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HomeMy WebLinkAboutSUS169·~ . · .. ',; ·.~· • \., Mr. Eric Yould AlaskA Power Author!· 34 West 5th Avenue An chora9e , Alaska I Subject: Applicatio for the 1111. Dear Mr. Yould : SuJ/69 /}l}ti!Lt ',.,.)(J }1, /~ Hhl~~ ~) I'll' 3 1(1Qv,&o~r <:y?l r .. :-.-'d.'l ft' I 't .. .~, .se Jt.lb}!] fl ... u· -t r~A"C /)J ;:/t:/'a c' I 7" _.,! IYJ'3 / u .t/., (it J £1 J • ..1 /' ~ L/ '1 Cl!.;> •' eit { II , ( ~}r6;c. or 1 1f:.. ?t!ld CtJ.e, ~~ frt; a/,~L CtoJ;r~?rfJ .Jc £,.,c l/tXLftJ-Jr 1:>Jj;_... 11u...'-l, ,/.Ju;r/a.~k.> / , ''? Jl1 U26 1~ ,J}l( .110). 1-0 0 0 Your a pplication for the subject project has been reviewed by the staff. The application is not in c0111plete conformance vith the r.J.evant requiremenu of the Commissi on• a reCJulationa. A list of those non-conformi n9 J.taa. ia enclosed u Schedule A. Fun:her, in order for at.atf to be able to fully evaluate your application, please submit the supplemantal. inforllllltion described in Schedule a. 'Ih e supple- •ental information need not be included in the copies of the application but .. y be sub~tted separately. section 4.31(d) of the reCJUlations provides that an applicant vhose applica- tion for a licenH fails to conform to the require.a:ants of the Ccmlllission's reCJUla- tions may be qiven up to 90 days in vhicb to correct those items. /h>J l'- JiccordiDCJlY, you have 90 days from the date ot this lett;i..t'o correct the non- conforminCJ items in your application. U you fail to correct your application vithin that ti~~~e, it vill be rejected. A:!ditioo&l.ly, please file the supplemental informa- tion vithin 90 days. If you cannot provide the supplUlental. in.formation vithin 90 daya, please provide a schedule, fC?r Cc::IIIIIDission approval, vi thin 30 days for filin9 that i~formation. If you have any questions concernin9 this letter or th• fil :tng of your appli- cation, please contact William Wakefield at (202) 376-1911. ' !nclosur .. d;;::cc~~ Lawrence R. Andereon Direc =or, Office of Electric Power ReCJul ation llN!VERSJ TV OF ALASI<A ARCTJC ENVIR0' • 'F r,,, INFO RMA TIO AND .;, I,.. ~ ... H ER 70 7 A SfliEET ANOtOiAGt. AK 99.501 .,• . •• • ~ ' \ ,, ~•; • \, FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION Mr. Eric Yould Alaska Pover Authority 34 West 5th Avenue WASHINGTON 2042& IN lllll''l.'f 1111r1111 \'Oo OEPR-DHL Project No. 7114-000 Anchoraqe, Alaska 99 5 01 ( tiL ,to Subjf!ct : Application for license submitted on February 28, 1983 for the SUsitna Hydroelectric Project No. 7114. Dear Mr. Yould: Your application for the subject project has bee."l reviewed by the staff. The application is not in ccmplete confoi"'IIAnce vith the relevant requirements of the Colllm.isaion's regulations. A list of those non-con forminq items is enclosed u Schedule A. FUrther, in order for staff to be able to fully evaluate your application, plea .. submit the supplemental infor~~~~~tion described in Schedule B. The aupple- aental. infomation need not be included in the copies of the application but may be submitted aeiBrately. Section 4.31(d) of the requlationa provides that an applicant vbose applica- tion for a license fails to conform to the rtquireiii8.Dta of the Commission's requla- tiona aay be qiven up to 90 days in vhich to correct those items. ~...).\"\.. k:cordinqly, you have 90 days from the date of this lettei-~ correct the non- con.forminq i te:ma in your application. U you fail to correct your application vi thin that time, it vill be rejected. Mditionally, please file the supplemental informa- tion vithin 90 days. If you cannot provide the supplemental information within 9 0 days, please Fovide a achedUl.e, for Ccmmiaaion appro•&l, vit.hift 30 daya for filiftCJ that information. If you have any questions concerninq this letter or the filinq of your appli- cation, please contact William Wakefi eld at (202) 376-1911. Enclosuru ~=cc~~ Lawrence R. Ander.on Director, Office of !1e~ric Pover Re17Ulation UNIVERSITY 0 ~ ALASKA ARCTIC EN VIAO '.!r TA • INFOAMATIO I AN D Dl\ II .... :. TEA 70 7 A sn~nr ANOtORAOE. AJC 99501 ' . ' .. • .. " r Schedule A Exhibit B GENERAL 1. The applicant doea not provide a aufficient documentation of the load t o . ecast modelinq effort or A sufficiently broAd and comprehensive se n - sitivity analyse• thAt would enable a reasonable evaluation of the impact of critical variAbles, ••9• current world crude oil prices. Staff"• preliainary anAlyaea of docuaents aada available as part of the application for licenae indicate recant chanqes in world crude oil pricinq will have a aiqnificant iapact in reducinq the forecasts included in Exhibit B of the application. Siqnificantly reduced world crude oil price and power requirement forecasts could cbanqe the development of and the proposed financinq for the alter- native plAna for the raqion that are shown in the applica- tion, and would alter the related cost analyses used in evaluatinq these plAna, thereby affectinq both Exhibit B and D. 2. The applicant does not provide documen t ation thAt will allow replication of the mod eli nq effort de acr ibed in the applicAtion and, there for a, in for-· mation that can fully support the reaaonabl eness of the 1 oad forecast modeling effort and the credibility of ita output. 3. The documentation that ia provided doea not include data to explain and aupport the forecast uaed in the coat analysis of alternate plans and related aensitivity Analyaea (i.e., the forecaat shown in Table 8 .73.) The follovinq items are keyed to the numberinq ayatem used in the pre- f il i ng rev i ev. Provide qeneration capability of the Suaitna project considerinq the various minimum releaaes propgaed by the fiahery Agenciea. Provide an eatiaate of the dependable capacity and average annual anergy pro- duction baaed upon minimum flow releAaea recommended by the appropriate atate and federal Aqencie •· The rel eAae achadul ea pr oYided in Exhibit a, are estimates and do not reflect state and federal neqotiationa. Ev idence of aqency consultation ahould be provided. ~ Item S a Include an aaseaament of the i mp act the Susi~na project would have on aystem reliability, at leaat in terma of generation reaerve marqins and appropriate reliability criteria. .. ·.· . • . • . f -2 ' Specifi c ally, provide all atudies , reports, analyses and aurveys which were relied upon establish the reliability c riterion aelected for the evalua- tion of the Susitna project . Is there any information which establ ishe s the level of reliability of electric service which cuatomers in the state of Alaska are willing to pay for? If ao, please provide copies of all such infor- mation. Since Suai tna ia projected to auppl y an unua ually lar qe portion of total system power, include an assessment of the reliability of transmission and to what extent the vari oua ra ilbel t utili ti ea vill be required to aaintain standby thermal capacity as a precaution against transmission or other power out ages? Ite• 6: Include a sensitivity analyaia on the impact that the crucial variable, vorld oil pricea, baa on the Reed for Power . Specifically, for prices (from January -2,, 19 82), -1', 0\, aubm.it +\1 the and +2' following real growth projections in 1. State oil revenues (royalty and severance taxes). 2. State gas revenues. l· State general fund expend i ture. 4. State population. s. State employ•ent. 6 . Railbelt population. 1. Railbelt employment. a. Railbelt-No. of households -by type household. 9. Railbel t-electr ici ty demand per houaehold -by type. 10. Railbelt-electricity demand, by area, (l"airbanka, Anchorage, etc.), aector (residential, commercial, and induatrial), and uae (lighting, power apace bent). 11. Railbelt-peak demand . 12. Ra ilb elt-generating capacity required. world oil by years. In addition, lia~ projections of any other variables, not liated abov e , that were uaed in predicting demand or capacity r equi r ements. Provide a complete explanation of the derivation of alternative fuel price projections for the time period 1982-2040. Limit the response to price proj ectiona of coal, natural gaa and rea idual and diat illate fuel oil. If the vorld o i l price were to decline at a rate of 1' per annwa, hov wou l d this alter the assumptions about the price• for natural gas, coal and resi - dual and di ati l late fuel oil in Alaska over that same time period? Finally, include analysis of the crude oil price reflecting the moat world oil price a. !mpact on the d eaand current i nf ormation forecast a vailable Item 7r Combine or relate the aensitivity analysia on Need for Power requested above to one performed in the cost benefit an a lyaia. of a base regarding Speci fie ally, for the BB, M, and LL projection• used in tbe coat benefit analysis s u bmit the data requeate4 in projection• 1-12 li st ed in Itea (6) • above, for the •with Su ai tna• and •th erma l altern ative• plan ~. . . • .. •• • • . . Item B. - 3 - Provide calibration data, comparing computer outputs to actual hiatorieal performances, on the econometric aodela used in the Need for Power analyaia. Specifically, (1) present 1961-1982 data for projections 1-12 li sted in Itea (6), above. ( 2) Provide equation• the extent such equation• basic deaand aodel. or ·coefficients or· eoeff iei ents relating projections 1-12, were uaad in e al ibrati ng to the (3) ror projection (10), present data by area (FaJ.r))anks, Anehoraqe, etc.), by sector (reaidentJ.al, eoaaereial, industrial), and by end use (liqhtinq, power, and apaee-heatinq). (4) Provide the results of any aodel runs aade startinq at some prior point in tiae which compared predicted '9aluea vith actual data. If no historical comparison runs were aade to cheek aodel calib ration, so s tate. ror instance, the ISZR ReqJ.onal Allocation Model, aa doeuaented in ileetrie Power Consumption For the Railbelta A Projection of Requirements Technical Appendices (May 1980) paqes B-18 to B-19, presents reqression equations estiaated vith data endinq in 1976---hov well have those equations predicted actual values for the dependent variables ira the years subseque:1t to 19767 Al ternati'9el y, if actual values vhieb have beeoae available sub sequent to the oriqinal estiaation of the aodel have been used to reestimate the co- efficients in these equations, bov do those nev eatiaatea compare with the old values? Provide all information available to establish the stability of the eoeffie1ent estiaates, or necessary to determine nev coefficients. Item 9: Provide a comprehensive and integrated explana- tion of hov the aeveral modeling efforts were coabin ed to develop the final forecast! nq aod el, inc ludinq bow the aodela work, how exogenous variables were selected, ~ow sensitive the deaand forecasts are to assuaptions and variables and hov the various models are linked, e.q., the Inatitute for Social and Econoaie Research (ISER) model linkaqe to Man in the Arctic Prograa (MAP) which is used to qenerate input aasu~ptions. The draft application vaa modified to a considerable degree vitb regard to this deficiency and additional inforaation vas aade available in separate reports which were not available at the time of the prefilinq review. How- ever, the noted chanqea and additional reports do not provide a sufficiently comprehensive compilation of the information needed to aake a reasonable r evi ev of the forecasts included in Exhibit B of the tiled appl !cation. Evaluation of a load forecast modelinq effort should involve evaluation of the structure of the forecasting model, includinq ita internal consistency, J. ta correspondence vi th common aenae and good practice and the ease vi th which modeling assumptions can be iaplimented and understood. It ahould also in- volve identificat i on and evaluation of the required exogenous variable • • • • -4 -. forecasts, the paraaet er values ua ed in the mo d eli n9 effort and the response of the 111edel to varia ti o n s in e.xo9enoua and endogenous variables. A lar9e nuaber of choieea of parameter values and exogenous variable forecasts are neceaaary for each forecast, but all the par amet ers appearin9 in the aodeli nq of the Susi tna forecast! n9 effort cannot be identif 1 ed from the application and ataff cannot be sure all the neceuaary ex 09enoua