HomeMy WebLinkAboutREFAC PPT 2019REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Renewable Energy
Fund Advisory
Committee (REFAC)
Neil McMahon
Program manager—Energy Planning
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
SAFE,
RELIABLE, &
AFFORDABLE
ENERGY
SOLUTIONS
December 3, 2019
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 2
Welcome and Introductions
SAFE,
RELIABLE, &
AFFORDABLE
ENERGY
SOLUTIONS
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 3
Agenda
•1:00pm-1:15pm Welcome and Introductions
•1:15pm-1:20pm Approve minutes and agenda
•1:20pm-2:00pm Refreshers
•Energy in Alaska
•REF Evaluation process
•REFAC Advisory Role
•REF impact to date
•2:00pm-2:30pm Informational Items
•Fund balance
•Request for Application schedule
•Incentivize supply-side efficiency
•Increase local match weighting
•One-page description for potential funders
•Business operations plan template/Best Practices checklists
•Metering requirements
•2:30pm-2:45pm Break
•2:45pm-3:45pm Potential changes to REF program:
•Change funding limits
•Prioritize early stage projects
•3:45am-4:00pm Member comments
•4:00pm Adjourn
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 4
Energy in Alaska
740,000 People
660,000 Sq. Miles
200 Islanded power
systems
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 5
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Percent of electricity generated by fuel source
Source: Energy Statistics, EIA, and PCE data (2008-2017)
Coal
Natural
gas
Oil
Wind
Hydro18%
29%
Alaska State Energy
Policy (2010):
Goal of 50% of
electricity generated by
renewable source by
2025
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 6
Alaska’s
generation
infrastructure
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REF Statutory Guidance
Eligible projects must:
Be a new project not in operation in 2008, and
1.Be a hydro, direct use of renewable energy, a facility that generates electricity from fuel cells that use hydrogen from RE or natural gas (certain conditions for natural gas), or be a facility that generates electricity using renewable energy.
Evaluation process
Develop a methodology for determining the order of projects that may receive assistance,
•most weight being given to projects that serve any area in which the average cost of energy to each resident of the area
exceeds the average cost to each resident of other areas of the state,
•significant weight given to a statewide balance of grant funds and to the amount of matching funds
7
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Four Stage REF Evaluation Process
1.Completeness/eligibility (AEA staff)
2.Feasibility and public benefit (AEA,
DNR, Contractors)
A.Technical and economic evaluation
B.Qualifications and experience of team
C.Project management/dev/operation
3. Ranking projects (AEA/REFAC)
A.Cost of energy single biggest
criterion (30%)
B.Levelized feasibility score from stage 2 (25%)
C.Other criteria include public benefits, readiness, local support and match
4. Regional spreading (AEA/REFAC)
8
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REFAC Advisory Committee
9
NAME SECTOR APPOINTED BY
Kohler, Meera Small rural electric utility Governor
Unfilled Representative of an Alaska Native
Organization
Governor
Rose, Chris Business/Organization involved in
renewable energy
Governor
Siira, Alicia Denali Commission Governor
Thibert, Lee Large urban electric utility Governor
von Imhof, Natasha Senate member 2 Senate President
Wilson, David Senate member 1 Senate President
Wool, Adam House member 2 Speaker of House
Zulkosky, Tiffany House member 1 Speaker of House
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REFAC Roles
Statutes (AS 42.45.045)
•AEA “in consultation with the advisory committee…develop a methodology for determining the order of projects that may receive assistance….”
•AEA “shall, at least once each year, solicit from the advisory committee funding recommendations for all grants.”
Regulations (3 AAC 107.660)
(a) To establish a statewide balance of recommended projects, the authority will provide to the advisory committee established in AS 42.45.045 (i) a statewide and regional ranking of all applications recommended for grants.
