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HomeMy WebLinkAboutPillar Mountain Site 2 Wind Resource Report - Mar 2007 - REF Grant 2195365Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report Report written by: Douglas Vaught, P.E., V3 Energy LLC, Eagle River, AK Date of report: March 16, 2007 Photo by Doug Vaught, V3 Energy LLC Summary Information Pillar Mountain has superb potential for wind power development with a Class 7 rating, very low wind shear, seasonally directional winds, and low turbulence. A significant construction advantage of this site is that the underlying ground is mostly solid rock. V3 Energy LLC 1 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Meteorological Tower Data Synopsis Wind power class (measured to date) Class 7 – Superb Average wind speed (30 meters) 8.25 m/s (measured) Average wind speed (60 meters) 8.36 m/s (predicted) Maximum wind speed (2 sec average) 52.0 m/s, 3/8/06 (30 m level) Mean wind power density (50 meters) 943 W/m2 (predicted) Mean wind power density (30 meters) 917 W/m2 Roughness Class 0.00 (description: smooth) Power law exponent 0.023 (extremely low wind shear) Turbulence Intensity (30 meters) 0.120 Data start date November 4, 2005 Most recent data date February 27, 2007 Community Profile Current Population:6,088 (2005 State Demographer est.) Pronunciation/Other Names:(KOH-dee-ack); includes Shoonaq' Incorporation Type:Home Rule City Borough Located In:Kodiak Island Borough School District:Kodiak Island Borough School District Regional Native Corporation:Koniag, Incorporated Location: Kodiak is located near the north eastern tip of Kodiak Island in the Gulf of Alaska. Kodiak Island, "the emerald isle," is the largest island in Alaska, and is second only to Hawaii in the U.S. Kodiak National Wildlife Refuge encompasses nearly 1.9 million acres on Kodiak and Afognak Islands. It is 252 air miles south of Anchorage, a 45-minute flight, and is a 4-hour flight from Seattle. It lies at approximately 57.788890° North Latitude and -152.401900° West Longitude. (Sec. 32, T027S, R019W, Seward Meridian.) Kodiak is located in the Kodiak Recording District. The area encompasses 3.5 sq. miles of land and 1.4 sq. miles of water. History: The Island has been inhabited for the past 8,000 years. The first non-Native contacts were in 1763, by the Russian Stephen Glotov, and in 1792 by Alexander Baranov, a Russian fur trapper. Sea otter pelts were the primary incentive for Russian exploration, and a settlement was established at Chiniak Bay, the site of present-day Kodiak. At that time, there were over 6,500 Sugpiaqs (Koniags) in the area and the Island was called "Kikhtak." It later was known as "Kadiak," the Inuit word for island. Kodiak became the first capital of Russian Alaska, and Russian colonization had a devastating effect on the local Native population. By the time Alaska became a U.S. Territory in 1867, the Koniag region Eskimos had almost disappeared as a viable culture. Alutiiq (Russian-Aleut) is the present-day Native language. Sea otter fur harvesting was the major commercial enterprise, and eventually led to the near extinction of the species. However, in 1882 a fish cannery opened at the Karluk spit. This sparked the development of commercial fishing in the area. The "Town of Kodiak" was incorporated in 1940. During the Aleutian Campaign of World War II, the Navy and the Army built bases on the Island. Fort Abercrombie was constructed in 1939, and later became the first secret radar installation in Alaska. Development continued, and the 1960s brought growth in commercial fisheries and fish processing. The 1964 earthquake and subsequent tidal wave virtually leveled downtown Kodiak. The fishing fleet, processing plant, canneries, and 158 