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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Document
ARLIS Uniform Cover Page
Title:
F-S5, 2012 instream flow planning study : draft.
SuWa 100
Author(s) – Personal:
Author(s) – Corporate:
[Alaska Energy Authority]
AEA-identified category, if specified:
2012 Environmental Study Plans
AEA-identified series, if specified:
Series (ARLIS-assigned report number):
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project document number 100
Existing numbers on document:
Published by:
[Anchorage, Alaska : Alaska Energy Authority, 2012]
Date published:
February 4, 2012
Published for: Date or date range of report:
Volume and/or Part numbers:
Final or Draft status, as indicated:
Draft
Document type:
Pagination:
9 p.
Related work(s):
Pages added/changed by ARLIS:
Notes:
All reports in the Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Document series include an ARLIS-
produced cover page and an ARLIS-assigned number for uniformity and citability. All reports
are posted online at http://www.arlis.org/resources/susitna-watana/
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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project FERC #14241 Alaska Energy Authority
DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 1
F-S5: 2012 INSTREAM FLOW PLANNING STUDY - DRAFT
INTRODUCTION
The Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) is preparing a License Application that will be submitted to
the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) for the Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric
Project (Project) using the Integrated Licensing Process (ILP). The Project is located on the
Susitna River, an approximately 300 mile long river in the Southcentral region of Alaska. The
Project’s dam site will be located at River Mile (RM) 184. The results of this study and of other
proposed studies will provide information needed to support the FERC’s National Environmental
Policy Act (NEPA) analysis for the Project license.
Project construction and operation, as described in the Pre-application Document (PAD, AEA
2011), will modify the flow, temperature, and sediment/turbidity regimes of the Susitna River
downstream of the proposed Watana Dam. These modified regimes will affect the amount and
distribution (temporal and spatial) of aquatic habitat and may affect fish access to side sloughs
and tributary streams. This study plan outlines the objectives and methods for characterizing
the existing information that will provide a foundation for future flow-habitat studies. This study
will initiate a multi-year effort, which will include data collection activities beginning in 2012.
STUDY OBJECTIVES
A comprehensive instream flow study plan (2013-2014 Instream Flow Study Plan) will be
developed during 2012 as part of the Project licensing process. The 2013-2014 Instream Flow
Study will describe the response of aquatic habitats to Project-induced changes in river flow,
water temperature, turbidity and other river channel/water quality parameters, as appropriate.
The objective of the 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study is to provide information that will be the
foundation for the 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study and will assist in its development. The
specific objectives are to:
Synthesize the 1980s instream flow study information and evaluate the applicability of
the studies to the current Project;
Identify appropriate species/life history stages, study reaches, study sites, and instream
flow modeling methods for the 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study;
Coordinate instream flow study data needs across resource disciplines and studies; and
Assist AEA in the development of the 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study Plan.
STUDY AREA
The study area includes all aquatic habitats and riparian areas related to river flow in the
Susitna River downstream of the proposed Watana Dam (RM 184 to RM 0).
EXISTING INFORMATION
Existing information was compiled and reviewed in the Aquatic Resources Data Gap Analysis
(ARDGA) (HDR 2011) and the PAD (AEA 2011). Information for the study area includes, but is
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DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 2
not limited to, recent and historic aerial photography; fish distribution and relative abundance
from recent and early 1980s studies; and data from the 1980s instream flow studies. Some key
instream flow documents include the Instream Flow Relationships Report (Trihey & Associates
and Entrix 1985a and b) and its associated four volume Technical Report Series; the Aquatic
Habitat and Instream Flow Reports by ADF&G in 1983 and 1984 (ADF&G 1984), Photo
Documentation of the Response of Aquatic Habitat Surface Areas to Mainstem Discharge 2
volumes (Trihey & Associates 1985; R&M and Trihey & Associates 1985), and various ADF&G
1983 and 1984 Resident and Juvenile Anadromous Fish Studies. The ARDGA (HDR 2011) lists
and discusses the existing information related to the following instream flow components:
Study methods
Baseline or reference conditions
Geographic extent of study
Major channel/habitat types
Selected evaluation species/lifestages
Species/lifestage longitudinal distribution and utilization of major channel/habitat types
Seasonal timing of utilization of evaluation species/lifestages
Habitat suitability criteria for evaluation species/lifestages
Macrohabitat variables affected by flow alterations
Hydrologic record for with-project and without-project.
