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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAPA1453FINAL REPORT MARCH 1984 DOCUMENT No.1453 BUS TRANSPORTATION SCENARIO SOCIOECONOMIC'IMPACT PROJECTIONS . ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY_--, ...(ORTH &ASSOCIATES.INC. 00/~~~~[ID~®©@ 8U~IA JOINT VENTURE i-11----------. 0_•o~a~i ~~~\SUSITNA.~""i!HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT FEDERAL ENE.RGY REGUL.\TORY COMMISSION PROJECT No.1114 SUSITRA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT PROJECTIONS: BUS TRANSPORTATION SCERARIO Report by Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. Under Contract to Harza-Ebasco Susitna Joint Venture Prepared for Alaska Power Authority Final Report April 1984 Document No. Susitna File No. 1453 4.5.3 ll( lL-l dS ~S'iS j-tft.z, {\O·\l{s-3 ARLIS; Alaska Resources Library &InformatIOn ServIces Anchorage.Alaska ;''..r'o. ;'1 Il"l :J-5 i'"d "'"l' NOTICE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS CONCERNING THIS REPORT SHOULD BE DIRECTED TO THE ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY SUSITNA PROJECT OFFICE - - 1r-t 0 I~~J ¢--1 j "Wang VS Integrated EDITOR Input File is JRSWORK in ~)"}',J~i f\s:.umpI1ons AiHLo\C- -Version 6.09.15 12:02 Library SUSITDAT on Volume SUSITI fra~ll ',,~l ~ 12/31/83 Page 1 ,'] 1.•.qr:.J lor 1€>1.4~ -])·1')l ('<:In rft>rt.tllll1 )c.cnar,o 1 )," • 290400 ...•...******* 290500 QDIS2PA B 6.42* 290600 QDIS2WA B 6.03* 290700 QOIS2HO B 5.69* 290800 QDIS2TC B 4.24* 290900 QDIS2TK B 5.01* 291000 QDIS2PS B 6.42* 291100 QDIS2WS B 6.03* 291200 QDIS2HS 8 5.69* 291300 QOIS4CN B 1.88* 291400 QDIS6AN B 7.09* 291500 QDIS6FN B 6.52* 291600 QDIS4HE B 3.30* 291700 QDIS4MC B 2.76* 291800 QDIS4NE B 4.95* 291900 QDIS2GC B 8.23* 292000 QDIS2SH B 8.36* 292100 QDIS2CU B 8.70* 292200 QDIS2CH B 9.14* 292300 QDIS2CL B 7.81* 292400 QDIS2CA B 8.01* 292500 QDIS2LA B 8.92* 292600 QDIS2HU B 6.73* 292700 QDIS3GL B 7.13* 292800 QDIS3VA B 10.34* 292900 QDIS3CC B 7.83* 293000 QDIS3GU B 6.75* 293100 QDIS3PX B 5.27* ~..... cr'~, ~~)-b~~>g.-~ g ~$l)'~~g~ {JQ;:j('1)~fl)III >--J:>:::tg,....., --0 "j r.J'Jg;:::g ~'fJJ r:n ~~ .... (') fg TRAVEL TIMES FROM CONSTRUCTION SITES *******(' <.:) ., u () :'J (. \.~.: -:..) <) o () (I ECOH/POPIMPTV/WATAHAH/ECONRPT Alte rnate'01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 14:59:35 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT ,SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -- ~-l ---j ]1 --j -j 1 J ) USER SUS J 1 1.. I I ~ 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX -------------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- o 1,294 1,606 3,073 3,822 4,209 5,054 4,820 4,131 2,835o0a0 0 0 0 0 0 205 Direct Construction Direct Operations Subtota 1 Di rect o o o o o o oo o o,1,294 1 ~606 3,073 3,822 4,209 5,054 4,820 4,131 3,040 Suppo~t Construction Support Operations Subtotal Support o o o o o o o o o o o o 72 o 72 91 o 91 125o 125 180o 180 204o 204 261o 261 254o 254 231o 231 206 9 215 Total Project 0 0 0 0 1,366 1,697 3,198 4,002 4,413 5,315 5,074 4,362 3,255 BASELINE PROJECTION 22,339 27,652 30,579 32,797 35,224 37,624 39,610 41,554 44,163 47,246 49,168 52,401 54,797 ,) ~1) TOTAL POPULATION 22,339 27,652 30,579 32,797 36,590 39,32142,808 45,556 48,576 52,561 54,242 56,763 58,052 ============================================c=_=================================_========== u Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o 4 4 4 5 8 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 10 10 8 8 6 6 \w) !,;-j '. '.' \... (, Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. --.j ';.J u '0 ~ €I) .,ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 14:59:42 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN CANTWELL 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX -----------.---------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 359 469 363 518 600 775 760 714 647 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------------- ------- -------------------------------------------.---------------.--- Subtota 1 Di rect 0 0 0 0 359 469 363 518 600 775 760 714 647 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 36 46 39 55 63 83 82 75 67 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ---.---------------------------------------------.-----------.-.-.------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 36 46 39 55 63 83 82 75 67 Total Project 0 0 0 0 395 515 402 573 663 858 842 789 714___________________________•__________________________________________w ___________________• BASELINE PROJECTION 182 183 193 197 201 205 209 213 217 222 226 231 235 I ! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATION 182 183 193 197 596 720 611 786 880 1.080 1 .068 1.020 949 ----------------==========~~==;=;=====;==================================================================== I i Dire c tIn flu x As 'l. Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 179 229 174 243 277 349 336 309 275 Total Influx As 'l. Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 197 251 192 269 306 387 373 342 304 \) Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ..if ,) lii.:j {) .,.-...1 J I 0-1 ,.~.,._,J J () ..~--·1 ~~--..1 ···-1 1 j J 1 ·-1 1 1 1 -ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER ;:SUS •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 14:59:49 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN TRAPPER CREEK 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------.-------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 61 78 99 138 163 210 207 192 174 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 61 78 99 138 163 210 207 192 174 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 25 35 44 65 78 99 95 89 79 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -----------------------------------------.--------------------.------- --------------------- Subtota 1 Support 0 0 0 0 25 35 44 65 78 99 95 89 79 Total Project 0 0 0 0 86 113 143 203 241 309 302 281 253-------------------------.---.------------------.----------------------.------------------. BASELINE PROJECTION 225 237 227 236 246 255 266 276 287 299 311 323 336 t ------------------------.--------------- ------------------.-------------------------------------------- ------- TOTAL POPULATION 225 237 227 236 332 368 409 479 528 608 613 604 589 ., ----------------===~~===========================;======~================~==========~~====================== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 25 31 37 50 57 70 67 59 52 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 35 44 54 74 84 103 97 87 75 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. '-.' (; ~) o fD () Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. '--, u Q) 6",'('£0.1 ..ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =~US •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:00:08 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE CITY OF WASILLA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993---------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 35 49 57 82 99 124 120 117 103DirectOperations0 0 O·0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 35 49 57 82 99 124 120 117 103 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 12 12 15 15 12 12SupportOperations0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 '0 0 0 -------------------------------------------------------- ------- ------- --------~------------ Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 12 12 15 15 12 12 (, Total Project 0 0 0 0 41 55 63 94 111 139 135 129 115 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE.PROJECTION 2,168 2,349 2,944 3,165 3.402 3,657 3,932 4,226 4,543 4,884 5,251 5.644 6,068 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATION 2,168 2,349 2,944 3,165 3,443 3,712 3.995 4,320 4,654 5,023 5,386 5,773 6,183----------------====:================;;==;;==;::-------:;:;===========.========:;:::.;;:======-==========:;:;;;:;:;;=======;=;;=_......---- Di re ct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. J ,.J)J J ,) :.,.i I,., " , () ~-) "') fl f) ..ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECOHRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:00:14 -)c __1 1 1 1 ."'-l )1 J .:~)1 ]} USER =SUS • SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993-------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Di rect Construction 0 0 0 0 35 46 57 82 92 120 117 113 103DirectOperations00000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ---------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------- SUbtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 35 46 57 82 92 120 117 113 103 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 3 3 6 6 6 9 9 9 6SupportOperations0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------------------------------------------.------------ ---------~------------------ SUbtotal Support 0 0 0 0 3 3 6 6 6 9 9 9 6 Total Project 0 0 0 0 38 49 63 88 98 129 126 122 109------- --------------------- ---------------------------- -------------~----------------.---. BASEL INE PROJECTION 600 603 606 667 733 807 887 976 1 ,074 1 .181 1 .299 1,429 1 .572---------------------------------------------.------------------------------------------------------_.-------- TOTAL POPULATION 600 603 606 667 771 856 950 1,064 1,172 1 .310 1,425 1 ,551 1 ,681----------------=========:.=====================================;======~===================================~ Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 5 6 6 8 9 10 9 8 7 Tota 1 Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 5 6 7 9 9 11 10 9 7 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc.,1983. .', ) .J, ,:..,) u I. '~! \,) '1..,) o D \Ji) ~ ~ J .I ...)J C''"'c"..)I ..1"c'"-I "I () ~) Je;;) ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:00:30 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF.THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF FAIRBANKS USER =SUS• 1 )]).~~})}})))l J )}j ) • 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Direct Construction Direct Operatfons Su btota 1 Di rect Support Construction Support Operations Subtotal Support Total Proj ect o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o oa o o o o o o o o o -134o -134 82 o 82 -52 -190o -190 107o 107 -83 -329o -329 144o 144 -185 -435o -435 189a 189 -246 -486o -486 215o 215 -271 -491o -491 291o 291 -200 -452o -452 285o 285 -167 -430o -430 266o 266 -164 -275o -275 235o 235 -40 " BASELINE PROJECTION 58,314 61,188 62,493 64,141 65,769 67,398 68,870 69,681 71,135 73,516 74,317 75,604 77,551 l' TOTA·L POPULATION 58,314 61,188 62,493 64,141 65,717 67,315 68,685 69,435 70,864 73,316 74,150 75,440 77,511 ~===========~=============;;================~======================~======================= ;1.,J () Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o -1 o -1 o -1 o -1 o -1 o -1 o o o c) '~..1 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. Cl ;;C) .;J Q f) fi';',.,j.' ..ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:01:41 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE RURAL/REMOTE AREAS OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1981 1982 1983 .1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 46 56 71 103 120 155 148 141 131DirectOperations0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----.-----------------~--------------------------------.---------.-.-.--------------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 13 16 16 16 15 15SupportOperations0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -----------------------------------------------------------------------.----.-.------.----- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (, Total Project 0 0 0 0 52 62 77 116 136 171 164 156 146----------------------.-------------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PRO,)ECTION 2.080 2.729 2,991 3,209 3.450 3,682 3,857 4.021 4,262 4,557 4.715 5.033 5.238 i ~-------------------------------------------.----------------------- ------------------------------------------ TOTAL POPULATION 2.080 2.729 2.991 3.209 3.502 3.744 3.934 4,137 4.398 4,728 4.879 5.189 5,384 ',. ----------------~--=;=-======~=======================~=~==;=====================;====================;===~= Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 " Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. J •I \:.) Ci '~j "-:.i ~') ~) Cl 1 }l 1 ''~·l )1 ·'1 ·~'·--"·l --1 i }J..ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:02:09 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE SU8UR8AN AREAS OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA 80ROUGH 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ---------------------------~--------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX --------~------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 96 124 156 228 264 334 330 309 280 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------------------------------------------.-------------------- --------------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 22 29 38 54 60 78 74 68 61 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0,0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Project 0 0 0 0 118 153 194 282 324 412 404 377 350-------------------------------------_.------------------------------- --------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 14.426 18.928 20.748 22.263 23.929 25.540 26.751 27.889 29.566 31.613 32.708 34.910 36.336 -------------------------------.------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL POPULATION 14.426 18.928 20.748 22.263 24.047 25.693 26.945 28.171 29.890,32.025 33.112 35.287 36.686 ----------------;;;;;================ ======================;=====_=~===M =======;=======~===~=============== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc .•1983. ') • ( .', 1:.; , 't..i t.,,.1 "" ,,,I ,,) <,j u ~) f) ..ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:02:18 USER "SUS • SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN HEALY 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------~------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 61 82 99 145 163 214 207 199 178DirectOperations0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtota 1 Di rect 0 0 0 0 61 82 99 145 163 214 207 199 178 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 9 12 15 15 12 12SupportOperations000'0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------~----------------------------------------- ------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 9 12 15 15 12 12 Total Project 0 0 0 0 67 88 105 154 175 229 222 211 190 ------- ----------------------~------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 342 351 359 368 378 387 397 407 417 427 438 449 460 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOT AL POPUL AT!ON 342 351 359 368 445 475 502 561 592 656 660 660 650----------------============================.=====;=================================================;====== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 16 21 25 36 39 50 47 44 39 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 18 23 26 38 42 54 51 47 41 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. i: ~~ \~ II u (" u ;.) ") ~:J o ,) ~) I c,..·...lED ECON /pop 1M PTV tWA TANAH /EC ON RPT Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:02:23 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE CITY OF NENANA • 1 1 ]})')1 1 1 1 I l 1 1 USER =SUS l ) • ( 1981 PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 \;. -------"------- -------------- =========:::;:=:;;=======.==;;,;;:=::;=== o 0 o 0 Direct Construction Direct Operations Subtotal Direct Support Construction Support Operations SUbtotal Support Total Project BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL POPULATION Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel. oo o oo o o 482 482 o oo o oo o o 494 494 o oo o oo o o 506 506 o o o o o o o o 519 519 o 28 o 28 3 o 3 31 532 563 5 6 39 o 39 3 o 3 42 545 587 ======= 7 8 47o 47 6o 6 53 559 612 ======= 8 10 71o 71 6 o 6 77 573 650 ===::;:==== 12 13 78o 78 6o 6 84 587 671======= 13 14 103o 103 9o 9 112 602 714-------------- 17 19 99o 99 9o 9 108 617 725 :;;::;;:;;=;;:;;;; 16 18 92o 92 6o 6 98 632 730-------------- 15 16 82o 82 6o 6 88 648 736 =;:;==;;::::;;:= 13 14 •l ,~,I .......' Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. ~"l ~.' ~L ) () '-) () ..ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER '"SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:02:29 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN MCKINLEY PARI< 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -----.---------------------------------.----------------- -------------- --------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 68 89 111 157 186 236 232 217 199 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --.----------- -------------------------------.----------------------------------------.---- Subtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 68 89 111 157 186 236 232 217 199 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 9 9 15 15 12 12 S4Pport Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------~------------------.-----------------------------------------.------.------ Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 9 9 15 15 12 12 ~.,I Total Project 0 0 0 0 74 95 117 166 195 251 247 229 211-------.---------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------. BASELINE PROJECTION 33 34 35 36 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 •---------.-.---------------------------.--.-----------------------------------.-------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATION 33 34 35 .36 110 132 155 205 235 292 289 272 255 ----------....-----===========:========= ======= ================================================= ============== "-..., Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 189 241 292 403 465 576 552 505 452 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 206 257 308 426 488 612 588 533 480 ",.' ,I Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ',:) ,) '0 '"') J '4":J ,J .f ~,J ,,tn ECON/POPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:02:35 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE FAIRBANKS-NORTH STAR BOROUGH ..1 ]-1 1 )}-,1 J l -J ]-}l USER =SUS )-l J • r·. .•.. 1981 PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX 1982 --'----- 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -------------- -------------- ----------------------------------- ---------------------------- Direct Construction Direct Operations Subtotal Direct Support Construction Support Operations 'Subtotal Support Total Project o o o o o o o o o o oo o o o o o oo '0 o oo o oo o o -134o -134 82o 82 -52 -190o -190 107o 107 -83 -329o -329 144o 144 -185 -435o -435 189o 189 -246 -486o -486 215o 215 -271 -491o -491 291o 291 -200 -452o -452 285o 285 -167 -430o -430 266o 266 -164 -275o -275 235o 235 -40 BASELINE PROJECTION 58,314 61,188 62,493 64,141 65,769 67,398 68,870 69,681 71,135 73,516 74,317 75,604 77,551 TOTAL POPULATION .58,314 61,188 62,493 64,141 65,717 67,315 68,685 69,435 70,864 73,316 74,150 75,440 77,511 ~'... Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o -------------- -1 o ======= -1 o =E:i.===_ -1 o ======= -1 o ======= -1 o ===;;=== -1 o ======= o o C.: Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ..:.. () :":'.,1 o (i) ~) Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. .-ECOM/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER ;;SUSAlternate01of01 12/29/83 AT 1 5:02:59 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT Of THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INfLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 2,125 1,664 2,119 2,604 2,928 3,023 2,836 2,286 1 .1 57 933 933 933DirectOperations425425 425 425 425 425 425 425 498 498 498 498 ------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Direct 2,550 2,089 2,544 3.029 3.353 3.448 3,261 2.711 1,655 1 .431 1.431 1.431 Support Construction 196 189 194 202 210 208 204 192 173 170 169 168 Support Operations 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 26 26 26 26 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Subtotal Support 217 210 215 223 231 229 225 213 199 196 195 194 Total Project 2,767 2.299 2,759 3,252 3,584 3.677 3.486 2.924 1 ,854 1.627 1 ,626 1 .625------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 56.990 58.975 61.235 63,675 66,062 68.514 71,079 73,718 76,452 79,346 82,360 85,509----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- TOTAL POPULATION 59.757 61 .274 63,994 66.927 69,646 72,191 74,565 76,642 78,306 80,973 83,986 87,134----------------;==~=:=~~===~==========================================-======= ===================== Dire c tIn flu x As 'l. Increase Over Basel.5 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 2 2 2 2 Total Influx As 'l. Increase Over Basel.5 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 2 2 2 2 ,~>J Source:frank Orth &Associates.Inc.,1983. 0""".>~J J J ,-l .J • r' >1 (: ~ a ' I. (...' , \J () .....J \;.1. (J )(l Ii,) (il ~) ..ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER "SUS •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:03 :11 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IKPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN TRAPPER CREEK 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------.--------------------+-------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ------._-------------- Direct Construction 170 163 170 174 181 185 178 170 160 160 160 160 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------.--------------.--------- --------------.-----------------.---------------- Subtotal Direct 170 163 170 174 181 185 178 170 160 160 160 160 Support Construction 73 69 72 77 77 79 76 70 64 63 63 63 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .._-.---._--------------------------------.----------------------.-------~---.------ SUbtotal Support 73 69 72 77 77 79 76 70 64 63 63 63 '. Total Project 243 232 242 251 258 264 254 240 224 223 223 223-------------- -------------- -------.------.-------------------------------.--------. BASELINE PROJECTION 349 363 378 393 409 425 442 460 478 497 517 538 L ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATION 592 595 620 644 667 689 696 700 702 720 740 761 't.) ----------------=========================================================~-===='===================== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.49 45 45 44 44 44 40 37 34 32 31 30 '.~- Total I nfl ux As % Increase Over Basel.70 64 64 64 63 62 58 52 47 45 43 41 \;,./ IJ Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. () d W t,) ,J "I "'J "-,,",,.1 ,I -)() -~l 1 1 1 ,1 1 1 "}I l 1 }"~1 --J ) •ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER '"SUS •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:03:17 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN TALKEETNA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 141 141 141 148 156 156 153 145 134 134 134 134 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------- --------------------------------------------------------------------.-----.-- Sub tota 1 Oi rect 141 141 141 148 156 156 153 145 134 134 134 134 '.J Support Construction 24 21 24 24 27 26 26 23 20 20 20 20 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ,.'I -------.-.-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 24 21 24 24 27 26 26 23 20 20 20 20 Total Project 165 162 165 172 183 182 179 168 154 154 154 154 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 556 584 613 643 676 709 745 782 821 862 905 951 \i -------------------------- ------------------------.---------------------------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATION 721 746 778 815 859 891 924 950 975 1.016 1 .059 1 .105 \. ----------------=====================================================~=========~=====~==g=========== Dfrect Influx As % Increase Over Basel.25 24 23 23 23 22 21 19 16 16 15 14 \,-), Total Infl ux As % Increase Over Basel.30 28 27 27 27 26 24 22 19 18 17 16 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ,I u ',) u u u .J ,,'.o..l .J J.I ii.J tiD l~) "~-~"")-.1 1 l '-'~'"J )~1 I j-1 ""I •ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:03:28 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE CITY OF WASILLA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---~-~~-~--~===--~--~- Direct Construction 103 99 103 103 106 106 106 103 96 92 92 92 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------------.---------------------- -------------- ---------------------------- Subtotal Di rect 103 99 103 103 106 106 106 103 96 92 92 92 Support Construction 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 Support Operations 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 "3 ------------------------'-------------.------------------------- ------- ------- ------- Su btota 1 Suppo rt 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 12 12 12 12 Total Project 118 114 118 118 121 121 121 118 108 104 104 104 --------------------------------------------------------------- ---------.----------- BASELINE PROJECTION 6,523 7,012 7,538 8,103 8,711 9,364 10,067 10,822 11 ,633 12,506 13,444 14,452 ---------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- ------- TOT AL PO PULA TI ON 6,641 7,126 7,656 8,221 8,832 9,485 10,188 10,940 11 ,741 12,610 13,548 14,556 ----------------====~==.=:=======:;~===-=-=.===========================~==================;========= Direct Influx As %. Increase Over Basel.2 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.2 2 2 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ',:I .,.'J ,J .~) \.-I \.) ..) () ~) 6J tJ ..ECON/POPIMPTV/OEVILH/ECONRPT USER '"SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:03:33 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 99 96 99 103 103 106 103 99 92 92 92 92 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------.----------------------------------------------.---------.------------- Subtotal Direct 99 96 99 103 103 106 103 99 92 92 92 92 ~.:/ Support Construction 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -----------------------------------------------------_.----------------------------- Subtota 1 Support 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Total Proj ect 105 102 105 109 109 112 109 105 98 98 98 98---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 1,729 1,902 2,092 2,301 2,531 2,785 3,063 3,369 3,706 4,077 4,485 4,933 t ' '------._------_.----------------------------------------------------.--------------------.._----------- TOTAL POPULATION 1,834 2,004 2,197 2,410 2,640 2,897 3,172 3,474 3,804 4,175 4,583 5,031 ") ---------.------======= ===========================-======= ========~===============================~= Direct Influx As t Increase Over Basel.6 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 (. Total Influx As t Increase Over Basel.6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. i,l ~) iIJ () J .1 .1 )-'.el() 1 1 --~l J 1 J 1 •ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:03:39 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF ANCHORAGE 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ------------------~--- Direct Construction -442 -298 -443 -590 -672 -701 -654 -478 -87 4 4 4 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- Subtotal Di rect -442 -298 -443 -590 -672 -701 -654 -478 -87 4 4 4 Support Construction 1.206 1 .164 1.205 1.274 1 .328 1 .346 1 .315 1.223 1.130 1.110 1.111 1,112 Support Operations 500 500 501 538 538 538 539 539 633 633 634 634 --------------------------------------------.-----.----.-------.--------------------- Subtotal Support 1 .706 1 .664 1.706 1 .812 1 .866 1.884 1 .854 1.762 1 .763 1.743 1.745 1.746 Total Project 1 .264 1.366 1.263 1 .222 1.194 1 .183 1.200 1 .284 1.676 1 .747 1.749 1 .750 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------. BASELINE PROJECTION 232.952 232.879 233.733 235.060 235.981 236.936 238.077 239.256 240.532 242.083 243.768 245.605 --------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------------.----------- TOTAL POPULATION 234.216 234.245 234.996 236.282 237.175 238.119 239.277 240.540 242.208 243.830 245.517 247.355 ----------------;============================================================.====================== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tota 1 Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. .. r'" {" \;: ''.) 1 '. ~~'.,! '(...i 'l,•.,) ~~) ~) w f) () I .-ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:03:45 (..SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF FAIRBANKS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction -170 -126 -165 -210 -275 -281 -253 -151 -33 7 ~~Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------- Subtota 1 Di rect -170 -126 -165 -210 -275 -281 -253 -151 -33 7 7 7 Support Construction 223 215 224 235 244 247 244 227 210 205 205 205 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 223 215 224 235 244 247 244 227 210 205 205 205 Total Project 53 89 59 25 -31 -34 -9 76 177 212 212 212------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 79,,523 80,033 80,895 81 ,907 82,784 83,663 84,693 85,798 86,913 88,050 89,273 90,572 { ------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATI ON 79,576 80,122 80,954 81,932 82,753 83,629 84,684 85,874 87,090 88,262 89,485 90,784 'I.) ----------------~:==========:;;=====;============-==========================================~======= Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. "I \.) <) iC } ~,) it) f) ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:04:01 ..'1 ) USER '") SUS J • SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE RURAL/REMOTE AREAS OF THE MATANU$KA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 124 120 124 131 134 134 131 124 120 117 117 117 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------ ------- ----------------------------------- Subtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Construction 12 12 12 15 15 15 15 15 12 12 11 11 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 ------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tota 1 Project 136 132 136 146 149 149 146 139 135 132 131 131 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 5,412 5,552 5,718 5,899 6,065 6,228 6,396 6,561 6,726 6,898 7,071 7,246 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------- TOTAL POPULATION 5,548 5,684 5,854 6,045 6,214 6,377 6,542 6,700 6,861 7,030 7,202 7,377 ----------------======= ==================================M .=============F========~;================. Dire c tin fl ux As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. , l, ", " t: () t,'" "./ (j \.,' \:~.; o u () () t':l •ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER "SUS ... Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:04:07 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY· IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION .IN THE SUBURBAN AREAS OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-------------- ------- --------------.------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct'Construction 270 266 270 280 291 294 287 210 256 256 256 256 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------- ---------------------.------.-------._-----.-------._---------- ------- Subtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Construction 58 57 57 60 62 62 59 55 52 49 49 48 Support Operations 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 17 17 17 11 --.------------------ ----------------------------------- --------------------- ------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Project 343 338 342 355 368 371 361 340 325 322 322 321 .----------------------.---.------------.--------.------ .--------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 37,538 38,508 39,666 40,922 42,067 43.204 44,364 45,512 46,658 47,851 49.050 50,260 \} ------------------------------------------------------------~------------------------------------------ TOTAL POPULATION 37,881 38,846 40,008 41 ,271 42,435 43,575 44,725 45,852 46,983 48,113 49,312 50,581 ----------------============;;==~=========== =======~======;============.========================;=== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 "Tota 1 Influx As % Increase Over Basel.1 1 1 1 1 1 \.) Sou rce:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ',,;,) "-i () C ~J ,c~~J ,.,..".,,1 "t J cc,cc.),.¥cJ J ,I .cJ 1 .() ]~ol ..,..1 •"']J J l ~)I 1 .-ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS A1 ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:04:12 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN HEALY 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------- PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX -----~---------------- Direct Construction 170 167 170 178 181 185 181 174 163 163 163 163 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------------.------------------------------------------- Subtotal Di rect 170 167 170 178 181 185 181 174 163 163 163 163 Support Construction 12 9 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------.----------------------------------- -----------------------._---------- Subtota 1 Support 12 9 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 Total Project 182 176 182 190 193 197 193 186 172 172 172 172 -----------------------------.------------------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 471 483 495 508 520 533 547 560 574 589 603 619 ----------------------------------------------- --------------------.--------~-------------------------- 1 • ,~.) ",I \' TOTAL POPULATION 653 659 677 698 713 730 740 746 746 761 775 791 ----------------==:;:;=;:===-================================================ ===================~======== Direct Influx As t Increase Over Basel.36 35 34 35 35 35 33 31 28 28 27 26 , I Total Influx As t Increase Over Basel.39 36 37 37 37 37 35 33 30 29 29 28 ;I Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ,) "" i..,) u () -''1 ~'1 ~.'.1 .'I J 1 •ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER "SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:04:23 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN MCKINLEY PARK 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INFLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction 188 188 188 199 202 206 202 192 181 178 178 178 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------- ----------------------------------- -------------- --------------------- ------- Subtotal Direct 188 188 188 199 202 206 202 192 181 178 178 178 Support Construction 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 Total Project 200 200 200 211 214 218 214 204 190 187 187 187 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 45 47 48 49 50 51 53 54 55 57 58 60 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATION 245 247 248 260 264 269 267 258 245 244 245 247 ----------------=======================~===.========================;==============================; Dire c tIn flu x As X Increase Over Basel.418 400 392 406 404 404 381 356 329 312 307 297 Tota 1 I nfl ux As '.t Increase'Over Basel.444 426 417 431 428 428 404 378 346 328 322 312 I • (\ i .. tj t I!.., Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ',:,/ "J \.;...1 .;.) ~ If) •ECON/POPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:04:29 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT Of THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN THE fAIRBANKS-NORTH STAR BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005----------------------------------------~----------------------------.-------------. PROJECT-RELATED INfLUX ---------------------- Direct Construction -170 -126 -165 -210 -275 -281 -253 -151 -33 7 7 7 Direct Operations 0 ,0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------.----------------------------------- ---------------------.-------------------- Subtotal Direct -170 -126 -165 -210 -275 -281 -253 -151 -33 7 7 7 Support Construction 223 215 224 235 244 247 244 227 210 205 205 205 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .----------------------------------------- --------------------.