homes were destroyed - $30 million in damage. The infrastructure was rebuilt, and by 1968, Kodiak had become the largest fishing port in the U.S., in terms of dollar value. The Magnusson Act in 1976 extended V3 Energy LLC 2 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 the U.S. jurisdiction of marine resources to 200 miles offshore, which reduced competition from the foreign fleet, and over time, allowed Kodiak to develop a groundfish processing industry. Culture: The local culture surrounds commercial and subsistence fishing activities. The Coast Guard comprises a significant portion of the community, and there is a large seasonal population. Kodiak is primarily non- Native, and the majority of the Native population are Alutiiq. Filipinos are a large subculture in Kodiak due to their work in the canneries. A Russian Orthodox Church seminary is based in Kodiak, one of two existing seminaries in the U.S. The Shoonaq' Tribe of Kodiak was federally recognized in January 2001. A branch of the University of Alaska Anchorage, Kodiak College is located in the City of Kodiak. Economy: The Kodiak economy is based on fishing, seafood processing, retail services and government. Adaptability and diversification in a variety of fisheries has enabled the Kodiak economy to develop and stabilize. 665 area residents hold commercial fishing permits, and numerous fish processing companies operate here year-round. The largest processors include Trident, Ocean Beauty, North Pacific, and Western Processors. The hospital and City also rank among the top employers. The largest U.S. Coast Guard station lies just south of the city. The Kodiak Launch Complex, a $38 million low-Earth orbit launch facility on 27 acres, was recently completed at Cape Narrow near Chiniak. The Kodiak Launch Complex, operated by the Alaska Aerospace Dev. Corp., is the only commercial launch range in the U.S. that is not co-located with a federal facility. The KLC launched its first payload in November 1998. In August 2003, Alaska Aerospace Dev. Corp. was awarded an $8 million contract to handle two or three Missile Defense Agency launches in 2003-2004. The Kodiak-launched missiles will be targets, not interceptors. With similar launches planned annually over the next five years, the contract could be worth up to $40 million. The Kodiak Chamber of Commerce provides economic development services to the area (www.kodiak.org). Facilities: Pillar Creek and Monashka Creek Reservoirs provide water, which is stored and distributed by pipe throughout the area. Piped sewage is processed in a treatment plant. All homes are fully plumbed. The piped system has been expanded to Miller Point and Spruce Cape, to replace individual wells and septic tanks in those areas. Refuse collection services are provided by the Borough. The landfill is located 6 miles north of the City, at Monashka Bay. Kodiak Electric Association, a cooperative utility, operates and purchases power from the Four Dam Pool-owned Terror Lake Hydroelectric Facility. It also operates a Coast Guard-owned plant, and owns three additional diesel-powered plants at Swampy Acres, Kodiak and Port Lions. Transportation: Kodiak is accessible by air and sea. The State-owned Kodiak Airport provides three asphalt runways. These runways measure: 7,562' long by 150' wide; 5,398' long by 150' wide; and, 5,011' long by 150' wide. Kodiak Municipal Airport offers a 2,475' long by 40' wide paved runway. Three scheduled airlines serve Kodiak with several daily flights, and a number of air taxi services provide flights to other communities on the Island. City-owned seaplane bases at Trident Basin and Lilly Lake serve floatplane traffic. The Alaska Marine Highway System operates a ferry service to and from