METHODS AND ANALYSIS
The 2012 study components identified below will be addressed with respect to three distinct
Susitna River segments: Middle River Reach from the proposed Watana Dam (RM 184)
downstream through Devils Canyon (RM 150); Middle River below Devils Canyon to the three
rivers confluence (RM 98 – 150); and the Lower River Reach below the three rivers confluence
(RM 0 – 98). These river segments will have different types/levels of information available from
the 1980s studies and potentially different physical and biological issues.
1980s Instream Flow Study Documents
1. Identify the key 1980s instream flow study documents, ensure that they are available in
the ARLIS system digitally, and index the key instream flow study elements within each
document.
Target Species, Lifestages and/or Guilds
1. Review and synthesize the target species/lifestages/guilds analyzed in the 1980s
instream flow studies and the rationale for selecting these species/lifestages/guilds
versus other species/lifestages/guilds (e.g., see HDR 2011).
2. For the purpose of facilitating discussions with licensing participants, develop a
preliminary selection and rationale for target species/lifestages/guilds by river segment.
Identify how species/lifestages not selected or included within guilds would be
addressed.
Periodicity (seasonal timing)
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DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 3
1. Identify and synthesize the periodicity for target species/lifestages used in the 1980s
studies.
2. Coordinate with the 2012 Synthesis of Existing Fish Population Data Study F-S1 to
obtain fish timing and distribution information from the 1980s studies and from recent
ADF&G studies.
3. Develop a target species/lifestage periodicity for each river segment and identify any
important data gaps in the periodicity information. If a species/lifestage occurs in only a
portion of the river segment, then identify the portion of the river segment. If the
distribution is unknown, identify the data gap.
Observed Habitat Utilization by Target Species/lifestages/guilds
1. Review and synthesize the macro-, meso-, and micro-scale habitat utilization data
collected (by species/lifestage) as part of the 1980s studies. Identify the relative
proportion of species/lifestages that utilized macrohabitat types such as turbid/clear
water. Identify the relative proportion of species/lifestages that utilized mesohabitat
types such as riverine habitat types (main channel, side channel, sloughs, tributary
mouths, tributaries) or runs, pools, riffles. Identify the microhabitat habitat utilization
observed (depth, velocity, substrate, upwelling, cover) during the 1980s studies,
including observed passage requirements into habitats (e.g., water depth).
2. Compare/contrast this information to the current state of knowledge regarding habitat
utilization in similar river systems in Alaska. For example, review recent studies that
have identified spawning habitats (turbidity, upwelling, etc.) and rearing habitats for
target species/lifestages (e.g., Eiler et al. 1992; Yanusz et al. 2007; Anderson and
Bromaghin 2009; Burril et al. 2010; Merizon 2010; Yanusz et al. 2010).
3. Coordinate with the 2012 Middle River Habitat Utilization Study (F-S3) to ensure that the
study methods and results provide appropriate habitat utilization data for the instream
flow study. At a minimum, provide up to two crew members to work with the F-S3 study
to provide oversight, assist, and train the F-S3 study crews to collect the proper
utilization data for use in study site selection and habitat suitability criteria. More crew
members may be needed. Close coordination is needed between these two studies to
develop the most efficient method of tracking fish and collecting utilization data.
