Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutGlennallen Forest Resource on State Forest Lands in the Copper River Basin Preliminary Estimate 03-01-2010 FOREST RESOURCES ON STATE FOREST LANDS IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN A PRELIMINARY ESTIMATE By Douglas Hanson, Inventory Forester State of Alaska, Department of Natural Resources Division of Forestry Northern Region 3700 Airport Way Fairbanks, Alaska 99709 March, 2010 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate i TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Executive Summary ................................................................................................................. 1 II. Objectives ................................................................................................................................ 3 III. Methods ................................................................................................................................... 3 A. Imagery Sources ................................................................................................................... 3 B. Vegetation Typing ............................................................................................................... 4 C. Field Inventory Design ........................................................................................................ 5 D. Geographic Information System Coverage .......................................................................... 5 E. Data Summary ..................................................................................................................... 5 F. Description of Strata ............................................................................................................ 9 1. Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber ................................................................................. 9 2. Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed ................................................................... 10 3. Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open ..................................................................... 10 4. Stratum 4 Black and White Spruce Reproduction Closed ............................................. 10 5. Stratum 5 Black and White Spruce Reproduction Open ................................................ 11 6. Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber Closed .............................................................................. 12 7. Stratum 7 White Spruce-Aspen Poletimber ................................................................... 12 8. Stratum 8 White Spruce-Balsam Poplar ......................................................................... 13 9. Non-Forest ...................................................................................................................... 13 IV. Results ................................................................................................................................... 15 A. Forest Volume Definitions ................................................................................................. 15 B. Inventory Volume by Species ............................................................................................ 16 C. Defect Estimates by Species .............................................................................................. 17 D. Inventory Volume by Strata ............................................................................................... 18 A. Inventory Volume of Sapling Size Trees ........................................................................... 20 B. Sampling Error by Volume ................................................................................................ 21 C. Log Grade .......................................................................................................................... 22 V. Forest Productivity ................................................................................................................ 23 A. Site Index ........................................................................................................................... 23 B. Timberland Area Age Class ............................................................................................... 23 C. Regeneration ...................................................................................................................... 25 D. Growth and Mortality Estimates ........................................................................................ 25 E. Sustained Yield Analysis ................................................................................................... 27 VI. Economic Availability of Sustainable Biomass Fuels ........................................................... 29 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate ii A. Current Delivered Costs ..................................................................................................... 29 B. Biomass Volume for Five Working Circles ....................................................................... 29 C. Annual Biomass Yield for Five Working Circles .............................................................. 30 VII. Literature Cited ...................................................................................................................... 39 LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Inventory volume and acreage summary. ........................................................................ 1 Table 2. Land cover key. ................................................................................................................ 6 Table 3. Acreage and number of sampled stands by strata. ............................................................ 6 Table 4. Sampled and un-sampled timber types by strata. ............................................................. 7 Table 5. Volume formulas by species for poletimber and sawtimber size classes. ...................... 15 Table 6. Inventory species and weight for poletimber and sawtimber. ........................................ 16 Table 7. Total net volume across all strata. .................................................................................. 16 Table 8. Volume summary by size class and species across strata. .............................................. 17 Table 9. Cubic foot defect estimates by species. .......................................................................... 18 Table 10. Volume by stratum and species. ................................................................................... 19 Table 11. Inventory sapling species and weight regression equations. ........................................ 20 Table 12. Volume summary by stratum and sapling species 2” - 4.9” dbh. ................................. 21 Table 13. Gross live cubic foot percent sampling error. ............................................................... 22 Table 14. Log grade for stratum 1 white spruce trees. .................................................................. 22 Table 15. Site index by stratum and species. ................................................................................ 23 Table 16. Percent of area by age class. ......................................................................................... 24 Table 17. Average age by strata. ................................................................................................... 25 Table 18. Number of trees per acre less than 5 inches dbh by stratum and species. .................... 26 Table 19. Growth and mortality estimates. ................................................................................... 27 Table 20. Sustained yield estimate, total timberland area. ........................................................... 28 Table 21. Delivered costs and mileage for firewood sources. ...................................................... 29 Table 22. Glennallen area working circle operable acreage and volume. .................................... 33 Table 23. Kenny Lake area working circle operable acreage and volume. .................................. 33 Table 24. Glennallen area working circle annual volume availability. ........................................ 35 Table 25. Kenny Lake area working circle annual volume availability. ...................................... 35 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Project area map. ............................................................................................................. 2 Figure 2. Stratum 2, white spruce poletimber closed, south of Tazlina lodge. ............................. 11 Figure 3. Stratum 3, white spruce poletimber open, north of Little Nelchina River. .................. 12 Figure 4. Stratum 4, black spruce-white spruce reproduction, west of Tolsona Creek. .............. 13 Figure 5. Stratum 7, white spruce-aspen poletimber, west of Tolsona Creek. ............................ 14 Figure 6. Non-forest dwarf shrub, north of Little Nelchina River. .............................................. 14 Figure 7. Percent of total net cubic foot volume by strata. ........................................................... 18 Figure 8. Sustained yield comparison between strata, total timberland area. ............................... 28 Figure 9. Ten mile circles and operable forestland around Glennallen. ....................................... 31 Figure 10. Ten mile circles and operable forestland around Kenny Lake. ................................... 32 Figure 11. Delivered price per cord by working circle radius. ..................................................... 34 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate iii Figure 12. Delivered price per green ton by working circle radius. ............................................. 34 Figure 13. Cumulative acreage and volume availability by radii to Glennallen. ......................... 36 Figure 14. Cumulative acreage and volume availability by radii to Kenny Lake. ....................... 36 Figure 15. Supply curve for fuelwood in cords to Glennallen. ..................................................... 37 Figure 16. Supply curve for fuelwood in green tons to Glennallen. ............................................. 37 Figure 17. Supply curve for fuelwood in cords to Kenny Lake. ................................................... 38 Figure 18. Supply curve for fuelwood in green tons to Kenny Lake. ........................................... 38 APPENDICES Appendix A Volume Per Acre and Total Volume by Stratum, Species and Size Class ............. A-1 Appendix B Stand Tables Per Acre by Stratum and Species ...................................................... B-1 Appendix C Log Grade by Stratum ............................................................................................ C-1 Appendix D Diameter/Height Relationships, Ten Year Growth, and Bark Thickness .............. D-1 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 1 I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The inventory of timber and biomass resources on state lands classified for forestry use in the Copper River Basin has been initiated in part by the need to support potential development of biomass energy systems in this rural area of Alaska. Through funding provided by the Alaska Energy Authority, State Division of Geologic and Geophysical Surveys, and State Division of Forestry, a timber and biomass inventory has been conducted using satellite and aerial photography, ground plots and other information sources. Automated eCognition object based image classification software together with Summit Evolution stereo viewing software was used to facilitate forest typing of individual stand polygons. The inventory provides detailed stand type maps and internet mapping and querying capability. It is the first widespread stand based inventory to be performed on state lands in the area and can be used by the Division of Forestry (DOF) for general forest and fire management planning. State lands that are included have been classified for forestry use through the Copper River Basin Area Plan. The volume data primarily has been generated from timber stand data collected in September, 2009. Inventory Area Land Classification Acres Timberland 219,550 Dwarf Forests 96,880 Non-Forest Total Inventory Area: 435,657 119,227 Timberland Area by Timber Type Size Class Sawtimber 6,756 Mixed Sawtimber/Poletimber 11,372 Poletimber 96,408 Reproduction Total Timberland Area: 219,550 105,014 Timberland Area by Timber Type Species Class White Spruce 6,756 Black Spruce/White Spruce 105,014 Aspen 11,738 White Spruce/Aspen 33,822 White Spruce/Balsam Poplar Total Timberland Area: 219,550 11,372 Total Net Volume Cubic Feet (> 5”dbh) Tons (> 5”dbh) Board Feet (> 9”dbh) 138,373,108 2,497,118 222,449,137 Table 1. Inventory volume and acreage summary. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 2 Figure 1. Project area map. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 3 II. OBJECTIVES The objective of this report is to provide reliable inventory data to assist in the management of forest resources in the Copper River Basin. Determination of an operable land base, sustainable harvest rate and harvest scheduling all require accurate volume data and geographically referenced spatial locations of individual stands. This data, both in spatial and tabular form can be used to assess the availability of timber and biomass resources and determine economic viability of proposed harvest development activities. The inventory provides the following items useful for development and planning: • Spatially accurate stand polygons overlaid on geographically rectified photo base. • Accurate acreage determination of forest cover. • Statistically valid sampling design that produces a variety of tree and stand attributes. • Field sampling of tree and stand productivity variables useful for determining sustainable harvest rates. • Internet GIS mapping access of spatial data with volume and acreage querying capabilities. • Biomass sustainability data to evaluate potential project development. • Biomass resource information to supplement statewide energy atlas data. III. METHODS Forest inventory information was collected through a stratified random sampling design. The project area was divided into subpopulations (timber types) in order to account for variation in species composition, density and size class. Each timber type was then treated as a random sample population. Timber types sampled included sawtimber, poletimber and reproduction types, dwarf timber stands (mostly black spruce less than 25 feet tall at maturity) were not sampled. Timber types to be sampled were selected randomly through the Geographic Information System (GIS). Access to stands was by foot and four-wheeler. A total of 48 stands were field sampled. Timber cruise measurements from two additional stands from a previous Tanana Chiefs Conference Native corporation inventory were also used for data compilation. The timber cruise measurements from the 50 stands provide estimates of volume, stocking, defect and growth by individual tree species. The 50 sample stands were deemed a minimum amount to determine a preliminary volume estimate. The number of sample stands was limited by project funding. Based on the calculated strata sample error values (table 13), it is estimated that 110 additional stands would need to be sampled to reach a desired sample error for individual strata of 5%. A. Imagery Sources Scanned high altitude aerial photography at a scale of 1:60,000 and Spot 5 meter resolution satellite imagery were used for the project. The date of the aerial photography was 1978 and the date of the Spot scenes was 2003. The scanned color infrared photos were orthorectified, georeferenced to the Spot scenes, and mosaiced into a series of east-west flight lines across the project area. PCI image processing software was used for this process. Digital stereo epipolar pairs were then created from the photos for the stereo interpretation process. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 4 B. Vegetation Typing The vegetation interpretation process as originally conceived was to use the automated object based image classification software eCognition to classify the Spot satellite scenes. Epipolar pairs were to be created from the overlapping satellite scenes using PCI allowing a forester to view the scenes in stereo and edit polygons created by eCognition in 3-D format. Polygon editing would correct errors in stand height where eCognition classification is less accurate. By correcting stand heights, the correlating size class calls of sawtimber, poletimber, reproduction or dwarf timber types would be more accurate. For this project, Spot Corporation donated six Spot 5 scenes to demonstrate this technology. A test of this new technology was conducted by DOF for the Tanana Valley in November of 2008 with good results. Unfortunately when eCognition was first run on the Glennallen Spot scenes the results were less than satisfactory. Individual polygon timber type delineation was not consistent across the scene and spruce and aspen stands were being combined with other vegetation types. Upon closer examination it was found that the scenes were acquired at a 5 meter pixel resolution versus 2.5 meter for the Tanana Valley scenes. This reduction in resolution negatively affected the ability of eCognition to consistently classify the major forest types of the Glennallen area. Due to funding and time limitations that precluded acquiring new scenes at the desired 2.5 meter resolution, 1978 scanned high altitude aerial photography at a scale of 1:60,000 was used for the automated eCognition classification process. The best results were achieved when eCognition was used to classify open and closed aspen, spruce and mixed stands and the non-forest vegetation types. Stand size class delineation was applied to the types by viewing the photos in stereo on a computer screen with Summit Evolution stereo viewing software. Spot images were used as the base image to correct changes that occurred over time between 1978 and 2003. Using the Spot images allowed for adjusting polygon boundaries to match changes in river locations, housing development and other land use changes. The Spot images also allowed more accurate delineation of the aspen timber types. The large outbreak of spruce bark beetles and resulting spruce mortality that occurred in the region in the early 90’s was not visible on the photos and was difficult to see on the Spot scenes. Ground sampling however reflected the mortality and the volume estimates include this dead material. At the time of field sampling, the bark beetle epidemic has mostly ended and there are few new trees that are infested. Sawtimber, poletimber and reproduction stands were classified as timberland and represent the areas of greater productivity. These stands are a component of a larger class of ground cover called forestland. Forestland is defined as land that is at least 10% covered by trees. The other component of Forestland; dwarf forests, generally comprise black spruce stands that are less than 25 feet tall at maturity. These stands were identified on the imagery, but were not field sampled. It was determined that these stands currently were non-commercial even for the use of biomass. Most of the trees were significantly less than 25 feet tall. Delineation of timber types was based on tree species, size class and stand density. The most prevalent species determined the timber type. In mixed timber types, the secondary species represented at least 30% density of the type in question. Besides utilizing the stereo images to assign size class calls to the eCognition classified vegetation, physical location of the stands in question contributed to the vegetation classification process. For example, numerous spruce stands adjacent to the Tazlina and Nelchina Rivers’ productive floodplain were classified sawtimber. Timber types along the Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 5 Copper River Basin itself that occurred on small rises were classified either sawtimber or poletimber because these growing sites were more productive. C. Field Inventory Design The variable plot radius sampling method was used for field data collection of poletimber and sawtimber size trees. The basal area factor utilized was 20 square feet. In each timber stand sampled, ten plots were spaced uniformly on a traverse located systematically through the stand. The traverse was located in such a manner as to attempt to sample the variation within a stand. To minimize travel time, plots were generally located with a maximum interval of 300 feet. Tally trees were selected or rejected with a relascope prism. On five of the ten plots, species, tree vigor, crown ratio, defect type and estimated defect percentage, were recorded and tree diameter, total tree height, bark thickness, and ten-year growth were measured (measure plots). Tree diameters were measured 4.5 feet above ground, commonly known as “diameter breast height” or dbh. Co-dominate and dominant trees were cored at dbh to determine average age and site index of the sample stand. On the other alternating five plots, only the number of trees by species and size class selected by the relascope were recorded (count plots). Count plots generally serve to lower the sample error by increasing the overall plot numbers, but economize time spent in the field collecting data. Only trees five inches dbh and greater were measured utilizing the variable plot sampling method. The fixed plot sampling method was used for field data collection of trees less than five inches dbh. At every other plot in the ten plot traverse (measure plots) seedling and sapling size trees were measured. Species and quality were recorded and tree diameter and total tree height were measured. The fixed plot was a circular 1/250th D. Geographic Information System Coverage acre plot (7.45 foot radius). Together with the tabular data, a GIS coverage was prepared for the inventory. A standardized vegetation key/mapping scheme was used for describing vegetation polygons (table 2). The acreage of individual polygons was calculated using ESRI ArcMap GIS software. Storage in the GIS will allow for queries of individual portions of the project area to be accomplished for planning purposes. Through the GIS, acreage and volume estimates as reported in this forest inventory can be recalculated to reflect a changing operable forest land base. E. Data Summary Upon completion of the field work, sampled stand data were entered into TCruise, a timber inventory software program. The inventory software calculated volume attributes for the individual sampled stands. These stands were then grouped into strata and re-processed in TCruise. The inventory contains eight separate sample strata for which estimates of gross and net volume per acre have been calculated (Appendix A). The strata contain field data from 50 individual timber stands containing 500 plots (table 3). Field data from some sampled stands were similar enough to each other to allow combining of different stand timber types into like strata. Acreage of un-sampled timber types deemed similar enough was also included in the strata. Characteristics of these timber types were observed during the field work phase of the inventory. Combinations of sampled and un-sampled timber types and the corresponding strata are shown in table 4. Total inventory volume was calculated by multiplying the average per acre volume figures for each stratum by the number of acres each sample stratum represents. These calculations were performed in a Microsoft Access database and utilize the GIS acreage figures. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 6 Output reports written in Access display numerous stand attributes from the associated database tables and queries. LAND COVER KEY FOREST SPECIES 1 Black Spruce 19 Birch-Aspen 2 White Spruce 31 White Spruce-Birch 3 Black Spruce-White Spruce 34 White Spruce-Aspen 16 Balsam Poplar 37 White Spruce-Birch-Aspen 17 Birch 38 White Spruce-Balsam Poplar 18 Aspen 39 White Spruce-Black Spruce- Birch-Aspen FOREST SIZE S Sawtimber > 9.0 inches DBH P Poletimber 5.0 inches to 8.9 inches DBH R Reproduction < 5.0 inches DBH D Dwarf < 25 feet at maturity FOREST DENSITY X 60-100% Calls are based Y 25-59% on crown closure Z 10-24% percent. NON-FOREST 63 Mixed Tall Shrub Closed 80 Lakes-Ponds 68 Mixed Tall Shrub Open 94 Bare Ground 70 Mixed Low Shrub Closed 97 Gravel pits, mines, quarries 71 Mixed Low Shrub Open 98 Roads 76 Dry Midgrass-Herb-Sedge 101 Timber Sales 79 Wet Sedge-Grass Table 2. Land cover key. Stratum Number Strata Description Acres Number Of Stands 1 White Spruce Sawtimber 6,756 11 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed 20,637 9 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open 30,210 10 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed 10,220 3 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open 94,794 3 6 Aspen Poletimber Closed 11,738 5 7 White Spruce-Aspen Poletimber 33,822 4 8 White Spruce-Balsam Poplar 11,372 5 Total 219,550 50 Table 3. Acreage and number of sampled stands by strata. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 7 Vegetation Type Acres Field Sampled? Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber 2SX 5,016 Yes 3SY 5 2SY 1,736 Yes Sum 6,756 Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed 1PX 13 2PX 17,954 Yes 3PX 2,670 Yes Sum 20,637 Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open 1PY 2 3PY 8,185 Yes 2PY 22,023 Yes Sum 30,210 Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed 2RX 2,852 1RX 354 3RX 7,014 Yes Sum 10,220 Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open 2RZ 1,473 101 46 2RY 10,810 Yes 1RY 44,950 1RZ 215 3RY 28,857 Yes 3RZ 3,375 2PZ 4,152 Yes 3PZ 916 Yes Sum 94,794 Table 4. Sampled and un-sampled timber types by strata. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 8 Vegetation Type Acres Field Sampled? Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber 19PX 1 18SX 7 18RX 3,615 18PY 5,020 Yes 18PX 3,092 Yes 17PY 3 Sum 11,738 Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber 18RZ 1,024 18PZ 119 18RY 9,948 Yes 34SY 5 39PX 141 Yes 31PX 2 39PY 400 Yes 39PZ 57 39RX 624 39RY 3,860 39RZ 267 34PX 1,185 Yes 37PX 5 34SX 54 34RZ 1,367 34RY 9,376 34RX 1,927 34PZ 263 34PY 3,127 31RX 30 31PY 34 37RY 6 Sum 33,822 Table 4 Continued. Sampled and un-sampled timber types by strata. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 9 Vegetation Type Acres Field Sampled? Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar 16PX 1,160 Yes 16RZ 30 16RY 1,958 16RX 2,155 16SX 198 Yes 16PY 760 38RZ 58 16PZ 10 16SY 19 16SZ 1 38SX 216 38RY 1,682 38RX 476 38PZ 221 38PY 1,629 38PX 649 38SY 149 Sum 11,372 Grand Total Timberland 219,550 Table 4 Continued. Sampled and un-sampled timber types by strata. F. Description of Strata The eight strata are described below. Pictures are shown for selected strata where available. 1. Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber This stratum is found in limited amounts across the project area. It occurs on the most productive sites (Viereck et al. 1992. The Alaska Vegetation Classification) and had the highest volume per acre within the project. The sites generally were well drained to moderately well drained with silt and silt loam soil types. Stands with the highest volumes per acre were found along the Tazlina and Nelchina Rivers. Stands found on upland sites generally were on high ground with a southerly aspect. Average age of the stratum was 143 years. Bark beetle mortality is severe in the stratum and most trees greater than 13 inches dbh have been killed. Fortunately many of the dead trees are standing and merchantability for fuelwood and biomass is still good. Stands on the more productive sites, i.e. river bottoms, had somewhat less mortality than on the upland sites. Stands located in the south edge of the project area in the vicinity of the Edgerton Highway had greater amounts of blow down, which probably reflects that the bark beetle epidemic began in this area and the trees have been dead for 3-4 years longer than in the Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 10 north portion of the project area. Increased wind speeds in this area may also be contributing to blow down. The stratum contains 4,879 board feet per acre, but 22% of the board foot volume was in dead trees. The stratum averages 29 tons per acre and has a net annual yield of 0.21 tons per acre per year (12.4 cubic feet per acre per year). 2. Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed This stratum is found across the project area on sites that are of poor to medium productivity. Permafrost is probably present on numerous sites. In some stands black spruce is mixed in, but with generally minor amounts compared to white spruce. Occasionally some aspen is also present. Average age of the stratum was 144 years, which is similar to the white spruce sawtimber stratum and indicates relatively low productivity. Although old, the stem count is fairly high and averaged 259 trees per acre. The stratum contains 1,243 cubic feet per acre, with 17% of this volume in dead trees. The stratum contains 21 tons per acre and has a net annual yield of 0.17 tons per acre per year (10 cubic feet per acre per year). 3. Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open This stratum is found across the project area on sites that are of poor productivity. On higher elevations of the project area such as near the Little Nelchina River, the stands appear to have a high percentage of black spruce trees. During field measurements however, these trees were indeed white spruce which reflects the species’ ability to out compete black spruce at higher elevations. Unfortunately however, these trees exhibit the slow growth characteristic of black spruce. The stem count is 169 trees per acre with 20% of the trees of sawtimber size. Many of the sawtimber sized trees have succumbed to the bark beetle infestation. Average age of the stratum was 184 years, the highest of all eight strata. These stands contain an average of 955 cubic feet per acre, with 21% of this volume in dead trees. The stratum contains 16 tons per acre. The combination of slow growth and beetle mortality resulted in the slowest growth rate of all the strata. Annual yield was .04 tons per acre per year (2.1 cubic feet per acre per year). 4. Stratum 4 Black and White Spruce Reproduction Closed This stratum is found across the project area on sites that are of poor productivity. Although these stands contain a majority of trees less than five inches dbh, they are not true reproduction stands, but stands of very slow growing trees. They are however more productive than the common black spruce dwarf stands that occur widespread across the project area. These stands have measurable cubic foot volume and contain useable biomass. Average age was 162 years and the stands that were sampled have put on very little growth in the past 50 years. It is likely that productivity can be improved by opening these sites and increasing soil warming. The stem count averaged 179 trees per acre, but a substantial number of trees less than five inches dbh were present that totaled 2,017 trees per acre. The majority of the trees greater than five inches dbh were white spruce and the majority of trees less than five inches dbh were black spruce. Within the reproduction size class, 450 trees per acre were between three and five inches dbh. The stratum contains 330 cubic feet per acre, and 6 tons per acre. The average net annual yield is 0.05 tons per acre per year (3.2 cubic feet per acre per year). Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 11 Figure 2. Stratum 2, white spruce poletimber closed, south of Tazlina lodge. 5. Stratum 5 Black and White Spruce Reproduction Open This is the largest stratum by acreage comprising over 43% of the total timberland acreage. This stratum is found across the project area on sites that are of poor productivity. Plots from similar stands on adjacent Native lands were used in addition to the single sampled stand to calculate volume. It is similar to stratum 4 where the productivity is greater than dwarf timber types. This stratum has been determined to have useable biomass. The stem count of trees five inches dbh and greater totals 41 trees per acre. The stem count of trees less than five inches dbh totals 1,000 trees per acre. Within this size class, 266 trees per acre are between three and five inches dbh. The stratum contains 98 cubic feet per acre, and 2 tons per acre. The average net annual yield is 0.03 tons per acre per year (1.8 cubic feet per acre per year). Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 12 Figure 3. Stratum 3, white spruce poletimber open, north of Little Nelchina River. 6. Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber Closed Stands comprising this stratum occur on the warmest of sites with a southerly aspect. The sites generally are well drained with silt and silt loam soil types. Average age of the stratum was 84 years and some stands have vigorous white spruce regeneration growing under the aspen. The stem count averages 334 trees per acre. The stratum contains 1,236 cubic feet per acre. It contains 25 tons per acre and has a net annual yield of 0.8 tons per acre per year (48.7 cubic feet per acre per year). This stratum has lower volume per acre than stratum 1, but has the highest annual yield of all the strata. 7. Stratum 7 White Spruce-Aspen Poletimber This stratum by occurs across the project area on variable sites. Average age of the stratum is 91. Stands in the stratum are quite variable. The aspen component varies in density with the older stands containing fewer stems. The stratum contains 1,020 cubic feet per acre. It contains 19 tons per acre and has a net annual yield of 0.5 tons per acre per year (27.2 cubic feet per acre per year). Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 13 Figure 4. Stratum 4, black spruce-white spruce reproduction, west of Tolsona Creek. 8. Stratum 8 White Spruce-Balsam Poplar This is the smallest stratum by acreage comprising less than 4% of total timberland acreage. It occurs along the active floodplains of the larger river systems within the project area. These drainages include the Tazlina, Nelchina, Little Nelchina and Tonsina Rivers and Bernard Creek. Average age of the stratum is 103. Stands in the stratum are quite variable. Some stands are mostly balsam poplar where others are a mix of white spruce and balsam poplar. The stem count averages 185 trees per acre. The stratum contains 956 cubic feet per acre. It contains about 19 tons per acre and has a net annual yield of 0.5 tons per acre per year (30 cubic feet per acre per year). 9. Non-Forest Figure 6 illustrates non-forest dwarf shrub with scattered black spruce dwarf trees. The picture is looking south near the Little Nelchina River. Shrub species include low bush cranberry, low bush blueberry, Labrador tea and dwarf birch. Vegetation pictured here also includes sedge tussock tundra. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 14 Figure 5. Stratum 7, white spruce-aspen poletimber, west of Tolsona Creek. Figure 6. Non-forest dwarf shrub, north of Little Nelchina River. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 15 IV. RESULTS A. Forest Volume Definitions Estimates of timber volume on forested lands have been calculated with three different measurements; cubic foot volume, board foot volume and green tons. The cubic foot measurement includes all timber greater than or equal to five inches dbh and is divided among the live and dead poletimber and sawtimber components of the forest. The board foot measurement is commonly used to determine the amount of lumber that can be sawn from a log. Because the measurement is based on actual boards that can be sawn from a log, it disregards all material wasted in the process such as slabs and sawdust. The board foot measurement only includes timber equal to or greater than 9 inches dbh. Volume calculations for both cubic and board foot measurements are based on volume equations produced for Interior Alaska; U.S. Forest Service research notes NOR-5, NOR-6 and PNW-59. Board foot volume is reported in Scribner Decimal C scale and is based on 16-foot log segments (short log scale). For spruce it is reported to a 6-inch top (PNW-59) and for hardwoods to an 8- inch top (NOR-5). Cubic volume is reported in Smalian’s rule and for spruce and hardwoods includes volume to a 4-inch top (NOR-6). Both live and dead volume is reported. Dead volume includes recently dead trees estimated to have died within the last 16 years. This time period coincides with the spruce bark beetle outbreak. Volume Formula Name Volume Unit Species Formula NOR-6 Cubic Foot 4- inch Top White and Black Spruce (-2.055)+0.2982*(dbh)+0.00181*(dbh)^2*ht NOR-6 Cubic 4-inch Top Birch (-2.5767)+0.9524*(dbh)-0.10446*(dbh)^2- 0.03303*(ht)+0.00282*(dbh)^2*(ht) NOR-6 Cubic 4-inch Top Aspen (-0.5553)-0.02216*dbh^2+0.00246*dbh^2*ht NOR-6 Cubic 4-inch Top Balsam Poplar (-3.2187)+0.8281*(dbh)-0.05908*(dbh)^2- 0.01985*(ht)+0.00199*(dbh)^2*(ht) PNW-59 Board Foot Scribner 6-inch Top White and Black Spruce 39.71+4.2659*dbh-0.55865*dbh^2- 1.1184*ht+0.016113*dbh^2*ht-437.92/dbh^2 NOR-5 Board Foot Scribner 8-inch Top Birch and Aspen (-27.263)+0.00995*dbh^2*ht NOR-5 Board Foot Scribner 8-inch Top Balsam Poplar (-46.7415)+0.00956*dbh^2*ht Table 5. Volume formulas by species for poletimber and sawtimber size classes. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 16 Computation of green tons was derived from weight ratios produced for Alaska wood species (Sturgeon 1979. Wood As A Fuel.). Wood As A Fuel lists the weight of green cord wood which can be converted into pounds per cubic foot. The inventory cubic foot values are converted to green tons using these ratios (table 6). A cord of wood is assumed to contain 90 cubic feet of solid wood. Species Pounds per Cubic Foot White Spruce 34 Black Spruce 34 Birch 50 Aspen 43 Balsam Poplar 43 Table 6. Inventory species and weight for poletimber and sawtimber. B. Inventory Volume by Species Inventory volume is reported below in table 7 by tree species across all timber types. When the entire volume by species is summed, a grand total of 1,383,731 net cunits (1 cunit=100 cubic feet=1 CCF) is present. If this total is divided by the timberland area of 219,550 acres, then overall there is 630 net cubic feet per acre. Similarly, overall there are 11.37 net tons per acre and 1,013 net board feet per acre. The values for cubic feet and tons are reported for trees equal to or greater than five inches dbh. Board foot values are reported for trees equal to or greater than nine inches dbh (MBF=1,000 board feet). Table 8 reports inventory volume by species and size class across all timber types. The sawtimber size class comprises 40% of the total net cubic volume or about 556,000 cunits. The poletimber size class comprises 60% of the total net cubic volume or about 827,000 cunits. Dead sawtimber trees mostly killed from bark beetles comprise 15% of the total sawtimber net cubic volume. Species Net CUFT Per Acre Total Net CUNITS Net Tons Per Acre Total Net Tons Net BDFT Per Acre Total Net MBF Aspen 106 233,416 2.29 501,844 35 7,736 Balsam Poplar 36 78,435 0.77 168,635 71 15,506 Birch 3 5,553 0.06 13,882 2 441 Black Spruce 39 85,175 0.66 144,797 1 225 White Spruce 447 981,153 7.60 1,667,960 904 198,542 Total 630 1,383,731 11.37 2,497,118 1,013 222,449 Table 7. Total net volume across all strata. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 17 Gross Cunits Net Cunits Gross Tons Net Tons Gross MBF Net MBF Saw Live Aspen 41,850 39,313 89,977 84,524 8,279 7,736 Balsam Poplar 59,600 54,190 128,140 116,509 17,343 15,506 Birch 3,485 2,788 8,712 6,969 551 441 Black Spruce 579 417 985 709 281 225 White Spruce 403,353 373,776 685,701 635,420 175,239 161,956 Total 508,867 470,485 913,515 844,131 201,694 185,863 Saw Dead White Spruce 105,775 85,886 179,818 146,006 45,558 36,586 Total 105,775 85,886 179,818 146,006 45,558 36,586 Pole Live Aspen 197,146 194,102 423,863 417,320 Balsam Poplar 25,884 24,245 55,651 52,127 Birch 3,456 2,765 8,641 6,913 Black Spruce 80,420 74,932 136,715 127,385 White Spruce 490,316 482,475 833,537 820,207 Total 797,223 778,519 1,458,407 1,423,952 Pole Dead Black Spruce 10,779 9,825 18,324 16,703 White Spruce 42,858 39,016 72,859 66,328 Total 53,637 48,841 91,183 83,031 Grand Total 1,465,502 1,383,731 2,642,923 2,497,118 247,252 222,449 Table 8. Volume summary by size class and species across strata. C. Defect Estimates by Species Defect renders portions of individual trees unusable or of very limited use as forest products due to insect damage, rot and physical damage such as broken stems, sweep and crook. The net volumes shown however do not take into account all defects because hidden defect has not been estimated. Visible defect is the difference between gross and net volume. Visible defect percentage by species is shown in Table 9. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 18 Species Gross Cubic Feet/Acre Net Cubic Feet/Acre Percent Defect Aspen 109 106 2.3 Balsam Poplar 39 36 8.2 Birch 3 3 20.0 Black Spruce 42 39 7.2 White Spruce 475 447 5.9 Totals 668 630 5.6 Table 9. Cubic foot defect estimates by species. D. Inventory Volume by Strata Timber inventory results by stratum and species are shown in figure 7 and table 10. Detailed results by stratum are contained in Appendices A and B. Figure 7. Percent of total net cubic foot volume by strata. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 19 Net CUFT Per Acre Total Net CUNITS Net Tons Per Ac. Total Net Tons Net BDFT Per Acre Total Net MBF Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber = 6,756 Acres Aspen 0 0 0 0 2 14 Balsam Poplar 10 687 0 1,476 21 140 Black Spruce 9 594 0 1,009 White Spruce 1,661 112,223 28 190,778 4,856 32,811 Totals 1,680 113,504 29 193,263 4,879 32,965 Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed = 20,637 Acres Balsam Poplar 29 5,996 1 12,892 116 2,401 Black Spruce 94 19,349 2 32,893 11 225 White Spruce 1,120 231,180 19 393,006 2,334 48,157 Totals 1,243 256,525 21 438,791 2,461 50,783 Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open = 30,210 Acres Black Spruce 51 15,382 1 26,149 White Spruce 904 273,011 15 464,118 2,197 66,364 Totals 955 288,393 16 490,267 2,197 66,364 Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed = 10,220 Acres Black Spruce 224 22,911 4 38,948 White Spruce 106 10,843 2 18,433 78 798 Totals 330 33,754 6 57,381 78 798 Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open = 94,794 Acres Black Spruce 12 11,306 0 19,220 White Spruce 86 81,259 1 138,140 119 11,298 Totals 98 92,565 2 157,360 119 11,298 Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber = 11,738 Acres Aspen 976 114,586 21 246,360 383 4,501 Balsam Poplar 0 9 0 20 White Spruce 260 30,521 4 51,885 463 5,431 Totals 1,236 145,116 25 298,265 846 9,932 Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber = 33,822 Acres Aspen 344 116,230 7 249,894 95 3,221 Birch 16 5,553 0 13,882 13 441 Black Spruce 46 15,633 1 26,577 White Spruce 614 207,694 10 353,079 899 30,413 Totals 1,020 345,110 19 643,432 1,007 34,075 Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar = 11,372 Acres Aspen 23 2,600 0 5,590 Balsam Poplar 631 71,743 14 154,247 1,140 12,965 White Spruce 303 34,423 5 58,519 288 3,270 Totals 957 108,766 19 218,356 1,428 16,235 Grand Total 1,383,731 2,497,118 222,449 Table 10. Volume by stratum and species. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 20 A. Inventory Volume of Sapling Size Trees Inventory volume results have been calculated for the sapling component to determine the tonnage of this material that may be available as a biomass resource. These values represent the total above ground portion of the tree including branches and needles and use equations published for Interior Alaska tree species. The regression equations (Yarie 2007. Aboveground Biomass Equations for the Trees of Interior Alaska.) relate the weight of individual tree components by species to physical measurements that are easy to obtain in the field. White spruce and black spruce equations (table 11) were applied to regeneration diameter and height data to get an estimate of available tons. These equations were compared to wood chip weight recovery data conducted in Tok by the Division of Forestry, Tok Area Office for similar species and size classes. The equations with the closest fit to the actual Tok cut out data were used. Due to inaccuracies in projecting weight of very small trees, the equations were only applied to trees with diameters between two and 4.9 inches dbh. Species Sapling Aboveground Weight in Pounds White Spruce, Birch, Aspen Balsam Poplar ((8628.215*(dbh*2.54))+525.26667*(dbh*2.54)2 Black Spruce +6320.94097*(Ht*0.3048))/453.59237) ((2454.230*(Ht*0.3048))/453.59237) Table 11. Inventory sapling species and weight regression equations. As can be expected, the highest tons per acre values are in the reproduction strata. Both strata 4 and 5 contain a significantly higher amount of tonnage in trees less than 5 inches dbh than in trees greater than 5 inches. Depending on accessibility, these stands could be a source of biomass material. If tonnage of sapling, poletimber and sawtimber tree sizes is combined stratum 4 contains 17 tons per acre and stratum 5 contains 7 tons per acre. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 21 Trees/Acre Tons/Acre Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber Black Spruce 18 0 White Spruce 95 1 Total Trees Per Acre 114 1 Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed Black Spruce 78 1 White Spruce 189 3 Total Trees Per Acre 267 4 Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open Balsam Poplar 5 0 Black Spruce 40 0 White Spruce 155 1 Total Trees Per Acre 200 1 Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed Black Spruce 617 10 White Spruce 50 1 Total Trees Per Acre 667 11 Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open Black Spruce 267 4 White Spruce 167 2 Total Trees Per Acre 433 6 Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber Aspen 130 3 White Spruce 50 1 Total Trees Per Acre 180 4 Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber Aspen 38 0 Black Spruce 75 2 White Spruce 138 2 Total Trees Per Acre 250 4 Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar Aspen 20 0 Balsam Poplar 100 1 White Spruce 180 2 Total Trees Per Acre 300 2 Table 12. Volume summary by stratum and sapling species 2” - 4.9” dbh. B. Sampling Error by Volume Sample error was calculated for the live gross cubic foot estimate by strata and size class (table 13). The sample error percent is given within one standard deviation of the mean. This means that there is a 68% chance (one standard deviation) that the volume of the individual live size class components are within plus or minus the error percentage indicated. Sample error is Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 22 relatively high for the reproduction strata 4 and 5. This is indicative of the variation of the sawtimber and poletimber component within mostly sapling sized dominated stands. Live Poletimber Live Sawtimber Combined Stratum Number of Plots Gross CF/Ac % Sampling Error Gross CF/Ac % Sampling Error Gross CF/Ac % Sampling Error 1 110 440 8.3 943 9.4 1,383 6.9 2 90 605 10.9 456 15.3 1,061 9.0 3 100 396 10.0 393 10.8 789 7.4 4 30 325 21.4 18 55.5 343 20.5 5 30 72 33.5 43 44.7 115 26.8 6 50 985 8.3 293 10.4 1,278 6.8 7 40 747 14.1 283 22.5 1,030 11.9 8 50 481 14.9 524 15.7 1,005 10.9 Total 500 515 4.2 476 5.6 991 3.5 Table 13. Gross live cubic foot percent sampling error. C. Log Grade Log grade estimates were made during field sampling. Log grade was only tallied for the live sawtimber sized trees (> 9 inches dbh). A grade was given for each of the first two 16-foot log segments. Log grades use Puget Sound grading rules, which contain specifications for various species. White spruce and black spruce were applied to the Puget Sound western white pine rules. Aspen and birch were applied to red alder rules and balsam poplar to the cottonwood rules. The summary for white spruce trees in stratum 1 is shown in table 14. Appendix C shows the Puget Sound grading rules and detailed results for each stratum. Log grade results were not computed by volume but do provide grade estimates in straight percentage terms of trees measured in the field. This gives a reference point for the grade distribution in each stratum. For the white spruce sawtimber component in stratum 1, over one half of the measurements coded each of the first two log segments as a number 4 log grade. First 16-Foot Log Grade Second 16-Foot Log Grade Percent of Measurements Cull Cull 3 % 2 3 2 % 3 3 2 % 3 4 11 % 3 Utility 1 % 4 Cull 1 % 4 4 56 % 4 Utility 16 % Utility Cull 1 % Utility Utility 7 % 100% Table 14. Log grade for stratum 1 white spruce trees. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 23 V. FOREST PRODUCTIVITY A. Site Index Tree height has been found as the most reliable indicator of site productivity. In essence, the taller the tree the more productive is the growing site. When height is combined with tree age, the measurements can be reported as a site index number. This number gives the height in feet of a particular stand at a reference base age. Site index of white spruce uses a base age of 100 years whereas site index of aspen uses a base age of 50 years. Site index reflects the combined effect of all environmental factors and is therefore a good index of stand productivity. Site index calculations for white spruce are based on site index equations produced for Interior Alaska: U.S. Forest Service research paper PNW-53. Site index calculations for aspen are based on site index equations produced for Interior Alaska; U.S. Forest Service research paper NOR-2. Balsam poplar measurements were also applied to the aspen NOR-2 values. Site Index (Feet) Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber White Spruce 56 Aspen --- Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed White Spruce 52 Aspen --- Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open White Spruce 42 Aspen --- Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed White Spruce 35 Aspen --- Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open White Spruce 29 Aspen --- Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber White Spruce 68 Aspen 41 Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber White Spruce 50 Aspen 45 Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar White Spruce --- Balsam Poplar 41 Table 15. Site index by stratum and species. B. Timberland Area Age Class Forest productivity can also be examined in terms of overall age class distribution. Typically as trees become older productivity declines. Hardwoods generally begin to decline after year 80 or 90 when rot becomes more frequent. White spruce is longer lived, but generally starts to decline Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 24 after year 180. At this age white spruce becomes more susceptible to rot and insect damage. Table 16 shows the age class distribution in acres and percent of the total acreage. Over two thirds of the timberland acreage is older than 120 years and 20% of the timberland acreage is older than 180 years. The advanced age of many of the white spruce stands may have contributed to the widespread beetle infestation throughout the project area. Stands between 50 and 80 years of age comprised 16% of the timberland area. Most of these stands were aspen dominated. The age class distribution indicates a lengthy fire return interval and the low site index numbers in table 15 correspond to stands growing in cold soils covered by moss. The primary disturbance factor for soils in the Copper River basin is the wild fire regime (Swanson 1996. Susceptibility of permafrost soils to deep thaw after forest fires in interior Alaska, U.S.A. and some ecologic implications.). Fire results in the clearing of vegetation, partial or entire removal of the organic mat, and thawing of permafrost. Changing these factors has profound effects on the characteristics of the soil profile and subsequently on the trees growing on top. A wet-cold-frozen soil, with permafrost insulated by a thick organic mat can become a dry-warm soil type after a fire. During field measurements, trees that had the greatest 10-year increment growth were almost always associated with warmer soils and thinner moss depth. Stand Age Class Average Age Acres Percent of Total 50 - 60 59 4,391 2% 60 - 70 68 8,782 4% 70 - 80 74 21,955 10% 80 - 90 81 4,391 2% 90 - 100 96 17,564 8% 100 - 110 103 4,391 2% 110 - 120 112 4,391 2% 120 - 130 127 21,955 10% 130 - 140 138 13,173 6% 140 - 150 146 39,519 18% 150 - 160 152 21,955 10% 160 - 170 161 13,173 6% 180 - 190 181 8,782 4% 190 - 200 196 17,564 8% 200 - 210 201 8,782 4% 210 - 220 213 8,782 4% Table 16. Percent of area by age class. Table 17 reports the average age by individual stratum. From the age data it is evident that strata 4 and 5 are not true reproduction stands, but are in fact timber growing on poor sites. These timber types have significant numbers of trees less than 5 inches in diameter and a limited number of poletimber trees. It is this poletimber component that makes these stands have a potential for providing firewood and biomass resources. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 25 Stratum Description Average Age 1 White Spruce Sawtimber 136 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed 137 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open 169 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed 150 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open 138 6 Aspen Poletimber 74 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber 84 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar 96 Table 17. Average age by strata. C. Regeneration Another measure of productivity is whether individual timber stands are being replaced by regeneration. Interior Alaska tree species are mostly even-aged and are replaced through natural regeneration following fire, flooding or insect outbreaks. In the absence of disturbance, stands are slowly replaced by understory regeneration. In many cases such as the dense black and white spruce stands, regeneration is poor because of thick moss cover and cold soils. There is a high tree count of small black spruce seedlings, but regeneration of quality crop trees is poor. These stands are slow to regenerate unless a stand replacing disturbance such as wildfire occurs. In other cases stands are actively being replaced even in the absence of disturbance. These stands typically are the aspen poletimber stands that contain a well stocked spruce understory. Table 18 gives numbers of trees per acre less than 5 inches by species and stratum. Trees are of desirable and acceptable quality as determined in field. Undesirable trees not expected to become future crop trees are not included in the table. D. Growth and Mortality Estimates Growth estimates have been determined through projections made with the timber cruise software TCruise. Periodic annual gross growth has been projected utilizing the past 10-year diameter growth increment and bark thickness measurements collected in the field across all measured diameter classes (5-inch dbh and greater). By collecting both the growth increment and bark thickness measurement, the software is able to discount changes in bark thickness that would affect the accurate determination of diameter growth. Growth was computed by a regression approach for both diameter and height. The desired growth projection interval used was 10 years (i.e. 2009-2019). The increased volume growth was then divided by 10 to calculate an annual growth rate. This volume figure was then divided by the growing stock base (live tree volume) to calculate a percentage growth rate. The trees were grown out initially by ten years instead of just one year because many of the 10-year diameter growth increments were so small that the software calculated an inconsistent growth rate for a one year projection. Diameter- height relationships, diameter growth and calculated bark thickness ratios (Husch et al. 2002. Forest Mensuration, Fourth Edition.) are shown in Appendix D. Mortality estimates have been determined by dividing the recently dead volume by 16 years to calculate annual mortality. The 16 year time period corresponds to the beginning of the bark beetle infestation in the project area. These trees were easily identified during field measurements as bark beetle killed trees. The mortality estimates were then subtracted from the gross growth figures to calculate net growth. The average net annual growth for the project area is 10 cubic feet per acre (table 19). Growth rates are slightly below Forest Service estimates of between 2 and 3% (Smith et al. 2007. Forest Resources of the United States, 2007) for unmanaged interior forests. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 26 Trees/Acre Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber Black Spruce 32 White Spruce 841 Total Trees Per Acre 873 Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed Black Spruce 228 White Spruce 556 Total Trees Per Acre 783 Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open Balsam Poplar 25 Black Spruce 280 White Spruce 410 Total Trees Per Acre 715 Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed Black Spruce 567 White Spruce 33 Total Trees Per Acre 600 Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open Black Spruce 300 White Spruce 467 Total Trees Per Acre 767 Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber Aspen 250 Balsam Poplar 10 White Spruce 570 Total Trees Per Acre 830 Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber Aspen 38 Black Spruce 363 White Spruce 325 Total Trees Per Acre 725 Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar Aspen 50 Balsam Poplar 240 Birch 60 White Spruce 760 Total Trees Per Acre 1,110 Table 18. Number of trees per acre less than 5 inches dbh by stratum and species. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 27 % Annual Growth % Annual Mortality % Annual Net Growth CF Per Acre Per Year Growth Total Annual Net Growth Cunits Tons Per Acre Per Year Growth Annual Net Growth Tons Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber 2.57% 1.64% 0.93% 12 836 0.20 1,424 Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed 2.23% 1.26% 0.97% 10 2,065 0.17 3,537 Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open 1.91% 1.63% 0.28% 2 640 0.03 1,088 Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed 0.98% 0.00% 0.98% 3 331 0.05 562 Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open 1.79% 0.00% 1.79% 2 1,657 0.02 2,817 Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber 3.94% 0.00% 3.94% 49 5,718 1.02 11,752 Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber 2.85% 0.13% 2.72% 27 9,198 0.52 17,181 Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar 3.21% 0.04% 3.17% 30 3,428 0.6 6,887 Total Live Volume 2.66% 0.85% 1.81% 10 22,607 0.19 41,052 Table 19. Growth and mortality estimates. E. Sustained Yield Analysis Estimates of sustained yield have been made to guide future management decisions. The estimates in this analysis only include the timberland acreage and volume. Dwarf forests are not included. The sustained yield has been calculated using area control, which divides the acreage of each stratum by the rotation age. White spruce and mixed white spruce types use a rotation age of 120 years, which includes 10 years for establishment. The aspen timber type uses a rotation of 80 years, which includes 10 years for establishment. There has been no acreage reductions made for operability concerns. Estimates of operable economic sustainable yield are shown in Section VI. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 28 Strata Description Acres Rota -tion Acres /Yr. Net CF/ Ac. Net CF/Yr. Net Tons /Ac. Net Tons/ Yr. Net BF/ Ac. Net BF/Yr. 1 Ws Saw 6,756 120 56 1,680 94,584 28 1,576 4,879 274,688 2 Ws Pole Closed 20,637 120 172 1,243 213,765 22 3,783 2,461 423,230 3 Ws Pole Open 30,210 120 252 955 240,421 16 4,028 2,197 553,095 4 Bs-Ws Repro Closed 10,220 120 85 330 28,105 6 511 78 6,643 5 Bs-Ws Repro Open 94,794 120 790 98 77,415 1 790 119 94,004 6 Aspen Pole 11,738 80 147 1,236 181,352 25 3,668 846 124,129 7 Ws-As Pole 33,822 120 282 1,020 287,487 18 5,073 1,007 283,823 8 Ws-Bp 11,372 120 95 957 90,692 19 1,801 1,428 135,327 Totals 219,550 1,878 1,213,821 21,231 1,894,939 Species Totals Aspen 242,340 5,054 83,084 Balsam Poplar 65,348 1,499 129,165 Birch 4,510 0 3,664 Black Spruce 71,033 1,218 1,892 White Spruce 830,590 13,460 1,677,134 Totals 1,213,821 21,231 1,894,939 Table 20. Sustained yield estimate, total timberland area. Figure 8. Sustained yield comparison between strata, total timberland area. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 29 VI. ECONOMIC AVAILABILITY OF SUSTAINABLE BIOMASS FUELS The economics of available biomass were examined in context to two communities in the project area; Glennallen and Kenny Lake. A proposed wood pellet project and a proposed school biomass heating project are under evaluation in the vicinity of these areas. The proposed wood pellet project is being considered by the Ahtna Native Corporation and likely would be situated near Glennallen. The school biomass heating project would be constructed to supply the Kenny Lake School with wood fired heat and would be constructed on the school grounds. For both these projects to be successful an accurate estimate of economic and sustainable biomass resources is needed. This is especially important in Alaska because there is little urban, logging residue or wood manufacturing wood waste available as a supplemental biomass resource. Energy plantations of fast growing woody crops are also not available. For the most part, the biomass supply for these projects will consist solely of harvested firewood and commercial grade timber. When biomass is used in this form it is referred to as “fuelwood”. This is the most expensive of biomass sources (Ashton et al. 2008. Woody Biomass Desk Guide and Toolkit). This supply scenario is quite different than the Lower 48 where biomass projects generally rely on a combination of urban wood waste, mill waste and logging residues. A. Current Delivered Costs Delivered firewood costs and distance to current supply sources were researched for both Glennallen and Kenny Lake. Currently the wood harvests are mostly from State of Alaska timber sales. Delivered prices and distances shown in Table 20 are from timber sales located at mile 166 of the Glenn Highway. Firewood is hauled and delivered from the harvest site in 8-foot lengths. The timber sale area is in the vicinity of Tolsona Creek which is located on some of the closest state forest lands to Glennallen. Delivery Location Delivered Price Per Cord Cord Configuration Haul Distance In Road Miles Working Circle Radius In Miles Glennallen $180 8 Foot Lengths 23 21 Kenny Lake $200 8 Foot Lengths 64 47 Table 21. Delivered costs and mileage for firewood sources. B. Biomass Volume for Five Working Circles Delivered firewood costs are highly correlated to haul distances. Generally to accurately ascertain the feasibility of a particular biomass project, harvest operation areas defined in working circles can be analyzed for volume quantity, geographic availability and cost of wood. Although the delivered cost and current working circle radius from the two communities to the mile 166 harvest site has been determined, calculating the economic availability of biomass fuels in an entire working circle is difficult because of lack of established infrastructure and barriers to adding new infrastructure. Major barriers to access include the Trans Alaska Pipeline and the numerous incised river systems. To provide a more realistic calculation of the economic availability of biomass, timberland area within the working circles has been reduced to show the Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 30 potential operable areas. Figures 8 and 9 illustrate five 10-mile working circles with operable timberland areas identified surrounding Glennallen and Kenny Lake. Operable areas were determined through field reconnaissance and discussions with Division of Forestry, Valdez/Copper River Area, forestry personnel. Operable acreage and volume by stratum for the five 10-mile working circles are shown in tables 21 and 22. Established delivered costs to Glennallen and Kenny Lake were interpolated to calculate delivered cost per cord by working circle radius mileage (figure 10). These values were converted to a green ton basis in figure 11 by applying the pounds per cubic foot spruce conversion factor (34 pounds/cubic foot). C. Annual Biomass Yield for Five Working Circles Volume availability on an annual basis was determined by multiplying the inventory net growth rates percentages by strata (table 19) by the operable working circle volume. The annual volume availability for both Glennallen and Kenny Lake are shown in tables 23 and 24 and figures 12 and 13. The delivered cost information was then applied to the operable available volume to develop supply curves in cunits and tons for Glennallen and Kenny Lake. For this analysis it is assumed that delivered cost per cord is equivalent to a cunit basis (i.e. $/cord=$/cunit). Utilizing the maximum radius of 50 miles if a facility was constructed in Glennallen there would potentially be available on an annual basis a sustainable volume of approximately 4,200 cords. Utilizing this same radius if a facility was constructed in Kenny Lake there would potentially be available on an annual basis a sustainable volume of approximately 2,800 cords. In both cases this volume could be available at a cost of about $204.00 per cord. It should be noted that delivered fuelwood costs are based on current retail rates for the two communities. If suppliers were contracted to deliver to a single location at a fixed price and volume guarantee, it is likely that the delivered cost would be lower than stated here. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 31 Figure 9. Ten mile circles and operable forestland around Glennallen. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 32 Figure 10. Ten mile circles and operable forestland around Kenny Lake. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 33 Table 22. Glennallen area working circle operable acreage and volume. Table 23. Kenny Lake area working circle operable acreage and volume. 0-10 Miles 10-20 Miles 20-30 Miles 30-40 Miles 40-50 Miles Totals Stratum Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons 1 204 2,709 4,481 162 2,148 3,553 28 369 610 425 5,656 9,355 423 5,630 9,313 1,241 16,512 27,313 2 316 3,263 5,692 1,707 17,619 30,731 1,343 13,855 24,166 644 6,648 11,595 192 1,982 3,458 4,202 43,369 75,643 3 110 833 1,321 891 6,747 10,696 2,196 16,621 26,348 2,546 19,273 30,552 481 3,639 5,769 6,224 47,114 74,685 4 359 1,184 1,795 3,294 10,872 16,472 1,180 3,895 5,902 306 1,009 1,528 68 224 339 5,207 17,184 26,036 5 77 75 77 11,909 11,671 11,909 8,032 7,871 8,032 4,124 4,042 4,124 1,693 1,659 1,693 25,835 25,318 25,835 6 26 317 667 41 508 1,068 721 8,908 18,738 822 10,157 21,366 52 640 1,346 1,661 20,529 43,184 7 56 565 1,073 429 4,287 8,145 2,913 29,132 55,350 1,333 13,327 25,322 774 7,739 14,704 5,505 55,050 104,594 8 106 1,008 2,014 479 4,557 9,104 232 2,209 4,414 1,012 9,626 19,231 48 458 915 1,878 17,858 35,678 1,254 9,955 17,119 18,912 58,408 91,678 16,645 82,861 143,561 11,212 69,737 123,074 3,731 21,971 37,537 51,753 242,933 412,968 0-10 Miles 10-20 Miles 20-30 Miles 30-40 Miles 40-50 Miles Totals Stratum Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons Acres Cunits Tons 1 25 331 547 97 1,295 2,143 204 2,709 4,481 59 787 1,301 129 1,712 2,831 514 6,833 11,303 2 0 0 0 284 2,928 5,107 169 1,745 3,044 510 5,261 9,177 2,044 21,094 36,792 3,007 31,028 54,119 3 69 523 829 1,280 9,688 15,358 92 696 1,103 124 939 1,488 1,818 13,762 21,816 3,383 25,608 40,594 4 0 0 0 154 508 769 60 199 301 406 1,341 2,031 3,881 12,808 19,406 4,502 14,855 22,508 5 104 102 104 1,283 1,257 1,283 76 75 76 286 280 286 16,479 16,150 16,479 18,228 17,864 18,228 6 215 2,654 5,584 543 6,707 14,109 146 1,807 3,802 37 457 962 384 4,751 9,994 1,325 16,377 34,451 7 307 3,066 5,826 932 9,321 17,710 77 767 1,458 119 1,195 2,270 1,423 14,225 27,028 2,857 28,575 54,292 8 67 636 1,271 602 5,723 11,433 381 3,625 7,242 116 1,106 2,210 424 4,028 8,048 1,590 15,118 30,205 786 7,312 14,160 5,174 37,428 67,913 1,205 11,622 21,506 1,658 11,366 19,726 26,582 88,530 142,395 35,405 156,258 265,699 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 34 Figure 11. Delivered price per cord by working circle radius. Figure 12. Delivered price per green ton by working circle radius. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 35 Table 24. Glennallen area working circle annual volume availability. Table 25. Kenny Lake area working circle annual volume availability. 0-10 Miles 10-20 Miles 20-30 Miles 30-40 Miles 40-50 Miles Totals Stratum Cunits Tons Cunits Tons Cunits Tons Cunits Tons Cunits Tons Cunits Tons 1 25 42 20 33 3 6 53 87 52 87 154 254 2 32 55 171 298 134 234 64 112 19 34 421 734 3 2 4 19 30 47 74 54 86 10 16 132 209 4 12 18 107 161 38 58 10 15 2 3 168 255 5 1 1 209 213 141 144 72 74 30 30 453 462 6 12 26 20 42 351 738 400 842 25 53 809 1,701 7 15 29 117 222 792 1,506 363 689 210 400 1,497 2,845 8 32 64 144 289 70 140 305 610 15 29 566 1,131 132 239 806 1,288 1,577 2,899 1,321 2,514 364 652 4,200 7,592 0-10 Miles 10-20 Miles 20-30 Miles 30-40 Miles 40-50 Miles Totals Stratum Cunits Tons Cunits Tons Cunits Tons Cunits Tons Cunits Tons Cunits Tons 1 3 5 12 20 25 42 7 12 16 26 64 105 2 0 0 28 50 17 30 51 89 205 357 301 525 3 1 2 27 43 2 3 3 4 39 61 72 114 4 0 0 5 8 2 3 13 20 126 190 146 221 5 2 2 23 23 1 1 5 5 289 295 320 326 6 105 220 264 556 71 150 18 38 187 394 645 1,357 7 83 158 254 482 21 40 32 62 387 735 777 1,477 8 20 40 181 362 115 230 35 70 128 255 479 958 215 428 794 1,543 254 498 165 300 1,375 2,314 2,803 5,082 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 36 Figure 13. Cumulative volume availability by radii to Glennallen. Figure 14. Cumulative volume availability by radii to Kenny Lake. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 37 Figure 15. Supply curve for fuelwood in cords to Glennallen. Figure 16. Supply curve for fuelwood in green tons to Glennallen. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 38 Figure 17. Supply curve for fuelwood in cords to Kenny Lake. Figure 18. Supply curve for fuelwood in green tons to Kenny Lake. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate 39 VII. LITERATURE CITED Ashton, S., L. McDonell, and K. Barnes. 2008. Woody biomass desk guide and toolkit. National Association of Conservation Districts. U.S. Department of Interior and the USDA Forest Service. 118p. Husch, B., T.W. Beers, J.A. Kershaw. 2002. Forest Mensuration, Fourth Edition. John Wiley and Sons. Smith, B., P.D. Miles, C.H. Perry, S.A. Pugh. 2007. Forest Resources of the United States, 2007. USDA Forest Service. Sturgeon, J. 1979. Wood as a fuel. Series No. R10-40. USDA Forest Service Alaska Region. Swanson, D.K. 1996. Susceptibility of permafrost soils to deep thaw after forest fires in interior Alaska, U.S.A. and some ecologic implications. Arctic, Antarctic and Alpine Research. 28(2): 217-227. Viereck, L.A., C.T. Dyrness, A.R. Batten, K.J. Wenzlick. 1992. The Alaska vegetation classification. General Technical Report PNW-GTR-286. Pacific Northwest Forest and Range Experiment Station. Yarie, J., E. Kane, M. Mack. 2007. Aboveground biomass equations for the trees of interior Alaska. University of Alaska Fairbanks. AFES Bulletin 115. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate A-1 Appendix A Volume Per Acre and Total Volume by Stratum, Species and Size Class Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate A-2 Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber Acreage = 6,756 Trees/ BA/ Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net Total Total Total Total Total Total Ac Ac CF/ CF/ Tons/ Tons/ BF/ BF/ Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net Ac Ac Ac Ac Ac Ac CF CF Tons Tons BF BF Aspen Saw Live 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 27,406 13,703 Species Totals 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 0 0 0 27,406 13,703 Balsam Poplar Saw Live 1 1 13 10 0 0 25 21 88,120 68,660 1,895 1,476 169,489 139,703 Species Totals 1 1 13 10 0 0 25 21 88,120 68,660 1,895 1,476 169,489 139,703 Black Spruce Pole Live 6 1 9 9 0 0 62,258 59,358 1,058 1,009 Species Totals 6 1 9 9 0 0 62,258 59,358 1,058 1,009 White Spruce Saw Dead 19 14 315 253 5 4 1,376 1,084 2,126,561 1,710,649 36,152 29,081 9,296,153 7,324,679 Pole Live 97 26 431 420 7 7 2,912,468 2,837,792 49,512 48,242 Pole Dead 28 8 124 97 2 2 835,589 652,897 14,205 11,099 Saw Live 66 42 929 891 16 15 3,935 3,772 6,279,970 6,020,914 106,759 102,356 26,585,020 25,486,309 Species Totals 210 91 1,799 1,661 31 28 5,311 4,856 12,154,588 11,222,252 206,628 190,778 35,881,173 32,810,988 Strata Totals 218 93 1,821 1,680 31 29 5,340 4,879 12,304,965 11,350,270 209,581 193,264 36,078,068 32,964,395 Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed Acreage = 20,637 Balsam Poplar Pole Live 0 0 4 1 0 0 73,218 18,304 1,574 394 Saw Live 2 2 31 28 1 1 129 116 645,907 581,316 13,887 12,498 2,667,625 2,400,863 Species Totals 2 2 35 29 1 1 129 116 719,124 599,620 15,461 12,892 2,667,625 2,400,863 Black Spruce Saw Live 0 0 3 2 0 0 14 11 57,917 41,722 985 709 281,153 224,922 Pole Dead 6 1 15 14 0 0 306,975 288,667 5,219 4,907 Pole Live 39 8 81 78 1 1 1,674,196 1,604,515 28,461 27,277 Species Totals 45 9 99 94 2 2 14 11 2,039,088 1,934,904 34,664 32,893 281,153 224,922 White Spruce Pole Live 153 37 514 509 9 9 10,613,252 10,508,418 180,425 178,643 Saw Dead 12 8 157 149 3 3 631 604 3,239,586 3,067,961 55,073 52,155 13,021,917 12,473,360 Saw Live 33 19 422 414 7 7 1,766 1,729 8,707,599 8,533,795 148,029 145,075 36,453,452 35,683,715 Pole Dead 14 4 50 49 1 1 1,035,865 1,007,843 17,610 17,133 Species Totals 212 68 1,143 1,120 19 19 2,397 2,334 23,596,301 23,118,018 401,137 393,006 49,475,369 48,157,075 Strata Totals 259 79 1,277 1,243 22 21 2,540 2,461 26,354,514 25,652,542 451,263 438,792 52,424,147 50,782,860 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate A-3 Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open Acreage = 30,210 Trees/ BA/ Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net Total Total Total Total Total Total Ac Ac CF/ CF/ Tons/ Tons/ BF/ BF/ Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net Ac Ac Ac Ac Ac Ac CF CF Tons Tons BF BF Black Spruce Pole Live 19 4 55 51 1 1 1,666,630 1,538,205 28,333 26,149 Species Totals 19 4 55 51 1 1 1,666,630 1,538,205 28,333 26,149 White Spruce Saw Live 23 18 393 376 7 6 1,725 1,650 11,871,722 11,344,273 201,819 192,853 52,112,939 49,852,971 Saw Dead 8 8 170 124 3 2 758 547 5,131,434 3,745,998 87,234 63,682 22,893,674 16,510,874 Pole Live 97 26 341 330 6 6 10,308,739 9,969,919 175,249 169,489 Pole Dead 13 5 80 74 1 1 2,414,382 2,240,895 41,044 38,095 Species Totals 142 57 984 904 17 15 2,483 2,197 29,726,277 27,301,086 505,347 464,118 75,006,612 66,363,845 Strata Totals 162 61 1,039 955 18 16 2,483 2,197 31,392,907 28,839,291 533,679 490,268 75,006,612 66,363,845 Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction ClosedAcreage = 10,220 Black Spruce Pole Live 158 27 233 224 4 4 2,377,726 2,291,060 40,421 38,948 Species Totals 158 27 233 224 4 4 2,377,726 2,291,060 40,421 38,948 White Spruce Pole Live 34 8 92 88 2 1 939,167 900,278 15,966 15,305 Saw Live 0 1 18 18 0 0 78 78 184,010 184,010 3,128 3,128 798,249 798,249 Species Totals 34 9 110 106 2 2 78 78 1,123,177 1,084,288 19,094 18,433 798,249 798,249 Strata Totals 192 36 343 330 6 6 78 78 3,500,902 3,375,348 59,515 57,381 798,249 798,249 Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open Acreage = 94,794 Black Spruce Pole Live 14 2 12 12 0 0 1,130,595 1,130,595 19,220 19,220 Species Totals 14 2 12 12 0 0 1,130,595 1,130,595 19,220 19,220 White Spruce Pole Live 23 5 60 60 1 1 5,676,144 5,676,144 96,494 96,494 Saw Live 5 3 43 26 1 0 199 119 4,082,890 2,449,734 69,409 41,645 18,830,040 11,298,024 Species Totals 28 8 103 86 2 1 199 119 9,759,034 8,125,878 165,904 138,140 18,830,040 11,298,024 Strata Totals 41 10 115 98 2 2 199 119 10,889,629 9,256,473 185,124 157,360 18,830,040 11,298,024 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate A-4 Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber Acreage = 11,738 Trees/ BA/ Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net Total Total Total Total Total Total Ac Ac CF/ CF/ Tons/ Tons/ BF/ BF/ Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net Ac Ac Ac Ac Ac Ac CF CF Tons Tons BF BF Aspen Saw Live 27 13 188 180 4 4 395 383 2,204,397 2,115,318 47,395 45,479 4,632,947 4,500,628 Pole Live 258 56 818 796 18 17 9,597,461 9,343,289 206,345 200,881 Species Totals 285 69 1,005 976 22 21 395 383 11,801,858 11,458,607 253,740 246,360 4,632,947 4,500,628 Balsam Poplar Pole Live 3 1 8 0 0 0 93,705 937 2,015 20 Species Totals 3 1 8 0 0 0 93,705 937 2,015 20 White Spruce Saw Live 10 6 105 105 2 2 463 463 1,234,291 1,234,291 20,983 20,983 5,431,381 5,431,381 Pole Live 36 11 159 155 3 3 1,871,499 1,817,778 31,815 30,902 Species Totals 46 17 265 260 4 4 463 463 3,105,790 3,052,069 52,798 51,885 5,431,381 5,431,381 Strata Totals 334 87 1,278 1,236 26 25 857 846 15,001,353 14,511,613 308,553 298,265 10,064,328 9,932,009 Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber Acreage = 33,822 Aspen Pole Live 55 16 291 290 6 6 9,828,210 9,806,933 211,307 210,849 Saw Live 9 4 59 54 1 1 107 95 1,980,575 1,816,029 42,582 39,045 3,618,148 3,221,334 Species Totals 64 20 349 344 8 7 107 95 11,808,784 11,622,962 253,889 249,894 3,618,148 3,221,334 Birch Pole Live 3 1 10 8 0 0 345,641 276,513 8,641 6,913 Saw Live 1 1 10 8 0 0 16 13 348,475 278,780 8,712 6,969 551,137 440,910 Species Totals 4 2 21 16 1 0 16 13 694,116 555,293 17,353 13,882 551,137 440,910 Black Spruce Pole Live 18 3 33 26 1 0 1,130,633 869,490 19,221 14,781 Pole Dead 7 2 23 21 0 0 770,936 693,842 13,106 11,795 Species Totals 25 5 56 46 1 1 1,901,569 1,563,332 32,327 26,577 White Spruce Saw Live 23 13 214 205 4 3 942 899 7,245,420 6,924,067 123,172 117,709 31,852,141 30,412,704 Pole Live 119 29 412 409 7 7 13,945,757 13,845,312 237,078 235,370 Species Totals 142 42 627 614 11 10 942 899 21,191,177 20,769,379 360,250 353,079 31,852,141 30,412,704 Strata Totals 235 68 1,052 1,020 20 19 1,065 1,007 35,595,646 34,510,967 663,818 643,432 36,021,425 34,074,948 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate A-5 Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar Acreage = 11,372 Trees/ BA/ Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net Total Total Total Total Total Total Ac Ac CF/ CF/ Tons/ Tons/ BF/ BF/ Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net Ac Ac Ac Ac Ac Ac CF CF Tons Tons BF BF Aspen Pole Live 13 3 25 23 1 0 288,886 259,998 6,211 5,590 Species Totals 13 3 25 23 1 0 288,886 259,998 6,211 