Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutAPA2321SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIIC PROJECT 1983 ANNUAL RE,PORT BIG GAME STUDIES VOLUME n MOOS,E -DOWNSTREAM Ronald D.Modafferi ALASKA DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND GAME S-ubmitted to the Alaska Power Authority April 1984 DOCUMENT No.2321 ~, -- ""'I" SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT BIG GAME STUDIES 1983 ANNUAL REPORT VOLUME I I.MOOSE -DOWNSTREAM RonaldD.Modafferi ALASKA DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND GAME Submi tted to the Alaska Power Authori ty July 1984 !~;:.5 /Jt' 8SI{ n4~21 .... ...... - - P'" NO'l"ICB ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS CONCERNING THIS REPOR1,i SHOULD BE DIRECTED TO TBB ALASltA POWER AUTHORITY SUSXTRA PROJacT O~XCB - .- - PREFACE In early 1980,the Alaska Department of Fish and Game contracted with the Alaska Power Authority to collect information useful in assessing the impacts of the proposed Susitna Hydroelectric Project on moose,caribou,wolf,wolverine,black bear,brown bear and Dall sheep. The studies were broken into phases which conformed to the anticipated licensing schedule.Phase I studies,January 1,1980 tiD June 30,1982,were intended to provide information needed to support a E'ERC license application.This included general studies of wildlife populations to determine how each species used the area and identify potential impact mechanisms.Phase I I studies began in order to provide additional information during the anticipated 2 to 3 year period between application and final FERC approval of the license.Belukha whales were added to the species being studied.In these annual or final reports,we are niarrowing the focus of our studies to evaluate specific impact ml=chanisms,quantify impacts and evaluate mi tigation measures. This is the second annual report of ongoing Phase I I studies.In SQme .cases I obj ectives of Phase I were continued to provide a more complete data base.Therefore,this report is not intended as a complete assessment of .the impacts of the Susi tna Hydro- electric Project on the ?elected wildlife species. The information and conclusions contained in these reports are incomplete and preliminary in nature and subject to change with further study.Therefore,information contained in these reports is not to be quoted or used in any publication without the wri tten permission of the authors. The reports are organized into the following 9 volumes: - - Volume I. Volume I I. Volume I I I. Volume IV. Volume V. Volume VI. Volume VI I. Volume VI I I. Volume IX. Big Game Summary Report Moo se -Downstream Moose -Upstream Caribou . Wolf Black Bear and Brown Bear Wolverine Dall Sheep Belukha Whale i - - - ,- SUMMARY Re~cent demand for non-fossil fuel energy has stimulated public interest and ini tiated the formulation of a proposal to develop the hydroelectric potential of the Susitna River.The proposal is founded on construction of two water impoundments,an earth/ rock filled dam at a site between Tsusena and Deadman Creeks and a concrete arch dam at Devil Canyon,each with electric gener- at:ing facilities,and together capable of about 1200 Mw of ca.paci ty. Feasibility of the proposed project will be determined in part by evaluating environmental impacts as well as the economic base. Environmental impacts can be divided into 2 hydrological cate- gories:1)pre-impoundment,those impacts occurring in areas upstream from the impoundments and 2)post-impoundment,those impacts occurring in areas downstream from the impoundments. Pre-impoundment impacts will primarily involve immediate loss of habitats through inundation.Post-impoundment impacts will probably involve gradual and less dramatic changes in riparian environments through altered flow regimes and altered charac- teristics of the water itself and through alterations in other environmental features.Such environmental effects may affect wildlife directly through hydrologic conditions and/or be medi- ated indirectly through several intermediate environmental components. Irrespective of causative mechanisms,ultimate impacts of direct or indirect effects of hydroelectric development on migratory species of wildlife may occur distant,in both time and space, from their proximate cause. In its 215 km course from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,the Susitna River is an outstanding component of a very productive watershed. ii Perhaps,the innate value of the Susi tna River floodplain as wintering habitat for moose is unsurpassed by riparian habitats elsewhere in the State. The general objective of this study was to determine the probable nature and approximate magnitude of impacts of the proposed Susi tna River hydroelectric proj ect on moose (Afces alees gigas Miller)in areas along the Susi tna River downstream from the prospective Devil Canyon dam site to Cook Inlet.To accomplish this objective one must thoroughly understand how moose utilize habi tats on the Susi tna River floodplain (i.e.,what is the ec,0logical value of these habitats to moose?).Only after ecological values of floodplain characteristics to moose are assessed,and subsequently I integrated with hypothetical post- project conditions,can one knowledgeably evaluate impacts of hydroelectric development on moose. Primary obj ectives of this study were the following:1)to identify subpopulations of moose that are ecologically affiliated with the Susitna River downstream from Devil Canyon;2)to deter- mine seasonal distribution and movement patterns for each identi- fied subpopulation;3)to determine timing,location and relative magni tude of moose use of various riparian habitats along the lower Susitna River;4)to identify specific mechanisms through which impacts will be transferred to subpopulations of moosei fl-5)to determine the probable nature and approximate magnitude of identified impacts on those particular subpopulations of moose; 6)to delineate a zone in which impacts of the proposed hydro- electric project may affect subpopulations of moosej and 7)to dletermine and suggest potential options for mi tigating actions. .- .- 1 This report is primarily based on data radio-collared moose collected between iii from relocations 15 October 1982 of and - - ..... - - 6 October 1983,and from supplemental moose censuses and surveys conducted through March 1984,but also includes pertinent findings from the Phase I study progress report (Arneson 1981) and final report (Modafferi 1982)and a Phase II study progress r,eport (Modafferi 1983). Since magnitude of use ·of winter range by Susi tna River Valley subpopulations of moose is partly related to severity of climatic cl:>ndi tions,findings presented in thi s report must be considered as preliminary .since sampling occurred and data were accumulated during the relatively mild to average winters between 1979 and 1984.Though not as severe as winters can be (i.e.1970-71),the variable nature of weather conditions in the later two winters e:l{hibi ted the influence snowfall can have on moose behavior and winter use of the Susitna River floodplain and further substan- tiated the importance of this concern.The 1982-83 winter was characterized by large amounts of snowfall through December, fc:>llowed by mild conditions and.a recession of snowcover by mid-January.The 1983-84 winter was characterized by an early snowfall,continued extensive accumulations·of snowcover through February and an abrupt amelioration of conditions in early March . In the mild winter of 1981-82,a maximum of 369 moose were observed in 6 censuses of floodplain habitats.Maxima of 934 and 819 moose were observed in 11 and 7 similar censuses conducted in winters of 1982-83 and 1983-84,respectively.Though within and bE:tween year variation in moose use of floodplain habitats were primarily associated with affects of winter weather conditions on moose behavior,possible effects of winter mortality in 1982-83 on subsequent population levels in winter of 1983-84 and of other f'ictors,which historically may affect long term population lE:vels,should not be overlooked. iv - - - - - Data on patterns of movement,habitat use,productivity,survival and identity of moose subpopulations ecologically affiliated with the Susitna River,presented in this report,were primarily syn- thesized from 3,184 relocations obtained from samples of 10,29 and 18 moose captured and radio-collared on 17 April 1980,10-12 March 1981 and 24 February to 10 March 1982 ,respectively,in floodplain habitats along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet and subsequently radio-relocated through 3 October 1983.Five moose initially captured 17 April 1980,were recap- tured 27 March 1983 and collared wi thnew radio-transmitters. Radio-collared moose were relocated at intervals of 16 days through 16 March 1981 and at about 9 day intervals from March 1981 through 3 October 1983.This schedule provided 11, 16,14, 9,and 9 relocation sites for most individuals monitored during the winter (1 January thru 28 February),calving (10 May thru 17 June),summer (1 July thru 31 August),"hunting season"(1 September thru 30 September)and breeding (14 September thru 15 October)periods,respectively.These data illustrate where impacts to subpopulations of moose which winter on the Susi tna River floodplain wi 11 be realized during other seasonal periods. Most data collected from radio-collared individuals were analyzed relative to these periods in moose life history.Effects of the variables sex,subpopulation and year were considered in inter- pretive analyses.Radio-relocations dated outside of the life hi.story periods were grouped wi thin spring,summer,autumn and post-breeding transi tory intervals. To assess magnitude of seasonal and regional moose use of ripar- ialn habitats along the Susitna River from to Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet radio-relocation d.ta were integrated with information collected on 6,11 and 7 aerial censuses for moose conducted on v t.he floodplain between 9 December 1981 and 12 between 29 October 1982 and 22 February 1983, November 1983 and 15 March 1984,respectively. April 1982 and and between 17 - r - .- During the study period,a maximum of 934 moose were observed on the lower Susitna River floodplain,but other data,which demon- strated that moose do not use the floodplain everyday wi thin a winter and.that some moose do not use the floodplain every year, suggested that this value may underestimate the true value by a minimum of 41 percent. Numerically,moose winter use of the Susitna River floodplain was greatest south of Talkeetna.Highest moose densities were recorded for large islanded areas near Cook Inlet.Age compo- sition of observed moose appeared related to habitat typei calves were most commonly observed in low relief,relatively open flood- plain habitats.For the third consecutive year I female moose north of Talkeetna exhibited an affini ty for riparian habitats near the time of parturition.Hypothetical explanations for these observations are provided. Radio-collared moose north of Talkeetna seldom ranged farther than 8 kID from riparian habitats;moose south of Talkeetna commonly ranged farther than 8 kIn from the Susi tna River and relocations up to 40 kID from floodplain areas were not uncommon ~ for the latter area.Though moose north of Talkeetna did not range far from riparian habitats I some did travel great di s- tances,parallel to the river,during each annual cycle. Large variation between individuals and sexes within years,and wi thin individuals and sexes between years,was.observed in movements and sizes of ranges for radio-collared moose.Males g,enerally ranged over greater distances and larger areas than vi - .- - ~ I females.Though many individual moose were found to range over similar areas during their third year of study,some individuals c:ontinued to add different areas to their annual range. Some data collected from radio-collared individuals suggested that several moose subpopulations which may choose to winter in the foothills of the Talkeetna Mountains,only seek winter range on the Susitna River floodplain when 'confronted with severe w'inter condi tions in those alpine areas. To more completely assess the relative importance of Susi tna River floodplain habitats (vs.adjacent nonfloodplain habitats) as winter range for moose subpopulations in the Susi tna River Valley downstream from Devil Canyon,studies on sites where "natural"vegetation had been altered by acti vi ties of man ("disturbed"sites)were intensified and studies involving winter moose surveys conducted in forested and riparian habitats adja- cent to the Susitna River floodplain were initiated.These types of studies are of importance since mitigation actions may poten- tially involve selection and procurement of lands (primarily n,onfloodplain)and alteration (enhancement)of habitats on those lands for the benefit of moose populations. Like the Susitna River floodplain,other riparian areas appeared tlO be the most heavily used nonfloodplain winter range.However, some nonriparian,heterogenous,relatively open mixed forest habi tats also appeared to support substantial numbers of win- tering moose.Dense extensive,homogenous,forest habitats contained few moose.Because of early spring movements of moose f:rom floodplain areas in 1984,it was not known if moose had occupied those habitats all winter.These preliminary obser- vations require further study before nonfloodplain,forested vii ..... - - r- i habi tats are altered as a mitigation action for moose habitat 1"enhancement. Very dense concentrations of moose were observed at "disturbed" si tes.Data on timing and magnitude of their use by moose is provided and their roles in interacting with Susitna River floodplain winter range and in moose winter ecology are evalu- a"ted. One nonfloodplain alpine area in the southwestern foothills of the Talkeetna Mountains,which contained high densities of wintering moose,was visited to determine what food sources were attracting moose to the area.It was found that moose wintering in this alpine area were "cratering"to feed on rhizomes and immature fronds of ferns.Chemical composition of these non- browse food items indicated they contained higher concentrations of essential nutrients and lower concentrations of the less digestible components than apical shoots of browsed willows which occurred in the same area.Ferns may be a critical food item for moose which winter in similar alpine areas. To understand factors which may limit growth of moose subpopu- lations associated with the lower Susitna River floodplain,data on productivity and calf survival were collected from radio- cC:lllared moose.The latter data when supplemented with infor- mation gathered during river censuses indicated that the moose subpopulations studied had very high rates of productivi ty,but that calves probably sustained early summer predation by black bears and winter weather conditions affected both productivi ty and calf survival. Data available on present and historic moose population levels were provided for areas along the Susitna River downstream from viii Devil Canyon.Similar da,ta must be considered in assessing the potential value of the Susitna River floodplain habitats to -moose,since numbers of moose using those habitats are probably related to moose population levels and the latter can vary over time.Likewi se,mitigation plans should not be limited to the present status or use of habitats but more appropriately,they should be based on the potential value of those habitats to-moose. Probable and potential inadequacies of moose samples and sampling effort in this study are listed and discussed. A list,summarizing preliminary considerations for reviewing, sE~lecting,creating and/or maintaining "enhanced"land areas for the benefi t of moose populations was developed. An annotated summary of potential impact mechanisms and their associated effects is provided.General mechanisms considered were the following:1)altered seasonal river flow patterns and loss of annual variation in river flow,2)altered water temper- ature,3)alteration of habitat,4:)increased access,5)human encroachment,6)increased railway and vehicular traffic,7)loss of habitat at impoundment,8)saltwater encroachment at Cook Inlet,9)altered turbidity and 10)altered ecosystem. It:was recommendated that research studies investigating: 1)moose use of "disturbedll sites;2)moose subpopulations north of Talkeetna;3)moose use of nonfloodplain habitats;4)ecology of floodplain areas where high moose densities occurredi 5)annual variation in moose movements and producti vi tYi and 6)effects of "severe"winter weather conditions on moose use of the Susi tna River floodpl:~,in,be continued. ix ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The following persons deserve special thanks for various phases of this study: K.Schneider,Alaska Department of Fish -and Game,for providing numerous helpful suggestions and comments on all aspects of the-research and for his willingness to ease the burden of admini- strative tasks and meetings which occasionally occurred at inopportune times. D.C.McAllister,Alaska Department of Fish and Game,for willing and able assistance and suggestions and comments in all aspects of this study. C.Allen,Charlie Allen Flight Service,and L.Rogers,Kenai Air Alaska,Inc.,for piloting aircraft on the many long and tedious radio-relocating surveys.They deserve special recognition for abili ty,desire and safety. N.Tankersley,Alaska Department of Fish and Game,for assistance on radio-relocating surveys,efforts in scheduling and coordina- ting numerous project activi ties,and in preparation of this r,eport. I""'" I J.Swiss,John Swiss and family,big game guiding,outfitting and .- air charter service,for his ability and safety in piloting and navigating aircraft on patterned aerial censuses for moose and for his enthusiasm in helping to spot moose during those censuses and his willing attitude to get the job done,as if the project Wl~re hi sown. D.Anctil,T.Otto and S.Miller,all Alaska Department of Fish and Game employees,for assistance in management and analysis of x -data.D.Anctil also provided excellent,"draft ready"computer graphics of most figures presented in this report. ..... C.Riedner,Alaska Department of Fi sh and Game,for promptly drafting the figures . J.Lewis,B.Taylor,and C. Fish and Game employees for relocation surveys. Riedner,all Alaska Department of occasional assistance on radio- E.Goodwin,Alaska Department of Fish and Game,for processing samples of marrow fat from moose and for providing laboratory supplies whenever they were needed. G.Couey and R.Lund,Acres American,for logistical support when capturing moose at the Montana West "disturbed site." s.Lawler,mostly,and P.Miles,occasionally,Alaska Department of Fish and Game employees,for tolerating the many corrections, changes and redrafts and lengthy tables which occurred in the typing of this report. xi .- - I~ TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE . . . . SUMMARY . . . . ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS..... LIST OF TABLES . . . . . LIST OF FIGURES INTRODUCTION . . . STUDY AREA ...... . METHODS . . . . . . . . LIMITATIONS OF SAMPLES AND SAMPLING EFFORT . . . . . FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION . . . . .. . . . WINTER FLOODPLAIN CENSUSES . . . . . . . MOVEMENTS OF RADIO-COLLARED MOOSE AFFINITIES FOR SUSITNA RIVER FLOODPLAIN HABITATS . . MOOSE WINTER USE OF SPECIFIC SUSITNA RIVER FLOODPLAIN AND ISLANDED AREAS.. . ...... SIZE,SHAPE AND SPATIAL ARRANGEMENT OF ANNUAL RANGES FOR RADIO-COLLARED MOOSE . . . . . . . . . . ANNUAL VARIATION IN SIZE AND SHAPE OF RANGES FOR RADIO-COLLARED MOOSE . . . . . . . . . DISTRIBUTION OF MOOSE IN NONFLOODPLAIN HABITATS MOOSE USE OF DISTURBED SITES .. PRODUCTIVITY AND CALF SURVIVAL FOR RADIO-COLLARED MOOSE . .. . . . . . . . . ALPINE WINTER RANGE . . .. . . . . . . . . PRELIMINARY CONSIDERATIONS FOR REVIEWING,SELECTING, CREATING AND/OR MAINTAINING LAND AREAS FOR THE BENEFIT OF MOOSE POPULATIONS . POTENTIAL IMPACT MECHANISMS:And Associated Effects . . . . .... RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH . . . REFERENCES ...... . . PERSONAL COMMUNICATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . xii Page i ii x xiii xviii 1 6 8 21 22 22 39 54 61 66 72 76 86 92 99 103 108 109 112 116 Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4. Table 5. LIST OF TABLES Inclusive calendar dates of theoretical ranges based on life history phenomena for populations of moose along the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 7 and 9 February aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 22 and 23 February aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 7 and 8 March aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 22 and 23 March aerial censuses of the Susi tr:\a River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983. xiii Page 15 24 25 26 27 """ Table 6. Table 7. Table 8. Table 9. Table 10. LIST OF TABLES (cont'd) Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 7,8 and 13 April aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 17 and 18 November aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 9,14 and 16 December aerial censuses of theSusitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983. ·Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 29-30 December 1983 and 5 January 1984 aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983-84. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 13,17 and 19 January aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1984. xiv Page 28 29 30 31 32 ..... ..... .- - ...... - Table 11. Table 12. Table 13. Table 14. Table IS. LI ST OF TABLES Sex}age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 3,8 and 9 February aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska}1984. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 21 and 28 February and 1 March aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska, 1984. Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 15 March aerial census of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1984. Percent of calves observed on each of 24 censuses for moose in floodplain habitat along 4 zones of the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,1981-84. Variation in and general affinities for floodplain habitats of the Susitna River exhibited by moose radio-collared and relocated periodically,1980-83. xv Page 33 34 35 36 55 - - - - Table 16. Table 17. Table 18. Table 19. Table 20. LIST OF TABLES Dates indicating chronology of arrival and departure from Susitna River riparian habitat for female and male moose radio-collared in habitats downstream from Talkeetna,1980-83. Timing and frequency of use of Susitna River riparian habitats by individual radio-collared female moose,between Talkeetna and Devil Canyon,Alaska, 1981-1983. Number,percent calves and densities for moose observed in floodplains and islanded areas along the Susitna River between Montana and Cook Inlet, Alaska,1981-84. Data from recent and past moose composition surveys conducted in areas adjacent to the Susitna River down- stream from Devil Canyon,Alaska. Data on strata classification,sample unit size,densities of moose and population estimates from a stratified random census conducted along the Susitna River,Alaska,24-29 February 1984. xvi Page 56 59 63 79 80 ~ I ,~ - Table 21. Table 22. Table 23. Table 24. Table 25. LIST OF TABLES Composition,numbers,and density for moose observed at various locations removed from the Susitna River floodplain,Alaska,1984. Numbers of moose observed on sites adjacent to the Susitna River,Alaska, where climax vegetation has been altered by activities of man,1981-84. Calf production for female moose radio- collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet and relocated during 1981-83. Calf survival and calf:cow ratios for female moose radio-collared along the Susitna River between Cook Inlet and Devil Canyon,Alaska,and relocated from 1981-84. Chemical components for samples of fern (Dryopteris dilatata)and willow (Salix sp.)moose browse collected at 700-800m elevation in the southwestern foothills of the Talkeetna Mountains, Alaska,3 January 1984. xvii Page 82 88 94 96 100 - r ...., -- - Figure 1. Figure 2. Figure 3. Figure 4. Figure 5. Figure 6. LIST OF FIGURES Map of the study area. Location of floodplain and islanded areas along the Susitna River,Alaska, where densities and calf composition were determined for wintering moose, 1981-83. Location of sites adjacent to the Susitna River,Alaska,where climax vegetation has been altered by man and numbers of moose were counted periodically during the winter,1981-84. Geographic locations for moose surveys conducted in areas removed from the Susitna River floodplain,Alaska. Geographic areas along the Susitna River,Alaska downstream from Devil Canyon,where numbers and sex and age composition of moose have been assessed by aerial survey techniques. Radio-relocations for moose captured and radio-collared between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,and monitored from 17 April 1980 through 3 October 1983. xviii Page 7 9 10 11 12 41 Figure 7. Figure 8. Figure 9. LIST OF FIGURES Radio-relocations for 40 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,1980-83. Radio-relocations for 15 male moose captured and radio-collared .along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,1980-83. Locations where 40 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,were radio-relocated during the calving period,1980-83. Page 42 43 45 Figure 10.Locations where 39 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,were radio-relocated during the summer period,1980-83. Figure 11.Locations where 12 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,were radio-relocated during the summer period,1980-83. xix 47 48 ,.... ..- LIST OF FIGURES Figure 12.Locations where 38 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,were radio-relocated during the month of September,1980-83. Figure 13.Locations where 11 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,were radio-relocated during the month of September,1980-83. Page 49 50 Figure 14.Locations where 38 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska, were radio-relocated during the rut period, 1980-83.51 - Figure 15.Locations where 11 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,were radio-relocated during the rut period,1980-83. xx 52 I~LIST OF FIGURES Page - Figure 16.Locations where 7 male moose and 40 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,were radio-relocated during the winter period,1980-83. Figure 17.Shape and spatial relationships for ranges of 11 female and 3 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River,Alaska and relocated during 1980-83. 53 68 Figure 18.Shape and spatial relationships for ranges of 7 female moose captured and radio- collared along the Susitna River,Alaska and relocated during 1980-83.69 Figure 19.Shape and spatial relationships for ranges of 7 female and 2 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River,Alaska and relocated during 1980-83.70 Figure 20.Annual ranges for 4 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River,Alaska,which exhibited relatively little "between year"variation in their movement patterns.Polygons encompass radio-relocation points for consecutive annual periods commencing from date of capture to the 1980-81,1981-82,1982-83, and 1983-84 annual periods. xxi 73 . .... "... LIST OF FIGURES Figure 21.Annual ranges for 3 female and 2 male moose,captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River,Alaska, which exhibited noteworthy "between year"variation in their movement patterns.Polygons encompass radio- relocation points for consecutive annual periods commencing from date of capture to the 1980-81,1981-82, 1982-83 and 1982-84 annual periods. Figure 22.Locations of areas where moose population size was estimated and densities of moose were determined from the stratifi- cation fight of a random stratified census conducted along the Susitna River,Alaska, 26-29 February,1984. xxii Page 74 81 INTRODUCTION More than 30 years ago,the search for an economical source of power to serve Alaska IS railbel t region stimulated interest in construction of a hydroelectric facility on the upper Susi tna River.Feasibility assessments then,by the U.S.Bureau of Reclamation,and subsequently,by the U.S.Army Corps of Engineers indicated that the proposed project was economically feasible and that environmental impacts would not be of suf- ficient magni tude to affect its authorization. More recently,in response to an anticipated demand for a non- fossil fuel source of energy,previous ideas and plans were rejuvenated in 1976 as attention was again focused on a Susitna River hydroelectric project.At that time,the Alaska State Legislature created the Alaska Power Authority to administer detailed studies to reevaluate the feasibility of developing the hydroelectric potential of the upper Susi tna River.Environ- mental studies were of particular importance since technical field research studies designed to assess environmental impacts of such a project were never adequately addressed in the past and in recent times,regulations and public sentiment for environ- mental conservation have become increasingly more conservative. Environmental impacts of the proposed hydroelectric project can be divided into 2 general hydrological categories:those up- stream (pre-impoundment)and those downstream (post-impoundment) from the impoundments.Initial environmental impact assessments emphasized concern in the pre-impoundment area;environmental assessments in the post-impoundment area were "token"in nature. Perhaps,conceptually,acute effects involving loss of habitats through inundation were considered to be more significant n;J;lan "indirect,long-term chronic type effects that would occur in habitats downstream as a result of altered characteristics of the water and hydrologic flow regimes. 1 - .... .... The Susitna River flows about 215 km downstream from Devil Canyon before entering Cook Inlet.In a narrow sense,the surrounding Susitna River Valley watershed encompasses approximately 800,000 km 2 of extremely productive habitat for many species of wildlife. Perhaps,its innate value as wintering habitat for moose (Alees alees gigas Miller)is unsurpassed elsewhere in the State. Though proposed impoundments will be located in the upper reaches of the Susitna River,environmental impacts resulting from altered hydrologic flow regimes will occur throughout the 215 km downstream section of river;indirect effects will also be realized in a corridor of terrestrial habitats adjacent to the river.An assessment of the types and magnitude of influence of the Susi tna River hydraulics on environments at perpendicular distances from the river is as important to determine as those impacts that occur immediately along the river.For migratory species of wildlife,ultimate effects of proximate impacts may be geographically distant and not obvious,but should not be over- looked nor regarded lightly. Prior to statehood,the Susi tna Valley was ranked as the most productive moose habitat in the territory (Chatelain 1951). During this same time period,some wintering areas were said to sustain moose at concentrations greater than 22/km 2 (Spencer and Chatelain 1953).More recent evidence indicates that concen- trations and densities of moose in the Susitna Valley are greatest when deep snows in surrounding areas and at higher elevations persist into late winter and bury browse species (Rausch 1959).Such dense aggregations are the probable result of moose from numerous subpopulations,some as remote as 30-40 km (LeResche 1974)to more than 110 km away (Van Ballenberghe 1977), gathering to seek refuge and forage in lowland habitats.It appears that many moose,from an extensive area and numerous sUbpopulations,utilize winter range in the Susi tna River Valley . 2 .... The desi rabi li ty of thi s area for moose in the early 1950's was greatly enhanced by early successional stages of vegetation resulting from wildfires,mild winters,and abandonment of land cleared for homesteads,highway and rai lroad construction and rights-of-way. By the 1970's,browse on previously cleared land had been lost through succession,strict fire suppression efforts had essen- tially eliminated fire subclimax vegetation,and moose popula- tions began to decline in response to the loss of important winter range browse species.In subsequent years,several severe winters compounded the population decrease.A low proportion of males in the breeding population may also have been another contributory factor (Bi shop and Rausch 1974).Presently,many habitats in the Susitna River Valley have reverted to the pre-1930 pristine state and populations of moose have responded accordingly.This does not mean that the area is any less important to moose than in the early 1950's,but that fewer moose may be using it. In the past,wildfire and extensive land clearing were the most dominant disruptive factors involved in creation and maintenance of young second-growth browse species for moose.Other pheno- mena,such as beaver activity,periodic flooding,ice scouring, riparian erosion,and alluvial or loess translocation of soil, which acted on a smaller and less dramatic scale,were primarily restricted to riparian habitats along the Susitna River,and were considered to be relatively insignificant. However,recent policies and efficiency in suppression of wild- fire and disposal of only small parcels of land for private "homesites"in3tead of larger parcels for "homesteads"have,for all practical purposes eliminated the influence of fire and land clearing on habitat alteration.For these same reasons,disrup- ti ve factors once viewed as of little significance have become 3 - paramount in the creation and maintenance of habitats and browse species for moose wintering in the Susi tna River valley. In the near future,habitats in the Susitna River basin may again experience a broad ecological perturbation,if the hydrologic regime and other characteristics of the Susitna River are altered to accommodate hydroelectric development.Though alterations in the flow regime and other characteristics of the Susi tna River (temperature,turbidity,ice formation and scouring,substrate erosion and deposition,ice fog,icing of vegetation,etc.)could impact moose in a number of waysi one of the most profound would be through changes in vegetative communi ties which occur along the river course to the extent that critical habitats or winter browse species were no longer available to various subpopulations of moose. The present research study was designed to assess the potential impacts of the proposed Susi tna River hydroelectric proj ect on subpopulations of moose which are ecologically affiliated with that portion of the Susi tna River between the proposed Devil Canyon impoundment and Cook Inlet and to suggest possible actions for mi tigating those impacts. Primary objectives of this study are the following:1)to ident- ify subpopulations of moose that are ecologically affiliated with the Susitna River downstream from Devil Canyoni 2)to determine seasonal distribution and movement patterns for each identified subpopulationi 3)to determine timing,location and relative magni tude of moose use of various riparian habitats along the lower Susitna Riveri 4)to identify specific mechanisms through which impacts will be transferred to subpopulations of moose; 5)to determine the probable nature and approximate magnitude of identified impacts on those particular subpopulations of moose; 6)to delineate a zone in which impacts of the proposed hydro- electric proj ect may affect subpopulations of moosei and 7)to determine and suggest potential options for mi tigating actions. 4 The following report is an interim update to the Phase 'I Final and the First Annual Phase II reports (Modafferi 1982 and 1983, ~respectively)and was initially intended to largely address : studies continuing from 20 October 1982 through 3 October 1983. However,due to unusual variability in 1983-84 winter weather condi tions and to recent resurgence in interest,concern and questions pertaining to the planning of a contingency habitat enhancement program for moose as a mitigation option,that reporting period was protracted to include data gathered through the 1983-84 winter.In consideration of the above factors,the ,extended reporting period facilitated a more meaningful overall assessment of observed moose behavior. Addi tional data contained in this report are:moose surveys conducted through 5 April 1984 at "disturbed sites,"moose surveys conducted through 15 March 1984 in areas removed from the Susitna River floodplain,periodic moose surveys conducted through 15 March 1984 in the Susi tna River floodplain,and general observations from a 23 December 1983 field trip to the western foothills of the Talkeetna Mountains near Little Willow Creek. In this report,the terminology "disturbed sites"is used loosely in reference to any parcel of ground where human activities have altered climax vegetati:on and resulted in establishment of seral stages of vegetation which moose utilize as winter browse. ~ , Though this report is based primarily on information obtained _since completion of the Phase I Final Report and the First Annual Phase II report;where appropriate,all available data sets were integrated to provide a more meaningful and current descri~tion and assessment of particular findings. I~ ,5 ,..... i - .... .... .... More detailed overall accounts of the Introduction,Study Area and Methods pertinent to this study are available in the Phase I Final Report (Modafferi 1982)and the First Annual Phase II (Modafferi 1983)reports.However,portions of those reports particularly salient to data herein,are reiterated. STUDY AREA The Susitna River flows about 215 kIn downstream from the proposed Devil Canyon dam site before emptying into Cook Inlet.In its course to the sea,it descends about 300 m in elevation,it accepts glacial and non-glacial contributions from numerous tributary streams,its character changes greatly and it is a dominant force influencing characteristics of adj acent terres- trial habitats along the way (Fig.1).The map in Fig.1, excluding labels for features,is used as a geographical base for most other figures in this report.A more detailed description of the general ecological features in the Susi tna River valley are avai lable in Modafferi (1982). Boundaries delineating the research study area for assessing impacts of Susitna hydroelectric development will be determined by the extent of actual movements documented for moose which were known to utilize habitats along the Susitna River.Until further research proves otherwise,it will be assumed that moose which use Susitna River floodplain habitat in any manner,in any seasonal period for any length of time may be impacted by hydro- electric development.Ultimately,the spatial area or zone where impacts may be realized by subpopulations of moose will encompass all movements of all moose which were at one time known to use Susi tna River floodplain habi tats. Data on several more specific aspects of collected from smaller geographical areas general,overall study area. 6 moose ecology were located wi thin the - o 'I::'=o"-=:::::iiIO_=:::i ~o'"" F £ A BIg lelend •.ell lelend C Mount SueUne o Little Mount Sualtna E Lower aeluga Lake F .eluga Mountain G H COOK INLET Flgur.1.Map .howlng location of the .tudy ar.a In Ala.ka with na",•• lI.t.d fot rlv.r ••lak ••and oth.r promln.nt land.cap.f.ature •• 7 ~ ji .- - ..... - Data for comparing densities and age composition of moose wintering in different are~s and habitats were collected from 2 predominantly small islanded,low relief,floodplain areas and 4 higher relief,large islanded habitats located on the Susi tna River floodplain south of Talkeetna (Fig.2). Data for determining moose use of habitats where "natural"plant succession had been altered by man,were collected from 13 sites located adjacent to the Susitna River floodplain south of Talkeetna (Fig.3). Data for assessing moose use of areas /other than the Susi tna River floodplain but within the overall area of study,as winter range were gathered from 3 predominantly riparian habitats and 8 predominantly nonriparian habitats located west of the Susi tna River floodplain and south of Talkeetna (Fig.4). Data for assessing recent and historic moose population levels in the hypothetical impact zone,were obtained from Alaska Depart- ment of Fish and Game files on moose composition counts and from a stratified random census conducted in game management subunits located along the Susi tna River corridor south of Devil Canyon (Fig.5). METHODS To identify subpopulations of moose that are ecologically affil- iated with Susitna River floodplain habitats downstream from Devil Canyon,to assess the ecological importance of these habitats to individual subpopulations of moose,and to determine timing,location,duration,magnitude,type and seasonal and annual use patterns for those floodplain habitats wi thin and between individual moose subpopulations,it was necessary to periodically locate and observe individually identi fi able moose . 8 oo Figure 2.Location of floodplain and lalanded areas along the Sueltna River.Alaska.where denaltles and calf composition were determined for wintering moo ae.1981-83. (A =Caswell floodplain.B =Kaahwltna floodplaIn.C =Delta leland. D =Bell Island.E =Alexander Island.F =Beaver laland) 9 -..., ~ I Figure 3.Location of sites adjacent to the Susitna River,Alaska,where climax vegetation has been altered by man and numbers of moose were counted periodically during the winter,1981-84.(A =Talkeetna West,B =Montana West,C =Montana East, 0=Montana North.E =Montana Middle,F =Montana South,G =Goose Creek,H =Chandalar East and West,I =Kashwltna Bluff,J =Kasowitna Lake,K =Kashwitna East and L =Willow Creek) 10 .\, oo \ J (E I~i - Figure 4.Geographic locations for moose surveys conducted In areas. removed from the Susltna River floodplain.Alaska.(A.Oeshka River. B =Moose Creek.C ~Trapper Creek.0 ::.Whltsol Lake,E =Swede. F =Lockwood Lake,G =Kahiltna/Moose Creek.H =Nell Lake, I =Kashwltna Knobs,J =Trapper Lake and K =Parker Lake) 11 H o (; Figure 5.Geographical areas (A -J)along the SusUna River,Alaska. downstream from DevH Canyon,where numbera and sex and age composition ot moose have been a.sessed by aerial survey techniques.(See Table 19 tor aur:,ey data.) 12 ..... ..... - - - - - To provide individually identifiable animals that could be periodically located,samples of moose were captured and tagged with visual and radio transmitting collars.Each collar featured a di screte number and radio frequency. Moose were collared during the winter on the ice and snow covered Susitna River floodplain between Sheep Creek and Sherman in 1980 (Arneson 1981),between the Delta Islands and Portage Creek in 1981 (Modafferi 1982)and between the Delta Islands and Cook Inlet in 1982 (Modafferi 1983).Due to the relative unavail- ability of moose on the floodplain north of Talkeetna,some indi- viduals were captured up to 400 m on either side of the river proper. Five moose (No.22,23, 26,27 and 91)originally captured and radio-collared in April 1980 were relocated,recaptured,and retagged with new radio-transmitting collars on 27 March 1983. Original radio transmitters on these moose were expected to expire wi thin several months. Relocation flights with Cessna 172,180 or 185 aircraft-equipped with a yagi antenna on each wing were conducted at intervals of about 2-3 weeks in 1980 and about every 1-2 weeks thereafter. Inclement weather occasionally altered this schedule. Locations (audio-visual or audio)of radio-collared moose were noted on 1:63,360 scale USGS topographic maps and later trans- ferred to mylar overlays for computer digi tization.Data on elevation,vegetation,snow cover and other moose at the reloca- tion sites were also recorded.For more complete details of data management,see Miller and Anctil (1981). Three subsamples of moose were used to provide information on movements,population identity,habitat use,physical condition r I and productivity;a subsample of 10 moose captured between Sheep i 13 Creek and Sherman on 17 Apri 1 1980 I a subs ample of 29 moose captured between the Delta I slands and Portage Creek on 10-12 March 1981 and a subsample of 18 moose captured between the Delta I sl ands and Cook Inlet on 24 February I 3 and 10 March 1982. To relate these findings to moose ecology and to illustrate the relative magnitude of use and timing of use of Susitna River floodplain habitats by moose,a descriptive technique based on life history phenomena and their inclusive calendar dates,was employed.A description of the life history base and inclusive calendar dates for those periods are presented in Table 1. Calendar dates for the range use periods did not encompass the entire year.Between dates for ranges,intervals were delineated to accommodate movement or transition from one range or period to another.To prevent transitory movements from affecting calcu- lation of range location,a very narrow spread of inclusive dates was selected to describe locations for respective life history activity periods.Perhaps determination of areal extent of these ranges would suffer at the expense of determining their location, but the latter data and their spatial relationship to the Susitna River were considered to be of greater importance and relevance in this study.Data provided from this methodology may be inter- preted to illustrate how and where>impacts of Susi tna River hydroelectric development will most likely be realized in-relation to both moose population ecology and subpopulation geography (i.e.,habitat or moose lost in hydroelectric develop- ment may impact hunters in a particular area,affect results of fall moose composition surveys in another area and affect spring _and winter calf composition surveys in yet other geographical areas,etc.) Moose were known use the Susi tna River floodplain year-round; however,a previous study indicated that the magnitude (time and .