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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Document
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Title:
Wood frog occupancy and habitat use study, Study plan Section 10.18 :
Initial study report
SuWa 207
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Draft initial study report
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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project document number 207
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[Anchorage : Alaska Energy Authority, 2014]
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February 2014
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Study plan Section 10.18
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produced cover page and an ARLIS-assigned number for uniformity and citability. All reports
are posted online at http://www.arlis.org/resources/susitna-watana/
Susitna–Watana Hydroelectric Project
(FERC No. 14241)
Wood Frog Occupancy and Habitat Use
Study Plan Section 10.18
Initial Study Report
Prepared for
Alaska Energy Authority
Prepared by
ABR Inc.—Environmental Research & Services
Forest Grove, Oregon and Fairbanks, Alaska
February 2014 Draft
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................... iv
1. Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 1
3. Study Area ......................................................................................................................... 2
4. Methods and Variances in 2013 ....................................................................................... 2
4.1. Auditory Field Surveys ........................................................................................... 2
4.1.1. Variances......................................................................................... 3
4.2. Occupancy Modeling and Habitat Associations ..................................................... 4
4.2.1. Variances......................................................................................... 5
4.3. Acoustic Monitoring ............................................................................................... 5
4.3.1. Variances......................................................................................... 5
4.4. Chytrid Fungus Bioassay ........................................................................................ 5
4.4.1. Variances......................................................................................... 6
5. Results ................................................................................................................................ 6
5.1. Auditory Field Surveys ........................................................................................... 6
5.2. Occupancy Modeling and Habitat Associations ..................................................... 7
5.2.1. Occupancy Modeling ...................................................................... 7
5.2.2. Habitat Associations ....................................................................... 7
5.3. Acoustic Monitoring ............................................................................................... 7
5.4. Chytrid Fungus Bioassay ........................................................................................ 8
6. Discussion........................................................................................................................... 8
6.1. Distribution and Habitat Use .................................................................................. 8
6.2. Occupancy Modeling ............................................................................................ 10
6.3. Acoustic Monitoring ............................................................................................. 10
6.4. Chytrid Fungus...................................................................................................... 11
7. Completing the Study ..................................................................................................... 11
8. Literature Cited .............................................................................................................. 11
9. Tables ............................................................................................................................... 14
10. Figures .............................................................................................................................. 18
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 5.1-1. Number of Frog-survey Visits to Water Bodies and Wetlands in the 2013
Study Area. ............................................................................................................................14
Table 5.1-2. Frog Occupancy in Shallow- and Deep-water Habitats in 2013. ..............................14
Table 5.1-3. Occupancy-model Selection Results for Presence of Wood Frogs in 2013. .............15
Table 5.2-1. Best-model Estimates of Wood Frog Occupancy and Detection Probability
in 2013. ..................................................................................................................................15
Table 5.2-2. Habitat Characteristics of Water Bodies and Wetlands where Wood Frogs
were Detected and Not Detected in 2013...............................................................................16
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 3-1. Wood Frog Study Area for the Susitna–Watana Hydroelectric Project, 2013. ..........19
Figure 5.1-1. Locations where Wood Frogs were Detected during Auditory Surveys, plus
Incidental Observations from Other Wildlife Surveys, in 2013. ...........................................20
Figure 5.3-1. Wood Frog Calling Activity by Date and Hour in 2013. .........................................21
APPENDICES
Appendix A: Records of Consultation with USFWS and USGS Regarding Sampling Protocol
and Analytical Method for Amphibian Chytrid Fungus.
Appendix B: Photographs from Field Surveys in 2013.
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LIST OF ACRONYMS, ABBREVIATIONS, AND DEFINITIONS
Abbreviation Definition
ADF&G Alaska Department of Fish and Game
AEA Alaska Energy Authority
AICc Akaike’s Information Criteria, corrected for small sample size
AKNHP Alaska Natural Heritage Program
APA Alaska Power Authority
Bd Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis, amphibian chytrid fungus
C.I. Confidence interval
CIRWG Cook Inlet Working Group
d Degrees of freedom
FERC Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
RSP Revised Study Plan
ft Foot, feet
GIS Geographic Information System
GPS Global Positioning System
ILP Integrated Licensing Process
ISR Initial Study Report
kph Kilometers per hour
m meter
min minimum
mph Miles per hour
n Sample size
NHD National Hydrography Dataset
NWI National Wetlands Inventory
p Detection probability
pH A measure of the acidity or alkalinity of a solution
PLP Pebble Limited Partnership
Project Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project
qPCR Quantitative Polymerase Chain Reaction
S.E. Standard error
SPD Study Plan Determination
USFWS United States Fish and Wildlife Services
USGS United States Geological Survey
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Wood Frog Occupancy and Habitat Use Study Section 10.18
Purpose The objectives of the Wood Frog Study are to: (1) review existing data on
habitat use and distribution of breeding wood frogs (Rana sylvatica) in a broad
region surrounding the Project area; (2) estimate the current occupancy rate
for breeding wood frogs in suitable habitats in the study area through a
combination of field surveys and habitat-occupancy modeling; (3) use
information on current habitat occupancy and habitat use to estimate the
habitat loss and alteration expected to occur from development of the Project;
and (4) sample frogs opportunistically for the presence of the amphibian
chytrid fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd), which has been linked
to worldwide amphibian population declines. Objectives one, two, and four
were addressed in 2013 and the third objective will be addressed in the Project
license application.
Status The first year of the Wood Frog Occupancy and Habitat Use study for the
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project (FERC No. 14241) was conducted in
2013.
Study
Components
This study has four components: Auditory Field Surveys, Occupancy
Modeling and Habitat Associations, Acoustic Monitoring, and Chytrid Fungus
Bioassay.
2013 Variances The methodology for selecting sample locations (RSP Section 10.18.4.1) was
adjusted because mapping and fish presence data were not yet available and
access to the study sites on Cook Inlet Regional Working Group (CIRWG)
lands was not permitted in 2013. Proposed field survey times (RSP Section
10.18.4.1) were adjusted because of the logistical challenges
Steps to
complete the
Study
As explained in the cover letter to this draft ISR, AEA’s plan for completing
this study will be included in the final ISR filed with FERC on June 3, 2014.
Highlighted
Results and
Achievements
The status of wood frogs in the Project area was unknown prior to this study
and few studies have established occupancy rates of wood frogs in Alaska. A
total of 90 randomly selected wetlands and water bodies were surveyed for the
presence of wood frogs. Frogs were found to be widely distributed in the areas
surveyed over a variety of habitat types from tundra to forested wetlands.
Frogs were detected at 13 of 42 (31.0 percent) locations with shallow water
(≤1.5 m [4.9 ft]), 34 of 48 (70.8 percent) locations with deep water (>1.5 m)
and at 47 of 90 water types (52 percent) overall. Therefore, the naïve estimate
of frog occupancy (assuming 100 percent detectability) was 52.2 percent. The
estimated detectability from the best model of frog occupancy was 60.6
percent (95 percent C.I. = 34.8–81.6 percent). That is, if frogs were present in
a pond, the study team would, on average, detect them 60.6 percent of the time
with one visit. The probability of detection increased to 84.5 percent with two
visits and 93.9 percent with three visits. The best model of frog occupancy
contained only one variable: water depth. Water depth was the most important
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Wood Frog Occupancy and Habitat Use Study Section 10.18
variable affecting habitat suitability and occupancy. The estimated occupancy
for shallow habitats was 36.8 percent (95 percent C.I. = 20.8–56.5 percent)
and the estimated occupancy for deeper habitats was 81.8 percent (95 percent
C.I. = 44.4–96.2 percent) with an overall occupancy estimate of 63.4 percent
(95 percent C.I. = 36.3–84.0 percent). The acoustic data were used to calculate
the detectability (60.8 percent) of frogs calling when the study team actually
sampled, which was nearly identical to the estimate from occupancy modeling
(60.6 percent). Concordance between these results provides strong evidence
that the occupancy modeling provided a reasonable estimate of detectability
and that the occupancy rates were adjusted appropriately. This concordance is
key to producing meaningful habitat occupancy results for eventual use in
estimating the potential habitat loss and alteration that may occur from
development of the Project.
