HomeMy WebLinkAboutSusitna Hydrology & Hydraulic Studies 1986COLD REGIONS HYDROLOGY SYMPOSIUM
JULY AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION 1986
HYDROLOGY AND HYDRAULIC STUDIES
FOR LICENSING OF THE SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT
Eugene J. Gemperlinel
ABSTRACT: The planning for and licensing
of a major hydroelectric project require
many hydrologic and hydraulic studies.
These range from observations of existing
conditions in the watershed, to estimates
of project related effects on water use,
water quality and impacts on the eco-
system. The number and breadth of these
studies for a project located in a cold
region is discussed. Examples of analyses
used to predict changes to plants and
animals resulting from the construction and
operation of this major hydroelectric
facility are presented. Hydrologic con-
siderations in the design and operation of
such a facility which are additional to
considerations in a more temperate zone are
included. For example, the effects of
glaciers on streamflow and on sediment and
the effects of ice on river stage and
reservoir heat transfer are topics which
,are not addressed in temperate region
'hydro -projects. Evaluation of such a
'development in a cold region, therefore,
;requires the coordinated efforts of
'fhydrologists, hydraulic engineers, fishery,
!wildlife and plant biologists.
(Key Terms: Cold Regions Hydrology, Hydro-
electric Projects, Licensing, Environmental
Impacts, Alaska Railbelt.)
INTRODUCTION
Project Description
The Susitna Hydroelectric Project has
been proposed by the Alaska Power Authority
to provide for the projected electrical
energy needs of the Railbelt region in the
21st century. The Railbelt region is the
area of southcentral Alaska extending from
Homer at the southern tip of the Kenai
Peninsula to Fairbanks and including the
large metropolitan area of Anchorage. The
region is so -named because its principal
cities are linked by the Alaska Railroad
(Figure 1) .
The project would consist of two dams,
powerhouses and appurtenant facilities, to
be located on the Susitna River about
midway between Anchorage and Fairbanks.
The upstream development at the Watana site
is located 296 km (184 miles) upstream of
the river's mouth at Cook Inlet. This dam
would be an earth and rockfill structure
and would be built in two stages. In the
initial stage the dam height would be
raised approximately 214 m (702 ft.) above
its foundation to El. 617.2 m (2,025 ft.
msl). A powerhouse with four turbine/
generator units (units) having a total
average capability of 440 MW at a discharge
of approximately 340 m3/s (12,000 cfs)
would become operational in 1999. This dam
would be raised to El. 672.1 m (2,205 ft.
msl) in the third stage of the project,
following completion of the downstream dam.
Two additional units would be added to
the powerhouse increasing the total
average generating capability of the
Watana development to 1,110 MW at
a discharge of approximately 650 m3/s
(23,000 cfs). The two additional units
would become operational in 2012. The
downstream development at the Devil Canyon
site is located 245 km (152 miles)
111anager, Hydrologic and Hydraulic Studies, Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture, 711 H St.
Anchorage, Alaska, 99501 now at Stetson-Harza, 185 Genesee St., Utica, New York, 13501.
73
E
upstream of Cook Inlet. The dam at this
site would be a thin concrete arch
structure with a crest at El. 446 m (1463
ft. msl) 197 m (646 ft.) above its
foundation. The downstream impoundment
would extend to the upstream dam. The
powerhouse at Devil Canyon would contain
four units and have a total average
generating capability of 680 MW at a flow
of 430 m /s (15,200 cfs) . These units
would become operational in 2005.
The Watana dam site is located in a
broad U-shaped canyon and the Devil Canyon
dam site is located in a narrow, steeply
incised canyon. The Watana reservoir
would provide the flow regulation for its
own and the Devil Canyon powerhouses. The
Devil Canyon dam would provide little flow
regulation but would develop additional
head. The Watana reservoir would impound
5.3x109m3 (4.3x106 ac-ft) of water in
Stage I and 11.7x109 m3 (9.5x106 ac-ft) of
water when it is raised in Stage III. The
Devil Canyon dam would impound 1.4x109 m3
(1.lxl06 ac-ft) of water (APA 1985).
History of Project
The proposed project is a result of a
series of reconnaissance, prefeasibility
and feasibility studies performed by
various agencies of the Federal Government
and the State of Alaska (Acres 1981). The
initial reconnaissance level work by the
U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR)
identified five damsites from a list of 25
as being most appropriate for further
investigation. These sites were all
located in the river reach upstream of the
major confluences with the Chulitna and
Talkeetna Rivers. These areas were
considered appropriate because the site
characteristics generally allow for high
heads to be developed and substantial flow
regulation to be achieved with dams
located in relatively narrow canyons.
Additionally, dams located in this reach
would have less effect on the river's
large anadromous fishery than dams at
downstream sites. Later studies by the
USBR, Alaska Power Administration and
H. J. Kaiser Co. for the State of Alaska
built upon the original USBR study with
some slight refinements to the site
locations. All proposed the Devil Canyon
site as the initial damsite with upstream
sites to be developed in the future. The
U. S. Army Corps of Engineers (COE)
prepared comprehensive basin studies in
1975 and 1979 and proposed the damsites at
Watana and Devil Canyon as the most
appropriate. Following the COE's 1979
study the State of Alaska formed the.