--------------------. Subtotal Support 223 215 224 235 244 247 244 227 210 205 205 205 Total Project 53 89 59 25 -31 -34 -9 76 177 212 212 212-------------.----------------------------.------------------------.---------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 79,523 80,033 80,895 81 ,907 82,784 83,663 84,693 85,798 86,913 88,050 89,273 90,572 ------------------.----------.-.-------- --------.------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL POPULATION 79,576 80,122 80,954 81 .932 82,753 83,629 84,684 85,874 87,090 88,262 89,485 90,784 -------------_....-======;====================================;=••======;;==========~================== Direct Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ... 'i ( t ' \.•.' ~..1 ~..' .1'\ '-..) () t.J () .J '.'.j .,~I 'CD "l 1 ,--1 '"1 1 •ECON/POPIMPTV/OEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:04:40 USER SUS • SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POPULATION IN MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH COMMUNITIES 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --------------------- ------------~-------------.------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED INfLUX ---.------------------ Direct Construction 992 967 992 1 .028 1.063 1 ,073 1 .050 996 940 933 93~93aDirectOperations0 0 0 0 0 0 .0 0 0 0 -------------------------------------------------------.------------------.--------- Subtota 1 Oi rect 992 967 992 1 .028 1 .063 1.073 1.050 996 940 933 933 933 Support Construction 196 188 194 205 210 211 205 192 172 168 167 166 Support Operations 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 26 26 26 26 --------------------------------------------.--------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 217 209 215 226 231 232 226 213 198 194 193 192 Total Project 1.209 1•176 1 .207 1.254 1 ,294 1.305 1.276 1.209 1.138 1 .127 1,126 1 .125------------------------------------.------------ ----------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 56,990 58.975 61,235 63,675 66.062 68.514 71 .079 73.718 76.452 79,346 82.360 85.509 --------.----------------- -------------- --------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL POPULATION 58.199 60.151 62,442 64.929 67.356 69.81 9 72.355 74.927 77,590 80.473 83,486 86.634 --.-.---.-.-----==~_=========~============== ==================~=.==W=~M==~=======~================== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc.,1983. :.1 (I ") ") ,) ~) \.) () f) () ",)-J J ,'~'",",J J ___J • .~I I ECON/WFPAVV/PROJECTH/ECONRPT Alternate Olaf 01 12/29/83 AT 15:04:53 USER 1 SUS 1 • SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY MONTHLY ON-SITE CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATIONS PAYROLL -1985 TO 2005 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ---------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------- CONSTRUCTION -~..--------- January a a a a 1,124 1,537 2,130 2,795 3,137 3,915 3,635 2,781 1 ,446 February a a a a 1 ,162 1 ,588 2,201 2,888 3,241 4,045 3,756 2,874 1 ,494 Ma rch a a a a 1 ,611 2,203 3,053 4,006 4,496 5,611 5,210 3,986 2,072 Apri 1 a a a a 2,473 3,381 4,686 6,148 6,901 8,612 7,997 6,118 3,180 May a a a a 2,698 3,689 5,112 6,707 7,529 9,395 8,724 6,674 3,469 June a a a a 3,260 4,457 6,177 8,105 9,097 11,353 10,541 8,065 4,192 July a a 0 0 3,710 5,072 7,029 9,223 10,352 12,919 11 ,995 9,177 4,771 August a a a a 3,747 5,123 7,100 9,316 10,456 13,049 12,117 9,270 4,819 September a a a a 3,373 4,611 6,390 8,384 9,411 11 ,744 10,905 8,343 4,337 Octobe r a a a a 2,586 3,535 4,899 6,428 7,215 9,004 8,360 6,396 3,325 November a a a a 1 ,911 2,613 3,621 4,751 5,333 6,655 6,179 4,728 2,458 December a a a a 1 ,312 1,793 2,485 3,261 3,660 4,567 4,241 3,244 1,687 -------------------------------------------------------------------------..----------------- TOTAl/VR a a a a 28,967 39,600 54,880 72,011 80,827 100,869 93,662 71,656 37,249 OPERATIONS/MAINTENANCE ---------------------- TOTAL -YEAR a a a a a a a a 2,759 5,715 5,715 5,715 5,715 Total payroll -cons a a a a 28,967 39,600 54,880 72,all 83,586 106,584 99,377 77 ,371 42,964 ============== =================================:=============== ===================== ======= Source:Alaska Department of Labor,1981. ...) t:~ "'...! II u () L> v ~~) o () (J f) ~Wl,".' ..ECON/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01.of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:05:09 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EMPLOYMENT BY PLACE OF WORK IN THE LOCAL IMPACT AREA USER =SUS • 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT o 1,098 1,358 1,900 2,500 2,804 3,502 3,250 2,503 1,301o0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 Direct Construction Direct Operations Subtotal Di rect o o o o o o o o o o 1,098 1,358 1,900 2,500 2,804 3,502 3,250 2,503 1 ,371 o 158 208 538o0 0 0 843 710 443 Support Construction Support Operations Subtotal Support o o o oo o oo o o 158 711 766 891 000 208 538 711 766 891 843o 710o 440 3 Total Project o o o o 470 620 1,351 1,710 1,858 2,191 2,065 1,708 1,096 t BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 4,852 5,519 6,291 4,852 5,519 6,291 ;====;=============== 6,543 6,543 6,951 7,421 ======= 7,314 7,556 7,788 7,934 8,907 9,498 ~:====;============== 8,143 10,001 -------------- 8,582 8,754 9,290 10,773 10,819 10,998 ==.================== 9.584 10,680 ::;:;;;:-===, Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Support Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Total Impac t As % Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o 16 2 7 19 3 9 25 7 18 32 9 22 34 9 23 41 10 26 37 10 24 27 8 18 14 5 11 ,'.J u Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.() ;;..) ~) 4) ..J ,.~"~_J ),J J .1 t) ECO~/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:05:15 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH COMMUNITIES - ····1 1 1 ~~~l ~~~~"l ~-J CC __.'1 USER =SUS 1 • 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT 389 496 Direct Construction Direct Operations Subtotal Direct Support Construction Support Operations Subtotal Support oo o o o o oo o o o o oo o o o o oo o o o o 159o 159 127 ,0 127 210o 210 168o 168 275o 275 220o 220 380 o 380 342o 342 432o 432 389o 551o 551 496 o 506o 506 455o 455 379o 379 341o 341 182o 182 164 3 167 Total Project o o o o 286 378 495 722 821 1,047 961 720 349 , \' BASELINE PROJECTION 4,291 4,942 5,698 5,932 6,322 6,667 6,891 7,103 7,438 7,857 8,008 8,522 8,794 TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 4,291 4,942 5,698 5,932 6,608 7,045'7,386 7,825 8,259 8,904 8,969 9,242 9,143 ============== ==================================================~========================== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Support Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Total Impact As % Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o 3 2 5 3 3 6 4 3 7 5 5 10 6 5 11 7 6 13 6 6 12 4 4 8 2 2 4 \: Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.) u l) ~.I TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 101.518 104.574 108.391 110.452 116.032 120,020 121,672 123,471 126,965 131,995 131,754 136,897 137,812 ----------------~==================~~======= ========================================~====================== Direct Influx As $ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 Support Influx As $ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 a 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 Total Impact As $ 0IncreaseOverBasel.a 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. " (.) 'c) u ,) () '"ECON/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT A1 ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:05:34 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE FAIRBANKS-NORTH STAR BOROUGH USER SUS • 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT Direct Construction Direct Operations SUbtotal Direct Support Construction Support Operations Subtotal Support Total Project o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 0_ o o o o o o 153 o 153 77 o 77 230 194 o 194 97 o 97 291 248o 248 124 o 124 372 326o 326 163o 163 489 367o 367 184o 184 551 499o 499 299o 299 798 465o 465 279o 279 744 328o 328 197o 197 525 151o 151 91o 91 242 ",I .'.I •I BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL Er~PLOYMENT 30,887 31,979 32,387 32,844 33,915 34,837 35,384 35,661 36,359 37,418 37;613 38,574 39,608 30,887 31,979 32,387 32,844 34,145 35,128 35,756 36,150 36,910 38,216 38,357 39,099 39,850 ~========;==============~=~================;===========================:=:=======;.======== Direct Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel. Support Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 1 2 2 2 o o Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.,-j :.....i ~.. () 1 ]j i ])J I ).I I() ~1 --J ...ECON/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternat.e 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15.:05:41 (1"".. SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE SOUTHEAST FAIRBANKS CENSUS DIVISION 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 3 2 Direct Operations 0 ·0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------- --------------~-----~--------------------- Subtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 3 2 Support Construct1on 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------_.------------------------------------------ Subtota 1 Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 Total Project 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 4 5 5 4 2 ',1. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 1 ,469 1 ,521 1 ,540 1,562 1 ,613 1,657 1 ,683 1,696 1,729 1,780 1 .789 1 ,835 1,884---------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- I,." TOT AL EMPLOYMEIIT 1,469 1 ,521 1 ,540 1,562 1 ,614 1 ,658 1 ,685 1 ,700 1,733 1 ,785 1,794 1,839 1,886 ----------------====~===;:=========== =============;==;~===================~=========================;====== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.\.."•.1 '''',,-''~r l~f ilO 'J,daa oS'n sa~:nlnO~aU V)i~'i'r.. u o Q:) ECON/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:06:09 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE SEWARD CENSUS DIVISION ..~"1 ~--1 ~------]=~1 c ---1 '--1 -~] USER sus ] • 1981 PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1.; Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 3 2 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 3 2 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ....) Subtotal Support Total Project o o o o o o o o o o 3 4 4 2 6 2 6 4 3 (..1 •\t, BASELINE PROJECTIQN 1,749 1,808 1,878 1,918 2,005 2,075 2,105 2,131 2,192 2,275 2,279 2,385 2,420 Ii ~. TOTAL EMPlOYIHNT 1,749 1,808 1,878 1,918 2,006 2,076 2,108 2,135 2,196 2,281 2,285 2.389 2,423 ;==;======;===;=======================================================================~====c, Direct Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel. Support Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel. Tota 1 Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o -t.: '. ~) Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.() ~~) w i) €) ECON/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 03/02/84 AT 17:21 :12 SUSITNA HYDROtLECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE VALDEZ-CHITINA-WHITTIER CENSUS DIVISION USER =SUS 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT Direct Construction Direct Operations Subtotal Direct Support Construction Support Operations Subtotal Support Total Project BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL EMPLOYMENT Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Support Influx As , Increase Over Basel. Total Impact As % Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o 2,869 2,869 ======= o o o o o o oo o o 3,148 3,148 ======= o o o o o o o o o o 4,168 4,168 ======= o o o o o o o o o o 4,313 4.313 =:===== o o o 22o 22 7 o 7 29 4.492 4,521 ======= o 30 o 30 9o 9 39 4,249 4,288 ======= o 39o 39 12o 12 51 4.512 4,563 ;1==:=:: o 51o 51 15o 15 66 4.643 4,709 ======= o 1 57o 57 17o 17 74 4,667 4,741 ====;;== o 2 70o 70 21o 21 91 4,644 4.735 -====== 2 2 65o 65 20o 20 85 4,678 4.763 ======= o 2 51o 51 15o 15 66 4,741 4,807=====111: o 27o 27 8o 8 35 4,814 4,849 =1:11===== 1 o 1 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. --....:. "...... ,_,I )"J I>"I J I I J I )J ECON/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 03/02/84 AT 17:21:18 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE LOCAL IMPACT AREA =J ~1 =~==4 USER =SUS 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT --.~------------.------------------ --------------------------~----------------------------- --------------------- ------- --------------------~----~------.--------- --------------------- Direct Construction Direct Operations Subtotal Direct Support Construction Support Operations Subtotal Support Total Project oo o o o o o o o o oo o o oo o oo o o 01,0981,3581,9002,5002,8043,5023,2502,5031,301o0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 o 1,098 1,358 1,900 2,500 2,804 3,502 3,250 2,503 1,371 o 158 208 538 711 766 891 843 710 440o0000 0 0 003 o .158 208 538 711 766 891 843 710 443 o 1 ;256 1,566 2,438 3.211 3,570 4.393 4.093 3,213 1,814 BASELINE PROJECTION 4,852 5,519 6,291 6,543 6.951 7,314 7,556 7.788 8,143 8,582 8.754 9.290 9,584 TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 4,852 5,519 6,291 6,543 8,207 8.880 9,994 10,999 11,713 12.975 12,847 12,503 11,398 ===============~================================================-========================== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Support Influx As % Increase Over Basel. Total Impact As % Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o 16 2 18 19 3 21 25 7 32 32 9 41 34 9 44 41 10 51 37 10 47 27 8 35 14 5 19 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. .... '- I •ECON/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER "SUSAlternate01of01 12/29/83 AT 15:06:34 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE RAILBELT REGION 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993--------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 916 1,178 1,726 2,270 2,547 3,180 2,950 2,270 1 ,184 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70---------------------------- ---------------------------- ----------------------------------- Subtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 916 1 ,178 1,726 2,270 2,547 3,180 2,950 2,270 1,254 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 697 891 1,340 1 ,914 2,150 2,736 2,535 1,960 1,030 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 88 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 697 891 1,340 1 ,914 2,150 2,736 2,535 1,960 1,118 Total Project 0 0 0 0 1,584 2,030 3,015 4,118 4,623 5,825 5,400 4,164 2,337 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 152,393 157,758 163,909 167,183 174,317 179,714 J82,589 184,750 189,584 196,252 196,784 204,913 208,447 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 152,393 157,758 163,909 167,183 175,901 181,744 185,604 188,868 194,201 202,077 202,184 209,077 210,784 --------....-------====================================================================== ===================== Direct Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 Support Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 Total Impac t As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. I • (-') -.) () ~.. <) (.J \ () (J i._) () () o "~ ECON/EMPIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Al ternate 01 of 01 1~/29/83 AT·15:06:40 ..~=C1 ~~-1 ----1 ~--_-:~] USER sus .. SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE STATE OF ALASKA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -------------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 916 1,178 1,726 2,270 2,547 3,180 2,950 2,270 1 ,184 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 --------------------------------------------------------------------~-------- -------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 916 1,178 1 ,726 2,270 2,547 3,180 2,950 2,270 1 ,254 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 705 901 1,350 1,928 2,166 2,756 2,553 1 ,974 1,037 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 88 ---------------------------------------------.--------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 705 901 1,350 1 ,928 2,166 2,756 2,553'1,974 1,125 Total Project 0 0 0 0 1,632 2,088 3,077 4,202 4,717 5,943 5,509 4,249 2,381 --------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 223,184 231,984 243,067 246,984 258,396 267,895 273,581 277,669 283,619 293,689 291,844 309,031 312,180 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------.-------------------------------- ==~===========:===~================~===============~=====~=====._==-======================= 223,184 231,984 243,067 246,984 260,028 269,983 276,658 281,871 288,336 299,632 297,353 313,280 314,561 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ) ~ ..:~I () ,I (l ...... \J (,,) , I () 1,.) ,.) ",) () () o o 2222 o o o o o o oo o o o o oo o o TOTAL EMPLOYMENT Total Impact As % Increase Over Basel. Direct Influx As·% Increase Over Basel. Support Influx As % Increase Over Basel. •ECON/EMPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:07:12 ,\SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT , SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE RAILBELT PORTION OF THE YUKON-KOYUKUK BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 74 45 73 128 176 188 161 80 14 0 0 0 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------- -------------.----------------------------------- Subtota 1 Di rect 74 45 73 128 176 188 161 80 14 0 0 0 ,. Support Construction 15 9 15 26 35 56 48 24 4 0 0 0 Suppo~t Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------------------------------------------------------------.--------------- Subtota 1 Support 15 9 15 26 35 56 48 24 4 0 0 0 Total Project 89 54 88 154 211 244 209 104 18 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ •I BASELINE PROJECTION 813 837 861 886 912 939 966 994 1.023 1 .052 1.083 1 .115-----------------------------------------------------------------._------------------------------ ------- ~,••J TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 902 891 949 1.040 1.123 1.183 1.175 1.098 1.041 1.052 1.083 1,115 --------------~-============================ ========~=========;=~============== =========~=========== ''..) Direct Influx As % (Increase Over Basel.9 5 9 14 19 20 17 8 1 0 0 0 Support Influx As % Increase Over Basel.2 1 2 3 4 6 5 2 0 0 0 0 \...- Total Impac t As % to )Increase Over Basel.11 7 10 17 23 26 22 11 2 0 0 0 Sourc e:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.() Ii) IV f) ,.,1 J ~.J .I J •••I() j --~l ~c .•.-1 =~~~, •ECON/EMPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:07 :18 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE MUNICIPALITY OF ANCHORAGE 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-------------------------------------------------------------~----------------_.---- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT .--------------------- Direct Construction 207 116 204 353 483 518 448 228 37 0 0 0 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------.-------------.-----------------.--------------------------- Subtotal Direct 207 116 204 353 483 518 448 228 37 0 0 0 Support Construction 269 151 265 494 676 725 627 319 52 0 0 0 Support Operations 177 177 177 190 190 190 190 190 223 223 223 223 ------.------- --------------------- ---------------------------- --------------------- Subtotal Support 446 328 442 684 866 915 817 509 275 223 223 223 Total Project 653 444 646 1 ,037 1 ,349 1,433 1 ,265 737 312 223 223 223 -------------------------------------------------------------.---------------------- BA~ELlNE PROJECTION 136,917 137,316 138,142 139,235140,226 141,337142.779144,351146,105 148,155 150.432 152.906 ------------------------------------------------ -----------------------------------------.-----------.-- TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 137,570 137,760 13~,788 140,272 141}575 142.770 144,044 145,088 146.417 148,378 150,655 153,129 ----------------==~========;==;;====================~=============================================== Direct Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Tota 1 Impac t As ~ Increase Over Basel.1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ------j • (-: ("-'j .! , j t " \~..' ~) u () () to> () • 1 -1 ECON/EMPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:07:29 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE SOUTHEAST FAIRBANKS CENSUS DIVISION USER =SUS • 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ---.----------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- SUbtotal Di rect 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------.------------- --------------.-------------------------.--------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Total Project 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 0 0 0 0-------------..-.------------------.---.-----.--------------.----------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 1 ,905 1 ,916 1,929 1,944 1 ,958 1,972 1,993 2.016 2.041 2.068 2,098 2,132 ------------------------------------------------ ------- ------- ---------------------------- ----------.--- TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 1,906 1 ,917 1,930 1,945 1 ,960 1 ,974 1.996 2,017 2,041 2,068 2,098 2,132 ----------------============================================================================= ======= Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tota 1 Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. '&.' I" 'J;.I \,',," (.! i;.!) ~I i) () ECON/EMPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECOHRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:07:42 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE SEWARD CENSUS DIVISION ..J ---)::--~::-,=---=-]=4 USER =SUS • ( 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-----------------------------------------------------------------------------.------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---.------------------ Direct Construction 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 Di rect Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- Subtotal Direct 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 Su~port Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -----------------------------------------------------------.---.-.----.-.----------- SUbtota 1 Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Proj ec t 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0----------------------------------------.------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 2,425 2.437 2,457 2,481 2,504 2,529 2,560 2,593 2,630 2,672 2,719 2,769 -----------------------------------------------_.-------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 2,426 2,438 2,458 2,482 2,506 2,531 2,562 2,594 2,630 _2,672 2,719 2,769 ----------------=========================~================================================:c=_====== Direct Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Influx As % 0 0IncreaseOverBasel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ". v 1 IJ~j t:, ) 1,...1 't ~') ',) Ii,,) f) () I J ,-.J "~I J J ~J .... '.. ~1 ~,=) ECON/EMPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/02/84 AT 17:22:44 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE LOCAL IMPACT AREA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-_.--------------------------------- -------.----------------------------------._.---- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 806 495 801 1 .246 1 .599 1 ,693 1 .498 889 150 0 0 0 Direct Operations 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 170 170 170 170 -------.----.----------------------------------------.------------------------------ Subtotal Di rect 951 640 946 1 ,391 1 .744 1,838 1,643 1,034 320 170 170 170 Support Construction 301 203 300 378 443 477 439 317 61 0 0 0 Support Operations 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 .-------------.---.---------------------------------------------~------------------- Subtotal Support 308 210 307 385 450 484 446 324 70 9 9 9 Total Project 1 ,259 850 1 ,253 1,776 2,194 2,322 2,089 1 ,358 390 179 179 179------------------------------------------ -------.---------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 9,769 9,984 10,229 10,496 10,760 11 ,037 11 ,341 11 ,660 11 ,999 12.365 12,756 13,171---------------------------------------------------------------------------.-------.-------------.------ TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 11 ,028 10,834 11 ,482 12,272 12.954 13,359 13,430 13.018 1 2,389 1 2,544 1 2,935 13,350----------------=================:==:======= ======= ============================ ===========:========= Direct Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.10 6 9 13 16 17 15 9 3 Support Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.3 2 3 4 4 4 4 3 1 0 0 0 Total Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel.13 9 12 17 20 21 18 12 3 1 1 1 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. " ...ECON/EMPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:08:00 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE Of RESIDENCE THE RAILBELT REGION 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ----------------------------------- ------- ------- ----------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ----------.---------.- Direct Construction 750 462 745 1 ,133 1 ,450 1 ,537 1 ,364 809 139 0 0 0 Direct Operations 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 170 170 170 170 ------------.------------------------------------.---------------------------------- SUbtotal 01 rect 895 607 890 1 ,278 1 ,595 1,682 1 ,509 954 309 170 170 170 Support Construction 651 399 646 1,013 1 ,301 1 ,401 1,271 748 129 0 0 0 Support Operations 184 184 184 197 197 197 197 197 232 232 232 232 -----------------------------------------.'------------------------------------------ Subtotal Support 835 583 830 1 ,210 1,498 1 .598 1 ,468 945 361 232 232 232 Total Project 1 ,709 1 ,177 1 ,699 2,455 3,053 3,235 2,935 1 ,875 667 402 402 402 -------------- --------------------- --------------------- -------------.-------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 209,329 210,480 212,199 214,294 216,279 218,419 221,097 223,998 227,171 230,747 234,704 238.978 ----------------------------------------- ---------------------.--------------------------------.-------- TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 211,038 211,657 213,898 216,749 219,332 221,654 224,032 225,873 227,838 231,149 235,106 239,380 ----------------===================== ======= =========:========.==============-==============;======= Dire c tIn flu x As 'l. Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Support Influx As 'l. ·1IncreaseOverBasel.0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Total Impact As 'l. Increase Over Basel.1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 Source;Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. i....,••.•;1 I ~.~..-.'CJ ......J ,.••J J ",J .J • .i t ;1,,) (-'") '.. '" Il) (I ',:) () €) () 1 1 -1 ~_._::)--,-~-1--.. •ECON/EMPIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:08:06 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF PROJECT-RELATED EMPLOYEES BY PLACE OF RESIDENCE THE STATE OF ALASKA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001'2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT~RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 750 462 745 1,133 1 ,450 1 ,537 1 ,364 809 139 0 0 0 Direct Operations 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 170 170 170 170 ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ SUbtota 1 Di rect 895 607 890 1 ,278 1,595 1 ,682 1 ,509 954 309 170 170 170 Support Construction 655 401 650 1 ,020 1,310 1 ,410 1,279 753 130 0 0 0 Support Operations 184 184 184 197 197 197 197 197 232 232 232 232 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Subtotal Support 839 585 834 1 ,217 1 ,507 1 ,607 1 ,476 950 362 232 232 232 Tqtal Project 1,732 1,1 91 1 ,722 2,497 3,107 3,290 2,984 1 ,903 671 402 ~02 402 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 312,511 313,954 316,404 318,765 320,353 322,374 325,186 328,141 331,499 335,859 340,569 345,701 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------- TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 314,243315,145318,126 321,262 323,460 325,664 328,170 330,044 332,170 336,261340,971 346,103 ----------------~====;=========;==;======================= ========================================== Direct Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Support Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 Tota 1 Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel.1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • ,r" ·i J ,(I 11_',) !.) ,{) \,~) \.,) --) ,--) '-J () () ..ECON/GRAVMOLV/CONSTH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Al ternate 01 of 01 12129/83 AT 15:08:21 1'-SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY GRAVITY MODEL ASSIGNMENTS OF RELOCATERS TO PLACES 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Pa 1 me r 9 12 15 21 24 31 28 21 9 6 4 6 10 14 14 13 6 1 Wasilla 10 14 17 25 28 36 33 24 11 7 4 7 12 16 17 15 7 1 Houston 10 13 17 24 27 35 33 24 11 7 4 7 11 15 17 14 7 1 Talkeetna 15 20 25 35 40 52 48 35 16 10 6 10 17 23 24 21 10 2 Trapper Creek 17 23 29 41 48 62 56 41 19 12 7 11 20 27 29 25 12 2 Suburban Mat-Su 28 37 46 66 76 98 90 66 30 18 11 18 31 43 46 40 19 3 Rural/Remote Mat-Su 13 17 21 30 35 45 41 30 14 8 5 8 14 20 21 18 9 1 Cantwell 105 138 107 153 176 227 208 152 68 42 26 41 72 99 106 92 45 8 Healy 18 23 29 42 48 62 57 42 19 12 7 11 20 27 29 25 12 2 Nenana 9 11 14 20 23 30 27 20 9 6 3 5 10 13 14 12 6 1 McKi nley Park 20 26 33 47 54 69 64 47 21 13 8 13 22 30 32 28 14 3 Glennallen 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 Valdez 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 Copper Center 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 Gulkana 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 Paxson 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 Anchorage 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 Fairbanks 2 3 2 3 4 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 0 ------------------- Total Relocaters 261 342 361 515 594 764 702 515 232 143 87 140 244 335 358 309 152 28 ".) Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. (.. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. '" '." (.' 1.,\,,1 \,.., >lD cJ 1.1 J ..I If;') 1 ~------J "--==I :..~=1 m=-l ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER ;:SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:08:39 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BUROUGH 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ----------------------------------------------------------------------._-------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 104 133 520 591 633 712 703 682 581 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 --------------------------~----------------------------- ----------------------------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 104 133 520 591 633 712 703 682 651 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 23 29 40 58 66 85 83 76 68 Support Operations 0 0 0 ,0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------- Subtotal Support 0 D 0 0 23 29 40 58 66 85 83 76 71 Total Project 0 0 0 0 127 162 560 649 699 797 786 758 722 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 6,810 8,664 9.611 10.362 11,186 1 2.005 12.700 13.387 14.301 15,375 16,078 1 7.220 18.103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 6.810 8,664 9.611 10,362 11 ,313 12.167 13.260 14.036 15.000 16.172 16.864 17.978 18.825 ----------------==========================Q~===============~========~=;===.=========== ===================== Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 o.1 1 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 Tota 1 I'nfl ux As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 Source:Frank Orth &Associ ates,Inc .•1983. ~ -r; ),~ ,-jl,, .~~/ ,) ') ) ..) .,.. .) 'J ,j .:') ~L_) ,) C:) ;:) Co) ,j) lib iifj .-ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:08:44 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE CITY OF PALMER 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ----------------------------------.---------.----------------.----------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 9 11 15 21 24 31 30 28 26 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------.---------------------------------------------------------------------.------ Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 9 11 15 21 24 31 30 28 26 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 4 4 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .:) ---------------~---------------------------------.----------------------------------------- Subtotal Support ·0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 4 4 Tota 1 Project 0 0 0 0 11 13 17 24 27 36 35 32 30--------------------------------------------------------.----------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 783 817 944 1 ,007 1,073 1 ,143 1 ,219 1,299 1 ,385 1 ,476 1 ,529 1,584 1,641 I.) ------------------------------.------------._------------.--------------------------------------.------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 783 817 944 1 ,007 1,084 1,156 1 ,236 1,323 1,412 1 ,512 1,564 1 ,616 1,671 ----------------=;================================= ===================== ==================================~ \I Direct Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 Tota 1 Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 ,. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ,' ,;,...J It) l{) ,"_J ,~,J I J ...J _I J 1() j -~~l -~==1 nn~=-==1 ~--=1 ~=~=J --===1 -==n_':=--:1 :=':::4 ,n:n]-:=3 :-:::]-::--nl ---J •ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:08:51 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE CITY OF WASILLA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 10 14 17 24 29 36 35 34 30 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 10 14 17 24 29 36 35 34 30 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 4 4 5 5 4 4 ~',')Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 4 4 5 5 4 4 it. Total Project 0 0 0 0 12 16 19 28 33 41 40 38 34 ---~------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------- ------- LBASELINEPROJECTION6707929471.022 1.102 1 .190 1.284 1 .386 1.496 1.615 1 .743 1.881 2,030 -' -----~-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 670 792 947 1,022 1.114 1.206 1.303 1.414 1.529 1.656 1.783 1.919 2.064 ====================__===============c========_=======================e================= Direct Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. •ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:08:57 ~,-)SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT Of THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ~~ --------------------------.---------_.'-------------------------------- --------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT --------~------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 10 13 17 24 27 35 34 33 30 ""Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------- -------.----------------------------------------- ------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 10 13 17 24 27 35 34 33 30 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 !,',JSupportOperations0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------.-----------------.---------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 Total Project 0 0 0 0 11 14 19 26 29 38 37 36 32 ,)------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 207 207 210 231 254 280 308 339 373 411 452 498 548 til ---.----------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOT AL HOUSEHOLDS 207 207 210 231 265 294 327 365 402 449 489 534 580 J ----------------=======:~==========.====;~====;=====:===;===-======~==;-=====~===============~============= t) Direct Impact As 'l. Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 4 5 6 7 7 9 8 7 6 I~i) Total Influx As 'l. Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 4 5 6 8 8 9 8 7 6 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. .,1 ,"J J .J ) () ~) u il;;) @ "..IC) Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. • (. ~ • l ~.,I ~:~,:; \, \../ ~) ~) () 4i) tD. -1 --1 ,=-=1 .._~-....._..~....=:) •ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER c SUS Alternate 01 ·of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:09:15 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE RURAL/REMOTE AREAS OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -------------------------------~--------------------------------------------------.-------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 13 16 21 30 35 45 43 41 38 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -----------------------------------.----------------------------------.---.--.-.----------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 13 16 21 30 35 45 43 41 38 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 4 5 5 5 5 5 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 4 5 5 '5 5 5 Total Project 0 0 0 0 15 18 23 34 40 50 48 46 43 --------------------.------------------------------------.-------.------------------------. BASELINE PROJECTION 468 935 930 993 1,074 1 ,153 1.215 1.274 1.358 1 ,461 1 ,520 1.633 1 ,709 .----------------.------------------_.-.--------------------------------------------------------.------------- • r; ~; " () ....... I '.'.\./ TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 468 935 930 993 1,089 1•1 71 1,238 1 .308 1.398 1 ,511 1 .568 1 ,679 1.752 (,; =e========================================__=========================='==============e====== Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As '); Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 -f;",.: 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 , (, ~.) (') () V () •ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATAHAH/ECONRPT USER "SUS Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:09:21 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE SUBURBAN AREA OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993---------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 28 36 46 67 78 98 97 91 82 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -----------------------.----------------------------------------------------------------.-- Subtotal D1 rect 0 0 0 0 28 36 46 67 78 98 97 91 82 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 7 9 12 17 19 25 24 22 20 Support Operations,0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -----.-------------------------------------------------------------------------------._---- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 7 9 12 17 19 25 24 22 23 To ta 1 Project 0 0 0 0 35 45 58 84 97 123 121 113 105 ---------------------------------------------.--------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 4.420 5.667 6.402 6,910 7,468 8,016 8.444 8.854 9,440 10,152 10.565 11 ,342 11.875 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 4,420 5,667 6,402 6,910 7.503 8.061 8,502 8,93B 9.537 10.275 10.686 11,455 11,980 ----------------================;=;============~=============================== ======= ======= ============== 01 rect Impact As 't Increase Over Basel.0 0 .0 0 0 0 Total Influx As 't Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • r" ,<" t· \ ,'I ,- t) \.) ~() \.) (.•j "') \) _,I ,-I .J J ,) (() ,If) ~"-~~,~.~=-~].....0·1 •ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:09:26 nSUSITNAHYDROELECTRICPROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE RAILBELT PORTION OF THE YUKON-KOYUKUK BOROUGH 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 .,; ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 151 199 183 '262 302 391 382 358 324 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------- --------------.--------~---------------------------.-----------------------------.-- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 151 199 183 262 302 391 382 358 324 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 19 23 22 30 34 45 44 40 36 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --_.--------------------------------------.-.-.---------------------------------._--------- Su b tota 1 Sup po rt 0 0 0 0 19 23 22 30 34 45 44 40 36 Total Project 0 0 0 0 170 222 205 292 336 436 426 398 360 ----------------------------------~-.-----------------------.------------------------------ " BASELINE PROJECTION 698 704 716 728 741 754 768 781 795 809 823 838 853 II -------------------.--------------------.------------.-------.--------------------.------.------.------.------ TOT AL HOUSEHOLDS 698 704 716 728 911 976 973 1,073 1, 1 31 1 ,245 1 ,249 1,236 1 ,213 I,i~J ----------------======= ============== ===================;;==.==========================================~=~= i',) Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 20 26 24 34 38 48 46 43 38 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 23 29 27 37 42 54 52 48 42 Source:frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ~,,: () ~:_) ~) tQ ~;) ..ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER ~SUS •A1 ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:09:32 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN CANTWELL 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993---------------------------------------------------------------.--------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT -----.---------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 105 138 107 152 176 228 223 209 190 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------------------------------------------------- ------------.---------------------- Subtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 105 138 107 152 176 228 223 209 190 \.! Support Construction 0 0 0 0 15 19 16 22 25 33 32 29 26 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ~'t ---------------._------------------ --------------------- -----------.----------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 15 19 16 22 25 33 32 29 26 ~.i Total Project 0 0 0 0 120 157 123 174 201 261 255 238 216 ------- ---------------.-------------------------------------------------------------------. BASELINE PROJECTION 68 68 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 0 ---------------------------------------.---._----------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 68 68 81 82 203 241 208 260 288 349 344 328 307 \.) ----------------=======================================~==~======~================================== ======= Di rect Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 127 164 126 177 202 259 251 232 209 ,., "... Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 145 187 145 202 231 297 287 264 237 \..' Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. \~) " tj lot.,i U c.l •••'.c..:·J _.].J ..1 ••,I () .., "C~~I·"--1 ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/81 AT 15:09:38 USER =SUS • SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN MCKINLEY PARK 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- -------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 20 26 33 47 55 70 69 64 58 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- Subtota 1 Di rect 0 0 0 0 20 26 33 47 55 70 69 64 58 Support ·Construction 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 4 4 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SUbtotal Support 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 4 4 Total Project 0 0 0 0 22 28 35 50 58 75 74 68 62 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 10 11 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 14 14 14 15 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------~ TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 10 11 11 12 34 40 47 63 71 89 88 82 77 ----------------===~================================~=~=============================== ===================== 01 rect Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 167 217 275 362 423 500 493 457 387 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 183 233 292 385 446 536 529 486 413 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. :i ~'..,:, :....) ~:.i () () (J tJ ~ •ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS • Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:09:43 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE CITY OF NENANA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------- -------------------------------------.---------------------------------------------- PRO,JECT-RElATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 B 11 1421 23 30 29 27 24 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0 0 0 0 0 ------- --------------------------------------------------------.------.-------------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 8 11 14 21 23 30 29 27 24 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------,----------- ----------------------------.--.---.--------------.------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 Total Project 0 0 0 0 9 12 16 23 25 33 32 29 26 -----.-------------------._-.------.------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 168 172 176 180 185 190 195 200 205 210 215 221 226 t -------------------------- -------------- ------------------------.---------------------------.----------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 168 H2 176 180 194 202 211 223 230 243 247 250 252 \ ----------------==========================================================-=========;;============~======== {,. Oi rect Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 4 6 7 11 11 14 14 12 11 "I ~.. Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 5 6 8 12 12 16 15 13 12 \ \,' Source:Frank Orth &Associ ates.Inc .•1983. () o t) t) .1 .11 I II "J I J J ."...1..1£) --]~-~-] •ECoN/HoHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECoNRPT USER =SUS A1 ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:09:49 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN HEALY 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ----------------------------------- ------------------------.--------------------_.--------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT -------.------.------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 18 24 29 42 48 63 61 58 52 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------.-- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 18 24 29 42 48 63 61 58 52 Support Construction 0 0 0 o·2 2 2 3 4 5 5 4 4 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 4 4 Total Proj ect 0 0 0 0 20 26 31 45 52 68 66 62 56 --------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 109 112 115 118 122 125 129 133 137 141 145 149 153 .----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------.-------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 109 112 115 118'-142 151 160 178 189 209 211 211 209 -------------~--===;=======~==========;===============================~======== ============================ Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 15 19 23 .32 35 45 42 39 34 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 16 21 24 34 38 48 46 42 37 Source:Frank orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • ," I," v, 11 (.;. 'i,;.j <.,) It' (..} ~) Ii.;). ~ 1>,"'\~ _~1 0°1 " eccc 1 C""~--""l ""~~-~1 "-=4 •ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER ;SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:10:00 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE FAIRBANKS-NORTH STAR BOROUGH 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Di rec t Cons truct ion 0 0 0 0 -48 -68 -117 -155 -173 -175 -161 -153 -98 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-------------- -------------- -------------------------------------------------------- ------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 -48 -68 -117 -155 -173 -175 -161 -153 -98 Support C'onstruction 0 0 0 0 29 38 51 67 76 103 101 94 83 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --._--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 29 38 51 67 76 103 101 94 83 To ta 1 Proj ect 0 0 0 0 .,.19 -30 -66 -88 -97 -72 -60 -59 -15 -------.-------------------------------------.--------------------------.-.--------.------. BASELINE PROJECTION 19,407 21 ,752 22,200 22,777 23,347 23,908 24,422 24,701 25,198 26,033 26,307 26,744 27,423 -------------------_______w ___________________________________________________________________________________ TOTAL"HOUSEHOLDS 19,407 21,752 22,200 22,777 23,328 23,878 24,356 24,613 25,101 25,961 26,247 26,685 27,408 ----------------===================:===;=======;=======================;=========~================== ======= Direct Impact As $ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 0 Tota 1 I nfl ux As $ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • f) ?r 'i .•1 I 1:: () ",) ..') t ...' , ,) u ,) o () '() ,I '_~J I J I liJ o Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • {-. "t ,/' L u ;~! "' \.;. \j \;..: (..i I,,", 'lLi t;) •ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS .. Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:10:17 r"SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE KENAI-COOK INLET CENSUS DIVISION 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 -23 -32 -67 -77 -82 -98 -94 -78 -47 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Su btota 1 Di rec t 0 0 0 0 -23 -32 -67 -77 -82 -98 -94 -78 -47 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 13 16 22 29 33 44 43 40 36 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------.------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 13 16 22 29 33 44 43 40 36 Total Project 0 0 0 0 -10 -16 -45 -48 -49 -54 -51 -38 -11-------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 7,995 8,203 8.513 8.953 9,438 9.905 10.250 10,584 11 .079 11 ,683 11 .988 12.610 13.023 l -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 7.995 8,203 8.513 8,953 9.428 9,889 10.205 10.536 11 .030 11.629 11 .937 12,572 13.012 ~:..) ----------------=============================================~============;================================ Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 0 ~...) Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 0 -1 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. \,..-' <;.) () I "_.J ,,;-,J J J I ).I() •ECOH/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:10:23 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE 'PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE SEWARD CENSUS DIVISIO~ 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------~---------------------------------------.------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT .--------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -1 0 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------- --------.--------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -1 0 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -_.-----.-.---------- ---------------------------------------~--.------------------------.-- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Project 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -1 0 ---------------------------- -----------------------------.--------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION.970 999 1 ,022 1,058 1 ,100 1 ,137 1,160 1,182 1,220 1 ,269 1 ,284 1 ,333 1 ,359 ----.------------------~---------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 970 999 1 ,022 1 ,058 1,099 1 ,136 1 ,159 1,181 1 ,218 1 ,267 1 ,282 1,332 1 ,359 ----------------===~=~=~===:========= ===================================-===-=-===-=====================;== Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • r:. 'I· \.',. 1 ~.:..- ;.) .) '--' ...:..) !,;J w <Ii) f') ..ECoN/HoHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECoNRPT LiSER =SUS A1 ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:10:28 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE VALDEZ-CHITINA-WHITTIER DIVISION 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993---------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 5 6 6 8 9 .10 10 8 4 D1rect Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- Subtota 1 01 rect 0 0 0 0 5 6 6 8 9 10 10 8 4 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 5 7 10 12 14 18 17 16 15 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------ ------- ------------------------------------------ Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 5 7 10 12 14 18 17 16 15 Total Project 0 0 0 0 10 13 16 20 23 28 27 24 19 --------------------- ------------------------------------------ ---------------------------- 8ASELINE PROJECTION 2,689 2,984 3,925 4,019 4,096 3,815 4,061 4,244 4,310 4,371 4.440 4,557 4,669 ----------------------------------------------_._-------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 2,689 2,984 3,925 4,019 4,106 3,828 4,077 4,264 4,333 4,399 4,467 4,581 4,688 ----------------======= ==============================.=============~;~===================================== Di rect Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 Source:Frank orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • ...-:""', .I f' ,fj \::) ;,~) (, ;) () o ,f:,w -I ,)_._..).1 ]".1 Itt) ~-.--1 ..~::]~~ ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUSAlternate01of01 03/02/84 AT 17:25:35 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE LOCAL IMPACT AREA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993----------------------------.--------------------------- -------.------.--------------~----- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 255 332 703 853 935 1 ,103 1,085 1,040 905 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 -----~_------- ------------__-------•______---____----________________••______________N.____ Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 255 332 703 853 935 1 ,103 1,085 1,040 975 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 54 68 80 114 129 167 164 149 134 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 ---------.------------------------- ------- -------------------.--"----.---~--------------"*- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 54 68 80 114 129 167 164 149 137 Total Project 0 0 0 0 309 400 783 967 1,064 1 ,270 1 ,249 1 ,189 1,112 --~----.--------------------.-------------.-------------------.------- -------.._----------- BASELINE PROJECTION 7,508 9,368 10,327 11 ,090 11,927.12,759 13,468 14,168 1 5,096 16.184 16,901 18,058 18,956 -----------------------------------------------.------------- --------------------- -------------~-*--------~--- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 7,508 9,368 10,327 11 ,090 12,236 13,159 14,251 15,135 16,160 17,454 18,150 19,247 20,068 ----------------==========~~===================================================a.=~==========~============= Direct Impact As S Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 2 3 5 6 6 7 6 6 5 .Total Infl ux As S Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 3 3 6 7 7 8 7 7 6 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 03/02/84 AT ll:25:41 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE RAILBELT REGION USER =SUS 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 72 77 187 244 278 346 366 429 5~gDirectOperations0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .-------------.--------.-------------------------.--------.--------------~_.--------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 72 77 187 244 278 346 366 429 599 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 314 401 516 720 818 1.046 1 .021 949 842 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 88 _________~___________________________________________4_._________•____________M ____________ Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 314 401 516 720 818 1.046 1 .021 949 930 Total Project o o o o 386 478 703 964 1.096 1.39~1.387 1.378 1.529---------------------------- ---------------------------.---------------------------- ------- BASELINE PROJECTION,100.563 111.473116.774 120.515 124.562 127.946 130.574 132.676 136.397 141.362142.921147.475 150.342 --------------------------------.---------------------------------------------------------------------~------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 100.563 111.473 116.774 120.515 124.948 128.424 131.277 133.640 137.493 142.754 144.308 148.853 151.871 ======================================================== =======*===============a=========== Direct Impact As , Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As 1. Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 1 o Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. ,~:,],',,"I ]I ~-., ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUSAlternate01of01 03/02/84 AT 17:25:47 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE STATE OF ALASKA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993-------------- -------.---------------------~------------ ----------------------.------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 72 71 187 244 278 346 366 429 529 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 -----------------~----------------------------._-.------.._-----------.-------------------- Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 72 71 187 244 278 346 366 429 599 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 314 401 516 720 818 1,046 1 ,021 949 B42 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 88 ---------------------------- ----------------------------------.---------~------------------ Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 314 401 516 720 818 1,046 1 ,021 949 930 Total Project 0 0 0 0 386 478 703 964 1,096 1 ,392 1 .387 1.378 1 .529-------.------------- -------------.-------------- ---------------~-------------------.------ BASELINE PROJECTION 139,982 145.434 153,122 159,137 165,311 171,196 175,638179.313 183.737 189.683 192,248199.878 204.767 -------.------------------------------------------------------------------~---------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 139,982 145,434 153,122 159,137 165,697 171,674176,341180,271 184,833 191,075 193,635 201,256 206,296 _~================.:================================~=====================================3 Direct Impact As , Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As , Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 1 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ECON/HOHIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUSAlternate01of01 03/02/84 AT 17:25:52 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH COMMUNITIES 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -----~----------------------------------------------------------~---~-~---~---~~----------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT---------------------- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 104 133 170 241 283 362 353 332 301 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------~------------------------------ ---------.-----------------.----~--------. Subtotal Direct 0 0 0 0 104 133 170 241 283 362 353 332 301 Support Construction 0 0 0 0 25 31 39 58 66 85 83 76 69 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 .---------------------------------- ----------------.------------------------.-------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 25 31 39 58 66 85 83 76 72 Total Project 0 0 0 0 129 164 209 299 349 447 436 408 373----------------------------------- ---------------------.-------------------- -------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 6,831 8,668 9,616 10,362 11 ,186 12,005 12,700 13,387 14,301 15,375 16,078 17,220 18,103-------------------________•____•_____________•_______________M_~~____________________-••______________------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 6,831 8,668 9,616 10,362 11 ,31 5 12,169 1 2,909 13,686 14,650 15,822 16,514 17,628 18,476----------------=========================================~===~=====================z========z ===z=z======== Direct Impact As , Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 Total Infl ux As , Increase Over Basel •.0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. '- ~.' "',,_.._),_.,c,]),I ,-_I yC _.J .1 Source:Fran!:Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • r"': i.,) i"J ( , "' '-/ "'l ) (; ~) f) Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. \.J "'.' "t.) () Q) J "~k_1 ,)J "J J .J ··.Jf) .. ~-~, ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15,:11:18 -~ SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE CITY OF WASILLA USER ~~9 SUS • ("; 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 30 29 30 30 31 31 31 30 28 27 27 27 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------- -------------------------------------------------------- -------------- Subtotal Di rect 30 29 30 30 31 31 31 30 28 27 27 27 Support Construction 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 Support Operations 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 --------------------- -----------------------------------------------------~--------- SUbtotal Support 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 Total Project 35 34 35 35 36 36 36 35 32 31 31 31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 2,191 2,365 2,553 2,755 2,974 3,210 3,467 3,742 4,039 4,361 4,707 5,082 ----------~----------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 2,226 2,399 2,588 2,790 3,010 3,246 3,503 3,777 4,071 4,392 4,738 5,113 -------~--------================;=========== ===========================================~;=========== Direct Impact As '); Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As '}; Increase Over Basel.2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ;. "\ t \ .'..:' '-..' " I~) ,,) 'O{..I ~) () ~t)~:... Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. J I ~I • ("j j 'j c '~.,1 L ~) '..,.' (, \j '\....i \,j '..i () If l ·----1 -,~ •ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of .01 12/29/83 AT 15:11 :33 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN TALKEETNA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ====================== Di rect Constructi.on 43 42 43 45 46 47 45 44 41 41 41 41 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Subtotal Direct 43 42 43 45 46 47 45 44 41 41 41 41 Support Construction 8 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 7 7 7 7 Support Ope~ations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------------- ------- -------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 8 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 7 7 7 7 Total Project 51 49 51 53 55 56 54 52 48 48 48 48 -------------------------------------------~---------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 185 195 206 217 230 242 255 270 284 300 317 334 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- • ( ".-. ~: :"I ....,' 1) TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 236 244 257 .270 285 298 309 322 332 348 365 382 i.:.~) ======= ========~======================:==============-==~=========================== Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel. 23 28 22 25 21 25 21 24 20 24 19 23 18 21 16 19 14 17 14 16 13 15 12 14 I~.J \.... Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. \:.,) i.:.) <) u ~) ~) ..ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:11:53 (ISUSITNAHYDROELECTRICPROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUM8ER OF HOUSEHOLDS ,'- IN TRAPPER CREEK \ 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 i,: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 50 48 50 51 53 54 52 50 47 47 47 47 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Subtota 1 Di rect 50 48 50 51 53 54 52 50 47 47 47 47 Support Construction 24 23 24 26 26 27 26 24 22 22 22 22 Support,Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- SUbtotal Support 24 23 24 26 26 27 26 24 22 22 22 22 Tota 1 Proj ect 74 71 74 77 79 81 78 74 69 69 69 69 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION !. 115 121 126 132 138 145 151 158 165 173 181 189 t} ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 189 192 200 209 217 226 229 232 234 242 250 258 i,.) ----------------=:==========================;=;================================ ===================== Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.44 40 40 39 38 37 34 32 29 27 26 25 () Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.64 59 59 58 57 56 52 47 42 40 38 37 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. (J ,,) () t\) J ",,,__,,,..1 _cl ..)c.cl -I I J If) J 1 •ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of·01 12/29/83 AT 15:12:04 r-',SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE RURAL/REMOTE AREAS OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 ·2004 2005------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 36 35 36 38 39 39 38 36 35 34 34 34 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Subtotal Direct 36 35 36 38 39 39 38 36 35 34 34 34 Support Construction 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 -------------------------------------------------------~---------------------------- Subtotal Support 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Total Project 40 39 40 43 44 44 43 41 40 39 39 39 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- 8ASELINE PROJECTION 1,776 1,834 1,900 1 ,972 2,040 2,108 2,178 2,248 2,320 2,394 2,471 2,~48 t, -------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 1,816 1 ,873 1,940 2,015 2,084 2,152 2,221 2,289 2,360 2,433 2,510 2,587 '.' ----------------======;======:==================================================~====;============== Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 "'" Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. \} ,;.J "'.) v ~;') •ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:12:10 ("SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE SUBURBAN AREA OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Di rect Construction 79 78 79 82 85 86 84 79 75 75 75 75 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Di rect 79 78 79 82 85 86 84 79 75 75 75 75 Support Construction 19 19 19 20 21 21 20 19 18 17 17 17 Support ~perations 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 ---------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 24 24 24 25 26 26 25 24 24 23 23 23 Total Project 103 102 103 107 111 112 109 103 99 98 98 98 --------~--------------------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 12,340 12,734 13,196 13,695 14,164 14,636 15,121 15,608 16,100 16,615 17 ,138 17,672 '"i.l ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 12,443 12,836 13,299 13,802 14,275 14,748 15,230 15,711 1 6,1 99 16,713 17,236 17,770 i;"..) ----------------=============~===============~======================================== ============== Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 ':.,,) Tota 1 Infl ux As '% Increase Over Basel. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. \,I \:) ':.:.'; li.,.l iLl "-_.~_J J ,-.J J J "I If) ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT A1 ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:12:16 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOM1C IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE RAILBELT PORTION OF THE YUKON-KOYUKUK BOROUGH • ~---1 .~I -] USER sus • r". 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1 999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 312 306 312 325 334 338 333 314 298 296 296 296 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -----------------------------------------.------------------------------------------ Subtotal Direct 312 306 312 325 334 338 333 314 298 296 296 296 Support Construction 35 33 35 36 37 40 39 36 32 31 31 31 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------- Subtotal Support 35 33 35 36 37 40 39 36 32 31 31 31 Total Project 347 339 347 361 371 378 372 350 330 327 327 327 ---------------------------- ---------.--------------------------------------.------. BASELINE PROJECTION 868 883 899 915 931 948 965 982 1,000 1,018 1,036 1 ,055 ------------------------------.---.----------------------------.----------------------.---------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 1 ,215 1 ,222 1,246 1,276 1,302 1 ,326 1 ,337 1 ,332 1,330 1,345 1 ,363 1 ,382 --------.-------=============.====~=~======================;======~===;=~=-========================= Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.36 35 35 36 36 36 35 32 30 29 29 28 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.40 38 39 40 40 40 39 36 33 32 32 31 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. L '~-j ....) .. .......j \;,) ,.i () I,) "'-.) ~) f) ..ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:12:22 (-'"SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN CANTWELL 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ----------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------. PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT -------.-.------------ Direct Construct~on 183 179 183 191 196 198 195 183 174 173 173 173 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ Subtotal Di rect 183 179 183 191 196 198 195 183 174 173 173 173 Support Construction 25 24 25 26 27 29 29 26 23 22 22 22 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ','! -------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 25 24 25 26 27 29 29 26 .23 22 22 22 Total Project 208 203 208 217 223 227 224 209 197 195 195 195 ----------------------------.------------------------------------------------------. BASELINE PROJECTION 92 93 94 95 96 98 99 100 101 102 104 105 U ---------------------------------------------------------------------------.--------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 300 296 302 312 319 325 323 309 298 297 299 300 '~.,." ----------------==================================================~===========~===-================= (.. Direct Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel.199 193 195 201 204 202 197 183 172 170 166 165 {. To ta l'In flu x As ~ Increase Over Basel.226 218 221 228 232 232 226 209 195 191 188 186 :':..' Sou rce:Fran k 0rt h &Ass 0 cia t e s.Inc..1983. ~,..> ....) () 'U ~]"",....1 J ',','.I ,.t ,L,e-.,',....J .1 II .:'\ •..=;1 ___J •ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:12:28 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT Of THE PROJECT ON NUMBER Of HOUSEHOLDS IN MCKINLEY PARK 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -----.------.------~---------------------------------.---------------------.-.--.--. PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 55 55 55 58 59 60 59 56 53 52 52 52 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------- ----------*----------------- -------------- ------- -------------- -------------- Subtota 1 Di rect 55 55 55 58 59 60 59 56 53 52 52 52 Support Construction 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -.--------.---------- --------------------------------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 To tal Project 59 59 59 62 63 64 63 60 56 55 55 55 ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 15 16 16 17 17 17 18 19 19 20 20 21 ------_.---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 74 75 75 79 80 81 81 79 75 75 75 76 ----------------============== ==============~======~_====~;c=;====================================== / Direct Impact A~% Increase Over Basel.367 344 344 341 347 353 328 295 279 260 260 248 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.393 369 369 365 371 377 350 316 295 275 275 262 Source:frank Orth &Associates.Inc.,1983. •• () ,,~,.,' "\,,..I I.) J () i) ,) r '. II) -) () <) ,~,.) ~) ,:) ic..'> w t) iif')\f •ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUSAlternate01of01 12/29/83 AT 15:12:34 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE CITY OF NENANA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------------------------.-.------.------------------------------.---------.-------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 24 23 24 24 26 26 26 24 23 23 23 23 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ---------------------.