Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutAPA1499USE OF NORTH SLOPE GAS FOR H EAT AND ELECTRICITY IN THE RAILBEL T DRAFT FINAL REPORT FEASIBILITY . LEVEL ASSESSMENT ' .' .. . . • j EBASCO EB ASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED JANUARY 1983 1--~ARZA-EEASCO Susitna Joint Venture Document Number Ple ase Re turn To n n ~l'!.''lf:~~T "'I f-Tit'! 1 ~ U w \: Jr ;, .. wa ."'.. ~ _. ~ .. "' .... b-. .______ __ ALA KA 0 ER AUT OR T USE OF NORTH SLOPE GAS FOR HEAT AND ELECTRICITY IN THE RAILBELT DRAFT FINAL REPORT FEASIBILTY LEVEL ASSESSf~ENT PRELIMINARY SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON REVIE\'1 EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED with FRANK MODLIN & ASSOCIATES and ALASKA ECONOMICS INCORPORATED FEBRUARY 1983 TABLE OF COtJTENTS 1.0 INTRODUCTION • . ••• 1.1 ~URPOSE..... 1.2 STUDY APPROACH 1.3 SCOPE .•..• 1.4 RESULTS.• • . . .. .. ....... Page 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-6 2.0 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST.2-1 2.1 POWER PLANT ••••••••••••• 2.3 COST ESTIMATES ••••••••••••• 2.4 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS 2-1 2-1 2-1 2-2 2-7 2-10 2-12 2-14 2-15 2-16 2-16 2-18 2-19 2-19 2-20 2-20 2-22 2-22 2-24 2-24 2-25 2-25 2-28 2-28 2-32 2-32 2-34 2-34 2-38 2-41 2-43 2-44 2-49 General . . . . . . . . . . . . Combustion Turbine Equipment Fuel Supply • • • • • • • • • • Swi tctlya rd.. . .... . . . . . . . . . . . Power Plant Support System Descriptions •• Construction and Site Support Services Operation and Maintenance ••;••• Site Opportunities and Constraints • . • • Construction Costs ••••••.• Operating and Maintenance Costs. Fuel Costs.• • • • • • • • • • Total System Costs.• • • ••••. Air Resource Effects ••••••• Water Resource Effects . • • • • • Aquatic Ecosystem Effects ••••. Terrestrial Ecosystem Effects •~• Socioeconomic and Land Use Effects 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.1.5 2.1.6 2.1.7 2.1.8 2.2.1 Overview •••• 2.2.2 Voltage Selection 2.2.3 Towers ••••• 2.2.4 Conductors •••• 2.2.5 Insulators ••• 2.2.6 Switching Stations 2.2.7 Fairbanks Substation •••• 2.2.8 Construction •••••. 2.2.9 Operation and Maintenance.• •••• 2.2.10 Communications • • • • • • ••••• 2.2.11 Siting Opportunities and Constraints 2.2.12 Fairbanks to Anchorage Line. 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.4.4 2.4.5 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.3.4 2.2 TRANSMISSION SYSTEM •• - ..... i i 2999A ~TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) Page 4.6 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS 4-66 4.6.1 Air Resource Effects ·· ·· ·····4-74 ~4.6.2 Water Resource Effects 4-77· · ·· · · ·4.6.3 Aquatic Ecosystem Effects •· · · ···4-79 4.6.4 Terrestri a1 Ecosystem Effects ····4-81,.,...4.6.5 Socioeconomic and Land Use Effects 4-82 5.0 FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST · · · · 5-1 ...-5.1 NORTH SLOPE TO FAIRBANKS NATURAL GAS PIPELINE 5-1 5.1•1 Gas Conditioning Plant ·· · · · ·5-2 5.1.2 Pi pel ine ······5-3 5.2 POWER PLANT .· · · · · ··· · 5-3 ~5.3 TRANSMISSION SYSTEM ·· · ···5-6 5.3.1 Fairbanks to Anchorage · · · ·5-6 ~~5.4 FAIRBANKS GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM 5-6· ·· · · 5.4.1 Fairbanks Residential/Commercial Gas-Demand Forecasts · · ···· · ·5-6·5.4.2 Fairbanks Gas Distribution System 5-6 -5.5 COST ESTIMATES.· · · · · · · ·· · · · 5-8 5.5.1 Capital Costs •· · ·· · · · · · 5-8 5.5.2 Operating and Maintenance Costs •5-10 5.5.3 Fuel Costs ·· ·· · · ·····5-13 5.5.4 Total System Costs ·· ··· · ·5-13 -5.6 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS •·5-23 6.0 KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 6-1 ~}!i'iIIfi+6.1 POWER PLANT 6-2.· · ········· ···· 6.1.1 General · · · · ·· · · · ·······6-2 f'l'4lft 6.1.2 Combustion Turbine Equipment.6-3 6.1.3 Steam Pl ant •··· ·· ·· · ·6-3 6.1.4 Fuel Supply •· · · · · ··· · 6-5 '"""6.1.5 El ectri cal Equipment ·· ····· · 6-5 6.1.6 Other Systems •· · · 6-5 ..- iv r- 2999A TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) 6.3 COST ESTIMATES • • • • • • • . • • • 6.3.1 Construction Costs •••••• 6.3.2 Operation and Maintenance Costs •• 6.3.3 Fuel Costs ••••••••••• 6.3.4 Total Systems Costs ••••••• 6.2 TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS - ..... - 6.2.1 6.2.2 6.2.3 6.2.4 . .. ... ... . Kenai to Anchorage Line Anchorage Substation ••• Anchorage to Fairbanks Line Fairbanks Substation Page 6-7 6-7 6-9 6-9 6-11 6-11 6-11 6-16 6-18 6-18 6.4 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS 6-23 9.0 REFERENCES • • . • • • • • 7.4 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS 8.0 COMPARISON OF SCENARIOS •• 6.4.1 Air Resource Effects •••••• 6.4.2 Water Resource Effects .'•••••• 6.4.3 Aquatic Ecosystem Effects •••••• 6.4.4 Terrestri a1 Ecosystem Effects • • • • 6.4.5 Socioeconomic and Land Use Effects •••• 7.0 KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST. 7.1 POWER PLANT • • • • • • • •• • • • 7.2 TRANSMISSION SYSTEM . • • • • . • • • • • 7.3 COST ESTIMATES • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 6-23 6-24 6-25 6-26 6-28 7-1 7-1 7-3 7-5 7-5 7-5 7-8 7-8 7-8 8-1 9-1 Construction Costs •••.•••• Operation and Maintenance Costs Fuel Costs •••••••••• Total Systems Costs • • • • . • • 7.3.1 7.3.2 7.3.3 7.3.4 .- - ,,""" .- - v - 2999A -LIST OF TABLES (Continued) -Tabl e Number Title Page 3-4 TOTAL ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD "'""FORECAST 3-9 3-5 TOTAL ANNUAL NON-FUEL OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST 3-10 ....3-6 TOTAL ANNUAL FUEL COST REPORT NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST 3-11 ~ 3-7 TOTAL ANNUAL COSTS NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD ~FORECAST 3-12 3-7 ENVIRONMENT RELATED POWER PLANT CHARACTERISTICS NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST 3-13.... 4-1 GAS DELIVERY AND QUALITY SPECIFICATIONS 4-4 ~4-2 PIPE DETAILS 4-14 4-3 CIVIL DESIGN DETAILS 4-15 f""'"4-4 BUILDING DETAILS 4-16 4-5 COMPRESSOR AND GAS SCRUBBER DETAILS 4-17 4-6 REFRIGERATION SYSTEM AND GAS HEATER DETAILS 4-18 -4-7 COMPRESSOR STATION ELECTRICAL SYSTEM AND CONTROL SYSTEM DETAILS 4-19 .-4-8 MISCELLANEOUS COMPRESSOR STATION SYSTEMS'DETAILS 4-20 4-9 METERS AND METERING STATION ELECTRICAL AND CONTROL SYSTEMS DETAILS 4-21 ,- 4-10 MISCELLANEOUS METERING STATION SYSTEMS'DETAILS 4-22 -4-11 NEW CAPACITY ADDITIONS AND FUEL REQUIREMENTS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-26 4-12 HEAT RECOVERY STEAM GENERATOR DESIGN PARAMETERS 4-31 vii 2999A .... f - - ,..,. LIST OF TABLES (Continued) Tabl e Number Title Page 4-13 STEAM TURBINE GENERATOR UNIT DESIGN PARAMETERS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-34 4-14 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS NORTH SLOPE TO FAIRBANKS NATURAL GAS PIPELINE 4-56.- 4-15 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COST ESTIMATES 77 MW SIMPLE CYCLE COMBUSTION TURBINE 4-57 .- 4-16 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS 220 MW COMBINED CYCLE PLANT.4-58 ~4-17 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS FAIRBANKS TO ANCHORAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM 4-60 -~4-18 0A VALUES FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-65 .-4-19 TOTAL ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-67 4-20 TOTAL ANNUAL NON-FUEL OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-68 4-21 TOTAL ANNUAL COSTS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-69 4-22 APPORTIONMENT VALUES FOR THE GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD SCENARIO 4-70 ~4-23 TOTAL ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES FOR THE GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-71 4-24 TOTAL ANNUAL NON-FUEL OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS FOR THE GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-72 4-25 ANNUAL SYSTEMS COST SUMMARY,GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM-FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 4-73 4-26 ENVIRONMENT RELATED POWER PLANT CHARACTERISTICS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST COMBINED CYCLE POWER PLANT 4-76 viii 2999A _'_"'.._~m --------1--·----------------- - 2999A 2999A x .-.2999A xi LIST OF FIGURES ~Figure Number Title Page 1-1 NORTH SLOPE SCENARIO 1-3 F'"1-2 FAIRBANKS SCENARIO 1-5 1-3 KENAI SCENARIO 1-7-, 2-1 SIMPLE CYCLE GAS TURBINE GENERAL ARRANGEMENT 2-4 ..-2-2 SIMPLE CYCLE GAS TURBINE SITE PLAN -NORTH SLOPE 2-5 2-3 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD ~FORECAST -SUBSTATION ONE LINE SCHEMATIC 2-9 2-4 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST -INITIAL STAGE OF SUBSTATION DEVELOPMENT 2-11 2-5 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD .....FORECAST -GALBRAITH LAKE AND PROSPECT C,GMP SWITCHING STATION SCHEMATIC 2-21 2-6 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD.....FORECAST -FAIRBANKS SUBSTATION SCHEMATIC 2-23 2-7 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST -FAIRBANKS -ANCHORAGE INTERMEDIATE SWI TCHING STATION SCHEMA TIC 2-27 -2-8 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST -ANCHORAGE SUBSTATION SCHEMATIC 2-28 3-1 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD ~FORECAST -SUBSTATION ONE LINE SCHEMATIC 3-4 4-1 GAS CmmITIONING FACILITY 4-6-4-2 HYDRAULIC SUMt4ARY -PEAK DAILY FLOW 4-10 4-3 COMPRESSOR STATION 4-12~ 4-4 METERING STATION 4-13 4-5 GENERAL ARRANGEMENT -PLAN VIEW 4-27 4-6 GENERAL ARRANGEMENT -ELEVATIONS 4-28 ,~ xii 2999A,- - - ~, 2999A xiii 1.0 SUMt1ARY ,~ 1•1 PURPOSE - ~. - -- - The purpose of this study is to examine the technical and environmental feasibility of several alternatives for the utilization of North Slope natural gas to generate electricity for use in the Railbelt Region,and to develop conceptual level,order of magnitude cost estimates for each alternative.The alternatives are grouped into three scenarios based on selected generating locations,and the study is based on the medium and low growth forecasts of Railbelt electrical needs provided by previous studies.One scenario also provides for the development of a residential and commercial natural gas distribution system in Fairbanks. Previous reports developed for this feasibility assessment have detailed the existing data and assumptions to be used in developing the scenarios,the technical and economic bases for establishing power generating technologies,and the factors to be considered in facility siting and corridor selection.Potential environmental effects are detailed in this report.The previous reports are appended to this report for completeness. 1.2 STUDY APPROACH An initial survey of the electrical demand growth forecasts and the availability and characteristics of North Slope gas provided a basis for establishing candidate power generating technologies.Meetings and discussions with knowledgeable officials and industry representatives were held to focus the study on factors unique to each region,and factors unique to North Slope natural gas.Candidate generating sites and routing corridors (both electrical and natural gas)were evaluated.Forecasts of potential natural gas demand in Fairbanks and details for a gas distribution system were prepared. 26478 1-1 -----------_~eo=====."....,......_---------------------- ~- ~, - """ Much of the above was completed prior to performing cost estimating tasks.While this studY uses assumptions consistent with previous studies of other electrical generating scenarios for the Rai1be1t.cost estimating tasks have not included fuel cost derivation nor the development of cost of power values.Comparisons with alternative electric generating scenarios are therefore outside the scope of this study.Such comparisons can be considered as a logical extension of these studies which may be performed by the Alaska Power Authority. 1.3 SCOPE The scope of the study was defined by the Alaska Power Authority to consist of three distinct scenarios.Each scenario was evaluated for its feasibility to meet the medium and low load forecasts of recent previous studies which examined the electrical demand requirements of the Rai1be1t Region.The first scenario is characterized by the generation of electricity on the North Slope using simple cycle combustion turbines fired by untreated natural gas.A major.new transmission line system would be required from the North Slope to Fairbanks.with substantial improvements to the transmission system connecting Fairbanks and Anchorage.Figure 1-1 is a depiction of the North Slope scenario showing the major differences between the medium and low load cases.The medium load forecast requires 15 units with a total capacity of almost 1400 megawatts (MW).two 500 kilovolt (kV) circuits from the North Slope to Fairbanks.and three 345 kV circuits from Fairbanks to Anchorage.The low load forecast can be met with 8 units (700 MW).two 500 IcV circuits from the North Slope to Fairbanks. and two 345 kV circuits from Fairbanks to Anchorage.The present worth of costs of the medium load forecast is $3.8 billion versus $2.7 billion for the low load forecast.Both costs are in 1982 dollars and do not include fuel costs. The second scenari 0 consists of two di sti nct parts:a generati ng facility in the Fairbanks area and a gas distri~ution system in Fairbanks.Transmission of the gas to Fairbanks from the North Slope would require construction of a high pressure gas pipeline.although 2647B 1-2 SUBSTATION SUBSTATION AND LOCAL DISTRIBUTION ••II II 8 SIMPLE ........CYCLE UNITS .L.L.L.L LOW LOAD FORECAST POWER PLANT PRUDHOE BAY TRANSMISSION LINE LENGTH:450 MILES WILLOW TO ANCHORAGE :50 MILES ANCHORAGE WILLOW SUBSTATION AND LOCAL DISTRIBUTION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST • •II ..• 15 SIMPLE .......... CYCLE UNITS .L.L.L.L.L .LJ..L.L.L SUBSTATION ,~SUBSTAT.ON FAIRBANKS SUBSTAT.ON AND LOCAL AND LOCAL DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTION .....FAIRBANKS TO HEALY:110 MILES HEALY HEALY TRANSMISSION LINE HEALY TO WILLOW:170 MILES EXISTING EXISTING ,~INTERTIE INTERTIE - - ALASKA POWER AUTHORIT~ NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY NORTH SLOPE SCENARIO ..... ~IGURE I-I EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED 1-3 - the size of the pipeline would be somewhat smaller than that proposed for the Alaska Natural Gas Transportation System {ANGTS}.Electrical power generation near Fairbanks ~ould use combined cycle plants consisting of gas-fired combustion turbines,waste heat recover,y boilers and steam turbines.A gas conditioning facility would be required on the North Slope. The Fa i rbanks generati"g scenari 0 is depi cted in Fi gure 1-2 whi ch shows that five combined cycle and two simple cycle units are required to meet the year 2010 medium load forecast {l400 MW}.The low load forecast (700 MW)requi res three combi ned cycl e units.The Fai rbanks generating scenario requires a 22 inch diameter gas pipeline from the North Slope to Fairbanks and includes a natural gas distribution system to meet residential and cOl1lIlercial heating needs.Three 345 kV transmission circuits from Fairbanks to Anchorage are required for the medium forecast and two for the low load forecast.Present worth of costs of the electrical generating scenarios J excluding fuel costs,in 19B2 dollars is $5.2 billion (medium forecast)or $3.4 billion (low forecast).The present worth of costs for the Fairbanks gas distribution system is $0.9 billion for the medium load forecast and $1.1 billion for the low load forecast. The third scenario is contingent on the construction of a major natural gas pipline from the North Slope to tidewater on the Kenai Peninsula. Delays in the construction of ANGTS have renewed interest in such an all-Alaska pipeline.This system is described in the Governor's Economic Committee on North Slope Natural Gas Report (19B3)entitled IITrans Alaska Gas System:Economics of an Alternative for North Slope Natural Gas.II The Kenai electric generati ng scenari 0 incorporates the anticipated energy demand from this system's tidewater facilities into the Railbelt's demand forecasts.Fuel for the power plant will be derived from a blend of waste gas from the conditioning facilities and sales gas.A major transmission line would also be required from near tidewater to the load center in Anchorage.The existing transmission 26478 1-4 MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST LOW LOAD FORECAST PRUDHOE BAY CONDITIONING PLANT GAS PIPELINE LENGTH =450 MILES SUBSTATION AND 1.0CAL DISTRIBUTION SUBSTATION AND LOCAL DISTRIBUTION EXISTING INTERTIE a=r ..a;.:3 COMBINED CYCLE UNITSPOWERPLANT FAIRBANKS TO HEAL.Y=110 MILES WlLL.OW TO ANCHORAGE t 50 MILES ANCHORAGE FAIRBANKS GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM TRANSMISSION LINE t£ALY TO WIUOW =170 MILES EXISTING INTERTIE WILLOW SUBSTATION AND LOCAL DISTRIBUTION HEALY 5 COMBINED -=-a;..a;.a;..a;. CYCLE UNITS ....2 SIMPLE CYCLE .L .L UNITS SUBSTATION AND WCAl DISTRIBUTION - - ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY FAIRBANKS SCENARIO FIGURE 1-2 EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED 1-5 ------"--,----------- "'"" ..... ,- line from Anchorage to Fairbanks would have to be up-graded to handle the generating capacity. The Kenai scenario (Figure 1-3)includes seven combined cycle units and one simple cycle unit to meet the energy demand in 2010 for the medium load forecast,and four combined cycle units and two simple cycle units for the low load forecast.In order to provide a highly reliable electric transmission system from Anchorage to Fairbanks,two parallel 345 kV circuits are required,even though a single circuit would be adequate in the low load forecast.Underwater cable crossing of Turnagain Armis cost effective,with two 500 kV circuits from Kenai to Anchorage.Cost estimations,excluding the pipeline and gas processing facilities as well as fuel costs in 1982 dollars,result in a present worth of costs for the medium load fOt'ecast of $2.0 billion,and $1.7 billion for the low load forecast. 1.4 RESULTS This work has resulted in the development of several scenarios for meeting the electrical generating needs of the Rai'lbelt region using North Slope natural gas for fuel.Each scenario has been refined to establish schedules of generating capacity additions consistent with medium and low load forecasts through the year 2010.Chapter 2 and Chapter 3 detail the North Slope Power Generation scenario for the medium and low forecasts,respectively.Chapter 4 and Chapter 5 detail the Fairbanks scenario,while Chapter 6 and Chapter 7 describe the Kenai Power Generation scenario. Engineering and cost evaluations of technologies capable of using natural gas to generate electricity provide a consensus for the use of gas fired combustion turbines.For the Fairbanks and Kenai scenarios, the turbines are exhausted through waste heat recovery boilers to power steam turbines. 26476 1-6 - - MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST SUBSTATION . AND LOCAL DISTRIBUTION HEALY WILLOW SUBSTATION AND LOCAL DISTRIBUTION 7COMBINED ... CYCLE UNITS ... I SIMPLE CYCLE .L UNIT FAIRBANKS FAJRBANI<S TO HEALY:110 MILES TRANSMISSION LINE HEALY TO WIllOW:170 MILES EXISTING INTERTIE WILLOW TO AtDiORAGE :50 MILES ANCHORAGE ANCHORAGE TO KENAI =87 MILES KENAI POWER PLANT LOW LOAD FORECAST SUBSTATION AND LOCAL DISTRIBUTION EXISTING INTERTIE SUBSTATION AND LOCAL DISTR IBUTION ...·.........4 COMBINED CYCLE UNITS.L .L 2 SIMPLE CYCLE UNITS """' ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NOATH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY KENAI SCENARIO FIGURE 1-3 EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED 1-7 ----- All of the scenarios will require substantial construction of electric transmission lines.A power plant on the North Slope separates the generation and load centers by almost 900 miles.requiring special transmission system design considerations to obtain a stable and reliable system.Generation near Kenai.on the other hand.requires a SOD kV underwater crossing of Turnagain Arm. Socioeconomic and environmental effects of generating significant amounts of electricity are substantial in both the construction and operation of the system.Howe~er.no effect would appear to preclude any of the scenari os.Both a ir and water poll uti on control measures associated with gas fired combustion turbines are generally modest compared to other technologies. Cost estimates are provided for each forecast-of all three scenarios. Because each scenario is distinctly different.except for providing the required electricity.cost comparisons should not be the sole factor in evaluating the desirability of any scenario.However,within the scope of this study.Kenai generation shows the least cost because it does not factor in the cost of the Trans Al aska Gas System and its associated processes.The Fairbanks scenario is the most costly because it includes a 450 mile natural gas pipeline.and a gas conditioning facility on the North Slope.The North Slope scenario is in the middle of the cost range and is characterized by the high capital cost of constructing high voltage transmission lines to Fairbanks. 2647B 1-8 - - 2.0 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION MEDIUM'LOAD FORECAST The first scenario,under the medium load forecast,centers on a major electric generating station on the North Slope at Prudhoe Bay,near the source of natural gas used to fuel the station.By the year 2010,the station would consist of 15 simple cycle combustion turbines capable of generating almost 1400 megawatts (MW)of power to serve the Railbelt. North Slope power generation does not requi re the constructi on of major gas pipelines,but does require construction of 500 kilovolt (kV) electric transmission lines from the North Slope to Fairbanks and additional transmission lines of 345 kV from Fairbanks to Anchorage. Detailed analysis of the transmission system shows that a stable and reliable system can be designed despite the generation and major load centers being over 800 miles apart.The total construction costs for the system described are $4.2 billion,with total annual operation and maintenance costs of $1.1 bill ion.The present worth of these costs excluding fuel costs is $3.8 billion as of 1982.Environmental and socioeconomic effects of this scenario are substantial,but none have been identified which would preclude the project. 2.1 POWER PLANT The power generation technology selected for the North Slope scenario employs simple cycle combustion turbines utilizing 91 MW baseload, combustion turbine generators.The criteria and parameters which resulted in this selection are discussed in the Report on Systems Planning Studies (Appendix B). 2.1.1 General Development of a North Slope site for the required generating units, construction and maintenance facilities,worker housing,and access 2601B 2-1 - - facilities will be a major undertaking.In addition to continuously expanding facilities for maintenance and operation,there will be pennanent construction facilities and a semi-permanent construction staff. The scenario for utilizing simple cycle gas turbine-generators to generate power at the North Slope requires fifteen 91 MW (nominal) units for satisfying load demand under the medium load forecast.The units would be added in increments beginning in 1993.On the average, sl ightly "ess than one unit per year is required through the end of the study period in 2010.Incremental and total required new generation capacity for this scenario are summarized in Table 2-1. The functional parts of the plant will consist of a gas supply system(s),the turbine-generators,various auxiliary and support systems,a central control facility,switchyards,and the northern terminus of the transmission line. A single simple cycle unit will require approximately a 90 ft x 150 ft enclosure as shown in Figure 2-1.It is planned that the units be installed side by side as shown in Figure 2-2 up to the maximum of 15 units required for the medium load forecast.The site will include the 138 kV switchyardbehind the'units and a 500 kV transmission line - termination centered on the planned maximum plant site.A 300 ft wide buffer area surrounding the site is planned,yielding a maximum total site acreage of 90 acres. 2.1.2 Combustion Turbine Equipment The combustion turbine plant design envisioned is based on using currently available gas turbine units,rated by one manufacturer at approximately 77 MW each.Various other manuf~cturers'turbines of similar size could be used to satisfy the requirement of this study, but it must be pointed out that the specific plant output and various specific design parameters may be expected to change accordingly. 26018 2-2 -2601B TABLE 2-1 NEW CAPACITY ADDITIONS AND FUEL REQUIREMENTS NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST 2-3 J 1 1 }I l --l 1 .)1 J J 4IGO-4601f "VIC. Ttt.t..N'!t1'i!l1r1111t ".--....lJKIL .....~~t1t C..I'lTER I .-e;"to..TLllI':l!IINe ....lIt .INL"'1'I.ICT' ·tVN1T __- ----CCINT.,1.HOIIM •lC11X1I(VA,....I/KILIAN T~HER (~~I~) J tooo ~"".-.u«lLIAIt'fT~§FQIlMl!lI': ----J I ~~~HT I 141'·0 000 "'Ill CDlftlMol,• .o.HD Ill<:i IVIIl. ~eb.'I'DIt ~N'I' gO l---.------ !L~e.~ '11:I&-1.".." T~.(I')"" TlWI~Pl.1 ('l.)TWO ~1115o(1T") ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY 'UN -11 HV NOHINAl RATlNG/SlH'U (Jel[PLANT NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY SIMPLE CYCLE GAS TURBINE GENERAL ARRANGEMENT FIGURE 2-1 EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED ..0 , !>10 , s'»e 7&0 1".,0 .. 1110 H'4'0 ,~'.50 fa 'PIHrN~ON IMO._lD11'UT1' •A'III1I'lIO'U.IIIIIM 1-1-..iJ---j-r- 1 110'20' T"''''..''''''llC'1tLI l't:JPUI.! -g- ---------""*--'-1 I I i I ~ -O-'--'~I I I t}II !O~,{;;~lOTAL !alT'"""11.1.-.0,_II ~8>UNI'•••0~'lIS ""'11.•110 ~, III''--,--.__.I~I........-,.......""-)~L~,_J ......_"'...__L I -t----If-------__-I _.---_fl__---_-•.--l ---.-.t _, :--..-.I ~y 0"IC.,....'LO(,6,,~,+t*M~tN Itllt ~~~TIOlooI.~4'''~1'01.,.., r~-------------'--.-- ~i r -(~r 'i)f"'-NilOH"'..) l.~DOD' I -'1 -0-~ I I '"-........... t --· · I I ]i J J "}1 fi j J J 1 __1_".1-, I ',' j 'fV.~IMION UN8 11'I,.QI(f,l e.-Nf'llS ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY SIMPLE CYCLE GAS TURBINE SITE PLAN NORTH SLOPE F'OURE 2-2 EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED ... ",... - - - At International Standards Organization (ISO)referenced conditions (59°F and sea level)plant performance will consist of a net unit output of 77 MW.The ISO heat rate of the units will be approximately 11,900 Btu/kWh (HHV).For the actual conditions existing at the ,North Slope (average annual temperature of 9°F and sea level)the rating of the turbines is approximately 91 MW and the heat rate is 11,500 Btu/kWh (HHV)• Each combustion turbine is a large frame industrial type with an axial flow mUlti-staged compressor and power turbine on a common shaft.The combustion turbine is directly coupled to an electric generator,and can be started,synchronized,and loaded in about one half hour under normal conditions. The gas turbine generators are I'packaged"units and as such include all auxiliary equipment.The package generally includes: 1.13.8 kV sWitchgear which houses the generator grounding transformer,and generator air circuit breaker. - -, ,~ 2.Nonsegregated phase (i so-phase)bus work which runs from the generator to the main transformer. 3.A master control panel for overall operation and monitoring. 4.A transformer (13.8/4.l6 kV)sized to support the ancillary load (estimated to be 2 MVA). 5.A 4.16'kV switchgear with air circuit breakers for other loads (e.g.800 HP [horse power]cranking motor)•.The largest load (gas compressor)is fed from the plant common 4.16 kV switchgear. 6.Electrical protection equipment. Each combustion turbine generator package also includes an inlet air filtration system,fuel system,lubricating oil cooling system,and various minor subsystems as required,furnished by the manufacturer. 2601B 2-6 ..... - -. The design parameters for each combustion turbine with generator are presented in Table 2-2.Inlet air preheating using a heat exchanger will also be necessary. 2.1.3 Fuel Supply Annual fuel requirements for power generation at the North Slope will be 6.5 BCFY (billion cubic feet per year)in 1993 and grow to 78 BCFY. by 2010 for the medium growth forecast.Maximum potential firing rate for the medium load growth scenario will be 2.5 x 10 5 SCFM (standard cubic feet per minute)in the year 2010. Fuel requi rements on a year by year basi s will vary with install ed generating capacity and are shown in Table 2-1.These gas demands were generated based on an average annualized unit heat rate of 11,500 Btu/kWh (HHV)for the simple cycle gas turbines at average ambient conditions. The HHV of the fuel gas is assumed to be 1046 Btu/SCF (LHV 942 Btu/SCF).These values reflect the fact that no gas conditioning facilities will be required for the North Slope scenario. The gas supply system will consi st of pipi ng from one or more of the existing North Slope natural gas gathering centers,a pressure reduction station and an in-plant distribution system.The supply and distribution system will be designed for maximum flexibility to operate any configuration of the available gas turbines.The pressure reduction system will be required to assure a constant gas supply pressure at 250 psig. 2.1.4 Switchyard The circuit diagram of the power plant switchyard is shown in Fi gure 2-3.Two generators wi 11 be connected to the two prima ry windings of the 250 MVA 13.8/138 kV transformers.The bus arrangement will use a breaker and a half scheme.Two 750 MVA 138/525 kV 2601B 2-1 ..._~""""':'"",m ____ TABLE 2-2 COMBUSTION TURBINE WITH GENERATOR DESIGN PARAMETERS Turbine Type:l!Simple-cycle.single-shaft,three bearing. Generator Type:Hydrogen-cooled unit rated 130 MVA at 13.8 kV,with 30 psig hydrogen pressure at lODC. Performance:-(Each Turbine -at.ISO Conditions) - Heat Rate (LHV) Air Flow Turbine Exhaust Temp Turbine Inl et Temp Inlet Pressure Drop Exhaust Pressure Drop Overall Dimensions Combustion Turbine Features: 10,700 Btu/kWh 609 1bs/sec 995°F 1985°F 3.5 in.water 0.5 in.water 38 ft.wide by 118 ft.long by 32 ft.high - - - Accessories include starting motor.motor control center for all base-mounted motors,lubrication system,hydraulic control system. Excitation compartment complete with static excitation equipment. Switchgear compartment complete with generator breaker.potential and current transformers,disconnect link for auxiliary feeder.and a power takeoff. Fuel system capable of utilizing natural gas,mixed gas fuel,or liquid fuel. Fire protection system (low pressure C02)' 1.1 Based on General El ectri c MS700l. 2601 B 2-8 J 1 ')J 1 1 )j )J 1 )1 1 )) 13.1'kV 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 22 2 2 2 2,Z5MVA 500lcV 250 MVA TYPICAL 750 MVA TYPiCAL IIJASCO IEAYlCU INCORPORATED '10"'"1-3 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST SUBSTATION ONE LINE SCHEMATIC ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NOATH SLOPE GAS fEASIBILITY STUDY r ' TO FAIRBANKS 200MVAR ~ TVPICAL n 1 TO FAIRBANKS LEGENDoGENERATOR ~o."'"""TRANSFORMERoCIRCUITBREAkER -"V\.Ar r?EACTOR±CAPACITOR " - - ..- - autotransformers will supply each of the transmission line circuits. Each of the transmission lines will have a circuit breaker.On the line side of the circuit breakers will be the series capacitors and the shunt reactors.This arrangement has the advantage of being flexible as far as operation is concerned,and can be expanded easily.The system's flexibility is demonstrated in Figure 2-4,which shows the initial development associated with the installation of the first generator.There are seemingly more circuit breakers than necessary in this initial circuit;their.purpose is to facilitate future expansion work. The grounding mat of the switchyard is connected to four insulated 1000 kCM!!cables which terminate in a grounding rod system driven into the sea floor.The ground mat is also connected to the two counterpoises£/which run under the entire length of the transmission 1i nee 2.1.5 Power Plant Support System Descriptions The auxiliary systems described in this section represent generally the minimum necessary to operate a simple cycle combustion turbine facility.These sy~tems include water supply,waste management,fire protection,electrical,and lubricating oil systems. Plant makeup water will be derived from an assumed existing lake of at least 150 acres to supply the needs of two water systems:a potable water system for the plant and the camp,and a service water system •. The potable water system will be designed to supply water for the maximum crew on hand through completion of the final unit.Service water will be provided to all units for maintenance,construction uses 11 kCM stands for thousands of circular mils,a measure of the cross-section of a cable. 2/Cou~terpoises are buried grounding cables,running under transmission lines,which are necessary in areas with poorly conducting soils. 2601B 2-10 - 750MVA TYPICAL 13.8 kV 9~ 13BkV _-,500kV ,---...;;:;;500 kV - U"'-~---I 1'-200MVAR TYPICAL .- CAPACITOR CIRCUIT BREAKER - - LEGENDoGENERATOR ~ORt't'W'\TRANSFORMER D --'V\/'v-REACTOR ~ ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEAStBl1.fTY STUDY NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST INITIAL STAGE Or=:SUBSTATION DEVELOPMENT ; EBASCO IERV.cES HCORPORATED ----~----- ~- - .".. - and area cleaning.A water injection system should not be required for NO x control on the North Slope ~see Section 2.4.1 for further expl anati on)• Waste control systems for the plant will consist of control and processing through oil/water separation treatment of all floor drainage from operating and maintenance areas.This treated effluent and domestic wastes will be transported to an existing sanitary waste treatment facility.Because the natural gas supply is low in sulfur content,no sulfur dioxide (S02)emi ssions control will be required. Due to the climatic conditions existing during most of the year,fire protection will be based on standard halon systems rather than water systems.Automatic halon systems will be installed for high risk areas,and manual systems will be used for low risk areas.Also,each system selected shall be compatible with any of the specific hazards it is intended to combat. A system for storing both clean and dirty lubricating oil shall be included.The system will include a central storage area and portable units capable of transporting,replacing,and/or cleaning the lubricating oil in an operating gas turbine • .2.1.6 Construction and Site Services The construction and operation of a simple cycle power plant will require a number of related services to support all work activities at the site.These site services will include the following for the North Slope power plant: (1)Access (2)Construction Water Supply (3)Construction Transmission lines ·(4)Construction Camp 2601B 2-12 - .- - I~ .... Access Gravel roads'with a 5 foot minimum gravel base will be required to connect the plant site with the existing road network at the North Slope.It is expected that no more than 2 miles of new road construction will be required. It is anticipated that all personnel travel wi'll be by air with pre-arranged commercial charter carriers to Deadhorse Airport.All perishable goods,mail,and rush-cargo,will be flown in.Equipment for construction will be flown in only under extraordinary circumstances. The site.will use the existing marine landing facilities during the six week.IIthaw ll period to receive all major equipment and supplies.A fenced interim storage area will be provi ded.The Dal ton Hi ghway (Haul Road)from Fairbanks will be utilized for smaller shipments to the site. Constructi on Water Supply A compl ete water supply,storage and di stri bution system will be installed.Due to the nature of the site,a heated and insulated one-million gallon water storage tank will be incorporated into the camp1s design,with one-half of this storage capacity dedicated to fire protection needs.The water supply will be derived from an existing lake. Construction Transmission lines Power requirements during the construction phase will be supplied by constructing a 69 kV transmission line tapped from the area's existing transmission system. 26018 2-13 - - ..- """' Construction Camp Facilities A 200 (maximum)bed labor camp w,ill be provided unless an existing camp can be utilized.All personnel housed in this camp will be on single status.Provisions will be made to accommodate a work force of both men and women by providing separate facilities. The 200 bed camp w'ill accommodate the maximum requi red workforce for those years when two turbines will need to be installed and started up at the same time.For other years.a workforce of 50 to 100 (maximum) is anticipated.This camp will"also be used to house operating personnel. 2.1.7 Operation and Maintenance Plant Life £ach gas turbine will have a 30 year life expectancy.It is expected· that the gas turbine units will be overhauled in accordance with manufacturer's suggestions and good operating practice for the 1 ife of the units. Heat Rate of Units Unit heat rates for the plants will vary.depending on ambient conditions at the sites.It is common practice for gas turbine manufacturers to quote heat rates in terms of the lower heating value (LHV)of the fuel.However.since fuel is purchased based on higher heating values (HHV).HHV figures are used in the balance of this report.The site specific HHV heat rate is 11.500 Btu/kWh.ISO conditions give a heat rate of 10.700 Btu/kWh (LHV)for base load operation. 