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HomeMy WebLinkAboutEUS_Implementation Plan_V14_Sept_1 AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Final September 1, 2011 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 1 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table of Contents 1. Introduction ....................................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Purpose and Objectives ................................................................................................................ 5 1.2 Guiding Principles ......................................................................................................................... 5 1.3 Timelines ....................................................................................................................................... 6 2. Background Resources ...................................................................................................................... 7 2.1 Review of Existing Energy End-Use Surveys .................................................................................. 7 2.2 Annotated Review of Alaska Energy Data Resources, Programs and Related Data ..................... 7 3. Overall Survey Methods .................................................................................................................... 7 3.1 Geographic and Sector Segmentation .......................................................................................... 7 3.2 Statewide Energy Use ................................................................................................................... 8 3.2.1 Statewide Energy Use by Sector ............................................................................................... 8 3.2.2 Statewide Street Lighting Energy Use- Mini Study ................................................................... 8 3.2.3 Water Treatment and Wastewater Treatment Statewide Energy Use- Mini Study ................. 8 3.3 Overview of Energy End use Data Collection Design .................................................................... 9 3.3.1 Establish the Sampling Frame ................................................................................................... 9 3.3.2 Select a Sample of Buildings from the Sampling Frame ........................................................... 9 3.3.3 Collect Energy Data from Sampled Buildings.......................................................................... 10 3.3.4 Estimate Energy End Uses Based on Survey Data................................................................... 10 3.3.5 Balancing Data Precision and Resources ................................................................................ 11 4. Railbelt and Southeast Residential Study Methodology ................................................................. 12 4.1 Evaluating the Use of ARIS data for Southeast and Railbelt Residential Analyses ..................... 12 4.1.1 Regional Distribution of ARIS Data ......................................................................................... 13 4.1.2 Characteristics of ARIS and Alaska Residential Housing Stock ............................................... 14 4.1.3 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 15 4.1.4 Use of ARIS Energy Rater Data................................................................................................ 16 4.1.5 Supplementing Missing Electrical Data in the ARIS Database ................................................ 16 4.2 Sample Frame and Sample Size Estimation ................................................................................ 16 4.3 Modified survey sample for Climate Zones 6, 7, and 8 ............................................................... 19 4.4 Survey Instrument Development ................................................................................................ 21 4.5 Energy End Use Analysis ............................................................................................................. 21 4.5.1 Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning ............................................................................. 22 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 2 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.5.2 Domestic Hot Water (DHW) ................................................................................................... 22 4.5.3 Interior Lighting ...................................................................................................................... 22 4.5.4 Exterior Lighting ...................................................................................................................... 23 4.5.5 Major Appliances .................................................................................................................... 24 4.5.6 Primary Cooking...................................................................................................................... 30 4.5.7 Other Kitchen Equipment ....................................................................................................... 32 4.5.8 Information Technology ......................................................................................................... 34 4.5.9 Entertainment......................................................................................................................... 35 4.5.10 Miscellaneous Electrical Appliances ....................................................................................... 36 5. Railbelt & Southeast Alaska Non-Residential .................................................................................. 38 5.1 Municipal/Borough Parcel Data .................................................................................................. 38 Location .................................................................................................................................................... 38 Parcel Data Availability ............................................................................................................................ 38 Data Detailed ........................................................................................................................................... 38 Current ..................................................................................................................................................... 38 5.2 Sample Frame ............................................................................................................................. 38 5.3 Preliminary Sample Size Estimates ............................................................................................. 40 5.4 Preliminary Sample Size by climate zone .................................................................................... 30 5.5 Available Data ............................................................................................................................. 30 5.6 Unique Stratification ................................................................................................................... 31 5.7 Survey Design .............................................................................................................................. 31 5.8 Survey Pre-Test, Validation, Reliability, and Vetting ................................................................... 31 5.8.1 Training ................................................................................................................................... 32 5.9 Data Collection Tools and Framework ........................................................................................ 32 5.9.1 Initial Data Collection & Review for Quality Control .............................................................. 34 5.10 End Use Analysis ......................................................................................................................... 34 5.10.1 Heating Ventilation and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) .................................................................. 35 5.10.2 Lighting ................................................................................................................................... 36 5.10.3 Office Equipment and Information Technology ..................................................................... 38 5.10.4 Food Service, Cooking and Refrigeration ................................................................................ 41 5.10.5 Process and Other Miscellaneous End Uses ........................................................................... 49 6. Rural North and West, Residential and Non-Residential ................................................................ 49 6.1 Available Data ............................................................................................................................. 49 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 3 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 6.2 Sample Frame ............................................................................................................................. 50 6.3 Survey Design. ............................................................................................................................. 51 6.4 Unique Stratification ................................................................................................................... 51 6.5 Data Collection Tools and Framework ........................................................................................ 52 6.6 HUB Community Methodology: Bethel Residential Study ........................................................ 52 6.7 HUB Community Methodology: Bethel Nonresidential. ........................................................... 54 6.8 Village Methodology. .................................................................................................................. 55 6.9 Collect Community Building Information for up to 225 Rural Communities. ............................. 56 6.10 End use Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 58 6.11 Survey Pre-Test, Validation, Reliability, and Vetting ................................................................... 58 6.12 Survey Implementation ............................................................................................................... 58 7. Future Opportunities and Needs ..................................................................................................... 59 7.1 Rural Fuel Consumption Study .................................................................................................... 59 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 4 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 1. Introduction The Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) set a goal of increasing energy efficiency (electrical and heat) by 15% by the year 2020. AEA contracted with WHPacific to develop a system for collecting baseline data related to power and heat usage to refine energy efficiency improvement efforts in residential and nonresidential structures in Southeast, Railbelt, and Rural Alaska.1 The overall intent is to perform an end-use energy study and establish a baseline record of end-use energy use. Changes in energy policy which seek to change the energy use behavior of individuals, communities, and businesses can be controversial, resource intensive, and difficult to implement. It is essential to carefully monitor the effectiveness of policy initiatives in attaining the desired reductions in end user energy consumption. The importance of measuring the effectiveness of energy policy implementation has been clearly demonstrated in studies of electricity market reforms in the UK, Norway, Alberta, and California.2 WHPacific is assisting AEA collect baseline data to monitor the effectiveness of policy changes on energy use in Alaska. This work involves two steps. In the first step, WHPacific designed a data collection method that gathers information about residential and non-residential Alaskan energy use. To the extent possible, the data collection system takes advantage of existing research and data gathering efforts, such as billing data, energy audit data, and other data collection efforts like RuralCAP home visits. Primary data collection through phone or other types of surveys and selected site visits are initiated only after all existing data sources have been consulted and used to the maximum extent possible. Following the development and AEA approval of the data collection method, the second step is the implementation of the approved method that will result in an accurate assessment of energy use. The intent is that AEA will use this data for educational purposes, as well as to develop and implement results-oriented energy improvement projects. This report presents a detailed description of the intended data collection plan and energy end- use methodology. The report begins with WHPacific’s understanding of the purposes and uses of the baseline data, and briefly describes how the plan could support an ongoing performance measurement system. While there is not an existing performance measurement system, the proposed methodology could help establish such a system. The second section presents available experience in measuring both residential and nonresidential energy use. The purpose of this review is to better understand the advantages and disadvantages of alternative data collection protocols. The third section briefly describes the three major geographic areas of interest to AEA: Southeast Alaska, the Railbelt region (including Anchorage and Fairbanks), and rural Alaska. 1 AEA end-use study proposal, “Understanding of the Project and Commitment” prepared by WHPacific, March, 2010. 2 Woo,C., Lloyd, D., Tishler, A, (2003) ”Electricity Market Reforms Failures: UK, Norway, Alberta and California.” Energy Policy, 31:11, 1103-1115. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 5 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates The subsequent three sections describe the proposed sampling and data collection methodology for residential and nonresidential end user energy consumption in each of these regions. The last section of this report discusses possible future directions for end-user energy data collection, with special attention to direct measurement of household home heating oil use in rural Alaska. 1.1 Purpose and Objectives The purpose of this project is to: • Provide baseline data on energy use in residential and nonresidential buildings through statistical estimates of building energy consumption by “end-use” (e.g., heating, cooling, lighting, etc.), stratified by building type, location, and other parameters. • Establish a framework for future end-use studies. This end-use data is used to: • Identify and rank opportunities for energy efficiency measures. • Track changes over time in building and community energy use intensities and greenhouse gas emissions. 1.2 Guiding Principles The WHPacific team developed the following guiding principles as a means to focalize our efforts: • Alaska has had a longstanding focus on energy conservation and has collected much valuable data related to building energy use (e.g., the ARIS database). This project will use these existing data resources and infrastructure to the greatest extent possible. This will result in a richer study with more contextual data than could have been accomplished without this project. • Maximize existing data sources to facilitate future integration and replication. • Establish a framework for future end-use studies by utilizing available data to gauge progress in intervening years. • Provide a research design for this first-ever State of Alaska Energy End Use Baseline Study. • Facilitate future conduct follow-up studies at 5 and 10 years. • Build upon the ISER End Use Energy Data Collection for Alaska Buildings-Guidance document prepared by Steve Colt. • Emphasize data collection over complex analysis. • Identify gaps in statewide knowledge regarding structures and support an on-going assessment of overall energy use in buildings. • Establish as the project goal the reduction in overall energy use through a comprehensive research design that allows stakeholders improved access to current energy end-use data, thus enhancing the knowledge base at every level possible for AEA, ISER and the State of Alaska. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 6 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates The first phase of this project was to chronicle all national “lessons learned” which provided a contextual background for the data collection plan. Please refer to the appendices for information on projects consulted. For this type of project, there are not “best practices” per se, rather just “practices” that are arguably best suited to the specific situation, available funding, and overall goals. The project vision was reflective of a goal established in the April 2010 Alaska Energy Pathway and reinforced by recent legislation “to improve energy efficiency (electrical and heat) 15% between 2010 and 2020.“ As stated in the RFP issue date February 24, 2011, “the goal is to collect baseline data and develop repeatable methodology that will allow the AEA, project partners, or others to be able to measure changes in energy use and infer improvements to energy efficiencies at a future point in time.” 1.3 Timelines The project’s general timeframe is as follows: • Phase I: (May 6, 2011- September 1, 2011). This includes the development of the overall data collection implementation and analysis plan. • Phase II: (September 1- December 1, 2011). This phase encompasses the general data collection period. • Phase III: (December 1- March 1, 2011). This phase includes analysis and final report write-up. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 7 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 2. Background Resources This section summarizes key background resources, data, and programs used to inform and guide the design of this end use study. 2.1 Review of Existing Energy End-Use Surveys A review of existing energy end use surveys was conducted to inform the development of this energy end-use survey, identify best practices, identify methodologies and data that could be used by this study, and identify any lessons learned and issues that may present challenges. A brief overview of each program is provided in the Appendix, including links to key documents and data for each of the surveys. A detailed summary comparison table is also provided. The review of existing surveys was used to inform and develop the AEA End Use Study, including sampling methodology, end use energy calculation, and other criteria. 2.2 Annotated Review of Alaska Energy Data Resources, Programs and Related Data One of the goals of this energy end use survey is to leverage existing data resources to the greatest extent possible. A review of existing and planned energy studies, data, databases, programs, and related information was conducted. An annotated list of these resources and a discussion of their potential uses for this energy end-use study are provided in the Appendix. 3. Overall Survey Methods This section describes the overall approach to population and sampling frame development, sampling, the use of historical data and analytic methods employed in this study. 3.1 Geographic and Sector Segmentation The study is segmented into four regions Southeast (Climate Zone 6); Railbelt (Climate Zone 7) and the Interior Rail belt (Climate Zone 8); and rural north/west. These regions are further segmented by residential and non-residential buildings. Non-residential buildings include offices, commercial buildings, service buildings, public assembly, etc., but exclude military, industrial and manufacturing. • Railbelt- Climate Zones 7 & 8 • Residential • Non-Residential (excluding manufacturing, industrial and military) • Southeast- Climate Zone 6 • Residential • Non-Residential (excluding manufacturing, industrial and military) • Rural • Combined residential and non-residential AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 8 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 3.2 Statewide Energy Use The primary purpose of this study is to provide energy end use details for residential and non- residential buildings. However, it is important to place building energy use in context of statewide energy consumption. Further details on several non-building energy uses, including street lighting and water/waste water treatment infrastructure, are desired. The team will coordinate with AEA to document overall statewide energy use, street lighting, and water/wastewater infrastructure energy use as described below. 3.2.1 Statewide Energy Use by Sector The team will work with AEA to obtain total sectored energy use summaries from the utilities for military, industrial, residential, commercial, and other aggregation levels as available. AEA will request total energy sales from the utilities broken out by sector. The team will aggregate this data and incorporate it into an overall statewide summary and place this in context with the building energy end use study. If the utilities are unable to provide this data, the team will work with AEA to develop a method to estimate missing data. Note that detailed energy end use data collection will be conducted for sectors other than residential and non-residential buildings. 3.2.2 Statewide Street Lighting Energy Use- Mini Study AEA desires energy end use data on street lighting to evaluate energy efficiency upgrade opportunities, such as conversion to LED lamps, hi/low dimming coupled with occupancy sensors, etc. Detailed street lighting data is generally available from the municipalities, DOT, and other agencies that own and maintain this data. The team will work with AEA and other lighting stakeholders to locate and solicit street lighting data from identified personnel. If needed, the team will create a street lighting data request form that can be sent to relevant agencies. The team will integrate and analyze existing street lighting data, and to the extent possible, provide a detailed energy end use breakout by lamp type. The team will also conduct a survey of street lighting (fixture counts, bulb types, and bulb wattages) in the rural villages and rural hub during the site visits for the rural sector field study. Aside from this, the team will not conduct field surveys or street lighting counts. 3.2.3 Water Treatment and Wastewater Treatment Statewide Energy Use- Mini Study AEA also desires to document energy consumption for water and wastewater treatment plants. The Alaska Native Tribal Health Consortium/ARUC program has extensive access to rural water and wastewater treatment facilities and has already secured support. The team will develop a data request form to be submitted to municipalities and other entities that own or operate wastewater treatment plants, requesting data on their total annual energy consumption. The team will work with ARUC to identify end use energy patterns for the rural wastewater treatment plants in the villages and hubs visited for the rural building energy end use data collection. The team will then aggregate the data, estimate energy consumption from non-reported municipalities, and estimate statewide energy consumption. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 9 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 3.3 Overview of Energy End use Data Collection Design This section presents an overview of the process by which the research team approached each specific component of the data collection plan. These tasks were characterized by a thorough and defensible data collection approach specific to each region and of facility type.3 3.3.1 Establish the Sampling Frame The sampling frame includes the total population of buildings one is trying to understand. The first step in sampling is to define the population of interest clearly and accurately. In this case, the populations requested by AEA included residential and nonresidential facilities in four distinct geographic areas. These “sampling units” are selected so as not to overlap and exhaust the entire population. The second step is to define the sampling frame. The sampling units are organized into sampling frames. The sampling frame helps identify the elements within each sampling unit. This requires specific knowledge of the number and characteristics of the total residential and nonresidential building population. 3.3.2 Select a Sample of Buildings from the Sampling Frame A sample must be representative of the total population (frame) and must be able to provide information that will allow AEA to make inferences about the full population. To ensure that the data collected from the sample can be used to generate conclusions about the entire population, the sample must reflect the overall characteristics of that population. For the purposes of this project, these characteristics included consideration of: • geographic region • climactic zone • community size • residential building type • nonresidential building type and aggregate energy use Special attention was given to the use of existing data whenever possible. These data sources included ARIS and RuralCAP data, among others. Statistical analyses compared these existing data sets to enumerated data (e.g. 100% of the population, such as the Housing Census4), results of random household surveys5, or utility records from larger utilities. 3 Much of the procedural material in this discussion is from Sapsforf, R., Jupp, J. (eds) Data Collection and Analysis, Sage Publications, Thousand Oaks, CA, 1996. 4 Alaska Housing Census Data 2010, from the Census Bureau’s website. (The data was taken from the Census Bureaus American Community Survey 2009 data set. It is the most current Alaska data available from the U.S. Census Bureau) 5 2009 Alaska Housing Assessment, prepared for the Alaska housing finance Corporation by Information Insights, December, 2009 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 10 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 3.3.3 Collect Energy Data from Sampled Buildings Whenever possible, existing data sets, such as ARIS and RuralCAP, will be used. This may require sampling within the data sets to ensure that the data is representative of the populations being considered. This data may be supplemented with additional data elements that are currently not included in existing data sets, particularly when data on the energy use in complex structures is inadequate. 3.3.4 Estimate Energy End Uses Based on Survey Data There are a variety of approaches used to estimate building energy end uses. The following figure illustrates the general range of energy end use calculation approaches, from simple (and least time/cost intensive) to most complex. The left end of the spectrum represents relatively simple, high-level end use calculation methods, such as the example end use calculation outlined in ISER guidance document in the RFP and contract. For example, heating energy use could be simplified to be simply a function of the climate, measured by heating degree days (HDD), and the building’s heating system fuel type. A more nuanced approach would be to use an “engineering calculation” which includes additional parameters. For example, heating energy estimates would consider wall construction, wall area, window area, window type, and other details in addition to HDD and fuel type. This method provides more detailed and nuanced estimates. The next step would be to perform a regression analysis and statistically adjust the simple or engineering calculations to match utility bills. At the most complex end of the spectrum, detailed building energy simulations could be used to estimate energy end uses. Each method has strengths and drawbacks, and appropriate applications. Simple Calculation or Value e.g., Htg Energy = f (HDD, Fuel Type)) $ Simple Energy End - Use Calculation Methods Complex Engineering Calculation “Tuned” Via Regression Analysis $$$ Engineering Calculation e.g., Htg Energy = f ( Sqwft , R - value, Window Area, Window Type, Infiltration, Htg Type, Furnace Age, etc.) ASHRAE, IESNA & Other industry - based calcs ; methodologies/data from other end - use surveys $$ Energy Audit + Building Energy Model e.g., AK Warm $$$$ AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 11 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 1: Continuum of Energy end use Calculation Methods The team has balanced the desire for more complex/detailed energy end use calculations with budget and time constraints, and project guidance to focus more on data collection, and less on complex data analysis. The team is planning on using a mixture of approaches. For the Railbelt and Southeast residential sectors, the team plans on using energy audit data in the ARIS database as the primary source of building thermal end uses. This provides a very high level of analytical rigor, and aligns with existing state analysis and data collection tools and practices. If this data is not available, the team will need to rely on simpler end use estimation approaches due to budget and time considerations. The ARIS data does not contain robust electrical end use or lighting data. Therefore, a supplemental survey will be sent out to residential homes in the Railbelt and Southeast. For nonresidential buildings in the Railbelt and Southeast, pre-existing data is more sparse. The team plans on using engineering calculations. In keeping with the program guidance to focus on data collection over data availability, as well as constraints imposed by utilizing pre-existing data, the team does not plan to perform the regression analyses of the “statistically adjusted engineering model” approach. For each building sampled, energy end uses will be determined. The “Unit Energy Consumption” (UEC) is the annual energy use for a specific end use and specific fuel type, or UECend use, fuel type. The total building energy use is the sum of all building end uses and all fuel types, or: 𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝐵𝑢𝑖𝑙𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 𝑈𝑠𝑒=��𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑖,𝑗𝑗=𝑓𝑢𝑒𝑙 𝑡𝑦𝑝𝑒𝑖=𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑢𝑠𝑒 Annual building energy use can be aggregated at various levels, including the overall state level. UEC’s can also be aggregated at various levels, allowing for various statistical analyses. 3.3.5 Balancing Data Precision and Resources The graphic below summarizes the elements that impact the total project budget and tradeoffs. Each of these elements must be considered to develop a methodology that meets the program’s goals and desires while staying within budget and timeline. