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HomeMy WebLinkAboutHaines-Skagway Region Feasibility Study Volume 3 - Addendum 1982HAINES-SKAGWA Y REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY Volume 3 -Addendum COPYRIGHT, 1983 ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS PROPRIETARY INFORMATION OF THE ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY AND IS TO BE RETURNED UPON REQUEST. ITS CONTENTS MAY NOT BE COPIED, DISCLOSED TO THIRD PARTIES, OR USED FOR OTHER THAN THE EXPRESS PURPOSE FOR WHICH IT HAS BEEN PROVIDED WITHOUT THE WRITTEN CONSENT OF THE ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY. R. W. BECK AND AsSOCIATES, INC ENGINEERS AND CONSULTANTS December 1982 '------AL1\.SK..L\. 1·()\VEll AUTHOllI'I'¥ __ ---' R. W BECK AND AsSOCIATES, INC P.O. BOX 2400 SITKA, ALASKA 9983S FILENO. HH-1559-HG3-BC 3110 Mr. Robert A. Mohn Director of Engineering Alaska Power Authority 334 West 5th Avenue Anchorage, AK 99501 Dear Mr. Mohn: ENGINEERS AND CONSULTANTS Subject: TOWER BUILDING 7TH AVENUE AT OLIVE WAY SEATILE, WASHINGTON 98101 206-622-5000 Addendum to the Haines-Skagway Region Feasibility Study P.O. BOX 6818 KETCHIKAN, ALASKA 99901 December 22, 1982 We herewith submit our Addendum to the Feasibility Study for the Haines-Skagway Region. Our principal findings and conclusions are set forth in the Summary and Conclusions of the report. Details of the engineering studies and economic eva1utions conducted for the Addendum are described in the subsequent sections of the report. JHC/JVW/v1a enclosure Respectfully submitted, R. W. BECK AND ASSOCIATES, INC. James V. Williamson Vice President and Manager Hydro-Water Resources Design Office Registered Professional Engineer in Alaska CERTIFICATE OF ENGINEER ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ANCHORAGE, ALASKA DECEMBER 1982 The technical material and data contained in this study were pre- pared by David E. Westfall, P.E., Executive Engineer, and James H. Cars cadden Supervising Engineer. The engineering material and data contained in this report were prepared under the supervision and direction of the undersigned whose seal as professional engineer is affixed below. _,,-'''t_-.. \ \. _--(! Of 4L \\ -~'\ v •••••••••. A S -' ., .--.-.. -'~ ..•.. 'L, ,,~..... -.;:.-, I til' ' •• 49 TH \*11, ~ ... 1 ...... =-;:;; ..... _:.: .. ~ ••••• •••••••• • ~/.-~.DONAlD R. MElNICK: ~ ~.. ..~, #a~ ••• No. CE4934 .o·§' n~·. ..~, .. C"~ -. ..-~, \\~b •••••••••• ~ ~.,:' \\!IOnSS\\\'\: _-,,-,-,-,,,,-Date: Donald R. Melnick Executive Engineer Ro W. Beck and Associates, Inc. December 22, 1982 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY GENERAL OUTLINE OF REPORT VOLUME I -REPORT -June 1982 SUMMARY PART A -SELECTION OF GENERATION PLAN PART B -FEASIBILITY INVESTIGATIONS OF WEST CREEK HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT PART C -COMMENTS FROM REVIEWING AGENCIES PART D -SUMMARY OF GENERATION ALTERNATIVES VOLUME II -APPENDICES -June 1982 APPENDIX A -PHASE II -FEASIBILITY STUDY INTERIM REPORT APPENDIX B -GEOTECHNICAL INVESTIGATIONS APPENDIX C -ENVIRONMENTAL INVESTIGATIONS VOLUME III -ADDENDUM -December 1982 ADDENDUM REPORT APPENDIX -SUMMARY OF PUBLIC MEETINGS Section Number I II III HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY VOLUME III -ADDENDUM (December 1982) TABLE OF CONTENTS Letter of Transmittal Certificate of Engineer General Outline of Report Table of Contents: Addendum List of Tables: Addendum List of Figures: Addendum SUMMARY SUMMARY OF PRINCIPAL STATISTICS OF RECOMMENDED GENERATION PLAN: WEST CREEK HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT INTRODUCTION 1 • General 2. Authorization 3. Scope of Feasibility Addendum Work FORECASTS OF COMMUNITY POWER REQUIREMENTS FOR HAINES AND SKAGWAY, ALASKA 1. Background 2. Economic Changes a. Trans-Alaska Gas Pipeline b. White Pass and Yukon Railroad c. Klondike Hotel 3. Major Elements of New Scenarios a. Scenario AA b. Scenario BB c. Scenario CC 4. Canp3.rison of Load Growth Scenarios PROJECT OPERATION STUDIES 1 • General 2. Project Sizing 3. Power Operation Studies a. Method of Project Operation b. Operation Study Results Page Number 1-1 1-2 1-2 II-1 II-1 II-1 II-l II-2 II-2 II-2 II-2 II-3 II-3 1II-1 1II-1 1II-1 III-l III-1 Section Number IV v TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued) PROJECT ARRANGEMENT 1 • 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Overview Dam and Spillway a. General b. Comparison of Dam Alternatives Power Conduit a. General b. Tunnel Alternative c. Pipeline Al ternati ve d. Comp3rison of Power Conduit Al ternati ves Powerhouse Switchyard and Transmission Line SUl1ID.ary CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE 1 • General VI ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 1. 2. 3. 4. Method of Analysis Annual Costs Costs of Alternative Plans Cost Canparisons VII CDNCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 1. 2. Conclusions Recommendations APPENDIX -Summary of Public Meetings Page Number IV-l IV-l IV-l IV-l IV-2 IV-2 IV-3 IV-3 IV-4 IV-4 IV-5 IV-5 V-l VI-l VI-2 VI-2 VI-3 VII-l VII-2 LIST OF TABLES Table No. Title 11-1 Community and Regional Power Requirements -Scenario AA 11-2 Community and Regional Power Requirements -Scenario BB 11-3 Community and Regional Power Requirements -Scenario CC III-1 III-2 III-3 III-4 III-5 III-6 III-7 III-B III-9 IV-1 V-1 V-2 VI-1 VI-2 VI-3 VI-4 VI-5 VI-6 VI-7 VI-B VI-9 VI-10 VI-11 VI-12 VI-13 West Creek Project -Summary of Basic Input Data West Creek Project -Reservoir Inflow (acre-feet) West Creek Project -Total Energy Required (MWh) West Creek Project -Total Energy Generated (MWh) West Creek Project -End-of-Month Reservoir Storage (acre-feet) West Creek Project -Average Reservoir Elevation (feet) West Creek Project -Discharge Through Units (cfs) West Creek Project -Spill (cfs) Comparison of Project Statistics West Creek Project -Summary Comparison of Project Major Features West Creek Project -Construction Cost Estimate Summary West Creek Project -Project Construction Cost Estimate Summary of Economic Analysis Economic Analysis -Scenario AA Loads -Base Case -Di esel Generation Economic Analysis -Scenario AA Loads -West Creek Economic Analysis -Scenario AA Loads -Wood Waste, 11~/kWh, 20,000 MWh Economic AnalysiS -Scenario AA Loads -Wood Waste, 13.5~/kWh, 20,000 MWh Economic Analysis -Scenario AA Loads -Wood Waste, 11~/kWh, 12,000 MWh Economi c Analysis -Scenario AA Loads -Wood Waste, 13. 5~/kWh, 12,000 MWh Economic Analysis -Scenario BB Loads -Base Case -Diesel Generation Economic Analysis -Scenario BB Loads -West Creek Economic Analysis -Scenario BB Loads -Wood Waste, 11~/kWh, 20,000 MWh Economic Analysis -Scenario BB Loads -Wood Waste, 13.5~/kWh, 20,000 MWh Economic Analysis -Scenario BB Loads -Wood Waste, 11~/kWh, 12,000 MWh Economic Analysis -Scenario BB Loads -Wood Waste, 13.5~/kWh, 12,000 MWh LIST OF TABLES (continued) Table No. Title VI-14 Economic Analysis -Scenario CC Loads -Base Case -Diesel Generation VI-15 Economic Analysis -Scenario CC Loads -West Creek VI-16 Economic Analysis -Scenario CC Loads -Wood Waste, 11¢/kWh , 20,000 MWh VI-17 Economic Analysis -Scenario CC Loads -Wood Waste, 13.5¢/kWh, 20,000 MWh VI-18 Economic Analysis -Scenario CC Loads -Wood Waste, 11¢/kWh, 12,000 MWh VI-19 Economic Analysis -Scenario CC Loads -Wood Waste, 13.5¢/kWh, 12,000 MWh VI-20 West Creek Project -Present Worth Costs for Various On-Line Dates Figure No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 LIST OF FIGURES Title Location Map Energy Requirements of Haines-Skagway Scenario CC Energy Requirements and Resources Concrete-Gravity Dam Plan and Section Alternative Power Conduit Arrangements Powerhouse Plan and Section Selected Transmission Corridor SUMMARY Three previous studies have been made of energy requirements of Haines and Skagway and the means of meeting those requirements. The latest of these studies was completed in June 1982 and concluded that the West Creek Project was the most economical means of meeting the projected power require- ments of the Haines-Skagway Region. This basic conclusion and its supporting technical and economic data were based on forecasts of the area power require- ments prepared in the fall of 1981. Recently, there have been some changes within the local economic conditions which have raised questions regarding the electric load growth previously forecast. The most notable of these changes are the recent closure of the White Pass and Yukon Railroad in Skagway and the decreasing likelihood of trans-Alaska natural gas pipeline project construc- tion. As a result of these changes the Alaska Power Authority (APA) was interested in determining what effects lower load forecasts might have on the selection of the most economical means of providing future power requirements to the cities of Haines and Skagway. Additionally, the APA was interested in examining means of reducing the cost of the West Creek Project in general. Specific Project features identified for reevaluation were the dam, power conduit and power plant. The APA was interested in determining what effect recent data on roller-compacted concrete dam construction techniques and new developments in tunnel-boring machines would have on the cost of the concrete-gravity dam al ternati ve and the power conduit respectively. R. W. Beck and Associates, Inc. was authori zed by the APA to per- form these supplemental investigations and to prepare an addendum to the June 1982 Feasibility Report. The work was to include preparation of new load growth forecasts, reevaluation of the Project size, to meet the future energy requirements of the Haines-Skagway Region, a review of Project features and an analysis of Project economics. Three new alternative growth scenarios were developed for the region analyzing each city independently. The low-growth scenario (Sce- nario AA) represents essentially the status quo condition. The mid-range pro- jection, Scenario BB, is a combination of the status quo condition in Skagway and slightly improving conditions in Haines. Scenario CC is a more optimistic projection incorporating increasing economic activity of varying degrees in both Haines and Skagway. The three new scenarios compound annual load growth rates are compared to those of the previous forecasts developed during the fall of 1981 as follows: Fall 1981 Forecast Scenarios Compound Annual Scenario Growth Rate A B C 2.4% 3.7% 6.3% November 1982 Forecast Scenarios Compound Annual Scenario Growth Rate AA BB CC 1.4% 3.0% 3.3% Page 2 Three alternative generation plans were developed in the July 1982 st udy and were also used for the present economic analysis. The generation plans assume that either diesel, hydroelectric (West Creek), or wood waste generation respectively would be developed to meet future energy require- ments. Each plan also assumes the continued use of the existing hydroelectric uni ts in Skagway and reserve usage of existing diesel units. The wood waste plan included two assumed levels of generation and two assumed purchase costs per kWh. The three generation plans were economically compared by calculat- ing the present worth cost of each plan for the three new load growth sce- narios (AA, BB and CC) over a 55-year period of analysis using APA' s pre- scribed procedure. The criteria used in the economic analyses were the same as those used for the June 1982 study except that fuel oil was assumed to es- cal ate for the first 20 years only, at a rate of 2.5% per year; and an i nfla- tion-free discount rate of 3.5% was used. The present-worth costs of each generation plan for each of the load growth forecasts are shown below. Total Present Worth Cost ($000) Scenario AA Scenario BB Scenario CC Base Case -Diesel Generation 57,784 82,349 90,944 West Creek .................. 73,501 74,553 78,630 Schnabel Mill Wood Waste: 20,000 MWh, 11 ¢/kWh ••••••• 47,183 68,741 76,593 20,000 MWh, 13.5¢/kWh ..... 51,917 74,869 82,968 12,000 MWh, 11¢/kWh ••••••• 48,922 75,499 86,561 12,000 MWh, 13.5¢/kWh ..... 52,499 79,078 90,141 The most economical ineans of meeting future load and energy re- quirements in the Haines-Skagway Region under the Scenario AA conditions (least optimistic) would be the wood waste alternative. However, if load growth exceeds that shown in Scenario AA, the wood waste al ternati ve would be the most economical alternative only if there is sufficient wood waste avail- able to generate at least 20,000 MWh annually and only if it can be generated at a cost of 11¢/kWh or less. Page 3 In light of the uncertainties regarding the long-tenn availability of wood waste fuel for generation and cost of producing power by this method, the West Creek Project is considered the most reliable generation al ternati ve to meet the future load and energy requirements of the Haines-Skagway Region. Based on construction cost and constructi bility data that have be- come available since completion of the June 1982 studies: 1. Construction of a concrete-gravity dam using roller-compacted con- crete placement techniques is now considered less costly than an equivalent size concrete-faced rockfill dam. 2. It is feasible to construct a 6.5-foot-diameter machine-bored tun- nel in lieu of the 9.5-foot-diameter machine-bored tunnel previously pro- posed. A power conduit consisting of 8,470 feet of 6.5-foot-diameter machine- bored tunnel and 1,450 feet of above-ground steel penstock is still preferred over an all-penstock arrangement including a buried pipeline. It has also been detennined that development of a powerhouse util- izing a double nozzle Pelton-type turbine instead of two Francis-type turbines will provide generally comparable operating characteristics at significantly reduced cos t • Load growth Scenario CC was selected as a reasonable basis for evaluation of Project sizing and it was determined that the installed capacity for the Proj ect could be reduced from 6,000 kW to 4,500 kW and still meet the forecasted 1996 finn energy requirements of the Region. Under these condi- tions, the West Creek Project would consist of a 116-foot-high concrete-grav- ity dam, power conduit consisting of 8,470 feet of 6-1/2-foot-diameter tunnel and 1,450 feet of 3-foot-diameter steel penstock, a powerhouse containing a single 4,500-kW Pelton-type turbine-generator unit, and a 34.5-kV transmission system consisting of 6.2 miles of overhead lines and 16.6 miles of submarine cable to connect the Project with Haines and Skagway. This Project configura- tion would have a Total Investment Cost (inflation-free on 1/82) of $50,440,000 which results in a savings of $5,468,000 when compared to the $55,908,000 shown in the June 1982 study. The results of the studies discussed herein have been presented in public meetings held separately in the cities of Haines and Skagway early in December 1982. Based on the findings described above it is recommended that the APA resolve the issue of the Klondike Gold Rush National Historical Park boun- dary, complete and file the application to the Federal Energy Regulatory Com- mission for a license to construct, operate and maintain the Project, and pro- ceed with the final design activities during the summer of 1983. ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY SUMMARY OF PRINCIPAL STATISTICS OF RECOMMENDED GENERATION PLAN: WEST CREEK HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT BASIN HYDROLOGY Drainage area above dam (sq. mi.) Average annual runoff at dam site Average annual runoff per sq. mi. (ac-ft) ............... . (cfsm) •.•..•••••••••••. PROJECT POWER DATA Annual firm energy generated (MWh) ••••••••••••••••••••••• Installed capacity (kW) •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Average annual gross head (ft) ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• RESERVOIR Normal maximum power pool elevation (ft) ••••••••••••••••• Minimum power pool elevation (ft) •••••••••••••••••••••••• Reservoir area at normal maximum pool (ac) ••••••••••••••• Active storage capacity (ac-ft) •••••••••••••••••••••••••• DIVERSION DAM Type -Embankment Cofferdam and Concrete Diversion Pipes Maximum cofferdam height (ft) •••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Diversion Pipes(2): Inside diameter Cft) .•••..••••••..••.•.•••••••••••.••.. Length (ft) ........................................... . Maximum discharge (efs) ............................... . Type -Concrete-Gravity Crest elevation Cft) .••....••.••••••.••.••..•..•••••••.•• Crest length Cft) .......................•...........•.... Maximum height above foundation (ft) ••••••••••••••••••••• Total vo llDIle ( cy ) .......... " ............................. . 37.2 208,500 7.75 20,209 4,500 655 700 646 580 17,347 22 11 765 5,500 716.0 650 116 48,700 SPILLWAY Type -Ungated Ogee Crest length (ft) ........................................ 200 Crest elevation (ft) ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 700 PMF surcharge elevation (ft) ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 716 POWER INTAKE Type -Inclined Intake Structure With Fixed Wheel Gate and Steel Trashrack Intake invert elevation •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 630 POWER CONDUIT Type -Tunnel and Steel Penstock Unlined Tunnel Section Length (ft) Inside diameter (ft) .................................. . Maximum velocity (fps) ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Manning's "n" (no supports) •••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Lined Tunnel Section Length of concrete-lined (ft) •••••••••••••••••••••••••• Length of steel-lined (ft) ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• IJ'lSide diameter (ft) .................................. . MaximlDD. velocity (fps) ••••.•••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Penstock Length (ft) ............................................ Maximum inside diameter Maximum velocity (fps) POWERHOUSE (ft) ........................... ................................. Type -Indoor With Pre-cast Concrete Superstructure Width (ft) Length (ft) Height (ft) Centerline generator shaft elevation (ft) •••••••••••••••• Generator floor elevation (ft) ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• TAILRACE CHANNEL Length (ft) Bottom width (ft) Side slopes (H:V) 8,420 6.5 3 0.017 160 70 5.5 4.2 1,450 3 14.2 48 50 20 50 42 1,200 5 1. 