HomeMy WebLinkAboutREFAC Presentation December 2019-CEREDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKAREDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Renewable Energy Fund Advisory Committee
(REFAC)
Neil McMahon
Program Manager
Energy Planning
REFAC Meeting
December 3, 2019
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 2
Agenda
1-1:15 p.m.Welcome and Introductions
1:15-1:20 p.m.Approve minutes and agenda
1:20-2:10 p.m.Refreshers
Energy in Alaska
REF Evaluation process
REFAC Advisory Role
REF impact to date
2:10-2:45 p.m.Informational Items
Fund balance
One-page description for potential funders
Request for Application schedule
Incentivizing Operations and Financial Planning
Metering requirements
2:45-3 p.m.Break
3-3:45 p.m.Action Items
Change funding limits
Prioritize early stage projects
Increase local match weighting
Incentivize supply-and demand-side efficiency
3:45-4 p.m.Member comments
4 p.m.Adjourn
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 3
740,000 People
660,000 Sq. Miles
200 Islanded power systems
Energy in Alaska
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 4
Alaska Generation
Infrastructure
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0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Percent of electricity generated by fuel source
Source: Energy Statistics, EIA, and PCE data (2008-2017)
Coal
Natural
gas
Oil
Wind
Hydro18%
29%
Alaska State Energy
Policy (2010):
Goal of 50% of
electricity generated by
renewable source by
2025
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Eligible Projects Must:
Be a new project not in operation in 2008, or a
and Be a hydro, direct use of renewable energy, a
facility that generates electricity from fuel cells
that use hydrogen from RE or natural gas (certain
conditions for natural gas), or be a facility that
generates electricity using renewable energy.
Evaluation Process:
Develop a methodology for determining the
order of projects that may receive assistance,
most weight being given to projects that serve
any area in which the average cost of energy to
each resident of the area exceeds the average
cost to each resident of other areas of the state,
significant weight given to a statewide balance of
grant funds and to the amount of matching funds
6
REF Statutory Guidance
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 7
Four Stage REF Evaluation Process
Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4
Completeness/eligibility
(AEA staff)
Feasibility and public
benefit (AEA, DNR,
Contractors)
Technical and
economic evaluation
Qualifications and
experience of team
Project management,
development,
operation
Ranking projects
(AEA/REFAC)
Cost of energy single
biggest criterion (30%)
Levelized feasibility
score from stage 2 (25%)
Other criteria include
public benefits,
readiness, local support
and match
Regional spreading
(AEA/REFAC)
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REFAC Advisory Committee
8
NAME SECTOR APPOINTED BY
Meera Kohler Small rural electric utility Governor
Unfilled Representative of an Alaska Native Organization Governor
Chris Rose Business/Organization involved in renewable energy Governor
Alicia Siira Denali Commission Governor
Lee Thibert Large urban electric utility Governor
Natasha von Imhof Senate member 2 Senate President
David Wilson Senate member 1 Senate President
Adam Wool House member 2 Speaker of the House
Tiffany Zulkosky House member 1 Speaker of the House
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Statutes (AS 42.45.045)
AEA “in consultation with the advisory committee…develop a methodology for determining the order of projects
that may receive assistance….”
AEA “shall, at least once each year, solicit from the advisory committee funding recommendations for all grants.”
Regulations (3 AAC 107.660)
(a) To establish a statewide balance of recommended projects, the authority will provide to the advisory
committee established in AS 42.45.045 (i) a statewide and regional ranking of all applications recommended for
grants.
(b) In consultation with the advisory committee established in AS 42.45.045 (i), the authority will
(1) make a final prioritized list of all recommended projects, giving significant weight to providing a statewide balance of grant money, and
taking into consideration the amount of money that may be available, number and types of projects within each region, regional rank, and
statewide rank
9
REFAC Roles
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REFAC Input Since Inception Includes:
10
Increase focus on high energy cost communities
Encourage heat projects
Encourage energy efficiency points in scoring for heat projects
Regional spreading of grant funds
Support recommendations to the legislature
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REF Appropriations ($ millions)
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX
REF Round
11
Rounds I-IX: 851 total
applications received
295 applications funded
$268 million granted
$165 million in direct
project match
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REF Spending to Date by Region ($ millions)
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Approximately 30
active REF projects
remain to be
completed
REF Projects Rounds I-IX
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Wind
$91.5
Hydro
$84.8
Biomass
$27.0 Heat Recovery
$20.3
Heat Pump
$16.4
Transmission
$12.5 Ocean/River
$3.9
Solar
$0.5
Other
$0.1
14
REF Spending to Date by Resource ($ millions)
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 15
REF Fuel Savings From Construction Projects
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Fuel Displaced (diesel equivalent, gallons)MillionsBiomass
Heat Pump
Heat Recovery
Hydro
Biofuel
Solar
Transmission
Wind
Wind to Heat
Total fuel cost
savings in 2017:
~$74M
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 1616
$-
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Value of diesel saved in PCE-eligible communities
(2009-2017)
Wind to Heat
Wind
Transmission
Solar PV
Hydro
Heat Recovery
REF Projects in PCE-Eligible Communities
Total fuel cost
savings to PCE-
eligible utilities
2009-2017: ~$29M
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 17
Fund balance
One-page description for potential funders
Request for Application schedule
Business operations plan template/Best Practices checklists
Metering requirements
Other
Informational Items
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REF Balance and Potential Funding
18
Uncommitted:
~$8.58M as of 9/30/2019
Fiscal
Year
PCE endowment
fund earnings
Excess earnings from PCE Endowment
potentially available to REF
Action
FY20 $76.6M $454,000 Vetoed by
governor
FY21 $74.1M <$200,000
Operating Fund Commitment:
$1.948M (FY20)
$1.4M (FY21 proposed)
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One Pager and Potential Funders
Requested by REFAC in November 2018
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Action Expected Dates
RFA release March 2020
Applications due June/July 2020
REFAC meeting July/August 2020
Evaluate applications July-November 2020
REFAC meeting December 2020/January 2021
Deliver recommendations to legislature January 29, 2021
Grants could begin July 1, 2021
RFA Release Schedule
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 21
Current Rules
Statute
No Reference
Regulations
Public benefit…
“ability to ..operate and
maintain the project for
the life of the project.”
