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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNative Village of Nikolai Biomass Energy Preliminary Fesability Assessment 04-09-2012-BIO0 Biomass Energy Native Village of Nikolai D a l s o n E n e r g y I n c . 3 0 8 G S t . S t e 3 0 3 A n c h o r a g e , A l a s k a 9 9 5 0 1 907-2 7 7 -7900 4 / 9 / 2 0 1 2 Preliminary Feasibility Assessment This preliminary feasibility assessment considers the potential for heating municipal buildings in Nikolai with wood. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 1 Table of Contents Project Summary ........................................................................................................................................ 2 City: City of Nikolai .................................................................................................................................... 3 Tribe: Nikolai Village, federally-recognized .............................................................................................. 3 Summary of Findings ................................................................................................................................ 0 Wood fuel supply in Nikolai .................................................................................................................... 1 Biomass Energy Operations and Maintenance ............................................................................................. 3 Biomass Harvest Plan ................................................................................................................................ 3 Operations Plan......................................................................................................................................... 4 Community Facilities Information .......................................................................................................... 5 City Buildings ......................................................................................................................................... 5 Community Building ......................................................................................................................... 5 City Lodge ........................................................................................................................................... 5 City Shop ............................................................................................................................................... 5 Kuskokwim School, Yukon-Koyukuk School District ...................................................................... 6 Nikolai Edzeno Village Council Office ............................................................................................... 6 Recommended technology and fuel requirements ............................................................................... 7 Economic feasibility ................................................................................................................................... 9 Initial investment ................................................................................................................................... 9 School ................................................................................................................................................... 9 Kuskokwim School .............................................................................................................................. 10 District ................................................................................................................................................. 11 Operating Assumptions ...................................................................................................................... 12 Operating Costs & Annual Savings ................................................................................................... 13 Financial metrics .................................................................................................................................. 15 Simple payback period .................................................................................................................... 15 Present Value .................................................................................................................................... 15 Net Present Value............................................................................................................................. 16 Internal Rate of Return .................................................................................................................... 16 Life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) for School ................................................................................... 16 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................ 18 Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 2 Supplement: Community Wood Heating Basics ......................................................................................... 20 Wood fuel as a heating option .................................................................................................................... 20 The nature of wood fuels ........................................................................................................................ 20 The basics of wood-fueled heating ........................................................................................................ 21 Available wood heating technology ...................................................................................................... 24 Cordwood Boilers ................................................................................................................................ 24 Bulk Fuel Boilers .................................................................................................................................. 24 District heat loops ................................................................................................................................ 25 Figure 1: Aerial view of Nikolai, Alaska ................................................................................................. 1 Figure 2: Map of Land Ownership Surrounding Nikolai, AK. ........................................................................ 2 Figure 3: Timber Inventory, 1987 ................................................................................................................. 2 Figure 4: Illustration of Unmanaged Wood Harvesting Efforts .................................................................... 