HomeMy WebLinkAboutAPA2690= = )> r
)>
Ul
7':
)>
-
=
ALASKA DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND GAME
JUNEAU, ALASKA
STATE OF ALASKA
Jay s. Hammond, Governor
DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND GAME
Ronald 0. Skoog, Commissioner
DIVISION ON GAME
Ronald J. Somerville, Director
Steven R. Peterson, Research Chief
AlASKA STATE DOC
-
NELCHINA YEARLING MOOSE MORTALITY STUDY
by
Warren B. Ballard
Craig L. Gardner
and
Sterling D. Miller
Volume II
Federal Aid in Wildlife Restoration
Projects W-21-1 and W-21-2, Job 1.27R
with Additional Support from the Alaska
Power Authority
Persons are free to use material in these reports for educational
or informational purposes. However, since most reports treat only
part of continuing studies, persons intending to use this material
in scientific publications should obtain prior permission from the
Department of Fish and Game . In all cases tentative conclusions
should be identified as such in quotation, and due credit would be
rec iated.
QL
737
.U512
B3523
1980-81
(May 1982)
State:
Cooperators:
Project No:
Job No.:
JOB PROGRESS REPORT (RESEARCH}
Alaska
Warren B. Ballard, Craig L. Gardner,
Sterling Miller, John Westlund, and
Dennis McAllister.
W-17-11 &
W-21-1
1.27R
Project Title: Big Game Investigations
Job Title: Nelchina Yearling Moose
Mortality Study
Period Covered: March 1, 1980 to June 30, 1981.
SUMMARY
Causes and rates of calf ( < 6 months), short yearling (7 to 12
months), and yearling (13 to 24 months) moose mortality were
studied in Game Management Unit 13 from late March 1979 through
June 1981. As of 1 July 1981, the status of 64 moose captured as
short yearlings in 1979 was as follows: 22 had lost their radio
collars due to poor collar design: the status of 8 others was
unknown, 17 died, and 17 were alive. Annual mortality rates for
the 1978 cohort were 76-80% the 1s~ year and 5% the 2nd year.
An additional 34 calves were captured and radio-collared in No-
vember 1979 to assess 1st year survival following removal of 48
brown bears from the study area. From capture to 1 June 1980, 6%
of the moose died. No other mortality of radio-collared calves
was observed. Second year mortality was 4%, and was attributed
to unknown causes. The low rate of mortality prior to 1981 was
attributed to a mild winter and low predator densities.
During fall 1980, both a standard moose sex-age composition sur-
vey and an intensive quadrat sampling technique were used in the
bear transplant area to both compare sex-age data acquired from
the 2 methods and to obtain estimates of moose density. Results
of the comparisons are briefly described.
Census and composition data collected in 1980 were used to adjust
sex-age composition data collected in fall 1979. Based upon this
readjustment it was calculated that the fall 1979 calf:cow ratio
following the brown bear transplant was 73:100. Corrected 1979
composition data were used to calculate mortality from birth to 1
November 1979 following the bear transplant. Calves that died
from all mortality factors in 1979 was estimated at 9%. In
i
ARLIS
Alaska Resources
Library & Information Services
Anchorage, Alaska
ccmpar~scn, studies conducted in 1977 and 1973 revealed that mortal-
ity during the same time period was 55%: 80% of which was attribut-
able to predation by brown bears. Approximate rates of 1st year
moose mortality under varying rates of wolf and bear predation
and winter kill are presented and discussed. This analysis sug-
gested that the largest increases in 1st year survival occurred
when brown bear densities were temporarily reduced. It was ten-
tatively concluded that the moose population was not being limit-
ed by deteriorating range conditions· and that predation, primari-
ly by brown bears, was preventing the moose population from in-
creasing.
Key words: moose, calf mortality, yearling mortality, bear
predation, wolf predation
ii
CONTENTS
Summary. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . • . • • . . . . . . • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i
Background. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Objectives................................................... 1
Procedures. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Results and Discussion .••••••••••••••....•..•.•..•.•.•..•••.. 3
19 7 8 Cohort .................... e • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 3
197 9 Cohort ............................................. 11
Evaluation of Brown Bear Transplant •.......•.•.••.•..•.. 11
Recornm.endations ..•...•.•.•.•••••••••...........••...•..••.•.. 17
Acknowledgements ....•••.••••..•..••••....•..•..•..•...•...... 17
Literature Cited ....•..••••.••••••••.•..............••...•... 20
BACKGROUND
Studies of wolf (Canis lupus) food habits in the Nelchina and
Susitna River Basins of southcentral Alaska (Game Management Unit
13) from 1975 through 1980 suggested that from January through
July each year, wolves were preying upon calf and yearling moose
disproportionately to their presence in the moose population
(Ballard et al. 1981). Consequently, this study was initiated to
determine the importance of wolf predation to yearling moose sur-
vival. First year results of this study were reported by Ballard
and Gardner (1980).
During the 2nd year of study, additional calf moose were captured
and radio-collared to assess the causes and extent of yearling
moose mortality in an area of reduced brown bear (Ursus
arctos) density. Background for this portion of the study was
provided by Ballard et al. (1980,1981).
OBJECTIVES
To determine the extent and causes of yearling moose mortality in
the Nelchina and Susitna River Basins of southcentral Alaska.
PROCEDURES
Yearling moose mortality was studied in 2 areas of GMU 13
(Fig. 1) • Short yearling moose {.7 to 12 months) were captured in
Area 1 during March and April 1979, while calf moose (<6 months)
were captured in Area 2 during late November 1979. An-additional
17 short yearlings were captured in March 1981 as part of the
Susitna Dam Studies but this group will be discussed in the final
report. Information on topography, weather, geology, and vege-
tation of this area has been presented elsewhere (Skoog 1968,
Ballard and Taylor 1980, Ballard 1981).
1
Fig. 1. Location of study area in southcentral Alaska where causes of short
vo~"'linn mnnc:o ITV'Irt;~litv I#IPrP c::turliPci frnm M;~rrh 1Q7Q thrnuah June 1981. J--·····;:, ···----···-·-----.., ·-----------··-··· ----------------~-...,---~
-"'""':'_USKA ~
-_J :::: ::::::::;::-(_ -.--:::::. :;:_ _:-:::_ -..::::;.-=--====~------.;::::;;:: ---
CHUGACH MOUNTAIN RANGE --_,_, --
15 10 5 0 25
1510 5 0 25 50km
2
Capture, processing, and radio-monitoring methods were described
by Ballard and Gardner (1980) and Ballard et al. (1979). Proce-
dures used on moose captured in the bear removal area in November
1979 were identical to those used earlier with the following ex-
ceptions: (1) 5 cc (1 mg/ml) of M-99 (D-M Pharmacuticals, Inc.
Rockville, MD) was used to immobilize calves, (2) radio collars
were constructed of butyl rubber with 2-3 inches of foam rubber
lining the inner circumference to permit growth: ( 3) no blood
samples were taken.
