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HomeMy WebLinkAboutKodiak Electric Association Power Requiremeent Study 1980KODIAK ELECTRIC ASSOCIATION POWER REQUIREMENT STUDY OCTOBER, 1980 ferreeeerre POWER REQUIREMENT STUDY Alaska 3 Kodiak Kodiak Electric Association, Inc. Kodiak, Alaska October 21, 1980 NARRATIVE The Alaska 3 Kodiak Service Area is divided into two areas-The Kodiak Service Area and the Port Lions Area. The two systems are approximately 19 air miles apart, but are separated by rugged mountain terrain and Kizhuyak Bay. Trans- portation between Kodiak and Port Lions is by airplace or boats as there is no road connection. There is no electrical inter- tie between the two systems. Both systems are treated individually in this narrative and separate estimates have been made for each. I. GENERAL DATA .¢ The Kodiak Electric Association, Inc. (Alaska 3 Kodiak) is located in the City of Kodiak, Kodiak Island Borough in the State of Alaska. The service area of Kodiak Electric Association, Inc. is the City of Kodiak and its environs, including an area southwest of the U. S. Coast Guard Support Center, Kodiak. The KEA service area extends from Monashka Bay, the north boundary, along the ocean to Woody Island, the east boundary, to the Coast Guard Support Center, the south boundary and along Pillar Creek, the west boundary. A second non-contiguous service area encom- passes the Russian Creek and Bells Flats subdivisions of the Kodiak Island Borough. The Port Lions system area encompasses the City of Port Lions and Port Wakefield on Settlers: Cove approximately 20 miles northwest of the City of Kodiak. Kodiak Electric Association, Inc. is the sole supplier of electrical energy in the area described. KEA's Kodiak generating facilities con- sists of diesel-driven generators totaling 25 megawatts of nameplate capacity. These units range in size from 5.2 MW units down to 454 KW units. KEA also operates an independent system, complete with diesel generation (1100 KW) and distribution, at the City of Port Lions on Kodiak Island. All administration duties for this system are conducted by the Kodiak office of Kodiak Electric Association. The Kodiak Island group lies in the Gulf of Alaska approximately 250 miles southwest of Anchorage, Alaska's principal city. The group has an area of about 4,900 square miles and extends for a distance of about 180 miles by 50 miles wide. Three principal islands make up the Kodiak * 2 group, namely Shuyak Island, Afognak Island and Kodiak Island. Kodiak is the largest island in Alaska and one of the largest under the United States flag. Kodiak is quite mountainous and indented with many fjords, similar to the coast of Norway. The City of Kodiak is the major city of the Island of Kodiak and lies at latitude 57° 47' 22" N, longitude 152° 23' 42" W. It not only serves as the seat of City government but the Kodiak Island Borough government as well. Several State and Federal offices are located in the City. Their prime functions are in the areas of judicial, fishing and wildlife management. II. WEATHER Kodiak's climate is greatly influenced by its marine environment. The Alaska current, flowing counter-clockwise in the Gulf of Alaska, plays a major part in moderating the temperature range for Kodiak. Average monthly temperatures are from 30 degrees fahrenheit in December to 55 degrees in August, a mere 25 degrees variation from winter to summer. The record low of 12 degrees below zero in 1971 and record high of 86 degrees in 1953 indicate periodic influence from the Alaska main- land. Another characteristic of the marine influence is Kodiak's normally abundant precipitation. Maximums occur in September, October, and May with March and July being the driest. The normal annual precipitation (liquid form) is over 56 inches but. varies from about 40 to 80 inches.. An average of some 90 inches of snowfall occurs each year, but here 3 again, greatly varies (15.9 inches in 1945 and 178.1 inches in 1956). Good ground cover of snow is likely in November and April, with the bulk of snowfall December through March. Although the prevailing wind directions is northwesterly every month except May, June and July, and the average speed is about 10 knots, this can be misleading because of the extreme variability in both the direction and speed. Gusts of more than 50 knots have occurred in each month of the year but are most likely in the winter. Such storms occur, on the average, about 8 times each year with the duration of gusts over 50 knots lasting about 8 hours per storm. However, C.G. Cutters docked in Women's Bay (located to the South of Kodiak, approximately 6 miles), have reported williwaw winds off Old Women's Mountain in excess of 120 knots, (January 1973). Fog and low stratus clouds are another frequent product of Kodiak's marine environment, especially in the months of June, July and August. January with 15 percent has the highest percentage of clear skies, while July with 4.4 percent the lowest. The sky is clear 10 percent of the time during the year. Average Temperatures Period Minimum Mean Maximum January 32.4 35.9 39.3 July 47.2 52.3 57.4 Average annual precipitation 56.71 inches Elevation : Sea Level to 800 Ft. Prevailing Wind Direction Northwest Mean Hourly Speed 10.3 mph III. HISTORY OF THE AREA'S ECONOMY Throughout Kodiak's recorded history, the area's economy has been linked with the sea and man's use of the islands as a base to exploit the sea's resources. First there were Native hunters and fishers, then came the Russians seeking sea mammal pelts, and finally American salters, packers and freezers of fish. The Koniags--a skin-boat people, members of a widely distributed Eskimo family--who possessed the land at the time of its discovery by the first European explorers (1741), relied chiefly on sea mammals and fish for food, clothing, and personal ornamentation. The Russian fur hunters, venturing eastward in their quest for the valuable sea otter and fur seal pelts, established the first permanent Russian settlement in the New World on the southeast coast of Kodiak Island (1787 or 1784; re-established on the northeast coast at the site of the present town of Kodiak (1793-1794), and the Russians became masters of the island. The fur trade flourished, and Kodiak became one of the major centers of commercial activity in the North Pacific. When the United States acquired Alaska in 1867, Kodiak Island was the center of a widely extended sea otter hunting district. Boats were built and launched, and tanneries were operating. American commercial interests that came to the islands also explored other marine resources: whales, codfish, and salmon salting, a prelude to the canned salmon industry that flourished from the 1880's onward. . The fur trade continued until 1890, when the sea otter became virtually extinct. The whaling industry, which yielded 60% of the whale oil 5 produced by the entire American fleet during the years 1835-1869, was in serious decline by the 1870's and 1880's. The salmon industry emerged as Kodiak's predominant industry, and by 1900 Kodiak's economy began to recover from the depletion of sea otter and whale stocks. Immi- grants made Kodiak a stopping place enroute to the gold strikes around Nome. The Mt. Katmai eruption in 1912 deposited eighteen inches of ash over the northern part of Kodiak Island, collapsing buildings, destroying crops, and clogging salmon streams for a considerable period--thus dis- rupting the major industry., Recovery was slow, but by 1920 the salmon and halibut industries had regained their importance. In time, a new layer of topsoil formed over the foot-thick packed layer of ash, vegetation reappeared, and crops grew again. The second World War effected a military buildup, with defense installa- tions being rapidly established throughout the island. In the postwar years, the increased wartime population declined, as did the wartime economy. A new economic phase was initiated in 1949 by the establishment of the first king crab processing plant. The boom in the king crab industry continued unabated until March 27, 1964, when tsunamis flooded the island in the wake of the largest major earthquake to hit North America. Damage was considerable and the crab and salmon fisheries were severely affected. The king crab industry remains an important industry, al- though it has declined since 1966. Halibut, shrimp, and tanner crab have become seafood resources with the aid of a specialized technology that permitted their harvest. 