2601B 2-14 Scheduled and Forced Outage Rate It is expected that the forced outage rate will be about 8 percent. Operational experience on other plants indicates higher forced outages in the first few years,but this is attributed to operational adjustments required for a new plant.It is expected that a slight increase in forced outages will occur as the plant ages. Scheduled outages will be an additional 7 percent based on two periods of regular semi-annual maintenance requiring shut down and one 5 week period every three years for overhaul. Operating Workforce The number of personnel required to operate a plant of this type can va ry wi de 1y,dependi ng on plant uti li zati on and system operati ng practices.Based on Electrical Power Research Institute Operational Development Group study figures,and considering the severity of climate and operational failure,an on-du~operating and maintenance workforce of 10 persons will be required starting in 1993,when one unit is operating.This will grow as units are added until an on-duty force of approximately 50 persons will be required for the 15 units operating in 2010.Assuming a 12 hour shift and a 7-day-on,7~day-off work schedule,the total required workforce will vary from 40 to 200 personnel. 2.1.8 Site Opportunities and Constraints Climate is the single most important site characteristic affecting design at the North Slope.As previously mentioned,the 77 MW rating of the turbine is based on ISO conditions with an ambient temperature of 59°F.As the ambient temperature decreases,the capacity of these units increases.At OOf,the rated capacity of these units is 122 percent of the capacity at 59°f,or approximately 94 MW.The heat rate decreases as the temperature decreases,and at O°F is 97.5 percent of -. 2601B 2-15 ----•__~.alll .'~liIIG ---_ r I - that at 59°F.or approximately 11.600 Btu/kWh (HHV).Clearly a cold climate site such as the North Slope offers some operational performance advantages.This is especially true since the cold weather also produces the annual peak loads for the Railbelt area.The average annual temperature at the North Slope site is 9°F resulting in an average annual unit capacity and heat rate of 91 MW and 11.500 Btu/kWh (HHV).respectively. The remoteness of the site combined with the climatic conditions present the most significant problems to construction of this scenario.The short construction season and the cost of constructi~n at the North Slope generally dictate that as much prefabrication as possible be performed prior to shipping units to the site.In addition the arrival of shipments via barge will be delqyed until mid-summer when the Arctic coast becomes free of ice.This further shortens the construction season for shipped material s and may require storage over winter for completion of construction the following summer. 2.2 TRANSMISSION SYSTEM 2.2.1 Overview of the System For reasons of reliability.two parallel circuits have been considered.The design criteria used in the study are presented in Table 2-3.Additional details regarding system design and alternatives are presented in Appendix D.The 450-mile length of the proposed transmission system between the North Slope and Fairbanks will be interrupted by two intermediate switching stations.one at Galbraith Lake and one at Prospect Camp;this will establish three almost exactly equa 1 150-mi 1e-l ong segments. The two circuits will originate in the Prudhoe Bay/Oeadhorse area of the North Slope.Each circuit will be supplied by two 750 MVA transformers.protected by one circuit breaker and compensated with a series capacitor bank and shunt reactor.The two circuits will be 2601 B 2-16 TABLE 2-3 TRANSMISSION LINE DESIGN CRITERIA -Temperature range: Wi nd 10ads:l! Ice on conductor: Snow on ground: Cl earance to ground: Tension in conductors: Gradient on conductor surface:2I -60°F to +86°F 25 1bs per sq.ft above the Arctic Circle and 8 1bs/sq.ft.below it;2.3 lbs/sq.ft.at +86 of 1.5"radial thickness with 8 lbs/sq.ft.wind load at 32°F 36"north of the Arctic Circle and 24"south of it minimum 38 feet with snow on the ground maximum 50%of rated tensile strength maximum 18 kV per centimeter ,~!!25.0 1bs per square foot corresponds to 100 mph wind 8.0 lbs per square foot corresponds to 55 mph wind 2.5 1bs per square foot corresponds to 30 mph wind Y To reduce corona losses and mitigate radio and television interference 26018 2-17 "~ ,.... I ~ - located on opposite sides of the road for the first 60 miles,to Pump Station 2.South of the 60 mile mark,the line may not necessarily be located on the two sides of the road. The first switching station will be at Galbraith Lake approximately 150 miles south of Prudhoe Bay.Immediately south of the switching station is a 30-mi1e portion of the route where the suitable terrain narrows, possibly requiring the two circuits to be placed on single towers.In the Atigun Pass area the slopes of the mountainside are not overly rugged and the two circuits could be constructed a few hundred feet up the slopes from the roadway.The Atigun Pass section is about 5 miles long and reaches an elevati on of approximately 5,000 feet,the hi ghest point of the transmission system. The second switchi ng station will be located at Prospect Camp.It will be identical to the one at Galbraith Lake.The line will cross the Yukon River near the Yukon River Bridge,and will terminate in the Fai rbanks area. 2.2.2 Voltage Selection Three voltage levels were investigated in detail:500 kV AC,765 kV AC, and +350 kV DC (see Appendix D).Each of these are capable of transmitting the required power from the North Slope to Fairbanks.A comparative cost study has been made using the methodology and cost figures supplied by Commonwealth Associates (1978).The study indicated that all three versions are within .:!.:.10%as far as capital investment is concerned,which is within the expected range of accuracy of these types of calculations.Therefore,all three can be considered to be equal with respect to capital cost.The 500 kV alternative was chosen for detailed cost estimating because this version represents the most conventional approach and would likely have the best reliability. 2601B 2-18 - - i _ - 2.2.3 Towers Tubul ar steel H-frame towers will be uti 1ized for the 1i ne;thei r average height will be 90 feet and the average span will be 1000 feet. There will be one dead end tower at approximately every 10 miles,or in other tenns 2't of the towers wi 11 be dead end.if Special consideration has been given to the crossing of the Yukon River,about 1000 feet downstream from the highway bridge.The required span will be approximately 3000 feet.At the selected location the right (north)bank of the river is a flat,low floodplain, but an approximately 300-foot hi 11 ri ses at the 1eft (south)bank maki ng the desi go of the crossi ng easier.The span will be between two lattice type dead end towers,one approximately 120 feet tall at the north shore and the other approximately 100 feet tall on the top of the hi 11 at the south end of the span.Thi s arrangement shou1 d pose no greater hazard to waterborne traffic than does the bridge. 2.2.4 Conductors Bundled conductors will be used for the line with two conductors per bundle at 18 inches apart.Except for the Yukon River crossing,Chukar conductor,a 1780 kCM ACSR~/conductor with a rated strength of 51,000 1bs and an outside diameter of 1.6 inches,should be used.With a 1000-foot average span,the maximum sag will be 42 feet,which,with a 95 feet tall tower,will provide adequate clearance to ground.In satisfying all appropriate design criteria,the conductors will be oversized with respect to current carrying capacity,consequently,one circuit will be capable of carrying almost twice the reqUired medium forecast power.The line will be provided with spacer dampers. Jj A dead end tower is capable of withstandi ng a conductor break, preventing structural failure of the transmission system from proceeding beyond a dead end tower. 'f/ACSR -aluminum conductor,steel reinforced cable. 2601B 2-19 - ,..... For the Yukon River crossing a special conductor with an ultimate strength of 235~500 1bs may have to be ordered~such as 61x5 strand A1umowe1d from the Copperwe1d Company.With the recommended towers~ mi nimum c1 earance to hi gh water will be 70 feet duri ng the surmner and 45 feet in the winter.Construction of the span will be done during the winter months when ice cover penmits working over the river bed. Special vibration studies must precede actual design and vibration recording instruments must be installed after erection. 2.2.5 Insulators Suspension insu1ators~such as type 5-3/4 11 x 1011 X 50 K 1b~will be used.Two strings in a V configuration will hold the conductor bundle.Norma11y~25 insulators are in each string. For the first 60 miles from Prudhoe Bay fog type insulators will be installed and the number of insulators in the strings will be double that provided for the remainder of the route.A1so~fixed insulator washing install ations will be provi ded at each tower~based on the experience that $ohio has operating 69 kV lines at the North Slope.A tank truck equipped with pumps~hoses and other equipment will perform the annual washing in the fall. 2.2.6 Switching Stations The two switching stations at Galbraith Lake and at Prospect Camp will divide each of the line circuits into three~almost equa1~150 mile long segments.The circuit schematic can be seen in Figure 2-5.The arrangement is conventional.The intermediate switching stations will make it possib1 e to switch a shorter segment out of the system in case of a fault of a ci.rcuit~instead of the entire line length;this will improve the stabi1ity~hence the re1iabi1ity~of the power system. 26018 2-20 TO PRUDHoe B~Y 11 I ., .- SOO1<\' SOOKV ,- II II TO -PROSPECT CAMP CAPACITOR CfRCUIT 6REAKE~ - LEGENDoGENERATOR ~ORt"¥n TRANSFORMER o -'\Ny-REACTOR ~ ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ..OATH ILOPE GAS FEAStBlLfTY enJOY .. .NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST TYPICAL TWO LINE SWITCHING STATION SCHEMATIC FIGURE 2-1 EBASCO 8ERvtCES ICORPORATED - 2.2.7 Fairbanks Substation The Fairbanks substation one line schematic is shown in Figure 2-6. Two 500 kV line circuits,originating at Prudhoe Bay,will be connected to the substation,through either one 1500 MVA or two 750 MVA 345/525 kV transformers.Three 345 kV circuits will leave the substation in the direction of Anchorage.Two transfonners will provide power for local area loads.The bus will be at 345 kV.The schematic shows two static VAR compensators connected to the bus through dedicated transformers.These static compensators will not necessarily be located where shown in Figure 2-6;their connections to the system are described in detail in Appendix D.The circuitry will use breaker and a half or double breaker arrangements.The substation will be designed so that the loss of one line,transfonner,circuit breaker or compensator allows uninterrupted operation at full power. 2.2.8 Construction Fi ve camps will be used to house the work force;each camp wi 11 serve about a 90~ile section of the line for most of the construction peri od.The number of people will vary between 41 and 155 per camp, including the camp crew.The one exception is the period of building the gravel pads,when a total of 2400 people will have to be housed during the first summer of construction,which may require the opening of additional camps~ A 100·X 100'gravel pad must be constructed to serve as the base·of each tower,and every 18 miles 300'x 1200'pads will serve as marshalling yards.Fifteen crews,with the aid of helicopters,can erect the towers during a six month work period.The last operation will be the stringing,which can be done by 5 crews,each with helicopter assistance.The switcnyards will be constructed during the time that the line is stringed. 2601B 2-22 J 1 ;)1 )'}1 )';)1 1 1 1 J J 7 .~ TO PRUDHOE BAY 1-j, cOOMVARI'~ TYPICAL 500 kV 1-----1\1 \-..1 I' rBASCO HRVlCEIINCOAPOAATED ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY ''''''''I!t-e NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATlON MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST FAIRBANKS SUB8TATION SCHEMATIC •.=iTATfC VAR COMPEN~ATOR· :~ T38/1V LOCAL 1---01111 ....., I TTrekV LOCAL T TO ANCHORAGE """ LEGENDoGENERATOR ~OR"""'"TRANsrORMER o C.IRCUIT BR£AK£R -A.fV\,-REACTOR i-CAPACITOR Pad building will take place in one summer using two lO-hour shifts. All other operations~except for surveying~.will each take six months to perform and will be scheduled for fall and spring when the soil is frozen~but when enough daylight is available to work at least one 8-hour shift. 2.2.9 Operation and Maintenance The 1east reliable equipment will be the seri escapacitors.The cost of a series compensated 500 kV line is about the same as that of an uncompensated 765 kV line.The 765 kV alternative should be investigated in more detail during detailed design of the line.The trade-offs of not having series capacitors are wider rights-of-way~ increased problems due to contamination near Prudhoe Bay and increased difficulties to construct the two circuits through Atigun Pass. 2.2.10 Communications To provide adequate communications~a microwave system will be installed.The t~rth Slope-Fairbanks line will require 16 repeater stations.Five channels will be required~at least~one for supervisory voice communication~one for data transmission~one for relaying~one for service communication (below 4 kHz)and for alarm (above 4kHz)~and one spare channel.Each repeater station will have a radio transceiver to maintain voice communication between vehicles and the dispatcher~using the service voice channel. In addition~each transmission line circuit segment will be provided with a line carrier~mainly to provide redundancy for vital transfer tri p functi ons. Though this project assumed a dedicated microwave system~the project proponent may consider leasing microwave channels from ALASCOM. Several options~inclUding direct satellite link~may be cost effective. 26018 2-24 - - - - -- - - - ..... 2.2.11 Siting Opportunities and Constraints An inspection of the route indicated that most of the route should not cause significant construction problems.However,three areas are of some concern.The first 60 miles of the line south from the North Slope is a tundra area;civil engineering design and construction methods will have to be carefully investigated.Second,the grounding problems posed by frozen soil require that a bare copper conductor, called a counterpoise,be buried under each circuit along the entire length of the transmission line and be connected to the ground mats of all the substations and sWitching stations.Third,crossing Atigun Pass,as mentioned earlier,will require careful design;here the counterpoises may have to be routed farther from the circuits or be carried on the towers. 2.2.12 Fairbanks to Anchorage Line System studies perfonned by Ebasco (see Appendix D)indicate that 345 kV is a suitable voltage for this transmission line.This voltage is compatible with the 345 IcV Intertie under construction.Therefore, two new 345 IcV lines will be built and the Intertie will be extended fully between Fairbanks and Anchorage. At the time of writing this report,the detailed design of the Intertie is available.Based on this information,the designs of the Intertie extension and the two new lines are assumed to be the same as the Commonwealth Associates (1981)design.The only additions will be the intermediate switching station,shown in Figure 2-7,the series capacitors and the shunt reactors. 2.2.13 Anchorage Substation· The Anchorage substation will be the termination of the three 345 kV line circuits.The substation bus will be 138 IcV,as can be seen in Figure 2-8.All other details will be similar to that described for the Fairbanks substation (Section 2.2.7). 2601B 2-25 II TO F~IRBANKS II 345 J<V - - 11 JI 545KV II CAPACITOR c.IRcurr BREAKER ,~ LEGENDoGENERATOR ~ORf'n"'n TRANSFORMER o --A./\I'v-REACTOR ~ TO ANCHORAGE· ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH aLOPE GAS FEAStBlLrTY STUDY NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST TYPICAL THREE LINE \....SWITCHING STATION SCHEMATIC FIGURE 2-7 fBASCO aERvtCES H:ORPORATEO 1 1 l J J ))j )1 1 '·1 --J })J LEGENDoGENERATOR ~oR""""TRANSFORMERoCIRCUITBREAKER . .JV\I'v-REACTOR ;k CAPACITOR 600 MVA TYPICAL TO FAIABANK6 ~45k~1 LOCAL I .~TAT1C VAR COMPEN~ATOR ALAaKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH aLOI'E GAS PlASl8lLlTY ITUDY NORTH SLOPE POWER OENERAT1ON MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST ANCHORAGE SUBSTATION 8CHEMATIC '1eUM I-I "AICO IfftYUI ~TtD ~~2.3 COST ESTIMATES 2.3.1 Construction Costs 2.3.1.1 Power Plant .- - To support the derivation of total systems costs which are presented in Section 2.3.4,order-of-magnitude investment costs were developed for the major bid lines items common to a 77 MW (ISO conditions)natural gas fired simple cycle combustion turbine and a 220 MW (ISO conditions) natural gas fired combined cycle plant.These costs are presented in Tables 2-4 and 2-5.The costs represent the total investment for the first unit to be developed at the site.Additional simple cycle units will have an estimated investment cost of $53,560,000 while additional combined cycle units will have an estimated investment cost of $218,820,000.The cost differential for additional units is due to significant reductions in line items 1 and 15,improvements to Site and Off-Site Facilities,and reductions in Indirect Construction Cost and Engineering and Construction Management. For the North Slope power generation scenario only simpl e cycle unit costs have been used in the total system cost analysis (Section 2.3.4).Combined cycle costs were developed to support the cost sensitivity analysis performed in conjunction with the system planning studies (Appendix B). 2.3.1.2 .North Slope to Fairbanks Transmission Line Transmission line order-of~agnitude investment cost estimates for the North Slope to Fairbanks connection are presented in Table 2-6.These estimates are based on two 500 kV lines of 1400 MW capacity with series compensation,and two intermediate switching stations. 26018 2-28 --------------~~---_......._---------- ~TABLE 2-4 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS <~77 MW SIMPLE CYCLE COMBUSTION TURBINE (January,1982 Dollars) .~-i :Construction Total Descri pti onl/ Materi al Labor Di rect Cost ~($1000)($1000)($1000) f 1•Improvements to Site 385 4,800 5,185 2.Ea rthwork and Pi 1i ng 605 1,710 2,315 3.Circulating Water System 0 0 0 4.Concrete 25 450 475 :-5.Structural Steel Lifting Equipment,Stacks 675 1,230 1,905 6.Buil di ngs 4,625 1,710 6,335 r !"""7.Turbine Generator 11 ,200 2,700 13,900 i '8.Steam Generator and Accessories 0 0 0 9.Other Mechanical Equipment 460 985 1,445 10.Pipi ng 200 2,100 2,300 ~1l.Insulation and Lagging 30 450 480 12.Instrumentation 100 300 400 13.Electrical Equipment 1,500 10,800 12,300 P"'~14.Painting 5 90 95 15.Off-Site Facilities2/500 9,000 9,500 -SUBTOTAL $20,310 $36,325 $56,635 Freight Increment 1,015 TOTAL DIRECT CONSTRUCTION COST $57,650,.... Indirect Construction Cost 3,505 SUBTOTAL FOR CONTINGENCIES 61 ,155 Contingencies (15t)9,175 TOTAL SPECIFIC CONSTRUCTION COST 70,330 Engineering and Construction 2,300 Management ~ TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $72,630 1/The following items are not addressed in the plant investment pricing: laboratory equipment,sWitchYard and transmission facilities,spare parts,land or land rights,and sales/use taxes. 2/Costs for construction camp and construction workforce travel included in Construction Labor category. 2601 B 2-29 ---------_.-----~.-------------------------- TABLE 2-5 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS 220 MW COMBINED CYCLE PLANT (January,1982 0011 ars) Construction Total Descri pti on!! Materi a1 Labor Di rect Cost ($1000)($1000)($1000) r- l.Improvements to Site 385 4,800 5,185 ~2.Earthwork and Piling 1,860 5,460 7,320 3.Circulating Water System 0 0 0 4.Concrete 100 2,160 2,260 5•Structural Steel lifting.-Equipment,Stacks 900 2,400 3,300 6.Buildings 12,575 4,560 17,135 7.Turbine Generator 30,300 10,500 40,800 ~8.Steam Generator and Accessories 9,600 18,000 27,600 9.Other Mechanical Equipment 5,625 11 ,705 17,330 10.Piping 1,470 12,000 13,470 11.Insulation and Lagging 290 2,880 3,170 12.Instrumentation 1,700 1,200 2,900 13.Electrical Equipment 4,500 36,000 40,500 14.Painti ng .25 360 385 F lto,15.Off-Site Facilities2/500 9,000 9,500 SUBTOTAL $69,830 $121,025 $190,855 Freight Increment 3,490 TOTAL DIRECT CONSTRUCTION COST $194,345 ",...Indirect Construction Cost 8,760 SUBTOTAL FOR CONTINGENCIES 203,105 Contingencies (15%)30,465 TOTAL SPECIFIC CONSTRUCTION COST 233,570 Engineering and Construction 7,000 Management TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $240,570 !I The following items are not addressed in the plant investment pricing: laboratory equipment,switchYard and transmission facilities,spare parts,land or land rights,and sales/use taxes.. ~/Costs for construction camp and construction workforce travel included in Construction Labor category. 2601B 2:"30 f .~ ""'" TABLE 2-6 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS NORTH SLOPE TO FAIRBANKS TRANSMISSION SYSTEM (January 1982 Dollars) Construction 2/Total Description!! Material Labor Oi rect Cost ($1000)($1000)($1000) Switching Stations 33,335 26,100 59,435 Substations 58,655 44,941 103,596 Energy Management System 12,900 12,000 24,900 Steel Towers and Fixtures 822,212 873,012 1,695,224 Conductors and Devices 63,962 149,760 213,722 C1 eari ng 0 85,200 85,200 SUBTOTAL $991,064 $1,191,013 $2,182,077 Land and Land Ri 9ht~36,000 Engineering and Construction Management 152,750 TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $2,370,827- 1/The investment costs reflect two 500 kV lines,1400 MW capacity with series compensation and two intennediate switching stations.A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been distributed among each of the cost categories shown.Sales/use taxes have not been included. Construction camp facilities and services are included in the Construction Labor cost categor,y. Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (Peres American Inc.1981). 2601B 2-31 --------------~---_.----~-------------- 2.3.1.3 Fairbanks to Anchorage Transmission Line Transmission line order-of-magnitude investment cost estimates for the Fairbanks to Anchorage connection are presented in Table 2-7.These estimates are based on two new 345 kV lines,in parallel with series compensation and an intermediate switching station.The investment cost estimates also reflect upgrading from 138 kV to 345 kV of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the existing grid. 2.3.2 Operating and Maintenance Costs 2.3.2.1 Power Plant The power plant operating and maintenance "(O&M)costs were derived to support the system planning studies (Appendix B).They reflect a review of figures from previous Rai1be1t studies,operation of other utilities,and salary requirements and expendable materials.The O&M costs for this scenario are estimated to be $0.0063 per ki110watt hour (6.3 mils/kWh). 2.3.2.2 Transmission Line Systems Annual operating and maintenance costs (January 1982 dollars)have been developed for the scenario's required transmission line facilities and total $35 million per year.These costs should be viewed as an annual average over the life of the system.Actual O&M costs should be less initially,and increase with time. 2.3.3 Fuel Costs ""'" For the economic analyses which follow fuel costs were treated as zero.This approach permits fuel cost and fuel price escalation to be-treated separately;and makes possible subsequent sensitivity analyses of the Present Worth of Costs for this scenario based upon a range of fuel cost and cost escalation assumptions. 2601B 2-32 ,...., .... TABLE 2-7 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE I NVESTMENT COSTS . FAIRBANKS TO ANCHORAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM (January 1982 Dollars) Construction Total Description!! Material Labor Di rect Cost ($1000)($1000)($1000) Switching Station 14,112 12,445 26,557 Substations 62,308 41,716 104,024 Energy Management Systems 12,300 10,960 23,260 Steel Towers and Fi xtures 216,495 305,085 521,580 Conductors and Devices 33,678 78,361 112,039 C1 eari ng 0 83,144 83,144 SUBTOTAL $338,893 $531,711 $870,604 Land and Land Ri ghtsY 0 0 27,600 Engineering and Construction 60,950 Management TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $959,154 1.1 The investment costs ref1 ect two new 345 kV 1i nes,1400 MW capacity wi th series compensation and an intenmediate switching station,and upgrading of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the existing grid to 345 kV. 2/Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (Acres American Inc.1981). 2601B 2-33 ---~_'_'--'$!4_a"--------.---- 2.3.4 Total System Costs The total system for the North Slope scenario,medium load forecast, consists of simple cycle gas turbines and an extensive transmission line system.No gas conditioning facilities or pipeline are required.Total annual systems costs reflect the relative simplicity of thi s system. rr- !.~ - The methodology and assumptions utilized to derive the systems'costs which are presented below have been previously described in the Report on Systems Planning Studies (Appendix B).This methodolo"gy is consistent with previous studies of electric generating scenarios for the Railbelt,specifically Acres American,Inc.(l981),Susitna ~droelectric Project Feasibility Report and Battelle (1982),Rai1belt E1 ectric Power Al ternatives Study. Annual capital costs for the system are presented in Table 2-8. Annual non-fuel operating and maintenance costs are presented in Table ;'"""2-9.These escalate at a rate of 2 percent/year above inflation. Total annual systems costs are then summarized in Table 2-10 • .- For scenario comparisons,the present worth of total annual costs for the North Slope medium load forecast has been calculated.Assuming a 3 percent discount rate and excluding fuel costs,the 1982 present worth of costs is $3.7 billion.The values are in 1982 dollars •..... 2.4.ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS- Development of a gas fired simple cycle combustion turbine facility at the North Slope and transmission facilities to bring the energy to the Rai1be1t region will engender a variety of significant environmental effects.Precise quantification of environmental impacts will require more detailed site-specific analysis.However,most major potential 26018 2-34 2601B TABLE 2-9 TOTAL ANNUAL NON-FUEL O&M COSTS NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) 2-36 ..., TABLE 2-10 TOTAL ANNUAL SYSTEMS COST NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -ro1EDIUM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) Calendar Capital o &M Total Year Expendi tures Costs Expenditures 1983 O.O.o. 1984 O.O.o. 1985 O.O.O. 1986 O.O.O. .-1987 O.O.O• 1988 O.O.O. 1989 1,803.3 O.1,803.3 1990 418.5 O.418.5 .~1991 842.6 O.842.6 1992 388.3 o.388.3 1993 O.38.8 38.8,....1994 53.6 38.8 92.4 1995 53.6 42.5 96.1 1996 53.6 46.3 99.9 1997 53.6 50.1 103.7-1998 o.53.8 53.8 1999 53.6 53.8 107.4 2000 o.57.7 57.7 2001 107.1 57.6 164.7 2002 o.65.1 65.1 2003 53.6 65.1 118.7 ~2004 107.1 69.0 176.1 2005 53.6 71.4 125.0 2006 53.6 73.1 126.7 2007 53.6 74.8 128.4 ~2008 O.76.6 76.6 2009 53.6 78.3 131.9 2010 O.80.0 80.0,.,.. Total $4,202.$1,093.$5,295. Present Worth @ 3%$3,156.$600.$3,757. - 2601B 2-37 - - - envi ronmental concerns related to thi s scenari 0 have been identified, and may be categori zed as foll ows: 1.Ai r Resource Effects 2.Water Resource Effects 3.Aquatic Ecosystem Effects 4.Terrestrial Ecosystem Effects ,5.Socioeconomic Effects Each of these subject areas is -discussed in the following subsections. Power plant characteristics related to each of these subject areas is summarized in Table 2-11. 2.4.1 Ai r Resource Effects Development of the North Slope generating facility may be governed in large part by air quality considerations.The federal Clean Air Act and the Alaska rules for air quality control require the generating facility to meet both atmospheric emission and ambient air quality standards.Emission standards are defined in tennsof New Source Performance Standards (NSPS)and Best Available Control Technology (BACT).NSPS apply generically to combustion turbines,and set a ceiling of emissl0n levels that cannot be exceeded.Because gas-fired power plants are relatively clean,NSPS levels do not pose a constraint to the development of this generating facility.BACT requirements are detennined on acase-by-case basis,taking into account energy, en vi ronmental,and economi c impacts,but are never less stri ngent than NSPS. The Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD)program protects re1 ati vely c11ean areas from undergoi ng substantial degradation through ambient air quality standards.The PSD increments for particulates and sulfur dioxide have not been exhausted on the North Slope,and 2601B 2-38 TABLE 2-11 ENVIRONMENT RELATEO FACILITY CHARACTERISTICS SIMPLE CYCLE COMBUSTION TURBINES NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST Air Envi ronment ,...., - - - Emissions Particulate Matter Sul fu r Di oxi de. Nitrogen Oxides PhYsical Effects Water Environment Plant Water Requirements Plant Discharge Quantity. Including Sanitary Waste and Floor Drains Land Envi ronment Land Requirements Plant and SWitchyard Construction Camp Socioeconomic Environment Construction Workforce Operating Workforce 2601B Below standards Below standards Emissions variable within standards - dry control techni ques woul d be used to meet calculated NO~standard of 0.014 percent of total volume of gaseous emissions.This value calculated based upon new source performance standards,facility heat rate,and unit size. Maximum structure height of 50 feet 50 GPM Less than 50 GPM 90 acres 5 acres Approximately 200 personnel at peak construction (power plant only) Approximately 200 personnel employed in the year 2010 (power plant only) 2-39 ___,_~m ._ ...., - - - therefore do not constrain development.PSD increments for nitrogen oxides,the major pollutant from combustion turbines,have not been established.However,general PSD requirements dictate that Best Available Control Technology be used to reduce nitrogen emission levels • In the case of combustion turbines,BACT usually consists of using water or steam injection techniques to control emission levels by reducing combustion temperatures.Unfortunately,water or steam injection in the Prudhoe Bay area causes undesirable levels of ice fog.Furthermore,water or steam injection requires fresh water supplies that are generally not economically available on the North Slope.For these reasons,air quality regulatory agencies have not defined BACT for the North Slope to include using water or steam injection to control nitrogen oxides.Imposition of the requirement for water or steam injection would add substantial costs and significantly decrease the relative feasibility of this scenario.For the purposes of this study it is assumed that water injection for NOx control would not be required. Even with no water injection requirement,air quality regulations would not be likely to hamper installation of a gas-fired power plant in the Prudhoe Bay area.However,a judicious siting effort would still be necessary to avoid compounding any air pollution problems from existing faci 1i ti es. The construction of two 500 kV transmission lines between the North Slope and Fairbanks would result in temporary air quality impacts.The use of heavy equipment and other construction vehicles would generate fugutive dust and exhaust emissions.Slash burning of material to clear the right-of-way would produce emissions.The impacts from these construction-related activities are expected to be small because the emi ssions woul d be wi dely di spersed and occur in unpopul ated or sparsely populated areas. 2601B 2-40 .,- r ,~ - - The long term impacts from operation of the transmission lines are expected to be negligible.The transmission lines would generate small amounts of ozone which would be undetectable at ground levels and would not cause problems with nearby vegetation. The air quality impacts of constructing the transmission lines from Fairbanks to Anchorage would result from activities similar to those mentioned above.The impacts are expected to be of approximately the same magnitude,although the amount of slash material to be burned would be greater within this corridor and would be within proximity to more popu1 ated areas. The long term impacts from transmission line operations would be similar to those of the Prudhoe Bay-Fairbanks transmission line corri dor. 2.4.2 Water Resource Effects The principal effects of the proposed generating facility on the water resources of the Prudhoe Bay area include consumptive withdrawals from freshwater sources (existing lakes)for potable supplies and miscellaneous uses such as equipment wash-down.Because the generating station will require minor volumes of water and will be served by existing waste treatment facilities in the area,water resources effects associated with these uses will not be significant. For the medium load forecast,the site must have access to approximately 50 gpm.Thi s water wi'll be taken from a nearby freshwater lake of sufficient size so that the lake level and hYdrologic balance is not significantly affected. Transmission line construction between the North Slope and Fairbanks may impact the quality of surface water resources through erosion caused by land disturbance,but has little or no impact on water supplies.Erosion control,especially in steep "terrain or areas of 2601B 2-41 - ,- >r - .~ susceptible soils,will be a major requirement imposed by permits issued for right-of-way clearing and construction of the transmission and related facilities,such as access roads.For example,the BLM land use plan for the Prudhoe Bay-Fairbanks Utility Corridor (BlM 1980) within which the transmission facilities would be rout~d,specifically requires protection of stream banks and 1akeshores by restricting activities to prevent loss of riparian vegetation. Construction activities of the transmission lines between Fairbanks and Anchorage wou1 d resu1 tin temporary impacts.The transmissi on lines would cross several large rivers and numerous creeks,resulting in temporary stream siltation,bank erosion,and the potential for accidental spillage of lubricating oils and other chemicals into the watercourses.Construction equipment working along streambanks or crossing smaller streams could cause direct siltation of the watercourse or cause indirect stream bank erosion and siltation through the removal of vegetation and disturbance of permafrost.The effects of siltation could alter stream channels,fill ponds,or damage aquatic flora or fauna. Significant effects on watercourses may be prevented by keeping construction activities out of channels and away from stream banks. Mea~ures that could be taken to avoid impacts include a set back of 200 feet from watercourses for transmission structures as well as -establishment of a buffer strip along major watercourses to minimize disturbance of vegetation and soils by construction equipment.In cases where watercourses must be crossed by construction equipment, such crossings could be conducted either during cold periods when the stream is frozen or in a manner to limit pollution or siltation.The use of he1 icopters to erect the towers will he1 p to mi nimize overall construction impacts,since ground access requirements will be minimized • 2601B 2-42 - .- - 2.4.3 Aquatic Ecosystem Effects The major aqu~tic ecosystems of>the North Slope area include the marine environment of the Beaufort Sea,the freshwater environments of the Sag and Put Rivers and their tributaries,and estuarine habitats at the rivers'mouths.Shallow lakes in the area do not support fish because of complete freezing in the wintertime.Deeper lakes m~contain resident species such as stickleback,but in general.knowledge of these lakes is presently limited.In the rivers and estuaries,two groups of fish are considered important:river fish such as the grayling,and anadromous fish such as the the Arctic char and cisco. The anadromous species descend local rivers at ice-breakup to feed in the shallow littoral and sublittoral zone of the Beaufort Sea.They ascend these rivers in the autumn and overwinter in deep pools.These fish do not appear to undertake extensive migrations up the Sag or Put Ri verso These fishery resources could be affected by construction and operation of a water supply intake,pipeline and access road construction.gravel mining in rivers which could affect overwintering and general habitat quality of the fish,and the need to cross larger river channels which could interfere with fish passage.The latter item m~require the use of special culverts to maintain migratory routes.Each of these potential effects would be analyzed on a site-specific basis,and detailed impact avoidance or mitigation measures developed. Aquatic ecosystems within the transmission line corridor will also require protection during project construction.Between the North Slope and Fairbanks,the transmission lines m~cross as manY as 150 waterbodies which are utilized by fish for migration.rearing, spawning,and/or wintering.Siting should avoid or minimize impact to spawning areas in approximately 35 waterbodies and to wintering areas in approximately 15 waterbodies.Information regarding specific waterbodies of concern is presented in Appendix C,Report on Facility Siting and Corridor Selection. 