Recommended additions to Scoring Criteria and Grant application
Stage 2 Criterion 2 Qualifications and Experience (20% of Stage 2)
The applicant, partners, and/or contractors have sufficient knowledge and experience to
successfully complete and operate the project.
The project team has staffing, time, and other resources to successfully complete and
operate the project.
For construction projects, include the final operational and business plan completed under
Phase III--Final Design & Permitting, including financial and operational plans for end-of-
life. Operational plans should be detailed and include labor and material costs, training
needed, minor and major repair schedules, etc. [This would be added to 4.1.2 Expertise
and Resources in grant application
Stage 3: Section 7—Sustainability
The capability of the grantee to demonstrate the capacity, both administratively and
financially, to provide for the long-term operation and maintenance of the proposed
project
For construction projects, attach and describe how the applicant will implement the final
financial and operational plan to provide for the long-term operation and maintenance of
the proposed project. [This would be added to Section 7--Sustainability in grant
application]
Incentivizing Operations and Financial Planning
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 22
Template for business and operations planning
Will be available through AEA’s website
Assisting with Operations and Financial Planning
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 23
Data Collection Recommended Language
Metering Equipment
Please provide a short narrative, and cost estimate, identifying the metering equipment that will be used to
comply with the operations reporting requirement identified in Section 3.15 of the Request for Applications.
Any identified metering equipment will not be included as a project cost.
Energy Cost Calculation
The Household Energy Cost is calculated as follows:
HEC = (cost of power*6,000 kWh/yr) + (cost of heating fuel*regional mean HH gallons/yr)
The Cost of Energy Score is then assigned using the following formula:
COE Score = (HEC) / $15,254.77 x 10, Score cannot be greater than 10
Communities with an average combined residential energy bill at or above $15,254.77 are assigned the maximum
score of 10. This value is the cost that allows 10% of all communities in the state to receive full points for this
criterion in the current year.
Other –Metering Equipment, Cost of Energy
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 24
Operational data
What are we going to do with it
Much simpler status report to the legislature to meet statutory
requirement
Other Changes
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Action Items
25
Potential changes to the 2020 RFA based on 2018 REFAC requests:
Change funding limits
Prioritize early stage projects
Increase local match weighting
Incentivize supply-and demand-side efficiency
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Change Funding Limits
Goals and Justification
26
Currently:
Average grant size ~$950,0000
61% less than or equal to $500k
12% between $500k and $1M
27% greater than $1M
Possible:
Fund more projects
Probably more likely to be pre-
construction and/or heating
projects
Might increase applicant match
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
CurrentFundingLimits
27
Phase Grant Limits by location
Low Energy Cost Areas High Energy Cost Areas
Phase I, Reconnaissance The per-project total of Phase I and II is limited to 20% of anticipated construction cost (Phase IV), not to exceed $2M.Phase II, Feasibility and Conceptual Design
Phase III,Final Design and Permitting 20% of anticipated construction cost (Phase IV), and counting against the total construction grant limit below.
Phase IV,Construction and Commissioning $2M per project, including final design and permitting (Phase III) costs, above.
$4M per project, including final design and permitting (Phase III) costs, above.
Exceptions
Biofuel Projects Biofuel projects where the applicant does not intend to generate electricity or heat for sale to the public are limited to reconnaissance and feasibility phases only at the limits expressed above. Geothermal projects The per-project total of Phase I and II for geothermal projects is limited to 20% of anticipated construction costs (Phase IV), not to exceed $4M. Any amount above the usual $2M cap spent on these two phases combined shall reduce the total Phase III and IV grant limit by the same amount, thereby keeping the same total grant dollar cap as all other projects.