~ I numbers)of use was significantly greater during the winter and 14 - Table 1.Inclusive calendar dates of theoretical ranges based on life history phenomena for populations of moose along the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska. Range or transitory interval Winter range Spring transitory interval Relevance to life history Males recondition from breeding. Pregnant females nurture fetus and prepare for parturition. First winter for calves. Calendar dates 1 January thru 28 February ~Calving range Females bear young.10 May thru 17 June 0' Summer transitory interval ------------ -Summer range Growtb of new born young.Females 1 July recondition from parturition and thru lactation.Males begin antler 31 August growth. Autumn transitory interval ------------ Breeding range Males establish breeding units.14 September Sexes breed. Location of breeding perhaps tbru critical for denoting subpop- ~ulation units.31 October Post breeding transitory interval -------_._--- ~ 15 -, r-, r- I i i, particularly so during winters characterized by deep snows which persist late into early spring (Rausch 1958).In consideration of this a priori knowledge,a series of periodic aerial moose censuses were conducted wi thin the floodplain of the Susi tna River from Cook Inlet to Devil Canyon,to assess the magnitude of ri ver use,to delineate the timing of use and to determine the location and spatial distribution of use. No periodic river census was conducted in the winter of 1980-81, because when I became familiar with this project in early 1981 radio-collared moose had already begun to leave the Susitna River floodplain and censuses then would have been futile.Within the winters of 1981-82,1982-83 and 1983-84,6,11,and 7 aerial moose censuses,respectively,were conducted on the Susitna River floodplain.In winter of 1981-82,censuses were conducted on 9 and 10 December;28 December and 4 January;2 and 6 February; 1 and 2 March;23 and 24 March;and 12 April.During the winter of 1982-83,censuses were conducted on 29 October and 6 November; 10 and 18 November;I,2,and 6 December;20,21 and 22 December; 5 and 6 January;20 and 24 January;7 and 9 February;22 and 23 February;7 and 8 March;22 and 23 March and 7,8,and 13 April. In winter of 1983-84,censuses were conducted on 17 and 18 November;9,14,and 16 December;29 and 30 December;and 5 January;3,8,and 9 February;21 and 28 February and 1 Marchi and 15 March. Aerial river censuses were conducted with a PA-18 aircraft flown at low elevation in a parallel transect pattern from floodplain bank to opposite floodplain bank,up the Susitna River from Cook Inlet to Devil Canyon.Though limitations of aerial surveys of moose were known (LeResche and Rausch 1974),the object of each aerial river census was to count all moose within the banks of the Susi tna River floodplain and any of its interconnecting sloughs. 16 ~ I River censuses were conducted over a time period to encompass the build up,peak and decline in moose use of winter range in Susi tna River floodplain habitats.Censuses were conducted at frequent intervals to assess population dynamics in moose use of these floodplain habitats and to correlate those data with factors which may be responsible for observed dynamics.During aerial river censuses the following categories of moose were distinguished:large antlered males,small antlered males,lone non-antlered animals,females with one calf,females with 2 calves,and lone calves. Location of each moose observed was recorded on USGS 1:63,360 scale topographic maps.Weather and numbers of moose counted affected duration of individual censuses.Inclement weather and inadequate snowcover for counting moose frequently interrrupted continui ty wi thin and between censuses.Characteristics of the Susi tna River and adj acent floodplain habitats change greatly between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet.To reflect these obvious ecological changes,data from each river census was presented for each of 4 physiographic zones.Detai led descriptions for phy- siographic zones appear in Modafferi (1982,p.5-15). To facilitate calculation of relative densities of moose which were observed wintering in habitats within each of the 4 riparian zones on each census of Susitna River floodplain within or between years,one may utilize surface area calculations that I determined for each zone,by making visual estimates of land areas as they appeared on 1:63,360 scale USGS topographic maps. These visual estimates revealed that riparian zones I,I I,I I I and IV each contained 28 and 31;23 and 21;65 and 104;and 65 and 29 km 1 ,respectively,of aquatic and terrestrial habitats, respectively. After conducting numerous aerial river censuses over a period of several years,it became apparent that moose were not distributed 17 f""!"evenly throughout the course of the Susi tna River.To examine this contention,densities and age composition of moose observed on periodic river censuses were calculated and compared between 2 low relief,predominantly floodplain areas (Caswell and Kashwit- na)and 4 higher relief predominantly large islanded areas (Delta,Bell,Alexander and Beaver).These areas were selected because they represented different types of riparian habitat and numbers of moose observed on surveys appeared to differ greatly between them.Study of geography,physiography and habitat types wi thin each area could provide baseline data for appraising relati ve values of different habitats to moose and for secon- darily assessing the role of river flow hydraulics in creating and maintaining those habi tats. Since mitigation actions may potentially involve selection and procurement of lands and alteration of habitats on those lands for the benefit of moose populations,studies were initiated in areas downstream from·Devil Canyon and off the Susi tna River floodplain,to obtain information on moose winter use of 1)sites where "natural"vegetation had been altered by man ("disturbed sites"),and 2)sites where "natural"vegetation occurred in non-Susi tna River floodplain habi tat. Preliminary studies on moose use of "disturbed sites"were initiated in 1981 and continued through winter of 1982-83 (Modafferi 1983).In 1983-84,periodic aerial censuses for moose were conducted on the 6 original sites studied in 1981-83 and on 7 additional sites.Eight,14 and 17 moose censuses were conducted on "disturbed sites"during the 1981-82,1982-83 and 1983-84 winters,respectively. To census moose on "disturbed sites,"aerial surveys were con- ducted by flying low-level transects over the area in a PA-18.A 100 m band around the disturbed area was also surveyed to include moose which may be using the site but were "bedding down"in 18 denser vegetative cover along the perimeter of the site.Moose observed were categorized into sex and a:te classes utilized in river censuses. To obtain more definitive baseline data on moose use of "dis- turbed sites,"3 male and 4 female moose were captured and tagged wi th radio-transmitting collars on 31 January and 1 February, 1984 at the Montana West "disturbed site,"located opposite Montana on the west side of the Susitna River (Fig.3).This sample of moose will be relocated periodically along with other samples of radio-collared moose. Immobilization and field procedures for capture,tagging and radio-relocating were described in Modafferi (1982 and 1983). To assess moose use of nondisturbed ("natural"),nonfloodplain habi tats,aerial censuses were conducted in March 1984 on 11 si tes removed from the Susi tna River floodplain.In general, sites surveyed contained either riparian successional or "climax" type,forested habitats.Information from these studies will be -used to evaluate the absolute value of such areas and habitats to moose as winter range,will assist in appraising the relative winter range value of Susitna River floodplain habitats,and will provide data on moose winter use of "climax"type habitats. Since the latter type habitats are likely to be selected for enhancement,it is important that their overall value to moose be well understood before they are altered in favor of other more iF"seral,vegetative associations. surv~~s in nonfloodplain areas were conducted in a manner simi~ar to river censuses (Modafferi 1983)and procedures ! rese~led those recommended by Gasaway (1981)for counting moose in sample uni ts of standard statified random moose surveys. I'""" !, 19 -- .... - Information obtained from these aspects of downstream moose studies were intergrated w~th other baseline data on moose ecology to formulate a Ii sting of facts and procedures to be considered in selection of lands and alteration of habitats for the benefit of moose.Thi s Ii sting is preliminary and may be updated as new data become available. Censuses in nonfloodplain areas were planned to be conducted when seasonal moose use of Susi tna River floodplain habitats was greatest and annual winter conditions were rated as "severe."By early February,winter conditions in 1984 appeared destined to satisfy both stipulations and censuses in nonfloodplain areas were initiated.Harsh winter conditions continued through early March,but subsequently,ameliorated tremendously,as record warm and dry weather conditions occurred in mid-March.The afore- mentioned,unanticipated change in pattern of weather conditions must be considered when evaluating results of these censuses. To relate present moose population levels to historic levels, data from recent Alaska Department of Fish and Game moose composi tion surveys were compared to record high,hi storical counts available from Alaska Department of Fish and Game moose composition survey data files.These data may be used to place present moose population levels and associated moose use of Susitna River floodplain habitats into perspective,historically. Count areas considered were those utilized by the Alaska Depart- ment of Fish and Game to reflect composition and status of moose subpopulations in areas which parallel the Susi tna River down- stream from Devil Canyon,Game Management Subunits 13E,14B and 16A. Data from previous moose composition surveys indicated that particularly dense winter concentrations of moose occurred in alpine areas between Little Wi llow Creek and the Peters Creek 20 - ..... -- fork of Wi llow Creek ("Wi llow Mountain").Observa tions inci- dental to routine radio relocating surveys,confirmed these reports and indicated that most moose were actively "cratering" for food.On 3 January 1984,the area was visited to determine what foods ini tiated the "cratering"behavior and to collect samples of those foods for chemical analyses.Chemical analyses were conducted at the University of Alaska,Agricultural Experi- ment Station,Palmer,Alaska. Data obtained from radio-collared female moose during routine aerial relocation surveys and from aerial river censuses were used to document calf production and survival for moose popula- tions which winter on the Susitna River floodplain.These data were also used to assess and rate factors which may be limiting growth of those moose populations. LIMITATIONS OF SAMPLES AND SAMPLING EFFORT Samples are only representative of the population from which they were drawn.Since moose subpopulation use of the Susi tna River floodplain is greatly influenced by winter conditions,photo period (seasonal time)and location,samples of radio-collared moose are winter,season and location specific subpopulation samples.As a result,radio-collared samples of moose probably do not contain representatives from all moose sUbpopulations which winter on the Susitna River floodplain.For a more detailed discussion see Modafferi (1982,1983). The sample of moose radio-collared north of Talkeetna,where impacts from hydroelectric development are expected to be greatest,was small and data were collected from only two males. For these reasons,I believe data presently availabte to identify and assess habitat use for moose subpopulations which use this portion of the Susitna River floodplain are inadequate. 21 i"', - .... - FINDINGS AND DI SCUSSION WINTER FLOODPLAIN CENSUSES Interaction between hydraulics of the Susitna River and adjacent terrestrial ecosystems have,over time,resulted in a heteroge- neous assemblage of early successional plant communi ties which along with local climatic conditions appear to provide attractive winter range for moose (Collins 1983). Moose use Susitna River floodplain habitats throughout the year, but greatest use occurs in winter,when snow and foraging con- di tions become unfavorable in adj acent habitats (Rausch 1958). Though timing,duration and magnitude of moose use is strongly influenced by occurrence and extent of snowfall in the Susi tna River valley,I believe that activities and movements associated wi th rutting and calving would override any extreme effects of weather on the timing of moose movements.With these con- straints,the winter period,would be bounded by late October,in the fall,and by late Apri I,in the spring. Periodic censuses of floodplain habitats wi thin a given winter and over several winters provide information on:1)when moose seek these habitats;2)which habitats or areas are most attrac- tive to moose;3)numbers of moose which utilize floodplain habitats in a particular winter;4)numbers of moose which flood- plain habitats may potentially support;5)sex and age-class specific use of riparian habitats,and 6)when moose depart from these habitats.Surveys conducted prior to an influx or after departure of wintering subpopulations may additionally provide indirect information on numbers of moose which are "resident"to floodplain habi tats throughc.".It the year . Information obtained from 24 censuses for moose in floodplain habitats along the Susitna River downstream from Devil Canyon to 22 - ..... - ,- - Cook Inlet (Modafferi 1982 and Tables 2-13)substantiate beliefs of Rausch (1958)and others (Chatelain 1951 and LeResche 1974) about affects of weather on behavior of the !!rai lbel t popula- tions!!of moose and their use of winter range along the Susitna River.Six of the censuses were conducted from 9 December through 12 April during the relatively mild winter of 1981-82,11 censuses were conducted from 29 October through 9 February during the relatively inclement winter of 1982-83,and 7 censuses were conducted from 17 November through 15 March during the highly variable seasonal and area weather conditions in winter of 1983-84. Maximum numbers of moose observed (minimum numbers of moose using the area)annually on the Susi tna River floodplain varied from 369 in Census No.4,to 934 in Census No.10 to 819 in Census No.23,respectively,for the winters of 1981-82,1982-83 and 1983-84 (Table 14).These peaks in total numbers of moose occurred in early March,mid-December and late February for the 3 respective winter periods.Though these particular censuses yielded maximum numbers for all censuses within a year,greater hypothetical values are obtained,if one calculates an aggregate annual total by summing the maximum numbers of moose observed for each zone wi thin each year.Considering these annual maxima values wi thin zones,their aggregate annual sum,and the fact that moose interchange between zones was probably minimal,then a minimum of (36 +25 +236 +123)420,(84 +94 +460 +412) 1,050,and (88 +107 +325 +403)923 different moose utilized the Susi tna River floodplain during the respective winters of 1981-82,1982-83 and 1983-84.These data may also be interpreted to indicate maxima values for moose use (moose days)which occurred on the floodplain in each of these winters. The winter of 1981-82 was mild and resulted in a subtle increase and low,early March peak in moose use (369 moose)of floodplain areas. 23 Table 2.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 7 and 9 February aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1983. Census No.13 2 ~ I - ,.,.. i River l Males 2 Females 3 Lone Total zone Ad 1m 1470 Ill/I W72 calves Ads Calves Moose I 0 0 8 6 2 0 16 10 26 II 0 0 25 8 1 0 34 10 44 III 0 1 107 63 4 5 175 76 251 IV 0 0 118 42 1 1 161 45 206 Total 0 1 258 119 8 6 386 141 527 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). 3 W/O =females without young,W/1 females with one young;"/2 females with 2 young. The W/O category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. 24 ,.. Table 3.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 22 and 23 February aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1983. Riverlzone - I II III IV Total 1 Census No.14 Males 2 Females 3 Lone Ad Im W/O i'lll i'l12 calves Ads 0 0 17 5 0 0 22 0 0 28 16 1 2 45 0 0 146 58 2 1 206 0 0 133 38 1 0 172 0 0 324 117 4 3 445 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. Total calves Moose 5 27 20 65 63 269 40 212 128 573 =Montana 2 ',';, 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). 3 W/O =females without young,WIl females with one young;W/2 females with 2 young.The wlO category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. 25 Table 4.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 7 and 8 March aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska, 1983. Census No.15- River l "'..ales 2 Females 3 Lone Total zone Ad 1m W/O WIl A/2 calves Ads calves Moose I 0 0 24 4 0 0 28 4 32 II 0 0 38 10 1 1 49 13 62 III 0 0 161 46 2 1 209 51 260 IV 0 0 124 31 1 1 156 34 190 ""I"Total 0 0 347 91 4 3 442 102 544 l, 1 I ::Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II ::Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III ::Montana Creek ~to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. 2 1m ::small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some tvo-year old males; Ad ::males vith large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). 3 H/O =females without young,Wil females with one young;W/2 females with 2 young. The H/O category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. - 26 - Table 5.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 22 and 23 March aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska, 1983. Census No.16 River l Males 2 Females 3 Lone Total zone Ad 1m 01/0 w/1 0172 calves Ads Calves Moose I 0 0 13 2 0 0 15 2 17 II 0 0 26 13 1 0 40 15 55 I'""'"III 0 0 158 56 2 1 216 61 277 IV 4 Total 0 0 197 71 3 1 271 78 349 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. 2 -- 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). 3 W/O =females without young,Wil females with one young;W/2 females with 2 young. The WID category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. 4 Snow cover in this zone insufficient for counting moose. 27 Table 6.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 7,8 and 13 April aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1983.- Census No.17 River l Males 2 Females 3 Lone Total zone Ad 1m WId Wll k'J2 calves Ads calves Moose-I 0 0 2 1 0 0 3 1 4 II 0 0 21 4 0 1 25 5 30 III 0 0 82 22 1 1 105 25 130 IV 4 0 0 80 16 0 0 96 16 112 Total 0 0 185 43 1 2 229 47 276- 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek "'""to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet., .-, - - - - 2 3 4 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3)• WID =females without young,Wll females with one young;W/2 females with 2 young.The WIO category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. Due to insufficient snow cover,on 7 and 8 April,census in this zone could not be conducted until 13 April. 28 ,... - Table 7.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 17 and 18 November aerial census of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1983. Census No.18 River l Males 2 Females 3 Lone Total zone Ad 1m W/O W71 W/2 calves Ads calves Moose I 1 0 5 6 1 0 13 8 21 II 0 0 3 2 2 2 7 8 15 III 7 6 27 26 1 1 67 29 96 rv 4 Total 8 6 35 34 4 3 87 45 132 - ..- 1 2 3 4 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek, III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). w/a =females without young,W/1 females with one young;W/2 females with 2 young.The w/a category may also include males which have shed their ant~ers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December.. Snow conditions in Zone IV not suitable for counting moose • 29 Table 8.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 9,14~d 16 December aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1983. ~ Census No.19 .....2 3RiverlMalesFemales Lone Total zone Ad 1m 1'110 1'01 1'172 calves Ads Calves Moose I 0 0 5 10 3 0 18 16 34 II 1 0 7 1 1 1 10 4 14 1II4 7 1 33 27 2 2 70 33 103 IV 8 2 43 28 6 0 87 40 127 Total 16 3 88 66 12 3 185 93 278 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. - 2 3 4 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). W/O =females without young,Hil females with one young;W!2 females with 2 young. The W/O category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. Frost and snow on vegetation during survey of Zone III and IV made observing moose somewhat difficult;counts may be relatively lower than in other zones. 30 Table 9.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 29-30 December 1983 and 5 January 1984 aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1983-84. Census No.20 River lzone I 4 Males 2 Ad tm Females 3 w/e wI!Wll Lone calves Ads Total Cal ves MOose II III IV Total o 9 7 16 o 1 3 4 17 53 52 122 9 33 29 61 2 5 3 10 o o o o 28 101 94 223 13 43 35 91 41 144 129 314 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek, III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. 2 - - ,~ In!=small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). 3 w/O =females without young,WIl females with one young;W/2 females with 2 young.The W/O category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. 4 Weather conditions in Zone I not sUitable for conducting survey. 31 Table 10.Sex,age composition and zone of location for ooose observed on the 13,17 and 19 January aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1984. Census No.21 ["1'River l Males 2 Females 3 Lone Total zone Ad 1m wlo IVI W/2 calves Ads Calves Moose I 0 0 9 6 2 a 17 10 27 II 5 1 14 8 2 1 30 13 43-III 6 1 78 37 3 1 115 44 159 IV 10 3 122 67 7 0 209 81 290 Total 21 5 223 118 14 2 381 148 529 '""" 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. r-2 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). - -- IIIJ3Dl 3 WIO =females without young,Hil females with ODe young;H/2 females with 2 young. The HIO category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. 32 Table 11.