2601B 2-43 counterpoise (ground cable)construction may require excavation in streambeds;this activity must ~e carefully planned (both spatially and temporally)and monitored in accordance with individual permit requirements.Conditions vary along the corridor,so that environmental protection stipulations imposed by the regulatory agencies will tend to be site-specific. The transmission line corridor between Fairbanks and Anchorage makes as many as 100 crossings of rivers and streams and comes within one mile of numerous lakes and ponds.All of these waterbodies are important habitat for endemic and anadromous fisheries.Impacts to fisheries such as increased runoff and sedimentation could occur through clearing of the right-of-way and crossing of watercourses by construction equipment.The introduction of silt into .streams can delay hatching, reduce hatching success,prevent swimup,and produce weaker fry. Siltation also reduces the benthic food organisms by filling in available intergravel habitat. The potential adverse impacts can be reduced or el iminated through construction scheduling.Construction of the transmission lines during the winter would minimize erosion since the snow protects low vegetative cover that stabil)zes soils.Ice bridges could be used by construction equipment for crossing spawning areas,where possible. Otherwise,where equipment would move through watercourses, construction could occur during periods when there are no eggs or fry in the gravel. 2.4.4 Terrestrial Ecosystem Effects The North Slope area and specifically the river delta areas provide a variety of habitats that are important to a diversity of plants and animal s.Project rel ated impacts which requi re special consi derati on inclUde:1)direct habitat elimination through the construction of project facilities,access roads,and gravel borrow areas;2)indirect 26018 2-44 """, ,~ .... habitat elimination resulting from access roads which impede drainage or which generate significant t~affic related dust;and 3)restrictions to large mammal movements,especially caribou. Construction of the powerplant,switchyard,construction camp and related access roads will disturb approximately 65 acres of land.All construction equipment should be restricted to areas covered with a gravel pad.Tundra adjacent to the generating facility should not be disturbed. Because the generating facility will be located within the Prudhoe Bay industrial complex,terrestrial habitat impacts engendered by this project will be an added increment to those which have alreaqy occurred as a result of oil field development.Final siting efforts should include evaluation of the factors listed above,and will be the mechanism through which highly significant terrestrial impacts can be avoided,particularly the indirect impacts and migratory blockages. The direct impacts of habitat removal due to facility construction are generally unavoidable,but can be minimized through careful site planning and construction management. Construction of the transmission line facilities will require ~vegetative clearing in forested areas.Clearing should be restricted _to the foll owi ng categori es of vegetati on: 1.Trees and brush which may fall into a structure,guy,or conductor ,""'" - ,- 2.Trees and brush into which a conductor may blow during high winds. 3.Trees and brush within 20 feet of a conductor,and trees within 55 feet of the line centerline. 4.Trees or brush that may interfere with the assembly and erection of a structure. 26018 2-45 .- Between the North Slope and Fairbanks,much of the area south of Nutirwik Creek will require c1e~ring of trees within the right-of-way. r-Because two lines will be built and trees within 55 feet of the line .will be cleared,the total width of cleared vegetation will be 220 ,,-feet.Over the length of the line,approximately 7000 acres will be cl eared. ,- I~ - The transmission line corridor passes through a wide variety of terrestrial ecosystems,and is adjacent to several major federal land areas which have been protected,in part,for their wildlife values. The Bureau of land Management (BLM)land use plan for the Utility Corridor (BlM 1980)has identified several areas as containing critical wildlife habitat.Specific management restrictions have not as yet been formulated;however,measures may be required fora number of areas.Details regarding these areas are given in Appendix C. The land use plan also specifically requires protection of raptor habitat and critical nesting areas.Protection of crucial raptor habitats preserves the integrity of raptor populations and maintains predator-prey relationships. Facilities and long term habitat alterations are prohibited within one mile of peregrine falcon nest sites unless specifically authorized by the U.S.Fish and Wildlife Service,because of the endangered species status of the peregrine falcon. As the transmission line corridor generally avoids known nesting areas, the restriction may only apply to material sites.Information regarding specific raptor nesting areas and siting restrictions are presented in Appendix C. It is unlikely that the transmission line would be sited in or near important Da11 sheep habitat.A primary concern is aircraft traffic over critical wintering,lambing,and movement areas.Moose winter browse habitat in the Atigun and Sag River valleys is limited to areas 2601B 2-46 r ~ I,, - F" ! ..... of tall riparian willow.Habitat has already been eliminated by the construction of TAPS and further destruction of this habitat should be avoided or minimized.The willow stand along Oksrukuyik Creek,in particular,should not be disturbed. System design must allow free passage for caribou,but these animals should not be a major consideration in siting.Carnivore/human interaction is a major concern in facilities design and in construction and operations methods,but not in siting considerations. Line routing and tower siting should avoid or minimize disturbance of the tree 1i ne whi te spruce stand at the head of the Di etri ch Va 11 ey, which has been nominated for Ecology Reserve status. For the Fairbanks to Anchorage transmission line approximately 80 percent of the corridor is located in forested areas (Commonwealth Associates,1982).Assuming two additional lines are built and the Intertie is extended,a total of about 8700 acres will be cleared.The principal impacts associated with clearing a right-of-way and construction of the transmission line are the alteration of existing habitats and SUbsequent disruption of wildlife species that use those habitats and disturbance to ~ndigenous fauna and bird populations. Most big game species would relocate during the construction of the transmission lines.The construction schedule should be flexible so as to avoid construction near calving and denning sites.The moose,which adapts to many different habitat types,would establish a subclimax community in the cleared right-of-way.The distribution of caribou is limited along the transmission line corridor but those that do occur in the vicinity of the right-of-way would be displaced.The caribou, however,generally util i ze habitats with low vegetative cover, resulting in little alteration of caribou habitat. Grizzly and black bears would relocate to avoid construction activity along the right-of-way,except where construction occurs near a den 26018 2-47 .......-......................_------------,--------_.,---------- - p-. I 'i site during winter dormancy.Construction activity near denning areas should be avoided from October 1 through April 30.The alteration of habitats could temporarily affect bear use of the right-of~ay but this impact is expected to be relatively short-term. Wolves within the vicinity of the right-of-way would also be displaced during construction of the transmission line.While these impacts would be temporary,long term impacts would occur to the wolf if their principal prey species,such as caribou,sheep,and moose were adversely affected. Dall sheep occur only "at the northern end of the transmission line corridor and would be impacted only minimally by construction activities.The use of helicopters to construct the lines in the Mooqy and Montana Creek drai nages coLi1 d severely di sturb sheep in the vicinity of Sugarloaf Mountain. The impact to the regional populations of any of the small game species is expected to be negligible.Small game species are expected to relocate during construction activities and re-invade the right-of-way once construction is over. In heavily forested areas along the corridor,the right-of-way clearing could provide an improved habitat for most of the small game species that utilize subc1imax communities. Migratory waterfowl are susceptible to disturbance from construction activities from mid-April to the end of September when they are nesting and brood rearing.Construction activities should be restricted from May through August in areas with active trumpeter swan nesting territories.Collisions with transmission lines,guywires,and overhead groundwires are another potential impact.To date,however, the levels of avian mortality from line collision have not been biologically significant (Beaulaurier et a1 1982). 26018 2-48 ..- - - ..- Furbearers are not expected to be greatly affected by construction activities except during the inttial right-of-way clearing.Most furbearers will either adapt to the presence of the cleared ri ght-of-:way or undergo short-term impacts.The maintenance of a shrub community in the right-of-way will reduce the loss of individuals. The impacts on nongame mammals and birds are expected to be insignificant.Some small mammals and nongame birds would undergo population shifts during construction activities but populations are expected to recover within one to two reproductive seasons.Raptors may lose some habitat as a result of clearing.Benefits of a cleared right-of-way could occur as some raptors could find that it provides hunting habitat or hunting perches not previously available. 2.4.5 Socioeconomic and Land Use Effects Potential socioeconomic and land use effects of the North Slope scenari 0 i ncl ude both temporary impacts rel ated to the i nfl ux of workers and permanent land use impacts. Since the generating plant would be located within the Prudhoe Bay/Oeadhorse industrial complex,the in-migrating work force would not significantly affect the social and economic structure of the region. The work force requirements are small in comparison to the existing size of the transient workforce in the Prudhoe Bay region.For 5 months of each year duri ng the peri od 1993 through 201 0 a maximum of 200 employees will be needed to assemble the prefabricated units of the plant.Housing facilities would be provided for the employees at the adjacent construction camp.During off~ork periods,the majority of the employees would spend time outside of the borough.The operations work force is expected to be approximately 150 and will reside in the labor camp.The spending of wages earned by the employees within the North Slope Borough is expected to be minimal due to the transience of the work force. 26018 2-49 ------------_.-----'------------------------------- ..... The use of land for an electrical generating plant would be compatible with the land uses of the indus~rial enclave.The Coastal Zone Management Program for the North Slope Borough has del ineated zones of preferred development.Pennanent facilities are allowed in the industrial development zone,consisting of the existing Prudhoe Bay/Deadhorse complex and the Pi pel ine/Haul Road Utility corridor (North Slope Borough 1978).The generating plant would be located within the preferred development zone. Within the Prudhoe Bay/Deadhorse complex,the plant would be located to minimize interferences with existing or planned facilities,including buildings,pipelines,roads,and transmission lines.Land ownership and lease agreements will lilllit the land available for the electrical generating facility. Socioeconomic and land use impacts related to construction and operation of transmission facilities between Prudhoe Bay and Fairbanks will be strictly controlled as a result of the gUidelines and constraints for development withi n the designated util ity corridor. Construction employees would be housed either at the pump stations or the pennanent camp facilities constructed for the trans-Alaska oil pipeline.Construction actiyities would be consistent with the land use criteria developed by the BLM.The BLM has prepared land use plans for the utility corridor between Sagwon Bluffs and Washington Creek. Road and highway crossings would be minimized,and areas of existing or planned mineral development would be avoided. Pennanent faci 1iti es woul d be con sol i dated at carefully sel ected locations in the vicinity of Livengood Camp,Yukon Crossing,Five Mile Camp,Prospect,Coldfoot,Chandalar,and Pump Station #3.Existing facilities such as work pads,highways,access roads,airports, material sites and communications would be used to the maximum extent possible. 2601B 2-50 - - ...... The schedule for constructing the transmission lines is approximately 3 years with activities occurring ~ain1y during the autumn and spring of each year.A peak work force of 2400 employees would be required during the first year of construction when the pads would be built.and in sUbsequent years the total work force would be substantially reduced to approximately 500 in the second year.600 in the third year.and 670 in the final year.It is expected that these workers will be hired from the Anchorage and Fairbanks union hiring halls. Development of additional transmission facilities between Fairbanks and Anchorage would engender potentially more significant socioeconomic and land use impacts,since this segment is more populated and subject to future land use development.Temporary campsites would be provided to house the work crews at locations accessible by the Parks Highway or the Alaska Railroad.The work force requirements would be lower for this corridor because pads would not need to be constructed.The schedule for constructing the transmission lines is approximately 22 months.A peak work force of approximately 520 employees would be required during the last 6 months and the average work force would be approximately 300.These estimates do not include the helicopter crews.It is assumed that the project would utilize the labor pools of Fairbanks and Anchorage. Impacts to local cOl'll1lunities would be minimized through careful siting of the temporary work camps.It is expected that the work camps would be self-contained in order to keep to a minimum interaction between the construction workers and the local residents.The project is expected to have minor primary economic benefits since few,if any.residents would be employed on the project. land use impacts could include encroachment of the project on residential areas as well as preclude future residential development land available for homesteading.The most significant potential impact wou1 d be the crossi ng of recreati on 1ands and the sUbsequent effects on recreation and aesthetic val ues these 1ands are meant to preserve. 26018 2-51 - The potential aesthetic impacts of the proposed new and additional transmission facilities are significant.The cumulative effects of these facilities and previous linear developments (e.g.TAPS)could result in significant degradation of the aesthetic character of pristine wilderness landscapes.The visibility of the transmission lines from existing travel routes (Dalton Highw~,Parks Highway,etc.) will vary dependi ng on di stance,topography and i nterveni ng vegetation.Special care would be taken in selecting final route alignments in proximity to areas of special visual significance.such as national parks,or high visual sensitivity,such as areas within the viewing range of motorists on the Parks Highw~.In locations where visual impacts cannot be avoided through careful routing or tower spotting.mitigating measures.such as the use of non-reflective paint or vegetative screening,can be employed. 26018 2-52 ---------$------ - - - .- - 3.0 NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION LOW LOAD FORECAST The North Slope power generation scenario,under the low load forecast, is conceptually the same as the medium growth case,except that units are phased in at a slower rate.By the year 2010,eight simple cycle combustion turbine units are required to produce 728 MW.The electric transmission system requires two 500 kV lines;however,series capacitors are not required to ensure system stabil ity.Total system cost is estimated to be $3.3 billion,with annual operation and maintenance costs of $0.7 billion.The present worth of these costs excluding fuel costs is $2.7 billion as of 1982.Environmental effects of the project are substantial,but would not preclude construction. Information presented in this section is designed to highlight only those conditions which are significantly different from those of the medium load forecast presented in Chapter 2. 3.1 POWER PLANT This scenario requires eight 91 MW simple cycle gas turbines to satisfy the low load forecasted demand.The first of these will go on line in 1996 and the eighth in 2010.Additions are summarized in Table 3-1 and scenario details are addressed in Appendix B.Annual fuel requirements for power generati on will start at 6.60 BCFY in 1996 and grow to 47.2 BCFY in 2010.The maximum potential firing rate in 2010 will be approximately 1.33 x 105 SCFM.Fuel requirements on an annual basis are also shown in Table 3-1. With the exception of the switchyard,all details of individual plant items are identical to those described for the medium load case in Section 2.1.The sWitchyard for this scenario differs from the medium forecast design (Figure 2-3)in that there are no series capacitors 2589B 3-1 ."'"' ..2589B TABLE 3-1 NEW CAPACITY ADDITIONS AND FUEL REQUIREMENTS NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST 3-2 - - - ,~ - "'" - installed and the facility is smaller in size.The circuit diagram is shown in Figure 3-1.Only four 13.8/138 kV generator transformers are needed,and each transmission line circuit is supplied by only one 750 kVA 138/500 kV transformer.The initial installation is essentially the same as in Figure 2-4 except that the series capacitors are not required. Personnel required for operation and maintenance will be less for this scenario than for the medium load forecast.Ten on-duty personnel will be required in 1996 for the first unit.This number will increase to approximately 35 on-duty personnel when 8 units are operating in 2010. The total two-shift,full year,work force would therefore range from 40 to 140 for the study period. 3.2 TRANSMISSION SYSTEM The North Slope to Fairbanks,and the Fairbanks to Anchorage transmission systems for the low load forecast scenario do not differ significantly from the medium forecast designs.A voltage of 500 kV is cost effective for the line between the North Slope and Fairbanks; however,for this case,series capacitors will not be needed.For the Fairbanks-Anchorage section,two 345 kV lines with series compensation are sufficient.That is,one new 345 kV 1ine will be constructed and the Healy-Fairbanks and the Willow-Anchorage segments of the existing grid will be upgraded from 138 kV to 345 kV. The number and sizes of the intermediate switching stations remain unchanged.There are two such stations on the 500 kV line (without a~ series capacitors),at Galbraith Lake and at Prospect Camp.There is only one sWitching station on the 345 kV line from Fairbanks to Anchorage,but in this case it has to be at the midpoint of the line, i.e.,some 30 miles north of the Devil's Ca~on sWitchyard of the medium forecast scenario. The substatJon at Fairbanks and Anchorage are slightly scaled down from those described in Section 2.3 and Figures 2-5 and 2-6. 2589B 3-3 J l LEGEND 250 MVA TYPICAL 500kV TO FAIRBANKS 0 GENERATOR =oRI"'"''\"'' TRANSFORMER 0 CIRCUIT BR£AKER -'\fV\r. REACTOR l CAPACITOR 750MVA TYPICAL 200 MVAR TYPICAL II TO FAIRBANKS J J ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH ILOPE GAS 'EASIBILITY STUDY NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION LOW LOAD FORECAST SUBSTATION ONE LINE SCH!MAT1C ,ICJIME S -1 IIAICO IERVICES ltCOAPORATED ,""" 3.3 COST ESTIMATES 3.3.1 Construction Costs ,- -. - - The capital cost of each simple cycle gas turbine is the same as that presented in Section 2.3 for the medium load forecast. The order of magnitude investment costs of the transmission line systems are presented in Table 3-2 and 3-3.Table 3-2 presents the estimates for two 500 kV,700 MW capacity lines without series compensation,and two intermediate switching stations.Table 3-3 contains the estimates for one new 345 kV line,700 MW capacity,with series compensation and an intermediate switching station,and the required upgrading of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks transmission lines. 3.3.2 Operating and Maintenance Costs Power plant operating and maintenance (0 &M)costs are the same for both the medium and low load forecasts,.6.3 mils/kWh.Transmission line 0 &Mcosts are estimated to be $30 million per year.These costs should be viewed as an annual average over the life of the system. Actual O&M costs should be le$s initially and will increase with time. 3.3.3 Fuel Costs For the economic analyses which follow fuel costs were treated as zero.This approach permits fuel cost and fuel price escalation to be treated separately;and makes possible subsequent sensitivity analyses of the Present Worth of Costs for this scenario based upon a range of fuel cost and cost escalation assumptions. 3.3.4 Total System Costs The total system for the North Slope low load forecast,like the North Slope medium growth forecast,consists only of simple cycle combustion turbines and a transmission line system. 2589B 3-5 ------,----------------~-----_.--~- TABLE 3-2 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS NORTH SLOPE TO FAIRBANKS TRANSMISSION SYSTEM (January 1982 Dollars) ~, Total ,~Material Construction Labor 2/Di rect Cost Descri ptionl!($1000)($1000)($1000) {'- Switching Stations 20,440 19,253 39,693 Substations 35,518 28,694 64,212 Energy Management System 12,900 12,000 24,900 f Steel Towers and Fixtures 822,212 873,012 1,695,224 "\ Conductors and Devices 63,962 149,760 213,452 C1 earing 85,200 85,200 SUBTOTAL $954,762 $1,167,919 $2,122,681 Land and Land Right~36,000 -Engineering and Construction 148,600 Management -TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $2,307,281 -1/The investment costs reflect two 500 kV lines,700 Mh'capacity without series compensation and two intermediate switching stations.A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has ~been distributed among each of the cost categories shown.Sa1es/us~ .taxes have not been included. - 2/ 3/ 2589B Construction camp facilities and services are subsumed in the Construction Labor cost category. Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mi 1e (Acres Ameri can Inc.1981). 3-6 TABLE 3-3 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS FAIRBANKS TO ANCHORAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM (January 1982 Dollars) Construction 2/Total '""'"Descri ptionl! Material Labor Di rect Cost ($1000)($1000)($1000) ~ Switching Station 8,857 8,414 17,271 ~Substation and Switching 32,958 30,872 63,830 Station Energy Management Systems 12,300 10,960 23,260 "'"' Steel Towers and Fixtures 129,214 182,083 311 ,291 ~Conductors and De vi ces 20,049 53,183 73,232 C1eari ng 41,572 41,572 ,...., SUBTOTAL $203,378 $327,084 $530,456 Land and Land Right~/14,400 """ Engineering and Construction~37,130 Management f"'" TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $581,986 The investment costs reflect one new 345 kV line,700 MW capacity without series compensation and an intermediate switching station,and upgrading of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the Intertie to 345 kV. Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (Acres American Inc.1981). 2589B 3-7 _................_"'_"!'L"'..."""...------~~---------------------- ,.... ~, - ,- JlJ!lIlIOl. - I~ The methodology and assumptions utilized to derive the systems·costs which are presented below have been previously described in the Report on Systems Planning Studies (Appendix B).This methodology is consistent with previous studies of electric generating scenarios for the Railbe1t,specifically the Acres American,Inc.(1981),Susitna Hydroelectric Project Feasibility Report and Battelle (1982),Rai1be1t Electric Power Alternatives Stuqy. The annual capital expenditures are presented in Table 3-4.Annual non-fuel O&M costs are presented in Table 3-5.The summary of all annual costs in presented in Table 3-6.The 1982 present worth of costs for this scenario (in 1982 dollars)is-$2.7 billion,exclusive of fuel costs. 3.4 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS The power plant for the low load forecast will consist of 8 simple cycle units,in contrast to 15 units for the medium load forecast. Most environmental impacts will therefore be correspondingly smaller than the medium load forecast.Environment related power plant characteristics are sUlmIarized in Table 3-7. Air emissions will be approximately one-half the medium growth value and will not pose constraini n9 ai r quality problems.Approximately 25 gpm of fresh water will be pumped from a nearby lake to provide equipment wash-down and potable water supplies.Wastewater discharges will be less than 25 gpm and will be discharged to the existing facilities in the area. Aquatic resources,as for the medium load forecast,will not be significantly affected.Plant acreage,including the construction camp and switchyard,will be approximately 65 acres,as compared to 95 acres for the medium load forecast.Terrestrial impacts,such as tundra disturbance and habitat elimination,are correspondingly less. 2589B 3-8 TABLE 3-4 TOTAL ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITlIR"ES NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Do11ars)l! Calendar Electricity Generate~Transmission Year Un,t A Umt B Line Total 1982 O.O.O.O. 1983 o.O.O.O. 1984 O.O.o.O. 1985 O.O.O.O. "....1986 O.O.O.O.! 1987 O.O.O.O. 1988 O.O.O.o. ,-1989 O.O.O.O. 1990 O.O.O.O. 1991 O.O.O.O. ~1992 O.O.1,540.1 1,540.1 1993 O.O.358.0 358.0 1994 19.073/O.704.6 723.7 1995 53.56 O.286.4 340.0.-1996 53.56 O.O.53.6 1997 o.O.O.O. 1998 O.o.o.O. F'"1999 O.O.O.O. 2000 O.o.O.o. 2001 53.56 O.O.53.6 .2002 53.56 o.o.53.6.-2003 O.o.O.o. 2004 53.56 53.56 O.107.1 2005 O.O.O.O. ~2006 O.o.O.O. 2007 53.56 o.O.53.6 2008 O.o.O.o.-2009 53.56 o.o.53.6 2010 O.O.o.O. TOTAL $394.$54.$2,889.$3,337. ~ ~11 Values as calculated are shown for purposes of reproducibility only,and should not be taken to imply the indicated accuracy ~ significant figures./ ~2/Unit A refers to the first unit built in a given year and U~~B to the second unit built./ 3/I Construction of camp site and site preparation for all ~nits. ! \, ~3-9 25898 !PlD. - 'l".MI!!!!!I'.....; 2589B TABLE 3-5 TOTAL ANNUAL NONFUEL OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January.1982 Dollars)) 3-10 ft=!li TABLE 3-6 TOTAL AtmUAL COSTS NORTH SLOPE POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Millions of Janua~,1982 Dollars)) ~ Calendar Capital o &M Total,.,.. Year Expenditures Costs Expenditures (-1982 O.o.o. 1983 O.o.o. 1984 o.o.o. 1985 O.O.o. 1986 O.O.o. 1987 o.O.o. 1988 O.O.O. !~1989 o.O.O. 1990 O.O.O. 1991 O.O.O. 1992 1,540.1 O.1,540.1 1993 358.0 o.358.0 1994 723.7 o.723.7 1995 340.0 O.340.0 r .-1996 53.6 33.8 87.4 1997 O.37.5 37.5 1998 o.37.5 37.5 ......1999 O•37.5 37.5 2000 o.37.5 37.5 2001 53.6 .37.5 91.1 ~2002 53.6 41.3 94.9 2003 o.45.1 45.1 2004 107.1 45.1 152.2 2005 o.52.6 52.6 ;~2006 O.52.6 52.6 2007 53.6 52.6 106.2 2008 O.55.4 55.4--2009 53.6 56.2 109.8 201 0 O.57.0 57.0 ~~Total $3,337.$679.$4,016. Present Worth @ 3~$2,345.$360.$2,705. ~ 25898 3-11 TABLE 3-7 ENVIRONMENT RELATED POWER PLANT.CHARACTERISTICS NORTH SLOPE POWER G~NERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST Ai r Envi ronment Emissions Particulate Matter Sulfur Dioxide Ni trogen Oxi des Pl'\Ysical Effects Water Environment Pl ant Water Requirements Below standards Below standards Emissions variable within standards - dry control techniques would be used to meet calculated NO f standard of 0.014 percent of tota volume of gaseous emissions.This value calculated based upon new source perfonnancestandards,faci 1i ty heat rate,and unit size. Maximum structure height of 50 feet 25 GFM Plant Discharge Quantity Less than 25 GPM Including Sanitary Waste and Floor Drains Land Environment - Land Requirements Plant and Switc~ard Construction Camp Socioeconomic Environment Construction Workforce Operating Workforce 2589B 60 acres 5 acres Approximately 115 personnel at peak construction Approximately 140 personnel 3-12 -_................_.-._---------------_...------------------- Impacts associated with the transmission line from the North Slope to Fairbanks are identical to those discussed for the medium load forecast F"'"(Section 2.4).From Fairbanks to Anchorage only one line in addition to the Intert ie will be necessary,in contrast to two new 1i nes for the medium load forecast.Cleared acreage within the right-of-way will be approximately 5200 acres,as compared to 8700 acres for the medium load forecast.Impacts associated with vegetative clearing,including erosion,sedimentation,and habitat disturbance,are correspondingly less than those discussed in Section 2.4. Construction of the project according to the low demand forecast would resu1 tin a smaller workforce than under the medium demand forecast as well as a shorter work schedule.The construction workforce is forecasted to be 115 employees,or a 40 percent reduction over the 200 employees forecasted for the medium growth scenario.The operations workforce is predicted to be 140 persons,whi ch is 70 percent of the workforce requirements of the medium growth forecast. Construction of the first generation unit would begin in 1996 compared to 1993 under the medium growth forecast.For five months of each of eight years during the period 1996-2010 a prefabricated unit of the p1 ant would be assembled.Ouri ng off-work peri ods,the majori ty of the employees would spend time outside of the North Slope Borough.The spending wages earned by the employees within the borough is expected to be minimal due to the transience of the workforce. Despite the differences in workforce requirements and schedule between the low and medium growth forecasts,the socioeconomic impacts would be expected to be similar.The relatively low level of impact can be attributed to the location of the generating plant within the Prudhoe Bay/Deadhorse i ndustri a1 complex,which is i sol ated from conuTluniti es. The workforce requirements and schedule for construction of the transmission lines is almost identical to that of the medium forecast scenario,and,therefore,socioeconomic impacts will be essentially the same as those discussed in Section 2.4. 2589B 3-13 - - ..... - .- - - - 4.0 FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST Fairbanks power generation,under the medium load forecast,requires a gas conditioning plant on the North Slope,a medium diameter pipeline to the Fairbanks area,an electric generating station at the pipeline terminus,and electrical transmission capacity between Fairbanks and Anchorage.The North Slope gas conditioning plant will remove carbon dioxide (12%by volume of the raw gas)and natural gas liquids. Initial and final peak delivery volumes are anticipated to be 230 MMSCFD and 407 MMSCFD,respectively,using a 22 inch diameter pipeline operating at 1260 pounds per square inch of pressure.The pipeline will be buried.Initially,three gas compressor stations along the pipeline route will be required,increasing to 10 in the year 2010 • The electric generating station necessary to produce almost 1400 MW of capacity in 2010 will consist of 5 combined cycle units,each consisting of two gas fired combustion turbines paired with two waste heat recovery boilers and one steam turbine generator,and 2 simple cycle gas turbines,which can be paired with waste heat recovery boilers to form a sixth combined cycle unit after 2010.Transmission lines to carry the power to the load center in Anchorage will require two additional (total of 3)345 kV lines from Fairbanks to Anchorage. This scenario also includes the construction of a natural gas distribution system in Fairbanks to serve residential and commercial space and water heating needs.Forecasting a fuel demand which replaces existing fuels is speculative,but highest demand (including growth)is based on 100 percent penetration of the potential market. In Fairbanks, in 2010,this is estimated to be as much as 63 MMSCFD. 2648B 4-1 Costs for shared facilities have been apportioned between the electric generating facility and the residential/commercial gas distribution system.Gi ven thi s apportionment,constructi on of the gas conditioni ng facilities,gas pipeline,power generating facilities and transmission systems,is estimated to cost $6.2 billion.Total annual operation and maintenance costs are estimated to be $0.8 billion.The present worth of these costs excluding fuel costs is $5.2 billion.Construction costs for the Fairbanks gas distribution system total $1.1 billion,with total annual operating and maintenance costs totalling $86 million.The present worth of costs for this system is $0.9 billion. 4.1 NORTH SLOPE TO FAIRBANKS NATURAL GAS PIPELINE The design of the gas pipeline and the gas conditioning facilities proceeded on the basis of preliminary gas demand calculations (detailed in Appendix A).Subsequent refinement of total peak demand for the Fairbanks scenario based on domestic gas distribution and electric usage (detailed in Appendix E and Appendix B respectively)did not require design changes in the pipeline but resulted in small differences in gas demands in the sections that follow.The pipeline gas demands are as follows: 2648B Pipeline Design (Prel iminary Demand) Power Generation Annual Average Demand Daily Peak Demand Resi denti al /Commerci al Annual Average Demand Daily Peak Demand Total s Annual Average Demand Daily Peak Demand 4-2 Medium Load Forecast (MMSCFD) 186 307 27 76 213 383 .- The refined values on which the Fairbanks gas distribution system and the electric generating unit additions depend are as follows: Utility Systems Design (Refined Demand) Power Generation Peak Daily Demand Residential/Commercial Pe ak Da i1y Demand Total s Peak Daily Demand Medium Load Forecast (MMSCFD) 271 63 334 """ ,~ The refined gas demand is about 50 MMSCFD less than the preliminary value,an amount insufficient to necessitate pipeline design changes. 4.1.1 Gas Conditioning Plant Gas to be transmitted through the pipeline will first be conditioned on the North Slope.The conditioning facility will receive the gas from the production fields,treat it,and compress it to 1260 psig and a temperature of 25 to 30°F.Initial design delivery volume will be 230 MMSCFD;however,the plant will be capable of expansion to 407 MMSCFD as future demand increases.These values are based on total Fairbanks gas demand,compressor station requirements and a pipeline avai'lability of 96.5 percent.The gas delivery and quality specifications are presented in Table 4-1. The process assumed for carbon dioxide removal is Allied Chemical's SELEXOL PhYsical solvent process,the same process selected for use with ANGTS.A mechanical refrigeration process will control hydrocarbon dewpoint.Water dewpoint control will be accomplished in the dehYdration equipment located in the existing Prudhoe Bay Unit gas/crude oil separation sites called Gathering Centers and Flow Stations.The hydrogen sulfide content of the feed gas is very low. It was therefore assumed that no process equipment will be requi red for ~ither water dewpoint control or hydrogen sulfide removal. 