Important Physical Habitat Processes
1. Identify and synthesize the important physical habitat process that were observed or
anticipated to be Project and flow dependent in the 1980s studies, identify how these
were addressed, and develop recommendations for addressing and integrating these
processes in the 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study. For example:
a. Upwelling and downwelling with respect to spawning and incubation and the
relationship of upwelling rates to main channel discharge and/or ice cover
elevation.
b. Turbidity/suspended sediment with respect to clear water or turbid water habitats
and the relationship of main channel discharge to the turbid/clear water habitats.
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DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 4
c. Substrate quality for primary/secondary production and spawning and the
relationship of substrate composition to the Project and Project flows.
d. Ice and water temperature with respect to migration, holding, spawning
incubation and rearing habitat and the relationship to reservoir operations and
river discharge.
River Stratification and Study Sites
1. Identify and synthesize the stream segment or reach scale river stratification scheme
used (hydrology, channel geomorphology, channel slope, water temperature, ice cover,
turbidity, riparian vegetation, etc.) in the 1980s studies.
2. Identify and synthesize the sub-reach river stratification used such as riverine habitat
types (main channel, side channel, sloughs, tributary mouths, and tributaries) and/or
mesohabitat types (e.g., run, pool, riffle).
3. Locate and synthesize the 1980s study site locations and identify the overall approach
used (or envisioned) to extrapolate the instream flow study site results to river segments
and/or the entire Project area.
4. Evaluate the representativeness of the 1980s study sites within each river segment as
related to both (1) pre-Project habitat that is usable by each target
species/lifestage/guild; and (2) post-Project habitat that would be usable as a result of
Project modifications to flow, temperature, turbidity and other parameters (substrate
composition, channel structure, inundation frequency, etc.).
5. Coordinate with the 2012 Geomorphic Assessment of the Middle River Reach Using
Aerial Photography Study (G-S2) regarding the mapping of geomorphic channel types
(channel width, valley width, confinement, slope) and riverine habitat types (main
channel, side slough, upland slough, tributary mouths, tributaries). Provide one team
member to work consistently with the G-S2 contractor and provide oversight.
a. Ensure that the geomorphic channel type mapping is at a scale that can be used
to stratify the Susitna River into segments/reaches for the instream flow study.
Coordinate, as appropriate, the timing of the work products with the instream flow
study needs.
b. Ensure that the digitizing of riverine habitat types is conducted over a suitable
range of flows, in the proper river reaches, and at a suitable level of quality that it
can be used for assisting in the development of habitat versus flow relationships
in the instream flow study. If appropriate, identify study sites or areas where
additional detail may be required. Coordinate, as appropriate, the timing of the
work products with the instream flow study needs.
c. Ensure that the channel change analysis (historic imagery versus current
imagery) is completed at a scale applicable to the instream flow study’s need to
assess channel dynamic equilibrium/stability assumptions and the stability of
important 1980s study sites.
6. Coordinate with the 2012 Middle River Habitat Utilization Study (F-S3) regarding the
locations of habitat utilized by adult salmon. Participate with the study, as appropriate,
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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project FERC #14241 Alaska Energy Authority
DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 5
to ensure appropriate locations and descriptions of turbid and clear water habitats used
by adult salmon are developed based on the 2012 field study and based on the data
available from recent ADF&G radio telemetry studies (e.g., Yanusz et al. 2007; Merizon
2010; Yanusz et al. 2010). These data will be used to help evaluate instream flow study
sites.
7. Preliminary study site selection – Based on synthesis of the 1980s studies and
coordination with the 2012 Geomorphic Assessment of the Middle River Reach Using
Aerial Photography (G-S2) and Middle River Habitat Utilization (F-S3) studies, initiate
preliminary study site selection where appropriate data exists (e.g., Middle River below
Devils Canyon). Conduct field visits, in September/October, to refine potential study
sites and assess potential modeling approaches and logistics constraints.
