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,SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT
TASK 7 -ENVIRONMENTAL
SUBTASK 7.04
WATER RESOURCES ANALYSIS
A PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS OF POTENTIAL
NAVIGATIONAL PROBLEMS DOWNSTREAM OF TH E
PROPOSED HYDROELECTRIC DAMS
ON THE SUSITNA RIVER
MARCH 1982
TK Prepared for:
1425 [iJ.58
A23
no.473
1 ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY_~
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SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT
TASK 7 -ENVIRONMENTAL
SUBTASK 7.04 WATER RESOURCES ANALYSIS
A PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS OF POTENTIAL
NAVIGATIONAL PROBLEMS DOWNSTREAM OF THE
PROPOSED HYDROELECTRIC DAMS ON THE
SUS IlNA RIVER
Prepared by
Paul Janke
Water Management Section
Div.of Land and Water Management
Alaska Dept.of Natural-Resources
,Ece'VE
fEB 2219ii
utnfY
Branch of A'as\(an Geo\og\
~nc
Prepared for
Acres American Incorporated
Buffalo t New York
Janua ry 6,1982
Revi sed:March 5t 1982
ARLlS
Alaska Resou rees Librnr)'&Information Services
LIbrary Buildjng,Suite 111
3211 Providec.ce Drive
Anchorage.AK 99508·4614
TABLE OF CONTENTS
S~y • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1
INTRODUCTION.• . • . • • • • • • • . • • • • . • . • . • • . • . . . . . . • . • • . • . . . . . • • . . . . • 3
DISCUSS ION.• • • . • . . . . • . • • . . • • • • . • • • • • • . • • . • • • . . . • • • • • . . • • • • • • . . 5
Site Selection,Data Collection and Data
Analysis -Upstream of Talkeetna......................5
Summary and Conclusions -Upstream of Talkeetna..........8
Site Selection -Downstream of Talkeetna •.~• •• ••.•. •• •• • • 9
Data Collection -Downstream of Talkeetna................10
Data Analysis -Downstream of Talkeetna..................11
Summary and Conclusions -Downstream of Talkeetna........16
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,!List of Figuresil
Figure
1 Cross Section Number 32
2 Cross Section 32,Stage-Discharge Curve
3.5 Monthly and Annual Flow Duration Curves,Susitna River at
Gold Creek
4 Cross Section LRX-TKA1
5 Cross Section LRX-KTA2
6 Cross Section LRX-KTA3
7 Cross Section LRX-WL01
8 Cross Section LRX-WL03
9 Cross Section LRX-ALEX
10 Cross Section LRX-TKA1,Stage-Discharge Curve
11 Cross Section LRX-KTA2,Stage-Discharge Curve
12 Cross Section LRX-KTA3,Stage-Discharge Curve
13 Cross Section LRX-'WL01,Stage-Discharge Curve
14 Cross Section LRX-WL03,Stage-Discharge Curve
3.7 Monthly and Annual Flow Duration Curves,Susitna River at
~~Sunshine
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I List of Tables
Table
1 Cross Section 32,Stage-Discharge Data
2 Cross Section 32,Percent of Time Discharge,Required to
Maintain a 2.5-foot Depth of Flow,is Equalled or Exceeded
3 State-Discharge Data,Downstream of Talkeetna
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5
Downstream af Talkeetna Percent of Time Sus~tna River Discharge
at Sunshine,Required to Maintain a l.5-foot Depth of Flow,
is Equalled or Exceeded
Downstream of Talkeetna,Percent of Time Susitna River Discharge
at Sunshine,Required to Maintain a 2.5-foot Depth of Flow,
is Equalled or Exceeded
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SUMMARY
A review of aerial photographs,river cross-sectional data,and
simulated water surface profiles indicates that the proposed Susitna
hydroelectric project is not likely to cause navigational problems in
most areas above Talkeetna under Case D postproject flows (minimal
impact on fisheries).Case A streamflows (maximum power production)are
likely to cause periodic navigational problems during the months of
August and September.