26488 4-3 TABLE 4-1 GAS DELIVERY AND QUALITY SPECIFICATIONS "'"" - 2648B Parameter Initial Delivery Volume Ultimate Delivery Volume Delivery Pressure Delivery Temperature Carbon Dioxide Content (max.) Hydrogen Sulfide Content (max.) ~drocarbon Dewpoint (max.) Water Dewpoint (max.) 4-4 Specifications 230 MMSCFD 407 MMSCFD 1260 psig 25-30°F 2.0 volume % 1.a grai nil 00 SCF -10°F @ 1000 psia -25°F @ 1000 psia ..... A simplified process flow diagram illustrates the basic process flow of the conditioning facilities (Figure 4-1).Two trains will be installed,one for continuous operation and the other as a spare.Feed gas,originating from the gas/crude separators,will be compressed in the Gathering Centers and Flow Stations and flow to the inlet separation unit.The inlet gas streams will be metered,and any solids or free liquids in the gas will be removed at this point.The feed gas will flow first to the natural gas liquids (NGL)extraction section for hYdrocarbon dewpoint control.The gas will then flow to the SELEXOL section where the carbon dioxide is removed.The conditioned gas will then go to the gas compressors where it will be boosted to pipeline pressure,then refrigerated for transmission.SELEXOL solvent characteristically absorbs,along with the carbon dioxide,a significant quantity of hydrocarbons,particularly the heavier hYdrocarbons.During the regeneration of the SELEXOL solvent,both the carbon dioxide and hydrocarbons are flashed from the solvent,producing a low Btu gas.The gas will be utilized within the facility to offset some of the energy requirements. The hydrocarbon 1 iquids from the NGL Extraction and SELEXOL flash gas will be separated in the fractionation unit into propane,butanes,and pentanes-plus products to facilitate disposal.Some propane will be used for heating value control of certain fuel streams.The remaining propane will be injected into the pipeline gas.The butanes will be either injected into the pipeline gas up to hydrocarbon dewpoint limits or into the crude oil delivered to the Trans Alaskan Pipeline System (TAPS)as is presently accomplished at the existing central compression facility for gas reinjection.The pentanes-plus will be injected into the same crude oil stream. The facilities will require approximately 175,000 total installed horsepower i ncl udi ng motors,power recovery units and gas turbines.,.... The bulk of thi s horsepower will be developed by 9 operating gas turbines with 6 spare gas turbines.The major auxiliary systems will include refrigeration,offsite and general utilities,and power generation facilities. 26488 4-5 1 j 1 1 J J )1 J 1 J i J 1 "9 ]J 1 "...'"' ..". ~......~t Ii?::~:=.I" I • '•••J ~"::' ~I Iii>_... t ..n .....tIf'.'-------~""""II"L .u '......"...._....----.---&il>"'•._.pI"":'" ..-l::'..i I •I:__.~';'I u •I ~~~ ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY GAS CONDITIONING FACILITY PIG""!4-1 EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED - ..... The remoteness and severe environmental conditions at the North Slope impose limitations on both the process and mechanical design of the facilities.All equipment,will therefore be housed in totally enclosed modules.Modules,with contained equipment,will be fabricated prior to shipment to the North Slope.They will be sea-l i fted to the North 51 ope by ocean-goi ng barges.At Prudhoe Bay they will be offloaded by crawler transporters or rubber-tired vehicles and moved to their pile supports on graveled sites. A critical timing factor in any construction program at Prudhoe Bay is the limited time period during which the sea lanes are passable.Major plant components can only be delivered via ocean-going barges during the short (4-6 weeks)peri od each year when the sea 1 anes are not blocked by ice.Failure to deliver any critical major component during the scheduled period could effectively delay full-capacity startup by one full year. 4.1.2 Pi pel ine 4.1.2.1 Pipeline and Route Gas to be transported will be provided to the pipeline from the gas conditioning plant.Pipeline quality gas will be a hYdrocarbon mixture with approximately 88 percent methane,and a gross higher heating value of approximately 1100 Btu/SCF.The pipeline will be designed and operated to maintai n the soil around the buri ed sections of the pipeline in a frozen state.The operating temperature of the gas in the pipeline will be between O°F and 32°F under normal conditions. However,during transient periods,the gas in the line may exceed 32°F or may go down to as low as _5°F for short periods of time. The proposed pipeline route originates in the Prudhoe Bay area in northern Alaska (refer to Appendix C).The pipeline will connect to the gas conditioning plant at the metering station,designated Mi 1epost O.The pi pel i ne route,whi ch assumes the ANGTS ri ght-of-way, 26488 4-7 i,~ - follows TAPS in a southerly direction to about Milepost 274 near Prospect Creek.The pipeline rQute then follows TAPS in a southeasterly direction to about Milepost 480.the assumed location of the power plant metering station.A tap will be provided at Milepost 455 near Fox to supply gas to Fairbanks for residential and commercial uses. The pipeline will cross 15 major streams requ1rlng special construction considerations.such as heavy wall pipe.continuous concrete coating or set-on concrete weights.At the Yukon River an existing aerial crossing will be used. There will be 20 uncased road crossings.27 road crossings with 28 inch casings.and 8 road crossings with 36 inch casings.The pipeline will cross TAPS at 21 locations.the TAPS fuel gas line at 13 locations.and other pipelines at 3 locations. The basic assumption that this pipeline will follow the ANGTS right-of-way is a major one.Pipeline design and subsequently cost could be greatly affected if this right-of-way could not be used. Significant areas of concern would include the narrow Atigun Pass area and the Yukon River crossing. 4.1.2.2 Pipeline Design The pipeline design pressure will be 1260 psig.based on current proven technology for resistance to crack propogation at low temperatures. The pipeline has been designed for the daily peak flow required to satisfy the gas demand associated with the medium forecast assuming a pipeline availability of 96.5 percent.The following flowrates were used for the hYdraulic design of the pipeline: 26488 Annual Average Flow (MMSCFD) Dai ly Peak Fl ow(MMSCFD) 4-8 213/0.965 =220 383/0.965 =397 .... - Initial annual average daily capacity of the pipeline will be 127 MMSCFD with a peak daily load of 227 MMSCFD during extreme cold weather periods. The peak daily flowrate will require a pipeline outside diameter of 22 inches.The pipe shall be API 5LX or API 5LS Grade X70 with a minimum wall thickness of 0.275 inches for the majority of the length.At road crossings,bridges,and within public road right-of-ways,the minimum wall thickness will be 0.330 inches.These thicknesses are based on the entire pipeline being located in a Class 1 location as defined in CFR 49,Part 192 •. The peak daily flowrate requires 10 compressor stations of approximately 3400 HP each.The average daily flowrate will require only 3 compressor stations,Stations 2,4 and 7.The compressor stations are at the locations selected by ANGTS and use the same numbering system.The delivery pressure to the power plant will be 1038 psig.Figure 4-2 summarizes this flowrate condition.Compressor F'"station fuel consumption will be approximately 1 MMSCFD per operating station. \A total of 28 mainline block valve assemblies will be provided at a nominal spacing of 20 miles including the initial compressor sites where the mainline valves will be installed in the station bypass loop.Seven of the 28 block valves will be installed at the additional station sites to facilitate system expansion.Pig launchers and receivers will be installed at the compressor and metering stations. I., - ..... The pipe will be installed in a buried mode,using the proposed ANGTS construction techniques.Pipe ditches wi.ll be selected from several basic types,based on site-specific conditions.Special ditch configurations will be required to provide for the mitigation of frost heave effects in areas having frost-susceptible soils. 2648B 4-9 -J 1 }J ]J 1 J ))1 J ! I.i r,;,;].......5"LoS.I ."c.1'5.C.~".f,.~.C.~5"5:9 ~.(;S...,'!.7 ....."'5.c.o.:t So !!II.2-~47.'r;;,; CoS.5.e.'!.~V Go~~I) ~c:"\A ..0 11/'"11 .. Z SIII•~tio4\'1 )~Ill"i~!lot: "e!h ill!~{1/."II.~.t-0&"t ~£ 80 MM sc:.r-/b Ih~~i )' TOTAL 480 MILES.22-0.0.PIPELINE.WALL THICKNESS •0-275 INCH MINIMUM STATION DESIGNATION II."C•••I C•••I C....C.,.4 C.,••C••••C.,.,C.,••C."•C•••10 ..... I'IIUDHOlt Mr POWltIl I'UIIT MILEPOST (MILES)0.0 44.5"~o.1 ,\3.7 141.3 17'.1 2.35:0 27.3."320.7 31'0..,....32..1 4?o.o nEVATlON (FEET)2.1 .3'-2-S2.S"1'5"2.S":!505"O 3/S'1f 12.2.0 1'31S 17:30 .,.,0 1$2.0 S"<:JO•STATION INLET VOLUME (MMSCF/D)3"M ..3,g 3'~0 407 407 4o,"4Q5"'404-04b.3 402-40/400~ ;!TOTAL FUEL (MMSCF 10)-I 1 /I 1 1 /1 ,/-tit STATION ounn VOLUME (MMSCFID)407 40(;,405'404 403 40'2.401 ....00 3."3"111 3"7 311 ITATION SUCTION PRESSURE (PSlO)1'2.,"0 10+7 1043 1057 10'31 10'3 I 1'2.4 10'S-IOg1 102.,'71 l03! STATION DISCHARGE mSSURE (PSlO)/2'0 12-4-!S /24S"12.45 /'2.30 I~30 1'2...'0 12'0 1230 /230 II-t5 - a COMPRESSOR SUCTION PRESSURE (PSIO)-1031 10-+7 /041 lOIS"1047 lIo'R 1071 1023 1012-'55 -0 it COMPRESSOR DISCHARGE PR£SSURE (PSllJ)/'l.5""'''~/2.5"12 ......12:44 127.....1::2.74-1244 1244 liS.,-tit -'"K COMPRESSION "ATIO 1.200 I.:2.0'1.2.22 1.11'1.148 1.171 ,.2/3 I.~2'/.2/0 -..-I.2./.,:I 0 ffORSEPOWU "EQUII'ED 2'00 2750 32.00 3250 3 ....00 -u -3 ....00 3/5'0 .32.00 30400 'Z,!,oo ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY HYDRAULIC SUr1MARY t1EDIUf1 FORECAST PEAK DAILY FLOW FIGURE 4·-2 EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED .... .-" i - - Pipeline corrosion control will be provided by a combination of external coating and a cathodic ,protection system that will be compatible with the sacrificial zinc anode system used on the adjacent TAPS pipeline.The pipeline will be hydrostatically tested to 1.25 times the maximum allowable operating pressure • 4.1.3 Compressor and Metering Stations Two meteri ng stations will be provi ded.One will measure the quantity of gas supplied to the pipeline from the gas conditioning plant at the North Slope,and the other will measure the gas delivered to the power pl ant just south of Fa i rbanks.Detai 1s of the compressor and meteri ng stations design are provided in the Figures 4-3 and 4-4. Each compressor station site will require about 10 acres,and the meteri ng stati ons about 1.5 acres of 1and.Compressor stati ons wi 11 include buildings for the compressors,refrigeration equipment, utilities and control room,flammable liquids storage,warm storage and garage,a gas scrubber unit,living quarters and interconnecting hallways.Additional living quarters,office,and shop and warehouse building will be included at compressor stations 2 and 7. Two refrigeration units will be provided at every compressor station to maintain the pipeline gas temperature.Gas heaters will be prOVided at compressor stations No.2 and No.4 to assure that gas temperatures will be maintained above the hydrocarbon dewpoint of the mixture under all operating conditions.Pipeline gas will be used to power the drivers for the gas compressors,refrigerant compressors and electric generators.Compressor station and metering station design and equipment are summarized in Tables 4-2 through 4~10. 4.1.4 Supervisory Control System A supervisory control system will be provided to operate the pipeline system,perform related system balancing,and coordinate functions with the gas conditioning plant at the North Slope and the Fairbanks power plant. 26488 4-11 "~I""l' I I, "I~ I,.......,'a--4IC.----,.....,I , I I ~~B&£'"III I : .!~, r-ml ... I a·I't*....-~-... •I II:RECSIVEll ~I , I I I CDM~ft.e.s.sIo...nIeoL.P6 A.I I L.AUNQ1E:It I I I CoM U"l,uS,\.I I I ~I ~I I I.I I I I I I I__l.-,.I."'_~I M£.Jl..T£'"..J AT CoS.2."I0I0lL.'(' I \I'tCj t I I I I ,L CSAS OV-r HA~L.W"VS OP!."""'IONS c:. ""A.'~T£N A.IooICL PA~L.ITI E S."T ,oS.2.*7 OIJL.'1- ,.,... - .- ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBflITY STUDY - TYPICAL Cm1PRESSOR STATION LAYOUT FIGURE 4-3 EBASCO SERVfCES INCORPORATED ,.,.., '" Q B~OWDOWN") ClRVM c:::P °VEtJ'r S-rAl:.K. ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY TYPICAL t1ETERING STATION LAYOUT FIGURE 4-4 EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED i~ - TABLE 4-2 PIPE DETAILS Major piping -1260 psig design pressure a.22 11 0.0.x 0.406 11 wall API 5LX,GR.X70 pipe b.o 18 11 0.0.X 0.750 11 wall ASTM A333,GR.6 pipe c.16 11 0.0;x 0.656 1l wall ASTM A333,GR.6 pipe d.12 11 XS ASTM A333,GR.6 pipe e.1011 XS ASTM A333,GR.6 pi pe f.811 STD.WT.ASTM A333,GR.6 pipe NOTE:API 5LX piping to have additional specifications for -50°F Charpy Impact requirements and chemical requirements for improved we1dabi1ity. 2648B 4-14 -- - TABLE 4-3 CIVIL DESIGN DETAILS a.All buildings and heated components will be elevated on steel pile foundations above a gravel pad to allow free air circulation under the structures.The pile embedment will be adequate to prevent frost jacking of the structures. Non-heated facilities will be supported by a granular fill and sand pad. Snow loads will be 60 psf Earthquake design will be Zone 3 Wind loads will be:30 psf 40 psf 50 psf 60 psf 30'height 30 1 -50 1 height 50 1 -100'height 100 1 height .- -- !~ e.Ambient temperature range -70°F to +80°F f.Structural steel -inside heated structures~will use nonnal steel material s.Outside heatedstructures~will use suitable low temperature steels. g.The diesel fuel storage tank will be placed over an impenneable liner covering the entire diked area. 2648B 4-15 - .-, TABLE 4-4 BUILDING DETAILS a.All buil di ngs wi 11 be pre-engineered i nsul ated-pane(metal structures,suitable for their intended use • b.Buildings suitable for truck transportation through size or modularization will be prefabricated. c.Hazardous materials storage buildings will be mechanically ventilated.Ventilation rates will be four air changes per hour for nonnal ventilation and 15 air changes per hour for emergency conditions. 2648B 4-16 ,~ .- 2648B TABLE 4-5 COMPRESSOR AND GAS SCRUBBER DETAILS Main Compressors - 1 each per compressor station a.Compressor -1280 psig min.design pressure 1.23 pressure ratio 6000 ft.adiabatic head 2750 ACFM b.Gas Turbine Driver -3800 ISO Horsepower gas fueled c.Typical Equipment -Solar Centaur Gas Turbine Natural Gas Compressor Set with a C-304 Single Stage Compressor:>or equal. Gas Scrubber -(l )each per station ·a.Designed to remove 99.5%of all solid and liquid particles 1 micron and larger.. b.Design flowrates will range from 130 to 400 MMSCF/D. c.Typical Equipment -Peeo Robinson filter and liquid-gas separator:>Model 75H-56-FG372:>or equal • 4-17 - - - ...., ..... I - TABLE 4-6 REFRIGERATION SYSTEM AND GAS HEATER DETAILS Refrigeration System a.Refrigeration system will be a compression/expansion type using Freon gas and a gas turbine driver for the refrigerant compressors. b.Chillers will be shell and tube with natural gas in the tubes at 1280 psig and Freon in the shell. c.Condensers will be air cooled with multiple electric driven fans. d.Required capacity will be 1650 tons (2200 HP). e.The system will be comprised of two parallel 50t refrigeration trains to meet the total required capacity. f.Typical Equipment -Two (2)825 ton (1100 HP)refrigeration trains using Solar Saturn Gas Turbine Compressor Sets,or equal • Gas Heater -One (1)each at Compressor Stations 2 and 4 only a.Designed to add 5,000,000 Btu/hr.to heat the pipeline gas during low flow winter conditions . b.Equipment will be a gas fired heater and utilize a water/glycol solution to heat the gas in a shell and tube heat exchanger. 26488 4-18 - .... - - - TABLE 4-7 COMPRESSOR STATION ELECTRICAL SYSTEM AND CONTROL SYSTEM DETAILS Electrical System a.Each station will be self-sufficient in electric power with its own power generation and distribution system. b.Power will be 480 V.,3 phase,60 Hz. c.Main generators wi 11 be two (2)800 KW conti nuous duty dual-fueled gas turbine driven generator sets,one will normally supply the station load and one will be standby. d.Emergency (l ifeline)generator will be one (l)200 KW diesel engine driven generator connected to the essential services bus. e.The emergency generator will be located in the warm storage building or another location remote from the main generators in the utilities building. f.Typical Equipment: Main generators -Solar Saturn GSC-1200,or equivalent Emergency generator -Caterpiller 3406 TA,or equivalent Control System a.Each station will have a control system designed for completely remote and unattended operation. b.The station central Control Unit (CCU)will be linked by communications to the Operations Control Center (OCC). c.Each individual piece of station equipment will have its individual control system which in turn will be controlled by the CCU which is the master controller. d.The OCC input to the CCU will primarily be start/stop commands and setpoint changes. e.The acc will have sufficient information transmitted to it to allow for full compressor station control. 2648B 4-19 ~, - - TABLE 4-8 MISCELLANEOUS COMPRESSOR STATION SYSTEMS'DETAILS a.Blowdown and Flare System will be sized for 100,000 lb/hr.of saturated light hydrocarbon gases and liquid storage capacity of 10,000 gallons. b.Nitrogen Purge System -for purging. c.Instrument and Utility Air System -Instrument air to be clean and dry for operating pneumatic control system components. Utility air for power tools and maintenance. d.Fuel Gas Conditioning -Gas for station fuel requirements will be filtered,heated,reduced in pressure,and distributed at 500 psig. e.Diesel Fuel - A diesel fuel storage and back-up fuel system will be provided for electric power generation and heating. The tank size will be 40,000 gallons to provi de 14 days of capacity. f.Fire Protection -Station fire protection will be provided by a Halon 1301 extinguishing system with a water/foam back-up system. g.Water System - A single 40,000 gallon water tank will provide a source of water for potabl e uses as well as for the back-up water/foam fire system.The fi re pump will be di esel dri ven. The potable water will be filtered,chlorinated,and distributed. h.Sewage System -Sewage will be collected by a vacuum collection system.Final disposal will be through a septic system or a lagoon as site conditions warrant.Lagoon disposal will require secondary treatment and chlorination. i.Heating System -The station will be heated by a water/glycol system utilizing waste heat from the station turbine generators.A combustion boiler unit will be provided as back-up to the waste heat system. j.Cathodic Protection - A cathodic protection system will be provided to protect all buried piping,tank bottoms,and other structures in contact with the soil.The station will be electrically insulated by isolation flanges where the pipeline enters and leaves the compressor station property. 2648B 4-20 - ,- -. - .- ,..,. , TABLE 4-9 METERS AND METERING STATION ELECTRICAL AND CONTROL SYSTEMS DETAILS Meters a.Each metering station will have 3 parallel meters with provisions for future addition of a fourth meter. b.Meters will be concentric orifice plate with differential pressure transmitters. c.Meter runs will be 12 inch diameter by 3D'long. Electrical System a.Both metering stations will be powered by an outside commercial power source. b.A 50 kW diesel-powered back-up generator will automatically come on 1ine during a power failure. Control System a.Designed for remote and unattended operation. b.Gas flow will be computed by a microprocessor-based flow computer with 100%redundancy. c.Tne flow computer will be linked to the OCC by telecommunications • 2648B 4-21 ---_._------~--~------- r -~, - ..- ..... - TABLE 4-10 MISCELLANEOUS METERING STATION SYSTEMS·DETAILS a.Blowdown drum and vent stack system b.Ni trogen purge system c.Diesel Fuel - A diesel fuel storage system will be provided for electric power generation. d.Fire Protection -Fire protection will be provided by a Halon 1301 extinguishing system with a water/foam back-up system. e.Heating System -Heating and ventilating will be by means of redundant gas-fired furnaces and warm air duct systems. f.Cathodic Protection - A cathodic protection system will be provided to protect all buried piping~tank bottoms~and other structures in contact with the soil.The station will be electrically isolated by isolation flanges where the pipeline enters and leaves the compressor station property • 2648B 4-22 - ..... ,~ r~ The supervisory control system master station will be located near the Fairbanks power plant at the operations control center (OCC).A communication system will provide the voice and data intertie to each compressor and metering station from the acC.Each station will include a control system that will interface through the communication link to the acC. The OCC in Fairbanks will include the dispatcher console,which will provide the monitoring and control equipment necessary for centralized operation of the pipeline. 4.1.5 Communications System The communications system will include voice and data transmission systems,the mobil e radio system,and record communicati ons.A basi c communication system will be installed during the construction phase to provide voice and data links among the pipeline and compressor station camps,and the Fairbanks construction headquarters. Mobile radio equipment will be provided to pennit communication by field construction teams through a network of repeater stations to the camps, stations and other facilities.This basic communication system will later be modified to provide the operational communications system.This operati ona 1 system wi 11 support the supervi sory.contro1 system.Data communications will also be prOVided. 4.1.6 Operations and Maintenance Facilities Operations and maintenance {O&M}facilities will be located at three sites along the pipeline:Compressor Stations 2 and 7,and the Fairbanks operations headquarters.Each O&M facility will include the following: n)Warehouse for stori ng project spare parts inventory. {2}Maintenance shop,including maintenance equipment. {3}District office. (4)Living quarters for the O&M personnel. 26488 4-23 -The Fairbanks operations headquarters near the power plant will also house the OCC,the related supervisory control equipment,required power supplies and the communications system equipment. Stations 2 and 7 will serve as shop and warehouse with both 1 iving quarters and maintenance facilities.The other stations will have small· living quarters attached.It is anticipated that a staff of 5-6 will serve at each compressor station except stations 2 and 7,which will have a total of 16 each,including 6 maintenance personnel.This would then require a total staff of 80 for the medium load forecast peak demand (10 stations). 4.L 7 Co nstructi on and Si te Support Services Temporary facilities will include those facilities required to support the construction phase activities.These facilities will include the Fairbanks construction headquarters,the pipeline and compressor station construction camps,airfields,access roads,material (borrow)sites and disposal sites. Thirteen pipeline construction camps will be provided along the route, i nc1udi ng one located at the Fairbanks construction headquarters site. These camps will be capable of accommodating between 250 to 1,300 persons,depending on location and planned use. The camps,once completed,will be turned over to contractors for operation.The twelve camps along the pipeline will be renovated generally in p1 ace using equipment and modules obtained mostly from the existing TAPS camps.Three compressor station construction camps will be prOVided by relocating and renovating equipment and modules available from eight existing TAPS pump station camps. Airfields will consist of certain existing commercial airfields,as well as renovated private airfields preViously built in support of TAPS." Material (borrow)sites are available along the pipeline route to provide 2648B 4-24 - construction materials,as well as areas to dispose of construction spoil.Maximum haul distances should be kept under 5 miles. A pipe yard at Fairbanks will be provided to receive mainline pipe, store,externally coat,double-joint (weld)and insulate pipe as required.Access roads will be provided as needed to allow access to stations,borrow sites,pipeline spreads and related facilities. 4.2 POWER PLANT The Report on System Planning Studies (Appendix B)concluded that combined cycle power plants are the most technically feasible and economical choice for satifying demand when generating electrical power at a Fairbanks site.The individual combined cycle plants will consist of two gas turbines,each with a heat recovery steam generator and one steam turbine for a total of three turbine-generator sets. 4.2.1 General The Fairbanks site will contain all required generating units, construction and mai ntenance facil iti es,various auxili ary and support systems,a central control f~cili ty and switchyards.Thi s power generation scenario calls for five 242 MW combined cycle and two 86 MW simple cycle units to satisfy the demand for energy in the year 2010. The first unit,a simple cycle gas turbine,is required in 1993 and in subsequent years either gas turbines or steam turbines are added. Incremental and total required new generation capacity for this scenario are summarized in Table 4-11. A single combined cycle unit will require an area with outside dimensions of 300 feet by 440 feet.The arrangement of the three turbine-generator sets,the air cooled condenser and auxiliary equipment is shown in Figures 4-5 and 4-6.The site plan shown in Figure 4-7 illustrates the planned installation method (side by side)for up to six units with switchYards.This arrangement will require a total area of approximately 150 acres. 2648B 4-25 - TABLE 4-11 NEW CAPACITY ADDITIONS AND FUEL REQU IREMENTS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST ~New Capacity (MW)Gas Requi red!! Year (Increment/Total)(MMSCF) ..... 1990 0/0 O. 1991 0/0 O. 1992 0/0 O. 1993 86/86 6,265.8 ~1994 0/86 6,265.8 1995 86/172 12,531.6 f 1996 70/242 12,633.1~, 1997 172/414 25,132.7 1998 70/484 25,202.9 1999 0/484 25,202.9 2000 86/570 31,551.3 2001 0/570 31,467.3 2002 156/726 37,804.3 2003 0/726 37,804.3 2004 86/812 44,188.1 2005 156/968 45,809.0 2006 86/1050 49,535.1 2007 86/1140 53,145.7 2008 70/1210 52,292.0 2009 86/1296 55,892.6 2010 86/1382 59,424.8 .... 2648B Values as calculated are shown for reproducibility only,and do not imply accuracy beyond the 100 MMSCF level • 4-26 l'---------:!-~_W L•- .~-..r r---rn ••.;-'•hIT!r I IT I g!I !~lUll ": I I I .I UI-it II !r q IPi ~I i-.'-)j I ~!i "2 '7 _.......-................"--...........---...-..-..-~-~---_._..-.__..---~~~---------------~------ """ ",' " ,. :I "II "UIOIl-I NOATH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY COMBiNED CYCLE PLANT GENERAL ARRANGEMENT ElEVATIONS ALASkA POWER AUTHORITY :tI=m.., -....~-<~~~......... .~-~... ~IHI'IIl1b=f7 -t-\+l-ll.·~·~-rJ P'l Tn ±t:="kJ=l ...Wld-~-·....c"-"- RUm -. "u If&.''I:n,,, 'IGUIIE 4-6 t L {[.~.C .~.[..fe.t,_Liao'au k j.~.L ..~~j=~t.~.!CO!\•.::E8~)ftATt ...... r----~~-~---~~EEPI:~I:~L~~-~---~---1 I ',GO't:I:I l'l'L I"'I I "~D-frO--0-0 d-t~ t ~~.D D D TYP tIR.co~:""Q I~''''CLIt I1MOPIILI! t -'-0--0-0 0 ·0 0-0-V .-13"t---f I ~L·~""........t I I t I I -~!)/·41)1I.!Au,....*-rOT....L ~ITI ..-..c.1l1A.QoC I I ~•UNIT.•1/10 t ,,lJJM'!l •t zo t •"NITti •'040 I ~91T'~II1£I'Ill'~I !lOOY400'I J &lAllTe •'75 II''l"ClO.t'OO("IJI,jI~v(~n'ICVYAAD)\I IL-~---L -~~--1.----.---_~J ~~'2"'tN ft)R ~E."'A"(at.I(I!NA.I LOCATION',:: ~4'bt<V R:)1l jr....lIl~t!o I.AXATION.•• 'PIMeffiION ItJQ.OIICXlI1PIITE ,,..:Cl:H1IoC"tCLllIH"1 fIOO t 700 2 1100 t!o 1')00 .. IqOO S 2'&00 41 1700 T !af90 a *HleUH!~'MUIo4 DlMDleJO .... R:IIl ~WITt~"f21+16MIStotOt.!LINIi. 10 LJ:loI>P CIENTllfto ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY COMBINED CYCLE PLANT SITE PLAN FAIRBANKS AND KENAI FIGURE 4-7 l-l ~.-I.-t .-4 -t._t.-I._t--"t>_t-t Lt EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED -t-t.·-f--t..-t · - .- The functional parts of the plant will be similar to those described in Section 2.0 for the gas turbine portion of the plant.The steam cycle will require the addition of heat recovery steam generators,steam and auxiliary system piping,a steam turbine generator,condenser,condensate polishing,water quality control systems,and an increase in the quantity of water used. 4.2.2 Combustion Turbine Equipment All combustion turbine equipment will be identical to that described in Section 2.1. 4.2.3 Steam Plant The heat recovery steam generators (HRSG)are considered part of the steam plant although phYsically the steam generators will be housed together with the gas turbines in a large common building . Each heat recovery steam generator package,one at each gas turbine exhaust,will include the steam generator complete with ductwork from the combustion turbine to the steam generator,a bypass damper and bypass stack,and a steam generator exhaust stack.The steam generators will have a steam outlet pressure of 850 psig at 950°F.Each steam generator is designed to produce one half of the plant1s nonnal flow for steam when supplied with feedwater at a temperature of 250°F.The heat recovery steam generators are designed for continuous operation.All steam generator controls will be located in a common area in the central control room. During start-up and other load conditions,the bypass damper may be operated to provi de operati ona 1 fl exi bi 1i ty.By openi ng the bypass damper and closing the louvered dampers,the combustion turbine exhaust is routed to the stack and does not reach the steam generator.Desi gn parameters for the heat recovery steam generators are shown in Table 4-12.The flow diagram and anticipated heat balance for a single combined cycle unit is presented in Figure 4-8. 26488 4-30 -Type: TABLE 4-12 HEAT RECOVERY STEAM GENERATOR DESIGN PARAMETERS (Two Required Per Unit) Watertube,forced circulation Performance:(Each Steam Generator) Main Steam Outlet Condition Quantity 850 psi g,950°F 250,400 1bs/hr - ..... ...... - Steam production under normal operation will be achieved with an exhaust gas flow through the boiler of 2,286,000 1bs/hr at 970°F. Feedwater will be supplied to the HRSG at 250°F from the feedwater heater. Heat Recovery Steam Generator Features Feedwater Heater Economizer Evaporator Section with Steam Drum Superheater Section Economizer Evaporator Secti on wi th Steam Drum Exhaust Gas Bypass Dampers with Separate Stack 2648B 4-31 ~~~-=----'t ..::.:....:..:.-----J ~~~~~~-'----=l ~~~"-----1 --"--1Jj LEGEND' t,=~c::':a~::-~. ....,fUM'..",.,...I.fIlMt .....".... toIIClJtTU"L ONLY NOT liIU"""NTEED -.......,..... --_.._..... .tm.n; COMBINED CYCLE PLANT FLOW DIAGRAM AND HEAT BALANCE NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ~ ..cl/.....''''''ft1Na""...."1':1;".IlIIlfT ....,.....,- '"-(........tl...0 -I \.L ....ITI~.'I'D "'.TUMIM '"•(-.0··....·•.....0 .,L.P.tfIAIt'l'l ....... t!:, ...",.10••'....,.....,.L....c:....y 11.1,..,..," I L.",DI~TO n.AIII T.--L 1-~.--.---.....-,'-~~~'"~--~~:'S'~~0"~Pt.,..,!Jf<'.~I~............~~;.> k ~~.<,_,tt",..,,,,.]r>'>;..;;....,."..,... r-~~:L ....:,>r ----hL.~fQl!'llm:It ,,~•\l y-c,L::....,'0 ~----">:;>'''',.....",',\II:tL I"-{.........'"~1lU'.VMl~PUD'M\TIft -fUMe.~<1 ',','__.....\.-.a.'--'-'---..~l1 ~,>;{:;-,_.-~ Il."&'.:m!!,,=t'l----L -,--~~':c:.'' ITIAM TUM!'ItE Q£NERATOft (",.,... ~""Imt"'.~t=....- ..,..,....""..,.... a".'.~(..........2-~::...~.,1----...,.,_)..-/~~__...I::":'f~'"..."..,.. }.'~S~"~-J~~~~'~l~~.""~<",,-'.[>~1 ,,'S.'\J ~.:~""",«;,; IY.I1lI!I& m=:I~!lE!'IE!'-Al.0Fl NO.1 ~:mr.'I:.r- ---<.....,.,,"'.. u_ ,',,'..m.~,.""I',~--..I !!L____----- G~......I.f"'.•~---._----------- •.IIM/1N_..- ,,__I .,........... ......... ._.If- .Ull .....-- ..-.-.' ~-...ttll '''''leT ,..""".. ,.-- '10""1 4-3 IIAICO RAVlCES N:OAPOftATED r I r r r r r r r r r r r r The generator is rated 72 MW The unit auxiliary transformer is a three winding 15 MVA,13.8/4.16~4.16 kV.The two secondary windings supply 4.16 kV buses 3A and 3B.The step-up transformer is rated 50 MVA,18/138 kV. The main steam produced in the heat recovery steam generators will be conveyed to a common turbine generator set.The turbine generator wi 11 be a tandem compound,multistage condensing unit,mounted on a pedestal with a top exhaust going to the air cooled condenser.Design parameters for the turbine generator are shown on Table 4-13.The turbi ne generator set wi 11 be furni shed complete wi th 1ubri cati ng oi 1 and electrohYdraulic control systems as well as the gland seal system, and the generator cooling and sealing equipment. In addition to the combustion generators,steam generators and steam turbi ne,the buil di ng wi 11 also contai n the feedwater pumps,condensate pumps,vacuum pumps,deaerator,instrument and service air compressors, motor control centers,control room,and diesel generator (see Figure 4-5).The diesel generator will be sized for black start-up service. Heat will be rejected from the steam turbine cycle at the outside mounted air-cooled condenser where air flowing across cooling fins absorbs heat from the exhaust system.The condensate from the condenser will then flow to the condensate storage tank where it will be pumped back into the cycle. Fuel requirements for this scenario will start at approximately 6.27 BCFY in 1993,when the first gas turbine starts delivering power,and increase to 59.43 BCFY in the year 2010.The maximum anticipated gas consumption rate,in the year 2010,with 1382 MW of capacity in operation,is 1.88 x 10 5 SCFM.Detailed annual gas use figures are presented in Table 4-11. 2648B 4-33 r TABLE 4-13 STEAM TURBINE GENERATOR UNIT DESIGN PARAMETERS (One Required Per Unit) FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST Multistage,straight condensing,top exhaust ~drogen-cooled unit rated 72 MW at 13.8 kV with 30 psig hydrogen pressure at lOGe Common base mounted with direct-drive couplings.Accessories include multiple inlet control valves,electric hydraulic control system,lUbricating oil system with all pumps and heat exchangers for cooling water hOOK-UP,gland steam system and generator cooling.Excitation compartment complete with static excitation equipment •. Switchgear compartment complete with generator breaker potential transformers. r r r r r r r r r r r r r Turbine Type: Generator Type: Perfonnance: Steam Turbine Generator Features: 2648B Base Rating Steam Inlet Pressure Steam Inlet Temperature Exhaust Pressure Exhaust Temperature Speed 72 MW 850 psig 950°F 211 to 411 Hg 108°F 3600 RPM 4-34 r r ''I r r r r r I if r r r r r r r 4.2.4 Substation The circuit diagram of the powerplant substation is shown in Figure 4-9.It is quite similar to the North Slope substation (Figure 2-3).Two generators will be connected to the two primary windings of the 250 MVA 13.8/138 kV transfonners,and the last generator to a 125 MVA two wi nding transfonner.The bus arrangement will use a breaker and a half scheme unless reliability considerations mandate otherwise.Two 750 MVA 138/345 kV transfonmers will supply each of the transmission line circuits.Each of the transmission lines will have a circuit breaker.On the line side of the circuit breakers are the series capacitors and the shunt reactors.This arrangement has the advantage of being flexible as far as operation is concerned and can be expanded easily. 4.2.5 Other Systems In addition to the potable and service water system described in Section 2.1,thi s pl ant will requi re make-up water for the steam cycle.To purify the make-up water a demineralizing system will be requi red. SlOWdown from the HRSG's and waste from the demineralizer and the condensate polisher represent additional waste handling capacity re'quirements over and above that previously discussed (Section 2.1). These waste streams will require treatment,in accordance with regulation,prior to discharge. Other systems such as fire protection or lUbricating oil will not change in scope or capacity to any significant degree from those presented in Section 2.1. 26488 4-35 ~~'--'--j '-j "------4 ~~~~~-----;------,~------,~ 22 (}Ci 22 22 22 22 22 22220MVA TYPICAL 500 MIA TYPICAL If •__...,.,,...., ~I TO ANCHORAGE LoCAL. .345 kV ~n LOCAL. 2110 MVA ALASkA POWER AUTHORITY NORTH .LOPE QAS FEASIBILITY STUDY FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST SUBSTATION ONE LINE SCHEMATIC '..URE 4-1 (BASCO IERVtCES NCORPOAATED r r :1""' r r r r r 'I"'" :1 r r r r r 4.2.6 Construction and Site Support Services The construction of this power plant in the·Fairbanks area will require the following services: 1.Access Roads 2.Construction Water Supply 3.Construction Power Supply All new roads will be of similar design to existing public roads in the Railbelt.The roads will be paved,and will meet all code design requirements for the maximum loads expected. A complete water supply similar to that described in Section 2.1 will be provi ded,except the source of water will be wells.The constructi on power supply will be a 12.47 kV line run from existing facilities. Since a permanent construction force will be utilized through the period of the study,it is assumed that the local area can supply living accommodations for the workforce.The number of workers necessary for construction of the power station will vary over the total period of the project from a low of 50 to ~hi gh of approximately 200.Constructi on facilities required are:utility services;temporary construction office; temporary and permanent access roads;temporary enclosed and open laydown storage facilities;temporary office and shop spaces for various subcontractors;settling basins to collect construction area storm runoff;and permanent perimeter fencing and security facilities. 4.2.7 Operation and Maintenance Plant Life Each unit will have a 30 year life expectancy,which is based on the life of the gas turbine units.It is expected that the gas turbine units will be overhauled a number of times throughout the life of the units during scheduled or unscheduled outages. 