8. For the purpose of facilitating discussions with licensing participants, develop a
preliminary approach(s) to (1) segment/reach scale river stratification, (2) sub-reach
habitat stratification, (3) study site selection, and (4) expansion of instream flow study
site results to river segments and the Project area.
Habitat Suitability Criteria
1. Synthesize the 1980s micro habitat (depth, velocity, substrate, cover) and meso/macro
habitat suitability criteria (turbidity, upwelling flow, temperature) and consider its
applicability to the current Project.
2. Compare the suitability criteria to empirical habitat utilization data and suitability criteria
currently being used in applicable instream flow applications in Alaska and/or the
Northwest USA/Canada.
3. Identify any important habitat suitability criteria data gaps that may require habitat
suitability criteria data collection.
4. For the purpose of facilitating discussions with licensing participants, develop a
preliminary approach for selecting/developing habitat suitability criteria (micro, meso,
and macro criteria), including coordination with other studies regarding criteria for
riparian vegetation and algae/macroinvertebrates (primary/secondary production
habitat).
Habitat Modeling
1. Flow range(s) modeled.
a. Identify the range of flows that were modeled during the 1980s. Also assess the
adequacy of the modeled flow range for quantifying habitat under pre-Project and
post-Project conditions.
b. Develop recommendations for the flow range to be modeled in the 2013-2014
Instream Flow Study.
2. Physical/biological habitat modeling approach that was utilized or envisioned if not
completed in the 1980s studies. For example, identify and synthesize the following:
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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project FERC #14241 Alaska Energy Authority
DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 6
a. Empirical surface area versus flow relationships approach for riverine habitat
types (main channel, side channel, sloughs, tributary mouths).
b. Usable habitat area analyses approach within the riverine habitat types (e.g.,
ADF&G PHABSIM studies).
c. The approach for incorporating turbidity and upwelling into the analysis.
d. The approach used for comparing pre-Project habitat with post-Project habitat.
3. Develop recommendations for the 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study regarding integration
of habitat modeling including how various habitat modeling methods might be used most
effectively to represent the habitat (empirical mapping of habitat over a range of flows, 1-
dimensional hydraulics and habitat modeling, 2-dimensional hydrodynamics and habitat
modeling) and how the various physical and biological habitat process can be integrated
and used to analyze existing and post-Project habitat.
4. Develop recommendations for incorporating hydrology (period of record, water year
types) and habitat time series analysis in the 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study.
5. Develop recommendations for a temporal habitat modeling approach to address load
following operation in the 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study.
Water Temperature Modeling
Participate with AEA and licensing participants to develop the 2013-2014 Water Temperature
Modeling Study Plan.
2013-2014 Instream Flow Study Plan Development
A formal study plan will be developed through consultation with AEA and the licensing
participants that incorporate the synthesis of information described above.
NEXUS BETWEEN PROJECT AND RESOURCE TO BE STUDIED AND HOW THE RESULTS WILL BE USED
Project construction and operation will modify the flow, temperature, and sediment/turbidity
regimes of the Susitna River downstream of the proposed Watana Dam. These modified
regimes will affect the amount and distribution (temporal and spatial) of aquatic habitat and may
affect fish access to side sloughs and tributary streams. The 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study
will quantify the response of aquatic habitats to Project induced change to baseline stream flow,
stream temperature, turbidity, and other parameters, as appropriate. Results of the 2013-2014
Instream Flow Study will be used to evaluate potential Project impacts and develop potential
Protection, Mitigation and Enhancement measures (PM&Es).
The 2012 instream flow efforts will be coordinated with other 2012 studies to identify areas of
mutual interest and shared analysis. Specifically these include: fish distribution and abundance
studies; fish habitat utilization studies; water temperature studies; geomorphology studies; and
riparian studies.
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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project FERC #14241 Alaska Energy Authority
DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 7
Existing fish and aquatic resource information appears insufficient to address the following
issues that were identified in the PAD (AEA 2011):
Middle River (Watana Dam Site [RM 184] downstream to Three Rivers Confluence [RM 98]).