fore- casta are even aention ecS 1-n the appl !cation. In addition, little documenta- tion is available re9ardin9 the ISER/KAP model . Accordingly, vith regard tc the Exhibit B , itea 9 deficiency please: Snecifically, (1) Clearly identify!!! models and submodels used in preparin9 the econoaic projection rnd sensitivity analyses filed, from the point of initial assumptions through t h e demand projections to the final economic proj e ctions. Cl•arly identify hov the models relate and identify all break pcints in the syste• vhere data froa one aodel, or aeta of aodels, aast be loaded into another model. At each breakpoint, includin9 the initial point, identify !!! input variables by name into the dovnstream model and the source of data (i.e. o utput froa an upstream model, or exo9enoua variables and assumptions). Include only those models uaed to 9enerate the input data used in the filed economic projections and sensitivity analyses, or that 9enerated input into any subsequent model vhich 9enerated Input data used In the filed economic projection~ and sensitivity analyses. For each aodel or aubmo~el clearly identify all output variables and their tiae aeries form (i.e. by years, total onl~, etc.). Our purpose here is to clearly understand the details of information flov froa the various points of info rmatio n i n put to the final output. If various models supply input to one forecast (i .e. hi9h mediua, lov, etc.) but not another, clearly identify the forecasts in vhich a 111odel output is used. (2) For each model identified in (1) above, supply the version of the model used to provide input to the filed e co nomic projections and sensitivity analyses in suffici ent detail that it can be programmed. Supply the values for each parameter or coefficient used vithin the modele. State vhether any parameter or coefficient values are chan9ed in alternative model runa. If parameter or c~efficient values chan9e, clearly identify the parameter or coefficient values used in different caaea and •tate the reaaonin9 used to justify such changes. Supply ~ data, atudiea, and other material relied upon to aupport the choice of parameter values or re9reaaion coefficients used. (3) For the lov, moderate (base caae) and bi9h projections (including the •vith Suatina• and •vithout Suaitna• v ariations) u sed in the application for the economic analyses list the valuea of ~ exogenoua variables, . . . . .. • • 5 - data, and assumptions used as input into each model (by year, if input is by year). Clearly identify the output values (by year) from any model that are used as input into any subsequent model throu9h the final economic projections. Clearly show the output values by year from the overall demand aodel that is used as the basis for economic projections. For each model also a how the ind ividu&l data or projected tiae aeries that each model generates internally and uses to generate the final model output. The information presented should be sufficiently detailed to allow us to trace the pTojection fro• initial data and assumption• used aa input through ~ model• to the final demand projection used in the filing, by area , sector, and end-use. (4} Identify, or supply, all data, studies, or other aaterial relied upon to support the choice of values for each exogenous variable and assumption used as inpnt in~o the various aodels. Where input values are primarily judgemental, so state. (5} Economic and coat benefit data arc computed through the year 2051. The various demand models and sub-aodels ·were apparentl7 terminated at some earlier date. Clearly identify all assumptions used in extrapolating demand and system coats beyond the end period f r om model projections. Item 10: It appears that the MAP model produces population forecasts only to 2000 thereby requirin9 extra- polation to 2010. Modify the model to produce forcaata up to 2010. Specifi cally, where models vhich are used to 9enerate input into other nodels that do not generate data for the same time period as the final demand model, specify th ~ extrapolation methods and values used. Provide sufficient examples to clearly demonstrate the procedure. Provide at least one plot of gene r ated data and extrapolated data as an illustrative example. Identify all point~ v he re the time eerie s differ be tween models and extrapolation, or interpolation, is necessary. Item 20: Specific details need to be included about : (A} the data and forecaoting assumpt1onar (B) the •price adjuatinq int•naity• (p. 5-6)r (C) conservation ~djustaenta ••• (G) revisions of Battelle forecasts in 1982. Item 25: The 2-4' reduction in heatinq consumption due to eonaervation seems to be very low. Provide the anal yai • justif yinq this reduction in • heating enerqy use. .. . . . • • • ... - 6 - Itea 27: There is aabiquity concerning the forecast used to i ncorporate load redu c tion aeasures. It is unclear why the ISER deaand forecasts were chosen over the RED forecasts after modifications were aade in the RED model to handle this. Explain this apparent inconsistency . Specifically, provide all studies, reports and analyses that were relied upon in formulating the assess~ent of the iapact of r.onservation (bo~ price and non-price 1 nduc ed conae rvation) in the projections of energy con~apa6aa you have made . Explain vhich of these· aateriala vere judged to be relevant to the calculations of conservation iap.cts and vhich vere judged to be of no direct consequence to the cal cul a tiona. Reconcile and explain hov the con- servation iapacta vere quantified baaed upon the aaterial of relevance in those studies, reports and analyses that vere relied upon. Clearly identify hov price sensitivity, load reduction aeaaurea and conservation impacts affect the actual demand projections (Table B. 73) used as a basis fo r economic coaparisona. The Onited States and the World as a whole have expe rien ced a significant reduction in total ener;ry demand and demand per capita in the past fev Je&ra aa a result of the recent energy price increases. Please explain to vbat extent, if any, Alaska aay differ froa this very pronounced pattern. Also, identify and discuss the possible affects of the revisions made in the Battelle forecasts in 1982, i.a. after completion of the feasibility st u dy generation planning. Exhibit D Exhibit E INTEREST DORING CONSTROCTION Provide line items, preferable in Table D.1 or Tables D.2 and D.l, for AFODC and escalation. This is n ecessary to deteraine tbe actual coat of the project vhen it is brought on line and to determine the total amount of financing required for construction. WATER OSE AND QUALITY: FISH, WILDLIFE AND BOTANTICAL RESOORCES P• E-24, P• E-2-17, P• E-3-83 Provide incremental flow analyses, beginning at 1000 cfs and increasing in 2000 cfa incrementa up to 31,000 cfs, as well as additional analysis at 12,000 eta, deaonstr~~ing the relationship between main channel flova at Gold Creek and changes ~~hysical habitat variables in selected sl ou hs (!.JJ in the ·Devil Canyon to Talkeetna reach and b in t e Talkeetna to Cook Inlet reach. The •boald include wetted •urface areas - -- ' . .... Exhibit F -7 - 1· Stabilitv and Stress Analyses Provi de summaries of atability and stress analyaea for the follow- i nq structures J Watana Dam, Devil CAnyon Arch Dam and thrust block abutement a, Devil Canyon Saddle dam, Watana and ~e v tl Ca n yon main spillway qate structure, and the Watana and Devil Canyon emergency spillway fuse plugs. 2. Spillway Design Flood (SDF) Provide the basis for the determination of the SDF and tbe Proba:)le Max i 111um Flood CPMF), for botb the Devil Canyon and Watana developmenta, in sufficient detail to permit an independent staff evaluation. If thia infor- mation is avail able in a separate re terence, it should be i ncluded (by reference) in the SupportinCJ Desiqn Report and a summary provided whicb is aimilar to th Mt shown for the seismic loads in Section 3.2(h). : : .. Schedule B SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION CO NTENTS Exhibit E , . 2. 3· 4. s. 6· '· s. g. 1 o. 1 1 • General Description of the Locale •• ••••• Wate r Uae and Quality •••••••••••• •••• ••••• ••••• Fish, Wildlife, and Botanical Resource• Aquatic Re•oureea ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• T errestrial Botanical Resources ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Terre s trial Wildlife Resources •••••••••••••••••• ••••••• Historic a nd Archaeolo9ical Resources • • •• • • • • •••••• Socioeconomic• •••••••••••••••• •••••••• Geol o9i t a l and Soil Resources ••• •••••••••• Recreational Resource& •••••••••• •••••• ••••• •••••• Aesthetic Resources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Land Oae •••••••••••••••••••••• Alternative L oc ations, Desi9ns , Ener9y Sources •••••••••••• List of Literature ••••••••• and . . . . . . ..... . ........ . . ........ .- Transmi ssion Facilitie s 1 2. 13. Status of Facilities . .......................... . ~l ectrical Envi ron mental Effects . . . . Engineering , 4 . 15. 16 . General Exhib it Exhibit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . F and Supporting Deai9n Report G . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Need for Pover 1 7 . Exhibit B . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 e . Exhibit D • • 4 ••••••••••••••• . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........ . . .......... . ................... . ..... . ....... .............. . ......... 1 9. Additional Suppleaental Reports Required . . . . .......... 2 o. Financial Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ........... ·----------------------~--~~ .. ~-·= 1 2 8 9 12 1C 15 20 22 24 26 27 30 32 33 34 34 37 38 39 41 41 . :. . . . - - 1 EXHIBIT E 1. GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE LOCALE No additiona l information or clarification is required for this section. ·-.·-..• -·-·-----··-·--------·--·-··--·----·· ... -·-··-·--.. ··---· .. . . . . . / • • 1. p. E-2-S 2. p. E-2-S, Figs. ·E.2.l2- E.2.20 3. p. E-2-1?, t 1 4. p. E-2-17, t S 5. p. E·2-20, t 1 6. p. E-2-28, t 4 · 7. p. E-2-28, t 4 ~ p. E-2-28, E"2-181 9. p. E-2-29 10 • p. E-2-29, t 4 u . p. E-2-32 , t 2 .. . . . - 2 - • I 2. WATER USE AND QUALITY Provide copies of the original photographs, wi th dates, and an estimate of •ainstem flow at Gold Creek when the aerial photographs in Figs. E.2 .1l to E.2.20 were taken. Provide similar sets of photographs at high, •edium, and low flows to document channel stability, wetted surface areas, etc., in future Aquatic Studies. Provide complete references to all cross-section data and staff gage data for locations indicated in these figures. Provide stage-discharge diagrus for all gauging stations on both mainstem and tributaries. Provide data used to prepare Figure E.2.66 and a detailed discussion (including input data) of this use of HEC·2. Provide data on particle size distribution for suspended sediments co 11 ected over the annua 1 range of discharges for the Susitna River. Provide data on the contribution of organic matter to suspended sediatent concentrations at each sampling station in the Susitna River on a seasonal basis. The discussion presented here suggests the existence of data (10 mg/L, 2620 mg/L, 5690 mg/L) beyond that given in Table E.2.20. Provide these data. Provide the quantitativa criteria that were used to determine that the proposed minimum flows were adequ1te to allow access to slough spawning grounds . ·Provide the hab1tat suitability criteria used to evaluate flows for adequacy of upstream migration, spawning, rearing, overwintering, and out-migration. Provide data on suspended sediment concentrations in sloughs on a seasonal basis. ~ .. Clarify reference provided on Ffgure E.2. 79 and explain procedure used to create this figure • Provide data on biologically available and tottl soluble phosphorus concentrations in the Susitna River water for each water quality sampling station. .. -.. -.: . ._-.:.·---···-··--·· .. . . . • 12. p. E-2-32, t 5 13. p. E-2-40, t 3 14. p. E-2-40, t 5 15. p. E-2-41 16. p. E-2-42, t 4 17. p. E-2-46, t 2 18. p. E-2-57, Fig. E. 2. 