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1. INTRODUCTION
On December 14, 2012, the Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) filed its Revised Study Plan (RSP)
with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) for the Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric
Project No. 14241 (Project), which included 58 individual study plans (AEA 2012). Section
10.18 of the RSP described the Wood Frog Occupancy and Habitat Use Study. On February 1,
2013, FERC staff issued its study determination (February 1 SPD) for 44 of the 58 studies,
approving 31 studies as filed and 13 with modifications. RSP Section 10.18 was one of the 31
studies approved with no modifications.
The wood frog study focused on evaluating the distribution of breeding wood frogs in those
portions of the study area in the upper and middle Susitna River basin where breeding frogs
could be directly or indirectly affected by Project development activities. The study is being
conducted over two years, with field work scheduled in May/June each year and involving both
field surveys and habitat occupancy modeling. In addition, AEA proposed to opportunistically
capture and sample frogs (non-lethally) to test for the presence of the amphibian chytrid fungus,
Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd), which has been linked to amphibian declines worldwide
(Olson et al. 2013).
Following the first study season, FERC’s regulations for the Integrated Licensing Process (ILP)
require AEA to “prepare and file with the Commission an initial study report describing its
overall progress in implementing the study plan and schedule and the data collected, including an
explanation of any variance from the study plan and schedule.” (18 CFR 5.15(c)(1)). This Initial
Study Report (ISR) on the Wood Frog Occupancy and Habitat Use Study has been prepared in
accordance with FERC’s ILP regulations and details AEA’s status in implementing the study, as
set forth in the FERC-approved RSP (referred to herein as the “Study Plan”).
2. STUDY OBJECTIVES
The goal of the Wood Frog Study is to characterize the use of the Project area by breeding wood
frogs to facilitate an assessment of potential impacts on wood frogs from development of the
proposed Project.
The study has four objectives, as outlined in RSP Section 10.18.1:
• Review existing data on habitat use and distribution of breeding wood frogs in a broad
region surrounding the study area.
• Estimate the current occupancy rate for breeding wood frogs in suitable habitats in the
study area through a combination of field surveys and habitat-occupancy modeling.
• Use information on current habitat occupancy and habitat use to estimate the habitat loss
and alteration expected to occur from development of the Project.
• Sample frogs opportunistically for the presence of the chytrid fungus that has been linked
to amphibian population declines. (At the request of state and federal management
agencies, AEA agreed to sample for the chytrid fungus to opportunistically take
advantage of planned fieldwork and thereby provide some baseline information on the
occurrence of the fungus in the study area before development.)
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The Wood Frog Study was planned as a two-year study. Results from the first year of work in
2013 presented here will be used to refine the study plan for the next year of study, if necessary.
3. STUDY AREA
As established by RSP Section 10.18.1, the study area includes those water bodies and suitable
wetland habitats in the proposed Project area in which habitat loss, habitat alteration, and
disturbance could potentially occur. The study area encompasses the reservoir inundation zone,
associated areas for the dam and camp infrastructure, and the potential access-road corridors
(Gold Creek, Chulitna, and Denali corridors) and material sites (Figure 3-1).
4. METHODS AND VARIANCES IN 2013
The methods for each of the Wood Frog Occupancy and Habitat Use Study components are
presented in this section.
4.1. Auditory Field Surveys
AEA implemented the methods described in the Study Plan with the exception of the variances
explained below (Section 4.1.1).
Because the study area is large and the calling period of breeding male frogs is short, this study
did not involve a comprehensive survey of all potential frog breeding habitat present in the study
area. Instead, observers surveyed for frogs in suitable habitats that were stratified into two habitat
types (water bodies and wetlands). The study team used a Geographic Information System (GIS)
to compile the full list of possible sampling locations (n = 148) by reviewing available
information from existing GIS data layers (National Hydrography Dataset [NHD] and National
Wetlands Inventory [NWI]) and by conducting additional interpretation of aerial imagery for
portions of the study area for which recent imagery was available. The study team selected
suitable water body and wetland habitats for frogs by (1) identifying areas with emergent
vegetation; (2) removing shoreline wetland polygons adjacent to water bodies (and just including
the water bodies); (3) removing locations within 250 m of another suitable location; and (4)
removing sampling locations on or within 50 m of Cook Inlet Region Working Group (CIRWG)
lands, for which access was not permitted in 2013. Next, the study team selected sampling
locations (n = 120) by stratifying equally by area (reservoir impoundment zone, access roads and
transmission corridors) and then randomly selecting equal numbers of each habitat type (water
body, wetland) by area. The study team included the remaining locations (n = 28) as alternative
sampling locations, if needed.
The study team conducted ground-based auditory surveys of the randomly selected water bodies
and wetlands in the study area during the breeding season for frogs (May 30 to June 8). In
addition to these surveys, incidental detections of wood frogs were documented during data
collection efforts for other studies (mainly ground-based bird surveys), which provided
additional information on the occurrence of frogs in the study area. The study team accessed
survey sites by helicopter and on foot by navigating to predetermined sample sites using hand-
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held global positioning system (GPS) receivers. The field surveys involved listening for auditory
detections of calling frogs for 5-min periods along the margins of each water body or wetland
sampled to ascertain the presence or absence of wood frogs. Before the surveys began, observers
trained by listening to audio files of breeding calls of male wood frogs. At small water bodies
and wetlands, a single observation point was sufficient to detect the presence of frogs, but for
large water bodies and wetlands, multiple observation points were needed to determine the
presence of frogs. Up to four observation points were located and sampled for large water bodies
and wetlands, with distances of up to 500 m (1,640 ft) between points to achieve adequate survey
coverage.
Up to two (occasionally three) independent, replicate surveys were made by trained observers at
each water body during the generally accepted survey times for this species in Alaska (Gotthardt
2004; PLP 2011). Due to variability in the calling frequency of male wood frogs even during the
peak of the breeding season (PLP 2011), two visits were needed to detect frogs at some water
bodies. The second survey at each site was conducted by a different observer who generally did
not have knowledge of the survey results from the first survey. However, because this study
involved the use of a “removal design” to estimate occupancy, if detected on the first survey, a
second survey was not needed (i.e., that site was “removed” from further sampling; Mackenzie
and Royle 2005). Surveys were conducted only under favorable weather conditions (e.g., light
rain or no rain, air temperature higher than 4° C [39° F], and wind speed ≤25 kph [15 mph]).
Observers spent a minimum of 5 min at each survey location listening for calling frogs, but
terminated the survey early if frogs were detected.
Habitat and environmental characteristics (e.g., size and depth of water body or wetland,
substrate, presence and type of emergent aquatic vegetation, water quality [pH level, dissolved
oxygen], ice cover, surrounding terrestrial vegetation, water and air temperature, precipitation,
cloud cover, wind speed, time of day, beaver activity) were recorded during the field surveys for
consideration in the development of a Project-specific occupancy estimation model based on the
habitat characteristics of the occupied water bodies or wetlands. In addition, data from the
Vegetation and Wildlife Habitat Mapping and Wetland Mapping Studies (Studies 11.5 and 11.7)
and from the literature (e.g., Stevens et al. 2006; AKNHP 2008) were considered as potential
model variables to characterize wood frog habitat.
4.1.1. Variances
The Study Plan (RSP Section 10.18.4.1) proposed that the potential water bodies and wetland
habitats to be sampled would be identified from interpretation of aerial photos or remote-sensing
imagery and from the preliminary mapping of vegetation, wildlife habitats, and wetlands. From
this set of water bodies and wetlands, habitats were to be categorized as having a high or low
probability of supporting breeding frogs (based on likelihood of supporting fish and presence of
emergent vegetation). Lastly, the Study Plan proposed to select 10 sampling regions, two in each
of the three access road corridors and four in the reservoir zone and dam and camp facilities area.
In each sampling region, 12 potential water bodies or wetlands were to be selected through a
stratified random process.