The major area of concern is a broad shallow reach one to three miles
below Sherman,where the main channel of the Susitna River crosses the
floodplain.The simulated flow is 6,500 cubic feet per second (cfs)and
the depth is estimated at about 2.5 feet for this cross section
indicating that the channel is navigable.Navigational problems may be
encountered in about one year out of three in August and in about one
year out of two in September in this reach under Case A postproj ect
flows and in about one year out of 10 in June under Case D.Visual
examination of aerial photographs from nearby areas without cross-
sectional data indicates that these unsurveyed areas also may be non-
navigable.Additional study in the Sherman reach is warranted during
Phase II engineering and environmental studies,as these conditions are
based on limited data.
Cross-sectional data were gathered on the main channel of the Susitna
River below Talkeetna,on sloughs and side channels used for river
access near Kashwitna Landing and Willow Creek,and at the upper access
channel to Alexander Slough.While stage-discharge data at these sites
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are very limited,initial analysis indicates that operation of the dams
would have no significant negative impacts on navigation in the main
channel below Talkeetna or on access at Kashwitna Landing.At access
channels near Willow Creek,it appears that there would be minor nega~
tive impacts in May for Case D.Case A streamflows are higher than Case
D during May,thus navigation during this month is less likely to be
adversely affected near Willow.Between the months of June through
September,access channels to Willow Creek should be navigable.
Data are insufficient to completely define the flow required at Susitna
Station in order to keep upstream access to Alexander Slough open,but
the decrease in stage is less than one foot for both Case A and Case D
postproject flows.
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INTRODUCTION
Will the operation of the proposed Watana and Devil Canyon hydroelectric
dams on the Susitna River restrict the movement of vessels during the
ice-free months downstream of these dams?It is the intent herein to
provide a preliminary determination of whether navigation would or would
not be adversely affected downstream of the Devil Canyon dam site,and,
if so,to define in which river segments and during which period of the
year navigational problems are most likely to occur.Specific reference
will also be made regarding the possibility of postproject streamflows
improving navigation during those years or portions of the year in which
....low streamflows occur naturally •It if is concluded that navigation
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would be adversely impacted,a more detailed study could be conducted in
1982 with the intention of defining,in detail,the extent to which this
would occur.
For the purpose of this study,navigation is defined as past and present
use of the river system for transportation by boats and float planes
between May 1 and October 31.Future navigational craft are considered
to require a depth similar to that required by the present craft.It
has also been assumed that postproject channel morphology would remain
much as it is now.The scientific basis for this assumption is found in
concluding statements of the river morphology report (R&M Consultants,
Inc.1982).The effect of these dams on navigation over ice and snow is
not discussed in this document,nor are potential impacts on navigation
in Cook Inlet.
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Some consider 1.5 feet tq be an adequate depth for navigation (R.
Krogseng,pers.comm.).However,much of the cross-sectional data used
in preparing this report was obtained for purposes other than evaluating
project effects on navigation.Hence they may not have been located in
the most critical stream reach for determining navigation.In addition,
the accuracy of the predicted water surface profiles currently available
for the river segment between Devil Canyon and Talkeetna is,at best,
approximately one foot (S.Bredthauer,pers.comm.).Because of these
considerations,it has been recommended that it would be more
appropriate to use a 2.5-foot depth criteria than a lo5-foot depth
criteria in this preliminary assessment of potential navigational
problems (W.Trihey,pers.comm.) •Both the 1.5-foot and the more
conservative 2.5-foot depth criteria are used in this report.Potential
navigational problems upstream and downstream of Talkeetna are discussed
separately.
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DISCUSSION
Site Selection,Data Collection and Data Analysis -
Upstream of Talkeetna
During the fall of 1980,R&M Consultants,Inc.(R&M)surveyed 66 cross
sections for the 50-mile river segment between the confluence of the
Susitna and Chulitna Rivers and Devil Canyon.The U.S.Army Corps of
Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center's HEC-2 computer program ("Water
Surface Profiles")was used by R&M to forecast water surface profiles
for the Susitna River above Talkeetna.Water surface elevations were
predicted for six different flow rates at each of the 66 cross sections.
This information,along with a description of its development,is
presented in the Susitna River Hydroelectric Feasibility Report,
Appendix B.7,Hydraulic and Ice Studies.Figure 1 presents a cross-
sectional profile and simulated water surface elevations for cross
section 32.This is located at River Mile 129.7,about 1.1 river miles
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below Sherman.Water surface profiles for calibrating the hydraulic
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model were collected from six crest gage stations in the 50-mile reach
of the river.~ue to their limited number,and the distance between the
crest gages,possible inaccuracies in the HEC-2 analysis are worth
noting.A comparison of stage-discharge data used by R&M in this
analysis and that collected by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game
(ADF&G)indicates that some errors may exist in the HEC-2 analysis.Mr.