Seward and Homer. Travel time to Homer by ferry is 12 hours. The Port of Kodiak includes two boat harbors with 600 boat slips and three commercial piers - the ferry dock, city dock and container terminal. Boat launch ramps and vessel haul-outs are also available. A $20 million breakwater on Near Island provides another 60 acres of mooring space at St. Herman Harbor. The replacement of the 32-year-old float system at the St. Paul Inner Harbor downtown was completed in 2000. Approximately 140 miles of state roads connect island communities on the east side of the island. Climate: The climate of the Kodiak Islands has a strong marine influence. There is little or no freezing weather, moderate precipitation, occasional high winds, and frequent cloud cover and fog. Severe storms are V3 Energy LLC 3 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 common from December through February. Annual rainfall is 67 inches, and snowfall averages 78 inches. January temperatures range from 14 to 46 F; July temperatures vary from 39 to 76 F. (Above information from State of Alaska Department of Commerce, Community, and Economic Development website, www.dced.state.ak.us). Site Information and Location Site number 7357 Site Description Kodiak, Alaska, Pillar Mountain ridgeline Latitude/longitude N 057° 47.257’; W 152° 26.394’ Site elevation 390 meters Datalogger type NRG Symphonie Tower type NRG 50 meter Tall Tower, replaced with NRG 30 meter Tall Tower Met Tower Sensor Information A 50 meter NRG Tall Tower was installed at Site 2 on November 4, 2005 with channels 1, 2, 3, and 4 instrumented with anemometers, channels 7 and 8 with wind vanes, and channel 12 with a temperature sensor. On March 30, this tower collapsed due to an accumulation of rime ice and accompanying high winds. A 30 meter replacement tower was installed on May 12 with channels 4 (30 meter level anemometer) and 12 (temperature) as common channels between the V3 Energy LLC 4 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 two towers. New anemometer channels 5 and 6 and new wind vane channel 9 were added. Previously used channels 1, 2, 3, 7 and 8 in use on the 50 meter tower are not in use on the 30 meter tower. Channel Sensor type Height Multiplier Offset Orientation Channel now active? 1 NRG #40 anemometer 50 m (A) 0.765 0.35 070° T No 2 NRG IceFree III anemometer 50 m (B) 0.572 1.0 160° T No 3 NRG #40 anemometer 40 m 0.765 0.35 070° T No 4 NRG #40 anemometer 30 m (A) 0.765 0.35 West Yes 5 NRG #40 anemometer 30 m (B) 0.765 0.35 East Yes 6 NRG #40 anemometer 20 m 0.765 0.35 West Yes 7 NRG IceFree III wind vane 50 m 0.351 255 ENE No 8 NRG #200P wind vane 40 m 0.351 180 North No 9 NRG #200P wind vane 30 m 0.351 000 South Yes 12 NRG #110S Temp C 2 m 0.138 -86.383 N/A yes Data Quality Control Summary The only common channel, besides temperature, of the original 50 meter tower and the replacement 30 meter tower is Channel 4, the 30 meter (A) channel. Because of the complications and inherent data error risk of synthesizing a large amount of data, it was decided to restrict the data analysis to the original Channel 4 data from November 4, 2005 through tower collapse on March 30, 2006 and then all the operating channels of the replacement tower beginning on May 12, 2006. Once data was filtered to remove ice events, the data was synthesized to create complete data sets of the anemometer channels now in use, Channels 4, 5 and 6. For the wind vane channels, data was synthesized for all three wind vane channels, even though the 50 meter and 40 meter sensors (Channels 7 and 8) are no longer in use. For ease of review of data relevant to the hub height of a 1500 kW turbine, a 60 meter (virtual) anemometer was synthesized and added to the data set. V3 Energy