HomeMy WebLinkAboutShungnak PCE Economic Analysis 1990‘ SHUNGNAK.XLS,5/9/90,
PCE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Village: Shungnak
Elec. Sold Vill FY89 752347 Kwh* Elec. Sold AVEC FY89: 34800981 Kwh*
Fuel Effy FY89: 9.8 Kwh/gal* Fuel Effy FY89: 10.6 Kwh/gal*
New Effy: 1 10.8 Kwh/gal New Effy: 0 10.6 Kwh/gal
Fuel Price: 1.6677 $/gal** Fuel Price: 1.01828 $/gal**
Fuel Price Increase: 0.00% Fuel Price Increase: 0.00%
Discount Rate: 3.00% Discount Rate: 3.00%
LOAN SCENARIO
Year Capital O&M
($) ($ saved) |(gal_saved)| ($ saved)
Construction Cost: $110,000
Net Benefit: $0
PV Current Scenario: ($8,878)
PV PCE Scenario: ($8,878)
Max Construction Cost $110,000
GRANT SCENARIO
Fuel Fuel
Capital
($)
O&M Fuel Fuel
($ saved) | gal saved | ($ saved)
Investment Year: 1990] ($110,000) $0 | ($110,000) $0 $0
Savings: $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855 ” $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855 ” $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855 “ $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855 « $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855 “ $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855
7 $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855 “ $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855
" $0 $11,855 $0 $0 $11,855
Savings: $0 $11,855 $0 $0 7,108} $11,855 $118,546 | ($110, 000) $0 71,083] $118,546 $101, 122 Serr0 Go $0 $101, 122
NOTES:
LOAN SCENARIO
Identical to Grant Scenario
GRANT SCENARIO
Capital Cost includes AVEC's estimated project cost of $1
Generating fuel efficiency is improved 1.0 Kwh/gal
10,000
Fuel (gallons saved) is based on the generation efficiency improvement and Kwh sold in FY89
Fuel ($ Saved) is based on FY90 $/gallon and gallons of fuel saved
0&M costs savings are equal and net out at $0
Maximum Construction Cost is equal to the Construction Cost minus the Present Value Current Scenario
plus the Present Value PCE Scenario
* FY89 PCE data
** From AVEC
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. SHUNGNAK.XLS,5/9/90,
PCE RATE ANALYSIS
LATEST LOAN GRANT SCENARIO Capital Cost: $110,000
|APUC/PCE SCENARIO
PCE ($) | PCE ($) |CAPITAL($) | PCE ($) | Simple Payback, years 12.46
Investment Year: ($110,000) Benefit Cost Ratio: 0.80
Savings:
” Maximum Cost for 10yr Payback: "
"
"
" -5,609, 834
7 -5,609, 834 " ~5,609, 834
7 -5,609, 834
Savings: -5,609, 834
-56098339} -55856430} ($110,000)| -55768157
LATEST APUC/PCE DATA LOAN SCENARIO, FY89 GRANT SCENARIO, FY89
Fuel Cost: $3,475,877 Fuel Cost: $3,331,272 Fuel Cost: $3,331,272 Kwh Sold: 35, 708,463 Kwh Sold: 34,800,981 Kwh Sold: 34,800,981
Non-fuel Cost: $6,851,984 Non-fuel Cost: $6,863,273 Non-fuel Cost: $6,851,984 Kwh Sold: 26,115,237 Kwh Sold: 26,115,237 Kwh Sold: 26,115,237
PCE Rate: 0.2610 PCE Rate: 0.2599 PCE Rate: 0.2594
Elig. Kwh Sold: 21,495,296 Elig. Kwh Sold: 21,495,296 Elig. Kwh Sold: 21,495,296
PCE Total Costs: 5,609, 834 PCE Total Costs: 5,585,643 PCE Total Costs: 5,576,816
PCE Annual Savings: $8,827
NOTES: New Proj vs. Current
LATEST APUC/PCE DATA
Fuel Cost, Non-fuel Cost, and Kwh Sold are from the latest APUC PCE rate filing
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
LOAN SCENARIO
Fuel Cost is based on NEW fuel efficiency & kWh sold from AEA FY89 PCE data,& $/gallon from AVEC
Non-fuel Cost is from APUC PCE filing Non-fuel cost PLUS depreciation and interest expense for the new equipment Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE data
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
GRANT SCENARIO
Fuel cost is identical to Loan Scenario
Non-fuel Cost is from the latest APUC PCE rate filing
Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE data
Eligible Kwh Sold is from the AEA FY89 PCE DATA
LOAN SCENARIO NON-FUEL COSTS
Non-Fuel Cost: $6,851,984
Capital Cost: 110,000
Depreciation Term: 10 yrs Depreciation and Interest Expense $15,436 per year
Interest Rate: 9.63%
Real Interest Rate: 4.90% 1.049
Inflation Rate: 4.50%
Non-fuel Cost plus depreciation and interest expense: $6,863,273 per year
(includes fraction of non-fuel kWh/fuel kWh)
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