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 12 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 2: Balancing Data Precision & Resources 4. Railbelt and Southeast Residential Study Methodology 4.1 Evaluating the Use of ARIS data for Southeast and Railbelt Residential Analyses Consistent with the principle of using available data whenever possible, the research team examined the use of available data for measuring end user energy consumption in residential settings. The ARIS data base emerged as an important resource for this study. ARIS data was compared to the Alaska Housing Assessment random sample and the 2009 US Census housing data6 to determine the extent to which ARIS data was representative of the residential housing stock. ARIS data analyzed included all homes built since 2008, and energy audits designated as: • As-is • BEES • From Plans • Weatherization audit as-is • Housing Authority • ACHP 6 Alaska Housing Census Data 2010, from the Census Bureau’s website. (The data was taken from the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey 2009 data set. It is the most current Alaska data available from the U.S. Census Bureau) 2009 Alaska Housing Assessment, prepared for the Alaska Housing Finance Corporation by Information Insights, December, 2009 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 13 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Non parametric statistical tests were conducted to compare the two data sets. Data from the housing census and/or the AHFC Alaska housing assessment random survey were used as the expected values in a non parametric chi square analysis. The results of that analysis are shown in the following figures. 4.1.1 Regional Distribution of ARIS Data ARIS data is not representative of the regional inventory of Alaskan residences, as illustrated in Tables 1 and 2 and Figure 3. Table 1: Comparison of ARIS and Housing Census Data by Region ARIS 2000 Census 2008 Estimate Number Percent Number Percent Number Percent SE (Other Urban) 2718 7.7% 42424 16.3% 49656 17.5% Railbelt 31508 89.3% 133659 51.3% 147921 52.2% Rural 1075 3.0% 84529 32.4% 85920 30.3% 35,301 260,612 283,497 Table 2. Comparison of ARIS Data with AHFC Housing Assessment Random Sample ARIS Alaska Housing Assessment Number Percent Anchorage Fairbanks Other Urban Rural 1 Rural 2 Less than 500 105 0.4% 0.08% 3.0% 0.0% 2.0% 12.5% 501-1,000 1650 6.3% 12.0% 15.2% 16.8% 16.2% 36.9% 1001-2,000 11706 44.4% 46.2% 48.2% 45.8% 54.0% 39.7% More than 2000 12930 49.0% 40.9% 33.6% 37.4% 27.7% 10.8% 26391 Missing 8936 25.3% Observations 35327 1700 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 14 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 3: Regional distribution of ARIS data versus Census data Chi Square non parametric test confirms that these two samples are significantly different. 4.1.2 Characteristics of ARIS and Alaska Residential Housing Stock ARIS was thought to be representative of the characteristics of Alaskan residences. Two dimensions of housing stock were tested; the age of the structure, and the number of bedrooms (a proxy for size). The results of these analyses are shown in Figures 4 and 5. Figure 4: Year built: ARIS data versus Census data Chi square non parametric test confirms that these two samples are not significantly different. 16.3% 17.5% 89.3% 51.3% 52.2% 3.0% 32.4% 30.3% 7.7% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% SE (Other Urban) Railbelt Rural Percent ARIS 2000 Census 2008 Estimate AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 15 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 5: Number of Bedrooms: Aris versus Census data Chi square non parametric test confirms that these two samples are not significantly different. 4.1.3 Conclusion The research team concluded that ARIS data is representative of the Alaska residential housing stock. Rural areas appear to be underrepresented; therefore, ARIS data can be used to measure end user energy consumption for Southeast and Railbelt regions. Residential buildings in rural Alaska may be informed using ARIS data, but additional data sets will be required to measure end user energy consumption. ARIS data appears to include sufficient observations on: • Single family dwellings, detached • Single family dwellings, attached (zero lot line or condominiums) The data set appears to substantially under-represent mobile homes and multi-family dwellings. However, based on preliminary review of the data, there appear to be sufficient mobile homes and multi-family dwellings in the Railbelt and Southeast regions to present a statistically significant sample. 0.03% 1.72% 13.87% 48.85% 28.06% 7.47% 4.5% 14.0% 27.6% 36.1% 13.9% 3.9% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 0 1 2 3 4 5 or more Percent ARIS 2010 Housing Census Data AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 16 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.1.4 Use of ARIS Energy Rater Data The State of Alaska continues to provide energy ratings to residential properties through the residential energy rebate program. This year’s program is expected to complete between 40 and 50 houses per week, yielding between 480 and 600 records during the timeframe of this study. While is it unlikely that all of these will be completed, the effort should generate adequate data to permit reasonable generalizations about energy use in these regions. 4.1.5 Supplementing Missing Electrical Data in the ARIS Database The residential energy rebate program only requires energy raters to collect detailed building thermal performance data. Data on other electrical and lighting end-uses are not part of the existing data collection protocols. An additional data collection component has been developed by the WHPacific research team to address this shortcoming. AKWarm energy rate data collection protocols will be supplemented by including an additional electrical data collection schedule and survey. In addition, electrical data may be required for mobile homes and multi- family residential facilities. If possible, historical ARIS data on these types of facilities will provide the basic information for thermal energy use. 4.2 Sample Frame and Sample Size Estimation For the purposes of this study, the sample needed to address four specific housing types: single family detached dwellings; single family attached dwellings (zero lot lines); multifamily dwellings; and mobile homes. Current data is not available on the distribution of housing types by climactic zones. Consequently, total occupied housing data was obtained from preliminary 2010 U.S. Census data for each Alaska census area7. The Census data was then combined by climactic zone. Data on occupied and vacant housing is shown in Table 3. The research team noted a high percentage of vacant housing in climatic zones 6 and 7. Approximately 13.5 percent of Railbelt housing units and 19.1 percent of Southeast Alaska housing units were listed as vacant. However, most of those units appear to be seasonal buildings, such as hunting cabins or other structures that may not require an in-depth energy analysis (Table 3). 7 Alaska Department of labor and workforce analysis, Research and analysis section, US Census Demographics, Accessed at http://live.laborstats.alaska.gov/cen/dparea.cfm AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 17 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 3 Alaska Housing Units by Census Area and Climactic Zone Climactic Zone Borough or Census Area Total Occupied Vacant Seasonal Number Percent of All Units Number Percent of Vacant Units Zone 6 Haines 1,631 1,149 482 29.6% 345 71.6% Hoonah/Angoon 1,771 931 858 48.4% 580 67.6% Juneau 13,055 12,187 868 6.6% 311 35.8% Ketchikan 6,166 5,305 861 14.0% 382 44.4% Petersburg 1,994 1,599 395 19.8% 262 66.3% Prince of Wales 2,992 2,194 798 26.7% 476 59.6% Sitka 4,102 3,545 557 13.6% 237 42.5% Skagway 636 436 200 31.4% 48 24.0% Wrangell 1,428 1,053 375 26.3% 248 66.1% Valdez Cordova 6,102 3,966 2,136 35.0% 1,341 62.8% Yakutat 450 270 180 40.0% 131 72.8% Total Southeast Alaska 40,327 32,635 7,710 19.1% 4,361 56.6% Zone 7 Anchorage 113,032 107,332 5,700 5.0% 1,499 26.3% Kenai 30,578 22,161 8,417 27.5% 6,083 72.3% Mau Su 41,329 31,824 9,505 23.0% 6,832 71.9% Total Zone 7 184,939 161,317 23,622 12.8% 14,414 61.0% Zone 8 Denali 1,771 806 965 54.5% 744 77.1% Fairbanks North Star 41,738 36,441 5,342 12.8% 1,676 31.4% SE Fairbanks 3,915 2,567 1,384 35.4% 724 52.3% Total Zone 8 47,424 39,814 7,691 16.2% 3,144 40.9% Total Rail-belt 232,363 201,131 31,313 13.5% 17,558 56.1% Once the total number of occupied buildings was determined, it was necessary to establish the number of buildings within each of the four housing types. Again, as this data was not available by Borough or Census area, the statewide average of the distribution of housing types was used to estimate the number of houses of each type by climactic zone. This method assumes that the statewide distribution can be extrapolated to regional data. The estimated sample size for each building type and within each climactic zone is shown in Table 4. Sample size was estimated using a margin of error of +/- 7.5% (MOE = 15), a confidence level of 90%, and a response distribution of 30%. The geographic areas specified in the proposal are reflected in the sampling plan. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 18 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates As displayed in Table 4, a preliminary sample size of 206 observations will be required for this study. However, these observations may not be proportional with the overall distribution of building type. As discussed with AEA staff, ARIS data from 2008 through 2010 will be used to provide thermal energy use information for mobile homes and multifamily dwellings. Table 4 Residential Sample Size Estimates with no Climactic Zones (MOE=15%, 90% Confidence, 30% Response Distribution) cell-based Table 5 lists the total number of observations required for each building type (i.e. the number of observations anticipated from the AKWarm Energy Ratings scheduled between July 15 and October 15, 2011). The distribution was taken from an analysis of existing ARIS residential “as is “audit data from 2008 to 2010. This analysis assumes that the distribution of audits by building type will follow historical patterns of ARIS data. In some cases, there is sufficient data from the planned AKWarm energy audits to meet the sampling requirements. Single family detached homes are clearly able to meet the sample requirements. Single family attached homes, often called zero lot line homes, may present some challenges, particularly in Fairbanks (Zone 8) and Southeast Alaska (Zone 6). However, the most significant challenges are associated with the potential underrepresentation of multifamily dwellings and mobile homes in all regions. Additional sampling may be required to overcome this shortcoming. US Census Building Type Distributio n Southeast US Census Building Type Distributio n Railbelt Total Sample Estimate d Units Sample Size (MOE=15 ) Estimate d Units Sample Size (MOE=15 ) Total Units Housing Type MOE=1 5 Single Family Detached 49.0% 13,933 26 52.0% 184,292 26 198,22 5 52 Single Family Attached 5.0% 1,422 25 8.0% 25,897 26 27,319 51 Multifamily 36.0% 10,237 26 34.0% 72,573 26 82,809 52 Mobile Home 10.0% 2,844 25 6.1% 18,369 26 21,212 51 Total 100% 28,435 102 100% 185,325 104 213,76 0 206 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 19 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 5 Additional Observations Needed Housing Type Estimated Observations in ARIS, 2008-2010 Southeast Railbelt Total US Census Building Type Distribution Additiona l Observati ons Needed (MOE = 15%, ARIS = 600) US Census Building Type Distribut ion Additiona l Observati ons Needed (MOE = 15%, ARIS = 600) Additiona l Observati ons Needed (MOE = 15%, ARIS = 600) Single Family Detached 235 294 49.0% 0 52.0% 0 0 Single Family Attached 12 15 5.0% 10 8.0% 11 21 Multifamily 4 5 36.0% 21 34.0% 21 42 Mobile Home 0 1 10.0% 24 6.1% 25 49 Total 480 600 100% 55 100% 57 112 4.3 Modified survey sample for Climate Zones 6, 7, and 8 If a three tiered climatic zone approach is chosen, the modified sample size will be conducted by Alaska climate zone as delineated below. The completed data collection quotas will be performed per the tables as found in the attached appendix. Data will be provided in an excel format, compatible with RDI requirements, and in a Sequel Server 2008 format. In terms of the Climate Zone Methodology, the following boroughs will constitute the various climate zones as represented in the map below: • Climate Zone 6 (Southeast) = As represented in the map below. • Climate Zone 7 (Southcentral) = Kenai Peninsula Borough’s, Matanuska Susitna Borough’s, Kodiak Island Borough, Municipality of Anchorage, and Valdez Cordova. • Climate Zone 8 (Fairbanks) = Denali Borough, Southeast Fbx, and Fairbanks- North Star Borough. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 20 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 2: Climate Zone Map Table 6- Residential Preliminary Sample Size by Climate Zone Zone 6 Zone 7 Zone 8 Total Location Units Sample MOE Units Sample MOE' Units Sample MOE Units Sample Bldg Type Single Fam Detached 13,611 17 20.0% 82,829 17 20.0% 17,452 17 20.0% 113,892 51 Single Fam Attached 1,389 17 20.0% 12,745 17 20.0% 2,685 17 20.0% 16,819 51 Multifamily 9,999 17 20.0% 54,160 17 20.0% 11,411 17 20.0% 75,570 51 Mobile 2,778 17 20.0% 9,717 17 20.0% 2,047 17 20.0% 14,542 51 Total 27,777 68 159,301 68 33,596 68 220,823 204 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 21 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.4 Survey Instrument Development Energy raters will continue to use the available AKWarm data entry screens for measuring thermal energy use. It is understood that additional data collection for electrical uses must be completed on all new energy audits as the data requested by AEA exceeds that of the new AKWarm software. WHPacific will develop data collection protocols for electrical energy consumption. To the extent possible, residential and nonresidential data collection will use the same protocols for comparability purposes. As requested by AEA, the survey team will try to solicit permissions from respondents to access utility records. Up to 10% of the respondent’s utility records maybe reviewed for verification purposes. This information will be used to verify end-use energy consumption calculations. WHPacific has developed the data collection instrument found in the Appendix for the residential component of SEAK, Railbelt. This instrument may also be applied in the rural sector. 4.5 Energy End Use Analysis The Railbelt and Southeast Alaska residential energy end use study has been designed to take advantage of the extensive number of high quality residential energy audit data stored in the Alaska Retrofit Information System (ARIS) database. The ARIS database contains detailed residential energy audit data dating to 1996 (93% of the data is from 2008-2011), collected as part of Alaska Home Energy Rebate Program, Building Energy Efficiency Standard (BEES) compliance certifications, weatherization, and related programs. Heating, Ventilation and Air- Conditioning (HVAC) and Domestic Hot Water (DHW). The Alaska Home Energy Rebate Program data contained in ARIS is particularly valuable to this end use study. The program requires a certified home energy rater to conduct a detailed building energy audit. The rater must useAKWarm8 to analyze building energy performance, focusing on building HVAC energy consumption. These audits take ~3-4 hours, and cost between $325 to $500 per home. The level of detail and rigor in these audits and energy analyses is significantly greater than that which could be funded through this energy end use study. Between 2008 and 2011, approximately 22,240 “as-is” (e.g., pre-retrofit) home energy rebate audits were conducted. At $325/audit, this represents a $7,228,000 investment in high quality residential energy audit data. The team plans to leverage this data to provide a significantly higher quality energy end use analysis of residential buildings beyond what could be performed within the constraints of the funding available for this project. The team understands that the ARIS database contains detailed AKWarm results, including energy end use breakouts by fuel type for building HVAC end uses and DHW, and is planning to 8 AKWarm is building an energy simulation modeling software tool that analyzes building energy use on an hourly basis using detailed climatic data, and uses detailed building envelope and HVAC system data obtained through the energy audit. AKWarms’ performance has been validated through the Building Energy Simulation Test (BESTest). AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 22 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates use the ARIS data as the primary data source for HVAC and DHW residential energy end use data in Climate Zones 6, 7, & 8. The team is still working to obtain access to the complete ARIS database and confirm that the necessary data is available. If ARIS does not contain the expected data (HVAC and DHW energy end use data by fuel type), this approach will need to be reevaluated. The audit data in ARIS does not contain detailed end use data on lighting, appliances, cooking, and other end use data. A supplemental survey will be conducted to obtain information on these end uses. Engineering calculations will be used to estimate energy end uses based on the survey data. The team explored the feasibility of sampling homes in the ARIS database to obtain linked data for HVAC, DHW, and other end uses. However, this is not feasible. Therefore, the sample will be drawn from other sources. Due to the detailed nature of the energy data in ARIS, the inability to link the HVAC and other end use data, and the programmatic focus on data collection over complex analysis, the team does not plan to perform a regression analysis to adjust the HVAC and DHW end uses calculated by AKWarm and the other engineering models to historical utility consumption data (e.g., statistically adjusted engineering models). 4.5.1 Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning The team plans to use existing energy end use data in the ARIS database as the primary source of HVAC end use data. HVAC end use estimates are based on a detailed building energy audit by a certified auditor and the use of a detailed hourly building energy simulation model (AKWarm). The team plans to use ARIS data from 2008-2011 to provide a large sample size and ensure that sufficient data is available for mobile homes and multifamily home. AKWarm uses average climatic data as the basis of the end use energy estimates (i.e., the end use results are already weather-normalized), so no further weather normalization is required. 4.5.2 Domestic Hot Water (DHW) The team plans to use existing DHW energy end use data in the ARIS database as the primary source of DHW end use data. If DHW data is not in ARIS, per the team’s understanding, this approach will need to be updated. 4.5.3 Interior Lighting The supplemental electrical end use survey obtains lamp quantity, wattage and weekly hours of operation data for each primary lamp technology (incandescent, halogen, CFL, fluorescent, and LED). The Unit Energy Consumption (UEC) is calculated from the following formula: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑟 𝑙𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔=�𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐿𝑎𝑚𝑝 𝑊𝑎𝑡𝑡𝑠× ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑟𝑠𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘× 52 𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘𝑠/𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑙𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡 𝑡𝑦𝑝𝑒 Where: AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 23 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates UECinterior lighting = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) Total Lamp Watts = total lamp wattage for each lamp type, including lamp and ballast wattage, per table Table 5. This accounts for the added power consumed by the ballast, for lamps typically powered by non-integral ballasts. Reported Lamp Watts = lamp wattage reported in survey Hours/week = average weekly hours of lighting use. Because the survey will be conducted close to the equinox, we believe that the reported weekly hours will be a good representation of average annual hours of operation. Table 7: Residential Lighting Fixture Wattage Lamp Type Total Lamp Watts Incandescent Reported Lamp Watts Halogen Reported Lamp Watts CFL Reported Lamp Watts Fluorescent Reported Lamp Watts LED Reported Lamp Watts + 6 Watts/Lamp Typical Ballast Power9 HID Reported Lamp Watts + 6 Watts/Lamp Typical Ballast Power Other Reported Lamp Watts Questions about lighting controls are also asked in the survey. These items are informational purposes only, and do not directly factor into the UEC calculations. 4.5.4 Exterior Lighting Exterior lighting calculations are nearly identical to interior lighting calculations: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑒𝑥𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑟 𝑙𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔=�𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐿𝑎𝑚𝑝 𝑊𝑎𝑡𝑡𝑠× ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑟𝑠𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘× 52 𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘𝑠/𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑙𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡 𝑡𝑦𝑝𝑒 Where: UECexterior lighting = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) Total Lamp Watts = total lamp wattage for each lamp type, including lamp and ballast wattage, per table Table 5. This accounts for the added power consumed by the ballast, for lamps typically powered by non-integral ballasts. Reported Lamp Watts = lamp wattage reported in survey Hours/week = average weekly hours of lighting use. Because the survey will be conducted close to the equinox, we believe that the reported weekly hours will be a good representation of average annual hours of operation. 9 Ballast power is variable depending on lamp size, ballast type (electronic vs. magnetic), ballast factor, and other factors. Ballast power typically ranges between 3 to 13 watts per lamp. A typical value of 6 Watts/lamp is used in this analysis. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 24 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.5.5 Major Appliances 4.5.5.1 Refrigerator Refrigerator unit energy consumption is based on methodology develop by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program10. The primary factors impacting refrigeration energy use are vintage, size, and type. The unit energy consumption is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑟𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟=�365 × 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝐹# 𝑅𝑒𝑓𝑟𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 Where: UECrefrigerator = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) AV = adjusted volume (ft3) EF = Energy Factor (kWh/ft3/year), per Table 6, which is a lookup table factoring in refrigerator type and year of manufacture And the adjusted volume is defined as: 𝐴𝑉=𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒× (𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐+(1 −𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐)× 1.63) Where: size = "Nominal" refrigerator/freezer volume (ft3) frac = Fraction of refrigerator volume devoted to fresh-food storage (0 ≤ frac ≤ 1). For side-by-side refrigerators, a fresh-food fraction of 0.6 is used, while all other configurations use a fraction of 0.66. 10 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Section 3.3.1 Refrigerator Energy Consumption AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 25 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 8: Shipment Weighted Energy Factors (EF) for Refrigerators11 Year General Automatic defrost Manual Defrost Side-by-Side Top Freezer 1972 3.84 3.57 3.56 6.69 1973 4.03 3.81 3.81 6.77 1974 4.22 4.05 4.06 6.85 1975 4.41 4.29 4.31 6.93 1976 4.60 4.53 4.56 7.01 1977 4.79 4.77 4.81 7.09 1978 4.96 5.02 4.75 7.18 1979 5.27 5.32 5.21 7.25 1980 5.59 5.62 5.67 7.32 1981 6.09 5.93 6.12 7.39 1982 6.12 6.02 6.30 7.69 1983 6.39 6.10 6.47 7.98 1984 6.57 6.12 6.75 8.19 1985 6.72 6.36 6.89 5.85 1986 6.83 6.49 6.95 6.14 1987 7.45 7.28 7.66 5.45 1988 7.60 7.45 7.83 5.09 1989 7.78 7.68 8.06 4.55 1990 8.15 7.78 8.51 4.84 1991 8.44 8.26 8.91 4.32 1992 8.80 8.69 9.36 3.50 1993 11.13 12.18 11.39 3.89 1994 11.19 12.45 11.37 4.13 1995 11.22 12.41 11.47 3.75 1996 11.22 12.08 11.48 4.21 1997 10.63 11.44 10.88 3.99 1998 10.5 11.30 10.74 3.94 1999 10.4 11.20 10.64 3.90 2000 11.11 11.96 11.37 4.17 2001 13.58 14.62 13.89 5.10 2002 15.17 16.33 15.52 5.69 2003 15.30 16.47 15.65 5.74 2004 15.70 16.89 16.06 5.88 2005 16.09 17.32 16.46 6.03 2006 16.49 17.74 16.87 6.18 2007 16.89 18.17 17.27 6.32 2008 17.28 18.59 17.68 6.47 2009 17.68 19.02 18.08 6.62 2010 18.07 19.45 18.49 6.77 11 Table data for years through 2003 is from Table 14 in “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”. 2011 data was taken from the ENERGY STAR energy savings calculator http://www.energystar.gov/ia/business/bulk_purchasing/bpsavings_calc/Consumer_Residential_Refrig_Sa v_Calc.xls (accessed 6/27/11), and linearly interpolated between 2003. The Home Energy Saver weighting factor methodology was used to develop EF data for different door styles.. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 26 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 2011 18.47 19.87 18.89 6.92 The following figure provides a graphic summary of the EF variation with time and equipment type: Figure 3: Refrigerator EF vs. vintage and type 4.5.5.2 Freezer Freezer unit energy consumption is based on methodology developed by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program12. The primary factors impacting freezer energy use are vintage, size, and type. The unit energy consumption is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑧𝑒𝑟=�365 × 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝐹# 𝑅𝑒𝑓𝑟𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 Where: UECrefrigerator = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) AV = adjusted volume (ft3) EF = Energy Factor (kWh/ft3/year), per Table 6, which is a lookup table factoring in refrigerator type and year of manufacture And the adjusted volume is defined as: 𝐴𝑉=𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒× 1.73 12 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Section 3.3.2 Freezer Energy Consumption 0 5 10 15 20 25 19721974197619781980198219841986198819901992199419961998200020022004200620082010EFGeneral Automatic Defrost, Side-by- Side Automatic Defrost, Top Freezer Manual Defrost AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 27 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Where: Size = "Nominal" refrigerator/freezer volume (ft3) Table 9: Shipment Weighted Energy Factors for Freezers13 13 Data for years through 2003 is from Table 16 of “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”. Updated data for 2011 was obtained and linearly extrapolated back to 2004. Year General Upright Design Chest Freezers Automatic Defrost Manual Defrost 1972 7.29 5.23 7.65 8.78 1973 7.72 5.43 7.93 9.27 1974 8.15 5.63 8.21 9.76 1975 8.58 5.83 8.49 10.25 1976 9.01 6.03 8.76 10.74 1977 9.44 6.23 9.03 11.23 1978 9.92 6.41 9.31 11.74 1979 10.39 6.95 9.84 11.77 1980 10.85 7.49 10.37 11.8 1981 11.13 8.03 10.89 11.82 1982 11.28 8.23 11.38 11.87 1983 11.36 8.43 11.44 11.91 1984 11.6 8.58 11.51 12.31 1985 11.55 9.5 11.56 12.04 1986 12.07 9.44 12.07 12.84 1987 12.93 9.57 12.6 14.41 1988 12.91 9.31 12.61 14.46 1989 13.89 9.47 13.86 15.48 1990 14.19 10.41 14.15 15.67 1991 14.17 10.43 13.95 15.92 1992 13.95 10.38 13.73 15.63 1993 17.38 13.65 17.3 19.43 1994 16.91 13.14 17.02 18.89 1995 16.57 13.16 16.95 18.28 1996 16.56 13.11 17.09 18.18 1997 16.41 12.99 16.94 18.02 1998 16.30 12.90 16.82 17.89 1999 16.16 12.79 16.68 17.74 2000 15.93 12.61 16.44 17.49 2001 17.38 13.76 17.94 19.08 2002 17.83 14.12 18.40 19.57 2003 17.06 13.51 17.61 18.73 2004 17.94 14.21 18.51 19.70 2005 18.82 14.91 19.42 20.66 2006 19.70 15.60 20.33 21.63 2007 20.58 16.30 21.24 22.60 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 28 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.5.5.3 Dishwasher Dishwasher unit energy consumption is based on data and analysis conducted by the Florida Solar Energy Center14. The primary factors impacting dishwasher energy use are vintage, the average number of loads washed, water heater type, and whether the dishwasher is ENERGY STAR® rated. In 1993, average dishwasher energy use was ~2.6 kWh and 10 gallons of water per load. In 2003, the U.S. DOE established the first dishwasher energy efficiency standards, requiring a minimum dishwasher energy use of 2.17 kWh/load (Energy factor of 0.46 cycles/kWh) for a standard size dishwasher in the “normal” cycle. By 2004, the ‘average’ energy use was 1.8 kWh and 6 gallons of water per load. An ENERGY STAR dishwasher uses ~1.8 kWh/load, and best available dishwashers use just under 1 kWh/load. Standby losses for control electronics are reported to be about 2 watts (~17 kWh/yr). Labeled annual energy use of dishwashers is based on a typical household dishwasher usage of 215 dishwasher loads each year, or 4.1 loads/week15. This is used as the default value or imputed value where data is unavailable. The unit energy consumption is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑑𝑖𝑠ℎ𝑤𝑎𝑠ℎ𝑒𝑟=𝐿𝐸× 𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑑𝑠× 52+SE Where: UECdishwasher = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) LE = Average dishwasher energy use per load (kWh/load), per, which is a function of vintage and type SE = Standby energy for controls, etc. ~ 17 kWh/year Table 10: Dishwasher-load energy (LE) vs. vintage and type Vintage ENERGY STAR rated? LE (kWH/load) Pre-2003 n/a (no rating) 2.6 2004 and later Standard 2.17 ENERGY STAR Rated 1.8 14 Florida Solar Energy Center (FSEC), “How Energy Efficient are Modern Dishwashers?” 2008, http://www.fsec.ucf.edu/en/publications/pdf/FSEC-CR-1772-08.pdf. 15 Florida Solar Energy Center (FSEC), “How Energy Efficient are Modern Dishwashers?” 