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Home My WebLink AboutSuWa121Alaska Resources Library & Information Services Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Document ARLIS Uniform Cover Page Title: Socioeconomic, recreation, air quality, and transportation data gap analysis SuWa 121 Author(s) – Personal: Author(s) – Corporate: Prepared by HDR Alaska, Inc. AEA-identified category, if specified: Data Gap Analyses AEA-identified series, if specified: Series (ARLIS-assigned report number): Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project document number 121 Existing numbers on document: Published by: Anchorage : Provided by AEA [Alaska Energy Authority, 2011] Date published: August 25, 2011 Published for: Prepared for Alaska Energy Authority Date or date range of report: Volume and/or Part numbers: Final or Draft status, as indicated: Draft Document type: Pagination: xi, 64 p. Related work(s): Pages added/changed by ARLIS: Notes: All reports in the Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Document series include an ARLIS- produced cover page and an ARLIS-assigned number for uniformity and citability. All reports are posted online at http://www.arlis.org/resources/susitna-watana/ Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Socioeconomic, Recreation, Air Quality, and Transportation Data Gap Analysis Draft Prepared for: Alaska Energy Authority 813 W Northern Lights Blvd Anchorage, AK 99503-6690 Prepared by: HDR Alaska, Inc. 2525 C Street, Suite 305 Anchorage, AK 99503 August 25, 2011 Disclaimer: This document is provided by AEA as part its effort to gather and share all existing information regarding its proposed Susitna-Watana Project. Doing so should not be interpreted as an endorsement or acceptance by AEA of the content of this document at this time. $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV L List of Preparers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±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able ES.4.1-1. Summary of Data Gaps Data Gap Specific Information Needed SOCIOECONOMIC Local Government Structure SE-1: Update local government baseline to include the Denali Borough x Anderson x Clear x Cantwell x Healy x Smaller settlements (Ferry, McKinley Village, Carlo Creek, etc.) $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV LLL Data Gap Specific Information Needed SE-2: Update baseline to incorporate MSB Community Councils Identify baseline conditions and impacts for at the community council level where appropriate Population SE-3: Update baseline population and demographic information x Population x Number of households x Household characteristics x Age characteristics x Race/ethnicity x Gender x Education SE-4: Project future population and demographic information x Anticipated population change with and without the project x Community-level forecasts SE-5: Develop a construction-related population change estimate Demographic information during construction period SE-6: Identify minority and low-income population for environmental justice analysis Identification of minority and low-income communities Income SE-7: Update baseline income information x Median household income x Per capita income x Population below poverty level Housing SE-8: Update baseline housing conditions x Existing housing stock x Forecasted housing stock x Availability x Vacancy rates x Housing tenure x Affordability x Tenure x Residential properties near dam site, impoundment area, access corridors, and transmission corridors SE-9: Update vacancy rates Expected vacancy rates Employment SE-10: Update employment information x Existing employment figures x Forecasted employment figures Public Services and Facilities To be determined as project is refined Water and Wastewater $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV LY Data Gap Specific Information Needed SE-11: Update baseline water and wastewater demand x Existing water/wastewater demand x Forecasted water/wastewater demand SE-12: Update baseline water and wastewater system capacity x Planned capacity of systems x Number of people who can be accommodated by systems SE-13: Locate well locations Utility conflict report to determine location of wells in areas directly impacted by project SE-14: Locate private systems Identify private systems impacted by project SE-15: Update baseline and projected wastewater demand and capacity x Area served by system x Future capacity of system Solid Waste SE-16: Update landfill capacity information