3 Figure 5: Illustration of Planned Wood Harvest by Harvest Area and Time Period. .................................... 4 Figure 6: Unloading Fuel Oil from a plane in Nikolai. ......................................................................... 5 Figure 1: Cordwood ..................................................................................................................................... 20 Figure 2: Ground wood chips used for mulch. ............................................................................................ 20 Figure 3: Wood briquettes, as a substitute for cordwood. Cross sections of these briquettes make “wafers” which can be automatically handled in biomass boiler systems. ................................................ 20 Figure 4: Wood pellets ................................................................................................................................ 20 Project Summary Dalson Energy was contracted by the Interior Regional Housing Authority (IRHA) and Tanana Chiefs Conference (TCC) to do a Pre-Feasibility Study (Pre-FS) for a Biomass Heating System for the Native Village of Nikolai. The IRHA/TCC Scope of Work stated that a study should be done to assess the pre- feasibility biomass heating for candidate facilities. Dalson Energy biomass specialists Thomas Deerfield and Jason Hoke visited the community on October 20, 2011 for the initial assessment. Deerfield and Hoke made their assessment based on available data, interviews with local stakeholders and authorities, observations, and research and review of previous studies done in Nikolai. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 3 This report was prepared by Thomas Deerfield, Wynne Auld, Jason Hoke, Louise Deerfield, Tom Miles and Clare Doig. Contact and interviews with the following individuals in Nikolai assisted in some of the information gathering. Their contact information is as follows: City: City of Nikolai P.O. Box 9145 Nikolai, AK 99691-0045 Phone 907-293-2113 Fax 907-293-2120 E-mail cityofnikolai@yahoo.com Winchell Ticknor, City Clerk Tribe: Nikolai Village, federally- recognized P.O. Box 9105 Nikolai, AK 99691 Phone 907-293-2311 Fax 907-293-2481 E-mail agnes.tony@tananachiefs.org Nick Alexia Sr, 1st Chief nickalexia@hotmail.com (907) 293-2212 Beverly Gregory, Tribal Administrator Beverly.gregory@tananachiefs.org (907) 293-2311 0 Summary of Findings Currently, many of Nikolai’s municipal buildings are excellent prospects for biomass heating. Containerized HELE (high-efficiency low-emission) cordwood boilers are suggested as an expedient way to develop biomass heating plants in Nikolai. The two identified projects are (1) the Kuskokwim School, and (2) a small District heating system with the Kuskokwim School as its hub, also serving the Community Hall building, Lodge, and City Shop. The project’s success is critically dependent on a Biomass Harvest Plan and an Operations Plan. These two project plans are discussed in this Pre-Feasibility Analysis. The Consultant strongly recommends developing these Plans prior to project development. Although the small District is more financially attractive, it is also more challenging in terms of both infrastructure and operations. Therefore, the Consultants recommend first installing the School’s system; ultimately, a 350,000 BTU boiler could serve both the School and the associated District upon build out. Boiler Size (BTU/hr) Capital Cost Annual Operations Cost, Yr. 1 Annual Cash Savings, Yr. 1 Simple Payback, Yrs. NPV IRR School 350,000 $298,000 $32,000 $20,800 14.3 $336,700 5% District 350,000 $478,000 $42,800 $41,500 11.5 $671,000 7% The Consultants also recommend undertaking weatherization on the Tribal Council office. This recommendation is derived directly from feedback from Tribal Council staff. The next step is to present the findings of this pre-feasibility study to IRHA and TCC. As service providers to the Village of Nikolai, they will help determine the next steps forward. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 1 Figure 1: Aerial view of Nikolai, Alaska Wood fuel supply in Nikolai In 1987 Tanana Chiefs Conference completed a timber inventory of the ANCSA Native village lands around Nikolai. The village corporation, MTNT, Limited, owns approximately 69,120 acres, of which approximately 20,300 acres are forested, holding an estimated 46.254 million cubic feet of saw timber and pole timber. Much of this material could be considered woody biomass suitable for wood fueled heating systems. Doyon, Limited, the regional corporation, is the other major landowner in the region, as indicated by Figure 2: Map of Land Ownership Surrounding Nikolai, Alaska. While these inventory figures indicate a substantial timber resource, sites supporting tree growth are widely distributed and may be difficult to access because of the area characteristics and the lack of existing roads. The Village is located along a major river system with expansive low elevation wetlands, resulting in widely distributed higher elevation sites that support tree growth. These factors impact the economics of fuel availability, which in turn impacts the size and fuel demand for a wood fueled heating system in the community. Additional considerations include 1) the landowner’s contractual agreement for harvest and compensation for the resource, 2) public acceptance of larger scale timber harvest than has been experienced in recent history, and 3) total project (from timber harvest to operation of the heating system) economic feasibility. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 2 Figure 2: Map of Land Ownership Surrounding Nikolai, AK. Figure 3: Timber Inventory, 1987 Results of Tanana Chiefs Conference timber inventories: Nikolai (1987)Acres Cubic Feet Board Feet (thousands) Saw Timber Types: (10.5"+ d.b.h.) White Spruce 3,246 10,903,000 35,745 Cottonwood 227 688,000 1,996 Mixed White Spruce/Hardwood 5,813 15,047,000 47,149 Subtotal 9,286 26,638,000 84,890 Pole timber Types: (4.5" - 10.5" d.b.h.) White Spruce 563 2,487,000 7,732 Cottonwood 523 11,659,000 22,796 Hardwood 6,700 2,216,000 3,256 Mixed White Spruce/Hardwood 705 1,499,000 4,470 Black Spruce 2,562 1,755,000 2,841 Subtotal 11,053 19,616,000 41,095 Total 20,339 46,254,000 125,985 Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 3 The timber inventory was conducted thirty-five years prior to this report, so in addition to potential growth, other changes to the forest such as wildfire and insect infestations may have caused changes to the availability or suitability of the timber resources for harvest for a particular purpose. It will be critically important for updated inventory