2648B 4-37 r r r r r r r r r r r r roo I r r Heat Rate of Units The facility's heat rate will va~~depending on the number of gas turbines and heat recovery units operating at a given time.Ideally, with only combined cycle units in operation~a heat rate of 8290 Btu/kWh (HHV~ambient conditions)can be realized. Scheduled and Forced Outage Rate It is expected that the forced outage rate will be about 8 percent. Operational experience on other plants indicates higher forced outages in the first few years~but this is attributed to operational adjustments required for a new plant.It is expected that a slight increase in forced outages will occur as the plant ages.Scheduled outages for annual maintenance and periodic overhaul are expected to be approximately 5 percent. Operating Workforce The combined cycle power plant will require a continuously increasing staff over the study period.The staff will start at approximately 10 on-duty personnel when the first gas turbine begins operation and will increase to approximately 80 on-duty personnel in the year 2010. 4.2.8 Site Opportunities and Constraints Fairbanks represents the nearest location to which North Slope gas can be transported to and have the resulting generation of electrical energy be fed directly into an existing portion of the Railbelt electric transmission network.Transportation of heavy equipment to the site does not represent technical problems;however~the location will require expensive overland transport from the port faciliti~s at Anchorage. 2648B 4-38 'I r r I r r r r r~ r r r f I r r r r r 4.3 TRANSMISSION SYSTEM The power to be transmitted from Fairbanks to Anchorage equals the power generated less the Fairbanks area load.This amount is the same as the North Slope generation scenario,except for the line losses between the North Slope an-cl Fairbanks,which are not significant when compared to the power generated.Therefore,the conditions for the Fairbanks to Anchorage transmission line are almost exactly identical for both cases and consist of two new 345 kV lines,and an upgrade of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the Intertie from 138 kV to 345 kV (Refer to Section 2.2). 4.4 FAIRBANKS GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM 4.4.1 Fairbanks Residential/Commercial Gas Demand Forecasts The following paragraphs are a summary of the study performed by Alaska Economics Incorporated to forecast residential and commercial gas demand in Fairbanks.The text of this report appears in Appendix E. The potential residential and commercial demand for natural gas in the Fairbanks area is dependent on the price competitiveness of natural gas with respect to No.2 distillate fuel oil and propane in heating and water heating markets,and its price competitiveness with propane and electricity in cooking applications.The potential demand of natural gas as a cooking fuel is estimated to be less than 5.0 percent of the total potential demand for natural gas even if the gas were to fully displace bottled propane in commercial cooking applications. The forecasts of potential gas demand have been made conditional on the gas achieving discrete percentages of the total market for heating and cooking energy no percent,25 percent,40 percent,and 100 percent displacement of fuel oil and propane in heating and of propane in cooking).The size of the total market to which these percentages have been applied has,in turn,been projected to grow at a 1.43 percent annual average rate from 1981 for the low growth forecast,and at a 2.30 2648B 4-39 r r r r r - r r r r r r r r r r r r percent annual average rate for the medium growth forecast.These growth rates are the rates of Fairbanks population growth implied,respectively, by Battelle's (1982)low forecast of the demand for electricity in the Railbelt area,and Acres American's (1981)medium forecast of Railbelt electricity demand. The prices at which residential and commercial users would have a minimum financial incentive to convert from fuel 0;1 to natural gas for heating purposes have been derived.These "consumer breakeven"prices are based upon the assumption that the maximum discounted payback period for consumers is 5 years.At the 1982 price of No.2 distillate,$1.22 per gallon,the calculated consumer breakeven prices are $9.58 per MCF for residential heating and $9.94 per MCF for commercial heating.These pric~s will ri se annually at approximately the real (i nfl ati on free)rate of increase of fossil fuel prices in general.If this rate is the 2.0 percent real rate assumed by Battelle (1982)and Acres (1981),by the year 2010 the breakeven prices in (1982 dollars)will have reached $16.68 per MCF (residential)and $17.31 per MCF (commercial). The presence of calculated breakeven prices is necessary for the forecast;ng of natural gas demand.However,breakeven price data and price elasticity data are insufficient for such a forecast in this case. These price and elasticity data are insufficient because the situation involves a new product (natural gas)competing with an existing product (e.g.,distillate oil,propane).Additional factors influence consumer demand inclUding:1)consumer perceptions of the two products;2) consumer inertia;3)initial and/or unusual incentives offered by suppliers of the competing fuels based upon their calculated present worth of achieving certain market shares;and 4)other less defined factors.Because of these unquantified factors,conditional demand estimates have been forecast;and these are based upon price analysi s alone. If natural gas is priced below the consumer breakeven level,users will have an increased financial incentive to shift from fuel oil.For every 10¢by which the price of gas falls below the breakeven level, 26488 4-40 ,.WuM r I r r r~ r r residential users will realize approximately $81.00 (in 1982 dollars)in additional savings over the estimated cost of conversion.It might be expected that extensive inroads against fuel oil will begin to be made if gas is priced sufficiently below breakeven so as to cover conversion costs and to achieve a significant level of savings (measured as the excess of the present value of annual cash savings over conversion costs.) It must be recognized that the producers and suppliers of fuel oil are likely to respond to the intrusion of natural gas by either lowering the price of No.2 distillate or by offering other incentives.While the intensity of reaction by oil suppliers cannot be forecast,it can be assumed that suppliers are capable of at least offsetting the price advantage that natural gas has traditionally enjoyed based on its reputation as a "c l ean lJ fuel.Therefore,the above calculation of consumer breakeven pri ces correctly ignores the fact that man,y consumers might be willing to pay a premium for such natural gas properties. DELIVERED GAS,BCF PER YEAR 1985 2010 The conditioned demand projections derived are presented in detail in Appendi x E and are sununarized below for the medium growth projection. These values represent the annual demand for delivered gas conditional upon the percentage of market penetration indicated,where the total market,defined in terms of effective MMBtu'sl!is set equal to 100 1/Effective MMBtu's (million Btu's)are delivered MMBtu's adjusted for the fuel burning efficiency of heating units and cooking units.For example,if oil burners are 65 percent efficient,one delivered MMBtu equals 0.65 effective MMBtu's.. 0.931 2.328 3.726 9.314 0.527 1.319 2.110 5.274 10%of Market 25%of Market 40%of Market 100%of Market MARKET GROWTH @ 2.30 PERCENT r r r r r r., r r 2648B 4-41 1/Heat loss is proportional to the indoor-outdoor temperature differential and inversely proportional to the insulation factor. At an indoor temperature setting of 65 0 Fahrenheit,relative monthly heating degree days is the appropriate measure of relative monthly heat loss. percent of commercial and residential heating energy requirements plus 29 percent of residential cooking energy requirements.The delivered .gas demand values were calculate'd based upon different thennal efficiencies for oil and gas fired units. Peak daily demand during the month of January can reasonably be estimated as 0.0322 (1/31)of the monthly demand times a factor that all ows for extremes of col d.Between 1961 and 1982,the highest number of January heating degree days recorded in Fairbanks was 3002 (in January 1971).The January average was 2384.The ratio of the two The demand for gas would not be constantly distributed throughout the year.Based on an appraisal of normal monthly heating degree days in Fairbanks,and an assumed indoor temperature setting of 65 0 Fahrenheit, approximately 16.6 percent of annual Fairbanks heating energy is consumed in Janua~,the peak month for demand.1/Although cooking energy requirements may be more evenly spread across the year,the relatively small size of cooking demand,less than 5.0 percent of the total,suggests rather strongly that an apportionment of total demand according to the conductive heat transfer formula will yield a good estimate of peak monthly demand.Use of this method implies the following peak monthly demand (January)for natural gas in Fairbanks for the medium growth projection. 0.155 0.386 0.619 1.546 0.087 0.219 0.350 0.875 DELIVERED GAS,BCF PER PEAK MONTH January January 1~5 2mO MARKET GROWTH @ 2.30 PERCENT 10%of Market 25%of Market 40%of Market 100%of Market r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r 26488 4-42 ~·~rn_"i.~----~-•_ DELIVERED GAS,BCF,PEAK DAILY January January 1985 2010 Peak hourly demand,defined as 0.0417 (1/24)times peak daily demand is quite small.For examp1 e,in the maximal case of 2.30 percent growth and 100 percent market penetration,the peak hourly demand is only 0.0026 BCF,or 2,600 MCF. (1.26)when multiplied by 0.0322 yields an appropriate measure of peak daily demand when their product is in turn multiplied by peak monthly demand.Thus,peak daily demand equals 0.0406 times peak monthly demand.The daily peaks are given in the following table for the medium growth projection: r r r r r r r r MARKET GROWTH @ 2.30 PERCENT 10%of Ma rket 25%of Market 40%of Ma rket 100%of Market 0.004 0.009 0.014 0.036 0.006 0.016 0.025 0.063 r r r r r r ·r Finally,expansion of the Fairbanks steam district heating system could reduce the demand for natural gas below the estimates presented above. On the assumption that the district heating system supplies only commercial and government us~rs,the implied reduction is at most 15.0 percent of the estimates given above,since commercial use of gas is projected to be at most 15.0 percent of total demand. 4.4.2 Fairbanks Gas Distribution System The Fairbanks natural gas transmission and distribution system will be designed in conformance with Part 5,Alaska Public Utilities Commission,Chapter 48,Practice and Procedures;Federal Safety Standards for Transportation of Natural Gas and Other Gas by Pipeline, 49 CFR Part 293,Latest Revision;and the American National Standard Code for Gas Transmission and Distribution Piping Systems,B 31.8, Latest Edition. 2648B 4-43 r r r r r r r r r r r r r The overall system network will consist of a transmission lateral from a metering station near Fox to a City Gate Station with a minimum inlet pressure to the gate station of 250 psig.a 125 psig high pressure system to distribute gas to district regulators.and a 60 psig maximum distribution system to carry gas to individual customer services. Generally.the rural facilities wi'll be considered in Location Class 3. and those in the urban areas in Location Class 4. 4.4.2.1 Gas Transmission Line The gas transmission line will connect to the 22-inch pipeline near Fox (Figure 4-10).The line will be in pUblic right-of-way.adjacent to the traveled roadway.The line will follow the Steese Highway to the intersection of Farmers Loop Road to the City Gate Station.This is approximately 12 miles of transmission line. As load develops north of the Chen a Hot Spring Road along the Steese Highway and McGrath Road.a secondary tap and gate station might be considered at the intersection of Chena Hot Spring Road and the Steese Highway for service to this northern load.and as a backfeed to the McGrath and Farmers Loop Road facilities. The transmission line will operate at the main pipeline pressure of approximately 1.000 psig at the take-off point and have a design pressure of 1.260 psig.The gas flow will be metered at the take-off point. The transmission line has been designed to provide peak hour coverage for commercial and residential customers in the year 2010.At this point.depending on actual growth and the location of additional supply sources.the transmission line may have to be supplemented.The 2010 peak hour projections were used to determine the range of transmission line sizes required. 26488 4-44 -----------~-@.i'J'¥----"'--~--.-------- ~~~'--=-1 ~~ f ~-1 4 ~-----"-1 -----'-1 c-----,~ ·jo'j;''''''. ~~-'----J I r:I @ UL!Il'W-'"...._ J _"i II II ..I """r /E Il 0 ..... (!) f' e o LOAD C."TI'" --GA.Lilli HOlE!: 1.HkItI PM8SmE OISTRIBUTKtN FAOM ern OAT'I 8tAl'lOt4 AT US PSIO. I.lOW mEGat.A:.DtSTRUUTKtN FADM LOAD CENtf:h At 80 "10 ' J.LOAD C~NT"-R9 @.@."NO @ FOR FUTURE USE. ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY HORTH SLOPE GAS FUSIBILfTY STUDY CITY OF FAIRBANKS GAS DISTRIBUTION "QUI'IE 4-10 !BASCO SERVICES INCOAPOAA TED 4.4.2.2 City Gate Station The City Gate Station will be designed for an incoming gas pressure of 1,260 psig.The nonna1 incoming operating pressure could drop as low .as 250 ps ig during the medium forecast peak daily f10wrates.The outlet pressure wili be 125 psig.Gas heating equipment may be required to prevent the gas temperature from dropping below _20 0 F. r r r r r r r r r r The vicinity of the intersection of Fanners loop Road and the old Steese Highway appears to be a suitable location for the City Gate Station.No specific inquiries were made as to availability and cost of vacant land in the area.The station will be above ground and can be accommodated on an average city lot. United States Geological Survey (USGS)maps indicate that this is a penna frost area.One test bore in the immedi ate area indicates that pennafrost begins at a depth of 19 feet.Further analysis will have to be made to detennine soil and foundation conditions before any land commitments are made. Gas metering,conditioning,pressure reduction and flow control are the basic functions that will take place at the gate station.It is anticipated that the meter runs,control valves,odorization equipment and instrumentation devices will be indoors.A single story concrete. block or insulated corrugated metal building approximately 20 1 x 50' would fulfill the requirement. Gas purity is a major concern to distribution companies and specifications are incorporated into gas purchase contracts.The North Slope gas conditioning facility,however,will produce a pipeline gas that meets typical specifications for domestic and commercial natural gas.It is therefore assumed that the only gas processing required at the gate station will be particulate and liquids removal carried over from the North Slope to Fairbanks pipeline after primary processing has been accomplished. 26488 4-46 ~---------_._-----~----------------------~-~_._--- r r f ~.r r r Ir r r r r,I f r Suspended solids and liquids will be removed prior to pressure reduction by means of a conventional scrubber,and liquid resulting from the condensation phenomena accompanying pressure reduction will be removed by liquid knockout drip pots. A gas odorization system will be part of the gate station facilities. The system will be designed to maintain a relatively constant rate of odorization with varying gas volumes.A liquid injection system based upon gas volume measurement is anticipated.The odorization rate will be in the range of 0.25 to 1.00 pounds odorant per million cubic feet of gas. Pressure reduction from 1,000psig inlet pressure to 125 psig station outlet pressure will be accomplished at the gate station.Conventional pressure reducing valve(s)with pilots and bypasses will be used.The outlet of the gate station (inlet to high pressure system)will also be provided with overpressure protection.An atmospheric relief sized to relieve at the maximum allowable operating pressure plus 10 percent or series monitor regulation will be considered. Metering and gas flow control will take place at parallel meter runs. Station flow will be remotely controlled by the gas dispatcher from the headquarters office.Remote control telemetering will allow the station to be nonna11y unmanned. 4.4.2.3 High Pressure System The high pressure system will operate at an inlet pressure of 125 psig from the City Gate Station.It is expected to traverse public rights-of-way adjacent to traveled roads as shown on the conceptual gri d map (Figure 4-10).Lateral s will branch off to load centers where pressure reduction and overpressure protection will be provided at district regulating stations.From these regulator stations,gas will be distributed to the individual 60 psig networks. 2648B 4-47 HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MAINS Individual high pressure mains are sized based upon peak hour load center estimates using the Spitzglass high pressure formula.The sizes and footages of the high pressure mains based upon the preliminary network analysis are listed below.The high pressure system will be standard wall API 5L GR.B steel pipe as requi~ed. r r r Size 8 11 1011 12 11 14 11 18 11 Length -Feet 6,000 15,000 27,375 7,500 r r r r r r r r 4.4.2.4 District Regulators District regulator stations will be located at the inlet to 60 psig distribution networks as shown on Figure 4-10.These fifteen (15) stations will be designed to reduce the inlet pressure to 60 psig,and to provide overpressure protection for the distribution system.The method of overpressure protection (e.g.,,atmospheric relief,monitor regulators,etc.)will be determined during final design. The type of construction and location of district regulator stations will also be determined during final design.The options of underground vault versus aboveground station construction must be reviewed with respect to considerations of the availability of public ri ght-of-way,private easement,soil and groundwater characteri sties, equipment operating capabilities and safety. 4.4.2.5 Distribution Systems The distribution systems as shown onFigure 4-10 will deliver maximum 60 psig and minimum 15 psig gas to individual customer services.The lines will be polyethylene pipe,PF 3408 per ASTM 0 2513.The pipe will be SDR 11 for Class 4 locations and SDR 13.5 for Class 3 2648B 4-48 ____.._.w~,._ SCHEDULE OF DISTRIBUTION MAINS Residential temperature compensated meters sized for this demand load must also satisfy the following specifications: Services will be sized to deliver gas for maximum e~timated demand of approximately 225 cubic feet'per hour (CF/HR). Residential regulators sized to deliver the demand load at an inlet pressure range 15 to 60 psi g and an outl et pressure of 611 to 711 W.C. will be specified for residential customers as standard. Length -Feet 450.000 78.000 87.000 2.250 1.500 -O.Sf!W.C. -30 0 F -]'I W.c. -_70 0 F 211 4 11 6 11 811 12 11 Size Maximum pressure drop Gas temperature Inlet pressure Ambient air temperature The distribution lines will be laid in public rights-of-way at a depth of three feet to the top of the main.The lines will be laid on the opposite side of the road from existing or proposed water mains.The estimated footages by size of distribution mains are tabulated below. locations.The smoother inside surface of plastic pipe allows the same sizes as steel pipe to handle the higher f10wrates.Individual lines will be sized using the Spitzg1ass fonmu1a.In general.distribution lines will be 211 as standard.Larger size lines will be the exception.Distribution lines will be valved to comply with Gode requirements and good operating practices. 4.4.2.6 Residential Services r r r r r ·r r r r r r r r r r r r r 2648B 4-49 -----------------.....---------_._-~--------------- r r r r r r r r r 'f r r r r r r Residential services will be standardized as welded and wrapped steel. The meter and regulator wil1 5 when desirable,be in the basement.The service will have a curb cock where the meter and regulator is indoors. If a service meter/regulator set cannot be pl aced i ndoors 5 consideration ,, will be given to enclosing them in a metal or wooden,insulated and heated enclosure.In this case,a curb cock m~not be required.The service head will be designed to allow for flexibility of movement due to frost heave and settlement. Services will be sized for a 1.5 to 3 psig maximum allowable pressure drop'for inlet pressur.es of 15 psig minimum to 60 psig maximum. Assuming an average service length of 100 feet (allowing for equivalent length for fittings)5 and a 15 psig inlet pressure and a maximum 1.5 psig pressure droP5 a 1/211 steel service has the capacity of 395 CF/HR at a specific gravity of 0.65 and a temperature of 30°F.This is in excess of the 225 CF/HR estimated maximum residential demand,and the allowable pressure drop is not exceeded.Therefore 5 a system standard of 1/2 11 service size will be used for the average residential customer. 4.4.2.7 Convnerci al /Industri a1 Services Commercial/industrial services will be designed and constructed following the same general procedures as for residential services.However,no attempt is made to standardize on size.Rather 5 each service will be sized to meet its special load requirements.In addition 5 it is highly possible that some convnerci al /i ndustri al customers may be better served from a 125 psig main.In these cases 5 the requirement of dual regulation or other secondary overpressure protection will be provided in the service design. 4.4.2.8 Headquarters Building The headquarters building will contain office space for the gas dispatch and operating personnel.It will also include telemetry for controlling 2648B 4-50 r r r~r r r r r r r r r 1.... I r r r r r r gas flow at the City Gas Station.Building size will be approximately 25'x 50'single story,constructed of concrete block or insulated corrugated metal suitable for climatic conditions in Fairbanks,Alaska. 4.4.2.9 Cold Temperature Design and Environmental Factors The Fairbanks gas distribution facilities will be designed to meet or exceed the most stringent applicable minimum construction and safety standards.However,there are technical considerations which are not now specifically covered by code which must be investigated in great detail and solutions deve1op~d prior to final site selection and completion of detailed design.In addition,there are environmental considerations which must be investigated and addressed more fully during the design phase of the project.Among these are: 1.Pennafrost and Frost Heave 2.Field (hydrostatic)Testing 3.Cold Temperature Operation of System Components 4.River and Stream Crossings 5.Ice Fog Permafrost and Frost Heave United States Geological Survey data for the area of the gas distribution system has been reviewed.This review indicates that the distribution system will traverse three general i zed units of subsurface conditions. These are the Tanana-Chena River Flood Plain,the Upland Hills,and the Creek Valley Bottom formations. The Tanana-Chena River Flood Plain consists of alternating layers of alluvial silt,sand and gravel.The top silt layers ranges from 1 to 15 feet thick.Permafrost is discontinuous and randomly located and ranges in depth to the top from 2 to 4 feet in older parts of the flood plain, and to 25 to 40 feet in cleared areas.Where frozen,silt has a low to moderate ice content in the form of thin seams.The silt will develop 2648B 4-51 -~-". r r r cr r r - 'f r r r r r r r r r r r some subsidence when thawed,and may undergo intense seasonal frost heave.The portion of the distrjbution system "in town"is generally in the flood plain fonmation • Adjacent to the flood plain are gently rolling bedrock hills covered.by from 3 to 200 feet of windblown silt (loess).The Upland Hills are generally free of permafrost although perennially frozen silt does occur along the base of most hills.Portions of the transmission lateral along the Steese Highway traverse this formation,as do portions of the distribution system along Farmers Loop Road. The valley bottoms of the upland contain this silt accumulations that are perennially frozen and h~ve high ice content.The depth to permafrost is from 1-1/2 to 3 feet on lower slopes and valley bottoms,from 5 to 20 feet near contact with the unfrozen silt zone,and from 10 to 25 feet in cl eared areas. The seasonal frost layer is from 1-1/2 to 3 feet thick.Seasonal frost action is intense,and there is great subsidence when permafrost thaws. Sections of the transmission lateral along the Steese Highway as well as part of the distribution system along Farmers loop road cross this formation.In addition,the proposed location of the City Gate Station is within the limits of the Creek Valley Bottom formation. The relation made between the distribution system and area geology above is based upon subsurface fonnation areas generally described on U.S.G.S. Quadrangle Maps.Local variations may occur,particularly near the interface between fonnations.Therefore,a detailed analysis of soil conditions along the proposed right-of-way will be necessary to detennine where and to what extent frost susceptible soil and/or permafrost exist. Final facilities location and design must be based upon flowing gas temperatures within the system and subsurface soil survey and analysis. Systems operating temperatures,at one-extreme,may cause thermal degradation of pennafrost,and at the other extreme frost heave may be 2648B 4-52 r r r rr r Tr r r r r r r r r r r r the problem.In either case,specialized design may be necessary to assure that the i ntegri ty of the'system and/or the envi ronment are not jeopardized. Field (Hydrostatic)Testing The detailed design phase of the project will result in final deternlination of the pipe specifications for the project.These will be based upon the balance of service performance expectations and the economics of purchase and installation.At that time,the final code and permit requirements with respect to testing will be more exactly known. Hydrostatic testing will require that procedures and specifications address testing at ambient air temperatures be10w 32°F.~and dewatering and IIdrying"of pipe lines after testing.In addition,cold temperature testing will require a review of brittle fracture mechanics for the specified pipe material. As generally designed now,the 60 psig distribution system would be pneumatically tested to 100 psig.The 125 psig high pressure system would be hYdrostatically tested to 175 psig.The transmission lateral would be tested hydrostatically to 1.4 times the maximum operating pressure. System Component Operation The effects of subarctic temperatures and the temperature of flowing gas will require particular attention and perhaps specialized design to assure long,trouble free operation of the system.Among the areas where special effort may be required are: Gas Meters:Di aphragm materi a1 s with acceptable lower operating temperature limit to _70 0 F.must be provided. Potential condensate problems must be analyzed. Shut Off Valve:Lubricant freeze up potentials must be investigated. Valve box and operating nut accessibility in frozen snow and ice must be reviewed. 2648B 4-53 r ~I··Pipe Material:Effects of stress at cold temperature must be considered.Stresses resulting from cold temperature must be considered in design. Regul ators:r r r r :'1 r r r r r r r r Effects of cold temperature and condensate freeze up on diaphragm and valve discs must be studied. River and Stream Crossings The conceptual system layout indicates that there are nine river and creek pipeline crossings.They are: Jessela Creek at Farmers Loop Road Isabella Creek at Farmers Loop Road Pearl Creek at Farmers Loop Road Chena River at N.Hall Street Noyes Slough at Illinois Street Noyes Slough at Alder Avenue Deadman Slough at Geist Road Deadman Slough at Loftus Road Deadman Slough at Fairbanks Street It is anticipated that the major crossing can be made using existing bridges.These will require close interface with highway officials and engineers.Specialized design for support,thermal movement, installation procedures,and protective coating may be necessary. Those crossings for which a bridge crossing is not possible will require that stream flows,bed movement and scour,and potential fishery impacts be analyzed,and that appropriate design and construction procedures be developed accordingly. Ice Fog Ice fog is a serious and complex problem which is still being studied. Many solutions have been suggested to reduce the occurrence of ice fog. The principal focus has been on reducing water vapor emissions from the generation of heat and power.It is understood that as the quantity of water vapor released to this atmosphere is reduced,the temperature at which ice fog forms will decrease away from zero,thus decreasing the frequency of occurrence.Any design of a gas distribution system in 2648B 4-54 r r r r r J" r r r r r r Fairbanks must include appropriate measures to reduce water vapor released to the atmosphere. 4.5 COST ESTIMATES 4.5.1 Capital Costs 4.5.1.1 North Slope to Fairbanks Natural Gas Pipeline Order of magnitude,investment cost estimates have been prepared for the systems and facilities which comprise the North Slope to Fairbanks natural gas pipeline.These estimates are presented in Table 4-14. 4.5.1.2 Power Plant To support the derivation of total systems costs which are presented in Section 4.5.4,order of magnitude investment costs were developed for the major bid lines items common to a 77 MW (ISO conditions)natural gas fired simple cycle combustion turbine and a 220 MW (ISO conditions) natural gas fired combined cycle plant.These costs are presented in Tables 4-15 and 4-16.The costs represent the total investment for the first unit to be developed a~the site.Additional simple cycle units will have an estimated investment cost of $33,900,000 while additional combined cycle units will have an estimated investment cost of $127,430,000.The cost differential for additional units is due to significant reductions in line items 1 and 15,improvements to Site and Off-Site Facilities,and reductions in Indirect Construction Cost and Engineering and Construction Management. 4.5.1.3 Transmission Line Systems Transmission line order of magnitude investment cost estimates for the Fairbanks to Anchorage connection are presented in Table 4-17.These estimates are based on two new 345 kV lines,in parallel,1400 MW capaci ty,wi th seri es compensati on and an ;ntermed;ate swi tchi ng 2648B 4-55 r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r TABLE 4-14 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS NORTH SLOPE TO FAIRBANKS NATURAL GAS PIPELINE (January,1982 Dollars) Description!! Materi al s Cons~ruction Total Di rect ($1000)Labor_/($1000)Cost ($1000) --_.--- 22 in 0.0.Gas Pipeline 480,000 4,100,000 4,580,000 Compressor Stations -10 ea 96,800 83,400 180,200 Metering Stations - 2 ea 2,800 6,000 8,800 Valve Stations -28 ea 2,500 3,800 6,300 Engineeri ng &Construction 28,700 Management SUBTOTAL $582,100 $4,193,200 $4,804,000 Gas Conditioning Facil ity~/780,000 TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $5,584,000 1/A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been di stri buted among each of the cost categories shown. Sales/use taxes and land and land rights expenses have not been included. ~Construction camp facilities and services are subsumed in the Construction Labor cost category. 3/Factored pricing basis which includes engineering and construction management costs. 2648B 4-56 r r r r r r r r r r r TABLE 4-15 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COST ESTIMATES 77 MW SIMPLE CYCLE COMBUSTION TURBINE (January,1982 Dollars) Construction Total De scri pti on.~./f~ateri al s Labor Di rect Cost ($1000)($1000) ($1000)-_..-_._---_._~ l.Improvements to Site 405 1,240 1,645 2.Earthwork and Piling 195 345 540 3.Circulating Water.System 0 0 0 4.Concrete 475 2,145 2,620 5.Structural Steel Lifting 1,725 1,370 3,095 Equipment,Stacks 6.Buildings 750 1,440 2,190 7.Turbine Generator 11,100 650 11 ,750 8.Steam Generator and Accessories 0 0 0 9.Other Mechanical Equipment 460 235 695 10.Pi ping 205 510 715 ll.Insulation and Lagging 30 110 140 12.Instrumentation 100 70 170 13.El ectri ca 1 Equipment 1,510 2,590 4,100 14.Pa i nting 70 250 320 15.Off-Site Facilities 300 1,080 1,380 SUBTOTAL $17,325 $12,035 $29,360 Freight Increment 865 TOTAL DIRECT CONSTRUCTION COST $30,225 Indirect Construction Costs 1,665 SUBTOTAL FOR CONTINGENCIES 31,890 Conti ngenci es (15%)4,790 TOTAL SPECIFIC CONSTRUCTION COST 36,680 Engineering and Construction 2,200 Management TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $38,880 1/The following items are not addressed in the plant investment pricing: laboratory equipment,switchyard and transmission facilities,spare parts,land or land rights,and sales/use taxes. ----------------------------~--- 2648B 4-57 r r r r r I r r r r 'I r r TABLE 4-16 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS 220 MW COMBINED CYCLE PLANT (January,1982 Dollars) Total Construction Di rect De sc ri pti oo.!/ Materi al Labor Cost ($1000)($1000)($1000) ----- l.Improvements to Site 425 1,295 1,720 2.Earthwork and Piling 570 1,050 1,620 3.Circulating Water System 0 0 0 4.Concrete 1,485 6,730 8,215 ,5.Structural Steel Lifting 3,800 3,530 7,330 Equipment,Stacks 6."Buildings 1,800 3,600 5,400 7.Turbine Generator 30,100 2,520 32,620 8.Steam Generator and Accessories 9,600 4,320 13,920 9.Other Mechanical Equipment 6,735 3,425 10,160 10.Pi ping 1,500 2,910 4,410 1l.Insulation and Lagging 290 690 980 12.Instrumentation 1,700 290 1,990 13.Electrical Equipment 4,550 8,640 13,190 14.Pa i nting 200 720 920 15.Off-Site Facilities 300 1,080 1,380 SUBTOTAL $63,055 $40,800 $103,855 Freight Increment 3,155 TOTAL DIRECT CONSTRUCTION COST $107,010 Indi rect Construction Costs 4,235 SUBTOTAL FOR CONTINGENCIES 111,245 Contingencies (15%)16,685 TOTAL SPECIFIC CONSTRUCTION COST 127,930 Engineering and Construction 6,800 Management TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $134,730 1/The following items are not addressed in the plant investment pricing: laboratory equipment,switchyard and transmission facilities,spare parts,land or land rights,and sales/use taxes. --------------- 2648B 4-58 l!The investment costs reflect two new 345 kV lines,1400 MW capacity,with series compensation and an intermedi ate switchi ng stati on and upgradi ng of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the existing grid to 345 kV. 2/Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (Acres American Inc.1981). TABLE 4-17 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS FAIRBANKS TO ANCHORAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM (January,1982 Dollars) -----------_.---- ---- r r r r r r r 'r r r De scri pti on!! Switching Stations Substations Energy Management Systems Steel Towers and Fi xtures Conductors and Devices C1 eari ng SUBTOTAL Land and Land Ri9hts~ Engineering and Construction Management TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST Materi al ($1000) 14,112 62,308 12,300 216,495 33,678 $388,893 Constructi on Labor ($1000) 12,445 41,716 10,960 305,085 78,361 83,144 $531,711 Total Di rect Cost ($1000) 26,557 104,024 23,260 521 ,580 112,039 83,144 $870,604 27,600 60,950 $959,154 r r r r f .------------'-------------- 2648B 4-59 r r r r station.The investment cost estimatesal so refl ect upgradi ng from 138 kV to 345 kV of the Wi 11 ow-Anchorage a nd Healy-Fa i rbanks segments of the existing grid. 4.5.1.4 Gas Distribution System Order of magnitude,investment cost estimates (January,1982 dollars) have been prepared for the systems and facil ities which compri se the Fairbanks gas distribution system.The results of the analyses are given below.A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been distributed between each cost category.Sales/use taxes and land rights have not been included. iF r Materials ($1000)-"--- Gas Distribution System $11,500 Eng i neeri ng and Co nstructi on Ma nagement TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST 4.5.2 Operating and Maintenance Costs Constructi on Labor ($1000) $48,200 Total Di rect Cost ($1000)-"_.