the field. One important condition is wood fuel specifications, which include moisture content and fuel dimensions. Other important conditions for efficient operation include proper fuel storage, routine operations and maintenance, and system design (such as proper boiler sizing and incorporating a hot water storage tank). One valuable source of information for seasoning cordwood in Interior Alaska is available at the Cold Climate Housing Research Center’s (CCHRC) website.3 “Properly prepared and stored” cordwood can be dry enough to burn safely within six weeks during the summer. In regions other than the Interior, similar storage principles would apply, but recommended storage durations may be different. Below is a summary of how to properly prepare and store cordwood:  Cut to stove length (two feet or shorter)  Split the wood at least once  Stack in a pile with air space between the pieces  Store wood in a shed or cover only the top of the pile with a large piece of plywood or some waterproof tarp  Allow sun and air to reach the sides of the wood pile to help dry the wood  Season at least six weeks during the summer months  If beginning after August 1st, wait to burn until the next summer  When properly stored, more time is always better Figure 1: Excerpt from CCHRC's Cordwood Handling Brochure 3 http://www.cchrc.org/docs/best_practices/Cordwood_Handling_Brochure.pdf A-3 Wood Fueled Heating Systems Below are the characteristics of cordwood, wood chip, and wood pellet boiler systems. Advantages Disadvantages Cordwood  Local wood resource  Small size (less than 1 MMBTU)  Simple to operate  Higher labor costs, including hand- feeding the boiler, manual ash removal, and manual grate cleaning  Labor is needed intermittently, so someone must be available “on site”  Typically non-pressurized, which may require more frequent boiler chemical additions Pellets  Can operate unattended, and automatically match heat load  Scalable from small to large sizes (generally 100,000 btu – 1 MMBTU)  Relatively small footprint  Typically the most efficient biomass combustion  Pellet fuel is typically not locally produced, and therefore depends on “imports”  Shipping pellets is very costly; even a freight rate of $0.05 per lb. results in an additional cost of $100 per ton.  Relatively expensive wood fuel  Ash removal and grate cleaning may be automated or manual Chips  Can operate unattended, and automatically match heat load  Wood chips may be the lowest cost fuel  Local wood resource may be available or produced  Large projects achieve economies of scale  Creates jobs in the woods and at the boiler plant  Large systems are expensive  Typically large sizes > 1,000,000 MMBTU  Wood chip fuel can be diverse, which can make it difficult to meet fuel specifications. Screens and other devices can improve fuel quality. Appendix B – Utility Receipt B-1 Wynne, I have quite a bit of historical fuel data. Fuel is not typically the highest cost uƟlity however. Electricity is the highest cost. Allakaket school currently uses an  average  of 52 gallons per day (total campus) or 14,500 gallons per year. The cost is $5,69/gallon (air delivery only). Electricity runs approximately 10,398 Kwh  per month (total campus). The cost averages .92/kwh. Gale From: Wynne Auld [mailto:wynne@energyaction.info] Sent: Monday, February 10, 2014 12:21 PM To: Gale Bourne Cc: Russell Snyder Subject: Re: Allakaket School biomass   Hi Gale, Thank you for the informaƟon. You  can help me by helping me figure out the energy use of the future school. Have you built other schools recently in the area? How many gallons of fuel oil would you anƟcipate the future school using? My assessment will focus on a biomass system  serving this hypotheƟcal heat load, at  current market prices. 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