Annual mortality rates were calculated by multiplying percent
survival estimates from different sampling periods within a year
by one another and then subtracting from 100%.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Capture related statistics including morphometric and blood para-
meters for short yearling moose captured in March-April 1979 were
presented in Ballard and Gardner (1980) and will not be repeated
here. Table 1 summarizes these statistics for Area 2 calves cap-
tured in November 1979.
During this reporting period a paper comparing bone marrow fat
between long bones and mandibles for moose and caribou (Rangifer
tarandus) was presented at the 17th North American Moose Confer-
ence and Workshop (Appendix A).
1978 Cohort
The status on 1 June 1981 of 64 short yearlings captured in
Area 1 during 1979 is given in Table 2. As reported earlier, a
large number (n=22, 34%) of the radio collars fell off due to
problems with collar design (Ballard and Gardner 1980). Of the
remaining radio-collared short yearlings, 17 were alive on 1 June
1981, and the status of 8 was unknown because of either dispersal
or radio failure. Of the 34 known status moose, 17 (50%) had
died. Causes of death for these were: 10 winter-killed (59%), 3
brown bear predation (18%), 2 hunter kills (12%), 1 unidentified
predation (6%), and 1 tagging mortality (6%).
Table 3 summarizes the rates and causes of annual calf and year-
ling moose mortality for Area 1 from March 1979 through June
1981. Moose which either had lost their collars or whose status
as of 1 June was unknown were excluded from calculations for the
preceding year. Natural causes, primarily winter-kill ( 77% of
mortality) , accounted for 30% mortality of the short yearlings
from late March to 1 June 1979. Results of calf mortality
studies during 1977 and 1978 indicated that 45% of the moose
calves survived to 1 November (Ballard et al. 1981). Based upon
this survival rate and that of short yearlings (70%), for every
100 calves produced in 1978, a minimum of 69 died. However, this
figure is conservative because it excludes the period between 1
November to late March during which time some moose doubtless
3
Table 1. Location, ages, physical rreasurerrents, incisor status and other statistics associated with ca~turing
and collaring 34 calf rroose in Garre ManugC'.rnent Unit 13 fran 27 Nove.rrber through 30 Noverrber 1 79.
Measurerrenfs-(em) Drug
Accession Age Total Hind Neck Chest Dosage Induction
ll Date Collaring Location Sex (Montlts) Length Foot Circum. Girth (cc) Tirre
120375 11/29/79 Between Windy and M 5 215 67 69 156 5
Valdez Creek
120376 11/29/79 ~Iindy Creek H 5 210 67 65 148 5
120377 11/29/79 Windy Creek F 5 207 65 65 136 5
120378 11/29/79 Windy Creek p 5 212 66 67 162 5
120379 11/29/79 Between Windy and M 5 ----------5 7
Valdez Creek
120380 11/29/81 Valdez Creek F 5 206 69 60 142 5
120381 11/29/81 Hiddle Fork of H 5 ----- -----5
Susitna River
l:'--. .
120382 11/29/81 Middle Fork Susitrk< N 5 ---------5 9
River
120383 11/29/79 Valdez Creek F 5 2]3 72 67 173 5 9
120384 11/29/79 Valdez Creek F 5 218 70 62 152 5
120385 11/29/79 Valdez Creek M 5 212 73 64 157 5
120386 11/29/79 Gracious House F 5 202 67 66 152 5
120387 11/29/79 Susi tna Iodge F 5 222 68 65 157 5 9
120388 11/27/79 Windy Creek H 5 205 72 70 163 5 9
Table 1. (cont'd)
Measurerrents (em) Drug
Accession Age Total Hind Neck Chest Dosage Induction
# Date Collaring Location Sex (Months) Length Fcot Circum. Girth (cc) Time
120389 11/27/79 Between Windy and F 5 205 70 67 150 5 7
Valdez Creek
120390 11/27/79 Between Windy and F 5 202 --68 ---5
Valdez Creek
120391 11/27/79 Between Windy and J:.1 5 214 72 70 163 5 15
Valdez Creek
120392 11/27/79 Between Valdez and M 5 190 --67 155 5
Windy Creek
120393 11/27/79 Between wfndy and M 5 210 ------5
Valdez Creek
120394 11/27/79 Between Windy and F 5 205 -------5
Valdez Creek
120395 11/27/79 Between Windy and J:.1 5 200 --79 ---5
Valdez Creek
120396 11/30/79 West Fork Susitna River J:.1 5 197 63 66 144 5 3
01 12Q397 11/30/79 West Fork Susitna River F 5 199 67 61 140 5 11
120398 11/30/79 Md1 Fork Susitna River H 5 200 68 68 162 5 12
120399 11/30/79 Mdl Fork Susitna River 111 5 202 65 70 158 5 12
120400 11/J0/79 West Fork Susitna River ~1 5 211 67 62 148 5.!_1 24
120401 11/30/79 West Fork Susitna River ~1 5 214 66 68 142 5 10
120402 11/30/79 Mdl Fork Susitna River M 5 201 --66 134 5 8
120403 11/30/79 Mdl Fork Susitna River F 5 207 65 67 150 5 9
120404 11/30/79 Mdl Fork Susitna River F 5 213 65 61 142 5 .Y 19
120405 11/30/79 Md1 Fork Susitna River F 5 192 66 62 139 5 11
120406 11/30/79 West Fork Susitna River F 5 211 69 61 154 5 6
120407 11/30/79 West Fork Susitna River p 5 198 67 67 148 5 9 .
120408 11/30/79 West Fork Susitna River M 5 204 67 64 148 6 12
y Was darted twice.
Table 2. Sl.l!TmSry of the st.atus by date of 64 radio-collared short yearling moose from ~.arch 1979 to 1 June 1981 in the Nelchina
Basin of Southcentral Alaska.
Surviving -----lost--------------------Unk.
Radio to Slipped Radio Bear \•linter Hunting Tagging I.D.
I.D. # Sex # 6/1/81 Collar Contact Predation Kill Mortality Mortality Pred.
120255 F 3600 6/7/79
120227 l-1 3617 4/5/79
120229 M 3586 7/2/79
120231 M 3602 5/29/79
120233 F 3589 7/9/79
120235 M 3603 5/31/79
120236 F 3606 4/8/79
120237 F 3619 4/30/79
120239 F 3611 4/11/79
120241 l-1 3582 9/79
120244 F 3581 4/5/79
120249 M 3594 X
120250 l-1 3616 4/30/79
120252 F 3610 5/22/79 m 120253 F 3583 5/79
120254• M 3604 4/5/79
120255 F 3592 4/8/79
120256 F 3620 4/5/79
120257 N 3607 6/23/79
120258 F 3599 4/5/79
120259 F 3585 4/5/79
120260 F 3561 4/5/79
120261 H 3629 10/7/130
120262 F 3621 10/7/80
120263 F 3584 4/14/79
120264 F 3588 X
120265 M 3601 1/80
120266 M 3597 4/5/79
120267 F 3618 4/8/79
120268 M 3596 3/08/130
120269 M 3590 X
120270 H 3593 4/6/79
Table 2 (oont'd)
Surviv1ng Lost Unk.