Alaska Power Authority (APA) for the
purpose of planning for the power needs of
Alaska and developing the projects to meet
the needs. The APA reassessed the
previous studies and confirmed the conclu-
sions of the COE. The initial License
Application before the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission (FERC) was filed by
the APA in 1983 (APA 1983). This applica-
tion was amended to include refinements
and staging the Watana dam (APA 1985).
The latest application has recently been
withdrawn in favor of a study of
alternative energy sources for the
region.
The Basin
The drainage basin upstream of the
Devil Canyon site is located approximately
between latitude 62°05' and 63°40' North
and between longitude 146010' and 149°30'
West in south central Alaska, approxi-
mately 225 km (140 miles) north-northeast
of Anchorage and 177 km (110 miles)
south-southwest of Fairbanks (Figure 1).
The drainage areas upstream from the Devil
Canyon and Watana damsites are about
15,050 and 13,400 square kilometers,
(5,810 sq. mi. and 5,180 sq. mi) respec-
tively.
The basin is geographically bounded by
the Alaska Range to the north and west,
and the Talkeetna Mountains to the south
and east. The topography is varied and
includes rugged mountainous terrain,
plateaus, broad river valleys and lakes.
Mount McKinley (El. 6,194 ia) is located on
the northwest divide of the basin.
Elevations within the basin upstream of
the Devil Canyon site range from approxi-
mately 260 meters above mean sea level
(850 ft, msl) at Devil. Canyon site to over
2,100 meters, msl (7,000 ft. msl) near t1he
head reach of the Susitna River.
Approximately 5% of this basin is
covered by glaciers. Three major glaciers
- West Fork Susitna, East Fork Susitna and
Maclaren, exist in the basin. The
landscape consists of barren bedrock.
mountains, glacial till -covered plains and
74
Neosi /
vaeiri /
W a
F- a Y
CO W Co
ir a
p a F- J
z Q fA a
W
0
W , • }
J j}
L LJ
0
LL
75
exposed bedrock cliffs in canyons and
along streams. Soils are typical of those
formed in cold, wet climates and have
developed from glacial till and out -wash.
They include the acidic, saturated, peaty
soils of poorly drained areas, the acidic
relatively infertile soils of the forest
and gravels and sands along the river.
The basin is generally underlain by
discontinuous permafrost.
The River
The Susitna River originates in the
East Fork and West Fork Susitna Glaciers
at an altitude of approximately 2,380 m
(7,800 ft. msl) and travels a distance of
about 512 km (318 miles) before dis-
charging into Cook Inlet. The head waters
of the Susitna River and the major upper
basin tributaries are characterized by
broad, braided, gravel flood plains below
the glaciers. Several glacierized streams
exit from beneath the glaciers before they
combine further downstream. Below the
confluence with the West Fork Susitna
River, the river develops a split -channel
configuration with numerous islands and is
generally constrained by low bluffs for
about 89 km (55 miles). The Maclaren
River, draining the Maclaren Glacier and a
few small lakes, and the non -glacial Tyone
River draining Lake Louise and swampy
lowlands of the south-eastern part of the
basin, join the main river downstream of
Denali. Below this confluence, the river
flows west for about 155 km (96 miles)
through steep -walled canyons before
reaching the mouth of Devil Canyon. River
gradients average about 0.3 percent in a
87 km (54-mile) reach upstream of Watana,
about 0.2 percent from Watana to the
entrance of Devil Canyon and about 0.6
percent in a 19 km (12-mile) reach between
Devil Creek and the outlet of Devil
Canyon.
The Susitna River is typical of glacial
rivers with high turbid summer flow and
low, clear winter flow. The discharge
generally starts increasing during early
May. The base flows during July through
September are due to groundwater, glacial
melt and melt of long tern snowpack. Peak
flows during this period are associated
with general frontal type of thunderstorm
activities. The river flow rapidly
decreases in October and November as the
river freezes. The break-up generally
occurs in early May. The May through June
flows are caused by snowmelt combined with
rainfall. Melting of snow, firn and ice
from the glaciers has accounted for about
13% of the annual streamflow at Devil
Canyon. The average summer and winter
flows at a few selected stream gaging
stations are given in Table 1. Figure 1
shows the locations of the stream gaging
stations.
Project Operation
The project will operate by storing the
high summer flows in Watana Reservoir to
provide a dependable source of power in
the winter for the Railbelt. The reser-
voirs will generally be full in late
August or September and the Watana
Reservoir will be drawn down throughout
the winter. It will reach its lowest
level in early May and begin to fill as
river flows increase from snowmelt and
rainfall. Filling will continue
throughout summer until the water level
reaches its normal maximum level. This
can occur as early as late June in a wet
year or as late as early September in a
dry year.
When the reservoir is full, inflow in
excess of power and environmental flow
requirements must be released. Hih
inflows in July and August may often
exceed these requirements resulting in the
need to release flows through outlet works
to prevent the reservoir water level from
encroaching on dam safety requirements.