5: 1 Page 2 Page 3 POWERHOUSE EQUIPMENT Number of generating units ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 1 Inlet valve diameter, (inches) ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 36 Turbines, Type -Pelton: Net rated head (ft) .................................... . Rated capacity, best gate (hp) ••••••••••••••••••••••••• Speed (rpm.) •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• Discharge at full-gate and rated head (cfs) •••••••••••• Maximum. gross head (ft) ............................... . Minimum gross head (ft) ............................... . Generator, Type -Horizontal Shaft Synchronous With Enclosed Cooling Generator rating at 0.9 pf, 60 0 c temperature rise (kVA) SWITCHYARD No. of transformers (three-phase) •••••••••••••••••••••••• Transfomer voltage (kV) •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••.• Transform.er 'ba.nk (kVA) ••••.•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• TRANSMISSION LINE Type -Wood Pole Construction With Single Crossarm Overhead Voltage (kV) •..•••••••••••••••••..•.••••••••••••.•••••• Cond uctOI" s1 ze ........................................ . Swttchyard to Skagway switch (mi) •••••••••••••••••••••• Submarine Type -Oil Impregnated Paper Insulated Single Conductor, 4 cables (1 spare) Voltage (kV) .••..•••......••.••••...••••••.••...••.••..•• Cond uctor si ze .......................................... . Length (mi) .......•..............................•••..... ACCESS ROAD Length (mi) .............................................. 635 6,032 300 100 660 608 5,000 1 13.8-34.5 5,400 34.5 2/0 ACSR 6.2 34.5 1/0 Copper 16.6 3.2 SECTION I INTRODUCTION 1. GENERAL In the last three years, there have been three studies undertaken to determine the energy requirements of Haines and Skagway and the means of meeting these requirements. The most recent study was completed in June 1982 and concluded that the West Creek Project was the most economical means of meeting the projected power requirements for the Haines-Skagway Region. Part A of the report (Volume I) completed in June 1982 described the peak and energy forecasts prepared for the two communities, the alternative means of meeting these forecasts, and the economic and environmental evaluations of the various means. Part B des cri bed the res ul ts of engineering and environmental studies of the West Creek Project conducted during the latter part of 1981 and the early part of 1982. The study included investigations of geology and hydrology, environmental studies, power studies, layouts, cost estimates, and initial optimization of project features. The West Creek Project would consist of a 117-foot-high concrete- faced rockfill dam creating a 635-acre reservoir with a normal maximum level at EI 705; a power intake; a power conduit consisting of 8,470 feet of essen- tially unlined rock tunnel with a surge shaft and 1,450 feet of 3-foot-diam- eter steel penstock; an indoor-type powerhouse containing two 3,000-kW, Francis-type tur bine generat ors; a 1, 200-foot-Iong tailrace channel from the powerhouse to West Creek; and a combination of overhead, underground and sub- marine transmission lines connecting with Haines and Skagway. A general location map is shown in Fig. 1. The Project was estimated to have a Total Investment Cost of $55,908,000 for an assumed on-line date of January 1982 (current cost level). The basic conclusions and supporting technical and economic data contained in Volumes I and II of the Haines-Skagway Region Feasibility Report are based on forecasts of Haines-Skagway energy requirements prepared in the fall of 1981. In the past year changes wi thin the local economic conditions have resulted in questions regarding the electric load growth previously fore- cast. The most notable of these changes are the recent closure of the White Pass and Yukon Railroad in Skagway and the decreasing likelihood of trans- Alaska natural gas pipeline project construction. As a result of these changes the Alaska Power Authority (APA) was interested in determining what effects lower load forecasts might have on the selection of the most economical means of providing future power requirements to the cities of Haines and Skagway. Additionally the APA was interested in examining means of reducing the cost of the West Creek Project in general. Specific Project features identified for reevaluation were the dam, power con- duit and power plant. The APA was interested in determining what effect re- cent data on roller-compacted concrete dam construction techniques and new 1-2 developments in tunnel-boring machines would have on the cost of the concrete- gravity dam alternative and the power conduit respectively. 2. AUTHORIZATION R. W. Beck and Associates, Inc. (Beck) was authorized by the APA to perform these supplemental investigations and to prepare an addendum to the June 1982 Feasibility Report under Amendment No. 3 of Contract CC 08-2034 be- tween the APA and Beck by a notice to proceed letter dated November 24, 1982. 3. SCOPE OF FEASIBILITY ADDENDUM WORK The investigations described in this Addendum to the Feasibility Report include the following tasks: a. Prepare three possible electric load forecasts which: (1) exclude the Yukon-White Pass Railroad and its associated loads after 1982 (Scenario AA). (2) provide for summer operation only of the Yukon-White Pass Railroad (Scenario BB). (3) include year-round operation of the Yukon-White Pass Railroad (Scenario CC). Review the status of the trans-Alaska natural gas pipeline and input possible load changes into each scenario as appropriate. In addition, other modifica- tions to local energy requirements as could be made by telephone consultation were made. Scenario A of the June 1982 report was used as a base in all new scenarios for Skagway and for Scenario AA for Haines. Scenario B of the June 1982 report was used as a base for Scenarios BB and CC for Haines. b. Prepare revised Project concepts and cost estimates which evaluate the suitability of a concrete-gravity dam constructed by roller-compacted placement methods, minimal diameter tunnel size based upon constructibility and hydraulics, and a surface or buried penstock to a powerhouse that will use a single turbine/generator unit. For Project sizing the June 1982 Scenario B requirements for Haines combined with Scenario A requirements for Skagway plus increased loadings due to a new hotel restaurant were used (Scenario CC). c. Perform a revised present worth analysis of the base-case, wood waste case, and West Creek hydro case based upon the forecasts given in Task a. above and the Project configuration given in Task b. The analysis used a 3.5% discount rate and a 2.5% fuel escalation rate. d. Attend public meetings in the cities of Haines and Skagway to pres- ent the results of the studies discussed above. 1. BACKGROUND SECTION II FORECASTS OF COMMUNITY POWER REQUIREMENTS FOR HAINES AND SKAGWAY, ALASKA Three forecasts of electric requirements were prepared for the com- muni ties of Haines and Skagway in the fall of 1981 as part of the Haines-Skag- way Region Feasibility Study which was published in June 1982. A number of changes have occurred in those communities' economies over the past year which have raised questions about the previous forecasts for future electric re- quirements. In response to these questions, three new forecast scenarios have been prepared which include a reevaluation of economic activity and review of growth assumptions used in the previous forecasts. Two of the forecasts in the June 1982 report (Scenarios A and B) provided the basis for preparing the new forecasts (AA, BB and CC). Certain loads were added to or subtracted from the original scenarios to reflect pertinent information obtained in the fall of 1982. A summary of regional power requirements under the new growth sce- narios is shown in Fig. 2. 2. ECONOMIC CHANGES a. Trans-Alaska Gas Pipeline Local businesses in both Haines and Skagway, including the White Pass and Yukon Railroad, have been contacted in recent years regarding the potential for transporting materials to the Yukon during construction of the proposed trans-Alaska gas pipeline project. When loads were being evaluated in the fall of 1981, that Project's construction was tentatively scheduled for the 1986-1988 time period and provisions were made in the June 1982 Scenario B for pipeline-related employment and loads in both communi ties. Since that time the pipeline project has been plagued with delays and various problems and al ternati ve plans for a smaller project are being considered. As a resul t, people in Haines and Skagway are no longer depending on that project to affect their communi ties. Therefore, pipeline-induced loads have been ex- cluded in each new scenario except CC, where growth related to the pipeline is included for Haines only. b. White Pass and Yukon Railroad Ore mines in the Yukon Territory, which have historically relied on the White Pass and Yukon Railroad for freight transportation, closed during 1982 due to decreasing world market demand. Because the railroad relies on freight transportation from these mines for the bulk of its operation, the railroad also closed in the fall of 1982, laying off about 150 employees in II-2 Skagway. Historically, the remaining railroad activity has been associated wi th tourist trans portation during the summer months; however, this acti vi ty alone does not presently generate enough revenue to justif'y continued opera- tion. While future world ore markets cannot be predicted, each of the three new scenarios presents a different future for railroad activity to evaluate the effects of various levels of railroad operation on load growth. c. Klondike Hotel The original load growth scenarios did not include the Klondike Hotel's new seasonally-operating restaurant now under construction in Skag- way. In all three of the new scenarios, this load was included beginning in 1983. 3. MAJOR ELEMENTS OF NEW SCENARIOS Following is a description of the major elements of the new load forecast scenarios. a. Scenario AA Scenario AA is the least optimistic load growth projection consid- ered in the Feasibility Addendum and essentially represents the status quo condition. This scenario includes the follOwing major asstUnptions for the Haines forecast: population growth at 1.2% compounded annually, no conver- sions to electric space heating; no loads from trans-Alaska natural gas pipe- line-related trucking activity; and sane expansion in employment and power usage at the Schnabel Lumber Company. For Skagway the following major assumptions were made: a load growth based on a population increase of 1% compounded annually was reduced by varying percentages in the years 1982, 1983 and 1984 through 2000 based on the assumption that the White Pass and Yukon Railroad is partially closed in 1982 and permanently closed starting in 1983; no conversions to electric space heating; no loads from trans-Alaska natural gas pipeline-related activity; and increased loads resulting from the seasonal operation of the new Klondike Hotel restaurant beginning in 1983. A summary of the Scenario AA forecast is presented in Table II-1 and is also shown in Fig. 2. b. Scenario BB Scenario BB is the mid-range load growth projection considered in the Feasibility Addendum and essentially represents a combination of status quo conditions in Skagway and slightly improving conditions in Haines. This scenario includes the following major assumptions for the Haines forecast: a load growth tased on a population increase of 3.2% compounded annually was reduced by the exclusion of any potential loads for the trans-Alaska natural gas pipeline; no conversions to electric space heating were considered; some expansion in employment and power usage at the Schnabel LtUnber Company; addi- tional residential loads were assumed to commence in the late 1980' s due to II-3 barite mining; additional new industrial loads were assumed to begin in 1991; and additional load growth was assumed to commence in the mid-1980's due to winter carnival expansion. For Skagway the following major assumptions were made: a load growth based on population increase of 1% compounded annually was reduced by varying percentages in the years 1982, 1983 and 1984 through 2000 based on the assumption that the White Pass and Yukon Railroad closed for part of 1982 and all of 1983 and 1984 but will reopen for summer tourism only for the years 1985 through 2000; no conversions to electric space heating; no loads from trans-Alaska natural gas pipeline-related activity; and increased loads re- suI ting fram the seasonal operation of the new Klondike Hotel restaurant beginning in 1983. A summary of the Scenario BB forecast is presented in Table 11-2 and is also shown in Fig. 2. c. Scenario CC Scenario CC is a more optimistic load growth projection and incor- porates increasing economic activity of varying degrees in both Haines and Skagway. This scenario contains the following major assumptions for the Haines forecast: a load growth based on a population increase of 3.2% com- pounded annually; additional power requirements associated with increased trucking activity due to the construction of the trans-Alaska natural gas pipeline or similar economic activity; no conversions to electric space heat- ing were considered; same expansion in employment and power usage at the Schnabel Lumber Company; additional residential and commercial loads were assumed to increase in the late 1980's due to barite mining activity; new in- dustrial customer's requirements were assumed to begin in 1991; and additional load growth was assumed to commence in the mid-1980's due to winter carnival expansion. For Skagway the following major assumptions were made: a load growth based on a population increase of 1% compounded annually; the White Pass and Yukon Railroad was assumed to remain fully operational all year round through the year 2000; no conversions to electric space heating; no loads from trans-Alaska natural gas pipeline-related activity; and increased loads re- suI ting from the seasonal operation of the new Klondike Hotel restaurant beginning in 1983. A summary of the Scenario CC forecast is presented in Table 11-3 and is also shown in Fig. 2. 4. COMPARISON OF LOAD GROWTH SCENARIOS The three new scenarios (AA, BB and CC) are compared to the sce- narios developed in the fall of 1981 by examination of their respective com- pound annual growth rates as shown below. Fall 1981 Forecast Scenarios Compound Annual Scenario Growth Rate A B C 2.4% 3.7% 6.3% Fall 1982 Forecast Scenarios Compound Annual Scenario Growth Rate AA BB CC 1.4% 3.0% 3.3% II-4 If the current slowdown in the economy, particularly the shutdown of the White Pass and Yukon Railroad, continues, the energy requirements par- ticularly in Skagway will be significantly reduced over those shown in the prior studies. If this is the case, the Project should be reduced in size from that recommended in the June 1982 report. lIIIugy I .... '. Bal .... Light • PD_r S.l •• .nd IP ................... . 7,Oll 7,on 7,161 7,328 Schn.be1 Lum.r 00. Own ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY COMMUNITY AND REGION POWER REQUIREMENTS SCENARIO AA 7,515 7,6112 7,889 8,073 8,286 8,473 8,696 8,925 9,219 9,406 9,569 9,764 9,963 10,138 10,343 Ga,,",ntion ................ 3,663 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 ...2Llli 7,037 7,037 ...2Llli ...2Llli 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 ...1....ill tot.1 Oo..unlty an.rgy ••• 10,676 14,058 14,198 14,365 14,552 14,729 14,926 15,110 15,323 15,510 15,733 15,962 16,256 16,443 16,606 16,801 17,000 17,175 17,380 Pe.k o.und Ikll,. Bal .... Llght • PD_r S.l •• • nd IP.... ................ 1,334 1,336 1,362 1,394 1,430 1,463 1,501 1,536 1,576 1,612 1,654 1,698 1,754 1,790 1,821 1,858 1,895 1,928 1,968 Schn.be1 Lum.r 00. Own Ga ... r.tion ................ 1,107 2,123 2,123 2,123 2,123 2,133 -1.L!ll 2,123 2,133 2,123 2,123 2,123 2,123 2,123 2,133 -1.L!ll ...b..ill 2,123 ...l.till tot.1 Oo..unlty Pe.k 3,459 3,485 3,517 3,553 3,586 3,624 3,659 3,699 3,735 3,777 3,821 3,877 3,913 3,944 3,981 4,018 4,051 4,091 lIII.rgy I .... '. Al •• k. PD_r • '!'a1.pho ... Sa1 ••• nd IP ............. . 4,573 3,465 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,Oll 3,Oll 3,011 3,011 IIhlt. Pa ... YUkon RAilroad Own Gan.r.tion •••••••••••• ---2!i ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 total Oo-unlty an.rgy 5,079 3,465 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,011 3,Oll Pe.k Deund Ikll,. Al •• k. PD_r • '!'a1.pho ... S.le •• nd IP ............. . 1,036 809 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 lIhit. Pa ••• Yukon RAUroad Own Gan.r.tion •••••••••••• ---.!!! ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 total Oo-unlty Pe.k ••••• 81'1" AND BJtAGIIAT CXlIIBIIIIID. an.rgy I .... ' ••••••••••••••• Pa.k o.und IkW, ••••••••••• 1,152 15,755 3,593 809 711 711 711 711 711 17,523 17,209 17,376 17,563 17,740 17,937 4,268 4,196 4,228 4,264 4,297 4,335 711 18,121 4,370 711 18,334 4,410 711 711 18,521 18,744 4,446 4,488 711 18,973 4,532 711 711 711 711 711 711 711 19,267 19,454 19,617 19,812 20,011 20,186 20,391 4,588 4,624 4,655 4,692 4,729 4,762 4,802 lI1er9Y (-I. &01 .... L19ht , PO ... r Sal •• ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY COMMUNITY AND REGION POWER REQUIREMENTS SCENARIO BB and Lo.... •••••••••••••••• 7,070 7,203 7,400 7,680 7,825 7,982 8,336 8,565 9,948 10,624 11,017 11,427 11,848 12,197 12,588 12,841 13,388 13,815 14,238 Schnabel Wilber 0>. OWn Gen.ration ................ 3,663 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 7,037 ....!J.lli 7,037 ....!J.lli 7,037....!J.lli 7,037 7,037 7,037 ....!J.lli ....!J.lli 'I'Otal O> .. unlty 1I1"9Y ••• Peak De_nd (kill. &oln •• L19ht , PO ... r Sal •• and L«:J •••••••••••••••••••• Schnabel W_ber 0>. OWn Gen.ration •••••••••••••••• 'I'Otal o>.aunlty Peak ••••• lI1.r9Y (-I. Alaaka PO ... r , ftl.phone Sal •• and Lo •••••••••••••• Whlt. Pa •• , YUkon Ral1road Peak Deaond (kill. Ala.ka PO_r , ftlephone sale. and Lo ............. . Whlte Pa •• , YUkon Ral1road OWn Generation •••••••••••• 'I'Otal O> .. unlty Peak ••••• BAlNBS AND SIItAGIIAY COMBINBD. 