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HomeMy WebLinkAboutBradley Lake True Up for water year 1994Ping System (BLOF MASTER BLOFI LOG Year |Code |Date Key Word From Description 1993 [14-00 |01/07/93 |Station Service AEA BLHP Exciter Fan Power Source 1993 [14-00 [12/16/93 |Governor AEA Governor Service 1994 |14-00 [01/03/94 |Tests Mobil Mobil Trend Analysis Program BLHP Turbine 1993 |14-00 |01/13/94 |Station Service AEA BL Exciter Fan Power Source 1994 {14-00 [01/17/94 |Governor AEA BL Governor Preventative Maintenance Guide 1994 |14-00 [01/24/94 |AMMS System SWEC Automated Maintenance Management System AEA 1994 |14-00 [01/27/94 |O&M HEA Bradley O&M Mobilization 1994 {14-00 [02/07/94 |Governor Woodward BL Governor Preventative Maintenance Guide 1994 {14-00 [02/08/94 |O&M SWEC Service Water System Analysis /Cooling Water System 1994 |14-00 |03/23/94 |Governor HEA BLHP Identification of Governor Oil Contamination 1994 [14-00 [04/08/94 |Tests AEA Protective Relay Calibration and Testing 1994 |14-00 [04/14/94 |Control Circuits HEA Plant Automatic Shutdown Following Gate Closure /Control Circuits 1994 {14-00 [04/14/94 {Allocation HEA BLHP Initial Energy Allocations -WY 1994-95 1994 114-00 |04/18/94 |O&M AEA BL Reporting Requirements 1994 {14-00 [04/29/94 |Allocation HEA Revised Bradley Initial Allocations 1994 {14-00 [05/06/94 |Governor HEA Governor Oil Contamination 1994 |14-00 [05/19/94 |Governor AEA BLHP Governor Oil Contamination 1994 {14-00 [06/08/94 [Allocation HEA True-up of Allocation/Usage for Water Year 1993-94 1994 [14-00 [06/27/94 |Control Circuits HEA Bradley Junction Changes 1994 |14-00 [06/27/94 |Control Circuits HEA HEA Auto-Sync Equipment 1994 {14-00 [06/28/94 |Governor HEA BHP Governor Oil Contamination Problem 1994 |14-00 [07/11/94 |Control Circuits HEA HEA Auto-Sync Equipment 1994 |14-00 |10/03/94 |Governor HEA Bradley Operating Statement for September 1994 1994 14-00 11/09/94 Tests SWEC Station Service Relay Coordination BLHP Master BLOFI Log.xlsBLOFI 1of1 3/13/2003 H mer Electric Ass triation,Inc. CORPORATE OFFICE Central Peninsula Service Center 3977 Lake Street 280 Airport Way Homer,Alaska 99603-7680 Pouch 5280 Phone (907)235-8167 Kenai,Alaska 99611-5280 FAX (907)235-3313 Phone (907)283-5831 FAX (907)283-7122 June 8,1994 Alaska ltndustrial Develorrnact and Export Authority Stan Sieczkowski AEA 480 W.Tudor Rd. Anchorage,AK 99503-6690 Dear Stan: RE: True-up of Allocation/Usage for Water Year 1993-94 Please reference the attached information showing the true-up calculations for Water Year 1993-94 and the allocations and total energy available for Water Year 1994-95. The adjustment amount to be carried forward is 8,322 Mwh.We will be monitoring the inflows and schedules in June due to the possibility of spill later in the season. Please advise if anything further is required. Sincerely yours, HOMER ELECTRIC ASSOCIATION,INC. 4.C.Werth, S.C.Matthews Major Projects Engineer L060794A.SCM/js CC:Norm Story Mike Yerkes Dave Burlingame,CEA Brad Evans,GVEA Doug Hall,ML&P BRADLEY LAKE HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT ALLOCATIONS FOR WATER YEAR 1994-95 Date GVEA Jun-93 1,658 Jul-93 7,415 Aug-93 8,154 Sep-93 1,696 Oct-93 7,351 Nov-92 5,663 Dec-93 2,557 Jan-94 5,036 Feb-94 5,317 Mar-94 5,490 Apr-94 5,468 May-94 8,630 TOTAL DELIVERED 64,435 ALLOCATION %16.9% ALLOC.SHARE 81,120 POND WY92-93 6,297 TOTALS 87,417 