Several factors affected the study team’s ability to institute the sampling approach described in
the Study Plan: (1) current mapping of vegetation and wildlife habitats was not yet available
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before the 2013 field season began; (2) existing wetland information (e.g., NWI mapping) did
not cover the entire study area and was not of sufficient accuracy and resolution for the study; (3)
data were not available regarding the presence of fish in water bodies and wetlands before field
surveys began; and (4) permission for access to CIRWG lands was not granted, precluding
sampling in most of the Gold Creek corridor and parts of the Chulitna corridor and western
portion of the reservoir zone. Therefore, the study team devised an alternative approach to
selecting 120 sampling locations (described in Section 4.1 above) that still incorporated random
selection of suitable sampling sites. This selection process fulfilled the original intent of the
study plan to select sampling locations in a random manner throughout the study area.
In addition, the Study Plan (RSP Section 10.18.4.1) included the distribution of field survey
times, which were originally planned for the period from approximately 1200 h to 2200 h but
were conducted from approximately 0900 h to 2000 h instead because of logistical challenges.
The data from acoustic monitors showed that the sampling times were appropriate for the study,
as is described below in Section 5.3. The acoustic monitors provided excellent results for
evaluating the times of day when frogs were calling.
As explained above, the applicable study objectives were achieved with these modified
approaches.
4.2. Occupancy Modeling and Habitat Associations
AEA implemented the methods as described in the Study Plan with no variances.
Because frogs were not always detected during 5-min sampling sessions even when they were
present, the study team used occupancy modeling to adjust the observed occupancy rates for
non-detections (Mackenzie et al. 2002). Occupancy modeling uses resurveys of the same
locations to estimate a detection rate (p) and then uses the estimated detection rate to calculate an
adjusted occupancy rate estimate (Ψ). The observed (“naïve”) occupancy rate of frogs in water
bodies and wetlands was adjusted to account for those frogs present but not detected, thereby
producing a corrected occupancy rate for the water bodies and wetlands in this study.
Occupancy modeling also allows the user to compare various models with different
specifications of detectability and occupancy parameters. Because the study team used a removal
design, in which locations were not revisited after frogs were detected, there was limited
statistical power to estimate detectability and therefore assumed that detectability was constant
for all surveys. The study team compared four covariates for occupancy: area (dam, camp, and
reservoir area or road corridors), water type (wetland or water body), water depth (≤1.5 m [4.9 ft]
or >1.5 m), and percent of hibernation habitat (visual estimate of the percent of herbaceous
cover, low shrubs, and tall shrubs within 50 m of the shoreline). Area was included because the
sample was stratified by area and the other three covariates were chosen because they were
expected to be biologically important and because the analyses would only support a limited
number of covariates.
The study team tested all possible combinations of these four covariates (without interactions),
including an intercept-only model, for a total of 16 different models. Model calculations were
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run on a desktop computer using the single-season analysis format and custom model-building
feature of the software program PRESENCE, Version 5.9 (Hines 2006).
These 16 models were compared using information–theoretic methods (Burnham and Anderson
2002). For each model, the study team calculated the Akaike Information Criterion corrected for
small sample sizes (AICc) that compares model fit and penalizes models for the number of
parameters to determine the most parsimonious model (the best fit with the fewest number of
parameters). The AICc values were used to calculate the Akaike weight (ωi), which is the
probability that each model is the best model in the candidate set (Burnham and Anderson 2002).
4.2.1. Variances
No variances from the methods described in the Study Plan occurred in 2013.
4.3. Acoustic Monitoring
AEA implemented the methods described in the Study Plan with no variances.
The study team used Wildlife Acoustics Song Meter SM2BAT+ platforms with SMX-II
microphones to record frog calls onto 32-GB (Class 4 SDHC) data cards. The monitors were
internally powered with rechargeable D-cell batteries (Imedion 9,500 mAh). Five acoustic
monitors were deployed to increase accuracy in calculating the detectability of calling frogs. The
monitors were deployed at a subset of water bodies and wetlands on state and federal lands
known to be occupied by frogs. Although the monitors were programmed to record full-spectrum
audio recordings for the first 30 min of each hour around the clock, the study team analyzed only
the first 10 min of each hour. Analytical results indicated that this subsampling adequately
characterized the calling activity within the hour.
The study team used the proportion of 5-min periods with frogs calling as an independent
estimate of the ability to detect frogs at a given location, assuming that frogs were present. The
validity of this estimate relies on several assumptions: (1) individual observers were able to
detect frogs calling at least as well as the acoustic monitors; (2) the presence of observers did not
lower the probability of frogs vocalizing; and (3) the locations chosen for acoustic monitoring
were representative of all locations at which frogs were present. For each location surveyed, the
study team determined the hour of the day the visit occurred and calculated the proportion of 5-
min periods in which frog calls were heard on acoustic monitors during that hour. The study
team then calculated the mean of all these proportions for each visit as a second, independent
estimate of detectability.
4.3.1. Variances
No variances from the methods described in the Study Plan occurred in 2013.
4.4. Chytrid Fungus Bioassay
Sampling and laboratory assay methods for the chytrid fungus (Bd) were identified through
consultation with U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) representatives in Alaska, who
recommended that Tara Chestnut, an expert with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in
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Portland, Oregon, be contacted for sampling protocols (Appendix A). Biologists wore fresh
nitrile gloves and sprayed boots with a 10% bleach solution at each sampling location to prevent
potential contamination among sites.
The study team captured seven frogs by hand opportunistically and swabbed the skin of the
abdomen, inner thighs, and undersides of foot webbing for a total of 25 times with a sterile
cotton swab, after which the frog was released unharmed. Swabs were placed in tubes that were
refrigerated until all seven samples were shipped on dry ice to the USGS Microbiology
laboratory in Reston, Virginia. The lab analyzed the samples using a quantitative polymerase
chain reaction (qPCR) technique to test for the presence of Bd fungus.
4.4.1. Variances
No variances from the methods described in the Study Plan occurred in 2013.
5. RESULTS
Data developed in support of this study are available for download at
http://gis.suhydro.org/reports/isr:
• ISR_10_18_FROG_Data_ABR.gdb/ISR_10_18_FROG_SamplingSites
• ISR_10_18_FROG_Data_ABR.gdb/ISR_10_18_FROG_IncidentalObs2013
• ISR_10_18_FROG_Data_ABR.gdb/ISR_10_18_FROG_AcousticMonitors
• ISR_10_18_FROG_Acoustic_Monitoring_Data.xlsx.
5.1. Auditory Field Surveys
The study team surveyed a total of 90 different wetlands and water bodies for the presence of
wood frogs (Table 5.1-1, Figure 5.1-1). Additional water bodies and wetlands (n = 17) were
visited but were excluded from the analyses for various reasons (e.g., water still frozen or
insufficient water depth). Frogs were detected at 37 of the 90 locations (41.1 percent) on the first
visit (Table 5.1-2) including 35 locations where frogs were heard calling and two locations
where frogs were not heard but egg masses were found. The latter two locations were treated as
non-detections in occupancy modeling because frogs were not detected using the normal survey
method. The study team conducted a second survey visit at 50 of the 53 locations where frogs
were not detected on the first visit, producing detections at 8 more locations (16.0 percent). A
third visit was conducted at five of the 42 sites where frogs were not detected on the first and
second visits, producing detections at two more locations (40.9 percent). Overall, frogs were
heard or egg masses were observed at 47 (52.2 percent) of the 90 locations sampled (Table 5.1-3,
Figure 5.1-1). Therefore, the naïve estimate of frog occupancy (assuming 100 percent
detectability) was 52.2 percent.
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5.2. Occupancy Modeling and Habitat Associations
5.2.1. Occupancy Modeling
The best model of frog occupancy contained only one variable: water depth. Based on the
Akaike weight, this model had a 31.9 percent chance of being the best model in the candidate set
(Table 5.1-3). The next three competing models contained water depth and one of the other
variables, but in all cases, the 95 percent confidence interval (C.I.) contained zero, suggesting the
other variables added little to the model. Once water depth was included, there was no statistical
evidence that occupancy rates varied by area, by water type, or with increasing hibernation
habitat.