8I'I"9Y (-I .............. . Peak Deaond (kill ••••••••••• 10,733 1,345 5,567 1,252 l,UO 17,082 3,892 1,370 1,408 1,461 3,U3 1,137 1,137 19,179 4,630 3,531 5,000 5,000 1,154 1,154 19,437 4,685 3,584 5,152 5,675 1,188 1,314 20,392 4,898 14,862 15,019 1,489 1,519 3,612 5,287 5,813 1,219 1,345 20,675 4,957 3,642 5,430 5,959 1,251 1,378 20,978 5,020 15,373 15,602 16,985 1,586 1,630 1,893 3,709 5,546 6,078 1,278 1,406 21,451 5,115 3,753 5,727 6,262 1,319 l,U7 21,864 5,200 4,016 5,849 6,387 1,346 1,475 23,372 5,491 17,661 18,054 18,464 18,885 19,234 19,625 2,021 2,096 2,174 2,254 2,321 2,395 4,lU 6,003 6,5U 1,380 1,510 24,205 5,654 4,219 6,162 6,706 1,417 1,548 24,760 5,767 4,297 6,329 6,876 1,454 1,586 25,340 5,883 4,377 4,U4 4,518 6,495 6,633 6,766 7,046 7,187 7,323 1,492 1,522 1,552 1,625 25,931 6,002 1,656 26,421 6,100 1,686 26,948 6,204 19,878 20,425 20,852 21,275 2,443 2,547 2,628 2,709 4,566 6,904 1,583 1,718 27,343 6,284 4,670 7,050 7,614 1,616 1,752 28,039 6,422 4,751 7,199 7,766 1,649 1,786 28,618 6,537 4,832 7,346 7,917 1,682 1,820 29,192 6,652 >-:l III 0- f-' It> H H I N lIn.rgy (1Mb). Bai .... Light • PO_r Sal •• and ID •••••••••••••••••••• Schnabel "".toer Co. Own Generation •••••••••••••••• 'l\:)tal CO .... nity lIn.rgy ••• Peak De_nd (kW). Baine. Light • PO_r Sal •• and ID .................... . Schnabel "".toer Co. Own Generation •••••••••••••••• 'l\:)tal Co ... nity Peak ••••• lInergy (1Mb). Ala.k. PO_r • ftl.phone Sal •• and ID .............. . Whit. Pa ••• YUkon Railroad Own Gen.ration •••••••••••• 'l\:)tal Co .. unity lIn.rgy '" peak De_nd (kW). Ala.ka PO_r • ftl.phOne Sal •• and ID .............. . White ..... YUkon Railroad 'l\:)tal Co .. unity Peak ••••• BAIIIBIl AMP SlAGIIIIY COMBIHBD. lIn.rgy (1Mb) ••••••••••••••• Peak De_nd (kW) ••••••••••• ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY COMMUNITY AND REGION POWER REQUIREMENTS SCENARIO CC 7,070 7,203 7,400 7,680 8,190 8,553 9,017 9,340 10,405 11,100 11,505 11,922 12,354 12,693 13,107 13,498 13,902 14,351 14,780 10,733 14,240 14,437 14,717 15,227 15,590 16,054 16,377 17,U2 18,137 18,542 18,959 19,391 19,730 20,144 1,345 1,370 1,408 1,461 1,558 1,627 1,716 1,777 1,980 2,112 2,188 2,268 2,ll4 2,415 2,494 2,452 3,493 3,5ll 3,584 3,681 3,750 3,839 3,900 4,103 4,235 4,311 4,391 4,437 4,538 4,617 5,612 5,765 5,848 6,012 6,160 6,316 6,446 6,640 6,776 6,944 7,117 7,298 7,479 7,6ll 7,779 7,131 1,281 1,628 17,864 4,080 7,284 1,354 1,701 21,524 5,194 7,367 1,375 1,722 21,804 5,253 7,531 1,412 1,759 22,248 5,343 7,679 1,793 22,906 5,474 7,835 1,829 23,425 5,579 7,965 1,512 1,859 24,019 5,698 8,159 1,556 1,903 24,536 5,803 8,295 1,587 1,934 25,737 6,037 8,463 1,625 1,972 26,600 6,207 8,636 1,665 2,012 27,178 6,323 8,817 1,706 2,053 27,776 6,444 8,998 9,150 9,298 1,748 1,782 1,816 2,095 2,129 2,163 28,389 28,880 29,442 6,532 6,667 6,780 20,535 20,939 21,388 21,817 2,568 2,645 4,691 4,768 7,933 8,094 9,452 1,851 2,198 29,987 6,889 9,613 1,888 2,235 30,552 7,003 2,730 2,812 4,853 4,935 8,259 8,421 9,778 1,925 2,272 ll,166 7,125 9,940 1,962 2,309 31,757 7,244 H H I \..oJ SECTION III PROJECT OPERATION STUDIES 1. GENERAL Studies were performed to determine the power plant and reservoir size required to meet projected loads and energy requirements under the new Scenario CC. A computer model was used to simulate monthly reservoir opera- tion. This procedure was similar to st udies performed in the June 1982 Study. Input data to this study, including monthly reservoir inflows, system load characteristics, reservoir data, and approximate turbine, generator, transformer and hydraulic losses, were similar to those used in Volume I with the exception that a single Pel ton turbine was selected rather than the two Francis units proposed in Volume I. It is recognized that the Pelton turbine efficiency would be slightly less than that of the Francis units proposed in Volume I but for the purposes of this study was assumed to be the same. 2. PROJECT SIZING As in the prior studies, the size of the Project is limited by the forecasted loads and energy reqUirements rather than the hydrologic, topo- graphic and geologic condition of the site. The West Creek Project was sized to meet the 1996 energy requirements forecasted in Scenario CC less 2,900 MWh available from existing hydroelectric generation in Skagway and 90% of the Schnabel Mill energy requirements in Haines which was assumed to be met by the Mill. (See Fig. 3.) The resulting 1996 firm energy requirement is 20,209 MWh. Based on a system load factor of 50% a power plant capacity of 4,500 kW was selected. 3. POWER OPERATION STUDIES a. Method of Project Operation The reservoir operation was modeled on a monthly basis using the same criteria and methods as described in the June 1982 study (Volume I, Sec- tion XI). One difference pertaining to this Feasibility Addendum is the pro- vision of approximately 2 cfs extra flow on a continuous basis to accommodate load swings up to 100 kW. A description of the turbine operation including load acceptance/rejection is given in Section IV. b. Operation Study Results Results of the analysis are shown in Tables III-1 through III-8. These tables contain a summary of input data as well as output. Tables 111-1 III-2 through III-3 represent basic input data and correspond to Tables XI-1 through XI-3 of Volume I. Tables III-4 through III-8 represent the results of the monthly reservoir operation and correspond to Tables XI-4 through XI-8 of Vol- ume I. For the Scenario CC load and energy requirements, the operation studies showed that a reservoir with active storage volume of 17,347 acre-feet would be required to provide sufficient storage to meet the estimated 1996 energy requirements during the driest year of record. This would require a reservoir with a normal maximum level of EI 700 and a minimum operating level of EI 646. The operation study indicates that secondary energy could be gener- ated during the dry months when the inflows are higher than those occurring in the driest year of record. This secondary energy would only have an economic val ue after 1996 when the load is there. In order to provide a conservati ve analysis, no credit has been taken for secondary energy during the dry months. The operation studies also show that during months of high flow, June-October, there is sufficient excess water to generate up to the installed capacity of the plant. This would be a total energy of 26,500 MWh as compared with the 8,022 MWh required during those months in the 1996 Scenario CC fore- cast. The only limitation on use of this energy is the availability of a load which can make use of the energy. Thus, as the load grows after 1996 the energy usage fran the Project will increase during the high flow months. Since this energy is available in all years, credit is taken as discussed in Section VI. A comparison of Project statistics for the June 1982 operation study and the Feasibility Addendum operation study is shown in Table III-9. ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT SUMMARY OF BASIC INPUT DATA Rule Curve Required TABLE III-1 Total Generation Month Elev. (ft) Store (ac-ft) (PCT of Annual) Oct. 700.00 18,347 8.7 Nov. 700.00 18,347 8.8 Dec. 700.00 18,347 9.0 Jan. 700.00 18,347 8.8 Feb. 700.00 18,347 9.5 Mar'. 700.00 18,347 8.3 Apr. 700.00 18,347 8.1 May. 700.00 18,347 7.8 Jun. 700.00 18,347 7.7 Jul. 700.00 18,347 7.3 Aug. 700.00 18,347 7.8 Sep. 700.00 18,347 8.2 Annual Required Energy, including 100-kW continuous overflow available (MWh) = 21,085. Annual Required Energy without 100-kW overflow allowance (MWh) = 20,209. Starting Month and Year of Data = October 1963. Overall Efficiency = 85%. Hydraulic Capacity at Maximum Head Beginning Storage in Reservoir Maximum Reservoir Capacity Tailwater Elevation Installed Capacity = 100 cfs = 1 8,347 ac-ft = 18,347 ac-ft = 38.0 ft = 4,500 kW Year ~ Nov. ~ 1963-64 15,310 10,056 1,845 1964-65 14,880 3,273 3,505 1965-66 14,019 4,701 861 1966-67 19,061 5,355 1,599 1967-68 14,327 3,213 738 1968-69 10,084 4,998 2,214 1969-70 7,624 3,511 1,968 1970-71 16,233 11,306 5,472 1971-72 16,786 9,818 2,398 1972-73 6,087 1,666 1,660 1973-74 10,268 4,820 1,906 1974-75 9,162 2,023 984 1975-76 20,598 13,507 3,935 1976-77 9,961 1,666 1,168 1977-78 17,278 12,139 6,210 Average 13,445 6,137 2,431 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT RESERVOIR INFLOW (ACRE-FEET) ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ June 430 666 3,074 4,403 16,356 24,218 2,337 1,666 1,353 2,083 9,039 51,352 922 833 799 2,737 10,945 25,051 615 666 1,230 3,630 8,670 35,048 492 722 676 952 8,793 44,926 1,414 2,221 3,874 2,440 20,229 32,787 1,045 1,000 1,722 3,213 12,605 40,820 2,091 2,055 2,091 2,618 11,806 30,347 1,537 1,055 1,107 2,261 7,563 33,977 1.107 666 1,045 1,012 10,022 26,955 492 833 922 3,035 11,068 23,623 492 666 430 1,071 9,654 24,635 2,152 1,277 1,230 2,797 10,514 28,086 1,291 833 799 2,975 8,424 27,015 4,120 4,554 3,074 5,474 12,666 34,215 1,369 1,314 1,562 2,713 11,224 32,204 ~ ~ 61,918 69,604 57,614 41,074 51,957 49,559 50,727 44,640 45,132 63,640 55,031 39,598 43,964 32,465 38,737 42,365 56,876 52,449 62,348 63,271 42,119 51,096 44,394 51,834 61,488 40,213 47,530 43,226 60,565 69,481 52,027 50,301 ~ 47,068 18,327 33,441 31,537 65,812 29,812 22,731 29,395 20,231 24,932 19,160 44,093 47,603 43,140 30,883 33,878 Total 254,948 206,503 195,825 202,778 249,423 204,702 172,668 194,516 206,058 200,771 169,342 189,438 233,400 188,028 260,659 208,605 H H H I N Year ~ ~ ~ 1963-64 1,758 1,778 1,819 1964-65 1,758 1,778 1,819 1965-66 1,758 1,778 1,819 1966-67 1,758 1,778 1,819 1967-68 1,758 1,778 1,819 1968-69 1,758 1,778 1,819 1969-70 1,758 1,778 1,819 1970-71 1,758 1,778 1,819 1971-72 1,758 1,778 1,819 1972-73 1,758 1,778 1,819 1973-74 1,758 1,778 1,819 1974-75 1,758 1,778 1,819 1975-76 1,758 1,778 1,819 1976-77 1,758 1,778 1,819 1977-78 1,758 1,778 1,819 Average 1,758 1,778 1,819 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT TOTAL ENERGY REQUIRED (1) (MWh) !!!.!!.:...-~ ~ ~ ..1!!L June 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 (1) -Energy requirements for Haines and Skagway in 1996 under the Scenario CC forecast. ~ ~- 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 1,475 1,576 ~ 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 1,657 Total 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 20,209 H III r::r I-" (l) H H H I w Year ~ ~ ~ , 1963-64 1,758 1,778 1,819 1964-65 1,758 1,778 1,819 1965-66 1,758 1,778 1,819 1966-67 1,758 1,778 1,819 1967-68 1,758 1,778 1,819 1968-69 1,758 1,778 1,819 1969-70 1,758 1,778 1,819 1970-71 1,758 1,778 1,819 1971-72 1,758 1,778 1,819 1972-73 1,758 1,778 1,819 1973-74 1,758 1,778 1,819 1974-75 1,758 1,778 1,819 1975-76 1,758 1,778 1,819 1976-77 1,758 1,778 1,819 1977-78 1,758 1,778 1,819 Average 1,758 1,778 1,819 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT TOTAL ENERGY GENERATED (MWh) !!!!l!...-~ !!!!..:..-~ ....!!!l.... June 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,279 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,617 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,637 1,576 1,556 1,778 1,920 1,677 1,613 1,576 1,556 !!!!!L ~ ~ Total 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 19,851 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,209 1,475 1,576 1,657 20,185 Year Oct. Nov. ~ 1963-64 18,347 18,347 16,190 1964-65 18,347 17,776 17,277 1965-66 18,347 18,347 15,212 1966-67 18,347 18,347 15,967 1967-68 18,347 17,668 14,445 1968-69 18,347 18,347 16,611 1969-70 18,347 17,971 15,959 1970-71 18,347 18,347 18,347 1971-72 18,347 18,347 16,786 1972-73 18,347 16,114 13,789 1973-74 18,347 18,347 16,260 1974-75 18,347 16,510 13,509 1975-76 18,347 18,347 18,323 1976-77 18,347 16,155 13,347 1977-78 18,347 18,347 18,347 Average 18,347 17,821 16,025 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT END-OF-MONTH RESERVOIR STORAGE (ACRE-FEET) ...!!!lli-. ~ ~ ~ ~ June 12,683 9,161 8,445 9,144 18,347 18,347 15,715 13,245 10,849 9,248 14,707 18,347 12,202 8,863 5,817 4,795 12,123 18,347 12,641 9,101 6,529 6,389 11,447 18,347 10,956 7,473 4,287 1,423 6,503 18,347 14,116 12,160 12,246 10,978 18,347 18,347 13,096 9,926 7,863 7,366 16,366 18,347 16,509 14 ,423 12,768 11,743 18,347 18,347 14,421 11,344 8,641 7,167 11,117 18,347 10,928 7,367 4,532 1,750 8,063 18,347 12,806 9,435 6,538 5,805 13,249 18,347 10,058 6,517 3,097 1,000 6,979 18,347 16,553 13,746 11,212 10,294 17,250 18,347 10,694 7,331 4,293 3,470 8,213 18,347 18,347 18,347 17,721 18,347 18,347 18,347 13,448 10,563 8,323 7,261 13,294 18,347 ~ ~ 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 ~ 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 18,347 Average 15,338 15,879 14,091 14,346 12,874 16,212 15,024 16,852 14,963 12,857 14,515 12,450 16,455 12,937 18,295 14,873 ~ III 0" ...... (1) H H H I V1 Year Oct. ~ ~ 1963-64 700.00 700.00 697.81 1964-65 700.00 699.42 698.33 1965-66 700.00 700.00 696.81 1966-67 700.00 700.00 697.58 1967-68 700.00 699.31 695.34 1968-69 700.00 700.00 698.24 1969-70 700.00 699.62 697.19 1970-71 700.00 700.00 700.00 1971-72 700.00 700.00 698.41 1972-73 700.00 697.73 693.10 1973-74 700.00 700.00 697.88 1974-75 700.00 698.13 693.22 1975-76 700.00 700.00 699.97 1976-77 700.00 697.77 692.69 1977-78 700.00 700.00 700.00 Average 700.00 699.47 697.10 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT AVERAGE RESERVOIR ELEVATION (FEET) ~ ~ ~ ~ ....!!!L-June 692.05 684.91 680.60 680.58 690.65 700.00 696.24 692.14 687.20 683.13 687.05 696.30 690.57 684.12 675.88 668.69 679.83 693.67 691. 78 684.81 677.55 672.76 680.84 692.99 688.52 681.44 670.72 660.04 663.95 687.96 693.94 689.41 687.51 686.31 692.51 700.00 692.24 686.11 680.79 676.85 686.83 697.99 698.13 694.14 690.34 687.62 693.29 700.00 694.42 688.89 683.02 677.87 681.29 692.65 687.83 681.30 670.97 661.04 667.28 689.55 692.25 685.31 678.16 671.75 682.07 694.82 686.66 679.22 666.93 653.95 664.04 688.45 698.15 693.50 688.07 684.56 690.70 698.89 687.14 681.03 670.48 663.66 670.58 689.70 700.00 700.00 699.36 699.36 700.00 700.00 692.66 687.09 680.37 675.21 682.06 694.86 ~ ~ ~ Averase 700.00 700.00 700.00 693.88 700.00 700.00 700.00 694.98 700.00 700.00 700.00 690.80 700.00 700.00 700.00 69l. 53 700.00 700.00 700.00 687.27 700.00 700.00 700.00 695.66 700.00 700.00 700.00 693.14 700.00 700.00 700.00 696.96 700.00 700.00 700.00 693.05 700.00 700.00 700.00 687.40 700.00 700.00 700.00 691.85 700.00 700.00 700.00 685.88 700.00 700.00 700.00 696.15 700.00 700.00 700.00 687.75 700.00 700.00 700.00 699.89 700.00 700.00 700.00 692.41 Year Oct. Nov. DeC. 1963-64 53 55 55 1964-65 53 55 55 1965-66 53 55 55 .1966-61 53 55 55 1961-68 53 55 55 1968-69 53 55 55 1969-10 53 55 55 1910-11 53 55 54 1911-12 53 55 55 1912-13 53 55 55 1913-14 53 55 55 1914-15 53 55 55 1915-16 53 55 54 1916-11 53 55 55 1911-18 53 55 54 Average 53 55 54.80 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT DISCHARGE THROUGH UNITS (CFS) Jan. Peb. Mar. ~ ..l!!L June 54 63 52 52 48 48 54 64 51 52 48 49 54 65 52 53 49 49 54 65 52 53 49 49 54 63 53 54 50 49 54 65 51 52 48 48 54 65 52 53 48 48 53 64 51 52 48 48 54 63 52 53 49 49 54 66 53 54 50 49 54 65 52 53 49 49 54 66 53 43 50 49 53 62 51 52 48 48 54 66 53 54 50 49 53 64 50 51 41 48 53.80 64.4 51.81 52.01 48.13 48.60 July Aug. U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 U 41 41 .Sep. 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 Average 51.83 51.92 52.25 52.25 52.33 51.92 52.08 51.66 52.08 52.58 52.25 51.61 51.50 52.58 51.42 52.02 H III 0" I-' ro H H H I -....J Year Oct. Nov. Dec. 1963-64 187 104 0 1964-65 179 0 0 1965-66 165 14 0 1966-67 247 25 0 1967-68 170 0 0 1968-69 102 19 0 1969-70 61 0 0 1970-71 201 125 24 1971-72 210 100 0 1972-73 36 0 0 1973-74 104 16 0 1974-75 86 0 0 1975-76 273 162 0 1976-77 99 0 0 1977-78 219 139 37 Average 155.93 46.93 4.07 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT SPILL (CFS) Jan. Feb. Mar. ~ ~ June 0 0 0 0 58 349 0 0 0 0 0 744 0 0 0 0 0 258 0 0 0 0 0 414 0 0 0 0 0 497 0 0 0 0 151 493 0 0 0 0 0 595 0 0 0 0 27 452 0 0 0 0 0 391 0 0 0 0 0 221 0 0 0 0 0 253 0 0 0 0 0 164 0 0 0 0 0 395 0 0 0 0 0 225 4 9 0 21 149 517 0.27 0.60 o 1.40 25.67 397.87 ~ Aug. 953 1,074 882 611 791 749 770 669 680 977 841 587 660 471 575 632 871 796 960 971 631 773 668 785 946 597 719 645 930 1,073 791.80 760.67 SeE· 730 247 501 468 1045 439 321 432 278 358 260 680 739 664 457 507.93 Average 287.92 221.92 206.50 216.08 280.75 219.33 175.67 205.67 220.50 212.17 169.75 198.58 259.33 196.00 296.25 224.43 >-3 III 0-' I-' ro H H H I 00 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT COMPARISON OF PROJECT STATISTICS Installed Capacity ••••••••••••••••••••• Annual Firm Energy Generated ••••••••••• Required Active Storage •••••••••••••••• Normal Maximum Power Pool Elevation •••• Average Annual Gross Head •••••••••••••• Average Annual Flow Instream ••••••••••• Maximum Flow Through Units ••••••••••••• Selected Project June 1982 6,000kW 23,630 MWh 18,130 acre-feet 705 ft. 660 ft. 288 efs 130 efs TABLE III-9 Revised Project December 1982 4,500 kW 20,209 MWh 17,347 acre-feet 700 ft. 655 ft. 288 efs 100 efs SECTION IV PROJECT ARRANGEMENT 1. OVERVIEW To reflect the reduced Project requirements as described in Sec- tions II and III, alternatives to the dam and power conduit described in Vol- ume I, Section XIII were reevaluated to arrive at a layout which is referred to herein as the Revised Project Arrangement (RPA). In the time available for the reevaluation, optimization of the alternative concepts was not possible. Minor changes should therefore be expected to occur in subsequent phases of work. The Project and its major features were sized to meet the Sce- nario CC load forecast for 1996. As des cri bed in Section III, this resulted in an installed capacity of 4,500 kW and a reservoir capable of storing suf- ficient water to produce 20,209 MWh of generation during the driest year of record. The general arrangement of the Proj ect is not significantly changed from that described in Volume I, Section XIII. 2. DAM AND SPll..LWAY a. General Two al ternati ve dam types are considered sui table for the site, concrete-faced rockfill and concrete-gravity. Both were evaluated from a technical and economic viewpoint during the prior studies. Both were found technically feasible; however, the rockfill dam was selected as the most eco- nomic. In the present study both al ternati ves were reevaluated, and the concrete-gravity dam by itself is still more costly than the rockfill dam. However, elimination of the open channel spillway required for the rockfill dam makes the total cost of the dam and spillway approximately $600,000 less costly for the concrete-gravity alternative. b. Comparison of Dam Alternatives A concrete-gravity dam constructed using roller-compacted concrete was evaluated during the feasibility studies. At that time a conservative cost estimate, reflecting the relative new method of concrete construction was made which showed that roller-compacted concrete was not as economic as the selected concrete-faced rockfill dam. With Willow Creek Dam in Heppner, Ore- gon (essentially completed with no significant cost increases over the bid cost) and in light of the reduced size of the West Creek Project, it was con- sidered appropriate to reevaluate a concrete-gravity dam. IV-2 A preliminary cost estimate was prepared for the concrete-gravity dam with spillway crest at EI 705 and compared with the cost estimate devel- oped during the prior studies for the selected rockfill dam. The costs shown below are the direct construction costs on a January 1982 bid level for the dam and spillway only. Dam Type Concrete-Gravity Concrete-faced Rockfill Comparati ve Direct Construction Cost $7,100,000 7,700,000 It was assumed that the economic advantage shown by the concrete- gravity dam in this case would remain valid for a smaller dam. Therefore, the gravity dam was selected as the preferred al ternati ve for the Revised Project Arrangement. A preliminary layout and construction cost estimate was prepared for the concrete-gravity dam with spillway crest at EI 700 to reflect the reduced size of the Project. A description of the dam is given below and the detailed construction cost estimate is contained in Section V. As shown in Fig. 4, the concrete-gravity dam would be located along the same dam axis as presented in Section XIII, Volume I. The gravity non- overflow section would have a crest elevation of 716 and a crest length of approximately 650 feet. The dam would have a vertical upstream face and a downstream slope of 0.6:1. The dam, including the spillway, would have a total volume of 48,700 cubic yards of concrete including the roller-compacted, facing and other concrete elements. An ungated, ogee-type spillway would be centrally located in the dam with a chute extending to a flip bucket midway down the spillway slope. The spillway would have a crest elevation of EI 700 and a crest length of 200 feet. The spillway bridge included in the original design for Volume I has been eliminated in favor of a realignment of the intake tower access road as described in Section IV-3. 