2008, http://www.fsec.ucf.edu/en/publications/pdf/FSEC-CR-1772-08.pdf. 2008 21.46 17.00 22.15 23.56 2009 22.34 17.69 23.05 24.53 2010 23.22 18.39 23.96 25.50 2011 24.10 19.09 24.87 26.46 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 29 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.5.5.4 Clothes Washer and Clothes Dryer Clothes washers consume significant energy and water nationwide. Newer front loading ENERGY STAR rated washers can save over 50% of the water of a standard top-loading washer. This translates into significant water heating savings. Furthermore, front loading ENERGY STAR washers spin the clothes faster and remove more water that standard top loading washers. This significantly reduces dryer energy use. An ENERGY STAR standard for clothes washers was released in 1997. ENERGY STAR clothes washers are about 30% more efficient than standard models that simply meet the federal minimum standard for energy efficiency. There is no published data on standby energy use; this analysis assumes that standby losses for controls will be similar to dishwashers. Clothes washer and dryer unit energy consumption is based on the U.S. DOE’s ENERGY STAR clothes washing methodology and performance data16. The unit energy consumption is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑐𝑙𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑠 𝑤𝑎𝑠ℎ𝑒𝑟 & 𝐷𝑟𝑦𝑒𝑟=𝐿𝐸× 𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑑𝑠× 52 +2 × 𝑆𝐸 Where: UECdishwasher = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) LE = Average dishwasher energy use per load (kWh/load), per Table 9, which is a function of vintage and type. SE = Standby energy for controls, etc. ~ 17 kWh/year, multiplied by two to represent standby losses for the clothes washer and dryer. Table 11: Clothes washer/dryer energy use verses type and fuel Type Water Heating Fuel Dryer Fuel Electricity Use per Load (kWh/load) Fuel Use per Load (Therms/load) Front Loading (or ENERGY STAR) Electric Electric 1.44 0 Front Loading (or ENERGY STAR) Electric Fuel 0.49 0.03 Front Loading (or EnergyStar ENERGY STAR) Electric None 0.49 0 Front Loading (or ENERGY STAR) Gas Electric 0.15 0.05 Front Loading (or ENERGY STAR) Gas Fuel 0.99 0.02 Front Loading (or ENERGY STAR) Gas None 0.15 0.02 Standard / Top Loading Electric Electric 2.01 0 16 General background information: http://www.energystar.gov/index.cfm?fuseaction=find_a_product.showProductGroup&pgw_code=CW Energy calculator: http://www.energystar.gov/ia/business/bulk_purchasing/bpsavings_calc/CalculatorConsumerClothesWash er.xls AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 30 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Standard / Top Loading Electric Fuel 0.85 0.04 Standard / Top Loading Electric None 0.85 0 Standard / Top Loading Gas Electric 0.21 0.08 Standard / Top Loading Gas Fuel 1.24 0.04 Standard / Top Loading Gas None 0.21 0.04 4.5.6 Primary Cooking 4.5.6.1 Stove and Oven Stove and oven energy consumption is primarily a function of hours of use and fuel type. Stove unit energy consumption is based on methodology developed by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program17. The unit energy consumption for electric stoves is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑣𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑐=𝑝𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟× 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑑𝑎𝑦× 365 Where: UECstove electric = Annual energy consumption in kWh power = energy consumption rate of stove; for this study, a typical value of 1 kW is used usageday = hours of use per day for all burners combined The unit energy consumption for gas stoves is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑣𝑒 𝑔𝑎𝑠=�𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑣𝑒 𝑔𝑎𝑠× 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑑𝑎𝑦× 365�+𝑝𝑖𝑙𝑜𝑡𝐿𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡 Where: UECstove gas = Annual energy consumption in therms ratestove gas = energy consumed by stove; a typical value of 0.09 therms/hr is used here usageday = hours of use per day for all burners combined pilotLight = energy consumed by the pilot light, which is assumed to be 17 therms/year Oven unit energy consumption follows a similar methodology developed by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program18. For electric ovens, the unit energy consumption is calculated as follows: 17 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Equations 21 and 22. 18 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Equations 23 and 24. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 31 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑔𝑎𝑠 𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑐=𝑝𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟× 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘× 52 Where: UECoven electric = Annual energy consumption in kWh power = energy consumption rate of oven; a typical value of 2.3 kW is used here usageweek = hours of use per week for the oven The unit energy consumption for gas ovens is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑛 𝑔𝑎𝑠=�𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑛 𝑔𝑎𝑠× 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘× 52�+𝑝𝑖𝑙𝑜𝑡𝐿𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡 Where: UECoven gas = Annual energy consumption in therms rateoven gas = energy consumed by oven; a typical value of 0.11 therms/hour is used here usageweek = hours of use per week for the oven pilotLight = energy consumed by the pilot light, which is assumed to be 17 therms/year 4.5.6.2 Microwave Microwave unit energy consumption is based on methodology developed by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program19. The calculation is outlined in the following equation: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑚𝑖𝑐𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑎𝑣𝑒=𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑃𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟+𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑏𝑦𝑃𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟1000 Where: UECmicrowave = annual energy consumed by the microwave (kWh) ActivePower = power draw in active mode × hours per year microwave is on StandbyPower = (8760 – hours/year microwave is on) × power draw in standby mode For this study, typical microwave power of 1 kW in active mode, and 2.8 W in standby mode is used20. 19 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. 20 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Table 21. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 32 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.5.7 Other Kitchen Equipment 4.5.7.1 Coffee Maker Coffee maker unit energy consumption is based on methodology developed by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program21. The calculation is outlined in the following equation: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑐𝑜𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑒 𝑚𝑎𝑘𝑒𝑟=𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑃𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟+𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑏𝑦𝑃𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟1000 Where: UECcoffee maker = annual energy consumed by the coffee maker (kWh) ActivePower = ((P1 * P1Usage) + (P2 * P2Usage) +... + (Pn * PnUsage)) Pn = the energy consumed at various power levels (e.g. active use, on but idle etc.), per Table 10, which is a function of coffee maker typeTable 10: Coffee Maker Energy Use by Type PnUsage = hours per year the coffee maker spends at this power rate StandbyPower = (8760 – Sum(all active Usages)) * StandbyRate StandbyRate = energy consumed in standby mode, per Table 10, which is a function of coffee maker type (Table 8). Table 12: Coffee Maker Energy Use by Type22 Appliance Active Power Consumption (W) Standby Power Consumption (W) Coffee Maker: Drip (Brew) 1500 1 Coffee Maker: Drip (Warm) 70 0 Coffee Maker: Percolator (Brew) 600 0 Coffee Maker: Percolator (Warm) 80 0 Espresso Maker 360 0 21 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Equation 25. 22 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Table 21. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 33 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.5.7.2 Miscellaneous Kitchen Appliances Miscellaneous kitchen appliances may be included in this study, if desired. If survey administration time permits, the following appliances may be included: • Broiler • Deep fryer • Electric fry pan • Slow cooker • Toaster • Toaster oven Unit energy consumption for miscellaneous kitchen appliances is based on methodology developed by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program23. The calculation is outlined in the following equation: 𝑈𝐸𝐶=𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑃𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟+𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑏𝑦𝑃𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟1000 Where: UEC = annual energy consumed by the equipment (kWh) ActivePower = ((P1 * P1Usage) + (P2 * P2Usage) +... + (Pn * PnUsage)) Pn = the energy consumed at various power levels (e.g. active use, on but idle etc.), per Table 11 PnUsage = hours per year the equipment spends at this power rate, per Table 11 StandbyPower = (8760 – Sum(all active Usages)) * StandbyRate StandbyRate = energy consumed in standby mode, per Table 11 Table 13: Typical energy use patterns for miscellaneous kitchen appliances24 23 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Equation 25. 24 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Table 21. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 34 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4.5.8 Information Technology Information technology equipment in this study includes: • Desktop computer • Monitor • Laptop computer • Printer/ Multi-Function Device (MFD) • Router/DSL/Cable Modern • Fax Machine • Home Copy Machine Unit energy consumption (UEC) for information technology equipment is based on methodology developed by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program, as described previously. The power consumption data and typical usage patterns are summarized in Table 12. Appliance Estimated Wattage Active Usage (hours/ Year) Active consumption (kWh/year) Standby Wattage Standby Usage (hour/yr) Standby kWh/year Total kWh Broilers 1400 1 hour / week 52 73 0 8708 0 73 Deep Fryer 1000 23 minutes / week 20 20 0 8740 0 20 Electric Fry Pans 1000 14 hours / month 162 162 0 8598 0 162 Slow Cookers 200 13 hours / week 693 139 0 8067 0 139 Toaster 1100 6 minutes / day 37 40 0 8724 0 40 Toaster Oven -Toasting 460 4 minutes / day 25 12 0 8735 0 12 Toaster Oven -Oven 1500 23 minutes / day 140 210 0 8620 0 210 Typical Use AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 35 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 14: Typical energy use patterns for information technology equipment25 4.5.9 Entertainment Entertainment equipment in this survey includes: • TV • Gaming console • Digital video recorder (DVR) or TIVO • VCR/DVD • Cable box • Music playing systems Unit energy consumption for entertainment equipment is based on methodology developed by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program, as described previously. The power consumption data and typical usage patterns are summarized in the following table. 25 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Table 21. Appliance Estimated Wattage Active Usage (hours/ Year) Active consumption (kWh/year) Standby Wattage Standby Usage (hour/yr) Standby kWh/year Total kWh Desktop 68 5 hours / day 1825 124 1.2 6935 8 132 Monitor 84 5 hours / day 1825 153 2 6760 14 167 Laptop Charger 0 0 0 0 4.5 8760 39 39 Printers (Inkjet) 13 1 hour / week 52 1 4.2 8708 37 37 Printers (Laser) 250 1 hour / week 52 13 4.2 8708 37 50 Router/DSL/Cable Modem 6 5 hours / day 1825 11 2 6935 14 25 Fax Machine 800 30 minutes / day 183 146 5.1 8578 44 190 Home Copy Machine 175 4 minutes / day 24 4 30 8736 131 135 Typical Use AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 36 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 15: Typical energy use patterns for entertainment equipment26 4.5.10 Miscellaneous Electrical Appliances Miscellaneous electrical appliances in this survey include: • Transformers • Garage door opener • Electric water bed • Hot tub • Water well pumps • Sewage lift pump • Sump pump • Head bolt/engine block heater • Heat trace • Electric space heater • Decorative lights • Grow lights • Electric vehicles 26 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Table 21. Appliance Estimated Wattage Active Usage (hours/ Year) Active consumption (kWh/year) Standby Wattage Standby Usage (hour/yr) Standby kWh/year Total kWh TV (CRT -Projection) 225 2 hours / day 730 164 6.4 8030 51 216 TV (CRT) 60 2 hours / day 730 44 6.4 8030 51 95 TV (DLP) 175 2 hours / day 730 128 6.4 8030 51 179 TV (LCD) 150 2 hours / day 730 110 6.4 8030 51 161 TV (Plasma) 300 2 hours / day 730 219 6.4 8030 51 270 Gaming Console 20 1 hour / day 365 7 0 8395 0 7 Receiver 28 2 hours / week 104 3 2.8 8656 24 27 Satellite stations (standby losses)25 2 hours / week 104 3 15 8656 130 132 VCRs 18 2 hours / week 104 2 5.3 8656 46 48 DVD Player 16 4 hours / week 208 3 5.5 8552 14 17 Cable Boxes (standby losses)140 90 minutes / day 548 77 11.6 8213 95 172 CD Player 7 30 minutes / week 26 0.2 3.7 8734 19 19 Boom Box 8 30 minutes / week 26 0.2 5.2 8734 45 46 Tape Player 8 2 hours / week 104 1 1 8656 9 9 Typical Use AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 37 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates • Other appliances Unit energy consumption for miscellaneous equipment is calculated from the following equation: 𝑈𝐸𝐶=(𝑃𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒× 𝑇𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒)+(𝑃𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑏𝑦× 𝑇𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑏𝑦) Where: UEC = annual energy consumed by the equipment (kWh/year or kBTU/year) Pactive= power in active mode (kW) Tactive= time in active mode (hours) Pstandby= power in standby mode (kW) Tstandby= time in standby mode (hours) AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 38 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 5. Railbelt & Southeast Alaska Non-Residential There is little existing data on nonresidential Railbelt and Southeast Alaska and user energy consumption. This section describes how the research team determined the categorization of non-residential facilities, estimated sample sizes, and collected the energy consumption data. 5.1 Municipal/Borough Parcel Data o Municipalities and boroughs maintain detailed property records at the parcel level for taxation and other purposes. The level of detail varies by jurisdiction, with some jurisdictions maintaining detailed data on each parcel, and others collecting minimal data. Anchorage, for example, maintains very detailed parcel data, including information on building size, construction, etc. o The availability of the parcel data also varies by jurisdiction. Many jurisdictions maintain this data in digital format, although some jurisdictions store the data in a paper-based filing system. o The following table summarizes the digital parcel data27 that is available for this project, with a qualitative evaluation of its level of detail and currency. The available parcel data was obtained from each jurisdiction in aggregated form from Ingens (www.ingens.com), a commercial provider of public information in Alaska. Table 16 Summary of Alaska Parcel Data Location Parcel Data Availability Data Detailed Current Anchorage Y Y-Very Y Fairbanks Y N – TBD* Y Juneau Y Y - Moderate Y Kenai Y ? Y Mat-Su Y ? Y Ketchikan Y Y – “Decent” Y Kodiak Y Y – “Decent” Y Unavailable: Haines, Cordova, Everywhere else 5.2 Sample Frame Parcel data from Alaskan boroughs were occasionally incomplete. While the number of buildings was known, the distribution of building types was missing from select parcel data sets. The non- residential sampling frame was based on parcel data from the municipality of Anchorage that was collapsed into nine building types. The detailed Anchorage parcel data was used in the development of the collapsed building type categories. These categories were prorated and applied to summary parcel data from Fairbanks and the Boroughs in the southeast region. 27 Parcel data maintained in paper archives would require significantly time and resources to process and is not an option for this project AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 39 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 17. Preliminary Sampling Frame Anchorage Percent Distribution of Building Types Building Type Building Subtype Anchorage Parcel Data Building Type Totals Building Type Percent Food Services Restaurant 133 214 4.5% Food Stand 0 Fast Food 48 Bar/Lounge 33 Night Club 0 Warehouse and Storage Hangar 173 1704 35.9% Refrigerated Warehouse 0 Warehouse--General 1531 Institutional Education 103 277 5.8% Public Assembly 0 Public Order & Safety 0 Religious Worship 174 Library 0 Cemetery 0 Institutional--Other 0 Health Care Health Care--Inpatient 0 69 1.5% Health Care--Outpatient 69 Nursing Home 0 Lodging Hotel/Motel 74 113 2.4% Dormitories 39 Home for elderly 0 Lodging--Other 0 Office 701 701 14.8% Mercantile and Retail Strip Malls 56 681 14.4% Enclosed Malls 201 Food Retail 35 Retail--Other 389 Service Cinema/Theater 0 260 5.5% Automotive Oriented Services 232 Spa/Salon 0 Communication 0 Service--other 28 Other Parking 0 722 15.2% Sports facilities 32 Multipurpose 0 Miscellaneous--Other 690 Totals 4741 4741 100.0% AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 40 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 5.3 Preliminary Sample Size Estimates Proration of parcels in Southeast and Railbelt Alaska allowed for the estimation of sample sizes for Railbelt and Southeast Alaska. The basic sample size parameters used in this study include a margin of 15-18.4% (+/- 6) a confidence interval of 90%, and include a response distribution of 30%. These parameters are based upon balancing the precision with available budgetary resources and the complexity of collecting non-residential data. Table 18: Railbelt Preliminary Sample Size Estimation Railbelt Railbelt Mat-Su Kenai Valdez/O ther Railbelt Fairbanks Denali/SE FBKS Total Location Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample MOE Bldg Type Food Service 351 14 116 5 112 4 12 0 116 5 20 1 727 29 15% Warehouse 2797 10 807 3 892 3 93 0 922 3 75 1 5586 20 18,4% Institutional 455 12 335 9 145 4 15 1 150 4 12 0 1112 30 15% Health Care 113 12 80 8 36 4 4 0 37 4 3 0 273 28 15% Lodging 185 10 193 11 59 3 6 1 61 3 20 1 524 29 15% office 1,151 17 44 1 367 5 38 1 379 6 27 0 2006 30 15% Mercantile/ retail 1,118 15 308 4 356 5 37 1 368 5 30 0 2217 30 15% Service 427 11 414 11 136 4 14 0 141 4 11 0 1143 30 15% Other 1,185 17 71 1 378 5 39 1 390 6 25 0 2088 30 15% Total 7,782 119 2368 52 2,481 38 259 5 2,564 39 223 5 15,676 256 5.1% AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 29 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 19: Southeast Alaska Preliminary Sample Size Southeast Alaska Juneau Kodiak/Cordov a Ketchika n Sitk a Other Southeast Total Location Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample MOE Bldg Type Food Service 49 12 17 4 11 3 8 2 14 3 99 24 15.0 % Warehouse 386 10 134 3 90 2 62 2 109 3 781 20 18.2 % Institutiona l 63 14 22 5 15 3 3 1 6 1 109 24 15.0 % Health Care 16 8 6 3 4 2 3 1 5 3 34 17 15.0 % Lodging 26 8 9 3 6 2 10 3 20 6 71 22 15.0 % office 159 15 55 5 37 3 25 2 35 3 311 28 15.0 % Mercantile/ retail 154 14 54 5 36 3 25 2 43 4 312 28 15.0 % Service 59 12 21 4 14 3 9 2 17 4 120 25 15.0 % Other 164 15 57 5 38 3 26 2 40 3 325 28 15.0 % Total 1,07 6 10 8 374 37 251 25 17 1 17 289 30 2,16 2 21 6 5.2% AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 30 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 5.4 Preliminary Sample Size by climate zone If the climate zone approach is chosen, proration of parcels by climate zone allowed for the estimation of sample sizes for climate zones 6, 7, & 8. The basic sample size parameters used in this study include a margin of 20% (+/- 6) a confidence interval of 90%, and include a response distribution of 30%. These parameters are based upon balancing the precision with available budgetary resources and the complexity of collecting non-residential data. Table 20 Preliminary Sample Size by Climate Zone Zone 6 Zone 7 Zone 8 Total Location Units Sample MOE Units Sample MOE' Units Sample MOE Units Sample Bldg Type Food Service 82 15 20.0% 612 17 20.0% 136 16 20.0% 830 48 Warehouse 647 17 20.0% 4728 17 20.0% 997 17 20.0% 6372 51 Institutional 87 15 20.0% 979 17 20.0% 162 16 20.0% 1228 48 Health Care 28 11 20.0% 243 16 20.0% 40 13 20.0% 311 40 Lodging 62 14 20.0% 456 17 20.0% 81 15 20.0% 599 46 office 256 16 20.0% 1663 17 20.0% 406 17 20.0% 2325 50 Mercantile/ retail 258 16 20.0% 1878 17 20.0% 398 17 20.0% 2534 50 Service 99 15 20.0% 1017 17 20.0% 152 16 20.0% 1268 48 Other 268 16 20.0% 1737 17 20.0% 415 17 20.0% 2420 50 Total 1,787 135 13,313 152 2,787 144 17,887 431 5.5 Available Data The following data is available to the team for the non-residential methodologies: • AEA Commercial Energy Audits o ~130 audits to be done during study period • DOT Energy Audits of State Buildings o Extent of data availability being investigated • Retro-Energy Assessment for Loans (REAL) o Public buildings (municipal buildings, schools) o Extent of data availability being investigated • ARIS o Some non-residential data reported. Extent of non-residential reporting in ARIS to be determined when researchers have the chance to review the actual database. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 31 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates • AK Warm Commercial o Data inputs are available 5.6 Unique Stratification The stratification of the sample will be based on a proportional representation method combined with a rationalization of the anticipated end use calculations. Each of the commercial use classifications will be proportionally represented, as defined by the overall sample frame. One exception would be if classifications are similar enough to not demonstrate variation, thus justifying limiting those structures to a smaller number within the sample. For example, in a proportional sample, the commercial use classification of warehouse may represent approximately 15 percent of the commercial structures in the Railbelt. Due to the light energy use, building categories with a wide variance in energy use will be overrepresented in the sample as compared to building categories with fairly tight distributions of energy use. During the analysis phase, we will weight the data relative to their appropriate size, as required by proportional representation sampling. This modified approach will also allow us to collect additional data for those structures which are under-represented in a proportional sample. 5.7 Survey Design Data collection for non residential buildings will combine web-based data collection, telephone surveys, and, when needed, facility walk-throughs. Respondents will be contacted and offered an incentive to participate in the non-residential data collection effort. Participants who agree will be asked to furnish basic energy use data through the Internet using web-based data entry screens. Trained survey researchers will contact participants to conduct phone survey interviews; responses will be documented using CATI technology. Certain types of buildings will require additional on-sight data collection. A monetary incentive will be offered to participants to encourage participation. The incentive will be sent once the requested information has been provided. The incentive will be calculated by applying a fair hourly labor rate to the required participation time. As requested by AEA, the survey team will try to solicit permissions from respondents to access utility records. This information will be used to verify end-use energy consumption calculations. As in the residential methodology, not all utility records will be requested- up to 10% of the sample frame could be requested for verification purposes. 5.8 Survey Pre-Test, Validation, Reliability, and Vetting The survey will be pre-tested to ensure reliability and validity. One possible method of reducing respondent error involves detailed conversations with potential respondents regarding their understanding of the questions being asked. This technique, called cognitive interviewing, is AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 32 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates used to evaluate sources of response error in survey questionnaires. It was developed during the 1980s through an interdisciplinary effort by survey methodologists and psychologists28. Consideration of this technique was spurred by the agreement among the research team that some respondents may not have a working knowledge or understanding of end-use energy questions. This technique may assist the survey or is in better understanding the extent of potential respondent errors. The WHPacific team will conduct as many survey pretests as necessary. The WHPacific team will conduct a pretest of survey instruments in each of the desired target areas, including Railbelt and Southeast, as well as with each non-residential use classification. The one exception will be high-rise buildings which require an onsite assessment. The results of the pre-test will be used to refine the survey and add additional questions as needed to address variation and other factors. 5.8.1 Training The training of interviewers and help desk staff will be completed by the WHPacific team. Research and survey staff will be trained for the onsite, Internet, and phone survey portion of the data collection. The training will include instruction survey content and logic, question delivery protocol based upon built-in skip and rotation patterns written especially for the study during the design phase. Walk-throughs will also be conducted to enhance the conceptual understanding of commercial structures. 5.9 Data Collection Tools and Framework The survey data will be collected using appropriate data collection tools, including, but not limited to, WEB/CATI29 surveys and onsite visits. The WHPacific team will refine and modify the programming for the CATI system to accomplish all employed methodologies. The survey will then be programmed for the Internet using HTML and PHP coding and include graphical illustrations of computers, appliances, and other end use equipment. These graphical representations will assist with methodological compliance. The data collection process will vary based upon respondent preference and technical capabilities. It will be possible for the respondent to speak to an interviewer on a headset/cell phone while walking through their facility. This technology also allows interviewers to pause a survey, collect data over multiple phone conversations, or integrate phone data with data collected via the Internet or onsite. Due to the anticipated length of the survey, the data collection process may be conducted in a multi-phased approach, using multiple methods. 28 Caspar, RA, Lessler, JT and Willis, GB, Cognitive Interviewing: A “How To” Guide, based on a short course presented at the American Statistical Association , Research Triangle Institute, 1999 29 CATI is a generic term used in the research industry and means Computer Aided Telephone Interview. The CATI system has become an important tool for effective research and surveying systems. There are several vendors of CATI technology available on the market today. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 33 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Quota controls will be used to ensure the representativeness and methodological compliance of the data collection process. Call summary reports provided by the survey system will allow the team’s survey supervisors and analysts to monitor the progress of the data collection process. Interview logic will be embedded in all the survey instruments to control the manner in which questions and answer choices are presented to each respondent. This will entail the use of question skip algorithms, the randomization of question sequences, and the presentation order of answer-choices. Respondents will only answer questions relevant to their structure, etc. An initial call will be made to building owners securing their participation. We will identify, secure permission and gain an understanding as to whom will complete the survey (e.g. building owner or property manager). Survey respondents will be offered a CATI, web based or a hybrid CATI/web survey. The hybrid approach will allow each respondent to view detailed graphical images while simultaneously speaking with a trained interviewer who can further clarify the data required. This protocol is graphically illustrated in Figure 7. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 34 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 7. Data collection Process for Non-residential Southeast and Railbelt Alaska Please refer to the Appendix for the complete data collection instrument. 5.9.1 Initial Data Collection & Review for Quality Control An initial analysis will be conducted on the first 10 completed surveys to identify potential programming or respondent issues. After the initial assessment, the data will be reviewed on a daily basis to for quota controls and interviewer feedback. 5.10 End Use Analysis The energy end use estimates will be based on engineering calculations and building energy modeling. The WHPacific team will compile the survey data collected from the interviews into a format for further analysis and commercial use classifications. This includes compiling the necessary frequency distributions, descriptive and inferential statistics, and variable cross tabulations. Frequency distributions show categories of responses to questions by the actual number of responses and percentage of the total. The WHPacific team will combine frequency tables to describe two pieces of data related in some way (called cross tabulations). They will test variables of interest for correlation with AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 35 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates population demographic variables using cross tabulations. All relevant statistical tables and findings will be summarized and used for end use calculations. 