6 Kodiak has experienced brief or minor roles as a beef and forest products producer and service center, but it remains primarily a land of fishers and sea hunters who harvest many of the same resources that stimulated Europeans to seek the wealth of the island. Iv. ECONOMY OF KODIAK Kodiak's future growth and prosperity is primarily tied to fishing and fish processing. Other sources of economic strength include the expan- sion in tourism and recreation activities and in wood products. The investment plans of the regional and village corporations established under the terms of the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act will also be a factor in the future growth of both Kodiak and other communities on the island. Present fisheries activity in the Kodiak area centers around the pro- cessing of king, tanner, and dungeness crab, shrimp, salmon, and lessor amounts of other species. Continued growth in Kodiak's fishing and fish processing industry is anticipated. While some of this growth will come from the recovery and stabilization of catches in traditional fisheries, bottomfishing offers the greatest potential for major increase in employment and population in the Kodiak area. Some effort toward establishing a bottomfish industry in the Kodiak area has already been made. The Kodiak Coast Guard station is anticipated to remain at or around current strength in the future unless major new developments such as the exploitation of oil and gas resources in the Gulf of Alaska take place. The Coast Guard base recently increased its complement of 7 personnel following the establishment of a 200-mile offshore U.S. territorial limit and foresees no further expansion except under new conditions such as that mentioned above. The wood products industry is currently not significant in the Kodiak area, but if selected by the Native corporations under terms of the Native Claims Settlement Act, this industry could become a minor but significant element in the economy of the Kodiak area. The investment plans of the Native corporations based on Kodiak Island including Koniag, Inc., the regional corporation, and the various village corporations, promise to play an important role in the economic future of the Kodiak area. While the status of some of the village corpora- tions is still subject to litigation, the island's Native residents will ultimately become its major private landowners and will control virtually all coastal lands outside the immediate Kodiak area which are not in Federal ownership. Given the marine orientation of all communi- ties on Kodiak Island, the Native corporations will thus be in a good position to influence new economic development in this area, including the possible exploration and exploitation of outer continental shelf oil and gas resources of the western Gulf of Alaska. Vv. EMPLOYMENT Marine fisheries and processing make up the economic foundation of Kodiak Island. The island is the home port of one of the largest fishing fleets in the Pacific and often ranks among the top three or four ports in the U.S. in terms of the value of fish landed. Shellfish is the most important catch in terms of total dollars paid to the fishermen and, 8 more specifically, the king crab is the most often sought species. Fish processing is the largest employer within the Kodiak labor force, and probably represents almost 35 percent of the nonagriculture wage and salary employment in the Island area. Numerous processing plants are found within the City proper as well as several other out-of-town canneries. After manufacturing, government is the second largest employer in the Kodiak labor market and represents about 22 percent of the nonagricul- tural employment, followed by fisheries. It is noted that, if the fisheries sector of the economy were aggregated with fish processing, this group in total would account for almost 43 percent of the non- \ agricultural wage and salary employment on Kodiak. Generally, employment on Kodiak Island tends to be seasonal due to the fact that the main economic mainstay of the area, fishing, is in itself quite seasonal. From June 1 through August 31, employment increases about 25 percent and then levels off during the month of September. Of the remaining sectors of Kodiak's economy, the trade and service sectors are the most heavily represented. Kodiak has well developed trade and service sectors, with a portion of this employment judged to be basic since it is derived from providing goods and services to the transient fishing fleet and processing plant workers. Following is construction, transportation, communications, and public utilities. Lastly comes the finance, insurance, and real estate sector. While many of these employees are associated with the operation of banks, 9 insurance firms and real estate operations, a significant number are employees of Native corporations established under the terms of the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act. VI. COMMERCIAL FISHING The Western Region (Region IV) of the Commercial Fisheries Division of the Alaska Department of Fish & Game encompasses an area of 525,000 square miles. The Regional office for the Region is located in Kodiak with field offices in Sand Point and Dutch Harbor. The Kodiak Island Shellfish Management District of Region IV is located south of the latitude of Cape Douglas (58° 52'N. lat.) on the Alaskan Peninsula, east of the longitude of Cape Kumlik (157° 27'W.~long.) -and west of 148° 50'W.—- = - Longitude. The management unit however, varies slightly for some species. King, tanner and dungeness crab, as well as many species of shrimp, are the principal commercial species landed. Additional small harvests of octopus and scallops are landed. Collectively, district production totaled 60 million pounds of shellfish in 1979. The total value to the fishermen during 1979 is estimated at $35,800,000. — The Kodiak Island king crab fishing began in the late 1940's with approximately 5.2 million pounds taken annually. Since 1960, the fishery has expanded, rapidly, growing to a historic high harvest of approximately 95 million pounds during the 1965-66 fishing season. Con- tinued increase in vessels, effort and gear efficiency coupled with declines in stock abundance during the late 1960's and early 1970's resulted in lowered harvests, with a low commercial catch of 10.9 _ .— million pounds in the 1971-72 fishing season. More recently, successive 10 years of good recruitment produced catches of approximately 24 million pounds in-the 1974-75 and 1975-76 seasons. Lowered stock abundance during the period 1976-78 caused a reduction in the seasonal harvest. However, an increase in recruitment observed recently has reversed this downward trend, resulting in an upswing in the commercial harvest-‘during the 1979-80 season. This harvest amounted to 14.6 million pounds taken by 247 vessels (a new record effort) making 1,346 landings. This is a 22% increase over last years catch. This catch has a value of $15.5 million and represented 10% of the total Alaskan commercial harvest. The tanner crab fishery has been in exist@nce since 1967. As king crab abundance declined in the early 1970's, markets opened up for tanner crab, prices increased and more vessels participated in the fishery. By 1972-73, tanner crab was established as the dominate winter and spring shellfishery. Commercial harvest for the 1975-76 through 1978-79 seasons ranged between 20 and 33 million pounds. The 1978-79 fishery resulted in a harvest of 29.2 million pounds harvested by 218 vessels (a new record high effort) making 1,225 landings. This catch had a value of $16.2 million and represented 22% of the total Alaskan commercial harvest. Information available from studies indicates a declining trend in the harvestable abundance of legal made crab.. The fishery is expected to produce about 17.5 million pounds in the’ 1979-80 season. The dungeness crab fishery began in the Kodiak area in 1962. Asa result of favorable market conditions and unexploited stocks, commercial harvest increased and peaked in the