(b) In consultation with the advisory committee established in AS 42.45.045 (i), the authority will
(1) make a final prioritized list of all recommended projects, giving significant weight to providing a statewide balance of grant money, and taking into consideration the amount of money that may be available, number and types of projects within each region, regional rank, and statewide rank
10
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REFAC input since inception has included:
•Increase focus on high cost energy communities
•Encourage heat projects
•Encourage energy efficiency points in scoring for heat projects
•Regional spreading of grant funds
•Support recommendations to the legislature
11
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REF
appropriations
•Rounds I-IX 851 total applications received
•295 applications funded
•$268M granted
•$165M in direct project match
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IXMillions REF Round
12
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REF spending to
date by region
13
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
REF spending to
date by
resource
Wind
$91.5
Hydro
$84.8
Biomass
$27.0 Heat Recovery
$20.3
Heat Pump
$16.4
Transmission
$12.5
Ocean/
River
$3.9
Solar
$0.5
Other
$0.1
FUNDED GRANTS BY ENERGY RESOURCE ($ millions)
14
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 15
RENEWABLE ENERGY FUND PROJECTSROUNDS I-IX
Approximately 30
active REF projects
remain to be
completed
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 16
Total fuel
cost savings ~$74M
In 2017
Renewable Energy Fund Fuel Savings
from construction projects
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Fuel Displaced (diesel equivalent, gallons)MillionsBiomass
Heat Pump
Heat Recovery
Hydro
Biofuel
Solar
Transmission
Wind
Wind to Heat
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 1717
Total fuel cost savings to
PCE-eligible utilities ~$29M
2009-2017:
Renewable Energy Fund & PCE
$-
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
REF Projects
Value of diesel saved in PCE-eligible communities
(2009-2017)
Wind to Heat
Wind
Transmission
Solar PV
Hydro
Heat Recovery
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Informational Items
18
•Fund balance
•One-page description for potential funders
•Request for Application schedule
•Business operations plan template/Best Practices checklists
•Metering requirements
•Other
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Renewable Energy Fund Balance
and Potential Funding
19
Uncommitted
•~$8.58M as of 9/30/2019
Fiscal
Year
PCE endowment
fund earnings
Excess earnings from PCE Endowment
potentially available to REF
Action
FY20 $76.6M $454,000 Vetoed by
governor
FY21 $74.1M <$200,000
Operating Fund Commitment
•$1.948M (FY20)
•$1.4M (FY21 proposed)
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
One-pager & potential funders
•Requested by REFAC in November 2018
20
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
RFA release schedule
21
Action Expected Dates
RFA release March 2020
Applications due June 2020
REFAC meeting July 2020
Evaluate applications July-November 2020
REFAC meeting Mid-December 2020
Deliver recommendations to legislature January 31, 2021
Grants could begin July 1, 2021
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Incentivizing Operations and Financial Planning
22
Current rules
•Statute
•No reference
•Regulations
•Public benefit…
•“ability to ..operate and maintain the project for the life of the project.”
Recommended additions to Scoring Criteria and Grant application
Stage 2 Criterion 2 Qualifications and Experience (20% of Stage 2)
•The applicant, partners, and/or contractors have sufficient knowledge and experience to successfully complete and operate the project.
•The project team has staffing, time, and other resources to successfully complete and operate the project.
•For construction projects, include the final operational and business plan completed under Phase III--Final Design & Permitting, including financial and operational plans for end-of-life. Operational plans should be detailed and include labor and material costs, training needed, minor and major repair schedules, etc. [This would be added to 4.1.2 Expertise and Resources in grant application]
Stage 3: Section 7—Sustainability
•The capability of the grantee to demonstrate the capacity, both administratively and financially, to provide for the long-term operation and maintenance of the proposed project
•For construction projects, attach and describe how the applicant will implement the final financial and operational plan to provide for the long-term operation and maintenance of the proposed project. [This would be added to Section 7--Sustainability in grant application]
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Assisting with Operations and Financial Planning
23
•Template for business and operations planning
•Will be available through AEA’s website as a resource for next round (XIII)
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Other—Metering equipment, cost of energy
calculation
24
Data collection recommended language
•5.4.5 Metering Equipment
•Please provide a short narrative, and cost estimate, identifying the metering equipment that will be used to comply with the operations reporting requirement identified in Section 3.15 of the Request for Applications. Any identified metering equipment will not be included as a project cost.
Energy cost calculation
•The Household Energy Cost is calculated as follows:
•HEC = (cost of power*6,000 kWh/yr) + (cost of heating fuel*regional mean HH gallons/yr)
•The Cost of Energy Score is then assigned using the following formula:
•COE Score = (HEC) / $15,254.77 x 10, Score cannot be greater than 10
•Communities with an average combined residential energy bill at or above $15,254.77 are assigned the maximum score of 10. This value is the cost that allows 10% of all communities in the state to receive full points for this criterion in the current year.
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Other changes
25
•Operational data
•What are we going to do with it
•Much simpler status report to the legislature to meet
statutory requirement.
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Action Items
26
AEA suggested changes to the 2020 RFA based on 2018 REFAC
requests:
1.Incentivize supply-and demand-side efficiency for standard
projects?
2.Increase the scoring weight of local match?
3.Change funding limits?
4.Prioritize early stage projects?
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Incentivizing supply-and demand-side efficiency
•Not precluded by statute or regulation
•Should be fair and consistent across all projects
•Limit unintended consequences
27
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Incentivizing supply-side efficiency
1.Conditions for receiving credit:
•Improve RE integration
•Improve performance of RE project.
2.Proof required to receive credit:
Documentation must be provided on the nature and
cost of supply-side efficiency investments to be used
as in-kind match, including:
•Pre-and post-construction reports,
•Invoices for work completed,
•Photos of the work performed, and/or
•Any other available verification such as scopes of
work, technical drawings, and payroll for work
completed internally.