x Verify projected capacities of landfills in each borough x Information about replacement landfill in Denali Borough Police SE-17: Update baseline police coverage x Existing staffing levels x Projected staffing levels x Detachment location and coverage areas x Level of service standards SE-18: Update baseline information to include Wildlife Troopers x Location of detachments x Existing/baseline staffing of detachments x Projected staffing needs Fire SE-19: Update baseline fire protection in the MSB x Service area boundaries x Station location and resources x Planned improvements (focus on stations/FSAs near project area) SE-20: Update baseline information to include Denali Borough Volunteer Fire Departments x Coverage area of each VPD x Station locations x Target response times x Existing resources x Anticipated date of exceeding capacity Health Care SE-21: Update baseline health care information x Existing health care facilities x Facility capacities Education SE-22: Update school capacity and baseline and future enrollment x Projected school enrollment for baseline year x Projected school enrollment for project design year x School capacity Fiscal Status of Local Government $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV Y Data Gap Specific Information Needed SE-23: Update local government fiscal status information x Overall revenues x Overall expenditures x Property tax rates x Property tax revenue x Sales tax rates SE-24: Update school district fiscal status information x Existing school districts x Current fiscal status of each district Electricity SE-25: Update electric power information x Current electrical power information RECREATION Existing Recreation Facilities REC-1: Reasonably foreseeable future recreation facilities x Demand for and carrying capacity of proposed projects in South Denali Region EIS and Denali State Park Management Plan x Potential future use of private land in project area (including development of private recreation facilities) REC-2: Update private facilities information Update of 1985 Lodge Owner Survey to assess status and use of privately owned lodges in project area Current Recreational Use of the Project Area REC-3: Update recreation survey study Information on current users REC-4: Identify Alaska Railroad passengers and whistlestop use in project area Number of passengers using whistlestops to access project area for recreation purposes REC-5: Update lodge owner survey Number of annual guests at lodges within project area REC-6: Update air taxi survey x Number of air taxi operators using project area x Number of annual recreational users transported via air taxi x Key facilities and areas for recreation activities via air taxi REC-7: Update guide survey x Number of hunting clients using GMU 13A and 13E x Key areas used for hunting REC-8: Update survey of boaters exiting at Susitna Landing, Talkeetna Boat Launch and Airstrip, and Willow Creek x Number of boaters exiting at each site x Types of boats used x Types of recreation activities REC-9: Evaluation of current and future commercial use of project area x Number of clients using project area businesses x Key areas used for recreation activities x Planned commercial operations and use $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV YL Data Gap Specific Information Needed Recreation Trends and Future Demand REC-10: Update projected demand for recreation opportunities in project area x Current annual per capita recreation days in various recreation activities x Projected annual per capita recreation days in various recreation activities TRANSPORTATION Roads TRANS-1: Identify future road network x Location of road x Roadway characteristics TRANS-2: Identify existing and future local roads x Location of road x Traffic volume TRANS-3: Identify RS 2477 trails x Location of existing RS 2477 corridors x Location of potential RS 2477 corridors x Status of corridor TRANS-4: Identify existing bridges/structures x Location of bridges/structures x Vehicle restrictions (height, weight, width, etc.) TRANS-5: Update baseline and future traffic volumes and capacity x Current traffic volumes x Roadway configuration (number of lanes, traffic signals, etc.) x Turning movements x Anticipated growth in project area Rail TRANS-6: Identify baseline and future capacity of ARRC system x Track usage and capacity x Number of rail cars/trains that would move each day x Time of year construction would occur x Origin of construction materials Aviation TRANS-7: Identify and locate