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 3,8 and 9 February aerial censuses of the Susltna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1984. Census No.22 Riverl Males 2 Females 3 Lone Total zone Ad 1m Wid wll W72 calves Ads calves Moose I 1 1 46 20 0 a 68 20 88 II a 0 52 26 1 0 79 28 107 III 0 1 ISO 46 4 1 231 55 286 IV4 1 6 160 59 6 1 232 72 304 Total 2 8 438 151 11 2 610 175 785 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. ,~2 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). 3 w/a =females without young,H/I females with one young;W/2 females With 2 young. The M/O category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becOllles prevalent by mid-December. 4 Frost and snow on vegetation during survey of Zone III made observing moose difficult; count may be relatively lower than in other zones • .- 33 2 - .,.... .... - - - Table 12.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 21 and 28 February and 1 March aerial censuses of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet,Alaska,1984. Census No.23 River l Males 2 Females 3 Lone Total zone Ad fm WIO WIl R/2 calves Ads Calves Moose I 0 0 35 3 0 0 38 3 41 II 0 0 40 5 0 0 45 5 50 III 0 0 214 52 2 1 268 57 325 IV 0 1 232 70 10 0 313 90 403 Total 0 1 521 130 12 1 664 155 819 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,.probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). 3 WIO =females without young,Wll females with one young;W/2 females with 2 young. The W/O category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December • 34 .- Table 13.Sex,age composition and zone of location for moose observed on the 15 March aerial census of the Susitna River from Devil Canyon to Cook Inlet, Alaska,1984. Census No.24 r-2 3RiverlMalesFemales Lone Total zone Ad 1m WIO WIl W/2 calves Ads Calves MOose 1 4 0 0 9 0 2 0 11 4 15 II III IV Total 0 0 9 0 2 0 11 4 15-. , 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook Inlet. ~2 1m =small antlered males,mostly yearlings,probably some two-year old males; Ad =males with large antlers. May be underestimates (see footnote 3). ,~ - ,~ 3 4 WID =females without young,WII females with one young;W/2 females with 2 young. The w/e category may also include males which have shed their antlers;this becomes prevalent by mid-December. Snow cover in Zones I -III not suitable for counting moose. 35 J .~J I ~l 1 j i j j J Table 14.Percent of calves (numbers of moose)observed on each of 24 censuses for moose in floodplain habitat along 4 zones of the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska 1981-84. ~ Winter No.River Zone 1 period census Date I II III IV Census total 1981-82 1 9 and 10 Dec 22 (36)31 (16)31 (147)28 (123)29 (322) 2 28 Dec 81,4 Jan 22 (l8)26 (19)26 (l91)28 (96)26 (324) 3 2 and 6 Feb 0 (8)20 (5)25 (134)21 (92)23 (239) 4 1 and 2 Mar 0 (7)24 (17)16 (236)20 (107)17 (369) 5 23 and 24 Mar 20 (25)36 (25)20 1166)20 (41)22 (257) 6 12 Apr 14 (7)17 (18)32 (57) _2 27 (82) 1982-83 7 29 Oct and 6 Nov 22 (14)25 (4)32 (60)29 (89)29 (171) 8 10 and 18 Nov 18 (57)36 (28)25 (232)26 (159)25 (476) 9 1,2 and 6 Dec 17 (76)24 (46)31 (292)18 (412)23 (826) 10 20-22 Dec 20 (76)34 (86)28 (460)21 (312)25 (934) 11 5 and 6 Jan 21 (84)28 (94)29 (345)-27 (523) 12 20 and 24 Jan 34 (56)19 (62)29 (329)-29 (447) 13 7 and 9 Feb 38 (26)23 (44)30 (251)22 (206)27 (527) 14 22 and 23 Feb 19 (27)31 (65)23 (269)19 (212)22 (573) W 15 7 and 8 Mar 13 (32)21 (62)20 (260)18 (190)19 (544) 0\16 22 and 23 Mar 12 (17)27 (55)22 (277)-22 (349) 17 7,8 and 13 Apr 25 (4)17 (30)19 (130)14 (112)17 (276) 1983-84 18 17 and 18 Nov 38 (21)53 (15)43 (96).51 (132) 19 9,14 and 16 Dec 47 (34)29 (14)32 (103)31 (127)33 (278) 20 29 and 30 Dec and 5 Jan -31 (41)30 (144)27 (129)29 (314) 21 13,17 and 19 Jan 37 (27)30 (43)28 (159)28 (290)28 (529) 22 3,8 and 9 Feb 23 (88)26 (107)19 (286)24 (304)22 (785) 23 21 and 28 Feb and 1 Mar 7 (411 10 (SO)17 (325)22 (403)19 (819) 24 15 Mar 27 (ls)---27 (15) 1 I =Devil Canyon to Talkeetna,II =Talkeetna to Montana Creek,III =Montana Creek to Yentna River and IV =Yentna River to Cook 'Inlet. 2 -=Zone not censused because of insufficient snow cover or inclement flying weather. ...... I - - - '1Qll!!llo'l! -, In 1982,following an early snowfall in October,relatively few moose (171 moose)were observed on the floodplain.Extensive snowfall later in that winter precipitated a rapid,early (mid- December)and high peak in moose use (934 moose)of floodplain habitats.However,in response to a relative scarity of snowfall after December and melting of the exi sting snowcover,moose numbers decreased sharply,but remained at a relatively high level (550 moose)through March,as the snow cover persisted, until subsequently decreasing to a lower level by mid-April (276 moose). Winter in 1983-84,was characterized by average early winter weather conditions.Mild weather conditions prevailed through December and moose use of the Susitna River floodplain was correspondingly low (about 300 moose).Heavy snowfall during January and frequent snowfall and increasing accumulations of snow through February,apparently triggered a gradual movement of moose toward the Susitna River riparian habitats and ultimately resulted in a large concentration of moose (819)on the river's floodplain by late February/early March (Census No.23).How- ever,one of the warmest and driest months of March on record followed.Because of the rapid decrease in snow cover inadequate survey conditions occurred and aerial moose censuses were not done.Consequently,information on moose use of the floodplain in late March-early April 1983-84 is not available. Data gathered from river censuses demonstrate that moose use of Susi tna River floodplain habitats is closely related to winter weather conditions,particularly snowfall and resultant depth of the snowcover.Wi thin years,mild weather conditions may pre- clude movements of large numbers of moose (1981-82),early snows may initiate early moose movements (1982 83)and late snows may delay moose movements to floodplain areas (1983-84).Moose movements to floodplain areas may be rapid (1982-83)or gradual (1983-84).High levels of moose use may be sustained for long 37 .... P"'" I .... - - periods of time (1982-83)or may be relatively short-lived (1983-84).Abrupt decreases in moose numbers associated wi th ameliorating weather conditions,occurred in all winters.Even in mild winters,moose from some subpopulations apparently still move to floodplain habi tats (1981-82). Data gathered from Census No.7,indicates that approximately 171 moose may be closely associated wi th Susi tna River floodplain habitats throughout the year.If this is true,then the flood- plain moose population may double during a mild winter (369 moose in 1981-82)and even increase by 5 times during a more severe winter (934 in 1982-83).Apparently,the numbers of moose which move to floodplain habitats is related to severity of the winterj as winter severity increases more moose seek forage in floodplain habitats.If winter in 1982-83 had ended harsh like the 1983-84 winter,there probably would have been many more moose on the floodplain then were present in either winter separately. It was very interesting that large numbers of moose which moved to floodplain habitats in winter 1982-83 (Census No.10)did not remain in those areas through the winter (at least through early March)but departed by at least early February.Several of the possible explanations for this occurrence are:1)that habitats from which they came are much more desirable and 2)the floodplain could not support them and other transient moose for the remainder.of the winter.It is still unknown whether these highly mobile moose were a part of a subpopulation already present on the river or a part that carne from greater distances or different areas or were from a completely different moose sub- population.It is also not known whether moose which immigrated early in winter 1982-83 are the same groups of individuals which. moved to floodpl~in areas late in 1983-84 (i.e.,Does timing of snowfall affect likelihood of specific subpopulations to move to floodplain habitats?).If different subpopulations are involved, then,numbers of different moose which use floodplain habitats 38 r- ! - .... - - would be significantly greatly than simply considering the maximum numbers of moose within years (1982-83 and 1983-84)but would also involve adding some early winter moose of 1982-83 to the late winter moose of 1983-84. Numbers of moose utilizing floodplain habitats in 1983-84 may have been depressed by winter mortality sustained by moose populations in the previous winter.Percent calves observed in floodplain habitats in 1983-84 on Census No.23 (Table 14) indicates that calf moose sustained a higher rate of mortality in the 1983-84 winter than in previous winters. Percent of calf moose observed on the Susi tna River floodplain decreased dramatically in 1982-83.The decrease in percent calf moose observed on floodplain censuses became apparent by late February and early March (Census No.14 and 15),when 22 and 19 percent of the moose observed were calves.The percent calves observed on the previous 7 censuses conducted by early February in 1982-83 averaged 26 percent.Decreases in percent calves in 1982-83 did not become apparent until several months after peak moose numbers were attained (Census No.10 VB.14). Similar comparisons for the winter of 1983-84 indicated that decreases in numbers of calves became apparent a month prior to appearances of maximum numbers of moose (Census No.22 vs. Census No.23). MOVEMENTS OF RADIO-COLLARED MOOSE To knowledgeably assess impacts of hydroelectric development of the Susi tna River on moose ,one must;1)delineate subpopu- lations of moose which are ecologically affiliated with habitats potentially subject to alteration;2)determine in what way I when and how many moose from those subpopulations utilize flood- plain habitats;3)determine how and where potential impacts to those moose subpopulations will ultimately be realized;and 39 ,.... 4)propose various mitigation plans and determine the overall posi ti ve effects of those plans on the moose resource.These sorts of data can only be provided by studying movements of individual moose within those subpopulations and determining the ecological significance of those movements. Data presented in Fig.6 illustrate the spatial distribution of all radio relocations (3184)for all moose captured and radio- collared along the Susi tna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet.Generally,these data may be interpreted to indicate the minimum area or zone within which impacts incurred by moose that utilize Susitna River riparian habitats,may be realized.These data show that impacts to moose on the Susitna River floodplain between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet may ultimately become obvious in areas as far west as Beluga Lake,Little Peters Hi 11 s,the Chuli tna River,as far north as Hurricane;or as far east as Chunilna Creek,Sheep River,the headwaters of Sheep Creek, Pittman and Big Lake;an area covering approximately 10,380 krn 2 • The impact zone broadens widely in areas south of Talkeetna (Fig.6)and it is apparent that impacts to moose,from Susitna River hydroelectric development are likely to be realized in areas quite distant from the river's floodplain. Likewi se,posi tive effects of mitigation efforts undertaken in riparian habitats may be realized throughout this same area or may be directed at locations distant from the floodplain and still benefit moose subpopulations which utilize floodplain habitats. Figures 7 and 8 illustrate points of relocation for female and male radi,o-collared moose,respectively.These data indicate that the extent and spatial relationships of impacts will,in part,depend on the sex of affected moose.Though samples for males were considerably smaller than for females,particularly north of Talkeetna,the males,as individuals,appeared to range more widely. 40 ...4:.+""+........."".. ... + +..++~ + + +... t ·.-. -~..~..:-.......,- Flgur.8.Polygon encompassing 3184 relocation points for 10 moose radio-collared 17 April,1980.29 moose radlo"'collar.d 10-12"March,1981 and 17 moos.radIo-collared 28 February -10 March,1982 along the Susltna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet.Alaska and monitored through 3 October,1983.(Inclusive area =103S0 km 2 )41 Figure 7.Radio-relocations (2462)for 40 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susltna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,1980-83. - ,..,. i I""'" I I. + ++ + \+ ...+ +.+1lf+ + 42 ..... __or + + + + o (; + - -, - - Figure 8.Radio-relocations (722)for 15 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska,1980-83. 43 """".........._........--,-------------------------------_._--------------- ..... - -- ..- I In areas south of Talkeetna,individual males tended to range annually over larger areas than individual females (lYlodafferi 1983)but bounds of overall impact zones between "populations"of sexes may be quite similar. Changes in environmental conditions along the Susitna River as a resul t of hydroelectric development may affect producti vi ty of some subpopulations of moose directly by elimination of females through changes in carrying capacity or indirectly,by affecting productivity of subpopulations through alteration of female nutri tive condition.In either case,effects may be realized locally or distant from floodplain habitat.Likewise,mitigation measures which improve the calving environment or winter range in riparian habitats may increase productivity of moose subpopula- tions in those particular areas and result in higher population levels.However,enhancement of environments for moose in riparian areas which do result in greater subpopulation produc- tivity,may subsequently place additional stress on environments used by those moose subpopulations during other seasonal periods. Figure 9 illustrates where female moose captured and radio- collared in winter on the Susitna River floodplain were relocated during the calving period (10 May-I?June).These data illus- trate that most female moose south of Talkeetna leave the flood- plain to calve,but that female moose north of Talkeetna return to,and those females in large islanded areas south of Talkeetna may remain in,floodplain areas for calving. For a period of time after calving,females with calves remain relatively sedentary,but by July moose have generally started to move to summer range areas where they will remain until rutting activities start.Relocations for radio-collared female and male moose,respectively during the summer period (1 July-31 Augustj appear in Figs.10 and 11.These data show that by the summer period,female moose north of Talkeetna have again departed from floodplain areas and only females in larger islanded areas south of Talkeetna remain on the Susi tna River floodplain. 44 :;f/ .....",,:' - - ...... - •11 1I •.,•.-•1I ,.6- ..: -11 11 I-II It-1I ~.... Figure 9.locations (506)where 40 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susltna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska were radio-relocated during the calving period (10 May-17 June),1980-83. 45 .....It is probably during the summer period,when many people are traveling,picnicking,camping,fis~ing,boating and recreating in the outdoors,that nonconsumptive values of moose are greatest.Impacts of the proposed Susitna hydroelectric project on moose,may be expected to influence summer distribution and abundance of moose in areas similar to those illustrated in Figs. 10 and 11,and affect nonconsumptive use of the moose resource in those areas. Consumptive use of the moose resource by hunters occurs primarily during the month of September.Figures 12 and 13 illustrate where female and male radio-collared moose,respectively,were relocated during that time period.Those sorts of data indicate where hunters may realize impacts of Susitna hydroelectric development on moose.These data demonstrate that moose which winter on the Susitna River floodplain may provide opportunities for consumptive use throughout an extensive area,including areas far from the Susitna River floodplain. Data presented in Figs.14 and 15,respectively,illustrate locations where female and male moose,which were captured in winter on the Susitna River floodplain,were subsequently relo- cated during the rutting period (14 September to 31 October). Few moose of either sex spent the rut period in or near their winter range on the Susi tna River.Most rutted to the west of the floodplain and some individuals occurred in areas up to 40 km from the Susitna River.Impacts of hydroelectric development to moose which winter on the Susitna River may likely affect rutting acti vi ties in subpopulations throughout this large area. Data gathered from moose captured and·radio-collared along the Susi tna River iii).late winter and relocated during subsequent winter periods (1 January-28 February)indicated that not all individual moose had returned to floodplains habitats during the later winter period (Fig.16).Other data collected indicated 46 - Figure 10.Locatlona (393)where 39 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Sualtne River between Devil Canyon and Cook In'~t.Alaska.were radlo-relo4;ated during the summer period (1 July -31 Augu8t).1980-83. 47 .... .. oo • Figure 11.locations (129)where 12 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska were radio-relocated during the summer period (1 July-31 August),1980-83. 48 - Figure 12.Locations (242)where 38 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susltna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet.Alaska were radio-relocated during the month .of September ("hunting season"),1980-83. 49 r j-'",i / Figure 13.Locations (72)where 11 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska were radio-relocated during the month of September (·hunting season")"1980-83. 50 --_.,:p--"~-----"""-",,,,,---_._------------------------------------- Figure 14.Locations (286)where 38 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between DevU Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska were radlo-relC'cated during the rut period (14 September-31 October),1980-83. 51 - ---.. Figure 15.Locations (86)where 11 male moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet,Alaska were radio-relocated during the rut period (14 September-31 October),1980-83. 52 !'i"'" " """ ! I i 6- ,.// ,'...>f -I :.\ r:,/ ...•• r- I Figure 16.Locations (348)where 7 male and 40 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet. Alaska were radio-relocated during the winter period (1 January-28 February). 1980-83. 53 individual and annual variation in the timing that moose arrived on the Susitna River floodplain winter ran~.Though most moose arrived on the winter range by January I some arrived later and some individuals even wintered in entirely different and distant areas in subsequent years.These data support the contention that winter river censuses may underestimate the numbers of different moose which seek winter range in Susitna River flood- plain habitats.Information collected from behavior of radio- collared moose may be used in conjunction wi th data from river censuses to adjust for underestimates in the numbers of different moose which may be dependent on floodplain habitats for winter range.Since timing and location of sampling (capturing moose) as well as winter conditions are critical to obtaining represen- tatives from all moose subpopulations,only very intensive radio-collaring and careful review of collected data will identify numbers of moose and all moose subpopulations which are ecologically affiliated with the Susitna River floodplain in winter. AFFINITIES FOR FLOODPLAIN HABITATS Before one can knowledgeably assess impacts of the proposed Susi tna hydroelectric proj ect on subpopulations of moose down- stream from Devil Canyon,it must be known how and when those respective subpopulations of moose utilize Susitna River flood- plain habitats.To knowledgeably predict potential impacts,one must also be cognizant of the annual and between year variation which may be expected in those patterns of use,so long-term behavioral.patterns for those subpopulations may be adequately "bounded." Data on timing and frequency of use of riparian habitats and on variation inaffinities for those habitats obtained from radio- collared moose are presented in Tables 15 and 16,.respectively. 54 1 1 1 J 1 1 i j Table 15.Variation in and general affinities for floodplain habitats of the Susitna River exhibited by moose radio-collared and relocated periodically,1980-83. Percent of relocations at dIstances Imil No.from floodplain (F) Area 1 Sex 2 Treatment3 Moose 4 ReiocaUons 5 F 0-1 1~3 3-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20+ Upstream F Min 1 79 11 29 48 8 4 0 0 0 Max 1 79 16 61 23 0 0 0 0 0 Total 8 597 10 41 43 5 1 0 0 0 M Min 1 73 1 47 34 3 15 0 0 0 Max 1 61 2 30 51 18 0 0 0 0 Total 2 134 2 39 42 10 8 0 0 0 Downstream F Min 1 43 26 0 0 2 7 9 14 42 Max 1 81 90 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 Total 29 1,823 25 11 14 9 24 12 3 3 M Min 1 98.1 2 7 2 2 20 30 36 Max 1 80 8 25 50 18 0 0 0 0 U1 Total 8 520 6 16 20 7 21 10 12 8 U1 - 1 Upstream =north of Talkeetna,Downstream =south of Talkeetna. 2 F •female,M =male. 3 Max =data for individual moose which exhibited maximum affinity for floodplain habitats,Min =similar but for minimum affinity,Total =mean affinity calculated for respective population. 4 Moose =numbers of different individuals which provided data:same individuals provided data for more than three years. 5 Relocations =number of relocations:sampling intensity relatively similar throughout year. Table 16.Dates indicating chronology of arrival and departure from Susitna River riparian habitat for female and male moose radio-col1ared in habitats downstream ·from Talkeetna,1980·83. Date females Males 1980 Riparian a Non-riparian Riparian Non-riparian Apr.3 b 0 3 0 May ND c ND ND ND Jun.0 3 0 3 ~Jul.0 3 0 3 Au.g.0 3 0 3 Sep.0 3 0 3 Oct.0 3 0 2 Nov.0 3 0 2 Dec.0 3 0 3 1981 Jan.0 3 0 2 Feb.d ND NO NO ND I""'"Mar.15 3 4 2 Apr.7 11 1 5 May 2 16 0 6 Jun.4 14 0 6 Jul.5 13 1 5-Aug.3 15 0 6 Sep.4 14 1 4 Oct.3 14 1 4 Nov.2 15 0 5 Dec.8 9 1 4 JIIIIIiQl 1982 Jan.e 9 8 0 5 Feb.f 18 6 7 4 Mar.17 10 5 6-Apr.12 15 5 6 May 5 22 3 7 Jun.5 22 3 6 Jul.3 24 1 7 Au.g.4 23 1 7-Sep.3 23 1 5 Oct.3 23 0 6 Nov.10 15 1 5 Dec.15 10 2 4 ~1983,Jan.17 8 3 3 Feb.19 6 3 3 Mar.15 10 3 2 Apr.15 10 2 3 May 8 17 2 3 JuD.5 19 1 4 Jul.ND ND ND NO Aug.6 17 1 4 Sep.6 17 0 4 a Riparian =individuals relocated at least once during respective Ume period within outmost ba.nlts of the SusitDa River;Non-riparian =individual not relocated during respective time period within outlllost banks of the SusitDa River. b 3 females and 3 males radio-collared in riparian habitats. c ND =no data collected during time period. r d 16 females and 4 _les radio-collared in riparian habitats. I e 7 females and 6 .ales radio-collared in riparian habitats. f 3 females radio-collared in riparian habitats.,,- ! 