The estimated detectability from the best model was 60.6 percent (95 percent C.I. = 34.8–81.6
percent; Table 5.2-1). The model results indicated that, if frogs were present in a pond, the study
team would, on average, detect them 60.6 percent of the time with one visit, 84.5 percent of the
time with two visits, and 93.9 percent of the time with three visits.
The estimated occupancy for shallow-water habitats was 36.8 percent (95 percent C.I. = 20.8–
56.5 percent) and the estimated occupancy for deep-water habitats was 81.8 percent (95 percent
C.I. = 44.4–96.2 percent; Table 5.2-1). As would be expected, these estimates were slightly
higher than the naïve estimates of 31.0 percent and 70.8 percent, respectively. The sample
included 42 shallow-water habitats (46.7 percent) and 48 deep-water habitats (53.3 percent).
Assuming that this ratio is representative of the entire study area, the overall occupancy estimate
is 63.4 percent (95 percent C.I. = 36.3–84.0 percent; Table 5.2-1).
5.2.2. Habitat Associations
Occupancy modeling was the primary tool to assess habitat associations with breeding male
wood frogs and water depth was the most important habitat variable. Frogs were detected at a
total of 13 of 42 (31.0 percent) locations with shallow water (≤1.5 m) and 34 of 48 (70.8 percent)
locations with deep water (>1.5 m). The remaining habitat variables were summarized by
locations where wood frogs were detected, not detected, and across all sampling locations (Table
5.2-2). The only other association of significance was dissolved oxygen, with lower levels being
found where frogs were detected (although only when expressed in the units of mg/l; Table
5.2-2).
5.3. Acoustic Monitoring
Acoustic recordings from the five monitors provided a sample of 2,015 5-min intervals that were
used to quantify when frogs were heard calling. Calling activity varied by date and time of day
(Figure 5.3-1). The results demonstrated that the surveys were well-timed to capture the peak of
calling activity in the study area; frogs were calling when the acoustic monitors were deployed
on May 31 and calling activity declined by the end of the survey period on June 9 (Figure
5.3-1a). A very strong diurnal pattern of calling activity was evident. Calling activity peaked
near 0100 h, then activity dropping dramatically early in the morning (0500 h) and increased
throughout the remainder of the day (Figure 5.3-1b).
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Based on the time-specific results from the acoustic monitors, the site visits should have had a
detectability of 60.8 percent, which was essentially identical to the estimate of 60.6 percent from
the occupancy modeling. This concurrence provides additional evidence that the occupancy
modeling provided a reasonable estimate of detectability and indicates that occupancy rates were
adjusted appropriately.
5.4. Chytrid Fungus Bioassay
The swab samples collected opportunistically from seven frogs in 2013 were sent to the USGS
Reston Molecular and Environmental Microbiology Laboratory in Reston, Virginia, and tested
for the presence of chytridiomycosis (Bd) using standard qPCR protocols (Boyle et al. 2004). All
seven samples tested negative for Bd.
6. DISCUSSION
Amphibian populations appear to have been declining worldwide for several decades (Blaustein
and Wake 1990; McCallum 2007), leading to elevated levels of concern about the conservation
status of a large number of amphibian species. Although populations appear to be healthy in
Alaska (Gotthardt 2004, 2005), concern has been expressed about the conservation status of
wood frogs in Alaska (ADF&G 2006). Because amphibians were not included in the original
Alaska Power Authority Susitna Hydroelectric Project (APA Project) environmental study
program in the 1980s, information on the occurrence of wood frogs in the upper Susitna drainage
was lacking and their status in the study area was unknown at the time this study began.
6.1. Distribution and Habitat Use
A review of the literature shows that wood frogs are widely distributed throughout northern
North America and that, in Alaska, they occur from Southeast Alaska throughout Central Alaska
to the crest of the Brooks Range (MacDonald 2010). Closer to the study area, they have been
documented in Denali National Park and Preserve, near Healy, and in the lower Susitna drainage
(Cook and MacDonald 2003; Anderson 2004; Gotthardt 2004, 2005; Hokit and Brown 2006).
Wood frogs were widely distributed throughout the areas sampled in 2013. It is important to
recognize, however, that the study team was unable to sample the Gold Creek corridor because
of the lack of permits from CIRWG landowners (thus frog distribution in that area could not be
evaluated) and the higher elevations of the Denali corridor (and parts of the Chulitna corridor)
were still covered in snow and ponds were only beginning to thaw at the time of the field survey.
Locations at higher elevations (>2,800 ft elevation) may need to be sampled later in the year to
better assess frog distribution there.
Wood frogs occurred in a variety of habitats sampled in 2013, ranging from tundra to forested
wetlands (see photographs in Appendix B). Wood frogs are known to inhabit diverse vegetation
communities in Alaska, including tundra, open forests, grassy meadows, and muskeg
(MacDonald 2010). Not surprisingly, the habitat associations of wood frogs are diverse, so a
summary of known habitat associations is presented below and related to the findings of this
study.
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Water-body types in the study area ranged from those having insufficient water depth to allow
frog larvae to metamorphose (i.e., the ponds would dry out too early in the season) to deep water
lakes. Water depth was the most important habitat factor analyzed in this study, which was
consistent with the results of a similar study in southwestern Alaska, in which water depth was
an important habitat factor (PLP 2011). In both studies, calling male frogs were detected more
frequently in habitats with deeper water (> 1.5 m).
Water-body depth may be important because deeper water bodies retain water and often maintain
more consistent water-quality characteristics during the egg and larval growth stages (Knapp et
al. 2003). In Denali National Park, Hokit and Brown (2006) found that wood frogs had the
highest breeding activity (defined as eggs or larvae) in sites with 51 to 75 percent of the site < 50
cm (1.6 ft) deep, but with a maximum depth of 1 to 2 m (3.3 to 6.6 ft). Differences in sampling
methods, sampling times, and characterization of water body depths, however, make direct
comparison with this study difficult. Water depth may be one of many factors influencing where
wood frogs choose to breed, judging from the findings of Herreid and Kinney (1966), in which
96 percent of wood frog eggs and larvae died before reaching metamorphosis because of lack of
fertilization, freezing, desiccation of eggs at the water surface, temperature-related abnormalities,
and predation.
Hibernation habitat (herbaceous, low shrub, and tall shrub vegetation within a 50-m radius of the
shoreline) was not associated with frog detectability in this study, in contrast to the results
reported by PLP (2011) in which wood frog occupancy increased as surrounding hibernation
habitat increased. Increased availability of vegetation that provides suitable habitat for
hibernation could be important for influencing occupancy of water bodies. The PLP (2011) study
was conducted in a tundra area with much less tree cover than in the study area. Differences in
habitat occupancy and vegetative cover may help to explain this difference between studies.
Emergent and aquatic vegetation in water bodies provides a substrate for frog egg masses and
escape cover from aquatic predators, as well as helping to increase dissolved oxygen in the water
(France 1997; Babbitt and Tanner 1998). Although the extent of emergent vegetation was not
correlated with frog occupancy in this study, it provided a substrate for the egg masses observed
in this study. Dissolved-oxygen levels were similar between sites occupied and not occupied by
frogs and the overall level (8.53 mg/L) in this study was similar to that observed in a study in
Southeast Alaska (approximately 9.0 mg/L; Carstensen et al. 2003) and was within the range of
mean values from new (4.9 mg/L) and old (10.5 mg/L) beaver ponds in Alberta (Stevens et al.
2006). Increased concentrations of dissolved oxygen were thought to be important in the latter
study because they were correlated with enhanced larval growth rates of wood frogs in old
beaver ponds, although the authors cautioned that this may have been an artifact of landscape
context (Stevens et al. 2006).