- $59,700 3,582 $63,282 4.5.2.1 Gas Pipeline and Conditioning Facility Annual Operating and maintenance costs (January,1982 dollars)for the gas conditioning facilities are estimated to be as follows: r r r r r 2648B ITEM Sal aries Maintenance Costs (Parts and Expendables) TOTAL 4-60 ANNUAL COSTS ($1000) $2,480 3,750 $6,230 Annual operating and maintenance costs (January,1982 dollars)for the gas compressor stations and pipeline maintenance activities are estimated to be as foll ows: Operating and maintenance costs for the combined cycle facility at Fairbanks are estimated to be $0.0040/kWh.These are based on di scussi ons with operati ng pl ant personnel,hi story of simil ar units, El ectri c Power Research Institute data,pub1 i shed data and other studies performed. r r r r r r r r ITEM Sal aries Maintenance Costs (Parts, Expendables,Other) TOTAL 4.5.2.2 Power Plant ANNUAL COSTS ($1000) $4,400 5,850 $10,250 f r 4.5.2.3 Transmission Line Systems Annual operating and maintenance costs (January 1982 dollars)have been developed for the scenario's required transmission line facilities and total $12 million per year.These costs should be viewed as an annual average over the life of the system.Actual O&M costs should be less initially,and will increase with time. 4.5.2.4 Gas Distribution System Annual operating and maintenance costs (January 1982 dollars)for the Fairbanks gas distribution system are estimated to be as follows: r r r r r Item Sal aries Maintenance Costs (Parts,Consumables,Other) TOTAL 2648B 4-61 ANNUAL COSTS ($1000) $1,290 500 $1,790 r r r r r r r r r r 4.5.3 Fuel Costs For the economic analyses which follow fuel costs were treated as zero. This approach permits fuel cost and fuel price escalation to be treated separately;and makes possible subsequent sensitivity analyses of the Present Worth of Costs for thi s scenari 0 based upon a range of fuel cost and cost escal ati on assumpti ons. 4.5.4 Total System Costs 4.5.4.1 Cost Allocation ~1ethodology For purposes of total system cost compari sons,natural gas pipel i ne conditioning plant and pipeline costs from the North Slope to Fairbanks must be allocated between electricity generation applications and resi denti al /col1111erc i al customer appl i cati ons.In thi s way the non-electric system costs can be removed from the total cost comparison associated with electricity supply.Two types of costs must be allocated:(1)capital investment costs;and (2)annual costs,including operating and maintenance (O&M)costs and fuel costs (e.g.,for pipeline comp ressor stati ons). Capital cost allocation is based upon the peak demand for natural gas, and consequently the capaci ty requi rements of the 1 i nee In thi s allocation it is useful to make the conservative assumption that both peak loads may occur simultaneously.Given that assumption,the following formulas can be used to allocate capital costs: PE/(P E +PR)=0 1 01 (I Ge +I p )=ESCC (1) (2) :r r r Where PE = PR = °1 = IGC = I = EgCC 26488 peak natural gas demand for electricity generation peak natural gas demand for residential and commercial uses the proportion of investment costs charged to electricity generation capital investment in the conditioning plant capital investment in the pipeline =electric service related capital charges 4-62 Annual costs are allocated on an energy basis rather than on a capacity basis.Those costs are allocated by the following formula: Again,disaggregation may be accomplished for O&M or fuel costs;and this is accomplished by multiplying the 0A term by either SCO+M or SC F.Again,only shared costs are consid~red,and user community- specific costs are not considered. Given these formul ae,costs may be di saggregated.Costs may be allocated to residential and commercial users by substituting (1-01) for 01 and (l-OA)for 0A'Precise comparison of the electrical generation options can now be accomplished. The second formula arrives at the specific dollar value for allocation purposes.It can be applied either to I GC or I p separately when capital costs must be disaggregated by component,or as shown for the total capital burden.Neither formula is applied to investments that are specific to one user community (e.g.the residential gas distribution system),as those investment costs must be borne totally by the appropriate users. (3) (4) (5 ) total shared annual charges shared 0 &M costs shared fuel costs annual natural gas consumption for electricity generation annual natural gas consumption by residential and commercial users the proportion of annual costs charged to electricity generation electrical service related annual costs SCA =SCO+M +SC F EC E (EC E +EC R)=°A 0A x SCA =ESAC ESAC = o -A - Where: SCA = SC OfM = SC F = EC E = EC R = r r r r r r r r r r r ,f r f r 26488 4-63 r .1 r r r r r r r r r 4.5.4.2 Power Generation System Costs , The Fairbanks medium load growth scenario is far more complex than the Prudhoe Bay medium load growth scenario in that it includes:(1)a gas conditioning facility,(2)a natural gas pipeline,(3)power generation facilities,and (4)transmission line facilities. Further,the conditioning plant and pipeline fac'ilities serve both electricity and residential/commercial markets.As a consequence,the capital,operating and maintenance,and fuel costs associated with the conditioning facility and pipeline must be apportioned to the respective user communities. The method for apportionment has been previously described (see Section 4.5.4.1).On this basis Or and 0A values are calculated (0 refers to the fraction of costs apportioned to the electricity segment of the natural gas market).Or'the capital cost apportionment term,is calculated as follows for the medium load forecast: Residential/Commercial =63 MMSCFD Peak Daily Flow (2010) Electricity Generation =271 MMSCFD Peak Daily Flow (2010) Total Peak Daily Flow =334 MMSCFD Or =0.82 0A'the annual costs apportionment term,varies over time for the medium load forecast.Values for 0A are presented in Table 4-18. Gi ve n the apporti onment terms,the annual systems costs for the electricity generation system can be presented.The annual capital expenditures are shown in Table 4-19.The annual non-fuel O&M costs are shown in Table 4-20.The annual fuel costs,based upon a wellhead price and escalated at 2 percent per year (above inflation)are shown in Table 4-21.The summary of total systems costs is presented in Tabl e 4-22. 2648B 4-64 r r r r,I TABLE 4-18 o ,VALUES!.!A FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST Resi denti al El ectri cal Total Calendar Demand Demand DemandrYear(BCFY)(BCFY) (BCFY)°A ---_._----- r 1982 O.O.O.NA?:.! 1983 O.O.O.NA 1984 O.O.O.NA 1985 O.O.O.NA 1986 O.O.O.NA 1987 O.O.O.NA 1988 O.O.O.NAr1989O.O.O.NA 1990 O.O.O.NA 1991 O.O.O.NAr1992O.O.O.NA 1993 1.219 6.266 7.485 0.84 1994 2.494 6.266 8.760 0.72 1995 3.827 12.532 16.359 0.77r19965.220 12.633 17.853 0.71 1997 6.676 25.133 31.809 0.79 1998 6.829 25.203 32.032 0.79r19996.986 25.203 32.189 0.78 2000 7.147 31.551 38.698 0.82 2001 7.311 31.467 38.778 0.81 2002 7.479 37.804 45.283 0.83 2003 7.651 37.804 45.455 0.83 2004 7.827 44.188 52.015 0.85 2005 8.008 45.809 53.817 0.85 2006 8.192 49.535 57.727 0.86 2007 8.380 53.146 61.526 0.86 2008 8.573 52.292 60.865 0.86r20098.770 55.893 64.663 0.86 201 0 8.971 59.425 68.396 0.87 r 1/Values as calculated are shown for purposes of reproducibility only,and do not imply accuracy beyond 100 MMSCFD. r 2/NA -Not applicable r 26488 r 4-65 ,I i _w r r TABLE 4-19 TOTAL ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURESrFAIRBANKSPOWERGENERATION-MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) r Gas Ca 1endar Electricity GeneratedL/Transmission ConditioningrYearUnitAUnitBLinePipelinePlant Total r 1982 O.O.O.O.O.O. 1983 O.O.O.O.O.O. 1984 O.O.O.O.O.O. r 1985 O.O.O.O.O.O. 1986 O.O.O.O.o.O•. 1987 O.O.O.O.O.O. 1988 O.O.514.2 O.O.514.2 ,r 1989 o.o.118.1 1 ,313.1 O.1,431.2 1990 0"O.232.4 1 ,313.1 319.8 1,865.3 1991 9.91Y O.94.5 1 ,31 3.1 319.8 1,737.3r199233.90 O.O.O.O.33.9 1993 o.O.o.o.O.O. 1994 33.90 O.O.O.O.33.9 1995 56.97 o.o.O.O.57.0r199633.90 33.90 o.o.O.67.8 1997 56.97 o.o.O.o.57.0 1998 O.o.o.O.O.o.r 1999 33.90 o.O.O.O.33.9 .2000 o.O•o.O.O.o. 2001 33.90 56.97 o.o.O.90.0 r 2002 O.o.o.o.o.o. 2003 33.90 o.o.O.o.33.9 2004 33.90 56.97 o.o.O.90.9 2005 33.90 O.o.o.O.33.9 2006 33.90 O.o.O.O.33.9 2007 56.97 o.o.o.o.57.0 2008 33.90 o.o.o.O.33.9r200933.90 o.o.o.O.33.9 2010 0"O.O.O.o.O. Total $554. $148.$959.$3,939.$640.$6,240.r 1/Unit B denotes a second unit erected in any give year. f ?/Includes all site preparation activities for multiple unit site. 2648B 4-66 r r r TABLE 4-20 TOTAL ANNUAL NON-FUEL OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) GasrCalendarElectricityTransmissionConditioning Year Generated Line Pipeline Pl ant Total 1982 O.O.O.O.O. 1983 O.O.O.O.O. 1984 O.O.O.O.O. 1985 O.O.O.O.O. 1986 O.O.O.O.O. 1987 O.O.O.O.o. r 1988 O.O.O.O.O. 1989 O.O.O.O.O. 1990 O.O.O.O.O. 1991 O.O.O.O.o.r 1992 O.O.O.O.O. 1993 2.260 12.0 8.61 5.23 28.1 1994 2.260 12.0 7.38 4.49 26.1 1995 4.520 12.0 7.89 4.80 29.2 1996 6.376 12.0 7.28 4.42 30.1 1997 10.880 12.0 8.10 4.92 35.9 1998 12.720 12.0 8.10 4.92 37.7 1999 12.720 12.0 8.00 4.86 37.6 2000 15.020 12.0 8.41 5.11 40.5 2001 14.980 12.0 8.30 5.05 40.3r200219.080 12.0 8.51 5.17 44.8 2003 19.080 12.0 8.51 5.17 44.8 2004 21.396 12.0 8.71 5.30 47.4r200523.120 12.0 8.71 5.30 49.1 2006 24.212 12.0 8.82 5.36 50.4 2007 25.300 12.0 8.82 5.36 5L5 2008 26.392 12.0 8.82 5.36 52.6 2009 27.480 12.0 8.82 5.36 53.7 2010 28.572 12.0 8.92 5.42 54.9 r Total $296.$216.$151.$92.$755. r :1 2648B 4-67 .._,__....._.----r-__--.=-.-,----------------- r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r I r TABLE 4-21 TOTAL ANNUAL COSTS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) Calendar Capital o &M Total Year Expenditures Costs Expenditures 1983 o.O.O. 1984 O.O.O. 1985 O.o.O. 1986 O.O.O. ·1987 O.O.O. 1988 499.8 O.499.88 1989 1,431.2 O.1,431.22 1990 1,865.3 O.1,865.33 1991 1,737.3 O.1,737.33 1992 33.9 O.33.99 1993 O.28.1 28.14 1994 33.9 26.1 60.04 1995 57.0 29.2 86.29 1996 67.8 30.1 97.94 1997 57.0 35.9 92.94 1998 o.37.7 37.77 1999 33.9 37.6 71.57 2000 O.40.5 40.54 2001 90.9 40.3 131 .24 2002 O•.44.8 44.81 2003 33.9 44.8 78.72 2004 90.9 47.4 138.30 2005 33.9 49.1 83.03-2006 33.9 50.4 84.39 2007 33.9 51.5 85.43 2008 33.9 52.6 86.54 2009 33.9 53.7 87.63 201 0 O.54.9 54.90 Total $6,240.$755.$6,994. Present Worth @ 3%$4,787.$415.$5,202. 2648B 4-68 '1''''' I r r r r r r r r r r r r r r For comparison purposes,the 1982 present worth of power generating costs has been calculated,assuming a real discount rate of 3 percent and excluding fuel costs.The present worth of costs,expressed in 1982 dollars,is $5.2 billion.The present worth of costs for the Fairbanks gas distribution system is $0.9 billion. 4.5.4.3 Gas Distribution System Costs The costs attributable to the gas distribution system are those costs not associated with electricity generation.The capital costs include a portion of,the gas conditioning plant,a portion of the pipeline,and the Fairbanks residential/commercial gas distribution itself. Operating and maintenance costs,and internal fuel requirements,must be treated in a like manner. In Section 4.5.4.2 the values for 01 and 0A were presented. Allocation of costs to the gas distribution system require the presentation of (1-0)1 and (1-0)A values;and these are presented in Table 4-22.These are required because,by definition,1-0 defines the portion of costs associated with joint investments attributed to non-electric purposes. Given such values,the annualized expenditures associated with the.. natural gas distribution system can be calculated.These are summari zed in Tables 4-23 through 4-25.The present worth of all costs associated with the distribution system,as of 1982,is $891 million (JanuarY,1982 dollars),exclUding fuel costs. 4.6 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS Environmental effects associated with the Fairbanks power generation scenario will be similar in many respects to those of the North Slope scenario.Because the pipeline from the North Slope to Fairbanks will be buried and chilled,it will result in different environmental effects and will require different types of mitigation than would a 26488 4-69 r I I r r r rr r r r r r r r r r TABLE 4-22 APPORTIONMENT VALUES FOR THE GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD SCENARIO Tenn Year vafue (l-Ol!NA!!0.18 0-0 )A 1982-1992 NA 1993 0.16 1994 0.28 1995 0.23 1996 0.29 1997 0.21 1998 0.21 1999 0.22 2000 0.18 2001 0.19 2002 0.17 2003 0.17 2004 O.15 2005 O.15 2006 0.14 2007 0.14 2008 0.14 2009 0.14 2010 0.13 1/NA -Not applicable r 2648B 4-70 r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r r TABLE 4-23 TOTAL ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES FOR THE GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) Gas Gas Calendar Di stri buti on Conditioni n9 Year System·Pi pel ine Pl ant Total 1982 O.O.O.O. 1983 O.O.O.O. 1984 O.O.O.o. 1985 O.o.o.O. 1986 O.O.O.O. 1987 o.o.o.O. 1988 O.O.O.O. 1989 12.66 288.2 o.300.9 1990 12.66 288.2 70.2 371.1 1991 12.66 288.2 70.2 371.1 1992 12.66 O.O.12.7 1993 12.66 o.o.12.7 1994 O.O.O.o. 19-95 O.O.O.O. 1996 O.O.O.o. 1997 o.O.o.O. 1998 O.O.O.O. 1999 O.O.O.O. 2000 O.O.O.O. 2001 O.O.O.O. 2002 O.O.O.o. 2003 o.o.O.O. 2004 O.O.O.o. 2005 o.o.O.O. 2006 O.O.o.o. 2007 O.O.'..O.O. 2008 O.O.o.O. 2009 O.O.O.O. 2010 o.o.o.O. Total $63.$865.$140.$1,068. 2648B 4-71 r 26488 4-72 r r ±il!iiii& 2648B 4-73 r r r r r f T r r T r r T r transmission line through the same area.As in the North Slope scenario,power plant emissions will be a significant consideration because of existing air quality problems in the Fairbanks area. Environmental impacts caused by the transmission line from Fairbanks to Anchorage will be identical to those discussed for the North Slope scenario,Sections 2.5 and 3.5,and are not repeated here.Power plant characteristics related to environmental effects are summarized in Table 4-26. 4.6.1 Air Resource Effects Meteorological conditions in the Fairbanks area play a very important role in detenmining the ambient air quality levels in the area. Analyses of the Fairbanks urban IIheat island 'l have shown that winds are generally light in the winter and that wind directions change dramatically in the vertical direction during the wintertime.During the winter months,the air near the ground is relatively cold,compared to the air aloft.This reduces mixing of the air in the vertical direction,and when combined with relatively light winds,often leads to periods of air stagnation. In large part due to the winter stagnation conditions,the Fairbanks area is currently designated as a non-attainment area for carbon monoxide (CO).Emissions of CO are largely due to automobiles.The State Department of Environmental Conservation and the Fairbanks North Star Borough Air Pollution Control Agency are implementing a plan to reduce the ambient CO mainly through the use of vehicle emission or traffic control techniques.In addition,relatively high levels of nitrogen oxides have recently been monitored in the Fairbanks area. Only an annual average nitrogen dioxide standard exists,but the short tenn measurements of nitrogen oxides are as high as in major urban areas such as Los Angel es. The installation and pennitting of a major fuel-burning facility,such as a power plant,will require a careful analysis of the impact of its 2648B 4-74 Sulfur Dioxide Below Standards Air Environment TABLE 4-26 ENVIRONMENT RELATED POWER PLANT CHARACTERISTICS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST COMBINED CYCLE POWER PLANT r r r r rI Emissions Particulate Matter Below Standards r T T T r r T T Nitrogen Oxides Emissions variable within standards - dry control techniques would be used to meet calculated NO x standard of 0.014 percent of total volume of gaseous emissions.This value calculated based upon new source performance standards,facility heat rate,and unit size. PhYsical Effects Maximum structure height of 50 feet Water Environment Plant Water Requirements 200 GPM Plant Discharge Quantity Less than 200 GPM including treated sanitary waste,floor drains,boiler blowdown and demineralizer wastes Land Environment Land Requirements Plant 140 acres Socioeconomic Environment r Construction Workforce Operating Workforce 2648B Approximately 200 personnel at peak construction Approximately 150 employed personnel 4-75 -_..'""..,.,........-------------,-----,------------------------------ r r T r- r T r r T T r r r emissions on ambient air quality.Because Fairbanks is a non- attainment area,the operators of such a facility must demonstrate that they will reduce,or offset,impacts of the power plant by reducing emission levels of CO at other sources.Emissions of CO from a natural gas-fired power plant are relatively low,and any displacement of the burning of other fuels,such as coal or oil,will likely lead to improved air quality.This arises from the clean-burning nature of natural gas and from the fact that emissions from a major facility will be injected higher in the atmosphere (due to plume buoyancy)than the displaced emissions.During th~ve~stagnant conditions in midwinter, the plume from a power plant will likely remain well aloft with little mixing to the surface layers.The complex urban heat island and associated wind pattern will require a great deal of in-depth modeling ·and analysis to determine air quality impacts in terms that will wi thstand regul atory scruti ny. A large combustion turbine power plant must meet the existing New Source Performance Standards and Best Available Control Technology. The nitrogen oxides limits will be the most constraining atmospheric pollutant.The operation of the power plant will also consume a portion of the allowable deterioration in air quality for nitrogen oxides.While it is possible that the power plant could be sited near Fairbanks,its installation would constrain other development efforts which also might consume a portion of the air quality increment.The nature,magnitude,and duration of emission plumes must be studied as well as the potential for beneficial impacts due to reduced combustion at other sources within the area. The Fairbanks area is also subjected to extended periods of wintertime ice fog,and the Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation will require the impact of any water vapor plumes to be carefully assessed. A combustion turbine power plant which uses water or steam injection techniques would have an adverse impact on the ice fog and icing deposition nearby.For the purposes of this study,it is assumed that Best Available Control Technology would be defined to not include water or steam injection. 26488 4-76 r r r r r r .1 r r r IT r r r r I r r r Construction of the gas pipeline from the North Slope to Fairbanks will result in fugitive dust and exha~st emissions from construction vehicles.These air quality impacts will be temporary and located in very sparsely populated areas,and will therefore be insignificant. Ten compressor stations will be located along the pipeline route,each producing relatively low levels of emissions.The impacts of these facilities will most likely not cause exceedances of the Alaska Ambient Air Quality Standards and will not be required to meet the Prevention of Significant Deterioration Increments.The emissions will not impact any air quality sensitive areas. 4.6.2 Water Resource Effects The gas-fired combined cycle power plant descrlbed in Section 4.2 will use approximately 200 gpm of fresh water for boiler make-up,potable supplies,and miscellaneous uses such as equipment wash-down.Because ample groundwater exists in the Fairbanks area and because the water requirements are not particularly large,impacts on water supplies in the area will not be significant. Power plant wastes will consist of wash-down water (for cleaning of equipment),sanitary wastes,boiler blowdown,and demineralizer regenerant wastes.The wash-down water will be treated for oil and suspended solids removal.Sanitary wastes will be passed through a sanitary wastewater treatment facility,and demineralizer wastes will be treated for pH control.No treatment shoul d be requi red for boi 1er blowdown.The resultant wastewater stream,up to 200 gpm,will meet all applicable effluent guidelines and will be discharged to a local water body with sufficient assimilating capacity. The gas pipeline from the North Slope to Fairbanks will cross 15 major streams and rivers,including the Yukon River,and could potentially impact numerous additional small streams and drainages.The pipeline will be buried for its entire length;vegetation will be disturbed within a 50 ft wide strip.Without careful siting and construction 2648B 4-77· r r r r l"" r r r r r T "'f"" 'I T T T T practices,erosion from exposed areas could cause sedimentation problems in nearby water bodies., To control soil-loss and sUbsequent sedimentation effects,several .mitigation practices should be used during pipeline construction. Existing work pads,highways,access roads,airports,material sites, and disposal sites should be used whenever possible to minimize vegetation disturbance.Pipeline rights-of-way and access roads should avoid steep slopes and unstable soils.Hand clearing could be used in areas where the use of heavy equipment would cause unacceptable levels of soil erosion.A 50-foot buffer strip of undisturbed land could be maintained between the pipeline and streams,lakes,and wetlands wherever possible.Construction equipment should not be operated in water bodies except where necessary.Where hi gh 1evel s of sediment are expected from construction activity,settling basins should be constructed and maintained.All disturbed areas should be left in a stabilized condition through the use of revegetation and water bars; culverts and bridges should be removed,and slopes should be restored to approximately their original contour. A significant problem with the operation of a chilled,buried pipeline is the fonmation of aufeis.Aufeis is an ice structure formed by water overflowing onto a surface and freezing,with subsequent layers fonned by repeated overflow.Chilled pipe in streams can cause the stream to freeze to the bottom in the vicinity of the pipe,creating aufeis over the blockage.A chilled pipe through unfrozen ground can also form a frost bulb several times larger than the pipe diameter.This frozen area can block subsurface flow,forcing water to the surface and causing aufeis.Road cuts can also expose subsurface flow channels, causing aufeis build-Up over the roadway.The potential for aufeis and possible effects will require detailed considerations for all construction areas. All stream crossing facilities should be designed to withstand the Pipeline Design Flood as defined for the ANGTS system.Streams should be stabilized and returned to their original configuration,gradient, 2648B 4-78 ----"11-------------------------- r r r r r T rr 'T T T T r T T substrate,velocity,and surface flow.Water supplies for compressor or meter stations should not be taken from fish spawning beds,fish rearing areas,overwintering areas or waters that directly replenish those areas during critical periods. The Yukon River crossing will utilize an existing bridge.The Yukon River will therefore not be significantly affected by the pipeline. 4.6.3 Aquatic Ecosystem Effects The Fairbanks power plant will not cause significant impacts to the aquatic resources.The water supply for the power plant will be obtai ned from groundwater,and therefore will not affect surface waterbodies.Discharges from the plant will be treated to meet effluent guidelines before being released,so that fish habitat should not be significantly affected.Discharge quantities will be relatively low,1ess than 200 gpm. The pipeline from the North Slope to Fairbanks will cross numerous rivers and creeks,including the Yukon River.Aquatic resource impacts will include all those discussed for the North Slope scenario (Section 2.5.3),and additional impac~s caused by the chilled pipeline crossing waterbodies.Several mitigation measures,in addition to those already discussed,should be implemented to protect the fish habitat affected by pi pel ine construction and operati on.Stream crossi ngs shoul d be constructed such that fish passage is not blocked and flow velocity does not exceed the maximum allowable flow velocity for the fish species in a given stream.If these criteria cannot be met,a bridge should be installed. Chilled pipes in streams should not cause:a)lower stream temperatures so 'as to alter biological regime of stream;b)slow spring breakup and del ay offi sh mi grati on;or c)early fall freeze-up whi ch would affect fish migration.In addition,the temperature of surface or subsurface water should not be changed significantly by the pipeline system or by any construction-related activities. 26488 4-79 All mitigation measures designed to reduce sedimentation of water bodies (discussed in the water resources section)will protect fish spawning,rearing and overwintering areas. For the purpose of making recommendations regarding timing of ANGTS construction activities,the pipeline corridor was divided into three large geographical regions:Region I,Beaufort Sea to the Continental Divide of the Brooks Range;Region II,Continental Divide of the Brooks Range to the Yukon River;and Region III,Yukon River to Fairbanks.In association with the ANGTS development,the following broad temporal guidelines were developed for recommendation for each gasline corridor region based on fish lise habitat (Schmidt et al 1981).These would also be applicable to a smaller diameter pipeline. r r r r r r r r r r r r f r r Regi on I Region II Regi on III Region I Region II Regi on I II Regi on I Regi on II Regi on III 2648B 1 May-20 Ju ly 15 April-15 July 1 April-15 July (early breakup streams) 15 April-15 July (late breakup streams) 20 July-25 August 15 Ju1y-25 August 15 Ju1y-1 September 25 August-1 October (small streams) 25 August-15 October (large streams) 25 August-l October (small streams) 25 August-15 October (l arge streams) 1 September-l November 4-80 A critical period for most streams due to the occurrence of major spring migrations and spring spawning (primarily grayl ing). A sensitive period.Fry of spring spawning species have emerged and major fall emigrations have not yet begun.Fish are mobile at this time and can move to avoid or reduce effects of disturbance. A critical period for all streams.Fish must emigrate from streams tha t do not provide winter habitat prior to freeze-up.Major upstream migrations and spawning of fall spawning species occurs in streams that provide over- wintering habitat. The Fairbanks power plant will affect terrestrial resources primarily through habitat disturbance.As discussed in the Report on Facility Siting and Corridor Selection (Appendix C),potential power plant sites in the Fairbanks area are located in developed or previously disturbed areas.The potential for adversely affecting terrestrial habitats is therefore not considered to be significant. Region I Region II Regi on II I A preferred period for con- struction in many streams that do not provide winter habitat. These streams generally are dry or freeze to the bottom during winter.This is a critical peri od for fi sh overwi nteri ng in springs,large rivers,and 1ake s. 1 October-1 May (small streams) 15 October-1 May (l arge streams) 15 October-15 Apri 1 (small streams) 1 No vembe r-15 Ap ri 1 (l a rge streams) 1 Novembe r-l Apri 1 (early breakup streams) 1 November-15 Apri 1 (late breakUp streams) 4.6.4 Terrestrial Ecosystem Effects r r r r r T r r r r r T T r T Construction of the gas pipeline from the North Slope to Fairbanks will require total clearing of a 50-foot right-of~ay for the length of the gasline.In addition,ten lO-acre compressor stations,two 1.5 acre metering stations and a gas conditioning facility (15 acres)will be constructed.Construction activities will disrupt terrestrial animals near the corridor during the 3-year construction period.The pipeline alignment will avoid the peregrine falcon nest sites near the Franklin and Sagwon Bluffs,but other raptors may restrict construction schedules (refer to Appendix C).Special construction measures may be necessar,y in the areas delineated by the BUM land use plan,as discussed for the North Slope scenario.Construction activities,especially aircraft traffic, could disturb Da11 sheep habitat in critical wintering,lambing and movement areas.These construction-related impacts would be less than 3 years in duration. Long term terrestrial impacts will result primarily from habitat elimination.Important moose browsing habitat,such as the willow stand along Oksrukuyik Creek,should be preserved.The treeline white spruce ,2648B 4-81 ...IJiI!iW".•• r r I TI T r - T I T T T r r T r r r r stand at the head of Dietrich Valley,which has been nominated for Ecology Reserve status,should be avoided.The pipeline d"esign should allow for free passage of caribou and other large animals. 4.6.5 Socioeconomic and Land Use Effects The potential socioeconomic and land use effects of locating an electrical generating facility in the vicinity of Fairbanks includes the temporary impacts related to the influx of workers and pennanent land use impacts. The size of the construction work force for the generating facility is expected to be approximately 200 persons.These generation units will be constructed duri ng the summer for a bout 4-5 months. Since the project could draw on the large labor pool of Fairbanks,it can be expected that the majority of workers will be hired locally.Economic benefits to the region will not be significant as employment on the project will be temporary.Any in-migrating work force will have to seek temporary housing on their own since housing will not be provided at the project site.The extent of the impacts on the local housing supply will depend on the vacancy rate for the summer of each year of construction. As discussed in the Report on Facility Siting and Corridor Select jon (Appendix C),development of a generating facility on the outskirts of the Fairbanks area should not engender significant land use conflicts, since the focus of the final site selection activities will be on areas which are presently used for industrial development.However,the long-term staged development of a major electric generating complex will certainly be a determinant of future land uses in the local area. Construction activities at the generating plant site will generate additional worker and construction vehicle traffic loads on the local road"system.However,disruptions to existing traffic patterns can be minimized through site selection by utilizing major highways and 26488 4-82 2&2l.,_"T -r r r r I r r r r arterials to the maximum extent possible and by developing a local access plan and schedule.Depending on'the site selected,new access requirements will be planned in recognition of local traffic requirements. For construction of the gas pipeline in the North Slope-Fairbanks corridor,employees will be housed either at the pump stations or the penmanent camp facilities that were constructed for the trans-Alaska oil pipeline.Construction activities will be consistent with the BLM land use criteria as discussed in Section 2.5.5. The potential socioeconomic and land use impacts of the transmission facilities between Fairbanks and Anchorage included in this scenario are identical to those discussed in Section 2.5.5 for the North Slope scenario,with the addition of transmission facilities from the Fairbanks generating site to the power grid.Again,assuming the site is located on the outskirts of Fairbanks to the southeast,transmission interconnections can probably expand on existing GVEA rights-of-way with minimal additional impacts to existing land uses.However,future land use patterns will be signficantly affected by the presence of the three parallel 500 kV transmission lines. 26488 4-83 - ,-, - 5.0 FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION LOW LOAD FORECAST The Fairbanks generation scenario,under the low load forecast, requires all of the major systems of the medium growth forecast except that fewer compression stations are required to transport the gas and fewer units are required to generate electricity.The Fairbanks area electrical generating station wJll require 3 combined cycle plants, each consisting of two gas fired combustion turbines paired with two waste heat recovery boilers,and a steam turbine generator for a station capacity of 726 MW in 2010.Units will be phased-in by bringing each combustion turbine on-line individually,followed by the waste heat recove~boilers and steam turbine generator.Between Fairbanks and Anchorage,one new 345 kV transmission line and upgrading of the Healy-Fairbanks and Willow-Anchorage segments of the existing line will be required.The Fairbanks residential/conmercial,gas system peak demand at 100 percent penetration of potential market is 49 MMSCFD. I Construction of the gas conditioning facilities,gas pipeline,power generating facilities and transmission systems,is estimated to cost $4.7 billion.Total annual operation and maintenance costs are estimated to be $0.4 billion.The present worth of costs excluding fuel costs is $3.4 billion.Construction costs of the Fairbanks gas distribution system total $1.5 billion,with total annual operating and maintenance costs totalling $41 million.The present worth of costs for this system is $1.0 billion. 5.1 NORTH SLOPE TO FAIRBANKS NATURAL GAS PIPELINE As explained in Section 4.1,pipeline design proceeded on the basis of preliminary gas demand calculations.Because the refined demand values 2631B 5-1 did not warrant design changes,certain of the gas demand calculations differ in the low load forecast as follows: After refined demand values were available,the results were:- Pipel ine Desi 9n (Prelimina~Demand) Power Generation Annual Average Demand Peak Dai ly Demand Residential/Commercial Annual Average Demand Peak Dai ly Demand Total Annual Average Demand Peak Daily Demand Utility System Design (Refined Demand) Power Generation Peak Da ily Demand Residential/Commercial Peak Daily Demand Total Peak Daily Demand Low Load Forecast (MMSCFD) 108 179 14 40 122 219 Low Load Forecast (millions of standard cubic feet per day) 130 49 179 For the low load forecast,the refined demand was 40 MMSCFD less than the preliminary calculation. 5.1.1 Gas Conditioning Plant The gas conditioning facility required for the low growth scenario will utilize the SELEXOL phYsical solvent process,as described in Section 4.1.1.The design flowrate will be 230 MMSCFD based on the daily peak load anticipated for this growth forecast,a pipeline availability of 96.'5 percent and compressor station demands.All other details and specifications will be as described in Section 4.1.1. 26318 5-2 - ,~ - - 5.1.2 Pipeline Similar to the medium forecast design,the pipeline will have an outside diameter of 22 inches and will follow the same route;the ANGTS right-of-way.Details regarding pipeline design and route are presented in section 4.1.2. The peak daily flowrate,however,requires only three compressor stations,which wi11,be located at Stations 2,4 and 7 when using the ANGTS numbering system.The flow conditions anticipated for the-demand scenario are presented in Figure 5-1.The design of the compressor stations is indentical to that presented for the medium load forecast. All other required systems,facilities and support services will also be the same as those presented in Section 4.1.2. 5.2 POWER PLANT The scenario for power generation at a Fairbanks site,under the low load forecast requires three combined cycle plants to satisfy the anticipated demand in the year 2010.The schedule for unit addition which resulted from the analyses presented in the Report on System Planning Studies (Appendix B)is shown in Tabl e 5-1. The details of plant design and operation are identical to those described for the medium load case in Section 4.2.Only where there are variances due to the decreased number of units are specific items addressed below. Total operations and maintenance personnel will be less for this scenario than the medium load case.Ten on duty operations and maintenance personnel will be required per shift in 1996 when the first gas turbine begins operation.In the year 2010 when three complete units are operating,60 on duty personnel will be required per shift.The plant site will be approximately 90 acres in size and will include all three units,two switchyards,and a 300 foot buffer zone around the plant. 26318 5-3 »,I J J t }l '}I ) r,;:;]110.1 ".2-~S.1"'1.'~,.,.1 r;;;:-;:.s.~~.. ~0 to ~...I!",~~to<it «•••:l.<~;)-~L110o.~-"~~It \'I a:t"0 2a::IlL i Ill.0 ..~(.(~t ~t ....2.MM Se.l"/b ~;)~f TOtAL 410 M'LES.zz·0.0.PIPELINE.WALL THICKNESS.Q2tlt INCN MINIMUM STATION DESIGNATIO"II."c.•.,C•••I C••••c...4 C.,••C."•C.,.,C.,••C."•C."10 1'ClWt:.1n.,P"UDHOE ..., MILEPOST (MILUI 0.0 'lrO.1 /4'.3 2.73.""""0.0 nEYATION(FEET)2.1 'iJ2.,.S'.305'0 '3,S-5"00z STATION INLET VOLUME (MMSCF 10)22.!'''is'0 2.30 2.~O ~'2.1t= t!TOTAL FUEL (MMSCFID)-1 1 r -.. 'TATION OUTLn VOLUME (MMSCFID)2.:!.O 22.1 2.2.~2.2.7 "S' ITATION SUCTION PRESSURE (PSlG)/2.'0 /It)l-/03'I''4 10-+' STATtOte DISCHARGE PRtSSURE (PSlG)1'2.'0 I'2.~"V5 12.'0 - z 'cOMPRESSOR SUCTION PRlSSURE(PSIG)10'17 /03,"'0 --0 it COMPRESSOR OISCHAROE PRESSUAE ("10)12.,"4-/11'./2&4--..-... II:COMPRESSION RATIO 1.15'0 1./37 -..I.'SO:I 0 HORSE POW[R R[OUIRI:O ''''''5'"0 .'~70 1'32.0 -u - ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY- NORTH SLOPE GAS FEASIBILITY STUDY HYDRAUL IC SUi'1f1ARY LO~I FORECAST PEAK DAILY FLOH FIOURE !i-I ,EBASCO SERVICES INCORPORATED 2631B TABLE 5-1 NEW CAPACITY ADDITIONS AND FUEL REQUIREMENTS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION SCENARIO -LOW LOAD FORECAST!! 5-5 ~I - .... - - - - Annual fuel requirements for power generation will grow from 5.96 BCFY in 1996 to 32.23 BCFY in 2010.The maximum potential firing rate in the year 2010,based on a heat rate of 8280 Btu/kWh,wi 11 be approximately 9 x 10 4 SCFM.Annual fuel requirements for the study period are also shown in Table 5-1. 5.3 TRANSMISSION SYSTEM 5.3.1 Fairbanks to Anchorage This transmission system uses two 345 kV lines as described in Section 3.2.Other details are similar,inclUding series compensation. 