F.adio to Slipped Radio near Winter Hunting Tagging I.D.
I.D. # Sex # 6/1/81 Collar Contact Predation Kill Mortality Mortality Pred.
120:27T M 3613 8/7/80
120273 F 3612 4/14/79
120275 F 3615 4/10/79
120276 F 3622 4/12/79
120277 M 3623 5/2/79
120278 M 3598 > 4/6/79
4/20/79
120279 F 3614
120280 M 3608 4/30/79
120281 M 3605 4/27/79
120284 M 3587 4/27/79
120285 M 3595 4/27/79
120287 M 3582 5/2/79
120288 F 3620 4/20/79
120290 F 3599 X
120291 F 3618 X
120292 M 3507 5/18/79
~ 120293 F 3604 X
120294 M 3615 X
120295 M 3591 8/4/79
120296 F 3587 5/18/79
120297 F 3595 X
120298 F 3612 X
120299 F 3592 X
120300 F 3598 X
120301 M 3622 X
120302 F 3611 X
120303 F 3605 X
120304 M 3617 9/12/79
120305 F 3606 3/18/01
120306 F 3620 X
120307 F 3593 X
120308 F 3581 X
Table 3. Rates and causes of annual rrortality (March 1979 to June 1981) of
rroose captured as short yearlings in late winter 1979 in G1Ul3 of
southcentral Alaska.
Dates
3/79 -6/1/79 1! 6/2/79 -6/1/80 6/2/80 -6/1/81
No. % No. % No. %
Sample Size 43 100 24 100 T7 100
Causes of rrortality
Natural
Winter Kill 10 23 0 0 0 0
Bear Predation 2 5 1 4 0 0
Unknown Predation 1 2 0 0 0 0
SUbtotal 13 30 1 4 0 0
Hunting 0 0 2 8 0 0
Total 13 30 3 13 0 0
No. Surviving 30 70 21 87 17 100
1/ Does not include period from birth up to March 1979.
8
died during 1978-79 (the 2nd most severe winter on record in
terms of total snowfall and to wolf predation). During winter
1978-79, 7 of 17 (41%) short yearlings of radio-collared cows
perished (Ballard and Taylor 1980). Thus, a more accurate es-
timate of 1st year mortality during a severe winter was 73%; how-
ever, even this estimate may be low because 16 of 33 of the
radio-collared adults occupied an area of low wolf density
(Ballard and Taylor 1978). Correspondingly, many of the short
yearling losses were probably attributable to winter-kill. Dur-
ing winters 1978-79 and 1979-80, it was estimated that 2 wolf
packs had preyed upon 9 to 24% of the short yearlings during late
winter (Ballard et al. 1981). During this study, no losses of
radio-collared yearlings were attributable to wolf predation even
though wolf studies indicated short yearlings were being
killed. We do not know if the lack of wolf predation on the
radio-collared yearlings from March through June was represen-
tative, or if sample size, or other unknown factors, precluded
its identification. Thus, including losses due to winter wolf
predation we estimate that 1st year mortality during this year
with a severe winter ranged from 79 to 84% based upon the fol-
lowing assumptions: 55% newborn moose calf mortality attribu-
table primarily to bear predation; 30 to 41% winter and spring
mortality of surviving members of this cohort primarily from
starvation and bear predation; and a maximum of 24% mortality due
to wolf predation (total mortality estimated by multiplying in-
dividual survival rates, and subtracting from 100%, therefore,
summing the individual rates will exceed 100%).
Yearling mortality of the 1978 cohort was 14%, however, hunting
losses accounted for 2/3 of this mortality. Therefore, 2nd year
natural mortality was estimated at 5% which was similar to the 6%
adult mortality estimated by Ballard and Taylor (1980) for adult
moose. No mortality was observed for 2-year-old moose.
Rates and causes of mortality for the 1978 bull cohort from late
March through May 1979 are summarized in Table 4. Mortality dur-
ing this time period was estimated at 43%, while yearling (2nd
year of life) losses, including hunting mortality, were 38%. Ex-
cluding hunting, natural mortality from 2 June 1979 to 1 June
1980 was 17%. No mortality was observed among 2-year-olds, which
suggests that new hunting regulations based upon antler re-
striction (legal bulls must have an antler spread of 36 or more)
are protecting this cohort from hunting mortality. Winter kill
(n = 7) and bear predation (n = 3) were the causes of natural
mortality. Rate of natural mortality for males of the 1978
cohort during the 1st and 2nd years of life was significantly
greater (P<0.05) than for females. Based upon blood parameters
used by Franzmann and LeResche (1978) to assess the physical con-
dition of adult moose, male short yearlings were in poorer phys-
ical condition at the time of capture than were females (Ballard
and Gardner 1980).
9
Table 4. Rates and causes of annual nortality of bull m:x:>se captured
as short yearlings in late winter 1979 in southcentral
Alaska (GMU13) •
Dates
3/79 -6/1/79 1! 6/2/79 -6/1/80 6/2/80 -6/1/81
No. % No. % No. %
Sample Size 21 100 8 100 -3-100
Causes of nortali ty
Natural
Winter Kill 7 33 0 0 0 0
Bear Predation 2 10 1 13 0 0
SUbtotal 9 43 1 13 0 0
Hunting 0 0 2 25 0 0
Total 9 43 3 38 0 0
No. Surviving 12 57 5 62 3 100
1/ Does not include period fran birth up to March 1979.
1 0
1979 Cohort
The status of 34 moose calves studied in Area 2 from November
1979 through June 1981 is summarized in Table 5. Twenty-seven
moose were known to be alive as of 1 June 1981. Two died from
winter-related causes· in March 1980 while 2 others died of un-
known causes, and 1 slipped its collar during winter 1980-81.
Radio contact with 4 moose (3 in 1980, 1 in 1981) was lost due to
either radio failure or dispersal.
Table 6 summarizes rates and causes of annual mortality to 1 June
1981 for moose captured as calves in November 1979. Excluding
early neonatal losses (pre-November), 1st year (11/79-6/1/80)
mortality due to winter-related causes was 6%, significantly less
(P<0.05) than that suffered by the 1978 cohort during the severe
winter of 1978-79. This significantly lower mortality rate can
be attributed to milder snow conditions during winter 1979-80 and
perhaps to reduced bear predation. High survival was also con-
firmed during a spring composition survey flown on May 23, 1980
(Table 7) . Because bull moose cannot be accurately identified
from aircraft during spring, we assumed the spring sex ratio of
adults was identical to the fall 1979 bull:cow ratio (18
ma1es:l00females). Subtracting aqult bulls (n=l4) from the total
numbers of adults counted (n=93) ··yielded an estimate of 58 short
yearlings:lOO cows (includes cows < 2 yr olds). This estimate
was comparable with the fall ratio-of 58 calves:lOO cows (> 2 yrs
old) which indicates survival was quite high. -
Second year survival of the 1979 cohort during winter 1980-81 was
similar to that experienced by the 1978 cohort during 1979-80:
96% survival in 1980-81 for the 1979 cohort versus 95% (excluding
hunting) survival in 1979-80 for the 1978 cohort.