private aviation facilities x Facility locations x Runway size x Runway usage TRANS-8: Identify and assess airport capacity x Baseline and projected takeoffs and landings x Availability of unleased land for construction staging AIR QUALITY Emissions Data AQ-1: Update project emissions for construction permitting x Construction equipment needs x Construction activity levels AQ-2: Summarize baseline fossil-fuel generation emissions x Estimates of criteria air pollutants for each plant x Breakdowns of electric generation by type AQ-3: Add regional air quality data x Summarize data for nearest regional monitors x Compare measured data against current NAAQS $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV YLL TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................. 1 2 Project History ........................................................................................................................ 1 3 Data Gap Analysis .................................................................................................................. 3 4 Socioeconomics ...................................................................................................................... 3 4.1 Methodology ....................................................................................................................... 3 4.2 Local Government Structure ............................................................................................... 4 4.2.1 Data Gaps .................................................................................................................... 5 4.3 Population ........................................................................................................................... 5 4.3.1 Data Gaps .................................................................................................................... 6 4.4 Income................................................................................................................................. 7 4.4.1 Denali Borough ........................................................................................................... 7 4.4.2 Matanuska-Susitna Borough ....................................................................................... 8 4.4.3 Data Gap ..................................................................................................................... 8 4.5 Housing ............................................................................................................................... 8 4.5.1 Denali Borough ........................................................................................................... 9 4.5.2 Matanuska-Susitna Borough ....................................................................................... 9 4.5.3 Data Gaps .................................................................................................................. 11 4.6 Employment ...................................................................................................................... 12 4.6.1 Denali Borough ......................................................................................................... 12 4.6.2 Matanuska-Susitna Borough ..................................................................................... 12 4.6.3 Data Gap ................................................................................................................... 13 4.7 Public Services and Facilities ........................................................................................... 13 4.7.1 Water and Wastewater .............................................................................................. 13 4.7.2 Solid Waste ............................................................................................................... 16 4.7.3 Police......................................................................................................................... 17 4.7.4 Fire ............................................................................................................................ 18 4.7.5 Health Care ............................................................................................................... 20 4.7.6 Education .................................................................................................................. 21 4.7.7 Fiscal Status of Local Government ........................................................................... 