F4: Effect of Project operations on flow regimes, sediment transport, temperature, water
quality that results in changes to seasonal availability and quality of aquatic habitats,
including primary and secondary productivity. The effect of Project-induced changes
include streamflow, stream ice processes, and channel morphology (streambed
coarsening) on anadromous fish spawning and incubation habitat availability and
suitability in the mainstem and side channels and sloughs in the Middle River above and
below Devils Canyon.
Lower River (Three Rivers Confluence (RM 98] downstream to Cook Inlet [RM 0])
F9: The degree to which Project operations affect flow regimes, sediment transport,
temperature, water quality that result in changes to seasonal availability and quality of
aquatic habitats, including primary and secondary productivity.
PRODUCTS
Study products to be delivered in 2012, at a minimum will include:
Final 2012 Study Plan. The final 2012 study plan will be developed in coordination with AEA,
agencies and other licensing participants. The AEA-selected environmental contractor will assist
AEA, the Program Lead, and licensing participants develop the final study plans.
Draft Technical Memoranda. Draft technical memoranda will be prepared for each work group
meeting. The topics for the draft memoranda will be developed in coordination with AEA and
the licensing participants to meet the needs for developing the 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study
Plan. Preliminary memoranda topics are indicated below. In addition, each memo will
summarize progress, identify data gaps, and indicate coordination efforts with other studies.
Key Instream Flow Documents and Contents
Target Species/Lifestages, Periodicity, and Observed Habitat Utilization
Important Physical Habitat Processes, River Stratification, and Study Sites
Habitat Suitability Criteria
Habitat Modeling
Preliminary Study Site Selection
Relational database. A geospatially-referenced relational database of historic data used in the
current analysis and data collected during 2012 field season, if applicable, will be prepared. This
database will form the basis for additional data collection in 2013-2014. All new field data must
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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project FERC #14241 Alaska Energy Authority
DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 8
be associated with location information collected using a Global Positioning System (GPS)
receiver in unprojected geographic coordinates (latitude/longitude) and the WGS84 datum.
Naming conventions of files and data fields, spatial resolution, and metadata descriptions must
meet the ADNR standards established for the Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project.
2013-2014 Instream Flow Study Plan. The 2013-2014 Instream Flow Study Plan will be
developed through consultation with the Instream Flow subgroup through the formal FERC ILP
study plan process. The AEA-selected environmental consultant will participate in the subgroup
meetings, as appropriate, and assist AEA, the Program lead, and licensing participants develop
the study plan outline, draft and final Proposed Study Plans and draft and final Revised Study
Plans.
Data. All original data collected in the field in 2012 will be QC’d and delivered to AEA. The data
will be entered into the relational database described above, QC’d and delivered to AEA.
Final 2012 Technical Memo. A technical memo summarizing all of the 2012 results will be
presented to resource agency personnel and other licensing participants, along with spatial data
products. All map and spatial data products will be delivered in the two-dimensional Alaska
Albers Conical Equal Area projection, and North American Datum of 1983 (NAD 83) horizontal
datum consistent with ADNR standards.
SCHEDULE
The following schedule is for milestones of the 2012 scope of work. In addition to the schedule
below, draft technical memoranda and potentially other deliverables will be required between
work group meetings as necessary to facilitate work group discussions and 2013-2014 Instream
Flow Study Plan development. The schedule for implementation of the 2013-2014 Instream
Flow Study will be developed with the AEA-selected environmental consultant during the 2013-
2014 study planning process.
Final 2012 Instream Flow Study Plan – March 20, 2012
Final Draft 2013-2014 Study Plan Outline – March 20, 2012
Draft 2013-2014 Instream Flow Proposed Study Plan – April 27, 2012
Final 2013-2014 Instream Flow Proposed Study Plan – May 21, 2012
Draft Technical Memorandum – June 29, 2012
Draft 2013-2014 Instream Flow Revised Study Plan – August 15, 2012
Final 2013-2014 Instream Flow Revised Study Plan – September 24, 2012
Original QC’d Data - November 9, 2012
QC’d Geospatially-referenced relational database – November 9, 2012
Final Technical Memorandum on 2012 Activity – November 9, 2012.
