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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCost Benefit Worksheet Renewable Energy Fund Round 5 Project Cost/Benefit Worksheet RFA AEA12-001 Application Cost Worksheet Page 1 7-1-11 Please note that some fields might not be applicable for all technologies or all project phases. The level of information detail varies according to phase requirements. 1. Renewable Energy Source – Cook Inlet Transmission Line (CITL) in support of Fire Island Wind Farm (FIWF) The Applicant should demonstrate that the renewable energy resource is available on a sustainable basis. Annual average resource availability. The Cook Inlet Transmission Line (CITL) which is the subject of this application will be constructed in order to transmit power from renewable projects located on Fire Island. Initially, the CITL will transmit clean renewable power from the Fire Island W ind project (FIW) to the consumers of electricity in Alaska’s Railbelt. The annual availability of the CITL is expected to be virtually 100% for this purpose. The annual availability of FIW for generation of renewable power will be warranted at 95% annually. The net capacity factor of FIW is 32.8% on an annual basis1. The expected annual production from the initial phase of the FIWF is 51,000 Megawatt-hours (MWh), which is enough energy to meet the annual electricity needs of approximately 6,050 typical Alaskan homes2. Once fully built out to its 52.8 MW capacity, the FIWF will be capable of producing approximately 153,000 MWh; enough electricity to meet the needs of over 18,200 typical Alaskan homes. The production of electricity from FIW depends only on the mechanical availability of the wind generation, the transmission line and wind speed. Unit depends on project type (e.g. windspeed, hydropower output, biomasss fuel) 2. Existing Energy Generation and Usage – system will be part of Railbelt a) Basic configuration (if system is part of the Railbelt3 grid, leave this section blank) i. Number of generators/boilers/other ii. Rated capacity of generators/boilers/other iii. Generator/boilers/other type iv. Age of generators/boilers/other 1 Based on Wind Resource and Energy Assessment Fire Island Wind Power Project, final report dated August 22, 2011 that considered over 5 years of meteorological data from the site. 2 Assumes average consumption of 0.7 MWh/month per residence. 3 The Railbelt grid connects all customers of Chugach Electric Association, Homer Electric Association, Golden Valley Electric Association, the City of Seward Electric Department, Matanuska Electric Association and Anchorage Municipal Light and Power. Renewable Energy Fund Round 5 Project Cost/Benefit Worksheet RFA AEA12-001 Application Cost Worksheet Page 2 7-1-11 v. Efficiency of generators/boilers/other b) Annual O&M cost (if system is part of the Railbelt grid, leave this section blank) i. Annual O&M cost for labor The system will be part of the Railbelt grid. ii. Annual O&M cost for non-labor c) Annual electricity production and fuel usage (fill in as applicable) (if system is part of the Railbelt grid, leave this section blank) i. Electricity [kWh] The system will be part of the Railbelt grid. ii. Fuel usage Diesel [gal] None Other None. Wind is the fuel. iii. Peak Load iv. Average Load v. Minimum Load vi. Efficiency vii. Future trends d) Annual heating fuel usage (fill in as applicable) i. Diesel [gal or MMBtu] n/a ii. Electricity [kWh] n/a iii. Propane [gal or MMBtu] n/a iv. Coal [tons or MMBtu] n/a v. Wood [cords, green tons, dry tons] n/a vi. Other n/a 3. Proposed System Design Capacity and Fuel Usage (Include any projections for continued use of non-renewable fuels) a) Proposed renewable capacity (Wind, Hydro, Biomass, other) [kW or MMBtu/hr] Wind production capacity from the initial phase = 17.6 MW. Once fully built out, wind production capacity = 52.8 MW. Additionally, Ocean Renewable Power Company, LLC (Ocean Renewable) has proposed a tidal project off the west coast of Fire Island at Race Point. The proposed capacity of the tidal project is 2 MW by 2012 and 5 MW by 2013. The total possible renewable generation capacity that will be facilitated by the CITL is therefore 57.8 MW. b) Proposed annual electricity or heat production (fill in as applicable) i. Electricity [kWh] The expected annual production from the initial phase of the FIWF is 51,000 Megawatt-hours (MWh), which is enough energy to meet the annual electricity needs of approximately 6,050 typical Alaskan homes4. Once fully built out to its 52.8 MW capacity, 4 Based on Wind Resource and Energy Assessment Fire Island Wind Power Project, final report dated August 22, 2011 that considered over 5 years of meteorological data from the site. Renewable Energy Fund Round 5 Project Cost/Benefit Worksheet RFA AEA12-001 Application Cost Worksheet Page 3 7-1-11 the FIWF will be capable of producing approximately 153,000 MWh; enough electricity to meet the needs of over 18,200 typical Alaskan homes.5 Additional energy from the first phase of the tidal project would increase energy production transmitted from Fire Island by approximately 6,132 MW in 2012 and 15,330 by 2013. ii. Heat [MMBtu] None c) Proposed annual fuel usage (fill in as applicable) i. Propane [gal or MMBtu] None ii. Coal [tons or MMBtu] None iii. Wood [cords, green tons, dry tons] None iv. Other None 4. Project Cost a) Total capital cost of new system b) Development cost6 The CITL is estimated to cost $36.795 million. The total cost cost of the new system is $105 million and includes 1) the FIW project, 2) the CITL transmission line, and 3) the costs incurred to remove obstructive FAA facilities from the FIW site. These costs are shared by both private and public funding. If this application is funded as requested the cost responsibility breaks down as follows: $57 million private funding, $29 million State funding, and $19 million federal funding. Therefore, every $1 of State funding will enable $2.6 of incremental private and federal funding. c) Annual O&M cost7 of new system Annual O&M cost for the CITL is anticipated to be $1,800 per mile. The transmission line is approximately 12.2 miles and therefore the resulting annual O&M cost is approximately $22,000. The O&M cost for the FIWF is included in the Power Purchase Price outlined in section 6.a below. d) Annual fuel cost Zero 5 Assumes average consumption of 0.7 MWh/month per residence. 