Steve ~redthauer of R&M believes the HEC-2 analysis predicts the water
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surface elevations to within ±1 foot.This should be considered when
deciding whether the 1.5-foot or the 2.5-foot depth criteria is most
appropriate.
Table 1 gives the information used to plot the stage-discharge rating
curve for cross section 32.This curve is shown in Figure 2.From this
curve,the discharge r~quired to maintain a certain water depth can be
determined.For cross section 32,the discharge required to maintain a
2.5-foot depth is 6,500 cfs (Figure 2).
Table 1
Cross Section 32
Stage-Discharge Data
Thalweg Elevation =602.0 feet
Water Depth
Surface of
Elevation Flow Discharge
(feet)(feet)(cfs)
605.2 3.2 9,700
606.0 4.0 13 ,400
606.7 4.7 17,000
607.8 5.8 23,400
608.9 6.9 34,500
610.8 8.8 52,000
Figure 3.5 was developed by R&M.This shows monthly preproject and
postproj ect flow duration curves for the Susitna River at Gold Creek.
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This information,along with a description of its development and
reliability,is given in the Susitna River Hydroelectric Feasibility
Report,Appendix B.9,River Morphology.
Several operational schedules for water releases past the Devil Canyon
dam have been proposed;two are considered in this analysis.Post-
project Case A is a water release recommended for maximum power pro-
duction.Postproject Case D is a water release recommended for minimal
impact on fisheries.Comparing the discharge required to maintain a
lo5-foot or 2.5-foot depth to the flow duration curves in Figure 3.5
allows an estimate to be made,for each month of interest,as to the
percentage of time existing navigational patterns might be adversely
impacted by the two proposed postproj ect development scenarios.This
information is shown in Table 2 using the 2.5-foot depth criteria for
cross section 32.
This same analysis was done for each of the 66 cross sections available
for the Devil Canyon to Talkeetna reach.With the exception of cross
section 32,this analysis indicates that all locations are navigable
both before and after the project,using the 2.5-foot depth criteria.
This analysis also indicates that cross section 32 is navigable both
before and after the project using the 1.5-foot depth criteria.How-
ever,when using the 2.5-foot depth criteria,negativ.e postproject
impacts on navigation occur at cross section 32 during June,July,
August and September (Table 2).A minimum flow of 6,500 cfs is required
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to eliminate these negative impacts.Cross section 32 is located at
....
River Mile 129.7,about 1.1 river miles below Sherman.
Table 2
Cross Section 32
Percent of time the discharge,required to maintain a 2.5-foot depth of
flow,is equaled or exceeded.
Discharge to maintain Discharge to maintain
2.5-foot 2.5-foot
depth of flow (6,500 cfs)depth of flow (6,500 cfs)
May August
Preproject 90 Preproject 100
Postproject Postproject
Case A 100 Case A 70
Postproject Postproject
Case D 90 Case D 100
June September
Preproject 100 Preproject 97
Postproject Postproject
Case A 100 Case A 44
Postproject Postproj ect
Case D 90 Case D 97
July October
Preproject 100 Preproject 26
Postproject Postproject
Case A 97 Case A 100
Pos tproj ect Postproject
Case D 100 Case D 65
Summary and Conclusions -Upstream of Talkeetna
With the exception of a section of the river below Sherman,this
analysis indicates the operation of the dams would not change mainstem
navigability of the Susitna River between the confluence of the Susitna
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and Chulitna Rivers and Devil Canyon.
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Assuming the 1.5-foot depth
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criteria is adequate,navigability of the river near Sherman would not
be altered.Using the 2.5-foot depth criteria,navigation near Sherman
would be hindered about ten percent of the time,or about one year out
of 10 during June under Case Dpostproject flows (minimal fisheries
impact).Table 2 also indicates that navigation would be hindered about
30 percent of the time,or about one year out of three in August,and
about 53 percent of the time,or about one year out of two in September,
under Case A postproject flows (maximum power generation).