Evaluation of Brown Bear Transplant
Routine moose sex and age compbsi tion counts were conducted in
Moose Count Area 3 during early November 1980. Immediately fol-
lowing the composition count, the area was censused using quadrat
sampling techniques developed by Gasaway (1978), Gasaway et al.
(1979), and Gasaway and Dubois (unpubl. report). Comparison of
the resulting sex and age composition data, in addition to the
fall population estimate, is summarized in Table 8. Similar to
comparisons made elsewhere in Alaska, calf:100 cow ratios provid-
ed by quadrat sampling methods were considerably higher than
those provided from standard composition counts (Gasaway pers.
commun.) This discrepancy is related to survey intensity and a
higher probability of observing large groups of moose which pro-
portionately contain fewer calves.
We used the relationship between the 1980 moose composition
counts and the quadrat sampling to recompute ratios obtained in
1979 following the transplanting of 48 brown bears (Ballard et
al. 1980: Miller and Ballard 1983). Based upon the 1979 calf:
cow ratio of 52:100 estimated from a composition count, the esti-
mated ratio, had the area been censused, would have been 73
calves:lOO cows, while the bull:cow ratio would have been 15:100.
1 1
Table 5. Surrmary of the status by date of 64 radio-collared short yearling noose from March 1979 to 1 June 1981 in the
Nelchina Basin by southcentral Alaska.
SurvJ.vmg Lost Unk.
Radio to Slipped Radio Bear Winter Hunting Tagging I. D.
I.D. I Sex # 6/1/81 Collar Contact Predation Kill Mortality Mortality Pred.
120375 M 5712 X
120376 M 5517 12/2/80
120377 F 5199 3/19/81 y
120378 F 5190 X
120379 M 5185 X
120380 F 5181 X
120381 M 5197 X
120382 M 5182 X
120383 F 5186 7/18/80
120384 F 5175 X
120385 M 5196 3/27/80
120386 F 5171 X
120387 F 5195 X
120388 M 5180 X
120389 F 5176 X
~ 120390 F 5192 X
N 120391 M 5193 X
120392 M 5174 X
·120393 M 5191 X
H!0394 F 5194 X
120395 M 5200 X
120396 M 5184 X
120397 F 5179 X
120398 M 3992 X
120399 M 3597 12/6/80
120400 M 5183 X
120401 M 5178 3/6/80
120402 M 5198 X
120403 F 3623 X
120404 F 3602 X
120405 F 3614 3/6/80
120406 F 5187 3/19/81
120407 F 5173 X
120408 M 5188 X
Y Radio-failure confi.nned present with radio-collared twin ..
Table 6. Rates and causes of annual rrortality of rroose captured
as calves in Novercber 1979 southcentral Alaska (Qt1Ul3).
Dates
11/2/79 -6/1/80 l/ 6/2/80 -6/1/81
No. % No. %
Causes of rrortali ty 33 100 28 100
Natural Mortality
Winter kill 2 6 0 0
Bear predation 0 0 0 0
Unknown predation 0 0 0 0
Unknown causes 0 0 1 4
Subtotal 2 6 1 4
Hunting 0 0 0 0
Total 2 6 1 4
No. surviving 31 94 27 96
1/ Does not include period fran birth to November 1979.
1 3
Table 7. Summary of spring moose composition survey conducted in
Moose Count Area 3 on 23 May 1980 in the upper Susitna
River Basin of soQthcentral Alaska.
# Adults
without short
yearlings
58
# Adults = 93
# Females
with 1 short
yearling
30
# Short Yearlings = 46
% Short Yearlings ~ 36%
Count time: 250 minutes
# Females
with 2 short Lone
yearlings yearlings
5 6
1 4
Total #
short
yearlings
46
.....
U1
Table B. catparison of rroose sex-age c:acp:>sition data collected fran standard rroose surveys to that Obtained fran quadrat
sanpling techniques used in Moose Count Area 3 during Novenber 1980 in the upper Susitna River Basin.
Date
Catposition ll/1-2
count
Census 11/2-4
Stratification 11/1
Catposffion
count
Census
Stratification
Tot. bulls Sm. Bulls Sm. bulls Sm. bulls Calves Calves Incidence Calf Animals
per per per 100 % in per 100 per of twins per % in per
100 CCMS 100 CCMS lg. bulls Herd CCMS ; 2 yrs. 100 CCMS 100 CCMS w/calf herd hour
36.7
29.9
--
x rroose/group
2.7
2.6
2.7
21.8 146.4
20.1 203.9
---
% of Observed noose
comprised of singles
9.6
7.6
7.5
11.9
11.6
--
40.1 31.4
55.0 43.9
---
% of bb9~ rroose
catprised of pairs
29.9
34.4
32.1
16.3 17.2 37.0
13.9 25.3 27.8
----89.9
% of Observed rroose
catprised of groups of 3
8.3
20.9
17.6
Population .Estimate= 473 = + 38 ( 90% CI = 435-510).
(uncorrected for bbservability)
Total
sarrple
344
459
187
Count Area
tiire Sanp~ed Min~s/
(hr.) (mi ) '(nd )
9.3 273.5 2.0
16.5 247.5 4.0
2.15 273.5 .5
% of cbserved noose
catprised of groups of 4 or nore
52.2
37.0
42.8
Similarly, the calf percentage of the herd would have been 45%.
We estimated calf survival in Moose Count Area 3 following the
bear transplant by applying these ratios to a hypothetical moose
population of 1, 000. According to our projections, this hypo-
thetical population, in early November, would have been comprised
of 450 calves, 83 bulls, 60 yearlings cows (assumed to be sex-
ually immature) and 407 cows. Assuming a pregnancy rate of 90%
(Ballard and Taylor 1980) , 366 cows should have produced calves
in 1979. Twinning rates were calculated based upon 89 newborn
moose calves captured in Count Area 3 from 1977 through 1979,
yielding a twinning rate of 35% or a gross production of 135
calves/100 cows (Ballard et al. 1980). Therefore, 494 calves
should have been produced. Since 450 calves, theoretically, were
alive by 1 November, after the period when most neonatal losses
occur (Ballard et al. 1981), an estimated 44 calves died follow-
ing a reduction in bear density of approximately 60% (Ballard et
al. 1980). This provides an.estimate of 9% calf mortality from
birth to 1 November in 1979. Similar to the above analysis, we
applied the relationship between the 1980 composition count and
census data to the 1977 and 1978 composition counts which were
conducted prior to the reduction in bear density. The resulting
estimated mortality rates were 60 and 55% for 1977 and 1978, re-
spectively. These latter estimates were similar to those ob-
served for radio-collared moose calves.