5.10.1 Heating Ventilation and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) Building HVAC end uses will be analyzed through building energy simulation using AKWarm Commercial. The survey has been designed to obtain a minimal set of inputs necessary for an AKWarm simulation. The model will be built with less detail than would typically be required for a full building energy audit, but should provide significantly more analytical rigor than the simpler HVAC correlations used by many end use studies. The AKWarm Commercial Model is relatively easy to use, addresses many Alaska-specific issues, and accommodates the higher- level analysis required for the end use study, as compared to other building energy simulation models (e.g. eQuest, DOE2.1, e+, etc.). As a point of comparison, the California Commercial End use Study (CEUS) also used building energy simulation, but they had to develop a custom software solution. Their budget and timing (several years) also permitted a more detailed level of analysis than can be accommodated for this project. Note that the team plans on using AKWarm Commercial to only analyze the HVAC and DHW end uses. The other non-residential end uses will be analyzed outside of AKWarm using engineering models. AK Warm has the capability to enter miscellaneous building electrical and thermal end uses, but uses a more general approach where one must specify high-period and low-period power consumption (e.g., “on” and “standby” power use), and specify the appropriate schedule. This is better suited for a full building energy audit. For this end use study, the team will rely on more detailed engineering calculations which allow the team to focus the survey questions around key variables in the limited time available for each building. To account for the interactive impacts that lighting and the other end uses have on building HVAC loads, the results from the miscellaneous end use engineering calculations will be aggregated to provide an average power consumption during building occupied (high period) and unoccupied (low period) schedule. To successfully employ this approach, the team will coordinate with AHFC and/or the AKWarm developers on two key issues: • First, based on conversations with the AKWarm developers, the team understands that it is possible to create an AKWarm input file in XML format, and that the AKWarm development team can provide a script to convert the XML file into the appropriate binary format that AKWarm can read. The team plans to automate creation of the XML file from the survey data to the greatest extent possible. The team will need to coordinate with the AHFC and/or the AKWarm developers to obtain the XML format and the binary conversion script. • Second, the team also understands that AKWarm is able to output building energy end uses by fuel type. For example, for a building that uses a natural gas boiler for primary space heating, electric reheat, and a supplemental wood stove for heating, the team will AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 36 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates be able to obtain electric heating energy use (kWh/year), heating fuel use (kBTU/year), and wood used for heating (kBTU/year). If this data is not available, the use of AKWarm to analyze HVAC end uses will need to be re-evaluated. 5.10.2 Lighting Lighting energy use calculations are based on the CBECS methodology. For interior lighting, energy use is a factor of average lamp power per floorspace and average annual operating hours. The interior lighting relies on survey data for the percentage floorspace lit by each lamp type, and building operating hours. Typical values are assumed for average lamp system efficacy (lumens per watt) for each lamp type, and recommended average illuminance levels by building type. The exterior lighting portion assumes a fixed average power density per lamp type, by exterior lighting application: exit signs, exterior architecture, parking, exterior signs, and exterior landscaping. Average annual operating hours by building type are also assumed. Lighting UECs are calculated from the following equations: LightingInterior = OpHrs * SqFt * LPT Where OpHrs = annual operating hours (hrs), SqFt = building floor space (ft2) LPT =∑÷∗ bpeBuildingtyiLampType iibLampLPWLampPIL ,, , Where ILb = recommended lighting illumance levels by building type (lumens) LampPi = percentage of floorspace lit by a lamp type (%), per Table 19 LampLPWi = average system efficacy, accounting for fixture efficiency and lumen degradation over time (lumens per watt), per Table 18. The presence of electronic ballasts is determined by the type of fluorescent lamp present, T12 or T8. Table 21: Lighting system efficacy (lumens/Watt) for various lamp types Lamp Type Ballast Type Reflector Lighting Efficacies (lumens per watt) Fluorescent Magnetic Ballast (T12) No specular reflector 29.8 Electronic Ballast (T8) No specular reflector 43.7 Magnetic Ballast (T12) Specular reflector 37.3 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 37 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Electronic Ballast (T8) Specular reflector 54.6 Halogen n/a 8.6 HID n/a 27 Incandescent n/a 4.9 CFL n/a 20.6 Other n/a 11.4 Table 22: Typical lighting illumination levels by building type Building Type Lighting Illumination Level (Lumens/sqft) Vacant 50 Office/ Professional 35 Laboratory 40 Warehouse non-refrigerated 30 Food sales 40 Public order/safety 30 Health care (outpatient) 50 Warehouse (refrigerated.) 30 Religious worship 20 Public assembly 20 Education 30 Food service 30 Health care (inpatient) 50 Skilled nursing 30 Hotel/ Motel/Dorm 20 Strip shopping 50 Enclosed shopping center/mall 50 Retail (excluding mall) 50 Service (excl. food) 50 Other 50 Exterior lighting unit energy consumption is calculated from the following formula: LightingExterior = ∑∗ b type,Building i ,ghtingTypeExteriorLi ibPwrOpHrs Where OpHrsb = annual operating hours, by building type (hrs) Pwri = weighted average wattage per square foot by exterior lighting category (W) AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 38 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 5.10.3 Office Equipment and Information Technology The methodology for calculating unit energy consumption for office and IT equipment is straightforward, and takes the general form of the following equation, which sums up equipment energy consumption for each piece of equipment’s average on-time power use and average off or standby power use: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑜𝑓𝑓𝑖𝑐𝑒 & 𝐼𝑇 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑝𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡=�(𝑃𝑜𝑛× 𝑇𝑜𝑛)𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑝𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡+�𝑃𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑦× 𝑇𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑦� Where: UEC = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) Pon = Average equipment power during building occupied hours Ton = Time on, hours per year. Unless specified otherwise, this is based on the annual hours of operation for the building. Pstandby = Average equipment power during building unoccupied hours Ton = Annual building unoccupied hours Building occupancy schedule data is obtained from the survey. There are four primary sources for equipment and IT energy consumption that have been used. This includes the 2003 CBECS methodology and data tables30, energy savings calculators developed by the Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP)31, ENERGY STAR savings calculators and background data, data from the U.S. DOE’s Appliances & Commercial Equipment Standards program32, and the DOE study “Energy Consumption by Office and Telecommunications Equipment in Commercial Buildings.”33 Note that the latter study’s second volume, “Energy Savings Potential”34 may provide useful programmatic insight for improvement opportunities once the end use study is complete. 30 Kema, “Energy End-Use Consumption Estimates for Commercial Buildings (Sub-Task 3.2 Documentation of 2003 CBECS EUC Estimation, Final Report)” (U.S. Energy Information Agency, May 19, 2008). 31 Federal Energy Management Program, “Federal Energy Management Program: Energy Cost Calculators for Energy-Efficient Products”, n.d., http://www1.eere.energy.gov/femp/technologies/eep_eccalculators.html. 32 http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/commercial/ 33Arthur D. Little, Inc., “Energy Consumption by Office and Telecommunications Equipment in Commercial Buildings Volume I: Energy Consumption Baseline” (U.S. DOE, January 2002), http://www.biblioite.ethz.ch/downloads/Roth_ADL_1.pdf. 34 TIAX LLC, “Energy Consumption by Office and Telecommunications Equipment in Commercial Buildings, Volume II: Energy Savings Potential” (U.S. DOE, December 2004), http://www.tiaxllc.com/aboutus/pdfs/DOE_Energy_Consumption_1204_Rpt_033105.pdf. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 39 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Server unit energy consumption is based on the CBEC’s methodology35 and server power for different sized equipment, as tabulated for that study and summarized in the following table. Servers operate continuously, and for this study are assumed to operate 8,760 hours/year. Table 23: Server power Type # Servers Server Power (W) Server Closet 1-2 207 Server Room 3-24 213 Localized Data Center 25-199 249 Mid-Tier 200-899 241 Enterprise Class ≥900 284 The primary source for computer and related equipment power consumption is data tabulated for the CBECS analysis. Key data tables that have been excerpted for use in this study are summarized below. Table 24: Computer off-hour power Description Computer Off-Hrs Power (W) Power down / always turns off 2.5 Sometimes turns off 26 Never turns off 51 Table 25: Monitor on-hours power Description Monitor On-Hours Power (W) Flat-screen (LCD) 20 Mostly flat-screen 29 Some flat-screen 48 Not flat-screen (CRT) 57 Table 26: Monitor off-hours power Description Description Monitor Off-Hrs Power (W) Always turns off Flat-screen (LCD) 2 Mostly flat-screen 1.8 Some flat-screen 1.3 Not flat-screen (CRT) 1.1 Sometimes turns off Flat-screen (LCD) 6 Mostly flat-screen 8 Some flat-screen 13 35 Kema, “Energy End-Use Consumption Estimates for Commercial Buildings (Sub-Task 3.2 Documentation of 2003 CBECS EUC Estimation, Final Report)” (U.S. Energy Information Agency, May 19, 2008). AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 40 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Not flat-screen (CRT) 15 Never turns off Flat-screen (LCD) 11 Mostly flat-screen 15 Some flat-screen 24 Not flat-screen (CRT) 29 Table 27: Printer on-hours power Description Printer On-Hours Power (W) Inkjet 5 Laser 69 Other 74 Both 37 Table 28: Printer off-hours power After-Hours Power Management Printer Type Printer Off Hours Power (W) Always turns off Inkjet 2 Laser 0 Other 0 Both 1 Sometimes turns off Inkjet 2 Laser 14 Other 21 Both 8 Never turns off Inkjet 5 Laser 27 Other 41 Both 16 Table 29: Fax and copier off-hours power Description Faxes Off-Hours Power (W) Copier Off-Hours Power (W) Always turn off 0 1 Sometimes turn off 17 71 Never turn off 35 141 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 41 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 5.10.4 Food Service, Cooking and Refrigeration Commercial refrigeration and cooking represents a significant energy end use in certain building types. Energy end uses are explicitly calculated for the following sub-categories. 5.10.4.1 Commercial Walk-In Coolers & Freezers Commercial walk-in cooler and freezer unit energy consumption (UEC) is based on the methodology and calculations provided in the Walk-In Coolers and Freezers Preliminary Technical Support Document developed by the U.S. Department of Energy's Appliances and Commercial Equipment Standards Program36. The program provides detailed market and energy end use analysis for walk-in coolers and freezers of all classes. The technical support document categorizes walk-in coolers and freezers into 36 distinct equipment class types based on (1) refrigeration equipment parameters: operating temperature, the location of the walk-in (i.e., indoors or outdoors) and the type of condensing unit; as well as (2) walk-in envelope parameters: display/non-display, cooler/freezer, and size (volume). Engineering calculations were completed for each viable equipment class combination (pairing refrigeration equipment with walk-in envelope types) to arrive at individual baseline annual energy consumption values. To capture the efficiencies of the various refrigeration technologies available to each equipment class, additional energy efficiency design options (e.g. strip curtain, LED bubs, etc.) were modeled for each class as well. These energy consumption values were weather normalized by state. A reference table with all the UEC values is provided in the supporting Non-Residential Survey Methodology spreadsheet. The following table describes the parameters needed to determine the Alaska-specific annual UEC values for walk-in coolers and freezers including two additional refrigeration design options and three additional envelope design options above the baseline design per equipment class. Table 30: Parameters required for estimated walk-in cooler/freezer unit energy consumption Parameter Type Parameter Parameter Inputs Walk-In Envelope Class Operating Temperature Cooler, Freezer Display or Non-Display? Display, Non-Display Size small, medium, large Refrigeration System Class Condensing Type Dedicated, Multiplex Operating Temperature Medium, Low Condenser Location Indoor, Outdoor Selected Envelope Design Options Infiltration Reduction Device air curtain (active), strip curtain (passive), none Anti-Sweat Heaters yes, no Lighting LED, T8 Selected Refrigeration High Efficiency Scroll yes, no 36 DOE, “Appliances & Commercial Equipment Standards, Walk-In Coolers & Freezers Preliminary Technical Support Document.” Updated 3/23/2011 http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/commercial/wicf_preliminary_tsd.html AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 42 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates System Design Options Compressors Defrost Control yes, no A ‘display’ walk in cooler includes coolers with glass doors, such as those sometimes found in gas stations and convenience stores that have a walk-in beer cooler with glass door, or glass side access doors with a walkway behind the shelves for stocking, as illustrated below. Figure 4: Walk-in display cooler (left), and non-display walk-in cooler (right) 5.10.4.2 Commercial Refrigeration Equipment Commercial refrigeration equipment unit energy consumption (UEC) is based on the methodology and calculations provided in the Commercial Refrigeration Equipment (CRE) Preliminary Technical Support Document developed by the U.S. Department of Energy's Appliances and Commercial Equipment Standards Program37. The program provides detailed market and energy end use analysis for commercial refrigeration equipment of all classes. Figure 5: Commercial refrigeration equipment The technical support document categorizes commercial refrigeration equipment into 23 distinct equipment class types based on based on condensing unit type, operating temperature, door type, and orientation. Engineering calculations were completed for each equipment class to arrive at individual baseline annual energy consumption values on either a per unit or per 37 DOE, “Appliances & Commercial Equipment Standards, Commercial Refrigeration Equipment Preliminary Technical Support Document.” Updated 3/23/2011 http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/commercial/cre_prelim_analysis_tsd.html AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 43 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates linear foot basis, depending on the equipment class. To capture the efficiencies of the various refrigeration technologies available to each equipment class, additional energy efficiency design options (e.g. night curtain, LED bubs, etc.) were modeled for each class as well. A reference table with all the UEC values is provided in the supporting Non-Residential Survey Methodology spreadsheet. The following table describes the parameters needed to determine the Alaska-specific annual UEC values for commercial refrigeration equipment including two additional design options above the baseline design per equipment class. Table 31: Parameters required for estimated commercial refrigeration equipment unit energy consumption Parameter Parameter Inputs Condensing Unit Type self-contained, remote-condensing Operating temperature med (38 F), low (0 F), ice-cream (-15 F) Door Type transparent door, solid door, no door Orientation horizontal, semi-vertical, vertical # of units or linear feet # of units or feet 5.10.4.3 Residential Style Refrigerators Refrigerator unit energy consumption is based on methodology develop by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program38. The primary factors impacting refrigeration energy use is vintage, size, and type. The unit energy consumption is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑟𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟=�365 × 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝐹# 𝑅𝑒𝑓𝑟𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 Where: UECrefrigerator = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) AV = adjusted volume (ft3) EF = Energy Factor (kWh/ft3/year), per Table 6, which is a lookup table factoring in refrigerator type and year of manufacture And the adjusted volume is defined as: 𝐴𝑉=𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒× (𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐+(1 −𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐)× 1.63) 38 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Section 3.3.1 Refrigerator Energy Consumption AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 44 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Where: size = "Nominal" refrigerator/freezer volume (ft3) frac = Fraction of refrigerator volume devoted to fresh-food storage (0 ≤ frac ≤ 1). For side-by-side refrigerators, a fresh-food fraction of 0.6 is used, while all other configurations use a fraction of 0.66. Table 32: Shipment Weighted Energy Factors (EF) for Refrigerators39 Year General Automatic defrost Manual Defrost Side-by-Side Top Freezer 1972 3.84 3.57 3.56 6.69 1973 4.03 3.81 3.81 6.77 1974 4.22 4.05 4.06 6.85 1975 4.41 4.29 4.31 6.93 1976 4.60 4.53 4.56 7.01 1977 4.79 4.77 4.81 7.09 1978 4.96 5.02 4.75 7.18 1979 5.27 5.32 5.21 7.25 1980 5.59 5.62 5.67 7.32 1981 6.09 5.93 6.12 7.39 1982 6.12 6.02 6.30 7.69 1983 6.39 6.10 6.47 7.98 1984 6.57 6.12 6.75 8.19 1985 6.72 6.36 6.89 5.85 1986 6.83 6.49 6.95 6.14 1987 7.45 7.28 7.66 5.45 1988 7.60 7.45 7.83 5.09 1989 7.78 7.68 8.06 4.55 1990 8.15 7.78 8.51 4.84 1991 8.44 8.26 8.91 4.32 1992 8.80 8.69 9.36 3.50 1993 11.13 12.18 11.39 3.89 1994 11.19 12.45 11.37 4.13 1995 11.22 12.41 11.47 3.75 1996 11.22 12.08 11.48 4.21 1997 10.63 11.44 10.88 3.99 1998 10.5 11.30 10.74 3.94 1999 10.4 11.20 10.64 3.90 39 Table data for years through 2003 is from Table 14 in “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”. 2011 data was taken from the ENERGY STAR energy savings calculator http://www.energystar.gov/ia/business/bulk_purchasing/bpsavings_calc/Consumer_Residential_Refrig_Sa v_Calc.xls (accessed 6/27/11), and linearly interpolated between 2003. The Home Energy Saver weighting factor methodology was used to develop EF data for different door styles.. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 45 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 2000 11.11 11.96 11.37 4.17 2001 13.58 14.62 13.89 5.10 2002 15.17 16.33 15.52 5.69 2003 15.30 16.47 15.65 5.74 2004 15.70 16.89 16.06 5.88 2005 16.09 17.32 16.46 6.03 2006 16.49 17.74 16.87 6.18 2007 16.89 18.17 17.27 6.32 2008 17.28 18.59 17.68 6.47 2009 17.68 19.02 18.08 6.62 2010 18.07 19.45 18.49 6.77 2011 18.47 19.87 18.89 6.92 5.10.4.4 Residential-Style Freezer Freezer unit energy consumption is based on methodology develop by the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab for the Home Energy Saver program40. The primary factors impacting freezer energy use are vintage, size, and type. The unit energy consumption is calculated as follows: 𝑈𝐸𝐶𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑧𝑒𝑟=�365 × 𝐴𝑉𝐸𝐹# 𝑅𝑒𝑓𝑟𝑖𝑔𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 Where: UECrefrigerator = unit energy consumption (kWh/year) AV = adjusted volume (ft3) EF = Energy Factor (kWh/ft3/year), per Table 6, which is a lookup table factoring in refrigerator type and year of manufacture And the adjusted volume is defined as: 𝐴𝑉=𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒× 1.73 Where: size = "Nominal" refrigerator/freezer volume (ft3) 40 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”, July 2005, http://evanmills.lbl.gov/pubs/pdf/home-energy-saver.pdf. Section 3.3.2 Freezer Energy Consumption AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 46 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 33: Shipment Weighted Energy Factors for Freezers41 Year General Upright Design Chest Freezers Automatic Defrost Manual Defrost 1972 7.29 5.23 7.65 8.78 1973 7.72 5.43 7.93 9.27 1974 8.15 5.63 8.21 9.76 1975 8.58 5.83 8.49 10.25 1976 9.01 6.03 8.76 10.74 1977 9.44 6.23 9.03 11.23 1978 9.92 6.41 9.31 11.74 1979 10.39 6.95 9.84 11.77 1980 10.85 7.49 10.37 11.8 1981 11.13 8.03 10.89 11.82 1982 11.28 8.23 11.38 11.87 1983 11.36 8.43 11.44 11.91 1984 11.6 8.58 11.51 12.31 1985 11.55 9.5 11.56 12.04 1986 12.07 9.44 12.07 12.84 1987 12.93 9.57 12.6 14.41 1988 12.91 9.31 12.61 14.46 1989 13.89 9.47 13.86 15.48 1990 14.19 10.41 14.15 15.67 1991 14.17 10.43 13.95 15.92 1992 13.95 10.38 13.73 15.63 1993 17.38 13.65 17.3 19.43 1994 16.91 13.14 17.02 18.89 1995 16.57 13.16 16.95 18.28 1996 16.56 13.11 17.09 18.18 1997 16.41 12.99 16.94 18.02 1998 16.30 12.90 16.82 17.89 1999 16.16 12.79 16.68 17.74 2000 15.93 12.61 16.44 17.49 2001 17.38 13.76 17.94 19.08 2002 17.83 14.12 18.40 19.57 2003 17.06 13.51 17.61 18.73 2004 17.94 14.21 18.51 19.70 2005 18.82 14.91 19.42 20.66 2006 19.70 15.60 20.33 21.63 2007 20.58 16.30 21.24 22.60 2008 21.46 17.00 22.15 23.56 2009 22.34 17.69 23.05 24.53 2010 23.22 18.39 23.96 25.50 2011 24.10 19.09 24.87 26.46 41 Data for years through 2003 is from Table 16 of “The Home Energy Saver: Documentation of Calculation Methodology, Input Data, and Infrastructure”. Updated data for 2011 was obtained and linearly extrapolated back to 2004. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 47 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 5.10.4.5 Commercial Cooking There is a very wide range of equipment used in commercial cooking. While there are some data and methodologies for calculating energy consumption for individual commercial cooking equipment42, this represents only a portion of the diverse equipment found in a kitchen. Furthermore, it would be difficult to obtain accurate estimations of annual individual equipment usage via survey. The team plans on using methodology for obtaining cooking UECs based on the CBECs methodology. This method relies on per square foot energy use data reported by CEUS. The following figure shows total energy end use (electricity and natural gas) as reported by CEUS. As shown below, cooking represents a significant amount of energy in a certain class of buildings (Figure 10). Figure 10: Cooking and other miscellaneous energy use by ft2 and building type 42 For example,, the Federal Energy Management Program FEMP has developed a set of energy efficiency Calculators for commercial cooking equipment including Electric Fryers, Hot Food Holding Cabinet, Gas Steam Cookers, Beverage Vending Machines, Ice Machines, Range, Microwave, Toaster (oven), and a Coffee Maker. http://www1.eere.energy.gov/femp/technologies/eep_eccalculators.html 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 400.00 kBTU/Segment FS/YearAir Compressors Motors Process Miscellaneous Office Equipment Interior Lighting Exterior Lighting Refrigeration Cooking Water Heating Ventilation Cooling Heating AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 48 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates The following two data tables summarize the CBECs data for electricity and natural gas end use consumption by building type. Table 34: Cooking and other end use energy intensities, Electric (kWh/ ft2/Year)43 Table 35: Cooking and other end use energy intensities, Natural Gas (kBTU/ft2/Year)44 43 Data is from the California Commercial End Use Study (CEUS), online data access page, http://capabilities.itron.com/CeusWeb/ 44 Data is from the California Commercial End Use Study (CEUS), online data access page, http://capabilities.itron.com/CeusWeb/ End Use All CommercialAll OfficeAll WarehouseCollegesGroceryHealthLarge OfficeLodgingMiscRefrigerated WarehouseRestaurantRetailSchoolSmall OfficeWarehouseHeating 0.22 0.38 0.03 0.77 0.08 0.71 0.49 0.42 0.09 0.02 0.05 0.08 0.13 0.20 0.04 Cooling 2.04 3.23 0.33 1.91 2.88 3.87 3.57 2.41 1.10 0.33 5.76 2.21 1.17 2.61 0.33 Ventilation 1.63 2.43 0.28 2.05 2.58 4.04 3.06 1.79 0.86 0.24 3.24 1.81 0.96 1.29 0.28 Water Heating 0.12 0.17 0.04 0.12 0.14 0.08 0.12 0.03 0.13 0.03 0.38 0.14 0.10 0.25 0.05 Cooking 0.57 0.11 0.02 0.27 1.85 0.43 0.12 0.68 0.26 0.04 10.38 0.22 0.18 0.10 0.02 Refrigeration 1.83 0.47 2.21 0.46 22.42 0.71 0.41 0.90 0.86 13.44 9.87 1.03 0.50 0.58 0.28 Exterior Lighting 0.80 0.65 0.27 0.91 0.95 0.57 0.49 0.61 1.07 0.35 2.02 0.92 0.74 0.95 0.26 Interior Lighting 3.92 4.24 2.29 3.84 8.55 4.81 4.46 3.50 2.61 2.74 6.45 6.05 2.88 3.83 2.21 Office Equipment 0.97 3.09 0.23 0.72 0.37 0.86 3.58 0.17 0.35 0.17 0.63 0.49 0.46 2.19 0.24 Miscellaneous 0.80 0.65 0.42 0.49 0.95 2.52 0.58 1.11 1.00 0.57 1.13 0.69 0.25 0.78 0.39 Process 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.12 0.04 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 Motors 0.57 0.54 0.52 0.58 0.18 0.78 0.72 0.48 1.08 1.82 0.27 0.29 0.08 0.22 0.29 Air Compressors 0.13 0.09 0.08 0.14 0.04 0.22 0.09 0.02 0.30 0.23 0.02 0.09 0.01 0.10 0.06 Segment Total 13.63 16.08 6.74 12.26 40.99 19.61 17.70 12.13 9.84 20.02 40.20 14.06 7.46 13.10 4.45 End Use All CommercialAll OfficeAll WarehouseCollegesGroceryHealthLarge OfficeLodgingMiscRefrigerated WarehouseRestaurantRetailSchoolSmall OfficeWarehouseHeating 9.46 14.18 2.40 19.83 9.51 32.70 17.22 7.28 7.04 0.79 7.75 3.02 10.01 8.62 2.68 Cooling 0.39 0.35 0.00 3.46 0.00 1.55 0.54 0.07 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00 Water Heating 8.27 2.27 0.39 8.41 7.66 31.37 2.60 28.95 9.34 0.79 48.61 0.78 4.69 1.66 0.32 Cooking 5.88 0.20 0.19 1.66 10.35 3.37 0.23 4.42 1.02 1.22 153.29 0.52 1.05 0.12 0.01 Miscellaneous 0.47 0.08 0.03 0.86 0.02 1.45 0.10 1.43 0.99 0.01 0.01 0.27 0.03 0.04 0.04 Process 1.53 0.83 0.43 0.02 0.07 5.09 1.23 0.26 4.58 2.78 0.33 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.02 Segment Total 25.99 17.90 3.44 34.24 27.60 75.53 21.93 42.40 23.34 5.60 209.98 4.62 15.97 10.54 3.07 AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 49 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 5.10.5 Process and Other Miscellaneous End Uses The survey instrument will determine the presence of other miscellaneous end uses. The survey will not focus on obtaining detailed data on process loads and other industrial type end uses. Rather, we will use the CEUS data shown in the preceding graphs to estimate process and miscellaneous energy use per square foot of total building area. 6. Rural North and West, Residential and Non-Residential Data from rural Alaska may require information from multiple sources largely due to the high cost of logistical data collecton in rural AK. ARIS data, largely from the weatherization program, appears to be taken from a wide distribution of Alaska communities, both geographically and by community size. ANTHC has conducted energy ratings as part of their water and sewer program. Rural CAP has collected residential energy use on 2000 existing homes through their Energy Wise Program. An additional 518 homes will be assessed during the implementation of this study in the NANA Region during the timeframe of this study; this data will be used to supplement the existing ARIS data and Energy Wise data. The data set appears to have detailed energy- end use data. Additional communities in northwest Alaska will provide additional data to Rural CAP. The rural methodology will seek to secure a complete energy picture of at least one community and one HUB. For example, the community of Selawik has been the recipient of the Energy Wise program, the ANTHC Water and Sewer Audit, and has had some of their community facilities benchmarked as a result of the AHFC REALS Program. Approximately 60% of Selawik’s energy use practices have been collected through multiple agencies. The general approach is outlined below: • Conduct additional analyses of the extent to which existing data sources represent energy use in one to three village communities and one HUB Community • Leverage key informants within the various communities • Stratify by size and class (HUB Community and village) • Use combined data sources to develop an end use energy framework of existing residential and nonresidential rural energy use • A field technician would be sent into the community to verify secondary data collect other end use data, such as the Tribal Council building, street lighting counts, and other appropriate building types 6.1 Available Data There are multiple data sets to incorporate into the rural methodology. These data sets will be treated as primary data and included in the selected community’s end use energy analysis. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 50 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Energy Wise45. Through RuralCAP’s Energy Wise Program, data from approximately 2300 homes in over 35 communities will be available. Approximately 1922 individual home survey records are currently available and an additional 388 home surveys will be collected during the timeframe of the study. ARIS Rural Data46. There are 437 existing ARIS home records dating back to 2008. These home records are likely due to increased funding in the Home Energy Rebate Program and the weatherization program. ANTHC/ARUC Water/Sewer Energy Audit and Electrical Use Data. o Labor, Electricity, fuel usage, (FY2009-2011) for all communities. o Fuel purchase amount and cost for all ARUC communities each community. o Labor, electricity, fuel usage data in a different format, and for some non-ARUC communities o Energy Audits available on select communities. AHFC REALS Data. AHFC has up to 500 buildings that have been benchmarked available for inclusion in the end use energy study. AEA Energy Efficiency Grants through ASC EECBG, VEEP, and the Whole Village Retrofit 2010- 2012 AEA has approximately 109 communities enrolled in this village based program. To the extent that there is benchmark or energy data in the cluster sample, this will be leveraged. 6.2 Sample Frame WHPacific will employ a cluster sampling approach, with a focus on a small number of communities with a high sampling fraction in each community. We have targeted up to three (3) communities for potential inclusion in the comprehensive energy end use analysis. Bethel will be targeted as the HUB. The proposed sample frame consists of the 35 communities that participated in the RuralCAP Energy Wise Program, due to the detailed and robust home energy records available in this data set. This sample frame was narrowed to three communities through consultation with data from ANTHC/ARUC program, AHFC REALS program, considerations for geographic dispersion, and consensus between WHPacific, AEA, and ANTHC staff. The resulting cluster sample includes the following three communities: 45 WHPacific has access to all of the existing Energy Wise Data. This data is available for review; but is too voluminous to be included in this plan. 46 The ARIS Rural Data is found in the Appendix. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 51 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 31- Sample Frame- Selected Communities Community Region Available Data Villages Selawik NW Arctic Borough; NANA Region Energy Wise Data; ANTHC Energy Audit Data; Duplex High School Addition; Service to 5 Plex; Tank Farm SVC; Teacher Housing; Teacher Housing Savoonga Norten Sound; Kawerak Energy Wise; ANTHC Water & Sewer Data; Hogarth Kingeekuk Sr. Memorial School New Stuyahok Bristol Bay Region; SW Alaska Energy Wise; ANTHC Water & Sewer Data; and AHFC REALS Data; School building (electrical data only) HUB Dillingham SW AK ARIS Data; AHFC REALS Data; 6.3 Survey Design. Utilizing a cluster sampling approach with the three identified communities above, the WHPacific team will undertake a comprehensive data analysis and collection effort in these communities. Data collection for non residential will be based upon the same methods to collect non- residential buildings as found in the non-residential section of this plan. A technician will be sent to the community to perform a walk-through of targeted buildings, including the school, tribal buildings, power plant, and water and sewer system. Street light counts and other energy data (with the exception of transportation) will also be considered. As requested by AEA, the survey team will try to solicit permissions from respondents to access utility records. This information will be used to verify end-use energy consumption calculations. Data collection for residential will follow the protocols developed by RuralCAP and their existing home survey data base and will be analyzed and included in the villages end use energy framework. Existing ARIS data will be used to supplement the thermal analysis at the home level. Please refer to the Appendix for a copy of the Home Visit Record template. 6.4 Unique Stratification The stratification of the sample will be based upon a cluster sampling approach. This entails a focus on a small number of communities with a high sampling fraction in each one. This is largely due to the extraordinary cost of collecting data in rural Alaska. Additional village-based data collection will be performed onsite. There is additional reasoning for a cluster sampling approach. It is likely that the variation in use among individual buildings within a rural AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 52 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates community is greater than the variation in average use between communities. By collecting from a high proportion of all buildings in one community, we can be relatively confident that we are capturing this variation47. 6.5 Data Collection Tools and Framework The WHPacific will employ the following tools in the data collection of the rural communities. The HUB & Village Methodology is delineate below. Table 32: Data Collection Tools Data Collection Tools Building Type Rural CAP Home Visit Record Residential WHPacific Non-Residential Methodology Non-residential (School) Walk-through Field Data Collection Field Protocol 6.6 HUB Community Methodology: Bethel Residential Study 6.6.1 Confirm availability of Bethel Energy rating (AKWarm & Weatherization Data) energy consumption data and its relative usefulness, readiness, and relevance for thermal/heating calculations. Reportedly, AKWarm residential energy consumption data was collected in Bethel sometime within the past five years by AHFC certified energy raters and the housing authority. WHPacific will confirm this assertion and use what energy ratings are available. We are in the process of locating the data. It is uncertain at this time as to its completeness, the extent to which it represents the Bethel housing stock or if it has been entered into the ARIS database. If the available data is located, it may be in hard copy. In this case, it must be entered into the ARIS database or database of similar format and scope. Data entry will be performed by WHPacific and will be inputted into an appropriate spreadsheet for analysis. Data entry will be performed as an additional expense. 6.6.2 Conduct preliminary analysis of energy consumption data. Once the data is in a machine-readable form, either in the ARIS database or in some other analytic database, WHPacific can conduct a preliminary data quality assessment. Although WHPacific’s preference is to rely on existing data whenever possible, it is important to understand the extent of missing data, and to perform the needed data quality edits and checks to ensure that outlying values are identified. This will help increase the reliability of end-use energy estimates for the community. The WHPacific team will assess the data to determine if it is adequate for the energy calculations used in the similar estimates of residential energy consumption in Climate Zones 6, 7, & 8. Additional plans must be prepared for AEA review in the event that the existing data is insufficient to generate the quality and precision of the end-use energy calculations desired by AEA. Additional resources may be required to collect additional energy use data to increase the precision of the energy calculations. 47 Excerpted from End-Use Energy Data Collection for Alaska Buildings- Guidance Document AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 53 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 6.6.3 Confirm preliminary sample estimates by housing type for Bethel and these housing types represent Bethel. Conversations with ISER researchers identifies the demographic characteristics of the household as one of the best predictors of energy consumption. The 2010 US Census housing data for the Bethel community will be used as a way of developing a general sampling plan for residential end-use energy assessment in Bethel. The sampling plan for Bethel residential end-use energy data collection uses these characteristics for stratification of the sample. A preliminary sample size of 130 is used for budgeting purposes. Table 36 Bethel Preliminary Sample Size Sampling Size Estimates, Bethel City Households 90% Confidence Level, Margin of error = 10% Household Characteristics Number Size Percent Total Occupied Families with children under 18 869 63 7.2% Non Family and Families without children under 18 1027 64 6.2% Total 1896 127 6.7% 2010 US Census Data, Bethel City, accessed on August 17 at http://live.laborstats.alaska.gov/cen/dp.cfm#h Existing data will be compared with these expected values. In addition, the data will be checked against the four housing categories used in Railbelt and Southeast Alaska: • single family detached • single family attached • multifamily • mobile homes Under represented cells will be supplemented with additional data collection efforts. WHPacific's preference is to use existing data whenever possible. In this case, it is likely that the end-use energy consumption data collected for residences in Bethel will match the characteristics of the sampling plan. However, this can be confirmed only after all available data has been entered and analyzed. 6.6.4 Conduct residential electrical energy consumption survey In the event that the existing residential end-use energy consumption data is available and can be entered into an analytic data set, an additional survey for electrical energy consumption will probably need to be conducted. 6.6.5 Combine Energy Rating/Weatherization with the electrical data collected via survey A database containing Bethel residential end-use energy consumption will be developed which includes existing data supplemented, as needed, with additional information on general AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 54 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates household energy use characteristics conducted via survey research. This information will be combined with the electrical energy consumption survey data to produce a final analytic data set. In the event that existing energy consumption data is not available, AEA may be asked for additional resources to complete a survey to collect energy consumption data for a sample of Bethel households. 6.7 HUB Community Methodology: Bethel Nonresidential. 6.7.1.1 Complete nonresidential inventory by building type. The beginning of this process will require an inventory of nonresidential buildings by building type. The method for identifying building types was reviewed earlier with AEA. This can be done by securing a commercial building list from the City of Bethel and reviewing the various building types. 6.7.1.2 Review and revise nonresidential sampling plan. The inventory of building types will be used to determine the preliminary Bethel nonresidential sampling plan. The WHPacific team will rely largely on existing data to determine data collection requirements. At this time, we are assuming that there are approximately 200 commercial buildings in Bethel. We will sample approximately 50-75 buildings of this total in order to estimate the total end-use energy efficiency of non-residential buildings in Bethel. For budgeting purposes, we assume 75 buildings and 5 hours to collect the needed information. 6.7.1.3 Confirm availability of data. WHPacific will review available data for relevance to Bethel- REALS, AHFC, and AEA Sources. While WHPacific believes that there is some data in the data sources noted above on nonresidential end-use energy consumption, the extent to which existing data will be sufficient to establish an end-use energy framework is unclear. WHPacific will review and confirm the relevance of existing data to the proposed scope of work and that it is sufficient to meet sample requirements. The existing data sources will be compared with the sampling estimates described in #1 and 2 above. Discrepancies will be noted and discussed with AEA. 6.7.1.4 Supplement with additional nonresidential walk-throughs A hybrid approach, utilizing walk-throughs and survey research, will be implemented to collected data from nonresidential facilities. Raters/data collection experts will collect any additional data elements that are required for end-use energy calculations. It is anticipated that electrical energy consumption will be among the data elements collected. 6.7.1.5 Complete energy use calculations. The protocol for the end-use analysis shown in the EUS Methodololgy will be used for nonresidential energy calculations in Bethel. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 55 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 6.8 Village Methodology. WHPacific has identified the following communities to target for the village methodology/approach. These three communities were identified and chosen due to their involvement in Energy Wise, all three are ARUC communities, and all three communities were beneficiaries of the AHFC REALS program. These communities were selected through a discussions with ANTHC- New Stuyahok, Selawik; and Savoonga48; 6.8.1.1 Obtain the most recent available US Census data on household and demographic characteristics. As shown in the table below, many of the essential data elements required by the ISER predictive models come from the U.S. Census. It is uncertain if this data can be obtained at the community level. 6.8.1.2 Compare characteristics with Energy Wise data. WHPacific will utilize Energy Wise data for the identified communities for residential use. Once the availability of data is confirmed, a preliminary analysis will allow WHPacific to compare the community demographic and household characteristics from the Energy Wise data with those contained in the 2010 US Census. The results of this assessment will be reviewed by AEA and ISER to determine additional resource requirements for data collection. As in previous parts of the rural Alaska end-use energy study, the review of the extent of missing data is an important step in using the data in future predictive models. WHPacific staff will work with AEA and ISER to develop an acceptable and approved format for data to be used in the predictive calculations. 6.8.1.3 Confirm requirements of the ISER predictive models & collect additional data needed. Conversations with ISER researchers and AEA staff generated the following summary of required data elements for the models to predict energy use and other rural communities. This table will be periodically reviewed, modified and approved by AEA to ensure that data collected in this study will be sufficient for the models used to predict rural energy use. The data in this table will be collected and provided to ISER for its predictive model. See table below. 6.8.1.4 Complete energy use calculations. The protocol for the end-use analysis shown in the methodolgoy will be used for residential energy calculations in the three rural communities. 6.8.1.5 Utility Collect and synthesize utility data. Water and wastewater (ARUC/ANTHC) • Street lighting • Utility data will be obtained from existing sources. Many of these data elements are also shown in the table above. 48 Huslia was discussed as a village community. However, Huslia is not part of the ARUC program and does not have longitudinal data on the water and sewer system. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 56 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 6.8.1.6 Complete energy use calculations. WHPacific will work with ARUC and other organizations to identify end-use energy patterns for rural wastewater treatment plants in these communities. The team will then aggregate the data, estimate energy consumption from non-reported utilities, and produce final community utility energy consumption estimates. 6.8.1.7 Conduct or obtain nonresidential inventory for each respective community. An inventory of nonresidential facilities will be conducted similar to nonresidential inventory in the Bethel hub community. The building inventory is small and can be secured through the Department of Commerce and Community and Economic Development’s website. 6.8.1.8 Perform walkthroughs and manager interviews. Most communities have the facilities listed below. In some instances, there is available data on energy consumption. Gaps in the available data compared with the nonresidential inventory will be reviewed with AEA to determine the need for additional data collection and the attendant resource requirements to complete the task. A WHPacific engineer/technician will be sent to the designated community to collect the data. available data on: Schools, Clinics, Tribal and City Council offices, Grocery stores, National Guard Amory, Other facilities 6.8.1.9 Complete energy use calculations. The protocol for the end-use analysis shown in EUS methodology will be used for nonresidential energy calculations in the three rural communities. 6.9 Collect Community Building Information for up to 225 Rural Communities. WHPacific will collect community profile information for all communities in the state in order to support estimates and extrapolations that ISER will perform for the rural areas and to support estimates and extrapolations that AEA will make to support regional and local energy plans. There are an estimated 225 communities. WHPacific will attempt to secure information from each building in the communities including address, sq footage, type, year built, and other information found in the tax records from the larger communities and from the Census. If the building-level data is not available short of going through paper records in city offices, WHPacific will obtain whatever information is available, such as from Energy Wise, water and sewer data, AHFC data, through DCCED’s Community Database (http://www.commerce.state.ak.us/dca/commdb/CF_CUSTM.htm), and through other resources of WHPacific’s recommendation. The following fields are potential examples of the type of data to be collected for the community data base: TOT HOUSING UNITS, OCCUPIED HU, VACANT HU, SEASONAL USE OWNER OCC HU, RENTER OCC HU POP IN HH , GROUP QUARTERS, TOTAL HH , AVG HH SIZE, FAMILY HH , NONFAMILY HH TOTPOP18P, TOTPOP62P, TOTPOP16P. WHPacific will provide the source and the date of information. WHPacific does not guarantee that the building information inventory for each community will be complete. WHPacific has budgeted 6 hours per community to collect this data. This data will be provided in a raw format with no end-use analysis. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 57 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 37 Additional Data collection Variables Needed for Rural North and West End Use Study Data Gathered as Part of Village/Hub Studies Sources of the Same data in Non-Studied Communities Entity Responsible Population by community (to match Census Designated Areas) Census ISER Number of housing units by sector (single family, multi, mfg/mobile home) Census ISER Total number of people per housing unit Census ISER Number of people under 18 per housing unit Census ISER Number and square footage of non- residential buildings by sector (sectors used in Roadbelt/SE) Tax records, other sources?? AHFC REALS Data- WHPacific to consolidate and collect. Schools: square footage, year built, annual energy use (if available) AHFC, Dept of Edu, School Districts, RPSU (Gather actual annual energy use by community where available) WHPacific Water and wastewater system type (vacuum, pumps, heat trace, other?) ARUC, cities, other? (Gather actual annual energy use by community where available) WHPacific to provide as part of the mini—end- use study. Street lighting type EUS Survey WHPacific to provide as part of the mini—end- use study. Heating degree days AEA AEA/AHFC Wind AEA AEA/AHFC PCE Known building electrical energy use PCE/AEA AEA Other known building energy use (heat and electric) Assemble any known building or facility data in place of the variables for communities where this information is known, such as home electrical use through EnergyWise, AHFC's REELs data, water plant energy use, etc. WHPacific AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 58 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 6.10 End use Analysis The energy end use analysis will employ a combination of an engineering calculation utilizing the methodology developed in the residential section of this document and energy audit and building energy model for the non-residential buildings. The WHPacific team will compile the survey data collected from the Energy Wise Home Visit Records into a format for further analysis and commercial use classifications. This includes compiling the necessary frequency distributions, descriptive and inferential statistics, and variable cross tabulations. Frequency distributions show categories of responses to questions by the actual number of responses and percentage of the total. This data will then be imputed into the residential methodology as developed in this paper. The non-residential buildings will employ the building energy audit/energy modeling developed in the non-residential section of this document. 6.11 Survey Pre-Test, Validation, Reliability, and Vetting The Rural CAP Home Visit Record has been tested and employed in over 1900 homes. The WHPacific team will work with the Rural CAP staff for modification, quality control and assurance to the extent practical. Rural CAP has been working with ISER on the evaluation and data collection element of this program. We will work with ISER and Rural CAP to assure that new data to be collected will be complete. Before the non-residential survey and field visit/walk-throughs are performed in Rural Alaska. A substantive number of non-residential building walk-throughs will be conducted before it is performed in these cluster samples. 6.12 Survey Implementation The field visit for these cluster samples will be conducted in October and November of 2011. This will allow for the non-residential protocol to be refined. The new Energy Wise data home visits will be conducted between October 15 and December 1, 2011. All other data has been collected and will be analyzed from November-January. 6.12.1 Training There are two components that will require training: the field engineer/technician and the Rural CAP Energy Wise Field crews. The Field Visit/Engineer technician will be trained and oriented per the non-residential guidelines as found in this document. Ideally, this technician will have already performed several walk-through the rural work. AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 59 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates The Rural CAP Energy Wise Training is scheduled for October 15-25. Crew members will be trained on how to collect the data during these field based trainings. 6.12.2 Data Collection & Review for Quality Control While in the field, WHPacific staff will remain in contact with both the Energy Wise field crews and the field technician via the telephone for quality control purposes. There will be a field supervisor to oversee the Energy Wise crew who will be responsible for reviewing onsite data collection activities. All other existing data will be reviewed with key informants for quality control and assurance. Before the field technician leaves the community, all tools will be e-mail/faxed to a central WHPacific point of contact for QA/QC. 7. Future Opportunities and Needs 7.1 Rural Fuel Consumption Study AEA may be interested in a detailed procedure for accurately measuring the consumption of heating oil in rural communities. During deployment of Energy Wise in the NANA Region, home heating fuel records maybe collected via instrumentation methods in up to 20 residences. This brief paper summarizes preliminary research on this topic. Measuring the distribution of home heating oil Consumers in rural Alaska appear to have a variety of ways of paying for a home heating fuel. Although many houses have a 55 gallon drum or other storage unit outside their homes, many do not have routine fuel delivery from a central delivery station. They may obtain fuel in smaller quantities when fuel stores are low or as cash becomes available. Therefore, the use of fuel distributor billing data may not include all purchases for each home. Consumer survey data based on responses from individual householders about consumption habits may not meet AEA’s required level of precision. Therefore, this method was rejected. Measuring the consumption of home heating fuel There are a few sources of fuel flow meters which could monitor domestic fuel oil consumption. These meters must be capable of monitoring low flow rates, have clear monitoring at readouts and be reasonably priced. Some with low minimum flow rates are manufactures in the United Kingdom. The table below summarizes findings to date. Table 33: Fuel flow meters capable of monitoring domestic fuel oil consumption Brand Minimum Flow Rate Availability in the US Ease of installation Unit cost Brenntag VZ04 oil heating meter, UK 1 Liter/Hr None May require metric to standard conversion £ 139.95 ($201.17) Incenta Controls .01 Liters/Hr None May require metric to unknown AEA End Use Study- Methodology Page | 60 September 1, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Keromate, UK standard conversion FC4 Oil Meter, Elster Metering Company, UK 1 – 3 Liters/Hr Yes (Georgia) Standard couplings $650 Grainger 0YG1 .26 GPM Yes Standard couplings $336.20 GPI Turbine Design 01A Series Flow Meter 3 GPM Yes (VT) Standard couplings $166 Kent/AMCO Positive Displacement Oil Meters, 2.6 GPH Yes (NJ) Standard couplings unknown Staff at HASCO (a metering products distributor in Anchorage) estimated that these units could be installed in 1 to 2 hours in each home. The ability to reset the readouts to use in multiple homes is unknown. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 1 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Appendices AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 2 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Annotated Review of Energy End-Use Surveys AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 3 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Annotated Review of Energy End-Use Surveys US Energy Information Agency’s Commercial Building Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) CBECS is the DOE’s primary commercially building energy end use study covering buildings in the US. The target population is commercial buildings in the US greater than 1,000 ft2. CBECS uses a multistage area probability sample supplemented by a sample of buildings drawn from various special list frames within the primary sampling units (PSUs). A sample of 6,955 potential building cases was selected, with 5,215 completed building interviews for a response rate of 82%. The CBECS is conducted in two data-collection stages: a Building Characteristics Survey and an Energy Suppliers Survey. The Building Characteristics Survey collects information about selected commercial buildings through voluntary interviews with the buildings’ owners, managers, or tenants using Computer-Assisted Personal Interviewing (CAPI) techniques. Upon completion of the Building Characteristics Survey, the Energy Suppliers Survey is initiated for those cases that did not provide satisfactory consumption and expenditures information. This Suppliers Survey obtains data about the building’s actual consumption of and expenditures for energy from records maintained by energy suppliers. Note that the last (2007) survey was recently cancelled rather unexpectedly. This leaves the 2003 study (with analysis completed in 2008) as the latest available data and methodology (very few details on the 2007 methodology, etc. have been released, and are not likely finalized). There is also a National Academies review paper discussing issues and challenges related to the 2007 methodology in preparation for updating the method for the 2011 survey (also cancelled due to budget cuts). Note that this study is not directly tied to nor focuses on issues related to the cancelation of the 2007 survey. • CBECs website, with a variety of documents and links. o http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cbecs/. • Basic overview of sample and methodology o “2003 CBECS Sample Design”, http://www.eia.gov/emeu/cbecs/2003sample.html. • Detailed calculation methodology o Energy Information Administration (Prepared by KEMA, Inc.) “Energy End-Use Consumption Estimates for Commercial Buildings, Sub-Task 3.2, Documentation of 2003 CBECS EUC Estimation Final Report” May 19, 20081 o This document provides detailed descriptions of the engineering estimates for various energy end-uses. These are potentially useful for this study. . • Survey Forms: o US DOE, “2003 CBECS Building Questionnaire”, 2003, http://www.eia.gov/emeu/cbecs/cbecs03ques.pdf. o US DOE, “2003 CBECS Electricity Usage Form”, 2003, http://www.eia.gov/emeu/cbecs/electricity2003.pdf. o US DOE, “2003 CBECS Natural Gas Energy Usage Form”, 2003, http://www.eia.gov/emeu/cbecs/natgas2003.pdf. • 2007 CBECs survey review data o National Academies, Committee on National Statistics, “Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey Letter Report”, May 18, 2010, http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12922&page=1. 1 This document (CBECS Estimation Sub-Task 3 2 Final (6).doc) was provided by Jay Olsen at the the US EIA. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 4 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates o National Academies, Committee on National Statistics, “Meeting 1: Redesigning the Commercial Buildings and Residential Energy Consumption Surveys of the Energy Information Administration”, February 1, 2010, http://www8.nationalacademies.org/cp/meetingview.aspx?MeetingId=4080 . Notice of 2007 CBECS cancellation from DOE: http://www.eia.gov/emeu/cbecs/ US Energy Information Agency’s Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) This is the DOE’s primary residential building energy end use study for buildings covering the entire US. Specially trained interviewers collect energy characteristics on the housing unit, usage patterns, and household demographics. This information is combined with data from energy suppliers to these homes to estimate energy costs and usage for heating, cooling, appliances and other end. RECS uses a multi- stage area probability design: • 430 Counties were randomly selected; • 3000 segments/5420 Census Blocs were randomly selected; • ~19,000 homes selected for interviews (of these only ~15,300 were occupied primary residences and eligible. • Of these, 12,100 responded to the survey. Response rate ~ 79%) Trained interviewers conducted the interviews. A non-linear statistical model was applied to data from the Household and Energy Supplier Surveys to disaggregate total energy consumption into end-use components. • Program overview and methodology o RECS homepage, with links to program details and forms. http://www.eia.gov/consumption/residential/. o Methodology Brief, http://www.eia.gov/consumption/residential/methodology/2009/brief.cfm. • Data Collection Forms o US DOE, “2009 RECS Household Questionnaire”, 2009, http://www.eia.gov/emeu/recs/recs09/09recsquestionnaire.pdf. o US DOE, “2005 RECS Electricity Usage Form”, 2005 http://www.eia.gov/emeu/recs/recs2005/2005ElectricSuppliersQuex.pdf. o US DOE, “2005 RECS Fuel Oil Usage Form”, 2005, http://www.eia.gov/emeu/recs/recs2005/2005FuelOilSuppliersQuex.pdf. o US DOE, “2005 RECS Natural Gas Usage Form”, 2005, http://www.eia.gov/emeu/recs/recs2005/2005NatGasSuppliersQuex.pdf . o US DOE, “2005 RECS Propane Usage Form”, 2005, http://www.eia.gov/emeu/recs/recs09/09recsquestionnaire.pdf. US Energy Information Agency’s Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey (MECS) The US Energy Information Agency also conducts a nationwide manufacturing sector energy consumption survey. • MECS homepage o http://www.eia.gov/emeu/mecs/contents.html AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 5 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates California Residential Appliance Saturation Study (RASS) The California Energy Commission funded and administered a Residential Appliance Saturation Study for the state of California in 2009 that updates a similar 2003 study. California’s largest utilities participated in the study – Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E), Southern California Edison (SCE), San Diego Gas & Electric Company (SDG&E), Southern California Gas Company (SoCal Gas), and Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP). KEMA was the prime consultant. The study was implemented as a mail survey with an option for respondents to complete it online. The survey requested households to provide information on appliances, equipment, and general consumption patterns. Data collection was completed in early 2010. The study yielded energy consumption estimates for 27 electric and 10 natural gas residential end-uses and appliance saturations for households. These consumption estimates were developed using a conditional demand analysis, an approach that applied statistical methods to combine survey data, household energy consumption data and weather information to calculate average annual consumption estimates per appliance. The 2009 RASS resulted in end-use saturations for 24,464 individually metered and 1,257 master-metered households. Survey and conditional demand analysis results were weighted to provide population level estimates representative of the participating utilities that allow comparison across utility service territories, forecast climate zones and other variables of interest- dwelling type, dwelling age group, and income. • RASS homepage o “Residential Appliance Saturation Survey”, http://www.energy.ca.gov/appliances/rass/. • Online RASS Database (maintained by Kema), providing customized data queries. o http://websafe.kemainc.com/RASSWEB/DesktopDefault.aspx • Methodology & documentation o Kema, “2009 California Residential Appliance Saturation Study - Executive Summary”, October 2010, California Residential Appliance Saturation Study. http://www.energy.ca.gov/2010publications/CEC-200-2010-004/CEC-200-2010-004- V1.PDF o Kema, “2009 California Residential Appliance Saturation Study - Methodology and Appendices”, October 2010, http://www.energy.ca.gov/reports/400-04-009/2004-08- 17_400-04-009ALL.PDF. o RASS Appendices including survey, pretest results, direct mail materials, data collection protocols, etc. (24 MB): http://www.energy.ca.gov/2010publications/CEC-200-2010- 004/CEC-200-2010-004-AP.PDF California Commercial End-Use Survey (CEUS) The California Commercial End-Use Survey (CEUS) is a comprehensive study of commercial sector energy use, primarily designed to support the state's energy demand forecasting activities. A stratified random sample of 2,790 commercial facilities was collected from the service areas of Pacific Gas and Electric, San Diego Gas & Electric, Southern California Edison, Southern California Gas Company, and the Sacramento Municipal Utility District. The sample was stratified by utility service area, climate region, building type, and energy consumption level. For each utility service area, floor stocks, fuel shares, electric and natural gas consumption, energy-use indices (EUIs), energy intensities, and 16-day hourly end-use load profiles were estimated for twelve AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 6 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates common commercial building type categories. Detailed building energy simulation modeling was used to develop the energy end uses and load profiles. • CEUS Website o http://www.energy.ca.gov/ceus/ • Methodology and Documentation o Itron, “California Commercial End-Use Survey Final Report” (California Energy Commission, March 2006), http://www.energy.ca.gov/2006publications/CEC-400-2006- 005/CEC-400-2006-005.PDF. o Itron, “California Commercial End-Use Survey, Appendices A-J” (California Energy Commission, March 2006), http://www.energy.ca.gov/2006publications/CEC-400-2006- 005/CEC-400-2006-005-APA.PDF. End-Use Load Data Update Project for the Northwest Power and Conservation Council and Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships In recent decades, efforts to gather end-use load data appear to be scattered and minimal across the Pacific Northwest and East regions. Although a significant amount of data was gathered through Bonneville Power Administration’s End-Use Load and Consumer Assessment Program (ELCAP) in the mid- 1980’s through the early 1990’s, confidence in the data has waned as technologies change and consumer behavior evolves. The Northwest Power and Conservation Council’s Regional Technical Forum (RTF) and the Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships (NEEP) Evaluation Measurement and Verification (EMV) Forum sponsored a study to review existing end-use and load shape data studies relevant to the northwest and northeast Regions to identify gaps in and problems with the existing load shape data and establish priorities and study scopes for load shape improvements to support energy efficiency program planning, electricity markets and environmental policy. Elements of the work included: research and inventory the existing load shape data available, determine what load shape data is necessary to meet utility energy efficiency program, ISO-New England and PJM Capacity Markets (CMs), and air quality regulatory needs identify weaknesses in the existing data for use in efficiency programs, capacity markets, and air quality regulations, evaluate the transferability and applicability of existing load shape data to the Regions, provide a road map for meeting future short term and long term end-use metering needs. • Kema, “End-Use Load Data Update Project Final Report for the Northwest Power and Conservation Council and Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships”, September 2009, http://www.neep.org/uploads/EMV%20Forum/EMV%20Products/KEMA%20End%20Use%20Cata log%20Report%20Executive%20Summary%20for%20Web.pdf. Northwestern Energy (Montana) End Use and Load Profile Study An end use and load profile study was conducted for NorthWestern Energy (NWE)’s Montana service territory. This study was conducted in 2009 by Kema and the Cadmus Group. This study covers NWE's residential and non-residential customers with a particular focus on the residential and commercial sectors. The results of this study rely mainly upon primary research conducted in the form of onsite customer surveys, designed to inventory the current energy using equipment with regards to type, fuel, AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 7 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates efficiency, and operating conditions, as well as document the characteristics of the buildings themselves. This study also drew from historical audit data performed on NWE' s customers; however, significant effort was involved in the verification and calibration of this data to ensure that it was representative of NWE's customer base as a whole. Nexant’s team of engineers performed site visits for 225 residential and commercial customers with survey instruments formulated specifically for this study. High importance was placed on this data to ensure that the findings are specific to NWE's service territory and not the entire Pacific Northwest region. • Nexant and Cadmus, “Energy End Use and Load Profile Study for Northwest Energy (NEW)”, December 16, 2009, http://www.northwesternenergy.com/documents/defaultsupply/plan09/volume2/Chapter2- EndUseLoadProfile.pdf. Others • Northeast • RLW Analytics, “Coincidence Factor Study Residential and Commercial Industrial Lighting Measures” Prepared for New England State Program Working Group (SPWG), Spring 2007 • www.puc.nh.gov/.../116_RLW_CF%20Res%20C&I%20ltg.pdf • RLW Analytics, “New Hampshire Small Business Energy Solutions Program Impact Evaluation”, September 2004 www.cee1.org/eval/db_pdf/549.pdf • RLW Analytics , “NStar Electric Small Business Solutions Program Program Year 2002 Impact Evaluation”, November 2003 http://www.cee1.org/eval/db_pdf/403.pdf • Mid Atlantic o BGE, “Evaluation of the Load Impacts of the Electric Water Heater Load Control Program (Rider 6)”, Dec 2002 http://www.cee1.org/eval/db_pdf/560.pdf • Northwest o Seattle City Light, “Multifamily Space Heat Thermostat Metering Study, Phases 1 and 2” Dec 2006 www.seattle.gov/light/Conserve/Reports/Evaluation_11.pdf • Jamaica o The Planning Institute of Jamaica and The Statistical Institute of Jamaica, “Residential Consumer End Use Survey, Volume 1 - Household Energy & Transport”, January 2007. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 8 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Annotated Review of Alaska Energy Resources AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 9 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Annotated Review of Alaska Energy Resources Alaska Housing and Finance Corporation The AHFC (http://www.ahfc.state.ak.us/home/index.cfm) is involved in a wide range of energy-related programs, including; o Alaska State Energy Office –  The AHFC and Rural Development Division (R2D2) is the designated Alaska State Energy Office. It is the primary recipient of federal funds for the Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP), State Energy Program (SEP), and the Energy Efficiency Community Block Grants (EECBG), for renewable energy and energy efficiency in Alaska. AHFC works with the Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) to implement these programs. o Building Energy Efficiency Standard (BEES) –  Meeting the Alaska Building Energy Efficiency Standard (BEES) is required for all new residential homes and community-owned buildings receiving AHFC financing. Exceeding BEES may qualify individuals for special loans and rebates. The current standard is the 2009 International Energy Conservation Code (IECC) with Alaska Specific Amendments. AHFC is responsible for BEES, provides technical assistance and maintains a list of individuals who may verify BEES compliance on the required PUR-101 form. o Energy Ratings –  AKWarmTM Energy Raters - AHFC authorized individuals perform energy ratings to show compliance with Alaska Building Energy Efficiency Standards (BEES) and energy efficient loans and rebates. AHFC maintains a list of AKWarmTM energy raters and training requirements.  There are approximately 90 AHFC authorized energy raters in the state.  AKWarmTM Software - This AHFC software is used for energy efficient design, retrofit, or to determine an energy rating. Tested and approved by the U.S. Department of Energy. Energy use data is stored in the Alaska Retrofit Information System (ARIS) database. o Loans for Homes-  Energy Efficiency Interest Rate Reduction Program - Home buyers purchasing existing or newly constructed homes may receive an interest rate reduction for energy efficiency. The maximum interest rate reduction is 0.75% on the first $200,000 of an AHFC loan. The program may be combined with the Home Energy Rebate or New Home Rebate.  Second Mortgage Program for Energy Conservation - Homeowners may finance up to $30,000 of energy efficient improvements, choosing from a list of upgrades included on their home energy rating. It's often combined with a Home Energy Rebate.  Association Loan Program - Homeowners' Associations may borrow money for common area improvements, including energy upgrades.  Small Building Material Loan - Borrowers with residential property located in "small communities" may receive a home improvement loan of up to $100,000. Improvements may include energy-efficiency and renewable energy. o Loans for Buildings  Alaska Energy Efficiency Revolving Loan Fund - A loan fund established to finance energy- efficiency improvements to State, school district, university and municipal buildings in Alaska. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 10 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates o Rebates  Appliance Rebate - Alaskans with proven disabilities may receive a rebate for purchasing certain Energy Star appliances. Rebates vary from $150 to $500 per appliance.  Home Energy Rebate Program - The rebate program assists homeowners in making the best energy efficiency improvements to their home. The program requires an AKWarmTM energy rater to evaluate the home before and after the improvements. The more a home's energy efficiency improves, the greater the potential rebate. Maximum rebate is $10,000.  New Home Rebate - A $7500 rebate for the purchase of a newly constructed 5 Star Plus home. o Research, Information, Education, Workshops  Cold Climate Housing Research Center - Alaska Housing Finance Corporation funds the Cold Climate Housing Research Center (located in Fairbanks) to meet the challenge of building energy efficient, safe, affordable homes in Alaska by providing applied research on housing across Alaska.  Research Information Center - The Research Information Center (RIC) provides information and technical assistance for AHFC Energy Programs via the web, phone and visits. The RIC Library lends books, fact sheets, videos, reports, catalogs and other resources on northern building, innovative housing construction, energy efficiency, renewable energy and sustainable technology.  Speakers Bureau - Alaska non-profit agencies may apply for funding for guest speakers on energy-efficiency, sustainability and renewable energy topics. Speaking events must be open to the general public.  Speaker Request - Groups may request free presentations on AHFC Energy programs.  Workshops - AHFC offers energy and weatherization workshops, classes and seminars for consumers, builders, energy raters, lenders, real estate professionals and others through our training partners. AHFC also offers seminars taught by energy program staff, such as the popular "Read Your Energy Rating" class. o Supplemental Housing Development Grant Program (SHG) –  This grant provides funding to regional housing authorities to supplement housing projects that may include energy-efficient design features in homes. o Weatherization Program –  To help lower home energy use, homeowners or renters who meet income guidelines may qualify to have their home weatherized. To apply, individuals should contact the weatherization service provider or regional housing authority in their area. The weatherization provider will provide program services at no cost to qualified applicants. Alaska Home Energy Rebate Program The Alaska Home Energy Rebate program has driven demand for energy ratings and energy efficiency in Alaska. o The rebate program assists homeowners statewide in making the best energy-efficiency improvements for their home. AHFC is making every effort to provide funds in a fair and equitable manner. o The program requires a certified home energy rater to evaluate homes before and after the improvements. The more a home’s energy efficiency improves, the greater the possible rebate. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 11 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates o Since May 2008, AHFC has been accepting AKWarmTM Energy Ratings performed by AKWarmTM certified energy raters for the Home Energy Rebate program. The cost of these ratings are covered by AHFC and reimbursed directly to the homeowner. o The Home Energy Rebate program provides rebates up to $10,000 to homeowners who improve the energy efficiency of their homes. o Audit takes 3-4 hours. The state reimburses homeowners for up to $325 for the audit. Auditors may charge more, with some charging up to $500. o The State releases up to 20 audits per week. This may ramp up in July 2011 if funding is increased. The homeowner’s name is released to the auditor, allowing the auditor to contact them directly. Energy auditors are generally over-subscribed. o AHFC is responsible for recruitment, waiting list management, applicant screenings, and other program tasks. Auditors upload audit data into ARIS. There is a standard report generated from AK Warm that is delivered to the homeowner. The home auditor is responsible for uploading the audit data into ARIS. o Potentially, there would be ~240 audits between the months of August – October. This could increase if additional funding is released. AKWarm Energy Rating Software o AKWarm is an energy modeling software tool that was developed to analyze and rate the total energy use, end-use, and efficiency of residential buildings in Alaska. It can calculate building energy use, evaluate energy efficiency measures, show compliance with the State of Alaska's Building Energy Efficiency Standard (BEES) and the Municipality of Anchorage's heat loss calculations, and is required for the Alaska Home Energy Rebate Program. o AKWarm was first released in 1996. The current version is limited to residential buildings, and is particularly strong at assessing building envelope, heat-loss issues, and heating systems. This software focuses on building thermal loads. It has limited inputs for electrical end uses. o A beta version of AK Warm for commercial buildings has also been recently released. The Cold Climate Housing Research Center (CCHRC) and AHFC recently identified key features that need to be added in order for AKWarm to become a valuable tool for light commercial building energy audits. Under this project CCHRC will expand AKWarm’s capability by enhancing its ability to address:  Commercial envelope construction techniques and materials  Electrical loads  Commercial HVAC Alaska Retrofit Information System (ARIS) o Premium database - The ARIS project goal: Create a means by which to collect, manage, access, and report on information relating to AHFC’s rebate and weatherization programs, as well as other official uses of AKWarm as previously mentioned. o The data collected provides ALL OF US, including CCHRC (Cold Climate Housing Research Center) and AHFC, with valuable information about energy conservation effectiveness and also provides a strong basis for statistical analysis and follow-up in grounded studies such as our END-USE project. o ARIS development in 2010 has information about energy usage and the efficiency of public and commercial buildings throughout Alaska and is preparing for substantial retrofit work in AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 12 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 2011 and 2012. It uses federal funds being accessed through the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. We understand that CCHRC is collaborating with the Alaska Native Tribal Health Consortium so that ARIS can be used for their public building retrofit work in approximately 16 Alaska villages. o The ARIS system cleanly, securely and reliably integrates AKWarm, weatherization and energy rebate program data, data processing and reporting. o CCHRC is managing the development of ARIS on behalf of AHFC. Once development of the ARIS database is complete, AHFC has indicated they would like CCHRC to maintain and manage the database. o ARIS includes information from other official uses of the AKWarm and weatherization programs such as Building Energy Efficiency Standard (BEES) compliance certifications. A preliminary review of the housing data available in ARIS has been conducted, and key summary results which have informed the end use study methodology development are summarized below. Table 1: Summary of building audit data in ARIS by region, climate zone and house type Region Climate Zone House Type Home Counts for "as-is" audit data in ARIS, 2008-2011 % of Total Railbelt 7 (Anchorage) SFD 16,151 70.1% Mobile Home 84 0.4% MF - One Unit 1,372 6.0% MF - Whole Building 333 1.4% Subtotal 12.9% 8 (Fairbanks) SFD 2,566 11.1% Mobile Home 13 0.1% MF - One Unit 102 0.4% MF - Whole Building 71 0.3% Subtotal 2,752 2.0% All (7 & 8) SFD 18,505 80.4% Mobile Home 112 0.5% MF - One Unit 1,548 6.7% MF - Whole Building 417 1.8% Total Railbelt 0 0.0% SE All (Primarily 6) SFD 1,633 7.1% Mobile Home 54 0.2% MF - One Unit 218 0.9% MF - Whole Building 92 0.4% Total SE 92 0.4% Rural N/W All SFD 407 1.8% Mobile Home 7 0.0% MF - One Unit 17 0.1% MF - Whole Building 12 0.1% AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 13 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Total Rural N/W 443 1.9% Table 2 Building Energy Rating data in ARIS by year Year Bldg Count % 1991 - 0% 1992 - 0% 1993 - 0% 1994 - 0% 1995 - 0% 1996 74 0% 1997 256 1% 1998 1,038 3% 1999 87 0% 2000 87 0% 2001 85 0% 2002 66 0% 2003 67 0% 2004 52 0% 2005 47 0% 2006 36 0% 2007 393 1% 2008 5,011 14% 2009 16,842 48% 2010 9,298 27% 2011 1,568 4% 2008-2011 32,719 93% Table 3: Summary of building audit data in ARIS by audit type Audit Type Bldg Count % As_Is 22,696 64.3% BEES 2,235 6.3% Post_Improvement 9,896 28.0% From_Plans 82 0.2% Wx_As_Is 123 0.3% Weatherization 152 0.4% Wx_Post 82 0.2% Housing_Authority 30 0.1% Pub_Housing_Post 1 0.0% ACHP 4 0.0% Total 35,301 AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 14 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 4: Summary of building audit data in ARIS by house type and vintage HouseType Vintage Bldg Count % of housing type Single Family Pre 1980 9199 50% 1980-2000 8111 44% 2001-2011 1182 6% Multi Family One Unit Pre 1980 542 35% 1980-2000 901 58% 2001-2011 104 7% Multi Family Whole Building Pre 1980 303 73% 1980-2000 104 25% 2001-2011 10 2% Mobile Home Pre 1980 84 75% 1980-2000 28 25% 2001-2011 0 0% Table 5: Rural ARIS Data by region and community size Study Area Community Community Size Borough or Census Area Buildings in ARIS Rural North-West AKUTAN 100 - 1,000 Aleutians East Census Area 30 Rural North-West KING COVE 100 - 1,000 Aleutians East Census Area 0 Rural North-West SAND POINT 100 - 1,000 Aleutians East Census Area 27 Rural North-West NELSON LAGOON Less than 100 Aleutians East Census Area 4 Subtotal 61 Rural North-West UNALASKA 1,000 - 5,000 Aleutians West Census Area 1 Rural North-West ATKA Less than 100 Aleutians West Census Area 60 Subtotal 61 Rural North-West ANIAK 100 - 1,000 Bethel Census Area 9 Rural North-West KWETHLUK 100 - 1,000 Bethel Census Area 4 Rural North-West NIGHTMUTE 100 - 1,000 Bethel Census Area 2 Rural North-West BETHEL Hub Bethel Census Area 1 Subtotal 16 Rural North-West KING SALMON 100 - 1,000 Bristol Bay Borough 20 Rural North-West NAKNEK 100 - 1,000 Bristol Bay Borough 6 Subtotal 26 Rural North-West Aleknagik 100 - 1,000 Dillingham Census Area 5 Rural North-West DILLINGHAM Hub Dillingham Census Area 8 Subtotal 13 Rural North-West ILIAMNA 100 - 1,000 Lake and Peninsula Burough 3 Rural North-West KOKHANOK 100 - 1,000 Lake and Peninsula Burough 1 Rural North-West PILOT POINT 100 - 1,000 Lake and Peninsula Burough 6 Rural North-West PORT ALSWORTH 100 - 1,000 Lake and Peninsula Burough 6 Rural North-West PORT HEIDEN 100 - 1,000 Lake and Peninsula Burough 0 Rural North-West IGIUGIG Less than 100 Lake and Peninsula Burough 5 Subtotal 21 Rural North-West UNALAKLEET 100 - 1,000 Nome Census Area 16 AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 15 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Rural North-West NOME Hub Nome Census Area 2 Subtotal 18 Rural North-West BARROW 1,000 - 5,000 North Slope Borough 57 Subtotal 57 Rural North-West KIANA 100 - 1,000 Northwest Artic Borough 13 Rural North-West SHUNGNAK 100 - 1,000 Northwest Artic Borough 26 Rural North-West KOTZEBUE Hub Northwest Artic Borough 1 Subtotal 40 Rural North-West Hooper Bay 1,000 - 5,000 Wade Hampton Census Area 6 Rural North-West RUSSIAN MISSION 100 - 1,000 Wade Hampton Census Area 3 Subtotal 9 Rural North-West FORT YUKON 100 - 1,000 Yukon Koyukuk Census Area 16 Rural North-West GRAYLING 100 - 1,000 Yukon Koyukuk Census Area 2 Rural North-West ALATNA Less than 100 Yukon Koyukuk Census Area 69 Rural North-West TAKOTNA Less than 100 Yukon Koyukuk Census Area 28 Subtotal 115 Total Rural ARIS 437 Municipality of Anchorage “Plug at 20o” Survey conducted by Craciun Research o Conducted for MOA, this study was completed in spring of 2011. This data may be used to estimate energy end use for vehicle plug in. The purpose of the research was to evaluate the effectiveness of the “Plug@20” media campaign for grant reporting purposes and to track public opinion in terms of changes in behavior due to air quality. Please see full report as provided by MOA. Weatherization Program o The Weatherization Program, along with the Home Energy Rebate Program, received $360 million in funding from the 2008 Alaska legislature. It provides upgrades for housing for Alaska’s low- and middle-income renters and homeowners. The program provides energy- efficient upgrades to about 500 homes in Anchorage each year and to about 4,000 homes statewide. The focus of weatherization is to increase the safety, energy-efficiency and comfort of the homes served. Home upgrades may include sealing windows and doors, as well as insulating walls, floors and ceilings. o The Weatherization Program is provided for free by specific weatherization agencies and housing authorities. o AHFC administers weatherization programs that have been created to award grants to non- profit organizations for the purpose of improving the energy efficiency of low-income homes statewide. These programs also provide for training and technical assistance in the area of housing energy efficiency. Funds for these programs come from the U.S. Department of Energy as well as AHFC. RurAL CAP (Rural Alaska Community Action Program, Inc.) – Energy Wise Program o The Energy Wise Program engages rural Alaskan communities in social marketing efforts designed to encourage changes in behavior resulting in energy efficiency and energy conservation. Locally hired crews are trained to educate community residents and conduct basic energy efficiency upgrades during full-day home visits. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 16 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates o RurAL CAP began managing a state program administered by the Alaska Housing Finance Corporation that offers free weatherization services for low and middle-income residents in Anchorage on April 1, 2011. The program is being transitioned to RurAL CAP from the Municipality of Anchorage which has managed it since 1992. o RurAL CAP operates weatherization programs in western and northern Alaska and the city and borough of Juneau. In 2010, RurAL CAP weatherized 309 homes in 10 communities. o The weatherization program provides energy efficiency upgrades to about 500 homes in Anchorage per year. The focus of weatherization is to increase the energy-efficiency, safety, comfort and life expectancy of the homes. o Typical improvements include the caulking and sealing of windows and doors, adding insulation to walls, floors and ceilings, and improving the efficiency of heating systems, depending on the assessment. o Governed by a 24-member Board of Directors representing every region of the state, RurAL CAP is one of the largest and most diversified nonprofit organizations in Alaska. In fiscal year 2010, RurAL CAP employed 1,048 Alaskans in 91 communities statewide and expended more than $40 million in conjunction with its for-profit subsidiary, Rural Energy Enterprises. Energy Wise Program (RuralCap), Existing Data o The RurAL Cap Energy Wise Program engages rural Alaskan communities in behavior changing practices resulting in energy efficiency and energy conservation. The end result of the service is increased energy consumption among rural Alaskans resulting in lower home heating and electric bills. o FY 2010 Results: Reduced electrical and home heating costs for residents in 32 Alaskan villages. (Cost savings are currently being evaluated by University of Alaska’s Institute of Social and Economic Research)  160 rural Alaskans trained and employed for 6-8 weeks  Energy fairs conducted in 32 communities  2,000 homes received energy use assessments, education and low-cost, efficiency upgrades  7,500 rural Alaskans educated on energy efficiency and energy conservation strategies o Energy Wise can be replicated to engage more rural Alaskans in these cost-saving measures. RurAL CAP is building partnerships with interested housing authorities, regional and statewide organizations, and local communities. Communities receive the following: o 10 locally hired and trained crew members o On site ‘Launch Week’ by two RurAL CAP staff for hiring and training of local crews o One (1) Community Energy Fair to engage community residents and organizations o Up to 100 homes serviced (depending on community size):  Full day home visit from a trained, locally hired crew  Household energy consumption and cost assessment conducted with the resident  Education on energy cost-saving strategies  $300 worth of basic, home energy efficiency supplies installed AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 17 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Community Profile Maps from the State of Alaska Division of Community and Regional Affairs (DCRA) o The DCRA maintains community profile maps2 which include data on each of the buildings in a community. Many of the maps are current and can provide a comprehensive list of non- residential buildings in the community. This could serve to establish the non-residential building frame for rural Alaska. Specifically for this study, this can be used as a starting point for the village and hub surveys. It also establishes an inventory of buildings throughout the state for which to extrapolate results to. Portfolio Manager Data on Facilities Receiving ARRA Funding AEA uses the EPA portfolio manager for its program. A sampling of the participating buildings is found below: Table 6: AEA Commercial Energy Audit Building Listing Facility Name Building Owner City Adak, City Hall City of Adak Adak AIDEA/AEA Building Anchorage AIRPORT TERMINAL Homer Akiachak Clinic Akiachak Native Community Akiachak Akiachak Community Hall Akiachak Native Community Akiachak Akiachak Day Care Akiachak Native Community Akiachak AKIACHAK EARLY LEARNING CHILDHOOD PROGRAM (ELCP) BUILDING Akiachak Native Community Akiachak Akiachak Elder and Youth Center Akiachak Native Community Akiachak Akiachak New IRA Office Akiachak Native Community Akiachak Akiachak Police Station Akiachak Native Community Akiachak Akiachak Tribal office Akiachak Native Community Akiachak Akiachak Water Plant Akiachak Native Community Akiachak ANIMAL SHELTER Homer Barrow City Hall Barrow Beaver Multi Purpose Building Beaver Village Beaver Beaver Power Plant and Garage Beaver Village Beaver Beaver Washeteria and Water Plant Beaver Village Beaver Chignik Lagoon School Lake and Peninsula Borough Chignik Lagoon CITY HALL Homer City of Anderson shop Anderson 2 http://www.commerce.state.ak.us/dca/profiles/profile-maps.htm) AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 18 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates City of Barrow Youth Center City of Barrow Barrow City of Pilot Point Office Building City of Pilot Point, Alaska Pilot Point City of Valdez Valdez Craig City Hall City of Craig Craig FISH DOCK Homer Fort Yukon Addie Shewfelt City of Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Fort Yukon City Hall City of Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Gwandak Public Broadcasting and CATG City of Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Power Plant City of Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Richard C Carroll Community center City of Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Fort Yukon Tribal Hall City of Fort Yukon Fort Yukon HERC-01 KPC AND BGC Homer HERC-02 PW MAIN SHOP Homer HIGH MAST LGT #7 @ RAMP #6 Homer HIGH MAST LGTS #2,3, & 4 Homer Holy Cross City Office City of Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross Community Hall City of Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross Washeteria City of Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross Water Treatment City of Holy Cross Holy Cross Hooper Bay Water Treatment Plant and Washeteria Hooper Bay Icy Straits Lodge Hoonah Kaltag City Office City of Kaltag Kaltag