3. POWER CONDUIT a. General The power conduit described in Volume I, Section XIII, Selected Project Arrangement, consisted of 8,470 feet of unlined 9.5-foot-diameter tun- nel constructed by a tunnel-boring machine, 1,450 feet of 3-foot-diameter sur- face penstock and a 9.5-foot-diameter surge shaft. cessful in hard tained. Project Since the studies in early 1982 were completed, details on the suc- completion of over three miles of 6.5-foot-diameter tunnel constructed rock by a tunnel boring machine near Chicago, Illinois have been ob- I t is now concl uded that the t mmel si ze which can be used on this can be economically reduced from 9.5 feet to 6.5 feet in diameter with IV-3 no appreciable loss in operating characteristics. In addition, the use of a Pel ton turbine with continuous discharge through the power conduit as dis- cussed in subsection 4, can eliminate the need for the surge shaft. The alternative to the 6.5-foot-diameter tunnel consisted predomi- nantly of a 4-foot-diameter buried pipeline extending from a power intake located on the left abutment to a powerhouse located on the north bank of West Creek. The locations of the intake and powerhouse for each al ternati ve are considered equally viable and were investigated as part of the prior studies. b. Tunnel Alternative The 6.5-foot-diameter tunnel and 3-foot-diameter surface penstock al ternati ve would follow the same alignment (horizontally and vertically) as the tunnel described in the June 1982 studies as shown in Fig. 5. The access road for the tunnel alternative would utilize the exist- ing logging road to the extent possible; however, new road construction would be required fran the end of the logging road to the intake tower. The new access would follow the left bank of West Creek to a point midway between the dam and the end of the logging road. At this point a timber bridge would be provided and the access road would follow the right bank for the remaining distance. Access is provided to the intake tower and left abutment only. c. Pipeline Alternative With the exception of a short initial length of tunnel the pipeline al ternati ve would consist of buried conduit. A drill and blast tunnel, 8 feet in diameter, would extend approximately 1,200 feet from a power intake located on the left abutment to the downstream portal. A buried conduit, 4 feet in diameter, will extend approximately 11,700 feet from the downstream portal to a powerhouse located on the north bank of West Creek. Over most of its length the pipeline will parallel the existing access road as shown in Fig. 5. Im- provements to the access road, over and above that required to support con- struction traffic will be required to provide an economic alignment for the pipeline. The pipeline would be constructed using concrete cylinder pipe with a minimum cover of three feet. The average cover has been estimated at four and one-half feet. Blow-off val ves would be provided for dewatering the pipe- line at low points along the line and air relief valves would be provided at the high points to relieve excess pressure when the line is filled and to pre- vent pipe collapse due to vacuum formation during dewatering. A new access road will be required fran the end of the logging road to the intake on the left abutment. The alignment of the new road is shown in Fig. 5. Again, access is provided only to the intake side of the dam which in this case is on the left abutment. Due to the limited width of the existing logging road (even with improvements) it is unlikely that construction traffic to the dam site could use the access road concurrently with construction of the pipeline. IV-4 d. Comparison of Power Conduit Alternatives A preliminary cost estimate was prepared for both al ternati ves. Included in the costs shown below are the intake structure and power conduit. Conduit Type Pipeline -4' diameter Tunnel -6.5' diameter Comparative Direct Construction Cost $10,614,000 11,234,000 The direct construction cost of the buried pipeline is approxi- mately $500,000 less than the tunnel alternative. Since the pipeline estimate was prepared with limited topographic and geologic data it was concluded that the cost difference was not sufficient to alter the prior selection (June 1982) of the tunnel alternative. 4. POWERHOUSE The powerhouse type and location is similar to that described in Volume I, Section XIII. A plan and section of the powerhouse is shown in Fig. 6. With the reduction in required capacity, it was possible to use one turbine-generator rather than the two-unit arrangement selected in the June 1982 studies. The powerhouse will contain a single, horizontal-shaft impulse- type (Pelton) turbine-generator unit. A turbine governing system will be pro- vided for speed and frequency control of the unit. The turbine will be equip- ped with two nozzles. Deflectors on the nozzles will control the flow of water to the turbine such that a relatively constant water velocity is main- tained in the penstock during rapid load changes. This will minimize unfavor- able hydraulic transients and allow elimination of the surge tank. In addi- tion, by providing approximately 2 cfs through the turbine over and above the generation requirements at the time, load acceptance of up to 100 kW can be made in approximately 3 seconds. Full load rejection without penstock pres- sure surges will be possi ble by complete deflection of the jets. The turbine will deliver approximately 6,000 hp at a net head of 600 feet at best gate. The corresponding discharge through the turbine will be 100 cfs. The turbine will drive a synchronous, three-phase alternating current generator rated at 5,000 kVA, at 0.9 pf, 12.47 kV and 300 rpn with a 60 0 c temperature rise. The plant installed capacity will be 4,500 kW. The generator will be enclosed with surface air coolers and will be provided with a solid state exciter, voltage regulator and all necessary auxiliary features. A 36-inch spherical valve will be provided upstream of the turbine to serve as a guard val ve for the unit. In addition, a bypass line and valve to drain the power conduit would be provided. A tailrace channel, similar to that described in Volume I, Section XIII, will be constructed to divert plant discharges back into the existing West Creek channel. Plant accessory and control equipment will be essentially unchanged fran that described in Vol- ume I excepting the reduction in equipnent made possible in going from two generating units to one. IV-5 5. SWITCHYARD AND TRANSMISSION LINE The changes to the switchyard from that described in Volume I, Sec- tion XIII reflect only the change fran two generating units to one and the consequent reduction in switching and accessory equipment. The reduction in plant capacity, however, is not sufficient to warrant a reduction in transmis- sion requirements. Therefore, the transmission line is unchanged from the Project arrangement described in Volume I and is shown in Fig. 7. 6. SUMMARY The revised Project arrangement will consist of a concrete-gravity dam constructed by the use of roller-canpacted concrete; an ogee-type spillway located in the central portion of the dam, a power conduit consisting of a 6.5-foot-diameter, machine-bored tunnel and a 3-foot-diameter surface pen- stock; a surface powerhouse located 1,200 feet south of West Creek and con- taining a single 6,000 hp Pelton turbine-generator and transmission facilities as des cri bed in Volume I, Section XIII. A comparison of the revised Proj ect features versus the selected Project described in Volume I is shown in Table IV-1. TABLE IV-1 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT SUMMARY COMPARISON OF MAJOR PROJECT FEATURES Feature Reservoir Elevation Dam: Type ••••••••••••• Crest Elevation •• Crest Length ••••• V ol1.lID.e ••••••••••• Spillway: Type ••••••.•••••• Crest Length ••••• Power Conduit: Tunnel-Diameter •• Length ••..•...••• Penstock-Diameter Length ..•....•.•. Powerhouse: Capaci ty ••••••••• Number of Units •• Type of Units •••. Selected Project June 1982 705 Rockfill 729 1,000 ft 254,000 cy Open Channel 75 ft 9.5 ft 8,470 ft 3 ft 1,450 ft 6,000 kW 2 Horizontal Francis Revised Project December 1982 700 Roller-Ccmpacted Concrete-Gravity 716 650 ft 48,700 cy Flip Bucket On Dam Face 200 ft 6.5 ft 8,470 ft 3 ft 1,450 ft 4,500 kW 1 Pelton SECTION V CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE 1. GENERAL Project capital and annual costs were estimated for input to the economic analysis discussed in Section VI. Direct Construction Cost estimates for the Project were prepared for the Revised Project Arrangement based on the preliminary layouts and details discussed in the previous section. The proce- dure and criteria used to develop the Project capital cost is similar to those used in Volume I. The Total Investment Cost was arrived at by summing the Direct Construction Costs of each major Project component and adding Indirect Costs and Interest During Construction. The effect of escalation was consid- ered and the Total Investment Cost adjusted to reflect a project on-line date in January 1982. A summary of the Project capital costs as compared to the estimated June 1982 costs is shown in Table V-1. The detailed construction cost estimate for the Revised Project is shown in Table V-2 (9 sheets). ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE SUMMARY 1. Preparatory Work •••••••••••••••••• 2. Dam and Reservoir •••.•••••••••••• 3. Power Conduit .................... . 4. Powerhouse ....................... . 5. Switchyard and Transmission Line •• DIRECT CONSTRUCTION COST (Bid 1/82, On-Line 6/84) Conti ngencies ........................ . Subtotal ............................. . Engineering and Owner Administration •• TOTAL CONSTRUCTION COSTS (Bid 1/82, On-Line 6/84) Interest During Construction TOTAL INVESTMENT COST •••••••..•••••••• (Bid 1/82, On-Line 6/84) Escalation During Construction TOTAL INVESTMENT COST ..••••••.•••••••• (Inflation-free on 1/82) Selected Project June 1982 Estimated Cost $ 2,786,000 11,571,000 12,348,000 5,382,000 13,273,000 $45,360,000 8,139,000 $53,499,000 7,825,000 $61,324,000 2,208,000 $63~532,000 (7,624,000) $55,908,000 TABLE V-1 Revised Project December 1982 Estimated Cost $ 3,036,000 10,434,000 11,234,000 3,011,000 13,056!000 $40,771,000 7,339,000 $48,110,000 7 l 216,000 $55,326,000 1,992,000 $57,318,000 (6,878,000) $50,440,000 RWB 50-41 e.-.- 1 1 . 1 /--_. 1.2 1.3 1 4 R. W. Beck and A8sociate, CONSTRUCTION COST ESTI MATE PROJECT West Creek Hydroelectric Project FEATURE Preparatory Work LOCATION _A_l_a_s_k_a ______ w.o. HH-1559-HG3-BC TYPE EST:_PLANNIN8-~~ --TAKE-OFF ARN/NCD PRICED JAS CALC CHKD JHC/WVB/~IL~PPROVEDG _G_G_ DATE December 1982 Ri it Pri C'P T.P"lTpl -.T;:ml1"lr 1982 ITEM AND DESCRIPTION QUAHTITY \.tilT MAT'L LABOR UNIT COST SITRl'Ol' AT TOTAL /--. Prenaratorv Work 1 0ifi onn Imnrovin~ Existing Road 2.2, MI 150 000 110,000 330.000 West Creek Bridges 500.000 121 Downstream LS 250,000 1. 2. 2 Unstream LS 250.000 New Access Road 1.0 MI 875.000 875,000 Mnhili7..<It:inn LS 1,331,000 1,331,000 , . $3.036.000 Sheet . .lof....2... RWB R. W. Beck and Aaaociatea S0-41 CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE "Ro.IICT West Creek Hydroelectric Project 'UTURt: Dam and Reservoir lOCATIOII---..,;Al=a:..:s:,:;k;,::a;,......... ____ .. o. HH-1559-HG3-BC TY"1 lI1:_ .. LA .... I ... T E MI' ARN/BZ "'''CID JAS __ AI(-CALC. CHICD. WVB/HLS A ",""OYID GGG MTI December 1982 Rid Price I.e-el -.T;mll:lTV 1 QR? ITEM AND DESCRIPTION Ql.WITITY ""IT MAT\. LABOR UNIT COST Subtotal TOTAL 2 Dam and Reservoir $10.434.000 2.1 Reservoir Clearing 330 AC 4 000.00 S 1.320,000 1.320 000 2.2 Diversion S 2 'l6QOOO 2.2.1 Diversion Conduits a. Select Gravel Backfill 8,000 CY 10.00 80.000 h --,--, '1.4 C.onC'ret"e Pi De 1,530 LF 1.360.00 2.081.000 2 2.2 Coffl'>rrlRm~ R Fill 6,320 CY 5.00 32.000 b Pl :I~t"i,. 1.inpT 6,620 SF 1.60 11.000 12.2 1 ('nn,.,.pt-p ('"t-nf"f" ('nl1", ... :I ~t-TI1,.t"IITR1 ('nn,.TPt"p 100 CY 500,00 50 000 h ('pmpnt" 580 CWT 12 20 7.000 ,. RpinfnT,.ina C:::t-pp1 10,300 LBS 1 25 13 000 i? ? t.. ni "p'red nn ('nnA"i t-Pl "DC> :I M",c>c> rnn ...... ""t-"" 140 CY 250.00 35.000 h ('pmpnt" 800 CWT 12 ,20 10.000 ,. r.T:lVP 1 Fi 11 2,710 CY 11.00 30 000 I? ? 'io To ... .,"' ... "' ... " ".r .r"" ..... .r ",n LS 20.000 2.2.6 Dewaterin2 and Care of Water LS 200.000 2 1 Dam I) 6,545,000 2,1.1 1O' ........... "lt:ion a. Connnon lli300 CY QOO 12~009-- b. Rock 6 700 CY 20 00 134. 000 ~4 152 000 SheetLofi.. RWB 50-41 2 3 -- R. W. Beck and Associates CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE PROJECT West Creek Hydroelectric Proj ect FEATURE Dam and Reservoir LOCATION Alaska w.o. HH-1559-HG3-BC ~~==~--------- TYPE EST:_PLANNING-aa~ __ TAKE-OFF----=:B~Z ___ PRICED JAS CALC. CHKD. JHC/MLS APPROVED -'G=G=G"--_____ DATE December 1 982 Riel Prirp T. \1pl .T«nl1«rv QR? ITEM AND DESCRIPTION QUANTITY UNIT MAT'L LABOR UNIT COST TOTAL Dam (Cont ) 232 Foundation Treatment _____ --..-a.... r.llrr;'lin r:rOl1r;ncr 2 000 LF 110 00 220,000 b. Consolidation Grouting 6 000 LF qO 00 540,000 c. Foundation Drains 1 500 LF 110.00 165 000 L.J.J Concrete a. Roller Compacted Concret e 40 000 CY 35 00 1 400 000 b. Facing Concrete 8 000 CY 190.000 1 520 000 c. Structural Concrete 670 CY 550.00 369 000 2.3.4 Cement 77 300 CWT 120Q 928000 2.3.5 Flyash 125,000 CWT 8.65 i.081 .000'-- 12.3.6 Reinforcing Steel 46,900 LBS 1. 25 ')q non , - -- ---f----------- ~.-.... --_. -- ._---- - $6 282 000 Sheet..loL9 ... I RWB S0-41 3 3 1 R. W. Beck and Alsociate. CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE '''O.IECT West Creek Hydroelectric project FUTIJII[ Power Conduit-Tunnel LOCATION _...t:Au.].da..l:l.sk.a...atl...-____ -O. IDJ-l SSg-HG3-BG TY'E ES-r. 'LA ........ IID~ TAICE OFF ARN '''.CED JAS CALC CHICD WVB /MLS A""OVED GGG DATE December 1982 . -----. lH n Pri ('e T. uel -T<>n"<lT' lqR2 IT£.. AND DE!lCIIIPTIOIII QUMTITY ~IT MAT\. LABOR UNIT COST Suhtnt::l] TOTAL Power r.nnnttit S11_~234 J>OO Intake ~ 1. 757 000 3.1.1 Excavation a. Common 5 920 CY 9.00 47.000 b. Rock 9 820 CY 11.25 110.000 c. Trim 1.090 CY 45.00 49,000 " 3.1. 2 Backfill 160 CY 10.00 2.000 3.1.3 Rockbolts 2.680 LF 50.00 134,000 3.1. 4 Structural Concrete a. Concrete 880 CY 650.00 572 000 b Cement 4 970 CWT_ 12.20 61.000 c. Reinfor_cin2 Steel 88 210 LBS 1 25 110 000 3.1 5 Gate and Hoist LS 200.000 316 TrashraC'ks ILS 90 000 '-- 317 Ice 0_ ttion & Reservoir ILS 15,000 Monitorin2 3 t R AC'C'f'.sS to Intake a Backfill 540 CY 8 00 4~OOO b r.onC'rete 260 CY 240 00 62 000 c r.ement 1 .400 CWT 12 20 17 000 rl Reinfnr('ina ~tppl 25 500 T.R~ 1 25 32.000 p Rn::ln 120 LF 130.00 42.000 3 1 q Powerline to Intake LS 210,000 ~t-r"I('~l1rp ~J.,/)/,UUU Sheet .1..of!L RWB 50-41 3 3 2 3.3 R. W. Beck and Associate, CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE PROJECT West Creek Hydroelectric Proj ect FEATURE Power Conduit-Tunnel LOCATION _A_1_a_s_k_a ______ w.o. HH-1559-HG3-BC TYPE EST:_PLANNINe-"IQHIXIBIX~ __ TAKE-OFF_=D=EW:.!...-_ PRICED _....:J::..:A.:::S=----CALC. CHKD. WVB!DEW APPROVED GGG DATE December 1982 Bid P i:---L::------=-l---:J 1982 r ce eve anuar ITEM AND DESCRIPTION QUANTITY UNIT MAT'L LABOR UNIT COST Subtotal TOTAL Power Conduit (Cont.) I Tunnel S8 71)0000 i 3.~.1 Excavation in DIS Portal a. Rock 3 290 CY 20.00 66 000 I b. Trim 370 CY 45.00 17.000 i [ 3.2.2 Excavat10n -ALl, Classes 10 660 CY 764.00 8,144,000 'l'l1nnf>1 3.2.3 Excavation -Rock Trap 180 CY 4UU.UU 72.000 1 ? lJ. Steel Sets (materials only) 39,180 LBS 1.35 53,000 1 2.2 Rock Bolts (materials only) 21,540 LF 7.45 160,000 1.2.6 LininQ: a. Concrete 230 CY 520.00 120.000 h (;f>mf>nt 1 300 CWT 12.20 16.000 c. Reinforcing Steel 18,860 LBS l.l::> 24.000 d. Steel 7.5' 0 31,040 LBS 2.50 78.000 Penstock $727,000 1 .1 1 FYr::lv::Ition ::I (;1 200 CY 7.50 2,000 bRock 200 CY 26.50 5,000 I 112 ~tf>f>1 Pf>n!'ltork -l' ~ 1188.000 LBS 2.50 471,000 111 nrp!'l!'lpr (;011n1 inO'!'I - 7 5' 0 2 EA 10.000.00 20,000 59 248.000 Sheet2of~ RWB 50-41 3 3 I I R. W. Beck and A8sociate, CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE PROJECT West Creek Hydroelectric Project FEATURE: Power Conduit-TunnetocATION _...JAo...] ..... a"-'sUkI.C:BL..