6 For purposes of this application “Development Cost” is assumed to be the cost necessary to determine initial project feasibility, capital cost and siting. For the FIWF and the CITL, development activities are already complete. 7 O&M cost includes payments to 3rd parties for service, and O&M of the FIWF wind turbines. The cost of O&M annually for the CITL is essentially zero. Renewable Energy Fund Round 5 Project Cost/Benefit Worksheet RFA AEA12-001 Application Cost Worksheet Page 4 7-1-11 5. Project Benefits a) Amount of fuel displaced for i. Electricity Phase I of FIW will displace between 300,000 and 350,000 MMBtu/year of natural gas which would otherwise be used for generation fuel. Fully built out at 52.8 MW, FIW will displace between 900,000 and 1,000,000 MMBtu/year of natural gas which would otherwise be used for generation fuel. Additionally, if Ocean Renewable’s tidal project reaches 5 MW by 2013, the annual fuel savings from renewable projects located on Fire Island could be as much as 1,100,000 MMBtu. ii. Heat N/A iii. Transportation Natural gas which is not used for generation fuel will not need to be transported from the point of production to the generation facility. Therefore, costs related to the transportation of natural gas will also be avoided. b) Current price of displaced fuel The average annual price forecast for natural gas fuel that CEA used in its analysis of the FIWF is included in Tariff Advice Letter 335-8.. Average price of avoided natural gas ranges from approximately $7.75/MMBtu initially to over $17.00/MMBtu by the end of the 25 year term of the power purchase agreement between FIWF and CEA. Relating to the 17.6 MW phase I of the FIWF, the average annual cost savings in natural gas fuel that CEA used in its analysis of the FIWF is included in TA Letter 335-8. The NPV of fuel savings relating to the FIWF is $60.6 million. When fully built out to its 52.8 MW capacity, this value of fuel saved would be triple that shown for the Phase I FIWF analysis. c) Other economic benefits CEA’s Tariff Advice Letter 335-8 estimates the value of reduced carbon emissions and Renwable Energy Certificates (REC’s) related to the avoidance of natural gas fuel consumption, which relates to the CITL and the FIWF. Relating to the 17.6 MW phase I of the FIWF, the average annual value of carbon emission reductions CEA used in its analysis of the FIWF is included in Tariff Advice Letter 335-8 at Table 7.0 and in Appendix G. The NPV of REC’s and carbon emissions is greater than $8.8 million. When fully built out to its 52.8 MW capacity, this value of carbon emission reductions and REC’s would be triple that shown for the Phase I FIWF analysis. d) Alaska public benefits The FIWF and the CITL begin the process of diversifying the Railbelt generation portfolio away from natural gas fuel, and thereby helps reduce risk associated with the future availability of natural gas as well as fuel cost risk to Railbelt consumers. The FIWF and the CITL also begin moving the State of Alaska toward its legislatively mandated renewable energy goal of achieving 50% renewable power by 2025. The project will be constructed at a time when Renewable Energy Fund Round 5 Project Cost/Benefit Worksheet RFA AEA12-001 Application Cost Worksheet Page 5 7-1-11 unemployment levels are at historical highs. The project is expected to generate more than 105 construction jobs, twenty professional jobs (engineering, PM, permitting, etc.) and four to five long- term, high-wage permanent positions. Additionally, development of Fire Island will expand Chugach’s service territory to include the island and bring the Municipality of Anchorage new tax revenue to help fund schools and general city administration. The project is extremely well supported by the public, as is evidenced by the more than 100 letters of support which were filed with the RCA in June and July 2011. Those letters are attached as Appendix 7 to this application. 6. Power Purchase/Sales Price a) Price for power purchase/sale The power from the project is priced at a f lat rate without escalation for the entire 25 year term beginning in January 2013. The price is $107.85/MWh less $10.85/MWh paid to CEA by Fire Island Wind for integration, which results in a net cost of $97.85/MWh. The net cost of $97.85/MWh includes all O&M necessary for FIW. 7. Project Analysis a) Basic Economic Analysis Project benefit/cost ratio Chugach estimates the NPV of benefits associated with the FIW Phase I and the CITL are $80.2 million and the NPV of costs associated with the Phase I of FIW and CITL are $77.2 million. When fully built out to its 52.8 MW capacity, the relative benefit will be at least triple what is shown in the CEA Tariff Advice Letter. It is likely that future costs of renewable projects located on Fire Island will not be linear compared to costs of Phase I since the entire cost CITL is included in Phase I of FIW and those CITL costs would not be present in future expansions. Payback (years)