1""" l 56 - - - Data gathered from individual moose north of Talkeetna indicated that for 3 consecutive years their greatest affinity for use of riparian habitats occurred during May and June,but even that affinity appeared reduced in 1983 (Table 15).Since radio- collared female moose throughout the study area calved between mid-May and mid-June,riparian habitats may likely be important to this moose subpopulation for production and/or survival of newly-born young.Particular factors involved in this associ- ation have not yet been identified but might be related to presence of early growing nutritious foods (LeResche and Davi s 1973)and/or relative absence of predators (Stringham 1974 and Edwards 1983). Wolves are not common along the Susi tna River downstream from Devil Canyon;but brown and black bears occur commonly in the area and are known to utilize mid-elevations on south facing slopes during this seasonal period (Sterling Miller,per.comm.), and could be responsible for female moose moving from ridges and mid-slopes to lower elevations along the floodplain,as was hypothesized by Edwards (1983)for female moose in association with wolves at Isle Royale.High rates of predation by brown and black bears on neonatal moose calves have been documented for a moose population in an area several miles upstream from Devil Canyon (Ballard et ale 1982a).Coyotes are abundant throughout the entire study area and may also be involved in prompting female moose to move to floodplain areas near parturi tion. Edwards believed that diet diversity was inversely related to diet quality (i.e.increased diversity in dietary constituents decreased overall diet quality).Howeyer,it may be that under- story vegetation in riparian habitats provides a variety of nonbrowse plant species which eLch at any given time occur at different stages of phenological development,but when considered over time they could,in combination,provide a continuous supply 57 "..., ..... - of young,tender,highly digestible and nutritious phenological stages of vegetation.Collins (pers.comm.)has observed in late May and early June that ferns on some floodplains islands north of Talkeetna were heavily browsed by moose.He also believed that ferns (particularly at the fiddlehead stage)were an excellent source of nitrogen (see pg.109,this report,for chemical composition of fern rhizomes collected alpine areas in January). The apparent "unattractiveness"of floodplain habitats (from January through April in 1981-82)to the moose subpopulation north of Talkeetna may have in part been related to the rela- ti vely mi ld weather conditions that winter,since in the much earlier and harsher winter of 1982-83,moose from that same subpopulation appeared to utilize riparian habitats from November through February. Data presented in Table 17 indicate that radio-collared moose,in winter 1981-82,started to move to floodplain habitats in Decem- ber,were most frequently relocated in those habitats in February and March,and proceeded to depart from the floodplain areas during Apri 1. However,in winter of 1982-83,heavy,early snowfall apparently stimulated moose to move to floodplain habitats in November,and as in the previous winter,moose numbers built up to a peak in February.But apparently,the persistence of snowcover and wintery conditions late into the spring of 1983 caused more moose to remain in floodplain areas through April and into May. In spite of the relatively harsh winter conditions in 1982-83,1 male and t female moose which were previously captured on the Susitna River floodplain,were not known to return to those areas that winter.These data,along with the former,indicate that many more moose may utilize riparian habitats than are present at 58 1 ~---~--l 1 J I ) Table 17.Timing and frequency of use of Susitna River riparian habitats by individual radio collared fe.ale moose,between Talkeetna and Devil Canyon,Alaska 1981-1983. 1981 1982 1983 IncUvidual It'ir.Hiy Jut.Sip.NOv.Jan.Har.Hay Jut.sep.NOv.Jan.Mir.Hay July~p. and a and and and and and and and and and and and and and and and Apr.Jun.Aug.Oct.Dec.Feb.Apr.Jun.Aug.Oct.Dec.Feb.Apr.Jun.Aug.OCt. 29 1/7 b t/7 0/7 1/7 0/5 0/5 0/5 3/6 0/3 0/2 1/2 Oft Olt 0/9 1/2 0/3 42 0/6 0/7 0/7 0/7 0/5 0/5 0/5 1/6 0/3 0/2 1/2 3/4 ott 0/9 0/2 0/3 63 0/6 2/7 0/7 0/7 0/5 0/5 0/5 0/6 0/3 0/3 0/2 1/t O/f 1/9 0/2 0/3 68 0/6 5/7 0/7 0/7 0/5 0/5 0/5 3/6 0/3 0/1 0/2 ott O/t 4/9 0/2 0/3 69 0/6 0/7 0/7 0/7 0/5 0/5 0/5 0/6 0/3 0/1 0/2 O/t 0/4 0/9 0/2 0/3 73 0/6 3/7 0/7 0/7 0/5 0/5 0/5 1/6 l/3 c 0/2 0/2 O/t l/ff 2/9 0/2 0/3 7f 0/6 1/7 0/7 1/7 1/5 0/5 0/5 2/5 d eo 0/6 3/4 e 81 0/5 3/7 0/7 0/7 0/5 0/5 0/5 1/6 0/2 0/2 1/2 2/t O/f 0/9 0/2 0/3 In 1.0 No.indi- viduals relocated in riparian 1/9 7/9 0/8 2/8 1/8 0/8 0/8 6/8 1/7 0/7 3/1 3/1 1/7 3/7 1/7 0/7 habitat/ Total individuals a Number of radio relocations in riparian habitat/total number of observations during respective time period. b Riparian habitat observation on 28 April. e Riparian habitat observation on 8 July. d Individual observed dead in Susitna River south of Talkeetna on 16 July. e Individual captured south of Talkeetna but moved north of Talkeetna and was found silted and dead on bank of Susitna River;died approxiaately 6 July. f Riparian habitat observation on 20 April. - ,..... I any onetime or during any one year.For instance,data from radio-collared moose indicated that in February 1983,for every 22 moose,19 females and 3 males,observed in floodplain areas, there were probably another 9 moose,6 females and 3 males,that also use those habitats.Similarly,moose censuses in riparian habitats at that time may have to be expanded by a factor of 41% (9/22)to approximate the actual numbers of moose which use those habitats. Most moose apparently utilize the Susitna River floodplain south of Talkeetna only as a winter range,but in all years some individuals remained in riparian areas and apparently utilized those habitats throughout the entire year.This behavior was most typical of individuals which were found to range in and near the large islanded areas of the Susi tna River (i.e.,the Delta Islands and the Big/Bell Island complexes).Available data indicated that roughly 18%(4 of 22,4 of 27,and 5 of 23 radio- collared moose relocated in 1981,1982 and 1983,respectively, Table 17)of the moose subpopulation which utilized floodplain habi tats as winter range were found to be "resident"to those areas throughout the year.During more severe winter conditions, one would probably expect that the floodplain habitats are shared amongst a higher proportion of "nonresident"moose. Though the greatest potential impacts to the moose sUbpopulation upstream from Talkeetna may occur in May and June and to the downstream moose subpopulations from December through April and into May in severe winters,there is a portion of moose in the latter popUlation which utilize riparian habitats throughout the year and will be vulnerable to impacts incurred during any seasonal period. Additional data exhibiting variation in affinities for riparian habi tats and in behavioral patterns for both individuals arid subpopulations of moose are presented in Table 16.This summary 60 - - - of.data for over 3 years of study demonstrate considerable differences in movement patterns between upstream and downstream moose subpopulations.Those moose subpopulations downstream from Talkeetna spent a considerable amount of time at distances greater than 3 miles from the Susitna River floodplain,whereas their counterparts north of Talkeetna were seldom relocated farther than 3 miles from the floodplain.Males in both subpopu- lations,usually ranged relatively farther than females from the riparian habitats,and males in downstream areas exhibited less affini ty for floodplain habitats than those in upstream areas. These data also indicate notable differences in behavioral patterns between individual moose within a subpopulation (i.e., comparing minimum and maximum values for affinities). In summary,these data illustrate that impacts to subpopulations of moose which utilize Susitna River riparian habitats primarily as winter range,may be realized in areas quite remote from the banks of the river and the source of the impact.Impacts most remote from the Susitna River will probably occur in moose subpopulations south of Talkeetna and in male moose of both subpopulations. MOOSE WINTER USE OF SPECIFIC SUSITNA RIVER FLOODPLAIN AND I SLANDED AREAS Alterations in Susitna River flow hydraulics will affect differ- ent habitat types differently,and those effects will secondarily vary depending on the location of that habitat on the river's overall floodplain.Changes in flow hydraulics may also have posi tive effects with respect to moose by duplicating specific desirable hydraulics at other locations on the floodplain and thereby creating preferred hrbi tats.However,it must be re- membered,that factors other than vegetative associations,as mentioned above,also interact to influence the precise quality of habitats for moose.Moose use of the Susitna River floodplain 61 - ,.... I - - is not random.Moose most likely preferi select and utilize specific habitat types and the quality of those habitat types may secondarily be influenced by factors such as location on the floodplain,local snow conditions,occurrence of predators and suitability of adjacent,nonfloodplain habitats during other seasonal periods. One hypothetical method of assessing impacts of Susi tna River hydroelectric development on moose,is to delineate and charac- terize which habitats are most heavily used (important)by moose, and to secondarily determine if those habitat characterics will be altered by proposed changes in river flow hydraulics.To examine this particular method of assessing moose-habitat relationships,age composition and densities of moose were determined for 6 specific sites delineated on the Susitna River floodplain (Table 18). Data presented in Table 18 exhibit variation in densities and age composi tion of moose observed at different areas of the flood- plain.In all years,greatest moose densities were observed on Bell Island.Moose densities on Alexander Island were also considerably greater than those in the other 4 areas,but were still less than those on Bell Island.In all 3 years,lowest densi ties of moose were observed on the Delta Islands.Moose densities observed on Bell Island ranged from 4 to 7 times higher than densities observed on the Delta Islands. Differences in observed densities or apparent attractiveness of these areas to moose may,in part,be attributed to both habitat type and location on the floodplain.Vegetation on the Delta Islands appears largely to be the typical "climax"type riparian habitat mature forest characteristic of the Susitna River flood- plain.Aside from occasional deep water sloughs,habitat on the Delta Islands is monotonous.Bell and Alexander Island contain similar climax riparian habitat but,in contrast,those islands 62 '--]-1 --I 1 1 I 1 J -]-1 ')1 ) Table 18.Number,pe~ent calves and densities for moose observed in floodplain and islanded areas along the Susitna River between Montana and Cook Inlet,Alaska,1981-83. sample areal Moose observed2 Location Size (ml )No.Percent calves Calculated densit 3 'Siiitace Terrestrial BJat-82 1982-83 1983-84 1981-82 1982-83 1§83-84 1981-82 1982-83 19~3-84 Kashwitna floodplain 14.5 5.5 27 39 12 23 27 25 1.9 2.7 0.8 Beaver Island 9.0 9.0 22 27 32 19 20 20 2.4 3.0 3.6 Alexander Island 10.5 10.5 29 80 54 27 24 18 2.8 7.6 5.1 Bell Island 13.0 13.0 41 120 101 18 18 24 3.2 9.2 6.6 Caswell floodplain 15.5 10.5 42 60 34 31 31 19 2.7 3.9 2.2 Delta Islands 21.0 18.0 16 27 21 18 21 18 0.8 1.3 1.0 0'\ W 1 Locations of sample areas are illustrated in Fig.•Total surface area and size of its terrestrial component area estimated from 1/63360 scale USGS topographic maps. 2 Data for moose observations are derived from 6 and 11 independent censuses conducted in the winters of 1981-82 and 1982-83, respectively.Numbers of moose represent the greatest number observed on a single census of each area.Calf percentages were calculated after accumulating totals for calves and individuals observed on all censuses within each entire winter. 3 Densities were calculated by dividing maximum number of moose observed at each location by its surface area size (km 2 ). .... ..... - .... are profusely interspersed with other plant communi ties (i.e., short and tall shrub,sedge meadow and immature mixed forests). Along with more subtle differences in vegetative composition, interspersion of habitat types appears to be slightly greater on Bell than on Alexander Island and may in part explain observed differences in moose densi ties between those two areas. Moose densities observed on Beaver Island were intermediate between those observed on the Delta Islands and those observed on Bell and Alexander Islands.Habitat types on Beaver I sland did not appear grossly different from those on the latter islands but proportional relationships and interspersion between those habi tat types may have differed (i.e forests on Beaver Island were more extensive and infrequently interspersed with more seral habi tat types).Moose densities on Beaver Island may have been lower because most transient moose originate mainly from the west and they encounter satisfactory winter range on other islands first,and do not proceed farther east;so immigrating moose merely fail to "reach"Beaver Isiand and its winter range remains "undi scovered"by those moose subpopulations . The Caswell and Kashwitna floodplain areas are composed of numerous small islands of low relief which are dissected by a network of rivulets and shallow sloughs.Habitats in these areas are primarily short and tall shrub communities along with occasional stands of immature deciduous forest. Though it was not known why these earlier successional plant communi ties appeared to attract fewer moose than some of the large islanded areas to the south,several potential reasons contributing to this discrepancy may be differences in:vege- tative associations,density of forest cover,amnunt of snow cover,availability of alternate adjacent winter ranges and/or less dense moose subpopulations in adj acent areas. 64 .- ..... Proulx (1983)found that forest cover was an important component of moose winter habitats in southern Quebec.Perhaps,"moose preferred areas which contained forest cover. Though the Caswell and Kashwitna floodplain areas contained relatively low moose densities,both areas appeared to be used by a higher percentage of calf moose than other areas studied.In 2 of the 3 years studied,nearly twice the percentage of calves were observed on the Caswell floodplain area (31%)as on Bell Island (18%).Potential explanations for this occurrence are the following:cows with calves select low relief,open "floodplain" types of habitat,moose subpopulations which winter in this are more productive,more male moose occurred in the other areas and "diluted"the calf ratio or mortality factors (predation,nutri- tion and etc.)on calves are not similar between those moose subpopulations or wi thin those habitats.Thompson and Vukelich (1981)found that cows with calves avoided areas where large concentrations of moose occurred but they also found that their use of cutover areas (relatively open,early successional habi- tats,similar to floodplain areas)was restricted. These data suggest that age composition and density of moose on winter range were closely related to the occurrence and inter- spersion of a variety of habi tat types. In winter,gusty north winds commonly occur on the Susitna River floodplain south of the Yentna River.These winds blow fallen snow off the floodplain and frequently leave large portions of the area snowfree.Strong,gusty winds seldom occur near the Delta Islands and their effects on snowcover are greatly reduced because of the dense,extensive mature forests.Lack of persis- tent,deep snowcover,whic~may hinder moose movements and blanket ground forage vegetation,may contribute to Bell and Alexander Islands being more attractive to moose than the Delta Islands.Alternate winter range may be more readily available in 65 - areas adj acent to the Delta I slands than in areas adj acent to Bell and Alexander Islands and may enable greater proportions of local moose subpopulation to remain off the floodplain in winter or similar proportions of moose from both subpopulations may seek floodplain areas,but there may be a larger overall transient component with the moose subpopulation in areas adjacent to Bell and Alexander Islands than there is near the Delta Islands. These baseline data provide some information and pose many questions regarding habitat use by moose.Perhaps future studies may be designed to critically evaluate specific differences between those habi tat types and areas and to determine what affected their attractiveness to moose.These data also indicate that female moose with calves may select different types of habi tats for winter range than single female moose. By determining more specifically what vegetative types occurred in those areas and by assessing the role of flow hydraulics in creation and maintenance of those habitat types,one could perhaps predict the effects of hypothetical flow regimes on floodplain habitat types that appear most important for moose winter range. SIZE}SHAPE AND SPATIAL ARRANGEMENT OF ANNUAL RANGES FOR RADIO- COLLARED MOOSE Information on size,shape and spatial arrangement of ranges for male and female moose is useful in assessing how individuals and subpopulations utilize resources and habitats avai lable on and off the Susi tna River floodplain,in considering and selecting areas for habitat enhancement and in anticipating how moose might respon.d to enhanced habitats.Since previous data collected indicate that most moose are very patterned and consi stent in their use of ·winter range along the Susitna River and appear to explore and/or exploit few areas that are not in their normal 66 ,~ - range,they will be slow to realize the presence of new winter range,which may be created as a mitigation measure,unless it were wi thin their normal range.Likewise,with information on sizes and spatial arrangement of moose ranges,the areal influ- ence of habitat alterations may be predicted.An assessment of annual variation in range size for individual moose may be used to predict annual variation in use of Susi tna River riparian habi tats and to provide information on the utility of studying movements of individuals over several consecutive years.Such data also document adjustments moose make to their range in response to annual variation in climatic conditions or other environmental factors.It is commonly thought that the value of the Susitna River floodplain to moose increases with severity of winter conditions,and it is apparent,that these sorts of data must be collected during a relatively "severe ll winter,to fully appreciate the importance of the Susi tna River floodplain to moose and to learn how moose use the floodplain under those conditions. Data presented in Figs.17,18 and 19 illustrate relative size, shape and spatial relationships for annual range areas utilized by a subsample of radio-collared moose monitored from 1.5 to 3.5 years.These data exhibit a wide spectrum in types of patterns of moose use of the Susi tna River floodplain:from individuals with annual ranges which center on floodplain habitats (No.37, 90 and 95)i to individuals with annual ranges that "traverse ll floodplain habitats (No.23,87 and 100);and to individuals with annual ranges which merely abut floodplain habitats (No.27,40 and 99).Apparently,the Susitna River floodplain provides winter range for several subpopulations of moose which utilize spatially distinct ranges in different areas during other sea- sonal periods.The fact that moose from many different geo- graphical areas (different subpopulations)utilize a common winter range indicates that winter range areas are limited and 67 44 o (; - .-, ..... - .- r Flgur.17.Shape (convex polygons)and .patla'relationships for range.0'11 femal.and 3 male (#27.44 and 89)moo.e captured and radio-collared al,ong the SUlltna River,Alaska and relocated during 1980-83. 68 ..... I .... - r :-.\/ Figure 18.Shape (convex polygons)and spatial ,elatlonshlps for rangee of 7 female moose captured and radio-collared along the Sueltna River.Alaaka and ,elocated during 1980-83. 69 """ ..... .... - Figure 19.Shape (convex rang ••of 7 femal.and 2 radio-collared along the during 1980-83. polygons)and spatial relationships for male .(#91 and 95)moose captured and Sualtna River,Alaska and relocated 70 ..... - - do not commonly occur throughout the Susi tna River Valley and suggestst that the Susitna River floodplain functions as an important winter range for moose from thi s large area. These data also show that except for large islanded areas south of Talkeetna,the Susi tna River floodplain fails to provide a complete,annual range for moose (i.e"most moose seek calving, summer and rutting ranges in other areas). These data,along with those presented in Fig.6,illustrate that very few radio-collared moose ranged east of the Susi tna River and none ranged between the Kashwi tna River and Wi llow Creek. Hypothetical reasons for the apparent failure of radio-collared moose to use these areas,are the following:1)moose from those areas utilize winter range within that respective area;2)moose from those areas move toward the Susi tna River floodplain in winter,but find sui table range in "disturbed"sites along the Parks Highway,east of the floodplain;and 3)moose from those areas failed to be sampled because they move to the Susitna River floodplain only during "severe"winters or only very late in the winter period.In either case,for those reasons,individuals from subpopulations with the third types of behavioral pattern were not captured in the radio-collared samples. Though females generally had smaller ranges than males,some (No.41)utilized areas as large as males (No.27).Some males (No.95)were even known to range over areas smaller than those uti lized by most females (No.90). Directional patterns for orientation of ranges appeared inconsis- tent,though the basic direction was east-west (No.56,99 and 100).North and south "slants l1 were also apparent (No.40,59, 47 and 95). 