information and maps to be developed as a base for harvest planning. Biomass Energy Operations and Maintenance Biomass Harvest Plan Wood cutting is a subsistence activity in almost all interior villages adjacent to forest land. This subsistence resource must be carefully managed or biomass energy projects may be detrimental to the Community. If biomass harvests are unmanaged, the natural tendency is to harvest the most accessible wood supply first, as illustrated below. The effect is increased scarcity and rising harvest cost, and, consequently, biomass fuel costs, for both the project and household woodcutters. This puts community members’ energy security and the project’s success at risk. The project’s success depends on a well-developed and executed Harvest Plan. The Harvest Plan accounts for the biomass harvests over the project lifetime, at least 20 years. It may also designate areas for Personal Use (household wood cutting). The Harvest Plan also describes who is responsible for executing the Harvest Plan, and how access will be managed. Please see figure below. Figure 4: Illustration of Unmanaged Wood Harvesting Efforts Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 4 The first step in harvest planning will be to secure the permission and cooperation of the affected landowner(s). This may include the community council, the ANCSA village corporation, Native allotment owners, the regional corporation, and even in some instances the State, Bureau of Land Management, or US Fish & Wildlife Service. Because the project’s success is critically dependent on a Biomass Harvest Plan, the Consultant strongly recommends developing this Plan prior to project development. Operations Plan In many Villages biomass boiler projects will depend on collaboration among a variety of entities, including contract wood cutters, the boiler technician, building owners and operators, forest landowners, and various governmental entities. A strategy for collecting biomass, paying wood suppliers, allocating costs among heat users, and operating and maintaining the boiler and heat distribution system is crucial to the project’s success. Persons responsible for each task must be identified. Because the project’s success is critically dependent on an Operations Plan, the Consultant strongly recommends developing this Plan prior to project development. Figure 5: Illustration of Planned Wood Harvest by Harvest Area and Time Period. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 5 Community Facilities Information The institutional heating opportunities considered for this report were the Kuskokwim School, City Council building, Lodge, and City Shop. These buildings are located within an area approximately 5 acres. The Tribal Council building was also considered but, because of very low heat load, an existing forced air system, and no access to other candidate buildings, was not evaluated further. City Buildings Currently the City hosts 3 buildings which were considered in this study. A list of City buildings, and heating system descriptions, follow:  Community Building  Lodge  Shop Community Building The Community Building holds the Clinic, Post Office, City Offices, Library, and Washateria. The complex uses two (2) 156 MBH Armstrong forced air furnaces (model number L5B168DC20- 1). The Community Building burns about 3,000 gallons of oil per year. This includes fuel oil consumption of the domestic hot water tank. City Lodge The City Lodge uses a forced-air fuel oil furnace to heat five guest rooms. The furnace is old and will likely have to be replaced in the near future; however, it operates reliably. The Lodge is heated year-round. Over the last 12 months, the Lodge used approximately 1,400 gallons of fuel oil. This includes fuel oil consumption of the domestic hot water tank. City Shop The City Shop currently has no electricity or heat. However, t he City is trying to obtain utility service to the Shop. It is approximately 1,400 square feet. Figure 6: Unloading Fuel Oil from a plane in Nikolai. Photo Credit: Alaska Division of Community and Regional Affairs Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 6 Kuskokwim School, Yukon-Koyukuk School District Nikolai’s “Top of the Kuskokwim” is part of the Iditarod Area School District. The School is a K-12 facility and has 20 students. The School is the largest fuel oil consumer in the village. Currently the School uses two (2) Burnham v9a fuel oil boilers, each with a maximum capacity of 4.2 gallons per hour. Except on the very coldest days, only one boiler operates. The boilers were purchased new about five years ago. The Schoo is outfitted with a hydronic heating system, which distributes heat from the boilers using a water-glycol mixture. The School uses about 7,500 gallons of Fuel Oil #1 per year. The School is comprised of two buildings, the main school building and a gymnasium. Together, the two buildings are about 9,600 square feet. Building Name Tribal Council Office Community Building City Lodge Kuskokwim School City Shop Annual Gallons (Fuel Oil #1) 1,000 3,000 1,400 7,500 Not heated Building Usage Year-round Year-round Year-round August - May Year-round Heat Transfer Mechanism Forced air Forced air Forced air Hydronic boiler n/a Heating infrastructure need replacement? No No Yes No n/a Nikolai Edzeno Village Council Office The Tribal Office is a former house which has been converted to an office building. The building is outfitted with a new forced-air fuel oil furnace, which burns less than 1,000 gallons of fuel oil per year. The forced air system is supplemented by three (3) electric space heaters and occasional wood heat. The two-story building has a woodstove positioned on the first story and an exhaust pipe distributing some heat up through the second story. The Office is deeply in need of an energy efficiency upgrade. People working there expressed strong physical discomfort during cold weather periods, especially when the wind blows. The Client mentioned draft and poor windows specifically. The Consultant passed this information on to the IRHA, which stated that Nikolai was slated for weatherization in 2014. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 7 Additionally, Chief Nick Alexia Sr. expressed a strong interest in reduced electric utility costs through solar panels, other renewables, and efficiencies on behalf of the Community. While wood heating is sufficient for the households, electricity costs remain a heavy burden. The Consultant inquired with IRHA1 regarding renewable electric assistance opportunities, and passed pertinent information back to Chief Alexia. Recommended technology and fuel requirements The recommended system design is a pre-fabricated, modular, containerized wood biomass boiler unit. These types of systems are produced by GARN, TARM USA and others. The GarnPac has about 350,000 BTU output and is currently being employed in Thorne Bay. This type of system design is recommended because it is reliable, uses an accessible fuel, cordwood, and it is a modular unit and therefore has lower installation cost and financing advantages. The Consultant recommends adding providers of these units, Garn/Dectra, TARM, Greenwood, and similar system manufacturers, to the list of potential equipment providers. To complete this prefeasibility analysis, the Consultant has chosen a representational boiler, the GarnPac containerized unit. A district loop with one (1) GarnPac boilers (or equivalent systems) could service the Kuskokwim School, or a small district including the School, City Lodge, and City Shop (“District”). Fuel Oil would be retained to meet peak demand and as back up in every project building. Other communities operating HELE cordwood boilers of a similar size, such as Dot Lake and Ionia, report 2 cordwood stokings per day and 0.125 – 0.5 FTE2 (Full-time equivalent employee) per boiler. 1 Email exchange and phone call with Jennifer Maguire, IRHA. May 14, 2012. 2 Nicholls, David. 2009. Wood energy in Alaska—case study evaluations of selected facilities. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW- GTR-793. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 33 p. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 8 Initial project development costs for a wood heating system costs may include:  Capital costs: boiler, hydronic pipe and other hardware, wood storage shelter, fuel-handling equipment, shipping costs.  Engineering: storage design, plumbing integration, fuel-handling infrastructure.3  Permitting: no permits required. In lieu of permits, all regulations must be met.  Installation: Site work, installation, and integration into existing system.  Fuel storage: storage building, firewood chutes, or preparation of existing storage room.  System building: (if required). Ongoing operational costs may include:  Financing: Principal and interest payments from project debt, or profits from project equity investment. In Village projects, financing costs likely do not apply.  Wood fuel purchases.  Amortization costs: capital equipment and other infrastructure.4 When projects are grant financed, amortization does not apply.  Operations and Maintenance (O&M) labor. 3 Not all projects require engineering design. 4 Cash and accrual basis are two different accounting methods for project investment. Accrual accounting amortizes project investment over the project lifetime (“lifecycle costs”). This method results in monies to reinvest in new equipment at the end of its lifetime. Cash basis is simply on the dollars spent to operate, maintain, and finance the project. Assumptions: 16.2 MMBTU/ Cord White Spruce 0.1250 MMBTU per gallon Oil #1 Annual Gallons Annual MMBTU Annual Cords* for Biomass/ Oil system Annual Fuel Oil gallons for Biomass/ Oil system Kuskokwim School 7,500 938 48 1,093 District 11,900 1,488 81 2,270 Community Center 3,000 375 City Lodge 1,400 175 City Shop 930**116 * Based on Dalson Energy Heating Degree Day data model ** Assumed 40 watts/m2 applied to shop space. Space is currently unheated and currently uses 0 gallons of fuel oil. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 9 Fossil fuel purchases and labor.5 Economic feasibility Initial investment School The Kuskokwim School has an estimated Capitalization Cost of $298,000. The District, including Kuskokwim School, Community Center, Lodge, and Shop has an estimated Capitalization Cost of $478,000. See charts below for cost estimates and sources. Full feasibility analysis and/or bids would provide more detailed numbers. 8 The existing oil heat infrastructure will be retained for supplement heat and back-up. Therefore, the fossil fuel system has ongoing O&M costs, albeit lower than if used as the primary heat source. 10 Kuskokwim School Kuskokwim School System Size (estimated net BTU/ hr)350,000 Capitalization costs Footnote Capital equipment GarnPac FOB Minnesota, qty. (1)100,000$ A A Dectra Corp estimate Freight to Nikolai 15,000$ B B Crowley & Lynden Transport estimates, 4/17/12 Boiler Integration 50,000$ C C Dalson Energy estimate subtotal 165,000$ Commissioning and training 4,000$ D D Alaskan Heat Technologies estimate Project Management and Design Engineering/ design 50,000$ E E Dalson Energy estimate Permitting 2,000$ F F Dalson Energy estimate Project Management 50,000$ G G Dalson Energy estimate sub-total 271,000$ Contingency (10%)27,100$ Total 298,100$ Footnotes Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 11 District District System Size (estimated net BTU/ hr)350,000 Capitalization costs Footnote Capital equipment GarnPac FOB Minnesota 100,000$ A A Dectra Corp estimate Freight to Nikolai 15,000$ B B Crowley & Lynden Transport estimates 4/17/12 Boiler Integration 50,000$ C C Dalson Energy estimate District loop main 94,405$ D D RET Screen analysis Water to Air exchangers 45,000$ subtotal 304,405$ Commissioning and training 4,000$ E E Alaskan Heat Technologies estimate Project Management and Design Engineering/ design 75,000$ F F Dalson Energy estimate Permitting 2,000$ G G Dalson Energy estimate Project Management 50,000$ H H Dalson Energy estimate sub-total 435,405$ Contingency (10%)43,541$ Total 478,946$ Footnotes 12 Operating Assumptions The following assumptions are embedded in all financial analyses in this assessment. They include crucial project variables, s uch as the price of fuel oil, wood fuel, and labor operating costs. See chart below. Assumptions for project buildings Kuskokwim School District Footnotes Footnotes Total MMBTU per year 938 1,338 A A Estimates of annual fuel gallon useage, from year 2011 % load served by wood fuel 84%90 B B Dalson Energy HDD analysis % load served by fuel oil 15%9 C C Dalson Energy HDD analysis Total Cordwood per year (cords)48 74 D D Dalson Energy HDD analysis Total Fuel Oil #1 per year (gal)1,098 997 E E Dalson Energy HDD analysis Price per cord 250$ 250$ F F City provided Price per gallon 7$ 7$ G G City provided Biomass labor hours per year 600 780 H H Oil labor hours per year 45 45 I I Dalson Energy estimate Price per hour of labor 18 18 J J City provided Biomass preventative maintenance supplies cost 66$ 66$ K K Oil nozzles and filters 250$ 250$ L L Dalson Energy estimate Biomass boilers (lifetime operating hours)60,000 60,000 M M Dalson Energy estimate Biomass boilers (operating hours per year)3,000 3,900 Biomass refractories (lifetime operating