Calf mortality studies conducted in GMU 13 during 1977 and 1978
prior to bear removal suggested that 55% of the ne"l.vborn moose
calves died between birth and 1 November of each year (Ballard et
al. 1981). During 1979, after bears had been removed, the radio-
collared calf data continued to indicate that about half of the
calves were being killed by bears. We discounted these data for
this analysis because of the following: 1) relatively small sam-
ple size (27 in 1979 versus 120 in 1977 and 1978); 2) the· smaller
sample of calves was concentrated in a relatively small area
which made calves vulnerable to a relatively small number of
bears (Ballard et al. 1980); and 3) comparisons of fall calf:cow
ratios with other unmanipulated moose count areas suggested that
there had been a significant improvement in calf survival. Based
upon the estimated mortality rate derived from the 1979 composi-
tion count the temporary reduction in brown bear density may have
reduced calf mortality from 55 to 9%, an 84% decrease in total
mortality.
Mortality of calves and short yearlings in Count Area 3 during
winter 1979-80 was estimated at 6%. Therefore, during the year
of the bear reduction program, 1st year mortality of the 1979
cohort due to early neonatal losses and winter kill totaled an
estimated 14%. No losses were attributable to wolf predation;
however, if wolves had preyed upon 24% of the calves (the maximum
estimate of wolf predation} and short yearlings from 1 November
through early spring 1979, the 1st year mortality rate would have
been 36%.
1 6
Table 9 summarizes approximate rates by cause of 1st year moose
mortality for the Nelchina and upper Susitna River Basins as de-
termined from several studies conducted from 1975 through 1981.
Based upon these estimates, 1st year moose mortality varied from
23 to 84% depending upon the magnitude of bear predation, wolf
predation, and winter severity. These figures do not consider
winter-kill and wolf predation as compensatory mortality factors,
nor do they consider variations in moose density. Nevertheless,
they provide a general estimate of the extent of mortality from
the 3 major mortality factors. This analysis suggests that the
largest increases in survival occurred when brown bear densities
were temporarily reduced to the level attained during the bear
transplant.
According to this simple model, with high bear predation and se-
vere winters, a reduction in wolf pack size from 7-8 to 2 wolves
only resulted in a 7% decrease in mortality. A similar differ-
ence also occurred with the same conditions, but during mild win-
ters. However, the difference between high and low wolf pre
dation with high bear predation levels during severe versus mild
winters was 22%.
Ouring years of low bear predation, such as that following the
bear transplant (Ballard et al. 1980) , a difference in high and
low wolf predation during severe winters w·ould result in an es-
timated difference of 14% mortality, while during mild winters
the projected difference was 13% (Table 9}. With lew predation
by both bears and wolves during a mild winter, 1st year mortality
was at its lowest level (23%).
The high survival of calf and yearling moose in Area 2 could be
attributed to reduced brown bear predation as a result of the
transplant (Ballard et al. 1980) and the mild winter of 1979-80.
The high survival rates documented in this study suggest that at
least on a short-term basis, the study area's moose population
was not being limited by deteriorating range conditions and that
predation, primarily by brown bears, was preventing the moose
population from increasing.
RECOMMENDATIONS
1. Continue to monitor survival of moose captured in 1979 and
1981.
2. Initiate a long-term study to develop a satisfactory brown
bear harvest strategy which would reduce bear predation and
allow the moose population to increase while maintaining a
viable bear population.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Sterling Eide, Albert Franzmann, Dennis McAllister, Christian
Smith, Robert Tobey, John Westlund (of Alaska Department of Fish
1 7
Table 9. Estimates of 1st year moose mortality by cause and
time period for the Nelchina and Susitna River Basins of
Southcentral Alaska.
% Mortality
birth -1 Nov.
(level of bear
predation)
% Mortality
from winter kill-
1 Nov. -1 June
(winter severity)
% Mortality
from wolf predation-
! Nov. -1 June
(predation level)
Total calcu-
lated first
year
mortality ]_/
1/
2/
3/
4/
5/
High
.55
Low 2
.09
evere
.41
ild 4/---
.06
Severe 3
.41
Mild
.06
_____-High ~/
------.24
Low 6/
. 09 -
igh 5/
.24
ow 6/
.09
High ~/
.24
Low 6/
.09 -
.84
.77
.68
.62
.68
.54
.36
.23
Mortality rate estimated from calf mortality studies (Ballard et al. 1981)
and includes 20% of total mortality which was not attributable to brown
bear predation.
Based upon estimated calf production and survival following a 58%
reduction (transplant) in brown bear density (see text, this report).
Determined from observations of short yearling losses of radio-collared
·adult moose during 1978-79 (Ballard and Taylor 1980).
Determined from observations of radio-collared calf moose during 1979-80.
Extrapolated from predation rates for 2 wolf packs numbering 7-8 wolves
studies during winter 1979-80 (Ballard et al. 1981). Percentage of calves
preyed upon was determined by estimating the total pack area moose
1 8
--------------------------
population by estimating % of moose observed according to survey
(from Gasaway and Dubois, unpub rept.).
6/ Extrapolated from predation rate for 1 wolf pack numbering 2 wolves
studied during winter 1978-79 (ballard et al. 1981). Percent calves
preyed upon estimated same as that described for #5.
7/ Assumes no compensatory mortality. Annual mortality was estimated by
determining percent survival from birth to 1 November and from 1 Nov-
ember to 1 June. The estimates were then multiplied and the sum sub-
tracted from 100%.
1 9
--------------an-d-Game-)-, -and-wi_l_l_i-crm-Mar-e-in-(u-. -s-.-----p1snana-w1rdri-fe-serv ice)-------
participated in the tagging operations.
Special appreciation i$ extended to Mr. Alfred Lee, Lee's Air
Taxi Service, not only for donating flying time, but also for
helping pick up the radio collars which slipped off moose. Many
of the projects successes could be attributed to the interest and
effort given by Mr. Lee.
Appreciation is also extended to Vern Lofstedt, Kenai Air Ser-
vice, for piloting the helicopter, and to Ken Bunch, Sportsman's
Flying Service, for assistance with monitoring radio-collared
moose.
Karl Schneider, Steve Peterson and Karen Wiley reviewed this re-
port and made a number of suggestions for improvement. SuzAnne
Miller advised us on statistical procedures.
LITERATURE CITED
Ballard, W. B. 1981. Grey wolf-brown bear relationships in the
Nelchina Basin of southcentral Alaska. F. H. Harrington and P.
C. Paquet, Co. eds. Portland Wolf Symposium. Portland, Oregon:
in press.
_____ , and K. P. Taylor. 1978. Upper Susitna ~iver Moose Popu-
lation Study. Alaska Dept. Fish and Game, Fed. Aid J..n
Wildl. Rest. Proj. Prog •. _Rept. W-17-10, Job 1.20R. Juneau.
62pp.
_____ , and C. L. Gardner. 1980. Nelchina Yearling Moose Mor-
tality study. Alaska Dept. Fish and Game, Fed. Aid in
Wildl. Rest. Proj. Rept. W-17-11 and W-21-1. 22pp.