-____ W.O. HH-1559-HG3-BC TY~E U"r._PLANNIN8-tallltPlJRXat¥lHI __ TAICE-OFF ARN PRICED JAS CALC. CHICD._..;.;WV...;..=.B __ APPROVED ,.......:G:....:G:....:G_--:-_-.., DAuDecember 1982 1 82 Bid Price Level -Januar 9 ITE... AN[) DESCRIPTION QUANTITY lNlT .... U'L LABOR UNIT COST Subtotal TOTAL Pf'n!'ltock (Cont ) 314 r.oncrete 250 CY 700.00 175,000 3 3 'i r.f'mf'nt 1410 CWT 12.20 17.000 336 Reinforcin2 Steel 20 000 LBS 1. 25 25,000 337 r.learinl! 2 AC 6.000.00 12! ogQ_ ... is _2~_!yy(J_ Sheel~of.!L RWB 50-41 4 4 1 4.2 4.3 !til 4.5 4.6 R. W. Beck and Associate, CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE PROJECT West Creek Hydroelectric Project FEATURE Powerhouse LOCATION _A_l_a_s_k_a ______ w. o. _H_H_-_1_5_5_9_-_H_G_3_-_B_C_ TYPE EST: PLANNI N8-P.IIEDEIIJQ1I}Q)ISJaI .---TAKE-OFF MLS/ROE PRICED JAS/PTC CALC CHKD WVB/MLS APPROVEDGGG/PTC/PC DAUDecember 1982 WLS WLS Bid Price Level Januarv 1982 ITEM AND DESCRIPTION QIWlTITY LfiIT MAT'L LABOR UNIT COST SUBTOTAL TOTAL I Powerhouse $3 OIl. 000 Civil Works 642,000 4 1. 1 Powerhouse Excavation a Connnon 1. 760 CY 7.50 13,000 b. Rock 2.645 CY 35.00 93,~000- 4.1. 2 Fill 4,100 CY ).uu 21,000 413 Substructure a Concrete 400 CY 740.00 296 000 b Cement 2 260 CWT 12.20 28 000 c Reinforcin~ Steel 48.000 LBS 1. 25 60 000 4.1. 4 Substructure a. Precast Roof Panels 2,352 SF 21.00 4q 000 h Precast Wall Panf'ls 4 617 SF 15.00 flQOOO C' PrpC';tl'lr Rp;tml'l 48 LF 270.00 13 .000 Mechanical Equipment 80~6 ,000 4.2.1 Turbines. Valves & Governo s 1 EA 658,000.00 658.000 422 Mil'lC' Mechanical EQuipment LS 148,000 Electrical Equipment 1.008 000 4.3.1 Generator 1 EA 345 000.00 345 000 412 AC'C'Pl'll'lorv FlpC'rr;C';tl EQuiD 1.5 flfl1 000 20 Ton Mohilp Crane L5 l"iOOOO l"iO.OOO Miscellaneous L5 100000 100.000 Architectural 1.5 flO.OOO flO.OOO 82 766 000 SheetLoL9. RWB 50-41 4 4.7 R. W. Beck and Associates CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE PROJECT West Creek Hydroelectric Proj ect FEATURE Powerhouse LOCATION _Al_a_s_k_a _____ w.o._H_H_-_1_5_5_9-_H_G_3_-_B_C_ .---TAKE-OFF MLS/ROE PItICIED lAS /PTC CALC CHKD WVB/MLS APPItOVIED GGG/PTC/PC DATE December 1982 , T.JT .~ YC: Bid Price Le"el .lanuan 1q82 ITEM AND OESCRIPTIOH QUANTITY IMIT MAT'L LABOR UNIT COST SUBTOTAL TOTAL Powerhouse (Cont.) Tailrace $ 245.000 4.7. 1 Common Excavation 5 290 CY 9.00 4R 000 4.7.2 Embankment 2 790 CY qoo 25 000 4.7.3 Channel Linim1: a. Plastic Liner 42.000 SF 1. 60 67 000 b. Gravel 2 100 CY 50.00 105.000 \ S 245.000 SheeLJ!of....2.. RWB 50-41 .~ ') 1 ') 2 5.3 5.4 5 5 R. W. Beck and Alsociate, CONSTRUCTION COST ESTIMATE PROJECT_~W~e=.!s~t~C~r:...::e:..::e:..:.:k:........:..:H:.l..y.::.d=-ro:::..;e::..:l::..::e::..:c::..:t::..::r::..::i::..::c--=-P=-ro=..jo&...;e;;..;c;;..;t~ FEATURE _S_w_i_t_c_h..,:.y_a_r_d_an_d ___ LOCATION Alaska TYP'E UT. _PLANNI N.~lCDIlIJfM __ TAKE-OFF wr.5 ITEM AND OESCRIPTIOIII QUANTITY ~lJi t"C"hvarci F. Tran~mi~::.!::ion Line 1 ') Swit.~hvard ') 1 1 Tran~fnrmpr 'i 1 ') A,.,..,.",,,,nr,, <:;t.7it",.hine> Ruried Tran~mi~~ion l.inf". 1.1. c; t...u Overhead Transmission Cable 5.0 Submarine Transmission Cable 16.7 Substations 551 Haines Terminal 5 5.2 Switchin2 Stations 553 Ska2Wav Substation Transmission PRICED WLS /FEB CALC. CHKD.WLS /:tU.S \.tilT MAT\. LABOR UNIT COST LS T.~ T.~ MT t.()7 ()()() 00 MI 203.000.00 MI 648.070.00 LS LS LS APPROVED Bid P i r ce .0. HH-1559-HG3-BC _PC ___ DAn December 1932 L 1 J 1982 eve -anuarv Suht.ot.al TOTAL Is 13 ,Q.~6., 000 Is 22i,_ogo 116,QillL 10~,000 Is l..t.P.. O()O 448.000 $ 1.016.000 1.016.000 i$10.759.000 10,759.000 $ 609,000 231.000 231,000 147,000 S 13 .o')/) 000 . 5heetLofJL SECTION VI ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 1 • METHOD OF ANAL YS IS The method of analysis used for this study computed the total pres- ent worth cost of each plan over a period from the present through the 50-year economic life of the West Creek Project. It is the same method used for the economic analysis prepared for the Feasi bility Report except that real escala- tion of oil fuel costs was assumed to be 2.5% per year and the discount rate was assumed to be 3.5%. These two parameters had been assumed to be 2.6% and 3.0%, respectively, for the June 1982 Report. Criteria used for conducting Project economic analysis as estab- lished by the APA, were as follows: a. Constant dollars assumed (zero inflation). b. Inflation-free present worth discount rate of 3.5%. c. Petroleum fuel cost escalated at 2.5% per year for 20 years and then held constant. d. Electrical energy demand is forecasted according to Load Growth Scenarios described in Section II and then held constant after 2001. e. Interest During Construction is calculated using a 3.5% interest rate. f. No financing expenses are included. g. No debt service on existing diesel or hydroelectric generation is included. h. Period of economic analysis is 55 years (1982 through 2036). i. Economic life of hydroelectric plant is 50 years. j. Economic life of diesel generation facility is 20 years. k. Economic life of wood waste generation facility is 20 years. VI-2 2. ANNUAL COSTS The annual cost for each plan except the wood waste generation plan is the sum of the plan's Total Investment Cost amortized at a 3.5% interest rate over the economic life of the generating unit, operation and maintenance costs, and fuel costs. For the base case plan a credit is also given for the estimated value of waste heat recovered from diesel generators. For all cases, the annual costs from 2001 to 2036 do not change from the level shown for 2001. Annual costs for the wood waste generation plan are based on an assumed purchase agreement between HLP and the Schnabel Mill. During an on- site visit to the Schnabel Mill in early December 1982 it was learned that the costs for completing construction of the wood waste generation plant would be significantly greater than that estimated for the June 1982 study. These in- creased construction costs may result in higher purchase rates to HLP from those assumed in the earlier study. In order to evaluate the sensitivity of the wood waste plan to changes in purchase price, two separate cost al terna- ti yeS were assumed for the wood waste plan, 11 ¢/kWh and 13. 5¢/kWh. These costs will include all expenses expected to be seen by HLP associated with the purchase of this power. Since there are also questions regarding the availa- bility of sufficient wood waste fuel, two al ternati ve generation levels, 20,000 MWh and 12,000 MWh, were analyzed as in the July 1982 study. It has been assumed that the wood waste plant will be available to supply power to HLP throughout the entire evaluation period beginning in 1983 (1983-2036). This assumption has no contractual basis at the present time. A complete description of the wood waste plan is contained in Volume I, Section IV. The annual costs for each year from 1982-2001 based on each of the three scenarios described in Section II for the base case, West Creek plan, and the wood waste generation plan at 20,000 MWh and 12,000 MWh and at the two cost levels were computed. 3. COSTS OF ALTERNATIVE PLANS The total cost of each plan is the sum of the present worth of each year's cost discounted at 3.5% to 1982. Table VI-1 is a summary of the total present worth cost for the generation plans for each of the three load sce- narios. Tables VI-2 through VI-19 show the details on how the total cost for each respective plan and load scenario were obtained. Table VI-20 presents the total present worth costs for the West Creek plan under Scenarios BB and CC assuming the on-line date is delayed by as much as 8 years. VI-3 4. COST COMPARISONS The comparison of total present worth cos ts (Table VI-1) of the alternative plans shows that the wood waste plan with Schnabel providing up to 20,000 MWh at 11 ¢/kWh is the least expensive al ternati ve. If the mill could only produce 12,000 MWh annually or the cost was 13.5¢/kWh the wood waste plan is no longer the least expensive. Additionally, the question of availability of long-term energy from the mill has not been addressed in the economic anal- ysis. For load scenarios BB and CC, the West Creek Project is less expen- sive than the base case and except for the 20,000 MWh, 11¢/kWh wood waste case is the least expensive al ternati ve. The West Creek plan has total present- worth costs of $74,553, 000 for Scenario BB and $78,630, 000 for Scenario CC. For these two load scenarios, BE and CC, the base case to West Creek alternate pI an benefi t-cost ratio is 1.10 and 1.16, res pecti vely. ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ALTERNATIVE GENERATION PLANS COMPARISON OF TOTAL PRESENT-WORTH COSTS Total Present Worth Cost Scenario AA Scenario BB Base Case -Diesel Generation 57,784 82,349 West Creek •••••••••••••••••• 73,501 74,553 Schnabel Mill Wood Waste: 20,000 MWh, 11 ¢/kWh ••••••• 47, 183 68,741 20,000 MWh, 13.5¢/kWh ..... 51,917 74,869 12,000 MWh, 11 ¢/kWh ••••••• 48,922 75,499 12,000 MWh, 13.5¢/kWh ••••• 52,499 79,078 TABLE VI-1 ($000) Scenario CC 90,944 78,630 76,593 82,968 86,561 90,141 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO AA LOADS BASE CASE -DIESEL GENERATION Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'H Cost Cost O'H Cost Cost Cost Year (HWh) (1) (KW)(2) (HWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (1) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) -------------------------------------------------- ---------- -------------------- ---------- 1982 9,558 0 9,558 0 0 0 901 924 1,825 1983 8,290 0 8,290 0 0 0 864 821 1,685 1984 1,916 0 1,916 0 0 0 860 810 1,610 1985 8,143 0 8,143 0 0 0 856 848 1,104 1986 8,330 0 8,330 0 0 0 852 889 1,141 1981 8,501 0 8,501 0 0 0 841 930 1,111 1988 8,104 0 8,104 0 0 0 842 916 1,818 1989 8,888 0 8,888 0 0 0 838 1,021 1,859 1990 9,101 0 9,101 0 0 0 832 1,012 1,904 1991 9,288 0 9,288 0 0 0 821 1,121 1,948 1992 9,511 0 9,511 0 0 0 821 1,111 1,998 1993 9,140 0 9,140 0 0 111 815 1,235 2,161 1994 10,034 0 10,034 0 0 111 801 1,304 2,228 1995 10,221 0 10,221 0 0 111 801 1,362 2,280 1996 10,384 0 10,384 0 0 111 795 1,418 2,330 1991 10,519 0 10,519 0 0 111 188 1,481 2,386 1998 10,118 0 10,118 0 0 258 181 1,541 2,586 1999 10,953 0 10,953 0 0 258 115 1,611 2,644 2000 11 ,158 0 11,158 0 0 258 161 1,682 2,101 2001 11 ,366 0 11,366 0 0 258 159 1,156 2,173 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Yeara Cuaulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Coats (1)-Scenario AA loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10, of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 1510 KW for both systems. (3)- (4)- (5)- Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000)(10) ---------- 1,194 1,600 1,532 1,511 1,491 1,411 1,454 1,436 1,421 1,405 1,392 1,459 1,449 1,433 1,415 1,400 1,466 1,448 1,432 1,418 28,351 51,184 ---------- (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generators. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (1)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR less net credit for waste heat recovered in Haines. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gallon in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATBSAA ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO AA LOADS WEST CREEK Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000)(5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 9,558 0 9,558 0 0 0 901 924 1,825 1983 8,290 0 8,290 0 0 0 901 821 1,722 1984 7,976 0 7,976 0 0 0 901 810 1,711 1985 8,143 0 8,143 0 0 0 901 848 1,749 1986 8,330 0 8,330 0 0 0 901 889 1,790 1987 8,507 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1988 8,704 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1989 8,888 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1990 9,101 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1991 9,288 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1992 9,511 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1993 9,740 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1994 10,034 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1995 10,221 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1996 10,384 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1997 10,579 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1998 10,778 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1999 10,953 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 2000 11,158 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 2001 11,366 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario AA loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10\ of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000)(10) ---------- 1,794 1,635 1,570 1,551 1,533 2,695 2,604 2,516 2,430 2,348 2,269 2,192 2,118 2,046 1,977 1,910 1,846 1,783 1,723 1,665 33,296 73,501 ---------- (3)-Assumes 20,209 MWh annually of West Creek generation to begin in 1987 plus 40\ of load requirements above 20,209 MWh. (4)-Assumed level debt service at 3.5\ over 50 years. Total investment cost assumed to be $50,440,000 including IDC at 3.5\. (5)-Based on 1.3\ of total investment cost. (6)- (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. Approximately 50\ of existing capacity is mothballed in 1987. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gallon in 1982 escalated at 2.5\ per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5\ per year. EDATWCAA ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO AA LOADS WOOD WASTE, 11 cents/kWh, 20,000 MWh Total Annual New Die8el Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 9,558 0 9,558 0 0 0 901 924 1,825 1983 8,290 0 2,322 0 656 0 654 230 1,540 1984 7,976 0 1,889 0 670 0 654 192 1,516 1985 8,143 0 1,914 0 685 0 654 199 1,538 1986 8,330 0 1,942 0 703 0 654 207 1,564 1987 8,507 0 1,969 0 719 0 654 215 1,588 1988 8,704 0 1,998 0 738 0 654 224 1,616 1989 8,888 0 2,026 0 755 0 654 233 1,642 1990 9,101 0 2,058 0 775 0 654 242 1,671 1991 9,288 0 2,086 0 792 0 654 252 1,698 1992 9,511 0 2,119 0 813 0 654 262 1,729 1993 9,740 0 2,154 0 834 0 654 273 1,761 1994 10,034 0 2,198 0 862 0 654 286 1,802 1995 10,221 0 2,226 0 879 0 654 297 1,830 1996 10,384 0 2,250 0 895 0 654 307 1,856 1997 10,579 0 2,280 0 913 0 654 319 1,886 1998 10,778 0 2,309 0 932 141 654 331 2,058 1999 10,953 0 2,336 0 948 141 654 344 2,087 2000 11 ,158 0 2,366 0 967 141 654 357 2,119 2001 11 ,366 0 2,397 0 987 141 654 370 2,152 2002-2036 ( A8suming no additional growth or e8calation 35 Years CUmulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual C08tS (1)-Scenario AA loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10' of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,794 1,463 1,391 1,364 1,340 1,314 1,292 1,269 1,247 1,225 1,205 1,186 1,172 1,150 1,127 1,107 1,167 1,143 1,121 1,100 22,006 47,183 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85' of HL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 20,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in O'M cost. (5)-Based on 11.0 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 50' of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in 1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gallon in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATWWAl ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO AA LOADS WOOD WASTE, 13.5 cents/kWh, 20,000 MWh Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000)(9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 9,558 0 9,558 0 0 0 901 924 1,825 1983 8,290 0 2,322 0 806 0 654 230 1,690 1984 7,976 0 1,889 0 822 0 654 192 1,668 1985 8,143 0 1,914 0 841 0 654 199 1,694 1986 8,330 0 1,942 0 862 0 654 207 1,723 1987 8,507 0 1,969 0 883 0 654 215 1,752 1988 8,704 0 1,998 0 905 0 654 224 1,783 1989 8,888 0 2,026 0 926 0 654 233 1,813 1990 9,101 0 2,058 0 951 0 654 242 1,847 1991 9,288 0 2,086 0 972 0 654 252 1,878 1992 9,511 0 2,119 0 998 0 654 262 1,914 1993 9,740 0 2,154 0 1,024 0 654 273 1,951 1994 10,034 0 2,198 0 1,058 0 654 286 1,998 1995 10,221 0 2,226 0 1,079 0 654 297 2,030 1996 10,384 0 2,250 0 1,098 0 654 307 2,059 1997 10,579 0 2,280 0 1,120 0 654 319 2,093 1998 10,778 0 2,309 0 1,143 141 654 331 2,269 1999 10,953 0 2,336 0 1,163 141 654 344 2,302 2000 11 ,158 0 2,366 0 1,187 141 654 357 2,339 2001 11 ,366 0 2,397 0 1,211 141 654 370 2,376 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth Or escalation ) 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario AA loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10\ of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000)(10) ---------- 1,794 1,605 1,531 1,502 1,476 1,450 1,426 1,401 1,379 1,354 1,334 1,314 1,300 1,276 1,250 1,228 1,286 1,261 1,238 1,215 24,297 51,917 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85\ of HL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 20,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in O'M cost. (5)-Based on 13.5 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 50\ of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in 1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/ga11on in 1982 escalated at 2.5\ per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5\ per year. EDATWWA2 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO AA LOADS WOOD WASTE, 11 cents/kWh, 12,000 Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'N Cost Cost O,N Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (IW) (2) (NWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) ------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 9,558 0 9,558 0 0 0 901 924 1,825 1983 8,290 0 2,322 0 656 0 654 230 1,540 1984 7,976 0 1,957 0 662 0 654 199 1,515 1985 8,143 0 2,124 0 662 0 654 221 1,537 1986 8,330 0 2,311 0 662 0 654 247 1,563 1987 8,507 0 2,488 0 662 0 654 272 1,588 1988 8,704 0 2,685 0 662 0 654 301 1,617 1989 8,888 0 2,869 0 662 0 654 330 1,646 1990 9,101 0 3,082 0 662 0 654 363 1,679 1991 9,288 0 3,269 0 662 0 654 395 1,711 1992 9,511 0 3,492 0 662 0 654 432 1,748 1993 9,740 0 3,721 0 662 0 654 472 1,788 1994 10,034 0 4,015 0 662 0 654 522 1,838 1995 10,221 0 4,202 0 662 0 654 560 1,876 1996 10,384 0 4,365 0 662 0 654 596 1,912 1997 10,579 0 4,560 0 662 0 654 638 1,954 1998 10,778 0 4,759 0 662 141 654 683 2,140 1999 10,953 0 4,934 0 662 141 654 726 2,183 2000 11,158 0 5,139 0 662 141 654 775 2,232 2001 11,366 0 5,347 0 662 141 654 826 2,283 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario AA loads less 2900 KWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10' of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,794 