Table 1 compares natural and with -project
flows for the Susitna River at Gold Creel:
for summer (May - September) and winter
(October - April) periods based on 34
years of record and simulations of project
operation (Wu et. al. 1986). Gold Creek
is 26 km (16 miles) downstream of the
Devil Canyon site and is the location at
which environmental flow requirements will
be gaged. There are no major tributaries
between the damsites and Gold Creek.
Average monthly flows and floods during
Stage I, II, and early Stage III would be
similar. Energy demands are projected to
increase in late Stage III and the summer
flows would decrease accordingly.
Flood peak discharges would also be
reduced due to the storage capacity of the
Watana Reservoir as shown by Table 2.
76
Summer
(May -
Sept)
Winter
(Oct -
Apr)
Susitna River
Drainage
Stages
Stage
Stages
Stage
Gaging Station
Area
Natural
I, II
III
Natural
I, II
III
(Sq. km)
Near Denali
2,460
179
179
179
11.7
11.7
11.7
Near Cantwell
10,700
365
365
365
37.8
37.8
37.8
At Gold Creek
16,000
572
374
285
64.1
207
271
At Sunshine
28,700
1,380
1,180
1,090
153
296
360
At Susitna Station
50,200
2,680
2,480
2,390
354
497
561
Table I. Average Summer and Winter Flows (m3/s) at Selected Stream Gaging Stations for
Natural and With -Project Conditions
Return
Period
(Years)
Natural-U
Gold
Creek Sunshine
Gold Creek
Sunshine
Stages I, II�J
Stage II1_1/
Stages I, II
Stage III
2
1,360 4,050
1,030
626
3,650
2,970
5
1,790 4,700
1,220
844
4,190
3,430
10
2,090 5,180
1,250
968
4,560
3,770
25
2,470 5,670
1,270
1,080
4,930
4,160
50
2,770 6,060
1,320
1,210
5,270
4,500
Table 2. Natural and With -Project Floods Susitna River (m3/s)
Annual series, occurs in May - June at Gold Creek and July - September at Sunshine.
July - September series. Under natural conditions the highest peak floods occur in
June as a result of snowmelt and precipitation runoff. Regulation of floods by the
reservoir will delay the highest floods until the July - September period except in
late Stage III. In late Stage III regulation by the project will be so large that
July - September floods will be less than those in June.
Overview of Hydrologic Studies
The planning for and licensing of a
major hydroelectric project require many
hydrologic and hydraulic studies. The
initial requirement, during the
reconnaissance level studies, is for a
reasonable estimation of streamflow
quantity, time distribution and
reliability. As the need for the project
increases and the proposed sites must be
Screened to develop plans worthy of more
detailed and costly investigation, the
scope of the hydrologic studies must also
increase. More accurate knowledge of
flows is required in these prefeasibility
level studies and potential project
effects on the ecosystem must be more
accurately evaluated. For the feasibility
and licensing level of work, the selected
development will be compared to other
projects on the bases of economic and
engineering feasibility and environmental
impacts. For a large, capital intensive
project located in an ecologically sensi-
tive area to survive comparison against
smaller, less capital intensive projects
with less visible environmental impacts
requires accurate determination of the
hydrologic resource available to produce
energy and comprehensive studies of how
project operation will affect the environ-
ment.
During feasibility and licensing of the
project, hydrologic studies are carried
out for three purposes: one, to develop
77
information on flows required to judge the
project economics; two, to develop
information necessary for the planning and
preliminary design of project structures;
and, three, to estimate potential project
effects on the water resource and
resulting impacts to humans, animals and
plants which use the water.
From an engineering or project design
standpoint there are many hydrologic
considerations. The most important is the
time distribution and reliability of river
inflow and how this affects the need for
active storage capacity in the reservoir.
This was a factor in the selection of
possible dam sites and in the scheduling
of Watana dam construction ahead of Devil
Canyon.
Other hydrologic considerations in
design were the potential for glacial
outbreak floods and the influence of mass
glacial wasting on streamflows. The
location of the project in a cold region
with its great variation in summer and
winter streamflows, the importance of
snowmelt and glacier melt and the presence
of glaciers which could surge or cause
jokulhlaups has resulted in studies which
would not be carried out in a more
temperate climatic region.
The proposed project is located in a
wilderness like area on a stream which
supports a diverse anadromous fishery in a
basin which contains much wildlife. The
potential for affecting this ecosystem is
an important issue and is addressed
primarily by hydrologic and hydraulic
studies coordinated with biologic studies.
Such factors as the project influence on
downstream flows, water temperature,
sediment concentration, river ice regime,
and dissolved gas concentration have been
evaluated in great detail with hydrologic
and hydraulic studies and have influenced
the proposed project design and operation.
Again, the breadth of these studies is
larger in a cold region than in a more
southerly area because of the occurrence
of ice on the river and proposed
reservoir, and its affect on water levels,
river and reservoir temperatures.