LLC 5 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Measured Wind Speeds The 30 meter (A) anemometer wind speed average for the reporting period is 8.25 m/s, the 30 meter (B) anemometer wind speed average is 8.22 m/s, and the 20 meter anemometer wind speed average is 8.14 m/s. The wind speed average for the 60-meter height synthesized anemometer level (a virtual anemometer) is 8.36 m/s. Because of the extremely low shear at this site, the 60 m average (virtual) wind speed is scarcely any greater than at 30 meters. Wind Speed Summary 60 m virtual speed 30 m (A) speed 30 m (B) speed 20 m speed Month Mean Max Mean Max Mean Max Mean Max (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) Jan 8.74 32.4 8.67 31.8 8.58 31.8 8.50 31.4 Feb 9.16 28.2 9.08 27.4 9.02 27.4 8.97 26.9 Mar 10.47 39.9 10.25 39.1 10.25 39.1 10.13 38.6 Apr 9.73 28.9 9.53 28.3 9.53 28.3 9.41 27.9 May 5.19 18.8 5.14 18.4 5.12 18.4 5.11 18.4 Jun 7.05 23.0 6.99 22.2 6.92 22.3 6.86 21.3 Jul 6.48 24.5 6.42 23.4 6.34 23.7 6.25 22.8 Aug 5.38 24.2 5.31 23.6 5.31 23.9 5.24 23.5 Sep 7.65 26.3 7.61 25.4 7.53 25.5 7.50 24.7 Oct 9.63 28.7 9.50 28.7 9.52 28.7 9.41 28.9 Nov 10.28 27.6 10.14 27.4 10.14 27.6 10.07 27.6 Dec 10.53 33.9 10.37 34.3 10.35 33.9 10.26 35.1 Annual 8.36 39.9 8.25 39.1 8.22 39.1 8.14 38.6 V3 Energy LLC 6 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Daily wind profile The daily wind profile indicates that the lowest wind speeds of the day occur in the morning hours of 2 to 11 a.m. and the highest wind speeds of the day occur during the evening hours of 9 to 12 p.m. The daily variation of wind speed is quite minimal on an annual basis, but as shown, more pronounced on a monthly basis. V3 Energy LLC 7 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Time Series of Wind Speed Monthly Averages As expected, the highest winds occurred during the fall through spring months with relatively light winds during the summer months of May through August. The unusually low winds measured in January 2006 were due to a persistent high pressure system over Alaska that month that resulted in relatively calm winds and extremely cold temperatures Statewide. Note that measured winds during winter 2006/2007 are notably higher than during winter 2005/2006. Excess wind speed Most wind turbines have a cut-out speed of 25 m/s, or more precisely, cut-out when the 10 minute average wind speed exceeds 25 m/s. Given the powerful wind resources on Pillar Mountain, one could expect occasional high wind speed shut downs of turbines. During a 455 day period (November 4, 2005 to February 2, 2007), there were 596 ten minute periods or 99.3 hours where predicted wind speeds at 60 meters elevation (using the virtual anemometer) exceeded 25 m/s. This represents 0.91 percent of the time. Note however that turbines will not immediately restart once ten minute average wind speeds dip below 25 m/s and hence the lost production time due to high winds would be higher than the calculated 0.91 percent. This should be discussed with turbine manufacturers. V3 Energy LLC 8 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Wind Shear Profile The average power law exponent was calculated at 0.023, indicating extraordinarily low wind shear at Site 2. The practical application of this information is that a low turbine tower height is advisable as there is very little marginal gain in average wind speed with height. Other graphs show the variability of wind shear by direction and seasonal and daily variability. This variability is not particularly significant at this site given the very low average shear value. V3 Energy LLC 9 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 V3 Energy LLC 10 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Probability