Applicant can decide if include in B/C
•YES
•Cost included as Match,
•Efficiency improvement included as a
benefit,
•Cost is included in B/C
•NO
•Improvement may be included in
Readiness, Technical Feasibility, and/or
Other Public Benefits
28
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Incentivizing demand-side efficiency
1.Conditions for receiving credit:
•Improve RE integration
•Improve performance of RE project
•Care was taken to not negatively impact vulnerable
populations.
2. Proof required to receive credit:
Documentation must be provided on the nature and cost of
demand-side efficiency investments to be used as in-
kind match, including:
•Pre-and post-implementation reports,
•Invoices for work completed,
•Photos of the work performed, and/or
•Any other available verification such as scopes of
work, technical drawings, and payroll for work
completed internally.
Applicant can decide if include in B/C
•YES
•Cost included as Match,
•Efficiency improvement included as a
benefit,
•Cost is included in B/C
•NO
•Improvement may be included in
Sustainability, Readiness, Technical
Feasibility, and/or Other Public
Benefits
29
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Increasing local match
30
Current rules
•Statute
•Scoring must be significant
•Cost of energy must have most weight
•Regulations
•“Significant”
•Round 1-2 = 25%
•Round 3-4 = 20%
•Round 5-9 = 15%
What will greater match do?
•Will it increase match supplied?
•Will it reduce or change access to program by region, project type, project phase?
•Would it change order of selections?
•Will it improve project outcomes?
•What category(ies) will be decreased in importance?
•Recommendation
•Without identification of clear, specific need, don’t change things
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Increasing local match
Impact on Match provided
31
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Average and Median Match Percent by Round
All applications REF Round 1-9
Average Match Median Match Match weight
Changing match weight
does not appear to
appreciably change the
amount of match
offered
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Increasing local match
Impact on application types
32
0 4 8 12
Lower Yukon-Kuskokwim
Bristol Bay
Aleutians
Northwest Arctic
Yukon-Koyukuk/Upper Tanana
Bering Straits
Copper River/Chugach
Southeast
North Slope
Railbelt
Average match score
Average match score by AEA Energy Region
Passed Stage 2, REF Round 1-9
0 3 6 9 12 15
HeatRecovery
Biomass
Solar
Wind
Geothermal
Hydrokinetic
Other
Hydro
Transmission
Storage
HeatPump
Average match score
Average match score by Technology Type
Passed Stage 2, REF Round 1-9
0 4 8 12
Government Entity
Local Government
Utility
IPP
Average match score
Average match score by Applicant Type
Passed Stage 2, REF Round 1-9
Changing match weight will likely increase the likelihood
of certain regions, applicant types, and technology type
to be more successful in securing grants.
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Change funding limits
Goals & justification
Currently
•Average grant size ~$950,0000
•61% less than or equal to $500k
•12% between $500k & $1M
•27% greater than $1M
Possible
•Fund more projects
•Probably more likely to be pre-construction and/or heating projects
•Could increase applicant match
33
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Change funding limits
Impact on application types
34
$0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000
Kodiak
Northwest Arctic
Copper River/Chugach
Southeast
Bering Straits
Lower Yukon-Kuskokwim
Aleutians
Railbelt
Bristol Bay
Yukon-Koyukuk/Upper Tanana
North Slope
Average Grant Amount
Average Grant Amount by AEA Energy Region
Round 1-9
$0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000
GEOTHERMAL
WIND
TRANSMISSION
HYDRO
HEAT PUMPS
HEAT RECOVERY
BIOMASS
OCEAN/RIVER
SOLAR
Average Grant Amount
Average Grant Amount by Technology Type
Round 1-9
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Prioritize early stage projects
Goals & justification
Focus on phases with most risk, i.e. pre-construction
1.Lack of capital to do pre-construction work
2.Risk of doing pre-construction work
3.Non-state funds are more easily secured after pre-construction activities
4.Create a “pipeline” of new projects
35
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Prioritize early stage projects
Pros
•More projects will be funded
•Pre-construction projects average ~$327k vs. ~$1.5M for construction projects
•Potentially create a “pipeline” of projects
Cons
•Is it consistent with statute and regulations?
•Fewer projects constructed with REF funds
•Biomass projects would be represented less
•Other risks, such as access to capital, may limit the number of projects that make it to construction
•Assume that larger, wealthier communities would be more likely to be finance construction without state support
•May not know if projects are ever constructed
36
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Prioritize early stage projects
Impact on application types
37
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
Average Grant Award by Technology and
Phase
Avg. Construction Avg. Pre-Construction
0
15
30
45
60
Number of Grants Award by Technology and
Phase
Construction Projects Pre-Construction Projects
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Member comments
38
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA
Scheduling next REFAC meeting
39
REDUCING THE COST OF ENERGY IN ALASKA 40
SAFE,
RELIABLE, &
AFFORDABLE
ENERGY
SOLUTIONS
ALASKA ENERGY AUTHORITY
813 West Northern Lights Blvd.
Anchorage, Alaska 99503
Phone: (907) 771-3000
Fax: (907) 771-3044
Toll Free (Alaska Only) 888-300-8534