Hydrologic studies will not end with
project licensing. In fact, they will
likely increase as project operators and
fish and wildlife agencies seek to use the
water resource to greater advantage.
Efforts will be made to forecast reservoir
inflows (Hydex, 1985). Project effects on
temperature, ice, sediment, etc. will be
monitored and predictions made during
licensing will be refined. Effects on
fish and wildlife will be observed.
Energy demand growth, now just a predic-
tion, will occur. Project operation will
need to be modified to meet the need for
energy and to preserve and enhance the
environment.
HYDROLOGIC STUDIES FOR PROJECT ICONOMICS
The hydrologic studies required to
evaluate project economics center on three
subjects: one, the quantity of flow in
the river, two, the distribution of this
flow throughout the year, and three, the
reliability of this flow from year to
year. These three factors along with the
topographic features of a reservoir site
(depth, volume, surface area) determine
the average energy which can be generated,
the reliable or firm energy, the amount of
storage which must be provided in the
reservoir and the manner of reservoir
operation. The location of the Susitna
Project in a cold region influences the
three parameters.
The first parameter, average quantity
of flow, is a function of precipitation,
evaporation and transpiration since, over
the long term, runoff must equal precipi-
tation minus the other losses. This is
largely controlled by the basins' geo-
graphic location, topography and large
scale weather patterns. The main influ-
ences on the quantity of flow due to the
cold climate, which are different than in
a more temperate climate, would be the
effects on evaporation and transpiration
losses.
For the Susitna Project the estimation
of streamflow quantities was relatively
simple. The U.S. Geological Survey has
collected streamflow information at a site
near the proposed project since the
potential project was first considered.
Thus, thirty-four years of flow data are
available (USGS, 1949-1984). These values
were transposed to the project site using
multi -site regression analyses (Harza-
Ebasco 1985a).
While its location in a cold region may
not affect the quantity of flow, the
location does affect the distribution of
flow within the year and the reliability
78
of flow from year to year. The location
of the energy demand centers in a cold
region also affects the demand for the
power over a year and thus affects the
project operation. In a warmer climate,
such as in some areas of the 48 contiguous
U.S. states, summer temperatures are
typically hot enough to require air
conditioning. These areas may experience
their highest electrical energy demands in
the summer. In contrast, the Alaska
Railbelt has mild summers not requiring
air conditioning. Winters are cold, long,
and relatively dark resulting in highest
electrical energy demands in December and
January. This pattern of energy consump-
tion is expected to continue in the future
and contrasts with the pattern of stream -
flows.
The long period of subfreezing air
temperature (October - April) results in
extreme differences between summer (May -
September) and winter streamflows.
Average summer streamflows are 470 m3/s
efs compared to average winter flows of
approximately 53 m3/s. Therefore, the
Watana Reservoir must provide an active
storage equal to 0.6 of the average annual
inflow in order to provide a dependable
capacity equivalent to 211 m3/s in the
winter of a very dry year. While the
extreme seasonal distribution of inflow
results in the requirement of a large
storage capacity, other factors offset
this. These are the minimal net
- evaporative loss from the reservoir
surface and the presence of glaciers and
occurrence of long term snow pack. In
effect, the river streamflow is regulated
by the glaciers and snowpack. Studies
were undertaken to estimate the net
difference between evaporation from the
reservoir surface and evapotranspiration
from the same area under natural
conditions (Harza-Ebasco 1985a). These
2 established that net loss of water would
be less than 0.1% of the annual inflow.
Thus, this was not a factor in sizing the
'.reservoir as in warmer. climates.
Studies were also made to determine how
tie glaciers act to regulate streamflow
f'R&M 1981, 1982, Clarke et . al . 1985,
-Clarke, 1986). Although they cover only
SX of the basin they have a significant
$ulating effect. In wet years they tend
m to accumulate snowfall and in dry years
Chet' tend to waste. A study of the mass
balance of the glaciers was undertaken to
determine whether there were any discerni-
ble trends in the glacier's behavior to
indicate whether the streamflow estimates
during the 34 years of record were influ-
enced by any gain or loss of glacier mass.
These studies were, by necessity, carried
out on a reconnaissance level since the
only aerial photos of the glaciers in 1949
were uncontrolled, and the only controlled
photographs of the glaciers in 1980
comprised less than 5% of the glaciated
area. Additionally, a reconnaissance
level study of the glacier surface eleva-
tions was undertaken. These studies
tended to confirm that the streamflow
measurements were probably not unduly
influenced by changes in the glacier mass
(APA 1985). Studies were also made to
determine the influence on project eco-
nomics if the glacier melting were to
diminish (Harza-Ebasco 1985b). These
confirmed the project's viability even if
the glaciers' mass balance were to
change.
HYDROLOGIC STUDIES FOR PROJECT DESIGN
Basin hydrology affects the design of
major project features in addition to
reservoir size.