Kaltag Clinic City of Kaltag Kaltag Kaltag Fire Hall City of Kaltag Kaltag Kaltag Washeteria and Water Plant City of Kaltag Kaltag Kaltag Youth & Learning Center City of Kaltag Kaltag Kenaitze Head Start Kenai Kevin Bell Ice Arena Homer Koyukuk City Office City of Koyukuk Koyukuk Koyukuk Clinic And Library City of Kaltag Koyukuk Koyukuk Power Plant City of Kaltag Koyukuk Koyukuk Washeteria and Water Plant City of Koyukuk Koyukuk Motznik Motznik Anchorage Nome City Hall Nome Nome NVFD Nome Nome Public Works Building Nome AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 19 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Nome SCC Center Nome PH HARBORMASTER OFFICE Homer Pilot Station ATCO Building City of Pilot Station Pilot Station Pilot Station Cable Building City of Pilot Station Pilot Station Pilot Station City Office City of Pilot Station Pilot Station Pilot Station Garage/Maintenance Shop City of Pilot Station Pilot Station Pilot Station Left Station City of Pilot Station Pilot Station Pilot Station Water Plant City of Pilot Station Pilot Station POLICE STA/FIRE HALL Homer PORT & HARBOR MAIN SHOP Homer PUBLIC LIBRARY Homer PUBLIC WORKS OFFICE & SHOP Homer RR @ FISHING LAGOON Homer RR @ LAUNCH RAMP Homer RR @ RAMP # 4 Homer RR @ RAMP #6 AND SYS #4 Homer RR BY HARBORMASTER OFFICE Homer Sample Sample City Anchorage Sample Facility Arlington Saxman City Hall Saxman SEWER TREATMENT PLANT Homer Skagway School Skagway St. Paul City Hall St. Paul Island SYS #1 FLT & H MAST LGT#1 Homer SYSTEM #5 (LIGHT/FLOAT) Homer WATER PUMP STA @ CROSSMAN Homer Group Total Energy-Wise, Planned Audits in the NANA Region o NANA is the first private organization to fund a regional rollout of this program for six communities, committing $860,000 to the NANA region Energy Wise project in 2011. In addition to their partnership, NANA and RurAL CAP are working in cooperation and collaboration with the Northwest Inupiat Housing Authority (NIHA), the Northwest Arctic Borough (NAB) and individual village tribal councils to implement the program in Northwest Alaska. o The NANA region Energy Wise program will be carried out in three phases. Phase I of the project is set to begin in early February and end in June. Six NANA region villages (Ambler, Buckland, Kivalina, Noatak, Noorvik and Shungnak) have been invited to participate in the program. o The total cost of implementing Energy Wise is estimated at approximately $1,700 per home. Homes receive a full day home visit from a trained, locally-hired crew; assessment of household energy/kilowatt consumption conducted with the resident; education on energy cost-saving AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 20 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates strategies; installation of $300 worth of basic, home energy efficiency supplies; and a follow-up visit and survey 2-3 months after initial home visit. o Planning and development for Phases II and III are underway as of June 2011. Alaska Building Energy Efficiency Standard (BEES) o The Alaska Building Energy Efficiency Standard (BEES) was established by the State of Alaska to promote the construction of energy-efficient buildings. BEES sets standards for thermal resistance, air leakage, moisture protection, and ventilation as they relate to efficient use of energy in buildings. o All new residential homes and community-owned buildings which began construction on or after January 1, 1992 must comply with BEES if AHFC or other state financial assistance of any kind is to be used in its construction or the purchase of a loan. Thermal compliance with BEES may be met using a prescriptive method, but is most often shown by using the Energy Rating Method (performed by a certified AKWarmTM energy rater using AKWarmTM computer software, which requires an energy rating of 4 Star Plus or higher. o An Energy Efficiency Interest Rate Reduction (EEIRR) is available for homes with an energy rating of 5 Star and 5 Star Plus. AHFC Retrofit Energy Assessment for Loan (REAL) Program o Initial Project Evaluation o Energy benchmark o Energy Audits o Audits by Certified Energy Auditor (CEA) or Certified Energy Manager  (CEM) certification through the Association of Energy Engineers (AEE) or an  AHFC-approved equivalent. o Energy Performance Contracts (EPCs) o Energy Service Companies (ESCos) qualified by Alaska Housing Finance  Corporation (AHFC) and Alaska Department of Transportation and Public  Facilities (DOT/PF) may be used. o Retrofits may be managed by qualified Energy Service Companies (ESCOs) or the facility owner (if under $250,000). AEA Energy Audit Program o In an effort to help achieve the 15% energy efficiency goal set by the Governor and the Alaska Legislature in 2010, Alaska Energy Authority has initiated a commercial energy audit program as a first step to help the private commercial sector to achieve energy efficiency savings. The goal is to audit 130 commercial audits in the near future. o An open application period was provided from January 5, 2011 to February 15, 2011. AEA received 137 applications and was able to fund 132 applicants. The program will reimburse most or all of the cost of qualifying whole-building energy audits up to a stated limit based upon on the size and type of building. o Alaska has strong programs in residential and public building sectors, has a small pilot industrial program, but is currently lacking any commercial energy efficiency programs. GIS Data Resources The availability of various GIS databases and resources were explored to identify potentially useful data for this project. Although there are a few potential GIS resources that may be of use to the team, the AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 21 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates team was unable to identify GIS databases with significant statewide coverage. Below is a summary of GIS resources identified to date: • Kenai Peninsula Borough has a good GIS database. Follow up TBD. • North Slope Borough has GIS data • Kotzebue has a GIS database, but they charge for it. • NW Arctic Borough is starting to develop a GIS database. • Fairbanks – Uncertain • Anchorage – Uncertain Golden Valley Electric Association (GVEA) Heating and Appliance Survey GVEA conducted a heating and appliance survey of its residential market. The basics of the survey: • The sample included 500 Fairbanks homeowners who were also GVA subscribers. (respondents younger than 18 were screened out) • The survey data was collected in April and May 2010. • MOE at +/- 4.4%. • An “appropriate” number of both land lines and cell phone numbers were included in the sample. • Data was weighted to match the demographics and phone use. • The survey took about 15 minutes to administer. This data provides appliance saturations for various related equipment, but does not provide energy end use calculations. The table in Appendix 2 summarizes key results from the GVEA survey. Climatic and Weather Data Climate and weather are significantly impact building HVAC energy end use. Climate and weather are related, but for building energy analysis, there is an important difference. Weather refers to the actual weather conditions (e.g., temperatures, humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind, solar radiation, etc.) that occur at a specific time and place. Historical weather data is available from different sources, including automated weather stations, airports, etc. Weather data is highly variable, and available for limited discrete locations. Climate refers to the average, or typical weather conditions for an area. Hourly climatic data for key weather variables have been compiled for the state of Alaska. Alaska is broken down into four climate zones, which have been mapped to census regions. These climate zones are defined by the BEES and are shown in Figure 1. Figure 1 Alaska Climactic Zones AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 22 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates The figure identifies one major climactic zone in Southeast Alaska (Zone 6). The Railbelt Region, on the other hand, encompasses two climactic regions (Zones 7 and 8). Table 1 provide details on heating degree days (HDD) for each climate zone, and how these map to the older BEES climate zones. Table 7: Alaska Climate Zones and HDD3 The US Department of Energy has processed local weather data into long-term climatic averages using the latest “typical meteorological year” format (TMY3). These files are in Energy Plus Weather format (.epw) at www.energyplus.gov. They contains typical hourly (8760) data for a range of climatic variables, including dry bulb temperature, relative humidity, dewpoint temperature, wind speed, wind direction, station pressure, etc. These files are typically used for building energy simulation. They may be useful for energy end-use analysis. Data is available for the following locations: Table 8: Availability of hourly Alaska climatic data (location and station ID) 3 Table from the Alaska BEES modifications to the 2009 International Energy Code, http://www.ahfc.state.ak.us/iceimages/reference/bees_amendments.pdf. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 23 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Adak NAS 704540 Gulkana 702710 Petersburg 703860 Ambler 701718 Gustavus 703670 Point Hope AWOS 701043 Anaktuvuk Pass 701625 Hayes River 702495 Port Heiden 703330 Anchorage Intl AP 702730 Healy River AP 702647 Saint Marys AWOS 702005 Anchorage-Elmendorf AFB 702720 Homer AP 703410 Sand Point 703165 Anchorage-Lake Hood Seaplane Base 702725 Hoonah 702607 Savoonga 702035 Anchorage-Merrill Field 702735 Hooper Bay 702186 Selawik 700197 Aniak AP 702320 Huslia 702225 Seward 702770 Annette Island AP 703980 Hydaburg Seaplane Base 703884 Shemya AFB 704140 Anvik 702075 Iliamna AP 703400 Shishmaref AWOS 701195 Barrow-W Post-W Rogers AP 700260 Juneau Intl AP 703810 Sitka-Japonski Island AP 703710 Bethel AP 702190 Kake Seaplane Base 703855 Skagway AP 703620 Bettles Field 701740 Kenai Muni AP 702590 Sleetmute 703407 Big Delta-Allen AAF 702670 Ketchikan Intl AP 703950 Soldotna 702595 Big River Lake 702986 King Salmon AP 703260 St Paul Island AP 703080 Birchwood 702746 Kodiak AP 703500 Talkeetna State AP 702510 Chulitna 702606 Kotzebue-Ralph Wein Mem AP 701330 Tanana-Ralph Calhoun AP 701780 Cold Bay AP 703160 McGrath AP 702310 Togiak Village AWOS 703606 Cordova 702960 Mekoryuk 702185 Unalakleet Field 702070 Gambell 702040 Deadhorse 700637 Middleton Island 703430 Unalaska-Dutch Harbor Field 704890 Dillingham AWOS 703210 Minchumina 702460 Valdez 702750 Eielson AFB 702650 Nenana Muni AP 702600 Valdez-Pioneer Field 702756 Emmonak 702084 Nome Muni AP 702000 Whittier 702757 Fairbanks Intl AP 702610 Northway AP 702910 Wrangell 703870 Fort Yukon 701940 Palmer Muni AP 702740 Yakutat State AP 703610 Building energy analysis (including AKWarm) typically uses hourly climate files for estimating building energy use and end use. Residential HVAC energy use data in ARIS is already based on normalized climatic data embedded in AKWarm, so no additional weather normalization is required to compare energy use between years. Similarly, the proposed method of using AKWarm Commercial for the HVAC energy analysis of th non-residential buildings uses normalized climatic data, so no further weather- based analysis is needed. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 24 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Municipal/Borough Parcel Data A valuable source of building data is parcel or assessor databases maintained by municpalities and boroughs for planning, taxation, and other purposes. A review of existing parcel data was performed to identify which municipalities have data that is accessible. The following table summarizes parcel data availability and the level of detail Municipalities and Boroughs keep detailed records on property at the parcel level for taxation and other purposes. The details of the data vary by jurisdiction, with some jurisdictions maintaining detailed data on each parcel, and others containing minimal data. Anchorage, for example, maintains very detailed parcel data, including information on building size, construction, etc. The availability of the parcel data also varies by jurisdiction. Many jurisdictions maintain this data in digital format, although some jurisdictions only maintain the data in a paper-based filing system. The following table summarizes the digital parcel data4 that is available for this project, with a qualitative evaluation of its level of detail and currency. The available parcel data was obtained directly from each jurisdiction or in aggregated form from Ingens (www.ingens.com), a commercial provider of public information in Alaska. Table 9: Summary of Alaska Parcel Data Location Parcel Data Availability Data Detailed Current Anchorage Y Y-Very Y Fairbanks Y N – TBD* Y Juneau Y Y - Moderate Y Kenai Y ? Y Mat-Su Y ? Y Ketchikan Y Y – “Decent” Y Kodiak Y Y – “Decent” Y Unavailable: Haines, Cordova, Everywhere else Parcel data for the Municipality of Anchorage was obtained and reviewed to aid methodology development. The following graphs illustrate the range of building types and characteristics in Anchorage. 4 Parcel data maintained in paper archives would require significantly time and resources to process and is not an option for this project AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 25 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 2: Anchorage parcel count by structure type 859 690 608 503 299 201 199 174 173 135 133 103 74 69 64 56 55 51 48 39 39 38 35 33 33 32 28 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Warehouse Other Low Rise Office Office Warehouse Retail Single Oc Retail Multi-Occ Auto Service Gar Religious Hangar Manufacturing Restaurant School Hotel/Motel Low Medical Office B Mini Warehouse Strip Shopping C High Rise Office Mixed Res/Comm Convenience Food Boarding House Discount Dept St Bank Nbhd Shopping Ct Full Svc Auto De Bar/Lounge Recreation/Healt Day Care Center Parcel Count AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 26 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 3: Anchorage parcel count by square footage 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 Parcel Countsquare footage AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 27 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Figure 4: Anchorage parcel count by year built Table 10: GVEA Heating and Appliance Survey Summary Data Question Single Family Other Total MEAN WINTER DAY TEMPERATURE: 66.84 67.61 67.06 MEAN WINTER NIGHT TEMPERATURE: 66.41 67.7 66.79 MEAN SUMMER DAY TEMPERATURE: 62 61.23 61.81 MEAN SUMMER NIGHT TEMPERATURE: 61.77 60.85 61.53 MEAN NUMBER OF WOOD STOVES: 0.36 0.13 0.29 MEAN NUMBER OF PELLET STOVES: 0.04 0.04 0.04 MEAN NUMBER OF OPEN FIREPLACES: 0.05 0.02 0.04 MEAN NUMBER OF FIXED HEATERS: 0.25 0.15 0.22 MEAN NUMBER OF PORTABLE HEATERS: 0.23 0.26 0.24 MEAN AGE OF HEATING SYSTEM: 10.24 12.93 10.83 MEAN NUMBER OF AIR-CONDITIONING UNITS: 1.13 1.69 1.32 MEAN AGE OF AIR CONDITIONING SYSTEM: 5.31 3.68 4.74 MEAN SIZE OF WATER HEATER (GALLONS): 49.27 64.63 52.84 MEAN AGE OF WATER HEATER: 7.41 7.29 7.39 MEAN NUMBER OF MICROWAVE OVENS: 1.02 1.02 1.02 MEAN NUMBER OF REFRIGERATORS: 1.24 1.07 1.19 MEAN NUMBER OF STANDALONE FREEZERS: 0.89 0.48 0.78 MEAN NUMBER OF LARGE SCREEN PLASMA TV'S: 0.48 0.48 0.48 MEAN NUMBER OF OTHER LARGE SCREEN TV'S: 0.49 0.42 0.47 MEAN NUMBER OF OTHER SMALLER TV'S: 1.05 1.05 1.05 MEAN NUMBER OF PERSONAL COMPUTERS: 1.58 1.41 1.53 MEAN NUMBER OF PRINTERS: 0.95 0.73 0.89 MEAN NUMBER OF WIRELESS ROUTERS: 0.63 0.59 0.62 MEAN NUMBER OF GAMING CONSOLES: 0.69 0.74 0.7 MEAN NUMBER OF DVD PLAYERS: 1.32 1.31 1.32 MEAN NUMBER OF CABLE DVR OR TIVO BOXES: 0.95 0.99 0.96 MEAN NUMBER OF MUSIC PLAYING SYSTEMS: 1.23 1.19 1.22 MEAN NUMBER OF ELECTRIC WATERBEDS: 0.02 0.01 0.02 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 < 1900 1900-1950 1950-60 1960-70 1970-80 1980-90 1990-2000 2000-11Parcel Countyear AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 28 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates MEAN NUMBER OF ELECTRIC HOTTUBS: 0.07 0.01 0.05 MEAN NUMBER OF CLOTHES WASHERS: 0.89 0.74 0.85 MEAN NUMBER OF DISHWASHERS: 0.64 0.44 0.58 MEAN NUMBER OF CEILING FANS: 0.99 0.66 0.9 MEAN NUMBER OF WATER WELL PUMPS: 0.58 0.22 0.48 MEAN NUMBER OF DEHUMIDIFIERS: 0.1 0.13 0.11 MEAN NUMBER OF LIGHTBULBS: 26.33 18.01 23.98 MEAN NUMBER OF CFL LIGHTBULBS: 12.68 7.86 11.33 MEAN NUMBER OF OUTDOOR SECURITY LIGHTBULBS: 2.23 1.2 1.95 MEAN NUMBER OF HEADBOLT HEATERS: 1.08 1.44 1.18 MEAN AGE OF HOME: 24.8 25.83 25.06 MEAN SQUARE FOOTAGE OF HOME: 1,865 1,319 1,729 MEAN VALUE OF HOME: $205,233 $131,623 $190,582 MEAN ELECTRIC BILL IN SUMMER: $138 $112 $131 MEAN ELECTRIC BILL IN WINTER: $211 $168 $200 MEAN TOTAL HOUSEHOLD SIZE: 2.84 2.49 2.75 MEAN CHILDREN IN HOUSEHOLD: 0.8 0.63 0.75 MEAN AGE OF RESPONDENT: 49.43 43.86 47.85 AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 29 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Utility and Municipality Data Request Forms AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 30 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Utility and Municipality Data Request Forms The following data request forms will be submitted to the utilities, municipalities, boroughs, etc. to support the energy end-use survey. These are preliminary drafts and will be refined before actual use. Electricity Utility Aggregate Sales By Sector Data Request Form Utility Name Contact Name Address Dear _________, The Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) is conducting and energy end-use study… [standard text describing project here] As a part of this effort, we need to obtain total statewide electricity sales aggregated by sector for the 20010 – 2011 calendar year. We specifically need breakouts of industrial/manufacturing energy use, residential energy use, commercial/institutional building energy use, water/waste-water energy use, streetlighting and military energy use. If data is available at a finer resolution (e.g., by SIC code), that would be very valuable. We are requesting this data from all utilities. We understand that each utility’s billing records and ability to disaggregate data are unique, so a representative of the AEA will be calling to discuss what data you can provide that minimizes your effort while providing necessary data for this statewide energy study. If we have misidentified the correct person to direct this query, please let us know and forward this to the correct person. Thank you. We appreciate your support. Sincerely, Sean Skaling (??) AEA Requested Annual Sales Data Summary Sector Total kWh Sales for 2010-2011 Total kWh Sales for 2009-2010 Residential Commercial Institutional and Municipal Military Industrial & manufacturing Street-lighting (if available) AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 31 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Water & Waste Water Treatment Other AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 32 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Fuel Sales by Sector Data Request Form Utility/Supplier Name Contact Name Address Dear _________, The Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) is conducting and energy end-use study… [standard text here] As a part of this effort, we need to obtain total statewide fuel sales aggregated by sector for the 20010 – 2011 calendar year. We specifically need breakouts of industrial/manufacturing energy use, residential energy use, commercial/institutional building energy use, water/waste-water energy use, streetlighting and military energy use. If data is available at a finer resolution (e.g., by SIC code), that would be very valuable. We are requesting this data from all utilities and energy suppliers. We understand that each utility/supplier’s billing records and ability to disaggregate data are unique, so a representative of the AEA will be calling to discuss what data you can provide that minimizes your effort while providing necessary data for this statewide energy study. If we have misidentified the correct person to direct this query, please let us know and forward this to the correct person. Thank you. We appreciate your support. Sincerely, Sean Skaling (??) AEA Requested Annual Sales Data Summary Sector Total Fuel Sales for 2010-2011 Total Fuel Sales for 2009-2010 Units Residential Commercial Institutional and Municipal Military Industrial & manufacturing Street-lighting (if available) Water & Waste Water Treatment Other AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 33 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Street Lighting Data Request Form Municipality/Agency Name Contact Name Address Dear _________, The Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) is conducting and energy end-use study… [standard text here] As a part of this effort, we need to obtain streetlighting data, including fixture counts and bulb types. We would also like to obtain traffic signal data too, although this is of lesser priority. This will help in a statewide assessment of streetlighting energy use, energy savings opportunities, and aid in the development of future lighting efficiency programs, apply for federal funding, and develop energy efficiency programs. We would like to request your help in providing the information in the table below. Alternately, if you have detailed fixture/lamp counts, we can use that. If we have misidentified the correct person to direct this query, please let us know and forward this to the correct person. Thank you. We appreciate your support. Sincerely, Sean Skaling (??) AEA Requested Traffic Lighting Data Lighting Technology Lamp Wattage Fixture Count Specific Bulb Wattage (if available), Notes Incandescent < 100 W 100-250 W 251-500 W 500-750 W > 750 W CFL or Flourescent < 100 W 100-250 W AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 34 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 251-500 W 500-751 W > 750 W h < 100 W 100-250 W 251-500 W 500-752 W > 750 W HID – High Pressure Sodium (HPS) < 100 W 100-250 W 251-500 W 500-753 W > 750 W HID – Low Pressure Sodium (LPS) < 100 W 100-250 W 251-500 W 500-754 W > 750 W HID – Metal Halide (MH) < 100 W 100-250 W 251-500 W 500-755 W > 750 W HID – Unknown or Other < 100 W 100-250 W 251-500 W 500-756 W > 750 W LED < 100 W 100-250 W 251-500 W 500-757 W > 750 W Other < 100 W 100-250 W 251-500 W 500-758 W > 750 W Traffic Lights Total Number of Traffic Lights % of Green LEDs Lamps % of Red LED Lamps % of Yellow LED Lamps Notes or comments Have you installed, evaluated or considered LED AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 35 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates retrofits? Describe or comment. Have you installed, evaluated or considered dual light-level lamps with occupancy sensors? Describe or comment Have you installed, evaluated or considered replacing magnetic ballasts with electronic ballasts? Describe or comment Describe any street lighting efficiency or retrofit programs implemented or planned: AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 36 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Water and Waste Water Energy Consumption Data Request Form Municipality or Borough Name Contact Name Address Dear _________, The Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) is conducting and energy end-use study… [standard text here] As a part of this effort, we need to obtain annual water and waste water energy consumption data. Will you please provide the information in the following table and return this to AEA. If you have any questions, or if we have misidentified the correct person to direct this query, please let us know and forward this to the correct person. Thank you. We appreciate your support. Sincerely, Sean Skaling (??) AEA Requested Water and Waste Water Treatment Facility Energy Consumption Data Faciltiy Name Water, Wastewater, Pumping Plant, or other Total Electricity Use for 2010-2011 Total Fuel Use for 2010 - 2011 Fuel Type and Unitsj Total Population Served: Notes/Comments AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 37 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Utility Customer Billing Record Request Form Name _________, Address: Customer ID I give my permission to and request that [UTILITY NAME] release to obtain my utility consumption records for 2010 – 2011 to the Alaska Energy Authority for use in the statewide energy end-use study. Signature: __________________________ Your utility records will be kept confidential. Only aggregated, average utility consumption data will be made public. Thank you. We appreciate your support. Sincerely, Sean Skaling (??) AEA AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 38 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Residential Energy End Use Survey AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 39 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Craciun Research Residential Energy End Use Survey – DRAFT 5 Approved by Jean Craciun, Research Director 7/8/2011 Introduction Hi, my name is ________________from Craciun Research, an Alaskan company. I am calling on behalf of the Alaska Energy Authority to conduct a survey with homeowners [AS NEEDED AND PROPERTY MANAGERS] about appliances and equipment to understand energy use. As part of Energy Awareness month this October we have randomly selected buildings to study and we would like to pay you $50 for your time to assist us with this FIRST-EVER ENERGY END USE project in Alaska. May I speak with someone who is familiar with your home's energy systems and appliances? [AS NEEDED: We are working with the Alaska Energy Authority to gather information on the energy using equipment installed in homes such as lighting and computers as well as appliances like your refrigerator. We are conducting this research to understand energy use by consumers; the State of Alaska goal is to reach 15% energy efficiency by 2020. For your involvement we will be happy to send you a report regarding your homes energy efficiency. (Jay this was discussed in our meeting but needs to be determined as to what we would give those who need a little more incentive. Jean Craciun) We would like to know what would work best for you to participate; the survey can be completed online as well as over the phone. While on the phone you can also go online to see illustrations that may be helpful in completing the survey. If we start now it will take approximately 30 minutes and we would be happy to answer any questions you have at the end of the survey. All of your answers are kept strictly confidential; let’s get started. [SCHEDULE CALL BACK] Would you like to schedule a callback at a more convenient time? SCREENER QUESTIONS: 1. Before we begin, I would like to confirm your name and contact information. I have you listed as [READ CONTACT NAME AND ADDRESS]. Is this correct? 1, Yes [PROCEED TO Q2] 2, No [RECORD NAME AND ADDRESS] 2. How would you describe this residence? [READ LIST] 1, Single Family Home [THANK AND TERMINATE] 2, Multi-family Home 3, Manufactured Home or Mobile Home 3. How many people occupy this home? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 40 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4. Do you own or rent this home? 5. How long have you occupied this home? BUILDING INFORMATION 6. How old is this home? 7. How large is this home in square feet, not including unfinished basements, attics, or garages? 8. How many floors is this home, including finished basements and attics, but not including unfinished basements or attics? 9. What is the primary type of heating system in this home? (furnace/forced air, boiler/hot water, electric baseboard, radiant ceiling/floor, wall unit, floor furnace) 10. What type of fuel does the heating system in this home use? 1, Natural Gas 2, Electric 3, Propane 4, Wood 5, Oil 6, Coal 7, Other 11. Does your home produce any renewable energy? INTERIOR LIGHTING 1. What is the number, by type, of interior lights used? 1, Incandescent bulbs 2, Compact Fluorescent Lamp (CFL) 3, Halogen 4, LED 5, Fluorescent 6, Lighting Control types (motion sensor?) 7, Other specify___________________ [ASK Q2 – Q3 FOR EACH TYPE OF LIGHT BULB THEY HAVE] 2. What is the wattage? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 41 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 3. How many hours per (day) week are they used? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 42 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 4. Which types of controls are used on interior lights? [CHECK ALL THAT APPLY] 1, Timers 2, Occupancy Sensors 3, Day lighting controls 4, Other Specify [OTHER THAN MANUAL SWITCHES] 5. [ASK IF THEY HAVE A OCCUPANCY SENSOR] How many Occupancy Sensors are located in your home? [ASK Q13 FOR EACH TYPE OF CONTROLS THEY USE] 6. Where in your home are they located? EXTERIOR LIGHTING 7. Are any exterior lights present at this home? 1, Yes 2, No 8. What is the number, by type, of exterior lights used? 1, Incandescent blubs 2, Compact Fluorescent Lamp (CFL) 3, Halogen 4, LED 5, Fluorescent 6, High Intensity Discharge (Mercury vapor, metal halide, high pressure sodium, low pressure sodium) [ASK Q9 – Q10 FOR EACH TYPE OF LIGHT BULB THEY HAVE] 9. What is the wattage? 10. How many hours per week are they used? 11. What types of controls are used on the exterior lights? [Check all that apply] 1, Timers 2, Motion Sensors 3, Day lighting controls 12. How many Occupancy Sensors are located outside your home? [ASK Q13 FOR EACH TYPE OF CONTROLS THEY USE] 13. Where in your home are they located? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 43 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates MAJOR APPLIANCES 14. How many refrigerators are in your home? [Answer for all Refrigerators] 15. Size 1, Small 2, Standard 3, large 16. What door style of refrigerators? 1, Single door 2, Top mount freezer 3, Bottom mount freezer 4, Side by side 17. Age (years) 18. Is it Energy Star rated? 1, Yes 2, No 3, Don’t know 19. How many standalone freezers are in your home? [Answer for all standalone freezers] 20. Size 1, Small 2, Standard 3, Large 21. Style 1, Chest 2, Upright 22. Location 1, Inside 2, Outside 3, Garage 23. Age (years) 24. Is it Energy Star rated? 1, Yes 2, No 25. Does this home have an automatic dishwasher? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 44 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 1, Yes 2, No 26. How many loads are run in an average week? 27. Is it Energy Star rated? 1, Yes 2, No 3, Don’t know 28. Age of your dishwasher (In years?) 29. Does this home have a clothes washer? 30. Does this home have a clothes dryer? Washer details: 31. Type 1, Front load 2, Top load 32. Approximate Age (in years) 33. Size: 1, Small 2, Medium 3, Large 34. Loads per week? 35. Is it Energy Star rated? 1, Yes 2, No Dryer details: 36. Fuel Type (natural gas, propane, fuel oil) 37. Age (years) 38. Do you also use a clothes line or other method for drying your clothes? 