23 19 . p. E-2-58, Table E-2-34 20. p. E-2-66, t 2 21. p. E-2-67, t 3 22. p. E-2-67, t 3, p. E-2-143 -------.,--..,., ____ --- . . . . .... ... ···-·· --.. - 3 - . --·-· .... . -··· Provide references for , or data on, anrnoni um concentrations (means and ranges) in water at monitoring stations on the Susitna River. Provide water levels as a function of observation time for each well. Provide data associated with core drillings and piezo~neter installations. Provide bathymetry for sampled sloughs. Provide CDrrelations between observed slough groundwater parcuneters and local mainstem water elevations and flows . Describe or reference the technique that has been deve 1 oped for 111easuri ng upwelling in s 1 oughs. Provide the date and 111a 1 nste.m f1 ow at the time groundwater flaw vas estimaud. Provide the following information for tributaries at their ,onfluenca with the Susitna River: bathymetJ':f, morphology, and stage discharge relation- ships. Provide the basis for extrapolating HEC-2 vater surface profiles outside the ran~e of calibration flows (9700 to 52,000 ·cfs at Gold Creek) listed in the R&MI 11 Hydrau11c and Ia St~dies" report. Provide references to any additional calibration data sets for the HEC-2 model. Provide methodology and supporting data used to derive the estimated HEC-2 accuracy of ±1 foot. Provide a complete description of the curve- fitting technique used to generate this frequency analysis. Pr ovide a table of proposed mini~num flows 'llhich resolves the apparent contradiction between this table (Table E-2-34) and Exhibit B (Table 8.54), especially for the months of lowest pos t -project flows (October-May). Provide data and observations on changes in the Susitna River morphology during freeze ove l' and ice breakup . Provide estimates of the magnitude of increase in suspended sediments in Watana, Devil Canyon, and the Susitna River associated · with vege t ation removal in the impoundment zones. Provide quantitative estimates of incM!ases in suspended sediment concentrat i ons in winte ~ and in summer and the downstream ~tent of s uch increases during construction of Watana and Dev i l Canyon Dams. '~·-~--------------------------------------------- ·. ·-· ·····---·~·-· ·--·--·----··-·------·---·----·-------·-··---· ..... • .. ·~ • 23. p. E-2-67, , 4 24. p. E-2-69, , 3 25. p. E-2-70, , 1 26. p. E-2-75, t 4 27. p. E-2-77, t 1 e p. E-2-87., 1 29. p. E-2-89, t 3 30. p. E-2-90, t 3 31. p. E-2-91, t 2, · p. E-2-170 - 4 - Provide envi~nmental criteria used for selection and elimination of borrow sites. Provide data on the quantity and particle size distribution of materials lost through entrainment and erosion fro• borrow sites at other construction sites in Alaska (e.g., lake Eklutna Hydro Project). Provide description of methods for preventing entrain~~ent of backfill materials in river water and erosion of such uterials into the river. Provide coefficient values used in regression analysis and how they were determined. Provide details of regression analysis used for Deadman Creek including derivation of coefficients and input data. Provide longitudinal profiles of pr•dicted weekly average temperatures downstream of Watana Dam and Devil Canyon/Watana using the DYRSEM and HEATSIM models. Simulations for stations with pre-project temperature data should be provided with Watana in operation and Devil Canyon/Watana in operation using data for an average water year and for condi~ions of •inimum releases (i.e., using data for a •i ni111.111 flow year) from Watana and frota Devil Canyon. Listings of inputs used and assump- tions 111de in each simulation sflould also be provided. Outflow temperatures from each reservoir used in the HEATSIM 11odel should include the temperatures that would have to be available at the •ultilevel intakes in order to •atch pre-du temperatures . Meteorological conditions used as model parameters should be provided. These simulated average weekly temperatures should be compared to pre-project temperatures 11easured during low-flow and average flow years. Provide parameter value~ used in each simulation and document the source of the va 1 ues used. , . .-... · ~rovide river stage and flows at which overtopping and scouring of sloughs was observed. Provide estimates of the magnitude of increase in suspended sediment concentrations and in turbidity in winter in the Susitna River compared to pre- project levels. . . ~ . :. • !-: .. ' . •. Provide quantitative esti111ates of increases in suspended sediments resulting fro11 skin slides, bi o1110dal flow type slides, and shallow rotational ~lides in the Watana and Devil Canyon impoundment .. ~.----no·-- ·-·-· -·· ..... ·-. ·--~ ... ----··· -·. -· ... -·-···-. ... .. -··· .. -·-.. -, ... ··-..• -· .. . ·--· .. --.... ---. -·-------- • . •f • ~ • 32. p. E-2-92, t l 33 . p. E-2-96, t 2 34. p. E-2-97 35. p. ·E-2-100, t 4 ~ p. E-2·ll2, f 2 37 . p. E-2-112, t 6 - 5 - zones. Document locations where each type ot slide is likely to occur in each of the impoundment zones. Provide analysis of the effects of filling and o~~ratian of Watana on suspended sediment concen- trations and suspended particle sizes passing downstrea. through Watana Reservoir. Provide quantitative estimates of nutrient adsorp- tion on suspended sediments (e.g., glacial flour) that will be transported into Watana Reservoirs. Provide data on levels of exchangeable phosphorus 1 n soi 1 s in the Watana and De vi 1 Canyon i mpoun~nt zonu. Provide data on the seasonal fluctuations of groundwater levels for various river stages for the aquifers adjacent to the ·river and upgradient from the river aainsta. Provide data on the seasonal variations in groundwater discharge to the sloughs. Provide data on the areal extent and seasonal variability of upwelling in the sloughs for various river flows. Provide data on the areal extent of the allu\'ial aquifer in the reservoir area. . the Sl~onal fluctuation of the de.pth of the penaafrost. Provide real and simulated salinity da~ \. ich show the accuracy of the Corp of Engineers salinity 1110del for predicting salinity fn Cook Inlet at different locations (e.g., Node 27) under different flow conditions. Also, provide parameter values used in these simulations and document the source of the va 1 'Ues used. Estimate the probability and magnitude of super- saturated water passing through Watana and Devil Canyon reservoirs . Include specific estimates for water entering Watana reservoir, the likelihood of supersaturated conditions persisting through the reservoirs to the intake structures, any differences between saturation values of water entering outlet facilities and the turbine intakes, potential for air entrainment at both outlet facilities and the turbine intakes, and a description of the processes affecting supersaturation at the turbine outlet facilities. Provide data on the seasonal variability of bedload transport in the Susitna River at available cross sections. I • •. • -... . . -------··-·----· ·--· .. ---··--.·· -· ---. --··- . . 38. p. E-2-117. , 2 '\ /'39.1 p . E-2-118. t 1, \..._..t Fig. £.2.170 , Fig. E.2.1n p. E-2·121. t 5, Fig. E.2.179 p. E-2-124, t 2 42. p. E-2·126 43. p. E-2·128 , t 2 44. p. E-Z-132, , 2 45. p. E-2-133, t 3 46. p. E-2-136, , 4 · 47. p. E-2-165. t 4 tG p. E-2-187. !·2 -6 Describe the uncertainties associated with data collected during this period. Provide lstimate of the error/uncertainty for la~e Elc.lutna DYRSEH simulations by •onth and season. Also provide data on model parameters used in the simulations fn Figs . £.2 .170 and £.2.171. Expla i n why the DRYSEM s i mulation run was restarted on August 19 (Ffg. £.2 .170). Provide parame t er values used 1n the DYRSEMIHEATSIM simulation of river temperatures in Fig . E.2.179 and document the so~rce of parameter values used. Provide documentation for ICESIM model. Provide validation of ICESIM model by comparing 11odel predictions with fee observations on the Susitna River . Provide sensitivity analysis to estimate cumulative uncertainty in ice cov er predictions by cDns i dering uncertainties 1n the sequence of 110dels used. Frovide colll'parisons of trap efficiencies for Watana based on the Brune curve with those estimated , using other 11ethods. Provide list of all discharges where cone val~es will be used and a list of discharges where cone valves will not b~ used for Watana and for Devil Canyon. Provide data for each fraction of nitrogen and phosphorus used in the calculation of the N:P ratio 1n Susitna River water. Provide data on water qua H ty, including nutrients, dissolved oxygen, and trace metal concentrations in Alaskan reservoirs of similar depths and in simi 1 ar c 1 i mato 1 ogi ca 1 regimes during and after · filling. Provide 1 list of differences and si11i larities among Lake Eklutna, Watana, and Devil Canyon, including physiographic characteristics (e.g., depth, area, aspect, shoreline development) known to affect responses of reservoirs to meteorological changes and thermal characteristi cs. Provide bathymetry and su bstrate dat~ for sloughs identified as candidates for remedial action. •• -... #. ,_ .... -. -.. -. ··-·-.. ---· ··---· ···-•:--.. ·-~-­-···-.. ---. ···-·~._,;. ·---.·. . •. . .,. ' .... 49. Fig. E.2.63, Fig. E.2.64 50. Fi g. E.2.65 51. Table E.2.2, Table E.2.4 -7 - Provide clarification of the term 11 water depth 11 used fn these figures (i.e., maximum depth , mean depth, or hydraulic radius). Provide a description of the modeling procedures used to generate the water surface elevations in this f i gure . Provide the appropriate reference to Trfhey's vork (Trihey 1982 is ambiguous) and other ADFG or R&M reports containing data used in this analysis. Provide tables of monthly average flow data at Gold Creek, Chulitna River, Talkeetna River, and Susitna Station for water years 1950 through 1981. Provide corresponding monthly average temperatu~e data at these four stations for e ve~ month during water years 1950 through 1981 for which this 1 s possible. .. ·. -. .. • - 8 - 3. FISH, WILDLIFE, AND BOTANICAL RESOURCES FISH RESOURCES 1. p. E-3-92, 1 2,3 2. p . E-3-96, t 3 3. p. E-3-110, t 3; p . E-3-lll, t 2; p. E-3-115,1 2 4. p. E-3-112, t 3 5. p. E-3 -113, t 3 6. p. E-3-120, t 2 7. p. E-3-128, t 1 Provide criteria that require use of cold (4°C), deepwater re 1 eases through dhers ·: .ln tunne 1 s in t.he second sUDner of Watana fi 111 ng . Provide reasoning why war~~er surface water cannot be used when i t will, according to Table £·3.25, Plate F-17, and Figure C.1, be accessible to t.he outlet 1aci1 fties. Provide the depth-of-passage criteria used in the analysis of Slough 9 that led to the conclusion of unrestricted access at flows over 18,000 cfs but acute access problems at flows less than 12,000 cfs. Provide quantitative biological criteri a for suit· able water depths 1n sloughs for access and spawning . Provide doc umen tation, quantative if possible , from other hydroelectric projects in glacial areas that decM!ased open-water turbidity and reduced silt load downstream of Watana will improve benthic: producti on and thus fish rearing. Provide docum entation of successful egg incubation, as well as overwintering in areas downstream of hydropower reservoirs where glacial silt loads an d turbidity continue into winter months, e.g., below Eklutna lake. Provide your quantitative estimate and ana lysis of chang es in growth rates and outmigration times of juvenile sa 1 mon 1 n the Sus 1 tna 11a ins tream and , maj or side ch ann el s that could result from a ltere~ an nual temperature and flow regimes such as those given in Figures E-2.174 through E. 2.183, E. 2.193 and E.2.194, or others if justified. Do for \latana and Devil Canyon scenarios •. . .. Pr ovide a spe cies l ist of impo rtant r esident finfish and shell fish 1n Upper Cook Inlet. Indicate the most dominan t species and any species of comme rcial value . · Provide references from other project s or fro11 experimental studies that form the basis for the .................. . ~ .. -------------- ' 8. p. E-3-130, t 6, p. E-3-187, t 6 9. p. E-3-164, t 4 10 . p. E-3-110, t 5 11. p . E-3-178 12. p. E-3-119, Aquatic Studies Progru 13. Table E. 3.8 14 . Table E.3.17 15. Fi gures E.3.8 and E.3 .9 - 9 - statement that turbidity and si l tation of the Sus1tna River from gravel mining in the riverbed and tributaries for Watana and Devil Canyon Dams will not result in adverse impacts to fish . Prov i de water quality criteria used to determine suitability of Oevil Canyon and Watana Reservoirs for f1s~ production, especially for the decision to stock and manage rainbow trout only in Devil Canyon reservoir. Provide references to studies at other sites where spring flows were manipulated at the tin of ice breakup in order to stimulate out-•igratian of sa lllOn fry. Provide operating criteria for deter~~ining how the selective withdrawal capabilities of the multi-level intakes to the Watana and Devil Canyon powerhouses wi 11 be contra 11 ed to atui n pre-estab 1 i shed thermal objectives far fish populations. Provide the data and analysis procedure used to detaraine the •a.ximum esti mated s!)awning habitn (approxiataly 245,000 ftl) required by sal1110n spawning in sloughs upstream fro~~ Talkettna in 1981 and 1982. Provide the current work plan f or the Aquatic Progr111 for 1983 and 1984. Provide an eva l uati on of or reference t hat descri bes the correlation between helicopter suneys versus on-foot surveys as methods far estimating chinook salmon escapement (number live and dead). Provide estimates for each tributary listed in this table of the total length of tri butary presently uti lized by Ar ctic grayling. Provide papu l ati on es timates and percentages of ·adu l t salmon 111 i gr ating past t he Sunshine Station (see Ffgs . E.3.8 and E.3.9) that enter the Talkeetna River, the Chulitna River, or stay in the Susitna River between the Sunsh i ne Station and the Talkeetna Sbtion. Tt RREST RIAL BOTAN I CAL RESOURCES 1~ p. E-3-195, t 3 Prov i de an estima te of the amount and kinds of timber currently removed from the project are~ for subs i ste nce use . .. . . 