Distribution Function The probability distribution function provides a visual indication of measured wind speeds in one meter per second “bins”. Note that most wind turbines do not begin to generate power until the wind speed at hub height reaches 3.5 to 4 m/s, also known as the “cut-in” wind speed. The black line in the graph is a best fit Weibull distribution. At the 30 meter level, Weibull parameters are k = 1.53 (indicates a broad distribution of wind speeds) and c = 9.48 m/s (scale factor for the Weibull distribution) for the measurement period of 11/4/2005 to 2/27/2007. V3 Energy LLC 11 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Wind Roses Kodiak Site 2 winds are strongly directional; the 30 meter wind frequency rose (green) indicates predominately northwest winds with a lesser component of south-southeast winds. This data observation is even stronger when one considers the power density rose (yellow). The practical application of this information is that several turbines can potentially be spaced closely together perpendicular to the prevailing NW and SSE winds. The frequency of calm winds, shown in the upper right quadrant of the frequency roses, is defined as the percent of time that winds exceed a selected threshold value, in this case 3.5 m/s. Wind frequency rose – 30 meters V3 Energy LLC 12 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Power density rose – 30 meters Wind frequency rose – 50 meters (11/04/05 through 3/30/06) V3 Energy LLC 13 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Power density rose – 50 meters (11/04/05 through 3/30/06) Wind Power Density Rose by Month (50 meters) Note: only actual measured data months in 2005 and 2006 are shown (November 4, 2005 through March 30, 2006). Scale of graphs is common. V3 Energy LLC 14 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Wind Power Density Rose by Month (30 meters) Note: only actual measured data months in 2006 without a synthesis overlap are shown (May 12 through October 31, 2006. Scale of graphs is common. V3 Energy LLC 15 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Turbulence Intensity The Kodiak Site 2 turbulence intensity remains extremely favorable with a mean of 0.109 at 50 meters (five months data) and a mean of 0.120 (A channel) and 0.110 (B channel) at 30 meters. Turbulence intensity is calculated for each time step as the standard deviation of the wind speed divided by the mean of the wind speed. 30 meter vane – 30 meter (A) Turbulence Intensity (Mean = 0.120) 50 meter vane – 50 meter (A) Turbulence Intensity (Mean = 1.109), 11/4/05 through 3/30/06 V3 Energy LLC 16 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 International Energy Agency turbulence standard comparisons As indicated, turbulence is within International Energy Agency (IEA) Category A and B standards for all wind directions and at all measured wind speeds. 30 meter vane – 30 meter (A) speed 50 meter vane – 50 meter (A) speed V3 Energy LLC 17 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Turbulence Tables Turbulence Table 50 m A speed - 50 m vane (11/04/05 to 3/30/06), threshold 4 m/s Bin Bin Endpoints Records Standard Deviation Mean Standard Deviation Characteristic Midpoint Lower Upper In of Wind Speed Turbulence of Turbulence Turbulence (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) Bin (m/s) Intensity Intensity Intensity 1 0.5 1.5 746 0.371 0.400 0.207 0.607 2 1.5 2.5 1089 0.396 0.203 0.136 0.339 3 2.5 3.5 1168 0.474 0.160 0.102 0.262 4 3.5 4.5 1290 0.522 0.132 0.079 0.211 5 4.5 5.5 1421 0.624 0.126 0.076 0.202 6 5.5 6.5 1478 0.695 0.117 0.063 0.180 7 6.5 7.5 1536 0.780 0.112 0.060 0.172 8 7.5 8.5 1456 0.865 0.109 0.059 0.167 9 8.5 9.5 1480 0.966 0.108 0.055 0.163 10 9.5 10.5 1356 