-----------------------------------------.-------------------- SUbtotal Di rect 24 23 24 24 26 26 26 24 23 23 23 23 Support Construction 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----.-----_.---------------------------------------------------.------------.------- Subtota 1 Support 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Tota 1 Project 26 25 26 26 28 28 28 26 25 25 25 25 --------_.---------------.----------------------.-------------.---.----------------. BASELINE PROJECTION 232 238 244 251 257 264 270 217 284 292 299 307 ---------------._--------.---------------------------------------._--------------.--.----------- ------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 258 263 270 217 285 292 298 303 309 317 324 332 ----------------=;===================;======;;=;;==~======~========================================= Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.11 11 11 10 11 11 10 9 9 9 8 8 Source:-Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. lit .-,,. ,::;-') ,',J it, :; (:.) ·~.w .' () ...) () \L) J -I ".1 _..,J I iJ If) ~~~~'-~)~~~'='j ....] •ECOH/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:12:39 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN HEALY I 1994 1995 1996 199~199B 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ----------------~----------------------------------.-----------.-.--.--------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT .-----------------.--- Direct Construction "n An "n 52 ".,"A """.AO 00 00 00;JU "t:J ;JU 01,;);J"t 01.;)OIl "to "to "to "to Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ---------------------------------~---------------.-------.-.--..------------~-.----- Subtotal Direct 60 49 60 62 63 54 63 51 4B 4B 4B 48 Support Construction 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -.---------------------------~------------ -------------.---------------._----------- Subtotal Support 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 Total Project 64 62 64 66 67 68 67 55 61 61 61 61 ------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ BASELINE PROJECTION 168 163 167 172 177 182 188 193 199 205 211 218 ------------------------~---------------------.---------------------.----.--------------- -------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 212 216 221 228 234 240 246 248 250 256 262 269 ----------------=============~e============= ===============~=~~================ ============;======== Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.32 30 30 30 30 30 28 26 24 23 23 22 Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.34 32 32 33 32 32 30 29 26 25 24 23 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. • n rt ")' ~~.; L lJ,_) n '.......) \I.•.-: \,) 1...:J Ii,) (1) ~.•, :'., ~..' Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ':.) l'~) ;,0 .qj) I ~_"J -"~--j ~J J J ...:.'I ~') I •ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01, 12/29/83 AT 15:13:10 C~-l -~4 USER ~--1 SUS • SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE FAIRBANKS-NORTH STAR BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction ",.""n .,,,-98 -100 -90 -54 -iZ 2 2 2-01 -"'0 -;J:J/-/;J Dlrect Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------------------------------------------------------- ---------.----------. Subtotal Di rect -61 -45 -59 -75 -98 -100 -90 -54 -12 2 2 2 Support Construction 79 76 79 83 86 87 86 80 74 72 72 72 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0,0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Subtotal Support 79 76 79 83 86 87 86 80 74 72 72 72 Total Project 18 31 20 8 -12 -13 -4 26 62 74 74 74 -------------..------------.---------------------.---------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 28,110 28,270'28,565 28,912 29,201 29,500 29,853 30,221 30,603 30,993 31,401 31,847 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------~------- ...... 1,."~ '"J D '~) l~ TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 28,128 28,301 28,585 28,920 29,189 29,487 29,849 30,247 30,665 31,067 31,475 31,921 ============c:==========;==========================================================; ,Li 0000000 0 0 000 Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As % Increase Over Basel.o o o o o o o o o o o o ~L) \,../ Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. 'oj o iJ t) i) C!~ Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. .. n " I" <.' }i ;~j "---' \, ....) {) i() ~) J ••""I J ,.",1 J ,J () I ---1 "~"--"-l I -='1 ~-=1 •ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER "SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:13:21 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE SOUTHEAST FAIRBANKS BOROUGH 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------------------.---------------------.----------------------~------------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 1 1 i i 2 2 2.i 0 0 0 0 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SUbtotal Direct 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 Support Construction 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------------------------------------.----------.----------------------------- Subtotal Support Total Project 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 ----------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 2,797 2,813 2,843 2,877 2,905 2,935 2,970 3,007 3,045 3,084 3,125 3,169 ------------------------------.------------_.------------------------------ ----------------.----------- TOT AL HO USEHOL OS 2,799 2,815 2,845 2,879 2,908 2,938 2,973 3,009 3,046 3,085 3,126 3,170 -------~--------=========================================~~======================G=============~==== Direct Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • .--OJ \• I '~,) ( 1: (~ <) u ·u ~") o () () Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. .\~..) Iii) ltD .J I ..~.I I _J .J .1 ~~.~J ~) ]~-.--1 --]~-i ~1 -~~1 =""1 1 --1 •ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:13:51 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE SEWARD CENSUS DIVISION 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ---------------------------------------------------------------.-------------------- PROJECT-RELATED 'IMPACT .---------------.-.--- Direct Construction 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Direct Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ----_.---------------------.-------------------.--------------. -----.--------------- Subtotal Di rect 0 0 0 0 0 O.0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Construction 0 ·0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Support Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -------------.-----------------------------.---------------------------------------- Subtotal Support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Project 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 --------------.--------------.---------------------------------------.-------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 1,378 1.392 1 ,412 1,435 1,456 1,477 1,500 1 ,524 1,549 '1 ,575 1 ,604 1,634 ------------------.--.----------.--------------------- -----------------------------------------.------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 1,378 1,392 1 ,412 1,435 1,456 1,477 1 .500 1,524 1,549 1,575 1,604 1,634 -----------_.---==============================================================~===:================= Direct Impact As t Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 D 0 0 0 0 0 D 0 0 Tota 1 Influx As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 D 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc.,1983. .- "'..:" f :~..; ",) ~.) () () () () () f) ,_,.J .1 .+.,]".~...,I "...."J J I .,1 () t) () CD E'C OLljHOH ~~f\:J"j'/DF'!--!o-'W/ECb""'}T ~-,~~J ~_c,~~-1'~-J L,~~~j=Su;cl --~~-l AI~e nate UI of UI 03/02/84 AT 17:28:01 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE LOCAL IMPACT AREA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 810 138 810 833 851 859 846 813 619 571 571 571 Direct Operations 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 170 170 170 170 --------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------- Subtotal Di rect 955 883 955 978 996 1.004 991 958 789 741 741 741 Support Construction 129 124 129 134 139 143 140 131 118 116 116 116 Support Operations 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 -------~-------------~--------------------- -----------------------------------------~ Subtotal Support 136 131 136 141 146 150 147 138 127 125 125 125 Total Project 1 .091 1.014 1 .091 1 .119 1 .142 1 .154 1 .138 1.096 916 866 866 866 -------------- ------------------------------------------------- ------- -------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 19.789 20.561 21 .441 22.383 23.317 24.284 25.307 26.358 27.454 28.617 29.843 31 .121---------------------------------------------------~------------------------------------- -------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 20.880 21.575 22.532 23.502 24.459 25.438 26.445 27.454 28.370 29.483 30.709 31 .987----------------============== ========================~============================================= Direct Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel.5 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 Total Inf1 ux As ~ Increase Over Basel.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. ECON/HOHIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUSAlternate01of01 03/02/84 AT 17:28:07 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE RAILBELT REGION 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------.--.------------------~----------------------------- -------------- PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ------------.--------- Direct Construction 564 569 566 512 473 468 485 559 569 574 574 574DirectOperations145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 170 170 170 170-------------- -----------------------------------.._------~--------...-------------- Subtotal Direct 709 714 711 657 618 613 630 704 739 744 744 744 Support Construction 801 772 800 843 877 888 871 810 745 731 731 731SupportOperations184 184 184 197 197 197 197 197 232 232 232 232 .--------------------------- ------- -------.--------.---------..--.-------------~---- Subtotal Support 985 956 984 1,040 1 ,074 1 ,085 1 ,068 1 ,007 977 963 963 963 Total Project 1 ,694 1 ,670 1 ,695 1 ,697 1 ,692 1 ,698 1,698 1 ,711 1,716 1 ,707 1 ,707 1 ,707--------------.--------------~------------ ----------------------------------.------- BASELINE PROJECTION 152,722 154,018 155,976 158,270 160,371 162,503 164,850 167,270 169,805 172,574 175,479 178,560_____________•0.-~•_ TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 154,416 155,688 157,671159,967162.063 164.201166,548 168,981171,521174,281177,186 180.267 ======= ===============~=======================~====a================================ Direct Impact As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Influx As ~ Increase Over Basel. o o o o o o o o o Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. .,.._1 .1 ~~~:~(~~~~::V~~E:-;UYECIHV'J>f ~l 1 -~1 ~~1 ~~-~·l ~~'-]-:eel u~~~-J=sC;-1 ~--1 ~-_:~~ 03/02/84 AT 17:28:13 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN THE STATE OF ALASKA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------------------------------------------------------- ---------~------------------ PROJECT-RELATED IMPACT ---------------------- Direct Construction 564 569 566 512 473 468 485 559 569 574 574 574 Direct Operations 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 145 170 170 170 170 ___~__•---M ~•••_._ Subtotal Di rect 709 714 711 657 618 613 630 704 739 744 744 744 Support Constructi on 801 772 800 843 877 888 871 810 745 731 731 731 Support Operations 184 184 184 197 197 197 197 197 232 232 232 232 ----~----------------------- --------------------------------------------~----------- Subtotal Support 985 956 984 1.040 1.074 1.085 1.068 1.007 977 963 963 963 Total Project 1.694 1.670 1.6,95 (.697 1.692 1.698 1.698 1.711 1.716 1.707 1.707 1.707 ------------------------------------------ --------------~-~---------..-------------- BASELINE PROJECTION 207.667 210.442 213.516 216.441 219.177 221.849 224.742 227.669 230.740 234.102 237.668 241.443 --------------------------------- -----------..-------------~------------------------------------------- TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS 209.361 212.112 215.211 218.138 220.869 223.547 226.440 229.380 232.456 235.809 239.375 243.150 _~______________=~=======::===============================================================d=S ======= Direct Impact As % Increase Over Basel.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Infl ux As % Increase Over Basel. Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. .~ ,-, ... Source:Frank arth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ;';;;~J k~...lc&J J .1 ,..J J c •.•_.J J •ECON/HSEIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:15:03 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON USER SUS • " 1981 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 c Total Project BASELINE DEMAND o o o o 11 14 19 26 29 38 37 36 32 '&.l.'. Baseline Households 207 207 210 231 254 280 308 339 373 411 452 498 548 ---------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND t Pro.+~ase1.Hsehds BASELJ,NE SUPPlY Baseline Hse.Units 207 229 207 229 210 301 231 301 265 317 294 350 327 385 365 423 402 466 449 513 489 564 534 622 580 684 -. '(.i iL) ===~=================================e==================_=====~============================ SUPPL Y -DEMAND .... tJ Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Hou~ing Units Vacancy Rate* 22 10 22 10 91 30 70 23 52 16 56 16 58 15 58 14 64 14 64 13 75 13 88 14 104 15 (,) ,,-J (J *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. 1(.) () fi) e .~J ,.~~J c,.j J ] 1 1 1 ~--~l -~1 •ECON/HSEIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER "SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:15:17 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE RURAL/REMOTE AREAS OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ----------------------------- Total Project 0 0 0 0 15 18 23 34 40 50 48 46 43 BASELINE OHlAND--------------- Baseline Households 468 935 930 993 1 .074 1 .153 1 .215 1 .274 1.358 1.461 1 .520 1 .633 1 .709 ----------------------------------------------.----------.---.-------------------.-----.----.----------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND --------------------~----- Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 468 935 930 993 1 .089 1•1 71 1 .238 1 .308 1 .398 1 .511 1 .568 1 .679 1 .752 BASELI NE SUPPLY --------------- Baseline Hse.Units 566 1.985 1 .969 1 .969 1 .969 1 .969 1.969 1 .969 1.969 1.969 1 .969 2.064 2.152 =============~==~========================================================================~= SUPPLY -DEMAUD --------------- Vacant Hse.Uni ts 98 1 .050 1 .039 976 880 798 731 661 571 458 401 385 400 Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units ---------------------- Vacancy R~te*17 53 53 50 45 41 37 34 29 23 20 19 19 *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. .- ,-- (."" ,"" ',',' ",'.'c ) o o :) l~_:) ,I, ;l) ~i:_: ~~.) ,;) o (J I!i> e I> •ECON/HSEIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/8~AT 15:15:21 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE SUBURBAN AREAS OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH USER SUS • (', 1981 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 I'. Total Project BASELINE DEMAND o o o o 35 45 58 84 97 123 121 113 105 ';,,;.;," Baseline Households 4,420 5,667 6,402 6,910 7.468 8,016 8,444 8.854 9.440 10,152 10.565 11.342 11,875 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds BASELINE SUPPLY 4.420 5,667 6,402 6.910 7,503 8,061 8,502 8,938 9,537 10.275 10,686 11,455 11,980 x I{) Baseline Hse.Units 5,925 7,825 8,789 9,453 10,174 10,877 11,411 11,917 12.654 13,554 14.049 15.023 15,666 {J ========================================;======~=====:&==================================== SUPPLY -DEMAND ". (. Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A ~Of Baseline Housing Units 1,5052,158 2,387 2,543 2,671 2,816 2.909 2,979 3.117 3,279 3,363 3,568 3,686 Vacancy Ra te*25 28 27 27 26 26 26 25 25 24 24 24 24 .\ *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. \,) () f) ,]J -I L _,.J J ~) J •ECOII /HSE 1M PTV /WAT AN AH /ECOII RPT Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:15:58 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF fAIRBANKS USER SUS • ,-, ',) 1981 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 , .~,, ';: Total Project BASEliNE DEMAND o o o o -7 -13 -29 -40 -46 -33 -28 -29 -8 , ';':•.1 Baseline Households 9.124 10.481 10.801 11.186 11.575 11 .968 12.340 12.599 12.979 13,537 13.811._----'-14,177 14.678 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 9.124 10.481 10,801 11,186 11,568 11,955 12.311 12.559 12.933 13,504 13.783 14,148 14.670 BASEl INE SUPPLY 't. i{) Baseline Hse.Units SUPPL Y -DEMAND 9.124 11.319 11.664 12.080 12.500 12,924 13.326 13,606 14.016 14.619 14.915 15.310 15,851 ======~======~=;====~===============================c====================================== () () ..,) Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units o 838 863 894 932 9691,015 1.047 1 ,083 1•115 1•132 1 .162 1 ,181 .~"1 L) Vacancy Rate*o 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 ~) *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc .•1983. (J (J o E) .J ~I ."..."...1 J d I J .1 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE KENAI-COOK INLET CENSUS DIVISION ~~1 ~~.--1 .,ECON/HSEIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:16:04 ~'CC=1 0"'--1 :-:_) USER =SUS ].- '-'I 1981 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 c ,. '~:/ Total Project BASELINE DEMAND o o o o -10 -16 -45 -48 -49 -54 -51 -38 -11 ',.. () Baseline Households 7,995 8.203 8,513 8,953 9,438 9.905 10,250 10,584 11,079 11,683 11,988 12,610 13,023 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND 't) Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 8ASELINE SUPPLY 7,995 8,203 8,513 8,953 9,428 9,889 10,205 10,536 11,030 11,629 11,937 12,572 13,012 ~4) ,1 ii,) Baseline Hse.Units 8,416 8,635 8,961 9,424 9,935 10,426 10,789 11,141 11,662 12,298 12,619 13,274 13,708 ========:============ SUPPL Y -DEMAND --------------:;..;;=============;;:;==========••===;;;":;:;===;:====;;:;\~.~.I ~) Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A ~Of Baseline Housing Units Vacancy Rate* 421 5 432 5 448 5 471 5 507 5 537 5 584 5 605 5 632 5 669 5 682 5 702 5 696 5 \~.) o i.v *Neiative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source':Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. ;w () fD • TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 100,563111,473116,774120,515 124,94B 128,424 131,277 133,640137,493142,754144,308 148,853 151,871 BASELINE SUPPLY--------------- Baseli ne Hse.Units 116,127 123,332 128,368 132,301 136,654 140,445 143,141 145,403 149,415 154,768 156,440 161,450 164,598 ==:=================;=============~==========~============================================= SUPPLY -DEMAND --------------- Vacant Hse.Units .15,564 11 ,859 11 ,594 11 ,786 11 ,706 12,021 11 ,864 11,763·11,922 12,014 12,132 12,597 12,727 Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units ---------------------- Vacancy Rate*13 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. i • ,I c I,. ~; () \~.. f} c: .~... ,..:. 1. (j (,) l..) () CD G •ECON/HSEIMPTV/WATANAH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:16:27 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE STATE OF ALASKA 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 0 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ----------------------------- Total Project 0 0 0 0 386 478 703 964 1 .096 1.392 1.387 1,378 1.529 BASELINE DEMAND --------------- Baseline Households 139.982145,434 153,122 159,137165,311 171,196 175.638 179.313 183.737 189.683 192,248 199.878 204.767 --------------------------------- -------------- --------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 139,982 145.434 153,12215~,137 165.697 171.674 176,341 180,277 184,833 191.075 193,635 201.256 206,296 BASELINE SUPPLY • (')'0 e..fl 0'0 ) ~o 0 (, Baseline Hse.Units o o o o o o o o o o o o o \'0) SUPPLY -DEMAND Vacant Hse.Units =========~===========================================================================.===== 139,982145,434 153,122 159,137 165.697 171,674 176,341180,277184.833191.075193.635201.256 206,296 (,' to' ~;.! Vacant Units As A %Of Basel ine Housing Units Vacancy Rate*o o o o o o o o o o o o o (./ (\ *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. .-~<I J 1 I (~ ~) t) e .Ch_) ~1 ~~,c~~c~~l ~~"C'l '~,=-cl J B ):.•- ECoN/HSEIMPTV/WATANAH/ECoNRPT USER "SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:16:31 r~SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT ', SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH COMMUNITIES 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ----------------------------- Total Project 0 0 0 0 104 133 170 241 283 362 353 332 304 BASELINE DEMAND iJ-_...._----------- Baseline Households 6,831 8,668 9,616 10,362 11,186 12,005 12,700 13,387 14,301 15,375 16,078 17 ,220 18,103 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND -------------------------- '." Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 6,831 8,668 9,616 10,362 11 ,,290 12,138 12,870 13,628 14,584 15,737 16,431 17,552 18,407 t , BASELINE SUPPLY --------------- l,' Baseline Hse.Units 0 1 2,01 3 13,404 14,148 15,048 15,960 16,725 17,478 18,484 19,674 20,435 21 ,789 22,826 ==================================================================================== ======= \.) SUPPLY -DEMAND ---------------t,) Vacant Hse.Units -6,831 3,345 3,788 3,786 3,758 3,822 3,855 3,850 3,900 3,937 4,004 4,237 4,419 l...' Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units \.~l ---------------------- Vacancy Rate*0 28 28 27 25 24 23 22 21 20 20 19 19 ,,~' *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded.(~ (; Sou rce:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.f) fill •ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:16:43 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH USER =SUS • /~.~ , I 1994 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 \ ~j Total Project BASELINE DEMAND 715 647 715 728 740 744 735 717 560 513 513 513 ~s. Baseline Households 18,921 19,678 20,542 21,46B 22,386 23,336 24,342 25,376 26,454 27,599 28,807 30,066 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 19,636 20,325 21,257 22,196 23,126 24,080 25,077 26,093 27,014 28,112 29,320 30,579 BASELINE SUPPL Y ,,'t ..' ... L Baseline Hse.Units SUPPL Y -DEMAND 23,779 24,653 25,641 26.710 27,762 28,847 29,985 31,158 32.377 33,671 35,020 36.436 =========~========================================================================== to \t l : c Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A ~Of Baseline Housing Units 4,143 4,328 4,384 4,514 4,636 4,767 4,908 5,065 5,363 5,559 5,700 5,857 ';,..) "J Vacancy Rate*17 18 17 17 17 17 16 16 17 17 16 16 u *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ",,~...,,',,).1 l/<) ~ () e ,~~~1 ~~, •ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:16:47 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE CITY OF PALMER 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ----------------------------- Total Project 30 29 30 31 32 32 32 30 28 28 28 28 BASELINE DEMAND --------------- 8aseline Households 1,700 1 ,762 1 ,824 1,890 1 ,958 2,028 2,101 2,177 2.255 2.336 2.419 2,507 ---------------------------------------------------------_._----------------------------- -------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND 8ASELINE HOUSING DEMAND -------------------------- Pro.+8asel.Hsehds 1.730 1 .791 1.854 1 .921 1,990 2.060 2.133 2.207 2.283 2,364 2.447 2.535 BASEL INE SUPPlY --------------- Baseline Hse.Units 1 .747 1,811 1 ,875 1.942 2,012 2.084 2,159 2.237 2.318 2,401 2.486 2.577 ==;===================;=========;;===.==~============~============================== SUPPL Y -DEMAND --------------- Vacant Hse.Units 17 20 21 21 22 24 26 30 35 37 39 42 Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units ------------~---------Vacancy Rate*1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc .•1983. .j • (J G, '. ,! u ~~.-." l,..i \... '-.j 1.:.'l ~) (I () tJ ~~"l c-~~l 1 cl ""-"1 ~~"1 -,--~--1 -~:I --I ---~:J .-ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEYILH/ECONRPT USER'"SUS .- Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:16:55 r'SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT ..' SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON 1,_; 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ,-----------------------------.~~ Total Project 31 30 31 32 32 33 32 31 29 29 29 29 BASEL INE DEMAN D ---------------~.J Baseline Households 603 664 731 804 885 975 1,073 1,181 1 ,300 1,432 1,576 1,735 -----------------------------------------------------.-----------------------.------------------------.~~..) TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND -------------------------- 'I. Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 634 694 762 836 917 1,008 1 .105 1,212 1,329 1 .461 1,605 1 .764 iV BASELINE SUPPLY -----------_....--~) Baseline Hse.Units 753 829 913 1 .004 1 .105 1 .217 1,340 1 .474 1.623 1.788 1.968 2.166 ==========================-=============== ======= =========================;=========Ii,..I SUPPLY -DEMAND t)--------------- Vacant Hse ..Uni ts 119 135 151 168 188 209 235 262 294 327 363 402 () Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units \:,.J ---------------------- Vacancy Rate*16 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 19 <,;) *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded.0 e£> Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.Ei e e±~=l ~·~-1 =.·cc·'1 ~-c-,1 I.-ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER "SUS .-Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:17:02 CSUSITNAHYDROELECTRICPROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE ~ROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN TRAPPER CREEK 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ...-------------------------.--'j~, Total Project 74 71 74 77 79 81 78 74 69 69 69 69 \:,: BASElINE DEMAND ---------------U Baseline Households 115 121 126 132 138 145 151 158 .165 173 181 189 -------------------------------------------------------------.-----------.----------------------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE'HOUSING DEMAND ----------.--------------- \1.i Pro ...Basel.Hsehds 189 192 200 209 217 226 229 232 234 242 250 258 iJ ' BASELJ NE SUPPLY ...._------------I",_I Baseline Hse.Units 126 133 138 144 150 157 164 171 178 186 194 203 =;==.==-===================-===========================~============================It) SUPPLY -DEMAND [)--------------- Vacant Hse.Units -63 -59 -62 -65 -67 -69 -65 -61 -56 -56 -56 -55 Vacant Units As A t Of Baseline Housing Units \i~J ---------------------- Vacancy Rate*-50 -44 -45 -45 -45 -44 -40 -36 -32 -30 -29 -27 lc) *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded.(..1 ~) Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.e 11 •ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:17:06 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE RURAL/REMOTE AREAS OF THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH USER SUS • 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND Total Project BASEL INE DEMAND 40 39 40 43 44 44 43 41 40 39 39 39 \oJ; Baseline Households 1,776 1,834 1,900 1,972 2,040 2,108 2.178 2.248 2,320 2,394 2.471 2.548 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND :,11 Pro.+Basel.Hsehds BASELINE SUPPLY 1 .816 1,873 1 ,940 2,015 2,084 2.152 2.221 2,289 2.360 2,433 2,510 2.587 ;=======================~====================================-==.===========~===;=== Baseline Hse.Units SUPPL Y -DEMAND 2.228 2,293 2,366 2,447 2,522 2.596 2,672 2.748 2.826 2.905 2.988 3,070 l ..,: ,' (I Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units Vacancy Rate* 412 19 420 18 426 18 432 18 438 17 444 17 451 17 459 17 466 17 472 16 478 16 483 16 ,.' \.'•.1 -.(1 *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ",) () f!) €) ~~J J __I J __J J '.,I J l ._J ..,ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:17:14 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT Of THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE RAILBELT PORTION Of THE YUKON-KOYUKUK BOROUGH USER '"SUS • 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND Total Project BASELINE DEMAND 347 339 347 361 371 378 372 350 330 327 327 327 ,I (!.'I Baseline Households 868 883 899 915 931 948 965 982 1.000 1,018 1,036 1,055 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds BASELINE SUPPLY 1 ,215 1,222 1,246 1 ,276 1 ,302 1 ,326 1,337 1 ,332 1.330 1.345 1 ,363 1.382 ,I I .) Basel i ne Hse.Units 1 ,153 1 ,173 1,194 1 ,21 5 1 ,236 1 ,259 1,282 1,304 1.328 1.352 1 .376 1,401 l) =========================~======================:=;================================= SUPPLY -DEMAND '~,. t ..: Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A ~Of Baseline Housing Units Vacancy Rate* -62 -5 -49 -4 -52 -4 -61 -5 -66 -5 -67 -5 -55 -4 -28 -2 -2 o 7 13 19 u \::.' *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ......' <u () C[l ,I I ,.J I I •ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER =SUS •Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:17:21 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PRUJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN HEALY 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005--------------.-------~------------ ------------------------------------------ ------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ----------------------------- Total Project 54 .52 54 56 57 58 57 55 51 51 51 51 I I BASEL IN E DEHAND (~,I--------------- Baseline Households 158 163 167"172 171 182 188 193 199 205 211 218 ---.------------------------------------ -------------- -----------------------------.------------ ------- -...:..1 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND -------------------------- Pro.+Ba sel.Hsehds 212 215.221 228 234 240 245 248 250 256 262 269 BASELINE SUPPlY --------------- Baseline Hse.Units 210 216 222 228 235 242 250 256 264 272 280 290 ========;======================;;:;::;:=.=============;;:::;;;:;;;;;===;::;;;;:=:;;;;::;::===============~====== SUPPLY -DEMAND t ; \..) t t Vacant Hse.Uni ts Vacant Units As A $Of Baseline Housing Units Vacancy Rate* -2 -1 D o 1 o 2 5 2 8 3 14 5 16 6 18 6 21 7 !, "-, t *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. ".,.'.1 IlJ t) () €> ) ..1 "~~1---] ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT A1 ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:17:25 ~---~l SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE CITY OF NENANA J -1 USER =SUS 1 1 }.- i (', 1994 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 :;) ,: Total Project BASELINE DEMAND 26 25 26 26 28 28 28 26 25 25 25 25 (J Baseline Households 232 238 244 251 257 264 270 277 284 292 299 307 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND ~. ..., ===;:::=======:::;:.;;=========:::;:====:::;:=========~==.~=.=================;==;===== Pro.+Basel.Hsehds BASELINE SUPPLY Baseline Hse.Units SUPPL Y -DEMAND Vacant Hse.Uni ts Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housin9 Units Vacancy Rate* 258 308 50 16 263 316 53 17 270 324 54 17 277 333 56 17 285 341 56 16 292 351 59 17 298 ·359 61 17 303 368 65 18 309 377 68 18 317 388 71 18 324 397 73 18 332 408 -------------- 76 19 .~) <D v u <J ~:,...' .\ ·'eJ ..;;.J *Ne9ative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ,iJ $) e I) ..~~·1 =~} ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:17:33 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF ANCHORAGE USER =SUS .- !') C'I 1994 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 c Total Project 447 483 446 431 421 417 423 452 590 615 615 615 I BASELINE DEMAND Baseline Households 82,490 82,406 82.650 83,060 83,356 83,634 83,978 84,334 84,724 85,240 85,773 86,359 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 82,937 82,889 83,096 83,491 83,777 84,051 84,401 84,786 85,314 85,855 86,388 86.974 BASELINE SUPPLY Baseline Hse.Units 89.178 89,088 89,351 89,795 90,115 90,415 90,787 91,172 91,594 92,151 92,728 93,361 ================~==========================================================~~======= SUPPLY -DEMAND -""'\\ '\: \} '. \. , ·f ) c: ;~.•.I l...:' Vacant Hse.Uni ts Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units 6,241 6.199 6,255 6,304 6,338 6,364 6,386 6,386 6,280 6,296 6,340 6,387 t,._ Vacancy Rate*7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 ,<-i *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. \-) (,I, () () •ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:17:44 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE KENAI-COOK INLET CENSUS DIVISION USER SUS • (-'j 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND Total Project BASEL INE OEMAND 3 12 3 -6 -11 -12 -9 o 25 31 31 31 (!' Baseline Households 13,384 13,688 14,058 14,466 14,859 15,259 15,685 16,125 16,582 17,064 17,575 18,111 ..) TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 13,387 13,700 14,061 14,460 14,848 15,247 15,676 16,125 16,607 17,095 17,606 18,142 BASELINE SUPPLY Baseline Hse.Units SUPPLY -DEMAND 14,088 14,408 14,798 15,227 15,641 16,062 16,511 16,974 17,455 17,962 18,500 19,064 ===============~===~======:==========_=========================~=__=======~c======== l. ~". Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A ~Of Baseline Housing Units Vacancy Rate* 701 5 708 5 737 5 767 5 793 5 815 5 835 5 849 5 848 5 867 5 894 5 922 5 '. \..' \:... *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ]J I ....••J ,I i:..) () {) f) I ·1 .~'"""l .~..~.J ..ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:17:48 ..."]..~'-'1 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT,OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE SEWARD CENSUS DIVISION l -'1 USER SUS 1 ).- ~~1 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005' TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND Total Project BASELINE DEMAND o o o o o o o o o o o o \..!) Baseline Households 1.378 1,392 1,412 1,435 1.456 1,477 1,500 1,524 1,549 1,575 1.604 1,634 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds BASELINE SUPPL Y 1 ,378 1,392 1 ,412 1 ,435 1 ,456 1,4771,500 1 ,524 1 ,549 1,575 1,604 1 ,634 L: Baseline Hse.Units 1 .451 1 ,465 1 ,486 1 ,511 1 ,533 1 ,555 1 ,579 1 ,604 1,631 1 ,658 1 ,688 1,720 l) ===============~==============================================;======= ============== SUPPlY -DEMAND ~••_,I () Vacant Hse.Units Vacant Units As A ~Of Baseline Housing Units Vacancy Rate* 73 5 73 5 74 5 76 5 77 5 78 5 79 5 80 5 82 5 83 5 84 5 86 5 ,:, *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. \:....) ~) o () ..ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15 :18:02 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE RAIL8ELT REGION USER ..SUS • 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND Total project BASELINE DEMAND 1,694 1,670 1,695 1,697 1 ,692 1 ,698 1,698 1 ,711 1 ,716 1,707 1,707 1 ,707 U)I Basel ine Households 152,722 154,018 155,976 158,270 160,371 162,503 164,850 167,270 169,805 172,574 175,479 178,560 -----------------------------~-----~------------------ -------------- -------------------------~--------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 154,416 155,688 157,671 159,967 162,063 164,201 166,548 168,981 171,521 174,281 177,186 180,267 BASELINE SUPPLY --------------- Basel i ne Hse.Un'i t s 167,207 1 68,651 170,802 173,327 175,638 177,979 180,543 183,190 185,960 188,981 192,137 195,493 ==~;=======~========-==================~========~~================================== SUPPL Y -DEMAND --------------- Vacant Hse.Units 12,791 12,963 13,131 13,360 13,575 13,778 13,995 14,209 14,439 14,700 14,951 15,226 Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units ---------------------- Vacancy Rate*8 8 8 8 8 B 8 8 8 8 8 8 *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. '\) {. t ..