2 . p. E-3-202, 1 4 3. p. E-3-206, t 1 4. p. E-3-208, t 4, to p. E-3-210, t 1 5. p. E-3-219, 1 5, to p. E-3-220, t 1 6. p. E-3-221, t 4 7. p. E-3-2.25, t 2; p. E-3-240, t 2; p. E-3-244, 1 3; p. E-3-245, , 3; p. E-3-246, t 5; p. E-3-247, 1 2-4; p. E-3-252, t 5; p. E-3-253, t 1; p. E-3-270, t 1; p. £-3-280, , 5 8. p. E-3-226, 1 4 -10 - Estimate the average elevational limit for trees in the project area (and/or ~stimate the range for tne line). Indicate whether the percentage of tota 1 area covered by open sprur.e is !% as stated in this paragraph or 7% as shown in Table £.3.51. Define sedge-shrub tundra and mat and cush i on/sedge- grass t undra as used in Tables E.3.51 and £.3.52. Indicate (e.g., as in Table E.3.87) how the vegetation types that were used by Convnonwealth Assoc. (1982) and presented 1n Table E.3.79 correlate with the vegetation types used by Mc Kendrick et al . (1982). Provide clarification of the statements concerning 11odified 11apping of wet sedge-grass and black spruce forest as wetlands 1n the Healy-to-Fairbanks and Willo~ta-Cook Inlet tran~mission corridors. Were all the areas covered by th:!se vegetation types considered wet l ands, or were portions of each type selected en the basis of defined criteria? Check anrl correct, as necessary, all calculations of land areas to be impacted or mitigated. Dis- crepancies have been found withi n tables {e. g., Table E.3.83 totals for impoundment and for shrub- land over th~ entire Watana facility) and be tween the text and calculations made from the tables . Far example, on p. E-3-225 total direct vegetation removal due to Watana construction is given as 16,582 hi, but this figure should take into account the 2128 ha of unvegetated area; on p, E-3-245, the percentage of total ~et 1 ands occupied by palustrine forested areas is not consistent with calculations made from Table E.3.82. Indicate whether unvege tated or disturbed areas were included in the calculations for vegetation removals and whether unvegetated rocky areas we re treated ·differently than river. lake, or .ice a r e as. ! • Provide a more detailed desc ri ption of fugitive du s t emissions and impacts. Include calculations and/or discussions to support conclusions on the fmpacts of fugitive dust. Show on an appropriate map of the project area locations wheTe significant fugitive dust emissions are expected during con- struction. Provide the time periods for construc- tion activ ity a~eac h l cc ation of expected signi- ficant fugitive emissions; prov ide mitigation · measures. .. . . .. . -... ·-· ... ·----·-·-------.. ____ .. _. ·---- 9. . 10. 11. p . E-3·230, Y 2.; p . E-3·242, f 2 12. p. E-3-246, , 2 13. p. E-3-25 6, f 1 14. p. E-3-259, f 3 15. p. E-J-m, , 4 16. p. E-3-272, t 2 17. p. E-3·274, f 4, to p. E·3-27S, T 1 -11 - Provide estiaates of pollutant emiss i on l evels for the temporary diesel power generati on f acil i ties and t he peri ad of us e during the cons tructi on period. What air qua lity impacts will result? Provide numerical values, explain their derivation, and provide a numerical estimate of the air quality impact. Were ~~~eteoro 1 ogi ca 1 11easurements 11ade 1 n the vicinity of the propose~ dam sites? If so, provide data an frequence of occurrena of wind speed, stability class, wind direction , and inversion depths. Indicate whether the area affected by the dravdown zone has been fnc:luded in esti 111tes of direct vegetation removal dut to the impoundments and/or in Tables E. 3. 83 and E. 3.84. If not, provi de estimates of the areas affected by drawdown for both Watana and Devil canyon. Provide estimates (using tables similar to Table E.l.82) of the number of hectares of different wet 1 and types that wi 11 be crossed by each of the tranSIIfssion corridors (includi ng the intertie) and areas that will be clea red for access. Describe how partially or completely excavated barrtJW areas for the access roads will be N . !bil- itated. Indicate how the area of wet sedge-grass tundra in the access and transmission corri dors vas calculated to be 195 ha using Tables E.3.80,· E.3.8S, and E.3.86, ~d indicate i f the intertie (Table E.3 .79) has been included in the calculations. Indi cate ~hether, and in ~hat situations, ~i nter cons t ruction of transmi ssi on lines will be used as a mitigation measure (si nca the usa of he licopter constructi on is not cu r rently planned). I ndicate whether the usa of balloon-tire or fl at· tread vehicles as required for •ccess to the Watana-to-Gold Creek corri dor wi11 also be requi red for the other transmiss i on corr idors. Expla i n ~h e re the numbers in the examples in these twa paragraphs came from ; they do not correspond with prev i ously stated numbers s uch as those on p. E-3-253 . .. . . --· ·--------------·---. ------· -··---·· .... 18. p. E-3-275, f 3, to p . E-3-291, f 3 19. p . E-3-279 , f 1, to p. E-3-280, f 4 -12 -. ' Provide a •or e detailed description of possible •iti gation options for wetlands where avoidance cannot be used as the •ethod of •itigation. For example , describe special construction ·.ethods that could be used in wetland areas, and provide examples of the techni ques or aethods that could be used to 11itigat.e potential alterations to wetland drainage patterns. Provide examples of reclamat1(3n plans and pro- cedures that could be used for various types of areas (e.g., slopes, flat areas) and ujor vegeta- tion types. IDRESTRIAL WILDUFE RESOU~CES 1. p. E·3-3U, f 4 2. p. E-3-337, t 3 3. p. E-3-411 , t 1 4. p. E-3-450, t 2 5. p. E-3-494 to p. E-3-495 6. p. E-3-499, 1 2 7. p. £~3-524, f 3 8. p. E-3-536, f 4 9. p. E-3-540, f 1 10 . Table E.3.92 and Tab l es £.3.83, E.3.7l 11. Table £.3 .143 . Provide a complete description of criteria for stratifying census area into low, ftedium, and high density strata. Provide a schedule of when results from ongoing studies will be available. Provide an estiaate of the numbers of 110ose using the aineral lick and the number of other licks used by the local •oose population. Indicate the availability of bald eagles nest si t es relative to food availability. Descri be the potential for impacts of operating transm i ssion lines on wi l dlife use of rights-of-way. Indicate the criteria for deteraining • ••• suffi- cient magnitude to influence mitigation planning.• Provide assays for soluble cations and salts as well as for total elemental levels. Indi cate if a f t i gation by shi fting the road al i g- nment also i ncludes avo i di ng the use of borrow materi al near the nest &s well as other sensiti ve areas identi fied in Figures E.3.80 through E.3.82. Indicate if transmission lines were sited so as to reduce or avoid potential for collisions. I ndicate which is the value to be used for the &r e&l extent of low-mi xe d-shrubland. : Oeffne the number fn parentheses next to each species name. -. --. ----· --·-----------------·--·-·--- . . . . . . 12. Table E.3.165 and Tab l es E.J.n. E.3.83, E.3.S4 13. Table E.3.165 -13 - Indicate vhich va l ues for areal extent o! vege t ation types are to be used . Define 11 total %of other projects". .. .. ... ...,.---- -14 - 4. HISTORIC AND ARCHAEOLOGICAL RESOURCES The following archaeological field work 11ust be completed during the 1983 field season. The order of the list indicates the priorities that should be placed on the completion of each task. 1. Completion of the reconnaissance survey of the proposed access roads, railroad, Watana and Devil Ca~on dam sites, construction camp areas, usociated impact. areas, and reservoirs, including the resurvey of defined locales that have potential for containing sites. 2. Completion of aerial reconnaissance survey and on--ground reconnaissance survey as necessary to complete sensitivity maps of all proposed trans- mission corridors and recreation facility sites as may have been defined indicating the potential of these areas for containing archaeological and histori cal sites. 3. Completion of reconnaissance survey of any additional direct imp act areas that •ay be defined prior to the 1983 field season. 4. Completion of systematic testing of archaeological and historical sites in the direct impa ct areas of t t:e access roads and raihoad, and the vi cinity of the construction camp areas and the proposed s ites of the Watana and nevi1 Canyon dams and associated facilities. The following field ~ork should be completed in the 1984 field season and according to the following priorities. 1. Completion of systematic testing of sites in the reservoirs. 2. Completion of reconnaissance survey along the proposed transmission corridors , recreation facility sites, and indirect and potenti al imp act areas •. 3. Completion of systemati c te.sting of sites in these areas as 11ay be necessa ry. A prel imin ary ~port on the results of the 1983 field season shou l d be filed at the conclusion of f iel d -.ork. no later than Septemb er 1, 1983. A draft final report on the 1983 field season must be provided by December 1, 1983, fol lowed by the final report by January 1, 1984 . The final report on the 1984 season should be filed after completion of all field ~ork., no late~ than January 1, 1 985 . The 1985 report should contai n a site-specific cultural resources management plan. All ~ork ~d final reports, including a cultural resources mana gement plan, should be undertaken and prepared in consultation with the Alaska State Historic Preservation Officer, the National Park Service, and appropriat.e federal land-managing agenci es . Five copies of each r eport (i nc luding five cop ies of the fi nal reports on the 1980, 1981, and 1982 f i eld ~rk) shou ld be filed ~ith the Commission. ..... ~--· ···-. --··· ----· -·-------.............. ·-. . 1. p . E-5-8, t 4, through p. E-5-26, t 1 2. p. f.::-5-27,, 1, p. through E-5-52, t 4 3. p . E-5-30, 1 2; p. E-5-38, 1 1; p. E-5-40, t 5; p. E-5-64, t 4 4. p. E-5-34, t 1; p. E··S-86, t 2 5. p. E-5-37, t 2 6. p. E-5-39, t 5,6; p. E-S-42, t 3,4; p . E-5-48, t -1,2 7. ~· E-5-42, 1 3,4, p. E-5-48, t 1,2. 8. p. E-5-45, t 2 ,. 