hours)45,000 45,000 N N Oil boiler (lifetime operationg hours)60,000 60,000 O O Dalson Energy estimate Electricity ($/kWh)0.84$ 0.84$ P P Estimated $0.63/kWh Electricity Consumption (biomass system)1,800 2,600 Q Q Amount financed Term Rate Estimated 1 kWe consumption per hour for boiler fan when operating. Estimated 1800 hours uptime for School; Estimated 2600 hours uptime for District. Subject to full feasibility study Estimated 3 hours per day, 300 days per year per boiler. Consistent with Dot Lake and Ionia Ecovillage cordwood boiler labor requirements. Information from Alaskan Heat Technologies. Chemicals max at $250/ yr. Gasket kit at $75. Refractory replaced every 15 years at $500 -- $1,000. Based on Information from Alaskan Heat Technologies. Entire refractory replacement after 15 years of operation 13 Operating Costs & Annual Savings The following analyses estimate the operating costs and annual savings from installing biomass heating districts at the Kuskokwim School and District. These financial summaries do not include any financing costs but they do include amortization of project equipment, known as lifecycle costs. Lifecycle costs are accrued over the project lifetime and, when the equipment has fulfilled its useful life, monies are available to purchase the next syst em. Accrual-based accounting is standard practice. Special attention should be given to designing an investment and operating structure that suits the system owners and operators. Third party financing, ownership, and O&M (Operations and Maintenance) services may be available. The selected technology provider should provide the training services to equip any daily operator with the knowledge and skills to safely and reliably operate the biomass system. Savings are calculated on both a cash and accrual basis. Biomass Oil 52,500 Wood fuel 12,000$ Labor 810$ Labor 10,800$ Supplies 250$ Preventative maintenance supplies 66$ Lifecycle 1,500$ Electricity 1,512$ Lifecycle 14,905$ Financing subject to feasibility Fuel Oil (supplement) Oil 7,686$ Labor 405$ Supplies 250$ Lifecycle 225$ Total Annual O&M Costs (accural basis)55,060$ Total Annual O&M Costs (accural basis)47,849$ 7,211$ Accrual Total Annual O&M Costs (cash basis) 53,560$ Total Annual O&M Costs (cash basis) 32,719$ 20,841$ Cash O&M Costs Fuel Oil O&M Costs: Biomass + Fuel Oil (supplement) Kuskokwim School Annual Savings Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 14 Biomass Oil 83,300 Wood fuel 18,500$ Labor 810$ Labor 14,040$ Supplies 250$ Supplies 66$ Lifecycle 2,750$ Electricity 2,184$ Lifecycle 31,131$ Financing subject to feasibility Fuel Oil (supplement) Oil 6,979$ Labor 810$ Supplies 250$ Lifecycle 24,750$ Total Annual O&M Costs (accural basis)87,110$ Total Annual O&M Costs (accural basis)98,711$ (11,601)$ Accrual Total Annual O&M Costs (cash basis) 84,360$ Total Annual O&M Costs (cash basis) 42,829$ 41,531$ Cash O&M Costs Fuel Oil O&M Costs: Biomass + Fuel Oil (supplement) District Annual Savings 15 Financial metrics The following financial analyses are entirely reliant on the preceding assumptions and O&M models. These same models can be refined to reflect more sophisticated financial profiles if additional study is warranted. Simple payback period Present Value The prefeasibility Scope of Work does not allow building a full economic model with escalation rates of fuel, labor, and supplies cost. Present value analysis is completed on the basis of the savings demonstrated in this section. Kuskokwim School District Initial Investment 298,100$ 478,946$ Cash savings, Year 1 20,841$ 41,531$ Simple Payback (Years)14.3 11.5 SIMPLE PAYBACK 5.50% 10 Initial investment 298,100$ Initial investment 478,946$ 20,841$ 41,531$ Kuskokwim School District Interest Rate per Month 0.46%0.46% Number of Payments in project lifetime 120 120 Payment per month (2,484)$ (3,991)$ Future Value (cash value of new project)20,841$ 41,531$ Payments at end of period = 0 0 0 Present Value $216,861 $343,773 Equation Values Future value (cash value of new project) Assumptions Present Value Kuskokwim School Interest Rate Term (years) Future value (cash value of new project) District 16 Net Present Value The prefeasibility Scope of Work does not allow building a full economic model with escalation rates of fuel, labor, and supp lies cost. Net present value analysis is completed on the basis of the savings demonstrated in Year 1, generally inflating at 1.5% per year. Internal Rate of Return The prefeasibility Scope of Work does not allow building a full economic model with escalation rates of fuel, labor, and supp lies cost. IRR analysis is completed on the basis of the savings demonstrated in this section. Life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) for School 3.50% 1.50% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 NPV Kuskokwim School 20,841$ 21,153$ 21,471$ 21,793$ 22,120$ 22,451$ 22,788$ 23,130$ 23,477$ 23,829$ 24,187$ 24,549$ 24,918$ 25,291$ 25,671$ 26,056$ 26,447$ 26,843$ 27,246$ 27,655$ $336,700 District 41,531$ 42,154$ 42,786$ 43,428$ 44,079$ 44,740$ 45,412$ 46,093$ 46,784$ 47,486$ 48,198$ 48,921$ 49,655$ 50,400$ 51,156$ 51,923$ 52,702$ 53,492$ 54,295$ 55,109$ $670,964 Net Present Value Discount Rate General Inflation Rate 1.50% Year 0 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 IRR Kuskokwim School (298,100)$ 20,841$ 21,153$ 21,793$ 22,120$ 22,451$ 22,788$ 23,130$ 23,477$ 23,829$ 24,187$ 24,549$ 24,918$ 25,291$ 25,671$ 26,056$ 26,447$ 26,843$ 27,246$ 27,655$ 5% District (478,946)$ 41,531$ 42,154$ 43,428$ 44,079$ 44,740$ 45,412$ 46,093$ 46,784$ 47,486$ 48,198$ 48,921$ 49,655$ 50,400$ 51,156$ 51,923$ 52,702$ 53,492$ 54,295$ 55,109$ 7% Internal Rate of Return General Inflation Rate District:Yukon Koyukuk School:Kuskokwim School Project: Biomass Boiler Project No. NA Study Period:20 Discount Rate: 3.50% Life Cycle Costs of Project Alternatives Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 17 Alternative #1 (low)Alternative #2 (high) Initial Investment Cost 271,000$ 298,100$ O&M and Repair Cost 691,942$ 682,328$ Replacement Cost 50,257$ 75,385$ Residual Value 25,128$ 15,077$ Total Life Cycle Cost 1,038,327$ 1,070,890$ GSF of Project 29,916 29,916 Initial Cost/ GSF 9.06$ 9.96$ LCC/ GSF 34.71$ 35.80$ YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Discount Rate 3.50% Gen'l Inflation for O&M 1.50% NPV O&M $691,942 42,829$ 43,472$ 44,124$ 44,786$ 45,457$ 46,139$ 46,831$ 47,534$ 48,247$ 48,971$ 49,705$ 50,451$ 51,207$ 51,976$ 52,755$ 53,547$ 54,350$ 55,165$ 55,992$ 56,832$ Replacement $50,257 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100,000 Residual $25,128 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50,000 Discount