HomeMy WebLinkAboutShngloan PCE Economic Analysis 1990. SHNGLOAN.XLS,5/9/90,
PCE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Village: Shungnak Construction Cost: $110,000
Elec. Sold Vill FY89 752347 Kwh* Elec. Sold AVEC FY89: 34800981 Kwh*
Net Benefit: ($8,878)
Fuel Effy FY89: 9.8 Kwh/gal* Fuel Effy FY89: 10.6 Kwh/gal*
New Effy: 1 10.8 Kwh/gal New Effy: 0 10.6 Kwh/gal PV Current Scenario: $0
Fuel Price: 1.6677 $/gal** Fuel Price: 1.01828 $/gal** PV PCE Scenario: ($8,878)
Fuel Price Increase: 0.00% Fuel Price Increase: 0.00%
Discount Rate: 3.00% Discount Rate: 3.00% Max Construction Cost $101,122
CURRENT SCENARIO LOAN SCENARIO = ey ($) saved) |(gal_ saved)} ($ saved) ($) ($ saved) | gal saved | ($ saved)
Investment Year: $0 0 ($110,000) $0
Savings: 0 $0 $11,855
7 0 $0 $11,855
7 0 $0 $11,855
7 0} $0 $11,855
“ 0} $0 $11,855
" 0 $0 $11,855
“ 0 $0 $11,855
” 0 $0 $11,855
" 0 $0 $11,855
Savings: 0 $0 $11,855
0} ($110,000) $118,546
$0_[ ($110,000) $101,122
NOTES:
CURRENT SCENARIO
Capital Cost is zero
There are no fuel savings
LOAN SCENARIO
Capital Cost includes AVEC's estimated project cost of $110,000
Generating fuel efficiency is improved 1.0 Kwh/gal
Fuel (gallons saved) is based on the generation efficiency improvement and Kwh sold in FY89
Fuel ($ Saved) is based on FY90 $/gallon and gallons of fuel saved
O&M costs savings are not included
Maximum Construction Cost is equal to the Construction Cost minus the Present Value Current Scenario
plus the Present Value PCE Scenario
* FY89 PCE data
** From AVEC
Page 1
Investment Year:
Savings: "
Savings:
LATEST APUC/PCE DATA
Fuel Cost:
Kwh Sold:
Non- fuel Cost:
Kwh Sold:
PCE Rate:
Elig. Kwh Sold:
PCE Total Costs:
NOTES:
LATEST APUC/PCE DATA
Fuel Cost, Non-fuel Cost, and Kwh Sold are from the latest APUC PCE rate filing
$3,475,877 35,708, 463 $6,851,984 26,115,237
0.2610
21,495,296
5,609,834
$0 -5 609,834 -5 609, 834 -5 609, 834 -5 609, 834 -5 609, 834 -5 609, 834 -5 609, 834 -5 609, 834 -5 609,834 -5, 609,834
SHNGLOAN.XLS,5/9/90,
PCE RATE ANALYSIS
LATEST CURRENT LOAN SCENARIO
|APUC/PCE SCENARIO [ pce $) | pce ($) |caPITAL(s) | PCE (S)_|
($110,000)
~55837717} ($110,000)
CURRENT SCENARIO, FY89
Fuel Cost:
Kwh Sold:
Non- fuel Cost:
Kwh Sold:
PCE Rate:
Elig. Kwh Sold:
PCE Total Costs:
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
CURRENT SCENARIO
$3,343,127 34,800,981 $6,851,984 26,115,237
0.2598
21,495,296
5,583,772
Capital Cost: $110,000
Simple Payback, years -58.78
Benefit Cost Ratio: -0.17
Maximum Cost for 10yr Payback:| ($18,713)
LOAN SCENARIO, FY89
Fuel Cost: $3,331,272
Kwh Sold: 34,800,981
Non-fuel Cost: $6,863,273
Kwh Sold: 26,115,237
PCE Rate: 0.2599
Elig. Kwh Sold: 21,495,296
PCE Total Costs: 5,585,643
PCE Annual Savings:
New Proj vs. Current
Fuel Cost is based on fuel efficiency & kWh sold from AEA FY89 PCE data, & $/gallon from AVEC
Non-fuel Cost is from APUC PCE filing
Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE data
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
LOAN SCENARIO
Fuel Cost is based on NEW fuel efficiency, AEA FY89 PCE kWh sold, & $/gallon from AVEC
Non-fuel Cost is from the latest APUC PCE rate filing PLUS depreciation and interest expense.
Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE data
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
LOAN NON-FUEL COSTS
Non-Fuel Cost:
Capital Cost:
Depreciation Term:
Interest Rate:
Real Interest Rate:
Inflation Rate:
$6,851,984 $110,000
10
9.63%
4.90%
4.50%
yrs
1.049
Non-fuel Cost plus depreciation and interest expense:
Depreciation and Interest Expense
$6,863,273 per year
(includes fraction of non-fuel kWh/fuel kWh)
Page 2
$15,436 per year