The most prominent hydraulic structure
in a major hydroelectric project is the
spillway or outlet works which must pass
flood flows through the project without
endangering the dam. In the Susitna
Project there are two means for passing
non -power releases. Outlet works
controlled by fixed cone valves are
planned at both dams to release all floods
up to the 50-year event. Less frequent
floods would be released through gated
overflow spillways. The outlet works are
provided so that the more frequent floods
can be discharged to the river through the
cone valves which disperse the flow over a
large area and minimize the potential for
elevated gas concentrations in the river
downstream. High gas concentrations can
be deleterious to the fish.
Hydrologic studies included development
of the 50-year flood hydrograph for
annual, spring and fall series and routing
of these floods through the project
reservoirs. These studies established the
necessary outlet works and flood storage
capacities (Harza-Ebasco 1985c).
79
Project spillways were designed to pass
the Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) without
endangering the dam as set out in
guidelines of the CO E and the U.S.
Committee on Large Dams (CO E 1965, USCOLD
1970). Hydrologic studies included
estimation of the PMF hydrograph (Acres,
undated) and routing of the PMF through
the projects to establish required
spillway capacities and surcharge levels
(APA 1985).
An important factor in the PMF determi-
nation was the estimation of snowpack and
the manner of snowmelt since the PMF would
occur during the May -June period (Acres,
undated). A probability approach was
adopted to estimate the total snowpack
during the event and snowmelt was assumed
to occur in a manner to maximize runoff.
The PMF was estimated by assuming the
maximum possible precipitation concurrent
with a 1000-year snowpack and various
antecedent conditions and the runoff
routed through the basin. This is a
standard, accepted method. However, in a
glaciated basin, there is always the
potential for a jokulhlaup or flood caused
by the break-out of a glacially dammed
lake. Discharges from such occurrences
can be very high, potentially exceeding a
PMF. Therefore, a survey was made to
determine the potential for glacial dammed
lakes which might affect the project (R&M
1981). The study indicated little
likelihood of this.
Almost all large reservoirs are subject
to some degree of sedimentation and the
Susitna Reservoirs would be no exception.
Hydrologic studies were made to estimate
the suspended and bed load in the river
(Knott and Lipscomb 1983, 1985) and to
determine the effects on reservoir life
(Harza-Ebasco 1984a, 1985d). The average
annual sediment load of approximately 6.0
x 109 kg. (6.5 million tons) would require
1,400 years to fill Watana dead storage
and 2,300 years to fill the Devil Canyon
dead storage. The average suspended
sediment concentration in the inflow is
800 mg/1 and is comprised of a high
percentage of very fine rock flour (27%
less than 10 microns). This is the result
of glacial weathering of underlain rock.
This material has a very slow settling
velocity (10-6 - 10-5 m/sec) and much is
expected to remain in suspension in the
reservoir. The trap efficiency of the
reservoir is expected to be about 80% -
90% (APA 1985) as contrasted to reservoirs
of similar characteristics in areas with
coarser sediment which have trap
efficiencies near unity (USBR 1977). A
mathematical model was developed, and is
described below, to more accurately
estimate the potential sediment concen-
trations downstream of the project, for
estimating impacts to fish.
Another important project feature is
the means of handling water during project
construction. The diversion facilities
will consist of tunnels to pass normal
river flows around the construction areas
and cofferdams at the upstream and down-
stream ends of the areas. These facili-
ties will be sized using risk/cost
analyses to minimize their cost and the
potential losses resulting from failure.
This means that cofferdam heights and
tunnel sizes will be determined for
various frequency floods to assign
probabilities to the risk of failure.
Another hydrologic consideration in
diversion tunnel design is it's elevation
relative to the streambed and the
potential for bed load material to become
trapped in the tunnel, if it is set too
low, thus reducing its capacity and
affecting the hydraulics at the tunnel
outlet. The Susitna tunnels have been
located to prevent this (Wang, et. al
1986). The diversion facilities design
must also consider the need to pass ice
and the potential for ice jam floods. The
diversion tunnel intakes at both Watana
and Devil Canyon would be located on the
outsides of bends for reasons of economy
in tunnel construction. They are thus
well located for passing incoming frazil
ice in October and November and broken ice
sheets in April and May (USBR, 1974). The
tunnel sizes are believed wide enough
(11 m.) to handle ice sheets during break-
up. Nevertheless, careful consideration
will be given to the intake design, to
minimize potential jamming in this area.
Breakup jamming is also a potential
problem downstream of the diversion
tunnel. A bend in the river downstream of
the tunnel outlet may provide a site for
jamming of broken ice passed through the
tunnel. Therefore, consideration was
given to this and the downstream cofferdam
crest elevation was set to prevent over-
topping and flooding of the construction
80
site by water backed up behind
the
potential jam.
Other hydraulic considerations due
to
the project's location in a cold region
are also primarily the result of ice.
The
design of the power intake towers includes
heated floating ice booms to prevent
ice
forces on the trashracks and gates.
The
potential for entrainment of frazil
and
broken ice in the flow through the intake
may dictate the submergence of
the
operating intake below the water surface
at some times. However, as the intake
has
openings at several levels this will
not
preclude safe operation of
the
powerhouse.