On February 25,1982,Mr.Steve Mahay,who operates the Talkeetna River
Boat Service,was contacted by telephone.He has operated boats on the
Susitna River for a number of years.Although Mr.Mahay has never found
the reach about one mile downstream of Sherman to be non-navigable under
natural flows,he confirmed that,between Talkeetna and Devil Canyon,it
is probably the most subject to navigational difficulties due to
decreased flow.
A review of aerial photographs indicates that these navigational
problems may occur not only at this one location,but in a reach of the
river about one to three miles below Sherman.Because of the limited
data available at this time,this cannot be confirmed or denied.Hence,
additional study in this reach is warranted during Phase II.
Site Selection -Downstream of Talkeetna
To determine if navigational use would be adversely affected by the
operation of the proposed dams,aerial photographs and topographic maps
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of the river were reviewed.Also,discussions were held with persons
familiar with navigation in the areas of interest.This resulted in the
following areas being designated as those receiving a significant amount
of navigational use that could be adversely affected by reduced dis-
charges in the Susitna River downstream of the proposed dams.
1.A braided area on the east side of the Susitna River,about
six river miles downstream from Talkeetna.This is at about
River Mile 91.
2.A braided area on the east side of the Susitna River,adjacent
to and extending about one mile downstream of Kashwitna.This
is at about River Mile 60 to 61.
3.The Susitna River near its confluence with Willow Creek.This
is at about River Mile 48 to 49.
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4.On Alexander Slough (also known as the west channel),just as
it divides off the mainstem of the Susitna River (also known
as the east channel downstream of this point).This is near
River Mile 19.
Data Collection -Downstream of Talkeetna
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Seven staff gages were placed at the sites of interest,two on the
Susitna River near Talkeetna,two near Kashwitna Landing,two near
Willow Creek,and one on Alexander Slough.Since one gage was placed on
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a side channel near Talkeetna that receives little traffic,it is not
considered further in this report.The staff gages were installed
September 22-25,1981.When each staff gage was installed,a survey was
made to define the cross section of the stream channel at the gage site
and to establish the relative distance between the stream bed and the
staff gage readings.The water surface elevation relative to the staff
gage was noted when the gage was installed.Several other readings were
made during September and October.These cross sections and water
surface elevations are shown in Figures 4 through 9.
Data Analysis -Downstream of Talkeetna
This study will compare t"he depth of flow at the staff gage sites
near Talkeetna,Kashwitna Landing,and Willow Creek to the mean daily
flow rate in the Susitna River at Sunshine.Unfortunately,the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS)gage recording the Susitna River flow rate at
Sunshine became inoperable on September 15,1981.Therefore,the flow
rates at this location had to be estimated.This was done by Mr.Jack
McKechnie of USGS on February 1,1982.USGS has gaging stations on the
Susitna River at Susitna Station,Yentna River near its confluence with
the Susitna River,Willow Creek near Willow,and Deshka River near
Willow.The Susitna River discharge at Sunshine was taken to equal the
Susitna River discharge at Susitna Station minus the discharge from the
three gaged tributaries mentioned above,minus a minor amount from
ungaged tributaries.Mr.McKechnie believes the Susitna River discharge
at Sunshine estimated in this fashion has an accuracy of about eight
percent.It is these flow rates,estimated by Mr.McKechnie,that were
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compared to the depths of flow at the staff gage sites.This infor-
mation is shown in Table 3.
This study will also compare the depth of flow at the staff gage site
located on Alexander Slough to the mean daily flow rate in the Susitna
River at Susitna Station,as recorded by the USGS gage 15294350.This
information is shown in Table 3.
Preliminary rating curves at each of these staff gage sites are shown in
Figures 10 through 14.Since there was only one observation of the
staff gage on Alexander Slough,no discharge rating curve at this
location could be made.From Figures 10 through 14.the discharge
required in the Susitna River at Sunshine to maintain a water depth of
1.5-feet or 2.5-feet at the cross sections under study can be deter-
mined.These discharges are given in Tables 4 and 5.
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Figure 3.7 was prepared by R&M.This shows monthly preproj ect and -
postproject flow duration curves for the Susitna River at Sunshine.
Comparing the discharges given in Tables 4 and 5 to the curves in Figure
3.7 allows an estimate to be made,for each month of interest,as to the
percentage of time preproject navigation would be adversely impacted by
two proposed postproject conditions at the locations of interest.As
mentioned earlier,postproject Case A is a water release recommended for
maximum power production and postproj ect Case D is a water release
recommended for minimal impact on fisheries.The results are shown in
Tables 4 and 5.Table 4 deals with the case when a 1.5-foot depth is
considered adequate for navig~tion.Table 5 deals with the case when a
2.5-foot depth is considered adequate.