REMAIN BALANCE 22,982 POND WY92-93 6,297 POND WY93-94 16,685 TRUE-UP WY93-94 1,406 END OF YR.BAL.24,388 WATER YEAR 1994-95 ALLOCATION %16.9% INITIAL ALLOC.62,355 POND FOR 94-95 =22,982 93-94 CARRYOVER __1,406 TOTAL ENERGY AVAILABLE IN WY 94-95 86,743 H209495.XLW6/6/941:54 PM TRUE-UP FOR WATER YEAR 1993-94 ML&P 6,479 10,912 18,160 20,188 15,338 7,691 8,292 11,278 3,597 8,099 7,252 12,239 129,525 25.9% 124,320 4,877 129,197 -328 4,877 -5,205 2,155 1,827 25.9% 95,561 -328 2,155 97,389 Energy (MWH) HEA CEA MEA SES 6,949 17,604 7,975 563 7,424 18806 8519 601 6,157 15,597 7,065 498 4,414 11,181 5,065 357 3,744 9,484 4,297 303 2,164 5,481 2,483 175 1,789 4,531 2,053 145 3,092 7,832 3,548 250 3,313 8378 3,819 274 3,420 8650 3,943 283 3,407 8615 3,928 282 3,469 9,378 3,759 312 49,342 125,537 56,454 4,043 12.0%30.4%13.8%1.0% 57,600 145,920 66,240 4,800 7,929 20,086 9,099 642 65,529 166,006 75,339 5,442 16,187 40,469 18,885 1,399 7,929 20,086 9,099 642 8,258 20,383 9,786 757 999 2,530 1,148 83 17,186 42,999 20,033 1,482 12.0%30.4%13.8%1.0% 44,276 112,165 50,917 3,690 16,187 40,469 18,885 1,399 999 2,530 1,148 83 61,461 155,164 70,950 5,172 TOTAL 41,228 53,677 55,631 42,901 40,517 23,657 19,367 31,036 24,698 29,885 28,952 37,787 429,336 100.0% 480,000 48,930 528,930 99,594 48,930 50,664 8,322 107,916 100.0% 368,963 99,594 8,322 476,879 BRADLEY LAKE HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT Calculation of pond and true-up at end of WY93-94 Storage Ending Elevation 1128.20 371,234 Minimum Elevation 1080.00 263,318 Remainder at end of year 107,916 Allocated 480,000 Used 429,336 Pond 50,664 50,664 Remainder 57,252 Pond from WY92-93 48,930 True-up end of WY93-94 8,322 H209495.XLW6/6/942:22 PM H mer Electric Ass siation,Inc. CORPORATE OFFICE Central Peninsula Service Center 3977 Lake Street 280 Airport Way Homer,Alaska 99603-7680 Pouch 5280 Phone (907)235-8167 Kenai,Alaska 99611-5280 FAX (907)235-3313 Phone (907)283-5831 FAX (907)283-7122 April 29,1994 ECEIVEStanSieczkowski AIDEA MAY $3 1994480W.Tudor Rd. Anchorage,AK 99503-6690 Alaska Industrial DevelopmentandExportAuthority Dear Stan: RE:Revised Bradley Initial Allocations As a result of a meeting with the dispatchers on April 26,1994,I am making some additions and revisions to the initial allocations.This will supersede my correspondence of April 14,1994.Please reference tables A (Revised)and B for revised information. The most significant change is the initial allocation amount to 368,963 Mwh total based on the March NWS forecast of inflows.In addition,I calculated the estimated true-up of 8,505 Mwh at the end of the year and added it to the amount available.This amount of course will be superseded by the actual true-up after June 1,1994.The net result of these changes is that there will be available 482,146 Mwh for the new water year. Again,I recommend we draw down some of the pond early in the year to avoid spill. Please request all participants to return initial schedules as soon as possible so that the final model runs can be done. Sincerely yours, HOMER ELECTRIC ASSOCIATION,INC. 4G.Wearthce, S.C.Matthews Major Projects Engineer REVISED.SCM/js Cc:Norm Story Dave Fair Dave Burlingame,CEA Doug Hall,AML&P Brad Evans,GVEA TABLE A (REVISED) BRADLEY LAKE HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT INITIAL ALLOCATIONS FOR WATER YEAR 1994-95 Energy (MWH) Date GVEA|ML&P HEA CEA MEA