39. [IF YES] What percentage of time do you use the clothes dryer? 40. Loads per week 41. Is it Energy Star rated? 1, Yes 2, No 42. Dryer fuel type 1, Electric 2, Natural gas AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 45 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 3, Propane 43. Do you also use a clothes line or other method for drying your clothes? 1, Yes 2, No 44. [IF YES] What percent of the time do you use the clothes dryer? PRIMARY COOKING 45. What type(s) of stove do you presently have? 1, Electric 2, Natural Gas/Propane 3, Other 46. Hours per day the stove is used? [ADD HOURS FOR AL BURNERS TOGETHER] 47. What type(s) of oven do you have? 1, Electric 2, Natural Gas/Propane 3, Other 48. Hours per week is the stove used? 49. Do you have a microwave? 50. How many days per week do you use the microwave? 51. When you use the microwave, what is your typical use? 1, Warming drinks & reheating meals 2, Primary cooking OTHER KITCHEN EQUIPMENT 52. What type of coffeemaker(s) do you own? 1, Drip 2, Percolator 3, Espresso maker 4, Don’t have 53. How many days a week on average do you use that coffeemaker? 54. When you make coffee, how many hours do you typically leave the warmer on? 55. Do you own any of the following? [ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS] AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 46 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 1, Broiler 2, Deep Fryer 3, Electric 4, Fry Pan 5, Slow Cooker 6, Toaster 7, Toaster Oven 8, Other TBD INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 56. How many __________ are located in your home? 1, Desktop Computers 2, Monitors 3, Laptop Computer 4, Printers/ Multi-Function Device (MFD – Copier, Scanner, Printer) 5, Router/DSL/Cable Modem 6, Fax Machine 7, Home Copy Machine 8, Other Network Equipment 57. What type of printer(s) do you own? 1, Laser 2, Inkjet ENTERTAINMENT 58. How many TV’s are located in your home? [ASK Q59-60 FOR EACH TV IN THE HOME] 59. What type of TV? 1, Tube-type (CRT) 2, Projection 3, Plasma 4, LCD 5, DLP 6, LED 7, Other 60. How many hours per week is it in use? 61. How many ________ do you have in your home? 1, Gaming Console AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 47 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 2, DVD Player 3, Digital Video Recorder (DVR) or TIVO 4, VCR/DVD 5, Cable Box 6, Music playing system OTHER TBD 62. How many ________ do you have in your home? 1, Transformers 2, Garage door opener 3, Electric waterbed 4, Hot tub 5, Water well pumps 6, Sewage lift pump 7, Sump pump 63. How many headbolt or Engine Block Heaters? [ASK FOR EACH HEADBOLT/ENGINE BLOCK HEATER THEY OWN] 64. What is the average use? 65. How many months per year is it used? 66. Do you own any Heat Trace? 1, Yes 2, No 67. What is the average length? 68. Do you use decorative lights? 3, Yes 4, No 69. What is the average number of strands? 1, 1-5 2, 5-10 3, 10 + 70. Do you use grow lights? 5, Yes 6, No 71. What is the total wattage? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 48 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 72. Do you have any electric vehicles charging? 1, Full-size electric car 2, Golf-cart/neighborhood electric vehicle charging 3, Other 4, None 73. Do you have any other significant electrical consuming appliances? That was our last question. Thank you for your time and consideration. If you would like to talk to someone about this project please contact ????AEA???? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 49 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Non-Residential Energy Use Survey Instrument AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 50 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Craciun Research Non-Residential Energy Use Survey – DRAFT 7 Approved by Jean Craciun, Research Director 7/8/2011 Introduction Hi, my name is _______________from Craciun Research, an Alaskan company. I am calling on behalf of the Alaska Energy Authority to conduct a survey of commercial buildings about energy usage and equipment. As part of Energy Awareness month this October we have randomly selected buildings to study and we would like to pay you $75 to assist us with this FIRST-EVER ENERGY END USE project in Alaska. May I speak with someone who is familiar with your building's energy using equipment and systems? [LOCATE OWNER: BUILDING MANAGER AND CONTINUE] [AS NEEDED: We are working with the Alaska Energy Authority to gather information on the energy using equipment installed in commercial businesses. We are conducting this research to understand energy use by consumption; the State of Alaska goal is to reach 15% energy efficiency by 2020. We would be happy to provide you with an energy efficiency report about your building. (Jay this was discussed in our meeting but needs to be determined as to what we would give those who need a little more incentive. Jean Craciun) We would like to know what would work best for you to participate; the survey can be completed online as well as over the phone. While on the phone you can also go online to see illustrations that may be helpful in completing the survey. If we start now the entire survey could take about 45 minutes. Your business will receive recognition in AEA’s October Energy Awareness Month newsletter. All of your answers are kept strictly confidential; let’s get started. [IF NOT NOW SCHEDULE CALL BACK] What would be a better time to start? [SCREENING QUESTIONS TO BE ADDED] 1. What is the gross or total square footage of all the space in the building, both finished and unfinished, including basements, hallways, lobbies, stairways, elevator shafts and indoor parking levels? 1, Building square footage less than 1,000 [less than 1,000 square feet GO TO Q] 2, 1,001 to 5,000 square feet 3, 5,001 to 10,000 square feet 4, 10,001 to 25,000 square feet 5, 25,001 to 50,000 square feet 6, 50,001 to 100,000 square feet 7, 100,001 to 200,000 square feet 8, 200,001 to 500,000 square feet 9, 500,001 to 1 million square feet AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 51 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 10, Over 1 million square feet 2. What year was this building/property constructed? If there have been major additions, give us the year the largest portion of the building was completed. 1, Before 1990 2, 1980 to 2000 3, Since 2000 4, Don’t know 3. [ASK IF BEFORE 1980] Has any portion of this building undergone major renovations since 1980? 1, Yes 2, No 4. [IF YES] Which types of renovations have been done since 1980. [READ LIST. ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS] 1, Addition or annex 2, Reduction of enclosed floor space 3, Interior or exterior cosmetic improvements 4, Exterior replacement 5, Interior wall re-configuration 6, HVAC equipment upgrade 7, Lighting upgrade 8, Window replacement 9, Plumbing system upgrade 10, Insulation upgrade 11, Other specify______________ 5. Which one of the activities listed accounts for 75% or more of the floor space in this property? 1, All Commercial 2, All Office/Professional 3, All Warehouse/Storage 4, Colleges 5, Grocery 6, Health 7, Large Office 8, Lodging 9, Miscellaneous 10, Refrigerated Warehouse 11, Restaurant 12, Retail AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 52 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 13, School 14, Small Office 15, Other Warehouse 16, Vacant (Jon?) 17, Other specify: 6. Looking at this list, please tell me which of these best describes the owner of this property. 1, Government 2, Property management company 3, Other corporation, partnership, or LLC 4, Religious organization 5, Other non-profit organization 6, Privately-owned school 7, Individual owner(s) 8, Other specify ___________________ 7. How many businesses or organizations are there in the property? 8. Now I have some questions about the hours that this building is normally open. “Normally open” means the hours when the usual activities occur. Do not consider the building “to be open” if only maintenance, housekeeping, or security personnel are present. 8a. Is this building normally open 24 hours a day, seven days a week? 1, Yes 2, No 9. Thinking of Monday through Friday, is this building open all five days, open some of these days, or is it not open at all Monday through Friday? 1, All five days 2, Some of these days 3, Not open at all Monday through Friday 10. Is this building normally open at all on the weekend? [IF ONLY OPEN ONE DAY OF THE WEEKEND; CONSIDER IT TO BE OPEN.] 1, Yes 2, No 11. Please tell me if energy was used for any of these purposes in this building in the past 12 months. AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 53 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates [PROBE FOR ANY OTHERS; PLEASE ENTER ALL THAT APPLY] 1, Heating the building 2, Cooling the building 3, Ventilation 4, Water Heating 5, Commercial or institutional cooking or food serving 6, Refrigeration 7, Exterior Lighting 8, Interior Lighting 9, Office Equipment 10, Miscellaneous 11, Process 12, Motors 13, Air Compressors 14, ** IF VOLUNTEERED ** None of these uses, but some energy used 15, ** IF VOLUNTEERED ** No energy used in the past 12 months 12. Does this building have the ability to generate electricity, including for emergency backup? 1, Yes 2, No 13. Please tell me which of these energy sources were used in this building for any purpose in the past 12 months. 1, Electricity 2, Natural gas 3, Fuel oil, diesel or kerosene 4, Bottled gas, also known as LPG or propane 5, Steam piped in from a separate building or utility 6, Hot water piped in from a separate building or utility 7, Wood, coal, or solar thermal panels 8, Other source or sources [SPECIFY] 14. What was the main energy source for heating? [SAME ANSWERS AS ABOVE] [THE MAIN ENERGY SOURCE FOR HEATING IS THE ENERGY SOURCE USED TO HEAT MOST OF THE SQUARE FOOTAGE IN THE BUILDING MOST OF THE TIME. DO NOT INCLUDE ELECTRICITY IF IT IS USED ONLY TO RUN FAN MOTORS.] 1, Electricity 2, Natural gas 3, Fuel oil, Diesel, or Kerosene 4, Bottled gas AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 54 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 5, District steam 6, District hot water 7, Wood 8, Coal 9, Solar 10, Other specify________________ 15. Was any of the building heated to less than 50 degrees Fahrenheit? [AREAS MAY BE HEATED TO LESS THAN 50 DEGREES TO PREVENT PIPES FROM FREEZING.] 1, Yes 2, No 16. Please tell me which heating equipment types are used in this building. 1, Furnaces that heat air directly, without using steam or hot water 2, Boilers inside the building that produce steam or hot water 3, Packaged heating units, other than heat pumps 4, Individual space heaters, other than heat pumps 5, Heat pumps 6, District steam or hot water piped in from outside the building 7, Other heating equipment 17. Which of these best describes how the temperature for heating is usually changed? 1, Time-clock thermostat 2, Thermostat is manually reset 3, Part of “Energy Management and Control System (EMCS)” 18. Now I have some questions about uses of space and equipment in this Building. Please tell me if the property includes any of the following? [ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS] 1, A data center/ computer server “farm” 2, Agricultural [GREENHOUSE] 3, Education 4, Food sales or services 5, Health care 6, Industrial manufacturing 7, Laundry/dry cleaning 8, Offices or professional offices 9, Public assembly 10, Public order or safety 11, Religious worship 12, Residential [APARMENTS, ETC] 13, Retail 14, Service AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 55 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 15, Lodging, [AS IN A HOTEL OR ROOMING HOUSE] 16, Warehouse/ storage 17, Vacant [TBD] 18. Other [SPECIFY] 19. Is any space used for institutional or commercial food preparation and serving, such as kitchens, restaurants, snack bars, cafeterias, steam tables, or warming areas? 1, Yes 2, No 20. [IF NO] Is any space used for incidental food preparation by the tenants? 1, Yes 2, No 3, Don’t know [IF ANY SPACE IS USED FOR FOOD PREP OR FOOD SALES OR SEFVICES ASK THIS SET – THROUGH END FOOD SERVICE] ** Refrigerator section 21. How many residential-type refrigerators are in the building? 0, SKIP TO FREEZER SECTION] [USE 999 FOR DON’T KNOW 22. [IF ONE] What size is it – small, standard or large? 23. [IF MORE THAN ONE] How many are small, how many are standard and how many large? 24. Small (LIST NUMERICAL) 25. Standard (LIST NUMERICAL) 26. Large (LIST NUMERICAL) 27. Is it/Are they all/ located in a heated area, in a semi-heated area such as a garage or in an unheated area? 1, All in a heated area 2, All in semi-heated areas 3, All in unheated areas 4, Mixed 28. [IF MIXED] How many are in a heated area? 29. [IF MIXED] How many are in a semi heated area? 30. [IF MIXED] How many are in an unheated area? 31. [ASK IF MORE THAN ONE] Are they all the same age? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 56 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 1, Yes 2, No 3, Don’t know 32. [IF YES OR IF THERE IS ONLYONE] How old are they? 33. [IF NOT THE SAME AGE] Can you estimate the ages? ___ at ____ years ___ at ____ years ___ at ____ years ___ at ____ years ___ at ____ years 34. Does it/Do they all have Energy Star ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 35. [IF SOME] How many? End Refrigerator section ** Freezer section 36. How many residential-type freezers are in the building? 0, SKIP TO COMMERCIAL REFRIGERATOR SECTION] [USE 999 FOR DON’T KNOW 37. [IF ONE] What size is it – small, standard or large? 38. [IF MORE THAN ONE] How many are small, how many are standard and how many large? 39. Small (LIST NUMERICAL) 40. Standard (LIST NUMERICAL) 41. Large (LIST NUMERICAL) 42. Is it/Are they all/ located in a heated area, in a semi-heated area such as a garage or in an unheated area? 1, All in a heated area AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 57 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 2, All in semi-heated areas 3, All in unheated areas 4, Mixed 43. [IF MIXED] How many are in a heated area? 44. [IF MIXED] How many are in a semi heated area? 45. [IF MIXED] How many are in an unheated area? 46. [ASK IF MORE THAN ONE] Are they all the same age? 1, Yes 2, No 3, Don’t know 47. [IF YES OR IF THERE IS ONLY ONE] How old are they? __ __ 48. [IF NOT THE SAME AGE] Can you estimate the ages? ___ at ____ years ___ at ____ years ___ at ____ years ___ at ____ years ___ at ____ years 49. Does it/Do they all have Energy Star Ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 50. [IF SOME] How many? End Freezer section Begin commercial refrigeration section 51. Does the property have any commercial-sized refrigerator cases and freezer cases? 1, Yes 2, No [SKIP TO NEXT SECTION] 52. How many? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 58 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 53. [IF MORE THAN ONE] I need to ask some questions about each unit. Bear with me. Starting from the largest one [FOR EACH ASK] 54. What is the condensing unit type -- self-contained or remote condensing? 1, Self contained 2, Remote condensing 55. At what operating temperature is it kept? [READ LIST] 1, Medium (38 F) 2, Low (0 F) 3, Ice cream ( -15 F) 56. Does it have transparent doors, solid doors or no doors? 1, Transparent 2, Solid 3, No door 57. Is it horizontal, semi vertical or vertical? 1, Horizontal 2, Semi-vertical 3, Vertical 58. How many units are there or how many linear feet does it or they occupy? End commercial refrigeration section Begin Dishwasher section 59. How many small, residential-size dishwashers are there in the building? [IF NEEDED] – for example in break rooms or residential units 60. Are they Energy Star rated? 1, All are 2, Some are 3, None are 4, Don’t know 61. About how old are they? [ENTER SINGLE NUMBER OR RANGE] End Dishwasher section Begin Commercial Cooking section 62. Does the building have a commercial scale kitchen? 1 Yes 2, No AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 59 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 63. [IF YES] What is it used for? [READ LIST] 1, Quick serve restaurant 2, Restaurant 3, Dining hall 4, Occasional food service for clubs and parties 5. Other [SPECIFY] 64. How many meals are served per weekday? 65. How many on weekends? 66. What type of cooking fuel is used? 1, Gas 2, Fuel oil 3, Electric 4, Wood, charcoal 5, Other End Commercial Cooking section Begin Office equipment section 67. How many desk-top computers are there in the property? 0, None [SKIP TO LAP-TOP SECTION] ___ ___ ___ 999, Don’t know 68. What percentage, roughly, are turned off at night? 0 None ___ __ 999 [Don’t know 69. What percent are sleep-enabled? [IF NEEDED, “TURN THEMSELVES DOWN AUTOMATICALLY WHEN NOT IN USE FOR A WHILE”] 0 None ___ __ 999 [Don’t know 70. Do they all have Energy Star ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 60 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 71. [IF SOME] About what percentage? 72. How many lap-top computers are there in the property? 0, None [SKIP TO MONITOR SECTION] ___ ___ ___ 999, Don’t know 73. What percentage, roughly, are turned off at night? 0 None ___ __ 999 [Don’t know 74. What percent are sleep-enabled? [IF NEEDED, “TURN THEMSELVES DOWN AUTOMATICALLY WHEN NOT IN USE FOR A WHILE”] 0 None ___ __ 999 [Don’t know 75. Do they all have Energy Star ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 76. [IF SOME] About what percentage? 77. How many Monitors [COMPUTER SCREENS] are there in the property? 0, None [SKIP TO SACANNERSECTION] ___ ___ ___ 999, Don’t know 78. What percentage, roughly, are turned off at night? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 61 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 0 None ___ __ 999 [Don’t know 79. What percent are sleep-enabled? [IF NEEDED, “TURN THEMSELVES DOWN AUTOMATICALLY WHEN NOT IN USE FOR A WHILE”] 0 None ___ __ 999 [Don’t know 80. Do they all have Energy Star ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 81. [IF SOME] About what percentage? 82. How many scanners are there in the property? 0, None [SKIP TO COPIER SECTION] ___ ___ ___ 999, Don’t know 83. Do they all have Energy Star ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 84. [IF SOME] About what percentage? 85. How many copiers are there in the property? 0, None [SKIP TO FAX SECTION] ___ ___ ___ 999, Don’t know 86. How many are black and white laser? 87. How many Color laser? 88. How many other copiers? 89. How many are small – 1 to 25 pages per minute? 90. How many medium – 26 to 50 pages per minute? 91. How many large – 51 pages or faster? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 62 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 92. Do they all have Energy Star ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 93. [IF SOME] About what percentage? 94. How many fax machines? 0, None [SKIP TO MULTI-FUNCTION DEVICE SECTION] ___ ___ ___ 999, Don’t know 95. How many inkjet? 96. How many laser? 97. How many other? 98. Do they all have Energy Star ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 99. [IF SOME] About what percentage? 100. How many multi-function devices are there – machines that copy, scan and print? 0, None [SKIP TO MULTI-FUNCTION DEVICE SECTION] ___ ___ ___ 999, Don’t know 101. How many are inkjet? 102. How many black and white laser? 103. How many color laser? 104. How many other? 105. [ASK IF LASER] What sizes are your laser devices? [ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS] How many home size __ __ How many small office __ __ How many large office __ __ 106. What are the speeds in images per minute? ___ at ____ AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 63 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates ___ at ____ ___ at ____ ___ at ____ ___ at ____ 107. Do they all have Energy Star ratings? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 108. [IF SOME] About what percentage? 109. How many routers do you have? 0, None ___ ___ ___ 999, Don’t know 110. Are there any computer servers in the building? 1, Yes 2, No [GO TO LAUNDRY SECTION] 3, Don’t know [GO TO LAUNDRY SECTION] 111. Do you have any of the following? 1, A server closet with 1 or 2 servers 2, A server room, 3 to 24 servers 3, A localized data center, 25 to 199 servers 4, A mid-tier data center 200 to 899 servers 5, an Enterprise class data center, 900 or more servers 6, None of the above End computer section Begin residential laundry section 112. In the building, are there shared laundry facilities for all residential units or facilities in each unit? 1, Shared laundry facilities 2, Facilities in all residential units 3, Both AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 64 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 113. [IF FACILITIES IN EACH UNIT] Do you supply the washers and dryers, or do the tenants supply their own? 1, Landlord supplied machines 2, Tenant supplied 3, Some of each 114. [IF SHARED LAUNDRY FACILITIES OR LANDLORD SUPPLIED MACHINES] What types of washing machines are provided? [READ LIST] 1, Front loader 2, Top loader 3, Some of each 115. [IF SHARED LAUNDRY FACILITIES OR LANDLORD SUPPLIED MACHINES] About how old are the machines? 116. [IF SHARED LAUNDRY FACILITIES OR LANDLORD SUPPLIED MACHINES] Are they Energy Star rated? 1, Yes, all 2, Some 3, No, none 4, Don’t know 117. [IF SOME] About what percentage? 118. [IF SHARED LAUNDRY FACILITIES OR LANDLORD SUPPIED MACHINES] Are the machines small, medium or large? 1, Small (LIST NUMERICAL) 2, Medium (LIST NUMERICAL) 3, Large (LIST NUMERICAL) 119. [IF SHARED LAUNDRY FACILITIES OR LANDLORD SUPPIED MACHINES] Could you make a guess at the number of loads per week? 120. [IF SHARED LAUNDRY FACILITIES OR LANDLORD SUPPIED MACHINES] What do your dryers use for fuel? 1, Natural gas 2, Propane 3, Electric 4, Fuel oil 5, Don’t know End residential laundry section AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 65 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Begin commercial laundry section 121. Which of the following services do you offer the public? [ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS – READ LIST] 1, Commercial Laundromat or Washeteria 2, Commercial laundry 3, Commercial dry cleaning 4, Hotel/motel linens 5, Hospital linens 6, Uniforms 7, Other [SPECIFY] 122. About how many pounds per year of laundry do you do? 123. What percent of your loads use hot water? 124. How many large commercial washers do you have 125. How many residential-scale washers? 126. What kind of fuel do you use to for your dryer(s)? 1, Natural gas 2, Propane 3, Electric 4, Fuel oil 5, Don’t know 127. Does your facility use an extractor to spin water out of the laundry before it goes to the dryer? 1, Yes, 2, No 3, Don’t know 128. Does your laundry have a heat recovery system? 1, Yes 2, No 3, Don’t know 129. [IF YES] Please describe it. 130. Do you use recovered heat from a generator or manufacturing process? 1, Yes 2, No 3, Don’t know AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 66 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 131. Do you use an ozone system? 1, Yes 2, No 3, Don’t know End commercial laundry section Begin Lighting section 132. First I’d like to ask about interior lighting in your building, beginning with incandescent bulbs. What percentage of the total building is lit by incandescent bulbs? 133. What is the average wattage of these lights? 134. About how many hours a week are they on [READ LIST] 1, On 24 hours a day, 7 days a week 2, On dark hours when building is occupied 7 days a week 3, On dark hours when building is occupied 5 days a week 4, On all dark hours, 7 days a week 5, On all dark hours 5 days a week 6, Off and on as needed 135. Halogen bulbs? What percentage of the total building is lit by them? 136. What is the average wattage? 137. About how many hours a week are they on? 1, On 24 hours a day, 7 days a week 2, On dark hours when building is occupied 7 days a week 3, On dark hours when building is occupied 5 days a week 4, On all dark hours, 7 days a week 5, On all dark hours 5 days a week 6, Off and on as needed 138. Next, CFL – compact fluorescent lights– what percentage of the total building is lit by them? 139. What is the average wattage? 140. About how many hours a week are they on? 1, On 24 hours a day, 7 days a week 2, On dark hours when building is occupied 7 days a week 3, On dark hours when building is occupied 5 days a week 4, On all dark hours, 7 days a week 5, On all dark hours 5 days a week 6, Off and on as needed 141. Fluorescent? What percentage of the total building is lit by them? 142. What is the average wattage? 143. About how many hours a week are they on? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 67 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates 1, On 24 hours a day, 7 days a week 2, On dark hours when building is occupied 7 days a week 3, On dark hours when building is occupied 5 days a week 4, On all dark hours, 7 days a week 5, On all dark hours 5 days a week 6, Off and on as needed 144. LED? What percentage of the total building is lit by them? 145. What is the average wattage? 146. About how many hours a week are they on? 1, On 24 hours a day, 7 days a week 2, On dark hours when building is occupied 7 days a week 3, On dark hours when building is occupied 5 days a week 4, On all dark hours, 7 days a week 5, On all dark hours 5 days a week 6, Off and on as needed 147. Now, about exterior lighting. Do you have exterior lighting on the building that is activated automatically or is always on? 1, Yes, activated automatically 2, Yes, always on 3, Some of each 4, No [GO TO NEXT SECTION] 148. [ASK IF ACTIVATED AUTOMATICALLY] What activates the lights [READ LIST ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS] 1, The light automatic goes on at twilight 2, Motion sensor 3, A timer is programmed to go on regularly 4, Other [SPECIFY] 149. What percentage of it is lit by LED lighting? 150. By High Density Discharge – mercury vapor and the like? 151. [IF USES HIGH DENSITY ASK] What kind do you have? [READ LIST] 1, Mercury vapor 2, Metal Halide, 3, High pressure sodium 4, Low pressure Sodium 5, Don’t know 152. What is the total wattage of your exterior lighting? End Lighting section AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 68 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Begin Other section 153. How many of the following does your property include? 154. Hot Tubs 155. Saunas 156. Water well pumps 157. Sewage lift pump 158. Sump pump 159. Head bolt/ Engine block heaters 160. Heat trace 161. Grow lights 162. Greenhouse 163. Security systems 164. OTHER TBD 165. Does the building contain any manufacturing, industrial processing or similar end uses? 166. Does the building contain any other large end-uses we have not asked about? That was our last question. Thank you for your time and consideration. If you would like to talk to someone about this project please contact AEA????? AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 69 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Preliminary Sample Size Southeast Alaska & Railbelt AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 70 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 11 Preliminary Sample Size- Southeast Alaska-10% MOE 10% Margin of Error with a 90% confidence level, with the exception of warehouse structure(18.2% MOE) Southeast Alaska Juneau Kodiak/Cordova Ketchikan Sitka Other Southeast Total Location Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample MOE Bldg Type Food Service 49 20 17 7 11 5 8 3 14 6 99 41 10.0% Warehouse 386 14 134 3 90 2 62 2 109 3 781 20 18.2% Institutional 63 24 22 8 15 6 3 1 6 2 109 42 10.0% Health Care 16 11 6 4 4 3 3 2 5 3 34 23 10.0% Lodging 26 13 9 4 6 3 10 5 20 10 71 35 10.0% office 159 29 55 10 37 7 25 5 35 6 311 56 10.0% Mercantile/ retail 154 28 54 10 36 6 25 4 43 8 312 56 10.0% Service 59 22 21 8 14 5 9 3 17 6 120 44 10.0% Other 164 9 57 10 38 7 26 5 40 7 325 57 10.0% Total 1,076 170 374 65 25 1 43 17 1 30 289 51 2,162 37 4 3.6% AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 71 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 12 Preliminary Sample Size- Southeast Alaska 15% MOE 15% Margin of Error with a 90% confidence level, with the exception of warehouse structure(18.2% MOE) Southeast Alaska Juneau Kodiak/Cordova Ketchikan Sitka Other Southeast Total Location Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample MOE Bldg Type Food Service 49 12 17 4 11 3 8 2 14 3 99 24 15.0% Warehouse 386 10 134 3 90 2 62 2 109 3 781 20 18.2% Institutional 63 14 22 5 15 3 3 1 6 1 109 24 15.0% Health Care 16 8 6 3 4 2 3 1 5 3 34 17 15.0% Lodging 26 8 9 3 6 2 10 3 20 6 71 22 15.0% office 159 15 55 5 37 3 25 2 35 3 311 28 15.0% Mercantile/ retail 154 14 54 5 36 3 25 2 43 4 312 28 15.0% Service 59 12 21 4 14 3 9 2 17 4 120 25 15.0% Other 164 15 57 5 38 3 26 2 40 3 325 28 15.0% Total 1,07 6 108 374 37 251 25 17 1 17 289 30 2,16 2 216 5.2% AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 72 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 13 Preliminary Sample Size- 10% MOE 10% Margin of Error with a 90% confidence level, with the exception of warehouse structure(18.4% MOE) Railbelt Total Railbelt Anchorag e Mat- Su Kenai Valdez/Ot her Fairbanks Denali/SE FBKS Location Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample MOE Bldg Type Food Service 351 30 116 10 112 10 12 1 116 10 20 2 727 62 10.0% Warehouse 2,797 10 807 3 892 3 93 0 922 3 75 0 5586 20 18.4% Institutional 455 26 335 19 145 8 15 1 150 9 12 1 1112 64 10.0 % Health Care 113 23 80 16 36 7 4 1 37 7 3 1 273 55 10.0% Lodging 185 22 193 22 59 7 6 1 61 7 20 2 524 61 10.0% office 1,15 1 38 44 1 367 12 38 1 379 12 27 1 2006 66 10.0 % Mercantile/ retail 1,118 33 308 9 356 11 37 1 368 11 30 1 2217 66 10.0% Service 427 24 414 23 136 8 14 1 141 8 11 1 1143 64 10.0% Other 1,18 5 37 71 2 378 12 39 1 390 12 25 1 2088 66 10.0 % Total 7,782 243 2368 107 2,481 77 259 8 2,564 80 223 9 15,676 524 3.5% AEA End Use Study- Implementation Plan Page | 73 July 11, 2011 Brian Saylor & Associates Table 14-Preliminary Sample Size Railbelt- 15% MOE 15% Margin of Error with a 90% confidence level, with the exception of warehouse structure(18.4% MOE) Railbelt Total Zone Anchorage Mat-Su Kenai Valdez/ Other Railbelt Fairbanks Denali/SE FBKS Location Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample Units Sample MOE Bldg Type Food Service 351 14 116 5 112 4 12 0 116 5 20 1 727 29 15.% Warehouse 2,797 10 807 3 892 3 93 0 922 3 75 1 5586 20 18.% Institutional 455 12 335 9 145 4 15 1 150 4 12 0 1112 30 15.% Health Care 113 12 80 8 36 4 4 0 37 4 3 0 273 28 15.% Lodging 185 10 193 11 59 3 6 1 61 3 20 1 524 29 15% office 1,151 17 44 1 367 5 38 1 379 6 27 0 2006 30 15% Mercantile/ retail 1,118 15 308 4 356 5 37 1 368 5 30 0 2217 30 15% Service 427 11 414 11 136 4 14 0 141 4 11 0 1143 30 15% Other 1,185 17 71 1 378 5 39 1 390 6 25 0 2088 30 15% Total 7,782 11 9 2368 52 2,48 1 38 259 5 2,564 39 223 5 15,67 6 25 6 5.1%