HYDROLOGIC AND HYDRAULIC STUDIES FOR
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ANALYSIS
The primary environmental concern is
the potential effect of the project on the
downstream fishery. Other concerns
include the project's potential effect on
terrestrial wildlife and riparian vege-
tation. The mechanisms responsible for
the potential impacts are the proposed
project's effects on the quantity and
quality of water in the Susitna River.
The primary concerns relate to the
potential impacts on river flows, floods,
water temperature, river ice conditions,
suspended sediments, turbidity, and river
morphology.
Salmon utilize the peripheral areas of
the river (such as sloughs which have
favorable velocities, depths, tempera-
tures, turbidities and substrates) for
spawning, rearing and incubation. The
amount of area available for fish use is
related to the magnitude and stability of
river flow. In conjunction with fisheries
experts, who developed models of fishery
habitat versus flow, the amount of habitat
for all stages of project operation was
<� estimated by simulating flows with project
operation from initial construction to
,full use of project capacity, approxi-
..tely 30 years (Trihey, et. al. 1985).
Flow constraints were developed to provide
shery habitat of equal or greater value
4han natural conditions.
£r° The quality of the water can also
effect the fishery. For example, tempera -
re can be lethal in the extremes or can
feet fish growth. Suspended sediment
,Fran affect fish gills. Settling of
sediment in spawning beds can affect
intergravel flow through these areas.
Turbidity can provide protection from
predators and can retard production of
waterborne insects which provide food for
the fish. The hydrologic and hydraulic
evaluation of the effects of the Susitna
Project on water quality were evaluated
with a system of three models: a reser-
voir water quality model, a river tempera-
ture model and a river ice model.
Reservoir water quality was evaluated
using the Dynamic Reservoir Simulation
Model (DYRESM) (Imberger and Patterson,
1981). Modifications were made to the
model to handle cold regions conditions
and features of the Susitna Project
(Harza-Ebasco 1984b Wei and Hamblin 1986).
The model was modified to include:
o Formation of an ice cover on the
reservoir and winter stratification,
o Outflow from the reservoir through
multiple level offtakes, and
o Simulation of suspended sediment
including settling and the effect of
sediment on density and thus,
reservoir stratification.
This latter modification was necessary
because of the small size of inflowing
sediment and the need to estimate the
downstream sediment concentration. A
program of collection of hydrological and
meteorological data was undertaken at
Eklutna Lake (R&M 1985b) a small,
glacially fed, lake -tap hydroelectric
project near Anchorage to provide the data
needed for development and testing of the
modifications. Upon completion of
testing, the model was applied to the
proposed sites using hydrologic and
meteorologic data collected for the
purpose at the sites (R&M 1985a). Exten-
sive studies were made, at the request of
regulatory agencies, to provide informa-
tion for evaluating impacts and to
determine the most favorable method for
operating the multi -level offtake.
Temperatures in the river downstream of
the reservoirs were evaluated using the
Stream Network Temperature Model (Theurer,
et. al. 1984), driven by output from
DYRESM. The modeled reach extended from
the Watana and Devil Canyon dam faces to
81
Sunshine, 23 km (14 miles) downstream of
the confluence with the Chulitna River a
distance of about 160 km (100 miles). The
potential for lethal temperatures to occur
was found to not be a problem and the
modeling effort focused on the potential
for effects on growth. While the DYRESM
model provided outlet temperatures on a
daily basis, the SNTH4P model was used on
an average weekly basis. Several refine-
ments were made to the SNTIMP model as
well (A EIDC 1983). These include:
o Estimation of solar radiation from
radiation incident at the edge of
the atmosphere corrected for
atmospheric and topographic
effects,
o Inclusion of frictional heating,
o Inclusion of tributary temperature
effects on mainstem temperature and
regression modeling of tributary
temperatures, and
o Inclusion of air temperature lapse
rates between the site of the
temperature recorder and the
upstream end of the study reach.
River temperatures were measured both
in the mainstem and tributaries to allow
calibration and verification of the
model.
The SNTIMP model was used to estimate
river temperatures downstream of the
reservoir throughout the year for all
DYRESM simulations. In the summer the
downstream end of the study reach was at
Sunshine. Modeling of temperatures was
not considered necessary downstream of
that point because with -project tempera-
tures were generally found to be within
1°C of natural. In the winter the
downstream end of the SNTEMP modeled reach
was the location of 0°C.
Modeling of winter river conditions,
with ice, was done using a model developed
for the project (ICECAL) (Harza-Ebasco
1984c). This model computes the amount of
ice produced, hydraulic conditions in the
channel, development of border ice,
formation of an ice cover from frazil ice
and staging of water levels due to the ice
cover. The model was used primarily to
determine how peripheral habitat areas
would be affected by the increase in
winter flows (from 60 m3/s - 250 m3/s)
coupled with the change in the extent of
ice cover. There was concern that
increased water levels in.the river area
affected by ice would overtop peripheral
habitat areas and introduce cold water
into the sloughs thus stressing the
salmonids. The results of the modeling
allowed prediction of the impact, and
development of mitigation measures.