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DRAFT 2012 Instream Flow Planning Study — February 4, 2012 9
REFERENCES
Anderson, J.L. and J.F. Bromaghin. 2009. Estimating the spawning Distribution of Pacific
Salmon in the Matanuska River Watershed, Suthcentral Alaska, 2008. Alaska Fisheries
Data Series Number 2009-12, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[ADF&G] Alaska Department of Fish and Game. 1984. Aquatic Habitat and Instream Flow
Investigations (May–October, 1983). C.C. Estes and D.S. Vincent-Lang, eds. Chapters 1
- 9. Susitna Hydro Aquatic Studies, Alaska Dept. of Fish & Game, Anhorage, AK.
Report 3. Report for Alaska Power Authority.
Alaska Energy Authority (AEA). 2011. Pre-Application Document: Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric
Project FERC Project No. 14241. December 2011. Prepared for the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission by the Alaska Energy Authority, Anchorage, Alaska.
Burril, S.E, C.E. Zimmerman, and J.E. Finn. 2010. Characteristics of Fall Chum Salmon
Spawning Habitat on a Mainstem River in Interior Alaska. US Geological Survey Open-
File Report 2010-1164, 20 p.
Eiler, J. H., B. D. Nelson, and R. F. Bradshaw. 1992. Riverine spawning by sockeye salmon in
the Taku River, Alaska and British Columbia. Transactions of the American Fisheries
Society 121:701-708.
HDR Alaska, Inc. (HDR). 2011. Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project, Railbelt Large Hydro:
Aquatic Resources Data Gap Analysis. Draft Report, July 20, 2011. Prepared for The
Alaska Energy Authority by HDR Alaska, Inc., Anchorage, Alaska. 72 pp.
Merizon, R.A.J., F. Alaska. Division of Sport, and F. Alaska. Division of Commercial. 2010.
Distribution of spawning Susitna River chum Oncorhynchus keta and coho O. kisutch
salmon, 2009. Alaska Dept. of Fish and Game, Division of Sport Fish, Research and
Technical Services, Anchorage, Alaska.
R&M Consultants, Inc. and Trihey & Associates, 1985. Response of Aquatic Habitat Surface
Areas to Mainstem Discharge in the Yentna to Talkeetna Reach of the Susitna River.
Prepared under contract to Harza-Ebasco, for Alaska Power Authority, document No.
2774, June 1985.
Trihey & Associates, 1985. Response of Aquatic Habitat Surface Areas to Mainstem Discharge
in the Talkeetna-To_Devil Canyon Segment of the Susitna River, Alaska. Prepared
under contract to Harza-Ebasco, for Alaska Power Authority, document No. 2945.
Trihey & Associates and Entrix. 1985a. Draft instream flow relationship report. Volume No. 1.
Alaska Power Authority. Susitna Hydro Document No. 3060.
—. 1985b. Instream flow relationships report. Volume No.2. Alaska Power Authority. Susitna
Hydro Document No. 3061.
Yanusz, R., R. Merizon, D. Evans, M. Willette, T. Spencer, and S. Raborn. 2007. Inriver
abundance and distribution of spawning Susitna River sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus
nerka, 2006. Alaska Dept. of Fish and Game, Fishery Data Series No. 07-83.
Anchorage, Alaska.
Yanusz, R., R. Merizon, M. Willette, D. Evans, and T. Spencer. 2011. Inriver abundance and
distribution of spawning Susitna River sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka, 2008.
Alaska Dept. of Fish and Game, Fishery Data Series No. 11-12. Anchorage, Alaska.