late 1960's with a harvest of 6.8 1l million pounds. During the early 1970's the fishery declined due to biological and environmental factors BecBeraniet by adverse marketing conditions. In recent years, weak markets, and other more lucrative fisheries have kept the dungeness production at a low level. The 1979 fisheries resulted in a harvest of 1.3 million pounds at a value to fishermen of $943,000. Twenty eight vessels participated in the fisheries marking 237 landings. A commercial harvest of 2 million is predicted in 1980. The 1979 catch represented 21% of the total Alaskan commercial harvest. The Kodiak shrimp fishery began in 1958 with an annual harvest of 2.9 million pounds. The shrimp grounds were steadily developed, peaking in 1971 with a harvest of 82 million pounds. In 1972, quotas were established limiting the total yearly harvest. The historic ‘commercial shrimp catch for the Kodiak district shows a continued decline from 58 million pounds in the 1974-75 fishery season to 14.5 million pounds in the 1979-80 season. The 1979-80 shrimp harvest resulted in a value of $3.2 million dollars to the fishermen. The catch represented 29% of the total Alaskan commercial harvest. It is estimated that the 1980-81 season harvest will remain at 8-23 million pounds, but the harvest is expected to be at the low end of the range. The giant Pacific octopus is quite numerous in the Kodiak district. Most recorded catches have been incidentally taken during other commer- cial fishery activities such as crabbing and bottomfishing. During 1979, the octopus fishery, expanded to nearly 7000 pounds landed.. No estimate of density of abundance is available, but it is likely that catches will continue to increase in 1980. 12 The scallop ttekoey| pecan in the Kodiak area in 1967. Total historical production through 1976 has resulted in 6.5 million pounds of shucked meat. There was no fishery in 1977 and 78, however the et resumed in 1979. Fishing by one vessel yielded 24,826 pounds at a value of $69,000. This catch represented 100% of the total Alaskan commercial harvest. No harvest levels exist at this time but it is felt that lack of any large scale fishing in recent years should have allowed a good recovery in most areas. The 1980 Kodiak salmon harvest was the highest in the last 30 years. A total of 19.2 million salmon were caught. Of this total, 17.3 million were pink salmon, with an estimated value of $35 million dollars A the fishermen. The historical trend since 1976 is upward for total salmon caught, with an average of 13.7 million each year. It is felt that the trend will continue with odd years having a lower catch than even years. Weather conditions seem to have a great effect on the sur- vival of fish, although the 200 mile limit seems to have a slight effect. The total effect of this limit is not yet known. Salmon caught in other districts, such as Chignik and Bristol Bay are also being brought into Kodiak for processing. A new fishery in the Kodiak area in herring. A 2400 ton quota has been set for this fishery. Some of the product is frozen and exported to Japan while roe is extracted from others and processed, with the carcass sent to Bio-Dry, a bi-product firm. The value to the fishermen of the herring caught during 1979 was 2.4 million dollars. 13 Bottomfishing is a developing fishery. Bottomfish consists primarily of pollack, cod, flounder, and sable fish. In 1979, 5.5 million pounds of bottomfish were landed in Kodiak at a value of one million dollars. Of this total, one million pounds were used as bait, while the remaining 4.5 million pounds were processed as a seafood product. It is felt that 100,000 tons per year could be harvested if processing facilities and a market were available. One school of bottomfish discovered in Shelikof Straits measured 5 miles wide by 100 miles long. One bottom- fish processor, Alaska Food Company, is currently in operation. It is anticipated that they will be capable of processing up to 25 million pounds ‘each year. At this time the market is not available for this large a volume of bottomfish. The halibut fishery, Area 3, extends from California to the Bering Sea and is regulated by the International Pacific Halibut Commission. Kodiak led all ports on the West Coast in 1978 with 3.7 million pounds of halibut landed. It is anticipated that the total quota for Area 3 for 1980 will be 11 million pounds. VII. TOURISM The tourism industry in Kodiak is expanding. Kodiak Island is accessible by air and sea transportation. The additional number of flights into Kodiak daily has helped increase areas of interest. Kodiak has three hotel/motel accomodations, consisting of the Sheffield House with 46 rooms, the Kodiak Star Motel with 30, and the Shelikof Lodge with 39. Both the Shelikof and Sheffield supply services of bar, lounge and dining room. 14 Activities in the area include big and small game hunting, boating, camping, fishing (fresh and salt water), beachcombing and sightseeing. Tours are available through Kodiak Transit and charters with Anderson Marine Charters. Among the attractions for visitors are Fort Abercrombie, a state historical site, located 5 miles from Kodiak; the Baranof museum, maintained by the Kodiak Historical Society, in downtown Kodiak; the Russian Orthodox Church, the oldest parish in Alaska; the Kodiak National Wildlife Refuge; and Pillar Mountain, which supplies a beauti- ful view of Kodiak Island and surrounding Islands and waters. The Baranof museum, which is stated to be the oldest building in Alaska, receives 100 visitors a day through the summer months. In 1979 some 10,000 visitors signed the guest book. Other activities also include the Kodiak Crab Festival, a five-day long celebration the third week in May; "Cry of the Wild Ram", a historical outdoor drama presented by townspeople about Alexander Baranof's actions and decisions shaping the history of Alaska from 1790-1819. Kodiak is equipped with a swimming pool and school gyms operated year- round for community use. New to Kodiak since the fall of 1973 is the J-acre Baranof Park. There are four tennis courts and.a basketball court, which are lit at night. A Babe Ruth field, track, football field, and playground are also found there. Kodiak has many fine restaurants with a specialty of seafood, caught around the Island, consisting of king crab, halibut, shrimp, scallops, and others available seasonally. 15 In addition to the many special dances and social events held through- out the year, the visitor to Kodiak can find ample and varied night life to suit every taste. Kodiak's nightclubs and bars feature enter- tainment by top groups. Kodiak has expressed an interest in increased tourist activity through the Kodiak Chamber of Commerce who are seeking additional hotel develop- ment, convention (cultural) center development, and promotion of tourist attrations. VIII. MILITARY INDUSTRY The military has been a factor in Kodiak's economy since 1941 when the Kodiak Naval Air Station was established. The Coast Guard has been active in the Kodiak area since the summer of 1947 and took over the Naval facility in 1972 with approximately 500 military personnel stationed in the community. Since 1972, the number of Coast Guard personnel stationed in the Kodiak area has doubled. Including dependents, Kodiak has an on-base population of around 2,700 people. Today, the Coast Guard has 10 commands in the Kodiak area. These include the support center, the air station, the Narrow Cape Loran station, 4 homeported cutters (the Storis, the Firebush, the Confidence, the Iron- wood), marine safety, communications, and the Loran monitoring station. Most personnel live on base and have post exchange privileges. The Coast Guard does have a significant impact on Kodiak's economy in that it is a major civilian employer and that it acts as a support for Kodiak's 4 16 primary industry, fishing and fish processing. Furthermore, unlike the former Naval station which had few dependents, the Coast Guard base has a large dependent population, some of whom work in town. Ix. TIMBER Commercial timber resources exist on the north end of Kodiak Island and the islands to the north of Kodiak-Afognak, Raspberry and Whale Islands. Prior to the fall of 1975 this timber, Sitka Spruce, was used for local purposes