9. p. E-5-47, t 2,3 -15 - • r 5. SOCIOECONOMICS Provide data on the distribution of temporary and renta 1 housing or 1 odgi ng un i tt> throughout the project region . Prov i de date when supplemental information will be available. Provide 1 discussion of impacts related to deve- lopment of the proposed project on Native Alaskans. Provide date when supplemental information will be available. Explain the discrepancy between t he ratios of · direct workers plus dependents to support workers plus dependents (3:1, 1:1, 4:1) and the multi- pliers used to generate population projections (rangi ng from 1:1.2 to 1:2.4). Provide information on how expenses of the school onsite will be shared by APA and the Borough. Document that the state will assume responsibility for ~aintenance and winter plowing of the Denali Highway and maintenance of the project access road during and after project construction, whether or not the road is eventually closed ~ public access. Discuss the conditions unde r ~hich •a strain on this informal system" will be defined as occurring, as well as a plan or alternatives f~r who will provide these services . Provide date when $upple- mental information will be provided. Provide infonnation on the composition of the · onsite medical and hospital staff and where that staff will come from (e. g., housed onsite or commute). · Provide an estimate of how many of the railhead construction workers would be emp loyed at the Watana and Devil Canyon sites after the railhead facilities are c omp let~d. Provide date that information will be available on road surface fo r the Denali Hig hway and on naviga- tional and traffic aid needs in Cantwell. Provide description of these studies. ···--·-·--· -------.... ··----·-----·· ' .. . · .--:--.... :.· ·----........ . .. .. -.... -. . .. . . . . . . . .., . . .. 10. p. E-5-55, 1 5, through p. E-5-56, t 2 11. p. E-5-59, t 1 12. p. E-5-60, t 4, and p. e-s-n, t 1 13. p. E-5-63, t 2-4 14. p. E-5-70, I 1 through p. E-5·78, t 4 15. p. E-5-78, t 6 16. p. E-5-79, t 1 17 . p. E-5-81,. t 3, through p. E-5-82, I 6 18. p. E-5-86, , 4; p. E-5-90, t 2; p. E-5-93, 1 Z 19 . p. E-5-95, 1 7 -16 - Provide information on whether the payroll figures include payments for housing, on whether meals will be included for all single workers 1 iving in onsite housing, and on how workers wi ll qualify to live in onsite housing, both single and family units. Describe the local hire program planned. Provide the number of workers who will be housed at the railhead camp and whether they are included in these figures on settlement patterns for the Mat-Su Borough . Describe the railhead camp. Provide date when supplemental information will be provided. Provide information on other projects proposed for the region during the same time period as this project. Inc 1 ude the capacity of and impacts to 1 odges , other temporary lodging units, and trailer parks. Provide date when supplemental information will be pro vi de d •. Provide information on the location and numbers of these isolated residences that would be displaced by the project. Provide date when supplemental information wi ll be provided. Descr i be existing housing and commercial operations and potential project impacts along the proposed ra i 1 1 i ne . Describe the ongai ng study of 1 and i mprovements . Provide a date when 'this study and the supplemental information on housing and commercial operations will be provided. rrovide quan t ified es t imates of project-related subcontracting expenditures. Discus s how short fa 11 s in Borough revenues will be resolved. Provide date when supplemental information will be provided. Provide explicit discussion of · the relationship be t ween the recreation plan and the exacerbation and management of i ncreased competition within this user gr oup . In add i tion, explicitly relata the establishment of a permarent vi~lage t o effects upon this use r group. • . . . ·-·-------· . -...... -· .. .. 2b. p. E-5-102, t 2, and p. E-5-104, f S, through p. E-5-105, 1 1 21. p. E-5-104, t S 22. p . E-5-110, 1 2 23. p . E-5-116, 1 4 24 . p. E-5-117, t 2 25. p. E-5-120, 1 4, through p. E-5-121, t 3 26 . p. E-5-125 27. p. E-5-125 28 . p. E-5-125, 1 1, t i .l ., .. ,h p. e-s-u~. , s 29 . p. E-5-126, t 3 30. p . E-5 ~128, t 2-S ! 31. p. E-5-129, t 3 -17 - Describe the •onitoring program and provide dat~s when data viii be available. Provide estimates of the current level of permit violations ~nd non-permit hunting , especially in accessible areas, and of effects of increased demand upon these levels. Provide dates when these data will be available. Relate doubling of hunter demand indicated in Table E. 7.13 to current use of GMU 13E, the u in area of impact. ~~ current ADFG management regulations for Indicate impacts to trapping activity because of incr eased accessibility provided by project roads and structures. Identify options for reducing impacts to the fish/ wildlife user group . Describe procedure.s that vill be followed in optimizing the resoluti on among conflicting ~nterests for mitigating impacts to recreation, fish/~.ldlife users, and the fish/wildlife supply. Indicate spec i fic applicant-proposed and committed monitoring and aitigation plans. Discuss role of local community and regional officials. Provide date when supplea~ental information on these plans will be provided. Provide plans for the railhead construction camp in Cantwell after the railhead is coa~pleted. Describe studies and monitoring programs and give · dates when data will be available. Provide specific plans for adjusting project schedules with reference t o other projects; ti mi ng of workforce demand; leave, shift, and shift rotation sche dules. Provide detailed plans for "siti.ng, type , quality, and.administration of housing and related facilities for workers" when avafiable. . . . .. 32. p. E-5-129, 1 4, through p. E-5-131, 1 4 33. p. E-5-132, 1 3 34. p. E-5-133, 1 5, tnrough p. E-5-134, 1 6 35. p. E-5-137, 1 3 36. Figure E.S .l 37 . p. E-58-3, 1 6, through p. E-SB-4 ~ t 1 --··· ---. ···-··. .,. -· . -18 -. ' Indicate specific applicant-proposed 111itigation plans on transportati on, including rail, pooling, and air alternatives , and funding (e.g., conditions for payment of travel expenses for workers). Cite sourcu of 1nfonaation on other projects (p. E-5-130, 1 S). Provide date when supplemental information ~11 be provided. Indicate specifically how thresholds .of •fnadequately- .et deaand• and of cost-effectiveness of aitigation aeasures will be determined. Provide descriptions of data and nthods of data collection and analysis to be used in monitoring and updating i11pact assessments. Provide dates supplemental information on the 1110n1toring plan and assessnents ~ 11 be provided. Provide date informati on w111 be available on the study of the poss i ble new location for th~ permanent townsite. Provide a map showing aajor transportation routes plus all comunities refernd to in this chapter (e. g., Wasilla, Trapper Creek, which do not appear on other ups in the application). The standards of 25 students per class for primary schools and 20-22 for sec ondary schoo l ' for the Borough are not the samt:! ones which appear on Table 5.8.1, p. E-58-7. ldentit,y which were used. In addition to the above items from Chapter 5, the following specific information requests are made based on the responses to agency comments which appear in Appendix EUJ, "Coaments Received from Agencies Concarning the Draft License and the Power Authority's Response to these Comments.• 38. Response.s to Alaska Department of Nat ural Resources Letter of January 13, 1983: •· Cement 9 b. Cement 10 Provide reference.s of TAPS studies reviewed. Provide descTi ption of how impact mode l will be updated and dates when up nates vi 11 be available. 39. Responses to Al aska Depar tment of Fi sh and Game Lett er of January 13, 1983 : Chapter S, Sp ecific Comments. '· a. G-5-001 E-5-6/1 b. G-5-008 E-5-68 and G-5-017 E-5·7115 -19 - Provide description of study 11ethods and plan, data on the "importance of the natura 1 resource harvest to the local impact area" to be co l lected in 1983 "through interviews vith residents of selected communities,• and date vhen data will be available. Provide data that will be collected on fi sh and wildlife user groups in Cantwell and other commu- nities in the project region, and indicate dat e when these data will be available . Provide descrip- tion of study plan and methods. . --.------·---. . .. . 1. p. E-6·1 to p. E-6-42 2. p. E-6-3, t 1 3. p. E-6-4 , t 4 4 . p. E-6-11 S. p. E-6-lS 6. p. E-ti-20, t Z 7. p. E-6-25, 1 1 . . . . 8. p. E-6-28 9. p . E-6-30, t 4 ---· ... ---· ---.. --.. -20 - 6. GEOLOGICAL AHO SOIL RESOURCES Include a detafled description of soils, including the types of occurrence, physical and chemical characteristics, erodab111ty, and potential for eass soil •ovement for impoundment areas, Access routes, transmission line routes, bor~ areas, construction camps • and other project features. If kn«Nn, provide the geologic name~ of the strati- graphic units in the area. Complete the last sentence in the paragraph. Provide 1 tabulation of significant seismic events and their intensities at the site. Also provide 1 plot shoving cumulative magnitude-recurrence frequency for each seismic source area identified tn the study. Document any studies that describe the origin of •the Fins• feature. Descr i be any investi gations underway to discover other unide ntified shear zones beneath the other incised porti)nS of the relict channel. Indiate the scope of these fnve~t igations, prov i de s~aries of these findi ngs, and esti mate completion dates f or th ~se studies. Describe in greater detail the presence of stress relief joints 100 ft back from the Devil Canyon dam sfte gorge ~a l ls and ~h e large de t ac he d rock blocks measu r ing 25 by SO ft on the l eft ab utment as de scribed in the Acres Am erican 1982 Geotechnical Report Vol. 1 (e .g., depth of joints, probability · of failure of block. during 11a.xia11.n intensity quake. probable se i che effects) • .. Estimate t he numb er of hec t ares exp ected to be affected by each type of sl ope fai l ure for each reservoir. -· • :. "% ,. • • •• ·:.·· .. Analyze how the previous substantial glacial 'loading and unload i ng of t he reg i on 01ay affect the prob ability and magn i t ude of ant icipated IUS. Provide estima tes of the amo unt of piping of the r elict channel north of the Watana site ex it point on Tsusena Creek t hat may be expected as a result . . . 10. p . E-6 -34 U. p. E-6-35, t 3 12. p . E-6-40, t 3 13. p. E-6-41 14. p. E-6-41, t 8 lS. genera 1 ct~ament . - 21 - of seepage . Di scus s the nat ure of fut ure investi- gations to ass ess t he seepage problem and the criteria to be used in determining mitigation •easures. Esti~nate the potential for slope failure and erosion to extend beyond the project boundaries . Identify areas where this may be aost likely to occur and estimate the number. of hectares to· be affected. Provide an analysis of the effects and probabilfty of seis•i cally induced seiches. Estimate the water-level fluctuations due to sei ches. Provide the criteria whereby the •itigation 11easures to reduct the 1 eakage through the relict channe 1 will be chosen. Provide an analysis of the impacts of each of thes• alternative ~~easures. Estimate the liquffacti on potential for all uncon- solidated alluvial and glacial deposits within the river valley and access and transmis s ion line routas. · If the excavati on of the buried channe 1 area is required, estimate the amounts of additional bLlrrow -aaterial that would ba required and indi cate which borrow areas would be used. Indicate what potential impacts would be assoc i ated with construction of access roads, transmission towers, an d temporary and permanent CDnstruction villages on pel"'llafrost and what mitigation measures will be used during such construction. Document other studies that have analyzed such impacts and mitigati on measures in similar regions. . . 1. p. £-7-lZ, , ' 2. p. E-7-17, , 5 3. p. E-7-18, t 4 4. p. E-7-19, t 1 s. p. E-7-30, t 2; p. E-7-97, t 4; ~ p. E-3-422, ! 3 . ."'· 6. p. E-7-34, t 3 .. 