·' l:' (! (I ~~j IL) Q) () (\D ,.,)J ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT Alternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:18:09 • -···1 ~l ~1 -==---, USER SUS • BASELINE SUPPLY SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN THE STATE OF ALASKA 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ----------------------------- .Total Project 1,694 1 ,670 1,695 1,697 1 ,692 1,698 1,698 1 ,711 1 ,716 1 ,707 1 ,707 1,707 BASELINE DEMAND --------------- Baseli-ne Households 207,667 210,442 213,516 216,441 219,177 221,849 224,742 227,669 230,740 234,102 237,668 241,443 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 209,361 212,112 215,211 218,138 220,869 223,547 2~~,440 229,380 232,456 235,809 239,375 243,150 ~~ '. ,' \l.~J ,~.) to 1.../ Ba sel i ne Hse.Units SUPPLY -DEMAND Vacant Hse.Units 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 =========;::;::=======li:;===============:a:=;;;;==:;;===============:::1:::1.===_.-=;;=;;;:=====;;========== 209,361 212,112 215,211 218,138 220,869 223,547 226,440 229,380 232,456 235,809 239,375 243,150 ...J i; ". Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing Units Vacancy Rate*o o o o o o o o o o o o "'....1 ":.: *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded,o () () e '.ECON/HSEIMPTV/DEVILH/ECONRPT USER"SUS Al ternate 01 of 01 12/29/83 AT 15:18:13 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOUSING UNITS IN MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH COMMUNITIES 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED DEMAND ----------------------------- Total Project 299 291 299 309 318 322 314 300 286 284 284 284 BASELIN E DEMAND --------------- Baseline Households 18,921 19,678 20,542 21 ,468 22,386 23,336 24,342 25,376 26,454 27,599 28,807 30,066 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL PROJECT-RELATED AND BASELINE HOUSING DEMAND -------------------------- Pro.+Basel.Hsehds 19,220 19,969 20,841 21 ,777 22,704 23,658 24,656 25,676 26,740 27,883 29,091 30,350 BASELINE SUPPLY --------------- Ba sel i ne Hse.Units 23,779 24,653 25.641 26,710 27,762 '28,847 29,985 31,158 32,377 33.671 35,020 36,436 ======================================================;=;;=~==========;;============ SUPPLY -DEMAND --------------- Vacant Hse.UnHs 4,559 4,684 4,800 4,933 5,058 5.189 5,329 5,482 5,637 5,788 5.929 6,086 Vacant Units As A %Of Baseline Housing,Units ---------------------- Vacancy Rate*19 19 19 19 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 17 *Negative vacancy rates indicate that capacity would be exceeded. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. • ........] j'" I d l "\.. '~'.. :1.: l(.l..J (" '.:,) u u o Il!> 4) J 1 1'.'.,J J J e 1 =--:-}=-----1 "FSER/WATERV/WATERWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:25:00 -}<o·~l USER =RLH • ['I IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SEWAGE TREATMENT FACILITIES IN THE CITV OF WASILLA (IN GALLONS) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ~:.: Direct Project Total Project BASELINE 3647 4272 354524 5157 5789 384947 6060 6697 418033 8804 10092 453738 10733 12034 492556 13574 15216 534669 13263 14921 580373 13054 14393 629751 11601 12952 683448 tJ' I,~....I TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 358796 390736 424731 463831 504591 549886 595294 644145 696401 =:;==~=-==========================================:============ ================== Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel. Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ."-••,1 t 1983 Capacity Excess (Under)Cap. %Capacity Utiliz. o 0 00 0 0 0 0 0 (358796) (390736)(424731)(463831)(504591) (549886) (595294) (644145)(696401)o 0 0 0 0 0 000 t it•... l,_..' Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ':,..... ~.;., \.J o t) () • ..FSER/WATERV/WATERWAH/FSERRPT3 USER "RLH Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:24:56 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON WATER SUPPLY FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA -PEAK WATER SUPPLY REQUIREMENTS (IN GALLONS) YEARS'1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project 7221 10186 11940 17306 21050 26562 25894 25432 22551 Total Project 8458 11434 13196 19838 23602 29775 29131 28040 25178 BASELINE 701886 760271 823650 891908 965985 1046204 1133110 1226827 1328572 ----------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 710345 771705 836847 911747 989587 1075979 1162242 1254867 1353751 ------------------=====;~==============~~==========-===;=========================================== Direct Require.As ~ Increase Over Basel.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 Total Require.As t Increase Over Basel.1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1983 Capacity 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 Excess (Under)Cap.189654 128294 63152 (11747)(89587)(175979)(262242)(354867)(453751 ) t Capacity Util1z.78 85 92 101 109 119 129 139 150 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. • ""-',\. I, , ': ~j1 ....~...- '< L , .....1 Ii., It .....: \i.,) ",j () ED () ....)J /.1 J .."e ..} • (--) '., ',. ,......' 'f;..j \., iI, :4.../ \i. 1;;) <J ,:), o () lID f) G ..fSER/WATERV/WATERWAH/fSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:24:48 IMPACT Of THE PROJECT ON SEWAGE TREATMENT FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER (IN GALLONS) USER =RLH • o f .1 YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS :================_===;==============================================:~=====~E==== Direct Project Total Project 8ASELINE TOTAL REQUIREMENTS Direct ReqUire.As % Increase Over Basel. Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel. 3334 3960 323677 327637 4105 4736 348105 352842 5315 5953 374444 380397 7623 8589 402738 411328 2 8890 9866 433142 443008 2 2 11604 13136 465810 478947 2 2 11384 12931 486757 499689 2 2 10711 12050 508576 520627 2 2 10024 11375 531395 542771 2 ,J ~". ,:OJ \,) ,,[; 1983 Capac i ty Excess (Under)Cap. %Capacity Utiliz. 300000 (2763]) 109 300000 (52842) 117 300000 300000 300000 300000 300000 300000 300000 (80397)(111328) (143008) (178947)(199689) (220627)(242771) 126 137 147 159 166 173 180 .~) 1,~~...i (,j Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. \~-,-,]l --) <.} \J :'-j .;0 If) €J Il ,) .:)~J-J l *FSER/WATERV/WATERWAH/FSERRPT3 Al ternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:24:44 I 1 --1 ~-1 ~.1 -, USER =RLH =0-1 .1 () IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON WATER SUPPLY FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -PEAK WATER SUPPLY REQUIREMENTS (IN GALLONS) Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 TQtal Require.As % Increase Over Basel.1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1983 Capacity 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 Excess (Under)Cap.381343 333136 280503 221457 161187 92828 54415 15758 (25107) %Capacity Utiliz.62 67 72 78 84 90 94 98 102 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. J, IJj {J .~~) .) I:) ,J Ii,;;) @ CI • k.",1 ,..cC"),..J .',]'""J • C) 'U IL), II i ,,--, ,,):' .t):1 ;;] 'I I ;J ~) '~D ,;) ~,) r;;) V,) :;J I "J 10 ~ It e ·:1 ..FSER/WA TERV tWA TERDCH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:25:30 1 ~~~~•••.:j =::..,) USER =RLH • IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SEWAGE TREATMENT FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA (IN GALLONS) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ------------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------------- ---------------------------- O;rect Project 11709 11358 11926 12034 12496 12608 12720 12360 11520 11 040 11040 11 040 Total Project 13414 13080 13663 13787 14265 14392 14520 14160 12960 12480 12480 12480 BASELINE 741562 804534 872821 946771 1026981 1113823 1208040 1298640 1395960 1500720 1613280 1734240 ---------------------------------------------------------------- -------- -------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 754976 817614 886484 960558 1041246 1128215 1222560 1312800 1408920 1513200 1625760 1746720 ------~-----------============~===============================================================~=========== ======== D;rect Requ;re.As % Increase Over Basel Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel 1983 Capac;ty 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Excess (Under)Cap.-754976 -817614 -886484 -960558 -1041246 -1128215 -1222560 -1312800 -1408920 -1513200 -1625760 -1746720 %Capac;ty Ut;l;z.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Source:Frank Orth &Assoc;ates.Inc. ,:> <J 11 '",.,. (<-:-<.-' ..._) ..J ".-I '. '- () o o ..FSER/WATERV /WATERDCH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:25:26 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON WATER SUPPLY FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA -PEAK WATER SUPPLY REQUIREMENTS (IN GALLONS) USER '"RLH • YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -----.------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project 22714 21988 23039 23202 24045 24212 24380 23690 22080 21160 21160 21160 Total Project 26022 25320 26394 26581 27447 27638 27830 27140 24840 23920 23920 23920 BASELINE 1438493 1557402 1686131 1825307 1976021 2138934 2315410 2489060 2675590 2876380 3092120 3323960 --------, ----~------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1464515 1582722 1712526 1851888 2003469 2166573 2343240 2516200 2700430 2900300 3116040 3347880 ------------------==========================.==;==~=============================~=====================:=========== Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel 1983 Capacfty 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000 Excess (Under)Cap.-564515 -682722 -812526 -951888 -1103469 -1266573 -1443240 -1616200.-1800430 -2000300 -2216040 -2447880 %Capacity Uti1iz.162 175 190 205 222 240 260 279 300 322 346 371 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. I \.......•,I ,.... .! () .r,.I .y. .:,) ., JI,~~.. -:,) ~;) ·;:.~i <1J /,. ~..:L.i ~.l ..;;..l ::,.) (~;.i ,) .,Q $ "• ,~"oc~.\,\,~,-I ,-,<;,1 "",<-"••"J }J • "~.",' \,' ",'., ~; u {,.J c' l~__ ,""" '\. ~.....J ~j u () () C) ) ]"I --.---l ~------1 =----1 ...]--·1 •FSER/WA TERV /WA TERDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =RLHAlternate01of01 12/31/83 AT 13:25:12 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON WATER SUPPLY FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -PEAK WATER SUPPLY REQUIREMENTS (IN GALLONS) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------- ---------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS -----~---------------------- Direct Project 187.44 18212 19013 20048 20869 21014 21160 19550 18860 18860 18860 18860 Tota 1 Project 21832 21322 22144 23202 24045 24212 24380 22770 21620 21620 21620 21620 BASELINE 1076830 1122520 1169868 1219574 1270996 13246)3 1380460 1428760 1478900 1530650 1584240 1639670 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1098662 1143842 1192013 1242776 1295041 1348826 1404840 1451530 1500520 1552270 1605860 1661290 ------------------=============:;:;======================================~===============================-======== Direct ReqUire.As $ Increase Over Basel Total ReqUire.As $ Increase Over Basel 2 1983 Capacity 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 Excess (Under)Cap.-68662 -113842 -162013 -212776 -265041 -318826 -374840 -421530 -470520 -522270 -575860 -631290 $Capacity Utiliz.106 111 115 120 125 130 136 140 145 150 155 161 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ~--1 • n '{, r -. 'l.;..,: ,., ~i:._1 ':.,j ,;~) ) , -.:0.-' iI., {~) ,,) '-..) <.J o o i) $ fi) ~ •FSER/WATERV/WATERDCH/FSERRPT3 A1 ternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:25:07 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON WATER SUPPLY FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -AVERAGE WATER REQUIREMENTS (IN GALLONS) USER =RLH • ) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 .2005 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS Direct Project 12481 12084 12571 13209 13703 13751 13800 12750 12300 12300 12300 12300 Total Project 14537 14147 14641 15287 15788 15844 15900 14850 14100 14100 14100 14100 .BASELINE 71 7030 744800 773489 803551 834552 866797 900300 931800 964500 998250 1033200 1069350-----_...------------------------------------~------------------------------------------------------------ \TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 731567 758947 788131 818838 850340 882642 916200 946650 978600 1012350 1047300 1083450 ------------------===============~==============================================;================================= Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel 2 1983 Capac fty 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 1030000 Excess (Under)Cap.298432 271 052 241868 211161 179659 147357 113800 83350 51400 17650 -17300 -53450 %Capacity Utiliz.71 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 95 98 101 105 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. I I Jd).l u .) () u \...) \) , \,._-, \:.: c; \..) t) () () ,~~,~I 'C=~.J .J (;l FSr'"'.''1C H0 f''L'f CHO'>'-'~V FS,,"'.,"JT 3 Alterrrate VI of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:37:24 ]~..>'1 ~---,~~>']C>~=s'~>·l IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASELINE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. ,1983 &P1 an ned Cap. :Excess (Under)Cap. ~Capacity Uti1iz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 5.0 6.0 8.0 11.0 12.0 6.0 7.0 9.0 12.0 13.0 382.0 407.0 434.0 462.0 496.0 388.0 414.0 443.0 474.0 509.0 ============================================= 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.4 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.6 725.0 725.0 725.0 725.0 725.0 337.0 311.0 282.0 251.0 216.0 53.5 57.1 61.1 65.3 70.2 15.2 16.2 17.3 18.4 19.8 .2 .2 .3 .4 .5 15.5 16.5 17.7 18.9 20.3 16.0 18.0 532.0 550.0------------------ 3.0 3.3 725.0 175.0 75.8 21.2 .7 22.0 16.0 15.0 18.0 17.0 555.0 579.0 573.0 596.0 ===========~====== 2.8 2.5 3.2 2.9 725.0 725.0 152.0 129.0 79.0 82.2 22.2 23.1 .7 .6 22.9 23.8 14.0 16.0 604.0 620.0 ========= 2.3 2.6 725.0 105.0 85.5 24.1 .6 24.8 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. '-. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09~37:29 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project 4.0 5.0 6.0 9.0 11.0 14.0 13.0 12.0 12.0 Total Project 5.0 6.0 7.0 10.0 12.0 15.0 15.0 13.0 13.0 BASELINE 326.0 347.0 369.0 393.0 422.0 454.0 473.0 493.0 515.0 TOTAL ENROLLMENT 331.0 353.0 376.0 403.0 434.0 469.0 488.0 506.0 528.0 --______________==================c========================== ===============================s==== Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.1.2 1.4 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.3 Total Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.1.5 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.5 1983 &Planned Cap.1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600~0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 ~xcess (Under)Cap.1269.0 1247.0 1224.0 1197.0 1166.0 1131.0 1112.0 1094.0 1072.0 t Capacity Utiliz.20.6 22.0 23.5 25.1 27.1 29.3 30.5 31.6 33.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 15.5 16.5 17.5 18.7 20.1 21.6 22.5 23.4 24.5 Proj ect-Rel ated Classroom Require..2 .2 .3 .4 .5 .7 .7 .6 .6- Total Classroom Requirements 15.7 16.8 17.9 19.1 20.6 22.3 23.2 24.1 25.1 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. "_I .J Fsr::1).J1CH0 !'-'~~''P CHr'"~"c1 /F S'=""-""-'}T3 Al~erftate UI -of 01 03/04/84 AT 09;37:35 ~~J IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN ____=I ~~_'O~_] L-.,-....,.=~.......,.. YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASELI NE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. %Capacity Utiliz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Re1 ated Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 9.0 11.0 708.0 719.0 1.2 1.5 2325.0 1606.0 30.9 30.8 .4 31.2 11.0 13.0 754.0 767.0 ========= 1.4 1.7 2325.0 1558.0 32.9 32.8 .5 33.3 14.0 20.0 16.0 22.0 803.0 855.0 819.0 877.0 ================== 1.7 2.3 1.9 2.5 2325.0 2325.0 1506.0 1448.0 35.2 37.7 34.9 37.1 .6 .9 35.6 38.1 23.0 30.0 25.0 33.0 918.0 986.0 943.0 1019.0 ==========~======= 2.5 3.0 2.7 3.3 2325.0 2325.0 1382.0 1306.0 40.5 43.8 39.9 42.9 1.0 1.4 41.0 44.3 29.0 33.0 1028.0 1061 .0 ========= 2.8 3.2 2325.0 1 264.0 45.6 44.7 1.4 46.1 27.0 ...""-JU.U 1072.0 1102.0 ========= 2.5 2.8 2325.0 1223.0 47.4 46.6 1.3 47.9 26.0 29.0 1119.0 1148.0 ------------------ 2.3 2.5 2325.0 1177.0 49.3 48.6 1.2 49.9 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT.09:37:40 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993------------------------------------------------------ ---------------------------PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project 5.0 8.0 9.0 12.0 15.0 19.0 18.0 18.0 16.0 Total Project 6.0 9.0 10.0 13.0 16.0 21.0 20.0 20.0 18.0 BASELINE 419.0 450.0 484.0 520.0 564.0 611.0 662.0 717.0 777.0 TOTAL ENROLLMENT 425.0 459.0 494.0 533.0 580.0 632.0 682.0 737.0 795.0 ----------------================================================================;=====••====~==.= Direct Enroll.As % I,ncrease Over Basel.1.1 1.7 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.0 Total Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel.1.4 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.3 1983 &Planned Cap.1050.0 1050.0 1050.0 1050.0 1050.0 1050.0 1050.0 1050.0 1050.0 Excess (Under)Cap.625.0 591.0 556.p 517.0 470.0 418.0 368.0 313.0 255.0 %Capacity Utiliz.40.4 43.7 47.0 50.7 55.2 60.1 64.9 70.1 75.7 Baseline Classroom Requirements 16.7 18.0 19.3 20.8 22.5 24.4 26.4 28.6 31.0 Project-Related Classroom Require..2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .8 .8 .8 .7 Total Classroom Requirements 17.0 18.3 19.7 21.3 23.2 25.2 27.2 29.4 31.8 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ) FS''''''--'jC HO"'A~'''lsC H("""-)I / Fs"'l T3 Al fernate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:37:45 ~.............]:~;:,=~::~_-'_J IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASEL I NE TOTAL ENROllMENT Oirect Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. t Capacity Utiliz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 5.0 6.0 7.0 11.0 13.0 16.0 16.0 15.0 13.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 12.0 14.0 18.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 357.0 384.0 412.0 443.0 480.0 521.0 564.0 611.0 662.0 363.0 391.0 420.0 455.0 494.0 539.0 582.0 627.0 676.0 ========================~======================================================== 1.4 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.1 2.6 2.1 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1437.0 1409.0 1380.0 1345.0 1306.0 1261.0 1218.0 1173.0 1124.0 20.1 21.7 23.3 25.2 27.4 29.9 32.3 34.8 37.5 17.0 18.2 19.6 21.1 22.8 24.8 26.8 29.1 31.5 .2 .3 .3 .5 .6 .8 .8 .7 .6 17.2 18.6 20.0 21.6 23.5 25.6 27.7 29.8 32.1 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:37:50 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993---------------------------------------------...------------------------.-------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Di rect Project Total Project 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 16.0 18.0 23.0 25.0 28.0 30.0 35.0 39.0 34.0 38.0 33.0 36.0 29.0 32.0 I BASELINE 776.0 834.0 896.0 963.0 1044.0 1132.0 1226.0 1328.0 1439.0 ----------------------------------------.-----.---~-------------~.--------------.-_...-------- TOTAL ENROLLM~NT 788.0 850.0 914.0 988.0 1074.0 1171.0 1264.0 1364.0 1471.0 ---.--------------=;=============================================================================== Direct Enroll.Ast Increase Over Basel.1.2 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.6 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.0 Total Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.1.5 1.9 2.0 2.6 2.8 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.2 1983 &Planned Cap.2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 Excess (Under)Cap.2062.0 2000.0 1936.0 1862.0 1776.0 1679.0 1586.0 1486.0 1379.0 %Capacity Uti1iz.27.6 29.8 32.0 34.6 37.6 41.0 44.3 47.8 51.6 Baseline Classroom Requirements 33.7 36.2 38.9 41.9 45.4 49.2 53.3 57.7 62.6 Project-Related Classroom Require..5 .6 .7 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.3 Total Classroom Requirements 34.2 36.9 39.7 42.9 46.7 50.9 54.9 59.3 63.9 Frank Orth &Assoc fates.Inc. "...""J ,) \... F5'~~'~lC HOr-"~1>'C HC""l/FS-~~JT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:37:55 ~~~~~~~l~,~~"]=-4 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TRAPPER CREEK ~PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:38:00 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TRAPPER CREEK -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project 8.0 10.0 13.0 18.0 21.0 27.0 27.0 25.0 23.0 Total Proje'ct 11.0 14.0 18.0 25.0 29.0 38.0 37.0 35.0 32.0 BASELINE 26.0 27.0 28.0 29.0 30.0 32.0 33.0 35.0 37.0 TOTAL ENROLLMENT 37.0 41.0 46.0 .54.0 59.0 70.0 70.0 70.0 69.0 ________________====================================:m========~=========================;===== ,Direct Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel.30.7 37.0 46.4 62.0 70.0 84.3 81.8 71.4 62.1 Total Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel.42.3 51.8 64.2 86.2 96.6 118.7 112.1 100.0 86.4 1983 &Planned Cap.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(37.0)(41.0) (46.0)(54.0)(59.0)(70.0)(70.0)(70.0) (69.0) ,Capacity Utiliz.0.0 ,0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 Project-Related Classroom Require..5 .6 .8 1.1 1.3 .1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 Total C1 assroom Requirements 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 Erank Orth &Associates,Inc. ,..1 F S,F~CH0 pIJ!:<.5 CH(lJ:~III:J /F s~rD::'ll T3 ...'1 A1Ll:I nate ui~f (II 03/04/84 AT 09:38:05 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TRAPPER CREEK -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993------------------ --------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT ---------------------------- Di rect Project 17.0 22.0 28.0 39.0 46.0 59.0 58.0 54.0 50.0 Total Project 23.0 30.0 38.0 54.0 64.0 82.0 80.0 75.0 69.0 BASELINE 56.0 58.0 61.0 63.0 66.0 69.0 72.0 76.0 80.0 ------------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------------------------ TOTAL ENROLLMENT 79.0 88.0 99.0 117.0 130.0 151 .0 152.0 151.0 149.0 .-.~--------------================== ================== ========= ==================================== Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel.30.3 37.9 45.9 61.9 69.7 85.5 80.5 71.0 62.5 Total .Enroll.As ~ I~crease Over Basel.41.0 51.7 62.3 85.7 96.9 118.8 111.1 98.6 86.2 1983 &Planned Cap.50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(29.0)(38.0)(49.0)(67.0)(80.0)(1 01 •0)(102.0)(101.0)(99.0) ~C~pacity Utiliz.158.0 176.0 198.0 234.0 260.0 302.0 304.0 302.0 298.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.4 Project-Related Classroom Require.1.0 1.3 1.6 2.3 2.7 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.0 Total Classroom Requirements 3.4 3.8 4.3 5.0 5.6 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.4 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 ·03/04/84 AT 09:38:10 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES I~THE COMMUNITY OF TALKEETNA -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASElINE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As S Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As S Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. S Capacity Uti1iz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 8.0 10.0 1 2.0 1 8.0 21 . 0 27.0 9.0 11.0 14.0 21.0 24.0 31.0 44.0 46.0 49.0 51.0 54.0 57.0 53.0 57.0 63.0 72.0 78.0 88.0 =========================================-============ 18.1 21.7 24.4 35.2 38.8 47.3 20.4 23.9 28.5 41.1 44.4 54.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 47.0 43.0 37.0 28.0 22.0 12.0 53.0 57.0 63.0 72.0 78.0 88.0 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 .3 .4 .5 .8 .9 1.2 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.5 27.0 25.0 31.0 28.0 61.0 64.0 92.0 92.0 ==========m====_== 44.2 39.0 50.8 43.7 100.0 100.0 It 8.0 8.0 92.0 92.0 2.4 2.5 1.2 1.1 3.6 3.6 22.0 25.0 68.0 93.0 ========= 32.3 36.7 100.0 7.0 93.0 2.7 1.0 3.7 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. .].J .J H"''''!iCHO''''~';SCHr-'-'~1I/Fs-''-''-''1T3~-1 ~~~~--,---1 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:38:16 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TAlK~ETNA -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN ~--1 YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993----------------------~------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROllMENT Direct Project Total Project BASELINE TOTAL ENROllMENT Direct Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. ,Capacity Uti1iz. Baseline Classroom Requirements P'roject-Re1 ated Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 6.0 9.0 11.0 16.0 18.0 23.0 23.0 21.0 19.0 7.0 10.0 13.0 18.0 21.0 26.0 26.0 24.0 22.0 38.0 39.0 41.0 44.0 46.0 49.0 52,0 55.0 58.0 45.0 49.0 54.0 62.0 67.0 75.0 78.0 79.0 80.0 ===========================:=========~=========================================== 15.7 23.0 26.8 36.3 39.1 46.9 44.2 38.1 32.7 18.4 25.6 31.7 40.9 45.6 53.0 50.0 43.6 37.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (45.0)(49.0)(54.0)(6~.0)(67.0) (75.0)(78.0)(79.0)(80,0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.7 .3 .4 .6 .8 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.8 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. '~-' FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:38:21 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TALKEETNA -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project 14.0 19.0 23.0 34.0 39.0 50.0 50.0 46.0 41.0 Total Project 16.0 21.0 21.0 39.0 45.0 57.0 57.0 52.0 47.0 BASELINE 82.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0 106.0 113.0 119.0 126.0 TOTAL ENROLLMENT 98.0 106.0 111.0 134.0 145.0 163.0 170.0 171.0 173.0------------------===~===================;================================================ ========= Direct Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel.11.0 22.3 25.5 35.7 39.0 47.1 44.2 38.6 32.5 Total Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel.19.5 24.1 30.0 41.0 45.0 53.7 50.4 43.7 37.3 1983 &Planned Cap.100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Excess (Under)Cap.2.0 (6.0)(17.0)(34.0)(45.0) (63.0) (70.0)(71.0) (73.0) %Capacity Utiliz.98.0 106.0 117.0 134.0 145.0 163.0 170.0 171.0 173.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.1 5.4 Project-Related Classroom Require..6 .9 1.1 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.0 Total Classroom Requirements 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.8 6.3 7.0 7.3 7.4 7.5 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc, cc."I :.,,_c)J ....."...)I ..1 Frr"'j CH0"•••~CH(""'11 /F s~"~l T3 A1ter~ate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:38:26 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASELINE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. E~cess (Underl Cap. %Capacity Uti1iz. Baseline Classroom ReQui rements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 54.0 63.0 4337.0 4400.0 ========= 1.2 1.4 4835.0 435.0 91.0 173.4 2.5 176.0 70.0 81.0 4632.0 4713.0 ------------------ 1.5 1.7 4835.0 122.0 97.4 185.2 3.2 188.5 277 .0 292.0 4877.0 5169.0 ========= 5.6 5.9 4835.0 (334.0) 106.9 195.0 11.6 206.7 315.0 337.0 5116.0 5453.0 ========:::= 6.1 6.5 4835.0 (618.0) 112.7 204.6 13.4 218.1 336.0 . 361.0 5480.0 5841.0 ::====:::::: 6.1 6.5 4835.0 (1006.0) 120.8 219.2 14.4 233.6 377.0 410.0 5911 .0 6321.0 ========= 6.3 6.9 4835.0 (1486.0) 130.7 236.4 16.4 252.8 373.0 405.0 6200.0 6605.0 ========= 6.0 6.5 4835.0 (1770.0) 136.6 248.0 16.2 264.2 362.0 391.0 6658.0 7049.0 ========= 5.4 5.8 4835.0 (2214.0) 145.7 266.3 15.6 281.9 333.0 361.0 7019.0 7380.0 ========= 4.7 5.1 4835.0 (2545.0) 152.6 280.7 14.4 295.2 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:38:31 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project 46.0 60.0 236.0 269.0 286.0 321.0 317.0 309.0 284.0 Total Project 54.0 70.0 249.0 288.0 308.0 349.0 344.0 334.0 307.0 BASELINE 3694.0 3946.0 4154.0 4358.0 4668.0 5036.0 5281.0 5672.0 5979.0 TOTAL ENROLLMENT 3748.0 4016.0 4403.0 4646.0 4976.0 5385.0 5625.0 6006.0 6286.0 ________________=========.=====================================~=============~======s===_======== .Direct Enroll.As S Increase Over Basel.1.2 1.5 5.6 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.0 5.4 4.7 Total Enroll.As S Increase Over Basel.1.4 1.7 5.9 6.6 6.6 6.9 6.5 5.8 5.1 1983 &Planned Cap.4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 Excess (Under)Cap.·332.0 64.0 (323.0) (566.0)(896.0)(1305.0) (1545.0) (1926.0)(2206.0) S Capacity Utiliz.91.8 98.4 107.9 113.8 121.9 131.9 137.8 147.2 154.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 175.9 187.9 197.8 207.5 222.2 239.8 251.4 270.1 284.7 Proj ect-Re la ted Classroom Require.2.5 3.3 11.8 13.7 14.6 16.6 16.3 15.9 14.6 Total Classroom Requirements 178.4 191.2 209.6 221.2 236.9 256.4 267.8 286.0 299.3 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. '0.-·.--1 F s ~R-l~\C H0 OJ,!!1i CH0 1-1J&1/FSFDrJ~T 3 A1~~rn'te UI af D. 03/04/84 AT 09:38:36 --:1 ~~~l ~~1 l'C~~~]=S=~cl -'---------l IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASELINE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. ~Capacity Uti1iz. I Baseline Classroom :Requirements IIProject-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 100.0 130.0 513.0 584.0 622.0 698.0 117.0 151.0 541.0 625.0 669.0 759.0 8031.0 8578.0 9031.0 9474.0 1014<8.0 10947.0 8148.0 8729.0 9572.0 10099.0 10817.0 11706.0 =====================~================================ 1.2 1.5 5.6 6.1 6.1 6.3 1.4 1.7 5.9 6.6 6.5 6.9 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 767.0 186.0 (657.0)(1184.0) (1902.0)(2791.0) 91.4 97.9 107.3 113.2 121.3 131.3 349.3 373.1 392.8 412.1 441.4 476.2 5.0 6.5 23.5 27.1 29.1 33.0 354.4 379.7 416.4 439.3 470.5 509.2 690.0 749.0 11481.0 12230.0------------------ 6.0 6.5 8915.0 (3315.0) 137.1 499.4 32.5 532.0 671.0 725.0 12330.0 13055.0 ========= 5.4 5.8 8915.0 (4140.0) 146.4 536.4 31.5 567.9 617.0 668.0 12998.0 13666.0 ========= 4.7 5.1 8915.0 (4751.0) 153.2 565.4 29.0< 594.5 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHL5MSV/SCHOLWAH Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:43:20 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES (OFF-SITE) IN THE MATANUSKA~SUSITNA BOROUGH -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Oi rect Project Total Project BASELINE 54.0 '70.0 87.0 126.0 146.0 187.0 183.0 173.0 157.0 63.0 82.0 102.0 148.0 172.0 220.0 215.0 202.0 185.0 4336.7 4632.2 4876.7 5116.1 5480.2 5911.3 6199.5 6658.1 7018.8 TOTAL ENROLLMENT 4399.7 4714.2 4978.7 5264.1 5652.2 6131.3 6414.5 6860.1 7203.8 I ----------------======================================~========================================== Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.1.2 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.6 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.2 Total Enroll.As ,; Increase Over Basel.1.4 1.7 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.6 1983 &Planned Cap.4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 Excess (Under)Cap.435.2 120.7 (143.7) (429.1)(817.2)(1296.3)(1579.5)(2025.1) (2368.8) ,;Capacity Utiliz.91.0 97.5 102.9 108.8 116.9 126.8 132.6 141.8 148.9 Baseline Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Project-Related Classroom Require.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. 1Ii.,="J ,_c __-~J ~--~]__....J J F srJLL!Oi.C HL "'MSI~SC1fl\1.L'1 H A1~erJate VI of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:43:25 1 1 ~f~·=-~J ~~1 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASEL INE TOTAL ENROI:LMENT Direct Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel. 1i83 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. ,Capacity Uti1iz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related ,Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 46.0 54.0 3694.2 3748.2 ========= 1.2 1.4 4080.0 331.7 91.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.0 70.0 3946.0 4016.0 ========= 1.5 1.7 4080.0 63.9 98.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 74.0 87.0 4154.2 4241.2 ========= 1.7 2.0 4080.0 (161.2) 103.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 107.0 126.0 4358.1 4484.1 ========= 2.4 2.8 4080.0 (404.1) 109.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 125.0 147.0 4668.3 4815.3 =======:1= 2.6 -3.1 4080.0 (735.3) 118.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 160.0 188.0 5035.5 5223.5 ========= 3.1 3.7 4080.0 (1143.5) 128.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 156.0 183.0 5281 .1 5464.1 ========= 2.9 3.4 4080.0 (1384.1 ) 133.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 147.0 133.0 172.0 157.0 5671.7 5979.0 5843.7 6136.0 ==~====.=========: 2.5 2.2 3.0 2.6 4080.0 4080.0 (1763.7)(2056.0) 143.2 150.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHL5MSV/SCHOLWAH Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:43:30 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project 100.0 117.0 130.0 152.0 161.0 189.0 233.0 274.0 271 .0 319.0 347.0 408.0 339.0 398.0 320.0 374.0 290.0 342.0 I 1 BASELINE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. t Capacity Utiliz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Cl assroom Requirements 8031.0 8578.2 9031.0 9474.3 10148.6 10946.8 11480.7 12329.9 12997.8--..-~__~------w~ 8148.0 8730.2 9220.0 9748.3 10467.6 11354.8 11878.7 12703.9 13339.8 ========= ======================2===========================~===================== 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.6 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.6 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 766.9 184.7 (3~5.0)(833.3)(1552.6) (2439.8) (2963.7) (3788.9)(4424.8) 91.4 97.9 103.4 109.3 117.4 127.3 133.2 142.5 149.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. J c_cc cc~1 ",,,,]~L,""c,~J FSEJV s.,C HO QJ~L$C HOJJ"A~/FSF_RJlP{3 A1 ~"'...late ".Af O. 03/04/84 AT 09:38:41 1 ·~l IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN l==-)=S'"~l YEARS 1985 .1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project .BASEl I NE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. ~Capacity Uti1iz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project·Re1ated Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 5.0 5.0 90.0 95.0 :=r======= 5.5 5.5 0.0 (95.0) 0.0 3.6 .2 3.8 7.0 7.0 99.0 106.0 ========= 7.0 7.0 0.0 (106.0) 0.0 3.9 .2 4.2 9.0 10.0 109.0 119.0 -----------...------ 8.2 9.1 0.0 (119.0) 0.0 4.3 .4 4.7 12.0 13.0 120.0 133.0 ========= 10.0 10.8 0.0 (133.0) 0.0 4.8 .5 5.3 14.0 15.0 133.0 148.0 ========= 10.5 11.2 0.0 (148.0) 0.0 5.3 .6 5.9 18.0 19.0 148.0 167.0 ========= 12.1 12.8 0.0 (167.0) 0.0 5.9 .7 6.6 18.0 19.0 164.0 183.0 ===.====== 10.9 11.5 0.0 (183.0) 0.0 6.5 .7 7.3 17.0 18.0 182.0 200.0 =========z 9.3 9.8 0.0 (200.0) 0.0 7.2 .7 8.0 16.0 17.0 201.0 218.0 ==••===== 7.9 8.4 0.0 (218.0) 0.0 8.0 .6 8.7 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:38:46 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASEL I NE TOTAL ENROLLMENT 5.0 6.0 7.0 11.0 12.0 16.0 15.0 15.0 13.0 5.0 6.0 8.0 12.0 13.0 17.0 16.0 16.0 14.0 77.0 85.0 93.0 102.0 114.0 126.0 140.0 155.0 172.0 82.0 91.0 10l.0 114.0 127.0 143.0 156.0 171.0 186.0 ==================~====:==========================================••=~==========- Direct Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As I Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. %Capacity Utiliz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related C)assroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 6.4 6.4 0.0 (82.0) 0.0 3.6 .2 3.9 7.0 7.0 600.0 509.0 15.1 4.0 .2 4.3 7.5 8.6 600.0 499.0 16.8 4.4 .3 4.8 10.7 11.7 600.0 486.0 19.0 4.8 .5 5.4 10.5 11.4 600.0 473.0 21.1 5.4 .6 6.0 12.7 13.4 600.0 457.0 23.8 6.0 .8 6.8 10.7 11.4 600.0 444.0 26.0 6.6 .7 7.4 9.6 10.3 600.0 429.0 28.5 7.3 .7 8.1 7.5 8.1 600.0 414.0 31.0 8.1 .6 8.8 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ~uJ ~"ce,""_.1 J J " F S"-lC H0[}5CHlccl /F S~-]T3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:38:51 -:}--~l C~J =i~~J )1 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON "EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Di rect Project Total Project BASEL INE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. !Excess (Under)Cap. i ~Capacity Utiliz. II Basel i ne Cl assroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 10.0 13.0 10.0 13.0 167.0 184.0 177.0 197.0 ================== 5.9 7.0 5.9 7.0 0.0 600.0 (177.01 403.0 0.0 32.8 7.2 8.0 .4 .5 7.7 8.5 16.0 18.0 202.0 220.0 :&=::====== 7.9 8.9 600.0 380.0 36.6 8.7 .7 9.5 23.0 25.0 222.0 247.0 ========= 10.3 11.2 600.0 353.0 41.1 9.6 1.0 10.7 26.0 28.0 247.0 275.0 ========= 10.5 11.3 600.0 325.0 45.8 10.7 1.2 11.9 34.0 36.0 274.0 310.0 ========== 12.4 13.1 600.0 290.0 51.6 11.9 1.5 13.4 33.0 35.0 304.0 339.0 ------------------ 10.8 11.5 600.0 261.0 56.5 13.2 1.5 14.7 32.0 34.0 337.0 371.0 ======::s== 9.5 10.0 600.0 229.0 61.8 14.6 1.4 . 