During development and testing of the
model an extensive program of field
observations was carried out (R&M 1981-85)
to develop information for verifying the
model and to better understand the basic
ice processes in the river.
Several other hydrologic studies were
undertaken in conjunction with the evalua-
tion of biologic impacts. A mailed survey
was undertaken and a site visit was made
to determine the experiences of other
hydroelectric project operators in cold
regions (Gemperline et. al. 1986). River-
bed stability was evaluated to estimate
potential aggradation and degradation
(Harza-Ebasco 1984a, 1985e). This
involved determination of bed load, bed
material sizes and bed material transport
equations. Impacts evaluated included the
potential for aggradation near tributary
mouths possibly affecting fish access and
degradation in the mainstem possibly
affecting peripheral habitat. Potential
effects of project operation on riparian
vegetation were evaluated using notes on
vegetation types observed during river
surveys. The observed elevations of
various types of vegetation were
correlated to river flows and floods.
Based on a model of vegetation succession
and predicted with project flood flows,
the vegetation encroachment on the river
was, to some degree, quantified.
CONCLUSION
This paper presents some of the snore
important hydrologic and hydraulic studies
which have been made for the licensing of
the Susitna Hydroelectric Project, in-
cluding considerations because of the
project's location in a cold region. For
the purpose of the paper the studies were
separated into those required for eco-
nomic, analyses, engineering design and
environmental impact analyses. However,
82
i.n reality, the studies were not
Susitna Joint Venture for the Alaska
separated. For example: the evaluation
Power Authority.
of fishery habitat and the establishment
of minimum flows affected estimated
Clarke, T. S., D. Johnson, and W. D.
project energy production; the design of
Harrison, 1985. Glacier Mass Balances
power offtakes and release facilities
and Runoff In the Upper Susitna and
affected estimated downstream water
Maclaren River Basins, 1981-1983, for
quality. Coordination was required
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture for
between all participants to develop the
the Alaska Power Authority.
information necessary for licensing of the
project.
Clarke, Theodore S., 1986. Glacier
Runoff, Balance and Dynamics in the
ACKNOWLEDGEt°TENT
Upper Susitna River Basin, Alaska,
Thesis presented in partial fulfillment
The studies described in this paper
of the requirements for the degree of
were funded by the Alaska Power Authority.
Master of Science, University ofAlaska,
The studies were carried out by the Harza-
Fairbanks.
Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture, R&M Con-
E. W. Tri'ney and Associates, 1985.
sultants, Inc., the Arctic Environmental
Response of Juvenile Chinook Habitat to
y Information and Data Center, the U.S.
Discharge in the Talkeetna to Devil
Geological Survey and the University of
Canyon Segment of the Susitna River,
Alaska Geophysical Institute. The support
for Harza- Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture
of all these organizations is deeply
for the Alaska Power Authority.
appreciated.
REF ERFNC ES
Acres American, Inc., 1981. Susitna
Hydroelectric Project, Development
Selection Report, for the Alaska Power
'.Authority.
kcres American Inc, undated. Susitna
Hydroelectric Project, Feasibility
Report, Hydrological Studies, Final
Draft, Volume 4, Appendix A, for the
Alaska Power Authority.
ska Power Authority, 1983. Before the
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission,
Application for Major License, Project
No. 7114, The Susitna Hydroelectric
Project, prepared by Acres American
Inc.
�ska Power Authority, 1985. Before the
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission,
Application for Major License, Project
No. 7114, The Susitna Hydroelectric
Project (Amended Draft), prepared by
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture.
.tic Environmental Information and Data
Center (AEIDC), 1983. Susitna
Hydroelectric Project, Stream Flow and
Temperature Modeling in the Susitna
Basin, Alaska for the Harza-Ebasco
Gemperline, E. J. , D. S. Louie, and H. W.
Coleman, 1986. Survey of Experience in
Operating Hydroelectric Projects in
Cold Regions, Proceedings of the Cold
Regions Hydrology Symposium, American
Water Resources Association, Fairbanks.
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture, 1984a.
Susitna Hydroelectric Project Reservoir
and River Sedimentation, for the Alaska
Power Authority.
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture,
1984b. Susitna Hydroelectric Project,
Eklutna Lake Temperature and Ice Study,
with Six Months Simulation for Watana
Reservoir, prepared for the Alaska
Power Authority.
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture,
1984c. Susitna Hydroelectric Project
Instream Ice, Calibration of Computer
Model, for the Alaska Power
Authority.
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture,
1985a. Susitna Hydroelectric Project,
Case E-VI Alternative Flow Regime,
Appendix D, Stream Flow Time Series,
for the Alaska Power Authority.
Harza-Ebasco Susitna .Joint Venture, 1985b.
Letter of June 4, 1985 to the Alaska
Power Authority.
83
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture, 1985c.
Susitna Hydroelectric Project, Flood
Frequency Analyses for Natural and With
Project Conditions, for the Alaska
Power Authority.
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture, 1985d.
Susitna Hydroelectric Project, Effects
of the Proposed Project on Suspended
Sediment Concentration, for the Alaska
Power Authority.