Rate 3.50% Gen'l Inflation for O&M 1.50% NPV O&M $682,328 42,829$ 42,829$ 43,472$ 44,124$ 44,786$ 45,457$ 46,139$ 46,831$ 47,534$ 48,247$ 48,971$ 49,705$ 50,451$ 51,207$ 51,976$ 52,755$ 53,547$ 54,350$ 55,165$ 55,992$ Replacement $75,385 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 150,000 Residual $15,077 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30,000 Alt. 1 Alt 2 18 Conclusion The village of Nikolai has significant opportunities for biomass heating, owing to the high cost of fuel oil, accessible cordwood supply, and existing institutional heat loads that could be adequately served by one or more biomass boilers. Cordwood is an accessible and sustainable biomass supply in the Village so long as a Biomass Harvest Plan is appropriately developed and executed. Because the project’s success is critically dependent on a Biomass Harvest Plan, the Consultant strongly recommends developing this Plan prior to project development. Additionally, because the project’s success is critically dependent on an Operations Plan, the Consultant strongly recommends developing this Plan prior to project development. All projects examined in this pre-feasibility report show positive NPV and cash savings, which suggests that development may be warranted. A small district heating facility serving the School, Community Center, Lodge, and Shop is the most financially attractive project; however, the School is most easily adaptable to the biomass system and serves as the single largest heat load. Because the same boiler size could serve the district as could serve the School, the Consultant recommends first developing the School project. The School District could iron out Harv est and Operations Plans on the smaller project first. Some work will have to be done to adapt the load centers with the hydronic heat loop, and these adaptations have not been fully assessed. Additionally, hot water boilers will need to be connected to the District Heat loop. There remain other significant energy opportunities in Nikolai, notably weatherization of the Tribal Building and solar energy or electric efficiency initiatives across the Community. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 19 Consultant/Authors of this report: Dalson Energy is a Renewable Energy Consulting and Technology Research firm based in Anchorage. Dalson staff and partners have decades of experience in construction project management, project development consulting and renewable energy technology research. Dals on teams with licensed engineers, architects and designers in Alaska, Canada and Lower 48. Dalson Energy has worked with Alaska Energy Authority, Alaska Center for Energy & Power, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Washington State CTED (Community Trade & Economic Development) and California Energy Commission on biomass energy technology research. Dalson’s President, Thomas Deerfield, has been involved in biomass energy RD&D since 2001, winning grants and managing projects with NREL (National Renewable Energy Labs), USFS (US Forest Service), and CEC (California Energy Commission). Thomas managed the field-testing of biomass CHP systems, including the first grid-connected biomass gasification CHP system in the US. (2007). Thomas coordinated the design and creation of the first prototype Biomass “Boiler in a Box” in Alaska, in 2010. That Garn -based system is now deployed in Elim, in the Bering Sea region. Thomas founded Shasta Energy Group (SEG), a 501c3 nonprofit, and managed wind energy research, biomass energy feasibility studies, energy efficiency for buildings, and hydronic heating system research design and development (RD&D). He also initiated a rural economic development think tank and has engaged his writing skills to assist many other renewable energy project initiatives. Wynne Auld is a Biomass Energy Specialist with Dalson Energy. She focuses on assessing and developing woody biomass energy projects. Over the past few years, she has supported the business development of integrated biomass energy campuses in Oregon and Idaho, especially related to their energy initiatives. Her efforts have included marketing Campus biomass heating products to major wholesalers and retail buyers, and planning and developing Campus sort yards and small-scale CHP. Wynne also specializes in assisting commercial and municipal building managers in assessing the feasibility of biomass heating, and implementing their projects. She works to ensure vibrant rural communities through sustainable natural resource utilization. 20 Supplement: Community Wood Heating Basics Wood fuel as a heating option When processed, handled, and combusted appropriately, wood fuels are among the most cost -effective and reliable sources of heating fuel for communities adjacent to forestland. Compared to other heating energy fuels, wood fuels are characterized by lower energy density and higher associated transportation and handling costs. This low bulk density results in a shorter viable haul distance for wood fuels compared to fossil fuels. However, this “limit” also creates an advantage for local communities to utilize locally-sourced wood fuels, while simultaneously retaining local energy dollars and excercising local resource management. Most Interior villages are particularly vulnerable to high energy prices because the region has over 13,500 heating degree days6 (HDD) per year – 160% of Anchorage’s HDDs, or 380% of Seattle’s HDDs. For many communities, wood-fueled heating lowers fuel costs. For example, cordwood sourced at $250 per cord is just 25% of the cost per MMBTU as fuel oil #1 sourced at $7 per gallon. Besides the financial savings, local communities benefit from the multiplier effect of circulating fuel money in the community longer, more stable energy prices, job creation, and more active forest management. In all the Interior villages studied, the community’s wood supply and demand are isolated from outside markets. Instead, the firewood market is influenced by land ownership, existing forest management and ecological conditions, local demand and supply, and the State of Alaska Energy Assistance program. The nature of wood fuels Wood fuels are specified by moisture content, granulometry, energy density, ash content, dirt and rocks, and fines and coarse particles. Each of these characteristics affects the wood fuel’s handling characteristics, storage requirements, and combustion process. Fuels are considered higher quality 6 Heating degree days are a metric designed to reflect the amount of energy needed to heat the interior of a building. It is derived from measurements of outside temperature. Figure 8: Ground wood chips used for mulch. Figure 7: Cordwood Figure 10: Wood pellets Figure 9: Wood briquettes, as a substitute for cordwood. Cross sections of these briquettes make “wafers” which can be automatically handled in biomass boiler systems. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 21 if they have lower moisture, ash, dirt, and rock contents; consistent granulometry; and higher energy density. Many types of fuel quality can be used in wood heating projects so long as the infrastructure specifications match the fuel content characteristics. Typically, lower quality fuel will be the lowest cost fuel, but it will require more expensive storage, handling, and combustion infrastructure , as well as additional maintenance. Projects in interior Alaska must be designed around the availability of wood fuels. Some fuels can be manufactured on site, such as cordwood, woodchips, and briquettes. The economic feasibility of manufacturing on site can be determined by a financial assessment of the project; generally speaking, larger projects offer more flexibility in terms of owning and operating harvesting and manufacturing equipment, such as a wood chipper, than smaller projects. It is unlikely that interior communities will be able to manufacture pellets, from both a financial, operational, and fuel sourcing perspective. However, some interior communities may be able to manufacture bricks or firelogs made from pressed wood material. These products can substitute for cordwood in woodstoves and boilers, while reducing supply pressure on larger diameter trees than are generally preferred for cordwood. At their simplest, brick presses are operated by hand , but require chipped, dry fuel. The basics of wood-fueled heating Biomass heating systems fit into two typical categories: first, stoves and fireplaces that heat space directly through convection and radiation by burning cordwood or pellets; second, hydronic systems where the boiler burns cordwood, woodchips or pellets to heat l iquid that is distributed to radiant piping, radiators or heat exchangers. The heated liquid is distributed out to users, then returned to the heat source for re-heating. Hydronic systems are appropriate for serving individual buildings, or multiple buildings with insulated piping called heat loops. Systems that serve multiple buildings are called district heating loops. District heating is common in Europe, where larger boilers sometimes serve entire villages. Biomass boilers are dependent on the compatibility of the chosen fuel, handling system, and combustion system. General categories for typically available biomass fuel systems follow:  Batch load solid chunk boiler  Semi-automated or fully-automated chipped or ground biomass boilers  Fully-automated densified-fuel boiler, using pellets, bricks, or pucks The system application is typically determined by size of heat load, available wood fuels, and available maintenance personnel. General categories for heat load and wood fuel follow:  Loads < 1 MMBTU often use cordwood or pellet boilers  Loads > 1MMBTU often use pellet or woodchip boilers Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 22  Loads > 10MMTU often use hog-fuel (mixed ground wood) Each wood fuel type has different handling requirements and is associated with different emission profiles. For example, industrial systems greater than 10 MMBTU often require additional particulate and emission controls because of the combustion properties of hog-fuel. One category of system that is particularly appropriate for remote rural communities is cordwood boilers. Cordwood boilers are batch-loaded with seasoned cordwood. A significant advantage to cordwood is that very little infrastructure is needed to manufacture or handle the heating fuel. At its most basic, cordwood can be “manufactured” with a chainsaw (or handsaw) and an ax, and residents of rural communities are often accustomed to harvesting wood to heat their homes and shops. Harvesting in most Interior villages is accomplished with ATV’s, river skiffs, sleds and dog teams, and snow machines. Since cordwood systems are batch loaded by hand, they do not require expensive automated material handling systems. Covered storage is required; such storage may be as simple as an existing shed or a vented shipping container, rather than newly constructed storage structures. Challenges to cordwood include higher labor costs associated with manual loading. Some LEHE (low efficiency, high emission) technologies such as Outdoor Wood Boilers (OWBs) have been criticized for their high emissions and excessive wood consumption. Cordwood systems are typically less than 1 MMBTU. However, if needed, some types of cordwood boilers can be “cascaded,” meaning multiple boilers can meet heat demand as a single unit. However, above a certain heat load, automated material handling and larger combustion systems become viable. Woodchip systems can be automated and thereby less labor intensive. However, woodchip systems have significantly higher capital costs than both cordwood and pellet systems. Additionally, a reliable stream of woodchips typically depends on a regionally active forest products manufacturing base in the area, and active forest management. In most Interior communities, institutional heating with woody biomass does not justify the purchase of log trucks, harvesting, handling, and manufacturing equipment. Pellet systems are the most automated systems, and have lower capital equipment costs than woodchip systems. Lower costs are due to the smaller size of required infrastructure and simplified handling and storage infrastructure. However, pellet fuel and other densified fuels tend to be more expensive than other wood fuels, and require reliable access to pellet fuels. For any system, the mass of feedstock required annually is determined by three parameters: 1) Building heat load 2) Net BTU content of the fuel 3) Efficiency of the boiler system Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 23 Building heat loads are determined by square footage, orientation a nd usage, as well as energy efficiency factors such as insulation, moisture barriers and air leakage. Usage is particularly important because it influences peak demand. For example, a community center which is used only a few times per month for events, and otherwise kept at a storage temperature of 55 d. F, would have a much different usage profile than a City Office which is fully occupied during the work day and occasionally during evenings and weekends. Building heat load analysis, including the building usage profile, is a particularly important part of boiler right-sizing. A full feasibility analysis would conduct analyses