only. There are two small mills on Kodiak Island which produce lumber for local usage. Timberline-which employs 5 men and produces in excess of two million board feet annually and Island Lake Sawmill-employing 2 men and producing approximately one half million board feet annually. On Afognak Island approximately 2500-3000 acres of timber have been cut to date on land managed by KONCOR, a forest resource management corporation representing Natives of Kodiak, Ouzinkie, and Leisnoi Native corporations. This timber was originally part of the Perenosa timber sale within the Chugach National Forest. The land was selected by the various Native corporations at the time of the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act. Also on Afognak Island there have been 1200 acres of timber cut on land owned by the Afognak Native Corporation. The timber on Afognak Island is being cut by Afognak Logging, Inc. for which they have paid about six million dollars in stumpage fees. They maintain an office in the City of Kodiak and a modern, 130 man camp on Afognak Island which includes 20 mobile homes for families, 7 bunkhouses, a messhall, shop and school. They presently employ over - i 17 100 people and spend approximately six million dollars annually in pay- roll and local purchases. In 1979 they cut roughly forty six million board feet of timber for export. X. CATTLE INDUSTRY Cattle ranching has been a minor element in the economy of Kodiak Island for a number of years. Currently there are 6 or 7 ranches on the island. An approved slaughterhouse facility at Woman's Bay about 16 KM (10 miles) south of Kodiak is cooperatively owned by Kodiak ranchers and was financed by State revolving loan funds. Although this slaughterhouse could probably accommodate several thousand animals, only between 30 and 300 head are slaughtered annually. Carcasses are normally sold locally on Kodiak Island with some occasionally shipped to Anchorage. While Kodiak cattle ranching has some potential for expansion, it is likely to remain a very minor element in the Island's economy. XI. LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCES In 1977 the city's share of the full value of property in the borough had risen to 81.2 percent of total property valuations. Growth in the city's property valuation has generally been more rapid since 1973, with most of this growth believed to have been derived from the continued expansion of the area's fishing and fish processing industry which is heavily concentrated within Kodiak's corporate limits. The Kodiak Island Borough does not levy a sales tax. However, a 5 per- cent sales tax levied by the City of Kodiak is collected by ae borough and remitted to the city. A portion of these revenues is remitted to the borough by the city in lieu of personal property taxes which are levied throughout the borough except within Kodiak's corporate boundaries. 18 Compared with other urban areas of the State, property and sales tax ' rates in the City of Kodiak are not especially high. Residents of the Anchorage service area, the Juneau service area, the major Kenai Penin- sula ‘Borough communities and the city of Ketchikan generally paid higher property taxes in 1977 than did Kodiak city residents, and some of these communities also paid higher sales taxes. A review of Kodiak's overall financial condition indicates that the City's financial position is generally sound. According to the State Assessor's wecnede the City has a higher per capita property valuation compared with most other Alaska communities. XII. SMALL BOAT HARBOR Kodiak's small boat harbor has 225 stalls, all of which are filled. There are currently 400 vessels, ranging in size from 17 foot recreation boats, to 130 foot crab boats, that are on a waiting list for moorage space in the harbor. During 1979 a total of 1416 vessels occupied some part of the City operated harbor facilities. This is an increase of 12 percent over 1978. Of these vessels there are 400 year round fishing boats with the remainder being transient vessels, government vessels and re- creation vessels. The harbor is an active place with the busiest seasons being the fishing seasons of halibut, herring, salmon, shrimp and crab. The City of Kodiak is actively pursuing the construction of the proposed Dog Bay boat harbor which is located at Near Island near the present harbor. Three and one half million dollars of StAdte funds have already been alloted for the construction of the Dog Bay harbor with another . 19 two million dollars of bonds being placed on the November 1980 election ballot. It is anticipated that this facility will provide 250 to 500 stalls, available for occupancy by the end of 1982. XIII. BUILDING CONSTRUCTION Housing in the Kodiak area always seems at a premium. There are apart- ments with rentals available, usually after a short waiting period. There is hope also that new apartments will be available soon, but they seem to be filled to capacity even before completion. The price range for rentals runs from $350 to $650 and up per month plus some utilities. Construction in the greater Kodiak area has slowed recently. In 1979, combined building permits totaled just under $5.4 million in construction costs. In the City of Kodiak, the estimated dollar value of construction in- cluded $1,179,762 for residential; $1,577,740 for business and indus- trial; and $320,894 in miscellaneous construction, for a total of $3,078,396. The dollar value of building permits issued for construction in the Borough was $1,911,326 residential; $250,000 commercial; and $130,117 miscellaneous, totalling $2,291,443. Total construction valuation for building permits issued during the first 8 months of 1980, for the greater Kodiak area, was just under $2 million. Not included in the above figures, is International Seafoods of Alaska. Inc., a new $6.8 million processing plant, constructed during 1979-80. 20 XIV OIL The first Federal OSC lease sale in Alaska was held April 13, 1976, for the northern Gulf of Alaska. 76 blocks were leased totaling 409,057 acres. Exploratory drilling began in September 1976, and resulted in 11 dry holes and no further drilling is expected to eecut= 69 of these leases have been relinquished as of June 1980 with the remaining leases expiring in May 1981. The first Federal lease sale in Cook Inlet was held October 27, 1977. 87 blocks totaling 495,307 acres were leased. As 6f July 1980, 11 wells have been drilled. No commercial finds have been announced. State of Alaska (sale 35) and Federal OCS (sale 60) oil and gas lease sales for the lower Cook Inlet area are scheduled for September 1981. Federal OCS (sale 61) is scheduled to be held April 1983 for the area east of Kodiak Island. In November 1979, the U. S. Geological Survey estimated the maximum resource level of recoverable oil at 1,015 million barrels and natural gas at 1,776 billion cubic feet within the lease sale #60 area. No facilities exist on either Kodiak or Afognak Islands to handle hydro- carbons, but several sites have been identified as being physically adequate for development. The following information was taken from the Draft Environmental Impact Statement for oil and gas lease sale #60 for the lower Cook Inlet- Shelikof Strait area. These figures are based on the leasing of the * 21 entire 153 blocks covering an area of 864,646 acres. However there has been strong opposition to the leasing of the Shelikof Strait portion and it appears that portion of the sale may be either delayed or de- leted. If deleted it would negate any impact on the Kodiak area. 1. Directly related employment would be 420-560 new jobs. No estimates were given for indirect jobs. 2. Economic Impact-Industry purchases in Kodiak would be rela- tively small because of the lack of oil industry subcontracting services. Only some mild increases in trade and transport type services would likely occur. The Kodiak Island Borough would also realize revenue from taxation of the terminal. 