5,590 Balsam Poplar Saw Live 39 29 460 419 10 9 1,276 1,140 5,225,964 4,769,035 112,358 102,534 14,506,346 12,964,955 Pole Live 44 13 213 212 5 5 2,421,503 2,405,248 52,062 51,713 Species Totals 83 42 672 631 14 14 1,276 1,140 7,647,466 7,174,283 164,421 154,247 14,506,346 12,964,955 White Spruce Saw Live 3 3 64 60 1 1 279 263 729,444 686,556 12,401 11,671 3,176,093 2,992,709 Saw Dead 0 0 7 6 0 0 30 24 79,945 63,956 1,359 1,087 346,429 277,143 Pole Live 87 19 243 237 4 4 2,764,577 2,691,810 46,998 45,761 Species Totals 90 23 314 303 5 5 310 288 3,573,966 3,442,323 60,757 58,519 3,522,522 3,269,852 Strata Totals 185 68 1,012 956 20 19 1,585 1,428 11,510,319 10,876,603 231,389 218,357 18,028,869 16,234,807 146,550,235 Gross Cubic Feet 138,373,108 Net Cubic Feet Grand Totals = 219,550 Acres 247,251,739 Gross Board Feet 222,449,137 Net Board Feet Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate B-1 Appendix B Stand Tables Per Acre by Stratum and Species Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate B-2 DBH # of Trees BA Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net CF CF Tons Tons BF BF Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber Acreage = 6,756 Aspen 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 Totals 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 Balsam Poplar 10 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 2 11 1 1 6 4 0 0 6 4 13 0 0 4 3 0 0 16 14 Totals 1 1 13 10 0 0 25 21 Black Spruce 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 6 5 1 8 8 0 0 Totals 6 1 9 9 0 0 White Spruce 5 16 2 22 22 0 0 6 29 6 73 71 1 1 7 40 11 177 166 3 3 8 28 10 181 167 3 3 9 34 16 321 301 5 5 841 801 10 30 16 350 325 6 6 1,441 1,337 11 13 9 197 181 3 3 843 769 12 10 8 186 176 3 3 819 781 13 5 5 125 97 2 2 572 440 14 2 3 80 79 1 1 378 376 15 2 3 48 43 1 1 223 194 16 2 2 38 32 1 1 194 157 Totals 210 91 1,799 1,661 31 28 5,311 4,856 Totals for stratum White Spruce Sawtimber 218 93 1,821 1,680 31 29 5,340 4,879 Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed Acreage = 20,637 Balsam Poplar 13 1 1 14 10 0 0 40 36 15 0 1 10 9 0 0 43 39 16 0 1 10 9 0 0 46 41 Totals 2 2 35 29 1 1 129 116 Black Spruce 5 21 3 24 24 0 0 6 16 3 34 33 1 1 7 5 1 19 18 0 0 8 3 1 18 17 0 0 10 0 0 3 2 0 0 14 11 Totals 45 9 99 94 2 2 14 11 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate B-3 DBH # of Trees BA Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net CF CF Tons Tons BF BF White Spruce 5 33 4 35 35 1 1 6 62 13 158 156 3 3 7 40 11 173 171 3 3 8 19 7 104 102 2 2 9 23 11 196 193 3 3 287 381 10 16 9 188 185 3 3 494 758 11 8 4 84 79 1 1 270 325 12 5 4 102 102 2 2 445 445 13 3 2 54 54 1 1 240 237 15 2 1 33 32 1 1 151 147 17 0 0 9 8 0 0 49 40 19 0 0 6 3 0 0 Totals 212 68 1,143 1,120 19 19 1,935 2,334 Totals for stratum White Spruce Poletimber Closed 259 79 1,277 1,243 22 21 2,078 2,461 Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open Acreage = 30,210 Black Spruce 5 8 1 9 8 0 0 6 4 1 12 11 0 0 7 6 2 21 20 0 0 8 2 1 14 12 0 0 Totals 19 4 55 51 1 1 White Spruce 5 22 4 28 27 0 0 6 24 5 54 52 1 1 7 25 7 96 92 2 2 8 29 10 160 155 3 3 9 16 7 133 128 2 2 200 199 10 6 3 61 52 1 1 262 223 11 3 2 49 47 1 1 209 199 12 7 5 115 109 2 2 502 476 13 4 4 74 64 1 1 315 269 14 2 2 43 40 1 1 192 180 15 2 2 52 49 1 1 237 224 16 1 1 18 9 0 0 86 41 17 1 1 26 18 0 0 121 86 18 1 1 21 10 0 0 98 46 19 0 1 16 15 0 0 75 69 23 0 1 19 18 0 0 92 91 24 0 1 19 19 0 0 93 92 Totals 142 57 984 904 17 15 2,483 2,197 Totals for stratum White Spruce Poletimber Open 162 61 1,039 955 18 16 2,483 2,197 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate B-4 DBH # of Trees BA Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net CF CF Tons Tons BF BF Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction ClosedAcreage = 10,220 Black Spruce 5 108 16 105 101 2 2 6 33 6 64 61 1 1 7 12 3 41 40 1 1 8 5 2 23 22 0 0 Totals 158 27 233 224 4 4 White Spruce 6 21 4 40 38 1 1 7 13 4 48 46 1 1 8 0 0 4 4 0 0 10 0 1 18 18 0 0 78 78 Totals 34 9 110 106 2 2 78 78 Totals for stratum Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed 192 36 343 330 6 6 78 78 Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open Acreage = 94,794 Black Spruce 5 14 2 12 12 0 0 Totals 14 2 12 12 0 0 White Spruce 6 12 2 18 18 0 0 7 7 2 25 25 0 0 8 4 1 17 17 0 0 10 5 3 43 26 1 0 199 119 Totals 28 8 103 86 2 1 199 119 Totals for stratum Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open 41 10 115 98 2 2 199 119 Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber Acreage = 11,738 Aspen 5 91 13 162 160 3 3 6 83 16 211 206 5 4 7 51 14 228 221 5 5 8 27 10 176 167 4 4 9 17 7 116 110 2 2 95 88 10 12 4 47 45 1 1 74 72 11 5 3 58 58 1 1 188 186 12 0 0 8 8 0 0 38 37 Totals 285 69 1,005 976 22 21 395 383 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate B-5 DBH # of Trees BA Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net CF CF Tons Tons BF BF Balsam Poplar 8 3 1 8 0 0 0 Totals 3 1 8 0 0 0 White Spruce 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 1 14 14 0 0 7 5 1 26 25 0 0 8 14 5 73 71 1 1 9 9 4 60 58 1 1 53 53 10 2 1 17 17 0 0 74 74 11 5 2 24 24 0 0 107 107 13 2 2 31 31 1 1 137 137 15 1 1 20 20 0 0 92 92 Totals 46 17 265 260 4 4 463 463 Totals for stratum Aspen Poletimber 334 87 1,278 1,236 26 25 857 846 Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber Acreage = 33,822 Aspen 6 24 5 83 83 2 2 7 12 3 64 64 1 1 8 15 5 109 109 2 2 9 8 4 66 65 1 1 39 39 10 4 2 28 23 1 0 68 56 Totals 64 20 349 344 8 7 107 95 Birch 7 3 1 10 8 0 0 9 1 1 10 8 0 0 16 13 Totals 4 2 21 16 1 0 16 13 Black Spruce 5 7 1 4 4 0 0 6 3 1 4 4 0 0 7 15 4 48 39 1 1 Totals 25 5 56 46 1 1 White Spruce 5 12 2 17 17 0 0 6 59 12 143 141 2 2 7 34 9 139 138 2 2 8 11 4 75 75 1 1 9 10 5 83 75 1 1 277 239 10 5 2 40 40 1 1 178 178 11 5 3 48 48 1 1 209 209 12 6 4 60 60 1 1 179 179 13 1 1 22 21 0 0 99 94 Totals 142 42 627 614 11 10 942 899 Totals for stratum White Spruce Aspen Poletimber 235 68 1,052 1,020 20 19 1,065 1,007 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate B-6 DBH # of Trees BA Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net CF CF Tons Tons BF BF Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar Acreage = 11,372 Aspen 6 7 2 13 12 0 0 7 6 2 12 11 0 0 Totals 13 3 25 23 1 0 Balsam Poplar 6 17 3 29 29 1 1 7 4 1 24 23 1 0 8 15 5 85 84 2 2 9 19 9 139 136 3 3 21 20 10 15 8 138 134 3 3 185 183 11 7 5 98 92 2 2 244 235 12 2 2 41 34 1 1 157 146 13 2 3 55 52 1 1 220 212 14 2 4 48 32 1 1 253 178 17 1 2 15 13 0 0 195 167 Totals 83 42 672 631 14 14 1,276 1,140 White Spruce 5 29 4 35 35 1 1 6 36 7 86 86 1 1 7 8 2 28 27 0 0 8 11 4 74 70 1 1 9 3 1 20 18 0 0 11 1 1 22 19 0 0 98 84 12 2 1 28 27 0 0 120 118 13 0 0 7 6 0 0 30 24 14 0 1 14 14 0 0 61 61 Totals 90 23 314 303 5 5 310 288 Totals for stratum White Spruce Balsam Poplar 185 68 1,012 956 20 19 1,585 1,428 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate C-1 Appendix C Log Grade by Stratum Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate C-2 Puget Sound Log Scaling and Grading Bureau Specifications Species Grade No. Gross Diameter Gross Length Minimum Volume Surface Annual Ring Count Slope of Grain White/Black Spruce 1 20 Inches 16 Feet 75% Clear 8 per Inch < 3 inches/foot 2 12 Inches 12 Feet 50% Clear, Knots < 2.5 inches in diameter 8 per Inch < 2 inches/foot 3 6 Inches 12 Feet 50 BF Net May include excessive slope with deduction 4 5 Inches 12 Feet 10 BF Net Aspen/Birch 1 16 Inches 8 Feet 75% Clear 2 12 Inches 8 Feet 50% Clear 3 10 Inches 8 Feet 10 BF Net Balsam Poplar 1 10 Inches 8 Feet < 4 Knots per log 2 6 Inches 8 Feet 4 5 Inches 8 Feet 10 BF Net All Species 5 4 Inches 12 Feet 10 BF Net Utility Logs Logs do not meet sawmill grades, but are suitable for the production of firm usable chips to an amount not less than 50% of gross scale. A log that is burned or charred or is not mechanically barkable, shall not qualify as a Utility Log. Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate C-3 Log Grade Report by Strata Grade 1st Log Grade 2nd Log # Of Trees Measured % Of Trees Measured Stratum 1 White Spruce Sawtimber Aspen 5 5 1 100% Total for Aspen 1 Balsam Poplar 5 5 3 100% Total for Balsam Poplar 3 White Spruce 4 3% 2 3 2 2% 3 3 2 2% 3 4 13 11% 3 5 1 1% 4 1 1% 4 4 67 57% 4 5 19 16% 5 1 1% 5 5 8 7% Total for White Spruce 118 Total for Stratum 1 122 Stratum 2 White Spruce Poletimber Closed Balsam Poplar 2 5 2 67% 5 5 1 33% Total for Balsam Poplar 3 Black Spruce 5 5 1 100% Total for Black Spruce 1 White Spruce 3 6% 2 4 1 2% 2 5 1 2% 3 3 1 2% 3 4 9 19% 4 4 24 51% 4 5 6 13% 5 5 2 4% Total for White Spruce 47 Total for Stratum 2 51 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate C-4 Grade 1st Log Grade 2nd Log # Of Trees Measured % Of Trees Measured Stratum 3 White Spruce Poletimber Open White Spruce 1 3% 2 3 2 5% 3 3 1 3% 3 4 4 10% 3 5 3 8% 4 1 3% 4 4 18 45% 4 5 7 18% 5 1 3% 5 5 2 5% Total for White Spruce 40 Total for Stratum 3 40 Stratum 4 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Closed White Spruce 3 4 1 50% 4 5 1 50% Total for White Spruce 2 Total for Stratum 4 2 Stratum 5 Black & White Spruce Reproduction Open White Spruce 5 1 50% 5 5 1 50% Total for White Spruce 2 Total for Stratum 5 2 Stratum 6 Aspen Poletimber Aspen 4 1 7% 4 4 10 67% 4 5 4 27% Total for Aspen 15 White Spruce 2 3 1 14% 3 4 1 14% 4 4 5 71% Total for White Spruce 7 Total for Stratum 6 22 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate C-5 Grade 1st Log Grade 2nd Log # Of Trees Measured % Of Trees Measured Stratum 7 White Spruce Aspen Poletimber Aspen 4 1 25% 4 5 2 50% 5 5 1 25% Total for Aspen 4 Birch 4 4 1 100% Total for Birch 1 White Spruce 4 1 9% 4 4 6 55% 4 5 3 27% 5 1 9% Total for White Spruce 11 Total for Stratum 7 16 Stratum 8 White Spruce Balsam Poplar Balsam Poplar 1 2 7 15% 1 4 1 2% 2 2 11 23% 2 3 5 11% 2 4 8 17% 2 5 5 11% 4 1 2% 4 4 1 2% 4 5 1 2% 5 5 7 15% Total for Balsam Poplar 47 White Spruce 3 4 2 33% 4 4 1 17% 5 5 3 50% Total for White Spruce 6 Total for Stratum 8 53 Grand Total Trees Measured 308 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate D-1 Appendix D Diameter/Height Relationships, Ten Year Growth, and Bark Thickness Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate D-2 "e" is a numerical constant that is equal to 2.71828 The corresponding Excel equation appears as follows: Height = A Coefficient*POWER (e, B Coefficient/dbh) Species A Coefficient B Coefficient C Coefficient White Spruce 89.28 -4.9598 1 Black Spruce 67.86 -4.0686 1 Aspen 56.78 -1.4744 1 Balsam Poplar 85.23 -4.7001 1 Forest Resources on State Forest Lands In The Copper River Basin A Preliminary Estimate D-3 Ten Year Radial Growth and Bark Thickness by Species Species Radial Growth (In.) Single Bark Thickness (In.) Aspen (47 detail records) Average= 0.36 0.35 Balsam Poplar (38 detail records) Average= 0.27 1.13 Birch (2 detail records) Average= 0.27 0.40 Black Spruce (35 detail records) Average= 0.08 0.39 White Spruce (303 detail records) Average= 0.28 0.41 Bark Thickness Ratio by Species DBH DIB* Bark Thickness Ratio Aspen (47 detail records) Sum= 366.20 333.20 0.910 Balsam Poplar (38 detail records) Sum= 450.70 365.00 0.810 Birch (2 detail records) Sum= 16.80 15.20 0.905 Black Spruce (35 detail records) Sum= 222.10 195.00 0.878 White Spruce (303 detail records) Sum= 2,878.90 2,632.10 0.914 Grand Total Sum= 3,934.70 3,540.50 0.900 Average All Species *DIB = Diameter Inside Bark