Other aspects of water quality such as pH may be important for breeding-site selection by wood
frogs. A study in Quebec reported that egg mass density and hatching success were negatively
correlated with pH, although hatching success was still fairly high (47 and 80 percent in ponds
with pH of 4.3 and 4.7, respectively; Gascon and Planas 1986). Another study near Juneau,
Alaska, measured pH levels ranging from 4.5 to 5.5 in ponds where larval wood frogs were
present (Carstensen et al. 2003). New and old beaver ponds in Alberta containing wood frogs
had pH levels of 7.6 and 7.8, respectively (Stevens et al. 2006). The pH values in the study were
very consistent throughout the sampling locations (5.73 at occupied sites and 5.72 at unoccupied
sites), within the range of other studies where wood frogs bred successfully.
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Other habitat variables measured in the study did not have clear relationships with frog
occupancy, including water body type (e.g., pond size, presence of beaver activity) and some
aquatic habitat features (e.g., substrate). Additional sampling in the next study season will
provide additional data to evaluate the importance of habitat characteristics for breeding
occupancy by wood frogs.
6.2. Occupancy Modeling
Accurate habitat occupancy estimates are adjusted for the detectability of organisms in the
environment. Detectability in this study (60.6 percent from the best model [water depth], 60.8
percent from the acoustic monitors [see Section 6.3 below] was high compared with the
estimated detectability in another study in southwestern Alaska (26.6 percent; PLP 2011). The
lower detectability in that study may have resulted from differences in habitat characteristics,
survey conditions, frog densities, or the timing of the surveys. The high detectability in this study
indicates a robust study design: if frogs were present in a pond, the study team would, on
average, detect them 60.6 percent of the time with one visit, 84.5 percent of the time with two
visits (the normal sampling protocol), and 93.9 percent of the time with three visits.
The best model of frog occupancy in this study contained only the variable water depth, with
deeper water types having higher occupancy. The estimated occupancy for shallow-water
habitats (36.8 percent), deep-water habitats, (81.8 percent), and all locations overall (63.4
percent) suggest a widespread distribution of frogs in the areas surveyed in 2013 (dam and camp
area, reservoir inundation zone, Chulitna corridor, part of the Denali corridor). Few studies have
established occupancy rates of wood frogs in Alaska. The naïve occupancy rate in Denali
National Park and Preserve was estimated at 45 percent (Hokit and Brown 2006), which was
generally similar to an adjusted occupancy estimate of 49.5 percent in southwest Alaska (PLP
2011), although adjustment of the Denali Park estimate would likely have resulted in a higher
occupancy rate.
6.3. Acoustic Monitoring
Acoustic monitors provided a direct estimate of the detectability of calling frogs. The use of
acoustic monitoring devices allowed the study team to collect a large amount of information to
characterize the calling activity of breeding male wood frogs throughout the survey period and
throughout all hours of the day. Frogs called throughout the survey period (May 30 to June 9)
and incidental observations by other wildlife field crews noted calling frogs between May 28 and
June 14, indicating that the surveys were well-timed in 2013, at least for the lower elevation
locations (dam and camp area, reservoir zone, most of the Chulitna corridor). Locations at higher
elevations (much of the Denali corridor), however, were still snow-covered and many water
types were either frozen or just beginning to thaw during the survey period. Frog calling activity
within a day showed a pattern of high calling rates throughout the late morning and afternoon,
with peak calling activity occurring between 0100 h and 0200 h. The sampling times between
approximately 0900 h and 2000 h mainly fell within the period of high calling activity, helping
to explain the high detectability of the surveys in this study.
An additional use of the acoustic data was to calculate the detectability (60.8 percent) of frogs
calling when the study team actually sampled and compare that to the estimate from occupancy
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modeling (60.6 percent). Concordance between these results provides strong evidence that the
occupancy modeling provided a reasonable estimate of detectability and that the occupancy rates
were adjusted appropriately. This concordance is key to producing meaningful habitat occupancy
results for eventual use in estimating the potential habitat loss and alteration that may occur from
development of the Project.
6.4. Chytrid Fungus
Bd is a chytrid fungus that causes the disease chytridiomycosis in amphibians. Since it was first
discovered in amphibians in 1998, it has devastated amphibian populations around the world,
including in North America (Adams et al. 2007, Olson et al. 2013). Bd is sometimes a non-lethal
parasite and some amphibian species and some populations of susceptible species are known to
survive infection. The fungus is widespread and ranges from lowland forests to cold mountain
tops, and is typically associated with host mortality in high altitude environments and during
winter, with greater pathogenicity at lower temperatures. Bd is believed to spread mainly through
contact between infected frogs or with infected water.
Wood frogs have been identified as a species susceptible to infection by Bd, and it was first
detected in Alaska in a dead wood frog found in the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge in 2002
(Reeves and Green 2006, Reeves 2008). Another positive detection of Bd occurred near Dyea in
Southeast Alaska in 2006 and was associated with the apparent die-off of western (boreal) toads
in that region (Juneau Empire, May 21, 2006). Bd was documented in boreal toads (Bufo boreas)
and red-legged frogs (Rana aurora) in another study in western Canada and Southeast Alaska
(Adams et al. 2007). Although Bd was not detected in this study, the small sample size of swabs
obtained in this study is inadequate to confirm its absence unequivocally.
7. COMPLETING THE STUDY
[As explained in the cover letter to this draft ISR, AEA’s plan for completing this study will be
included in the final ISR filed with FERC on June 3, 2014.]
8. LITERATURE CITED
Adams, M. J., S. Galvan, D. Reinitrz, R. A. Cole, and S. Pyare. 2007. Incidence of the fungus
Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis in amphibian populations along the Northwest Coast of
North America. Herpetological Review 38: 430–431.
ADF&G (Alaska Department of Fish and Game). 2006. Our wealth maintained: A strategy for
conserving Alaska’s diverse wildlife and fish resources. Alaska Department of Fish and
Game Juneau. 824 pp.
AEA (Alaska Energy Authority). 2012. Revised Study Plan: Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric
Project FERC Project No. 14241. December 2012. Prepared for the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission by the Alaska Energy Authority, Anchorage,
Alaska.http://www.susitna-watanahydro.org/study-plan.
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AKNHP (Alaska Natural Heritage Program). 2008. Alaska Wood Frog Monitoring Project
results, 2002–2008. Available online: http://aknhp.uaa.alaska.edu/zoology/citizen-
science/alaska-wood-frog-monitoring/results-2002-2008/ (accessed October 2012).
Anderson, B. C. 2004. An opportunistic amphibian inventory in Alaska’s national parks, 2001–
2003. Final report, National Park Service, Alaska Region Survey and Inventory Program,
Anchorage. 44 pp.
Babbitt, K. J., and G. W. Tanner. 1998. Effects of cover and predator size on survival and
development of Rana utricularia tadpoles. Oecologia 114: 258–262.
Blaustein, A. R., and D. B. Wake. 1990. Declining amphibian populations: a global
phenomenon? Trends in Ecology and Evolution 5: 203–204.
Boyle, D. G., D. B. Boyle, V. Olsen, J. A. T. Morgan, and A. D. Hyatt. 2004. Rapid quantitative
detection of chytridiomycosis (Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis) in amphibian samples
using real-time Taqman PCR assay. Diseases of Aquatic Organisms. 60: 141–148.
Burnham, K. P., and D. R. Anderson. 2002. Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: A
Practical Theoretic Approach. Second edition. New York: Springer-Verlag.
Carstensen, R., M. Willson, and R. Armstrong. 2003. Habitat use of amphibians in northern
southeast Alaska. Unpublished report to Alaska Department of Fish and Game, Juneau.
Cook, J. A., and S. O. MacDonald. 2003. Mammal inventory of Alaska’s national parks and
preserves: Denali National Park and Preserve. 2002 annual report for National Park
Service, Alaska Region Survey and Inventory Program, Anchorage, by Idaho State
University, Pocatello. 24 pp.
France, R. L. 1997. The importance of beaver lodges in structuring littoral communities in boreal
headwater lakes. Canadian Journal of Zoology 75: 1009–1013.
Gascon, C., and D. Planas. 1986. Spring pond water chemistry and the reproduction of the wood
frog, Rana sylvatica. Canadian Journal of Zoology 64: 543–550.