7. p. E-7-44, t 8 -22 - 1. RECREATION RE SOURCES Provide documents and other ava11abe information supporting the conclusion that the aiddle Susftna River lasfn h unsufUble for inclusion fn the State Park System. No structures are apparent fn Figures E.7 .6, E.7 .7 and £.7.8. Are the structures referred to those that are shown in Figure E. 7.4? . Verify that there are U structures at High lake Lodge; e.g., seven structures are shown in Fig- ure E.7.4. Table E.9.5 and Figure E.9.9 indicate the presence of ntne structures and tw~ cabin foundations at High Lake Lodge. Info1"114Uon concerning structures as presented 1n Figures E.7 .4 and E.9 .9 and Table E.9.5 should be compared and the discrepancies corrected. For example, the Tsusena Lake lodge is located more than five aileJt from Tsusena Lake fn Figure £.9.4. · Provide copies of an.y regulations developed by BUM for management of public trails located ~n local lands selected by Native Corporations. Are the six easements identified fA the st"u~ area shown fn Figure E. 7.4? If not, provide a aap shoving locations of the easements. . r ·· ................. _, Provide an explanation of the b~ts for ant tct-.. patfng that all game hunting by p~ject personnel would be prohibited and provide a rationale as to how such a prohibftton would be justified and enforced. · · · ~ . . t 4 · Specify target dates for completion of studies and submi ssion of the recreati on development pl an for transm i ssion line corridors • Provide details demonstrating how this calculated recreation de.mand [Sec. 3.2.3(a}] was factored ·.nto develop ment of t he Recreation Plan, as pr esented tn ·Sec t ion 5. For example, ~hfeh of t he prop osed recr eation s ites wou l d be r equf"d to satisfy demand at the year ~000? How wou l d visi tation to vi sitors centers at dam sites be factored into demand estimates? . , . . . . . 8 . p. E-7-67 , t 2 9. p. E-7-69, Section 5.4.1 10. p. E-7-97, t 3 11. p. E-7-10 1 , t 3 12. p. E-7-101, , 5 13. p. E-7-101, t 5; p. E-7-110, 'f 4; p. E-7-113, t 3 14. p.· E-7-105, 1 1 ... -·--. . --. . . -.-... ·. -23 - Pro vi de a copy of the 1974 document by the U.S. Department of Agriculture that was used as a basis for calculating carrying capacity of the various recreation sites. Also provide details as to how the methodo 1 ogy presented i n the document was 11modified11 for use in calculations of carrying capacity as presented. Compare information common to Secti on 5.4.1 through Section 5.4.5, Section 6.1.6, Ta bles E.7.17 and E.7.l8, and Figures E.7.7 through E.7 .17 and correct all discrepancies with respect to (1) phasi 1g of development, (2) proposed f aciliti es to be pr ovided, and (3) estimated costs of 11 recreation plan project features." Provide more specific information f or proposed recreation sites D (Tyone confluence with Susitna), B (Butte Creek/Su$itna River), A (Middle Fork-Chulitna River), and H (Tsusena Creek), i.e., information comparable to that s hown for other proposed recreation areas in Figures E. 7. 7 through E. 7.17 (inc 1 ude addition a 1 ~ps as appropriate). Indicate if the proposed airfield will be available for general publi c use during project construction and/or operation. Provide target dates for finalizing plans and submission of information relative to Phas ·Two engineering design specifications, final s1te selection, and site-specific data for all Phase-one racreat'on developments identi fied in the Recreation .P lan. Prov ide utypical or similar facility design standan~ for the Susitna project,11 as proposed in the text. Copies of · any existing agreements, as we 11 as any future arrangements between the app 1 i cant and cooperating entities ralative to implementation o f the proposed recreation plan, mus t be submitted to the Federa 1 Energy Reg ulatory Commission. Aside from APA, t he Divi s ion of Parks, and directly affected 1 and owners, s pecify how other 1 oca 1 residents wou ld be involved in decis ·ions concerning scheduling and implementation of increased recrea- tional developments . ... 1. p. E-8-~0. 1 1, to p. E-8-31 , 1 4 2. p. E-8-33, 1 1-8 3. p. E-8-36 to p. E-8-41 4. p. E-8-39 to p. £-8-40 5. p. E-8-41 6. p. E-8-50, 1 3-5; p. E-8-53 to p . E-8-59 7. p. E-8-61, 1 l, to p. E-8-68, 1 3 24 - ·-. 8. AESTHETIC RESOURCES Indicate 1f the four natural features of Clear Valley (p. E-8-22). Watana Creek Falls, Watana lake (p. E-8-24), and Tyone River are considered e.xceptional in relation t.o the project a~a. If so, describe them in the Exceptional Natural Features Section 5.2; include photos in the appendix, and sho~ their locations on Figure E.8.S. Provide 1 brief description (e.g., viewer vantage point, view ing distance, number of potential vie~ers, duration of view) of those significant views that are indicated on Figure E.8.8 and ~ntioned in the charts of Appendix 8.F . Provide a similar level of information for the the trans- •isiion line corridor, including the intertie. Indicate if there 1s 1 d istinction betwel!n use of the terms "medi wn" and "110derate". which are used interchangeably 1n the Aesthetic Value and Absorption Capability Rating Charts and on the Composite Rating Matrix. Indicate whether the absorption capability rating for the landscape character type of Tanan a Ridge is ulow" (p. E-8-39) or "rnoderat.eu . (p. E-8-40). Indicate it the absorption capab11 ity rows have similar high, atedium, and low designations as shown for the aesthetic value rating colUII'I ns. Indicate 1f all (or which) 11it i gation op t ions r::entioned within the text will be undertai(en. Provide a similar level of description and analysi s to that used for the project area, access roads, and transR!ission li ra e stubs (including photos, map ping, and descriptions of landforms, waterforms, vegetation, and views) for the 1ntertie transmissi on line corridor l a ndscape types of Talkeetna lowlands, Chulitna River, Broad Pa!:s, Alaska Range, and Yanert River Valley (Step 3). Br iefly describe and indicate on maps (Step 4) all signifi cant viewpoints, view s heds, distances, and potential numbers of viewers along the entire transmission line corridor (e. g •• at road crossings, river ---~-:--. -· .. -----------··-·· ... . . . . . . 8. p. E-8-61, t 1 to p. E-C-68, t 3 -25 - crossings, skylined areas, etc.). Provide aesthetic value and absorption capabil i ty ratings for the intertie landscape character types (Steps 5 & 6) and determine t he project feature impacts (Steps 7 & 8). Finally, provide proposed mitigat ion measures for the intertie project feature (Step 9). Indicate the potential ~tent of visual impacts to the Denal i National Park and Denali State Park due to the location of the proposed trans~iss1on line. Dis cus s the significance of these impacts in relation to viewpoints, distances , du ration, and numb er of vie'll'e rs . Indicate how any visual 1~pacts to these areas wi l l be mitiga~d . . ·----------- . . . '• . . ... 1. p . E-9-9, 1 2, to p. E-9-13, t 2 2. p. E-9-13, 1 3 3. p. E-9-27, t 3, to p. E-9-29, t 6 • 4. p. £-9-31, , 2 , to p. E-9-52, 1 2 5. p. E-9-3l, 1 2, to p. E-9-52, t 2 6. p. E-9-49 , f 3 , to p. E-9-51, t 4 7. p. E-9·50, 1 1 -26 - 9. l.A.'ID USE Describe the existing land status fo• the intertie portion of the proposed transmission line corridor. Indicate if Tables E.9.1 and E.9.2 include data for the fnte~tfe. If they do not, please in ~lude land status/ownership information for the intertie. Provide figures (similar to figures E. 9. 4-E. ~-6 and E.9.10-E.9.12) indi cating l and status and land use development maps for the intertie section of the proposed transmission 1 i ne corridor. land ownership should be provided for the intertie portion of t he transmission line corridor in Exhibit G, plates 34-37 and 41-45. Indicate the existing land values for the project area, transmission line corri dor {including the intertie), and adjacent lands to assist in sub- stanti ating statements in Section 3 of the Land Use chaohr conce rni ng changes in l and va lues . Include a projection of future land values . If land values cannot be precisely determined for the project area or t ransmission line corridor, include so me indication or exampl es of typical land values for t he types of land in the project area4 Describe existing land use manag ement plans for the proposed tran~ission line corri dor, includi ng the intertie. Estima te impacts to land values within and adjacent to the project area and t r3nsmission line corridor. Indicate how proposed land uses within and ad jacent to the project area and along t he entire transmi s- sion line corridor will affect existing wetland a nd floodplain areas. Estinmte i nduced land use changes (development and activity) for the intertie sec~1on of the transmis- sian line corridor. .· lndicatl if there are a~y other proposed agricultural sales along the entire transmission line corridor other than the Point Mackenzie ag ricultural sale. . . . ·. . . -27 • 10. ALTERNATIVE LOCATIONS, DESIGNS, AND ENERGY SOURCES ' 1. p. E-10-6, t 5 2. p. E-1D-7 3. p. E-10-7 to p. E-10-12 4 . p. E-10-ll, t S s. p. E-10-11, 1 5 ~ through p. E-10-12, , 10 6. p. E-10-12, , 10 1. p. E-10-13, t 1 8. p. E·lD-23, t 6 9. p. E-10-24, 1 3ff 10. p. E-10-26, , 5, to p. E-10-28, t S 11. p. E-10.27. t 6 Provide the basis for deten~infng the "cut-off points• for rating the 16 sites and a descripUon of how partial and total score ~ were integrated to yield selections. Describe what, if iny, geologic constraints were analyzed in assessing the alternative damsite il'llpacts. Provide available tnformation describing the potential for slope failure that may be expected at the three alternative dam sites, as well as their potential for RIS, the extent of permafrost soils, location of major fault systems, the extent of mineral resources in the area, and the projected reservoir sizes. Provide .a brief description of what is considered "typical scenic q~ality• for the Snow Site region. Provide a brief description of the socioeconomic environment of the Snow and Keetna sites. Pro vide a ori ef description of the identified land us es for the Keetna site. Provide estimates of the acreage of vegetation that would be lost by construction of the Chakachamna, Snow, and Keetna sites. Provide a co mparison of socioe-conomic factors ·(e.g .• housing, transport ation. community attitudes) in the comparison of alternative plans . Indicate what weighting was assigned to economic, environmental, and social attributes. Prov i .;te estimates of the acreage of vegetation that would be lost by r.onstructi'>n of the High Devi l Canyon-Vee dam s 1te~ • .. Prov i de docume ntation for i ~portance of Vee r eservoir area to key furbearers . --------·--· --~ .... ·. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 1 9. 20. 21. p. E-1 0-38 , t 5 p. E-10 -40, 1 2 p. E-10-42, t 1, to p . E-10-43 , t 2 p. E-10-42, t 1 , to p . E-10 -43, t 2 p. E-10-42 to p. E-10-BJ p. E-10-49, t S p. E-10-54, t 4 p. E-lD-61, t 1 p . E-10-61, t 3 , to p. E-1o-n. t 2 p. E-10-69 to p . E-10-79 -28 - Des cri be the crit~ria used for evaluating respons- iveness of access plans . Explain how aestheti c reso urce issues were factored into the evaluati on and compa rison of a lternative access plans. Indicate wheth er the alternati ve access ro ute corridors "ill follow t he alignments shown in Figures E.10.7 and E.l0.8 or those in Figures E.3.42- E.3.47. If the alignments shown in Fi~ures E.l0.7 and E.l0.8 ~ill be us ed, then provi de ve getation and ~etlands maps for these 11 ~rnative rout.es . Also provide estimates of the numb~r of hectares of vegetation types that would be cleared for the alternative access routes . Estimate the acreage of wPtlands to be impdcted by eac h of the three alternative access routes, and pro- v;de a brief comp arison among routes of the extent of access route effects on wetland drai nage patterns. Indicate 1f the imp acts associated with excessive slope, pe rm afrost, erodable or problem so il s , landslides or slumps will be any more (or less) s evere wi t h in the alter~tive transmission corridors than within the preferred co r ridor. Also i ndicate whether construction zateri a 1 requirements are expected to be s i~ilar and if agricultural soils wi ll be crossed to the s~t extent in the alterna- ti ve and preferred routes. Document t hese conclu- sions by citing applicable studies. Oescri be weighting factors gi veo to the cri t e ri a us e d !n making the final choice. Provide a descripti on of the s e lection process for routing from Hea l y to Willow. Provide the cri teri a for assigning rati ngs to each alterna t ive co r ridor. Provi de estimates of t he number of hectares of wet- , lands wi th1n each of the alternative transmission corridors in t '•e Northern and Southern Study Areas and each o f the techn i cally and economically acceptable al t ernat i ves in the Central Study Are a. Provide s i milar est im ates for vegetation types that will require extensive clearing. Indic3te if any transmission line alternative is expected to require more (or less) constructi on of acc ess r·oads. . . . . ·. . . 