16.1 29.0 31.0 373.0 404.0 ========= 7.7 8.3 600.0 196.0 67.3 16.2 1.3 17.5 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. '~ i FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:38:56 IMPACT OP THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES ON-SITE -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN USER ::SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASEL INE 0.0 0.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 176.0 0.0 0.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 176.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 TOTAL ENROLLMENT 0.0 0.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 176.0 I ------~---------=========-========================================================-==========-=== I Direct Enroll.As i Increase Over Basel.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total Enroll.As.i Increase Over Basel.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1983 &Planned Cap.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.0.0 0.0 (190.0) (190.0)(190.0)(190.0) (190.0) (190.0) (176.0) i Capacity Ut11iz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Base11ne Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Project-Related Classroom Require.0.0 0.0 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.0 Total Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.0 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ....~..)..~.J I -I I FS f"Rl~H0 OJJI.Li CH0 !~"'4),1J/FS F-JlJLDj 3 Al~~rr~te Ul ar O. 03/04/84 AT 09:39:01 -'--1 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES ON-SITE -SECONDARY·SCHOOL CHILDREN Ir-~-''J =S,--,-1 1 1 YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASElINE TOTAL ENRO~LMENT Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. 1983 5 Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. ~Capacity Utiliz. Baseline Classroom R,equirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 161.0 161.0 161.0 161.0 161.0 161.0 150.0 0.0 0.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 176.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 176.0 =================a =======================~======================================= 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (190.0) (190.0) (190.0)(190.0)(190.0) (190.0)(176.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.1 0.0 0.0 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.1 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLWAH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:39:06 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES ON~SITE -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993.-----------------.--------.----------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT --~------------------------- Direct Project 0.0 0.0 351 .0 351.0 351.0 351.0 351 .0 351.0 326.0 Total Project 0.0 0.0 351.0 351 .a 351.0 351.0 351 •a 351 •a 326.0 BASELINE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0------------------------------.----------------------------------~-----------~.._------------- ,TOTAL ENROLLMENT 0.0 0.0 351.a 351.0 351 •a 351.0 351.0 351.a 326.0---------------.--=============._================================================================== Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1983 &Planned Cap.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 '0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.0.0 0.0 (351.0) (351.0)(351.0)(351.0)(351 .0)(351.0) (326.0) %Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Project-Related Classroom Require.0.0 0.0 15.2 15.2 15.2 15.2 15.2 15.2 14.1 Total Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 15.2 15.2 15.2 15.2 15.2 15.2 14.1 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ·F~ER/.SCHLjC~Y/SCf!lllWAHA"11ate _lof ., 03/05/84 AT 15:27:24 ]-----1 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF CANTWELL ,",~~]1 (...H'.,J 1 l YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1 991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASELI NE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. ~Capacity Utiliz. Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 94.0 126.0 94.0 137.0 157.0 204.0 200.0 187.0 170.0 100.0 134.0 101.0 146.0 168.0 217.0 213.0 200.0 181.0 37.0 37.0 37.0 39.0 39.0 40.0 41.0 41.0 42.0 137.0 171.0 138.0 185.0 207.0 257.0 254.0 241.0 223.0 ======================================================================== ========= 254.0 340.5 254.0 351.2 402.5 510.0 487.8 456.1 404.7 270.2 362.1 272.9 374.3 430.7 542.5 519.5 487.8 430.9 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 (77.0)(111.0)(78.0)(125.0)(147.0)(197.0)(194.0)(181.0)(163.0) 228.3 285.0 230.0 308.3 345.0 428.3 423.3 401.6 371.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 3.0 4.1 3.0 4.4 5.1 6.6 6.5 6.1 5.5 4.2 5.2 (.2 5.6 6.3 7.8 7.8 7..6.8 Frank Orth &,Associates.Inc. .- '- \.;,,.;,~~....J FS~~"e'''f HOpJ'!e'lC HOU"")~"~~l ~Ct '~='~"\ce~l '~]t J 'cccc,":c},,"=c".'jvoER-..S Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:07:22 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 -------------------------------- -------------~-------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT -------------------------- Direct Project 11.0 11.0 11.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0 Total Project 13.0 13.0 13.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 13.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 BASELINE 637.'0 560.0 684.0 609.0 636.0 662.0 690.0 714.0 739.0 766.0 792.0 820.0------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------~------------------------- TOTAL ENROLLMENT 660.0 573.0 697.0 623.0 649.0 676.0 704.0 727.0 761.0 777.0 804.0 832.0 -----~----------========================,======================================================================== Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 Total Enroll.As S Increase Over Basel.2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1983 &Planned Cap.1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 1600.0 Excess (Under)Cap.1060.0 1027.0 1003.0 977.0 961.0 924.0 896.0 873.0 849.0 823.0 796.0 768.0 t Capacity Utiliz.34.3 35.8 37.3 38.9 40.6 42.2 44.0 46.4 46.9 48.6 50.2 52.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 25.6 26.6 27.8 29.0 30.2 31.6 32.8 34.0 36.1 36.4 37.7 39.0 Project-Related Classroom Require..6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 Total Cl assroom Requirements 26.1 27.2 28.4 29.6 30.9 32.1 33.6 34.6 36.7 37.0 38.2 39.6 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. '" :'. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLDCH USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:07 :·28 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------.----------------.---.---------------------------._-------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT ---------------------------- Direct Project 24.0 23.0 24.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 24.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 23.0 Total Project 28.0 27.0 28.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 28.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 BASEl I NE 1167.0 1217 .0 1269.0 1324.0 1380.0 1439.0 1500.0 1553.0 1607.0 1663.0 1722.0 1782.0 ----------.--.---------~--------~---------------------------.-------------_.----------------------------~._-- TOTAL ENROLLMENT 1195.0 1244.0 1297.0 1354.0 1410.0 1469.0 1530.0 1581.0 1633.0 1689.0 1748.0 1808.0------------------====~============~================~===============~=================.-===••======-======-======== Direct Enroll.As " Increase Over Basel.2.0 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 Total Enroll.As " Increase Over Basel.2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1983 &Planned Cap.2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 2325.0 Excess (Under)Cap.1130.0 1081 .0 1028.0 971.0 915.0 856.0 795.0 744.0 692.0 636.0 577.0 517.0 ,Capacity Utiliz.51.4 53.5 55.7 58.2 60.6 63.1 65.8 68.0 70.2 72.6 75.1 77.7 Baseline Classroom Requirements 50.7 52.9 55.2 57.6 60.0 62.6 65.2 67.5 69.9 72.3 74.9 77.5 Project-Related Classroom Require.1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 Total Classroom ReqUirements 51.9 54.1 56.4 58.9 61.3 63.9 66.5 68.7 71.0 73.4 76.0 78.6 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. e.L~)_-..1 FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLDCH USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:07:41 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN .THE CITY OF WASILLA -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005--------------------------------------.-------------------------.------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT ----------------.--------- Direct Project 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 13.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 Total Project 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 15.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 BASELINE 717.0 771.0 842.0 911.0 987.0 1069.0 1158.0 1245.0 1338.0 1438.0 1546.0 1662.0-------------.----------------------- ----------------.-----------------------------..-------.---------------- TOTAL ENROLLMENT 732.0 792.0 857.0 926.0 1003.0 1085.0 1174.0 1260.0 1351.0 1451.0 1559.0 1675.0-----_.---------===============================~============~=========~=====================m==========_===m==== Direct Enroll.As S Increase Over Basel.1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.0 .9 .8 .7 .7 Total Enroll.As S Increase Over Basel.2.0 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 .9 .9 .8 .7 1983 &Planned Cap.1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 1800.0 Excess (Under)Cap.1068.0 1008.0 943.0 874.0 797.0 715.0 626.0 540.0 449.0 349.0 241.0 125.0 S Capacity Utilize 40.6 44.0 47.6 51.4 55.7 60.2 65.2 70.0 75.0 80.6 86.6 93.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 34.1 37.0 40.1 43.3 47.0 50.9 55.1 59.2 63.7 68.4 73.6 79.1 Project-Related Classroom Require..7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .6 .6 .6 .6 Total Classroom Requirements 34.8 37.7 40.8 44.1 47.7 51.6 55.9 60.0 64.3 69.1 74.2 79.7 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ,) F SfJttSj.H0 o,t"!jf CHOlJlr~ A1 ..t:r·,~a t e v,0 f 0 I 03/04/84 AT 10:07:47 ~~~1 '~C--~1 -J ];ER ~-~lS IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION fACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Di rect Project Total Project BASELINE TOTAL ENROLLMENT Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. t ~Capacity Uti1iz. , 29.0 28.0 29.0 29.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 29.0 27.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 33.0 32.0 33.0 33.0 34.0 34.0 34.0 33.0 30.0 29.0 29.0 29.0 1559.0 1689.0 1830.0 1981,0 2146.0 2324.0 2517.0 2706.0 2908.0 3126.0 3361.0 3613.0 1592.0 1721.0 1863.0 2014.0 2180.0 2358.0 2551.0 2739.0 2938.0 3155.0 3390.0 3642.0=================================================~============================================== 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 .9 .8 .7 .7 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.0 .9 .8 .8 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 2850.0 1258.0 1129.0 987.0 836.0 670.0 492.0 299.0 111.0 (88.0)(305.0) (540.0)(792.0) 55.8 60.3 65.3 70.6 76.4 82.7 89.5 96.1 103.0 110.7 118.9 127.7 Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 67.8 1.4 69.2 73.4 1.3 74.8 79.6 1.4 81.0 86.1 1.4 87.6 93.3 1.4 94.8 101 •1 1.4 102.5 109.5 1.4 11 O.9 117.7 1.4 119.1 126.5 1.3 127.8 136.0 1.2 137.2 146.2 1.2 147.4 1 57.1 1.2 158.4 .t frank Orth &Associates,Inc. FSERISCHOOLV/SCHOLDCH USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:07:53 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TRAPPER CREEK -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005----------------~-----------------------------------------------.------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT ----------------~--------- Direct Project 26.0 25.0 26.0 27.0 28.0 28.0 27.0 26.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 Total Project 35.0 34.0 35.0 37.0 38.0 39.0 37.0 35.0 33.0 33.0 33.0 33.0 BASELINE 45.0 47.0 50.0 52.0 54.0 57.0 60.0 62.0 65.0 67.0 70.0 73.0------------------------------------~~-------- ----------------.--------~------._--~--------------------------- TOTAL ENROLLMENT 80.0 81.0 85.0 89.0 92.0 96.0 97.0 97.0 98.0 100.0 103.0 106.0----------------========_===========================~:========================_====~=s=._======================= Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel.57.7 53.1 52.0 51.9 51.8 49.1 45.0 41.9 36.9 35.8 34.2 32.8 Total Enroll.As ~. Increase Over Basel.77.7 72.3 70.0 71.1 70.3 68.4 61.6 56.4 50.7 49.2 47.1 45.2 1983 &Planned Cap.50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(30.0)(31.0)(35.0)(39.0) (42.0)(46.0)(47.0)(47.0)(48.0)(50~0)(53.0) (56.0) ~Capacity Utiliz.160.0 162.0 170.0 178.0 184.0 192.0 194.0 194.0 1'96.0 200.0 206.0 212.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 Proj ect-Rela ted Classroom Require.1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 Total Classroom Requirements 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. .~.."~.,.I J FS£.-P.J~lCHOQJ!!1CHC-'--"lrl ~}'O_~~}<c~~l ""'1 I J ')JSER-~;tS J A1 terr ate U1 of (j I 03/04/84 AT 10:07:59 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TRAPPER CREEK -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT -------------------------- Di rect Project 22.0 21.0 22.0 23.0 24.0 24.0 23.0 22.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 Total Project 30.0 29.0 30.0 32.0 33.0 33.0 32.0 30.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 BASELINE 38.0 40.0 42~0 44.0 46.0 49.0 51.0 53.0 55.0 57.0 59.0 62.0 -----------------------------------------------------------------------._--.----..--.----------------_.-----" TOTAL ENROLLMENT 68.0 69.0 72.0 ,76.0 79.0 82.0 83.0 83.0 83.0 85.0 87.0 90.0----------------=================::=================================================s==~========_=============== Dfrect Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel.57.8 52.5 52.3 52.2 52.1 48.9 45.1 41.5 38.1 36.8 35.5 33.8 Total Enroll.As 2; Increase Over Basel.78.9 72.5 71.4 72.7 71.7 67.3 62.7 56.6 50.9 49.1 47.4 45.1 1983 &Planned Cap.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(68.0)(69.0)(72.0)(76.0)(79.0)(82.0)(83.0)(83.0)(83.0) (85.0)(87.0)(90.0) 2;Capacfty Utf1fz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Base1fne Classroom Requfrements 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 Project-Related Classroom Requfre.1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 Total Classroom Requirements 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 Frank Orth &Assocfates.Inc. "..J 1,,0-1 FS~~""/Ff H0f)L-"'l CHO""'H",C~~)~~_.~,~'~~'~1 l ';;];ER .~ls Al tefnateOr of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:08:11 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TALKEETNA -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------------------------------- -----------------------------~-~-------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT -------------------------- Direct Project 22.0 22.0 22.0 23.0 24.0 24.0 23.0 22.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.0 Total Project 25.0 25.0 25.0 26.0 28.0 27.0 27.0 25.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 BASELINE 72.0 76.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 101 .0 106.0 111.0 116.0 122.0 128.0 ------""l'-----------------------------------~----------~.----------------------- -------------------------------- TOTAL ENRO~LMENT 97.0 101.0 105.0 111.0 118.0 ·122.0 128.0 131.0 135.0 140.0 146.0 152.0----------------======================== ========================================~=======~==~~==.======~~======== Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.30.5 28.9 27.5 27.0 26.6 25.2 22.7 20.7 18.9 18.1 17.2 16.4 Total Enroll.As 'l Increase Over Basel.34.7 32.8 31.2 30.5 31.1 28.4 26.7 23.5 21.6 20.6 19.6 18.7 1983 &Planned Cap.100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.a 100.0 100.0 100.0 Excess (Under)Cap.3.0 (1.0)(5.0)111.0)(18.0)(22.0) (28.0)(31 .0)(35.0) (40.0)(46.0) (52.0) 'l Capacity Utiliz.97.0 101 .0 105.0 111.0 118.0 122.0 128.0 131 .0 135.0 140.0 146.0 152.0 Baseline Classroo~ Requirements 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.1 Project-Related Classroom Require.1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 .9 .9 .9 .9 Total Classroom Requirements 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.7 4.8 5.1 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.0 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. el ,I ..".~_~I .J F~r:l)cli CH0 l"J.-d'15 CH("v,,'1 "~J ~~~~1 <CC~""'";~"~O,J 1 '"1SER"lis Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:08:23 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF TALKEETNA -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 .2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005_______________________..__~____________________________________________________________________w PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT ---------------------------- Direct Project 40.0 40.0 40.0 42.0 44.0 44.0 43.0 41.0 39.0 39.0 39.0 39.0 'Total Project 46.0 45.0 46.0 48.0 51.0 50.0 50.0 47.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 44.0 BASELINE 133.0 141.0 148.0 157.0 167.0 176.0 187.0 196.0 205.0 215.0 226.0 237.0-------------______w _________________________________________________________________________________________ TOTAL ENROLLMENT 179.0 186.0 194.0 205.0 218.0 226.0 237.0 243.0 249.0 259.0 270.0 281.0------------------======================================================;=============================:=========== Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.30.0 28.3 27.0 26.7 26.3 25.0 22.9 20.9 19.0 18.1 17.2 16.4 Total Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel.34.5 31.9 31.0 30.5 30.5 28.4 26.7 23.9 21.4 20.4 19.4 18.5 1983 &Planned Cap.100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(79.0)(86.0)(94.0)Cl05.0)(118.0)(126.0)Cl37.0)(143.0) (149.0)Cl59.0)(170.0)(181 .0) ~Capacity Utiliz.179.0 186.0 194.0 205.0 218.0 226.0 237.0 243.0 249.0 259.0 270.0 281.0 Baseline Classroom I j Requirements 5.7 6.1 6.4 6.8 7.2 7.6 8.1 8.5 8.9 9.3 9.8 10.3 I I Project-Related I IClassroomRequire.2.0 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 , Total Classroom Requirements 7.7 8.0 8.4 8.9 9.4 9.8 10.3 10.5 10.8 11.2 11.7 12.2 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLDCH USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:08:29 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHI LOREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005---------------------~------------------ -------------------------------------------------------~ PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT -----~-------------------- .Direct Project 302.0 262.0 302.0 325.0 330.0 332.0 328.0 320.0 226.0 207.0 207.0 207.0 Total Project 330.0 289.0 330.0 354.0 361.0 363.0 358.0 349.0 253.0 233.0 233.0 233.0 BASELINE 7355.0 7669.0 8025.0 8407.0 8786.0 9183.0 9596.0 9952.0 10321.0 10712.0 11119.0 11544.0-----------------------------------~--.--------------- -------- -----------~------.-----~~---------------------~ I-TOTAL ENROllMENT 7685.0 7958.0 8355.0 8761.0 9147.0 9546.0 9954.0 10301.0 10574.0 10945.0 11352.0 11777.0 I ----~-----------========_===========::=======================================================••====aa===_======a Oirect Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel.4.1 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.2 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.7 Total Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel.4.4 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.5 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.0 1983 &Planned Cap.4835.0 4835.0 483~.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(2850.0)(3123.0)(3520.0)(3926.0)(4312.0)(4711.0)(5119.0)(5466.0)(5739.0)(6110.0) (6517.0)11777.0 ~Capacity Utili:.158.9 164.5 172.8 181 .2 189.1 197.4 205.8 213.0 218.7 226.3 234.7 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requi rements 294.2 306.7 321.0 336.2 351.4 367.3 383.8 398.0 412.8 428.4 444.7 461.7 Project-Related Classroom Require.13.2 11.5 13.2 14.1 14.4 14.5 14.3 13.9 10.1 9.3 9.3 9.3 Total Classroom Requirements 307.4 318.3 334.2 350.4 365.8 381 .8 398.1 412.0 422.9 437.8 454.0 471.0 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. J F$!J?c~l<)CHO,QL~lJl SCHt;\IJ1Cfl A~~~rnate Vlot VI 03/04/84 AT 10:08:35 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN -J -~sEi~;:-]us - YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project BASELINE TOTAL ENROLLMENT 258.0 224.0 258.0 277.0 281.0 283.0 280.0 273.0 193.0 177.0 177.0 177.0 282.0 247.0 282.0 302.0 307.0 309.0 306.0 297.0 216.0 200.0 199.0 199.0 6265.0 6533.0 6836.0 7162.0 7485.0 7822.0 8174.0 8478.0 8792.0 9125.0 9471.0 9834.0 6547.0 6780.0 7118.0 7464.0 7792.0 8131.0 8480.0 8775.0 9008.0 9325.0 9670.0 10033.0==========~==============~=============~========-=================.===========~.========•••===== Direct Enroll.As ~ Jncrease Over Basel. Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel. 4.1 4.5 3.4 3.7 3.7 4.1 3.8 4.2 3.7 4.1 3.6 3.9 3.4 3.7 3.2 3.5 2.2 2.4 1.9 2 ~1 1.8 2.1 1.8 2.0 1983 &Planned Cap. Excess (Under)Cap. ~Capacity Utiliz. 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 0.0 (2467.0)(2700.0)(3038.0)(3384.0) (3712.0)(4051.0)(4400.0)(4695.0) (4928.0)(5245.0)(5590.0)10033.0 160.4 166.1 174.4'182.9 190.9 199.2 207.8 215.0 220.7 228.5 237.0 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. T'otal Cl assroom Requirements 298.3 13.4 311.7 311 .1 11.7 322.8 325.5 13.4 338.9 341.0 14.3 355.4 356.4 14.6 371 .0 372.4 14.7 387.1 389.2 14.5 403.8 403.7 1 4.1 417.8 418.6 10.2 428.9 434.5 9.5 444.0 451.0 9.4 460.4 468.2 9.4 477.7 Frank Orth &Associ ates.Inc. FSERjSCHOOLV/SCHOLDCH USER ..SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:08:41 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------.--- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT ---~------------------------ Direct Project 560.0 486.0 560.0 602.0 611.0 615.0 608.0 593.0 419.0 384.0 384.0 384.0 Total Project 612.0 536.0 612.0 656.0 668.0 672.0 664.0 646.0 469.0 433.0 432.0 432.0 BASELINE 13620.0 14202.0 14861.0 15569.0 16271 .0 1 7005.0 17770.0 18430.0 19113.0 19837.0 20590.0 21378.0 -.....----..-----____•___________________________________________....~__________~_._________~-~-----______w _________ TOTAL ENROLLMENT 14232.0 14738.0 15473.0 16225.0 16'939.0 17677.0 18434.0 19076.0 19582.0 20270.0 21022.0 21810.0---------------_.-=============================================================================~==••=====:===•••== Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.4.1 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.2 2.1 1.9 l.8 1.8 Total E~roll.As , Increase Over Basel.4.4 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.5 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.0 1983 &Planned Cap.8915.0 8915.0 891 5.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(5317.0)(5823.0)(6558.0)(7310.0)(8024.0) (8762.0) (9519.0)10161.0 10667.0 11355.0 12107.0 21810:0 t Capacity Uti1iz.159.6 165.3 173.5 182.0 190.0 198.2 206.7 213.9 219.6 227.3 235.8 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 592.5 617.8 646.5 677.3 707.8 739.8 773.0 801.7 831.5 863.0 895.7 930.0 Project-Related Classroom Require.26.6 23.3 26.6 28.5 29.0 29.2 28.8 28.1 20.4 18.8 18.8 18.8 Total Classroom Requirements 619.1 641.1 673.1 705.8 736.9 769.0 801.9 829.9 851.9 881.8 914.5 948.8 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. .,-. FS~Pd1CHl~='VSCW'-~H Alternate UI of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:43:57 j IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES (OFF-SITE) IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN ~Js ER-~;.i 5 YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT Direct Project Total Project 152.0 180.0 148.0 175.0 152.0 180.0 157.0 187.0 162.0 193.0 164.0 195.0 160.0 191 .0 152.0 181 .0 144.0 171 .0 142.0 168.0 142.0 168.0 142.0 168.0 BASELINE TOTAL ENROllMENT 7355.1 7535.1 7668.6 8025.3 8407.0 8786.3 9182.7 9595.6 9951.9 10321.0 10711.7 11118.6 11543.7 7843.6 8205.3 8594.0 8979.3 9377.7 9786.6 10132.9 10492.0 10879.7 11286.6 11711.7 ====================================================================================~=========== Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel.2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over.Basel.2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 -1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1983 &Planned Cap.4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 -4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 4835.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(2700.1)(3008.6)(3370.3)(3759.0)(4144.3) (4542.7) (4951.6)(5297.9)(5657.0)(6044.7)(6451.6)11711.7 ~Capacity Utiliz.155.8 162.2 169.7 177.7 185.7 193.9 202.4 209.5 217.0 225.0 233.4 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements Project-Related Classroom Require. Total Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 '0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHL5MSV/SCHOLDCH USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 09:44:03 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------~---------------- ----------------------------------.---------------------~--------------. PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT __________4 ______________• Direct Project 129.0 126.0 129.0 134.0 138.0 140.0 137.0 130.0 122.0 121.0 121.0 121.0 Total Project 153.0 149.0 153.0 159.0 164.0 166.0 163.0 154.0 145.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 BASELINE 6265.4 6532.5 6836.3 71 61 .5 7484.6 7822.3 8174.0 8477.5 8791 .9 9124.7 9471.4 9833.5---------------------.--------------- -------- ----------------------.----------...-------------------- -------- TOTAL ENROLLMENT 6418.4 6681 .5 6989.3 7320.5 7648.6 7988.3 8337.0 8631.5 8936.9 9267.7 9614.4 9976.5 _______4 ________ =:==========~==================================_====d:=====_s=======g======_==================== Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel.2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1983 &Planned Cap.4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 4080.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(2338.4)(2601.5)(2909.3) (3240.5)(3568.6)(3908.3) (4257.0) (4551.5) (4856.9) (5187.7)(5534.4)(9976.5) t Capacity Utiliz.157.3 163.7 171.3 179.4 187.4 195.7 204.3 211.5 219.0 227.1 235.6 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Project-Related Classroom Require.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .Total Cl assroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ~f~~~~~~~~~i~C~~4~'H ~""'~l C'"C'~l ~~'1 '"c,ccl ------1 j ,]iER .:JS ---1 03/04/84 AT 09:44:09 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT ----------~----------------- Direct Project 281.0 274.0 281.0 291 .0 300.0 304.0'297.0 282.0 266.0 263.0 263.0 263.0 Total Proje«;t 333.0 324.0 333.0 346.0 357.0 361.0 354.0 335.0 316.0 311 .0 311 .0 311.0 BASELINE 13620.6 14201 .1 14861.7 15568.5 16271.0 17005.1 17769.7 18429.5 19113.0 19836.5 20590.0 21377.2-----------...----------------------~-------~------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL ENROLLMENT 13953.6 14525.1 15194.7 15914.5 16628.0 17366.1 18123.7 18764.5 19429.0 20147.5 20901.0 21688.2------------------==============~======================~========================================================== Direct Enroll.As % Increase Over ~ase1.2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 Total Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel.2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 1983 &Planned Cap.891 5.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 891 5.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 8915.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(5038.6)(5610.1) (6279.7)(6999.5)(7113.0)(8451.1)(9208.7) (9849.5)10514.0 11232.5 11986.0 21688.2 %Capacity Uti1iz.156.5 162.9 170.4 178.5 186.5 194.8 203.3 210.4 217.9 226.0 234.4 0.0 Baseline Classroom IRequirements0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Project-Related Classroom Require.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. , ,", FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLDCH USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:08:48 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-----------------------.---------.------ -------.----------------------------.------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT --.----------------------- Direct Project 15.0 15.0 15.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 15.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 Total Project 16.0 16.0 16.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 16.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 BASEL INE 223.0 247.0 274.0 304.0 337.0 373.0 414.0 455.0 500.0 550.0 605.0 666.0------------------------_..._--------- --------------------.---~----------------.----_.------------------------1 ,.1 TOTAL ENROLLMENT 239.0 263.0 290.0 321.0 354.0 390.0 431.0 471 .0 515.0 565.0 620.0 681.0 I ----.---.---.---===============================================================~=;======-=======================t ..I Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.6.7 6.0 5.4 5.2 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.1 Total Enroll.As , Increase Over Basel.7.1 6.4 5.8 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.2 1983 &Planned Cap.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(239.0)(263.0)(290.0)(321.0)(354.0)(390.0) (431.0)(471.0)(515.0)(565.0)(620.0)(681.0) ,Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 8.9 9.8 10.9 12.1 13.4 14.9 16.5 18.2 20.0 22.0 24.2 26.6 Project-Related Classroom Require..6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 Total Cl assroom Requirements 9.5 10.5 11.6 12.8 14.1 15.6 17.2 lB.8 20.6 22.6 24.B 27.2 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ,"cA,.,....,ce.•...1 FSfc~tf CHn,!!hlll SCH!2'~]H '=~c~'~'~C]---1.1 SEp;c=C}US A.~G.nat~~l of ~,~ 03/04/84 AT 10:08:54 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -'SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-------------------------------- -------- -------------------------------.------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT -------------------------- Direct Project 13.0 12.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 14.0 13.0 13.0 12.0 12.0 12.0 '12.0 Total Project 14.0 13.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 15.0 14.0 14.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 BASEL I NE 190.0 211 .0 234.0 259.0 287.0 318.0 352.0 387.0 426.0 469.0 516.0 567.0 ---------------------.--------------------------.-.---------.---------~--------------.----------------------- TOTAL ENROLLMENT 204.0 224.0 248.0 273.0 301.0 333.0 366.0 401.0 439.0 482.0 529.0 580.0 -----------~----================ ================================================================================ Direct Enroll.As \ Increase Over Basel.6.8 5.6 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.4 3.6 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.1 Total Enroll.As \ Increase Over Basel..7.3 6.1 5.9 5.4 4.8 4.7 3.9 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.2 1983 &Planned Cap.600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 Excess (Under)Cap.396.0 376.0 352.0 327.0 299.0 267.0 234.0 199.0 161.0 118.0 71.0 20.0 \Capacity Utiliz.34.0 37.3 41.3 45.5 50.1 55.5 61.0 66.8 73.1 80.3 88.1 96.6 Baseline Classroom Requirements 9.0 10.0 11.1 12.3 13.6 1 5.1 16.7 18.4 20.2 22.3 24.5 27.0 Project-Related Classroom Require..6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .7 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 Total Classroom Requirements 9.7 10.6 11.8 13.0 14.3 15.8 17.4 19.1 20.9 22.9 25.1 27.6 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLDCH USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:09:00 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -TOTAL SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005______~_________________________________~~__________________________________~N _____________~____ PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT ---------------------------- Direct Project 28.0 27.0 28.0 29.0 29.0 30.0 29.0 28.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 26.0 Total Project 30.0 29.0 30.0 31.0 31.0 32.0 31.0 30.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 BASELINE 413.0 458.0 508.0 563.0 624.0 691.0 766.0 842.0 926.0 1019.0 1121 .0 1233.0--------------------------.~~--------------------~----------- ---------------------~--~.._---------------.._.. TOTAL ENROLLMENT 443.0 487.0 538.0 594.0 655.0 723.0 797.0 872.0 954.0 1047.0 1149.0 1 261 .0 ~-----------------=======~======~======================================================~=••_====••==========a=_==_ Direct Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.6.7 5.9 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.3 3.7 3.3 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.1 Total Enroll.As t Increase Over Basel.7.2 6.3 5.9 5.5 4.9 4.6 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.2 1983 &Planned Cap.600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 600.0 Excess (Under)Cap.157.0 113.0 62.0 6.0 (55.0)(123.0)(197.0)(272.0)(354.0)(447.0) (549.0)(661.0) t Capacity Uti1iz.73.8 81.1 89.6 99.0 109.1 120.5 132.8 145.3 159.0 174.5 191.5 210.1 Baseline Classroom Requirements 17.9 19.9 22.1 24.4 27.1 30.0 33.3 36.6 40.2 44.3 48.7 53.6 Project-Related Classroom Require.1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 Total Classroom Requirements 19.2 21.1 23.4 25.8 28.4 31.4 34.6 37.9 41.5 45.5 49.9 54.8 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. c{.,""••1 .1 ,..... FSER/SCHOOLV/SCHOLOCH USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/04/84 AT 10:09:11 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES ON-SITE -SECONDARY SCHOOL CHILDREN YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 .1999 200D 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-------------------------------------.------------------ --------.-------------.----------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT-------------------------- Of rect Project 129.0 98.0 129.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 71.0 56.0 56.0 56.0 Total Project 151 .0 114.0 151.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 83.0 65.0 65.0 65.0 BASELINE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0--------------------- -----------------.-----------------------_.--------------------..._-----.-----------~--- TOTAL ENROLLMENT 151.0 114.0 151.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 168.0 83.0 65.0 65.0 65.0----------------========~=======================================================================_========8====== Direct Enroll.As % Increase Over Basel.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total Enroll.As ~ Increase Ove~Basel.