Gotthardt, T. 2004. Monitoring the distribution of amphibians in the Cook Inlet watershed: 2003
final report. Alaska Natural Heritage Program, University of Alaska, Anchorage.
Gotthardt, T. 2005. Wood frog conservation status report. Alaska Natural Heritage Program,
University of Alaska, Anchorage.
Herreid, C., and S. Kinney. 1966. Survival of Alaskan wood frog (Rana sylvatica) larvae.
Ecology 47: 1039–1041.
Hines, J. E. 2006. PRESENCE — Software to estimate patch occupancy and related parameters.
U.S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center. Available online:
http://www.mbr-pwrc.usgs.gov/software/presence.html (accessed August 2013).
Hokit, D. G., and A. Brown. 2006. Distribution patterns of wood frogs (Rana sylvatica) in Denali
National Park. Northwestern Naturalist 87: 128–137.
Knapp, R. A., K. R. Matthews, H. K. Preisler, and R. Jellison. 2003. Developing probabilistic
models to predict amphibian site occupancy in a patchy landscape. Ecological
Applications 13: 1069–1082.
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MacDonald, S. O. 2010. The amphibians and reptiles of Alaska: a field handbook. Version 2.0.
University of Alaska Museum, Fairbanks, and Museum of Southwestern Biology,
Albuquerque, NM. Available online: http://aknhp.uaa.alaska.edu/wp-
content/uploads/2011/02/Herps-of-Alaska-Handbook-Final-Version-2-reduced.pdf
(accessed March 2012).
MacKenzie D. I., J. D. Nichols, G. B. Lachman, S. Droegem J. A. Royle, and C. A. Langtimm.
2002. Estimating site occupancy rates when detection probabilities are less than one.
Ecology 3: 2248–2255.
MacKenzie, D. I., and J. A. Royle. 2005. Designing occupancy studies: general advice and
allocating survey effort. Journal of Applied Ecology 42: 1105–1114.
McCallum, M. L. 2007. Amphibian decline or extinction? Current declines dwarf background
extinction rate. Journal of Herpetology 41: 483–491.
Olson, D. H., D. M. Aanensen, K. L. Ronnenberg, C. I. Powell, S. F. Walker, J. Bielby, T. W. J.
Garner, G. Weaver, The Bd Mapping Group, and M. C. Fisher. 2013. Mapping the global
emergence of Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis, the amphibian chytrid fungus. PLoS ONE
8(2): e56802. Available online: http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/
journal.pone.0056802 (accessed September 2013).
PLP (Pebble Limited Partnership). 2011. Pebble Project Environmental Baseline Document,
2004 through 2008. Chapter 16.12: Wood Frog—Mine Study Area. Pebble Limited
Partnership, Anchorage. Available online: http://www.pebbleresearch.com/ (accessed
August 2013).
Reeves, M. K., and D. E. Green. 2006. Rana sylvatica wood frog chytridiomycosis.
Herpetological Review 37: 450.
Reeves, M. K. 2008. Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis in wood frogs (Rana sylvatica) from three
national wildlife refuges in Alaska, USA. Herpetological Review 39: 68–70.
Stevens, C. E., C. A. Paszkowski, and G. J. Scrimgeour. 2006. Older is better: Beaver ponds on
boreal streams as breeding habitat for the wood frog. Journal of Wildlife Management 70:
1360–1371.
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9. TABLES
Table 5.1-1. Number of Frog-survey Visits to Water Bodies and Wetlands in the 2013 Study Area.
Location First Visit Second Visit Third Visit
Dam and Reservoir Area
Water body 28 9 0
Wetland 21 9 0
Total 49 18 0
Corridors
Water body 28 21 4
Wetland 13 11 1
Total 41 32 5
Grand Total 90 50 5
Table 5.1-2. Frog Occupancy in Shallow - and Deep-water Habitats in 2013.
First Visit Second Visit Third Visit Overall
Location Detected
Not
Detected Detected
Not
Detected Detected
Not
Detected Detected
Not
Detected
Shallow water
(<1.5 m)a 8 34 3 29 2 3 13 29
Deep water
(>1.5 m) 29b 19 5 13 – – 34 14
Total 37 53 8 42 2 3 47 43
Notes:
a 1.5 m = 4.9 ft.
b Two locations were included where egg masses were observed but no frog calls were detected.
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Table 5.1-3. Occupancy-model Selection Results for Presence of Wood Frogs in 2013.
Modela –2*LLb Kc AICcd ΔAICce ωif
Ψ (Water Depth), p (.)g 162.35 3 168.63 0.00 0.348
Ψ (Water Depth, Habitat), p (.) 161.71 4 170.18 1.55 0.160
Ψ (Water Depth, Water Type), p (.) 161.97 4 170.44 1.81 0.141
Ψ (Water Depth, Area), p (.) 162.00 4 170.47 1.84 0.139
Ψ (Water Depth, Water Type, Habitat), p (.) 161.51 5 172.22 3.59 0.058
Ψ (Water Depth, Area, Habitat), p (.) 161.61 5 172.32 3.69 0.055
Ψ (Water Depth, Area, Water Type), p (.) 161.84 5 172.55 3.92 0.049
Ψ (Global), p (.) 161.48 6 174.49 5.86 0.019
Ψ (Habitat), p (.) 168.78 3 175.06 6.43 0.014
Ψ (Water Type, Habitat), p (.) 168.53 4 177.00 8.37 0.005
Ψ (Area, Habitat), p (.) 168.75 4 177.22 8.59 0.005
Ψ (Area, Water Type, Habitat), p (.) 168.48 5 178.87 10.24 0.002
Ψ (Area), p (.) 172.59 3 179.19 10.56 0.002
Ψ (.), p (.) 175.18 2 179.32 10.69 0.002
Ψ (Area, Water Type), p (.) 171.93 4 180.40 11.77 0.001
Ψ (Water Type), p (.) 174.81 3 181.09 12.46 0.001
Notes:
a Ψ = occupancy variable; p = detection probability; Water Depth = 1 if depth > 1.5 m (4.9 ft); Habitat =
proportion of shoreline containing hibernation habitat; Water Type = water body or wetland; and Area = dam,
camp, and reservoir area or road corridors.
b Negative 2 times the log-likelihood value.
c Number of estimable parameters in the approximating model.
d Akaike’s Information Criterion, corrected for small sample size.
e Difference in value between the AICc of the current model and that of the best approximating model.
f Akaike Weight = Probability that the current model (i) is the best approximating model in the candidate set.
g p (.) indicates that detection probability was held constant across all locations in the model.
Table 5.2-1. Best-model Estimates of Wood Frog Occupancy and Detection Probability in 2013.
Variable Estimate S.E. 95% C.I.
Occupancy
Shallow water (<1.5 m deep)a 0.368 0.095 0.208–0.565
Deep water (>1.5 m deep) 0.818 0.131 0.444–0.962
Overall 0.634 0.131 0.363–0.840
Detection Probability
Intercept 0.606 0.129 0.348–0.816
Notes:
a 1.5 m = 4.9 ft.
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Table 5.2-2. Habitat Characteristics of Water Bodies and Wetlands where Wood Frogs were Detected and Not Detected in 2013.