22. p. E-10 -80 , f 1, to p. E-10-83, f 3 23. p. E-10-83 to p . E-10-104 24 . p. E-10-83, 1 4, p. E-10-104, 1 4 25. p. E-10-129 26. p . E-10-143, 1 4, through p. E-10.-172 , f 2 to -29 - Explain how ae sthetic resource issues were factored 1 nto the eva 1 uat ion pro cess for the transmissicn line corridor to link t he dam s ites with the intertie. Docum ent whether the surface soils at the alternative borrow sites are exo ect.ed to be similar to or different from those .in the proposed project area . Provide a bri ef discussion of how aesthetic resources were used in the evaluation pro ces s of determining borrow site alternatives. Provide es t imates of the ag gregate and rock require- me nts and the acreages that would be disturbed by the construction of new ac cess roads associated wi th the Tidal Power alternative. Indicate if there will be t opographi cal, permafrost, or slope stabi li ty constraints associated wi t .h thesa roads. Pr o vi de a generic descripti on of socioeconomic impac t s of thermal al ternatives other than coal, nuc lear ste~n electric generation, biomass, geo- thermal, wind, and solar alte rnati ves. ·. .. . .. . . .. 30 - . 11. LIST OF LITERATURE Provide ade~ua te reference information for the following: 1. p. E-3-232, t 4 2. p. E-5-129, ,r 2 3. p . E-7-87, t l 4. Table E.7.9 5. p. E-8-71 to p . E-8-72 6. p. E-10-120 7. p. E-10-121 8. Table E.7.13 9. Table E.7.16 Wood et a l . {1975). Provide references for statement on commuting experiences of workers on similar projects. National Recreation & Park, Open Space Standards. Frank Orth & Assoc., 4/82. Borough Planning Departm ent, 10/Zl/82. Al l references listed in the Aesthetic Resources References Section should be appropriately cited within the written text of the application. If these listi ngs are not citations, please indicate that ~~ey constitute a bibliography. CIRI/Placer 1981. Battelle 1978. EDAW e s ti~te. EDAW Inc. ·. -31 - Provide copies of the following: 1. p. E-2-195 thro\Jgh p. E-2-202 2. p. E-3-198, f 2 3. p. E-3-198, f 2 4. p. E-3-205. f 1 5. p. E-3-230. f 4 6. p. E-3-279. f 2 7. p . E-3-284, f 1 8. p. E-3•551 through p. E-3-556 9. p. E-5-6, f 5 10. References. Chapt'!r S 11. p. E-6 -7 . f 4 12 . p. E-6-11, , 3 13. p. E-10-115, f l Acres American 1982c, 1983; Acres Am. Consulting Serv ice ltd. 1980; Alaska De partmen t of Fish and Game 1982a, 1982c, 1983 ; Alask: Department of Na t ural Resources 1982 ; Dwight 1982; Peratrovich, Nottingham and Drage 1982, 1983; Peterson and Nichols 1982; R & H Consultants, Inc ., l981a, 1981c, l981d, 198le, l98lf, l98l g, R & H Consul- tants, Inc., Harrison, W.O •• 1982a, l982c, 1982e, 1982f, 1982g, 1982h, 1982i , 1982j; Resource Management Associates, 1983; Schmidt, 1981; Trihey, 1982a. l982b, 1982c. Commo ~ealth Assnc. 1982. Joint Fe deral-State land Use Planning Co mmissi on for Alaska 1973. Hettinger and Janz 1974. Kerr 1973. Pamplin 1979. Foote 1979. ESSA/WELUT/LGL 1982; Alaska Department of Fish and Game 1982d , 1982e, 1982f, 1982g, 1983 ; Arctic Environ- l!lental Info rm ation a. j Data Center 1982; Bell 1973; Burger et al. 198 2; Edfelt 19e1; Fr i ese 1975 ; Hill~ 1975 , 1980 , 1981, 1982; R&M Consultants l982e, 1982f; Trihey i982b, 1982c, 1982d, 1983. Stephen R. Braund & Associates, Inc. March 1982. Policy Ana lysts, Limited and Or. Richa rd End er Hay 1980. Wooo~~r ~-C l yde Consultan ts ' 1980 repo rt. Woodwa rd-C lyde Consultants' 1982 re port. Batte l le rep orts on power alternatives (Battelle 1982) an d coa l consumption (Battelle, no date, BNWL-RAP-Z1 , UC -11). . . . . . . . . -32 - TRANSMISSION FACILITIES 12. STATOS OF FACILITIES Load flov plots and electrical transmission data co!"'tained respectively in Enqineerinq Report, R-2423, •sy•tem Studies of the Anchorage-Fairbanlca Intertie,• March 1982 and •Anchoraqe-Fairbanlcs Transmission Intertie Trans- mission System Data (Revised June 1981)• provides 1983-1984 system loads and 230/138 /69 kV network configurations for the five Anchorage/Fairbanks, A~aska utility systems following implemelltation of the 138 leV Anchorage-Fairbanks Intertie. With the installation of Susitna gene ration, the Intertie, desiqned for 345 leV operation, vill become p&rt of the Railbelt 345 kV transmission syste m. At that time, 345 kV step-dovn substations (E ster, Willow, ~nik Arm , and Oniveraity) vill be established •• shovn on Exhibit F, Plate F74. There- fore, information ia needed, and vas requested, on the integration of the Anchorage /Fairbanks area utility systems' 230/138/115kV facilities via the Ester, Willow, ~nile Arm and Oniversity s u bstations, for 1995 a nd 2002. The years correspond respectively to the proposed Watana plant ( 1020 MW) and Devil Canyon pl ant (600 HW) in-service availability dates - The follovinq informa t ion should be provided for the 1994 and 2002 Alaska interconnected system. (a) Por 1995, elec tric sinqle-line sche=atic diaqrama shovin g the electrical con n e:tion o f lines and substation facil- i ties from: (1) the Ester 345/13 8 kV substation to the Golden Valley Electric Association, Fairbanlcs Municipal Otility or other area systems; (2 ) the Willov 345 /138 leV a nd Knik Arm 345 /115 leV sub- stati ~na to the Hatanus lca Electric Associati on or other area ayatems1 and, (3) the University 345/230-1,5 k~ substation to the Anchor a ge Municipal Light ' Power, Chugach Electr ic Aesociation or oth e r area systems. (b) Similar information for tbe 2002 systems shou ld b e pro- vided, when available. The information ahoul d be pr o vided in the format used in the APA document •Anchorag n-Fairba nlca Transmission Intertie Transmission System Data (Revision June 1981).• . • • • -33 - 13. ELECTRICAL ENVIRONMENTAL EFF~CTS I. Engineering Report R-2394, June 1982, vas provided containing a discussion and data on the electrical environmental effects associated with the Anchorage-Fairbanks (Willow-Healy) 345 kV transmission intertie. The folloving additional information associated vith this analy o is should be prov !.~ ed: (a) Audible noise and radio frequency noiae levels wherein three 345 xv transmiasion lines vill ultimately be in the right-of vay (ROW) were calculated •using methods developed at Project OHV 1/, • where 1/ refer a to the first edition of Transmission .;;;L;.;;i;.;n=e-'R"'"e.;;....;;f....;e;...r;;......;;.e..;.n;...c;;......;;.e_....;B;..o;;...;;o..;.k;...,:.,_..;;;J_4;..5;;;._..;.k;...V;..._..;;a..;.n;..;d;.._..;.A;;;b;...o;..v..;...;;.e d a ted 1 9 7 5 • ( 1) Indication should be given of the apecif ic equations and/or deaign curves uaed in the reference book. (2) Provide the method used multiple linea on the same to ROW . ace ount for the effects of (b) Provide the predicted levels of Television Interference (TVI) at a me a suring frequency of 7 5 HHz and a meter bandvidth of 150 kl:lz, specifying the calculation method uaed includinq hov multiple linea on the same ROW are accounted for. (c) Give the method uaed to calculate the electric field strength lR-2394, Ta.ble 7). (d) Provide the method used to calculate induced currents (R-2394, Page 12). (e) Ambient audible noise level data on the intertie ROW route should be provided. II. Communication interference, audible noise generated by corona formution and qround-level electric and magnetic field intensity data for all 345 JcV transmission line ROW sections to be constructed as part of the Susitn a P roje ct vas requested. As indicated in I, Engineer i ng Report R- 2394 only addresses the Willov-Bealy section. Therefore, similar infor- mat ion should be provided, aa augmented by I (b) and (e), fo r the following other 345 JcV overhead transmission line ~OW sections: ROW Section Healy-Ester Gold Creek-Watana Will ov-Xni )c Arm Xnix Arm-University Aporox i mate ROW Hiles 96 8 44 19 . . ' • ~ -34 - ENGINEERING 1 4. GENERAL 1. In Section 1.3(b) on pa9e A-1-6, provide a statement of the flood fre- quency which va a used to determine the 9 feet of freeboard for wave runup and ice protection at the upatreaa cofferdaa. 2. In Section 7. 4 C b) on pa9e A-7-7 provide a detailed discussion of the thermal studies conducted to determine that water flowing throu9h Devil canyon will be at 34•r. The 2• difference between freezi:a9 and the anticipated water t eaperat ure baa been us e4 as the basis for not provid- inc:J freeboard allowance for ice. This assumption requires a hi9h de9ree of anal yais accuracy. Demonstrate the accuracy of the computer model by submittin9 calibration studies using known data. Also, provide a statement of the flood frequency uaotd to determine the wave runup freeboard allowance. 3. Provide Ebasco• s detailed cost estimate in support of Table D. 8, shoving unit coats and quantities. 4. s. 6. Provide the 19 81 Bechtel report tit~ ed, •chalcachamna Report, Interim Report, • prepared for APA and cited on Provide the 19 83 Bechtel Report titled, • Chakachamna Report, • Draft Pro'"ide the o. Alternatives for pa9e E-1 0-12. repor t prepared for APA and cited on s. Department of Energy report the Alas lea Rainbel t, • prepared title, by llA EXBIBIT F AND SUPPORTING DESIGN REP ORT Bydroelec ".;.ric paqe E-1 o-7. Bydroel ectric pac:Je E-1 o-9. •Hydroelectric and cited on 1. Provide wave run-up calculations ahovi ng the me t hod c a nd a ssumpti L DS used to determine the 3 and 5 feet freeboard allowances built into the Devil Canyon and Watana Dams respectively (Exhibit F, Supportinq Design Report SDR). 2. Provide the results of model teats, or calculations, used to determine (or verify) the modes of failure for the proposed fuse plugs used in the Watana and Dev il Canyon eaergency spillways. ( Dvqs F18 and FSB). These tests, or calculations, should show the failure times under adverse conditions such as freezi n9 weather. Submit examples of similar des iqn a, used at other 1 ocation a, under comparable weather c:ondi tiona. Also, submit details of coat comparison studies conducted in suppf?rt of the decision to utilize the fuse pluq design rather than increase the size of the emergency and main se r vic e spill ways to handle the PHF (Exhibit F, SDR). '"l #.: • .. 3. 4. 5. 6. '· e . g. 1 0. '0 • • -35 - Provide calculations and criteria in support of the hydraulic design ,,f t)le Wa~ana and Devil Canyon aain apillwaya ( Dwga F12 and F54). Speci- fically, show calculations to support the proposed location• of the a reation al ot a and. the design of the energy dis&i pati ng flip bucket •. In addition , provide a ~.:.·cuasion of the extent of hydraulic aodel testing propoaed to verify the hydraulic designa ot the spillway• and flip bucketa (Exhibit F, SDR). Provide a discussion in the report of the type a of hydraulic aodel ter:ts (including tboae requeated in Bo. 3 above) which are proposed for t :he Watana and Devil Canyon developaents. Areas of concern areJ the Wat.&na right abutaent area where t.bree intake atructurea are located and ·:b• Watana aain spillway tail race area where the diveraion t •;nnel porta La, outlet facilities and power tailraces are located (Exhibit F, SDR). Provide a discusaion of the geology and the foundation and excavation treatment propoaed for the Watana main spillway taillace area. '%his area is located near the •t ingerbuster• geologic feature and is hiqhly congested vl.th aeversl undergroun d and surface structures. Adverse joint orientation, shear :onea or weak rock in thia area would af1ect the design and conatruction. The ateep alopea, deep cuta and eccavat.ion required could have an impact upon the stability and aafety of these structures, especially the spillway flip buckf!t structure (rxhibit F, SDR Section 4.1(c)). Cite a reference for tbe e:quation proposed for the at-rest earth pres•·uze coeff ici ent, i.e. k 0 •1 -Sin~ (~xhibit F, SDR, Section 3.2(b)). In new designs, a cracked base is a c c e ptable only for ~arthqu,~e loading. The second paragraph ahould be reviaed to indicate that cr .. .