SES |TOTAL Jun-93 1,658;6,479)6,949}17,604}7,975 563]41,228 Jul-93 7,415|10,912]7,424]18,806)8,519 601|53,677 Aug-93 8,154;18,160)6,157}15,597)7,065 498!55,631 Sep-93 1,696}20,188);4,414]11,181]5,065 357|42,901 Oct-93 7,351)15,338]3,744)9,484)4,297 303}40,517 Nov-92 5,663}7,691 2,164,5,481)2,483 175|23,657 Dec-93 2,557}8,292}1,789)4,531}2,053 145|19,367 Jan-94 5,036}11,278)3,092;7,832]3,548 250|31,036 Feb-94 5,317}3,597)3,313}8,378)3,819 274|24,698 Mar-94 5,490}8,099)3,420}8650)3,943 283|29,885 Apr-94/Estimate}3,170)7,200}2,251 5,703)2,589 187|21,100 May-94/Estimate)6,842;11,200}4,858)12,308)5,587 405|41,200 THROUGH MAR |_50,337}110,034}42,466]107,544}48,767}3,449]362,597 TOTAL i 60,349}128,434)49,575}125,555)56,943}4,041)424,897 ALLOCATION %16.9%|25.9%]12.0%}30.4%}13.8%1.0%|100.0% ALLOC.SHARE 81,120)124,320|57,600)145,920}66,240}4,800}480,000 POND WY92-93 6,297}4,877;7,929)20,086)9,099 642|48,930 TOTALS 87,417|129,197|65,529}166,006}75,339)5,442)528,930 REMAIN BALANC}27,616}1,289)15,865;40,212}18,304}1,392]104,678 POND WY92-93 6,297|4,877|7,929}20,086]9,099 642|48,930 POND WY$93-94 20,771;-4,114)8,025;20,365)9,297 759;55,103 EST.TRUE-UP 1,437}2,203}1,021 2,586}1,174 85}8,505 END OF BAL.|28,505)2,966)16,975}43,037}19,570;1,486}112,538 WATER YEAR 1994-95 ALLOCATION %|16.9%{25.9%}12.0%;30.4%)13.8%1.0%|100.0% INITIAL ALLOC.|62,355}95,561;44,276)112,165}50,917;3,690;368,963 POND FOR 94-95}27,616}1,289)15,865}40,212}18,304}1,392)104,678 93-94 CARRYOV 1,437;2,203}1,021 2,586]1,174 85}8,505 TOTAL ENERGY AVAILABLE IN WY 94-95 91,408]99,053}61,161]154,962;70,395]5,167);482,146 TABLE B Calculation of estimated pond and true-up at end of WY93-94 Storage Estimated Ending Elevation |1129.80 375,856 Minimum Elevation 1080.00 263,318 Remainder at end of year 112,538 Allocated 480,000 Estimated use 424,897 Pond |55,103 55,103 Remainder 57,435 Pond from WY92-93 48,930 Estimated true-up end of WY93-94 8,505 H mer Electric Ass tiation,Inc. CORPORATE OFFICE Central Peninsula Service Center 3977 Lake Street 280 Airport Way Homer,Alaska 99603-7680 Pouch 5280 Phone (907)235-8167 Kenai,Alaska 99611-5280 FAX (907)235-3313 Phone (907)283-5831 'FAX (907)283-7122EGEIVEiCle April 14,1994APR181924 Alaska industria!Development and Expert Authority Stan Sieczkowski AIDEA 480 W.Tudor Rd. Anchorage,AK 99503-6690 Dear Stan: RE:Bradley Lake Hydroelectric Project Initial Energy Allocations -WY 1994-95 Attached is information for subject allocations in compliance with the Allocation and SchedulingProcedures,Section 4.The allocations have been developed based upon the latest snowpack information and in consultation with the National Weather Service (NWS)for their forecasted flows.The estimate is for 328,000 MWH to be produced from the inflow as presently forecasted by the NWS.This is based on a starting elevation of 1080 and an ending elevation of 1080.Based upon the present utility estimates of utilization,a Pondage of 104,678 MWH and carryover of 19,322 MWH is forecasted for a total energy availability for the year of 452,000 MWH to draw the reservoir down to a level of 1080. It appears that we will be entering the new water year with a large pond and a forecasted lake level of 1129.8 ft.Due to this high level and above normal snowpack there is a high likelihood of spill in October unless we make a concerted effort to draw it down during the summer months.To avoid spiil from our