22 4.7.8 Electricity .................................................................................................................. 23 5 Recreation ............................................................................................................................. 23 5.1 Methodology ..................................................................................................................... 23 5.2 Project Area ...................................................................................................................... 24 5.3 Existing Recreation Facilities ........................................................................................... 25 5.3.1 Public Facilities ......................................................................................................... 25 5.3.2 Private Facilities........................................................................................................ 28 5.3.3 Data Gaps .................................................................................................................. 29 5.4 Current Recreational Use of the Project Area ................................................................... 30 5.4.1 Commercial Recreation and Tourism Use ................................................................ 32 5.4.2 Data Gaps .................................................................................................................. 32 $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV YLLL 5.5 Recreation Trends and Future Demand ............................................................................ 35 5.5.1 Data Gap ................................................................................................................... 37 6 Transportation ....................................................................................................................... 37 6.1 Methodology ..................................................................................................................... 38 6.2 Roads................................................................................................................................. 39 6.2.1 Existing Road Network ............................................................................................. 39 6.2.2 Other Denali Borough Roads .................................................................................... 40 6.2.3 Other MSB Roads ..................................................................................................... 41 6.2.4 Data Gaps .................................................................................................................. 41 6.3 Rail .................................................................................................................................... 44 6.3.1 Data Gap ................................................................................................................... 46 6.4 Aviation............................................................................................................................. 47 6.4.1 Existing Conditions ................................................................................................... 47 6.4.2 Planned Improvements.............................................................................................. 51 6.4.3 Data Gaps .................................................................................................................. 54 7 Air Quality ............................................................................................................................ 54 7.1 Methodology ..................................................................................................................... 54 7.2 Assessment of 1985 Amended Draft License Application Documentation ..................... 55 7.3 Air Quality and Emissions Data ....................................................................................... 56 7.3.1 Data Gaps .................................................................................................................. 56 8 References ............................................................................................................................. 