HomeMy WebLinkAboutPCE Economic Analysis 1990SHUNGNOW.XLS,5/22/90,
PCE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Village: Shungnak Construction Cost: $110,000
Elec. Sold Vill FY89 752347 Kwh* Elec. Sold AVEC FY89: 34800981 Kwh*
Net Benefit: $132,511
Fuel Effy FY89: 9.8 Kwh/gal* Fuel Effy FY89: 10.6 Kwh/gal*
New Effy: 1 10.8 Kwh/gal New Effy: 0 10.6 Kwh/gal PV Current Scenario: ($141,389)
Fuel Price: 1.6677 $/gal** Fuel Price: 1.01828 $/gal** PV PCE Scenario: ($8,878)
Fuel Price Increase: 0.00% Fuel Price Increase: 0.00%
Discount Rate: 3.00% Discount Rate: 3.00% Max Construction Cost $242,511
CURRENT SCENARIO GRANT SCENARIO Year Fuel Capital ‘O&M Fuel Fuel
($) ($ saved) |(gal_saved)| ($ saved) ($) ($ saved) | gal_saved | ($ saved)
Investment Year: $0 0 ($110,000) $0
Savings: $0 0 $0 $11,855 bd ($150,000) 0 $0 $11,855
"“ $0 0 $0 $11,855 " $0 0 $0 $11,855 " $0 0 $0 $11,855
" $0 0 $0 $11,855 " $0 0 $0 $11,855
" $0 0 $0 $11,855 " 0 $0 $11,855
Savings: 0 $O $11,855 0 ($110, 000) $118,546 | ($110, 000) $101, 122 |
NOTES:
CURRENT SCENARIO
Capital Cost is zero
There are no fuel savings
GRANT SCENARIO
Capital Cost includes AVEC's estimated project cost of $110,000
Generating fuel efficiency is improved 1.0 Kwh/gal
Fuel (gallons saved) is based on the generation efficiency improvement and Kwh sold in FY89
Fuel ($ Saved) is based on FY90 $/gallon and gallons of fuel saved
O&M costs savings are not included
Maximum Construction Cost is equal to the Construction Cost minus the Present Value Current Scenario
plus the Present Value PCE Scenario
* FY89 PCE data
** From AVEC
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SHUNGNOW.XLS,5/22/90,
PCE RATE ANALYSIS
LATEST CURRENT GRANT SCENARIO Capital Cost: $110,000
|APUC/PCE SCENARIO
| PCE ($) | PCE ($) |CAPITAL(S) | PCE ($) | Simple Payback, years 6.32
Investment Year: ($110,000) Benefit Cost Ratio: 1.58
Savings: -5,594,221
“ -5,594,221 Maximum Cost for 10yr Payback: [$174,055 |
" ~5,594,221
* -5,594,221
* -5,594,221
" -5,594,221
« ~5,594,221
" ~5,594,221
" -5,594,221
Savings: ~5,594,221 =55942211| ($110,000)| _-55768157
LATEST APUC/PCE DATA CURRENT SCENARIO, FY89 GRANT SCENARIO, FY89
Fuel Cost: $3,475,877 Fuel Cost: $3,343,127 Fuel Cost: $3,331,272
Kwh Sold: 35,708,463 Kwh Sold: 34,800,981 Kwh Sold: 34,800,981
Non- fuel Cost: $6,851,984 Non- fuel Cost: $6,865,347 Non- fuel Cost: $6,851,984
Kwh Sold: 26,115,237 Kwh Sold: 26,115,237 Kwh Sold: 26,115,237
PCE Rate: 0.2610 PCE Rate: 0.2603 PCE Rate: 0.2594
Elig. Kwh Sold: 21,495,296 Elig. Kwh Sold: 21,495,296 Elig. Kwh Sold: 21,495,296
PCE Total Costs: 5,609,834 PCE Total Costs: 5,594,221 PCE Total Costs: 5,576,816
PCE Annual Savings: $17,405
NOTES: New Proj vs. Current
LATEST APUC/PCE DATA
Fuel Cost, Non-fuel Cost, and Kwh Sold are from the latest APUC PCE rate filing
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
CURRENT SCENARIO
Fuel Cost is based on fuel efficiency & kWh sold from AEA FY89 PCE data,& $/gallon from AVEC
Non-fuel Cost is from APUC PCE filing
Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE data
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
GRANT SCENARIO
Fuel Cost is based on NEW fuel efficiency, AEA FY89 PCE kwh sold, & $/gallon from AVEC
Non-fuel Cost is from the latest APUC PCE rate filing
Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE data
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
GRANT SCENARIO NON-FUEL COSTS
Non-Fuel Cost: $6,851,984
Capital Cost: 150,000
Depreciation Term: 10 yrs Depreciation and Interest Expense $18,272 per year
Interest Rate: 7.00%
Real Interest Rate: 2.39% 1.024
Inflation Rate: 4.50%
Non-fuel Cost plus depreciation and interest expense: $6,865,347 per year
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