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Change Funding Limits
Impact on Application Types
28
$0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000
Kodiak
Northwest Arctic
Copper River/Chugach
Southeast
Bering Straits
Lower Yukon-Kuskokwim
Aleutians
Railbelt
Bristol Bay
Yukon-Koyukuk/Upper Tanana
North Slope
Average Grant Amount
Average Grant Amount by AEA Energy Region
Round 1-9
$0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000
Geothermal
Wind
Transmission
Hydro
Heat Pumps
Heat Recovery
Biomass
Ocean/River
Solar
Average Grant Amount
Average Grant Amount by Technology Type
Round 1-9
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Focus on phases with most risk, i.e. pre-
construction
1.Lack of capital to do pre-construction work
2.Risk of doing pre-construction work
3.Non-state funds are more easily secured
after pre-construction activities
4.Create a “pipeline” of new projects
29
Prioritize Early Stage Projects
Goals and Justification
Project Phase Target Allocation –
Percentage of Grant Funds
Recommended
I. Reconnaissance
Study
50% II. Feasibility/
Conceptual Design
III. Final Design and
Permitting
50% IV. Construction and
Commissioning
Additional target
Heat projects 30% of total funding
Round 9 Targets
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Prioritize Early Stage Projects
30
ConsPros
More projects will be funded –
Pre-construction projects average ~$327k vs.
~$1.5M for construction projects
Potentially create a “pipeline” of projects
Fewer projects constructed with REF funds
Is it consistent with statute and regulations?
Biomass projects would likely be represented less
Other risks, such as access to capital, may limit
the number of projects that make it to construction
Assume smaller, less wealthy communities would be
less likely to finance construction without state support
May not know if projects are ever constructed
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 31
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
Average Grant Award by Technology and
Phase
Avg. Construction Avg. Pre-Construction
0
15
30
45
60
Number of Grants Awarded by Technology and
Phase
Construction Projects Pre-Construction Projects
Prioritize Early Stage Projects
Impact on Application Types
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Increasing Local Match
32
Current Rules
Statute
Scoring must be significant
Cost of energy must have most weight
Regulations
“Significant”
Round 1-2 = 25%
Round 3-4 = 20%
Round 5-9 = 15%
What will greater match do?
Will it increase match supplied?
Will it reduce or change access to program by region, project type, project phase?
Would it change order of selections?
Will it improve project outcomes?
What category(ies) will be decreased in importance?
Recommendation
Without identification of clear, specific need, don’t change things
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Increasing Local Match
Impact on Match provided
33
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Average and Median Match Percent by Round
All applications REF Round 1-9
Average Match Median Match Match weight
Changing match weight
does not appear to
appreciably change the
amount of match offered
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Increasing Local Match
Impact on Application Types
34
0 4 8 12
Lower Yukon-Kuskokwim
Bristol Bay
Aleutians
Northwest Arctic
Yukon-Koyukuk/Upper Tanana
Bering Straits
Copper River/Chugach
Southeast
North Slope
Railbelt
Average match score
Average match score by AEA Energy Region
Passed Stage 2, REF Round 1-9
0 3 6 9 12 15
HeatRecovery
Biomass
Solar
Wind
Geothermal
Hydrokinetic
Other
Hydro
Transmission
Storage
HeatPump
Average match score
Average match score by Technology Type
Passed Stage 2, REF Round 1-9
0 4 8 12
Government Entity
Local Government
Utility
IPP
Average match score
Average match score by Applicant Type
Passed Stage 2, REF Round 1-9
Changing match weight will likely increase the likelihood of
certain regions, applicant types, and technology type being
more successful in securing grants.
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 35
Not precluded by statute or regulation
Should be fair and consistent across all projects
Limit unintended consequences
Incentivizing Supply-and Demand-Side Efficiency
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Incentivizing Supply-and Demand-Side Efficiency
1.Conditions for receiving credit:
Improve RE integration
Improve performance of RE project
Care was taken to not negatively impact
vulnerable populations.
2. Proof required to receive credit:
Documentation must be provided on the nature
and cost of investments to be used as in-kind
match, including:
Pre-and post-implementation reports,
Invoices for work completed,
Photos of the work performed, and/or
Any other available verification such as scopes of
work, technical drawings, and payroll for work
completed internally.
Applicant can decide if include in B/C
YES
Cost included as Match,
Efficiency improvement included as a
benefit,
Cost is included in B/C
Improvement may be included in
Sustainability, Readiness, Technical
Feasibility, and/or Other Public Benefits
NO
Improvement may be included in
Sustainability, Readiness, Technical
Feasibility, and/or Other Public Benefits
36
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 37
Member Comments
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 38
Next Meeting?
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 39
SAFE,
RELIABLE, &
AFFORDABLE
ENERGY
SOLUTIONS
ALASKA ENERGY AUTHORITY
813 West Northern Lights Blvd.
Anchorage, Alaska 99503
Phone: (907) 771-3000
Fax: (907) 771-3044
Toll Free (Alaska Only) 888-300-8534