3. Population Impact-The study shows an OCS related population increase of 612 residents, excluding any construction workforce. No figures were available on the impact of lease sale #61, but con- sidering that the entire lease area is geographically closer to Kodiak Island, its impact could be significantly greater. XV. TRANSPORTATION Air transportation to and from Kodiak is provided by Wien Air Alaska with one trip daily service to Anchorage and to Seattle by 737 jets. In 1979, Wien carried approximately 100,000 passengers between Kodiak and these cities and about 6 million pounds of freight and mail. Kodiak Western Airlines provides scheduled service to some of the villages of Kodiak Island. In addition, the firm provides 3 times a week service during the summer, between Kodiak and Bristol Bay and 2 times a week, during the winter, weather permitting. Kodiak Western 22 Airlines carried approximately 25,300 passengers during 1979 and hauled nearly 1.2 million pounds of freight. Additional air taxi service is available from Island Air Service, Flirite, and Kodiak Air Taxi for chartered flights throughout the Kodiak area. XVI. FREIGHT Freight is brought from Seattle or Anchorage into and out of Kodiak by Sea Land. In 1979 they had 200 dockings of vessels at the Port of Kodiak. These dockings resulted in 30,000 container moves through their facilities. The amount of freight that Sea Land handles has doubled in the last 5 years. Sea Land has a preferential use agreement with the City of Kodiak for the use of the warf and container crane facilities. Northland Marine Lines have 2 scheduled sailings planned for 1981 from Seattle to Kodiak. Unscheduled sailings are arranged when additional freight requirements justify it. Alaska Transfer, a local firm, is planning on using a 90 foot landing craft for inner Island freight service in 1981. American President Lines has bi-weekly service between Kodiak and Japan. Seafood products are hauled on this run. The Maritime Shipping Act of 1936 prohibits APL from calling on other American ports from Kodiak. There is however, a move on to exempt Alaska from this act. If this proves favorable APL will provide service between Kodiak and Anchorage and Seattle much the same as Sea Land now does. At that time APL estimates weekly service. 23 XVII. FERRY SERVICE Kodiak Island is linked to the Alaska mainland by the 296 foot Alaska State ferry, M/V Tustumena. During the summer months the ferry serves Kodiak three times a week from Homer or Seward and twice a week in winter. Included on these trips are stops at Port Lions on the north side of Kodiak Island. The ferry can accomodate 200 passengers, including staterooms to sleep 58, and has room for 54 standard size vehicles. During 1979, the ferry began four times per year service from Kodiak to the Alaska Peninsula communities of Sand Point, King Cove, and Cold Bay. These communities are about 450 straight line miles to the southwest of Kodiak. The state is also studying the possibility of replacing the M/V Tustumena with a new vessel and providing service to Dutch Harbor and other communities of the Aleutian Chain. This community is about 200 miles to the southwest of Cold Bay. Plans are also under way for the ferry to provide service to Ouzinkie, a village on Spruce Island to the north of Kodiak. Reservations are required for travel aboard the Tustumena although the ferry is only about one quarter filled during the winter months. Ser- vice is interrupted for about two months in late winter for the ferry to travel to Seattle Washington for its yearly inspection. XVIII. POPULATION The Greater Kodiak area shows a population of 11,500 with a projection of 13,400 in 1985. Within the city limits are approximately 6,000 people. The average annual rate of increase is 4 percent, with a pre- diction of 20,000 at the end of the century. These projections are based 24 on continuation of past trends without outer continental shelf oil eetipcesae| GREATER KODIAK ISLAND AREA: 1950 1960 1969 1974 1978 Population: 6,264 7,174 8,600 9,284 11,500 WITHIN CITY LIMITS: Population: 1,710 2,628 3,300 3,700 5,800 POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1980 1985 1990 1995 Greater Kodiak Area: 11,500 13,349 15,725 18,523 Within City limits: 6,000 (Possible oil development could change figures.) CIVILIAN AGE DISTRIBUTION: Age Percent 5 - 087 5-17 - 282 18 - 55 -554 55 - 077, Source: Kodiak Island Borough Special Census, 1974. In 1974 a census taken showed 3.30 as an average population per house- hold. XIX. INDUSTRY (FUTURE ECONOMY) Historically, fishing and fish processing have been the foundation of Kodiak's economy. At first, the Kodiak fishery concentrated on the salmon harvest. Now the trend has been toward use of other available stocks of fish and shellfish; halibut, herring and herring roe, king crab, tanner crab, dungeness crab, shrimp, and other species are all harvested. Kodiak's fishing industry has thus steadily evolved from a seasonal salmon fishery to a more diversified year-round industry with . suitably diversified fishing fleets and processing plants. 25 Without oil, the economic forecast assumes that this trend toward diversification will continue. Most notably, the forecast assumes that Kodiak will lead an expansion of fishing effort and processing capa- bility for bottomfish that will make Kodiak the center of bottomfishing and processing across the Gulf of Alaska. A 1979 study done for the State of Alaska estimated a potential annual domestic harvest of 149000 mt of groundfish in the Kodiak and Chirikof sectors of the Gulf of Alaska. It is also expected that the traditional established fishing industry will gradually increase and prosper. In particular, it is anticipated that better scientific understanding and improved resource management practices will enhance and stabilize yields, allowing more efficient use of gear, plant and labor force. Another resource-based industry which is expected to prosper, is the wood products industry. Under terms of the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act, extensive timber lands will be transferred to private ownership of Native corporations and, presumably, harvested for revenue purposes. The tourism and recreation industry is expected to show modest growth. Promotion of Kodiak's historical and recreational assets and improved visitor facilities should attract increased numbers of tourist, con- ventioners, and vacationers to the Kodiak area. The Kodiak Coast Guard stations, currently a major military installa- tion with about 980 military personnel, and an on-base population of 26 about 2,700 people, are forecast to remain at about its current strength. However, a modest increase is foreseen in civilian employment at the base. Kodiak already has an unusually well-balanced trade and services sector for a town of its size, and it is anticipated that expansion of tourist and bottomfishing industries will reinforce the basic component of these sectors. XX. EMPLOYMENT (FUTURE) Without oil development, future employment forecast for the Kodiak area estimates that employment will grow from 5,937 in 1978 to 10,628 by 2000. This is an overall increase of about 79 percent of equivalent to an average annual growth rate of about 2.7 percent. The basic employment categories of manufacturing (largely logging and fish processing) and agriculture, forestry, and fisheries (largely fish- ing) are projected to grow by about 75 percent, accounting for about 40 percent of all employment growth in the forecast, and setting the pace for the secondary economy. Trade and services exhibit the fastest growth rate, together generating about 36 percent of all new jobs. Together, these four economic sectors provide about three quarters of -_. the Kodiak area's economic growth. The remaining sectors of contract construction, transportation, finance, insurance, and real estate, and mining comprise a minor, if essential, share of about 10 percent of the baseline employment and maintain that share through the forecast period. 