1,463 1,390 1,363 1,339 1,314 1,293 1,272 1,253 1,234 1,218 1,204 1,196 1,179 1,161 1,146 1,213 1,196 1,181 1,167 23,346 48,922 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85' of HL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 12,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in O'N cost. (5)-Based on 11.0 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 50' of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in 1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.l6/ga1lon in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATWWA3 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO AA LOADS WOOD WASTE, 13.5 cents/kWh, 12,000 MWh Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 9,558 0 9,558 0 0 0 901 924 1,825 1983 8,290 0 2,322 0 806 0 654 230 1,690 1984 7,976 0 1,957 0 813 0 654 199 1,666 1985 8,143 0 2,124 0 813 0 654 221 1,688 1986 8,330 0 2,311 0 813 0 654 247 1,714 1987 8,507 0 2,488 0 813 0 654 272 1,739 1988 8,704 0 2,685 0 813 0 654 301 1,768 1989 8,888 0 2,869 0 813 0 654 330 1,797 1990 9,101 0 3,082 0 813 0 654 363 1,830 1991 9,288 0 3,269 0 813 0 654 395 1,862 1992 9,511 0 3,492 0 813 0 654 432 1,899 1993 9,740 0 3,721 0 813 0 654 472 1,939 1994 10,034 0 4,015 0 813 0 654 522 1,989 1995 10,221 0 4,202 0 813 0 654 560 2,027 1996 10,384 0 4,365 0 813 0 654 596 2,063 1997 10,579 0 4,560 0 813 0 654 638 2,105 1998 10,718 0 4,759 0 813 141 654 683 2,291 1999 10,953 0 4,934 0 813 141 654 726 2,334 2000 11 ,158 0 5,139 0 813 141 654 715 2,383 2001 11 ,366 0 5,347 0 813 141 654 826 2,434 2002-2036 ( AssuminCJ no additional CJrowth or escalation 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario AA loads 1e&s 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10' of SChnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,794 1,605 1,529 1,497 1,468 1,439 1,414 1,388 1,366 1,343 1,323 1,305 1,294 1,274 1,253 1,235 1,299 1,278 1,261 1,244 24,890 52,499 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85' of BL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 12,000 KWh annually. (4)-Included in O'M cost. (5)-Based on 13.5 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 50' of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in 1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gal10n in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATWWA4 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO BB LOADS BASE CASE -DIESEL GENERATION Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost 0," Cost Cost 0," Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000)(6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 10,885 0 10,885 0 0 0 901 1,052 1,953 1983 9,946 0 9,946 0 0 0 862 985 1,847 1984 10,204 0 10,204 0 0 0 857 1,036 1,893 1985 11,159 0 11,159 0 0 0 852 1,162 2,014 1986 11,442 0 11,442 0 0 0 848 1,221 2,069 1987 11,745 0 11,745 0 0 0 844 1,285 2,129 1988 12,218 0 12,218 0 0 0 837 1,370 2,207 1989 12,631 0 12,631 0 0 0 831 1,451 2,282 1990 14,139 0 14,139 0 0 0 810 1,665 2,475 1991 14 ,972 0 14 ,972 0 0 0 798 1,807 2,605 1992 15,527 400 15,527 0 0 22 837 1,921 2,780 1993 16,107 0 16,107 0 0 139 827 2,043 3,009 1994 16,698 0 16,698 0 0 139 817 2,171 3,127 1995 17,188 0 17,188 0 0 139 808 2,290 3,237 1996 17,715 0 17,715 0 0 139 797 2,420 3,356 1997 18,110 0 18,110 0 0 139 788 2,535 3,462 1998 18,806 400 18,806 0 0 302 822 2,699 3,823 1999 19,385 0 19,385 0 0 302 810 2,851 3,963 2000 19,959 0 19,959 0 0 302 797 3,009 4,108 2001 20,548 0 20,548 0 0 302 784 3,175 4,261 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Years Cuaulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario 88 loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10' of Schnabel load. (2)-8ased on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. (3)- (4) - (5)- (6)-Replacement of existing base load and addition of new diesel generators. Assumes capital cost of $800/IW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR less net credit for waste heat recovered in Haines. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000)(10) ---------- 1,920 1,754 1,737 1,786 1,772 1,762 1,765 1,763 1,847 1,879 1,937 2,026 2,034 2,034 2,038 2,031 2,167 2,171 2,174 2,179 43,573 82,349 ---------- (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gallon in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDAT8S88 I-i Ql 0" I-' ID <: H I 00 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO BB LOADS WEST CREEK Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O.M Cost Cost O.M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (IW) (2) (KWh) (3) ($000) (.) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000)(8) ($000)(9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 10,885 0 10,885 0 0 0 901 1,052 1,953 1983 9,9.6 0 9,9U 0 0 0 901 985 1,886 198. 10,20. 0 10,20. 0 0 0 901 1,036 1,931 1985 11,159 0 11 ,159 0 0 0 901 1,162 2,063 1986 11,"2 0 11,"2 0 0 0 901 1,221 2,122 1981 11,H5 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1988 12,218 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1989 12,631 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1990 U,139 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1991 U,912 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1992 15,521 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1993 16,101 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 199. 16,698 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1995 11,188 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1996 11,115 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1991 18,110 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1998 18,806 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 1999 19 ,385 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 2000 19,959 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 2001 20,5U 0 0 2,150 656 0 .50 0 3,256 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Years Cuaulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario BB loads less 2900 KWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10, of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 1510 IN for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,920 1,191 1,111 1,829 1,818 2,695 2,60. 2,516 2,.30 2,H8 2,269 2,192 2,118 2,0.6 1,911 1,910 1,8U 1,183 1,123 1,665 33,296 H,553 ---------- (3)-Assumes 20,209 MWh annually of West Creek generation to begin in 1981 plus .0' of load requirements above 20,209 KWh. (.)-Assumed level debt service at 3.5' over 50 years. Total investment cost assumed to be $50, •• 0,000 including IDC at 3.5'. (5)-Based on 1.3' of total investment cost. (6) - (1)-Assumes $120 per IW-YR. Approximately 50' of existing capacity is mothballed in 1981. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gallon in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 IWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATWCBB ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO BB LOADS WOOD WASTE. 11 cents/kWh. 20,000 MWh Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost 0'" Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000)(5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000)(9) ------------------------------ ------------------------------ ------------------------------ 1982 10,885 0 10,885 0 0 0 901 1,052 1,953 1983 9,946 0 3,823 0 673 0 654 379 1,706 1984 10,204 0 3,914 0 692 0 654 398 1,744 1985 11 ,159 0 4,631 0 718 0 654 482 1,854 1986 11,442 0 4,791 0 732 0 654 511 1,897 1987 11,745 0 4,960 0 746 0 654 542 1,942 1988 12,218 0 5,132 0 779 0 654 575 2,008 1989 12,631 0 5,351 0 801 0 654 615 2,070 1990 14,139 0 5,683 0 930 0 654 669 2,253 1991 14,972 0 5,942 0 993 0 654 717 2,364 1992 15,527 0 6,163 0 1,030 0 654 763 2,447 1993 16,107 0 6,394 0 1,068 0 654 811 2,533 1994 16,698 0 6,627 0 1,108 0 654 862 2,624 1995 17,188 0 6,821 0 1,140 0 654 909 2,703 1996 17;715 0 7,015 0 1,177 0 654 958 2,789 1997 18,110 0 7,195 0 1,201 0 654 1,007 2,862 1998 18,806 0 7,426 0 1,252 141 654 1,066 3,113 1999 19 ,385 0 7,642 0 1,292 141 654 1,124 3,211 2000 19,959 0 7,857 0 1,331 141 654 1,185 3,311 2001 20,548 0 8,075 0 1,372 141 654 1,248 3,415 2002-2036 ( Assu.ing no additional growth or escalation ) 35 Years Cuaulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario BB loads less 2900 KWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10' of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth 'of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,920 1,620 1,600 1,644 1,625 1,607 1,606 1,599 1,682 1,705 1,705 1,705 1,707 1,699 1,694 1,679 1,765 1,759 1,752 1,746 34,922 68,741 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85' of HL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 20,000 KWh annually. (4)-Included in O'M cost. (5)-Based on 11.0 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/1W. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 50' of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gal10n in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5, per year. EDATWWBl I-i III 0-..... CD <: H I ..... o ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO BB LOADS WOOD WASTE, 13.5 cents/kWh, 20,000 MWh Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost 0'" Cost Cost 0'" Cost Cost Cost Year ("Wh) (1) (KW) (2) ("Wh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) ------------------------------ -------------------------------------------------- ---------- 1982 10,885 0 10,885 0 0 0 901 1,052 1,953 1983 9,946 0 3,823 0 821 0 654 319 1,860 1984 10,204 0 3,914 0 849 0 654 398 1,901 1985 11 ,159 0 4,631 0 881 0 654 482 2,011 1986 11,442 0 4,191 0 898 0 654 511 2,063 1981 11,145 0 4,960 0 916 0 654 542 2,112 1988 12,218 0 5,132 0 951 0 654 515 2,186 1989 12,631 0 5,351 0 983 0 654 615 2,252 1990 14,139 0 5,683 0 1,142 0 654 669 2,465 1991 14 ,912 0 5,942 0 1,219 0 654 111 2,590 1992 15,521 0 6,163 0 1,264 0 654 163 2,681 1993 16,101 0 6,394 0 1,311 0 654 811 2,716 1994 16,698 0 6,621 0 1,360 0 654 862 2,816 1995 11 ,188 0 6,821 0 1,400 0 654 909 2,963 1996 11,115 0 1,015 0 1,444 0 654 958 3,056 1991 18,110 0 1,195 0 1,414 0 654 1,001 3,135 1998 18,806 0 1,426 0 1,536 141 654 1,066 3,391 1999 19 ,385 0 1,642 0 1,585 141 654 1,124 3,504 2000 19,959 0 1,851 0 1,634 141 654 1,185 3,614 2001 20,548 0 8,075 0 1,684 141 654 1,248 3,121 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation ) 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario BB loads less 2900 "Wh annually of eXisting hydro generation. Includes 10' of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 1510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,920 1,166 1,144 1,188 1,161 1,148 1,148 1,140 1,840 1,868 1,868 1,869 1,811 1,862 1,856 1,839 1,926 1,919 1,912 1,906 38,112 14 ,869 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85' of HL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 20,000 "Wh annually. (4)-Included in 0'" cost. (5)-Based on 13.5 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (1)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 50\ of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gallon in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5\ per year. EDATWWB2 H III 0'" ...... It! <: H I ...... ...... ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO BB LOADS WOOD WASTE, 11 cents/kWh, 12,000 MWh Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O&M Cost Cost O&M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000)(5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) (SOOO)(8) (SOOO)(9) -------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------- 1982 10,885 0 10,885 0 0 0 901 1,052 1,953 1983 9,946 0 3,927 0 662 0 718 389 1,829 1984 10,204 0 4,185 0 662 0 718 425 1,865 1985 11 ,159 0 5,140 0 662 0 718 535 1,975 1986 11,442 0 5,423 0 662 0 718 579 2,019 1987 11,745 0 5,726 0 662 0 718 626 2,066 1988 12,218 0 6,199 0 662 0 718 695 2,135 1989 12,631 0 6,612 0 662 0 718 760 2,200 1990 14,139 0 8,120 0 662 0 718 956 2,396 1991 14,972 0 8,953 0 662 0 718 1,081 2,521 1992 15,527 0 9,508 0 662 0 718 1,171 2,617 1993 16,107 0 10,088 0 662 0 718 1,280 2,720 1994 16,698 0 10,679 0 662 0 718 1,388 2,828 1995 17,188 0 11 ,169 0 662 0 718 1,488 2,928 1996 17,715 0 11 ,696 0 662 0 778 1,598 3,038 1997 18,110 0 12,091 0 662 0 718 1,693 3,133 1998 18,806 0 12,787 0 662 141 718 1,835 3,416 1999 19,385 0 13 ,366 0 662 141 718 1,966 3,547 2000 19,959 0 13 ,940 0 662 141 718 2,102 3,683 2001 20,548 0 14,529 0 662 141 718 2,245 3,826 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario BB loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10' of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost (SOOO) (10) ---------- 1,920 1,737 1,711 1,751 1,729 1,710 1,707 1,700 1,789 1,818 1,824 1,831 1,840 1,840 1,845 1,838 1,936 1,943 1,949 1,956 39,125 75,499 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85' of HL&P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 12,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in O&M cost. (5)-Based on 11.0 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of S800/KW. (7)-Assumes S120 per KW-YR. 25' of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of Sl.16/ga110n in 1982 escalated at 2.5\ per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATWWB3 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO BB LOADS WOOD WASTE, 13.5 cents/kWh, 12,000 MWh Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000)(8) ($000) (9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 10,885 0 10,885 0 0 0 901 1,052 1,953 1983 9,946 0 3,927 0 813 0 778 389 1,980 1984 10,204 0 4,185 0 813 0 778 425 2,016 1985 11,159 0 5,140 0 813 0 778 535 2,126 1986 11,442 0 5,423 0 813 0 778 579 2,170 1987 11,745 0 5,726 0 813 0 778 626 2,217 1988 12,218 0 6,199 0 813 0 778 695 2,286 1989 12,631 0 6,612 0 813 0 778 760 2,351 1990 14,139 0 8,120 0 813 0 778 956 2,547 1991 14 ,972 0 8,953 0 813 0 778 1,081 2,672 1992 15,527 0 9,508 0 813 0 778 1,177 2,768 1993 16,107 0 10,088 0 813 0 778 1,280 2,871 1994 16,698 0 10,679 0 813 0 778 1,388 2,979 1995 17,188 0 11 ,169 0 813 0 778 1,488 3,079 1996 17,715 0 11 ,696 0 813 0 778 1,598 3,189 1997 18,110 0 12,091 0 813 0 778 1,693 3,284 1998 18,806 0 12,787 0 813 141 778 1,835 3,567 1999 19 ,385 0 13 ,366 0 813 141 778 1,966 3,698 2000 19,959 0 13,940 0 813 141 778 2,102 3,834 2001 20,548 0 14 ,529 0 813 141 778 2,245 3,977 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario BB loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes lOt of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,920 1,880 1,850 1,885 1,859 1,835 1,828 1,816 1,901 1,927 1,929 1,933 1,938 1,935 1,937 1,927 2,022 2,025 2,029 2,033 40,669 79,078 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85t of HL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 12,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in O'M cost. (5)-Based on 13.5 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 25t of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gal10n in 1982 escalated at 2.5t per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5\ per year. EDATWWB4 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO CC LOADS BASE CASE -DIESEL GENERATION Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (IW)(2) (KWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1982 11 ,667 0 11,667 0 0 0 901 1,128 2,029 1983 12,291 0 12,291 0 0 0 862 1,218 2,080 1984 12 ,571 0 12,571 0 0 0 857 1,277 2,134 1985 13,015 0 13 ,015 0 0 0 852 1,355 2,207 1986 13,673 0 13,673 0 0 0 844 1,459 2,303 1987 14,192 0 14,192 0 0 0 837 1,552 2,389 1988 14,786 0 14,786 0 0 0 828 1,658 2,486 1989 15,303 0 15,303 0 0 0 821 1,758 2,579 1990 16,504 0 16,504 0 0 0 804 1,944 2,748 1991 17,367 500 17,367 0 0 28 851 2,097 2,976 1992 17,945 0 17 ,945 0 0 28 842 2,221 3,091 1993 18,543 0 18,543 0 0 145 832 2,352 3,329 1994 19 ,156 0 19,156 0 0 145 822 2,490 3,457 1995 19,647 0 19,647 0 0 145 812 2,618 3,575 1996 20,209 0 20,209 0 0 145 801 2,760 3,706 1997 20,754 500 20,754 0 0 173 850 2,906 3,929 1998 21,319 0 21,319 0 0 314 838 3,059 4,211 1999 21,933 0 21,933 0 0 314 825 3,226 4,365 2000 22,524 0 22,524 0 0 314 812 3,396 4,522 2001 23,129 0 23,129 0 0 314 798 3,574 4,686 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Yean CUllu1ative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario CC loads less 2900 KWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10\ of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. (3)- (4)- (5)- (6)-Replacement of existing base load and addition of new diesel generators. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR less net credit for waste heat recovered in Haines. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,994 1,975 1,958 1,957 1,973 1,977 1,988 1,993 2,051 2,146 2,154 2,241 2,249 2,247 2,250 2,305 2,387 2,391 2,393 2,396 47,919 90,944 ---------- (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/ga110n in 1982 escalated at 2.5\ per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5\ per year. EDATBSCC ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO CC LOADS WEST CREEK Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (KWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (1) ($000)(8) ($000)(9) ---------------------------------------- ---------- ---------- ------------------------------ 1982 11 ,667 0 11 ,667 0 0 0 901 1,128 2,029 1983 12,291 0 12,291 0 0 0 901 1,218 2,119 1984 12,571 0 12,571 0 0 0 901 1,277 2,178 1985 13,015 0 13,015 0 0 0 901 1,355 2,256 1986 13 ,673 0 13,673 0 0 0 901 1,459 2,360 1987 14,192 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1988 14,786 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1989 15,303 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1990 16,504 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1991 17,367 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1992 17,945 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1993 18,543 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1994 19,156 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1995 19,647 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1996 20,209 0 0 2,150 656 0 450 0 3,256 1997 20,754 0 327 2,150 656 0 450 46 3,302 1998 21,319 0 666 2,150 656 0 450 96 3,352 1999 21,933 0 1,034 2,150 656 0 450 152 3,408 2000 22,524 0 1,389 2,150 656 0 450 209 3,465 2001 23,129 0 1,752 2,150 656 0 450 271 3,527 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario CC loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10' of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,994 2,012 1,999 2,000 2,022 2,695 2,604 2,516 2,430 2,348 2,269 2,192 2,118 2,046 1,977 1,937 1,900 1,867 1,834 1,803 36,067 78,630 ---------- (3)-Assumes 20,209 MWh annually of West Creek generation to begin in 1987 plus 40' of load requirements above 20,209 KWh. (4)-Assumed level debt service at 3.5' over 50 years. Total investment cost assumed to be $50,440,000 including IDC at 3.5'. (5)-Based on 1.3\ of total investment cost. (6)- (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. Approximately 50\ of existing capacity is mothballed in 1987. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gal10n in 1982 escalated at 2.5\ per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATWCCC ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO CC LOADS WOOD WASTE, 11 eents/kWh, 20,000 MWh Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh)(l) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000)(8) ($000) (9) ---------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------- 1982 11,661 0 11 ,661 0 0 0 901 1,128 2,029 1983 12,291 0 6,168 0 613 0 654 611 1,938 1984 12,511 0 6,281 0 692 0 654 638 1,984 1985 13,015 0 6,481 0 118 0 654 615 2,041 1986 13 ,613 0 6,111 0 166 0 654 116 2,136 1981 14,192 0 6,922 0 800 0 654 151 2,211 1988 14,186 0 1,122 0 843 0 654 198 2,295 1989 15,303 0 1,364 0 813 0 654 846 2,313 1990 16,504 0 1,660 0 913 0 654 902 2,529 1991 11,361 0 1,932 0 1,038 0 654 958 2,650 1992 11,945 0 8,166 0 1,016 0 654 1,010 2,140 1993 18,543 0 8,409 0 1,115 0 654 1,067 2,836 1994 19,156 0 8,655 0 1,155 0 654 1,125 2,934 1995 19,641 0 8,858 0 1,181 0 654 1,180 3,021 1996 20,209 0 9,068 0 1,226 0 654 1,239 3,119 1991 20,154 0 9,281 0 1,262 0 654 1,299 3,215 1998 21,319 0 9,502 0 1,300 141 654 1,364 3,459 1999 21,933 0 9,135 0 1,342 141 654 1,432 3,569 2000 22,524 0 9,961 0 1,382 141 654 1,502 3,619 2001 23,129 0 10,190 0 1,423 141 654 1,515 3,193 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation ) 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario CC loads less 2900 MWh annually of eXisting hydro generation. Includes 10' of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 1510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,994 1,841 1,821 1,815 1,830 1,830 1,835 1,833 1,888 1,911 1,909 1,909 1,909 1,899 1,894 1,886 1,961 1,955 1,941 1,939 38,187 76,593 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85' of HL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 20,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in O'M cost. (5)-Based on' 11.0 centS/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 50' of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in 1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/ga11on in 1982 escalated at 2.5' per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATWWC1 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBLITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO CC LOADS WOOD WASTE, 13.5 cents/kWh, 20,000 MWh Total Annual Mew Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Al tern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost 0&" Cost Cost 0&" Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (KW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000) (5) (SOOO) (6) ($000) (7) (SOOO)(8) (SOOO) (9) ---------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------- 1982 11 ,661 0 11 ,661 0 0 0 901 1,128 2,029 1983 12,291 0 6,168 0 821 0 654 611 2,092 1984 12,571 0 6,281 0 849 0 654 638 2,141 1985 13,015 0 6,481 0 881 0 654 615 2,210 1986 13,673 0 6,711 0 940 0 654 716 2,310 1981 14,192 0 6,922 0 981 0 654 151 2,392 1988 14,186 0 1,122 0 1,035 0 654 198 2,481 1989 15,303 0 1,364 0 1,012 0 654 846 2,512 1990 16,504 0 1,660 0 1,194 0 654 902 2,150 1991 11,361 0 1,932 0 1,214 0 654 958 2,886 1992 11,945 0 8,166 0 1,320 0 654 1,010 2,984 1993 18,543 0 8,409 0 1,368 0 654 1,061 3,089 1994 19,156 0 8,655 0 1,418 0 654 1,125 3,191 1995 19,641 0 8,858 0 1,451 0 654 1,180 3,291 1996 20,209 0 9,068 0 1,504 0 654 1,239 3,391 1991 20,154 0 9,281 0 1,549 0 654 1,299 3,502 1998 21,319 0 9,502 0 1,595 141 654 1,364 3,154 1999 21,933 0 9,135 0 1,641 141 654 1,432 3,814 2000 22,524 0 9,961 0 1,696 141 654 1,502 3,993 2001 23,129 0 10,190 0 1,141 141 654 1,515 4,111 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional growth or escalation ) 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario CC loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10\ of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 1510 KW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost (SOOO) (10) ---------- 1,994 1,981 1,965 1,959 1,919 1,980 1,989 1,981 2,053 2,081 2,019 2,080 2,080 2,068 2,063 2,055 2,128 2,122 2,113 2,105 42,101 82,968 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85\ of HL&P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 20,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in O&M cost. (5)-Based on 13.5 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (1)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 50\ of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in 1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/ga110n in 1982 escalated at 2.5\ per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5\ per year. EDATWWC2 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO CC LOADS WOOD WASTE, 11 cents/kWh, 12,000 MWh Total Annual New Diesel Diesel Altern. New Diesel Diesel Total Generation Capacity Generation Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost O'M Cost Cost O'M Cost Cost Cost Year (MWh) (1) (IW) (2) (MWh) (3) ($000)(4) ($000) (5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8) ($000) (9) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------- 1982 11 ,667 0 11 ,667 0 0 0 901 1,128 2,029 1983 12,291 0 6,272 0 662 0 901 621 2,184 1984 12,571 0 6,552 0 662 0 901 665 2,228 1985 13 ,015 0 6,996 0 662 0 901 728 2,291 1986 13,673 0 7,654 0 662 0 901 817 2,380 1987 14,192 0 8,173 0 662 0 901 894 2,457 1988 14,786 0 8,767 0 662 0 901 983 2,546 1989 15,303 0 9,284 0 662 0 901 1,067 2,630 1990 16 ,504 0 10,485 0 662 0 901 1,235 2,798 1991 17,367 0 11,348 0 662 0 901 1,370 2,933 1992 17,945 0 11 ,926 0 662 0 901 1,476 3,039 1993 18,543 0 12,524 0 662 0 901 1,588 3,151 1994 19,156 0 13,137 0 662 0 901 1,708 3,271 1995 19,647 0 13 ,628 0 662 0 901 1,816 3,379 1996 20,209 0 14,190 0 662 0 901 1,938 3,501 1997 20,754 0 14,735 0 662 0 901 2,063 3,626 1998 21,319 0 15,300 0 662 141 901 2,196 3,900 1999 21,933 0 15,914 0 662 141 901 2,341 4,045 2000 22,524 0 16,505 0 662 141 901 2,488 4,192 2001 23,129 0 17,110 0 662 141 901 2,644 4,348 2002-2036 ( Assuming no additional grovth or escalation 35 Years Cumulative Cumulative Present Worth of Project Annual Costs (1)-Scenario CC loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10, of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 RW for both systems. Present Worth of Annual Cost ($000) (10) ---------- 1,994 2,074 2,044 2,031 2,039 2,033 2,036 2,032 2,089 2,115 2,118 2,121 2,128 2,124 2,126 2,127 2,211 2,215 2,218 2,223 44,463 86,561 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator vill supply 85' of HL'P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 12,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in O'M cost. (5)-Based on 11.0 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing base load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 0' of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in 1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gal10n in 1982 escalated at 2.5% per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5' per year. EDATWWC3 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ECONOMIC ANALYSIS -SCENARIO CC LOADS WOOD WASTE, 13.5 cents/kWh, 12,000 MWh Total Annual New Dieae1 Diesel Altern. New Dieae1 Die8e1 Total Generation Capacity Gene r:a ti on Capital Altern. Capital Diesel Fuel Annual Required Required Required Cost 0... Cost Coat 0... Coat Coat Cost Year (MWh) (1) (IW) (2) ("Wh) (3) ($000) (4) ($000)(5) ($000) (6) ($000) (7) ($000) (8' ($000)(9) -------------------------------------------------- ---------- -~------------------ ---------- 1982 11 ,667 0 11 ,667 0 0 0 901 1,128 2,029 1983 12,291 0 6,272 0 813 0 901 621 2,335 1984 12,571 0 6,552 0 813 0 901 665 2,379 1985 13,015 0 6,996 0 813 0 901 728 2,442 1986 13 ,673 0 7,654 0 813 0 901 817 2,531 1987 14,192 0 8,173 0 813 0 901 894 2,608 1988 14,786 0 8,767 0 813 0 901 983 2,697 1989 15,303 0 9,284 0 813 0 901 1,067 2,781 1990 16,504 0 10,485 0 813 0 901 1,235 2,949 1991 17,367 0 11 ,348 0 813 0 901 1,370 3,084 1992 17,945 0 11 ,926 0 813 0 901 1,476 3,190 1993 18,543 0 12,524 0 813 0 901 1,588 3,302 1994 19,156 0 13,137 0 813 0 901 1,708 3,422 1995 19,647 0 13,628 0 813 0 901 1,816 3,530 1996 20,209 0 14,190 0 813 0 901 1,938 3,652 1997 20,754 0 14,735 0 813 0 901 2,063 3,777 1998 21,319 0 15,300 0 813 141 901 2,196 4,051 1999 21,933 0 15,914 0 813 141 901 2,341 4,196 2000 22,524 0 16,505 0 813 141 901 2,488 4,343 2001 23,129 0 17,110 0 813 141 901 2,644 4,499 2002-2036 ( Aaauming no additional growth or escalation 35 Year:a Cumulative Cumulative Preaent Worth of Project Annual Costa (1)-Scenario CC loads less 2900 MWh annually of existing hydro generation. Includes 10\ of Schnabel load. (2)-Based on existing capacity of 7510 KW for both aystema. Present Worth of Annual Coat ($000) (10, ---------- 1,994 2,218 2,183 2,165 2,168 2,158 2,157 2,149 2,201 2,224 2,223 2,223 2,226 2,219 2,218 2,216 2,296 2,298 2,298 2,300 46,007 90,141 ---------- (3)-Assumes wood waste generator will supply 85\ of HL.P and mill load beginning in 1983 up to 12,000 MWh annually. (4)-Included in 0 ... cost. (5)-Based on 13.5 cents/KWh total purchase cost. (6)-Replacement of existing baae load diesel generator in Skagway in 1998. Assumes capital cost of $800/KW. (7)-Assumes $120 per KW-YR. 0\ of Haines diesel capacity mothballed in 1983 when wood waste generator begins operation. (8)-Assumes diesel fuel cost of $1.16/gal10n in 1982 escalated at 2.5\ per year. Fuel usage assumed to be 12 KWh/gallon. (9)- (10)-Discounted to January 1982 at 3.5\ per year. EDATWWC4 ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGIOO' FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT PRESENT WORTH COSTS FOR VARIOUS ON-LINE DATES On-Line Date 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 Total Present Worth Cost Scenario BB Scenario CC ($1,000) ($1,000) 74,553 72,879 71,665 70,967 70,637 78,630 77,407 76,639 76,359 76,445 TABLE VI-20 SECTION VII CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 1. CONCLUSIONS From the studies discussed in this Addendum to the Haines-Skagway Region Feasibility Report, the following conclusions have been reached. a. Based on construction cost and constructibility data that have be- come available since completion of the June 1982 studies: (1) Construction of a concrete-gravity dam using roller-compacted concrete placement techniques is now considered less costly than an equivalent si ze concrete-faced rockfill dam. The cost savings realized are estimated at approximately $600,000. Additional savings in the dam. cost are realized when the Project is down-sized as discussed below. (2) A power conduit consisting of 8,470 feet of machine-bored ttmnel and 1,450 feet of above-ground steel penstock is still preferred over an all-penstock arrangement including a buried pipeline. It is feasible to construct a 6.5-foot-diameter machine-bored tunnel in lieu of the 9.5-foot- diameter machine-bored tunnel previously proposed. This results in an esti- mated cost savings of $1.1 million. b. Development of a powerhouse utilizing a double nozzle Pel ton-type turbine instead of two Francis-type turbines will provide generally comparable operating characteristics at significantly reduced cost. c. New Scenarios li, BB and CC were prepared in these Addendum studies to reflect assessments of future conditions ranging from no railroad operation and no gas pipeline (Scenario AA) to a reopening of the railroad and the effect of some new economic incenti ve, such as the gas pipeline in Haines (Scenario CC). If the current shutdown of the White Pass and Yukon Railroad in Skagway, delays in the trans-Alaska pipeline construction and the general slOlidown in the economy continue indefinitely, energy requirements of the Haines-Skagway Region will be reduced significantly over those shown in prior studies. Clearly the economy of the area is very sensi ti ve to these factors, es pecially to the railroad in Skagway. d. Based on load growth Scenario CC the installed capaCity for the West Creek Project could be reduced frcm 6,000 kW to 4,500 kW and still meet the forecasted 1996 firm energy requirements of the region. Under these con- di tions, the West Creek Project would consist of a 116-foot-high concrete- gravity dam, power conduit consisting of 8,470 feet of 6-1/2-foot-diameter VII-2 tunnel and 1,450 feet of 3-foot-diameter steel penstock, a powerhouse contain- ing a single 4,500-kW Pelton-type turbine-generator unit, and a 34.5-kV trans- mission system consisting of 6.2 miles of overhead lines and 16.6 miles of submarine cable to connect the Project with Haines and Skagway. This Project configuration would have a Total Investment Cost (inflation-free on 1/82) of $50,440,000 compared to the $55,908,000 shown in the June 1982 study. e. The cost of constructing the wood waste power plant at Schnabel Mill has significantly increased over that originally estimated. This cost increase makes the 8¢/kWh purchase cost used in the July 1982 studies ques- tionable. For that reason, two purchase cost alternatives, 11¢/kWh and 13.5¢/kWh, were utilized in this study. f. The most economic means of meeting future load and energy require- ments in the Haines-Skagway Region under the Scenario AA conditions (least optimistic) would be the wood waste alternative. However, if load growth ex- ceeds that shown in Scenario !A, the wood waste alternative would be the most economic alternative only if there is sufficient wood waste available to gen- erate at least 20,000 MWh annually and only if it can be generated at a cost of 11¢/kWh or less. If either of these conditions is not met, the West Creek Project is the most economic alternative. g. Continued operation of the White Pass and Yukon Railroad makes the West Creek Project the most preferable long-tenn power source for the Haines- Skagway Region especially in view of the uncertainties associated with the economics of wood waste generation. 2. RECOMMENDATIONS Presuming that the White Pass and Yukon Railroad will continue to operate, it is recommended that the Alaska Power Authority proceed with devel- opment of the West Creek Project to meet future load and energy requirements of the Haines-Skagway Region. To implement such developnent it is further recommended that the Authority undertake the following actions: a. Proceed immediately with Federal Energy Regulatory Commission licensing of the Project b,y: (1) Proceeding with arrangements for property ownership and boun- dary adjustments within the Klondike Gold Rush National Historical Park so that the powerhouse site will be located outside of the park. This will facilitate filing and PERC acceptance of the license application. (2) Canplete preparation of the application for a license to con- struct, operate and maintain the Project. (3) Obtain legislative author! ty to file the license application and file with the FERC. VII-3 b. Proceed immediately with final design activity including: (1) Commencing in the summer of 1983 with additional geotechnical field investigations, field surveys and necessary concrete mix design activi- ties associated with designing the dam for roller-compacted concrete construc- tion. (2) Preparation of final design for all Project features. (3) Preparation of bid and contract documents for all Project features. ALASKA Fairbanks • KEY MAP LEGEND \ \ \ \ CANADA o Gaging station location NOTE: Topography from U .S.G. S. I; 250,000 Skagway, Alaska -Canada, 1961. 4 Miles o 4 Miles Scale R W. BECK and ASSOCIATES fIINIINHItS AND COHIUl rANTS s.am.. w..tIingIon Denwr, CoIorodo AL ASKA POWE R AUTHORITY ADDENDUM TO HAINES -SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY DAT£: DEC 1982 WEST CREEK PROJECT LOCATION MAP "'1 70 60 .c: ~ 50 ~ z 0 ...J ...J ~ 40 (J) t- Z UJ ~ UJ Ll:: :::> 30 0 W Ll:: >-19 Ll:: W Z w 20 10 o I r I 1 I I I ------t--, I I i ! I I I I I : --------- i _"",. .. u" ", Scenario CC-""~ ~""""" "l" k:::: "" ~ Scenario SS ", ....... ' ~ ...... '. ~ ...................... •• .. ............. " . ............ # .......... • #4! --Scenario AA ... Historic 1975 1980 Projected I I I I 1985 1990 1995 2000 YEARS DATE: R. W. BECK and ASSOCIATES fH&lNffRS AND CONSUL rANTS Selttle. Washington Denver, Colorado Go .... , otIIceI: T_ Bulldl .... SeotIIe, Wuhlllllan 98101 ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ADDENDUM TO HAINES -SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY ENERGY REQUIREMENTS OF HAINES -SKAGWAY FI6: DEC.1982 2 ..c 3: ~ z 0 -..J ..J ::E (j) I- Z w ::E w a:: -:::> 0 w a:: >-(!) a:: w z w 7°~------~1------~------~------1~----~ 60~---------+~~------~---------4~--------~------~~ 50~--------~---------+----------+--------~--------~ 40 30 20 ".~"" .... .,., ~ "" ",,, "",1""· ~""'" ~~~ WEST CREE K .. ,t ...... " .... ' 10t-------t---~==4=±=====~======4=====~ S CHNA~EL MI LL EXI STING HYDR D O~-r-'-r-r~-r-r-r-r~-.-r-r-r~'--r-r-r~~~'-~ I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I , I 5750 4600 3450 2300 1150 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 YEARS R. W. BECK and ASSOCIATES EPHIINEEIS IINP CONSUlT IINT$ Seeltle. Wnhington Oen_. Colorado ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY u « a. « u LIJ (!) « a:: LIJ > « ADDENDUM TO HAINES -SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY SCENARIO CC ENERGY REQUIREMENTS AND RESOURCES PATE: IDllAWN: I~ 1M: DEC. 1982 E.M. tt1 3 PLAN -/ 'J 00 Dam -to ---750 650 "--' _____ 7 00 } -----Power tunnel-- 400' 0 400' 1~~ __ ~-L~1 ________ ~1 Scale Parapet wall 10' Crest EI. 716 EI.712 --Spillway crest EI. 700 Flip bucket EI. 650 Gallery Estimated rock surface Grout curtain SPILL WAY SECTION 100' o 100' I~!~I~!~ILI~!