1.103 0.111 0.052 0.163 11 10.5 11.5 1129 1.193 0.109 0.048 0.157 12 11.5 12.5 991 1.280 0.107 0.046 0.153 13 12.5 13.5 862 1.359 0.105 0.043 0.148 14 13.5 14.5 739 1.466 0.105 0.045 0.150 15 14.5 15.5 687 1.486 0.099 0.044 0.143 16 15.5 16.5 667 1.569 0.098 0.043 0.141 17 16.5 17.5 597 1.656 0.098 0.038 0.135 18 17.5 18.5 433 1.724 0.096 0.038 0.134 19 18.5 19.5 343 1.850 0.098 0.036 0.134 20 19.5 20.5 279 1.831 0.092 0.033 0.125 21 20.5 21.5 205 2.000 0.095 0.031 0.126 22 21.5 22.5 166 2.044 0.093 0.032 0.125 23 22.5 23.5 147 2.016 0.088 0.023 0.111 24 23.5 24.5 99 2.038 0.085 0.021 0.106 25 24.5 25.5 41 2.239 0.090 0.024 0.114 26 25.5 26.5 41 2.390 0.092 0.020 0.112 27 26.5 27.5 33 2.561 0.095 0.028 0.123 28 27.5 28.5 17 2.600 0.093 0.019 0.112 29 28.5 29.5 18 2.822 0.098 0.021 0.119 30 29.5 30.5 18 2.961 0.099 0.021 0.120 V3 Energy LLC 18 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 31 30.5 31.5 31 2.974 0.096 0.019 0.115 32 31.5 32.5 41 2.932 0.092 0.024 0.116 33 32.5 33.5 21 2.805 0.085 0.021 0.106 34 33.5 34.5 12 3.192 0.094 0.022 0.116 35 34.5 35.5 12 3.325 0.095 0.014 0.109 36 35.5 36.5 8 3.325 0.092 0.010 0.102 37 36.5 37.5 5 3.240 0.087 0.012 0.100 38 37.5 38.5 2 3.350 0.088 0.004 0.093 39 38.5 39.5 1 4.000 0.104 0.000 0.104 Turbulence Table 50 m B speed - 50 m vane (11/04/05 to 3/30/06), threshold 4 m/s Bin Bin Endpoints Records Standard Deviation Mean Standard Deviation Characteristic Midpoint Lower Upper In of Wind Speed Turbulence of Turbulence Turbulence (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) Bin (m/s) Intensity Intensity Intensity 1 0.5 1.5 917 0.100 0.081 0.113 0.194 2 1.5 2.5 1090 0.353 0.181 0.104 0.285 3 2.5 3.5 1094 0.423 0.144 0.098 0.242 4 3.5 4.5 1296 0.487 0.124 0.083 0.206 5 4.5 5.5 1397 0.604 0.121 0.072 0.193 6 5.5 6.5 1637 0.687 0.116 0.064 0.180 7 6.5 7.5 1562 0.774 0.112 0.062 0.173 8 7.5 8.5 1558 0.867 0.109 0.060 0.169 9 8.5 9.5 1517 0.927 0.104 0.060 0.164 10 9.5 10.5 1347 1.049 0.106 0.056 0.162 11 10.5 11.5 1099 1.161 0.106 0.054 0.160 12 11.5 12.5 968 1.215 0.102 0.052 0.154 13 12.5 13.5 816 1.281 0.099 0.050 0.149 14 13.5 14.5 732 1.405 0.101 0.045 0.146 15 14.5 15.5 697 1.514 0.101 0.044 0.145 16 15.5 16.5 657 1.565 0.098 0.040 0.138 17 16.5 17.5 629 1.647 0.097 0.037 0.135 18 17.5 18.5 458 1.712 0.095 0.038 0.134 19 18.5 19.5 309 1.771 0.094 0.039 0.133 20 19.5 20.5 274 1.719 0.086 0.036 0.123 21 20.5 21.5 205 1.902 0.091 0.031 0.122 22 21.5 22.5 173 1.917 0.087 0.032 0.119 23 22.5 23.5 143 2.072 0.090 0.043 0.134 24 23.5 24.5 96 2.003 0.084 0.022 0.105 25 24.5 25.5 65 2.192 0.088 0.023 0.111 26 25.5 26.5 39 2.210 0.085 0.021 0.106 27 26.5 27.5 31 2.665 0.099 0.026 0.125 28 27.5 28.5 16 2.631 0.094 0.021 0.115 29 28.5 29.5 21 3.043 0.105 0.023 0.128 30 29.5 30.5 13 2.831 0.095 0.026 0.120 31 30.5 31.5 11 3.555 0.115 0.023 0.139 32 31.5 32.5 27 3.511 0.110 0.033 0.142 33 32.5 33.5 26 3.585 0.109 0.027 0.136 34 33.5 34.5 29 4.190 0.123 0.031 0.154 35 34.5 35.5 12 4.233 0.121 0.031 0.152 V3 Energy LLC 19 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 36 35.5 36.5 13 4.200 0.117 0.029 0.146 37 36.5 37.5 5 4.680 0.127 0.015 0.142 38 37.5 38.5 7 5.329 0.141 0.021 0.163 39 38.5 39.5 6 4.700 0.121 0.013 0.134 40 39.5 40.5 5 5.420 0.136 0.004 0.140 41 40.5 41.5 5 5.540 0.136 0.006 0.141 42 41.5 42.5 4 5.175 0.123 0.015 0.138 43 42.5 43.5 2 5.300 0.123 0.003 0.126 44 43.5 44.5 1 6.200 0.140 0.000 0.140 45 44.5 45.5 0 6.200 0.140 0.000 0.140 Turbulence Table 40 m speed - 40 m vane (11/04/05 to 3/30/06), threshold 4 m/s Bin Bin Endpoints Records Standard Deviation Mean Standard Deviation Characteristic Midpoint Lower Upper In of Wind Speed Turbulence of Turbulence Turbulence (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) Bin (m/s) Intensity Intensity Intensity 1 0.5 1.5 825 0.383 0.413 0.215 0.628 2 1.5 2.5 1014 0.426 0.221 0.148 0.369 3 2.5 3.5 1179 0.485 0.163 0.107 0.270 4 3.5 4.5 1303 0.541 0.137 0.081 0.218 5 4.5 5.5 1418 0.641 0.129 0.073 0.202 6 5.5 6.5 1464 0.721 0.121 0.063 0.184 7 6.5 7.5 1493 0.802 0.115 0.061 0.176 8 7.5 8.5 1463 0.885 0.111 0.057 0.168 9 8.5 9.5 1525 0.992 0.111 0.054 0.164 10 9.5 10.5 1283 1.142 0.115 0.050 0.165 11 10.5 11.5 1164 1.234 0.113 0.047 0.160 12 11.5 12.5 1021 1.295 0.108 0.045 0.154 13 12.5 13.5 833 1.425 0.110 0.044 0.154 14 13.5 14.5 738 1.517 0.109 0.044 0.152 15 14.5 15.5 707 1.574 0.105 0.042 0.147 16 15.5 16.5 653 1.586 0.100 0.041 0.140 17 16.5 17.5 563 1.690 0.100 0.039 0.139 18 17.5 18.5 400 1.768 0.099 0.037 0.135 19 18.5 19.5 312 1.873 0.099 0.035 0.134 20 19.5 20.5 271 1.849 0.093 0.033 0.126 21 20.5 21.5 201 2.083 0.100 0.042 0.142 22 21.5 22.5 175 2.044 0.093 0.029 0.122 23 22.5 23.5 145 2.034 0.089 0.025 0.113 24 23.5 24.5 81 2.048 0.086 0.026 0.112 25 24.5 25.5 38 2.276 0.091 0.018 0.109 26 25.5 26.5 42 2.579 0.100 0.026 0.126 27 26.5 27.5 30 2.463 0.091 0.026 0.118 28 27.5 28.5 17 2.829 0.102 0.016 0.117 29 28.5 29.5 20 2.970 0.103 0.023 0.126 30 29.5 30.5 16 2.919 0.097 0.017 0.114 31 30.5 31.5 34 3.035 0.098 0.021 0.119 32 31.5 32.5 40 3.007 0.094 0.023 0.117 33 32.5 33.5 19 2.958 0.090 0.022 0.112 34 33.5 34.5 12 3.275 0.097 0.025 0.122 V3 Energy LLC 20 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 35 34.5 35.5 11 3.264 0.093 0.011 0.104 36 35.5 36.5 8 3.425 0.095 0.008 0.104 37 36.5 37.5 5 3.220 0.087 0.010 0.097 38 37.5 38.5 2 3.750 0.098 0.009 0.107 39 38.5 39.5 0 3.750 0.098 0.009 0.107 Turbulence Table 30 m A speed - 30 m vane (11/04/05 to 2/27/07), threshold 3.5 m/s Bin Bin Endpoints Records Standard Deviation Mean Standard Deviation Characteristic Midpoint Lower Upper In of Wind Speed Turbulence of Turbulence Turbulence (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) Bin (m/s) Intensity Intensity Intensity 1 0.5 1.5 3182 0.482 0.521 0.331 0.852 2 1.5 2.5 4598 0.511 0.264 0.164 0.428 3 2.5 3.5 4973 0.556 0.190 0.125 0.315 4 3.5 4.5 4729 0.644 0.163 0.104 0.267 5 4.5 5.5 4751 0.708 0.143 0.079 0.222 6 5.5 6.5 4871 0.806 0.135 0.071 0.206 7 6.5 7.5 4916 0.879 0.126 0.062 0.188 8 7.5 8.5 4839 0.946 0.119 0.057 0.176 9 8.5 9.5 4628 1.052 0.117 0.053 0.171 10 9.5 10.5 3959 1.139 0.115 0.050 0.165 11 10.5 11.5 3570 1.224 0.112 0.049 0.161 12 11.5 12.5 3153 1.286 0.108 0.046 0.154 13 12.5 13.5 2711 1.395 0.108 0.045 0.153 14 13.5 14.5 2320 1.504 0.108 0.047 0.155 15 14.5 15.5 1994 1.581 0.106 0.046 0.152 16 15.5 16.5 1745 1.634 0.102 0.046 0.149 17 16.5 17.5 1599 1.677 0.099 0.045 0.144 18 17.5 18.5 1258 1.748 0.097 0.043 0.141 19 18.5 19.5 984 1.842 0.097 0.042 0.139 20 19.5 20.5 764 1.876 0.094 0.039 0.133 21 20.5 21.5 639 1.975 0.094 0.042 0.136 22 21.5 22.5 459 1.929 0.088 0.038 0.126 23 22.5 23.5 344 1.961 0.086 0.034 0.120 24 23.5 24.5 223 2.045 0.086 0.038 0.124 25 24.5 25.5 148 1.914 0.077 0.036 0.113 26 25.5 26.5 130 2.243 0.087 0.041 0.127 27 26.5 27.5 80 2.333 0.087 0.040 0.127 28 27.5 28.5 46 2.453 0.088 0.038 0.126 29 28.5 29.5 36 3.006 0.104 0.034 0.138 30 29.5 30.5 22 3.316 0.111 0.035 0.146 31 30.5 31.5 35 3.180 0.103 0.019 0.121 32 31.5 32.5 46 3.363 0.105 0.023 0.128 33 32.5 33.5 24 3.325 0.101 0.023 0.124 34 33.5 34.5 15 3.507 0.103 0.026 0.130 35 34.5 35.5 12 3.275 0.094 0.014 0.108 36 35.5 36.5 12 3.533 0.098 0.010 0.108 37 36.5 37.5 5 3.360 0.091 0.005 0.096 38 37.5 38.5 4 3.500 0.092 0.010 0.102 39 38.5 39.5 2 3.850 0.099 0.009 0.107 V3 Energy LLC 21 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 40 39.5 40.5 0 3.850 0.099 0.009 0.107 Turbulence Table 30 m B speed - 30 m vane (11/04/05 to 2/27/07), threshold 3.5 m/s