27 XXI. LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCES (FUTURE) In fiscal year 1977, the city of Kodiak obtained most of its general fund revenues from local sources. Sales taxes (36 percent), property taxes (16 percent), and a variety of service charges and miscellaneous other sources (26 percent) provided over three-fourths of the City's general fund income. Intergovernmental transfers, mainly Federal and State revenue-sharing, accounted for the remaining 22 percent. For the future, it is assumed that the City's revenues will grow at the same rate as its population growth. By this standard, the City's 1978 general fund income of about $3,500,000 annually is forecast to climb to about $8,300,000 by 2000. As for operating expenditures, it is assumed that the City will continue to maintain about the same level of services at about the a level of per capita cost as it does at present. About two-thirds of the pro- jected growth is allotted to the City of Kodiak, so the brunt of the fiscal impact of growth will land upon the City. However, this impact will be tempered by the fact that the borough government administers and finances the local share of educational services as well as certain other areawide services. Also, certain utility services, such as power and telephone, .are financed and supplied through independent public and private utlities. At present, the City's general financial position, in terms of its per capita debt, ratio of debt to valuation, property tax rates, and other indexes of fiscal soundness, is roughly equal or superior to the average 28 of other Alaskan municipalities. However, if the City commits itself to major new public works projects to accommodate growth, particularly a costly water development project, then its added debt service demands may compel the City to tap new revenue sources. XXII. PORT LIONS Alaska 3, has generation and distribution facilities at the village of Port Lions on Kodiak Island. The service area consists of the village only. Port Lions is located in the Kodiak Island Borough on the north end of Kodiak Island. The village is situated on the west side of Kizhuyak Bay and is about 19 air miles from Kodiak. Travel to Port Lions is possible only by sea and air. A state-owned city-operated 2600 foot gravel airstrip is located one mile sortheast of Port Lions. The community is serviced daily (weather permitting) by scheduled flights out of Kodiak as well as by wheeled and float plane charters also from Kodiak. The community is served by the Alaska Marine Highway System with a twice weekly visit from a ferry. Port Lions is a small, predominately Alaskan Native village whose inhabitants are primarily residents relocated from the village -of== == Afognak on Afognak Island following an earthquake and tsunami which partially destroyed the village on March 27, 1964. The population of Port Lions was 227 in 1979. The present economy of Port Lions depends primarily on the fishing industry, especially the harvesting of crab and salmon. The local 12 29 vessel fleet provides employment for 50-60 people for varying periods from 3 to 9 months a year. The Wakefield Fish and Shellfish Processing Plant provided the major source of employment until April 1975 at which time the plant caught fire and burned to the ground. A floater- processor was operated after the fire by the Port Lions Native Corpora- tion, the ANCSA (Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act) corporation of the Native residents of Port Lions, for two years. It was then removed from the community thus eliminating local employment in the processing sector. The floater-processor has been purchased by a private firm and was recently returned to Port Lions. Unemployment has been substantial with a 50% rate since the closing of the floater-processor. However, the reopening of the processor should provide the much needed employment. The City of Port Lions is actively working towards having a shore built processor to replace the Wakefield plant. Fifty five students were enrolled in the Port Lions school system in the 1979-80 school year. The recently completed high school and gym hosted the community's first graduation in 1979. The school supports a combined staff of nine teachers and aides plus an additional recrea- tional coordinator funded by KANA's Johnson-O'Malley program. As a result of the Alaskan datave Claims Settlement Act (ANCSA) of 1971, a regional corporation (Koniag Inc.) as well as two local corporations (Port Lions and Afognak) were created for persons of at least 1/4 Alaskan Native percentage born prior to 1972. In addition to a small cash settlement to each shareholder and a larger one to each corporation, ‘these corporations were deeded additional assets in the form of land 30 and sub-surface mineral rights. The two village corporations were merged in 1978 to become Afognak Natives Inc., which now has a total of 512 individual shareholders. The corporation will eventually own much of the land surrounding Port Lions as well as important stands of timber on Afognak Island. The quality of housing in Port Lions is good although the supply is not. The Kodiak Area Native Association (KANA), a nonprofit corporation, expects 35 new units of housing to be constructed and ready for occupancy in 1981. Clearing for these new houses has already begun. The total available units of housing will be approximately 100 when the HUD pro- ject is completed. A 100 stall small boat harbor is anticipated to be ready for occupancy in 1983. The breakwater is scheduled to be constructed in 1981 and the inner harbor facilities in 1982-83. The harbor plus a new seafood processor will result in a solid base economy for Port Lions. The cost of living in Port Lions is substantially above that of nearby Kodiak. The cost of electricity has risen drastically in the past two years as has the cost of fuel oil for heating. The average cost of fuel oil to KEA has risen from 56¢:a gallon in 1978 to $1.20 a gallon-_ — in the first part of 1980. It is expected to go to at least $1.30 by the end of 1980. The response of the residents of Port Lions to this inflationary spiral has been to reduce the amount of electricity they use and to use wood for heat. To combat the ever increasing cost of fuel oil, KEA has proposed the 200 KW Port Lions Hydro-electric Project. The project will reduce the déependance on fossil fuel by using the water 31 of the Port Lions river to produce power. The project will stabilize the cost of electricity to the people of Port Lions. XXIII. PORT LIONS DIVISION A. Trend Data A curvilinear attempt and a logarithmic projection was pre- pared on KWH sales less large commercial sales for the his- torical period 1970 through 1979. The curvilinear method yielded a negative "C" value. The logarithmic projection was reviewed and was determined to be of no value in de- termining the estimates. Both monthly energy use and con- sumer growth in the residential and small commercial classes have been static in recent years. It is anticipated that increased growth and energy usage will occur during the period of this study. Comments by Consumer Classification 1. Residential (Port Lions) Consumer count has not shown an increase since 1975; the average for this period being 66.6 consumers. Housing and Urban Development (HUD) will be constructing 35 new units of single family housing in 1981. The Kodiak Area Native Association (KANA) has a list of 35 families that have signed up for these units including: a. 20 families moving into new homes from existing homes that they are sharing with other families. b. 10 families moving into new homes from houses out- side of Port Lions, i.e. Ouzinkie and Kodiak. 32 Residential (Port Lions) continued c. 5 families moving into new homes from sub-standard existing homes. This study was developed with the feeling that one new private unit would be constructed in each of 1980 and 1981, and then 30 new HUD units would utilize power in 1982 with the retirement of the 5 sub-standard units. From 1982 until 1989 a gradual increase of residential consumers was estimated from 94 to 105. The average monthly energy usage for the residential consumer of Port Lions showed a steady decline from 306 kwh/month in 1975 to 243 kwh/month in 1977. It is felt that this decline was due to an economic decline in the community as a result of the destruction of the Wakefield Processing Plant due to a fire. In addition the rising cost of electricity resulted in increased energy conser- vation by the comsumers. Less efficient appliances were replaced with more efficient models. Since 1977, the average usage has climbed gradually to 263 kwh/month in 1979 and it isifelt that this growth:will continue to = 310 kwh/month in 1984 and 380 kwh/month in 1989. When the Port Lions Hydro-electric Project is in operation it is felt that the energy rates will stabilize. This stabi- lization will have the effect of encouraging energy usage. 