59 $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV L[ List of Tables 7DEOH(66XPPDU\RI'DWD*DSVLL 7DEOH6HOHFWHG+RXVLQJ&KDUDFWHULVWLFVIRU2FFXSLHG+RXVLQJ8QLWVLQWKH'HQDOL %RURXJK 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$($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV 4.5.1 Denali Borough ,QWKH'HQDOL%RURXJKDPDMRULW\RIWKHKRXVLQJLVVLQJOHIDPLO\KRXVLQJ7KHERURXJKKDVYHU\ ORZUHVLGHQWLDOGHQVLWLHV$FFRUGLQJWRWKH&HQVXVWKH'HQDOL%RURXJKKDVKRXVLQJ XQLWVRIZKLFKXQLWVZHUHYDFDQW2IWKHVHYDFDQWXQLWVXQLWVZHUHIRU VHDVRQDOUHFUHDWLRQDORURFFDVLRQDOXVH$SSUR[LPDWHO\XQLWVZHUHIRUUHQWRUIRUVDOH $FFRUGLQJWRWKH±$&6ZKLFKVKRZVKRXVLQJXQLWVLQWKHERURXJKPRVWRIWKH KRXVLQJXQLWVZHUHEXLOWEHWZHHQDQG7KHPHGLDQYDOXHRIDQRZQHURFFXSLHG KRXVLQJXQLWZDVDQGWKHPHGLDQUHQWZDV7DEOHSURYLGHVDQRYHUYLHZRI VHOHFWHGRFFXSLHGKRXVLQJFKDUDFWHULVWLFV Table 4.5-1. Selected Housing Characteristics for Occupied Housing Units in the Denali Borough # of Occupied Housing Units % of Occupied Housing Units Occupied housing units N/A Owner occupied 334 64% Used fuel oil or kerosene as the heating source 310 60% Lacked complete plumbing facilities 114 Lacked complete kitchen facilities 113 Had no phone service 64 6RXUFH$&6 4.5.2 Matanuska-Susitna Borough ,QWKH06%PRVWKRXVLQJLVVLQJOHIDPLO\UHVLGHQWLDOKRXVLQJEXWWKHUHLVDIDLUDPRXQWRI PXOWLIDPLO\KRXVLQJ,QJHQHUDOUHVLGHQWLDOGHQVLWLHVDUHKLJKHVWLQWKHFRUHDUHDDQGDUHORZHU LQWKHPRUHUXUDOSDUWVRIWKHERURXJK$FFRUGLQJWRWKH&HQVXV$&6WKH06%KDV KRXVLQJXQLWVZKLFKLQFOXGHVYDFDQWXQLWV$FFRUGLQJWRWKH±$&6ZKLFK UHSRUWVKRXVLQJXQLWVLQWKH06%DSSUR[LPDWHO\RIWKHKRXVLQJXQLWVZHUH EXLOWEHWZHHQDQG7KHPHGLDQYDOXHRIDQRZQHURFFXSLHGKRXVLQJXQLWZDV DQGWKHPHGLDQUHQWZDV $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV 7DEOHSURYLGHVDQRYHUYLHZRIVHOHFWHGRFFXSLHGKRXVLQJFKDUDFWHULVWLFV $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV Table 4.5-2. Housing Characteristics for Occupied Housing Units in the MSB # of occupied Housing Units % of Occupied Housing Units Occupied housing units 21,956 N/A Owner occupied 17,535 79.9% Used utility gas as the heating source 15,453 70.4% Lacked complete plumbing facilities 895 4.1% Lacked complete kitchen facilities 865 3.9% Had no phone service 493 2.2% 6RXUFH$&6 4.5.3 Data Gaps 4.5.3.1 SE-8: Update Baseline Housing Conditions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Public Airports $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV 6.4.1.1 Denali Borough ,QWKH'HQDOL%RURXJKWKHUHDUHILYHSXEOLFDLUSRUWVVHH)LJXUHDQG7DEOH Table 6.4-1. Publically Owned Public Use Airports in the Denali Borough Name ID Owner Runway Size (ft) Surface Healy River HRR DOT&PF 2,920 X 60 Asphalt Kantishna 5Z5 DOT&PF14 1,850 X 35 Gravel Clear Z84 DOT&PF 4,000 X 100 Asphalt Stampede Z90 National Park Service (NPS) 1,960 X 40 Turf McKinley National Park15 INR NPS 3,000X68 Gravel 6RXUFH'27 3),QWHULRU7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ3ODQ 7KH&DQWZHOO$LUSRUWLVSULYDWHO\RZQHGEXWSXEOLFXVHLVDOORZHG 7KH$$63GHYHORSHGDFRPPHUFLDOSDVVHQJHUDQGFDUJRIRUHFDVWE\ERURXJKDQG&HQVXVDUHD 7KHIRUHFDVWIRUWKH'HQDOL%RURXJKLVVKRZQLQ7DEOH Table 6.4-2. AASP Forecast for Denali Borough 2008 2015 2020 2030 Passenger Forecast 48 35 35 35 Cargo tonnage - - - - Commercial Aircraft Operations 1,501 957 931 869 6RXUFH$ODVND$YLDWLRQ6\VWHP3ODQ )RUWKHSXUSRVHVRIWKLVUHSRUWDSXEOLFDLUSRUWLVDQDLUSRUWRZQHGDQGRSHUDWHGE\DJRYHUQPHQWDOHQWLW\DQGLV RSHQWRWKHSXEOLF 7KH.DQWLVKQDDLUSRUWLVSDUWLDOO\RZQHGE\WKH136 &RPPHUFLDODQGEXVLQHVVXVHRIWKH0F.LQOH\1DWLRQDO3DUNDLUSRUWLVQRWDOORZHGXQOHVVDXWKRUL]HGE\WKH136 $($6XVLWQD:DWDQD+\GURHOHFWULF3URMHFW 6RFLRHFRQRPLF5HFUHDWLRQ$LU4XDOLW\DQG7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ'DWD*DS$QDO\VLV 6.4.1.2 Matanuska-Susitna Borough 7KH06%KDVSXEOLFXVHDLUSRUWVVHH)LJXUHDQG7DEOH7KH&LW\RI:DVLOODRZQV DQGRSHUDWHVDSXEOLFDLUSRUWDVGRHVWKH&LW\RI3DOPHU7KH'27 3)RSHUDWHVDQDGGLWLRQDO HLJKWSXEOLFDLUSRUWV%LJ/DNH*RRVH%D\6NZHQWQD7DONHHWQD:LOORZ/DNH/RXLVH6KHHS 0RXQWDLQDQG6XPPLW,QDGGLWLRQWKH%/0RZQVWKH7DONHHWQD9LOODJH6WULSEXWLWVXVHLV OLPLWHGWRSULYDWHLQGLYLGXDOV$PRUHGHWDLOHGGHVFULSWLRQRIWKHH[LVWLQJDYLDWLRQV\VWHPLQWKH 06%FDQEHIRXQGLQWKH06%5HJLRQDO$YLDWLRQ6\VWHP3ODQ5$63 Table 6.4-3. Publicly Owned Public Use Airports in the Matanuska-Susitna Borough Name ID Owner Runway Size (ft) Surface Wasilla IYS City of Wasilla 3,700 X 75 Asphalt 1690 X 60 Turf - Gravel Palmer Municipal PAQ City of Palmer 6009 X 100 Asphalt 3617 X 75 Asphalt 1,560 X 60 Gravel Big Lake BGQ DOT&PF 2,435 X 70 Gravel Goose Bay Z40 DOT&PF 3,000 X 75 Gravel Skwentna SKW DOT&PF 3,400 X 75 Gravel Talkeetna TKA DOT&PF 3,500 X 75 Asphalt Willow UUO DOT&PF 4,400 X 75 Gravel Lake Louise* Z55 DOT&PF 700 X 18 Gravel-Turf Sheep Mountain SMU DOT&PF 2,270 X 10 Gravel-Dirt Summit UMM DOT&PF 3,840 X 80 Turf - Gravel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able 6.4-4. 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