estimated starting elevation of 1129.8 ft.,we have toe schedule a minimum of 90,000 MWH through August and a minimum of 120,000 MWH through September and 150,000 MWH through October.This assumes the inflows follow the NWS projections.If we have a high water year same as 1993,these figures become 150,000 MWH through August,200,000 MWH through September and 245,000 MWH through October.As can be seen,this is quite a range.The 1993 summer in this area was warm,sunny and rain in August.The 1994 summer could be the same and we have an above normal snowpack.My recommendation is an initial minimum schedule of 130,000 MWH through August and 180,000 through September,with further adjustments from these depending on history.I would also recommend a O&D Subcommittee teleconference at an early date to discuss this situation before we do the final run of the model. Mr.Stan Sieczkowski April 14,1994 Page 2 The attached Table A reflects the 1993-94 actual usage through March and estimates for the 1994-95 water year.Please review the data and schedule project shares of the Total Energy Available in WY 94-95 as listed on the last line.Return the data at your earliest convenience so that the final run of the model can be made to assure no conflicts.The exact amounts of Pondage and Carry Over will be corrected at the June 1 true-up. Sincerely yours, HOMER ELECTRIC ASSOCIATION,INC. 4.0,WaereZicey S.C.Matthews Major Projects Engineer INITIAL.SCM/js CC:Norm Story Dave Fair Bob Ditton Mike Yerkes Dave Burlingame,CEA Brad Evans,GVEA Doug Hall,AML&P Date GVEA Jun-93 1,658 Jul-93 7,415 Aug-93 8,154 Sep-93 1,696 Oct-93 7,351 Nov-92 5,663 Dec-93 2,557 Jan-94 5,036 Feb-94 5,317 Mar-94 5,490 Apr-94 Estimate 3,170 May-94 Estimate 6,842 THROUGH MARCH 50,337 TOTAL DELIVERED 60,349 ALLOCATION %16.9% ALLOC.SHARE 81,120 PONDED WY93-94 6,297 TOTALS 87,417 REMAIN BALANCE 27,616 WATER YEAR 1994-95 ALLOCATION%16.9% ALLOCATED MWH 55,432 POND FOR 94-95 27,616 93-94 CARRYOVER 3,265 TOTAL ENERGY AVAILABLE IN WY 94-95 86,313 H209495.XLW4/13/949:15 AM TABLE A BRADLEY LAKE HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT INITIAL ALLOCATIONS FOR WATER YEAR 1994-95 ML&P 6,479 10,912 18,160 20,188 15,338 7,691 8,292 11,278 3,597 8,099 7,200 11,200 110,034 128,434 25.9% 124,320 4,877 129,197 1,289 25.9% 84,952 1,289 5,004 91,245 Energy (MWH) HEA 6,949 7,424 6,157 4,414 3,744 2,164 1,789 3,092 3,313 3,420 2,251 4,858 42,466 49,575 12.0% 57,600 7,929 65,529 15,865 12.0% 39,360 15,865 2,319 57,544 CEA 17,604 18,806 15,597 11,181 9,484 5,481 4,531 7,832 8,378 8,650 5,703 12,308 107,544 125,555 30.4% 145,920 20,086 166,006 40,212 30.4% 99,712 40,212 5,874 145,798 MEA 7,975 8,519 7,065 5,065 4,297 2,483 2,053 3,548 3,819 3,943 2,589 5,587 48,767 56,943 13.8% 66,240 9,099 75,339 18,304 13.8% 45,264 18,304 2,666 66,234 SES 563 601 498 357 303 175 145 250 274 283 187 405 3,449 4,041 1.0% 4,800 642 5,442 1,392 1.0% 3,280 1,392 193 4,865 TOTAL 41,228 53,677 55,631 42,901 40,517 23,657 19,367 31,036 24,698 29,885 21,100 41,200 362,597 424,897 100.0% 480,000 48,930 528,930 104,678 100.0% 328,000 104,678 19,322 452,000 Chart1 BRADLEY LAKE PROJECT ELEVATION (FT.)vs TIME WATER YEAR 1994-91,200.00 1,180.00 ; 1,160.00 +-_=pSooOoO1-ACTUAL ELEV. ----MAX.ELEV. -----1972 ELEV. s-++°-PROJ.ELEV.ELEVATION-_=No°Q3SL1,100.00 4 1,080.00 + 1,060.00 JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN MONTH Page 1