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1983 &Planned Cap.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(151.0)(114.0)(151.0)(168.0)(168.0)(168.0)(168.0)(168.0)(83.0)(65.0)(65.0)(65.0) t Capacity Vtiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Project-Related Classroom Require.6.1 4.6 6.1 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 3.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 Total Classroom Requirements 6.1 4.6 6.1 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 3.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. .J ...J .,] FSER/SCHL4CNV/SCHOLDCH USER =RLH Alternate 01 of 01 03/05/84 AT 15:27:46 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON EDUCATION FACILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY OF CANTWELL YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005----------------------------------------------------------------------------~------------------- PROJECT-RELATED ENROLLMENT -------------------------- Dir~ct Project 165.0 161.0 165.0 172.0 176.0 178.0 176.0 165.0 157.0 154.0 154.0 154.0 Total Project 176.0 172.0 176.0 183.0 189.0 191.0 189.0 176.0 168.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 BASELINE 43.0 44.0 45.0 46.0 47.0 48.0 48.0 50.0 50·.0 52.0 52.0 54.0-------------------------------------- -----------------------~----------~------------------------------------- TOTAL ENROLLMENT 219.0 216.0 221 .0 229.0 236.0 239.0 237.0 226.0 218.0 217.0 217.0 219.0----------------======================================================== ======== ==============~================= Direct Enroll.As ~ Increase Over Basel.383.7 365.9 366.6 373.9 374.4 370.8 366.6 330.0 314.0 296.1 296.1 285.1 Total Enroll.As '£ Increase Over Basel.409.3 390.9 391.1 397.8 402.1 397.9 393.7 352.0 336.0 317.3 317.3 305.5 1983 &Planned Cap.60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(1 59.0 )(156.0)(161.0)(169.0) (176.0)(179.0)(177.0)(166.0)(158.0)(157.0)(157.0)(159.0) ~Capacity Utiliz.365.0 360.0 368.3 381 .6 393.3 398.3 395.0 376.6 363.3 361 .6 361.6 365.0 Baseline Classroom Requirements 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 Project-Rel ated Classroom Requirew 5.4 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.4 5.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 Total Classroom Requirements 6.7 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.2 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.7 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ~~,,:I I I I I I '- FSER/POLICEV/POLICWAH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS A1 ternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:21 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECTION IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (OFF-SITE) (NUMBERS OF OFFICERS) ------------------------------------------------ ------ YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 . ------------------ ------------------........-,-l PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS I----------------------------.I, Direct Project .26 .35 .44 .61 .71 .92 .89 .84 .75 I I Total Project .50 .62 .77 1.13 1.32 1.68 1.63 1.54 1.40 ! I BASELINE (Cum.)I38.85 41.52 43.79 46.04 48.97 52.41 54.66 58.21 60.99 1 ~------------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------I TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 39.35 42.14 44.56 47.17 50.29 54.09 56.29 59.75 62.39 ------------------===============================:======:::================ Direct Require.As t Increase Over Basel..67 .84 1.00 1.32 1.45 1.76 1.63 1.44 1.23 Total Requi reo As t Increase Over Basel.1.29 1.49 1.76 2.45 2.70 3.21 2.98 2.65 2.30 1983 Capac ity 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 Excess (Under)Cap.-10.35 -13.14 -15.56 -18.17 -21.29 -25.09 -27.29 -30.75 -33.39 t Capacity Uti1iz.135.69 145.31 153.66 162.66 173.41 186.52 194.10 206.03 215.14 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ..1 ..~.~.~•.J J J I .1 C::l/P0::c=:Iv /P(~::'I AH/::c:JR PT:=~1 Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:25 -~-l ~~~, us .."-SU" '-'4 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECTION IN THE CITY OF PALMER (NUMBERS OF OFFICERS) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS Direct Project Total Project BASELINE (Cum.) TOTAL REQUIREMENTS Direct Require.As , Increase Over Basel. Total ReqUire.As , -Increase Over Basel. 1983 Capacity Excess (Under)Cap. ,Capacity Utiliz. .05 .06 .08 .11 .12 .16 .15 .14 .13 .06 .07 •08 .12 •14 .18 .18 .16 .15 4.66 4.96 5.28 5.63 5.99 6.38 6.61 6.84 7.08 4.72 5.03 5.36 5.75 6.13 6.56 6.79 7.00 7.23 ====================================================~= 1.07 1.21 1.52 1.95 2.00 2.51 2.27 2.05 1.84 1.29 1.41 1.52 2.13 2.34 2.82 2.72 2.34 2.12 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 14.00 9.28 8.97 8.64 8.25 7.87 7.44 7.21 7.00 6.77 33.71 35.93 38.29 41.07 43.79 46.86 48.50 50.00 51.64 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. '- '-.- fSER/POLICEV/POLICWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:29 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECTION IN THE COMMUNITY OF TRAPPER CREEK (NUMBERS OF OFFICERS) USER =SUS (' YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS Direct Project Total Project BASELINE (Cum.) .06 .09 .25 .08 .11 .26 .10 .14 .27 .14 .20 .28. .16 .24 .29 .21 .31 .30 .21 .30 .31 .19 .28 .32 .17 .25 .34 TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .34 .37 .41 .48 .53 .61 .61 .60 .59 ------------------====================================================== Direct Require.As ~ Increase Over Basel.24.00 30.77 37.04 50.00 55.17 70.00 67.74 59.38 50.00 Total Require.As ~ Increase Over Basel.36.00 42.31 51.85 71.43 82.76 103.33 96.77 87.50 73.53 1983 Capacity 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Excess (Under)Cap.2.66 2.63 2.59 2.52 2.47 2.39 2.39 2.40 2.41 ~Capacity Utiliz.11.33 12.33 13.67 16.00 17.67 20.33 20.33 20.00 19.67 frank Orth &Associates,Inc. \.... J J .....~J J J .1 .~.I .,J (~~C]'POLS~':_1/po:"~'3H/1 __..JIPT3~~'~'"J ~,""=-'1 '-=1 "---1 ~~~1 Us~:~J SU~~~~l C~"~-l ~-~~-'1 ~-'1 =9 Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:33 .. IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECTION AT THE WORK CAMPS AND FAMILY VILLAGES (NUMBERS OF OFFICERS) ------------------------------ ------ ------------ YEARS 1985 1986 1981 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------------------ ------ ------------.-------------............ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS -----------~---------------- Direct Project .94 1.14 2.50 2.99 3.25 3.82 3.62 3.00 2.01 Tota 1 Proj ec t .94 1.14 2.50 2.99 3.25 3.82 3.62 3.00 2.01 BASELINE .!Cum.)0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 .------------------.----------- ------------------ ------------------------ TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .94 1.14 2.50 2.99 3.25 3.82 3.62 3.00 2.01 ------------------================== ============ ======================== Direct Require.As t Increase Over Basel.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Require.As t Increase Over Basel.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1983 Capac i ty 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Excess (Under)Cap.-.94 -1.14 -2.50 -2.99 -3.25 -3.82 -3.62 -3.00 -2.01 %Capacity Uti1iz.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. fSER/POLICEV/POLICWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:36 IMPACT Of THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECTION IN THE COMMUNITY Of CANTWELL (NUMBERS Of OffICERS) USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS Direct Project Total Project 8ASELINE (Cum.) .36 .40 .20 .47 .52, .21 .36 .40 .21 .52 .57 .21 .60 .66 .22 .78 .86 .22 .76 .84 .23 .71 .79 .23 .65 .71 .24 TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .60 .73 .61 .78 .88 1.08 1.07 1.02 .95 ------------------====================================================== Direct Require.As t Increase Over Basel.180.00 223.81 171.43 247.62 272.73 354.55 330.43 308.70 270.83 Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel.200.00 247.62 190.48 271.43 300.00 390.91 365.22 343.48 295.83 1983 Capacity 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Excess (Under)Cap. %Capacity Uti1iz. .40 .27 .39 .22 .12 -.08 -.07 -.02 .05 60.00 73.00 61.00 78.00 88.00 108.00 107.00 102.00 95.00 frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ,~~"I ,.1 J I J '- ',,- r-C'}poC-"1/POI~H/F~PT3~'-'~j ~----1 -~-]~=4 ~--1 -----1 ---~-l(,.).." =So.) Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:44 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECTION IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (NUMBERS OF OFFICERS) ---------------------------------------------------.......------- ------ ------ YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 i .------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project 2.30 1.83 2.29 2.75 3.08 3.19 2.99 2.47 1.41 1.19 1.19 1.19 Total Project 2.67 2.20 2.66 3.15 3.48 3.57 3.38 2.83 1.76 1.53 1.53 1.53 BASELINE (Cum.)63.55 65.95 68.68 71 .57 74.50 77.50 80.64 83.91 87.35 90.97 94.78 98.77 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------ TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 66.22 68.15 71.34 74.72 77.98 81.07 84.02 86.74 89.11 92.50 96.31 100.30 ------------------================== ============------====================================------ Direct Require.As , Increase Over Basel.3.62 2.77 3.33 3.84 4.13 4.12 3.71 2.94 1.61 1.31 1.26 1.20 Total Require.As , Increase Over Basel.4.20 3.34 3.87 4.40 4.67 4.61 4.19 3.37 2.01 1.68 1.61 1.55 1 983 Cap a city .29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 Excess (Under)Cap.-37.22 -39.15 -42.34 -45.72 -48.98 -52.07 -55.02 -57.74 -60.11 -63.50 -67.31 -71.30 ,Capacity Utiliz.228.34 235.00 246.00 257.66 268.90 279.55 289.72 299.10 307.28 318.97 332.10 345.86 Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/POLICEV/POLICDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:48 - ~ IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECTION IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (OFF-SITE) (NUMBERS OF OFFICERS) ---------------------------------------------....-----_.......------------------ YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project .74 .71 .74 .75 .79 .81 .78 .75 .69 .69 .69 .69 TO,ta1 Project 1.38 1.32 .1 .38 1.42 1.46 1.47 1.44 1.38 1.29 1.27 1.27 1.27 BASELINE (Cum.)63.55 65.95 68.68 71 .57 74.50 77.50 80.64 83.91 87.35 90.97 94.78 98.77------------------------------- --------------------...--------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 64.93 67.27 70.06 72.99 75.96 78.97 82.08 85.29 88.64 92.24 96.05 100.04 ------------------===================================================================:==== Direct Require.As ~ Increase Over Basel.1.16 1.08 1.08 1.05 1.06 1.05 .97 .89 .79 .76 .73 .70. Total Require.As ~ Increase Over Basel.2.17 2.00 2.01 1.98 1 .96 1.90 1.79 1.64 1.48 1.40 1.34 1.29 1983 Capacity 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 Excess (Under)Cap.-35.93 -38.27 -41.06 -43.99 -46.96 -49.97 -53.08 -56.29 -59.64 -63.24 -67.05 -71.04 .%Capacity Uti1iz.223.90 231.97 241.59 251.69 261.93 272.31 283.03 294.10 305.66 318.07 331.21 344.97 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ,~ ,-.J ...J "'cL]....J J •I I ..1 J I :':_J J c __J .1 '- ,-: I :=J/pOL".v hl /Po=-.-~lc H/I~==-:l PT~,~~~~.._-)~--1 .-,~~d =sus I Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:36:02 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECtION AT THE WORK CAMPS AND FAMILY VILLAGES (NUMBERS OF OFFICERS) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------ ------ ------------ ------ ------------------ ------------ ------ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project 1.55 1.12 1.55 2.00 2.29 2.37 2.21 1.71 .71 .49 .49 .49 Total Project 1.55 1.12 1.55 2.00 2.29 2.37 2.21 1.71 .71 .49 .49 .49 BASEL I NE .f Cum.)0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ ------------ TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1.55 1.12 1.55 2.00 2.29 2.37 2.21 1.71 .71 .49 .49 .49 ------------------==================------===============================:::==:======:e.=====------ Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tota 1 Requ ire.As '£ Increase Over Basel.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1983 Capacity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Excess (Under)Cap.-1.55 -1.12 -1 .55 -2.00 -2.29 -2.37 -2.21 -1 .71 -.71 -.49 -.49 -.49 %Capacity Utflfz.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Frank Orth &Assocfates,Inc. FSER/POLICEV/POLICDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:36:06 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON POLICE PROTECTION IN THE COMMUNITY OF CANTWELL (NUM8ERS OF OFFICERS) ------._-----------------...----------------------------------------------- 'fEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project .63 .61 .63 .65 .67 .68 .66 .63 .59 .59 .59 .59 Total Project .69 .67 .69 .72 .74 .75 .74 .70 .66 .65 .65 .65 BASELINE ·(Cum.).24 .25 .25 .26 .26 .27 .27 .28 .28 .29 .29 .30 ---------------------...--------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .93 .92 .94 .98 1.00 1.02 1.01 .98 .94 .94 .94 .95------------------========================================::::;====== ====== ====11:======= ====== Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel.262.50 244.00 252.00 250.00 257.69 251.85 244.44 225.00 210.71 203.45 203.45 196.67 Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel.287.50 268.00 276.00 276.92 284.62 271.78 274.07 250.00 235.71 224.14 224.14 216.67 1983 Capac i ty 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 , Excess (Under)Cap..07 .08 .06 .02 0.00 -.02 -.01 .02 .06 .06 .06 ".05 %Capacity Utiliz.93.00 92.00 94.00 98.00 100.00 102.00 101 .00 98.00 94.00 94.00 94.00 95.00 Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ........ \_. J ,J .1 .1 ',),J FSC.-'.IL IO··,·~·l.IO(..~.}SER~:-:J-··l ~-l Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:34:20 ~,~USf~~:J SUS ~=-t IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (IN ACRES) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ----.----------------------- ----------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project .17 .22 .44 .56 .64 .80 .78 .69 .53 Total Project .18 .23 .45 .59 .67 .84 .83 .73 .56 Total Cum.ImpaCt .18 .41 .86 1.45 2.12 2.96 3.79 4.52 5.08--------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE (Cum.)18.09 23.22 28.83 34.93 41 .65 49.09 57.09 65.89 75.38 -----------------.------------------------------------ ---------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 18.27 23.63 29.69 36.38 43.77 52.05 60.88 70.41 80.46 ------------------==~================================ ============================ Direct Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.3.68 4.29 7.84 9.18 9.52 10.75 9.75 7.84 5.58 Total Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.3.90 4.48 8.02 9.67 9.97 11.29 10.38 8.30 5.90 1981 Capacity ·212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 Excess (Under)Cap.193.73 188.37 182.31 175.62 168.23 159.95 151.12 141.59 131 .54 ~Capacity Uti1iz.8.62 11.15 14.00 17.16 20.65 24.55 28.72 33.21 37.95 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. FSER/SOLIDV/SOLIDWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:34:24 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (OFF-SITE) (IN ACRES) USER =SUS YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS Direct Project Total Project Total Cum.Impact BASELINE (Cum.) TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .04 .06 .08 .12 .14 .19 .19 .19 .17 .05 .07 .09 .14 .17 .23 .23 .22 .21 .05 .13 .23 .37 .55 .79 1.02 1.25 1.47 -----------------------------------------------------------.--- 18.07 23.20 28.80 34.91 41.62 49.06 57.05 65.85 75.34--------------.--------------------.--------------------------- 18.12 23.33 29.03 35.28 42.18 49.85 58.08 67.11 76.81 ========================================================;====== Direct Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.1.01 Total Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.1.22 1.22 1.48 1.44 1.75 1.98 2.42 2.17 2.64 2.60 3.15 2.44 2.95 2.16 2.60 1.87, 2.27 1981 Capac ity Excess (Under)Cap. ~Capacity Uti1iz. 21 2.00 212.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ·0.00 212.00 212.00 0.00 O~OO 0.00 0.00 212.00 0.00 0.00 212.00 0.00 0.00 212.00 0.00 0.00 212.00 0.00 0.00 212.00 0.00 0.00 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. J .J .J J -.1 FSER/SOLIDV/SOLIDWAH/FSERRPT3 USER ==SUS Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 .AT 19:34:33 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACILITIES IN TALKEETNA (IN ACRES) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- irect Project .01 .01 .01 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 ota1 Project .ell .01 .01 .02 .02 .03 .03 .03 .03 ota1 Cum.Impact .01 .02 .03 .05 .07 .10 .13 .16 .19 '--------------------- ------------------------------------------ ASELINE (Cum.)•19 .24 .30 .36 .43 .50 .58 .66 .75 ~----------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------- OTAL REQUIREMENTS .20 .26 .33 .41 .50 .60 .71 .82 .94 -----------------;============================================================== irect Requirements As t ncrease Over Basel.20.00 20.00 16.67 33.33 28.57 42.86 37.50 37.50 33.33 ota1 Requirements As t ~ncrease Over Bas~l.20.00 20.00 16.67 33.33 28.57 42.86 37.50 37.50 33.33 981 Capaci ty 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 rxcess (Under)Cap.4.80 4.74 4.67 4.59 4.50 4.40 4.29 4.18 4.06 ~Capacity Uti1iz.4.00 5.20 6.60 8.20 10.00 12.00 14.20 16.40 18.80 >ource:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ;",,,J .•~~c,~J ,I ,,~-JJ J J , ~ FSE~;'~~t I 01;1.:l~1 I DWI\H~-'SER;':~--,~-,~~,~-'---1 ~~-_.----,=-='j '~1 ----,.c~l USER =SUS Al ternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:34:37 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACILITIES IN CANTWELL (IN ACRES) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 199'3--------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- .Direct Project .05 .06 .05 .08 .09 .1 2 •12 •1 2 .11 \Tot.,Proj eot .05 .07 .06 .08 _.10 .14 •14 .13 .12 Total Cum.Impact .05 .12 .18 .26 .36 .50 .64 .77 .89 ---------------------------------------------------------------. BASELINE (Cum.).11 .14 .17 .20 .23 .26 .30 .34 .38 ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .16 .26 .35 .46 .59 .76 .94 1.11 1.27 ------------------==============================================================; Direct Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.166.67 200.00 166.67 266.67 300.00 400.00 300.00 300.00 275.00 Total Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.166.67 233.33 200.00 266.67 333.33 466.67 350.00 325.00 300.00 981 Capacity 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 xcess (Under)Cap.1.84 1.74 1.65 1.54 1.41 1.24 1.06 .89 .73 Capacity Utiliz.8.00 13.00 17.50 23.00 29.50 38.00 47.00 55.50 63.50 ource:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. L SER/SOLIDV/SOLIDDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS 1 ternate 01 of 01 2/28/84 AT 19:34:45 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (IN ACRES) EARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ---.----------------- ------------------------------------.----- ------.-------------- ROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS --------------------------- irect Project .45 .38 .48 .59 .67 .71 .68 .57 .35 .30 .30 .30 otal Project .49 .42 .52 .63 .71 .75 .73 .61 .39 .34 .34 .34 otal Cum.Impact 5.57 5.99 6.51 7.14 7.85 8.60 9.33 9.94 10.33 10.67 11.01 11 .35--------------------------.-.------------------------~---------------.-------------- ASELINE (Cum.)85.55 96.38 107.95 -120.32 133.50 147.53 162.46 1 77 .94 193.99 210.65 227.95 245.91-.--------------------------------------------------------------.--------- --------------.------------- OTAL REQUIREMENTS 91.12 102.37 114.46 127.46 141.35 1 56.13 171.79 187.88 204.32 221.32 238.96 257.26 -----------------==============~================================;======== ============================ irect Requirements As ~ ncrease Over Basel.4.42 3.51 4.15 4.77 5.08 5.06 4.55 3.68 2.18 1.80 1.73 1.67 otal Requi rements As ~ ncrease Over Basel.4.82 3.88 4.49 5.09 5.39 5.35 4.89 3.94 2.43 2.04 1.97 1.89 981 Capacity 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 xcess (Under)Cap.120.88 109.63 97.54 84.54 70.65 55.87 40.21 24.12 7.68 (9.32)(26.96)(45.26) Capacity Util iz.42.98 48.29 53.99 60.12 66.67 73.65 81 .03 88.62 96.38 104.40 112.72 121.35 Ource:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. I .1 •'.,..,....)J J J FSEI.;-~~lI D~~=~~!I DDul;"~JsE Rkr J Al ternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:34:50 ~,---,~~~...~~o~1'~USER =SUS ·"U 1 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACILITIES IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (OFF-SITE) (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project .17 .17 .18 .20 .21 .22 .22 .20 .19 .19 .19 •19 TO,tal Project .21 .21 .22 .24 .25 .26 .26 .25 .23 .23 .23 .23 Total Cum.Impact 1.68 1.90 2.13 2.37 2.63 2.89 3.16 3.42 3.65 3.89 4.13 4.36------..-------------.------------------------------------------------ -------.------ BASELINE (Cum.)85.51 96.34 107.91 120.28 133.46 147.48 162.41 l'77.89 193.95 210.61 227.90 245.86-------------------------.-.------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 87.20 98.24 11 0.04 122.65 136.09 150.38 165.58 181 .31 197.61 214.50 232.04 250.23 ------------------============================================================================= ======= lirect Requirements As % Increase Over Basel.1.74 1.64 1.62 1.61 1.61 1.57 1.48 1.35 1.23 1.18 1.13 1.09 rotal Requirements As % Increase Over Basel.2.12 1.99 1.97 1.97 1.96 1.90 1.80 1.64 1.49 1.42 1.37 1.32 1981 Capac ity 212.00 21 2.00 212.00 212.00 21 2.00 212.00 212.00 212.00 21 2.00 21 2.00 212.00 212.00 ~xcess (Under)Cap.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ~Capacity Utiliz.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 iource:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. '.- L '-. fSER/SOLIDV/SOLIDDCH/fSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:34:55 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACiLITIES IN TRAPPER CREEK (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ---.---.------------- ----------------------.----.-------.----------------------.---- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- -Direct Project .03 .03 .03 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 Total Project .04 .04 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 .05 Total Cum.Impact .35 .39 .44 .49 .54 .59 .64 .69 .74 .79 .84 .89 ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------- -------------- BASELINE (Cum.).56 .63 .70 .78 .86 .95 1.04 1.14 1.24 1.34 1.45 1.56 ------------------------------------------------------ -------.----------------------.--------------~--- TOTA~REQUIREMENTS .91 1.02 1.14 1.27 1.40 1.54 1.68 1.83 1.98 2.13 2.29 2.45 ------------------=:==:========================================================== ============== ======= Direct Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.50.00 42.86 42.86 37.50 50.00 44.44 44.44 40.00 30.00 30.00 27.27 27.27 Total Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.66.67 57.14 71.43 62.50 62.50 55.56 55.56 50.00 50.00 50.00 45.45 45.45 1981 Capac i ty 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Excess (Under)Cap.(.91 )(1.02 )(1.14)(1.27)(1 .40)(1 .54)(1.68)(1 .83)(1 .98 )(2.13) (2.29)(2.45) ~Capacity Utiliz.0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0.0 0.00 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ~,J ,..~.J ·....1 J J FS(.c.c~l I D{:='~l I DD=~.~lsE R~..~ A1 ternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:00 -,'~-1 ~,M--~1 USE:~~'SUS ~"""'-"i -~ IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACILITIES IN TALKEETNA (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------.-------------------- -------------------------------------------------------~ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS .r---------------------------- Direct Project .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 .03 Total Project .03 .03 .03 .03 .04 .04 .04 .04 .03 .03 .03 .03 Total Cum.Impact .22 .25 .28 .31 .35 .39 .43 .47 .50 .53 .56 .59 -------------- --------------------- ------------------------------------------------- BASELINE (Cum.).85 .96 1.08 1.20 1.33 1.48 1.64 1.80 1.97 2.15 2.34 2.54 ---------~-----------------------.-------------------- ------- ------------------------------------------ TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1.07 1.21 1.36 1.51 1.68 1.87 2.07 2.27 2.47 2.68 2.90 3.13 ------------------============== ====================================================================== Direct Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.30.00 27.27 25.00 25.00 23.08 20.00 18.75 18.75 17.65 16.67 15.79 15.00 Total Requirements As ~ Increase Over Basel.30.00 27.27 25.00 25.00 30.77 26.67 25.00 25.00 17.65 16.67 15.79 15.00 1981 Capacity 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 ·5.00 Excess (Under)Cap.3.93 3.79 3.64 3.49 3.32 3.13 2.93 2.73 2.53 2.32 2.10 1.87 t Capacity Uti1iz.21 .40 24.20 27.20 30.20 33.60 37.40 41.40 45.40 49.40 53.60 58.00 62.60 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. r.... L <.,... FSER/SOLIDV/SOLIDDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 02/28/84 AT 19:35:05 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON SOLID WASTE FACILITIES IN CANTWELL (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- pirect Project .11 .11 .12 .13 •13 .14 .14 .13 .12 •12 .12 •12 Total Proje~t .12 •12 .13 .14 .15 .15 .16 •15 .14 .14 .14 .14 Total Cum.Impact 1.01 1.13 1.26 1.40 1.55 1.70 1.86 2.01 2.15 2.29 2.43 2.57----------------------~------------------------------------------------------------- BASELINE (Cum.).42 .47 .52 .57 .62 .67 .73 .79 .B5 .91 .97 1.03------------------------------------------------------ -------------- ----------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1.43 1.60 1.7B 1.97 2.17 2.37 2.59 2.80 3.00 3.20 3.40 3.60------------------==~==================~========================================= ===================== Direct Requirements As % Increase Over Basel.275.00 220.00 240.00 260.00 260.00 280.00 233.33 216.67 200.00 200.00 200.00 200.00 Total Requi rements As % 240.00IncreaseOverBasel.300.00 260.00 2BO.00 300.00 300.00 266.61 250.00 233.33 233.33 233.33 233.33 , 1981 Capacity 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 Excess (Under)Cap..57 .40 .22 .03 (.17 )(.37)(.59 )(.80)(l .00)(1.20)(l .40)(l .60) %Capacity Utiliz.71 .50 80.00 89.00 98.50 108.50 118.50 129.50 140.00 150.00 160.00 110.00 180.00 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ~,;I ":,",,,,1 ;,;"",..•~t ",I ••.l ,]J " .' ...... F~'"'-"IHosr~""')IHO!"'H/W-1TAL -J Alternate 01 of 01 03/05/84 AT 16:55:43 ~----1 u .·..=-1=RC~~-, IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOSPITAL REQUIREMENTS IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (IN NUMBERS OF BEDS) PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS 1988 1989YEARS Direct cProject Total Project 1985 1.40 1.45 1986 1987 1 .80 3.56 1.87 3.67 4.59 4.75 ..,.... :).1:.1:. 5.40 1990 1991 6.47 6.36 6.71 6.61 1992 5.62 5.83 1993 4.26 4.47 oJ/? Sr( VI "s 6'-~ --- ,BASEL INE TOTAL REQUIREMENTS Direct Require.As t Increase Over Basel. Total Requi re.As t Increase Over Basel. 1981 Capacity Excess (Under)Cap. t Capacity Uti1iz. 38.03 42.13 45.94 49.86 54.76 60.48 64.91 71.28 76.73 39.47 43.99 49.61 54.61 60.17 67.20 71.51 77.11 81.20 ======================================================================== 3.67 4.27 7.76 9.20 9.53 10.70 9.80 7.88 5.55 3.80 4.43 7.99 9.52 9.86 11.10 10.18 8.18 5.82 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 -9.473 -13.993 -19.608 -24;611 -30.166 -37.196 -41.514 -47.108 -51.201 131.58 146.64 165.36 182.04 200.55 223.99 238.38 257.03 270.67 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. FSER/HOSPITV/HOSPIWAH/HOSPITAL Alternate 01 of 01 03/05/84 AT 16:55:51 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON HOSPITAL REQUIREMENTS IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (OFF-SITE) (IN NUMBERS OF BEDS) USER =RLH ________________________________________________________M ______________~ YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------------------------ ------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Di rect Project .38 .52 .66 .99 1.19 1.57 1.58 1.54 1.44 Total Project .47 .62 .80 1.21 1.44 1.91 1.92 1.85 1.74 BASELINE 38.03 42.13 45.94 49.86 54.76 60.48 64.91 71 .28 76.73---------------------------------------- ---------------------------~.----------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 38.49 42.75 46.74 51.07 56.21 62.39 66.82 73.13 78.47 ------------------======================== =================~============================== Direct Require.As $ Increase Over Basel.1.00 1.22 1.44 1.98 2.17 2.60 2.44 2.16 1.87 Total Require.As $ Increase Over Basel.1.22 1.48 1.75 2.42 2.64 3.15 2.95 2.60 2.27 1981 Capac i ty 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Excess (Under)Cap.-8.491 -12.750 -16.745 -21.068 -26.208 -32.389 -36.822 -43.130 -48.474 $Capacity Uti1iz.128.30 142.50 155.82 170.23 1 87.36 207.96 222.74 243.71 261.58 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ,).c J ......•J .~ F'-~"'~~~)HOSc"~l'H05'--'H/Hc'~lTAL ~J ~~ Alternate 01 of 01 03/05/84 AT 16:56:05 .-,--4 ~=1USEk.:1LH IMPACT OF TH[PROJECT ON HOSPITAL REQUIREMENTS IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (IN NUMBERS OF BEDS) -----------------------------------------~------------------------------------------------------ YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2"000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -----------------------------------------------------------------~~-----------------------~----- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project 3.67 3.09 3.87 4.73 5.37 5.66 5.48 4.56 2.78 2.41 2.41 2.41 Total Project 3.87 3.29 4.08 4.99 5.62 5.92 5.75 4.77 3.02 2.62 2.62 2.61 BASELINE 82.09 87.32 93.12 99.39 105.76 112.44 119.50 123.93 128.53 133.40 1 38.46 143.76 --------.-------.-------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIR~MENTS 85.97 90.61 97.20 104.37 111 .39 118.35 125.25 128.71 131.55 1 36.01 1 41 .08 146.37 ------------------================================================================================================ Direct ReqUire.As ,; Increase Over Basel.4.47 3.54 4.15 4.76 5.08 5.03 4.59 3.68 2.16 1.80 1.74 1.67 Total Require.As ,; Increase Over Basel.4.72 3.77 4.38 5.02 5.32 5.26 4.81 3.85.2.35 1.96 1.89 1.82 1981 Capac i ty 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Excess (Under)Cap.-55.966 -60.610 -67.200 -74.371 -81.386 -88.352 -95.249 -98.709 -101.550 -106.014 -111.079 -116.372 ,;Capacity Utiliz.286.55 302.03 324.00 347.90 371 .29 394.51 417 .50 429.03 438.50 453.38 470.26 487.91 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. FSER/HOSPITV/HOSPIDCH/HOSPITAL Alternate 01 of 01 03/05/84 AT 16:56:13 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON ~OSPITAL REQUIREMENTS IN THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH (OFF-SITE) (IN NUMBERS OF BEDS) USER =RLH -------------------------------------------------------- -------- -------- ------------------------ YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --------------~----------------------------------------------------~---------------------------. PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS -----------------------"---- Direct Project 1.43 1.43 1.51 1.60 1.70 1.76 1.77 1.67 1.58 1.57 1.57 1.57 Total Project 1.74 1.74 1.84 1.96 2.07 2.14 2.15 2.03 1.91 1.89 1.89 1.89 BASELINE 82.09 87.32 93.12 99.39 105.76 112.44 119.50 123.93 128.53 133.40 138.46 143.76--------------------"---------------------------------------------------------------------------------"- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 83.83 89.06 94.96 101 .34 107.83 114.58 121 .64 1 25.97 130.44 135.29 140.36 145.65 ---------------~--============================================================================================;=== Direct Require.As $ Increase Over Basel.1.74 1.64 1.62 1.61 1.61 1.57 1.48 1.35 1.23 1.18 1.13 1.09 Total Require.As '1 Increase Over Basel.2.12 1.99 1.97 1.97 1.96 1.90 1.80 1.64 1.49 1.42 1.37 1.32 1981 Ca pac ity 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Excess (Under)Cap.-53.833 -59.058 -64.955 -71.343 -77.833 -84.578 -91.643 -95.967 -100.444 -105.291 -110.356 -115.649 '1 Capacity Utiliz.279.44 296.86 316.52 337.81 359.44 381 .93 405.48 419.89 434.81 450.97 467.85 485.50 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. '~" l. i... I ..~I ,j J 1 "-'1 ---,~4 ~J =, .•FSER/RECRE ATV /RECRE DCH /FSERRPT3 USER =RLH •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:32:42 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN CANTWELL -NEIGHBORHOOD PARKS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS -----------------------.---- Di rect Project .6 .5 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .5 .5 .5 .5 Total Project .6 .6 .6 .7 .7 .7 .7 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 ·,..,i BASELINE .3 ~3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3.------------.----------------------------------------------------------------------------.------ TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .9 .9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 .9 .9 .9 .9 ------------------~=============;;.================================ ================~================== Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel.200.0 190.3 193.5 203.2 203.1 203.1 193.9 181.8 172.7 167.6 167.6 162.8. Total Requi re.As % Increase Over Basel.230.0 216.1 222.5 232.2 231 .2 234.3 224.2 209.0 196.9 188.2 188.2 182.8 Capaci ty 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 l"•., Excess (Unde'r)Cap.(.9)(.9)(1.0)(1.0)(1.0)(1.0)(1.0)11 .0)(.9) (.9)(.9)(.9) %Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 '{", \.... Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. \;,..1 () (I () •FSER/RECRE ATV /RECR EDCH/FSERRPTJ USER =RLH •Al ternate Olaf 01 12/31/83 AT 13:32:38 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN CANTWELL -PLAYGROUNDS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Di rect Project .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .7 .6 .6 .6 .6 Total Project .8 .7 .8 .8 .8 .8 .8 .8 .7 .7 .7 .7 ·Ij~.~ BASELINE .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .4 .4 .4------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- '" TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 ------------------==;======;;;============================================;=;======~================== Di rect Requi re.As 'X. Increase Over Basel.197.2 194.4 191 .8 200.0 205.4 202.6 194.8 182.0 174.3 167.5 163.4 163.4 Total Requi re.As '};.t· Increase Over Basel.225.0 219.4 218.9 229.7 235.1 234.2 223.0 210.2 197.4 190.0 185.3 185.3 ,~i Capacity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(1.1)(l .1)11 •1)11 .2)11 .2)(1.2)(1.2)(1.2)(1.1 )(1 .1)(1.1)11 .1)';",'};Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 l.j Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. \...1 '.....) l.;.) () () J .1 .~.J .....J ........) 4"'"~.) -. ---]---,-~~--1 .~-'":--1 =1 ~---,---'~--1 ~~'-'1 ..FSER/RECRE ATV /RECREDCH /FSERRPTJ USER =RLH •Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:32:33 .~-~ IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN MAT-SU BOROUGH COMMUNITIES -COMMUNITY PARKS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1991 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.4 1,4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 Total Project 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 U BASELINE 90.8 94.4 98.6 103.0 101.4 112.0 116.8 121.8 126.9 132.4 138.2 144.3 ----------:._------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 92.2 95.8 100.0 104.5 108.9 113.5 118.3 123.2 128.3 133.8 139.6 145.6 ------------------============~=================~===================================================== Direct Require.As '.t Increase Over Basel.1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 .9 .9 Total Require.As '.t I Increase Over Basel.1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 .9 .9 <.' Capaci ty 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 ....".. Excess (Under)Cap.4.2 .6 (3.5)(8.0)02.4)(11.0)(21 .8)(26.7)(31.8) (31.3) (43.1)(49.1) Ii....