~'~I~,~I ________ ~I Scale R. W. BECK and ASSOCIATES f .... NIEIS AND CONSUlTANTS Denver, Colorado ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ADDENDUM TO HAINES -SKAGWAY REGION FEAS'B'I_'TY STUDY DAl'!: WEST CREEK PRO .. IECT CONCRETE GRAVITY DAM PLAN AND SECTION DEC 1982 . c o .. o > • LtJ o Access road buried pipeline ' alternative (New construction) .,<i' ~ ... J~-~:...:;;.-.----- 0+00 10+00 '---M'l.il.i'==~~ road tunnel alternative (New construction) 600 Existing Ii)~ing~oad Both alternatives (To be improved) '.' ~~::~~~~~?i~O~oo 600 700 Power tunnel 600 (Preferred alternative) 90Q ~ ~ 10 00 70+00 ---'. , 60+00 --------+------ 50+00 _------+-----. 40 +00 . __ -----+----~ " .... . lJao .. '30+00 ------+-------~ .---- 20+00 ----~------------,+--------- Original ground 20 ... 00 1200 raoo PLAN sod 0 sod I .......... , ............................. '''-::-' -11-:-_____ ----1'1 .. STATIONS Scale C"r~r.t. lined section ("Illrti.lil ,till lining) 70+00 80+00 POWER TUNNEL PROFILE (PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE) 80+00 Power conduit portal Powerhouse '. Log bridge, (Replace exi.t DYEA . COMMUNITY ; (Tunnel alternative) Acces. road (New construction) NOTES: I. TopoQraphy il baled on mappinQ of aerial photooraphl conducted by Tryck, Nyman 8 Hayel, June 1981 2. Vertical control baled on U.S.G.S. datum (mean sea level) and tied into 8ench Mark .. Shcwp" at Yakutania Point. 3. Horizontal control grid baled on the Alalka State Grid Coordinate System, Zone I. It W. BECK and ASSOCIATES ENGINEERS AND CONSULTANTS Saatlle. Washington ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ADDENDUM TO HAINES-SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY DATE: WEST CREEK PROJECT ALTERNATIVE POWER CONDUIT ARRANGEMENTS DEC. 1982 SWithgear ---__ _ Exciter ---- Parking area Tailrace channel Concrete encasement Inlet valve PLAN Tailrace channel A ir compressor _---1,--Station service TRANSVERSE SECTION 30' I o I Scale It W. BECK and ASSOCIATES IMi8&IS ANI) COHSIILTANTS SnttIe, WlIIhingIun o.n_. Colorado ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ADDENDUM TO HAINES -SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT POWERHOUSE PLAN AND SECTION DATE: DEC,1982 6 ,"'~; i':: .~~ .~} . ' •. ~~ 'fD ....... _ ... ..,;-., .,. "f~~f-_'-~ ~~'c F' \-~,c;--·':"''t·''''',·c~-:!:!·--~.-~-:..··''''--+~-:;;t'-·-~.:· TYPICAL OVERHEAD TRANSMISSION STRUCTURE NOTES: I. Topography is based on US.6.S. 15 minute quadrangles at a scale of I: 63,360. Skagway A-I, A-2, 8-1,8-2. C-I and C-2. 2. Vertical and horizontal control based on USG.S, USc. and G.S. and LaC. datum (mean sea level). I::' LEGEND Power conduit alignment Existing transmission tie line Praposed overland transmission line ----Proposed submarine transmission line 6. Proposed switching station o Proposed power plant • Existing power plant ) , I 0 I mile I I I I I , It, " I Scale R. W. BECK and ASSOCIATES ENG/NEfllS AND CONSULTANTS Seattle, Washington Denver, Colorado ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ADDENDUM TO HAINES ·SKAGWAY REGION FEASIBILITY STUDY WEST CREEK PROJECT SELECTED TRANSMISSION CORRIDOR OAT£:: DEC 1982 F&. 7 APPENDIX ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY SUMMARY OF PUBLIC MEETINGS ON HAINES-SKAGWAY ENERGY ALTERNATIVES December 8 and 9, 1982 As the result of the closure of the White Pass and Yukon Railroad in October 1982, and uncerta i nty over its future and the resulti ng effects on the Skagway economy, the Alaska Power Authority deci ded it would be prudent to reevaluate the Haines-Skagway power market to determine the effects of the railroad closure. As part of this process the Power Authority required its consultant, R.W. Beck and Associates, to revise the power market forecasts and consider modifications to the proposed West Creek Hydroelectric Project to reduce production capacity and construction cost. Since the results of these analyses caused some significant changes from reports that had been prepared earlier, the Power Authority felt it necessary to meet with the public in Haines and Skagway to present and discuss the changed conditions. Notices of meetings were given over local television and radio stations and were held on December 8 and 9, 1982. ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY Public Meeting on HAINES -SKAGWAY ENERGY ALTERNATIVES December 8, 1982 7:00 p.m. , Fire Hall, Haines, Alaska Name Brent Petrie Thomas R. Quinlan Roy C. Clayton Jon D. Halliwill George S. Schnabel Bi 11 Corbus Rick Shabo Archie Hinman Raymond R. Menaker Dave Westfa 11 Don Melnick Attendence list Address Alaska Power Authority, 334 W. 5th, Anch., AK Haines Res., Haines, Alaska Box 164, Haines, Alaska Box 179, Haines, Alaska Box 303, Haines, Alaska AELP, 134 Franklin St., Juneau, Alaska Haines Light & Power, Box 125, Haines, Alaska, Haines Light & Power, Box 1, Haines, Alaska Box 118, Haines, Alaska, Lynn Canal News R.W. Beck and Associates, Seattle, WA R.W. Beck and Associates, Seattle, WA Haines, Alaska 7:00 P.M., Wednesday, December 8,1982 The Haines public meeting convened at 7:00 P.M. at the Haines City Hall. A total of eleven (11) people were in attendance including utility and city officials, Alaska Power Authority staff and consulting engineers. Mr. Petrie, of the Power Authority, introduced the consulting staff from R.W. Beck and Associates and explained the reasons for the meeting. Three load forecasts had been prepared which cons idered the Hai nes- Skagway power market without the rail road, with seasonal operation of the railroad for tourist use only, and year round operation of the railroad. Mr. Melnick and Mr. Westfall, of R.W. Beck and Associates, reviewed the history of project studies and presented new information on the load forecasts. If the railroad does not open again, then the Skagway power market could decrease to about 50 percent of what it is today. This affects the overall economics of the West Creek Project as earl ier conceived. Mr. Westfall presented changes that they had considered in the West Creek Project. These changes consist of reducing the installed capacity at the powerhouse from 6.0 MW to 4.5 MW and substituting one Pelton turbine instead of two Francis turbines, a smaller diameter tunnel would be constructed and rather than building a rockfill dam on West Creek, a concrete dam using roller compacted concrete would be substituted. These changes would reduce the cost of the earlier project by about $6,000,000. However, without the load utilized by the railroad and its employees, it appears that the existing diesel and existing small hydro generation would continue to be the most economical generation option. A possible exception to this might be woodwaste generation at Haines, although there were several uncertainties with fuel supply and power costs with that option. Until the situation with the railroad is resolved, Mr. Petrie said the Power Authority would not proceed with any significant engineering work on West Creek. However, the Power Authority did feel it would be prudent to resolve some land ownership concerns in the vicinity of the proposed project powerhouse. This could be resolved with an exchange of twenty-two (22) acres of land now in National Park Service ownership through a swap with the State of Alaska. The meeting was opened to discussion. Mr. Menaker asked if the load forecast included generation from the existing hydro in Skagway and woodwaste generation if the Schnabel powerplant operates. Mr. Melnick replied it did. Mayor Halliwill asked if the woodwaste alternative considered that the Schnabel woodwaste plant might not be replaced when it was \'lOrn out. - 2 - ~lr. Petrie said, "No, the forecast assumed the existing used unit would last 15 years and then be replaced by a new unit that would last 20 years.1I Tom Quinlan asked if the possibility of interconnections to Canada had been considered. Mr. Petrie said, IINo, the Power Authority had only examined an interconnection of only Haines and Skagway." Mayor Halliwill pointed out that he was aware of a concern over energy in the Yukon Territory and wondered if it would be possible to consider development of ~!est Creek to its full capacity and share energy with the Yukon. Mr. Petrie said that had not been considered and he thought the transmission costs might be excessive. Archie Hinman then pointed out that just this past year the Canadians had completed a 34.5 kv powerline extending about twenty miles south of Carcross which ran next to the Skagway-Carcross highway. This would place the line about 40-45 miles from Skagway. Mr. Petrie said this was new information to the Power Authority and the Power Authority would try to get more information on it. May Ha 11 iwi 11 encouraged the Power Authori ty to try to have the Department of Natural Resources (DNR) proceed with the land exchange at the West Creek powerhouse site and requested that we contact the Northern Canada Power Commission to find out the status of the transmi ss i on 1 i ne and exactly what thei r energy concerns were. Mr. Petrie said the Power Authority would try to find out more about the situation. The meeting adjourned about 9:15 P.M. - 3 - ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY Name Brent Petrie Don Melnick Dave Westfa 11 Roger Speel Vernon Neitzer Bill Corbus Ski P Ell i ott Ba rba ra Ka 1 en Bob Ward Rand Snure J. M. Frey Gil Acker Ken Naland Gene P. Strong Jeff Brady Terry Huntley Chris Rohlf Jim Jewell Charlotte Jewell Jim Richards Public Meeting on HAINES -SKAGWAY ENERGY ALTERNATIVES December 9, 1982 7:00 p.m., City Hall, Skagway, Alaska Attendence Li st Address Alaska Power Authority, 334 W 5th Ave., Anch., AK R.~r. Beck and Assoc., Tower Bldg, 7th Ave. at Olive Way, Seattle, WA R.W. Beck and Assoc., Tower Bldg, 7th Ave. at Olive Way, Seattle, WA Alaska Power & Telephone, Box 1, Skagway, Alaska Alaska Power & Telephone, Box 1, Skagway, Alaska Haines Light and Power, 134 Franklin St., Juneau, Alaska City of Skagway, Box 415, Skagway, Alaska Box 417, Skagway, Alaska Box 503, Skagway, Alaska Box 213, Skagway, Alaska Box 206, Skagway, Alaska Box 504, Skagway, Alaska P.O. Box 138, Skagway, Alaska Box 149, Skagway,Alaska Box 1898, Skagway, Alaska Box 131, Skagway Alaska Box 372 Skagway, Alaska Box 106, Skagway, Alaska Box 106, Skagway, Alaska Box 415, Skagway Alaska * Note: All attendees did not sign in. ALASKA POWER AUTHORITY Skagway Public Meeting 7:00 P.M., Thursday, December 9,1982 The Skagway Public Meeting convened at 7:00 P.M. at Skagway City Hall. City Manager, Skip Elliott, introduced the Alaska Power Authority Staff and study team. Twenty people signed the attendance sheet, and several others came in during the meeting. Mr. Petrie, of the Power Authority, and Messrs. Melnick and Westfall of R.W. Beck, presented the same introduction as the night before in Haines and the meeting opened to discussion. Mr. Petrie was asked why the seasonal railroad operational forecast included a complete closure of the railroad in 1983 and 1984. He replied that they were trying to come up with their best estimate of the situation and hoped that really would not be the situation for Skagway·s sake. Several citizens expressed optimism that the railroad will be open in 1983 for summer operation and cautioned the Power Authority not to be too pessimistic. A gentleman asked about the status of Goat Lake as another hydroelectric option. Mr. Petrie and Mr. Melnick described several geo 1 og1 c problems at the site that woul d be very costly to overcome. Therefore, they still considered the West Creek project as a more reliable alternative. Barbara Kalen stated that water seeps out of fractured rock below the lake all year long. Mr. Melnick mentioned that faults and joints in the rock in the area were the major concern and such seepage may be related to those faults. Mr. Petrie mentioned that additional archaeological work conducted this past summer in the area confirmed that a deposit of shells along the proposed transmission route was of human origin and of historical significance. Mrs. Kalen suggested the Power Authority should be careful about the interpretation of that deposit since naturally occurring marine shell deposits are scattered throughout the area. (Mrs. Kalen later provided photos and descriptions of shell deposits on her property which are of natural origin. Those deposits are significantly different from the deposit the archaeologists investigated which contains small mammal and bird bone fragments, charcoal, and charred rock.) Mr. Gene Strong asked how the project energy costs would look at 3 percent financing. Mr. Petrie provided an estimate of energy costs based on 60 percent State equity, and 40 percent bond fi nanc i ng, but said that they had not considered a 3 percent financing scheme. In any event he said the Power Authority would like to be assured that there was a greater load available before they would recommend proceeding with the project. In the short term this means some more certainty is needed about the railroad1s future. - 1 - .. Mr. Snure wondered if power was available if some other employers might be enticed to locate in the area. Mr. Petrie said he thought something other than power would have to be available locally, such as fish for processing, timber, etc., that would require power for processing. Skip Elliott, Mayor Snure, and several others also mentioned the transmission 1 ine that ran south of Carcross and suggested that the Power Authority should find out more about the possibility of an interconnection. A gentleman also mentioned that a new hydro generating plant was being installed on the Yukon River near Whitehorse. Mr. Petrie relayed similar observations from the people at the Haines meeting and said some inquiries would be made to determine the situation with the transmission line. Several citizens recommended that the land exchange for the powerhouse site should not be dropped, as it may take some time to resolve the issue and the area may need the project by then. Mr. Petrie said this would be considered when the Power Authority concluded the report and submitted their findings and recommendations. The meeting adjourned about 9:30 P.M . - 2 - .. DEPARTMENT 0 .. ' ~ATURAI .. Rt:SOUR(;ES December 9, 1982 Mr. Eric P. You1d Executive Director Alaska Power Authority 334 W. 5th Avenue Anchorage, Alaska 99501 Dear Eric: IIFF/tl OF Till CIHIIIISSIIIIIlI BILL SHEFFIELD, GOVERNOR POUCHM JUNEAU,ALASKA 99S11 PHONE: Thank you for your letter in support of a state land exchange for the purpose of acquiring the powerhouse site and associated access needed for development of the West Creek hydroelectric project near Skagway. I am aware of the importance of this 22-acre site to the Authority, particularly given its location within the Klondike-Go1drush National Historical Park. At the present time, the department has decided to postpone the public meetings associated with the McCarthy land exchange proposal, which includes the parcel near Skagway. We will discuss the McCarthy exchange with Esther Wunnicke, the new Commissioner. If the new administration decides not to pursue the exchange, the department will seek acquisition of the West Creek parcel through other means. Please continue to keep the department apprised of the status of the West Creek project. You can be assured that we will continue our efforts to acquire the neccessary lands involved. Sincerely, cc: Honorable Rand Snure, Mayor, Skagway Honorable Jon Halliwell, Mayor, Haines William Corbus, Alaska Electric Light & Power Ralph Wilson, Alaska Power & Telephone Company Archie Hinman, Haines Light & Power Jim Wickes, DRD George Hollett, DLWM Esther Wunnike ~ ~ & f!JJ0UH!It ~o.~ dnc. P.O. BOX 40 HAINES. ALASKA 99827 Mr. Brent Petrie Alaska Power Authority 334 W. 5th Avenue Anchorage, Alaska 99501 Dear Mr. Petrie: December 16, 1982 BECEIVEQ [l:C 2 71982 At:ASKA POWER AUTHoIUJY This is a follow up to the comments made by the Haines Light & Power Co., Inc. (HLP) at the public hearings on the proposed West Creek Hydroelectric Project in Haines on December 8, 1982 and Skagway on December 9, 1982. HLP concludes that it would not be prudent at this juncture to proceed with the construction of West Creek in view of the economic uncertainties caused by the shutdown of the White Pass & Yukon Railroad. However, HLP believes the Alaska Power Authority should continue to resolve the land status problem at the proposed site of the powerhouse as well as continue to seek the West Creek water rights. HLP also believes study should be directed towards the possibility of selling energy from that Project to the Canadians. In the long run HLP has confidence in the future of the Haines-Skagway area and concludes that it would be wise to have all of the background work complete on West Creek so that the FERC license application, final design and construction could begin after an economic recovery. Please contact me if you have further questions. Very truly yours, " " , '" . ' .. '-__ '·:(:._L \vAC/ak William A. Corbus President THE CITY OF HAINES, ALASKA P.O. BOX 576 HAINES, ALASKA 99827 (907) 766-2231 In Reply Refer To: January 6. 1983 Eric Yould 334 W. 5th Avenue (2nd. floor) Anchorage. Alaska 99501 Dear Eric: At our last meeting in Haines with Brent Petrie and members of R.W. Beck Company. I suggested we contact the Yukon Territorial Power Authority to see if there was a way to sell Canada excess power from West Creek. My ~ain concern was that the West Creek project was coming on with such a high capital cost. it was doubtful if the project would provide lower cost power then we now enjoy. It appears if we built west creek to it's full potential rather then scaling it down to meet the present needs the project would be more cost effective. By working with Canada. it appears we could find a market for the excess power generated by the Project. Since that meeting. I have held discussion with Yukon Commissioner Doug Bell, who agree's that there is a need, at times, for additional power in the Yukon. At present the mines in Canada are shut down and the Yukon has excess power which could now be sold to Haines and Skagway if an interie was developed. When mining again returns to the Yukon or other industrial develop- ment occurs the Yukon would have need for any excess power West Creek may be producing. I feel that all type of alternatives must be researched to provide lower cost stable power for the small communities in Southeast Alaska and this may be a realistic alternate for our region. I urge your consideration. JDH/ktg s;z~ .. ~/ a~-:. Hall iwill ~1ayor