_____ , and K. P. Taylor. 1980. Upper Susitna Valley moose popul-
ation study. Alaska Dept. Fish and Game, Fed. Aid in Wildl.
Rest. Proj. Final Rept. W-17-9 and W-17-11, Job 1.20R.
Juneau. 102pp.
-----=' A. W. Franzmann, K. P. Taylor, T. Spraker, C. C.
Schwartz, and R. 0. Peterson. 1979. Comparison of tech-
niques utilized to determine moos.e calf mortality in Alaska.
15th N. Am. Moose Conf. Workshop, Kenai, Alaska.
_____ , S. D. Miller, and T. H. Spraker. 1980. Moose calf mor-
tality study, Game Management Unit 13. Alaska Dept. Fish
and Game, Fed. Aid in Wildl. Rest. Proj. Final Rept. W-17-9.
123pp.
_____ , R. 0. Stephenson and T. H. Spraker. 1981. Nelchina Basin
Wolf Studies. Alaska Dept. of Fish and Game. P-R Proj.
Rept., W-17-9 and W-17-10. 201pp.
20
Franzmann, A. w., and R. E. LeResche. 1978. Alaskan moose blood
studies with emphasis on condition evaluation. J. Wildl.
Manage. 42:344-351.
Gasaway, W. 1978. Moose survey procedures development. Alaska
Dept. Fish and Game. P-R Proj. Rept. 47pp.
_____ , s. J. Harbo, and S. D. DuBois. 1979. Moose survey pro-
cedures development. Alaska Dept. Fish and Game. P-R Proj.
Rept. 87pp.
Miller, S. and W. B. Ballard. 1983.
brown bears. J. Wildl. Manage.
Homing of transplanted
In press.
Skoog, R. 0 •. 1968. Ecology of the caribou (Rangifer tarandus
granti) ~n Alaska. Ph.D. Thesis. Univ. California, Berkeley.
PREPARED BY:
APPROVED BY:
Warren B. Ballard
Game Biologist
~d-&· 2 ~~;ce Dir~.cttt'Jr .}1i?vision of Game · -
SUBMITTED BY:
Karl B. Schneider
Regional Research Coordinator Game
2 1
I
APPENDIX A.
Copy of paper presented at 17th North American Moose Conference
and Workshop held in Thunder Bay, Ontario (April 21-23, 1981).
USE OF ~ffiNDIBLE VERSUS LONGBONE TO EVALUATE PERCENT MARROW
FAT IN MOOSE AND CARIBOU
W. B. Ballard , C. L. Gardner, and J. H. Westlund
Alaska Department of Fish and Game
P. 0. Box 47, Glennallen, AK 99588
and
s. M. Miller
Alaska Department of Fish and Game
333 Raspberry Road, Anchorage, AK 99502
22
Abstract: During winters 1977 through 1980 the
mandible and a longbone were collected from moose
(Alces alces) and caribou (Rangifer tarandus)
kills found while conducting a wolf (Canis lupus)
moose relationship study in southcentral Alaska.
Percent marrow fat for the paired samples was
correlated, suggesting that mandibles could be
used in lieu of longbones for marrow fat analyses.
Results of the study were compared with those ob-
tained for Ontario moose and were combined for
analysis. Percent fat for the paired bones was
correlated for both calf and adult moose; however,
the slopes and intercepts for the two age classes
were different, suggesting differences in fat
mobilization by age class.
Marrow fat of longbones has been widely used as an index of phys-
ical condition in North America ungulates. Prior to 1970 proce-
dures for determining marrow fat content consisted of either
crude visual estimates based upon marrow color and consistency,
or extraction procedures which were relatively expensive and time
consuming. Development of Neiland's (1970) dry weight for deter-
mining percent marrow fat in caribou allowed marrow fat content
to be quantified with relative ease and low cost per sample.
Since 1970, Neiland' s ( 1970) method of determining marrow fat
content has been widely used on a number of ungulate species for
assessing physical status. This type of information is of
particular interest to students of predator-prey relationships
because it allows inferences to be drawn about the physical
condition of prey selected by predators. For comparison, samples
from nonpredator killed ungulates are needed to determine con-
dition of predator kills relative to the condition of other
members of the population.
The most widely used bone for determining percent marrow fat of
ungulates has been the femur (Cheatum 1949) , although other long-
bones have been widely used also (Peterson 1977). Percent fat in
the mandibular cavity has also received some attention as an in-
dicator of physical condition (Baker and Lueth 1966, Purol et al.
1977, and Snider 1980).
While conducting a wolf-moose relationships study in Game Manage-
ment Unit 13 of southcentral Alaska, we attempted to collect
longbones from moose and caribou dead from all sources of mor-
tality. Although we strove for collection of femurs, we often
had to settle for metatarsals or metacarpals, and in many other
cases no bone was collected at all. Reasons for this varied de-
pending upon both the cause of mortality and the time available
for specimen collection. On both predator-and winter-killed
ungulates, which were only partially consumed, the flesh was
frozen and extraction of the femur was time consuming and
23
expensive, particularly when kills were visited via helicopter.
On heavily consumed predator kills, the ends of longbones had
often been chewed and the marrow either eaten or exposed to the
air rendering the sample useless. In these latter cases, no
specimens were collected. On several predator kills the only re-
maining intact bones suitable for marrow analysis were the
mandibles. Similar types of problems occurred with collection of
road-kill samples. Because of these problems and the presence of
mandibles at many heavily consumed predator kills, it appeared
desirable to determine if a relationship existed between percent
marrow fat estimated from longbones compared to that estimated
from mandibles. Since mandibles are relatively easy to extract
and are often collected routinely for aging purposes, establish-
ment of a fat relationship between the two bones would result in
a considerably larger sample size of condition data. The purpose
of this paper is to compare the percent marrow fat of mandibles
to that of longbones for moose and caribou killed primarily by
predators from 1977 through 1980.
STUDY AREA
The study was conducted in Game Management Unit 13 of southcen-
tral Alaska. Detailed descriptions of vegetation, topography,
weather patterns, etc., have been provided by Skoog (1968},
Rausch (1969}, Bishop and Rausch (1974} and Ballard (1982}.
METHODS
During winters 1977 through 1980, 58 paired mandible and longbone
samples were obtained from moose and caribou kills. Moose sam-
ples were comprised of 21 calves and 24 adults of both sexes,
while the 13 caribou samples were adults of both sexes. Ages of
moose were determined by incisor eruption and cementum annuli
counts according to methods described by Sergeant and Pimlott
(1959}. Caribou were aged on the basis of tooth wear described
by Skoog (1968}.
Samples were collected on an opportunistic basis but most kills
were detected while making flights to monitor radio-collared wolf
packs. Causes of death for the paired samples were as follows:
for calf moose--8 wolf kills, 7 winter kills and 6 road or acci-
dental kills; for adult moose--15 wolf kills, 8 road or
accidental kills, and 1 from unknown causes; and for adult
caribou--12 wolf kills and 1 from unknown causes.