5.4 FAIRBANKS GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM 5.4.1 Fairbanks Residential/Commercial Gas Demand Forecasts A stUdy has been performed by Alaska Economics Incorporated to forecast residential and commercial gas demand in Fairbanks.A sUlTll1ary of the stUdy's methodology and the results of the medium growth projection· appear in Section 4.4.1.The text of the study appears in Appendix E• Table 5-2 presents the study's results for the low growth forecast. These forecasts have been made conditional on the gas achieving the discrete percentages of the total market for heating and cooking energy applications shown in Table 5-2.The size of the total market to which these percentages have been applied has been projected to grow at a 1.43 percent annual average rate,the low growth forecast,beginning in 1981.This rate is the implied population growth rate for Fairbanks as derived in Battelle's (1982}low forecast of the demand for electricity in the Railbelt area. 5.4.2 Fairbanks Gas Distribution System. The gas distribution system has been designed to supply Fairbanks a low growth demand value of 5.2 BCFY.The differences in flowrates and service areas between the medium and low growth scenarios affect the 2631.B 5-6 TABLE 5-2 FAIRBANKS RESIDENTIAL/COMMERCIAL GAS DEMAND LOW GROWTH FORECASTl! ~Del ivered Gas,BCF Per Year 1985 2010 Market growth at 1.43 Percent 10%of Ma rket 0.510 0.727 20%of Market 1.275 1.818 40%of Ma rket 2.039 2.908 iP'"1Oat of Market 5.098 7.720 Del ivered Gas,BCF Per Peak Month 1985 2010 ~10%of Market 0.085 0.121 20%of Ma rket 0.212 0.302 4at of Market 0.338 0.483 ~10m of Market 0.846 1.207 .-Delivered Gas,BCF Peak Daily 1985 2010 ......1 0%of Market 0.003 0.005 2at of Ma rket 0.009 0.012 4at of Market 0.014 0.020 "'"100%of Market 0.034 0.049 -!/Refer to Appendix E for details 2631B 5-7 - size and lengths of the high pressure and distribution system mains. 'The sizes and footages of the hi gh pressure mains and the distri buti on mains required for the low growth forecast are presented below.All other system and piping details are the same as the medium growth forecast which is described in Section 4.4.2. High Pressure System Mains S1 ze (Inches) 8 10 12 14 Length (Feet) 6,000 15,000 27,375 7,500 Schedule of Distribution Mains - Size (Inches) 2 4 6 5.5 COST ESTIMATES 5.5.1 Capital Costs Length (Feet) 450,000 78,000 90,750 .- 5.5.1.1 North Slope to Fairbanks Gas Pipeline Order of magnitude,investment cost estimates have been prepared for the systems and facil i ti es which compri se the North Slope to Fai rbanks natural gas pipeline.These estimates are presented in Table 5-3. 5.5.1.2 Power Pl ant The capital cost of simple cycle combustion turbines and combined cycle facilities are the same as that presented in Section 4.5 for the medium load forecast. 26318 5-8 TABLE 5-3 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS NORTH SLOPE TO FAIRBANKS NATURAL GAS PIPELINE (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) Description!! 22 in 0.0.Gas Pipeline Materials Construction Labor 2/ ($1000)($1000) 480,000 4,100,000 Total Di rect Costs ($1000) 4,580,000 - Compressor Stations - 3 ea Metering Stations - 2 ea Valve Stations -28 ea Engineering &Construction Management SUBTOTAL Gas Conditioning Facility3/ TOTAL 30,300 2,800 2,500 $515,600 25,300 6,000 3,800 $4,135,100 55,600 8,800 -6,300 27,900 $4,678,600 538,300 $5,216,900 - 1/ 2/ 3/ A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been distributed among each of the cost categories shown.Sales/use taxes and land and land rights expenses have not been included. Construction camp facilities and services are subsumed in the Construction Labor cost category. Factored pricing basis which includes engineering and construction management. 2631B 5-9 5.5.1.3 Transmission Line Systems Order of Magnitude investment cost estimates have been prepared for all required transmission line systems.The results of this analysis are presented in Table 5-4.The estimate is of one new 345 kV line,700 MW capacity,with series compensation and an intermediate switching station,and the reqUired upgrading of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the existing grid. 5.5.1.4 Gas Distribution System Order of magnitude and investment cost estimates (January 1982 dollars) have been prepared for the systems and facilities which comprise the Fairbanks gas distribution system.The results of the analysis are presented below.A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been di stri buted between each cost category. Sales/use taxes and land and land rights have not been included. Constructi on Total Di rect Labor ($1000)Costs ($1000) Gas Distribution System Eng i neeri ng and Construction Management TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COSTS Materi al s ($1000) $11 ,300 $45,200 $56,500 3,390 $59,890 5.5.2 Operating and Maintenance Costs 5.5.2.1 Gas Pipeline and Conditionfng Facility Annual operating and maintenance costs (January,1982 dollars)for the gas conditioning facilities are estimated to be as follows: - 2631B Item Sal aries Maintenance Costs (Parts and Expendables) TOTAL 5-10 Annual Costs ($1000) $1,390 2,100 $3,490 TABLE 5-4 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS FAIRBANKS TO 'ANCHORAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) ..!!The investment costs one new 345 kV line,700 MW capacity with series compensation and an intermediate switching station,and reflect upgrading of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the existing grid to 345 kV. ~/Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mi 1e (Ac.res Ameri can Inc.1981). Conductors and Devices Energy Management Systems Steel Towers and Fixtures SUBTOTAL Land and Land Ri ghtsY Engineering and Construction Management Total Constructi on Di rect Costs Labor ($1000)($1000) 8,414 17,271 30,872 63,830 10,960 23,260 182,083 311,291 53,183 73,232 41,572 41,572 $327,084 $530,456 14,400 37,130 $581,986 8,857 32,958 12,300 129,214 20,049 $203,378 Material s ($1000)De scri pti onl./ TOTAL C1 eari ng Switching Stations Substations - .... I - 26318 5-11 ,~ ~Annual operating and maintenance cost (January 1982 dollars)for the gas compressor stations and pipeline maintenance activities are estimated to be as follows: ..... Item Salaries Maintenance Costs (Parts and Expendables) TOTAL 5.5.2.2 Power Plant Annual Costs ($1000) $2,090 1,750 $3,840 "'"'" - ..... Operating and Maintenance Costs for the combined cycle facility at Fairbanks are estimated to be $0.0040/kWh.These are based on discussions with operating p1~nt personnel,history of similar units, EPRI pub1 i shed data and other studi es. 5.5.2.3 Transmission Line Systems Annual operati ng and mai ntenance costs (January 1982 doll ars)have been developed for the scenario's required transmission line facilities and total $8 million per year.These costs should be viewed as an annual average over the life of the system.Actual O&M costs should be less initially,and increase with time • 5.5.2.4 Gas Distribution System Annual operating and maintenance costs (January 1982 dollars)for the Fairbanks gas distribution system are estimated to be as follows: 2631B Item Salaries Mai ntenance Costs (Parts and.Expendables) TOTAL 5-12 Annual Costs ($1000) $680 270 $950 - .... I - '~, - 5.5.3 Fuel Costs For the economic analyses which follow fuel costs were treated as zero. This approach permits fuel cost and fuel price escalation to be treated separately;and makes possible subsequent sensitivity analyses of the Present Worth of Costs for thi s scenario based upon a range of fuel cost and cost escalation assumptions. 5.5.4 Total System Costs 5.5.4.1 Cost Allocation Methodology The methodology that was developed and presented in Section 4.4.4.1 is equally applicable to the low growth scenario. 5.5.4.2 Total System Costs Like the Fa i rbanks medium load growth scenari 0,the Fa i rbanks low load growth scenario involves a complex series of investments in a gas conditioning facility,a natural gas pipeline,power generation facilities,and transmission lines.Also,like the previous Fairbanks scenario,the costs of the the gas conditioning facility and pipeline must be appo rti oned accordi ng to the fOrnJul ae presented in Section 4.5.4.1.After that apportionment,total annual system costs can be calculated. The formulae for conditioning facility and pipeline cost apportionme'nt are the same regardless of growth;however,the resulting 01 and 0A values are quite different between the low and medium growth scenarios. For the low load forecast the 01 value is as follows: Residential/Commercial Peak =49 MMSCFD Daily Flow (2010) Electrical Generation Peak =130 MMSCFD Daily Flow (2010) Total Peak Daily Flow (201 0)=179 MMSCFD °1 =0.73 .....26318 5-13 The 0A values for the Fairbanks low load forecast are presented in Table 5-5.Significant to note is the fact that in the low load forecast case,the residential/commercial customers must assume a higher share of the capital and annual cost burdens of the gas conditioning and pipeline facilities. Given the joint systems cost apportionment,the total annual electrical systems costs can be calculated.Total annual capital costs are presented in Table 5-6.Total annual O&M costs are presented in Table 5-7.Total annual costs are then summarized in Table 5-8. The present worth of costs has been calcul ated for compari son purposes.The present worth of costs as of"1982,assuming a discount rate of 3 percent,is $3.4 billion (1982 $)exclusive of fuel costs. 5.5.4.3 Gas Distribution System Costs The costs attributable to the gas distribution system serving residential and commercial customers include a portion of the gas conditioning plant,a portion of the pipeline,and all of those costs associated with the distribution system within Fairbanks.Again,the apportionment method discussed in Section 4.5.4.1 is an essential precursor to the calculation of final total system costs. Gas distribution costs depend upon calCUlating 1-01 and l-OA values.These are presented in Table 5-9.Again,it is clear that the non-electric customers must assume a larger portion of the capital and operating expenses in the low load growth scenario as compared to the medium load growth scenario. ~, Given those apportionment values,the total systems costs for the gas distribution system can be calculated.Capital and O&M are presented in Tables 5-10 through 5-11.Total annual systems costs are summarized in Table 5-12.The present worth of these costs of 1982,assuming a .-real discount rate of 3 percent,is $1.05 billion,exclusive of any fuel costs. 26318 5-14 TABLE 5-5 0A VALUES FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST Resi denti al El ectri cal Total Calendar Demand Demand Demand Year (BCFY)(BCFY) (BCFY)°A 1982 o.o.o.NA1/,.-1983 O.o.o.NA 1984 o.o.o.NA 1985 o.o.o.NA .....1986 o.o.O.NA 1987 O.O.O.NA 1988 O.O.o.NA 1989 o.O.O.NA 1990 o.O.O.NA 1991 O.O.O.NA 1992 O.O.O.NA 1993 O.O.O.NA 1994 O.O.O.NA 1995 O.O.O.N/A 1996 1.266 5.958 7.224 0.82 1997 2.568 11.873 14.441 0.82 1998 3.906 11.873 15.779 0.75 1999 5.283 11.873 17.156 0.69 2000 6.698 11.905 18.603 0.64 2001 6.794 11.939 18.913 0.63 2002 6.891 17.876 24.767 0.72 ~2003 6.990 17.876 24.866 0.72 2004 7.090 23.874 30.964 0.77 2005 7.191 23.874 31.065 0.77 2006 7.294 29.814 37.108 0.80 2007 7.398 29.814 37.212 0.80 2008 7.504 33.413 40.917 0.82 2009 7.611 34.508 42.119 0.82 201 0 7.720 32.229 39.949 0.81 II NA -Not applicable 26318 5-15 26318 5-16 TABLE 5-7 ANNUAL NON-FUEL OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Mill ions of January,1982 Dollars) Gas Calendar Transmission Conditioning Year Electricity Generated Line Pipeline Plant Total ,~1982 o.O.O.o.o. 1983 O.O.o.o.O. 1984 O.O.o.O.o. 1985 O•.O.o.O.O. ~1986 O.O.O.O.O. 1987 O.O.O.O.O. 1988 O.O.O.O.O. 1989 O.O.O.O.O. 1990 O.O.O.O.o. 1991 O.O.O.O.O. 1992 O.O.O.O.O.-1993 O.O.O.O.O. 1994 O.O.O.O.O. 1995 O.O.O.O.O.-1996 2.268 8.00 3.15 2.86 16.3 1997 4.520 8.00 3.15 2.86 18.5 1998 4.520 8.00 2.88 2.62 18.0 ~1999 4.520 8.00 2.65 2.41 17.6 2000 4.520 8.00 2.46 2.23 17.2 2001 6.360 8.00 2.42 2.20 19.0 2002 8.620 8.00 2.76 2.51 21.9 .-2003 8.620 8.00 2.76 2.51 21.9 ·2004 10.908 8.00 3.00 2.69 24.6 2005 12.720 8.00 3.00 2.69 26.4 I~2006 14.980 8.00 3.07 2.79 28.8 2007 14.980 8.00 3.07 2.79 28.8 2008 16.112 8.00 3.15 2.86 30.1 2009 16.640 8.00-3.15 2.86 30.7 - ""'"201 0 17.168 8.00 3.11 2.83 31.1 Total $147.$120.$44. $40.$351. ,...,. 2631B 5-17 .- 26318 5-18 - - 26318 TABLE 5-9 APPORTIONMENT VALUES FOR THE GAS DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST 5-19 TABLE 5-10 CAPITAL COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Mill ions of January,1982 Do 11 ars) Gas-Calendar Conditioning Distribution Year Plant Pipeline System Total ~1982 O.o.o.o. 1983 O.O.O.O. 1984 O.O.O.O. 1985 O.O.O.O. 1986 O.O.O.o. 1987 o.O.o.o. 1988 O.O.O.o. fJJI!A 1989 O.O.O.O. 1990 O.O..O.O. 1991 O.O.O.O. 1992 O.O.O.O. 1993 O.421.0 12.0 433.0 1994 72.6 421.0 12.0 505.6 1995 72.6 421.0 12.0 505.6 1996 O.O.12.0 12.0 1997 O.O.12.0 12.0 1998 O.O.o.o. ~1999 O.O.O.O. 2000 O.O.O.O. 2001 O.O.O.O. ~Wl'!\2002 O.O.O.O. 2003 O.o.o.O. 2004 O.O.O.O. 2005 O.O.O.O. 2006 O.O.O.o. 2007 O.O.o.O. 2008 O.O.O.O. 2009 O.O.O.O. 2010 O.O.O.O. Total $145.$1,263.$60.$1,468. 2631B 5-20 TABLE 5-11 OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) ....Gas Calendar Co ndi ti oni n9 Distribution Year Plant Pipeli ne System Total 1982 O.O.O.O. 1983 O.O.O.O. ~1984 O.O.O.O. 1985 O.O.O.O. 1986 O.O.O.O. 1987 O.O.O.O.-1988 O.O.O.O. 1989 O.O.O.O. 1990 O.O.O.O. 1991 O.O.O.O. 1992 O.O.O.O. 1993 O.O.O.O. --1994 O.O~O.O. 1995 O.O.O.O. 1996 0.63 0.69 0.95 2.3 1997 0.63 0.69 0.95 2.3 1998 0.87 0.96 0.95 2.8 1999 1.08 1.19 0.95 3.2 2000 1.26 1.38 0.95 3.6 2001 1.29 1.42 0.95 3.7 2002 .0.98 1.08 0.95 3.0 2003 0.98 1.08 0.95 3.0 2004 0.80 0.88 0.95 2.6 2005 0.80 0.88 0.95 2.6 2006 0.70 0.17 0.95 2.4 2007 0.70 0.17 0.95 2.4 2008 0.63 0.69 0.95 2.3 2009 0.63 0.69 0.95 2.3 2010 0.66 0.73 0.95 2.3 Total $13. $14.$14.$41. 2631B 5-21 "'"££Lb__".,,_.. 26318 5-22 5.6 ENVIRO~'ENTAL AND SOCIOECONa1IC CONSIDERATIONS The Fairbanks power plant for the low load forecast will consist of three combined cycle units in contrast to five combined cycle and two simple cycle units for the medium load forecast.Power plant characteristics are sUll1Tlari zed in Table 5-13. It is assumed that water or steam injection would not be required for NOx control because of associated ice fog problems.Air emissions will be reduced by approximately one-half from the medium load forecast,and will meet all applicable air quality standards.Groundwater will provide approximately 100 gpm"for equipment wash-down,potable supplies,and boiler make-up water.This relatively small amount of water will not affect ground water supplies in the area.Wastewater discharges will be less than 100 gpm and will be treated to meet effluent guidelines. Aquatic resources,as for the medium load forecast,will not be si gnifi cantly affected.Pl ant acreage wi 11 be approximately 90 acres,as compared to 140 acres for the medium load forecast.Terrestrial impacts on vegetation and habitat elimination are correspondingly reduced. Pipeline-related impacts are identical to those discussed for the Fairbanks scenario medium load forecast,Section 4.5.Impacts associated with the transmission line from Fairbanks to Ancho~age are identical to those discussed in Section 3.5-for the North Slope scenario,low load forecast.Socioeconomic impacts are expected to be similar to those for the medium demand scenario. Socioeconomic impacts,as for the medium load forecast,are not expected to be significant.The majority of workers will be hired locally.Any in-migrating workforce will have to seek temporary housing on their own but this number is expected to be low. 26318 5-23 .- .- - TABLE 5-13 ENVIRONMENT RELATED POWER PLANT CHARACTERISTICS FAIRBANKS POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST COMBINED CYCLE POWER PLANT Mr Environment Emissions -Particulate Matter Sulfur Dioxide Nitrogen Oxides PhYsical Effects Below standards Below standards Emissions variable within standards - dry control techniques would be used to meet calculated NO x standard of . -0.014 percent of total volume of gaseous emissions.This value calculated based upon new source performance standards,facility heat rate,and unit size. Maximum structure height of 50 feet - - Water Environment Plant Water Requirements 100 GPM .Plant Discharge Quantity,Less than 100 GPM inclUding treated sanitary waste,floor drains, boiler blow-down and demineralizer wastes Land [nvi ronment Land Requi rements Plant and Switchyard .-Soci oeconomi c Envi ronment Constructi on Workforce. Operating Workforce """, - .2631 B 90 acres Approximately 100 personnel at peak construction Approximately 50 personnel 5-24 --------_._---------_._=---"""""""",---------------.....,..---- - ,-.- ".." i, - 6.0 KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST The development of power generation facilities in the Kenai area which will utilize North Slope natural gas is dependent on the construction of a major,high pressure gas pipeline from the North Slope to a tidewater location near Kenai.The details concerning this pipeline and the attendant tidewater gas conditioning and liquefaction facilities are presented in The Governor's Economic Committee (1983) report entitled "Trans Alaska Gas System:Economics of an Alternative for North Slope Na tura1 Gas.II The gas conditioning and liquefaction facilities associated with the Trans Alaska Gas System (TAGS)will have numerous power loads,manY of which can not be satisfied by any source except electricity.These loads will include lighting,certain types of heating,ventilation and air conditioning systems,pumps,various process coolers and compressors,controls,tools,and any shaft horsepower requirements that are intermittant,such as some refrigeration applications,or too small to be economical for a combustion turbine.Based on the electrical demand values required for the ANGTS gas conditioning facility and discussions with gas liquefaction process equipment vendors,the total peak electrical demand of these tidewater processing facilities has been estimated to be approximately 300 MW.This value is only an approximation,the actual demand requirements will be dependent upon the type of liquefaction facility selected for design (e.g.compressor/expander system,Cascade refrigerant system),and specific design decisions regarding various process power sources made during detailed engineering.To ensure that the Kenai power generation scenario presents a realistic development approach and that the entire Railbelt utility system can support such a major contingency of demand, the anticipated electrical requirements of these processing facilities have been included in the el~ctrical demand analysis.As TAGS will be developed in phases,the total electrical demand of the facilities has 25548 6-1 ~.been proportioned.based on the flow rates anticipated during each phase. This scenario.then.centers on a major electric generating station in the Kenai area near the terminus of the TAGS pipeline.By the year 2010.the station would consist of 7 combined cycle units and 1 simple cycle gas turbine to satisfy the medium energy demand forecast for the Rai1be1t and the additional power requirements of the TAGS gas conditioning and liquefaction facilities.a total of 1743 MW.The fuel for the power plant will be a blend of waste gas from the TAGS gas conditioning facilities and TAGS sales gas.A major electrical transmission system from the Kenai generating station to Anchorage is required.The Kenai to Anchorage lines would be operated at 500 kV and employ an underwater crossing of Turnagain Arm.To ensure system reliability.both the 500 kV lines from Kenai to Anchorage and the 345 kV lines from Anchorage to Fairbanks would consist of two parallel lines.A residential/commercial gas distribution for Fairbanks is not an integral part of this scenario.although it is not precluded as an adjunct to TAGS.The total construction cost of this scenario is $2.1 billion.with total operation and maintenance costs of $0.8 billion per year.The present worth of these costs excluding fuel costs is $2.0 bi 11 ion. 6.1 POWER PLANT 6.1.1 General The power generation technology selected for the Kenai locale is combined cycle utilizing 237 MW baseloaded plants (refer to . Appendix B).The plants are identical in configuration with those described in Section 4.2.The difference in capacity rating is due to the slightly higher average annual temperature encountered in the Kenai ~ local e. 25548 6-2 -- - Facilities required for the site and the site arrangement will be the same as that described in Section 4.2.Equipment arrangement will be as previously shown in Figures 4-1 and 4-2 and the site arrangement as shown in Figure 4-3.A total of 7 complete combined cycle plants plus 1 simple cycle gas turbine will be required to satisfy the demand for energy in the year 201 O.The 1and a rea requ'j red for thi s development will be approximately 175 acres.The schedule for addition of these facilities is shown on Table 6-1 along with the total of new capacity on a yearly basi s. The functional parts of the power plant will include all the systems described in Section 4.2.Additionally,a system for gas quality monitoring will be necessary.The fuel to be utilized will be a blend of waste gas ~nd sales gas from the gas conditioning plant (see Section 6.1.4 Fuel Supply). 6.1.2 Combustion Turbine Equipment The combustion turbines will be identical to those described previously except for one operating detail.The gas burner nozzle in the combustion chamber is typically designed to operate at a specific fuel heat value plus or minus 10 percent.A nozzle purchased to burn 400 Btu/ft3 fuel wi 11 be useful to 440 Btu/ft3•In order to burn higher Btu content gas,a different nozzle would need to be installed. Several nozzles for a range of potential fuels should be inventoried for each turbine. 6.1.3 Steam Plant The effect of burning a low Btu content fuel on the heat recovery steam generator (HRSG)will be negligible.Since the gas turbines are controlled at a constant gas temperature,the response of the system to a higher flow of noncombustibles in the waste stream will be to reduce the amount of excess air while maintaining gas temperature and mass -flow constant.Therefore,no changes to the HRSG or the balance of the steam cycle from that described in Section 4.2 is expected. 2554B 6-3 TABLE 6-1 NEW CAPACITY ADDITIONS AND FUEL REQUIREMENTS MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST KENAI POWER GENERATION -., - - 6.1.4 Fuel Supply Depending upon the gas conditioning facility design chosen,a waste gas stream comprised mainly of carbon dioxide and heavier ~drocarbons may be generated.It has been previously estimated (refer to Appendices A and B)that a waste gas stream of approximately 430 MMSCFD with a higher heating value of 195 Btu/ft3 could result.While it is possible to directly burn this waste gas in combustion turbines,it will require expensive redesign of the turbines,and increased equipment supply costs.Since the waste stream alone could not supply enough energy to satisfy demand through the year 2010,it was decided to blend the waste gas with sales gas to achieve a minimum heating value of 400 Btu/ft3 (HHV).This resultant heating value does not require combustion turbine modifications.The required amounts of both waste and sales gas are shown in Table 6-1. 6.1.5 E1 ectrica 1 Equipment and Substation The electrical equipment,including the generators,will essentially be the same as that described for the North Slope and Fairbanks medium forecast scenarios (Sections 2.1 and 4.2).Major differences involve the number of units installed,their actual ratings,and the bus voltage.Figure 6-1 presents a simplified one line diagram of the substation.There will be 22 generators feeding the 11 transformers, each rated 200 MVA 13.8/115 kV.For this alternative 115 kV bus voltage was chosen to be compatible with the existing 115 kV Chugach Electric Association line in the area.Three circuits will provide power for local area loads.The outgoing voltage will be 500 kV,with the two lines,each supplied by two 750 MVA transformers,terminating in Anchorage.Whenever possible,a breaker and a half configuration will be used. 6.1.6 Other Systems Depending on interpretation of regulations governing the application of Best Available Control Technology (BACT),it may be necessary to add an 25548 6-5 1 -i -.])1 i 1 t 5 I _.-._.-J )J .-j -1 J i. 13.&kV 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 2222 LOCAL 500kV LOCAL150MVA TYPICAL LOCAL 200MVA TYPICAL 200MVARI~_ TYPICAL 1 LEGE.NDoGENERATOR ~otl,........TRANSFORMER o C.IRCUIT 8RE'AKER -'\I\I\r-REACTOR ~CAPACITOJi: TO ANCHORAGE r " TO ANCHORAGE ALASKA 'OWER AUTHORITY NORTH .LOPE GA. 'tAI....ITV .TUOY KENAI POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST SUBSTATION ONE LINE SCHEMATIC ~I'-f I.AICO _"VICEI 1NC000000000ATtD ,,.." ,- '""" - NO x control system to the gas turbines at the Kenai location.All other systems will be identical to those described for the Fairbanks medium load growth forecast (Section 4.2). The NOx control system will consist of either steam or water injection directly into the combustion chamber.This is used to control the gas temperature,keeping it below the range of high NO x formati 0 n. 6.2 TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS 6.2.1 Kenai to Anchorage Line 6.2.1.1 Overview of the System To transmit medium forecast power from Kenai to Anchorage,a 500 kV transmission alternative was developed and found to be a cost effective voltage.Two routes were investigated in detail:a 150 mile long land based route around Turnagain Arm,crossing the mountains west of Gi rwood to Anchorage;and an underwater cablecrossi ng-of Turnagai n Arm.The latter route was chosen as the better alternative.A brief description of the line is presented below. The line,with its two circuits on separate towers,will originate at the Kenai generating plant substation and will run eastward to approximately Sterling.The two circuits will then run towards the northeast and follow an existing pipeline right-of-way.The overland route on the Kenai peninsula will be 65 miles in length and will terminate at Gull Rock.From this point 4 mile-long cables will car~ the power underwater to the north shore of Turnagain Arm to a location marked Isle 29,which is less than a half-mi1e northwest of McHugh Creek.The remaining overhead line segment will parallel the Seward-Anchorage highway for about 25 miles before reaching the substation at Anchorage. 25548 6-7 - -- - - This routing is made possible by recent advancements in cable technology developed by Pire11i of Italy and Standard Telefon O.G. Kabel Fabrik AjS of Norway,which are about to install,for the British Columbia Hydro and Power Authority,two 500 kV circuits,each consisting of three single phase cables between the British Columbia mainland and Vancouver Island.The Turnagain Arm crossing will consist of 7 cables:3 for each circuit and 1 spare. The system is similar to the one presented for the North Slope to Fairbanks connection,except there will be no intermediate switching stations and there will be a cable crossing.The design of the overhead section of the line will be identical to the North Slope-Fairbanks connection described in Section 2.3 and Appendix 0, except that guyed type transmission towers will be used for this line and only 3 repeater stations will be required for comnunication purposes. 6.2.1.2 Alternatives Several alternative transmission corridors between Kenai and Anchorage were considered in order to select a reasonable route for cost estimating purposes.Factors considered were general engineering and environmental constraints.Of the many potential routes,two were investigated in detail.A land based route was assumed to follow the existing Chugach Electric Association (CEA)right-of-way,which generally follows the Sterling and Seward Highways,and which traverses the eastern end of Turnagai n Arm.However,closer exami nati on of that route in 1 i ght of the maj or transmi ss;on faci 1i ty requi rements disclosed the following severe constraints: (1)The existing transmission lines between Portage and Indian Creek are co-located with the Seward Highway and the Alaska Railroad on a narrow bench between Turnagain Arm and.the Chugach Mountains.The bench is at the base of a unifonn1y steep slope whi ch ri ses to above 3500 feet in elevation.The proposed transmission facilities could not reasonably be accommodated within or adjacent to the 2554B 6-8 - existing rights-of-way.One option for avoiding this area would be to traverse the Chugach Mountains between Portage and Anchorage. This would,however,involve crossing difficult terrain,much of which is included in the Chugach State Park. (2)The existing CEA right-of-way parallels the Sterling Highway for most of its length.In the vicinity of Bear Mountain,designated wilderness areas within the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge are within close proximity of the highway.Development of transmission facilities of the magnitude required by this scenario would engender severe aesthetic impacts to travelers along this scenic highway,and possibly infringe on wilderness land use values. As a consequence of these severe routing constraints,this study focused on a transmission line corridor which utilizes a Turnagain Arm crossi ng from Gull Rock to McHugh Creek.The total length of thi s preferred corridor route is 94 miles,as compared to the 150 mile route which would be required for a completely overland route around the eastern end of Turnagain Arm. 6.2.2 Anchorage Substation The planned Anchorage substation is shown in Figure 6-2.The two 500 kV lines will terminate in two 750 MVA 345/525 kV transformers. The bus will feed the area transmission system using 138/345 kV transformers.From the bus two 345 kV lines will connect to Fairbanks.These lines will have shunt reactors but no series capacitors connected to them. 6.2.3 Anchorage to Fairbanks Line This line must carr,y about half the amount of power that the Fairbanks to Anchorage lines have to carr,y under previously discussed low growth forecast conditions (Section 3.2).Therefore,one 345 kV line would be adequate as far as power carrying capability and system performance is concerned.However,the reliability of electric power transmission 2554B 6-9 -1 J -1 1 I -1 1 1 1 j J )1 1 TO FA IR BANK5 z.oo MVAR TYPICAL LOC~L LOCALl/38k1 .1.......,\1\r--i LOCAL kvl -STATIC VAR COMPEN.sATOR 1.38 LEGENDoGENERATOR ~o.n'W\TRANSFORMER o CIRCUIT 8REAKE~ -"\I\I\r REACTOR ~CAPACIToR T TO KENAI T ALAIKA 'OWER AUTHORITY MORTH 1l000£GAl FU•••..fTY lTUOY KENAI POWER GENERATION MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST ANCHORAGE SUBSTATION ONE LINE SCHEMATIC ....UIlI e-t IIAIeO HfmCEllNCOfIPOftATID f~ over a single line is very poor,making two lines in parallel a minimum requirement.With two lines,neither series compensation nor an intermediate switching station is required at 345 kY.Therefore,in thi s scenari 0,the 345 kY i ntertie will be fully extended and a second line will be built between Anchorage and Fairbanks using the Gilbert Commonweal th (l981)des;gn. 6.2.4 Fairbanks Substation The Fairbanks substation will be the terminus of the two 345 kY lines. It will be a conventionally designed 345/138 kV substation using a I"'"breaker and a half sctieme to supply the two 138/345 kV transformers that will provide power locally. 6.3 COST ESTIMATES ,~ 6.3.1 Construction Costs 6.3.1.1 Power Plant .... To support the derivation of total systems costs which is presented in Section 6.3.4,order of magnitude investment costs were developed for' the major bid lines items common to a 77 MW (ISO conditions)natural .gas fired simple cycle combustion turbine and a 220 MW (ISO conditions) natural gas fired combined cycle plant.These costs are presented in Tables 6-2 and 6-3.The costs represent the total investment for the first unit to be developed at the site.Ad~itiona1 simple cycle units will have an estimated investment cost of $35,680,000 while additional combined cycle units will have an estimated investment cost of $128,060,000.The unit cost differential for addition units is due to significant reductions in line items 1 and 15,improvements to Site and Off-Site Facilities,and reductions in Indirect Construction Cost and Engineering and Construction Management. 25548 6-11 TABLE 6-2 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE I NVESlMENT COSTS 77 MW SIMPLE CYCLE PLANT KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (January,1982 Dollars) Descri ption!! Total Material Construction Direct Cost ($1000)Labor ($1000)($1000) - """ ..... ..... 1-Improvements to Site 475 1,410 1,885 2.Ea rthwork and Pil i ng 75 500 575 3.Circulating Water System 0 0 0 4.Co ncrete 475 2,145 4,505 5.Structural Steel Lifting 1,725 1,370 3,095 Equipment,Stacks 6.Buildings 750 1,440 2,190 7.Turbine Generator 11,400 685 12,085 8.Steam Generator and Accessories 0 0 0 9.Other Mechanical Equipment 955 530 1,485 10.Pi ping 265 590 855 11-Insulation and Lagging 35 135 170 12.Instrumentation 100 70 170 13.Electrical Equipment 1,535 2,665 4,200 14.Painting 70 250 320 15.Off-Site Facilities 300 1,080 1,380 SUBTOTAL $18,160 $12,870 $31,030 Freight Increment 910 TOTAL DIRECT CONSTRUCTION COST $31,940 Indirect Construction-Costs 1,780 SUBTOTAL FOR CONTINGENCIES 33,720 Co nt i n9 e nc ies (l 5%)5,060 TOTAL SPECIFIC CONSTRUCTION COST 38,780 Engineering and Construction 2,200 Management TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $40,980 .!!The following items are not addressed in the plant investment pri ci ng:1aboratory equipment,switchYard and transmi ssi on facilities,spare parts,land or land rights,and sales/use taxes • 2554B 6-12 TABLE 6-3 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE I NVESTMENT COSTS 220 MW COMBINED CYCLE PLANT KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (January,1982 Do 11 ars) l.Improvements to Site 490 1,440 1,930 2.Ea rthwork and Pi 1i ng 220 1,520 1,740 3.Circulating Water System 0 0 0 4.Concrete 1,485 6,730 8,215 5.Structural Steel Lifti ng 3,800 3,530 7,330 Equipment,Stacks 6.Buildings 1,800 3,600 5,400 7.Turbine Generator 30,700 2,590 33,290 8.Steam Generator and Accessories 9,600 4,320 13,920 9.Other Mechanical Equipment 6,230 3,120 9,350 10.Pi pi ng 1,630 3,055 4,685 1l.Insulation and Lagging 295 720 1,015 12.Instrumentation 1,700 290 1,990 13.Electrical Equipment 4,600 8,785 13,385 14.Painting 200 720 920 15.Off-Site Facilities 300 1,080 1,380 SUBTOTAl $63,050 $41,500 $104,550 Freight Increment 3,150 TOTAL DIRECT CONSTRUCTION COST $107,700 Indi rect Construction Costs 4,310 SUBTOTAL FOR CONTINGENCIES 112,01 0 Conti ngencies (15%)16,800 TOTAL SPECIFIC CONSTRUCTION COST 128,810 Engineering and Construction 6,800 Management TOTAl CONSTRUCTION COST $135,610 - I .~ Descri ption!/ Total Material Construction Di rect Cost ($1000)Labor ($1000)($1000) 1/The following items are not addressed in the plant investment pricing:laboratory equipment,switchYard and transmission facilities,spare parts,land or land rights,and sales/use taxes. 2554B 6-13 - ,~ 6.3.1.2 Kenai to Anchorage Transmission Line, Transmission line order-of-magnitude investment cost estimates for the submarine cable crossing alternative are presented in Table 6-4.These estimates are based on two 500 kV 1ines of 1400 MW capacity with series compensation.An order of magnitude investment cost estimate has also been prepared for the land based route which traverses the eastern end of Turnagain Arm.These estimates are presented in Table 6-5.As the submarine cable crossing alternative is preferred,only this estimate has been used in the derivation of total systems costs (Section 6.3.4). 6.3.1.3 Anchorage to Fairbanks Transmission Line Order of magnitude investment cost estimat€s have been prepared for the Anchorage-Fairbanks connection.These estimates which are presented in Table 6-6 are based on one new 345 kV line without series compensation and an intermediate switching station.The estimates also reflect upgrading of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the present Interti e. 6.3.2 Operation and Maintenance Costs 6.3.2.1 Power Plant The power plant operating and maintenance (O&M)costs were derived to support the system planning studies (Appendix B).They reflect a review of figures from previous Railbelt studies,operation of other utilities,and salary requirements and expendable materials.The O&M costs for this scenario are estimated to be $0.0040/kWh. 6.3.2.2 Transm;ssion Line Systems Annual operati ng a nd rna;ntenance costs (January 1982 doll ars)have been developed for the scenario's required transmission line facilities an~ total $12 million per year.These costs should be viewed as an annual 25548 6-14 TABLE 6-4 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS KENAI TO ANCHORAGE TRANSt>1ISSION SYSTEM SUBMARINE CABLE CROSSING ALTERNATIVE (January 1982 Dollars) ~Total De scri pti onl/ Materi al Constructi on Di rect Cost ($1000)Labor ($1 OOO)($1000) ~ Switching Stations ,-Substations 63,073 43,729 106,802 Energy Management System 11 ,400 9,400 20,800 Steel Towers and Fixtures 112,370 130,909 243,279 ,~O.H.Conductors and Devices 12,726 29,919 42,645 Submari ne Cable and Devices 77,900 52,200 130,100 'f fA C1eari ng 4,164 4,164I SUBTOTAL 277 ,469 270,321 547,790 Land and Land Right~/7,200 ~Engineering and Construction Management 38,290 TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $593,280 ~"'"!/The investment costs reflect two 500 kV 1ines,1400 MW capacity with series compensation.A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been distributed among each of the cost categories shown.Sales/use taxes have not been ;ncl uded. ~/Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (Acres American Inc.1981). 