that optimize the return on investment (ROI) of systems. Typically, optimizing a biomass project’s ROI depends on a supplementary heating system, such as an oil fired system, to meet peak demand and prevent short - cycling of the biomass boiler. Full feasibility analyses may not be necessary for small projects, especially for those employing cordwood boilers. Biomass boiler efficiencies vary from 60% to 80%, depending on the manufacturer and the field conditions of the equipment. The efficiency is strongly influenced by the BTU value and MC (moisture content) of the fuel. Wood fuels with greater than 50% MC generally result in lower efficiency systems, because some energy is used to drive off moisture from the fuel during the combustion process. The reduction in energy output is mathematically equal; 50% MC generally means 50% reduction in potential BTU value. Like other combustion-based energy systems, woody biomass boilers produce emissions in the combustion process. Compared to fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, and fuel oil), wood fuel emissions are low in nitrogen oxides (NOx); carbon monoxide (CO, a product of incomplete co mbustion); sulfur dioxide (SO2); and mercury (Hg). Because these compounds are all products of the forest and CO would release naturally during the process of decay or wildfire, they generally do not concern regulatory agencies. For emission control agencies, the real interest is particulate matter (PM) emissions, which affect the air quality of human communities. Some wood systems are extremely sophisticated, producing less than 0.06 lb/ MMBTU of PM. Effective methods of PM control have been developed to remove most of the particles from the exhaust air of wood combustion facilities. These include introduction of pre-heated secondary air, highly controlled combustion, and PM collection devices. Biomass boiler systems typically integrate a hot water storage tank, or buffer tank. The storage tank prevents short cycling for automated boilers and improves efficiency and performance of batch -fired systems, by allowing project buildings to draw on the boiler’s hot water long after the combustion process. The GarnPac boiler design incorporates hot water storage into the boiler jacket itself, storing approximately 2,200 gallons of hot water. Other boilers are typically installed with a separate hot water storage tank. Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 24 Available wood heating technology This section will focus generally on manufacturers of the types of technology discussed previously. Cordwood Boilers High Efficiency Low Emission (HELE) cordwood boilers are designed to burn cordwood fuel cleanly and efficiently. Cordwood used at the site will ideally be seasoned to 25% MC (moisture content) and meet the dimensions specified by the chosen boiler. The actual amount of cordwood used would depend on the buildings’ heat load profile, and the utilization of a fuel oil system as back up. The following table lists three HELE cordwood boiler suppliers, all of which have units operating in Alaska. Greenwood and TarmUSA, Inc. have a number of residential units operating in Alaska, and several GARN boilers, manufactured by Dectra Corporation, are used in Tanana, Kasilof, Dot Lake, Thorne Bay and other locations to heat homes, Washaterias, and Community Buildings. HELE Cordwood Boiler Suppliers Vendor Btu/hr ratings Supplier Tarm 100,000 to 198,000 Tarm USA www.tarmusa.com Greenwood 100,000 to 300,000 Greenwood www.greenwoodusa.com GARN 250,000 to 700,000 Dectra Corp. www.dectra.net/garn Note: These lists are representational of available systems, and are not inclusive of all options. Bulk Fuel Boilers The term “bulk fuel” refers to systems that utilize wood chips, pellets, pucks, or other loose manufactured fuel. Numerous suppliers of these boilers exist. Since this report focuses on village - scale heating, the following chart outlines manufacturers of chip and pellet fuel boilers < 1 MMBTU. HELE Bulk Fuel Boiler Suppliers Vendor Btu/hr ratings Supplier Froling 35,800 to 200,000; up to 4 can be cascaded as a single unit at 800,000 BTU Tarm USA www.tarmusa.com KOB 512,000 – 1,800,000 BTU (PYROT model) Ventek Energy Systems Inc. peter@ventekenergy.com Dalson Energy Inc. – Nikolai Preliminary Feasibility Assessment 25 Binder 34,000 BTU – 34 MMBTU BINDER USA contact@binder-boiler.com Note: These lists are representational of available systems, and are not inclusive The following is a review of Community Facilities being considered for biomass heating. The subsequent section will recommend a certain type of biomass heating technology, based on the Facility information below. District heat loops District heat loops refers to a system for heating multiple buildings from a central power plant. The heat is transported in a piping system to consumers in the form of hot water or steam. These are the key factors that affect the cost of installing and operating a district heating system7:  Heat load density.  Distance between buildings. Shorter distances between buildings will allow use of smaller diameter (less expensive) pipes and lesser pumping costs.  Permafrost. In the Interior, frozen soil could affect construction costs and project feasibility. Aboveground insulated piping may be preferred to underground piping, such as the cordwood system recently installed in Tanana, Alaska.  Piping materials used. Several types of tubing are available for supply and return water. Pre- insulated PEX tubing may be the preferred piping material for its flexibility and oxygen barrier.  District loop design. Water can be piped in one direction (i.e., one pipe enclosed) or two directions (two pipes enclosed) for a given piping system. Design affects capital costs and equality of heat distribution.  Other considerations. Pump size, thermal load (BTUs per hour), water temperature, and electrical use are other variables. For the purposes of this study, the consultants have chosen to estimate the costs of district heat loops using the RET Screen, a unique decision support tool developed with the contribution of numerous experts from government, industry, and academia. The software, provided free-of-charge, can be used worldwide to evaluate the energy production and savings, costs, emission reductions, financial viability and risk for various types of Renewable-energy and Energy-efficient Technologies (RETs), including district heat loops from biomass. 7 Nicholls, David; Miles, Tom. 2009. Cordwood energy systems for community heating in Alaska—an overview. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-783. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 17 p.