=ld ng will only be allowed under earthquake loading (Exhibit F, SDR, Section 3.2(g), page F-3-4). Clarify the earthquake loading wh ich wil l be used . for mass concr• te reta.ini ng structure a by a howi ng the static aei amic coefficients propoand. Also, show the seismic loading which wi ll be used for the Watana 1.nd Devil Canyon Sadcll e Dam embankments and discuss the methods of anal y1 ia which will be used . Submit the analysis referred to in 4.1(g)(vii). (Exhibit F, SDR, Section 3.2(h), page F-3-5.) Discuss the parameters considered in the selection of the ice l\)ad ( 10 kips /l i n. ft.), such aa winds, currents, and thermal atrains as we...l as the geometric co nfigurati o n .! of the various dams. Cite the referenc •ta used where applicable (Exhibit F, SDR, Section J.J(j), page F-3-6 .• The overturning criteria shown in Sec tion J.J(c)(i) ahould be baa1d upon the location of the resultant for all loading conditions. Tke Factora of Safety against Overturninq ( FSOT) shown a~e not consistent with the compression s afety factors e :ited, and, in all caaea (except the nor111al condition) allov the resultant to fall ou tsid o the middle• half of the base. For unusual conditions, the resultant should b 1 inside the middle-third. This require• that the PSOT be greater tha:t ~ .. ' "' ~. • -36 - 1.5 if the resultant of the resitinq force :~ ia at the tvo-thirda point of the baae (as measured from the toe). The criteria in Section 3.3(c) should be revised as outlined above (Exhibit F, SDR, Section 3 .3(c), pa9e F-3 7) • 11. Submit stability and stress analyses for the follovin9 atructurear Watana Dam, Devil" Canyon Arch Dam and thruat block abutmenta, Devil canyon Saddle dam, the Watana and Devil Canyon main apillvay gate atructu~es, and the Watana and Devil Canyon emergency apillvay fuae plu9s. The analyses should include: sample co111puter input and output, names of the computer pro9rama uaed, and a aummary of the material stren9th assumptions uaed in the analyaea (Exhibit F). 12. submit SDF and PMF s ·tudiee for ataff review. Theae studiea ahould in- clude : sample computer input and output, namea of the computer pro9rama used, and a aWDmary of the assumption• used in the analyaea (Exhibit F). 13. Borin9s are necesaary alon9 the Watana Daa centerline and under the dam base upatre am and d ovnatre am of the centerline to properly aaseaa the suitability of the watana aite for the propoaed dam. The aeiamic profiles deve:oped at the Watana aite are inadequate to determine foundation conditione and top of rock elevationa without borin9•• The need for theae borin9a vaa pointed out by Staff Geoloqiat Barry Thoaas in a preliminary review of the licenae application in the aprin9 of 19 82. The deficiency vas again pointed out in Staff commenta on the pre-filing review of the draft application in the January 11, 1983 letter on Paqe 65. The lack of boringa at the watana aite caat aerioua doubts on the adequacy of the coat eatimate (Exhibit F). 1 4. Clarify the discrepancy concern! ng the upatre am a hell material to be used for the Watana Dam. Page F-4-9 indicate a that tinea lea a than 1/2 inch will be removed, but on Pa9e F-4-10, it ia eta ted that the processed upstream ahell material will have DO aore than 10\ of the IDA ter i al leas than 3/8 inch in aize (Exhibit F, SDR.) • 1 s. Provide additional information on the propoaed impervioua borrow area to en ahl e a determination on the avail ahili ty of auff icient quanti ties of impervioua materials .consistent with the deai9n intent of tbe imper- vious zones of the proposed Watana Dam and Devil Canyon aaddle dam embank- menta. This information shall include the typea, range of gradationa, plasticity index, and other pb::sic al cbaracteriati ca of the materials to be placed in the core of the embankment~. The hiqhly plaatic clays that exiat in the propoaed borrow pit shall be discuaaed with respect to their effect on the expected excavation methode needed to control the bl encU nq of var i ou a 9r ada tiona of materi ala that will be encountered and any effects this miqht have on developin9 the quantitiee of impervioue material required for the proposed embankment• (Exhibit P, SDR) • • ------------ •• _, -37 - 16. EXHIBIT G Plate G6 Com~lete boun~ary for PSC 443 in Sec. 6, T .31 N., R. 1E. Delete reference to •ELEVATION 1500 MsL• from leqend. Plate G12 Shov location of transmission line vith reference to appropriate G sheet. Plate G30 Identify the project boundary for the Xnik Substation. (If the project areas are aliquot parts of the public land survey, simply delineate the areas accurately.) Plates GlO throuah G37, and G39 throuah G52 Identify meridian (Savard or Fairbanksi. Plates G35 through G38, and G4 1 throuqh G45 Add corodinates of the Alaska State Plane Coordinate System at anqle points of the transmission line. Plate G38 Indicate purpose of the 180 acre project area in Sees. 16, 20 and 21, T. 31 N., R. 2 V. Plates G38 and G39 Shov loction of railroad access corrid or vitb reference to appropriate G sheet. Plate G40 correct Devil Canyon project boundary in Sec. 35, T. 32 N., R. 4 E., (compare vith G12), and Watana project boundary in Sees. 3, 4, and 5, T. 31 N., R. 5 E., (compare vith G13). Pl~te GS2 Identify the project boundary for the Eater Substation. (If it coincides vitb an approved Federal survey, simply identify the survey.) Shov the ovnezship status of the project land in Sec. J, T. 1 S. 1 R. 2 W. -:. "'t . ~ .. • -38 WEED FOR P OWER 1 7 • EX H I B IT B The foll o vinq itema are keyed to the nulllberinq ays t em used in th~ prefilinq reviev . Item 17: Unreferenced Information Reauirementa, Exhibit B. 3. A description of the assumptions embeddec! in the above methodoloqiea specifically includinq but not limited to: A· The atudiea vhicb vere ex~mined to determined ela•ticitiea of demand. B . The rationale for the particular values choaen in the ranqe of elasticity values examined . 7. A more complete explanation of the methodoloqy uaec! to qenerate the future electricity price• uaed in the demanc! forecaata. 9. A senaitivity analyaia of explanatory variables and model assumptions includinq tboae that c!rive tbe MAP model'• econoaic anc! population projection•• 1 o. The hourly loada for the combine<! Suaitna market area for the moat recent available year . Item 18: Suooleaental Reports 1. Provide a deacription of t~e Alaska Residential Conaervation Survey Audita and a description of bov thia aurvey baa been uaed. 2. Provide the BNW Railbelt End Oae survey anc! a . description of hov it h as been uaed. The follovinq item vaa included iu Schedule A of the prefilinq reviev. Item 26 : The claim of no enerqy reduction du ' to retrofittinq in the commercial/industri~l aectors should be veri- fie<!. Provide iniormation on the ISER demand model aaaumptiona regardinq this claim. Specifically information provided should attempt to verify the assuap- tiona made regardinq energy reduction due to retrofitti n q in the com~ercial/ induatrial sectora. . .. "" • /rt • • • ... • -39 - 18. EXB IBIT D The following items are keyed to the numbering system used in the prefiling review. IteQ 2(c): Provide the annual c"ost for the Suaitna Project in actual dollars includingz (a) escalation of project coat~' (b) coat of capital including financ~ charges and (c) interest during construction. Project annual coats should be presented for all the years included in the life cycle analysis. Item 5: Page 1-11, Section 1.5, specify allowance for funds used during construction (AFDC). Item 31: Table D.8 and D.9, state interest during construction and provide copies of the references, i.e., Table 1, 5 R. L. 5 21, etc. Specifically, for items 2(c), 5, and 31 provide additional information that will expand on a nd clarify the treatment of AFDC throughout the appli- cation. Item 22: Pages 4-25 and 4-26, section 4.7. Furnish details of the base period coal price estimations of $1.66/aBtu for Beluga, and $1.75/aBtu for Healy. Show details of the res idu ally derived annual esc alation rate a of 2. 6 percent and 1.2 percent during the intervals 1982 to 2000, and 2000 to 2040, respectively. Specifically, provide details of the residually derived annual escalation rates. Item 26: Paqe 4-31. Equal Environmental Coats -Provide details on analysis. Specifically, provide information to aupport the premise that the treat- ment of env ironmental cost used in the Susitna analyses ia in fact conserva- tion with regard to evaluation of the Susitna project. Item 19: Exhibit D 1. Pg. 1-6, section 1.1. Some estimates should be made of possible escalation in nominal •• well aa real termc for both direct and indirect costa. 4. Pg. 4-15. Provide copies of all input data and all output results of the OGP5 runs and a brief explana- tion of all data entry for each alternative ..case study discussed in Section 4.7 and 4.8. • .. -• -40 !tem 19 : Ex hibit D (continued) ~~--~~--~~~~- s. 6 . 1 1. P9• 4-17, Se c tion 4.6. Provide Belu9a coal costs assumi nq commercial developmen t d o es not take place. Diacu g a the relativ e economics of mi nin9 coal speci- fically for electric pover 9eneration, and its likeli- hood under this scenario. Pq. 4-18, Section 4.7. There ia currently a disparity betveen incremental, domestic market, and opportunity (ahadov) values of natural qaa prices. Quantify "the sensitivity of uainq current incremental prices, assumin9 escalation vill track vorld prices a n d eventually eq u al the international value# in the OGP~ runs. Pq. 4-19, Paraqraph 2. If feasible, ve vould also like to aee analysis conducted in nominal terms (including inflation.) Pq. 4-30, On IRR -vhat is IRR for next larqest ~ask& project (pover or non-pover)? Pq. 4-33, Section 4.7. In the sinqle variable sensitivity analysis, a 5\ discount rate resulted in a neqative net economic benefit. Perform a multivariate sensitivity analysis usinq discount rates in lieu of capital coats as a key issue, assigned probabilities, and discuss results. Construct probability treca aimilar to Fiqurea D.l7 and D.lB. 12. Pq. 4-35, Paraqrapb 1. It might be h e l p ful to model the interactions. section 4.9 • • t • •""t.• ~r I~ - • I • -41 19. ADDITIONAL SUPPLEM~NTAL REPORTS REQUIRED , . B~ttelle Pacific Northwest Laboratorie, itv and Price Forecast, May 1981. Alaska Coal Future AvaJ 1 abil- 2. ISZR. Alaska Economic Projections For Zst1matinq Reauirements Pnr_ The Railbelt. Prepared for Rattelle Pacific Northwest Laboratorial (Oct. 19 81) 3. Energy Probe, An Evaluation of the ISER Electricity Demand Foreeaa~, July 19 eo. 4. Review of the University of Alaska Institute of Social and EeonomJ£_ Research Report •Electrical Consumptinn for the Railbelt Regionr ~ Proj eetion of Reaui rements. • WoodwardCl yde Consultants, San Prlonciseo, 19 eo. 5. Institute of Social and Economic Research • a ( ISER) model documuntation report !/ 6. ISER summary report on their economi c development proj ection !/ 7. DEPD'a 19e3 Long Term Energy PlaD !I 20. FINANCIAL PLAN As a minimum financial plan, please provide us with letters 1'roa the various • Rail belt • utili ties e,;preasing eondi tiona under vhi ch they wou~d be interested in purchasing P · ver troa Suaitna. We also need some type of expression from the Alaskan legislature which vill pro•ide us with l .t least a reasonable expectation that the •expected• State appropri&.tiona will be forthcoming if the project is approved and that neeeaaary additional funds vill be committed in the event of coat overruns. Also, please submit a 1 etter fro• an inve ::tment banker (or groups of bankers) of sufficient size and reputation to handle the sale of revenue bonds on a project of this magnitude, vhieh sets forth thei'r •iev of the conditions required to aarJr.et revenue bonds. Their letter should specifically address the projections of expected demand and revenue vhieh you expect us to act upon in the filin9 (e ~ther the current projections on file or re•ised projections) and contain a statement concerning whether or not aueh projections provide a baaLa that would allow sale of rev enue bonds to finance the project. Pinally, please provide us vi th a atateme nt concerning what voul d happen if Suaitna :.a con- structed and energy costa of alternativ .. options do not rise aa you oapect, or if coat overruns oeeu~. W~uld additional State funds be appropriated, or would eonauaera be requi7ed to bear the burden of high coat energy?