2554B 6-15 - TABLE 6-5 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS KENAI TO ANCHORAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM LAND BASED ROUTE ALTERNATIVE (January 1982 Dollars) ~,Total De scri pti on!! Materi al Construction Direct Cost ($1000)Labor ($1000)($1000)- Switching Stations 0 0 0 ~Substations 51,262 35,540 86,802 Energy Management System 11,400 9,400 20,800 ~ Steel Towers and Fixtures 265,066 281,477 546,543 .....Conductors and Devices 20,522 48,248 68,770 Cl eari ng 0 6,720 6,72<;1 "....SUBTOTAL 348,250 381,385 729,635 Land and Land Rights61 11,600 -~ Engineering and Construction Management 51,100 TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $792,335 11 The investment costs reflect two 500 kV lines,1400 MW capacity with series compensation.A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been distributed among each of the cost categories shown.Sales/use taxes have not been i ncl uded. 2/Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (Peres American Inc.1981). 2554B 6-16 ~ , TABLE 6-6 ORDER OF MAGNITVDE INVESTMENT COSTS ANCHORAGE TO FAIRBANKS TRANSMISSION SYSTEM (January 1982 Dollars) Total ~Materi al Construction Di rect Cost Description.!.!($1000)Labor ($1000)($1000) Switching Stations F*'Substations 38,531 32,100 70,631 Energy Management System 12,300 10,960 23,260 ~Steel Towers and Fixtures 129,214 182,091 311,305 Conductors and Devices 20,049 53,183 73,232 r" Cl eari ng 41,572 41,572 SUBTOTAL 200,094 319,906 520,000 Land and Land Ri ghtsY 14,400 Engineeri ng and Construction Management 36,400 r TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $570,800 1/The investment costs reflect one new 345 kV line without series compensation or an intermediate switching station,and the upgrading of the Willow-Anchorage and Healy-Fairbanks segments of the Intertie to 345 kV.. !/Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (kres American Inc.1981). 25548 6-17 r r r T r r average over the life of the system.Actual O&M costs should be less initially,and will increase with time. 6.3.3 Fuel Costs For the economic analyses which follow fuel costs werre treated as zero.This approach penmits fuel cost and fuel price escalation to be treated separately;and makes possible subsequent sensitivity analyses of the Present Worth of Costs for this scenario based upon a range of fuel cost and cost escal ati on assumpti ons. 6.3.4 Total Systems Costs Total systems costs for Kenai reflect a very different situation than the North Slope or Fairbanks scenarios.The Kenai medium growth scenario recognizes that a pipeline and gas conditioning facility are required;however,these capital investments are external to the electricity generation system per see The costs of the pipeline and the gas conditioning facility should be reflected in the purchase price of the natural gas rather than in the capital or O&M outl~s. The methodology and assumptions utilized to derive the systems'costs which are presented below have been previously described in the Report on Systems Planning Studies (Appendix B).This methodology is consistent with previous studies of electric generating scenarios for the Rai1be1t,specifically Acres American,Inc.(l98l},Susitna Hydroelectric Project Feasibility Report and Battelle (1982),Railbelt Electric Power Alternative Study. The total systems costs for the Kenai medium growth scenario have been calculated.Annual capital outlays are presented in Table 6-7.Annual O&M costs are presented in Table 6-8.Total annual costs are surmnarized in Table 6-9.The present worth of these costs,exclusive of fuel costs,is $2.0 billion as of 1982,assuming a discount rate of 3 percent and a value base of 1982 dollars. 25548 6-18 r TABLE 6-7 ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) Electricity Generated!! - Calendar Transmission Year Unit A Unit B Line Total 1982 o.O.O.o. 1983 O.O.o.O. 1984 O.·0.O.O. 1985 O.2/O.621.2 621.2 1986 O.O.142.8 142.8 1987 10.6 O.282.2 292.8 1988 35.68 O.114.9 150.6 1989 35.68 O.O.35.7 1990 O.O.O.O. 1991 53.65 71.36 o.125.0 1992 O.O.O.O. 1993 53.65 O.O.53.7 1994 35.68 O.O.35.7 1995 35.68 O.O.35.7 1996 53.65 35.68 O.89.3 1997 35.68 o.O.35.7 1998 O.O.O.O. 1999 53.65 O.O.53.7r2000O.O.O.O. 2001 35.68 35.68 o.71.4 2002 o.o.o.o. 2003 53.65 o.o.53.7 2004 35.68 35.68 o.71.4 2005 .53.65 o.o.53.7 2006 35.68 o.o.35.7 2007 35.68 53.65 o.89.3 2008 35.68 o.o.35.7 2009 o.o.o.o. 201 0 o.o.o.o. Total $689.$232.$1,161.$2,083. 1/Unit A refers to first unit built in a given year and Unit B to second unit built. 2/Includes site preparation activities for multiple unit site. r 25548 6-19 r r 25548 TABLE 6-8 ANNUAL NON-FUEL OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS KENAI AREA POWER GENERA nON -t4EDI UM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) 6-20 TABLE 6-9 TOTAL ·ANNUAL COSTS KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) Calendar Capital o &M Total Year Expendi tu res Costs Expend i tu re s 1982 O.O.o. 1983 o.O.o. 1984 O.O.O. 1985 621.2 O.621.2 1986 142.8 O.142.8 1987 292.8 o.292.8 1988 150.6 O.150.6 1989 35.7 14.21 49.91 1990 O.16.42 16.42 1991 125.0 16.42 141.42 1992 O.22.64 22.64 1993 53.7 22.64 76.34 1994 35.7 24.46 60.16 1995 35.7 26.66 62.36 1996 89.3 28.87 118.17 1997 35.7 32.89 68.59 1998 O.35.10 35.10 1999 53.7 35.10 88.80 2000 O.36.91 36.91 2001 71.4 36.91 108.31 2002 o.41.33 41.33 2003 53.7 41.33 95.03 2004 71.4 43.14 114.54 2005 53.7 45.64 99.34 2006 35.7 46.72 82.42 2007 89.3 47.81 137.11 2008 35.7 48.90 84.60 2009 O.49.99 49.99 2010 O.51.08 51.08 Total $2,083.$765.$2,848. Present Worth @ 3%$1,612.$436.$2,048. 2554B 6-21 ~,_-......."""""'--,_-_---------------F"-*-------------,..---- TABLE 6-10 ENVIRONMENT RELATED POWER PLANT CHARACTERISTICS NATURAL GAS COMBINED CYCLE KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -MEDIUM LOAD FORECAST Air Environment Emissions Particulate Matter Sulfur Dioxide Ni trogen Ox ides Ph,ysi cal Effects Water Environment Pl ant Water Requi rements Water Injection Other Requirements Plant Discharge Requirements Oemi neral i zer Steam Generators Treated Sanitary Waste Floor Drains Land Envi ronment Land Requirements Socioeconomic Environment Construction Workforce Operating Workforce 2554B Below standards Below standards Emissions variable within standards -dry control techniques would be used to meet calculatedNOxstandardof0.014 percent of total volume of gase~us emissions.This value calculated based upon new source perfonnance standards, facility heat rate,and unit size. maximum structure height of 50 feet 800 GPM 200 GPM 40 GPM 70 GPM 15 GPM 25 GPM 175 acres Approximately 200 personnel at peak construction Approximately 150 employed personnel 6-22 6.4 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS The Kenai power plant and transmission line to Anchorage and Fairbanks will have many environmental effects similar to those discussed for the North Slope and Fairbanks scenarios.The environmental and socioeconomic considerations associated with the transmission line from Anchorage to Fairbanks will be identical to those discussed in Section 3.5,the North Slope Scenario (low load forecast),and therefore will not be repeated here.Power plant characteristics related to environmental impacts are summarized in Table 6-10. 6.4.1 Air Resource Effects J~s is typical of many exposed coastal locations,the air quality and meteorological conditions are generally favorable to the development of facilities such as power plants.It is not likely that an intense Ilmarine layer1 \which may restrict dispersion of pollutants,develops in this area.The air quality attains the applicable ambient standards,but the locale is burdened with several existing petroleum refinery emissions.A new natural gas-fired power plant could probably be sited in the area with the use of appropriate emissions controls including water or steam injection to reduce nitrogen oxides emi ssi ons.The impact of water vapor emi ssi ons on the fonnation of fog must also be considered.The power plant must be carefully sited in order to avoid adding to the air quality impacts of the existing facilities. Construction of the transmission line from Kenai to Anchorage will r-esul t in temporary air quality impacts.Heavy equipment and c:onstruction vehicles will cause fugitive dust and exhaust emissions, and slash burning will cause particulate emissions.As discussed in Section 2.5,these emissions would occur rarely and ,would be widely di spersed ,generally in unpopul ated areas.Long term impacts woul d be T1legl igible. 2554B 6-23 6.4.2 Water Resource Effects As in the Fairbanks scenario,water resource effects will be minimal. Groundwater will supply up to 1000 gpm for water or steam injection (for control of nitrogen oxides emissions),boiler make-up,potable s~pplies and miscellaneous uses.Wastewater discharges will consist of boiler blowdown,demineralizer regenerant wastes and sanitary wastes, each treated within the plant to meet the appropriate effluent gui del i nes.Because water used for water or steam i njecti on is consumed rather than recycled,wastewater quantities will be less than 200 gpm. The transmission line from Kenai to Anchorage would cross the streams and creeks listed below. r Soldatna Creek Mystery Creek Big Indian Creek Potter Creek Campbell Creek Ship Creek Moose River Chickaloon River Little Indian Creek Furrow Creek Che ster Creek The water quality of these streams should not be directly affected if towers wi 11 be set back from the streambank at 1east 200 feet,and construction activities stay out of stream channels.Indirect impacts on the waterbodies,however,will result from construction activity in the small drainageways that feed the main channel,primarily from removal of vegetation {causi ng hi gher erosion rates},equipment crossings of small drainages,and access roads construction.Because helicopter construction will be used along most of the route,the use of heaV,Y equipment,vegetation removal,and access road construction should be minimal. The transmission line will cross Turnagain Arm from Gull Rock to the mouth of McHugh Creek via seven buried submarine cables.Construction phase impacts will consist of increased turbidity from the cable 25548 6-24 r T T installation»and construction activity near the shore on both shorelines.Operation phase impacts will primarily be the potential for cable rupture and 'subsequent cable oil contamination of Turnagain Arm.The cable will be designed to have a ve~low probability of rupture over the life of the project.A synthetic cable oil»Dodeco Benzene»should be used for cable insulation.If this oil accidentally leaks»it will rise to the surface and quickly evaporate when exposed to air.This oil is used specifically to minimize environmental effects associated with a cable rupture. 6.4.3 Aquatic Ecosystem Effects Because groundwater will provide the power plant's water supply,and wastewater discharges will be low»the power plant in Kenai will not significantly affect aquatic resources. Soldatna Creek and Moose River flow into the Kenai River System,a major river for anadromous fish habitat.Sodatna Creek provides spawni ng and reari ng habitat for Sil ver Salmon,and Moose Ri ver contains King,Silver,and Sockeye Salmon (U.S.Army Corps of Engineers 1978).Sedimentation of these water bodies»as discussed in the previous section,could affect spawning and rearing habitat in these streams.Because helicopter construction will be used for most of the route»however»sedimentation effects would be relatively minor. Impacts to freshwater aquatic resources will be mitigated primarily through the control of sedimentation of waterbodies,keeping construction equipment out of streambeds and wetlands»and avoiding areas of high biological value.These mitigation measures are discussed in greater detail in Section 2.5.3 for the North Slope scenari o. Crossing Turnagain Arm with underwater cables poses additional environmental hazards.Turnagain Arm is an environmentally sensitive, area in the general vicinity of the project that contains marine mammals,inclUding Harbor Seals»sea lions and Beluga whales (U.S. 25548 6-25 Department of Commen:e 1979).Salmon are present in some of the small streams that enter this area (Alaska Department of Fish and Game 1978). Installation of buried,submarine cables will temporarily disrupt the sea floor along the cable route and increase turbidity and suspended solids in the vicinity of the crossing.Tidal currents could carry suspended sediment beyond the immediate crossi ng site.Special construction techniques should be used to minimize disturbance of the substrate.Installation should take place when biological activity is at its lowest point in the yearly cycle. An accidental rupture of a cable would leak cable oil into the aquatic environment.As discussed in the previous section,the cable oil used, Dodeco Benzene,was chosen because it evaporates when exposed to air, thereby minimizi ng envi ronmenta1 impacts. The cables m~operate at a temperature level above ambient conditions.Because the cables will be buried six to ten feet,only the substrate temperature and not water temperature would be elevated (Bonneville Power Administration 1981). 6.4.4 Terrestri a1 Ecosystem Effects Because the Kenai power plant will be located in an area already extensively developed,1itt1e habitat degradation will occur.The area di sturbed for power p1 ant constructi on,approximately 140 acres,wi 11 not significantly affect terrestrial resources in the area. The transmission route passes through an area of caribou habitat northeast of Kenai (University of Alaska 1974).Little alteration of caribou habitat will resu1 t from construction of the transmi ssion 1ine because the animal utilizes cover types that require little if anY c1 eari ng. 25548 6-26 Much of the route between Kenai and Anchorage is within moose rangeland.However,because moose utilize manY different habitat types,they will be the least adversely affected by habitat alterations (Spencer and Chatelain 1953).Where the proposed route crosses heavily forested areas,moose will benefit from additional clearing of the ri ght-of-way and the sUbsequent estab1 i shment of a subc1 imax cOl111lunity (Leopo1 d and Dar1 i ng 1953).The route does not cross Dall sheep or mountain goat habitat. The transmission line corridor passes near Chickaloon Flats and Potter Marsh on Turnagai n Ann,both key waterfowl areas.Various puddl e ducks,geese and sandhi 11 cranes feed and rest duri ng seasonal migration periods in these areas.The shoreline of Turnagain Arm is also used by seals and sea lions.The transmission line would not directly affect this wildlife habitat. Construction of the submarine cable could slightly affect terrestrial habitat indirectly by increasing turbidity of Turnagain Arm and thereby affecting food sources.This would be a temporary effect during the construction phase only. The transmi s5i on corri dor passes through several vegetati on types. Between Kenai and Sterling,the vegetation is primarily bottomland spruce-pop1 ar forest.As the corri dor extends northeasterly towards Turnagain Arm,the vegetation becomes upland spruce-hardwood forest and,on the foothills of the Kenai Mountains,coastal western hemlock-Sitka spruce forest.North of Turnagain Ann,the vegetation is primarily bottomland spruce-poplar forest (University of Alaska 1974). Transmission line construction will necessitate clearing a 220-foot wide corridor in all forested areas.Over the length of the corridor, it is assumed that a total of 550 acres would be cleared within the ri ght-of-way. 2554B 6-27 r r &.W.~.'i 6.4.5 Socioeconomic and Land Use Effects The socioeconomic effects of locating a gas conditioning facility and electrical generating plant depends primarily on the size of the in-migrating work force.Land use impacts are not expected to occur as these facilities are compatible with the heavily industrialized development that dominates the Kenai-Nikiski area. The size of the construction work force for the generating facility is expected to be approximately 175 persons.The construction schedule would require that a unit be constructed every year during the period 1993-2010,with the exception of 1994 and 1999,when no new units would be required.The duration and time of the construction period would be 4 to 5 months in the summer. 'The extent to which local people would be hired would depend on the match of ski 11 s requi red for the project to those ski 11 s of the available labor force.Labor union policies would also influence the extent of local hi res on the project.The i n-m~grat'i ng work force would have to seek temporary housing on their own since housing would not be provided at the project site.The magnitude of the impacts on the local housing supply would depend on the vacancy rate for the.. summer of each year a uni t was constructed. The project is expected to have 1itt1e effect on the unemployment rate since employment on the project would be seasonal.In addition,these job openings would be competitive with other employment opportunities in seasonal industries such as construction and fisheries. The operations work fon:e is expected to be approximately 100.The magnitude of potential impacts depends on the availability of local labor to meet the work force requirements.If the majority of the employees migrate to the Kenai-Nikiski region,the demand for housing could exceed the supply. 2554B 6-28 r r r r Construction of the transmission lines between Kenai and Anchorage is expected to take 22 months.The peak work force is estimated at 221 persons during the last 6 months>and average construction work force is expected to be approx'imately 163 workers.It ; s assumed that workers would be hi~d from the labor pools of Kenai and Anchorage. 25548 6-29 r I 7.0 KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION LOW LOAD FORECAST The Kenai area power generation scenario,under the low load forecast, is also depedent upon the development of TAGS.The anticipated electrical requirements associated with TAGS gas conditioning and liquefaction facilities have also been included in the electrical demand analysis.The development scheme will consist of 4 combined cycle plants and 2 simple cycle combustion turbines conditioning facility.Fuel for the power plant will be a blend of waste gas and sales gas.A reliable electrical transmission system will require parallel lines from the Kenai area to Anchorage (at 500 IcV and underwater across Turnagain Arm)and from Anchorage to Fairbanks (at 345 IcV).A residential/commercial gas distribution system is not a part of the scenario.Construction costs for this scenario are $1.7 billion,with total operation and maintenance costs of $0.6 billion.The present worth of these costs excluding fuel costs is $1.7 billion. The information in this section is intended to include only those conditions which are significantlY different from those for the medium load forecast presented in Section 6.0. 7.1 POWER PLANT This scenario will require four complete combined cycle plants,each capable of generating 237 MW and two simple cycle combustion turbines, to sati sfy the low load forecast demand for energy in the year 201 O. rj 'llie first gas turbine unit will go on line in 1990.The scheduled additions are summarized in Table 7-1 and details are addressed in Appendix 8.Fuel requirements for this scenario are also shown in Table 7-1. 25938 7-1 TABLE 7-1 NEW CAPACITY ADDITIONS AND FUEL REQUIREMENTS KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST New Capacity (MW)Gas Requirements (MMSCFD)l/ Year (Increment/Total)Waste Gas Sales Gas 1990 84/84 12,451.6 3,625.4 1991 0/84 12,451.6 3,625.4 1992 153/237 24,962.1 7,267.8 1993 0/237 24,962.1 7,267.8 1994 84/321 37,413.5 10,893.2 1995 84/405 49,864.6 14,518.3 1996 0/405 49,864.6 14,518.3 1997 153/558 62,372.7 18,160.2 1998 0/558 62,372.7 18,160.2 1999 0/558 62,372.7 18,160.2 2000 0/558 62,372.7 18,160.2 2001 84/642 74,827.0 21,689.7 2002 69/711 74,886.2 21,803.5 2003 0/711 74,886.2 21,803.5 2004 84/795 87,336.2 25,428.4 2005 84/879 99,786.8 29,053.5 2006 69/948 99,848.2 29,071.4 2007 0/948 99,848.2 29,071.4 200.8 84/1 032 11 0,241.2 32,097.3 2009 0/1 032 95,864.8 27,911.6 2010 84/1116 117,735.7 34,279.4 .11 Values as calculated are shown for reproducibility only,and do not imply accuracy beyond a 100 MMSCFD level.' 2593B 7-2 r, I 'r' I r r Facilities required for the site and the site arrangement will be the same as that described in Section 4.2.Equipment arrangement will be as previously shown in Figures 4-1 and 4-2 and the site arrangement as shown in Figure 4-3.The land area required for this development will be approximately 120 acres. The one line schematic of the low forecast generation plant substation is shown in Figure 7-1.It is essentially a scaled down version of Figure 6-1.The number of generators is reduced to 14 and only one transformer will supply each of the 500 kV lines,which will be without series compensa ti on. 7.2 TRANSMISSION SYSTEM The Kenai~Anchorage transmission system will be similar to the medium forecast design including the utilization of 7 cables:3 for each circuit and 1 spare (Section 6.2).Series compensation is not required,however, because the power transmitted to Anchorage in this low forecast case will be much reduced from that of the medium forecast. Installing a reduced number of cables under Turnagain Ann was investigated but was not considered feasible because it is unlikely that the required switc~ards could be located at the two terminations due to the lack of suitable land.During the system studies performed for this project.the possibility of transmitting the power on two 230 kV circuits,with one intermediate SWitching station,was also considered.Complete investigation of this system would have required detailed studies far beyond the scope of this project.However,such an alternative should be investigated during detailed engineering. At the substation in Anchorage the 500 kV voltage will be transformed to 345 kV for transmittal to Fairbanks and to supply local Anchorage loads. The one line diagram would be similar to that presented in Figure 6-1, except that there will only be two 750 kVA transformers at the substation iind the 500 kV lines will not be series compensated.The Fairbanks liubstation will terminate the two 345 kV ci rcuits and supply,vi a transformers.the local area load at 138 kV. 25938 7-3 2 2 2 238k2S?2 2 2 2 2 2 2:2100NV", lVPICAl LOCAL III--'VV\,-f LoCAL 750MVA .TYPICAL 500KV LOCAL 200 MVA~TYPICAL 1-..I1AJ\-JII ----,--~1 1 TO ANCHORAGE LEGENDoGENERATOR =o.~TRANSFORMERoC/I(CUIT BRE'AJ<ER -I\JV\r REACTOR ~CAPACITOR TO ANCHORAGE ALAIKA 'OWE"AUTHOIlITY NORTH lLePl GAl nAI_un lTUDY KENAI POWER GENERATION LOW LOAD FORECAST. SUBSTATION ONE LINE aCHEMATlC '1eU'lI 7-1 I.AICO IEfMCISICOAPORATtD --------, 7.3 COST ESTIMATES 7.3.1 Construction Costs 7.3.1.1 Power Plant The capital cost of simple cycle combustion turbines and combined cycle facilities are the same as that presented in Section 6.3 for the medium load forecast., 7.3.1.2 Transmission Line Systems Order-of-magnitude investment cost estimates for the submarine cable crossing alternative for the Kenai-Anchorage line are presented in Table 7-2.These estimates are based on two 500 kV 1ines of 700 MW capacity without series compensation.An order-of-magnitude investment cost estimate has al so been prepared for the 1and based route which traverses the eastern end of Turnagain Arm.These estimates are presented in Table 7-3.As the submarine cable crossing alternative is preferred,only this estimate has been used in the derivation of total systems costs (Section 7.3.4). The construction costs associated with the Anchorage-Fairbanks line are the same for both the medi um and low growth forecasts.These costs were previously presented in Table 6-6. ~7.3.2 Operation and Maintenance Costs Power plant operating and maintenance.(O&M)costs are the same for both the medium and low load forecasts,$O.0040/kWh.Transmission line DaM costs are estimated to be $12 million per year.These costs should be viewed as an annual average over the life of the system.Actual O&M costs should be less initially and will increase with time. 2593B 7-5 TABLE 7-2 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE I NVESlMENT COSTS KENAI TO ANCHORAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM SUBMARINE CABLE CROSSING ALTERNATIVE (January 1982 Dollars) 1/The investment costs reflect two 500 kV lines,700 MW capacity with no series compensation.A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been distributed among each of the cost categories shown.Sales/use taxes have not been i nc1 uded. Y Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (Peres American Inc.1981). 25938 7-6 _____________------F--·r-r---~----------------- -TABLE 7-3 ORDER OF MAGNITUDE INVESTMENT COSTS KENAI TO ANCHORAGE TRANSMISSION SYSTEM LAND BASED ROUTE ALTERNATIVE (January 1982 Doll ars) Total Materi al Constructi on Di rect Cost Descriptionl!($1000)Labor ($1000)($1000) Switching Stations Su bsta ti ons 30,140 22,366 52,506 Energy Management System 11,400 9,400 20,800 r Steel Towers and Fixtures 265,066 281,477 546,543 I Conductors and Devices 20,522 48,248 68,770 Cl eari ng 6,720 6,720 SUBTOTAL 327,128 368,211 695,339 Land and Land Rights£!11,600 r Engineering and Construction :IMa nagement 48,700 TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COST $755,639 2/ The investment costs reflect two 500 kV lines,700 MW capacity with no series compensation.A 15 percent contingency has been assumed for the entire project and has been distributed among each of the cost categories shown.Sales/use taxes have not been included. Assumes a cost of $40,000 per mile (Acres American Inc.1981). 2593B 7-7 ..... 7.3.3 Fuel COsts For the economic analyses which follow fuel costs were treated as zero.This approach permits fuel cost and fuel price escalation to be treated separately;and makes possible subsequent sensitivity analyses of the Present Worth of Costs for thi s scenari 0 based upon a range of fuel cost and cost escalation assumptions. 7.3.4 Total Systems Costs Total systems costs for the Kenai low load growth scenario are constructed in a manner identical to that used for the Kenai medium load growth scenario,except for the number of power plants installed and operated. The methodology and assumptions utilized to derive the systems'costs which are presented below have been previously described in the Report on Systems Planning Studies (Appendix B).This methodology is consistent with previous studies of electric generating scenarios for the Railbelt,specifically Acres American,Inc.(1981),Susitna HYdroelectric Project Feasibilty Report and Battelle (1982),Railbelt Electric Power Alternatives Study. Annual capital expenditures are presented in Table 7-4.Annual O&M costs are presented in Table 7-5.The summary of all annual costs is presented in Table 7-6.For comparison purposes the 1982 present worth of costs,assuming a discount rate of 3 percent and excluding fuel costs,is $1.7 billion (1982 dollars). 7.4 ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS The Kenai power plant for the low load forecast will consist of three combined cycle units,in contrast to the five combined cycle and two simple cycle units for the medium load forecast.Power plant characteristics realted to environmental resources are summarized in Table 7-7. 25938 7-8 -_"Im_'''''-,_....\1ll1<t ---w__p _ TABLE 7-4 ANNUAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURES KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Millions of January,1982 Dollars) Calendar Electricity Generated Transmission Year Unit A Unit B Line Total 1982 O.o.o.o. 1983 o.o.o.O. 1984 O.o.o.o. 1985 o.o.o.o. 1986 O.o.603.2 603.2 1987 o.o.138.6 138.6 1988 10.60 o.274.0 284.6 1989 35.68 o.111.6 147.3 1990 o.O.O.O. 1991 35.68 53.65 .o.89.33 1992 O.o.o.o. 1993 35.68 O.O.35.7 1994 35.68 O.O.35.7 1995 O.o.o.o. 1996 53.65 35.68 o.89.3 1997 o.o.o.O. 1998 o.o.o.o. 1999 o.o.o.o. 2000 35.68 o.o.35.7 2001 53.65 o.o.53.7 2002 o.o.o.o. 2003 35.68 o.O.35.7 2004 35.68 o..o.35.7 2005 .53.65 o.o.53.7 2006 o.o.o.o. 2007 35.68 o.o.35.7 2008 o.o.o.O. 2009 35.68 o.o.35.7 201 0 o.o.o.o. Total $405.$89.$1,128.$1,710. 25938 7-9 i""'- TABLE 7-5 ANNUAL NON-FUEL OPERATING AND MAINTENANCE COSTS KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Millions of Janua~.1982 Dollars) Ii....... Calendar Electricity Transmission Year Generated Line Total 1982 O.O.O. 1983 O.O.O. 1984 O.O.O. 1985 O.O.O. 1986 O.O.O.r 1987 O.O.O. I 1988 O.O.O. 1989 O.O.O. 1990 2.21 12.0 14.21 1991 2.21 12.0 14.21 1992 6.23 12.0 18.23 1993 6.23 12.0 18.23 1994 8.44 12.0 20.44 1995 10.64 12.0 22.64 1996 10.64 12.0 22.64 1997 14.66 12.0 26.66 1998 14.66 12.0 26.66 1999 14.66 12.0 26.66r200014.66 12.0 26.66 2001 16.87 12.0 28.87 2002 18.68 12.0 30.68 2003 18.68 12.0 30.68 T 2004 20.89 12.0 32.89 2005 23.10 12.0 35.10 2006 24.91 12.0 36.91 2007 24.91 12.0·36.91 2008 26.62 12.0 38.62 2009 23.15 12.0 35.15 201 a 27.68 12.0 39.68 Total $331.$252.$583. T T I'25938 7-10 --------~·_----·---------"-----i------------------ -TABLE 7-6 TOTAL ANNUAL COSTS ,~KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST (Millions of Januar,y,1982 Dollars) ~ Ca 1endar Capital o &M Total .-Year Expenditures Costs Expenditures 1982 O.o.O. 1983 O.O.O. 1984 O.O.O. 1985 O.O.O.r 1986 603.2 O.603.2 1987 138.6 O.138.6 I 1988 284.6 O.284.6 1989 147.3 O.147.3 1990 O.14.21 14.21 1991 89.3 14.21 103.51 1992 o.18.23 18.23 1993 35.7 18.23 53.93 1994 35.7 20.44 56.14 1995 O.22.64 22.64 1996 89.3 22.64 111.92 1997 O..26.66 26.66 1998 O.26.66 26.66 1999 O.26.66 26.66 2000 35.7 26.66 62.36 2001 53.7.28.87 82.57 2002 O.30.68 30.68 2003 35.7 30.68 66.38 2004 35.7 32.89 68.59 2005 53.7 35.10 88.80 2006 o.36.91 36.91 2007 35.7 36.91 72.61 2008 O.38.62 38.62 2009 35.7 35.15 70.85 201 0 O.39.68 39.68 Total $1,710.$583.$2,292. Present Worth @ 3%$1,342.$331.$1,673. T 25938 7-11 - ,""'" TABLE 7-7 ENVIRONMENT RELATED POWER PLANT CHARACTERISTICS COMBINED,CYCLE POWER PLANT KENAI AREA POWER GENERATION -LOW LOAD FORECAST Air Environment Emissions Particulate Matter Sulfur Dioxide Nitrogen Oxides PhYsical Effects Water Environment Below standards Below standards Emissions variable without standards - dry control techniques would be used to meet calculated NOX standard of 0.014 percent of total volume of gaseous emissions.This value calculated based upon new source perfonnance standards~ facility heat rate~and unit size. Maximum structure height of 50 feet Plant Water Requirements 500 GPM Plant Discharge Quantities 100 GPM Wastewater Holding Basin including treated sanitary waste~floor drains~boiler b1ow-down~and deminera1izer wastes Land Envi ronment ,T T Land Requirements Plant and Switchyard Socioeconomic Environment Construction Workforce Operating Workforce 25938 120 acres Approximately 200 personnel at peak construction Approximately 130 personnel 7-12 - - Approximately 500 gpm of fresh water will be supplied by groundwater for water or steam injection (for NOx control).equipment wash-down. boiler make-up water.and potable supplies.This amount of water will not significantly affect groundwater supp1 i es in the area.Wastewater discharges will be less than lOa gpm and will be treated to meet effluent gUidelines: Aquatic resources.as for the medium load forecast.will not be significantly affected.Plant acreage will be approximately 120 acres as compared to 17 5 acres for the medium load forecast.Terrestri al impacts are correspondingly reduced. Impacts associated with the transmission line from Kenai to Anchorage and on to Fairbanks are identical to those discussed in Section 6.4 for the medium load forecast. Socioeconomic impacts are expected to be similar to those for the medium load forecast.They would be less significant for the low load forecast.The in-migrating workforce.which would have to seek temporar,y housing on their own.would be smaller than for the medium growth forecast.and thus would cause fewer demands on local housing and public services. 25938 7-13 I 8.0 COMPARISON OF SCENARIOS The three development scenarios have a common purpose of meeting the electrical generating needs of the Railbelt Region using North Slope gas as a fuel source.However,the electric generating schemes and auxiliary systems vary widely among the scenarios making comparison of their relative merits complex.Table 8-1 is a side-by-side comparison of some of the important features of the three scenarios for both medium and low load forecasts.Each power plant meets the respective electricity demand forecast for the Railbelt.The Kenai plants also include the anticipated electrical requirements of the TAGS gas .conditioning and liquefaction facilities.Simple cycle units are the recommended technology for ele~tric generators on the North Slope,but combined cycle is more appropriate for the other two scenarios.The environmental and socioeconomic effects of all development scenarios are substantial,but~have been identified which would preclude any proj~ct.All scenarios re technically feasible from an engineering point of view.(7) q~e~ The ultimate feasibility of each development scenario described herein will depend upon a comparison of power costs between these scenarios and alternative electric generating technologies.Such comparisons are outside Ebasco's scope of work,but can be considered as a logical extension of these studies which may be performed by the Alaska Power Authority. 2603B 8-1 TABLE 8-1 COMPARISON OF SCENARIOS Power Plant Location Factor North Slope Medium Low Fairbanks Medium Low Kenai Medium Low Power Plant 1365 728 1383 726 1743 1116 Capacity {MW} Required Units (Simple 15/0 8/0 2/5 0/3 1/7 2/4 GYcle/Combined Cycle) P1 ant Si te Acreage 90 60 140 90 175 120 North Slope to Fairbanks 2 2 .NAIl NA NA NA :,._--Transmission Lines (SOD kV) Fairbanks to Anchorage 3 2 3 2 2 2 Transmission Lines (345 kV) Kenai to Anchorage NA NA NA NA 2 2 Transmission Lines (500 kV) North Slope to Fairbanks NA NA 10 3 NA NA Pipeline Compressor Stations POWER GENERATION 0982 $Billion} Capital Investment 4.2 3.3 6.2 4.7 2.1 1.7, Total O&M 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.8 0.6 Pre sent Wort h 3.8 2.7 5.2 3.4 2.0 1.7 DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM (1982 $Billion) Capital Investment NA NA 1.1 1.5 NA NA Total O&M NA NA 0.09 0.04 NA NA Present Worth NA NA 0.9 1.1 NA NA 1/NA -Not appl icab1e 26038 8-2 r r r 9.0 REFERENCES Acres Imerican,Inc.1981.Susitna hydroelectric project - feasibility report -Volume 1,engineering and economics aspects, final draft.Alaska Power Authority.Anchorage,Alaska. Alaska Department of Fish and Game.1978.Alaska Fisheries Atlas. Volumes I and II.Alaska Department of Fish and Game.Juneau, Al aska. Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratories.1982.Railbelt electric power alternative study:evaluation of rail belt electric energy plans -comment draft.Office of the Governor,State of Alaska. Juneau,Alaska (February 1982). Beaulaurier,D.L.,B.W.James,P.A.Jackson,J.R.Meyer,and J.M. Lee, Jr.1982.Mitigating the incidence of bird collisions with transmission lines.Paper to be presented at the Third Symposium on Environmental Concerns in Rights-of-way Management,San Diego, California,February 15-18,1982.21 pp. Bonneville Power Administration.1981.Underground cable systems: Potential environmental impacts,Draft Report.Bonneville Power Administration,Washington,D.C. Bureau of Land Management.1980.The utiliy corridor,land use decisions.U.S.Department of the Interior,Bureau of Land Management,Fairbanks,Alaska. Commonwealth Associates,Inc.1982.Environmental Assessment Report for the Anchorage-Fairbanks Transmission Intertie.Alaska Power Authori ty,Anchorage,A1 aska. Commonwealth Associates.1978.Model for the ready definition and approximate comparison of alternative high voltage transmission systems.DOEjETj5916-1. Commonwealth Associates,Inc.1981.Anchorage-Fairbanks transmission intertie route selection report. The Governor's Econqmic Committee.1983.Trans Alaska Gas System: economics of an alternative for North Slope Natural Gas.State of Alaska,Office of the Governor,Anchorage,Alaska. Leopold,A.and F.Darling.1953.Effects of land use on moose and caribou in Alaska.Transactions of the North American Wildlife Conference.18:553-582. North Slope Borough.1978.Coastal management program,Prudhoe Bay Area.North Slope Borough,Barrow,Alaska. 2588B 9-1 ......pe=i r· r r 'I Schmidt,D.R.,Neterer,C.,Willing,D.,Troy,P.Olson.1981. Fisheries resources along the Alaska Gas Pipeline route (Prudhoe Bay to Yukon Territroy)proposed by Northwest Alaskan Pipeline Company.A summary report.Prepared for Northwest Alaskan Pipeline Compay by LGL Alaska Research Associates,Inc.608 p. Spencer,De'L,and E.F.Chatel ai n.1953.Progress in the management of the moose of South Central Alaska.Transactions of the North American Wildlife Conference.18:539-552. u.S.Army Corps of Engineers.1978.Kenai river reivew.U.S.Anmy Corps of Engi neers,Al aska Di strict.Anchorage,Al aska. U.S.Department of Commerce.1979.Environmental assessment of the Alaskan Continental Shelf,Lower Cook Inlet Interim synthesis report.U.S.Department of Commerce,National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administraton,Environmental Research Laboratories, Boulder,Colorado. u.S.Department of Commerce.Federal safety standards for transportation of natural gas and other gas by pipeline.49 CFR Part 293,Latest Edition. U.S.Department of Commerce.Ameri can standard code for gas transmission and distribution piping systems.B 31.8,Latest edi ti on. University of Alaska,Arctic Environmental Information and Data Center. 1974.Alaska Regional Profiles,Southercentra1 Region.State of Alaska,Office of the Governor,Juneau,Alaska. 2588B 9-2 "I