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture, 1985e.
Susitna Hydrolectric Project, Middle
Susitna River Sedimentation Study,
Stream Channel Stability Analysis of
Selected Sloughs, Side Channels and
Main Channel Locations, for the Alaska
Power Authority.
Hydex Corporation, 1985. Streamf low Fore-
casting Feasibility Study, for
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture for
the Alaska Power Authority.
Imberger, J. and J. C. Patterson, 1981. A
Dynamic Reservoir Simulation Model -
DYRESM: 5, in Transport Models for
Inland and Coastal Waters, Chapter 9,
Academic Press.
Knott, James, M. and Stephen W. Lipscomb,
1983. Sediment Discharge Data for Se-
lected Sites in the Susitna River
Basin, Alaska 1981-1982, U. S.
Geological Survey Open File Report
83-870 prepared in cooperation with the
Alaska Power Authority.
Knott, James, M. and Stephen W. Lipscomb,
1985. Sediment Discharge Data for Se-
lected Sites in the Susitna River
Basin, Alaska, October 1982 to February
1984 U. S. Geological Survey Open File
Report 85-157, prepared in cooperation
with the Alaska Power Authority.
R & M Consultants, Inc, and W. D.
Harrison, 1981. Susitna Hydroelectric
Project Task 3 - Hydrology; Glacier
Studies, for Acres American Inc., for
the Alaska Power Authority.
R & M Consultants, Inc. 1981-1985. Susitna
Hydroelectric Project, Annual reports
of Ice Conditions during Freezeup and
Breakup, for Acres American, Inc. and
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture for
the Alaska Power Authority.
R & M Consultants, Inc, and W. D.
Harrison, 1982. Susitna Hydroelectric
Project; Task 3 - Hydrology; Glacier
Studies, for Acres American Inc. for
the Alaska Power Authority.
R & M Consultants, Inc., 1985a. Susitna
Hydroelectric Project, Processed
Climatic Data, October 1983 - December
1984, for Harza- Ebasco Susitna Joint
Venture, for the Alaska Power
Authority.
R & M Consultants, Inc. 1985b. Susitna
Hydroelectric Project Glacial Lake
Physical Limnology Studies, (Draft) for
Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture, for
the Alaska Power Authority.
Theurer, F. D., K. Voos, and W. J. Miller,
1984. Instream Water Temperature
Model, Instream Flow Information Paper
16, U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service
(Draft).
T.I. S. Committee on Large Dams, 1970.
Criteria and Practices Utilized in
Determining the Required Capacity of
Spillways.
U. S. Department of the Army, Corps of
Engineers, 1965. Standard Project Flood
Determinations, Engineering Manual No.
1110-2-1411.
U. S. Department of the Interior, Bureau
of Reclamation (USBR), 1974. Design and
Operation of Shallow River Diversions
in Cold Regions, REC- ERC-74-19.
U. S. Department of the Interior, Bureau
of Reclamation, (USBR) 1977. Design of
Small Dams, (2nd ed.).
U. S. Department of the Interior Geologi-
cal Survey (USGS), 1949-1984. (Annual
Reports) Water Resources Data for
Alaska.
Wang, B. H., S. R. Bredthauer, and E.
Marchegianni, 1986. Design Problems in
Gravel Bed Rivers, Alaska, Proceedings
of the International Workshop on Pro-
blems of Sediment Transport in Gravel
84
Bed Rivers (In Press) 12-17 August
1985, Colorado State University.
Wei, C. Y., and P. F. Hamblin, 1986.
Reservoir Water Quality Simulation in
Cold Regions, Proceedings of the Cold
Regions Hydrology Symposium, American
Water. Resources Association,
Fairbanks.
Wu, Y., J. I. Feinstein, and E. J.
Gemperline, 1986. The Susitna
Hydroelectric Project, Simulation of
Reservoir Operation, Proceedings of the
Cold Regions Hydrology Symposium,
American Water Resources Association,
Fairbanks.
85
PROCEEDINGS
of the
Symposium: Cold Regions Hydrology
UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA-FAIRBANKS, FAIRBANKS, ALASKA
Edited by
DOUGLAS L. KANE
Water Research Center
Institute of Northern Engineering
University of Alaska -Fairbanks
Fairbanks, Alaska
Co -Sponsored by
UNIVERSITY OF ALASKA-FAIRBANKS
FAIRBANKS, ALASKA
AMERICAN SOCIETY OF CIVIL ENGINEERS
'ECHNICAL COUNCIL ON COLD REGIONS ENGINEERING
NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION
STATE OF ALASKA, ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY
STATE OF ALASKA, DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES
U.S. ARMY, COLD REGIONS RESEARCH
AND ENGINEERING LABORATORY
Host Section
ALASKA SECTION OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION
The American Water Resources Association wishes to express appreciation to the U.S. Army, Cold
Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, the Alaska Department of Natural Resources, and
the Alaska Power Authority for their co-sponsorship of the publication of the proceedings.
American Water Resources Association
5410 Grosvenor Lane, Suite 220
Bethesda, Maryland 20814