·''.t Capacity Utiliz.95.6 99.3 103.6 108.3 112.9 111.6 122.6 121.1 133.0 138.6 144.6 150.9 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ,,) ,) \..-) u (,) •FSER/RECREATV/RECREDCH/FSERRPTJ USER =RLH •Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:32:28 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -NEIGHBORHOOD PARKS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -------------- ----------------------------------- -------------- ------------------~-- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS 'i,---------------------------- Di rect Project •1 .0 . 1 •1 •1 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 Total Proje,ct .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 •1 ',-I BASELINE 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.7 5.2 5.7 --.--------------------------.------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.8 5.3 5.8 ------------------=================================;=====.==============.====;===============:======== Direct Require.As ~ Increase Over Basel.5.0 4.1 4.1 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.5 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 Total Require.As ~iJ)Increase Over Basel.5.0 4.5 4.1 4.1 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 Capaci ty 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(2.0) (2.2)(2.5)(2.7)(3.0)(3.3)(3.6)(4.0)(4.3)(4.8)(5.3)(5.8)'",.J~Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 l) Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. \,) ,) u o o CD J -1 ---,'.~~~--~l -~I '--1 -----,=-==-, .Ie FSER/RECREATV /RECREDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =RLH Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:32:24 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -PLAYGROUNDS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Di rect Project .1 .1 . 1 •1 •1 •1 •1 .1 . 1 .1 .1 •1 Total Project .1 •1 •1 .1 .1 .1 .1 •1 .1 •1 •1 •1 BASELINE 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.5 6.1 6.7 I .------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.7 5.1 5.6 6.2 6.8 I'------------------============================~=================~=====================;==========c==== I'I' I Direct Require.As $ Increase Over Basel.4.6 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.6 Total Require.As $ Increase Over Basel.5.1 4.6 4.2 3.8 3.4 3.4 2.8 2.6 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.6 Capac fty 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(2.4)(2.71 (2.9)(3.2)(3.5)(3.9)(4.3) (4.7)(5.1)(5.6) (6.2)(6.8) $Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. • (' ~~.' " f) ,.) ,,) ,J .... \.; ,.) ',) () C) () •FSER/RECREATV/RECREDCH/FSERRPT3 USER "RLH •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:32:19 (_.. '.. IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA -NEIGHBORHOOD PARKS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --~-------------------------------------~------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Di rect Project .1 .1 .1 •1 •1 . 1 . 1 . 1 .0 .0 .0 .0 Total Project •1 •1 .1 .1 .1 .1 •1 •1 .1 .1 •1 .1 ',I BASELINE 7.2 7.8 8.4 9.0 9.8 10.5 11.4 12.3 13.3 14.3 15.5 16.7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 7.3 7.9 8.5 9.2 9.9 10.7 11.5 12.4 13.4 14.4 15.6 16.8 ------------------;=========================;======~===~========================= ======= ============== Direct Require.As %()Increase Over Basel.1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 .9 .8 .8 .6 .6 .5 .5 Total Require.As %;1/Increase Over Basel.1.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 .9 .8 .6 .6 .6 Capaci ty 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 19.0 '''-..-.1 Excess (Under)Cap.11.6 11.0 10.4 9.7 9.0 8.2 7.4 6.5 5.5 4.5 3.3 2.1 %Capacity Utiliz.38.6 41.6 44.9 48.4 52.?56.3 60.8 65.6 70.7 76.2 82.2 88.7 ~.i \.. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ,.. Ie> u· 'I;''i1J cD tD '".) (~.'I Ci iL) () ,~:.\~ •FSER/RECREATV /RECREDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =RLH •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:32:09 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -NEIGHBORHOOD PARKS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -----------------------------------.----------------.--.-------.---.-----------_.--- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS .----------.-.-------------- Di rect Project .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 '.J Tota 1 Project .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 •1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 i,_.~I BASELINE 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.9 7.1 7.4 1.1 1.9 8.2 ------------------------------------------------.-------------------- ---------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.8 1.0 7.2 1.5 7.8 8.0 8.3 ------------------========================================== ========================================== Direct Require.As %C)Increase Over Basel.1.4 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 .9 Total Require.As %UIncreaseOverBasel.1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.1 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 Capacity 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 "- Excess (Under)Cap.24.1 24.5 24.3 24.1 23.9 23.1 23.4 23.2 22.9 22.1 22.4 22.1 t"}%Capacity Utiliz.18.7 19.3 20.0 20.7 21.5 22.3 23.0 23.8 24.6 25.5 26.4 21.4 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ~._._I ".' () I ,1 J () ~{' '..) -,.) () () () •FSER/RECREATV/RECREWAH/FSERRPT3 USER"RLH Al ternate 01 of 01 1 2/31/83 AT 13:31 :57 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN CANTWELL -NEIGHBORHOOD PARKS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ----~---------------- ----------------_.------------------------ PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project .3 .4 .3 .5 .5 .7 .7 .6 .6 Total Project .4 .5 .4 .5 .6 .8 .8 .7 .7 BASElINE .2 .2 .2 .2 .2 .2 .2 .3 .3 -------------------------------------'--------.------------------------------ TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .6 .8 .6 .8 .9 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 ------------------======-=============";===============================;=====-=== Direct Require.As % .Increase Over Basel.129.6 164.2 125.0 178.5 200.0 258.6 255.1 230.0 210.0 Total Require.As 'l; Increase Over Basel.148.1 185.7 146.4 203.5 227.5 296.5 289.6 263.3 236.6 Capacity 0.0 .0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(.6)(.8)(.6)(.8) (.9)(1•1 )(l .1 )(1.O)(1 .O) %Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. • ~~I ':) ~~.~ \.) ,•.I 'J, {) '.....-.. ',,) \.../ \.•,.< \.j u u ~) (:) €) ,,1 ..J n~1 ..FSER/RECREATV /RECREWAH/FSERRPTJ USER =RLH •Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:31 :53 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN CANTWELL -PLAYGROUNDS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project .4 .5 .4 .5 .6 .8 .8 .8 .7 J To.ta 1 Project .4 .6 .4 .6 .7 1.0 .9 .9 .8 i'~_~1 BASELINE .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 ., -------------------------------------------------------------- -------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .7 .9 .8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 -----~------------============;================~;==~============;===============-I Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel.128.1 163.6 127.2 173.5 202.9 261.7 248.5 234.2 211 .4 Total Require.As %~}Increase Over Basel.146.8 184.8 145.4 200.0 229.4 300.0 282.8 265.7 240.0 Capaci ty 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 I•...-I EXces s (Underl Cap.(.7)(.9)(.8)(1 .0)(l.ll (l .3)(l .3)(l .2)(l •1) I"~.i%Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. "i c' (l c) •FSER/RECREATV /RECREWAH/FSERRPTJ Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:31:49 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN MAT-SU BOROUGH COMMUNITIES -COMMUNITY PARKS (IN ACRES) USER =RLH • YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- OJ rect Project .5 .6 .8 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 Total Project .5 .6 .8 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 BASELINE 53.6 57.6 60.9 64.2 68.6 73.8 77.1 82.6 86.8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 54.1 58.2 61.7 65.4 70.0 75.5 78.8 84.2 88.3 ------------------===~=============================== ==============~==---==~===== Djrect Requjre.As % Increase Over Basel..9 1.1 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.6 Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel..9 1.1 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.6 Capaci ty 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 96.5 Excess (Under)Cap.42.3 38.2 34.7 31.0 26.5 20.9 17 .6 12.2 8.1 %Capacity Utiliz.56.1 60.3 64.0 67.7 72.5 78.2 81.7 87.3 91.5 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.t::i' i , c..~, L ) <.) " \. '. ., tj ',I () o D ~.,1 J I _ J ~~_.I ) o I ..) ....-.,' u \.;) o () ".FSER/RECREATV /RECREWAH/FSERRPT3 USER =RLH • Alternate Olaf 01 12131/83 AT 13:31 :42 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF HOUSTON -PLAYGROUNDS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------- ---------------------------- ---------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS {) .----------------.---------- Oi rect Project .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 •1 .1 .1 .1 Total Project .0 .0 .0 .1 •1 .1 •1 •1 .1 (~J BASEL INE .9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 ---------------------------.------------------------------------------------ TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 -------------.----==~============~====;~=========================~====~==========) Direct Require.As $ "Increase Over Basel.4.0 4.5 5.8 6.8 7.5 8.7 7.3 6.7 5.6 Total Require.As $U Increase Over 8asel.4.0 4.5 5.8 7.5 7.5 9.3 7.9 7.2 5.6 Capacity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Excess (Under)Cap.e1 .0)(l .1 ) (1 .2)(1 .4)(1 .5)(1 .7)(1 .9)(2.0)(2.2)~,I $Capacity Utiliz.0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. ~..) () i,) ()'.~ ,~_,,"J J J C_,.;,1 -1).1 J \,;....: ..- \.k_-' () (I ..,FSE R/RE CREATV /RE CRE WAH /FSERRPTJ Al ternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:31:34 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF WASILLA -PLAYGROUNDS (IN ACRES) USER RLH d .., '..' I YEARS ·1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS r;. Di rect Project Tota 1 Project BASELINE .0 .0 4.3 .0 .0 4.6 .0 .0 5.0 .0 •1 5.4 •1 •1 5.8 •1 •1 6.3 •1 •1 6.8 •1 •1 7.3 •1 •1 7.9 ,-I ,, TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 4.3 4.7 5.0 5.5 5.9 6.4 6.9 7.4 8.0 ------------------======= =======~===========~===========~=-====================== Direct Require.As % Increase Over Basel..9 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.5 Total Require.As % Increase Over Basel.1.1 1.2 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.6 Capacity 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Excess (Under)Cap.(3.3) (3.7)(4.0)(4.5) (4.9)(5.4)(5.9)(6.4) (7.0) %Capacity Utiliz.435.0 470.0 508.0 552.0 596.0 646.0 696.0 749.0 805.0 Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc. ) \) ,f) i..:..j \,) u ,_J o ,) o c· ~) C,".',j..' ~~~~-- ..FSER/RECREATV /RECREWAH /FSERRPT3 USER =RLH •Al ternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:31 :30 IMPACT OF THE PROJECT ON RECREATION FACILITIES IN THE CITY OF PALMER -NEIGHBORHOOD PARKS (IN ACRES) YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------------------------------------------------- PROJECT-RELATED REQUIREMENTS ---------------------------- Direct Project .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 •1 •1 .0 .0 Total Project .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 •1 •1 <J BASELINE 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 ----------------.-======= =====================;==_~=============================_c Direct Require.As $,-Increase Over Basel..8 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.6 Total Require.As $i!)Increase Over Basel.1.1 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.8 Capacity 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 "".; Excess (Under)Cap.26.9 26.6 26.4 26.1 25.8 25.5 25.3 25.1 24.9 '.t Capaci ty Util fl.11.7 12.4 13.3 14.3 15.2 16.3 16.9 17.5 18.1 .:..) Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc. .,) ~.J w \D " " .~_..1 l .1 J I J o o () I,,) Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ~-,~-,~~---1 ~~~~,=,-~-~1 ~~--1 •FSER/FISB2HOV/FISCWAH/FSERRPT3 USER "RLH Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:33:22 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS City of Houston Budget Projections* YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ --------- REVENUES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion 15 19 24 35 39 50 49 47 44 Project Total 15 20 26 38 41 54 53 51 46 BASELINE PROJECTION 307 336 370 407 447 493 541 596 655 TOTAL REVENUES 322 357 396 444 488 547 594 646 700 EXPENDITURES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion 13 17 21 30 33 43 43 41 38 Project Total 14 18 22 31 34 46 45 44 40 BASELINE PROJECTION 263 290 319 351 385 425 466 513 564 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 278 308 341 382 422 471 511 557 603. Baseline Deficits -44 -46 -51 -56 -62 -68 -75 -83 -91 Total Qeficts -44 -49 -55 -62 -66 -76 -83 -89 -97 *Solid waste expenditures during the sanitary and septage systems. -crease significantly because they operation and maintenance. 1983 reflect the building of Expenditures after 1983 de- include only charges for •r1:"), ,) .7) ;..) ~.) ') ,::;> <) D~ ~ Q i' !oJ Ii IOf ~-'.I:V rI .;.) ~ • • e 4) I •~.~---~ •FSER/F!SB2HOV IF!SCDCH/F~ERRPT3 USER;RLH,• Alternate 01 of 01 ,12/31/83 AT 13:33:33 0 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS City of Houston Budget Projections* YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 () --------------~------------.-----------.----------------------- --------------------------------------------- REVENUES 0 PROJECT RELATED () Di rect Portion 41 41 41 44 44 44 44 41 39 39 39 39 0 Project Total 44 43 44 46 46 47 46 44 41 41 41 41 BASELINE PROJECTION 722 794 873 960 1055 1162 1276 1405 1545 1700 "..,) 1870 2056 (.TOTAL REVENUES 765 835 916 1004 11 01 1209 1323 1448 1585 1741 1911 2098 l.,) EXPENDITURES (.; PROJECT RELATED C' Di rect Portion 34 34 34 38 38 39 38 34 33 33 33 33 '(Project Total 39 37 39 40 40 40 40 39 34 34 34 34 \,...1 BASELINE PROJECTION 621 684 751 826 909 1000 11 00 1210 1331 1464 1610 1772 L' TOTA~EXPENDITURES 657 719 789 865 948 1039 1140 1247 1367 1499 1646 1806 I.,) Baseline Deficits -101 -110 -122 -134 -146 -162 -176 -195 -214 -236 -260 -284 Total Deficts -108 -116 -127 -139 -153 -170 -183 -201 -218 -242 -265 -292 ,'.,1 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding.\,.... *Solid waste expenditures during 1983 reflect the building of \..)the sanitary and septage systems.Expenditures after 1983 de- crease significantly because they include only charges for operation and maintenance.(J Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. (:l lC ~_."I .1 tI' ~'~'""--1 ~~--1 •FSER/FISB2PAV/FISCWAH/FSERRPT3 USER =RLH • Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:33:45 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS City of Palmer Budget Projections* YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------------------------------- ------------------'---------------.-- REVENUES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion 49 58 80 118 143 190 189 184 179 (, Proj ec t Tota 1 56 70 ,90 132 157 214 216 205 203 BASELINE PROJECTION 4684 5153 5673 6249 6886 7588 8134 8721 9352 TOTAL REVENUES 4743 5224 5762 6382 7040 7805 8350 8928 9554 ",,J EXPENDI TURES 't,,,,) PROJECT RELATED t Di rect Portion 45 60 76 113 132 177 177 170 162 l' Project Total 57 65 83 126 148 200 202 192 185 c, BASELINE PROJECTION 4506 4929 5396 5911 6477 7104 7572 8075 8613'\.: TOTAL EXPENDITURES 4561 4995 5483 6039 6626 7304 7773 8265 8800 Baseline Deficits -178 -224 -277 -338 -409 -484 -562 -646 -739 Total Deficts -182 -229 -279 -343 -414 -501 -577 -663 -754 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. *BUdgets include expenditures and revenues from the water and sewer funds.' Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. \~I .:.) u () €) t) --, '*FSE RIF I SB 2TKV If I 5CWAH IF SERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:34:08 ---1 0 -~l IMPACTS ON BUDGETS USER =RLH • Mat-Su Borough Revenue Collections on Behalf of Talkeetna YEARS 1985 1986 19B7 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------------------------.-----------------------------------.-----------------. PROJECT RELATED REVENUES Direct Portion 121 171 206 301 345 445 437 409 365 Project Total 144 201 246 355 407 524 513 477 425 BASELINE PROJECTION 892 941 989 1039 1091 1143 1207 1268 1330 TOTAL REVENUES 1036 1141 1234 1394 1498 1667 1720 1745 1755 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. Ii" ::";"'1 "..' i1 ;~.) '" \) ,~) ....:.) u ;;) ~ t)., •FSER/FI SB2TKV /FISCDCH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:34:17 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Mat-Su Borough Revenue Collections on Behalf of Talkeetna USER '"RLH • YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --------------------------------------------- --------------------------- ------------------ ------------------ PROJECT RELATED REVENUES Di rect Portion'355 355 356 374 393 393 386 367 339 339 Project Total 414 407 416 434 462 460 451 424 388 388 BASELINE PROJECTION 139B 1468 1548 1624 1707 1791 1882 1976 2074 2177 TOTAL REVENUES 1812 1876 1965 2058 2169 2250 2334 2399 2462 2566 339 388 2285 2675 339 ';"i 388 2402 :;;.) 2790 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. eJ "'~':L"J J I I J do'.·.J "I \~...J ,1). :,L) ~i ,,) ,:) o (; ~ I) "Ie· ~~l ~~ FSER/FISB2WAV/FISCWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/06/84 AT 16:20:59 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS City of Wasilla Budget Projections* USER =SUS YEARS 1.985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -------------------------~------------------- ------------------------------------ REVENUES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion Project Total BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL REVENUES EXPENDITURES PROJ ECT R'ELA TED Direct Portion Project Total BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL EXPENDITURES Baseline Deficits Total Deficts 13 16 1347 1363 12 15 1213 1228 -134 -135 20 21 1461 1482 17 20 1319 1338 -142 -144 22 24 1586 1612 20 23 1435 1457 -151 -155 33 37 1722 1761 30 35 1562 1595 -160 -166 41 45 1872 1918 37 41 1697 1738 -175 -180 52 58 2035 2091 47 53 1847 1900 -188 -191 50 55 2210 2268 47 52 2010 2063 ,..200 -205 50 55 2404 2457 46 50 2187 2236 -217 -221 45 48 2614 2664 40 47 2380 2425 -234 -239 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. *,Projections of revenues and expenditures include fire service area funds that are related to the city portion of the fire service area. Source:Fran~Orth &Associates.Inc ••1983. '.'-."....~J ,I .1 j ~-,~~'~~,"-=J .'C)=._}'~'~-1 co',,.1 ~~..,=}-C~1 --'-J ~~ ..FSE RIF I SB4CNV IF I SCWAH IF SE RR PT3 USER =RLH Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:34:50 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Community of Cantwell Fiscal Projections .... YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 -------------------------------------.------.-----------------.---------.-------- REVENUES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Project Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 BASELINE PROJECTION 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL REVENUES 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 EXPENDI TURES, PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Project Total 0 0 0 0 0 O·0 0 0 BASELINE PROJECTION 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Baseline Deficits 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Tota 1 Defi cts 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding . ....BUdgets for Cantwell are incomplete at this time.Therefore, projections of revenues and expenditures were not made at this time. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. "fSER/fISB4CNV/fISCDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =RlH Al ternate 01'of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:35:01 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Community of Cantwell Fiscal Projections· YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --------------------------- --------------------------------------------- --------------------------------_._-- REVENUES PR OJECT RElATED Oi re ct Porti on 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Proj ec t Tota 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 O·0 0 0 0 0 BASELINE PROJECTION 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL REVENUES 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 EXPENDITURES PROJ EeT RElATE D Direct Portion 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0, Project Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 BASELINE PROJECTION 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Baseline Deficits 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Deficts 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. •Budgets for Cantwell are incomplete at this time.Therefore. projections of revenues and expenditures were not made at this time. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. .j ",d J ~"J ••••J J ~ FSER/FISB5MSV/FISCWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 03/06/84 AT 16:22:54 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Mat-Su Borough General Fund* USER ::SUS YEARS REVENUES PROJ EeT RElATED Direct Portion Project Total BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL REVENUES EXPENDITURES PROJECT RUA'TED Direct Portion Project Total BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL EXPENDITURES Baseline Deficits Total Deficits t increase i.n defici 1985 288 353 28722 29075 315 384 31396 31779 2674 2704 o 1986 367 447 30135 30579 411 498 33634 34132 3499 3553 o 1987 454 550 31382 31930 514 623 35525 36147 4143 4217 o 1988 668 816 33716 34531 742 906 37401 38307 3685 3776 o 1989 784 954 36146 37097 865 1052 39906 40957 3760 3860 o 1990 1014 1231 39068 40301 1113 1350 42873 44224 3805 3923 o 1991 1016 1231 41689 42918 1093 1323 44824 46149 3135 3231 o 1992 965 1162 44727 45888 1036 1249 48017 49265 3290 3377 o 1993 893 1085 47790 48872 944 1146 50492 51638 2702 2766 o Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. ~Revenues in 1983 and in sUbsequent years include Municipal ~ssistance funds that are received at the end of each fiscal (ear.Both the revenue and expenditure projections include lreawide and non-areawide funds.Deficits in 1983 were :overed by drawing down the fund balance.Long-term deficits lould have to be covered by raising mill rates or lowering the expenditures. ;ource:Frank Orth ...Associ ates.Inc .•lClR:L FSER/FISB5MSV/FISCDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUSAlternate01of01 03/06/84 AT 16:23:17 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Mat-Su Borough General Fund* YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -----------~------------.----~--------.-----------.--------~------------------------------------------------ REVENUES PROJECT RElATED Direct Portion 886 892 940 1000 1066 11 07 1118 1089 1060 1083 1115 1148 Project Total 1082 1084 1146 1223 1297 1347 1356 1324 1283 1310 1347 1385 BASELINE PROJECTION 51007 54398 58068 62015 66213 70704 75521 80679 86202 92135 98493 105311 TOTAL REVENUES 52090 55483 59211 63234 67510 72053 76878 82004 87487 93442 99840 106695 EXPENDITURES PROJECT RElATED' Direct Portion 920 903 933 974 1015 1034 1022 982 938 942 955 970 Project Total 1121 1097 1135 1188 1236 1259 1244 1191 1135 1139 1154 1171 BASELINE PROJECTION 52833 55036 57561 60328 63130 66089 69267 72640 76247 80174 84410 88995 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 53953 56134 58694 61516 64367 67347 70511 73831 77382 81314 85564 90165 Baseline Deficits 1826 638 -507 -1687 ~3083 -4615 ~6254 -8039 -9955 -11961 ~14083 -16316 Total Deficits 1863 651 -517 -1718 ~3143 -4706 -6367 -8173 -10105 -12128 -14276 -16530 %increase in def1c1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ~ums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. *Revenues in 1983 and in subsequent years include Municipal Assistance funds that are received at the end of each fiscal year.Both the revenue and expenditure projections inclUde areawide and non-areawide funds.Deficits in 1983 were covered by drawing down the fund balance.Long-term deficits would have to be covered by.raising mill rates or lowering the expenditures. I'•.",I} ...··1 ...J;~;rarTh 0 ~~th~l '-J ..J'..J As'tO'c 1 ate ~'~"'I nc..""f'?tB 3.J FSER/FISB5MSV/FISCDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/06/84 AT 16:23:23 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Mat-Su Borough Service Area Fund YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ .REVENUES PROJECT RELATED oi reet Portf on 34 36 38 40 43 45 47 45 45 46 48 50 Project Total 43 43 45 49 53 55 56 55 54 56 58 60 BASELINE PRO~ECTION 8106 9073 10161 11385 12761 14309 16052 18014 20223 22713 25516 28676 TOTAL REVENUES 8148 9116 10207 11435 12813 14365 16109 18070 20278 22768 25574 28736 EXPENDITURES PROJECT RELATED . Direct Portfon 30 30 31 33 35 36 36 35 33 34 34 35 Project Total 37 36 38 40 42 44 44 42 40 41 42 42 BASELINE PROJECTION 7829 8736 9764 10923 12222 13685 15333 17191 19284 21647 24313 27321 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 7866 8772 "9802 10963 12264 13729 15377 17233 19325 21688 24354 27364 Baselfne Deficfts -277 -337 -397 -462 -539 -624 -719 -823 -939 '-1066 -1203 -1355 Total Deficits -282 -344 -405 -472 -549 -636 -732 -837 -953 -1080 -1220 -1372 Sums may not equal totals due to independent roundfng. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. ".1 ~j J j ...-'.'J ...J J ~J ~J ~....O'"J ~~,_o'J '---"1 ""'~"1 FSER/FISB5MSV/FIStWAH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/06/84 AT 16:23:04 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Mat-Su Borough Land Management Fund YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 --------- ---------------------------------~-------------------- --------- --------- REVENUES PROJ ECT RElATED Direct Portion 11 14 17 25 29 37 37 35 31 Proj ect Total 13 17 21 31 36 45 44 42 38 BASELINE PROJECTION 1075 1149 1209 1269 1348 1442 1501 1600 1673 TOTAL REVENUES 1089 1166 1230 1299 1384 1488 1545 1641 1711 EXPENDITURES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion 3 4 5 8 9 12 11 11 10 Project Total 4 5 7 10 11 14 14 13 12 BASELINE PROJECTION 336 359 377 396 421 450 469 499 522 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 340 364 384 406 432 464 482 512 534 Baseline Deficits -739 -790 -832 -873 -927 -992 -1032 -11 01 -1151 Total Deficits -749 -802 -846 -893 -952 -1024 -1063 -1129 -1177 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. _and management surplus funds are transferred into other 3ccounts. )ource:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc ••1983. FSER/FISB5MSV/FISCDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/06/84 AT 16:23:28 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Mat-Su Borough land Management Fund YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 --------- ----------~---------------- ------------------ --------------------~--------------- --------------_._~ REVENUES PROJECT RElATED Direct Portion 30 30 30 31 32 33 32 30 29 28 28 28 Project Total 37 36 37 38 40 40 39 37 35 34 34 34 BASELINE PROJECTION 1740 1801 1870 1944 2017 2092 2170 2251 2334 2422 2514 2611 TOTAL REVENUES 1777 1836 1906 1982 2056 2132 2209 2288 2369 2457 2549 2645 EXPENDITURES, PROJECT RElATED ' Direct Portion 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 Project Total 12 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 BASELINE PROJECTION 543 562 584 607 630 653 677 703 729 756 785 815 TOTAL EXPENDITU~ES 555 573 595 619 642 665 690 714 739 767 796 826 Baseline Deficits -1197 -1239 -1286 -1337 -1387 -1439 -1493 -1548 -1605 -1666 -1729 -1796 Total Defi cits -1222 -1263 -1311 -1363 -1414 -1467 -1519 -1574 -1630 -1690 -1753 -1819 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. Land management surplus funds are transferred into other accounts. ISource:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. "J ",)'c"",~-j ~~1 -, ""FSE R/F I SB6ANV /FI SCWAH /FSE RRPT3 Alternale 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:35;57 USER ~RLH IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Municipality of Anchorage Expenditure Projections --------------------------------------------------------------- --------- YEARS REVENUES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion Project Total BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL REVENUES fXPENDITHRES , PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion Project Total BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL EXPENDITURES Baseline Deficits Total Deficts 1985 o o o o -295 132 184227 184359 184227 184359 1986 o o o o -408 138 188723 188861 188723 188861 1987 o o o o -864 -162 190744 190583 190144 190583 1988 0- o o o -987 6 192295 192305 192295 192305 1989 o o o o -1051 83 196576 196659 196576 196659 1990 o o o o -1266 163 202449 202613 202449 202613 1991 o o o o -1214 177 202980 203156 202980 203156 1992 o o o o ·996 304 208511 208875 208571 208875 1993 o o o o -601 763 210439 211197 210439 211197 Sums may not equal totals due to independent-rounding. Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc .•1983. "fSER/fISB6ANV/fISCDCH/fSERRPT3 Alternate 01 of 01 12/31/83 AT 13:36:09 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Municipality of Anchorage Expenditure Projections USER =RLH • () ~1 c~~l .·.···_·1 ~) IMPACTS ON BUDGETS City of Fairbanks Expenditure Projections* YEARS 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 ----------------------------------~---------------------------- ------------------ REVENUES PROJECT RELATED Di re ct Port io n 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Project Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 BASELINE PROJECTION 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL REVENUES 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 EX PE NDITU RE S PROJECT RElATED Direct Portion -52 -76 -139 -189 -218 -224 -211 -207 -136 Project Total -16·-31 -72 -101 -118 -87 -73 -76 -21 BASELINE PROJECTJON 29010 30438 31848 32998 34500 36516 37810 39395 41399 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 28993 30407 31773 32897 34379 36429 37737 39320 41378 Baseline Deficits 29010 30438 31848 32998 34500 36516 37810 39395 41399 Total Deficts 28993 30407 31773 32897 34379 36429 37737 39320 41378 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. *Expenditure projections include only a subset of the municipal JJtilities'system (water.sewer.and electric). ..FSER/FI SB6FNV/FI SCWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate Olaf 01 12/31/B3 AT 13:36:22 Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc .•1983. USER =RlH • r I !,)I ':" ..",_t j I iJl I i")i"."! i I i':.\)I id)I, .;D o '..i..1 ~j u & IiJ fil • I'tFSER/FISB6FNV/FISCDCH/FSERRPT3 •USER =RLH Alterna te 01 of 01 12/31/83 ~T 13:36:34 0 IMPACTS ON BUDGETS City of Fairbanks Expenditure Projections*I", iYEARS19941995199619971998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ------------------.-------------~-------------------------------.----------.-----------------.-------------., REVENUES ',' PROJECT RElATED Direct Portion 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 'U Project Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .0 0 BASELINE PROJECTION 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 :_,.) 0 TOTAL REVENUES 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 EXPENDITURES PROJECT RELATED Di re ct Po rt ion -85 -65 -87 -114 -157 -165 -153 -92 -18 8 Project Total 30 45 33 12 -25 -30 -17 37 97 126 BASELINE PROJECTION 43483 44831 46423 48158 49869 51642 53570 55615 57734 59937 TOTAL EXPENDITURES 43514 44874 46454 48167 49845 51613 53554 55650 57831 60062 Baseline Deficits 43483 44831 46423 48158 49869 51642 53570 55615 57734 59937 Total Deficts 43514 44874 46454 48167 49845 51613 53554 55650 57831 60062 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. *Expenditure projections include only a subset of the municipal utilities system (water,sewer,and electric). Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983. 8 127 62284 62412 62284 62412 j~•• ,t. 8 ,i )129 ...· 64769 \,_ 64899 t,..!I 64769 64899 \i) o -k) ~) i) ;~".-J .1 :.:.J I •.e,li) ---J FSER/FISBSCLV/FISCWAH/FSERRPT3 Alternate Olaf 01 03/06/84 AT 16:24:39 1 -'--'1 ~ USER =S'US IMPACTS ON BUDGETS Mat-Su Borough School Budget Projections* YEARS REVENUES PROJECT RELATED Di rect Portion Project Total BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL REVENUES EXPENDITURES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion Project Total BASELINE PROJECTION TOTAL EXPENDITURES Baseline Deficits Total Deficts 1985 779 867 41966 42834 519 607 41673 42280 -293 -273 1986 994 11 05 44898 46001 675 784 44511 45295 -386 -360 1987 2954 3102 47522 50623 2662 2807 46862 49669 -660 -631 1988 3492 3709 50171 53879 3030 3243 49161 52404 -1010 -976 1989 3778 4026 53790 57817 3228 3471 52658 56129 -1132 -1094 1990 4354 4676 57972 62648 3622 3938 56804 60742 -1168 -1125 1991 4298 4613 61200 65811 3580 3887 59575 63461 -1626 -1596 ·1992 4007 4295 65742 70036 3482 3762 63980 67742 -1762 ~1738 1993 3459 3731 69669 73401 3202 3466 67447 70913 -2222 -2214 Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding. *Enrollment has increased dramatically;it is expected that 6.972 school-age children.will attend pUblic school in the Mat-Su Borough School District by June 1984.Revenue and expenditure projections were made under this assumption and therefore,appear higher than in the 1983-1984 initial bUdget. Source:Frank Orth &Associates,Inc.,1983.'-.. FSER/FISBSCLV/FISCDCH/FSERRPT3 USER =SUS Alternate 01 of 01 03/06/84 .AT 16:24:52 IMPACTS ON BUrGETS Mat-Su Borough School Budget Projections· YEARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 -----------------.-------.----------.-.------.--.-------------------.-------------------~----.-----~-------- REVENUES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion 3096 2672 3162 3552 3763 3670 3614 3555 2422 2202 2227 225" Project Total 3376 2945 3447 3851 4080 4190 4131 3860 2711 2489 2514 2543 ,BASELINE PROJECTION 73516 77313 81524 8604.9 90684 95586 100760 105690 110885 116430 122291 128507 TOTAL REVENUES 76892 80258 84971 89902 94766 99776 104893 109550 113595 118919 124805 13105" EXPENDITURES PROJECT RELATED Direct Portion 2906 2522 2906 3124 3170 3191 3155 3077 2174 1993 1993 1993 Project Total 3176 ·2781 3176 3404 3466 3487 3445 3352 2434 2247 2242 2242 BASELINE PROJECTION 70674 73694 77114 80788 84430 88239 92209 95633 99177 102934 106842 11 09.3' TOTAL EXPENDITURES 73850 76475 80289 84192 87896 91726 95654 98985 101611 105181 109083 "3\12 Baseline Deficits -2841 -3620 -4408 -5263 -6253 -7347 -8553 -10057 -11708 -13495 -15449 -17578 Total Deficts -2845 -3639 -4446 -5316 -6327 -7439 -8662 -10179 -11842 -13650 -15624 -1777· Sums may not equal totals due to independent rounding.' *EnroJJment has increased dramatically;it is expected that 6.972 school-age children will attend public school in the Mat-Su Boroug~School District by June 1984.Revenue and expenditure projections were made under this assumption and therefore.appear higher than in the 1983-1984 initial bUdget. Source:Frank Orth &Associates.Inc ••19B3. .."..!.....~.~..J "....J ............J ~.c J .