71 - - - ...., These data,along with those previously collected (Modafferi, 1982),illustrate that moose north of Talkeetna generally ranged over smaller areas than moose south of Talkeetna.I doubt if overall range conditions are significantly "better"in the northern area to permit smaller ranges,but I suspect greater snow depths in the latter areas,have discouraged (through evolu- tionary processes)moose from traveling far to winter range and moose subpopulations have accommodated the lower quality range by existing at lower area wide densities. ANNUAL VARIATION IN SIZE AND SHAPE OF RANGES FOR RADIO-COLLARED MOOSE Annual variation in behavior and movement patterns for individual moose affects the size and shape of their annual range.In part, annual variation may be attributed to the effects of local weather and reproductive status of individual moose.Other factors,yet to be identified,surely also influence the con- figuration of moose annual ranges. Since it is known that moose use of Susi tna River floodplain habitats is greatly influenced by winter weather conditions,it is imperative that annual variations in moose behavior and move- ment patterns be delineated,to accurately assess and place "bounds"on moose use of those habitats.Data presented in Figs.20 and 21,illustrate the extremes in variation that individual radio-collared moose exhibited in annual range use patterns. Some individual moose exhibited relatively consistent annual (between year)patterns of range use (Fig.20).Range use patterns exemplified by each these individua.~moose,probably represent general patterns of range use common to large numbers of moose within 4 behaviorally different subpopulations.Though these individuals utilized a similar and common winter range on 72 ~, - ... - ./ .{ / r-r~~.......... .' Figure 20.Annual rangea (convex polygona)for 4 female mooae, captured and radio-collared along the SusUna River,Alaaka,wltlch exhibited relatively little -between year·variation In their movement patterns.Polygons encompaS8 radio-relocation poInts for conaecutlve annual periods commencing from date of capture to the 1980-81 (------) 1881-82 (),1982-83 ()and 1983-84 ()annual periods. 73 ..... -, r .~ .~> ~;- /./ o I::; \ "Figure 21.Annual range.(c.onvex polygon.)for 3 female and 2 male (#27 and 95)moose.captured and radlo-cofl.red .'ong the Su.Una River,Alaska,which exhibited noteworthy 'between year- variation In their movement pattern..Polygons encompass radio-relocation points for consecutive annual periods commencing from date of capture to the 1980-81 (-----),1981-82 (), 1982-83 ( )and 1983-8"()annual periods. 74 -- ...... .- - the Susitna River floodplain,and selected and utilized habitats in very different nonfioodplain areas during other seasonal periods,each utilized very similar annual ranges over 2,3 or 4 consecutive years.Annual environmental variations may have affected the timing of movements of these individuals but those factors had little effect on the extent and direction of these movements.It might be said that a single year of study would have provided adequate information on annual range configuration for these individuals. To the contrary,Fig.21,depicts annual ranges for individual radio-collared moose which exhibited substantial annual (between year)variation in range use patterns.Behavioral patterns between these individuals also differed sUbstantially,and suggest that these patterns may represent general behavioral patterns characteristic of different subpopulations of moose.In spi te of these variations,these moose utilized a common type winter range on the Susitna River floodplain.Since these individuals exhibited significantly different annual patterns in range use during the 2,3 or 4 years studied,it may be said that one year of study of these behavioral types of moose would have provided inadequate information on movements of patterns of range use.To adequately assess extent and locations of potential impacts of Susitna River hydroelectric development on moose with the latter type behavioral patterns,no less than 4 years of study would be required. These data indicate that individual moose (No.27,42 and 63) which make exceptional and extraordinary movements may actually interact with several different moose subpopulations,and these apparently inconsistent behavioral patterns in annual range use may expose them to more different habitats,areas and subpopula- tions in a lifetime.Such behavioral patterns would enable this type of individual moose to locate other (or alternate)desirable habi tats in new areas or "di scover"recently available habitats, 75 .... - - -, created naturally by wildfires or by human activi ties.This behavioral type of moose could potentially learn about enhanced habi tats,created as a result of mitigation actions I that were apparently not formerly wi thin thei r "apparent"or "usual"range. DISTRIBUTION OF MOOSE IN NON-FLOODPLAIN HABITATS Before one can knowledgeably predict ultimate impacts of Susitna River hydroelectric development on moose,one must understand how moose utilize the potential impact area (i.e.the ecological value of the area to moose must be determined).Because greatest moose use of the Susi tna River floodplain occurs during the winter,initial downstream moose studies were primarily directed at assessing the ecological value of the floodplain as winter range for moose.These downstream moose studies indicated that several behaviorally distinct subgroups of moose form the popu- lation of moose which utilizes the Susi tna River floodplain as winter range.These studies have provided information on how those moose populations utilize the Susitna River floodplain and have indicated the existence of other moose subpopulations in the Susi tna River valley,which do not necessarily winter on the floodplain but may calve or summer in Susi tna River riparian habitats.Though hydroelectric development may proximately affect specific portions of particular moose subpopulations, ul timate ecological consequences of those impacts can only be assessed after interrelationships between all moose populations in the Susi tna River valley are understood. Mitigation actions associated with hydroelectric development may be directed at providing winter habitats for moose.Such proce- dures may not always require alteration of existing habitats. Many contemporary habitats on and adjacent to the Susitna River appear to be preferred moose winter range and are presently heavily utilized by large numbers of moose.Presently,altera- ~tion of these habitats is not necessary,they need only be protected and maintained. 76 - ..... ..... - ,..... The greatest return from enhancement procedures may be possible in areas which presently receive minimal use by moose but have the potential to provide desirable winter range.Since many areas on the Susitna River floodplain presently provide adequate winter range for moose,nonfloodplain areas should receive consideration for enhancement.However,even amongst nonflood- plain areas,it is necessary to understand how moose are dis- tributed in those areas during other seasonal periods,as well as during the winter.It would be unwise management to transform a subpopulations preferred calving or rutting habitats into winter range.Since it is not known how moose subpopulations which do not winter on the Susitna River floodplain (not sampled in this study)utilize nonfloodplain habitats as winter range, care must be taken not to unknowingly transform habitats utilized by one moose subpopulation to winter range habitats for another subpopulation. Mi tigation actions designed to benefit moose populations may occur through regulation of flow regimes.Since various instream flow regimes can have different effects on different habitats, quanti ty and timing of water discharge may be regulated at the damsite to alter or maintain particular floodplain habitats. However,since different habitat types will be affected dif- ferently and those effects will vary with respect to specific location along the river or on the floodplain,different flow regimes may ultimately affect different moose subpopulations differently .Since benefits of particular flow regimes may be mutually exclusive between moose subpopulations,it is desirable to understand the interrelationships between all moose subpopu- lations before recommending any particular flow regime. Preliminary investigat.ons in downstream areas were directed at assessing winter distribution of moose in nonfloodplain areas and data were derived from a variety of sources and methods.These data which were gathered from early winter moose sex and age 77 _composition surveys (Table 19,Fig.5),a late winter stratified random moose census (Table 20,Fig.22),and late winter moose surveys in nonfloodplain areas (Table 21,Fig.4),provide baseline information on fall to winter distribution of moose in areas removed from the Susi tna River floodplain. ,.... Data presented in Table 19 are derived from standard sex and age composition surveys conducted periodically by the Alaska Depart- ment of Fish and Game.Though these surveys are not specifically designed to determine moose distribution and abundance,they do still roughly reflect those values.Results of these surveys,as evidenced in previous winter moose river censuses,are probably subject to significant variation due to seasonal and.annual weather patterns and should be treated cautiously.In view of potential shortcomings,these data suggest that more southerly areas adjacent to the Susitna River (Areas J,F,G and Hi Fig.5),support higher densities of moose than the more northern areas (A,B, C,D and Ei Fig.5).Since little movement out of Areas A,Band C was detected in the sample of moose radio collared in that area,it seems reasonable to believe that, excluding observer sightabili ty corrections,these values may approximate year-round moose densities for those respective areas.Values from all these areas indicate that moose densities are well below 1 per sq mi.Though similar supporting data from radio-collared moose are lacking for Area D,I suspect that characteristics of its moose subpopulations resemble those of the former areas and that observed densities are near to actual moose densi ties.Al though relatively low moose densities were also detected in Area E,I suspect moose populations in that area are more SUbject to large seasonal movements (winter emigration)and more moose may actually inhabit the area during other seasonal periods. 78 .- Table 19.Data from recent and past moose composition surveys conducted in areas adjacent to the Susitna River downstream from Devil Canyon.Alaska. 1'Area Most recent survey 3Priorsurvey DateNameSize(m1 2 )2No.moose Date No.Moose A 90 73 Nov 1983 NA ~ B 80 61 Nov 1983 NA C 90 56 Nov 1983 NA D 350 182 Nov 1983 NA E 430 202 Dec 1983 NA F 215 335 Dec 1983 471 Jan 1984 ~G 250 397 Dec 1983 780 Nov 1968 H 320 894 Dec 1983 1,017 Nov 1970 I 550 160 Nov 1982 573 Nov 1981 J 990 2,1284 Feb 1984 NA 1 Location of survey area illustrated in Fig.5.Size represents a rough approximation visually calculated from 1:250.000 scale USGS topographic maps. 2 Data obtained from Alaska Department of Fish and Game files.These surveys are primarily conducted to assess sex and age composition of moose populations;they are not conducted as strict population censuses and winter weather conditions can affect numbers of moose observed in all areas. 3 Historical hi~h count where data were available.NA =no other data available. 4 Estimate obtained from a stratified random moose census;t 12.7%at a 90% confidence interval. l- I i 79 ]~l 1 1 ~~~~1 J j J 1 J Table 20.Data on strata classification.sample unit size.densities/of moose and population estimates from a stratified random census conducted along the Susitna River.Alaska 24-29 February 1984. Density observed within No.units sampled (Total and between units sampled (moose per sq.mi) Strata total (percent) 1Densitystrata(;lassification _size 8.6 t()19.6Jlq.miL_Low High Mean Area(m1 2 )1No.Moose 1 Location of study area distribution of moose density as estimated from stratification survey are <XIo Low Medium High Superhigh Combined:unadjusted estimate adjusted estimate 9 (40) 6 (6) 14 (14) 7 (7) 36 (67) 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.5 0.7 1.2 4.3 14.2 0.3 0.8 2.8 6.1 615 (62) 79 (8) 198 (20) 98 (10) 990 203 (15) 64 (5) 550 (39) 580 (42) 1.397 3 2.218 illustrated in Fig.22. 2 No.moose estimated for all sample units within strata. 3 Total moose estimated.Adjustments to this estimate for two types of observer sightability correction factors (Gasaway et al.1980)inflates estimates to 2.218 moose.between 1.858 and 2.399 moose estimated at a 90%confidence interval (112.7%of estimate). - -I - - MOOSE DENSiTIES UIII!110W I@;~:;~mediumohigh S sup.r hiGh Figure 22.Locations of areas where moose population size ()was estimated and densltfes of moose were determined from the stratification flight of a random stratified census conducted along the Susltna RIver,Alaska,26-29 February,1984. 81 Table 21.Composition,nu~rs,and density for moose observed at various locations removed from the Susitna River floodplain,Alaska,1984. 2 Flight3 Density Size No.observed time (moose! Location 1 (S9 mi)Date Moose Calves Carcasses (min)s9 mi) Deshka River 60 5 March 37 3 13 NA 0.6 Moose Creek 30 5 March 58 9 0 NA 1.9 Trapper Creek 12 5 March 1 0 0 NA 0.1 Whi tso!Lake 5 15 March 12 0 42 NA 2.4 Swede 4 8 March 7 0 0 28 3.1 Lockwood Lake 3 8 March 7 1 0 28 2.3 Kahil tna I Moose Creek 3.5 8 March 11 0 0 28 3.1 Neil Lake 5.5 8 March 4 0 0 33 0.7 ~ Kashwitna Knobs 3 8 March 5 0 0 11 1.7 Trapper Lake 2.5 8 March 0 0 0 15 0.... 5 4ParkerLake88March 0 1 56 0.6 1 Refer to Fig.4 for geographical location of survey areas. .....2 Size for areas estimated from 1:63,360 scale USGS topographic maps.For river and creek areas sizes represent rough approximations of stream course distances.Surveys were confined to floodplain habitat paralleling water courses.Densities represent moose per mile of stream. 3 NA·flight time for stream surveys not applicable.since flight paths varied greatly. 4 All moose in Parker Lake survey area were observed along eastern boundary near riparian habitat. 82 .... I ..... In contrast,in the western foothills of the Talkeetna Mountains (Areas F and G and particularly Hi Fig.5),observed moose densi ties ranged from 1.5 to over 2.75 per sq mi.Though few moose from these subpopulations were represented in the radio- collared samples,it is believed that in "severe"winters a higher percentage of moose from these subpopulations move to the Susi tna River ripari an habi tats. Reasons for observed differences in moose densities between areas north and south of Talkeetna may be related to winter weather condi tions,habitat attributes and level of predation.Areas north of Talkeetna along the Susitna River generally have greater amounts of snowfall than more southern areas.Heavy snowfall and extreme snow depths probably inhibit moose movements to,from and wi thin this area in winter and decrease its desirability to moose.The Susitna River valley north of Talkeetna is narrow, steep sided and dominated by extensive stands of alder,the river banks are abrupt,the floodplain is brief and low relief islands of early successional vegetation are relatively scarce.These features are considerably less attractive to moose than the flat, wide braided river,extensive low relief floodplain,heavi ly islanded habitats characteristic of the Susi tna River south of Talkeetna.In contrast to riparian areas south of Talkeetna, where coyotes and black bears are probably the most common potential predators,areas north of Talkeetna contain substantial populations of brown and black bears (Miller and McAllister 1982) and occasionally wolves (Ballard et al.1982a)which probably act to suppress moose population levels.Extensive predation by wolves on adult moose and by bears on moose calves which has been documented for a nearby area (Ballard et al.1982b)and data collected by Modafferi (1982)suggesting that during parturition female moose move to islands in the Susi tna River to avoid harassment by predators,lend support to the contention that predation may affect population level. 83 .- ,.,... - ..... - If this were the case,and if this moose subpopulation was under a different wildlife management scheme (i.e.,one that may decrease numbers of wolves and bears in the area),one would expect a corresponding increase in numbers of moose in that subpopulation.Perhaps,then,calculations of mitigation compensation for potential loss of moose to this subpopulation should consider the numbers of moose the area would support if it were intensively managed for them (i.e.,if predator populations were maintained at lower levels). Reasons for the relatively low counts of moose in Area I (extreme southeastern foothills of the Talkeetna Mountains,Fig.5),are presently little understood.Some moose radio-collared on the Susitna River floodplain moved into this area for a short period during mid-winter and perhaps composition counts slightly later in the winter would have revealed densities similar to the more northern areas in the Talkeetna Mountains (F,G,and H). Relatively easy access to Area I may lead to more intense hunting pressure and a higher hunter kill and result in lower moose popu- lation levels.Additionally,a high annual "accidental"kill of moose in the winter (sometimes over 200)on the Parks Highway between Willow Creek and the Talkeetna River (Game Management Subunit 14B)by vehicles and on the Alaska Railroad right-of-way by trains may also contribute to depressing this moose subpopulation. Other data included in Table 19,are results from previous moose composi tion surveys which illustrate variance that may be ex- pected in these survey data.However,the higher counts may also indicate that these areas are capable of supporting significantly more moose under different conditions or at other times.If similar data were available for Areas A,B,C and D,we may see that historically these areas supported significantly more moose then were counted in 1983 and that,likewise,under some circum- stances many more moose may be dependent on the Susi tna River floodplain winter range than were observed in winters of 1981-84. 84 - This rational must be considered when planning mitigation actions to compensate for possible loss of moose or their habitat I to fully appreciate the potential numbers of moose which may be involved. Data in Table 20,exhibit the extreme importance of the Susitna Ri ver floodplain to moose subpopulations in Area J.Though Area J as a whole contained an estimated average of over 2 moose per sq mi in late winter,a high proportion of those moose occurred in riparian areas (Deshka River,Moose Creek,Yentna River,etc.)during the survey and probably more than half of the latter moose occurred and wintered on the Susitna River floodplain (Fig.22). Data in Fig.22,indicate that large portions of Area J contain relatively low densities of wintering moose.Data from radio- collared moose (this report and Modafferi 1982 and 1983)indicate that many of'the'moose thatinhabi t the interior of this area during other seasonal periods move to the Susi tna River flood- plain for winter range.Together,these data indicate that the interior of Area J would be a logical location to enhance avail- able winter range for local moose subpopulations which usually winter on the Susi tna River floodplain. Data provided in Table 21 appear to contradict some data presented in Table 20.These apparent inconsistencies may in part be explained by the fact that survey data in the former table were obtained in March,during which time some moose had already proceeded to depart from riparian wintering areas to early spring non-riparian ranges.It may also be that amongst the expansive interior of Area J,,small areas contain sui table wiIf,ter range for moose (Whi tsol Lake,Swede,Lockwood Lake and the KahiltnajMoose Creek areaSi Table 21),and support locally high moose densities.These data also'suggest that because very low winter densities were observed at the Neil Lake,Trapper Lake and Parker Lake areas,they may be potential candidate areas for 85 - ..... - - habitat enhancement;providing these areas do not provide a preferred range during another seasonal period.Parts of the Parker Lake area were consistently used by a radio-collared female moose (No.45)during all other seasonal periods,but it is not known if many other moose,similarly,used thi s same habi tat during those seasonal periods. MOOSE USE OF DISTURBED SITES Surveys conducted on disturbed sites will provide:1)infor- mation on moose use of these apparently important areas which supplement the Susi tna River floodplain moose winter range and; 2)information which will be useful in assessing,proposing and implementing mitigation actions for moose habitat enhancement programs.Knowledge of moose use of di sturbed sites is par- ticularly important since maj or mitigation strategies,to com- pensate for impacts of the proposed Susi tna River hydroelectric development on subpopulations of moose,will be through main- tenance,replacement and/or creation of new habitats to augment those presently used by moose for winter range. Human activities have altered natural habitats at numerous sites ~ near the Susitna River floodplain and have resulted in the reestablishment of seral type vegetative communities.Vegetative associations which occur at these sites during a time period r after the initial disturbance are composed of desirable moose browse plant species and attract large numbers of moose in .....winter. Since these sites provide a substantial alternate,but temporary, food source for moose which normally winter on the Susitna River floodplain,one must determine how moose utilize them and how they interact with the floodplain sites,to adequately assess their role in winter ecology of dependent moose subpopulations. 86 - - ..... Early successional vegetative stages in floodplain habitats are temporarily and spatially maintained over the long term by natural phenomena (floodplain subclimax),but disturbed sites are temporary occurrences and may only be maintained by the whims or posi tive actions of man. Therefore,it is probable that at some time in the future,moose subpopulations along the Susitna River will most likely have to rely solely on the Susi tna River floodplain for winter range. To assess moose use of these areas,periodic censuses, leling the timing of river censuses,were conducted on turbed sites in the winters of 1981-82 and 1982-83 on disturbed sites in winter 1983-84. paral- 6 dis- and 13 .- - -! Most sites surveyed were immediately adj acent to the Susi tna River floodplain,but some sites were located up to 5 km east of the Susi tna River.Because of the relative proximity of these sites to floodplain habitats,they may possibly compete with or compliment the latter winter range presently available to,and used,by moose subpopulations which usually winter on the Susitna River floodplain. Though these sites were near to floodplain habitats,numbers of moose counted on them,were not included in talleys for river censuses.However,it seems likely that moose using many of these si tes are not subgroups,discrete from those which use adjacent floodplain habitats.In reality,there is probably a flux of individual moose between both habi tat types. Data presented in Table 22 (and Fig.3)demonstrate intensive use of some di sturbed sites and variabi Ii ty in intensity and in seasonal and annual timing of use between different sites. 