3. 33 Small Commercial (Port Lions) Historically the small commercial count in Port Lions has shown only an increase of 4 consumers from 1969 to 1977. The historical data of the number of small commercial consumers in Port Lions during 1978 and 1979 was adjusted during the first part of 1980 to 14 consumers using an average of 1060 kwh/month. These ‘figures were used in this study. A new 100 stall small boat harbor is antici- pated to be ready for occupancy in 1983. Of the avail- able stalls, it was felt that 40 would be used in 1984, the first year after construction, with 20 more stalls used by 1989. Only two loads other than the SBH loads are estimated to be added. The average monthly energy usage for the small commercial consumers in the small boat harbor was calculated using historical data from the Kodiak small boat harbor and an adjustment factor. 90 kwh/month per consumer was used for these new consumers. These figures, when averaged in with the 1060 kwh/month consumption of 1980 resulted in a monthly average of 360 kwh in 1984 and- . ~ 305 kwh in 1989. Large Commercial (Port Lions) Only one load below 350 KVA is served at the present time. This load is a floating seafood processor that has just recently returned to Port Lions. The energy usage and demands should be the same, with a 3% growth, 34 3. Large Commercial (Port Lions) continued as those achieved during 1976 and 1977, when the pro- cessor was in operation. It is anticipated that a new shore based plant replacing the floating processor, will be constructed in 1983 which would start using power in 1984. The levels of usage and demand should be equal to that of the Wakefield plant prior to the fire. No other loads in the below 350 KVA class or in the above 350 KVA class are expected. 4. Street Lights (Port Lions) Port Lions has one street light account. Additional accounts are not expected. Additional lights will be installed due to the 35 new HUD homes that are to be constructed. KW Demands (Port Lions) Because of the diversity of the types of loads and large fluctuations in KW demands over the last 5 years, load fac- tors were not used in determining peak demands. Instead, each class was looked at individually. Residential and small commercial demands were figures based on using historical and projected energy usages and REA Bulletin 45-2, Demand - Tables. The large consumer demands were figured using his- torical demands, i.e. floating processor historical demands for the time that the processor would be in Port Lions and the Wakefield historical demands when the new processor is built. 35 Line Loss (Port Lions) Historically, Port Lions has shown a low line loss figure. After the Wakefield cannery burned, the percentage of line loss increased. During 1978 and 1979, an attempt was made to correct the problem. This attempt was stopped in 1979 when the roof of the Port Lions Lodge was blown off during a severe wind storm. Lodging for our maintenance crews was not available until the summer of 1980 when the lodge was repaired. It is our feeling that the problems have been corrected in the distribution system by the replacing of defective equipment and that the line loss factor will return to previous levels. XXIV. KODIAK DIVISION A. Trend Data KWH sales in millions less sales to the large commercial classification for the period of 1969 to 1979 were trended. The large commercial loads were removed to normalize the his- torical growth as much as possible. The large commercial loads with an installed transformer capacity of 350 KVA and above were individually reviewed and estimated. Those loads between 50 and 350 KVA were reviewed and estimated on a group basis. Included in this group was a 36% increase in number of consumers due to the construction of the new Dog Bay small boat harbor. The total large commercial estimates were then added to the remaining system estimates to arrive at the total KWH sales values. 36 B. Comments by Consumer classification 1. Residential (Kodiak) In 1976 the KWH sales to this classification represented 25.82% of the systems total sales and 26.0% in 1979. The estimate for 1984 showed a decrease to 19% of the total sales. This decrease is due to the adding of the U. S. Coast Guard Base as a large commercial consumer in 1984 resulting in the large commercial growth being larger than the growth of the residential class. In 1989, the residential growth then increased to 22% of the total sales. The average monthly usage has decreased from 547 kwh/month in 1976 to 507 kwh/month in 1979. It is felt that this decrease is due to the rising cost of electri- city, a direct result of the rising cost of diesel fuel oil. The rising cost in electricity has then resulted in increased consumer energy conservation. It is felt that the decrease in usage will turn into a slight in- crease of 2 to 3% from 1980 to 1989 resulting in a 650 kwh/month average. The historical count of residential-consumers shows -an-~ <=. average yearly growth of 83 over the last 10 year period and 137 over the last 5 year period. It is felt that the average yearly consumer growth will be 100 from 1979 to 1984 and 140 from 1984 to 1989. 37 Residential (Kodiak) continued KEA has a board policy restricting the use of electric heat. Most homes are heated with oil, however many con- sumers are adding wood stoves to supplement their heating requirements. Housing construction has been down during the last year but is expected to increase slightly. It is felt that the number of new consumers will grow at a rate of 4 to 5% per year, but the growth of energy re- quirements will grow more slowly at a 2 to 3% rate. Small Commercial The number of small commercial consumers has shown a steady increase since 1970 from 320 to 531 in 1979 and it is expected that this trend will continue. Included in this class are restaurants, service scarica: gift shops, lounges, stores, schools, and boat harbor stalls. A substantial growth is expected to take place in this class due to the construction of the new Dog Bay small boat harbor. It is anticipated that the boat harbor will start using electrical power in 1983. The State of Alaska expects an ultimate capacity of 500 stalls in the boat harbor with 300 available in 1983. It is felt that 225 of the 300 stalls will use power beginning in 1983 at the historical energy rate of 175 kwh/month. Another 75 stalls utilizing power was included in 1989. The adding of these 300 low energy consumption consumers will lower the average monthly consumption from 1491 kwh/month to 865 in 1984 and 1030 in 1989. 38 Large Commercial (Under 350 KVA) (Kodiak) This class of consumers includes schools, seafood proces- sors, large stores, City of Kodiak water and sewer pumping facilities, apartment/office complexes, hotels, trans- portation and RCA communication facilities. Growth in this classification is expected to continue. Projected consumer count and energy projections were made using historical trends. Large Commercial (Over 350 KVA) (Kodiak) Of the 20 large commercial consumers with installed trans- former ratings over 350 KVA, 15 are directly related with the seafood processing industry. The remainder consists of transportation, a school, and City sewer and water pumping facilities. Discussions were held with each con- sumer and historical data was analized. The Alaska Depart- ment of Fish & Game was also contacted as they are the agency that controls the season duration and allowable catch on each species except halibut. Energy projections were then made on each consumer on an individual basis. It is felt that one unnamed potential consumer will be added to this class by 1984 and one more by 1989. It is also felt that KEA will be providing for the entire energy requirement of the U. S. Coast Guard Base by 1984. At the present time, a Power Exchange Contract exists between KEA and the Coast Guard under which there c. 39 4. Large Commercial (Over 350 KVA) (Kodiak) continued is zero power flow at the tie point plus the energy re- quired by KEA's consumers aboard the Base and at the Bells Flats/Russian Creek areas. Negotiations are in progress on KEA providing the Coast Guard requirement. Historical data for the Base during 1979 shows a