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Table 4
Downstream of Talkeetna
Percent of time Susitna River discharge at Sunshine,required to maintain a
1.5-foot depth of flow,is equaled or exceeded.""'"
Near -,
Willow
Kashwitna Kashwitna Near Creek
Near Landing Landing Willow Middle
Talkeetna Upstream Downstream Creek Channel
LRX-TKAI LRX-KTA2 LRX-KTA3 LRX-WLDI LRX-WLD3
Discharge for
1.5-foot depths (ds)100 2,750 3,550 10,400 6,500 ~
May
Preproject 100 100 100 93 100
Postproject -Case A 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case D 100 100 100 99 100
June
Preproject 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case D 100 100 100 '100 100
July-
Preproject 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case A 100 1.00 100 100 100 !""IIPostproject
Case D 100 100 100 100 100
August
Preproject 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject ~
Case D 100 100 100 100 100
September
Preproject 100 100 100 100 100 ~
Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case D 100 100 100 100 100
October
Preproject 100 100 100 91 100
Postproject ~
Case A 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case D 100 100 100 100 100 ~
-14-
Table S
Downstream of Talkeetna
Percent of time Susitna River discharge at Sunshine,required to maintain a
2.S-foot depth of flow,is equaled or exceeded.
Near-Willow
Kashwitna Kashwitna Near Creek
Near Landing Landing Willow Middle
Talkeetna Upstream Downstream Creek Channel
LRX-TKA1 LRX-KTA2 LRX-KTA3 LRX-WLD1 LRX-WLD3
Discharge for
2.5-foot depths (cfs)100 7,200 8,100 16,200 11 ,000
May
Preproject 100 100 99 88 92
Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 90 100
Postproject
Case D 100 100 100 82 98
June
Preproject 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 100 100
Postproj ect
Case D 100 100 100 100 100-:July
Preproject 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 100 100
(P:~Postproject
Case D 100 100 100 100 100
August
.-Preproject 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 100 100
Postproject
Case D 100 100 100 100 100
September
Preproject 100 100 100 98 100
Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 96 100
Postproject
,....Case D 100 100 100 98 100
October
Preproject 100 100 99 18 87
,...,Postproject
Case A 100 100 100 38 100
Postproj ect
Case D 100 100 100 28 100
-15-
Summary and Conclusions -Downstream of Talkeetna
Although the stage-discharge data at the sites studied are limited,this
analysis indicates that operation of the dams will have no negative
impacts on navigation in the main channel below Talkeetna or on two
access sites near Kashwitna Landing.Using the 1.5-foot depth criteria
for navigation,no negative impacts would occur near Willow Creek.
Figure 18 indicates that,using the 2.5-foot depth criteria,there would
be minor negative impacts here in May with postproject flow Case D.
These are predicted to occur roughly six percent of the time,or about
two years out of the 30 years of simulated record.Eliminating these
negative impacts would require a flow in the Susitna River at Sunshine
of 16,200 cfs.During the months of June through September,this access
channel to Willow Creek should be navigable,with no significant nega-
tive impacts from the dams.Data are insufficient to completely define
the flow required at Susitna Station in order to keep the upstream
access to Alexander Slough open.It is anticipated,however,that the
decrease in stage at this location would be less than one foot for both
postproject flows.
According to R&M,the Susitna River,upstream of its confluence with the
Chulitna River,contributes an average of 43 percent to the Susitna
River flow at Talkeetna,and only 19 percent to the flow at Susitna
Station.This may help explain why the operation of the dam has such a
minor effect on navigation downstream of Talkeetna.
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Note:Elevations
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CROSS-SECTION KTA-3
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Note:Elevations Are
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CROSS-SECTION WLO-3
Note:Elevations t
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Note:Elevations Are
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(AFTER ORt G't NAL CURVE BY ADNR)FIGURE
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Rail CONSULTANTS, INC.(KASHWITNA LANDING DOWNSTREAM)
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14 [Ii~lf~1M SUSITNA RIVER ATLRX -W LO:3
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2.cuflVES GENERATED FROM 30 '1tA:RS RECORD 01'"
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