87 Table 2'2.Numbers of moose observed on sites adjacent to the Susitna River,Alaska, where climax vegetation has been altered by activities of man,1981-84. r Location l Winter Date MW MN'MM TW KL MS ~1E GC We KB ew CE KE ~1981-82 2 Dec 41 10 Dec 8 0 23 4 17 14 Dec 23 28 Dec 25 11 7 ,..,...6 Feb 9 4 4 1 Mar 24 1 2 1 1 6 24 Mar 6 0 4 1 6 0 12 Apr 4 0 0 0 1 1 ~1982-83 29 Oct 13 0 0 6 Nov 22 0 2 4 3 10 Nov 14 18 Nov 68 0 12 8 3 I"""2 Dec 68 1 43 16 23 6 Dec 56 3 47 21 20 Dec 8 21 21 Dec 36 40 25 19 22 Dec 41 41 10 Jidi!t1tIr.5 Jan 28 6 41 9 22 20 Jan 21 0 59 36 5 24 Jan 48 0 63 14 29 13 7 Feb 14 11 1"'""9 Feb 57 0 7 27 22 Feb 8 2 23 Feb 30 2 16 6 7 Mar 7 8 Mar 43 3 22 8 2.....20 Mar 7 22 Mar 17 43 17 23 Mar 21 45 10 16 30 Mar 8 1-8 Apr 2 6 1 1 1983-84 17 Nov 6 0 4 4 11 0 1 0 0 3 18 Nov 0 0 0 25 Nov 22 ""'"29 Nov 45 0 5 3 0 3 0 3 2 0 0 9 Dec 32 0 5 9 14 2 10 0 7 2 0 3 5 16 Dec 47 0 7 11 7 2 6 0 5 0 0 3 24 Dec 72 0 5 18 3 0 7 0 2 2 2 0 1 30 Dec 49 0 0 1 0 0 3 Jan 23 5 11 5 Jan 73 0 12 14 8 0 12 6 1 2 4 3 2 13 Jan 29 1 18 14 4 5 0 2 2 4 2 2 0 17 Jan 4 21 13 3 4 4 6 1 6 6 5 1 '"""19 Jan 31 2 31 10 2 2 4 8 4 6 6 2 1 27 Jan 49 4 25 5 16 6 7 22 8 15 7 4 2 8 Feb 48 5 38 8 6 12 3 12 1 40 23 6 2 20 Feb 49 6 26 21 8 25 3 21 1 27 22 9 1 28 Feb 42 7 59 26 14 12 6 4 0 31 18 0 2 5 Mar 19 0 43 10 16 5 0 4 2 33 34 2 0 8 Mar 17 1 37 3 9 6 1 4 2 28 34 2 0 15 Mar 3 0 38 3 8 6 0 1 5 16 16 0 0 29 Mar 4 0 27 1 21 3 0 0 5 6 3 0 0 i MW =Montana west,Mri =MOntana north,RIii =MOntana middie TW =Talkeetna west,Kl =Kashwitna Lake,Ms =Montana south, ME =Montana east,Ge =Goose Creek,We =Willow Creek, 1..•..KB =Kashwitna bluff,Cw =Chandalar west,Ce =Chandalar east and ]1 KE =Kashwi tna east.Locations Me,Ge,We,Kb,Cw,Ce and Ke were only ,surveyed during 1983-84. f"'" I 88 ..- - - ..... In part,apparent vari ation between intensity of use between si tes may be attributable to differences in size of indi vidual si tes,but it is probably also related to factors as plant species cornposi tion,age of plants,proximity to other simi lar si tes,and location of site with respect to floodplain habitats and to general movement patterns of moose subpopulations. The Montana west site was the most heavily used site;it is also the largest site and apparently is located in the pathway of a major moose subpopulation movement from west,to east of the Susitna River.A west to east movement of moose was documented for most radio-collared moose and also appears to be evidenced by the fact that moose numbers always increased at the Montana west site before at other sites east of the Susitna River.Decreases in moose numbers at Montana west,in mid-to late January,also appeared to correspond with increases in moose numbers at the Montana middle site located on the adj acent east bank of the Susi tna River. Low moose use of disturbed sites in winter 1981-82 may be attri- buted to the relatively mild weather conditions in that winter, compared to weather conditions in winters of 1982-83 and 1983-84. Differences in timing of use between the 1982-83 and 1983-84 winters may be attributed to differences in timing of seasonal snowfall;large quantities of snowfall occurred early in 1982-83, but in 1983-84 significant quantities of snowfall did not accum- ulate until much later in winter.Heavy moose use of Montana west occurred during late December in winter 1983-84,compared to late November-early December in the 1981-82 and 1982-83 winters and moose appeared to remain "s taged ll longer at that site as they did not "flow over"to the Montana middle site in significant I,umbers until late January or even late February 1984,several months later than in previous winters. 89 - The apparent large buildup of moose at the Kashwi tna bluff, Chandalar west,Montana south and Goose Creek sites late in winter 1983-84 may have been in response to the gradual,but significant overall,late winter accumulations of snowcover,or were the result of typical moose migratory movements. The Montana north site was probably very recently disturbed as grasses and forbs appear to dominate the ground cover and shrub type vegetation was relatively scarce.This site also lacked tall shrub or tree cover which moose may prefer to bed in when not feeding.These factors,along with small size,may account for low use of this site by moose. Moose were seldom observed evenly distributed throughout a par- ticular site.They appeared to prefer to be in close associ- ations with other moose.It was not uncommon to observe most individuals browsing in one portion of a site on one survey and on a subsequent survey see most individuals still concentrated but in different portion of the site.It is possible that the behavior to congregate is a defense mechanism to combat secretive approaches and attacks by wolves or simply exhibits a seasonal social tendency in moose.This intraspecific tolerance behavior also enables moose to occur and browse in very dense aggregations during the winter period. It was not uncommon to observe many moose bedded down in the relatively open portions of a site.It may be that moose prefer to bed down in tall vegetative cover,but it was not uncommon to observe many moose bedded down in relatively open portions of a si te.I suspect that,energetically,there is a posi ti ve heat gain for moose which bed in areas exposed to the sun over those moose which bed in forested surroundings,protected from wind and concealed from predators,but without any direct exposure to the sun.Though open habitats leave moose visually exposed to wolves,the lack of dense vegetative cover may also preclude secreti ve approaches by wolves. 90 ,.... It is not known why moose use of the Kashwi tna Lake si te was relatively low in 1983-84 compared to use in the previous winters.Perhaps vegetation at the site is overbrowsed and moose are no longer attracted there or activity of hunters during the late winter (January-February)open moose season caused moose to-leave the site. -The Talkeetna west site appeared to be used less relative to other sites surveyed.This may be attributable to vegetative species composition,but this site also contained more "slash" and downed trees than any of the other sites.Moose may prefer to utilize sites that are not cluttered with downed trees and other debris which may hinder their movements or those of their calves. - ..... - - The Willow Creek site was used by relatively few moose,but this is probably attributable to the substantial amount of coniferous regrowth it contained amongst potential decidous browse species. Whether the coniferous regrowth was attributable to site charac- teristics or techniques used to clear the site is presently unknown. To adequately assess the long term importance of the Susi tna River floodplain in winter ecology of moose downstream from Devil Canyon,the interaction between floodplain habitats and disturbed si tes must be understood.Presently,disturbed sites probably provide winter range for as many moose as floodplain areas.If disturbed sites are not maintained in the early successional vegetative stages which provide preferred moose browse,then more moose will be forced to seek winter range in the "floodplain sub- climax,"riparian habitats along the Susitna River and the relative value of the latter habitats will >e greatly increased . Additionally,knowledge obtained from the study of disturbed sites,may be utilized to assess,propose or implement mitigation actions involving enhancement of moose winter habi tat. 91 --------........,---------------------- - - I - - PRODUCTIVITY AND CALF SURVIVAL FOR RADIO-COLLARED MOOSE.. Moose subpopulations are limited by factors which affect produc- tion and survival of potential recruits to the population.To assess and understand ultimate impacts of hydroelectric develop- ment on moose subpopulations and to prepare appropriate mitiga- tion plans,it is necessary to know which factors limit growth of those subpopulations prior to hydroelectric development and if the hierachy of those factors will be altered following that development. Observed or hypothetical positive or negative impacts on produc- tion or survival of potential recruits are only academic,unless they are realized at the subpopulation level.An increase in calf prodl,lction in an area where calves will likely die or be killed by predators should not be considered as a replacement or enhancement measure to that respective moose subpopulation. Implementing a predator management scheme to benefit moose subpopulations in an area where moose are limited by food resources,likewise should not be considered as a positive management measure for that moose subpopulation.Conversely,if moose subpopulations are limited by predators,loss of moose winter range to hydroelectric development may have no net con- temporary effects on that moose subpopulation but it will ul timately affect future moose management options should pre- dators be managed in a different manner. If mitigation actions are to enhance particular moose subpopu- lations,then it is necessary to know which factor(s)may be limiting moose subpopulation growth before an appropriate miti- gation plan can be selected.It may be futile to employ a winter range enhancement prc~ram,which primarily affects moose nutri- tive condition,to increase the size of a moose subpopulation that in reality is limited by predation.'Conversely,in the former situation,it would be nonsense to implement a predator 92 .- -, management scheme to benefit a moose subpopulation that is limited by availability of high quality winter range.Obviously, impacts of hydroelectric development on moose subpopulations and meaningful mitigation enhancement programs can only be assessed and designed,respectively,after factors which limit moose subpopulations are understood. Studies designed to assess production and fate of moose calves and mortality of adult moose provide information on subpopulation status and factor(s)which may be limiting subpopulation growth. Data from these studies,can be used to assess impacts of hydro- electric development and to formulate meaningful mitigation programs. Data provided in Table 23 indicate that between 88 (1983)and 98 (1982)percent of the radio-collared female moose produced calves annually.These data further indicated that 17,61 and 72 percent of the productive females in 1981-83,respectively, produced twins.Forage conditions for downstream Susitna River moose subpopulations must be rated above average,since twinning rates of 70 percent were also found for productive female moose on "prime"Kenai Peninsula moose range (Franzmann and Schwartz 1984,in prep.).Actual and relative twinning rates for the radio-collared sample were probably higher,since they were determined with fixed-winged aircraft and searches were less intense in nature than the helicopter survey procedures conducted on the Kenai Peninsula. Search efforts for calf moose in 1981 were not as intense as in ~subsequent years and may in part,account for the relatively low twinning rate observed for that year. The relatively high rate of females in 1982,may in part, 1981-82.Theoretically,mild productivity for radio-collared be associated with the winter of winter weather conditions would 93 -1 1 J --.J J 1 ----)1 1 J 1 Table 23.Calf production for female moose radio-collared along the Susitna River between Devil Canyon and Cook Inlet and relocated during 1981-83. No.females No.calves per 100 Percent of females with Percent productive Yearl 1981 1982 N 27 34 with twins with singles 4 20 20 13 females productive females 104 117 156 161 no calves singles 11 74 3 38 twins 15 59 females with twins 17 61 \0 .c::..1983 32 18 7 134 172 22 22 56 72 1 Data obtained primarily from observations at 7,6 and 9 relocations of radio-collared moose during May and June in 1981,1982 and 1983,respectively. - ,...,. i r I promote good foraging conditions and enable pregnant females to approach parturition in good nutri ti ve condi tion and produce large numbers of high quality calves.Similarly,the inclement weather conditions in winter of 1982-83,may have affected nutri tive condition of pregnant females and resulted in the relatively high number of nonproductive females observed during calving in 1983. Data in Table 24 partition calf mortality into various seasonal periods.These data exhibit annual,as well as seasonal,dif- ferences in the patterns of calf mortality.Comparatively good calf survival occurred up to and through the mi ld winter of 1981-82 when less than 25 percent mortality occurred before early December and less than 30 percent of those calves subsequently disappeared by early April.Calf losses prior to December may actually have been higher,since as previously mentioned,search efforts were less intense that spring.These data suggest that over 50 percent of initial productivity was subsequently incor- porated into the moose population. Similar data for subsequent years of study (1982-84,Table 24) indicate that a higher percentage of calf mortality occurred before the early winter period.This higher rate of early winter mortali ty most probably was related to the heavy,late October and early November snowfalls which occurred in those winters, respectively. Calf mortality between early and mid-winter was similar in 1981-82 and 1983-84.However,during the winter of 1982~83,when the greatest numbers of moose were counted in floodplain areas, calf mortality was more than twice that which occurred in the former two winters.Though snow condi tHns did not worsen nor ameliorate,these relatively high rates of calf mortality were apparently carried over into the early spring in 1982-83.The parallel and similarly high calf mortality rates exhibited during 95 Table 24.Calf survival lIDd c:alf:coy ratios for felllille IIIOOse radio-c:ollared along the Susitna River between Cook Inlet and Devil Canyon,Alaska,and relocated from 1981-84. ..-Year 1981-82 1982-83 1983-84 No.females 24 34 31 No.females vi til calves 22 33 25 No.calves produced 25 53 43 No.(percent)calves surviving to: Early 1I'1Ilter 2 Dec.19 (76)13 Dec.33 (62)25 Nov.21 (49) Mid-wiDter 29 JaJI.14 (56)"Feb.18 (34)2 Feb.17 (40) Early spr1Ilg 5 Apr.13 (52)1 Apr.12 (23)14 Mar.11 (26) No.calves per 100 fellll.les: at birth 104 156 139 by early spr1Ilq 54 3S 3S - 96 ,.... this period in 1983-84 were associated with continued snowfall, an increasing snowpack and the persistence of winter conditions into early spring.Since the latter data were only accumulated through 14 March (compared to 5 and 1 April in prior years)/ I suspect that mortality rates calculated for a more comparable time period would actually have been much higher/in spite of the fact that winter conditions drastically ameliorated in early March.During the mi ld winter of 1981-82/very low mortality rates were detected for this same late winter period. Together,data collected during these three winter periods indicate the profound influence that winter weather conditions can have on productivi ty and calf survival in moose subpopu- lations that seek winter range on the Susitna River floodplain. Though summer range quality may influence the early winter nutri tive condition of moose and affect their ability to cope with subsequent inclement winter weather,the following dis- cussion will only consider the ecological relationship of Susitna Ri ver floodplain winter range to producti vi ty and survival of moose.Winter range quality,winter weather conditions and perhaps moose population levels interact annually,and/in part, result in the "winter conditions,"which affect nutritive con- dition of moose.Latent effects from previous winter conditions may affect condition and calf production of pregnant females. Inclement winter conditions may affect nutri tive condition of pregnant females and result in lower quality (smaller physical size,lower nutritive condition,etc.),of in utero calves.The neonates,produced by dams exposed to inclement winter condi- tions,may experience higher rates of mortality,shortly after parturi tion,or much later,during the subsequent winter,than neonates produced from dams which were exposed to less severe winter conditions.Relatively early inclement winter conditions (perhaps as in 1982-83)may affect calf survival in several manners:1 )calves may be forced to travel great di stances to 97 - the Susi tna River floodplain winter range before they are phy- '"sically or nutri tionally ready;2)an early influx of moose to the winter range dictates that the range must support a given number of moose over a relatively longer period of time;3)an early influx of moose also implies the winter range must support a greater number of moose over a given period of time;4)rela- tively large concentrations of moose on winter range for longer periods of time may increase rates of predation on them;5)large moose concentrations may affect ability of the range to rejuve- nate for subsequent years;6}increased mortality from drowning or exposure may result if moose move to floodplain winter range early before river ice becomes sUfficiently hard,and 7}in- creased mortality will result from collisions with trains and vehicles if moose move early to a winter range near railroad and highway rights-of-way.Effects of the aforementioned mortali ty factors will be reduced if occurrence of inclement winter con- di tions is delayed. Winter conditions need not be "severe"(e.g.1982-83)to cause significant calf mortality.If relatively mild winter conditions _persist on into early spring (e.g.1983-84),total calf mortality may approach that of an early winter. Calf mortality which occurred before the early winter period,may be attributed to predation (1981-82)or a latent effect from winter conditions the previous year.Predation in areas south of Talkeetna is most likely from black bears,but brown bears and coyotes,and less likely wolves occur there and are also poten- tial predators.In areas north of Talkeetna,brown bears and _wolves are more common,black bears are similarly abundant and coyotes less common than in areas south of Talkeetna and the relative rates of their respective contribution to predation probably vary accordingly. 98 :~ r Since adult productivity and survival of calf moose ultimately affect subpopulation status,proximate factors which affect those variables must be identified and studied before impacts of hydro- electric development can be assessed.Furthermore,it should be known whether those affects are ultimately additive or compensa- tory to other sources of mortality sustained by those moose subpopulations. ALPINE WINTER RANGE AND FORAGE Since mitigation actions to benefit moose need not be limited to areas or subpopulations which may be directly impacted by Susitna River hydroelectric development,knowledge about moose winter ranges in areas remote from the floodplain and about moose subpopulations which utilize them will increase the land base from which mi·tigation lands may be knowledgeably selected. In contrast to moose subpopulations which winter at low eleva- tions (sea level,Bell Island to 250m,Devil Canyon)in flood- plain habitats along the Susitna River,some moose subpopulations winter at higher elevations (up to 750m)near timberline along the western slopes of the Talkeetna Mountains.Though moose are commonly observed in these alpine areas from Devil Canyon south to the southwestern corner of the Talkeetna Mountains,particu- larly high concentrations have been reported in the area above timberline between the Peters Creek fork of Willow Creek and Little Willow Creek,"Willow Mountain"(see Fig.1 and 5,Area H and Table 25). Infrequent observations and meager data suggest that moose appear to gather in these areas above timberline during October,perhaps for the rut,and remain densely concent ..-ated in some areas until late January (the aforementioned area),in other areas until late February (north Fork of the Kashwitna River)and in other areas until late April (Sheep Creek and South Fork of Montana Creek) before moving to lower elevations in late winter or early spring. 99 J 1 j J ]'-"]~J J 1 1 J I i J 1 I 1 Tllble 25.CheJllical component.s for slIDIples of fem (Dryopteris dllatllta)lind w1110w (~sp.)lIoose browse collected at 700 -80~e levlltion in the southwestern foothills of the Ta1keetnll Mountains,AllISkll,3 January 1983. C hem i c:a 1 c:0 • p 0 n e n t s 1 Sub'Crude Cellu-Residual Ite.Part slImple fat NOr AD'Lignin lose Ash N P K Ca M9 Na Cu*2n·Mo·Fe· Fern: Rhhome 1 ••5 23 19 10 8 0 1.3 0.12 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 44 173 129 2 5.9 27 22 9 13 0.1 1.2 0.14 0.7 0.:.1 0.3 0.1 3.0 73 745 62 ..... 0 3 5.9 33 29 15 14 0.3 1.2 0.13 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.0 77 570 133 0 Helin 5.4 28 23 11 12 0.1 1.2 0.13 0.7 0.1 .0.3 0.1 2.7 65 496 108 Rhbome lind fiddlehellds 1 5.1 26 19 9 10 0 1.6 0.25 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.0 61 183 98 Nil low: ApiclIl shoots 1 4.1 45 39 14 25 0.2 1.2 0.18 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 7.0 92 137 91 2 3.6 51 40 14 26 0.1 1.2 0.21 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 8.0 88 110 48 Melin 3.9 48 40 14 26 0.2 1.2 0.20 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 7.5 90 124 70 1 NO'=neutral detergent fiber,AD,a acid detergent fiber. VlIlues expressed in percent of dry mlltter at 105 DC,VII lues with IIsterlsk (*)expressed in ppm. ..- - - ..... - Data collected from a radio-collared female relocated period- ically for 4 years (No.22 in Modafferi,1983)suggest that this individual ranges above timberline in the Sheep Creek/South Fork Montana Creek area until early spring (late April),then moves about 30 miles southeast to calve near Lockwood Lake,by mid-June she moves about 15 miles north to near Trapper Lake where she remains until the end of July when she again returns to the Lockwood Lake area,where she remains until the last week of September when she departs for the Sheep Creek area.By 1 October she is back on the alpine winter range near Sheep Creek. The evidence for this individual appears quite conclusive,and contrary to most all other radio-collared moose,that she appears to move into the Talkeetna Mountains for winter range (and perhaps the rut).Numbers of moose or subpopulations which share this or similar behavioral patterns are not presently known. Moose which winter in these alpine areas have commonly been observed pawing away snow ("cratering ll )to obtain nonbrowse foods.At the Sheep Creek site,where moose No.22 was captured and collared with a new transmi tter,a sample of vegetation extracted,from a recent crater revealed fern rhizomes with young fronds (fiddleheads)and a grass (probably Calamgrostis sp.).At that time,it was not known which,if ei ther,the moose were seeking . A 3 January 1984 excursion to Willow Mountain revealed that fern rhizomes commonly occurred at the bottom of the craters.Most rhizomes were scraped into a concave form shaped like the incisors from a moose lower jaw.Some of the less disturbed rhizomes contained young fronds (fiddleheads).The moose were apparently feeding on fern rhizomes and may have primarily been seeking the fiddlehead portion. 