demand of 3800 KW and an energy consumption of 23 million KWH. A conservative growth has been projected due to energy conservation programs and few planned construction pean jects aboard the Base. 5. Street Lights (Kodiak) Currently there are two consumers in this class, the City of Kodiak and the State of Alaska. No other con- sumers are anticipated. The City has indicated their desire to enter into a street lighting improvement pro- ject in 1981. This would result in lights being added to recently developed areas and some existing lights being replaced. The energy projections were made at a rate of 15% increased usage by 1984 and 5% increased usage by 1989. MV Demand (Kodiak) This load factor for the last three years of operation has been fairly constant. An average was taken of these three years and used in determining the MW demands. The recent addition of a demand charge to the large consumers and the greater diversification of the fishing industry to other 40 C. MV Demand (Kodiak) continued species over the years has resulted in a higher and more constant load factor. se D. Line Loss (Kodiak) The historical eleven year system loss average is 6.1% or 2% below the standard curve of 8.1%. KEA has planned to minimize line losses by the utilization of larger size con- ductors as calculated in an economic conductor evaluation. Recent construction during the latter part of 1979 and 1980 and the planned construction in the future will, utilizing larger conductor, minimize losses. It is felt that the trend in line losses will be near the 6.1% average. CLOSING COMMENTS Historically, the Kodiak area's economy has been linked wita the sea in fishing and fish processing. Initially, the concentration was on the harvesting of salmon. During recent times the trend has been towards the fishing of other stocks like shéllfish and shr ap. Kodiak's fishery will continue to diversify into a year-round indus ry with the addition of herring and bottomfish. The addition of ‘ xe Coast Guard Base as a large power consumer of KEA will greatly .icrease de- mands and energy consumption over present values. The di.ersity of the seafood industry and the addition of the Coast Guard Bas: vill further stabilize the annual load factor. The influence on the wssible power 41 requirements, of the oil exploration activities around Kodiak, was not considered in the Summary of Consumers and KWH estimates. This study would require a revision should oil become a reality. Without oil, it is felt that the historical trends basically will continue. Established by: > ’ Lo ae ) - jE. TE a . ron ce 2 vedo Et ie t, pL chan David S. Neasé, General Manager Edwin K. Kozak, Staff “Engineer Kodiak Area SYSTEM DESIGNATION Alaska 3 Kodiak NAME OF SYSTEM Kodiak Electric Association, Inc. DATE October 10, 1980 FORM APPROVED OMB NO. 40-R3881 USDA - REA SUMMARY OF CONSUMERS AND kwh ESTIMATES CLASS OF CONSUMER 3 Bh OF conse saa kwh am 1. RURAL RESIDENTIAL 2,900 3,600 560 T 650 2. SEASONAL (Ann.) ¢ monthe) . TOWN RESIDENTIAL 1 4. IRRIGATION (Ann) ( hp.) 5. SECURITY LIGHTS (Ann.) 6. SMALL COMMERCIAL 865 1,030 1,250 71,240 7. PUBLIC STREET & HIGHWAY LIGHTING (Ann.) 2 2 434,348 ** 456 2065 8. PUBLIC BUILDINGS 9. OIL WELLS (Ann.) hp.) 10. yale pina OWN USE (NON-REVENUE PRODUCING) | q ) (1 ) 66,382 69,701 11, LARGE COMMERCIAL (Ann.) (Under 350 kw) 48 63 #02 5735 422 ,872 TOTAL POWER REQUIREMENTS ITEM : [ 19 79 19 84 19 89 12: ANNUAL kwh REQUIREMENTS 60,300,000 109,000,000 _| 136,000,000 . 13. INCLUDING LOSSES@ 7.3 % 6.1 % Bot 14. ANNUAL LOAD FACTOR (Based on non-coincident monthly system peak demand) 60.9 % 60.4 % 60.4% 15. rceeet MONTHLY SYSTEM PEAK 11,300 20;;6007 L 25,700 16. SOURCE(S) OF SUPPLY _Self Generation * REVISION OF kwh ESTIMATES DATED May 1977 ESTABLISHED BY REVIEWED BY Edwin K. Kozak, Staff Engineer David S. Nease, General Manager REA Form 341 7-73 Sheet 1 of 2 FORM APPROVED SYSTEM DESIGNATION eee eee Alaska 3 Kodiak (Kodiak Area) USDA - REA NAME OF SYSTEM Kodiak Electric Association, Inc, — LARGE COMMERCIAL DATE October 10, 1980 INSTRUCTIONS - Show number of consumers involved and include all large power consumers, sales for resale, wheeling arrangements, etc. riaR on " ESTIMATED kw BILLING DEMAND [ kwh USAGE NAME OF L. GE COM RCIAL is 84 a 89 as 34 L 1989 Alaska Packers Acct. #6 506 557 1,490,645 1.639.710 Swiftsure Acct. #14B 596 656 | 1,139,040 1,252 .944 Alaska Fresh Seafoods Acct. 14D 460 506 748,977 1 823.875 Roxanne Fisheries Acct. 333A 129 131 337,742 344 497 Ursin Seafood Acct. 335 484 508 661,597 | ——S—i694 677. Pacific Pearl Seafoods Acct. 336 888 933 2.894 ,380 3,039,099 _ Western Alaska Fisheries Acct. 339 869 | 913 | _2,800,560 | _?,940,58R King Crab Inc. Acct. 340 568 _624 963,306 | 1,059,637 — King Crab Inc. Acct. 340 | 415 456 1,374,112 | 1,511,523 Alaska Pacific Seafoods Acct. 344 463 486 920,640 966,672 _ Alaska Pacific Seafoods Acct. 345 687 722 1,438,416 1,510,336 Sea Land Acct. 354 307 353 220,064 253,074 Sea Land Acct. 354B 406 467 775,891 | 892,275 Bio-Dry Acct. 3556 149 152 343,699 |- 350,573 Alaska Food Company Acct. 358A 746 820 | 2,925,600 3,218,160 State Vocational School Acct. B4e 104 106 426 258 434,783 East Point Seafoods Acct. 460 329 362 1,023,229 |. 1,125,552 International Seafoods Acct. 471D 587 616 1,417,615 1,488.5 Sewer Treatment Plant Acct. 76] 172 181 841 .680 883.764 City of Kodiak, Monashka Acct. 1960 711 935 1,829,893 | 2,474,246 Le sanks REA FORM341a 7-73 Page 2 of 2 2 USDA - REA LARGE COMMERCIAL . 4 - —_— arrangements, etc. FORM APPROVED OMB NO. 40-R3881 SYSTEM DESIGNATION Alaska 3 Kodiak (Kodiak Area) NAME OF SYSTEM Kodiak Electric Association, Inc. DATE October 10, 1980 INSTRUCTIONS - Show number of consumers involved and include all large power consumers, sales for resale, wheeling ESTIMATED kw BILLING DEMAND kwh USAGE NAME OF LARGE COMMERCIAL 1384 7389 73 BE T rr Bg” Named Potential US Coast Guard 4000 4500 24,177,600 27,199,800 Unnamed Potential | | One @ 350 350 1,226 ,400 1,226,400 One @ 350 --- 1,226,400 + _| REA FORM341laq 7-73 Pf 46 3090 1 YEAR BY MONTHS X 150 DIVISIONS KEUFFEL & ESSER CO. MAneinus® Kee KW PEAK DEMAND X 100 140 130 1205 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 30 20 10 ALASKA 3 KODIAK MONTHLY SYSTEM PEAKS KODIAK AREA y Hh eee = TTT] LL LiL UA T iT ST Jan. Feb. Mar. May June. July Aug. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1977-79 Nn w cs w ov 0S 09 Qe | 08 06 oot 002 SH von wi advW OD Y3SS2 ¥ W944N|AN DIWH. O1-W ’ $315 HAIG 0S7¢ ay Port Lions Area FORM APPROVED SYSTEM DESIGNATION OMB NO. 40-R3881 Alaska 3 Kodiak USDA REA NAME OF SYSTEM KODIAK ELECTRIC ASSOCIATION, INC. DATE SUMMARY OF CONSUMERS AND kwh ESTIMATES [ October 1980 L NO. OF CONSUMERS kwh ESTIMATES * CLASS OF CONSUMER I 7384 389 284 T 7989 1.XXRXKK RESIDENTIAL : | 95 105 310 380 2. SEASONAL (Ann.) ( months) + 3. TOWN RESIDENTIAL 4. IRRIGATION (Ann.) ¢ hp.) 5. SECURITY LIGHTS (Ann.) 6. SMALL COMMERCIAL 55 76 360 305 7. PUBLIC STREET & HIGHWAY LIGHTING (Ann.) : 1 1 12240 13440 8. PUBLIC BUILDINGS 9. OIL WELLS (Ann.) ¢ hp.) == 10. BORROWER'S O¥N USE (NON-REVENUE PRODUCING) (Ann.) 11. LARGE COMMERCIAL (Ann.) (Under 350 kw) 1 | 1 1,128,000 1,400,000 TOTAL POWER REQUIREMENTS _ ITEM 1979 1984 1389 12. ANNUAL kwh REQUIREMENTS 498,500 | 1 ,850,000 | 2,300,000 . | 13. INCLUDING LOSSES€ 20.6 % 6.5 *% 5.5 % 34. ANNUAL LOAD FACTOR (Based on non-coincident monthly system peak demand) 35.6 % 42.8 % 50.0 * 15. NON-COINCIDENT MONTHLY SYSTEM PEAK DEMAND (kw) 160 490 530 16. SOURCE(S) OF SUPPLY Self-Generation * REVISION OF kwh ESTIMATES DATED May 1977 ESTABLISHED BY REVIEWED BY | Edwin K. Kozak, Staff Engineer David S. Nease, General Manager REA Form 341 7-73 46 3090 1 YEAR BY MONTHS X 150 DIVISIONS KEUFFEL & ESSER CO. Maneimusa KeE 300256 280340 260138 240228 22033 200363 180 9@ 16028 10053 — 80<3 6022 40 20 202 ALASKA 3 KODIAK PORT LIONS DEMAND CURVE May June July Aug. 1977-79 “LES JIVIS HMIC KEUFFEL & FSSEIT CO. mane iw LO 4v 9250 usa & ie Sd —t— Mla | 84 epoats Lidia 83 wali) 82 SS a =e = 80 ft fp ‘ibis 79 78 44 | itte 77 1} | in | wed fill FUUPREWOUU HEWES BUUNOUE TS Ws) 76 || Asan Vo. r \ tt eee RenaEE { -H Ly 1 LY Haulia 73 | R | NO bs) | Hl A rate | ” (A 4 ‘| H 1 72 b kiw UM. | IDTEVOVE FRU GUOEEPID VED RTE t == ——— = : =~ Qo : 2 : —— z = ; = BR ; = + + + To = + ——— f = = m0 2m