Habitat Type / Variable Description Wood Frog Presencea P-value Detected Not Detected Overall
Water Body Structure
Water body type (%) Big lakes (> 20 acres) 2.1 2.3 2.2 0.158b
Small ponds w/o emergents 27.7 11.6 20.0
Small ponds w/ emergents 44.7 41.9 43.3
Seasonally flooded ponds 25.5 44.2 34.4
Beaver activity (%) No 91.3 76.7 84.3 0.157b
Yes 8.7 23.3 15.7
Aquatic Habitat Characteristics
Emergent and submergent
vegetation (%) 22.6 (4.2) 32.7 (5.2) 27.5 (3.3) 0.132
Emergent vegetation (%) Grass 6.4 14.0 10.0 0.158b
Sedge 80.9 62.8 72.2
None 12.8 23.3 17.8
Substrate (%) Boulder 4.3 2.3 3.3 0.179b
Gravel 0.0 7.0 3.3
Mud/silt 14.9 23.3 18.9
Organic 80.9 67.4 74.4
Aquatic Features
Ice cover (%)c 36.7 (5.6) 26.1 (5.0) 31.7 (3.8) 0.165
Water temperature (%)c 7.0 (0.6) 5.7 (0.8) 6.4 (0.5) 0.175
Water depth (%) Shallow (≤ 1.5 m) 27.7 67.4 46.7 <0.001b
Deep (> 1.5 m) 72.3 32.6 53.3
Water Quality
Dissolved oxygen (%)c 64.77 (2.77) 70.63 (3.50) 67.57 (2.22) 0.193
Dissolved oxygen (mg/L) 7.96 (0.38) 9.16 (0.46) 8.53 (0.30) 0.047
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Habitat Type / Variable Description Wood Frog Presencea P-value Detected Not Detected Overall
Specific ECc 0.039 (0.006) 0.040 (0.008) 0.039 (0.005) 0.950
pHc 5.73 (0.10) 5.72 (0.12) 5.73 (0.07) 0.932
Terrestrial Habitat within 50-m Radius
Herbaceous (%) 18.0 (1.9) 26.4 (3.2) 22.0 (1.9) 0.029
Dwarf shrub (%) 12.7 (2.2) 11.4 (2.6) 12.1 (1.7) 0.709
Low shrub (%) 21.2 (2.1) 22.4 (2.4) 21.8 (0.6) 0.709
Tall shrub (%) 28.5 (2.3) 27.7 (3.6) 28.1 (2.1) 0.847
Trees (%) 19.0 (2.6) 12.8 (3.1) 16.4 (2.0) 0.130
Notes:
a Parenthetical values in table cells indicate 1 S.E.
b P-value from chi-square test (other P-values are from t-tests for two independent samples).
c Measured on first visit.
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10. FIGURES
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Figure 3-1. Wood Frog Study Area for the Susitna–Watana Hydroelectric Project, 2013.
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Figure 5.1-1. Locations where Wood Frogs were Detected during Auditory Surveys, plus Incidental Observations from Other Wildlife Surveys, in 2013.
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Figure 5.3-1. Wood Frog Calling Activity by Date and Hour in 2013 (error bars depict 1 S.E.).
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Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 February 2014 Draft
APPENDIX A: RECORDS OF CONSULTATION WITH USFWS AND
USGS REGARDING SAMPLING PROTOCOL AND ANALYTICAL
METHOD FOR AMPHIBIAN CHYTRID FUNGUS.
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix A - Page 1 February 2014 Draft
MEETING RECORD
AEA Team Member Other Party
Name: Todd Mabee Name: Tara Chestnut
Organization: ABR, Inc.; Forest Grove, OR Organization: USGS, Portland, and
Oregon State University, Corvallis
Study Area: Project area (RSP Section 10.18)
Phone
Number:
Date: 26 April 2013 Time: 12:00 PM
Meeting held by: x AEA Team Other Party
Others at Meeting: None.
Subject: Sampling protocol and analytical method for amphibian chytrid fungus (Bd).
Discussion:
Swabbing: Tara demonstrated how to take swab samples for Bd from a wood frog.
Lab work: Two labs in the country do QPCR, the analysis she recommends (as opposed to straight
PCR). Labs are at Pullman, WA (WSU) and a USGS lab in Reston, VA. Tara has used both and
recommends the USGS lab if timelines are important. Cost is ~$25/sample.
No. of samples: Ideally, Tara recommended sampling one “population” from each of the SuWa survey
areas, hence four “populations.” Four ponds @ 15 frogs/pond, with all four ponds within approximately a
5-mi radius. She suggested this effort is what is needed to detect Bd if it has only a 5% prevalence. (This
level of effort may not be achievable using opportunistic sampling during acoustic surveys, however.)
Timing: Tara described wood frogs as “explosive breeders that may call for a few days up to a few
weeks,” which could easily be missed with acoustic surveys. She recommended also doing egg mass
surveys. Frogs deposit eggs en masse in one location. She recommended contacting Dave Tessler with
ADF&G for more information on survey timing.
Action Items:
Todd will finish ordering the equipment needed for swabbing and Tara will loan some if necessary (some
suppliers were completely sold out of the swabs needed, but other suitable swabs were obtained.) Todd
followed up after meeting with questions about the use of gloves during swabbing and decontamination of
boots between survey sites.
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix A - Page 2 February 2014 Draft
EMAIL RECORD
From: Chestnut, Tara chestnut@usgs.gov
Date: 4/30/13
To: Todd Mabee tmabee@abrinc.com
Hi Todd,
You bet!
The individual tubes are problematic for the DNA extraction so I would recommend against using them.
How about you place the order and I send you with some of my extra swabs and you can replace them
when you get back? I'll be in PDX next on May 10. Is that too late?
Just use gloves. It was wrong of me to introduce the possibility of not using them. I use the cheapest
nitrile gloves available through Fisher and wet them with native water before handling animals. Some
folks use double gloves when it's rainy or if they get sweaty hands so it's easier to change them. Change
gloves between each adult or metamorphic animal but you can use the same pair for larvae if you choose
to swab them.
I decontaminate between sites. It's not as hard as it seems, especially if you use rubber hip waders rather
than fancy boot/wader combinations. In fact the refuges prohibit felt soled boots and gortex waders
because of the difficulty with decontamination. Complete drying also kills Bd but it's important to
remember that you are not just decontaminating against Bd. Compared to Didymo, whirling disease, etc.
Bd is nothing! In the backcountry, I use a spray bottle filled with bleach water and just spray gear when I
finish sampling a site and let it dry without rinsing. It's really important to get the soil and dirt off of gear
between sites.
I hope this helps!
Cheers,
Tara
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Todd Mabee <tmabee@abrinc.com>
Date: Mon, Apr 29, 2013 at 9:16 AM
Subject: Bd swabs & misc questions
To: "Chestnut, Tara" <chestnut@usgs.gov>
Cc: "Todd J. Mabee" <tmabee@abrinc.com>
Good morning Tara,
Thanks so much for making the time to educate me about Bd sampling in AK last week, this really
helped!
I contacted MW&E and they have sold out of the MW113 but they do have the MW100 (identical swab
with individual tubes). Guess I'll get these unless you recommend something different?
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix A - Page 3 February 2014 Draft
I reviewed my notes and had a few remaining questions and/or just wanted to double check some things
we discussed.
Gloves: what type, brand, etc do you recommend? Can you send me a website please?
If we only use our bare hands, do you recommend any sort of cleaning (hand sanitizer) between ponds?
Do you recommend any sort of decontamination for our boots between the wetlands? This may be very
difficult in the field (especially if we are hiking between wetlands) but maybe something we do at the end
of the day? Open to ideas. Below is what Meg said they did -
"As far as decontamination - we did this between every site using a 10% bleach solution followed by
clean water rinse to clean our boots and nets and any other gear that went in the water."
Appreciate the help!
Best,
Todd
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Perdue, Margaret <margaret_perdue@fws.gov>
Date: Sun, Apr 7, 2013 at 4:33 PM
Subject: Re: Bd sampling protocol
To: Todd Mabee <tmabee@abrinc.com>
Hi Todd ---
I would say Mari Reeves (mari_reeves@fws.gov) is the species expert for AK and that Tara Chestnut
(chestnut@usgs.gov) is the Bd expert and has done most of her work on wood frogs, much of it up here.
I have been fortunate to work with both of them and have been doing the field work and sampling on a
wood frog study in the Kenai for the last couple years that Mari started and Tara helped with the Bd
work. I have provided some information below from the methods used on that project.
As far as capture we were largely sampling for Bd in adults that we captured by hand (no nets) but for
much of our work we were using dipnets to capture tadpoles for Gosner staging and metamorphs still in
the water. The nets we used we got through Jonah's aquarium: http://jonahsaquarium.com - there is a link
on their page for dipnets and when you go to it the 'perfect dipnet' comes up and that is what we used.