Procedures for determining percent fat of longbones were iden-
tical to those of Neiland (1970). Mandible marrow was extracted
by cutting a 10 em longitudinal section of bone from the labial
side of the mandible beginning. at the 2nd or 3rd premolar. The
section was cut with a bone saw and the resulting bone dust was
24
sc.ta.ped from the marrow with a spatula. Later, we simplified
this process by ventrally splitting the left or right ramus with
a chisel and then extracting the entire section of marrow with a
spatula. This modified procedure also eliminated the need for
scraping off bone dust fragments. The remainder of the procedure
was identical to that for the longbone, described by Neiland
(1970).
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Paired samples for both calf and adult moose were compared with
standard least squares regression techniques (Snedecor and
Cochran 1973). The best fit was by linear regression (Fig. 1,
r=.92, P~0.05); however, the data appeared clumped according to
age class (calf versus adult). Analysis of covariance for calf
and adult moose indicated that the variances were significantly
different (F=4 .11, P<O. 001) and, thus, comparison of slope and
intercept between the two age classes was not possible. We sub-
jected each age class to polynomial regression techniques and
determined that the percent marrow fat relationship for adult
moose could be expressed as a 3rd order polynomial. The rela-
tionship was also significantly related linearly and, thus, we
chose it for adults because it allowed additional statistical
tests to be performed.
Figs. 2 and 3 depict the relationship between percent fat for
longbones and mandibles for calf and adult moose separately.
Percent marrow fat in the 2 bones was significantly correlated
for both age classes (calves r=0.88, P<0.05; adults r=0.78
P<O. 05) suggesting that longbone fat could be estimated from
mandible fat for each age class. However, there was considerably
more variation in the relationship for calves (mean square
[ms]=127.8) than for adults (ms=26.7). This may have been the
result of sample size since all of the adult moose were above 65%
fat which would have placed them in a relatively high condition
class based upon criteria established by Greer (1968) and
Franzmann and Arneson (1976).
Snider (1980) compared percent marrow fat for femurs and mand-
ibles for 29 moose from Ontario. He, like us, concluded that the
2 variables were significantly correlated. He combined calf -
moose (n=6) with adults (n=22) and determined that the percent
fat relationship between the 2 bones was best expressed as a 3rd
degree orthogonal polynomial (Fig. 4) where Y= mandible fat and
X= femur fat. His data were subject to an orthogonal regression.
For comparison, we subjected Snider's data to the same analyses
performed on Nelchina Basin moose ·and determined that his data
also exhibited a significant linear relationship (r=.87, P<0.05
[Fig. 5]). In contrast to Nelchina data, however, the variances
between age classes were equal (F=.87, P>0.05) and there were no
significant differences between slopes (F=.87, P>0.05) or inter-
cepts (F=.32, P~0.05). Reasons for the -differences in
25
N
0)
1-
<(
u.
;:
0
a:
a:
<(
:!:
w z
0
Ill
(!l
z
0
...1
1-z
w
(.)
a:
w
a.
I
0
I
0
0
0
•
•
. / •
• • • • ,. • •
I I I
10 20 30
•
0
• •
I __ I
•
0
I I
40 50
0
•
•
/
0 0
• = Calf
o: Adult
V: 2.24 + 1.18X
r= 0.92
I. I I J___j
I I I I l
60 70 80 90 100
PERCENT MANDIBLE MARROW FAT
Figure 1. Relationship between percent marrow fat for mandibles and longbonea
from calf and adult moose In the. Nelchl.na Basin, Alaska.
N
-.....:!
...
<C u.
~
0
0:
0:
<C
::E
w z
0
CD
(!l
z
0
...J ... z
w
(.)
0:
w
a.
100
90
70
60
50
• 40
30 •
20
10 • •
o r I I I ·
. 0 10 20 30
•
•
•
I I
I I
40 50
•
/
•
Y = -0.70 + 1.07X
r = 0.66
I I I _L__l
I I I I l
60 . 70 80 90 100
PERCENT MANDIBLE MARROW FAT
Figure 2. Relationship between percent marrow fat of mandibles and longbones
for calf moose In the Nelchina Basin, Alaska.
·r-.>
00
100
90
1-
c(
LL
3:
0 a: 70
a:
c(
~ 60
w z
0 50
OJ
CJ z 40
0
,_J
1-30
z w
0 20+ V = 64.76 + 0.43X
a: r:0.78 w
a.. 10
o I I I I I
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
PERCENT MANDIBLE MARROW FAT
Figure 3·. Relationship between percent marrow 1fat of mandibles and longbones
for adult moose In the Nelchlna Basin, Alaska.
"' <D
100
901 -. ~ •
1-SO_j_ . r· • • <( • LL.
3: 70 0 a: I (2) ...... I • a:
<( 60
~
a: 50 ~
~ w
LL. 40-1-I •
1-z 30 w
. 0 I -./ ..
a:-w 20 I 2 3 a. v = ·-32.13 + 4.4X + .oax + .ooo5x
o I ·1 I I I
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
PERCENT MANDIBLE MARROW FAT
Flgur'e 4. Relationship between percent marrow fat of mandibles and femurs for
calf and adult moose In Ontario (from Snider 198Cl).
(A)
0
1-
<
LL
~
0 a: a:
<
::E
w z .o
m
(!}
z
0
...J
·I-:z
w
0
a:
w a.
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
(21 .....
/
• • •
II
II
• •
Y = -4.87 + 1.-04X
r = 0.87
o r 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
PERCENT MANDIBLE MARROW FAT
Figure 6. Relationship between pel'cent marrow •fat of mandibles and longbonea for
caU and adult moose In Ontario (from Snider 191~0).
homogeneity of variances between the 2 studies are unknown but
could have been related to a combination of both studies, or
differences in fat deposition and mobilization between the study
moose popu lations.
Because of small sample sizes in each of the studies, and because
samples in the Nelchina study were collected primarily during
winter for predator kills while those in Ontario were collected
primarily in October or June mainly from road-killed moose, we
combined samples in an effort to better describe the relationship
between longbone and mandible fat (Table 1) . The analysis as-
sumed that there were no differences in fat mobilization between
the 2 populations. Variances between calf and adult moose in
these clumped data were not significantly different {F=l.l2,
P>0.05) which allowed additional comparisons to be made. Both
the slope and intercept for calf and adult moose were signifi~
cantly different (P<0.05) suggesting that fat mobilization in the
2 bones was different for the 2 age classes. The relationship
between longbone and mandible marrow fat for each age class was
best de scribed by linear regression (Figs. 6 and 7). However,
because only 3 adult moose had longbone fat values less than 60%,
the relationship between the 2 bones at lower fat levels warrants
further investigation.
Similar to samples from Nelchina adult moose, bone marrow fat
from mandibles and longbones of adult caribou were also signifi-
cantly correlated (Fig. B, r=.90, P<0.05} suggesting that mand-
ibles might be useful for estimatl.ng longbone fat in caribou.