Bin Bin Endpoints Records Standard Deviation Mean Standard Deviation Characteristic Midpoint Lower Upper In of Wind Speed Turbulence of Turbulence Turbulence (m/s) (m/s) (m/s) Bin (m/s) Intensity Intensity Intensity 1 0.5 1.5 3335 0.549 0.592 0.436 1.029 2 1.5 2.5 4600 0.579 0.300 0.194 0.494 3 2.5 3.5 4878 0.603 0.205 0.129 0.334 4 3.5 4.5 4706 0.661 0.167 0.103 0.270 5 4.5 5.5 4794 0.719 0.145 0.081 0.226 6 5.5 6.5 4918 0.790 0.132 0.069 0.201 7 6.5 7.5 5035 0.850 0.122 0.061 0.183 8 7.5 8.5 4750 0.908 0.114 0.056 0.170 9 8.5 9.5 4608 0.965 0.108 0.053 0.161 10 9.5 10.5 3880 1.009 0.101 0.052 0.153 11 10.5 11.5 3570 1.055 0.096 0.050 0.147 12 11.5 12.5 3148 1.123 0.094 0.049 0.143 13 12.5 13.5 2787 1.182 0.091 0.048 0.139 14 13.5 14.5 2313 1.258 0.090 0.049 0.140 15 14.5 15.5 1948 1.250 0.084 0.050 0.134 16 15.5 16.5 1748 1.269 0.080 0.050 0.129 17 16.5 17.5 1560 1.301 0.077 0.047 0.124 18 17.5 18.5 1204 1.344 0.075 0.048 0.123 19 18.5 19.5 975 1.410 0.074 0.046 0.120 20 19.5 20.5 733 1.436 0.072 0.046 0.118 21 20.5 21.5 621 1.419 0.068 0.045 0.113 22 21.5 22.5 454 1.443 0.066 0.045 0.111 23 22.5 23.5 335 1.301 0.057 0.042 0.099 24 23.5 24.5 226 1.433 0.060 0.045 0.104 25 24.5 25.5 156 1.606 0.064 0.044 0.108 26 25.5 26.5 131 1.596 0.062 0.045 0.107 27 26.5 27.5 82 1.446 0.054 0.045 0.099 28 27.5 28.5 49 1.457 0.052 0.045 0.098 29 28.5 29.5 39 1.649 0.057 0.054 0.110 30 29.5 30.5 19 1.366 0.045 0.050 0.095 31 30.5 31.5 40 1.417 0.046 0.046 0.091 32 31.5 32.5 43 1.278 0.040 0.040 0.080 33 32.5 33.5 24 0.937 0.028 0.024 0.052 34 33.5 34.5 15 0.848 0.025 0.032 0.057 35 34.5 35.5 12 0.721 0.021 0.012 0.033 36 35.5 36.5 12 0.865 0.024 0.015 0.039 37 36.5 37.5 5 1.185 0.032 0.008 0.040 38 37.5 38.5 4 0.557 0.015 0.007 0.022 39 38.5 39.5 2 0.686 0.018 0.006 0.023 40 39.5 40.5 0 0.686 0.018 0.006 0.023 V3 Energy LLC 22 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Air Temperature and Density Over the reporting period, Kodiak Site 2 had an average temperature of 4.8° C. The minimum recorded temperature during the measurement period was -17.0° C and the maximum temperature was 25.6° C, indicating a cool temperate operating environment for wind turbine operations. Consequent to Kodiak’s cool temperatures, but counterbalanced by Site 2’s elevation of 390 meters, the average air density of 1.214 kg/m3 is approximately three percent higher than the standard air density of 1.1798 kg/m3 (at 12.5° C and 96.7 kPa) at this elevation. Density variance from standard is accounted for in turbine performance predictions. Temperature Air Density Month Mean Min Max Std. Dev. Mean Min Max (°C) (°C) (°C) (°C) (kg/m³) (kg/m³) (kg/m³) Jan -3.1 -17.0 4.0 5.494 1.249 1.216 1.316 Feb -1.0 -15.2 6.1 4.052 1.239 1.207 1.307 Mar -0.5 -9.4 7.3 2.595 1.236 1.202 1.278 Apr 4.3 -1.3 12.4 2.461 1.215 1.180 1.240 May 9.5 0.5 25.6 5.265 1.193 1.128 1.232 Jun 9.6 5.1 18.7 2.792 1.192 1.155 1.211 Jul 11.9 7.3 21.6 2.947 1.182 1.143 1.202 Aug 12.6 8.7 20.5 2.373 1.180 1.148 1.196 Sep 9.7 4.8 16.7 1.866 1.192 1.163 1.213 Oct 6.0 -2.2 13.0 2.956 1.207 1.178 1.244 Nov -2.1 -13.3 7.3 4.021 1.244 1.202 1.297 Dec 0.3 -11.1 6.2 3.835 1.233 1.206 1.286 All data 4.8 -17.0 25.6 6.764 1.214 1.128 1.316 V3 Energy LLC 23 of 24 Kodiak, Alaska Site 2 Wind Resource Report 3/16/2007 Air Density DMap The DMap is a visual indication of the daily and seasonal variations of air density (and hence temperature). Air densities higher than standard will yield higher turbine power than predicted by turbine power curves (which are calibrated for a sea level temperature of 15° C, air pressure of 101.3 kPa, and air density of 1.225 kg/m3, while densities lower than standard will yield lower turbine power than predicted by the power curves. V3 Energy LLC 24 of 24