101 - r l -- - -I \ Samples of fern (Dryopteris dilatata)rhizomes,immature fronds (fiddleheads)and apical shoots from nearby wi llows (Salix sp.) which had been browsed by moose were collected for chemical analyses.Data on composition of these food sources indicated that several major,desirable chemical components,crude fat,N (N x 6.25 =crude protein),P and K,occurred in higher concen- trations in the fern items than in the willow apical shoot samples (fat 38%higher,N 33%higher in fiddleheads,P 25% higher in fiddleheads and K 225%higher in fiddleheads).The chemical analyses also revealed that several less desirable, fibrous components,lignin and plant cell wall constituents (NDF),were less concentrated in the fern items,than in the willow shoot samples (29%less lignin,56%less NDF).Together, these data imply that diets composed of fern items would be of higher quality due to higher concentrations of essential nutri- ents and lower concentrations of the fibrous relatively undiges- tible components. Whether moose subpopulations move to these alpine areas primarily. to rut and subsequently and secondarily,linger near timberline to feed on nonbrowse food sources,which probably remain avail- able through the winter because wind action prevents large accumulations of snow,or whether the reverse is true and moose primarily move to these areas for the latter reasons,is pres- ently unknown.Moose on the Kenai Peninsula,Alaska,where annual snowfall is light,feed on other nonbrowse foods and associated high moose densities in that area were,in part, attributed to that activity (LeResche and Davis,1973). It would seem that if movements of a moose subpopulation from alpine areas to the Susi tna River floodplain were precluded, because of the availability of nonbrowse foods,moose from that subpopulation would be in better nutritive condition and produce more higher quality calves than moose from subpopulations which had to make that journey.If this reasoning is correct,such 102 - - moose subpopulations would potentially be much more productive than those which had to travel great distances to winter on t*e Susi tna River floodplain.If circumstances on Willow Mountain are unique in the Susi tna River Valley/perhaps protection of these fern rich habitats should be considered along with other mitigation plans. PRELIMINARY CONSIDERATIONS FOR REVIEWING,SELECTING,CREATING AND MAINTAINING LAND AREAS FOR THE BENEFIT OF MOOSE POPULATIONS. Some lands are already highly productive or desirable for moose and may only need to be protected from alterations and/or devel- opments in the future to benefit moose subpopulations.Al ter- ation or rehabilitation of these lands is presently not neces- sary_However,in order to sustain high levels of productivity on these lands,moose populations must be managed and maintained at levels commensurate with carrying capacity of the range. These lands need not be winter range habitats but may be calving or rutting areas or simply travel corridors between summer and winter ranges.These areas may be natural and undi sturbed or they may be altered habitats that in the past were cleared and now are at the seral vegetative stages desired by moose.Pres- ently /several of the latter type areas have been located and data documenting moose use (timing and numbers)of them are available (see MOOSE USE OF DISTURBED SITES pg.86).It is possible that areas,which already support substantial wintering populations of moose,may be procured from their present land- holder and maintained (maybe further improved)in that enhanced condi tion indefini tely. Other lands along the Susitna River may presently be unproductive for moose or be declining in producti~rity but have the potential to be rehabilitated,manipulated and/or enhanced to increase their productivity for moose.However,under these circumstances it should be reemphasized that if mitigation actions are to 103 - - - enhance particular moose subpopulations,then it is necessary to know which factor(s)may be limiting moose subpopulation growth before an appropriate mi tigation plan be selected.It may be futile to employ a winter range enhancement program,which primarily affects moose nutritive condition,to increase the size of a moose subpopulation that in reality is limited by predation. Conversely,in the former situation,it would be nonsense to implement a predator management scheme to benefit a moose sub- population that is limited by availability of high quality winter range.Obviously,impacts of hydroelectric development on moose subpopulations and meaningful mitigation enhancement programs can only be assessed and designed,respectively,after factors which limi t moose subpopulations are understood. Rehabili tation of lands for moose typically involves removing climax type vegetation to encourage growth of higher quality early successional vegetative types than were previously avail- able on that given area or range. It is critical that age and species composition of succeeding vegetati ve types be those which are preferred by moose.I have observed sites where it appears climax vegetation had been altered by human activities,but the resulting regrowth was predominantly sprucej a highly undesirable winter browse species for moose.One of these sites immediately abutted another where regrowth was composed of preferred browse species.Apparently, subtle environmental factors may be present and result in con- trasting regrowth patterns.Obviously,selection of sites to be enhanced must be conducted in a knowledgeable manner. Rehabilitated lands may be of little value to moose until pre- ferred successicrtal vegetative types dominate the site.The time lag between alteration and appearance of preferred browse may be 3 or 5 years (Spencer and Chatelain 1953 and Preston 1983, 104 respecti vely)but can vary wi th habi tat type I si te character- istics and techniques employed. Interspersion of habitat types may be important to a successful rehabi Ii tation program.Extensive cleared areas I 1 acking adj a- cent cover (spruce forests or densely vegetated berms)may be less than ideal for moose winter range.Ideal winter range probably is composed of a mix of cover types and browse species. Moose may be slow to utilize a newly rehabilitated habitat that is spatially removed from their more usual patterns of movement or winter ranges.Newly rehabi li tated areas may have to be colonized by a "new generation"of moose.However,colonization and plant succession may proceed at the same rate so that the area may be at its peak carrying capacity of moose when preferred browse is also at its peak of development and availability.It may be undesirable or difficult to develop a newly enhanced winter range if substantial numbers of moose immediately start to use the area before preferred vegetative types are firmly estab- lished. Enhanced habitats that are in close proximity to a usual and heavily used winter range or are located between usual summer and winter ranges may receive more immediate use by moose than enhanced habitats which are more removed from exi sting moose subpopulations.Enhanced areas located between existing seasonal moose ranges,may temporarily hold moose as they pass through the area in route to their usual wintering area,and in effect receive immediate use and decrease use of their usual winter range. Since enhanced habitats are designed to attract and hold large numbers of moose,consideration must be given to location of these rehabilitated areas with respect to highway vehicle and railroad rights-of-way.If enhanced habitats are located near 105 - - such rights-of-way or moose must move across them when traveling from one range to another,many moose will be killed annually and tremendous public safety problems will result.Similarly, location of enhanced areas near present or potential residential housing subdivisions or field agricultural businesses may cause large concentrations of moose which may impact residential landscape plants,cultured agricultural shrubs and endanger residential occupants. If carrying capacity of winter range is increased,the resulting increase in moose subpopulations may have detrimental impacts on other potential limiting components in their ecosystem;i.e., spring,summer and fall foraging areas. Each winter range type rehabilitated area should be managed on a rotational basis,so that a given proportion of the area contains the composition and age class of plants preferred by moose.Per- haps each area could be divided into four parts,one of which is rehabilitated every other summer.This method of land management will foster a rather stable carrying capacity and prevent boom/ bust forage conditions. When selecting areas for enhancement,maximum annual snow depths which occur every 10-20 years should be considered.Snow depths less than 40 cm did not hinder moose movements on the Kenai Peninsula (Franzmann et al.1984). Plans for long term maintenance of enhanced areas must accompany proposals for creation of them.If areas are not maintained, elevated moose populations would be forced to utilize other remaining winter range and would lead to overutilization of forage avai lable on those ranges. If areas are to be enhanced to them must be reasonally equipment will be required for and maintained in that state, convenient,particularly if rehabilitation. 106 access heavy 1"'" I' - I 1 r I Enhanced areas need not be large.Data presently available indicate that 40 to 70 moose may browse in about 2 km 2 of early successional habi tat from November through March (Table 22). Location of enhanced sites should not be limited to areas immedi- ately adj acent to Susi tna River.Lands near alpine areas along Montana,Sheep,Kashwitna and Willow Creek as well as areas 5 to 15 miles west of the Susitna River should also be considered for enhancement. Preliminary data from moose censuses along the Susi tna River floodplain indicate that cow moose with calves may not be evenly distributed throughout that winter range.Possibly,location of enhancement sites may benefit particular sex and age classes of moose. Numbers of moose using enhanced areas must be managed and regu- lated to prevent overutilization of food resources.Regular open hunting season (1-30 September)may not be an adequate management measure and seasonally later,additional open hunting periods when moose are on the winter range (enhanced areas)may be necessary to control population growth.The latter technique would appear to be the most direct,specific and precise method of controlling moose population size and preventing overbrowsing and starvation on the winter range and would also provide the maximum sustainable yield of browse and moose.If open hunting seasons were the primary population controlling measure,it would be necessary that enhanced areas were readily accessible to hunters. Since enhanced areas must be maintained over a long term period (indefinitely?),careful considerat'oh should be given to poten- tial and planned future land uses on adjacent land and the more distant lands upon which the respective moose subpopulations subsist during other seasonal periods.It would be shortsighted 107 - - r ..... to enhance winter habitat in an area,if it were known that a major highway was to be constructed between the enhanced winter range and summer range of that particular moose subpopulation. Perhaps,most of all _we must be knowledgeable about moose, enhanced habitats,and how moose use them before going out and al tering climax vegetation.Baseline,general studies could be conducted where happenstance,It enhanced"areas presently exi st, to assess characteristics of the areas,how moose use them and to predict how new ones may be created to best serve local moose populations.Additionally,before altering habitats for the benefit of moose,we must assess the ultimate impacts of those changes on its prior wildlife inhabitants. Lastly,follow-up studies should be conducted on several select areas after enhancement takes place,to determine how moose are utilizing the areas and if their use is different than was anticipated. POTENTIAL IMPACT MECHANISMS:And Associated Effects Altered Seasonal River Flow Patterns and Loss of Annual Variation in River Flow:soil erosion and deposition,inundation, drought,ice jams,ice scouring,fertilizing effects of inorganic and/or organic nutrient loads,water for ice surface area,terrestrial floodplain surface area,floods, effects on beavers,bears or other sUbpopulations of moose, composition,distribution and/or abundance of plant species or plant communi ties. Altered Water Temperature:ice fog/fog (may result in physical, physiol0gical,visual,isolation and insulation problems for moose),frosting of vegetation,plant phenology,cornpo- si tion,distribution and/or abundance of plant $pecies or communi ties,ice scouring,ice j arns,open water in winter. 108 - Alteration of Habitat:development associated with pre pro j ect'"influx of humans,transmission corridors, and vehicle rights-of-way,project facilities, predators and conspecific competitors. and post railway attracts Increased Access:transmi ssion corridors,rai lway and vehic Ie rights-of-way,winter boating. hunters,visitors,recreationists.r Human Encroachment:construction and maintenance employees, - Increased Railway and Vehicular Traffic:disturbance,inter- ference wi th movement,direct mortali ty. Impoundment:inundation displaces predators and conspecific com- peti tors which move to downstream areas. Altered Turbidity:composition,distribution and/or abundance of aquatic plant species. Salt Water Encroachment at Cook Inlet:composition,distribution and/or abundance of aquatic and riparian plant species. Altered Ecosystem:secondary and tertiary effects from on plant and other wildlife species as salmon, bears,wolves and other subpopulations of moose. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH impacts beaver, .-Until specifics and limits of seasonal and annual variation in post-project flow regimes and water levels of the Susitna River are known and secondary responses of plant communities are pro- jected,it is not possible to assess their subsequent impacts on moose subpopulations which are ecologically affiliated with the Susitna River floodplain.Before such data are available,I 109 recommend continuation of the ecology of moose face with environments present state. of a general,~road based research study subpopulations which are known to inter- influenced by the Susi tna River in its -, General studies of individual moose and of subpopulation behavior will continually provide an updated data base useful for knowl- edgeably assessing impacts or predicting responses of moose to any type of hydroelectric development on the Susitna River. These studies will also provide the data base necessary to plan and make recommendations for various mitigation actions designed to benefi t moose subpopulations. As limits of expected changes and variation in flow hydraulics and in plant communities are further refined,research on down- stream moose may likewise be re-directed to investigate particu- lar impacts in finer detail.At the present time,it seems inappropriate to become too specific in addressing particular potential impacts on moose while disregarding other more general baseline studies. To date,it seems that the extent and magnitude of expected hydraulic changes and their influence on vegetative communities between Talkeetna and Cook Inlet remain uncertain.Until these potential changes are more clearly outlined,general information on behavior of these moose subpopulations should definitely not be discontinued.If at a later date,it is learned that impacts in this reach of the river will be negligible on moose,the data collected on behavior of these more southern moose 5ubpopulations may,at worse,form a basis for assessing and recommending various mitigation actions in this area.For these reasons, relocation of radio-collared moose,downstream from Ta.'.keetna, should continue through the winter of 1984-85. 110 """I - - Periodic winter censuses for moose in floodplain habitats along the Susitna River should be continued through the winter of 1984- 85.These censuses document variation within and between winters in the distribution and intensity of moose use for all stretches and floodplain habitat types along the Susitna River downstream from Devil Canyon.This information also provides the ,basis for classifying winter severity.Perhaps,in the future,only key portions (high use areas)of the floodplain need be surveyed to document annual variation and identify winter severity and surveys of the entire floodplain need be conducted only if winter conditions are gauged as severe.Information on annual variation in size and shape of moose ranges should continue to be col- lected. Data obtained from relocation of radio-collared moose and winter moose censuses over a number of years provide information to assess within and between variations in movements and moose use of Susitna River floodplain habitats.Ideally,this type of data should also be collected in a relatively severe winter. Because of the imperative need to obtain a sample of moose in floodplain habitats during a severe winter,equipment and finances should be set aside for sampling activities (river censuses,carcass counts,additional radio-collaring and moni- toring)during a severe winter.Perhaps a severe winter may be characterized as one in which about 1300+moose are observed in floodplain habi tats along the Susi tna River. Since protection and enhancement of plant communi ties to favor moose may be a prime mitigation option for project related loss of moose or their habitat,surveys to assess moose use of sites where vegetative communi ties hav'"already been altered by man, should be continued.To more fully learn about ecology of those si tes and their interface with moose ecology,I strongly rec--ommend that the sample of moose radio-collared at the Talkeetna III West site continue to be relocated and perhaps an additional sample of moose be radio-collared at a site on the east side of the Susitna River (at either the Montana middle,Kashwitna Lake or Kashwi tna bluffs di sturbed si te). Because large alterations in flow regimes and floodplain habitats are expected between Talkeetna and Devil Canyon and information presently available for this stretch of the Susitna River flood- plain is limited and heavily skewed toward females,an additional sample of moose should be radio-collared in that area to increase our general knowledge about those particular moose subpopula- -tions.Island habitats in this reach of the floodplain appear important to female moose during calving and decreased post proj ect spring river flows may alter many of these habitats. Since behavior patterns for male moose differ greatly from those of females and presently little information is available on males in that area,efforts should be made to radio-collar additional males in that subpopulation. REFERENCES Arneson,P.1981.Moose-downstream.AK.Dept.Fish and Game. Susi tna Hydroelectric Proj.Ann.Prog.Rept.Big Game Studies.Part I I.64 pp. Ballard,W.B.,c.L.Gardner and S.D.Miller.1982a.Nelchina yearling moose mortality study.AK.Dept.Fish and Game. Fed.Aid Wild.Rest.Proj.Final Rept.,W-21-1 and W-21-2, Job 1.27R.Juneau.37pp. J.H.Westlund and J.R.Dau.1982b. Moose--Upstream.AK.Dept.Fish and Game.Susitna Hydroe~ectric Proj.Phase I Final Rept.Big Game Studies. Vol.III.119pp. 112 Bishop,R.H.,and R.A. tuations in Alaska, 593. Rausch.1974.Moose population fluc- 1950-1972.Naturaliste can.101:559- - ,.,., Chatelain,E.F.1951.Winter range problems of moose in the Susi tna Valley.Proc.Alaska Sci.Conf.2:343-347. Collins,W.B.1983.Increased or decreased energy for moose? The Susi tna hydroelectric project.Agroborealis 15:42-45. Edwards,J.1983.Diet shifts in moose due to predator avoid- ance.Oecologia 60:185-189. Franzmann,A.W./C.C.Schwartz Research Report.AK.Dept. Rest.Prog.Rept.,W-22-1, 65pp. and D.C.Johnson.1984.Moose Fish and Game.Fed.Aid Wi1dl. Job 1.27R and 1.31R.Juneau. moose rates. and C. C.Schwartz.1984. populations via productivity In Prep. Condi tion assessment of expressed as twinning Gasaway,W.C.,S.D.DuBois and S.J.Harbo.1981.Moose survey procedures development.AK.Dept.Fi sh and Game. Fed.Aid Wild.Rest.Proj.Final Rept.W-17-9 through-W-17-11,W-21-1 and W-21-2.Juneau.66pp. LeResche,R.E.1974.Moose migrations in North America. Naturaliste can.101:393-415. and,J.L.Davis.1973.Importance of nonbrowse foods to moose on the Kenai Peninsula,Alaska.J.Wild1. Manage.37 (3):279-287 . 113 - ..... I ..... and R.A.Rausch.1974.Accuracy and precision of aeri al moose censusing.J.Wi ldl.Manage.38:175-182 . Miller,S.and D.Anctil.1981.Biometrics and data processing. AK.Dept.of Fish and Game.Susitna Hydroelectric Proj. Ann.Prog.Rept.Big Game Studies.Part I.16pp. Miller,S.D.and D.C.McAllister.1982.Black Bear and Brown Bear.AK.Dept.Fish and Game.Susitna Hydroelectric Proj . Phase I Final Rept.Big Game Studies.Vol.VI.233 pp. Modafferi,R.D.-1982.Moose-Downstream.AK.Dept.Fish and Game.Susi tna Hydroelectric.Proj.Phase I Final Rept.Big Game Studies.Vol.II.114pp . 1983.Moose-Downstream.AK.Dept.Fish and Game. Susitna Hydroelectric Proj.Phase II Ann.Prog.Rept.Big Game Studies.Vol.I I.114pp. Preston,D.J.1983.Moose habitat in areas of ongoing and _proposed agricultural developments and moose populations in areas of ongoing and proposed agricultural developments. AK.Dept.Fish and Game.Fed.Aid Wildl.Rest.Proj. Final Rept.W-21-2 and W-22-1,Job 1.34R and 1.35R. Juneau.1 7pp.-i Proulx,G.1983.Characteristics of moose (Alces alces)winter yards on different exposures and slopes in southern Quebec. Can.J.Zool.61:112-118. Rausch,R.A.1958.The problem of railroad-moose conflicts in the Susitna Valley.AK.Dept.Fish and Game.Fed.Aid Wi Idl.Rest.Proj.Final Rept.Juneau.12 (1):1-116. 114 1959.Some aspects rai lbel t moose populations, Alaska,Fairbanks.Slpp. of population dynamics of the Alaska.M.S.Thesis.Univ. '"'"' Spencer,D.L.and E. management of the N.Am.Wi ldl.Conf. F.Chatelain.1953. moose of southcentral 8:539-552. Progress Alaska. in the Trans. stringham,S.F.1974.Mother-infant relations in moose. r Naturaliste can.101:559-593. Thompson,I.D.and M.F.Vukelich.1981.Use of logged habitats in winter by moose cows with calves in northeastern Ontario.Can.J.Zool.59:2103-2114. Van Ballenberghe, southcentral 13:103-109. V.1977. Alaska. ""'I" Migratory behavior of moose in Proc.Inter.Congr.Game BioI. 115 - -i .- ! PERSONAL COMMUNICATION Collins,William.Agric.Exper.State.,Univ.of AK,Biologist, April 1984. Miller,Sterling,AK Dept.Fish and Game,Game Biologist,May 1984. 116