As far as decontamination - we did this between every site using a 10% bleach solution followed by
clean water rinse to clean our boots and nets and any other gear that went in the water.
I hope this helps and if you have other questions I can try to answer them or you could try to contact them
directly.
This is the method we used in a recent study for sampling for Batrachochytrium dendrobaditis (Bd):
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix A - Page 4 February 2014 Draft
Swabbing consists of 25 strokes on their ventral patch, legs and thighs, and between their toes. The swab
samples will be preserved dry in 1.7 ml sterile microcentrifuge tubes.
At the start of our study we were putting swabs in EtOH but Tara Chestnut who has done a lot of work
with Bd and is definitely the best resource I know for information on this had us switch to allowing swabs
to air dry…
“Based on one too many leaky samples and mistrust of airlines I'm not preserving swabs in any liquid any
more, just letting them air dry and storing @ room temp, see Hyatt et al. 2007.
http://www.jcu.edu.au/school/phtm/PHTM/frogs/papers/hyatt-2007.pdf)”
She also confirmed the method and gave a suggestion for numbers of animals though we were sampling
adults opportunistically for our work and did not reach these numbers in our study…
“Yes, I've been doing 25 strokes. As for numbers, my goal is to collect 15 swabs per pond and 60 swabs
per population, although the way I'm defining a population is kind of subjective. I'm assuming some level
of mixing within basins with a high density of small wetlands and not accounting for barriers such as
roads or fine scale population dynamics. I've been avoiding brand new metamorphs since there's some
suggestion that it can take a week or two for Bd to colonize the tissue but if that's what you are
encountering I will happily accept them.”
Here is info on the type of swab we used based on Tara’s suggestion:
We use Medical Wire fine tip swabs, cat # MW113 and place them into 1.5 snap cap microcentrifuge
tubes after air drying. I order from Advantage Bundling
http://www.advantagebundlingsp.com/mwe_dryswab.pdf The benefit of this over the tubed swabs is that
you don't have to change tubes for the DNA extraction and risk losing any material that may be left in the
tube.
On Thu, Apr 4, 2013 at 8:43 AM, Todd Mabee <tmabee@abrinc.com> wrote:
Good morning Meg,
I'm working with Brian Lawhead on the Su-Watana project and will be heading up the Wood frog study.
Brian told me you were the species expert for AK, so I wanted to introduce myself and ask you a few
questions. I've been lucky enough to have been involved with some headwater amphibian research in OR
on Torrent Salamanders and also some work on pond-breeders (mainly Northwestern salamanders). I'm
also heavily involved with all our avian and bat studies, so I get to do a lot of interesting work!
Brian forwarded some correspondence between you & Lori Verbrugge on the occurrence of Bd in Alaska
and where it has been tested for in AK. As I believe you know, we plan on opportunistically sampling for
Bd during our field work this year. Would you be able to provide your sampling protocol for our use?
Also, are there any special decontamination issues that we should be thinking about coming up from OR
(my location)? Any tips you have on capture of frogs (nets of particular size) would also be appreciated.
Thank you for your help and feel free to let me know if you have comments or questions about our study.
Best regards,
Todd
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix A - Page 5 February 2014 Draft
Todd J. Mabee
Senior Scientist/Research Coordinator
ABR Inc., Environmental Research & Services
P.O. Box 249 Forest Grove, Oregon 97116
Work: (503) 359-7525 ext 110
Mobile: (503) 537-7749
Fax: (503) 359-8875
www.abrinc.com
From: Lori_Verbrugge@fws.gov
Sent: Tuesday, June 12, 2012 8:41 AM
To: lawhead@abrinc.com
Cc: BMcGregor@aidea.org; Michael_Buntjer@fws.gov; Jennifer_Spegon@fws.gov
Subject: Fw: Meg's answers to chytrid questions
Hi Brian,
Meg has responded to our preliminary questions about wood frogs, chytrid fungus and project
development - please see below.
Please don't hesitate to follow up with her (or her contacts) if you have more questions!
----- Forwarded by Lori Verbrugge/R7/FWS/DOI on 06/12/2012 08:36 AM -----
Margaret Perdue/R7/FWS/DOI
06/11/2012 09:10 PM
To Lori Verbrugge/R7/FWS/DOI@FWS
Subject Re: Fw: Meg's contact info
Hey Lori ---
Yes chytrid has been found infecting frogs in Alaska. We have had positive results for a number of frogs
down here in the Kenai — 17 sites last year had frogs that came back positive for Batrachochytrium
dendrobatidis (Bd) the species of chytrid fungus that causes the disease chytridiomycosis. There is also a
USGS person / doctoral student, Tara Chestnut, who is doing her dissertation on its distribution and has
found it elsewhere up here (not sure exactly where, Tara doesn't want to give out too much info until she
completes her research) and I also believe another researcher found it in Denali NP.
As far as how it might be spread and whether a project like Su-Watana could be a potential means of
spread is one of the big questions but it certainly seems possible that the associated traffic to an area that
comes with development of any sort at least raises the possibility for increased incidence.
Mari tested for it down here and in a couple of the other refuges where she did the amphibian survey work
and she found it down here then (2006) but not in Innoko or Tetlin (the other places where she tested)
leading to speculation that road proximity, like with the malformations, could be a factor.
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix A - Page 6 February 2014 Draft
I hope that helps. I can put you in touch with Tara and Bill Battaglin, the researcher at USGS who is
coordinating the analysis of the samples we are sending them from here — they would be more up on the
latest, greatest hypotheses concerning disease spread.
Meg Perdue, Biologist
U. S. Fish & Wildlife Service
Environmental Contaminants Program
Anchorage Field Office
605 W. 4th Ave., Rm G-61
Anchorage, AK 99501
phone: 907-271-6647
fax: 907-271-2786
margaret_perdue@fws.gov
Lori Verbrugge/R7/FWS/DOI
06/07/2012 03:09 PM
To Margaret Perdue/R7/FWS/DOI@FWS
Subject Fw: Meg's contact info
Hi Meg,
Just a heads up - we were talking about wood frogs in a Su-Watana meeting yesterday, and a question
came up about wood frogs. Someone at ADF&G had suggested that AEA's study in the project area
should include testing for the chytrid fungus (hope I'm spelling that right!) No one at the meeting knew
much about wood frogs, so I offered you up as a potential expert that might know the answers.
Specifically, they were wondering,
1. Has the chytrid fungus ever been found on a frog in Alaska?
2. Is there any potential link between the proposed project (Su-Watana dam) and chytrid in wood frogs? If
there is no way that the project could impact the incidence, virulence etc., then they don't have to study it
just because we'd like the data for other reasons....
Just a heads up that questions like these may be coming your way. Any thoughts at this point?
Thanks,
Lori Verbrugge, PhD
Contaminants Biologist
US Fish and Wildlife Service
605 W 4th Avenue, Room G-61
Anchorage, AK 99501
Phone: (907) 271-2785
FAX: (907) 271-2786
lori_verbrugge@fws.gov
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 February 2014 Draft
APPENDIX B: PHOTOGRAPHS FROM FIELD SURVEYS IN 2013.
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix B – Page 1 February 2014 Draft
Example of Water Body at which Wood Frogs were Detected in the Chulitna Access Corridor in 2013.
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix B – Page 2 February 2014 Draft
Example of Water Body in the Reservoir Inundation Zone at which Wood Frogs were Detected in 2013.
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix B – Page 3 February 2014 Draft
Example of Water Body with Emergent Vegetation at which Wood Frogs were Detected in 2013.
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix B – Page 4 February 2014 Draft
Wood Frog Egg Mass, 2013.
INITIAL STUDY REPORT WOOD FROG OCCUPANCY AND HABITAT USE (STUDY 10.18)
Susitna-Watana Hydroelectric Project Alaska Energy Authority
FERC Project No. 14241 Appendix B – Page 5 February 2014 Draft
Acoustic Monitoring Device used to Supplement Auditory Surveys in 2013.