However, because sample sizes were extremely small and no samples
of caribou in poor condition were collected, this relationship
should be viewed with caution. Also, since no calf caribou were
examined it is unknown whether a correlation exists in this age
class as well.
Peterson (in press) recently compared marrow fat levels between
several longbones of individual moose and determined that fat
mobilization appeared to have proceeded more quickly in proximal
than in distal longbones. If correct, this may partially explain
some of the variability between longbones (femurs, metatarsals,
and metacarpals) and mandibles found in this study. Even with
this variation, however, mandibles appear useful for determining
the percent marrow fat in longbones and consequently appear use-
ful as an indicator of condition. Although results of this study
suggest a positive relationship exists between marrow fat mobili-
zation in mandibles and longbones, we suggest that biologists
collect paired samples from ungulate kills in other populations
to determine if relationships are similar. If this relationship
is confirmed, then biologists should consider using the mandible
in lieu of longbones for marrow fat analyses. Use of mandibles
will allow biologists to greatly increase sample sizes for marrow
fat analysis with minimal effort at relatively small additional
costs.
3 1
w
N
Table 1. Analysis of covariance of percent marrow fat estimated from mandibles
and longbones of calf and adult moose from southcentral Alaska and
Ontario. y
Source
Within
Calves
Adults
Pooled Within
Differences Between Slopes
Within and Between
Between Adjusted Means
Significance Tests
( 1) Heterscedasticity
F = 1.17 F (25 58 \ @ 0.25 F = 1.23
Therefore ac6ept Ho: c =a
(2) Difference in Slopes
F = 9.43 F (1 83 \ @ 0.005 F = 8.30
Therefore r~JeCt Ho: B = 1
(3) Difference Between Intercepts
F = 169 t1 84 \ . @ 0.001 F = 11.8
Therefor~ reJect Ho: c = A
1/ Ontario data from Snider (1980) •
d. f.
25
58
83
84
1
85 ---------·--·-
1
M.S.
123.37
105.08
110.59
121.69
1042.99
361.68
20521.31
100
..... 90
<
LL.
~ 80 •
0 ·/ a: 70 a:
< •
::2 60 w . /.. z • 0 50
CD
0 I z • w w 0
..J
..... SOT • / . • z w
0 201 /." Y=-2.16 + 1.15X a: w r = 0.91
a. • 10 •
I
0
I I I I . I I I I I I I
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
PERCENT MANDIBLE: MARROW FAT
Figure 6. Relationship between percent marrow fat of mandibles and longbones for
calf moose In Ontario (from Snider 1980) and the Nelchlna Basin, Alaska.
(A)
.t--
1-
<(
LL.
3:
0
a:
a:
<(
::E
w z
0
al
C!J z
0
..J
1-z w
(.)
a: w
0..
[]
[]
30
10
[]
[]
(2(
[]
IJ
[]
[]
[] []
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
V= 4.26 + 1.09X
r = 0;91
0 , I I I I I I I I I I
0 10 20 30 40 50 ~30 70 80 90 100
PERCENT MANDIBLE MARROW FAT
Figure 7. Relationship between percent marrow fat of mandible a and longbonea for
adult moose In Ontario (from Snider 1980) and the Nelchlna Baaln, Alaska.
w
(.Jll
1-8J *# "<(
u. ~ / *
3:
0
0: 1 u-y-*· a::
<(
::i --I *
w z
0
m
C!l· z
0
..J
1-z w
0 2ot Y = 24 •. 8 + 0.78X 0: w r = 0.82
a.
0~--~----~--~--~--~~--+---~--~----~~
0 10. 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
PERCENT MANDIBLE MARROW FAT
Figure 8. RelaUonshlp between percent marrow fat of mandibles and longbonea for
adult caribou In the Nelchlna Basin, Alaska.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Appreciation is expressed to Charles Lucier and Enid Goodwin,
both Alaska Department of Fish and Game (ADF&G) employees, for
processing marrow samples. Donald McKnight, Karl Schneider, and
Karen Wiley (all ADF&G) reviewed the manuscript and made many
helpful suggestions. We also thank Lita Lewis for typing the
manuscript on her personal time. The study was funded in part by
Federal Aid in Wildlife Restoration Project W-17-R with addi-
tional support provided from the Alaska Power Authority.
REFERENCES
Baker, F. M., and F. X. Leuth. 1966. Mandibular cavity tissue
as a possible indicator of condition in deer. Proc. Am.
Conf. S. E. Game and Fish Comm. 20:69-74.
Ballard, W. B. 1982. Gray wolf-brown bear relationships in the
Nelchina Basin of southcentral Alaska. In F. H. Harrington
and P. C. Paquet, (Co. Eds.) 1982. Wolves of the World.
Noyes Pub., New Jersey: In press.
Bishop, R. H., and R. A. Rausch.
ations in Alaska, 1950-19/2.
1974. Moose population fluctu-
Nat. Can., 101:559-593.
Cheatum, E. L. 1949. Bone marrow as an index of malnutrition in
deer. N. Y. State Conser. 3:19-22.
Franzmann, A. W., and P. D. Arneson. 1976. Marrow fat in
Alaskan moose femures in relation to mortality factors. J.
Wildl. Manage. 40(2) :336-339.
Greer, K. R. 1968. A compression method indicates fat content
of elk (wapiti) femur marrows. J. Wildl. Manage.
32 (4) :747-751.
Neiland, K. A. 1970. Weight of dried marrow as indicator of fat
in caribou femurs. J. Wildl. Manage. 34(4) :904-907.
Peterson, R. 0. 1977. Wolf ecology and prey relationships on
Isle Royale. Natl. Park Serv. Sci. Monogr. Ser. 11.
210pp.
In Press. Aspects of bone marrow fat determination in
moose. J. Wildl. Manage.
Purol, D. A., J. N. Stuht, and G. E. Burgoyne, Jr. 1977. Mand-
ibular cavity tissue fat as an indicator of spring physical
condition for female white-tailed deer in Michigan.
Michigan Dept. of Nat. Resources, Wildl. Div., Rept.
No. 2792.
3 6
Rausch, R. A. 1969. A summary of wolf studies in southcentral
Alaska, 1957-1968. Trans. N. Am. Wildl. and Nat. Resour.
Conf., 34:117-131.
Sergeant, D. E., and D. H. Pimlott.
moose from sectioned incisor
23 (3) :315-321.
1959.
teeth.
Age determination in
J. Wildl. Manage.
Skoog, R. 0. 1968. Ecology of caribou
granti) in Alaska. PhD. Thesis,
Berkeley, California.
(Rangifer tanarandus -
Univ. of California,
Snedecor, G. w., and W. G. Cochran. 1973. Statistical methods.
The Iowa St. Univ. Press. Ames, Iowa. Sixth Ed.
593pp.
Snider, J. B. 1980. An evaluation of mandibular fat as an indi-
cator of condition in moose. Proc. N. Am. Moose Conf. Work-
shop 16:37-50.
37